LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
June 18/2018
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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Bible Quotations
For it is God’s will that by doing right you should silence the ignorance of the foolish
First Letter of Peter 02/11-17: "Beloved, I urge you as aliens and exiles to abstain from the desires of the flesh that wage war against the soul. Conduct yourselves honourably among the Gentiles, so that, though they malign you as evildoers, they may see your honourable deeds and glorify God when he comes to judge. For the Lord’s sake accept the authority of every human institution, whether of the emperor as supreme, or of governors, as sent by him to punish those who do wrong and to praise those who do right. For it is God’s will that by doing right you should silence the ignorance of the foolish. As servants of God, live as free people, yet do not use your freedom as a pretext for evil. Honour everyone. Love the family of believers. Fear God. Honour the emperor."
 
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 17-18/18
Fathers’ Day: The Holy Gift Of Fatherhood/Fathers on Earth are God’s servants/Elias Bejjani/June 17/18
Former Grand Mufti Of Lebanon Sheikh Qabbani: The Jews Who Came Following The Balfour Declaration Must Return To Where They Came From Or 'Meet Their Fate'; Jews Placed 'In A Position Harsher Than The Holocaust... If That Holocaust Was Real'/MEMRI/June 17/18
Iran and the American-Russian pincer from Syria to Lebanon/Ali Al-Amin/Al Arabiya/June 17/18
What power is left for Lebanon’s Prime Minister/Eyad Abu Shakra/Al Arabiya/June 17/18
Beware the Long-lost Threat of Inflation/David Von Drehle/The Washington Post/Asharq Al Awsat/June,17/18
Hodeidah… Cutting the Head of the Snake/Salman Al-dossary/Asharq Al Awsat/June,17/18
Iran loses long-time ally North Korea to the ‘Great Satan/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab Newsw/June 17/18
Arab coalition’s stance in Hodeidah needs to be lauded/Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/June 17/18
Hodeidah: Cutting the head of the snake/Salman al-Dosary/Al Arabiya/June 17/18
Trump's two nuclear deals involve a carrot-and-stick approach/Raghida Dergham/The National/June 17, 2018
Former Israeli Defence Forces IDF intelligence chief Amos Yadlin: Trump moves will bring Israel closer to war/Jerusalem Post/June 17/18
Israel ties IDF’s hands as Hamas kites burn fields and Iran uses World Cup to repair its Syrian bases/Debka Files/Jun 17, 2018
 
Titles For The Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on June 17-18/18
Fathers’ Day: The Holy Gift Of Fatherhood/Fathers on Earth are God’s servants
Rahi Says Bickering between Political Parties Must Stop
Beirut airport a smuggling point for Hezbollah
Report: Hizbullah ‘Exploiting’ Beirut Airport to ‘Smuggle Iranians’
Lebanon: Jumblat’s Anti-Aoun Stance Threatens to Destroy their Relationship
Lebanese Officials Concerned with Possible Delay in Forming New Govt.
Lebanon’s Foreign Ministry Denies U.S. Magazine Report
Report: Bids to Calm PSP-FPM Rhetoric
Foreign Ministry says article published on "Foreign Policy" magazine inaccurate
Pharaon says risk of surrendering to corruption great, calls for dialogue, strong life pulse
Lebanese Army receives third batch of 'Bradley' armored vehicles
Geagea during an election honoring ceremony in Marjayoun: Country is in need of your work and efforts
Riachy patronizes graduation ceremony for Lycee Charlemagne students in Roumieh
Former Grand Mufti Of Lebanon Sheikh Qabbani: The Jews Who Came Following The Balfour Declaration Must Return To Where They Came From Or 'Meet Their Fate'; Jews Placed 'In A Position Harsher Than The Holocaust... If That Holocaust Was Real'
Iran and the American-Russian pincer from Syria to Lebanon
What power is left for Lebanon’s Prime Minister?

Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 17-18/18
Woman injures two people in SE France
Taliban Says Will Not Extend Afghan Ceasefire
South Korea, US Expected to Suspend Military Drills Next Week
Cambodian Prince Injured in Car Crash that Kills Wife
Clashes Flare Near Yemen's Flashpoint Hodeida
Greece, Macedonia Sign Historic Deal to End Name Row
Exclusive - Liberation of Libya’s Derna: Haftar’s Arrival Frightens his Political Rivals in Tripoli
Israeli Settlers Clash with Police during Outpost Eviction

 
Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on June 17-18/18
Fathers’ Day: The Holy Gift Of Fatherhood/Fathers on Earth are God’s servants
Elias Bejjani/June 17/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/65390/elias-bejjani-fathers-day-the-holy-gift-of-fatherhood/
“Blessed indeed is the man who hears many gentle voices call him father!” (Lydia M. Child, U.S. Author)
Canadians observe Father’s Day on the third Sunday of June. It is a day for people to show their appreciation for fathers, grandfathers, godfathers and fatherly figures. Father figures may include stepfathers, fathers-in-law, guardians, foster parent, and family friends. Hopefully, all men will have the blessed grace of being fathers. Being a father is a heavenly endowment, a great satisfaction, and a fulfilling Godly obligation as the Holy Bible teaches us: “Genesis 1:28 “God blessed them. God said to them, “Be fruitful, multiply, fill the earth, and subdue it.”
Almighty God has blessed both parents, fathers and mothers and recommended that they be honored, respected, cared for, and obeyed by their children. God’s fifth commandment delineates this heavenly obligation and duty: “”Honor your father and your mother, that your days may be long in the land which The Lord your God gives you.” (Exodus 20:12 ).
God is our Holy Father, and we all, men and women, are His beloved children. Fathers on Earth are God’s servants who are entrusted by Him to safeguard, raise, embrace, support, provide and teach their children. Meanwhile fathers are required to carry their holy duties in raising their children in the fear of God, with the best of their knowledge, all their resource and means, full devotion and with all required sacrifices.
Fathers are the cornerstone of their families upon which children depend, learn, nurture, hold fast and shape their lives. Caring, devoted and righteous fathers are always given a hand by God and blessed for their rearing and erection of boundaries. Today we are celebrating “Fathers’ Day”, with all those who cherish fathers, appreciate their sacrifices and honor their Godly role. Best wishes to all fathers hoping they will be shown today all the due gratitude from their sons and daughters. On this very special day our deceased fathers’ and mothers’ spirits are roaming around sharing with us our joy and happiness, God bless their souls.
Attitudes of gratitude or ingratitude towards fathers on Fathers’ Day, are very sensitive issues that affect and touch the hearts and minds of many people. These two contradicting attitudes exhibit how much a person is either appreciative or ungrateful. The majority of people hold on dear to their fathers and do all that they can to always show them their great and deeply felt gratitude, while sadly there are those odd ones out who show no gratitude, abandon them and even at times endeavour to ruin their lives and inflict harm and pain on them. By doing so and negating God’s commandments that stress an utmost respect for parents, these people make themselves enemies of Christ Himself. Definitely God will be angry about such condemned conduct. This deviation from all human norms occur because of ignorance, selfishness, lack of faith and hope. These people fall into temptation, become proud of what they should be ashamed of, worship things that belong to this world and forget all about “Judgment Day”.
Colossians 3/20: “Children, obey your parents in everything, for this pleases the Lord”.
Leviticus 20/09: “For anyone who curses his father or his mother shall surely be put to death; he has cursed his father or his mother; his blood is upon him”
Fathers no matter what must be loved, honored, dignified and respected. God Himself is a Father and He will not bless those who deny their fathers’ heavenly right of fatherhood and respect. In this context, Billy Graham says: “A good father is one of the most unsung, unpraised, unnoticed, and yet one of the most valuable assets in our society.” The Holy Bible in tens of its verses warns and puts on notice all those with callous hearts and numbed conscience who show no gratitude to their fathers and break their hearts.
Isaiah 46:4: “Even to your old age I am he, and to gray hairs I will carry you. I have made, and I will bear; I will carry and will save.”
Even when fathers are abandoned by their children and denied their heavenly rights, they never ever hold any grudges, feelings of hatred or hostility against them. No matter what, fathers always wish their children health, prosperity and success. One of our Lebanese deeply rooted sayings portray how fathers constantly feel towards their ungrateful children: ” My heart beats for my son no matter what, while my son’s heart is callous like a rock”. Many verses in the Holy Bible overtly call on the children to treat their parents with love, endurance, affection and utmost care. At the same time the Bible instructs parents to value the Godly delegation to them to raise their children with all means of righteous, protection and provision.
Proverbs 23/22: “Listen to your father who gave you life, and do not despise your mother when she is old”.
Ephesians 06/01-02: “Children, it is your Christian duty to obey your parents, for this is the right thing to do. Respect your father and mother is the first commandment that has a promise added: so that all may go well with you, and you may live a long time in the land”.
Many grown-up men and women do not appreciate their parents’ sacrifices unless they themselves have become parents. Back home in Lebanon where the family has always been sacred, we have a saying that shows how important it is in the eyes of the God that parents are always to be respected, honored and loved. “God will not bless or facilitate the life of those who mistreat their parents and He will reply to the parents’ wrath when they ask for punishment for their ungrateful children”. Good, loving , faithful and God-fearing fathers know no hatred, grudges or despair. They remain, always, hopeful and keep on praying to Almighty God that their children, (grateful or ungrateful ) are constantly healthy, prosperous, happy, and successful .
Philippians 04/04-07: “May you always be joyful in your union with the Lord. I say it again: rejoice! Show a gentle attitude toward everyone. The Lord is coming soon. Don’t worry about anything, but in all your prayers ask God for what you need, always asking him with a thankful heart. And God’s peace, which is far beyond human understanding, will keep your hearts and minds safe in union with Christ Jesus.”.
Happy Fathers’ Day to all Fathers.
N.B: This above piece is republished with minor changes
 
Rahi Says Bickering between Political Parties Must Stop
Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi called upon Lebanese officials to maintain national unity and to stop “destructive” political bickering, the National News Agency reported on Sunday. “We raise the Lebanese peoples’ righteous cry and just demands for economic development and securing the basic rights of housing, education, health care and food,” said al-Rahi during a sermon marking Father's Day. “We call upon officials to stop destructive political bickering and to maintain national unity,” he added. Rahi’s comments came in light of disagreements between political parties over Cabinet portfolios. According to reports, a new government would be formed by PM-designate Saad Hariri following Eid al-Fitr.
 
Beirut airport a smuggling point for Hezbollah
L. Todd Wood /Washington Times/June 17/18
Pro-Iranian Hezbollah smuggles forces, weapons and drugs via Beirut Rafic Hariri International Airport
According to reports, the Lebanese are corrupting the Beirut airport and facilitating the smuggling of weapons and drugs, and enabling the transition of pro-Iranian fighters to other countries from the civil wars in the Middle East. Hezbollah allowed the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to take the Beirut Rafic Hariri International Airport as a base for Iranian regime operations, which consists of transporting weapons and fighters to locations and countries serving the Revolutionary Guards’ strategy for regional intervention.
The Lebanese embassy in Tehran announced that going forward, in order to facilitate the movement of Iranian citizens to Lebanon, their passport would not be stamped at the Beirut airport during their trip to Iran, the Iran News Wire reported on Friday.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps plays the leading role in fueling major wars in the Middle East, including the current wars in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon. The IRGC declared its strategy of meddling in the region in 1990, following the establishment of the Quds Force. The regime’s inner circles describe the Quds Force, stated an official IRGC unit, as the “center of an international Islamic army.”Iran continues its strategy and agenda of sowing mayhem and continues its effort to destroy the Jewish state.
Copyright © 2018 The Washington Times, LLC. Click here for reprint permission.

Report: Hizbullah ‘Exploiting’ Beirut Airport to ‘Smuggle Iranians’

According to reports, Hizbullah is allegedly “using Beirut’s airport to facilitate the smuggling of weapons and fighters in favor of Iran,” the Washington Times said. The daily said Hizbullah is “corrupting” the Rafik Hariri International Airport and has allowed the “Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps to take the airport as a base for Iranian regime operations, which consists of transporting weapons and fighters to locations and countries serving the Revolutionary Guards’ strategy for regional intervention.” The daily added that the Lebanese embassy in Tehran has reportedly “announced that in order to facilitate the travel of Iranians to and from Lebanon, their passports would not be stamped at Beirut airport during their trip to Iran.”The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, a branch of Iran’s armed forces, has been meddling in several wars in the region including Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon, playing a major role in fuelling them. No official word from Lebanese officials so far regarding the allegations.

Lebanon: Jumblat’s Anti-Aoun Stance Threatens to Destroy their Relationship

Sunday, 17 June, 2018/Beirut - Youssef Diab/The rift between President Michel Aoun and head of the Progressive Socialist Party Walid Jumblat reached an unprecedented level Saturday after the Druze leader described Aoun's tenure as a "failure from its first moments.”His tweet sparked angry reactions from the president’s camp and accusations with traded with Jumblat’s camp, casting a cloud over government formation efforts. MP Alain Aoun from the Strong Lebanon parliamentary bloc told Asharq Al-Awsat that Jumblat’s “surprising position is a normal result of his typical and incomprehensible shift in positions.” The deputy questioned whether his stance was related to the cabinet formation issue or to his lastest visit to Saudi Arabia. “Jumblat’s position contradicts the statements he delivered after meeting with President Aoun during the parliamentary consultations and it constitutes a blunt coup that reflects the Druze leader’s true intentions,” the lawmaker said. He added that even if disputes exist between the PSP and Free Patriotic Movement, which the president founded, such disagreements do not justify any attack on the presidency. However, PSP spokesman Rami al-Rayyes told Asharq Al-Awsat that observers should not be surprised by the stances of Jumblat, who had repeatedly criticized President Aoun’s term and the performance of his political team. “The violations committed by his team are now glaring, starting from the electricity file to the naturalization scandal.” MP Aoun, however, said that Jumblat’s reservations on the government formation or the Syrian refugees file could not be a motive for his attack against the President. “The issue raises questions about Jumblat’s new political repositioning,” he stated, adding that this policy fails to exert pressure on the President or change his positions. Caretaker State Minster for Presidency Affairs Pierre Raffoul said that the labeling of President Aoun’s tenure as a “failure” would not drive divisions in the country. “The FPM and the Druze are brothers,” he stressed.

Lebanese Officials Concerned with Possible Delay in Forming New Govt.
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 17 June, 2018/Lebanese lawmakers expressed on Saturday their conviction that a new government will not be formed any time soon given current obstacles. Strong Republic bloc MP Ziad al-Hawwat said that speeding up the formation of the cabinet was “more than necessary.”He stated that it was key to restarting work in Lebanon, adding that it sends a “positive” message to Lebanese expatriates and Arabs, which will consequently revive the economy during the summer season. Liberation and Development bloc MP Anwar al-Khalil underlined the need to form a national unity government that brings together all Lebanese parties and reflects the results of the May 6 parliamentary elections. He doubted that the cabinet would be formed soon, citing the “behavior of some politicians.” The lawmaker believed, however, that obstacles hindering the formation process will be resolved, “but this will take time.”The formation of the majority of Lebanese governments has been hindered by various obstacles over the years, Khalil noted. Baath party MP Qassem Hashem hoped that the formation would not take too long, “especially since the Lebanese are suffering from pressing economic and daily circumstances.” “Officials are, therefore, required to form a homogeneous and national unity government,” he added.

Lebanon’s Foreign Ministry Denies U.S. Magazine Report
Naharnet/June 17/18/Lebanon’s Foreign Ministry on Sunday slammed as “unfounded” allegations published in the American Foreign Policy magazine claiming that Hassan Hijazi, the Lebanese charge d’affairs in Asunción, Paraguay is attempting to block the extradition of an alleged Hizbullah financier to the United States, the Ministry said in a statement.“An article published in the FP magazine, in which the charge d’affairs in the Embassy of Lebanon in Paraguay, Hassan Hijazi, is accused of obstructing the return of a citizen to the United States on charges of drug trafficking and laundering of funds for Hizbullah is inaccurate," the Ministry said in the statement. The statement added “the duty of the diplomat is to follow up the consular affairs of the community. The content of the article, linking the intervention of the Chargé d'Affaires and Foreign Minister Jebran Bassil to the case are unfounded and irrelevant to reality.” The Ministry urged “media outlets to stick to accuracy before publishing any piece of information.”FP magazine published an article on June 15 alleging that the “Lebanese Embassy in Paraguay is attempting to block the extradition of Hizbullah financier Nader Mohamad Farhat.”It claimed that on “May 17, Paraguayan authorities arrested Farhat for his role in an alleged $1.3 million drug money laundering scheme. Farhat is alleged to be a member of the Business Affairs Component, the branch of Hizbullah’s External Security Organization in charge of running overseas illicit finance and drug trafficking operations.”
“U.S. authorities want to extradite Farhat,” it added, alleging that “Hijazi has sent a letter to Paraguay’s attorney general intimating that he should reject the U.S. request to extradite Farhat.”

Report: Bids to Calm PSP-FPM Rhetoric
Naharnet/June 17/18/Several efforts have reportedly been made to suppress a new political row between Lebanon’s political parties, this time between the Progressive Socialist Party and the Free Patriotic Movement, reports said Sunday. “Sources involved in the formation of the new government,” reportedly told pan-Arab al-Hayat daily that some ministers have made “intensive contacts” with PSP, FPM and Mustaqbal officials in a bid to “de-escalate growing tension on a number of files, most notably the disagreements as per their shares and representation in the upcoming Cabinet.”They said senior political sources of the Mustaqbal Movement have made the contacts with FPM and PSP officials.On Friday, Druze leader and PSP head Walid Jumblat said the tenure of President Michel Aoun (FPM founder) has been a "failure. His tweet is linked to the latest row over Syrian refugees and the calls for returning them to their country, as well to Aoun’s disapproval of Jumblat’s demand to allocate the whole Druze share in the Cabinet for the PSP, which distances Druze MP Talal Arslan --of the FPM’s Strong Lebanon bloc-- from the equation. FPM ministers were quick to snap back at Jumblat. Caretaker Energy Minister Cesar Abi Khalil lashed at him saying “the Lebanese are witnesses to your failure and corruption in all the files you handled.” FPM Caretaker Justice Salim Jreissati described Jumblat’s comments on Saturday as “suspicious” in terms of timing after his return from Saudi Arabia.

Foreign Ministry says article published on "Foreign Policy" magazine inaccurate
Sun 17 Jun 2018/NNA - Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants issued on Sunday a statement rejecting the article published in the "Foreign Policy" magazine, in which it accused the Acting Chargé d'Affaires at the Lebanese Embassy in Paraguay, Hassan Hijazi, of "obstructing the return of a citizen to the United States on charges of drug trafficking and money laundering for Hezbollah."The Foreign Ministry pointed out that "it is the duty of a diplomat to pursue the consular affairs of the Lebanese community."The statement also staunchly rejected contents of the article linking the intervention of Acting Charge d'Affaires Hijazi and Foreign Affairs and Emigrants Minister Gibran Bassil in this respect. Finally, the Ministry concluded its statement by urging local and foreign media "to be accurate [when publishing any news] and check with the Ministry to clarify any related information prior to publication."

Pharaon says risk of surrendering to corruption great, calls for dialogue, strong life pulse

Sun 17 Jun 2018/NNA - Caretaker State Minister for Planning Affairs Michel Pharaon pointed to the great risk of surrendering to corruption and intimidation, highlighting the need for continuous dialogue and a strong pulse of life. Speaking at the inauguration of the "Live Ashrafieh" Festival taking place for the eighth year in a row with the support of the Beirut Municipality, Pharaon called on the Lebanese to have "strong faith and adherence to all the values of civilization that distinguish us and prevent us from giving up our rights, and push us to look up, reminding us of our message in this region and the world.""Every festival highlights a region, its opportunities and its development, security, economic and cultural needs...and in the Ashrafieh region there is movement, civilization and opportunity, yet its needs are also great," he added. "Many projects have been delayed, but thanks to the joint effort by the Municipality of Beirut, Governor Ziad Shbib and its Municipal Council head and members, projects have begun and are ready for implementation in the coming months, and we will follow-up on them all," vowed Pharaon.

Lebanese Army receives third batch of 'Bradley' armored vehicles
Sun 17 Jun 2018/NNA - The Lebanese Army received Sunday the third batch of armored fighting vehicles of "Bradley' model (eight in total), within the framework of the US military assistance program for the Army.

Geagea during an election honoring ceremony in Marjayoun: Country is in need of your work and efforts
Sun 17 Jun 2018/NNA - "The country is in need of your work and efforts," said Lebanese Forces Party Chief Samir Geagea, addressing partisans during a dinner banquet in honor of LF's electoral machine in Marjayoun Casa on Saturday evening. In his recorded message, Geagea commended the Party's electoral machine for the honorable outcome achieved in the recent parliamentary elections in the "Nabatieh-Bint Jbeil-Marjayoun-Hasbaya" district, in which citizens practiced their legal and democratic right. "There can be no sound society without a real democratic political life," stressed Geagea. "I believe that the electoral battle is not over but has actually started, and this year was just a glimpse of a full political life to be witnessed in the months and years to come," he added. "The country needs your efforts, especially in these delicate and difficult circumstances...It needs the best and sovereign people with clean hands, even if scarce, and requires continuous work," Geagea concluded. In turn, Caretaker Deputy Prime Minister, Public Health Minister Ghassan Hasbani, who attended the event, delivered a word in which he urged citizens and partisans to work relentlessly to build a strong and capable State for the future generations. "When you say that you are the children of this land, this means that you have a duty towards it, and it is your responsibility to take care of it, to remain deeply-rooted in it and to ensure its growth and development...and to be a role model of partnership, coexistence, cooperation and openness for all those who want to build this land," said Hasbani.

Riachy patronizes graduation ceremony for Lycee Charlemagne students in Roumieh

Sun 17 Jun 2018/NNA - Caretaker Information Minister Melhem Riachy's Advisor, Emile Geagea, indicated Saturday that "the responsibility falls on the government to help postgraduate students find job opportunities to build their future in Lebanon instead of pushing them to emigrate."
Geagea's words came as he represented Minister Riachy at a graduation ceremony for the Lycee Charlemagne students in Roumieh, attended by MP Elias Hankash and representative of the French Embassy, Educational Advisor Serge Tillman.
Geagea pointed out that Minister Riachy always sought during his tenure at the Ministry to "develop the concept of information and speak the language of the youth by turning the Ministry of Information into the Ministry of Communication and Dialogue, so that it can become a platform for youth through which they can communicate with authorities to identify their problems and concerns."Finally, French Embassy Representative Tillman delivered a word in which he lauded the historical friendship between France and Lebanon, particularly in the cultural and educational fields.

Former Grand Mufti Of Lebanon Sheikh Qabbani: The Jews Who Came Following The Balfour Declaration Must Return To Where They Came From Or 'Meet Their Fate'; Jews Placed 'In A Position Harsher Than The Holocaust... If That Holocaust Was Real'
MEMRI/June 17/18
Sheikh Mohammed Rashid Qabbani, the former grand mufti of Lebanon, said that "one day, the Jews of the Balfour Declaration will have to choose whether to go back to where they came from or to meet their fate here." He further said that their situation in Palestine is "harsher than the Holocaust that Hitler perpetrated against them," adding: "if that Holocaust was real, as they claim." The interview aired on Mayadeen TV on June 7.
Mohammed Rashid Qabbani: "The way I see it, there is only one solution for Palestine, and it is not related to the various blood fatwas. The only solution is for the Jews of the Balfour Declaration to return to where they or their parents came from. That day will come.
"I have said this to the British and U.S. ambassadors, when they were visiting the religious authorities [in Lebanon]. I was the Grand Mufti back then. I met them separately, but told them the same thing. I said to them: 'You in the West have placed the Jews of the world in a position harsher than the Holocaust that Hitler perpetrated against them' – I mean, if that Holocaust was real, as they claim, or if it is cast in doubt."
Mohammed Rashid Qabbani: "Their situation in Palestine is harsher than the Holocaust, because the day will come when those Jews of the Balfour Declaration will face a choice... There is no problem with the Arab Jews. They are from Palestine. The Jews, Christians, and Muslims of Palestine are all the sons of Palestine, but one day, the Jews of the Balfour Declaration will have to choose whether to go back to where they came from or to meet their fate here."
https://outlook.live.com/owa/?path=/mail/inbox/rp

Iran and the American-Russian pincer from Syria to Lebanon
Ali Al-Amin/Al Arabiya/June 17/18
While Russian-Israeli communications are still active for setting up a ground agreement in south of Syria, a new factor has emerged in relation to the Lebanese border with occupied Palestine. Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri has revealed that the United States proposed to arrange negotiations between Lebanon and Israel over the border dispute between them. The new highlight of these communications is not the principle of negotiating with Israel over the maritime borders that has caused conflict between the two countries for years and dominated the media headlines as Lebanon prepares to extract oil from the sea and specifically from blocks near the borders and which are disputed with Israel.
The new element is that Israel has suggested that to demarcate all land and sea borders, including those close to the Shebaa farms, which were undetermined after Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon in 2000 and were kept under the occupation authority that demanded both Lebanon and Syria should agree on the ownership of the territory in order to withdraw from it. If these areas are Syrian, then they would come under UN Resolution 242 provisions, and if they are Lebanese, then they would fall under Resolution 425 which Israel has alleged it executed.
Lebanon and Syria haven’t been successful in finalizing this dispute over the Shebaa Farms. The status of this territory remains undetermined for many reasons that have to do with strategic interests related to Hezbollah’s arms. It is in favor of Syria and Iran to keep this dispute over the Shebaa Farms to justify the incomplete implementation of international resolutions related to confiscating illegal arms, in reference to Hezbollah’s arms, according to Resolutions 1559 and 1701.
Today, there are high level communications being carried out to resolve the problem of demarcating the borders between Lebanon and Israel starting from the Shebaa Farms. Western diplomatic sources in Beirut point out that Israel has sent messages to Lebanon through more than one party indicating that it is ready to draw the border and solve this point of dispute with Lebanon. These sources emphasize that Tel Aviv is working on two non-conflicting lines, one through Washington and the other through Moscow. The latter has invested into extracting gas from the sea, thus supporting an agreement between Israel and Lebanon to draw the maritime border. The second line is through Washington where a State Department team has been communicating with the two countries for months to set up a meeting to discuss an agreement to draw borders.
Russian pressure on Iran
Berri’s recent announcement about the land and sea borders included the condition that the negotiations are conducted under the auspices of the United Nations. What’s happening in southern Syria and the diplomatic communications regarding Lebanon’s southern border show that there are Israeli efforts to not separate reaching understandings under Russian supervision with Lebanon and Syria. Furthermore, Israel hopes to go back to the cease-fire agreement that it had with Syria after the 1973 war and which enabled it to calmly control Golan. In this sense, Russia aims to forge this agreement by having the Syrian army gain influence in areas next to the Golan, and without any Iranian presence. This marks an intersection point between Israel and Russia and responds to the path of rehabilitating the Syrian regime both regionally and internationally.
In this context, Iran appears to be in an unenviable position, and Hezbollah is aware that withdrawing from Syria will influence its control over the border issue with Israel. Hezbollah is thus aware that it will have to take decisive options in the near future. Hezbollah’s adopted strategy in shielding itself in Lebanon in conditional on maintaining trust with Russia. Israel, which has succeeded to a great extent in building confidence with Russia on Syrian affairs related to its security, seems more reassured today regarding the future of demarcating borders with Lebanon , especially since the Russian-American intersection in this issue pertaining to Israel's borders and security is based on what Israel sees fit. This makes Lebanon in danger of being left out of any international protection if the Lebanese position seems indifferent in resolving its border issue with Israel and is unresponsive to the Israeli offer that seems strong as long as it appears willing to finalize the border conflict with Lebanon starting with the Shebaa Farms after determining its ownership between Lebanon and Syria.
Iran’s moment of truth
Lebanese and other Western diplomatic sources agree that the agreement being drafted regarding South Syria under Russia’s supervision will not be separate from the border demarcation agreement between Lebanon and Israel. Therefore the activity along Israel’s northern border is not separate from limiting Iranian influence in Syria first and in Lebanon next. Iran will not easily accept being put into a corner in these two countries, so we cannot really say that the Israeli aspirations regarding its security arrangements on its northern border are going at a steady pace, even if the general framework has been internationally set up under the auspices of the United States and Russia. Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah who is starting to realize the dangers of withdrawing his party and the Iranian militias from Syria after scarifying a lot to preserve the Syrian regime, announced in his last speech on the occasion of Jerusalem Day that only President Bashar al Assad, and no one else, can impose the withdrawal from Syria. This came after skirmishes happened between Hezbollah and Russian forces in Syrian areas in the region of Qalamun near the borders with Lebanon, and in the course of a Russian path that is becoming clearer day after day and that is calling for the withdrawal of Iranian militias from Syria.
Iran and Hezbollah have very few options left. Today, they can either both escape forward by opening a military confrontation with Israel – a confrontation that everyone knows it will not be limited to Syria but will also include Lebanon. Or they can make concessions that ensure the implementation of most Israeli conditions. This latter option also entails difficulties for Hezbollah and Iran if they both cede to the importance of respecting strategic commitments that are related to the formal recognition of Israel's security on its northern border.
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, who in the past has been successful in conveying the Iranian point of view pertaining to Lebanon in his own way to those concerned at the international level, was keen to underline a few days ago and in unprecedented position that the withdrawal of Hezbollah and Iran from Syria would not take place before the liberation of Syria. Some observers said this reflects that Iran’s state of desperation due to international and regional pressures in Syria. On the other hand, Berri, who conveys an Iranian and hence a Hezbollah message, seeks not to link any agreement between southern Syria and southern Lebanon, even if this would put the border problem with Israel on hold along with the gas extraction project which he had hopes for to improve the Lebanese economy.

What power is left for Lebanon’s Prime Minister?

Eyad Abu Shakra/Al Arabiya/June 17/18
It is quite normal for an ambitious politician to exploit internal political imbalance to his/her advantage; especially, in a fragile state that lacks proper institutions and traditions of accountability.
Furthermore, it is not strange in the Arab world that a large sector of the population has become religiously extremist and overtaken by desire of defeating and suppressing those it regards as enemies; nor is it rare in the ‘Third World’ that one sect or group monopolizes patriotism, civilization, national ‘resistance’, even being close to God Almighty, to the extent of giving itself exclusive rights and freedoms that it claims are taboos to others. Still, what happened in Lebanon recently has been truly noteworthy. Foreign Minister Gibran Bassil, decided on his own, as if he was not a cabinet member, to declare war on the UNCHR (a UN agency) after he accused it of “inciting Syrian refugees based in Lebanon to refuse to return home, through scaring them of what is in store for them in Syria if they did!”. This, as far as I can make out, is unprecedented! Yes, the same UN which we have seen how its envoy to Syria ‘undersold’ the Syrian people since his unfortunate appointment to the post in July 2014, is now being accused by Bassil of inciting the refugees not to return home while Assad regime remains in power. The UN, in fact, has been since July 2014 almost a ‘false witness’ to the conspiracy of systematic uprooting and displacement of 13 million Syrians carried out after a series of massacres committed by the military forces of the regime and its allies. Yet the Lebanese minister thinks that the UNHCR needs to ‘scare’ the refugees from a regime they have experienced its ‘interaction’ with its people since 2011!
On the other hand, the minister knows that the UN knows that he and the party he leads – i.e., the ‘Free Patriotic Movement’ (The Aounists) – are ‘allies’ of Hezbollah whose active participation in the Syrian war was a main cause of the refugees’ plight. Indeed, the ongoing ‘alliance’ between Hezbollah and Bassil’s Party, forced on the Lebanese the ‘election of General Michel Aoun as president of Lebanon, and that Aoun – Bassil’s father-in-law – was among the first leaders to declare their support of Assad, in accordance with the ‘alliance’. Moreover, both the UN and the Lebanese people are quite aware of the overt and unabated contacts between the Lebanese coalition that includes Aoun and Bassil – of course, is led by Hezbollah – and the Assad regime, among which the communications between Bassil and the regime’s counterpart Walid Al-Moallem. Thus, if one may give the UN the benefit of the doubt with regard to the fate of the refugees, this does not apply to a minister who leads a party that is a member of an openly pro – Assad coalition, and is actively backing it in the conflict!
Assad cronies and henchmen
As if this was not enough, the overall scene became even more ‘surrealistic’ after the naturalization ‘scandal’, whereby a large number of Assad cronies, henchmen, financial backers and front men were granted the Lebanese citizenship; while some in the Lebanese government are sparing no effort in expelling poor helpless refugees and displaced under the pretext of ‘preventing resettlement’ of Syrians! The Assad cronies and henchmen still have the palaces, money and influence in Syria and hence are not threatened by a regime that they serve, and enjoy its protection, which is a far cry from the tent-dwelling displaced who have lost everything but fear and hunger.
Unlike global businessmen and wealthy people who are usually granted citizenship in several countries all over the world in return for previous proof of investment, there are no guarantees that Assad’s cronies and henchmen are going to invest in Lebanon. Indeed, among many of these are suspects or people accused internationally of crimes of corruption, including bribary and dubious deals. As such it was necessary to wonder about the reasons for a naturalization bill prepared secretly and only came to light officially after a media and political onslaught. Even then, the ‘clarification’ included in official reaction was self-defeating as it stated that the suspects’ names would be referred to the Directorate of Internal Security which would carry out the required ‘investigations’, although the conventional wisdom would have been to investigate before signing the naturalization bill.
What is known so far is that the naturalization bill carried the signatures of Prime Minister Saad Al-Hariri and his political ally Interior Minister Nuhad Al-Mashnouq, in addition to President Michel Aoun. Therefore, Hariri and Mashnouq share the moral and political responsibility for such a bill. Both Hariri and Mashnouq, although now politically close to Aoun, still claim to be against the Syrian regime. On the other hand, sources with Hariri’s Future Movement’ accuse certain elements with Aoun’s and Bassil’s FPM to have been the driving force behind the naturalization bill, and that the Prime Minister and his Interior Minister are not connected to it, but they only signed it because they did not want to appear to deny the President one of his constitutional rights, among which is granting nationality or citizenship.
This may well be true; however, the problem with such excuse is that while Hariri is so keen to uphold the President’s constitutional rights and privileges, the Aounists are doing their best to belittle and cut down the Prime Minister’s rights and privileges in what seems to be a ‘silent but serious accelerated coup’.
Many Lebanese feel today that the post of Prime Minister is back to what it was before ‘The Taif Accords’; i.e., a powerless valueless post, as the President insists on attending all ministerial meetings, and nibble either directly or indirectly – through the FPM ministers and MPS – at the Prime Minister status and role. In this context, the Foreign Minister flagrant disregard and disrespect to the cabinet’s collective responsibility and solidarity is not actually new. He has been doing this for some time now buoyed by the President’s support, Hezbollah’s de facto security hegemony, and Hariri’s declaration that his solid political strategy is now based on ‘stability’ and ‘moderation’! The strategy of ‘stability’ and ‘moderation’ has been the ‘weird’ justification used by Hariri for ‘following’ Aoun, voting for him in the Presidential elections, and agreeing on his choice (and Hezbollah’s choice) of an electoral law based on proportional representation. In reality, Harari has accepted that his only role in government is now to seek foreign aid while the ‘Aounists’ – and Hezbollah, in the background – take the important strategic, political and military decisions in Lebanon.
This, regardless of Hariri’s good intentions, is nothing short of yielding to the clear-cut conspiracy to undermine ‘The Taif Accords’, destroy national consensus, and get rid of Lebanon’s last chance of true co-existence.

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 17-18/18
Woman injures two people in SE France
Sun 17 Jun 2018/NNA - A woman injured two people with a cutter by shouting "Allahu akbar" Sunday in France's southeast department of Var, French media reported, adding that the suspect was under custody now. A woman dressed in black assaulted a customer at a supermarket in the town of La Seyne-sur-Mer in Var at around 10 a.m. (local time) Sunday, slightly wounding the chest, while a cashier was also hurt slightly, reported French TV channel BFMTV. The customer has been hospitalized and is currently out of danger, it reported. The suspect was quickly controlled by the supermarket staff, BFMTV said, adding that she would be a French born in 1994, and she would be unknown to the intelligence services. A search of the woman's home was underway Sunday afternoon, to know whether "she has links or not with Daesh," said BFMTV. --- Xinhuanet

Taliban Says Will Not Extend Afghan Ceasefire
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 17 June, 2018/The Taliban announced on Sunday that it will not extend a three-day ceasefire in Afghanistan, saying the fighting will resume. "The ceasefire ends tonight and our operations will begin. We have no intention to extend the ceasefire," spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid told AFP in a WhatsApp message. His comments come after Afghan President Ashraf Ghani announced Saturday a government truce with the militants would be extended. He asked the group to reciprocate. The first formal, nationwide ceasefire in the country since the 2001 US invasion had been met with jubilation across the country as Afghans -- Taliban, security forces and civilians -- celebrated Eid, the holiday that caps the fasting month of Ramadan. Later on Sunday, an explosion outside the governor's office in the eastern province of Nangarhar killed 10 people and wounded 30, a security official said. Earlier, Najibullah Kamawal, director of the health department in Nangarhar, announced that the death toll from a suicide bombing against a gathering of Taliban fighters celebrating the ceasefire had risen to 36. Another 65 people were wounded in Saturday's attack. The ISIS group, which was not included in the ceasefire and has clashed with the Taliban in the past, claimed responsibility for the attack.

South Korea, US Expected to Suspend Military Drills Next Week
Asharq Al Awsat/June,17/18/South Korea and the United States will announce next week the suspension of “large-scale” military drills this week, reported the Yonhap news agency on Sunday. Citing an unnamed government source, the South Korean news agency said the suspension was likely to affect only major joint exercises, not more routine military training. They would restart if North Korea failed to keep its promise to denuclearize, it added. US President Donald Trump surprised officials in Seoul and Washington when he pledged to end “war games” after his summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Singapore last week. Immediately after the announcement, US forces in Korea said they had received no guidance on stopping any drills, and South Korean officials said they were trying to figure out which exercises Trump was referring to. However, in a sign Seoul may be open to suspending drills, South Korean President Moon Jae-in said on Thursday his government would need to be flexible when it came to applying military pressure on North Korea if it was sincere about denuclearization.
Moon said South Korea would carefully consider joint military drills with the United States and he asked his officials to cooperate with the United States on the issue, his office said in a statement at the time. Trump’s nominee to be ambassador to South Korea on Thursday backed the idea of a “pause” in major military exercises between US and South Korean forces, while talks on North Korea’s nuclear program continue. “The whole landscape has shifted, and I believe that we should give exercises, major exercises, a pause to see if Kim Jong Un is in fact serious about his part in negotiations,” retired Admiral Harry Harris, who just stepped down as head of the US military’s Pacific Command, told a Senate hearing. Harris said his understanding was that any suspension would involve only major military exercises and that regular training of US forces in South Korea would continue, although final decisions were up to the Department of Defense.
“I’m convinced that our alliance commitments to South Korea remain ironclad and have not changed,” he told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Trump on Wednesday hailed his meeting with Kim as having removed the North Korean nuclear threat, but Harris told the panel “I think we must continue to worry about the nuclear threat.”Harris also said he believed sanctions on North Korea should stay in place while denuclearization talks continue, echoing comments earlier on Thursday by US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Pompeo, speaking in Seoul, said tough sanctions would remain until North Korea’s complete denuclearization, apparently contradicting the North’s view that the process agreed at the Trump-Kim summit would be phased and reciprocal. Yonhap also reported on Sunday that during military talks between the two Koreas on Thursday, South Korean officials asked their northern counterparts to relocate artillery 30 to 40 kilometers away from the heavily fortified military demarcation line that divides the two countries. The South’s defense ministry denied it made such a request, Yonhap said.
The talks, the first in more than a decade, held in the border village of Panmunjom in the demilitarized zone (DMZ), followed an inter-Korean summit in April at which leaders of the two Koreas agreed to defuse tensions and cease “all hostile acts”. North and South Korea failed to reach any concrete agreement during those talks, officials said. North Korea proposed to Seoul to disarm, on a trial basis, the Joint Security Area in Panmunjom, the only site in the DMZ where both countries’ soldiers stand almost face to face, the South’s presidential spokesman said on Friday. About 28,500 US troops are stationed in South Korea, a legacy of the Korean War, which ended in 1953 in an armistice that left the two Koreas technically still at war.
The US-South Korean exercise calendar hits a high point every year with the Foal Eagle and Max Thunder drills, which both wrapped up last month.
The next major drill, Ulchi Freedom Guardian, is planned for the end of the summer. 17,500 American and more than 50,000 South Korean troops participated in the Ulchi Freedom Guardian drills, although the exercise is mostly focused on computerized simulations rather than live field exercises that use weapons, tanks or aircraft.

Cambodian Prince Injured in Car Crash that Kills Wife
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 17 June, 2018/Cambodia's Prince Norodom Ranariddh was seriously injured, and his wife killed, in a head-on collision on Sunday in the southwestern coastal city of Sihanoukville, police said. Ranariddh's sports utility vehicle was hit by a taxi driving in the opposite direction, said Chuon Narin, police chief of the province of Preah Sihanouk. "The prince was taken in a helicopter for an emergency rescue in Phnom Penh," Chuon Narin told Reuters. "He is seriously injured but he will be fine." Ranariddh's wife, Ouk Phalla, 39, an exponent of traditional dance, died in a hospital in Preah Sihanouk, Chuon Narin said, adding that both SUVs involved in the crash had been speeding. "A taxi with many passengers crashed into the convoy and hit the prince’s car," an official from Ranarridh's political party who was accompanying him told AFP.
A report on the national police website showed badly damaged cars and victims on the roadside. Seven people were reported injured. Ranariddh, 74, was travelling from the riverside town of Kampot to Preah Sihanouk as part of campaigning for controversial national elections set for July 29. His party Funcinpec is taking part despite widespread complaints that the poll will be neither free nor fair after the main opposition group the Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP) was banned late last year.

Clashes Flare Near Yemen's Flashpoint Hodeida
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/June 17/18/Yemeni pro-government forces traded mortar fire Sunday with rebels near Hodeida airport, military sources said, on the fifth day of an offensive to seize back control of the strategic port city. More than 70 percent of Yemeni imports pass through the docks of Hodeida port, controlled by the country's Huthi rebels.The fighting between the Iran-backed rebels and a pro-government alliance, led by Saudi Arabia, has raised UN fears of humanitarian catastrophe in a country already teetering on the brink of famine. Yemen's military forces have closed in on areas south and west of Hodeida port, sources in the army said. yemen's army on Saturday claimed it had seized the defunct Hodeida airport, held by the Shiite rebels since 2014. The Huthis, however, denied the news in a statement on their Saba news agency on Sunday. Yemen's government and its allies launched the offensive on Hodeida on Wednesday. At least 139 combatants have been killed, according to medical and military sources. The Huthi rebels drove Yemen's out of the capital, Sanaa, in 2014, pushing President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi into exile and sparking an intervention by Saudi Arabia and its allies the following year. The Saudi-led coalition earlier this year imposed a near-total blockade on Hodeida port on allegations it served as a major conduit for arms smuggling to the rebels by Riyadh's regional arch rival Iran. The capture of Hodeida would be the coalition's biggest victory of the war so far. Rebel leader Abdul Malik al-Huthi has urged his forces to put up fierce resistance and turn the region into a "quagmire" for the Saudi-led coalition troops. The Yemen war has claimed some 10,000 lives since the coalition intervened in 2015. More than 22 million Yemenis are in need of aid, including 8.4 million who are at risk of starvation, according to the UN, which has described the conflict as the world's worst humanitarian crisis.

Greece, Macedonia Sign Historic Deal to End Name Row
Greece and Macedonia on Sunday signed a historic preliminary agreement to rename the small Balkan nation the Republic of North Macedonia, ending a row that has poisoned relations between the two neighbours since 1991. "This is a brave, historic and necessary step for our peoples," said Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras. "We are here to heal the wounds of time, to open a path for peace, fraternisation and growth for our countries, the Balkans and Europe," he said. "Our two countries should step out of the past and look to the future," said Macedonia Prime Minister Zoran Zaev. "Our peoples want peace... we will be partners and allies," he said. Riot police blocked a few hundred flag-waving Greek protesters several kilometres away from the ceremony. And in Psarades, priests rang the local church bell in a sign of mourning, an AFP reporter said. The accord aims to start unravelling one of the world's longest -- and arguably most arcane -- diplomatic disputes, which began 27 years ago with Macedonia's declaration of independence but whose roots date back centuries."The time has come again to sing happy songs in the Balkans," Tsipras said, moments before the document was signed by the two countries' foreign ministers. Zaev and several of his ministers arrived by speedboat at the picturesque fishing village of Psarades under a sunny sky, on the southern bank of Lake Prespa that is one of the natural boundaries between the two countries.bTsipras and Zaev embraced on the village dock and were treated to a standing ovation by gathered dignitaries.UN under-secretary-general for political affairs Rosemary DiCarlo, longterm UN negotiator Matthew Nimetz, EU diplomatic chief Federica Mogherini and EU enlargement commissioner Johannes Hahn were on hand,  snapping pictures with their smartphones. Nimetz, who turned 79 on Sunday and was given a birthday cake, has been trying to broker a solution since 1994, first as a US envoy and subsequently on behalf of the United Nations. But it was the election of Zaev in 2017, replacing nationalist prime minister Nikola Gruevski, that proved crucial. An economist and former mayor of Strumica, Zaev made rapprochement with Greece a priority to secure his country's membership of the European Union and NATO, blocked by Athens for years. After the signature, Tsipras crossed over to the Macedonian side of Lake Prespa for lunch, becoming the first Greek prime minister to visit the neighbouring state. Since 1991, Athens has objected to its neighbour being called Macedonia because it has its own northern province of the same name, which in ancient times was the cradle of Alexander the Great's empire -- a source of intense pride for modern-day Greeks.
The two premiers, born just months apart in 1974, have bucked strong hostile reactions at home to push ahead with the agreement.
Accusations of treachery
Tsipras has been accused of treachery by Greek hardliners, and on Saturday defeated a vote of censure against his government amid protests and clashes with police outside parliament. In Macedonia, President Gjorge Ivanov plans to exercise a one-time veto option to block the deal that the nationalist opposition has called a "capitulation". The Macedonian parliament is scheduled to start debating the agreement next week. The accord still needs to be approved by Macedonia's parliament and then pass a referendum.The Macedonian constitution must also be revised by the end of the year, before Greece's parliament is called to ratify it.
 Critics warn
Tsipras' domestic critics say he has bargained away Greece's diplomatic advantages -- the power of veto over EU and NATO accession -- for a deal that could backfire. Specifically, by officially recognising a Macedonian language and nationality, it is almost certain that the country will be called Macedonia by the broader world, instead of North Macedonia, opponents of the deal argue. Officials in Athens insist that the deal will help stabilise the historically volatile Balkan region, permitting Greece to focus on other regional challenges, Turkey among them. Macedonia was admitted to the United Nations in 1993 under the provisional name of the "Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia", but more than 120 countries including Russia and the United States have recognised the Balkan country under the name of "Republic of Macedonia".
Skopje hopes to secure a date to begin European Union accession talks at an EU summit in late June and an invitation to join NATO in mid-July.

Exclusive - Liberation of Libya’s Derna: Haftar’s Arrival Frightens his Political Rivals in Tripoli
Libyan-Egyptian borders – Abdul Sattar Hatita/Asharq Al Awsat/June,17/18/Libyan National Army commander Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar stormed into the last bastion of extremists in the east of the country, raising great fears among his opponents in the capital Tripoli. However, he might need to wage other wars in the west in order to extend his full control over the chaotic state. Asharq Al-Awsat presents three episodes on the repercussions of the liberation of Derna by the LNA on the political, military and security situation throughout Libya. The first episode revolves around the political campaign aimed at playing down the army’s victories and exaggerating claims of crimes perpetrated against civilians, especially after troops executed detainees, who were believed to be extremists. While stationed under long antennas with two military signal vehicles, army officers talked about the situation in Derna, asserting that the field marshal was currently being subjected to a fierce political campaign by his enemies, “because of the mistakes of three or four reckless members”.They said that such campaign “could distort the commander’s efforts”, as fierce military operations are taking place in the city of Derna.
From the top of a rocky highland, the city’s houses looked white. From time to time, black smoke rises from the south, where a group of militants are still holed up inside. The next day, three families, who had fled from the grip of the extremists, returned to the city. Amal al-Obeidi, a well-known media figure, said she had not been able to return home for years because of the control of the Abu Salim group, which is mainly formed of a mixture of extremists who settled in Derna. She explained that the situation in the area was still difficult, and that the operation of the army, which she supports, should be more professional, in view of the extremists’ policy to force children to join their ranks and head to battle. Another witness said that some of Derna’s residents were still under the captivity of ISIS and Al-Qaeda, “a fact that the LNA should be aware of, as it advances inside the city, to prevent the killing of innocent people.”“Fourteen-year-old Fayez went out to buy bread for his mother, and as soon as he walked a few steps to the bakery in the suburb of Imbakh, he was stopped by a car,” Obeidi recounts. The story, drawn up by Asharq Al-Awsat from various sources, shows that a masked passenger got out of the car, pointed a gun at the child’s head, and forced him into the vehicle in order to “struggle with the mujahedeen.” That same evening, the child was shot during clashes with army forces on the western front. He is now being held in the custody of investigators in Benghazi.
Meanwhile, security sources say that dozens of children from Derna, aged between 13 and 17, have been kidnapped by ISIS in order to make up for the shortage of fighters in recent weeks. In an effort to avoid criticism, Haftar stressed that the LNA should maintain discipline in the war and hand over terrorists to the relevant military authorities. This comes at a time when some forces opposed to Hatfar’s presence in the future of Libya are trying to add confusion to the already chaotic country, by targeting the principle economic resource, the major oil refineries in the northeast. These developments also coincided with the activity of terrorist cells that are trying to deal blows to the LNA, especially on the fronts of Sirte in the north and Barak Beach in the south, in addition to Benghazi and Derna. In this context, a senior officer believed that hindering the work of Haftar in general is the political agreement, which was signed between the Libyan opponents in the Moroccan city of Skhirat in late 2015.
This agreement established a power parallel to that of parliament, which was forced to work from the town of Tobruk in the far east of Libya. The Skhirat Accord created a new authority headed by Fayez al-Sarraj, called the Presidential Council of the Accord Government, and the Supreme Council of the State, which includes a portion of the former parliamentarians (the so-called National Congress), most of whom were not re-elected by Libyans in 2014. The two councils operate from Tripoli under the protection of a mixture of soldiers and heavily armed militias, and they oppose Haftar. The Sarraj government operates without any legislative authority, and without any parliamentary control. Since the beginning of 2016 and Sarraj’s arrival in Tripoli to implement the Skhirat agreement, the political situation has become complicated and difficult to resolve, as evidenced by attempts by regional countries, including Egypt and the UAE, and several international sponsors, most recently French President Emmanuel Macron late last month. Military victories in Benghazi led to the rise of Haftar’s popularity at the local and international levels. The LNA commander visited countries, where he was not previously accepted. He warned politicians late last year that their differences should be resolved, otherwise the LNA would have to take action to protect the people’s interests. Some voices also called on him to run for president. The United Nations has been pushing Libyan authorities to hold presidential and parliamentary elections before the end of the year and an agreement has been reached between the rival Libyan parties to hold them in December.


Israeli Settlers Clash with Police during Outpost Eviction
Naharnet/Agence France Presseions/June 17/18/Nearly a dozen Israeli police officers were injured in clashes Sunday as they began evicting Jewish settlers from an outpost in the occupied West Bank, police said. Police spokesman Micky Rosenfeld said that 11 officers were "injured lightly" during the eviction of 10 buildings in the Tapuah West outpost in the northern West Bank. Israel's supreme court had in February 2017 ruled that part of the settlement outpost must be removed since it was built on private Palestinian land. According to Rosenfeld, six protesters were arrested. Honenu, a pro-settler legal advocacy group, said 40 youths were removed from the area by police. One was said to be lightly injured. Rosenfeld said the eviction was expected to last the entire day. On Tuesday, police evicted settlers from 15 homes in a separate outpost north of the West Bank city of Hebron that was deemed illegal. All Israeli settlements are viewed as illegal under international law, but Israel differentiates between those it has approved and those it has not. Israel occupied the West Bank in the 1967 Six-Day War. Settlements there are seen as major stumbling blocks to a peace deal since they are built on land the Palestinian wants for their future state. Some 600,000 Israeli settlers live among nearly three million Palestinians in the West Bank and east Jerusalem.


Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 17-18/18
Beware the Long-lost Threat of Inflation
David Von Drehle/The Washington Post//Asharq Al Awsat/June,17/18
For nearly a decade, inflation hawks such as yours truly have been the stopped clocks of economic forecasting — except that we’re still waiting to be right once, much less twice, a day. As central banks throughout the developed world ran their money-printers furiously in hopes of jolting the economy from its swoon, we fretted at the prospect of overheating. It was as if we were offering lemonade during a blizzard. My defense when reality-based colleagues called me out was that I’m old enough to have firsthand experience of roaring inflation — back in the 1970s — and it’s no picnic. While it is true that inflation is a nifty way to file down the fangs of the national debt while boosting the take-home pay of workers, the lived reality has its darker sides.For families such as mine back then, living paycheck to paycheck, the rising wages never seemed to catch up to the soaring prices. Eventually, rather than let things spiral out of control Venezuela-style, the Federal Reserve slammed on the brakes with double-digit interest rates in the early 1980s that threw the economy into an unpleasant recession.
So at the risk of being wrong again — an occupational hazard for all opinion columnists — allow me to ring a faint alarm on inflation once again. This time, I’m spurred by a recent conversation with a veteran of America’s freight-hauling industry, a bellwether sector given the number of lives it directly affects.
For a variety of reasons, trucking prices have gone through the roof over the past year, with no end to the upward trend in sight. The problem starts with a shortage of drivers. Interstate truckers have a long history as the ill-treated workhorses of the US economy — underpaid, disrespected, pressured to put in long hours and battling loneliness far from home. With unemployment down to unusually low levels, blue-collar workers have plenty of alternatives to this life.
According to a report last year for the American Trucking Associations , US freight companies were short by about 50,000 drivers last year. Given that the median age of private-company drivers is 52 and that young Americans are shunning the field, the shortage could more than triple by 2026. Widespread adoption of self-driving trucks is too remote to offset the problem. This explains the sign-on bonuses that major freight haulers are offering to new drivers. The going rate, according to one industry insider, has climbed tenfold over the past couple of years, from $1,500 to as much as $15,000, collectible after six months on the road. The chance to collect two bonuses per year is fueling rampant driver turnover: as high as 95 percent annually at major fleets.
Important safety advances are adding to the labor shortage, most notably the new requirement that rigs be equipped with an electronic logging device, or ELD. Designed to tame the problem of overtired drivers skirting federal requirements for adequate rest, the tamper-proof ELDs record precisely the number of hours each driver has been on the road in a given day. My new friend from the freight industry estimates that more than 800,000 noncompliant trucks were pulled from circulation when ELD enforcement began on April 1.
These trends, along with rising fuel costs and strong consumer demand for shipped goods, are driving the price of freight sky high — up from last year by about four times the rate of inflation, and the worst may be yet to come. Demand for truck space is growing while supply is shrinking. Given that 70 percent of America’s freight moves by highway, this runaway cost engine is felt in all corners of the economy.
At a time when high stock prices reflect expectations of growing corporate earnings, one manufacturer after another has reported that freight costs are weighing noticeably on profits. The story repeats itself across the iconic brands of America’s grocery stores: Coca-Cola, Hershey, General Mills, Tyson, Procter & Gamble. You name it. The heat from this inflationary fire is singeing farmers, food processors, manufacturers, big-box stores, restaurants, and e-commerce giants such as Walmart and Amazon (whose founder and chief executive, Jeffrey P. Bezos, also owns The Post).
I know: Calm down. Labor anomalies in a single industry won’t spark runaway inflation by themselves — though consumers are already seeing higher prices because of shipping costs, and they are sure to see more. And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome H. Powell signaled last week that he’s keeping a close eye on core inflation and won’t let it spoil what he called a “very strong” economy.

Hodeidah… Cutting the Head of the Snake
Salman Al-dossary/Asharq Al Awsat/June,17/18
The suffering of 700,000 Yemenis living in Hodeidah will end as soon as their city is liberated by the rapid advance of the legitimate Yemeni forces, supported by the Arab coalition. The coalition managed in a short period of time in capturing Hodeidah airport on Saturday, which is an important strategic step in its mission to liberate the province’s main port.
Seventy percent of Yemen’s imports pass through the port, which has been the Iran-backed militias’ source of income for three years (they have imposed a fee of some $100,000 on each ship seeking to dock and unload its food or oil cargo). Ending the militias’ hold on the port will restore valuable income to Yemen’s budget and ensure that employee salaries are paid after a 20-month halt. The capture of the port will also stop the smuggling of Iranian missiles, 130 of which were used to target Saudi territory.
Most importantly though, the liberation of the port will be a decisive step that forces the Houtihs to return to the negotiations table to discuss a political solution based on the Gulf initiative, national dialogue and Security Council resolution 2216.
Hodeidah is the Houthis’ last remaining city stronghold after the capital Sanaa.
All signs indicate that the Houthis will have a very hard time retaining Hodeidah. Such a feat is beyond their capabilities as they only have some 2,000 fighters in the city, many of whom are foreign outcasts who are alien to the city. These fighters are surrounded by 700,000 Yemeni residents and 25,000 Yemeni army and resistance members. The Arab coalition will seek to wage a lightening battle and it will emerge victorious in a short period of time. It will not allow false humanitarian claims made by the UN and its agencies to be politically exploited by the Houthis to prolong the crisis in Hodeidah and the suffering of the people.  The Guardian, quoting UN officials, meanwhile, predicted that civilian casualties may reach 300,000. What sort of nonsense is this? The Arab coalition is following a humanitarian strategy alongside its military one in order to protect civilians and infrastructure in a manner that would liberate the city with minimal losses. The coalition was right in waiting three years before launching its military operation. It waited three long years on the UN to intervene and take control of Hodeidah port. It did neither this nor that. It instead allowed the Houthis to capture the port.
The military operation will push the Houthis to the negotiations table, an achievement that was not reached by the UN through its long silence. The liberation of Hodeidah will create enough massive pressure to bring the Houthis to negotiations.

Iran loses long-time ally North Korea to the ‘Great Satan’
إيران تفقد حليفها القديم، كوريا الشمالية لمصلحة الشيطان الأكبر

Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab Newsw/June 17/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/65401/dr-majid-rafizadeh-iran-loses-long-time-ally-north-korea-to-the-great-satan-%D8%A5%D9%8A%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%AA%D9%81%D9%82%D8%AF-%D8%AD%D9%84%D9%8A%D9%81%D9%87%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D9%84/
The Iranian state-controlled Persian media outlets were filled with warnings and alarm this week. Iranian leaders sent messages to North Korea and lashed out at US President Donald Trump with respect to the Singapore summit.
Iran reacted swiftly to the Trump-Kim summit, with the IRNA news agency quoting the regime’s spokesman Mohammad Bagher Nobakht as saying: “We don’t know what type of person the North Korean leader is negotiating with. It is not clear that he would not cancel the agreement before returning home.”
It is interesting that, while Iranian leaders repeatedly warn other countries, leaders and international organizations not to interfere in Iran’s decisions regarding both domestic and foreign policy issues, Tehran is blatantly interfering in North Korea’s decision to negotiate with the US.
Another paradox that also highlights the Iranian regime’s double standards and hypocrisy is linked to the objective of the US-North Korea summit in light of the vehement opposition of the clerical establishment of Iran to the historic meeting between Trump and Kim Jong Un. On the one hand, the objective of this historic summit was nuclear disarmament. On the other hand, the Iranian regime frequently claims that Tehran is not pursuing a path to obtaining nuclear bombs and that it is opposed to nuclear weaponization for religious reasons.
Just a few days after the signing of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivered a speech putting significant emphasis on his fatwa against nuclear weapons: “The Americans say they stopped Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. They know it’s not true. We had a fatwa (religious ruling) declaring nuclear weapons to be religiously forbidden under Islamic law. It had nothing to do with the nuclear talks.”
Iran's authorities are deeply concerned they have lost a long-time friend and ally in North Korea to their long-time enemy, the US.
So, if the ruling mullahs are truly against the supply or deployment of nuclear weapons, why is the regime so robustly standing against the US and North Korea’s agreement, efforts and pledges to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula while Washington provides security guarantees to North Korea? Many people would wonder that such an objective ought to be totally in compliance with Khamenei’s declared fatwa of denuclearization. But Khamenei’s fatwa was most likely the exploitation of religion in order to conduct a tactical and political move, while hiding Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
In addition, Iran’s opposition to such a historic agreement for nuclear disarmament suggests that Tehran is against denuclearization of the Korean peninsula and the advancement of peace, security and stability across the world.
Furthermore, Iran’s strong opposition to the rapprochement between the US and North Korea is due to several other reasons.
To begin with, from the Iranian leaders’ perspective, a nuclearized North Korea has been a model to follow for a long time. In fact, Khamenei clearly expressed in a speech why countries that give up their nuclear programs are irrational. Khamenei, who has the final say on major matters of state, previously blamed Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi for giving up his nuclear program and pointed out that Gaddafi’s decision was the paramount factor in his later overthrow. He pointed out after Gaddafi’s fall that the deposed dictator had earlier “wrapped up all his nuclear facilities, packed them on a ship and delivered them to the West and said, ‘Take them’.”As a result, Iranian leaders have long viewed North Korea as a real example of how and why a country must possess nuclear weapons, not only as a deterrent against “enemies,” but also as a powerful tool to easily pursue the country’s hegemonic ambitions. But the US-North Korea summit has shattered Iran’s argument. In addition, it is critical to point out that, to Iranian leaders’ eyes, the North Koreans were capable of defying the international community, even frequently conducting nuclear tests without concern about foreign intervention, simply due to the fact Pyongyang is already a nuclear state. Therefore, Iran viewed the North Korean model as an example of how a nuclear program and weapons can bring political success and advance a state’s ambitions.
In addition, for Iranian leaders, North Korea is one of its staunchest allies on the global stage; a nuclear state that would come to the regime’s aid in case it was caught red-handed violating international laws or was pressured by the international community. If North Korea follows up with a nuclear disarmament treaty, Tehran will lose a powerful partner in international politics.
Finally, the “special bond” and the agreement between North Korea and the US is the second significant blow to the Iranian regime this year, after the decision of the Trump administration to withdraw from the JCPOA. Iranian authorities are deeply concerned that they have lost a long-time friend and ally in North Korea to their long-time enemy, the “Great Satan.” This can potentially shift the balance of power against the mullahs. But this does not mean that the Iran regime will halt its attempts at interfering in this historic agreement and the improving relationship between North Korea and the US.
**Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political scientist. He is a leading expert on Iran and US foreign policy, a businessman and president of the International American Council. Twitter: @Dr_Rafizadeh

Arab coalition’s stance in Hodeidah needs to be lauded
Abdulrahman al-Rashed/Al Arabiya/June 17/18
Although the US government rejected an Emirati request to support the coalition few days ago, according to The Washington Post, the airport and the outskirts of Hodeidah had been overtaken by about 21,000 fighters of the joint Yemeni and coalition forces. Thousands of mines, which were being planted in the roads leading to the city and port in order to hinder their march, were being cleared. Fortunately, Washington refused the coalition’s request to support it in intelligence, aerial photography, and mine scanning, or else these victories would have been for its benefit and it would have turned into a political battle against Donald Trump’s administration. Despite the coalition fighter jets’ activity, it was keen to keep the port out of the battles, allowing the navigation there. It even allowed the presence of the Houthi fighters there. Two ships unloaded their cargo which carried humanitarian aid, and three other ships landed in the port, under the control of the coalition forces.  position; in not providing justifications for the human rights organizations and the supporters of the Houthis by allowing mediations to take place for a limited time. Either it would achieve what is required without fighting, or at least it would diminish the pretext of those who opposes war. Unless the Houthis surrender and handed over the port and the rest of the city - as safe passages were open for their fighters to get out safely - they would suffer the biggest number of deaths since the beginning of the war three years ago.
The coalition intends to free Hodeidah entirely, the port, the city and the rest of the governorate.
Houthi deafeat inevitable
The Houthis’ defeat in Hodeidah is almost inevitable, but the leadership of the coalition, does not want to win the war and lose the international public opinion, which is exposed to propaganda of groups that challenge the coalition’s goals, trying to stop its victories and impose a political solution that will enables the coupists to stay in power. Thus the coalition accepted the international envoy’s request to give the Houthis a chance to withdraw before attacking the airport. So, they suspended their operations for 48 hours. When this solution was rejected, it was overtaken in almost one day.
For the same reason, we see that the coalition is taking away all the pretexts of the coalition of international organizations and the countries supporting Iran. It gave the international envoy another chance to reach a solution for Hodeidah and prevent deaths on both sides.
The UN envoy Martin Griffiths went to Sana’a with a plan for Houthis fighters’withdrawal from Hodeidah and hand over the port peacefully, in return of the safety of their fighters and ensure that humanitarian aid reaches them through the port.
We know previously that the Houthi leaders are very similar to the leaders of the terrorist organizations, like al-Qaeda and ISIS. It prefers to sacrifice the largest number of its fighters, rather than losing its positions. It is even ready to sacrifice the citizens and take refuge behind women and children to resist as long as possible. The Houthis are a typical terrorist group. What they did in Yemen does not differ much from actions by al-Qaeda, except that they do not use the social media or the television to publish their crimes. The Hodeidah battle was the beginning of the victory in Yemen to end the rebellion which corrupted the political process in Yemen and threatened the security of the countries in the region. We support the coalition in its position; in not providing justifications for the human rights organizations and the supporters of the Houthis by allowing mediations to take place for a limited time. Either it would achieve what is required without fighting, or at least it would diminish the pretext of those who opposes war.

Hodeidah: Cutting the head of the snake

Salman al-Dosary/Al Arabiya/June 17/18
The suffering of 700,000 Yemenis living in Hodeidah will end as soon as their city is liberated by the rapid advance of the legitimate Yemeni forces, supported by the Arab coalition. The coalition managed in a short period of time in capturing Hodeidah airport on Saturday, which is an important strategic step in its mission to liberate the province’s main port. Seventy percent of Yemen’s imports pass through the port, which has been the Iran-backed militias’ source of income for three years (they have imposed a fee of some $100,000 on each ship seeking to dock and unload its food or oil cargo). Ending the militias’ hold on the port will restore valuable income to Yemen’s budget and ensure that employee salaries are paid after a 20-month halt. The capture of the port will also stop the smuggling of Iranian missiles, 130 of which were used to target Saudi territory.
The Arab coalition is following a humanitarian strategy alongside its military one in order to protect civilians and infrastructure in a manner that would liberate the city with minimal losses
Most importantly though, the liberation of the port will be a decisive step that forces the Houtihs to return to the negotiations table to discuss a political solution based on the Gulf initiative, national dialogue and Security Council resolution 2216.
Hodeidah is the Houthis’ last remaining city stronghold after the capital Sanaa.
The coalition's humanitarian focus
All signs indicate that the Houthis will have a very hard time retaining Hodeidah. Such a feat is beyond their capabilities as they only have some 2,000 fighters in the city, many of whom are foreign outcasts who are alien to the city. These fighters are surrounded by 700,000 Yemeni residents and 25,000 Yemeni army and resistance members. The Arab coalition will seek to wage a lightening battle and it will emerge victorious in a short period of time. It will not allow false humanitarian claims made by the UN and its agencies to be politically exploited by the Houthis to prolong the crisis in Hodeidah and the suffering of the people. The Guardian, quoting UN officials, meanwhile, predicted that civilian casualties may reach 300,000. What sort of nonsense is this? The Arab coalition is following a humanitarian strategy alongside its military one in order to protect civilians and infrastructure in a manner that would liberate the city with minimal losses. The coalition was right in waiting three years before launching its military operation. It waited three long years on the UN to intervene and take control of Hodeidah port. It did neither this nor that. It instead allowed the Houthis to capture the port.
The military operation will push the Houthis to the negotiations table, an achievement that was not reached by the UN through its long silence. The liberation of Hodeidah will create enough massive pressure to bring the Houthis to negotiations.

Trump's two nuclear deals involve a carrot-and-stick approach
Raghida Dergham/The National/June 17, 2018
While North Korea is on the receiving end of his charm offensive, the US president is using a stick approach with Iran – but it won't succeed without co-operation from Europe, Russia, and China, writes Raghida Dergham
The US president is using a carrot approach with North Korea to persuade them to denuclearise, the carrot being the promise of a shift in security and economic ties with the US. Meanwhile, the stick remains on the table if the carrot doesn’t work.
With Iran, Donald Trump is using the stick – sanctions and political isolation – to convince the regime to reform, rein in its appetite for regional expansion and re-negotiate the nuclear deal to address its shortfalls. But that is not to say there is no carrot for Iran. Indeed, Mr Trump has left it to European powers to try to persuade Iran to enter negotiations on its nuclear programme and curtail its incursions via its proxies into Yemen, Syria, Lebanon and Iraq.
Either way, the US president has never said anything to rule out a North Korean approach with Iran’s leaders, just as a summit with Kim Jong-un was once in the realm of fantasy.
Today the ball on Iran is in Europe’s court but the Europeans have not yet grasped it. They risk losing a historic opportunity if they do not overcome the myopia that has marked their recent foreign policy, especially on Iran’s role in Syria and Yemen, where they have turned a blind eye to Tehran’s violations.
By comparison, the Russians are more pragmatic on Iran, particularly in their relations with the Gulf, especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
The Russians have not commented on the major operation in Hodeidah, which came less than 10 days after Saudi Arabia and the UAE signed a strategy of resolve. Washington also appears to have consented to the offensive, although it has not declared its open support.
In truth, success in Hodeidah will intensify the two states’ bid to confront Iran’s scheming. For the Gulf, Yemen is a priority in this regard, just as Syria is a priority for the US and Israel, which is determined to prevent Iranian expansion on its borders.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has had two productive weeks, hosting the opening of the Fifa World Cup in Moscow, during which he received about 40 heads of state and senior officials, including Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.
Mr Putin also received a gift from Mr Trump, who humiliated his G7 allies by demanding they welcome Russia back into the club to make it the G8 again. Alongside China, Mr Putin helped facilitate the historic summit between Mr Trump and Mr Kim, which could lead to North Korean denuclearisation. China would gain if North Korea transformed from a source of chaos to a stable neighbour while the process could also end up reducing the US military footprint in the region as relations are normalised with North Korea.
Mr Kim himself appeared elated beside Mr Trump, who made sure to add his personal touch to the summit, showing the North Korean leader “the beast” – his armoured presidential limousine.
Not many are fond of Mr Trump’s unique charms. He has cultivated many enemies at home and abroad and his allies in Canada and Europe are infuriated by his trade policies and political attitudes.
The Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau got a personal taste of Mr Trump’s wrath while German Chancellor Angela Merkel is not pleased about having to rally her European partners in the face of American stubbornness. The fact that German firms are defying her policies on Iran by choosing instead to comply with US threats of sanctions if they continue operating there is another source of anger.
Ms Merkel is also aware that she is vulnerable if she continues to embrace the Iranians and exempt them from accountability as an aggressor while Tehran's meddling in other countries is executed through the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and proxies, rather than its own armed forces.
It is this incoherent logic that Mr Trump categorically rejects, a logic expressed by the German ambassador to Lebanon, Martin Hoth. Speaking at the American University of Beirut, Mr Hoth said: "Iran is too big to fail, too big to contain and too big to be defeated." The ambassador was participating in a session with former Iranian diplomat Seyed Hossein Mousavian, who claimed Mr Trump’s actions were emboldening “resistance” in the region.
Some say Mr Trump’s stick approach to Iran will not succeed without co-operation from Europe, Russia, and China. Others believe it will be effective because European firms will pressure their governments and because Mr Putin and Mr Trump might reach an accord.
Either way, Trump is determined to see through his policy on Iran, from Syria to Lebanon to Yemen.
Regarding Iraq, there is plenty of uncertainty surrounding the recent election outcome and new political alliances. It is not yet clear what Moqtada Al Sadr's alliance with Hadi Al Amiri will mean for the rest of the region as Mr Al Amiri is a former minister, commander of the Popular Mobilisation militia and the Badr organisation and a close associate of Iranian general Qassem Soleimani.
It appears that the US has dropped Iraq from its bid to confront Iranian expansion. But is it merely part of a practical sorting of priorities or rather a deeper strategy that would allow Iran to have an influence in Iraq in return for scaling back in Yemen, Syria and Lebanon and agreeing to reform the nuclear deal and its own regime? Is there a grand bargaining chip behind this or is this all part of a provisional tactic?
Some believe Iran will not choose any military confrontation with the US or Israel in Syria but will make do with the status quo and the sanctions. By working to contain the fallout, Tehran can wait out the Trump administration, biding its time until another Barack Obama-type figure takes the White House. However, the cost of this strategy is exactly what Mr Trump is betting o, as he sets out to make the costs for Iran so high as to cancel out the gains from "patience".

Former Israeli Defence Forces IDF intelligence chief Amos Yadlin: Trump moves will bring Israel closer to war

Jerusalem Post/June 17/18
Former IDF intelligence chief Amos Yadlin claimed Trump pushes Iran to get nuclear bomb.
US President Donald Trump’s recent foreign policy moves make it more likely that Iran will attempt to make a nuclear bomb and bring Israel closer to war, former IDF intelligence chief Amos Yadlin said on Sunday.
Speaking at a Tel Aviv University conference on national security and cyber issues, Yadlin said the North Korea summit will push Iran to renew its uranium enrichment and eventually pursue a nuclear bomb.
He said the same thing about Trump’s decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal.
Yadlin said he hoped Iran will wilt under the pressure of renewed US sanctions, saying, “We do not know if new sanctions will be as effective as in 2013. If they are not effective, we achieve nothing. Let’s hope the sanctions will be crippling... [maybe] Iran will need to choose between regime collapse or… come back to the negotiating table.”
He added, “Knowing Iran very well, I think they will choose something else. They will renew enrichment after they see Singapore. They will go for the bomb. Then [we should ask] have the US president and prime minister of Israel thought about what they will do?
“President Trump will not order an attack on Iran, it will come back to Israel – this time with a green light and not a red light. But is that smart [to have to attack Iran sooner as opposed to letting the Iran deal play out]? I’m not sure,” said Yadlin.
Sitting on a panel with Yadlin, former US senator Joseph Lieberman was asked what he would advise if Iran tried to break out toward a nuclear bomb.
He said, “The sanctions are working so far” and listed Peugeot, Boeing and Total as major companies that pulled out of Iran after Trump took the US out of the Iran nuclear deal.
In that light, Liberman expressed hope that the sanctions would succeed in motivating the people of Iran to demand regime change.
“Iran didn’t expect Trump to pull out,” Lieberman said. “They thought it was a campaign promise.... It is not impossible that there could be an uprising against the regime. I think that is the ultimate answer.”
However, he added, “If Iran tries breaking out of the NPT [Non-Proliferation Treaty], I really cannot predict what the president would do.”
Lieberman said he would recommend “taking military action or letting Israel do it. I would advise… military action in coordination with our allies in the region – probably in coordination with Israel.”
Giving a more hopeful view, former CIA director, retired Gen. David Petraeus spoke at an earlier panel, stating, “I welcome a US withdrawal from the [Iran] nuclear agreement [to the extent that] it will see much greater pressure on Iran, not just in areas covered by the nuclear deal, but also with regard to its missile program and Iran’s malign activities… in the rest of the Middle East.”
Speaking about national security threats in the cyber arena, Petraeus said, “Actions in that domain could prove to be the most important because it allows one side to disable GPS and command and control networks and to hack into intelligence systems,” adding that “all current and future wars will be some form of hybrid between the cyber domain and land, air, sea and space.”
When asked to give President Trump advice, Petraeus answered, “Focus on the threats to America’s critical infrastructure. My biggest worry… is the idea of a cyber weapon of mass destruction in the hands of an entity that’s very hard to deter.
“How do you deter elements like ISIS who are willing to blow themselves up on the battlefield if they have the ability to shut down the electrical grid for the whole Eastern Seaboard and keep it down?” he asked.
Petraeus suggested mitigating the threat by creating a new cybersecurity agency that would focus 100% of its energy on the issue, instead of it being divided all over the intelligence community.

Israel ties IDF’s hands as Hamas kites burn fields and Iran uses World Cup to repair its Syrian bases
Debka Files/Jun 17, 2018
Israel is holding back from using its superior high tech against Hamas’ terror-by-arson and Iran’s resupply of its damaged bases in Syria during the World Cup finals.
An impressive graph depicting the decline of Palestinian terrorist operations in the past three years and a map showing the Iranian military array in Syria illustrated the address delivered by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu to the Homeland Security Forum last week. Initiated by Internal Security Minister Gilead Erdan, the forum was attended by his counterparts from 20 countries, including US Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen.
Israel owes much of its success, Netanyahu explained, to advanced radar systems capable of precisely “reading” the target’s intentions and providing early warning of attacks in the making. One such tool, FOPEN (made by ELTA Systems) operates an L-band wavelength to detect targets through tens of meters of dense jungle, shrub or forest foliage, from a distance of several kilometers. FOPEN exposes secret Palestinian terrorist training drills or preparations for attack in remote areas covered with dense vegetation. This system was also found to be effective on the northern fronts for tracking Hizballah units using dense vegetation on the Syrian and Lebanese borders to conceal their stealthy approach to Israeli security barriers.
What the prime minister neglected to mention was the violent onslaughts Hamas has staged for the past three months on the Gaza-Israel border fence, or the hundreds of rockets and mortars fired against Israeli civilian targets on June 3. And, most strikingly he omitted to refer to the Palestinian terror-by-arson, a Hamas campaign in which thousands of dunams of Israeli field crops, farmland, natural vegetation and nature preserves are being laid to waste by burning kites and incendiary balloons. For this low-tech campaign of wanton destruction, the Palestinian terrorists have no need of advanced radar or weapons systems. Already cheap to manufacture, their makers have plenty of helium on hand for the balloons, because it is supplied by Israel to Gaza for medical purposes. After inflating them, an explosive device is attached to make a toy balloon to make it an efficient weapon.
For two-and-a-half months of these attacks, the IDF was under orders not to shoot the kite and balloon crews or hit the vehicles delivering them to the “protesters” rampaging on the Israeli border fence. After a consultation with legal authorities, on Saturday, June 16, an IDF aircraft finally struck one of the trucks delivering the kites to the Gaza front. According to the military spokesman, the truck was empty, while another aircraft attacked “near” one of the teams assembling the flaming kites for tossing into Israel. These statements confirmed that the IDF is still handling the terror-by-arson campaign with kid gloves, while despairing Israel farmers and local inhabitants watch their livelihood and landscape go up in flames and dozens of exhausted fire fighters scurry back and forth to salvage islands of green and keep residential areas safe.
A strange silence has meanwhile descended on Israel’s northern front after systematic IDF strikes over several weeks demolished Iranian military bases in Syria. It doesn’t take a strategic genius to understand what has caused the pause. The prime minister and chief of staff Gen. Gady Eisenkott appear to have decided to hold their fire during the World Cup soccer finals taking place in Russia. According to some sources, Putin extracted a concession from Netanyahu during their phone call last Friday, June 15, not to start trouble in Syria until the games were over. After all, the Russian troops and officers posted there deserve a respite for watching the games in peace on television.
If this is what happened, Israel’s leaders are doubly at fault. This pause in Israel’s attacks in Syria afforded Iran time to repair the demolished military facilities and import new weapons to replace the damaged ones, without fear of Israel hindering their delivery. Putin was apparently not asked to make Iran reciprocate by stopping those deliveries or ordering its Palestinian pawns in the Gaza Strip to hold off on their attacks, in return for the halt in Israel’s military action on the two fronts.