LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
November 30/18
Compiled &
Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
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Bible Quotations For today
Get behind me, Satan! For you are setting
your mind not on divine things but on human things
Mark 08/31-38: "Then he began to teach them that the Son of Man must undergo
great suffering, and be rejected by the elders, the chief priests, and the
scribes, and be killed, and after three days rise again. He said all this quite
openly. And Peter took him aside and began to rebuke him. But turning and
looking at his disciples, he rebuked Peter and said, ‘Get behind me, Satan! For
you are setting your mind not on divine things but on human things. ’He called
the crowd with his disciples, and said to them, ‘If any want to become my
followers, let them deny themselves and take up their cross and follow me.For
those who want to save their life will lose it, and those who lose their life
for my sake, and for the sake of the gospel, will save it. For what will it
profit them to gain the whole world and forfeit their life? Indeed, what can
they give in return for their life? Those who are ashamed of me and of my words
in this adulterous and sinful generation, of them the Son of Man will also be
ashamed when he comes in the glory of his Father with the holy angels."
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 29-30/18
In Lebanon, Climate Change Devours Ancient Cedar Trees/AFP/Thursday
29th November 2018
What Mohammed bin Salman’s Presence at the G-20 Means/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq
Al Awsat/November 29/18
Eternal Jihad: Islam Will Never, Ever Stop”/Raymond Ibrahim/American
Thinker/November 29/18
How to Work Your Way Up From the Bottom/Barry Ritholtz/Asharq Al Awsat/November
29/18
Switzerland: "Creeping EU Accession"/Soeren Kern/Gatestone InstituteéNovember
29/18
How Significant Will Be Mohammed bin Salman’s Presence at the G20 Meeting in
Argentina/Micheal Young/Carnegie/November 29/18
The Dire Consequences of Rewriting Western-Muslim History/Raymond Ibrahim/The
Jerusalem Post/November 30/18
FDA Approves Ground breaking New Cancer Drug/NBC News/Thursday 29th November
2018
The secret behind attacks on Washington and Riyadh/Mamdouh AlMuhaini/Al Arabiya/November
29/19
Oil price volatility: All eyes on the G20 meeting/Dr. Mohamed A. Ramady/Al
Arabiya/November 29/19
Russia continues to show disdain for international law and diplomatic norms/Dr.
Azeem Ibrahim/Al Arabiya/November 29/19
CIA has no proof against Saudi Crown Prince: US expert/Dalia Aqidi/Al Arabiya/November
29/18
Titles For Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
November 29-30/18
Aoun condemns attempts to eliminate Palestinian right of return
Hariri Appreciates Bassil's Effort, FPM Still Sees Govt. before Holidays
Hariri: I will not change my position
Hariri receives UNCTAD secretary general
Report: Hizbullah Still Keen on Hariri's Designation, Not behind Campaigns
Salameh: Central Bank to Launch Digital Currency Soon
'Consultative Gathering' renews demand to meet with Hariri
Army 'Detains Several Hundred Syrians' in Raids on Camps
Two Suspects Arrested over Gavin Ford's Murder
Trash Pollutes Lebanon's Mediterranean Coastline
Lebanese Businessman Jailed in Paris Drug Trial
Wahhab Files Lawsuit against Hariri over 'Insults, Death Threats'
Druze Sheikh Aql contacts Hariri and Derian
Lebanon: Top Officials Call for Strengthening Security, Human Rights Standards
Army deny news about interception of weaponloaded truck en route to Jahlieh
Mashnouq meets Russian Ambassador, ICMP Director
Army commander meets US Assistant Secretary of Defense, French Ambassador
Abi Khalil raises with KPC official royalties' reduction on imported gas to
Lebanon
Inauguration of 4th Anti Cybercrime Forum under Salameh's patronage
In Lebanon, Climate Change Devours Ancient Cedar Trees
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports
And News published on November 29-30/18
Rookie legislator leaves Tory caucus over decisions
affecting francophones
Canada imposes sanctions on individuals linked to murder of Jamal Khashogg
Syrian air force shoots down ‘enemy target’ south of capital
EU Reiterates Commitment to Iran Nuclear Deal
Ghosn 'Signed Documents to Defer Compensation'
Trump Cancels G-20 Meeting With Putin Over Russian Capture of Ukrainian Sailors
Outgoing U.N. Envoy Rues 'Missed Opportunity' at Astana Syria Talks
United Nations wants Syria to account for war dead, detainees
Merkel Warns 'No Military Solution' to Ukraine Conflict
U.N. Aid Chief Calls for End to Fighting in Yemen
US Treasury imposes cyber-related sanctions on two Iranians
Latest Lebanese Related News published on
November
29-30/18
Aoun condemns attempts to eliminate Palestinian right of
return
The Daily Star/November
29/18/BEIRUT: President Michel Aoun Thursday marked the International Day of
Solidarity with the Palestinian People by condemning attempts to eliminate the
Palestinian right of return. In a message to Senegal’s U.N. ambassador, Cheikh
Niang, who chairs the Committee on the Exercise of the Inalienable Rights of the
Palestinian People, Aoun said attempts abound to eliminate Palestinian people’s
identity and rights. He also stressed the committee's important role in
defending the rights of the Palestinian people. “We look forward to the day that
the Palestinian people get their inalienable rights,” a statement released by
the presidency Thursday quoted Aoun as saying. United Nations Resolution 194,
whose 70th anniversary will take place shortly after the International Day of
Solidarity with the Palestinian People, aims to ensure the right of return for
Palestinian refugees and the protection of the Holy Places. It also places
occupied Jerusalem under the protection of the U.N. so that the international
body can guarantee the right of everyone, including Palestinians, to access it.
“Unfortunately, the resolution remained on paper and was not implemented, like
many other international decisions for Palestine and its oppressed people,” Aoun
said. This year's international day of solidarity seems especially crucial, as
the U.N. agency for Palestinian refugees has come under fire from U.S. President
Donald Trump’s administration. The U.S. has backed Israel in accusing UNRWA of
perpetuating the conflict in the Middle East due to its support of the belief
that millions of Palestinians are refugees with a right to return to their homes
in occupied Palestine. In the statement Thursday, Aoun explicitly condemned the
United States’ decision to recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, as well as
the country’s decision, in August, to cut funding to UNRWA. The U.S. had
formerly been the biggest contributor by far to the agency.
Hariri Appreciates Bassil's Effort, FPM Still
Sees Govt. before Holidays
Naharnet/November 29/18/The ideas that Free Patriotic Movement chief MP Jebran
Bassil has proposed for resolving the so-called Sunni hurdle are “still not
clear” and have not been officially presented to Prime Minister-designate Saad
Hariri, a source close to the PM said. “There is continuous communication
between Bassil and PM-designate Hariri, who considers the former’s endeavor good
and beneficial but so far has not yielded any results,” the source told al-Hayat
daily in remarks published Thursday. The source added that some leaks suggest
that a leading proposal involves giving a government seat to MP Qassem Hashem,
who is a member of the Consultative Sunni Gathering and the only Sunni in
Speaker Nabih Berri’s Development and Liberation bloc. But “there are no
indications that Hariri could accept this formula,” the source noted. An FPM
source informed on Bassil’s mediation meanwhile emphasized that the mediation of
the FPM chief “will not stop.”“Things are not deadlocked and we still believe
that there will be a government before the holidays,” the source added. A
minister in the caretaker cabinet meanwhile told al-Hayat that there are three
proposed solutions. “The first is raising the government members from 30 to 32,
which would allow for the representation of Alawites and Christian minorities.
Ex-PM Najib Miqati’s bloc would get the Alawite minister (MP Ali Darwish) in
return for giving up his agreement with Hariri on a Sunni minister, and
President (Michel) Aoun would get the additional Christian minister,” the
minister said. “But Hariri will not approve of an increase in the number of
ministers and Berri is also not enthusiastic about such a proposal,” the
minister added. The second solution would be Aoun’s naming of a Sunni minister
who would be close to him and to Hizbullah and its Sunni allies, the minister
said, while noting that “Hariri would get a Christian minister” and that “Aoun
does not plan to give up a seat from his share.”“The third solution entails Aoun
giving up the Sunni seat he had exchanged with Hariri in return for a Christian
seat for the latter. The president would then name a minister from the six MPs
or one approved by them,” the minister went on to say. The new government was on
the verge of formation on October 29 after the Lebanese Forces accepted the
portfolios that were assigned to it but a last-minute hurdle over the
representation of pro-Hizbullah Sunni MPs surfaced. Hizbullah has insisted that
the six Sunni MPs should be given a seat in the government, refraining from
providing Hariri with the names of its three Shiite ministers in a bid to press
him. Hariri has rejected the demand, announcing that he’d rather step down than
give the aforementioned lawmakers a seat from his own share in the government.
Hariri: I will not change my position
Thu 29 Nov 2018 at 22/NNA - Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri said that he
will not change his political position concerning the formation of the
government. He said: “I will not change my position, and these words do not aim
to challenge anyone, but result from my absolute belief that the political
yelling does not lead anywhere, nor does it solve the problem of electricity or
waste, or the demands of the citizens”. He added: "Compromises are made when
they are for the interest of the country, and I was always among the first
people to seek compromises. We live as Lebanese with each other, and the country
needs all its sons and groups to rise and advance for the better, but what is
currently proposed has nothing to do with compromises nor with the interest of
the country and the Lebanese”. Hariri’s stances came during a meeting this
evening at the Center House, of the Future parliamentary bloc and Future elected
bodies, in the presence of MP Bahia Hariri. During the meeting, the Consultative
legislative forum, which organizes the dialogue between the bloc and the elected
bodies, was launched. Separately, Hariri received the United Kingdom Trade
Commissioner for the Middle East (Her Majesty’s Trade Commissioner) Simon
Penney, in the presence of the British ambassador Chris Rampling.After the
meeting, Penney said: “It was a pleasure to meet with Prime Minister Saad Hariri
just now. We spoke about the trade relationship between the United Kingdom and
Lebanon and about opportunities between our two countries moving forward. We
discussed a lot of the projects in Lebanon and the potential role UK companies
can play in helping those projects go forward”.
Hariri receives UNCTAD secretary general
Thu 29 Nov 2018/NNA - Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri received today at the
Center House the Secretary General of UNCTAD (United Nations Conference on Trade
and Development) Mukhisa Kituyi and ESCWA Deputy Executive Secretary for
Programme, Mounir Tabet, in the presence of his advisor Nadim Mounla.
Report: Hizbullah Still Keen on Hariri's
Designation, Not behind Campaigns
Naharnet/November 29/18/Hizbullah still wants Prime Minister-designate Saad
Hariri to form the new government and it is not behind the hostile campaigns
against him, sources close to the party said. “Despite al-Mustaqbal Movement’s
campaigns against it, Hizbullah is still keen on Hariri’s presence in the
premier post,” the sources told al-Joumhouria newspaper in remarks published
Thursday. The sources also denied claims that the party has issued an “order” to
launch political campaigns against Hariri, noting that “the party’s decision to
back the demand of the independent Sunni MPs has nothing to do with the
exchanges that might happen between some political figures and al-Mustaqbal
Movement.”The new government was on the verge of formation on October 29 after
the Lebanese Forces accepted the portfolios that were assigned to it but a
last-minute hurdle over the representation of pro-Hizbullah Sunni MPs surfaced.
Hizbullah has insisted that the six Sunni MPs should be given a seat in the
government, refraining from providing Hariri with the names of its three Shiite
ministers in a bid to press him. Hariri has rejected the demand, announcing that
he’d rather step down than give the aforementioned lawmakers a seat from his own
share in the government.
Salameh: Central Bank to Launch Digital Currency Soon
Kataeb.org/Thursday 29th November 2018/Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh
announce on Thursday that Lebanon will soon issue digital currencies as a form
of virtual money prompted by the ongoing rise of electronic means of payment and
the emergence of alternatives to cash. Speaking at the opening of the
Anti-Cybercrime Forum in Beirut, Salameh said that Bank of Lebanon will be
launching digital currencies for local use only, noting that the adoption of
electronic money would facilitate payment methods, boost monetary technologies
and incur less costs on the consumers. Salameh clarified that the digital
currencies to be issued by Bank of Lebanon will be different from
cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin.
'Consultative Gathering' renews demand to meet with Hariri
Thu 29 Nov 2018/NNA - The "Consultative Gathering" of the six independent Sunni
lawmakers on Thursday renewed their demand to meet with Prime Minister-designate
Saad Hariri. The Consultative Gathering's stance came in a statement issued in
the wake of its meeting at the residence of the late former Prime Minister, Omar
Karami, attended by the Gathering's six deputies. The Gathering dwelt on most
recent developments on the local and regional arena. The Gathering brought to
attention that former Minister, MP Abdel Rahim Murad has requested meeting with
PM-designate Saad Hariri more than once. However, the Gathering said, Hariri has
refused to meet with the six lawmakers. The Gathering stressed that the
lawmakers' row with Hariri was not in his capacity as "head of the Future
Movement" but rather in his capacity as the "PM-designate". The Gathering called
once again on the PM-designate to meet with them, leaving it for him to set the
time and place. The six Lawmakers also announced that the Gathering withdraws
its concession not to demand a specific portfolio in the new Cabinet. They
demanded that the ministerial portfolio to be accorded to the Gathering as part
of its representation in the government must be chosen in coordination with the
Gathering.
Army 'Detains Several Hundred Syrians' in Raids
on Camps
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 29/18/The Lebanese Army has detained
around 400 Syrians in raids on refugee camps in the eastern Bekaa valley, mostly
for overstaying their residence permits, a military source said Thursday. Almost
eight years into Syria's war, neighboring Lebanon hosts around 1.5 million
Syrians, many of whom live in the east of the tiny country. On Wednesday, the
army in the Arsal area detained "33 people with arrest warrants, 56 people
without identity papers, and 300 others over expired documents," it said in a
statement.
The military source said all were Syrians, and that those with no or out-of-date
documents had been handed over to the security forces. Those arrested had
"committed an action against the law," they told AFP, without providing any
further details. The army from time to time sweeps down on Syrian refugee camps,
especially those in the east of the country.Tens of thousands of Syrians live
there, many from towns and villages on the other side of the Syrian-Lebanese
border. Arsal mayor Bassel al-Hujeiri said that some of those who had been
detained on Wednesday were then released overnight, complaining that the way in
which the raids were carried out was "not right." "They come to arrest a certain
number of wanted people, and end up detaining 400," he said. "They detain this
huge number to then determine which ones are wanted among them, when it would be
much better if they directly arrested those they wanted without bothering
everybody else," Hujeiri said. Last year, the army detained dozens of Syrians in
mass raids on camps in Arsal, sparking a controversy after it announced four of
them had died in custody. Images circulated on social media showed dozens of
bare-chested men lying down on the ground under the scorching sun with their
hands tied. Rights organizations demanded an investigation into the cause of
their deaths. Many Syrians live in tough conditions in Lebanon, and depend on
international aid organizations for their survival. Since the start of the year,
around 8,000 Syrians have gone home from Lebanon, according to an AFP tally of
official figures. Lebanese security forces however claim tens of thousands have
taken part in these returns, which are coordinated between Beirut and Damascus.
They waive late fines for those whose residency papers have expired if they
agree to return to Syria.
The Syrian conflict has killed more than 360,000 people and forced millions from
their homes since it started with the brutal repression of anti-government
protests in 2011.
Two Suspects Arrested over Gavin Ford's Murder
Naharnet/November 29/18/Two suspects have been arrested in connection with the
murder of British radio presenter Gavin Ford, media reports said, citing
Lebanese security sources. The reports said the two men were arrested in the
Bekaa and that they are Syrian nationals. The raid that resulted in their arrest
was carried out by the Intelligence Branch of the Internal Security Forces,
according to the reports. The renowned Radio One Lebanon presenter was found
dead Tuesday inside his apartment in Beit Mery. “Ford was strangulated before
being dealt a blow to the head, which resulted in his death,” LBCI TV said.
Ford's death led to an outpouring of shock and sadness on social media by people
who followed his popular morning program on all-music Radio One station. The
65-year-old Ford had worked for the station since the 1990s, gaining a large
number of fans in Lebanon.
Trash Pollutes Lebanon's Mediterranean Coastline
Associated Press/Naharnet/November 29/18/Plastic bottles, soft drink cans and
blue garbage bags. An old television, discarded vegetables and coffee cups.
These are some of the random things that can be seen floating in the sea along
Lebanon's coastline. Once a source of pride, the country's Mediterranean
coastline has become a source of shame for many Lebanese because of the swirling
trash that pollutes its shores. Fisherman Ahmed Obeitri has been a fixture at
Lebanon's corniche — a popular seaside promenade in central Beirut — for the
past 30 years. He says the trash is killing off what's left of marine life.
"These days if a fish comes our way it will only find nylon bags, garbage and
sewage to feed on," he said, lamenting over people who eat and drink as they
walk on the corniche and then toss their cans, tins and other containers in the
sea. "You can open a cafe under water and invite your friends," he added
sarcastically. Littering is not Lebanon's only problem. The country has a
long-running solid waste management problem that caused summer riots in 2015 as
trash piled in the streets. The government solved the problem by simply shifting
the trash to landfills and coastal dumps that often run into the Mediterranean.
Environmentalists say thousands of tons of trash and untreated waste is getting
dumped directly into the sea. Abdullah Absi, a 56-year-old civil engineer, said
as a swimmer, the open sewage running into the sea was his biggest problem. A
group of 50 swimmers, including Absi, recently organized a 4.6-kilometer
(2.9-mile) swim to highlight the problem and the idea that the sea is for all.
"We see the violations are increasing and there is no deterrent," he said.
Lebanese Businessman Jailed in Paris Drug Trial
Naharnet/November 29/18/A shadowy businessman from the Lebanese diaspora was
sentenced in Paris on Wednesday to seven years in prison for being a lead member
of a crime ring that laundered Colombian drug money through luxury jewelry.
Mohamad Noureddine, a 44-year-old businessman with interests in real estate and
jewelry, was convicted of laundering drug money and criminal conspiracy and
fined 500,000 euros ($568,000). He was arrested in France in January 2016 during
police raids that also took place in Italy, Belgium and Germany, after an alert
from the U.S. Drug Enforcement Agency. U.S. officials, who have imposed
sanctions on Noureddine over alleged links to Hizbullah, suspect the network of
operating between South America, Europe and the Middle East since 2012. They
identified France, where several of the defendants reside, as being at the
center of the syndicate's operations in Europe. The proceeds of cocaine sales
were allegedly collected in Europe, then channeled to Lebanon before being
transferred to Colombian traffickers. The funds were moved using a centuries-old
system of payment dating from the spice trade called "hawala," passing through a
tested network requiring ironclad trust. After the drugs were sold, the network
used hawala operatives to gather the proceeds. The collected cash was then used
to buy luxury jewelry, watches and cars which were resold in Lebanon or West
Africa. Another key figure in the case, a man named Abbas Nasser, was sentenced
to ten years in prison in absentia. He is subject to an arrest warrant. Twelve
other defendants involved in the criminal network received various sentences, up
to nine years in jail.
Wahhab Files Lawsuit against Hariri over
'Insults, Death Threats'
Naharnet/November 29/18/Ex-minister Wiam Wahhab announced Thursday that he has
filed a lawsuit against Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri and “his aides”
over street banners that have surfaced in Beirut and Tripoli in recent days. “I
have filed a lawsuit against Saad Hariri and his aides over the banners which
carried insults and death threats and which preceded the leaked video,” Wahhab
tweeted, referring to banners apparently hoisted by Hariri supporters in some
areas and to a leaked video in which the former minister addresses harsh
personal insults to Hariri and his slain father Rafik Hariri. Wahhab has
apologized over the video, saying it was leaked without his knowledge and that
it was an immediate response to the banners that insulted him. Al-Mustaqbal
Movement meanwhile issued a new statement disavowing the banners. “Al-Mustaqbal
Movement reiterates its call for friends, supporters and all citizens hurt by
the cheap remarks of some parties to refrain from reactions that contradict with
the behavior and upbringing of most Lebanese, especially if they emulate the
image and approach of those using an impertinent rhetoric to prove their
political existence,” the Movement said. Progressive Socialist Party leader MP
Walid Jumblat meanwhile condemned Wahhab’s remarks against Hariri, saying they
reminded him of “the incitement that was practiced by the Syrian Baath several
years ago.”
Druze Sheikh Aql contacts Hariri and Derian
Thu 29 Nov 2018/NNA - Druze Sheikh
Aql, Naeem Hassan, on Thursday contacted Prime Minister-designate, Saad Hariri,
condemning the campaigns against him. He also called Grand Mufti Sheikh
Abdullatif Derian within the same frame.
Lebanon: Top Officials Call for Strengthening Security, Human
Rights Standards
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday,
29 November, 2018/President Michel Aoun and Prime Minister-designate Saad
al-Hariri asked the country’s military and security bodies to adopt the
necessary measures during the holidays, but emphasized firmness with “security
and human rights standards.”Aoun chaired on Wednesday a closed meeting of the
Supreme Defense Council at the Baabda Palace, in the presence of Hariri, the
ministers of finance, national defense, interior, economy and justice, as well
as the Army commander, the general prosecutor and the government commissioner to
the military court. Aoun and Hariri asked the military and security agencies and
the concerned departments to adopt the necessary measures during the holidays to
facilitate the movement of citizens, tourists and expatriates, who intend to
spend the year-end break in Lebanon, according to a statement by the Council.
The meeting also touched on the security situation in the Palestinian refugee
camps and the social and health conditions of the refugees, especially after the
decline of UNRWA assistance. According to the statement, the Council renewed the
request to the relevant security agencies to take into account international
principles and standards during investigations carried out with the detainees,
especially in terms of the preservation of human rights. Aoun also instructed
the concerned bodies to strengthen cooperation and coordination during the
preparations for the upcoming Arab Economic and Social Development Summit, which
will be held in Beirut on Jan. 16-20.
Army deny news about interception of weaponloaded truck en
route to Jahlieh
Thu 29 Nov 2018/NNA - The Lebanese army denied in a communiqué on Thursday news
claiming that a truck loaded with weapons had been intercepted by the military
on its way to Jahlieh. "The Army Command is keen to deny the truth and to
clarify that the said truck and stopped on Nehme highway due to an engine
failure," the army indicated, adding that load content is for footage purposes
for a university that has already received the needed permission from the army.
Mashnouq meets Russian Ambassador, ICMP Director
Thu 29 Nov 2018/NNA - Caretaker
Minister of Interior and Municipalities, Nohad Mashnouq, met Thursday with
Russian Ambassador to Lebanon, Alexander Zasypkin, over the latest political
developments on the local and regional scenes. Talks also touched on the Russian
Syrian refugee expatriation plan, in addition to an array of security
agreements. During the meeting, Zasypkin highlighted Russia's determination to
establish "the best relations with Lebanon, outside the political polarizations
and despite the local, regional and international conflicts." Mashnouq also met
with the Director General of the International Commission on Missing Persons,
Kathryne Bomberger, with whom he discussed the dossier of missing individuals
during the Lebanese wars. "The Ministry is fully ready to provide all
facilitations and the required assistance to help unveil the fate of the missing
persons," Mashnouq stressed.
Army commander meets US Assistant Secretary of
Defense, French Ambassador
Thu 29 Nov 2018/NNA - Army Commander General Joseph Aoun on Thursday welcomed at
his Yarzeh office, the US Assistant Secretary of Defense Owen West, and an
accompanying delegation, in the presence of US Ambassador to Lebanon, Elizabeth
Richard. Talks reportedly touched on cooperation relations between the armies of
the two countries. Maj. Gen. Aoun also met with the French Ambassador to
Lebanon, Bruno Faucher, accompanied by Embassy Military Attaché. Talks featured
high on the general situation in Lebanon and the broad region. The army chief
also welcomed Judge Sakr Sakr.
Abi Khalil raises with KPC official royalties'
reduction on imported gas to Lebanon
Thu 29 Nov 2018/NNA - Caretaker Water and Energy Minister, César Abi Khalil, on
Thursday met in his office at the Ministry with Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC)
Deputy Managing Director for Global Marketing, Khaled Ahmad Al-Sabah. The
meeting took place in the presence of the Oil Director General Ororo Al-Feghali,
and "Sonatrach" Team members. Minister Abi Khalil raised with the KPC Official
the issue of reducing royalties on the imported gas to Lebanon in favor of EDL.
In the wake of discussions, KPC agreed to cut $0.1 per barrel, equivalent to
$0.745 per metric ton.
Inauguration of 4th Anti Cybercrime Forum under
Salameh's patronage
Thu 29 Nov 2018/NNA - The 4th Anti-Cybercrime Forum was held Thursday under the
auspices of the Lebanese Central Bank Governor Riyad Salameh and in presence of
hundreds of delegates representing the judiciary and security authorities,
representatives from ministries, relevant government institutions and legal
authorities, as well as local and international banking experts, and
representatives of technology companies specialized in the fight against
cybercrime. The forum was organized by Al-Iktissad Wal-Aamal Group in
cooperation with the Special Investigation Commission and the Office for
Combating Cybercrime and Protection of Intellectual Property at the Directorate
General of the Internal Security Forces. Speaking at the Forum's opening
session, Salameh indicated that preparations to launch Lebanon's digital
currency were underway, noting that this currency is not a virtual one like
Bitcoin. "The digital currency will be issued by the Central Bank in Lebanese
pound and using it will be strictly local. Its purpose is to facilitate payment
methods and activate financial technology," Salameh explained. Moreover, he
indicated that the Central Bank and the concerned authorities were looking
forward to tracking down and fighting cybercrimes. For his part, ISF Chief
General Imad Othman maintained that his institution was working on providing
cybersecurity. "We have devised the needed plans to face cybercrimes and we have
determined the administrative, logistic and human requirements to venture into
plans' implementation in 2019," he said.
In Lebanon, Climate Change Devours Ancient Cedar Trees
AFP/Thursday 29th November 2018
High up in Lebanon's mountains,
the lifeless grey trunks of dead cedar trees stand stark in the deep green
forest, witnesses of the climate change that has ravaged them. Often dubbed
"Cedars of God", the tall evergreens hark back millenia and are a source of
great pride and a national icon in the small Mediterranean country. The cedar
tree, with its majestic horizontal branches, graces the nation's flag and its
bank notes. But as temperatures rise, and rain and snowfall decrease, Lebanon's
graceful cedars are increasingly under attack by a tiny green grub that feed off
the youngest trees. At 1,800 metres altitude, in the natural reserve of
Tannourine in the north of Lebanon, ashen tree skeletons jut out of the forest
near surviving cedars centuries old.
"It's as if a fire had swept through the forest," says Nabil Nemer, a Lebanese
specialist in forest insects. In ancient times, huge cedar forests were felled
for their timber. Egyptian pharaohs used the wood to make boats, and King
Solomon is said to have used cedar to build his temple in Jerusalem. But today's
culprits lie underground, just several centimetres (inches) below the tree
trunk: bright green, wriggling larvae no larger than a grain of rice. Since the
late 1990s, infant cedar sawflies have been eating away at the forest in
Tannourine, as well as several other natural reserves in northern Lebanon. "In
2017, 170 trees dried up completely and became dead wood," Nemer says.
'Disturbed'
Like their food of choice, cedar sawflies have been around for thousands of
years. They mate in spring and lay their eggs on the cedar tree trunks, where
grubs hatch and feast on cedar needles. In the past, the larvae would then head
back into the ground to hibernate for up to three or four years, before emerging
again as adult sawflies with wings. But a warming earth has disrupted this
cycle, especially in the Mediterranean where "climate change is more intense",
according to Wolfgang Cramer, a scientist and member of Mediterranean Experts on
Environmental and Climate Change (MedECC). In a November report, MedECC said
future warming in the Mediterranean region was "expected to exceed global rates
by 25 percent". As the ground becomes less cold and humid in winter, sawflies
are now springing out of the earth every year, and in larger numbers. Their
preferred victims are young cedar trees, aged 20 to 100 years old. Temperatures
in Tannourine have risen by two degrees Celsius in the past 30 years and there
is less snow than before, Nemer says.
"With the drought, this larvae has been disturbed," he explains. In 1999, the
authorities managed to keep the pest in check by spraying insecticides from a
helicopter. But for the past four years, the cedar sawfly population has again
been swelling.
With chemical pesticides now banned, park authorities have resorted to a more
natural, though less efficient treatment: injecting a fungus into the ground to
kill the sleeping grubs.The authorities have backed the initiative so far, but
it's a mammoth task that needs more funding, man power and laboratories, Nemer
says. He says he hopes the state can increase its support, including by creating
a nationwide authority to track "forest health".
Race to replenish forests
Forests cover just over a tenth of Lebanon. They are mostly made up of oaks,
pines and juniper trees, but also a minority of cedars. As scientists fight to
prevent cedar deaths, the government has embarked in a race against time to
replenish the country's forests.
Since 2012, it has helped plant more than two million new trees of all kinds
across the country, agriculture ministry official Chadi Mohanna says. The
project is running a little late on a target of 40 million planted trees by
2030, but he is optimistic it will help mitigate climate change.
"In the next 20 to 30 years, we'll start to see a change, with more humidity,
and several degrees less during heat waves," he says. And civil society is also
playing a role. Since 2008, non-governmental organisation Jouzour Lubnan has put
300,000 new trees in the ground.
On a recent sunny Sunday, in the rocky natural reserve of Jaj, dozens of scouts
gathered to plant cedars, as Jouzour teamed up with the army to mark
independence day. Beyond centuries-old trees hugging the mountainside, boys and
girls in blue shirts planted 300 saplings just a dozen centimetres high. They
protected them with bell-shaped cages and rocks to keep grazing animals at bay.
"Cedars have survived millions of years. They can also take on climate change
and adapt," said Jouzour co-founder Magda Bou Dagher Kharrat. "We can't lose
hope, but we do need to help them."
Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports
And News published on November 29-30/18
Rookie legislator leaves Tory caucus over decisions affecting
francophones
The Canadian Press The Canadian
Press/Thursday, 29 November, 2018/TORONTO — A Progressive Conservative
legislator who publicly denounced Ontario's decision to eliminate the
independent office of the French-language services commissioner and a planned
French-language university has left the Tory caucus. In a letter to the Speaker
of the legislature, Amanda Simard says her decision is effective immediately,
and she will remain as an independent. "I am no longer a member of the
Progressive Conservative Caucus," Simard wrote in the short letter sent
Thursday. "I will continue to take my place in the Legislative Assembly of
Ontario as an Independent." The rookie legislator, who represents a largely
Franco-Ontarian riding, broke ranks with Premier Doug Ford's government over the
two controversial decisions affecting about 600,000 francophones in the
province. Simard said Wednesday that she was not satisfied by the government's
announcement late last week that it would create a commissioner position within
the office of the provincial ombudsman, establish a Ministry of Francophone
Affairs, and hire a senior policy adviser on francophone affairs in the
premier's office. She said the "partial backtracking" was not enough. Ford has
said the measures regarding the commissioner and the university announced in the
fall economic statement were necessary to bring down the province's deficit,
although he has not said how much would be saved. Simard argued Wednesday that
the moves would not "contribute in any meaningful way" to the provincial
belt-tightening.The premier said he had listened to concerns about the changes
and already offered some concessions. Simard, who represents the eastern Ontario
riding of Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, served as a city councillor in the
community of Russell before joining the Tory roster under then-leader Patrick
Brown. She holds a law degree from the University of Ottawa and previously
worked on Parliament Hill as a policy adviser.
Canada imposes sanctions on individuals linked to murder of Jamal Khashoggi
November 29, 2018 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable Chrystia Freeland, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today announced
targeted sanctions under the Justice for Victims of Corrupt Foreign Officials
Act against 17 Saudi nationals linked to the murder of Jamal Khashoggi.
The sanctions target individuals who are, in the opinion of the Government of
Canada, responsible for or complicit in the extrajudicial killing of journalist
Jamal Khashoggi on October 2, 2018.
These sanctions effectively freeze the assets of these individuals in Canada.
Their listing also renders them inadmissible to Canada pursuant to the
Immigration and Refugee Protection Act.
While Canada has imposed sanctions on these 17 Saudi nationals, we continue to
call for a transparent and rigorous accounting of the circumstances surrounding
Mr. Khashoggi’s murder. The explanations offered to date by Saudi Arabia lack
consistency and credibility.
Canada is committed to supporting human rights defenders and will continue to
promote freedom of the press around the world.
Quotes
The murder of Jamal Khashoggi is abhorrent and represents an unconscionable
attack on the freedom of expression of all individuals. Canada continues to call
for a credible and independent investigation. Those responsible for Jamal
Khashoggi’s murder must be held to account and must face justice.”
- Hon. Chrystia Freeland, P.C., M.P., Minister of Foreign Affairs
Quick facts
The Justice for Victims of Corrupt Foreign Officials Act entered into force on
October 18, 2017.
Syrian air force shoots down ‘enemy target’ south of capital
Reuters, AmmanThursday, 29 November 2018/The Syrian air force shot down a
“hostile target” that was flying over the town of Kiswah, south of the capital
Damascus, state media said. State media quoted a military source but did not
specify what the target was or where it came from. Syrian opposition sources on
the ground said the area was close to where the Iranian-backed Hezbollah group
has a powerful presence with several bases. Israel, concerned that Iran’s
growing presence in Syria poses a threat to its own security, has struck dozens
of Iranian and Iran-backed positions in Syria over the course of the seven-year
conflict. Iran is a key ally of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and supports a
number of militias that have fought alongside the Syrian army and its allies.
Tehran has expanded its military presence in Syria through its proxies, and
Hezbollah is by far the biggest militia.
EU Reiterates Commitment to Iran Nuclear Deal
Geneva - Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday,
29 November, 2018/European Union foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini met
Iranian foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif in Geneva on Wednesday and
reiterated the bloc's determination to preserve the multilateral nuclear deal,
an EU statement said. Mogherini underlined need for continued full and effective
implementation of the Iran nuclear deal by all parties, "including the economic
benefits arising from it", Reuters quoted the statement as saying. The statement
came as Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei said on Wednesday that Iran should
increase its military capability and readiness to ward off enemies, in a meeting
with Iranian navy commanders, according to Khamenei's official website.
"Increase your capability and readiness as much as you can so Iran's enemies
will not even dare threaten these great people," Khamenei said, according to
Reuters. He added that his country “does not intend to start war with anyone."
Ghosn 'Signed Documents to Defer Compensation'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 29/18/Nissan's former chairman Carlos
Ghosn signed secret documents instructing aides to defer part of his salary
without disclosing this to shareholders, a source close to the issue claimed
Thursday. Ghosn and close aide Greg Kelly were arrested last week for allegedly
conspiring to under-report Ghosn's income by around $44 million -- about half of
what should have been reported -- over five fiscal years until March 2015. The
64-year-old tycoon denies the allegations and has not been able to defend
himself publicly while he is in a Tokyo detention center. The source, who spoke
on condition of anonymity, said the misreporting started in the fiscal year
2009/2010 when a new law came into force requiring any company executives
earning 100 million yen ($885,000) or more to declare it. "All of a sudden, he
had to disclose his pay and when that happened, he started splitting it into two
parts, one part that was disclosed and paid within that year, another part not
disclosed, to be paid upon retirement in theory," said this source, who is
familiar with the Nissan and prosecutors' probe. Ghosn signed documents tasking
a small number of his executive assistants -- excluding CEO Hiroto Saikawa,
according to a local media report -- to arrange this division of his salary,
added the source. The businessman denies signing such documents, according to
local media. "Over the years since the law changed, the amount of undisclosed
compensation grew and grew to the point where it was much larger than the
disclosed amount of around one billion yen," the source claimed. Japanese law
requires that the total amount -- including compensation upon retirement -- be
disclosed annually, added the source. But Nobuo Gohara, lawyer and former
prosecutor, said "it is very doubtful if he was obliged to report it" if the
charge Ghosn faces relates to postponement of his compensation until retirement.
The motive was reportedly to avoid shareholder and employee criticism over his
high compensation. According to the Yomiuri Shimbun daily, Kelly has told
prosecutors he had "consulted with the Financial Services Agency about ways to
fill in the financial report, and got a response there was no problem" in not
reporting remuneration upon retirement. The paper added that Ghosn denies any
wrongdoing, telling prosecutors he consulted with Kelly "about dealing with the
issue legally."Contacted by AFP, a spokesman for the FSA said the agency "cannot
comment on the affairs of an individual company."
Huge sums
Local media have also alleged in recent days that Nissan had provided Ghosn with
luxury residences in four countries without any legitimate business reason,
paying "huge sums" for residences in Rio de Janeiro, Beirut, Paris and
Amsterdam. The source confirmed part of this, saying that the residences in Rio
de Janeiro and Lebanon "were paid for by the company but secretly."The payments
were made using a subsidiary based in the Netherlands and Kelly was responsible
for setting up these arrangements, the source said. Nissan's internal
investigation report "does mention the fact that there were several apartments
for which the company paid rents that were exclusively for M. Ghosn's use and
did not come out of his housing allowance," added this source. These expenses
should have been disclosed as compensation but this was arranged without
shareholders' approval and generally in secret, added the source. According to
local media, Ghosn is also suspected of using Nissan's corporate money to pay a
donation to his daughter's university and costs for a family trip. And the
Yomiuri Shimbun has said Ghosn paid some "advisory deal" money to his older
sister -- $100,000 annually, for a fictive job.
Trump Cancels G-20 Meeting With Putin Over Russian Capture of
Ukrainian Sailors
Reuters and The Associated Press/November 29/18/Kremlin says Trump's move hasn't
been confirmed, but if true, Putin will have a few more hours for 'useful
meetings' on G-20 sidelines. U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday suddenly
canceled a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin scheduled for this
week's Group of 20 industrialized nations summit in Argentina, citing the
current Ukraine crisis. "Based on the fact that the ships and sailors have not
been returned to Ukraine from Russia, I have decided it would be best for all
parties concerned to cancel my previously scheduled meeting in Argentina with
President Vladimir Putin. I look forward to a meaningful Summit again as soon as
this situation is resolved!" Trump tweeted after departing for the G20 summit.
Trump's tweet was a sudden turnaround. Roughly an hour earlier, he had told
reporters he would probably meet with Putin at the summit and said it was "a
very good time to have the meeting." But Trump had also said he would get a
final report during the flight to Argentina on the tension in the region after
Russia seized Ukrainian vessels near Crimea on Sunday. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry
Peskov was reported saying in Interfax news agency that they have no official
information of Trump's decision to cancel the meeting. The spokesman added that
if the bilateral meeting is cancelled, Putin, who is currently on his way to
Argentina, will have a couple of extra hours for "useful meetings" on the
sidelines of the G-20 summit. Earlier on Thursday, Ukrainian President Petro
Poroshenko accused Putin of wanting to annex his entire country and called for
NATO to deploy warships to a sea shared by the two nations. Poroshenko's
comments to German media were part of a concerted push by Kiev to gain Western
support for more sanctions against Moscow, securing tangible Western military
help, and rallying opposition to a Russian gas pipeline that threatens to
deprive Ukraine of important transit revenues. His Western allies have so far
not offered to provide any of these things, despite his warnings of a possible
Russian invasion after Moscow seized three Ukrainian naval ships and their crews
on Sunday near Crimea. Moscow and Kiev blame each other for the incident, which
took place in the narrow Kerch Strait off Crimea, the Ukrainian region annexed
by Russia in 2014. "Don't believe Putin's lies," Poroshenko told Bild, Germany's
biggest-selling paper, comparing Russia's protestations of innocence in the
affair to Moscow's 2014 denial that it had soldiers in Crimea even as they moved
to annex it. "Putin wants the old Russian empire back," he said. "Crimea,
Donbass, the whole country. As Russian tsar, as he sees himself, his empire
cannot function without Ukraine. He sees us as his colony."
Russia has charged that the Ukrainian vessels had failed to obtain permission to
pass from the Black Sea into the Sea of Azov through the Kerch Strait between
Russia's mainland and the Crimean Peninsula it annexed from Ukraine in 2014.
Ukraine insisted that its vessels were operating in line with international
maritime rules.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she plans to press Putin at this weekend's
G-20 summit in Argentina to urge the release of the ships and crews. "We can
only resolve this in talks with one another because there is no military
solution to all of these conflicts," she said. NATO said it already has a strong
presence in the Black Sea region. The alliance's spokeswoman Oana Lungescu said
NATO ships routinely patrol and exercise in the Black Sea, and that they have
spent 120 days there this year compared to 80 in 2017. She noted that several
NATO allies conduct air policing and reconnaissance flights in the region,
adding that members Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey border the Black Sea and have
their own military equipment deployed. "There is already a lot of NATO in the
Black Sea, and we will continue to assess our presence in the region," Lungescu
said. While NATO condemned the Russian action, the alliance is not expected to
send ships into the Sea of Azov, a deployment that could trigger a confrontation
with Russia. A 2003 treaty between Russia and Ukraine stipulates that permission
from both countries is required for warships from others to enter the internal
sea.
Outgoing U.N. Envoy Rues 'Missed Opportunity' at
Astana Syria Talks
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 29/18/The United Nations envoy on Syria
signed off from his posting Thursday ruing "a missed opportunity" to help end
the country's long conflict at talks in Kazakhstan's capital Astana. Staffan de
Mistura, who announced his resignation last month, capped his term as peace
envoy with two days of talks in the Kazakh capital sponsored by power-brokers
Russia and Iran -- allies of the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad -- and
rebel-backer Turkey. A statement from his office noted he regretted that "no
tangible progress in overcoming the 10-month stalemate on the composition of the
constitutional committee" was made at the talks. The meeting in Astana was "a
missed opportunity to accelerate the establishment of a credible, balanced and
inclusive, Syrian-owned, Syrian-led, U.N.-facilitated constitutional committee,"
the statement said. The two-day negotiations that concluded Thursday, are the
11th in Astana since Moscow began a diplomatic push in early 2017 that
effectively sidelined other talks on Syria led by the United Nations. The
constitutional committee is viewed as a vital element in reaching a political
settlement in the country. Speaking after the talks, Russia's Syria negotiator
Aleksandr Lavrentyev said the committee was of "upmost importance.""I want to
say that we are sufficiently close to our cherished goal," he added, without
giving any date. The talks began Wednesday with a 10-week-old Idlib truce deal
hanging in the balance after an alleged chemical attack in the government-held
city of Aleppo on Saturday triggered retaliatory raids. The exact circumstances
of the attack remain murky and bitterly disputed. The Syrian government of
Bashar al-Assad has blamed rebel fighters for the attack which the Syrian
Observatory for Human Rights said hospitalized 94 people. The incident has
strained an already fragile agreement reached in mid-September to fend off a
fully-fledged assault on Idlib, which Syria's regime -- backed by Russia and
Iran -- has said it is committed to re-taking. Speaking late Wednesday, Russia's
Lavrentyev said that "additional time" would be required to secure a buffer zone
in the region of three million people after an uptick in fighting. The alleged
chemical attack "must be dealt with very seriously," he said, calling for
qualified international bodies to visit the city to assess the incident. On
Sunday, Russia said its war planes had carried out their first strikes in the
zone since the deal was reached, in an apparent retaliation.
No space for Washington
The Astana talks have seen the United States and other Western countries kept at
arm's length over Syria. A joint communique agreed by the three sponsors
targeted Washington's continued military presence in the country. The guarantors
"rejected all attempts to create new realities on the ground under the pretext
of combating terrorism," it said. Earlier this week Turkish President Recep
Tayyip Erdogan accused the U.S. of using the presence of the Islamic State group
in southern Syria as an excuse to keep forces stationed there.Lavrentyev also
complained of the extended U.S. presence during the talks in Astana. The United
States has attended some previous Astana rounds as an observer but U.S. Special
Representative for Syria Engagement James Jeffrey last week ruled out Washington
participating in the latest talks. The next set of Syria negotiations in Astana
are scheduled for early February, according to the joint communique. Syria's
grinding seven-year civil war has killed more than 360,000 people and displaced
millions.
United Nations wants Syria to account for war dead, detainees
AFP, United NationsThursday, 29 November 2018/The UN Commission of Inquiry on
Syria urged the Security Council on Wednesday to press the Syrian government to
provide information to families about the fate of those missing or detained
during the seven-year war. Following a closed-door informal meeting with council
members, the commission chairman said it was crucial to push the government to
give a full account after it began in May to release death notifications. “The
issues of the detainees and the disappeared should not be dealt after peace, but
now is the time to consider this,” said Paulo Pinheiro, who heads the commission
set up to investigate human rights violations in the war. In May, the military
police and army provided for the first time information to government civil
registry offices on the deceased, allowing families to finally learn the fate of
their loved ones. “The state is beginning to put out that information, but
little else,” said commission member Hanny Megally. “The families have a right
to know what happened, where the bodies are, to get information about them.”An
international independent body must be given access to all places of detention
to confirm who is still alive in detention, he added. The commission hopes
council members including Russia, Syria's ally, can encourage the Damascus
government to take steps to address demands from the families of lost or missing
loved ones. Syria’s war has killed more than 360,000 people and displaced
millions. UN-led diplomatic efforts to end the war have stalled, but Russia,
Iran and Turkey are spearheading a separate drive to stabilize the country.
Merkel Warns 'No Military Solution' to Ukraine
Conflict
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 29/18/German Chancellor Angela Merkel
said Thursday there is "no military solution" to the Ukraine conflict after
President Petro Poroshenko asked for NATO naval support in his country's
standoff with Russia. Blaming Russia for the tensions, Merkel said: "We ask the
Ukrainian side too to be sensible because we know that we can only solve things
through being reasonable and through dialogue because there is no military
solution to these disputes."Russia fired on and then seized three Ukrainian
ships on Sunday, accusing them of illegally entering its waters in the Sea of
Azov and detaining their crew, in a dramatic spike in tensions that raises fears
of a wider escalation. Kiev accused Russia, which annexed the Crimea peninsula
from Ukraine in 2014, of launching "a new phase of aggression."Poroshenko asked
Germany and other NATO countries in comments to Bild newspaper on Thursday to
"relocate naval ships to the Sea of Azov in order to assist Ukraine and provide
security." Ukraine is not a NATO member but has established close ties with the
U.S.-led military alliance, especially since the 2014 Crimea annexation. Merkel,
speaking at a German-Ukrainian business forum, said she would discuss the
conflict with Russian President Vladimir Putin at a G20 summit in Argentina this
weekend. She said a bridge from the Russian mainland to Crimea that Putin opened
in May had already restricted shipping access to the Sea of Azov and therefore
to the Ukrainian port of Mariupol. "The full blame for this goes to the Russian
president," she said. "Now what I want is that the facts of what happened are
put on the table, that the (crew) are released, and that no confessions are
coerced like we have seen on television." "I would also support keeping things
calm, but we must also ensure that a city like Mariupol that relies on access to
the sea ... is not simply cut off so that large parts of Ukraine can no longer
be easily reached."
U.N. Aid Chief Calls for End to Fighting in
Yemen
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 29/18/U.N. aid chief Mark Lowcock
appealed Thursday for a halt to fighting in Yemen amid intense diplomacy to end
a war that has pushed millions to the brink of famine. "I'd like to see a
cessation of hostilities, especially around the key infrastructure, especially
around Hodeida," Lowcock told reporters after arriving in the rebel-held capital
Sanaa. Under heavy international pressure, Saudi-backed pro-government forces
have largely suspended a five-month offensive on the insurgent-held port city of
Hodeida, a key entry point for imports and aid. U.N. agencies say 14 million
Yemenis are at risk of starvation and the closure of the port would exacerbate
the humanitarian crisis gripping the impoverished Arabian Peninsula country. "I
have come because I am very concerned about the humanitarian situation here,
which has deteriorated since I was here last," Lowcock said.
"I'd like to see the environment in which the aid system operates, made easier
for the aid agencies.
"I would like to see stronger economic support, more resources injected into the
economy, salaries paid, more foreign exchange so that ordinary people have more
money to buy the essentials to survive." Lowcock will spend three days in Yemen
to see first-hand the world's worst humanitarian crisis, according to the U.N.
U.N. peace envoy Martin Griffiths is hoping to bring the Saudi-backed Yemeni
government and the Iran-aligned Huthi rebels to Sweden in the coming days for
negotiations on ending the more than three-year conflict. Lowcock, who last
visited Yemen in October 2017, will hold talks with officials in Sanaa and the
government-controlled southern city of Aden. The Yemen conflict, which escalated
when a Saudi-led coalition intervened on the government's side in 2015, has
killed nearly 10,000 people and left up to 22 million in need of humanitarian
assistance, according to U.N. figures. Rights groups fear the actual death toll
is far higher.
US Treasury imposes cyber-related sanctions on two Iranians
AFP, Washington/Wednesday, 28
November 2018/The US Justice Department charged two Iranian hackers Wednesday
with extorting at least $6 million from hospitals, city governments and public
institutions in the US and Canada by remotely locking down their computer
systems. The DOJ said Faramarz Shahi Savandi and Mohammad Mehdi Shah Mansouri
deployed the SamSam Ransomware into the systems of more than 200 institutions,
encrypting their operations to make them inaccessible until the owners paid
ransoms by bitcoin. Victims included the city governments of Atlanta, Georgia
and Newark, New Jersey, the University of Calgary in Canada, major US hospitals
in Los Angeles and Kansas City, and Laboratory Corporation of America, or
LabCorp, one of the world’s largest medical testing businesses. “The hackers
infiltrated computer systems in 10 states and Canada and then demanded payment.
The criminal activity harmed state agencies, city governments, hospitals, and
countless innocent victims,” said Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein. The
six-count indictment said the two men -- who are still in Iran -- began in
December 2015 to hack into target computer systems to install the SamSam
malware. Once the malware was executed, it would encrypt all of the data on the
victims’ computers, and electronic notes would be left behind telling
administrators how to pay a ransom to have their data unlocked. When the city of
Atlanta was hit, government computers serving a population of a half-million
were crippled for six days in March 2018. People could not pay bills and
businesses could not receive payments. The demanded payments were usually
relatively small, making it easier for some executives to decide to pay. The
Indiana hospital Hancock Health paid four bitcoin -- $55,000 at the time -- in
January 2018 to get its systems unfrozen. “The defendants did not just
indiscriminately ‘cross their fingers’ and hope their ransomware randomly
compromised just any computer system,” said Assistant Attorney General Brian
Benczkowski. “Rather, they deliberately engaged in an extreme form of
21st-century digital blackmail, attacking and extorting vulnerable victims like
hospitals and schools, victims they knew would be willing and able to pay.” In
addition to ransom payments, the Justice Department said, governments and
businesses suffered losses of a total of $30 million in their operations. In
parallel with the indictment of the two, the US Treasury announced sanctions on
two other Iranians, Ali Khorashadizadeh and Mohammad Ghorbaniyan, who allegedly
aided the hackers by managing the ransom payments by the virtual currency
bitcoin. The two helped the SamSam hackers convert the bitcoin into Iranian
rials, and were identified as the people behind two digital currency addresses
that handled some 7,000 bitcoin transactions. The Treasury’s Office of Foreign
Assets Control said it was the first time they had publicly attributed digital
currency addresses to people being placed on their sanctions blacklist.
Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on November 29-30/18
What Mohammed bin Salman’s Presence at the G-20 Means?
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/November 29/18
The G-20 summit in Buenos Aires is a global political summit although it bears
an economic name. This is where agreements and difficult political matters are
concluded. One of the subjects in its backstage is Saudi Arabia, which found
itself under the spotlight as a result of the events of the Yemen war and the
murder of Jamal Khashoggi. Will Saudi Arabia send a low-ranking representative?
Does the Saudi crown prince have to miss it? We’ve seen how the campaign that
has been launched for weeks now did not succeed in distancing Saudi Arabia or in
preventing Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman from participating in the
summit.
No one can deny that by visiting Argentina and four countries on the way to it,
Prince Mohammed bin Salman thwarted the attempts of Saudi Arabia’s rivals and
did not leave the arena for them. He did not evade confronting the challenges.
There were speculations that the Saudi Crown Prince will avoid going to
Argentina but he did the opposite. He went there before the rest of the leaders
and he even finished his program that was planned before the crisis and visited
the UAE, Bahrain, Egypt and Tunisia on the way to the G-20 summit, and he will
visit the rest of the countries on his way back to Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Arabia, which is participating in the summit of the world’s largest
economies, has this year advanced a rank, and it is ironic that it occupied the
rank of Turkey, which has economically slumped behind Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia
is also participating in the summit following radical reforms it implemented on
all legislative and taxation levels and on the role of the government in the
market.
Above all that, Saudi Arabia’s request to hold the summit in Riyadh in 2020 was
approved and this will anger its rivals, which sought to deprive it of the
chance of participating in Argentina’s summit but failed. Riyadh will thus later
hold a G-20 summit so how can it be isolated and the Saudi crown prince
weakened? The summit is supposed to be about economy, trade and the market.
However, most of the meetings of the leaders of the G-20 countries will be on
dealing with political disputes, including the Ukraine crisis between the US and
Russia, the US accusations against China of expanding beyond its waters.
The issue of Europeans against the US president’s pressure on them in NATO and
Brexit, and what this means in terms of future political and commercial
consequences, may also come up for discussion. With the Saudi Crown Prince, the
main subject will be the Yemeni crisis. Everyone agrees on the importance to end
it but there is no practical solution for it. As for the crisis of Khashoggi’s
murder, there isn’t much that can be talked about.
Turkey has made great effort to politicize the case and serve the Qatari agenda,
and Saudi Arabia carried out the measures expected from it with regard to trying
the accused.
It was neither a coincidence nor surprising that Qatar’s emir and his father,
the former emir of Qatar, appeared in Turkey in the past few days as this is the
part of the harmony, which the Turkish president frankly talked about.
The difficult and complicated case is Yemen. How can Saudi Arabia, at the G-20
summit, calm down the countries objecting to the war or that are facing great
pressure in their relations with Saudi Arabia due to the war? This is a thorny
issue, and the British now have an important role considering that the
international envoy who is tasked with resolving the crisis is British.
There is a new breakthrough after the forces of Yemen’s legitimate government
advanced and besieged the Hodeidah Port and entered a number of neighborhoods in
the coastal city that’s very important for the Houthis because it funds their
budget via fees and looting merchandise from ships.
Saudi Arabia knows that the countries objecting to the war want to stop the war
but these countries do not have an alternative solution. This is what American
officials echoed few days ago.
What’s the alternative solution to stop the war? The withdrawal of the
Coalition’s forces will have horrible consequences. There isn’t a single major
country that is willing to send troops to Yemen and manage the situation on the
ground.
Therefore, what’s the alternative? Practically, there’s nothing except for
expediting the victory of the Coalition’s countries and going back to the
political solution which includes all of Yemen’s political components including
the Houthis. The G-20 summit will be a very important opportunity to talk about
the Yemeni issue but it’s not among its jurisdictions to make decisions about
it.
Eternal Jihad: Islam Will Never, Ever Stop”
Raymond Ibrahim/American Thinker/November 29/18
Editor’s note: Andrew E. Harrod, PhD, JD, Esq, recently reviewed my book, Sword
and Scimitar on American Thinker. Titled, “Eternal Jihad: Islam Will Never, Ever
Stop,” it follows:
The “West and Islam have been mortal enemies since the latter’s birth some
fourteen centuries ago,” warns Islam scholar Raymond Ibrahim in his recent book
Sword and Scimitar: Fourteen Centuries of War between Islam and the West. His
extensive analysis bears out the apt title of this volume, whose documented
history is equally ill remembered and yet vital for modern Westerners.
Ibrahim begins by elucidating the disturbing conceptual core of Islam and its
seventh-century Arab prophet, Muhammad. “The appeal of Muhammad’s message lay in
its compatibility with the tribal mores of his society,” Ibrahim notes.
For seventh-century Arabs – and later tribal peoples, chiefly Turks and Tatars,
who also found natural appeal in Islam – the tribe was what humanity is to
modern people: to be part of it was to be treated humanely; to be outside of it
was to be treated inhumanely.
Accordingly, Islam “deified tribalism, causing it to outlive its setting and
spill into the modern era.” Islamic doctrines like al-wala’ wa al-bara’
(“loyalty and enmity”) created an umma faith community or “‘Super Tribe’ that
transcends racial, national, and linguistic barriers.” Not surprisingly, the
Arabic umma “is etymologically related to ‘mother’ (umm) – to one’s closest
kin.”
Ibrahim “records a variety of Muslims across time and space behaving exactly
like the Islamic State and for the same reasons” – namely, Islam’s promotion of
warfare against non-Muslims. Islam’s deity “incites his followers to war on the
promise of booty, both animate and inanimate – so much so that an entire sura,
or chapter of the Koran, ‘al-Anfal,’ is named after and dedicated to the spoils
of war.” Jihadists following Islamic canons thus “‘use’ or ‘loan’ their lives as
part of a ‘bargain’ or ‘transaction’ – whereby Allah forgives all sins and
showers them with celestial delights.”
Ibrahim examines how Islamic afterlife doctrines beckon the faith’s battlefield
martyrs. Islam’s celestial pleasures include houris or “supernatural, celestial
women … created by Allah for the express purpose of gratifying his favorites in
perpetuity.” “That Islamic scriptures portray paradise in decidedly carnal
terms” reflects the “primitivism of Muhammad’s society.”
As Ibrahim notes, being on jihad’s receiving end was hardly divine. Khalid bin
al-Walid, the “Sword of Allah” from Islam’s founding seventh-century epoch,
“looms large in the Arab histories of the early Muslim conquests and is still
seen today as the jihadi par excellence.” Yet Islamic histories record that
jihadists like him “were little more than mass-killing psychotics and rapists.”
Similarly, Ibrahim observes that Ottoman sultan Bayezid I (reigned 1389-1402),
“like many other Muslim leaders before and after him, was at once pious and
depraved, with no apparent conflict between the twain.” This devout depravity
includes the various forms of slavery that have existed throughout Islamic
history like the Ottoman devshirme. Ibrahim quotes one modern historian to the
effect that “jihad looks uncomfortably like a giant slave trade.'”
Non-Muslims will find baffling Ibrahim’s observation that Islamic doctrines
claimed to sanctify imperialistic horror as holy:
In Arabic and other Muslim languages, the historic Islamic conquests are never
referred to as ‘conquests’ but rather as futuh – ‘openings’ for the light of
Islam to enter[.] … [E]very land ever invaded and/or seized by Muslims was done
‘altruistically’ to bring Islam to wayward infidels.
Such “altruism” devastated historic Christendom, Ibrahim notes. What people
today call the “West” in Europe “is actually the westernmost remnant of what was
a much more extensive civilizational block that Islam permanently severed.” Due
to Islamic conquests spreading out from the Arabian Peninsula following
Muhammad’s death in 632, by 700:
… all ancient Christian lands between Greater Syria to the east and Mauretania
(Morocco) to the west – approximately 3,700 miles – were forever conquered by
Islam. Put differently, two-thirds (or 65 percent) of Christendom’s original
territory – including three of the five most important centers of Christianity –
Jerusalem, Antioch, and Alexandria – were permanently swallowed up by Islam and
thoroughly Arabized.
Ibrahim highlights Islamic depredation of the Mediterranean, which “for
centuries had been the world’s greatest economic highway uniting East and West,
first in the classical civilization of Rome, and then in Christendom.”
Subsequently this “Muslim Lake” became the “hunting ground for pirates and
slavers.” Particularly “[a]fter the “conquest of Egypt, the importation of
papyrus into Europe terminated almost overnight, causing literacy rates to drop
back to their levels in pre-Roman times.”
Contrary to “widespread and entrenched myths concerning the purported tolerance
and enlightenment” in places like Islamic Spain, Ibrahim documents longstanding
Christian resistance to Islamic aggression. He dispenses with the “distorted and
demonized version of” the Crusades, which responded to Islamic conquest of, and
oppression in, the Holy Land. “Despite popular depictions of crusaders as
prototypical European imperialists cynically exploiting faith, recent
scholarship has proven the opposite,” he notes.
“Great lords of vast estates,” Ibrahim observes, “parted with their wealth and
possessions upon taking the cross” as Crusaders. This sacrifice reflects an
inconvenient truth for politically correct pieties:
Shocking as it may seem, love – not of the modern, sentimental variety, but a
medieval, muscular one, characterized by Christian altruism, agape – was the
primary driving force behind the crusades.
Ibrahim is not shy about sacrificing progressive sacred cows about Islam. He
particularly notes that violent and vice-filled Islamic biographies of Muhammad
have “especially scandalized Christians” historically. “Indeed, for people who
find any criticism of Islam ‘Islamophobic,’ the sheer amount and vitriolic
content of more than a millennium of Western writings on Muhammad may beggar
belief.”
Ibrahim warns that his research presents no mere academic discussion or ancient
history. Modern Muslim men assaulting Western women in Europe and elsewhere
often “are drawing on a long tradition of seeing pale infidels as the epitome of
promiscuity.” In sum:
Muslims still venerate their heritage and religion – which commands jihad
against infidels – whereas the West has learned to despise its heritage and
religion, causing it to become an unwitting ally of the jihad.
Against such induced historical amnesia Ibrahim performs a valuable service.
Contrary to postmodern trends in Western society, Muslim behavior shows that not
all believe that God is dead, history has ended, and everything is relative.
Christians, with their long histories of fighting against, and suffering under,
Islam should be at the forefront of offering critical, loving truths about this
faith.
How to Work Your Way Up From the Bottom
Barry Ritholtz/Asharq Al Awsat/November 29/18
Ralph Scamardella, this week’s guest on Masters in Business, began at the bottom
of the restaurant industry, washing dishes. He persisted, working his way up to
assistant chef to head chef. He cooked at legendary venues like the Plaza
Hotel’s French restaurant and at Polo under superchef Daniel Boulud. But his
focus was on the business side of what’s known in the industry as the back of
the house. He now is head chef and partner at Tao Group, one of the biggest
fine-dining restaurant outfits in the country. According to industry trade
publication Restaurant Business, Tao Group has seven restaurants ranked in the
top 100 in terms of revenue, including No. 1 Tao Asian Bistro in Las Vegas
($42.5 million), plus two others in the top 10, including Tao Downtown in New
York (No. 3 at $33.4 million) and Lavo New York (No. 7 with $26.8 million).
Every great chef has to not only be a very good cook, but also understand
equipment, personnel management, budgeting and costs, logistics, hospitality and
more. It’s much more complex than most people realize. More important than being
a great cook is having an excellent eye for spotting talent.
Switzerland: "Creeping EU Accession"
Soeren Kern/Gatestone InstituteéNovember 29/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13359/switzerland-eu-accession
The EU has now increased the pressure by resorting to blackmail:
Brussels is making its recognition of Switzerland's SIX Swiss Exchange, the
fourth-largest stock market in Europe, contingent on Swiss acceptance of the
framework agreement.
The measure was opposed by a coalition of Swiss business groups, which
convincingly argued that it was a question of economics and access to
international markets for the export-dependent country. "Ultimately, it is about
maintaining prosperity in Switzerland and keeping the companies and jobs here,"
said Monika Rühl, director of the business group Economiesuisse.
"The SVP rejects a one-sided submission to EU institutions, aimed at
establishing an institutional connection of Switzerland to the EU apparatus,
with a dynamic EU legal takeover and, ultimately, the subordination of
Switzerland to the EU Court of Justice. A dynamic adoption of EU law would be
another massive erosion of our direct democracy." — Swiss People's Party.
Swiss voters have resoundingly rejected a referendum calling for the Swiss
Constitution to take precedence over international treaties and law.
Two-thirds (66.2%) of voters in the November 25 referendum opposed the
"self-determination" initiative, put forward by the eurosceptic Swiss People's
Party (Schweizerische Volkspartei, SVP), the largest party in the Swiss
parliament.
SVP leaders had argued that the new law was necessary to safeguard national
sovereignty from further encroachment by supranational organizations such as the
European Union and the United Nations.
The Swiss government countered that the proposal would undermine Switzerland's
economic stability as it would require Bern to amend existing bilateral
agreements with the EU, the country's largest trade partner, to bring them into
compliance with the Swiss Constitution.
The proposal's defeat comes ahead of pending decisions by the Swiss government
over whether to sign a wide-ranging EU "framework agreement," and a
controversial UN "migration pact."
Switzerland is not a member of the EU, but has gained access to the European
single market by signing a series of bilateral agreements in which Switzerland
has given away large slices of its national sovereignty, including control over
boundaries and immigration. In all, Switzerland has more than 120 bilateral
agreements that govern its relations with the European Union.
The EU is now pressing Switzerland to sign a comprehensive "framework agreement"
that would require Bern to cede even more sovereignty to Brussels. The EU, for
instance, wants Switzerland to subject itself to the jurisdiction of the
European Court of Justice (ECJ). If Switzerland complies with the demand, the
ECJ would outrank the Swiss Supreme Court as the final arbiter of legal disputes
in the country.
The EU has now increased the pressure by resorting to blackmail: Brussels is
making its continued recognition of Switzerland's SIX Swiss Exchange, the
fourth-largest stock market in Europe, contingent on Swiss acceptance of the
framework agreement. Switzerland's current stock exchange agreement with the EU
expires at the end of December; failure to renew it would deprive the Swiss
exchange of EU-based business that generates more than half its volume.
Swiss leaders have said they doubt that any proposed treaty could win the
backing of parliament or voters in a referendum under the Swiss system of direct
democracy.
Bloomberg News encapsulated the dilemma facing Switzerland:
"The Swiss government now faces the prospect of choosing between two evils:
agree to the EU framework deal only to have it torpedoed by voters in a
referendum, or renege on the treaty and risk reprisals from Brussels that hurt
the economy."
A key point of contention in Swiss-EU relations revolves around a long-running
dispute over the EU's "Agreement on the Free Movement of Persons." The
agreement, which Switzerland signed in June 1999, allows EU citizens to live and
work in Switzerland, and vice versa. The original agreement applied to 15 EU
member states, but with the enlargement of the European Union in 2004, 2007 and
2013, the agreement now applies to 28 EU member states, including the poorer
countries in Eastern Europe.
In an effort to curb the increasing amount of crime associated with immigration,
Swiss voters in November 2010 approved a referendum to deport foreigners who
commit serious crimes in Switzerland.
The EU warned that deporting EU citizens for any reason would be a violation of
Switzerland's treaty obligations regarding the free movement of persons. The
Swiss parliament, seeking to avoid economic reprisals, eventually passed a
watered-down law aimed at reconciling the will of Swiss voters with
Switzerland's obligations under EU law.
SVP MP Adrian Amstutz argued that in its zeal to please the EU, the Swiss
parliament's new deportation law would prove to be worthless in practice:
"According to the parliament's implementation of the law for the deportation
initiative, courts would have the possibility to put aside a deportation — even
in the case of the most serious offenses — via the hardship clause. Current
legal practices show that judges would frequently make use of this option. As a
consequence, hardly any foreign criminals would be deported."
In February 2014, Swiss voters approved a referendum to reintroduce quotas for
immigration from EU countries. Proponents of the quotas argued that foreign
workers were driving down wages and increasing demand for housing, health,
education and transport.
The EU warned that any restrictions on access to the Swiss labor market would
violate the agreement on the freedom of movement of persons, and threatened
"serious consequences." The Swiss parliament again yielded to EU pressure, this
time by passing watered-down restrictions on immigration.
Another flashpoint in bilateral relations involves the European Court of Human
Rights (ECHR). In November 2014, the ECHR prohibited Switzerland from sending
Afghan asylum seekers back to Italy. Although Italian authorities had agreed to
take them back, the ECHR ruled that doing so would violate Article 3 of the
European Convention on Human Rights (Prohibition of Inhuman and Degrading
Treatments) because of overcrowding and poor conditions at Italian asylum
facilities.
SVP leader Christoph Blocher criticized the ECHR for ignoring the principle of
subsidiarity, which holds that decisions should be taken, if possible, at the
local level:
"Don't we trust federal judges to decide on human rights issues? We had those
principles written into our constitution well before the ECHR. The problem with
the convention is that it decides things from far away. The consequences, what
happens next, don't concern the judges."
Martin Schubarth, a former Swiss federal judge, echoed those concerns:
"It is unacceptable that a small panel of [ECHR] judges, who generally lack the
expert knowledge about the [Swiss] legislative authority, handle matters in an
undemocratic way instead of the [Swiss] authority itself."
In February 2018, Swiss public television SRF reported that the European
Commission had presented the Swiss government with a 19-page "sin list" of Swiss
violations of EU law.
Switzerland's ongoing disputes with the EU, and the concomitant erosion of Swiss
sovereignty, prompted the SVP to sponsor the referendum to ensure the precedence
of Swiss law.
The sponsor of the initiative, SVP MP Hans-Ueli Vogt, expressed surprise at the
scale of the defeat — a rare setback for the SVP, one of the most successful
anti-EU parties in Europe — but said he would continue to fight against
"creeping EU accession."
The measure was opposed by a coalition of Swiss business groups, which
convincingly argued that the referendum was a question of economics and access
to international markets for the export-dependent country. "Ultimately, it is
about maintaining prosperity in Switzerland and keeping the companies and jobs
here," said Monika Rühl, director of the business group Economiesuisse.
Some Swiss newspapers described result of the referendum as a "fiasco" and a
"serious setback" for the SVP. Others were more circumspect. "The object of the
initiative was very legitimate: it was about national sovereignty and its
relationship with international law in a globalized world," noted La Liberté, a
paper based in Fribourg. The Geneva-based L'Express added:
"The SVP suffered a defeat because it failed to mobilize and convince beyond its
base. The voters wanted a pragmatic assessment between international law and
national law. Depending on the situation, one or the other should apply. The
definitive prevalence of one over the other, on the other hand, is not shared by
the majority."
La Tribune de Genève wrote: "What the Swiss have supported this Sunday is a
pragmatic, negotiated, piecemeal approach to our national interests. Voting is
in no way a declaration of love to a European Union in crisis."
The Swiss People's Party said that despite the loss, the referendum "brought a
welcome and suppressed debate about the relationship between Swiss law and
international law and the importance of direct democracy." The SVP added that
its fight for Swiss self-determination would continue:
"First of all, the SVP demands that Switzerland not join the UN migration pact.
We are counting on the pledges of the representatives of the other parties, that
at the very least it is presented to the parliament with the aim of holding a
referendum on the matter, so that Swiss voters can have their say about such a
far-reaching pact.
"Secondly, the SVP rejects a one-sided submission to EU institutions, aimed at
establishing an institutional connection of Switzerland to the EU apparatus,
with a dynamic EU legal takeover and, ultimately, the subordination of
Switzerland to the EU Court of Justice. A dynamic adoption of EU law would be
another massive erosion of our direct democracy."
*Soeren Kern is a Senior Fellow at the New York-based Gatestone Institute.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
How Significant Will Be Mohammed bin Salman’s Presence at the G20 Meeting in
Argentina?
Micheal Young/Carnegie/November 29/18
A regular survey of experts on matters relating to Middle Eastern and North
African politics and security.
Madawi Al Rasheed | Visiting professor at the Middle East Center, London School
of Economics
Mohammed bin Salman’s presence at the G20 meeting in Argentina will add insult
to injury. With everything pointing to his central role in the murder of
journalist Jamal Khashoggi, his appearance will send a clear message to a world
awaiting real justice. It will be interpreted as reassurance by Saudi Arabia’s
close economic and political partners that the regime in general and Mohammed
bin Salman in particular will remain unscathed by a crisis of a global
magnitude.
His appearance will tarnish all states present at the meeting and implicate them
in overlooking a serious breach of diplomatic norms and human rights. It will
also confirm the crown prince’s impunity, which can only empower him to continue
silencing dissent and even murdering critics abroad. It also means that claims
by the world’s major economic players that they are pursuing a moral and ethical
foreign policy are empty, and that they are willing to engage in a travesty
reflecting a serious degeneration into dangerous pragmatism.
Martin Jay | Beirut-based journalist, winner of the United Nations
Correspondents’ Association’s Elizabeth Neuffer Memorial Prize in 2016
The presence of Mohammed bin Salman in Argentina will be significant in that it
will show that he is out of the woods in terms of how far the liberal, left-wing
U.S. media are prepared to go in achieving their goal, which is to remove him as
Saudi crown prince. For most of the world, the murder of Jamal Khashoggi last
October is old news. It’s only still a subject of naive and delusional opinion
pieces from, say, the Washington Post, as the United States—along with the
United Kingdom, France, and Germany—are major arms suppliers to Saudi Arabia. So
there is a pretext for the opprobrium, no matter how fatuous it may be given
that these countries more or less invented illegal rendition themselves. The
presence of Mohammed bin Salman in Argentina will be a signal to the world that
the House of Saud has invested a lot in the young crown prince and that he is
destined to be the next king and protect its legacy and future.
Simon Henderson | Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and
Energy Policy at the Washington Institute
For Middle East watchers, the presence of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
at the G20 summit will be very significant for a variety of reasons, some
apparently trivial but many, under the current circumstances, important.
At the very least, it will show he feels secure that there will be no family
putsch against him in his absence. If precedent is followed, he will be wearing
traditional Arab robes rather than a Western business suit. But with whom will
he have one-on-one meetings and who will seem to be wanting to keep a distance
from him? Where will he stand in the official photograph and who will stand near
him?
I asked a veteran former diplomat how officials will cope with the challenge.
His response was short and wonderfully diplomatic: “Careful placement.” For
British, French, German, European Union, and Turkish representatives, it will be
intriguing to observe the solutions found.
For non-Middle East watchers, the prince’s presence is of much less
significance. Also, other than the opportunity of appearing on the world stage,
there is no particular need for Mohammed bin Salman to turn up. Indeed, at the
G20 summit in Hamburg in 2017 the kingdom was represented by its former finance
minister, Ibrahim al-Assaf, a minister of state.
Yasmine Farouk | Visiting scholar in the Carnegie Middle East Program
It will be significant, as it will represent Mohammed bin Salman’s first
international test since the killing of Jamal Khashoggi. The crown prince has
doubled down on his public appearances lately, whether at home or in the Arab
world, but only with friendly leaders whose countries showed public support in
the aftermath of the killing. The setting will be radically different during the
G20 summit, beginning with the presence in Buenos Aires of the Turkish
president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. Mohammed bin Salman will have three aims to
further consolidate his position. First, to refute international media reports
about the uncertainty of his future as crown prince. Second, to meet world
leaders who couldn’t or wouldn’t host him in their own capitals. And third, to
complement his local media campaign with pictures confirming his and Saudi
Arabia’s triumph over the “international conspiracy” that followed Khashoggi’s
killing.
The Dire Consequences of Rewriting Western-Muslim History
Raymond Ibrahim/The Jerusalem Post/November 30/18
https://www.meforum.org/articles/2018/the-dire-consequences-of-rewriting-western-muslim
How can a fundamentally weak Muslim world be a threat to an economically and
militarily superior West?
One of the least explored answers to this conundrum revolves around an
antithesis – namely, how the West portrays Islam today, compared to its actual
historic experiences with Islam.
In fact, from Islam’s first contact with Western civilization and for more than
a millennium thereafter, Muslims behaved not unlike the Islamic State and on the
same conviction: that Islam commands war on – and the enslavement or slaughter
of – non-Muslims.
During this perennial jihad that began in the seventh century, almost
three-quarters of Christendom’s original territory – including all of North
Africa, Egypt, Greater Syria and Anatolia – was permanently swallowed up by
Islam.
European nations and territories that were attacked and/or came under Muslim
occupation (sometimes for centuries) include: Portugal, Spain, France, Italy,
Iceland, Denmark, England, Sicily, Switzerland, Austria, Hungary, Greece,
Russia, Poland, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Lithuania, Romania, Albania, Serbia, Armenia,
Georgia, Crete, Cyprus, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Macedonia, Belarus, Malta and
Sardinia.
Between the 15th and 18th centuries alone, approximately five million Europeans
were abducted and enslaved in the name of jihad. (Exactly how many were
kidnapped during the great Arab slave raids on Europe between the poorly
documented eighth and 11th centuries is unknown.)
The largest Islamic army ever to invade European territory – some 200,000
martyrdom-seeking jihadis – came as late as 1683 to conquer Vienna but failed.
But even as the Ottoman Empire was beginning its slow retreat from eastern
Europe, the Muslim slavers of the so-called Barbary States of North Africa
wreaked havoc all along the coasts of Europe – reaching even Iceland. The United
States of America’s first war – which it fought before it could even elect its
first president – was against these Islamic slavers. When Thomas Jefferson and
John Adams asked Barbary’s ambassador why his countrymen were enslaving American
sailors, the “ambassador answered us that it was founded on the laws of their
Prophet, that it was written in their Koran, that... it was their right and duty
to make war upon them [non-Muslims] wherever they could be found, and to make
slaves of all they could take as prisoners...”
In short, for well over a millennium – punctuated by a Crusader-rebuttal about
which the modern West is obsessed – Islam posed an existential threat to Western
civilization (as copiously documented in my new book, Sword and Scimitar:
Fourteen Centuries of War between Islam and the West).
After writing, “For almost a thousand years, from the first Moorish landing in
Spain [711] to the second Turkish siege of Vienna [1683], Europe was under
constant threat from Islam,” Bernard Lewis elaborates: “All but the easternmost
provinces of the Islamic realm had been taken from Christian rulers... North
Africa, Egypt, Syria, even Persian-ruled Iraq, had been Christian countries, in
which Christianity was older and more deeply rooted than in most of Europe.
Their loss was sorely felt and heightened the fear that a similar fate was in
store for Europe,” as wave after wave of Islamic attacks crashed against the
continent.
Yet no sooner did Europe neutralize Islam that it forgot all about its ancient
antagonist. As historian Hilaire Belloc (b. 1870) observed during the peak of
Western might and Muslim weakness:
“Millions of modern people of the white civilization – that is, the civilization
of Europe and America – have forgotten all about Islam. They have never come in
contact with it. They take for granted that it is decaying, and that, anyway, it
is just a foreign religion which will not concern them. It is, as a fact, the
most formidable and persistent enemy which our civilization has had, and may at
any moment become as large a menace in the future as it has been in the past.”
But worse than just “forgetting,” the West has rewritten history to fit its
postmodern paradigms. Today, whether as taught in high school or college,
whether as portrayed by Hollywood or the news media, the predominant historic
narrative is that Muslims are the historic victims of intolerant Western
Christians (as I was once informed during a televised interview).
Even otherwise objective history books contribute to this distorted thinking.
They talk of “Arab,” “Moorish,” “Ottoman,” or “Tatar” – rarely Islamic –
invasions, without mentioning that the selfsame rationale – jihad – impelled
those otherwise diverse peoples to assault the West.
But all this is history, it might be argued. Why rehash it? Why not let it be
and move on, begin a new chapter of mutual tolerance and respect, even if
history must be “touched up” a bit?
This would be a somewhat plausible position if not for the fact that, all around
the globe, many Muslims are still exhibiting the same imperial impulse and
intolerant supremacism of their forbears (reportedly 215 million Christians are
currently experiencing “high levels of persecution,” mostly in the Muslim world;
others are experiencing a genocide in the name of jihad.)
None of this should be surprising: in classrooms all across the Islamic world,
Muslim children are taught to glorify the jihadi conquests of yore – while
despising infidels. Thus, while the progressive West demonizes
European/Christian history – when I was in elementary school, Christopher
Columbus was a hero, when I reached college, he became a villain – Mehmet the
Conqueror, a pedophile whose atrocities against eastern Europe make the Islamic
State appear tame, is praised every year in “secular” Turkey on the anniversary
of the savage sack Constantinople.
It is often said that those who ignore history are destined to repeat it. What
does one say of those who rewrite history in a way that demonizes their
ancestors while whitewashing the crimes of their persecutors?
The result is before us. The history recounted in Sword and Scimitar is not
repeating itself; sword waving Muslims are not forcing their way into Europe.
Rather, various Western European nations are opening their doors to and lying
prostrate before Islamic aggression. In Germany and the United Kingdom, crime
and rape have soared in direct proportion to the number of Muslim refugees
accepted. Sweden alone – where rape has increased by 1,472% since that country
embraced “multiculturalism” – is reportedly on the verge of collapse.
In the future (whatever one there may be) the histories written about our times
will likely stress how our era, ironically called the “information age,” was not
an age when people were so well informed, but rather an age when disinformation
was so widespread and unquestioned that generations of people lived in bubbles
of alternate realities – until they were finally popped.
Raymond Ibrahim, author of Sword and Scimitar: Fourteen Centuries of War between
Islam and the West, is the Judith Rosen Friedman fellow at the Middle East
Forum.
FDA Approves Ground breaking New Cancer Drug
NBC News/Thursday 29th November 2018
The Food and Drug Administration has approved a new cancer drug that is the
first to be designed from the start to fight a specific genetic mutation, not a
traditional cancer type. The new drug, named Vitrakvi, is not approved to fight
breast cancer or lung cancer or colon cancer. Instead, it’s designed and
approved to treat cancers that arise anywhere in the body that carry a certain
genetic characteristic.
“Traditionally in cancer therapy, we've treated patients based on where their
cancer came from, what part of the body. What makes Vitrakvi unique is that it
works regardless of where the cancer came from as long as it has the specific
mutation,” said Dr. David Hyman, chief of early drug development at Memorial
Sloan Kettering Cancer Center in New York.
While several drugs are approved to treat a variety of different cancers based
on genetic mutations, Vitrakvi, known generically as larotrectinib, is the first
that is approved from the beginning to treat cancers solely based on the
mutation. “Today’s approval marks another step in an important shift toward
treating cancers based on their tumor genetics rather than their site of origin
in the body,” FDA Commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb said in a statement.
“We now have the ability to make sure that the right patients get the right
treatment at the right time. This type of drug development program, which
enrolled patients with different tumors but a common gene mutation, wouldn’t
have been possible a decade ago because we knew a lot less about such cancer
mutations.”Keytruda was the first example of a drug approved to treat a genetic
mutation. Originally FDA approved in 2014 to treat melanoma that had spread, the
makers of Keytruda showed it could treat other tumor types, if they had the same
mutation that drives some cases of melanoma. Now it’s used against a range of
tumors, including breast cancer.
Vitrakvi treats a different genetic mutation involving genes called NTRK genes.
Rarely, they can fuse together and cause the out-of-control growth that results
in tumors.
“Prior to today’s approval, there had been no treatment for cancers that
frequently express this mutation, like mammary analogue secretory carcinoma,
cellular or mixed congenital mesoblastic nephroma and infantile fibrosarcoma,”
the FDA said.
Anna Plaza says her daughter, Rihanna, is living proof of how well the drug can
work if given to the right patient. When Rihanna was born in Bridgeport,
Connecticut last year, she had an enormous mass on her arm. “They didn't know
what was wrong. They just knew it was a mass and they covered it up with a
Pamper and we needed to get transferred to another hospital because nobody knew
what to do with us,” Plaza told NBC News.
“I was like, ‘oh my God, what am I going to do? What are we going to do?" she
added. "It was horrible."Biopsies showed Rihanna had a rare tumor known as
infantile fibrosarcoma, a malignant soft tissue tumor typically found in
children under one year of age.
Chemotherapy did little to help the tiny baby. The family eventually was
referred to the clinical trials being done to test the drug at Memorial Sloan
Kettering. “It was a syrup. She would take it once in the morning, once at
night.” Surprisingly, the baby liked it. Three days later, the tumor was already
shrinking. “When we went back to Memorial Sloan Kettering, they were even more
shocked,” said Anna Plaza’s husband Enrique. “They were like ‘Whoa, we've never
seen this process go fast. We've seen it in months, but so fast, within a
week?’” he added. “We were happy because they didn't have to cut her arm off.”
Surgeons could much more easily remove the tumor afterwards. "If we hadn't
shrunk it first, she could had ended up with a forearm and a hand that didn't
work the way they should for the rest of her life," said Dr. Todd Heaton, a
pediatric oncologist who helped treat her. Rihanna still goes for follow-up
treatments and, as with so many targeted cancer therapies, only a small
percentage of cancer patients are helped. “For patients that have this mutation
— it is a revolution for these patients,” Hyman said.
“But what we really have recognized about cancer is that it's not a
one-size-fits-all approach, and we need to apply the best therapy for every
patient.”
Another roadblock — health insurance companies don't always pay for the genetic
tests needed to guide doctors to the targeted drugs. Hyman hopes having a
specific FDA approval can help change that. And these drugs are not cheap.
Bayer, which partners with the company that makes Vitrakvi, says it will cost
$393,600 a year, while the pediatric syrup formulation will cost $11,000 a
month.
The secret behind attacks on Washington and Riyadh
Mamdouh AlMuhaini/Al Arabiya/November 29/19
Well-known American journalist Leon Wieseltier wrote articles criticizing Obama
administration’s stance on the Syrian war in The New Republic magazine. There
were horrific scenes of children’s bodies while the superpower kept silent.
Back then, the press did not push Obama to take a more decisive position – not
to topple Assad but to at least intimidate him and put an end to the increasing
number of those killed every day.
It actually supported him and agreed with him on the idea that entering Syria
means not exiting it, i.e. a new Iraq. Neither the president nor the press want
any American soldier to be killed for this purpose. Back then, The New York
Review of Books published a headline that resembled a warning shot to President
Obama. It read: “Stay Out of Syria!”Wieseltier, who is angry and is frustrated
by his colleagues’ and friends’ position, wrote in an article: “The world does
not end in Iraq. The left looks away from human suffering.”Few months later,
Obama decided to strike Assad after he went too far but what’s strange is that
the press, in addition to other reasons, discouraged him.
A prominent author commented on this in the Washington Post saying that Obama’s
main strategy is not to intervene and he must commit to it no matter the
circumstances! President Obama backed down on his stance and the rest of the
story is known.
We have witnessed a similar situation with Iran. When the Green Movement
erupted, President Obama kept silent and the supporting press did not mind this.
It supported his opinion, which meant that any word that comes out of his mouth
will be employed in favor of the regime against the protestors.
The Khashoggi case is being used to weaken the strongest Saudi stance that
confronts Iranian and Brotherhood projects in the region and supports the
project of stability and moderation
Wrong tactic
It proved to be wrong tactic as Tehran viewed this as a sign to go on without
being punished. Hence it crushed the revolution and shed innocent blood. Many
were killed and many others were detained and tortured including western and
American journalists who were later used for bargaining.
Despite the ongoing Iranian violations in and outside the country, and the
regime conniving with the Syrian regime to commit horrific massacres, no angry
campaigns were carried out against the regime’s figureheads, such as Rouhani and
Zarif. There was instead media celebration after the famous phone call Obama
made to Rouhani when he was in New York on his way to the airport. The Iranian
deal was signed two years later and a bigger celebration ensued.
Famous talk shows hosted important members in the Iranian lobby, and the purpose
was clear: Rehabilitate the regime and cleanse it from the blood of thousands of
the Iranians and non-Iranians.
The serious press was not morally provoked but the opposite happened as it
welcomed the decision and viewed it as a lesson in political realism. An anchor
who is mesmerized by Obama said: He killed Bin Laden and sealed a deal with the
Iranians; this is not America’s president but Superman!
In these exact same hours, the Iranians and Hezbollah’s militias were finishing
off Syrian children and burying them under the rubble. The tragic situation
continued but the press remained busy with the “historic achievement” and
attacked whoever criticized it.
All this changed with the murder of one person named Jamal Khashoggi. The Saudi
government announced the details of the crime, arrested the culprits and put
them on trial. It is an isolated crime unprecedented in Saudi history and its
culprits are on trial.
However, we witnessed major campaigns against Riyadh – campaigns we have never
witnessed before. They came from the same parties, which viewed silence as some
sort of wisdom despite the horrific massacres and the large number of those
killed and sealed deals with those who committed these crimes without arresting
any of those involved in them.
Flagrant contradiction
What’s with this flagrant contradiction in stances? A part of the answer to this
question was noted by US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo who wrote in an article
published on Tuesday in the Wall Street Journal: “Is it any coincidence that the
people using the Khashoggi murder as a cudgel against President Trump’s Saudi
Arabia policy are the same people who supported Barack Obama’s rapprochement
with Iran — a regime that has killed thousands worldwide, including hundreds of
Americans, and brutalizes its own people?”
“Where was this echo chamber, where were these avatars of human rights, when Mr.
Obama gave the mullahs pallets of cash to carry out their work as the world’s
largest state sponsor of terrorism?,” he wrote. This answer explains the reason
behind the objections and the main campaign on the American president and the
Saudi crown prince. It’s an ideological and political dispute in which
everything, Khashoggi, the Russian collusion, Yemen’s war and the nuclear deal,
is being employed to attack Trump’s Washington and Riyadh.
The Khashoggi case is being used to weaken the strongest Saudi stance that
confronts Iranian and Brotherhood projects in the region and supports the
project of stability and moderation, as Pompeo noted in his article. It is also
through this same prism that we can understand the attack on Trump via the
accusation of collusion with Russia as the aim is to exhaust him on the domestic
front and break up his alliances abroad. When Trump stood next to Putin in
Helsinki in a press conference, the former CIA chief during Obama’s term slammed
him and accused him of treason! They are making accusations without new evidence
and are only concerned with weaving a story and nurturing it with rumors and
unsubstantiated details regardless of any truth; in other words, fake news.
These are the most common and effective methods of biased leftist organizations,
activists and media outlets. This explains the secret of these parties’
transformation into platforms, which attack Riyadh and the Trump administration
and which are made up of Obama’s supporters and sympathizers with Iran and Sunni
and Shiite political Islam groups. And from this, we can understand the reality
of the relentless attacks as we see these desperate and frequent attempts by
those who were silent earlier, exploiting Khashoggi’s blood or the Russian
collusion to make political gains and ideological victories.
Oil price volatility: All eyes on the G20 meeting
Dr. Mohamed A. Ramady/Al Arabiya/November 29/19
The global oil markets have been in a state of shock, with price volatility and
falls of 7-8 percent in one day becoming a new norm and causing a panic on
whether oil prices will fall below another benchmark – the $50 per barrel
levels.
The sharp falls had posted a seventh consecutive weekly loss, amid intensifying
fears of a supply glut even as major producers consider cutting output.
A bit of a bounce back in crude oil prices on Monday and Tuesday after steep
plunges in recent weeks should provide some relief to many oil producers, not
least Saudi Arabia, who are under understandable pressure to prepare a viable
strategy of output cuts to put a floor under oil prices through the turn of the
year and set the stage for a modest rise in prices – and the Kingdom's oil
revenues – next year.
The forthcoming G20 meeting of leading world economies in Argentina at the end
of November will provide an indication on whether the bull or bear market
traders will decide the next stages of oil price benchmarks, with costly outcome
to those who make the wrong bet.
In simple terms, the key parameters remain oil supply, demand and short-term geo
political shocks in that order to determine oil prices. Oil supply, led by US
producers, is growing faster than demand and to prevent a build-up of unused
fuel such as the one that emerged in 2015, the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries is expected to start trimming output after a meeting on Dec.
6.
That is on the supply side. On the demand side matters have become less certain.
A trade war between the world’s two biggest economies and oil consumers, the
United States and China, has weighed upon the market.
This is the dilemma that Saudi Arabia, the largest OPEC producer finds itself in
and when it has to make some decisions to create some stability in world oil
prices. A probable first phase of the Kingdom’s oil strategy will play out at
the G20 meeting that starts this Friday.
Iran stands to lose out and has been calling for the abolition of the existing
two monitoring committees on the ground that they are dominated by countries
that adopt policies against its interests
Two-fold objective
And it is notable that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is going to Buenos
Aires and bringing energy minister Khaled al-Falih with him. The objective is
twofold: to strike an understanding with Russian President Vladimir Putin on
committing Russia to at least token cuts in crude output at the December 6
OPEC-plus meeting, and; from President Trump, a reprieve from threatening tweets
on the ground that Saudi Arabia has done its utmost to increase production when
called upon in face of outages from Iran, Libya , Venezuela and others and to
plan to cut back when prices are hovering at dangerously lower levels that
threaten the on-going economic transformation agendas of key oil producers.
The rise and subsequent fall in oil prices this year has been almost entirely
driven by production decisions in Saudi Arabia, Russia and the USA and their
policies towards managing the impact of renewed sanctions on Iran. According to
BP data, the troika accounted for 36 million barrels per day of crude and
condensates production in 2017 (39 percent of the global total) compared with
just 27 million bpd from the rest of OPEC (30 percent of the global total).
But there are divergent interests within this troika as production has surged
even further this year as US shale firms ramped up output in response to higher
prices, while Russia and Saudi Arabia relaxed production curbs put in place at
the end of 2016.
With the way cleared at the G20 meeting, a second stage of the Saudi oil
strategy will be a credible headline of output cuts at the crucial OPEC meeting
in Vienna on December 6 with the Kingdom acutely aware it will have to deliver
the bulk of the cuts, and possibly increase the 500,000 bpd in cuts already
indicated for December to as much as 750,000 in order to have a more meaningful
price impact. With an additional 250,000 to 350,000 bpd in cuts from Kuwait and
the United Arab Emirates, OPEC would be within range of a targeted minimum of
1.2 million bpd in cuts starting in January. Will this be enough to stop the
slide in oil prices?
This is where the Kingdom’s undoubted supremacy as the world’s oil central
banker comes into play and, in principle, there could be additional potential
cuts in output in mind by February or March after they see how oil prices
respond to the OPEC cuts and the impact of the Iranian sanctions, any signs of a
truce in the US-China trade war spat as well as a better sense of global demand
going into the seasonal build up in the second quarter.
The bet, for now is that further cuts that would bring them to or just below the
10 million bpd mark in output may not be needed if prices stabilize by then and
even begin a modest rise.
Flexible monitoring
The setting up of a more flexible monitoring committee with a new secretariat in
Vienna headed by Russia to recommend production cuts or increases on a consensus
basis from January will provide Saudi Arabia with the necessary cover to take
action quickly instead of waiting for a unanimous OPEC ministerial decision.
In this new system, the locus of decision-making has shifted from the
twice-yearly OPEC conference in Vienna to the periodic meetings of the JMMC and
bilateral briefings among ministers.
Iran stands to lose out and has been calling for the abolition of the existing
two monitoring committees on the ground that they are dominated by countries
that adopt policies against its interests. And are not aboding by OPEC unanimous
decisions. The inclusion of Russia as a key energy player with OPEC has been a
decisive one.
In this context, it is not surprising that the distinction between OPEC and
non-OPEC members has become increasingly blurred and decision-making shifted
outside the organization. Discussion and analysis have moved away from OPEC’s
twice-yearly ministerial conference to the Joint Ministerial Monitoring
Committee (JMMC), which blends OPEC and non-OPEC members.
The JMMC contains two leading non-OPEC producers (Russia and Oman) and just four
OPEC countries (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Algeria and Venezuela) plus the OPEC
president (currently the United Arab Emirates). Iran’s exclusion from membership
of the JMMC is symptomatic of its marginalization within OPEC and the wider oil
market.
To all intents and purposes, OPEC has been marginalized as a troika of the
United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia takes critical decisions about the oil
market. It is a fact of life and other OPEC members have to learn to live with
it, as production decisions made in the troika tend to determine whether the oil
market will be over- or under-supplied in the short to medium term, while other
OPEC and non-OPEC countries watch from the side-lines.
Or simply align their output policies with those of Saudi Arabia. There are
exceptions such as Libya and more importantly Iraq, which is planning in
increasing its production capacity to 5 million barrels per day – bpd - from
just over 4 million bpd and has been able to increase its output significantly
in 2017/18.
Can Saudi Arabia make the necessary cuts without harming its fiscal position?
The room for the Kingdom’s cuts in output was built into the surge production in
November, which some analysts claim reached as much just shy of 11 million bpd
in November after having reached 10.72 million bpd in October. The November
surge is unsustainable. But coupled to the shifting market sense of lower oil
demand next year -- a forecast shared by the Saudis, which accounts for their
reluctance since summer to increase output to the extent they did -- the higher
output in October and especially in November, no doubt played a contributing
role in pushing crude prices sharply lower.
Another factor was that the Saudi surge was also timed to offset the loss of
Iranian crude exports as the US-orchestrated sanctions were expected to further
erode Iranian crude exports reaching the market. President Trump’s sudden
reversal to allow so many exemptions to the oil sanctions meant the loss of
Iranian crude never materialized, adding to the current oversupply and took both
the Kingdom and the Iranians by surprise as the latter seem to thrive under a
siege economy mentality.
Dramatic collapse
The dramatic price collapse set off the alarm bells, where the hard realization
sank in that they oil producers such as Saudi Arabia would pay in lost revenues
and especially lost standing when they abandoned their own hard-negotiated OPEC
plus Vienna Framework to increase output under pressure from President Trump.
It will not be smooth sailing as few oil producers are willing to agree to
proportioned output cuts, while Moscow, whose participation is considered
essential by the Saudis are maybe still unwilling to give Riyadh a commitment to
output cuts.
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman hopes to change that, at least in terms of
verbal support for output cuts, in his meeting with Putin on the side-lines of
the G20 meeting.
The fear remains that a rhetorical support with promised cuts against “future”
projected output might not be enough and It is uncertain whether the OPEC cuts,
even with the hard barrel cuts by the Kingdom and its Gulf allies, will be
enough to stabilize oil prices at a higher sustained range to seek average crude
prices around a $70 benchmark for next year.
As the balance of power has shifted away from historically important producers
such as Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela, so the focus of decision-making has also
flowed into new channels like the new Russian chaired Vienna based Secretariat.
As power shifts to the troika and its closest allies, the semi annual OPEC
conference and its OPEC/non-OPEC follow-up committees have become a cosmetic
side show rather than where the real decisions are taken, raising some
interesting questions on whether there is any life left in OPEC after all.
Russia continues to show disdain for international law and
diplomatic norms
Dr. Azeem Ibrahim/Al Arabiya/November 29/19
As European leaders were busy discussing the particulars of the Brexit
agreement, the Kremlin decided to use the opportunity to engage in some gunboat
diplomacy and up the ante with Ukraine.
Not satisfied with annexing the Crimea, Putin gambled on shoring up his
declining approval ratings by seizing three Ukrainian naval vassals and blocking
access to the Sea of Azov.
Ukrainian President, Petro Poroshenko, swiftly went to parliament to request
immediate martial law for sixty days, which handed him new emergency powers –
and which may incidentally assist his presidential re-election in March – which
he was expected to lose.
Neither side wishes to revisit the shooting match of 2014 but neither side
wishes to let a political opportunity to grandstand with nationalistic rhetoric
like this pass. The challenge will be for both sides to keep the skirmish
confined to bombast without it escalating into full scale war with global
strategic implications.
While Western leaders are rightly concerned, we must not lose sight of the
background in which these events are happening: after a “hugely successful”
operation in Syria where Russia managed to preserve the Assad regime and
reconfirm the status of Russia a serious global power, an embolden Kremlin has
concluded that the envelope can be pushed quite far without any meaningful
response from the West. And pushed it must be continuously to incessantly prove
the point.
Challenge will be for both sides to keep skirmish confined to bombast without it
escalating into full scale war with strategic implications
Flexing muscles
And it is not only on the international stage that Putin is flexing his muscles.
At home, journalists and dissidents critical of the Kremlin have an unfortunate
tendency to end up dead – whether within Russia, or indeed on the streets of
foreign cities.
Indeed “something about the climate” in Western countries seems to quite
inhospitable to those Russians fleeing the wrath of Putin or his cronies, for
whatever reason. It is almost as if the forces of nature themselves actively
enforce the omerta underpinning the core of current the Russian state.
But wayward Russians are not the only ones whose life-expectancy is adversely
affected by the Kremlin’s opinions. Nobody should expect to fly over areas where
Russia is “not fighting a war”, and not be blown out of the sky by Russian
rockets fired from Russian territory.
Unless, of course, they are deliberately trying to get themselves blown up by
Russian Buk missiles, to stoke international Russophobic sentiments.
But perhaps the deadliest thing you can do, is be Syrian and need to go the
hospital. If Assad bombs and chemical weapons won’t get you, then “accidental”
Russian aerial bombardment most certainly will. When Libya’s Gaddafi did half of
this stuff, he was shunned by the world and blockaded into oblivion. When Putin
does this stuff, it is a Russophobic conspiracy by the very Western leaders he
helped elect to power. And aspiring European leaders will stand by him.
Complete disdain
What we have with the current Kremlin government is a long-standing and fast
exacerbating pattern of complete disdain for international laws and diplomatic
norms. In fact, the very point of many of these actions seems to be nothing more
than to test the West’s commitment to those norms, and to undermine them –
perhaps best exemplified by the Skripal poisoning in London.
There is not other discernible reason for why Moscow would risk direct
confrontation with London than to prove that it can flout norms with impunity,
in the expectation that London would be incapable of mounting a meaningful
response.
And so far that gamble has largely paid off: Russia is not substantially worse
off for attempting to assassinate British citizens on British soil, despite all
the international condemnation.
But this needs to stop. We cannot allow Putin to undermine the fabric of our
international order any further. This is a distraction we can do without as we
must face the existential challenges of climate change in the decades to come.
The actions of the Kremlin in Ukraine so far already warrant the kind of blanket
containment imposed on North Korea. The first step is to acknowledge a blatant
reality and categorise the problem appropriately: the current Russian regime is
a terror state.
The next step is to use all available international mechanisms we have used
previously on terror states, to impose appropriate costs on the Kremlin, and to
circumscribe their ability to kill random civilians around the globe with
impunity.
And lastly, we will need to engage with the Russian people and confront them
with this existential question: are you happy being governed by a terrorist,
mafia-style regime?
CIA has no proof against Saudi Crown Prince: US expert
Dalia Aqidi/Al Arabiya/November 29/18
For two years, the US President Donald Trump has been trying to undo several
decisions and agreements made by his predecessor, Barak Obama, that have caused
a lot of concern and distress in the Gulf region.
The Obama Administration was convinced that Iran will be the US peace partner in
the region. Therefore, the former US President used all his abilities to push
Tehran to the forefront, according to Jim Hanson, the President of the Security
Studies Group in Washington DC.
“Obama’s policy had really changed things for a lot of Gulf States when they see
their enemy being empowered by the United States,” he added.
Riyadh was Trump’s first overseas destination following his inauguration in
which, Hanson noted, he met with the world’s Muslim leaders. “He also met with
King Salman and the Crown Prince to basically talk about how they could form a
counterweight to what President Trump saw as Iran’s malign influence as opposed
to Iran’s role as a partner for peace,” he pointed out.
“This had completely upset the US media’s reflexive support for President Obama.
Media outlets have a vested interest in the idea that Tehran was not the bad guy
and anything that jeopardizes the Iran deal was a problem. Therefore, they began
their attacks,” Hanson told Al Arabiya English. He emphasized that Khashoggi’s
case was a lever the media used to attack Trump and his Saudi allies, and to
damage both of them at the same time.
The leaked CIA Report
Following the US President’s announcement, in which he stated that the CIA
report “might” be true, without either confirming or denying, Trump and the
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman were targeted through a smear campaign
which Hanson described as a “crusade,” due to the historical significance of the
crusade which is similar to what implies currently.
“The media attacks are hallmarks of a crusade. The US media has been attempting
to impose western ideas, western concerns, and desires on the Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia by deciding to depose a royal leader of another sovereign nation. This is
a crusade from my perspective,” he stressed.
Hanson, who was a member of the US Army Special Forces for counter-terrorism and
insurgency in more than a dozen countries, highlighted, to Al Arabiya English,
that the CIA does not have evidence that the Crown Prince is responsible for
Khashoggi’s death. Otherwise, the people who leaked the CIA report certainly
would mention it, if that information really existed.
"The CIA report did not state that it has a proof that Mohammed bin Salman had
ordered the killing. Instead, it said that it believes with high confidence that
the Crown Prince was responsible, because in a country like Saudi Arabia, it is
almost inconceivable that he would not have,” he emphasized, adding that the
modernization steps taken by the Crown Prince have resulted in several internal
enemies.
Hanson expressed his astonishment that all the western journalists were taking
the word of someone who is known as the “largest journalists’ jailer in the
world.”
“The journalists looked at the Turkish President, Racep Tayyip Erdogan, as the
voice that tells the truth about the Khashoggi’s killing. This one person’s
death was more important to the media than everything that was happening in Iran
where several opposition activists were killed by the Iranian regime. Meanwhile,
Turkey had done the exact same thing. Is one person supposed to completely
change the strategic balance in the Middle East?,” he wondered, describing the
thought as “absurd.”
The fact that Saudi Arabia and several Gulf States began to see Iran as a much
bigger threat than Israel, had thrown the usual power balance out of whack,
Hanson stated, reiterating that the American Left and its media saw this
incident as an opportunity to take down Trump and his Saudi allies.
“Qatar and Turkey have performed some very good power plays to damage their
rival, Saudi Arabia, and to gain leverage over the United States. Turkey was
asking for numerous kinds of concessions from Washington. While Ankara has
released the detained US Pastor, Andrew Brunson, it requested the extradition of
Fethullah Gulen, Erdogan’s biggest political foe who resides in the US,” Hanson
confirmed.
He highlighted that Doha and Tehran, alongside the media have a strong desire to
push the coalition of the KSA and UAE out of Yemen, which will grant an
undesirable victory to Iran in the region, “Riyadh, Abu Dhabi and the majority
of the GCC capitals have aligned with Washington against Tehran to prevent the
Iranian mullahs from doing anything irrational. If the US and Saudi Arabia were
no longer allies, Iran would feel emboldened,” according to Hanson.
What next
On Tuesday, a report published by the Associated Press suggested that, during
the G-20 summit, which will be held on the 30th of November in the Argentinean
Capital Buenos Aires, the Saudi Crown Prince will come face to face with
President Donald Trump who has defended USties with the kingdom, which will be
good, according to Hanson.
“I think at some level there will be a very short heart-to-heart talk. Trump
will say to the Crown Prince ‘You told me you did not do it, but we need to make
sure this never happens again.’ Then Mohammed bin Salman’s response might be
like: ‘I was put in charge of reforming the intelligence agencies; we will make
sure this does not happen again.’ Trump is then going to take his word for it,"
the president of the Security Studies Group told Al Arabiya English, speculating
that a fairly strong statement will be issued to stress that the US is moving
forward with the Saudi Crown Prince.
On the other hand, Hanson expressed his doubts that the 2019 US House of
Representatives, which will be dominated by the Democrats, will be able to
change the nature of the US-Saudi partnership, “I think the democrats will try
to, but they really cannot. That is the fortunate thing about the way the US
government is set up. The executive branch controls the foreign policy,” he
commented.
Hanson criticized Doha’s decision to add more Qatari Airways flights to Iran, by
noting that this step will make the US sanctions on Iran less effective and
stressing that Qatar is going to pay a price for that. He reiterated that the
Qataris are still funding terrorism. “They still fund all the bad guys, and I
think that is why the Qataris are tighter with Iran. Both countries are the main
funders for Hezbollah, Hamas, and all the bad stuff that is going on," he
argued.
He concluded his thoughts by urging the US Administration to be wary of the
Qatari government and to, potentially, reduce the tight alliance with Doha due
to its insistence to fund terrorist groups in the region.