LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS
BULLETIN
May 03/17
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
The
Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/newselias/english.may03.17.htm
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Bible Quotations For Today
I am the bread of life. Whoever comes to me will never be
hungry, and whoever believes in me will never be thirsty
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 06/34-40/:"They said to him,
‘Sir, give us this bread always.’Jesus said to them, ‘I am the bread of life.
Whoever comes to me will never be hungry, and whoever believes in me will never
be thirsty. But I said to you that you have seen me and yet do not believe.
Everything that the Father gives me will come to me, and anyone who comes to me
I will never drive away; for I have come down from heaven, not to do my own
will, but the will of him who sent me. And this is the will of him who sent me,
that I should lose nothing of all that he has given me, but raise it up on the
last day. This is indeed the will of my Father, that all who see the Son and
believe in him may have eternal life; and I will raise them up on the last
day.’"
It is better to suffer for doing good, if suffering should
be God’s will, than to suffer for doing evil
First Letter of Peter 03/13-22/:"Now who will harm you if you are eager to do
what is good? But even if you do suffer for doing what is right, you are
blessed. Do not fear what they fear, and do not be intimidated, but in your
hearts sanctify Christ as Lord. Always be ready to make your defence to anyone
who demands from you an account of the hope that is in you; yet do it with
gentleness and reverence. Keep your conscience clear, so that, when you are
maligned, those who abuse you for your good conduct in Christ may be put to
shame. For it is better to suffer for doing good, if suffering should be God’s
will, than to suffer for doing evil. For Christ also suffered for sins once for
all, the righteous for the unrighteous, in order to bring you to God. He was put
to death in the flesh, but made alive in the spirit, in which also he went and
made a proclamation to the spirits in prison,
who in former times did not obey, when God waited patiently in the days of Noah,
during the building of the ark, in which a few, that is, eight people, were
saved through water. And baptism, which this prefigured, now saves you not as a
removal of dirt from the body, but as an appeal to God for a good conscience,
through the resurrection of Jesus Christ, who has gone into heaven and is at the
right hand of God, with angels, authorities, and powers made subject to him."
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources
published on May 02-03/17
Israeli strikes raise stakes in face-off with Hezbollah/Ynetnews/Reuters/May
02/17
Will Lebanon finally pass a budget after more than a decade/Haytham Mouzahem /TranslatorJoelle
El-Khoury/Al Monitor/May 02/17
The Trump-Abbas Meeting: Issues, Constraints, and Ways Forward/Ghaith al-Omari,
Ehud Yaari, David Makovsky, and Dennis Ross/The Washington Institute/May 02/2017
Hamas's Moderate Rhetoric Belies Militant Activities/Matthew Levitt and Maxine
Rich/The Washington Institute/May 02/2017
Germany: Migrant Crime Spiked in 2016/Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/May 02/17
Germany Hit by Merkel's Imported Crime Wave/Vijeta Uniyal/Gatestone
Institute/May 02/17
Republicans Are Now the ‘America First’ Party/Russel Ronald Reno/The New York
Times/May 02/17
France and the Benefits of a Little Dictatorship/Andrew Roberts/The New York
Times/May 02/17
UNESCO resolution passes calling to reject Israeli sovereignty over all
Jerusalem/Ynetnews/Itamar Eichner & Associated Press|/May 02/17
Titles For Latest Lebanese Related News published on May 02-03/17
Israeli strikes raise stakes in face-off with Hezbollah
Will Lebanon finally pass a budget after more than a decade
Lebanese diaspora an asset to the country: President Aoun
Fears Rise over Renewal of Clashes in Lebanon’s Ain el-Hilweh
Central Bank Governor Says Lebanese Pound Will Remain Pillar of Economic
Stability
Berri Urges Hariri to 'Assume Responsibility' ahead of Cabinet Meeting
Al-Rahi Advises Officials to 'Avoid Extension, Vacuum'
Jumblat Hails Nasrallah's Remarks on 'Importance of Consensus'
Bassil Slams Those who 'Reject Vote on Electoral Law' and 'Accept Vote on
Extension'
Qassem Says Palestinians Must Liberate Entire Palestine after Hamas Eases Stance
Army Tightens Security Measures in Arsal
Coffee Vendor Assaulted in Sidon
Future: For electoral law abiding by Taef
ISF Chief discusses current situation with visitors
Kataeb says returning to 1960 law or producing law to fit certain size is
mandate extension itself
Two Held as Captagon Manufacturing Machines Seized in Baalbek
AUB Mourns Maroun Semaan: His Legacy will Resonate through Ages
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
May 02-03/17
Three Policemen Killed in Cairo Attack
Egypt’s FM Holds Talks in Uganda on Water Security
UN Envoy to Syria to Attend Syrian Talks in Astana
IS Attack Kills 32 by Syria Refugee Camp on Iraq Border
Putin Calls for Boosting Syria 'Ceasefire' ahead of Astana Talks
Erdogan Rejoins Turkey Ruling Party after Near 3-Year Absence
Moscow Beats Washington by Suggesting Zones of Tensions’ Reduction in Syria
Human Rights Watchdog Reports Regime Massacre in Syria after Peace Talks
Relaunch
Turkey Seizes Russian Anti-Tank Missile Parts Smuggled from Ukraine to Iran
Differences on Supporting Kurds Focus of Wednesday’s Erdogan-Putin Talks
Hamas Seen Facing Long Path to End Isolation despite New Policy
New Hamas Program Softens Language, but Some Goals Remain
Latest Lebanese Related News published on
May 02-03/17
Israeli strikes raise stakes in face-off with Hezbollah
Ynetnews/Reuters/May 02/17
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/?p=54913
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4956514,00.html
Analysis: Israeli strikes in Syria signal shift; miscalculation could cause
escalation; neither Israel nor Hezbollah want new war; Israel also seeks to
avoid angering Russia.
Two Israeli air strikes against Hezbollah targets in Syria in recent weeks seem
to mark a more openly assertive stance towards the group after years of shadow
boxing, requiring careful calibration to avoid escalation into a war that
neither wants.
For most of the six-year-long conflict in Syria, Israel has stuck determinedly
to the sidelines, not wanting to get sucked into the chaos unfolding to its
northeast. While it is suspected of carrying out occasional attacks against
minor targets, it has tended not to confirm or deny involvement.
But it is determined to stop Lebanon’s Hezbollah, with which it fought a 2006
war, and which it sees as the top strategic threat on its borders, from using
its role in the Syrian war to gain weapons and experience that could ultimately
endanger Israel.
Since early in the conflict, the Shiite movement’s energies have been focused on
propping up President Bashar Assad in alliance with Iran and Russia, throwing
thousands of its fighters into battle against Syrian rebels.
But although this strategy makes the prospect of a new war with Israel unwelcome
to Hezbollah, it has not altered its view of the country as its foremost enemy,
or stopped it strengthening its position for any new conflict.
In the past six weeks, two Israeli attacks appear to have marked a shift,
underscoring Israel’s intent to squeeze Hezbollah and coming as the Trump
administration carried out its own missile strikes in Syria.
In both cases, Israeli officials have also been less guarded about acknowledging
who was behind the attacks.
On March 17, Israel struck a site near Palmyra, prompting Syria’s army to
retaliate with Russian-supplied anti-aircraft missiles and on April 27, it hit
an arms depot in Damascus where Hezbollah was suspected of storing weapons
supplied by Iran.
“The incident in Syria corresponds completely with Israel’s policy to act to
prevent Iran’s smuggling of advanced weapons via Syria to Hezbollah,”
Intelligence Minister Yisrael Katz (Likud) said of the strike last week, but
without explicitly confirming Israel carried it out.
Hezbollah has also bared its teeth, conducting a media tour along the
Lebanon-Israel border that was widely interpreted as a message that it was
unafraid of a new war, and hinting that any coming conflict might involve
attacks on Israeli settlements.
A larger strike by Israel, or one that misses its target with unintended
consequences, might provoke an escalation, further destabilizing Syria and
sucking Israel into an already complex conflict.
It’s an outcome that neither Israel nor Hezbollah wants, but in a war that has
already produced many unpredictable outcomes, it is not out of the question
either.
Rules of the game
Hezbollah is an Iranian-backed movement that was formed to combat Israel’s
1982–2000 occupation of Lebanon. Its battlefield prowess, extensive social works
among Lebanese Shiites and its alliance with powerful regional states have
helped it secure a dominant role in the country’s politics.
Since the 2006 Second Lebanon War with Israel, which killed more than 1,300
people, displacing a million in Lebanon and up to 500,000 in Israel, both sides
have engaged in brinkmanship but avoided renewed conflict.
Both say they do not want another war, but don’t shy away from saying they are
ready for one if it does end up happening.
Last month, Hezbollah took Lebanese journalists on a tour of the southern
frontier with Israel, allowing pictures to be taken of soldiers posing with
weapons and staring across the border.
Israel runs patrols along the same frontier, sends up drones and is constantly
bolstering its defenses. In March, Naftali Bennett (Bayit Yehudi), Israel’s
right-wing education minister, threatened to send Lebanon back to the Middle
Ages if Hezbollah provoked another war.
An official in the military alliance that backs Assad said Israel’s recent air
strikes had hit Hezbollah targets but played down the damage done. As for
retaliation, they drew a distinction between Israel striking Hezbollah units
deployed to fight on behalf of Assad in Syria and those at home in Lebanon.
“If Israel hits a Hezbollah convoy in Syria, Hezbollah will decide if it will
respond or not according to the circumstances in Syria because, despite
everything, Syria is a sovereign state and Hezbollah cannot respond in a way
that embarrasses the regime,” the official told Reuters on condition of
anonymity.
“If Israel strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon, definitely it will respond. If
Hezbollah responds, what is the size of its response that Israel can accept?
This could mean an escalation to war. So Israel avoids hitting Hezbollah convoys
or rockets inside Lebanon and prefers to strike it inside Syria.”
That analysis fits with how Israel broadly sees the situation, too. Keeping any
fallout from the war in Syria away from its territorial interests is one thing.
But going after Hezbollah in Lebanon would be the trigger for renewed conflict.
“A clash with Hezbollah is always an active possibility,” said one Israeli
diplomat.
While the enmity is fierce on either side, past experience seems to have made
both Hezbollah and Israel sharp analysts of one another’s positions and pressure
points.
“Sometimes there is a measured response which maintains the balance of
deterrence and the rules of the game and sometimes there is a response which
opens the door to escalation,” said the official from the alliance backing
Assad.
“Right now, the desire of both sides is to not get dragged into a war or to open
a new front, either in Golan or the south. But at any moment events can develop
and things can escalate into war without either side wanting it.”
Russia-Israel axis
Russia—an ally of Hezbollah in the Syrian conflict but which has also
coordinated closely with Israel—has also taken note of Israel’s actions.
For the past two years, Israel and Russia have coordinated closely on Syria,
with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu meeting face-to-face with Russian
President Vladimir Putin and often speaking by phone to ensure there are no
misunderstandings and that the risk of aerial confrontations is minimized.
For the most part, the system has worked, even if it requires Israel to be
delicate in balancing ties with the United States and Russia at the same time.
But the most recent incidents appear to have angered Moscow.
After the March strike, Russia summoned Israel’s ambassador for consultations,
and after the Damascus airport attack the foreign ministry issued a statement
calling it unacceptable and urging Israel to exercise restraint.
“We consider that all countries should avoid any actions that lead to higher
tensions in such a troubled region and call for Syrian sovereignty to be
respected,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.
A new war between Israel and Hezbollah could distract the Shiite movement from
its central role in the Syrian conflict, thereby undermining a military campaign
in which Russia has staked great resources and prestige.
Israeli analysts think Netanyahu’s government must exercise caution. “Israel
still has to walk on eggshells and attack only if the destruction of the target
is vital and pertains directly to Israeli security,” military specialist Alex
Fishman wrote in Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper last week.
Israeli ministers, several of whom have a Russian background, also appear
determined to avoid provoking Moscow. “We’ll do nothing fast and loose when it
comes to the Russians,” said the Israeli diplomat. “We’ll be super-careful in
Syria.”
Will Lebanon finally pass a budget after more than a
decade?
Haytham Mouzahem /TranslatorJoelle El-Khoury/Al Monitor/May 02/17
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/?p=54905
Draft legislation that could become Lebanon's official budget is on its way to
parliament. Although such news isn't considered unusual in other countries, it
is extraordinary in Lebanon, as the last time the country's lawmakers approved a
draft budget was in 2005. Successive governments' attempts to pass budgets have
been stymied by differences between two political parties, the March 8 and March
14
Although Lebanon’s Cabinet approved a proposed 2017 state budget, the
legislation still has to overcome several obstacles in parliament.
President Michel Aoun on April 12 inked a decree submitting the 2017 draft
budget, which the Cabinet had approved March 27.
Government expenditures in the past 12 years were set by applying constitutional
provisions that state when a final decision on the budget is delayed until after
the end of January, “the budget of the previous year shall be adopted as a
basis" until a new budget is approved.
Since 2009, the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) has been accusing Fouad Siniora,
who was prime minister from 2005 to 2009, of spending $11 billion in
extra-budgetary funds without consulting parliament or abiding by the state
oversight institutions during his term. Also, the March 8 Coalition and the FPM
accused Siniora of scuttling all budgets since he left that office, as he has
demanded since 2010 that the $11 billion in expenditures be discharged in
exchange for the Future Bloc’s approval of the rank and salary scale bill and
budgets. Siniora is the current leader of the Future Bloc.
At the April 6 parliament session, Nawaf al-Moussawi, a parliament member for
Hezbollah, asked for an accounting of where the $11 billion had been spent.
Siniora responded, “The disbursement of every penny of the $11 billion is
registered at the Ministry of Finance. I left office at the Ministry of Finance
13 years ago. Why haven't the successive finance ministers completed the
year-end closing of accounts?” Siniora had been finance minister from 1992 to
1998 and from 2000 to 2004.
He called for an end to “the circulation of rumors and many lies."
The $11 billion has been a major contention between the Future Bloc and the FPM,
with the latter publishing a book titled “The Impossible Exoneration” in 2013.
The book outlines legal and financial accusations against Siniora from his
tenure as finance minister under now-deceased Prime Minister Rafik Hariri’s
governments and while heading the Cabinet. (In response, the book "Slander in
the Exoneration Book" was published and Siniora wrote the foreword.)
Finance Minister Ali Hasan Khalil explained at a March 30 press conference that
expenditures under the 2017 draft budget are estimated at 23.7 trillion Lebanese
pounds ($15.7 billion), and revenues at 16.4 trillion pounds ($10.8 billion).
Thus, the deficit amounts to 7.3 trillion pounds ($4.8 billion). This is added
to the 7.2 trillion pounds in foreign debt interest, 7.4 trillion pounds in
salary expenses and 2.2 trillion pounds in electricity spending, he added.
After the March 16 and 19 mass protests against tax hikes — which are designed
to fund the salary scale increase — the Cabinet partially amended the draft
budget and referred the value-added tax increase to parliament. It added to the
draft budget tax increases on financial institutions, bank deposit interest,
real estate sales and other taxes. It also added taxes on $5 billion in windfall
profits earned by the banks in 2016.
The first version of the draft budget left out more than 2.28 trillion Lebanese
pounds in revenues from the tax on profits made by the banks in swap operations,
conducted by the Central Bank, and the windfall profits tax revenues. The
amended draft, however, includes those revenues. Economist Ghazi Wazni warned
against replacing tax increases on bank deposits, investment companies and real
estate registration with revenues originally due to the state. This would mean
that the banks would pay a one-time tax of $850 million and avoid paying a tax
increase of 5-7% on deposits.
Wazni told Al-Monitor that the amended draft budget does not include taxes that
were approved in parliament in March to fund the salary scale increases. He
explained that those increases will be included in the budget once it's
approved. Yet, he added, the money needed to fund the salary scale increases
should be approved by parliament, which requires a consensus among all major
blocs. He pointed out that the budget and the year-end closing of accounts from
past years should be submitted to parliament simultaneously.
There are several obstacles to approving the state budget, Wazni said. Most
prominent among these: Money must be made available to fund the salary scale
increases, and issues related to the year-end closing of accounts from the
previous years must be settled and approved by the Audit Bureau.
Wazni indicated that to avoid disagreements, especially over the $11 billion,
parliament can approve the draft budget while giving the Cabinet a deadline to
prepare the account closings and preserve the Audit Bureau’s right to oversight.
A final approval of the draft budget is supposed to be delayed until a new
electoral law is enacted. On April 12, Aoun invoked his constitutional powers to
adjourn for one month the parliament session that had been scheduled for April
13 to extend parliament's term and avoid a legislative vacuum, as the deadline
for registering to vote in the general elections hadn't been met.
Now, the next parliament session is set for May 15 to discuss a new election
law. If parliament agrees on the law, a technical extension of parliament's term
will be needed for a few months to prepare for the elections. The draft budget
is supposed to be discussed in parliament after a new election law is endorsed,
amid concerns about a delay in passing the budget until after the elections.
In the meantime, National Social Security Fund employees protested last week
against two articles in the budget that they say would exempt businesses and the
government from having to pay into the pension and insurance fund and could lead
to its eventual privatization.
**Haytham Mouzahem is a Lebanese analyst specializing in Middle Eastern and
Islamic affairs.
Lebanese diaspora an asset to the country: President Aoun
The Daily Star/May 02/17 /BEIRUT: President Michel Aoun Tuesday said that the
Lebanese diaspora is a “great source of political, economic, and cultural
assets.”Aoun made these remarks during a meeting at Baabda Palace with
Madagascar Minister of Foreign Affairs Beatrice Atallah, who herself is of
Lebanese origin.Discussing the upcoming Lebanese Diaspora Energy Conference,
which will take place from May 4-6 in Lebanon, the president said that the
conference aims to “highlight the real image of Lebanon as a land of convergence
and dialogue, as well as a model for the world of today and tomorrow.”
He added that this especially applies for those of Lebanese origin abroad who
“hold high positions.”Atallah is one of several international political and
business leaders of Lebanese origin that will attend and take part at the
conference. Madagascar’s Minister of Foreign Affairs told Aoun that her
country's President Hery Rajaonarimampianina hopes to continue to strengthen
ties between the two countries. In November 2015, Parliament approved a draft
law allowing foreigners of Lebanese descent to apply for citizenship. The Free
Patriotic Movement, headed by Foreign Minister Gebran Bassil, and the Lebanese
Forces were major proponents of the law. The two parties arguably represent two
of the biggest Christian constituencies. Previous editions of the conference
have taken place, most recently in Johannesburg, South Africa, in February.
Lebanon’s expat population significantly outnumbers the population residing
within its borders. Touring the United States, Latin America and Africa, Bassil
spoke to audiences of Lebanese origin, urging them to claim their citizenship,
register to vote for the upcoming parliamentary elections and invest in Lebanon.
“Lebanon, without its philosophy and culture, will go to the advantage of
refugees and terrorists,” the Foreign Minister said, addressing an audience in
Johannesburg.
Fears Rise over Renewal of Clashes in Lebanon’s Ain el-Hilweh
Paula Astih/Asharq Al-Awsat/May 02/17/Beirut – Unknown assailants tossed on
Sunday night seven grenades in Lebanon’s Ain el-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp,
raising fear of the renewal of bloody clashes in the camp. Tensions had been
high in the area after the hardline factions rejected the plan to bolster
security forces in the al-Tairy neighborhood. The Fatah movement had also
refused to withdraw its members from the nearby al-Sohoun neighborhood. Clashes
had erupted in April between Fatah and the hardline Bilal Badr group after the
latter refused the deployment of security forces in the camp.Head of Palestinian
national security in Lebanon, Sobhi Abu Arab told Asharq Al-Awsat: “Saboteurs
and mercenaries of the Bilal Badr group tossed a number of hand grenades on the
roofs of buildings after the security forces unit in the Tairy neighborhood was
boosted by 50 new members.”Thirty of these members are from Fatah and
Palestinian Liberation Organization factions and the remaining 20 are from the
Islamic alliance forces, he explained. “Some sides are insisting on resisting
the stability in the camp and the deployment of security forces,” he added.
Meanwhile, Fatah sources said the tossing of grenades is evidence that members
of the Bilal Badr group are still present in the Tairy neighborhood, “even
though we know that Badr himself is present in another neighborhood.” The
sources ruled out the possibility of the re-eruption of the clashes, “but we
expect them to keep stoking tensions through inciting security unrest, throwing
grenades or even assassinations.”The developments of the past two days have
proven that the Bilal Badr group is still present in the Tairy neighborhood
despite an agreement that was reached last month that calls for a halt in armed
clashes in that neighborhood, which was considered as a stronghold of the
hardline faction. The deal demanded that members of the group withdraw from the
area after Fatah failed to resolve the clashes militarily. Sources at the time
predicted that tensions will remain in Ain el-Hilweh as long as Badr remains on
the loose. At least seven people were killed in armed fighting in April in the
crowded Ain el-Hilweh camp near the southern coastal city of Sidon. A ceasefire
was announced after five days of unrest. Lebanon’s Palestinian camps, which date
back to the 1948 war between Israel and its Arab neighbors, mainly fall outside
the jurisdiction of Lebanese security services. There are some 450,000
Palestinian refugees living in 12 camps in Lebanon.the 2017 Arab Economic
Forum's meeting, NNA added. "This forum has accompanied Lebanon's crises for
more than two decades. It has also gone along with regional and international
crises; however, remains steadfast thanks to the robust monetary policies, such
as that of Lebanon," Salameh said.
Central Bank Governor Says Lebanese Pound Will Remain
Pillar of Economic Stability
Naharnet/May 02/17/Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah stressed Tuesday that
his party is not seeking to “impose” the proportional representation electoral
system on the country, while warning that Lebanon is “on the brink of the abyss”
regarding the issue of the electoral law.
“A lot of forces are approaching the electoral law as if it is 'an issue of life
or death' and they are right in their approach,” said Nasrallah in a televised
speech marking the “Wounded of the Resistance Day.”“Some parties are
unfortunately exploiting the electoral law file to sabotage some alliances and
settle scores,” he lamented. Nasrallah noted that throughout the past few months
and weeks, there has been “an attempt to accuse Hizbullah that it is seeking to
prevent Christians from electing their MPs with their own votes.” “The other
accusation is that Hizbullah does not want an electoral law that gives the Free
Patriotic Movement and the Lebanese Forces a third of parliament and I say that
these are baseless accusations,” he said. Nasrallah noted that Hizbullah “had
agreed to the Orthodox Gathering law although it would have allowed Christians
to elect all their MPs.”“It has been said that Hizbullah wants to impose full
proportional representation on the Lebanese through its weapons and military
might. But Hizbullah has been calling for proportional representation since it
entered parliament in 1992 and its stance is based on the national interest,”
Hizbullah's leader added. “It wants the fairest and most just representation and
our stance is not partisan or sectarian,” he emphasized. “We have not brandished
weapons in anyone's face to demand proportional representation and we have not
organized street protests to impose proportional representation on those
rejecting it. We do not want to impose proportional representation or any other
electoral law on anyone in Lebanon,” Nasrallah reassured. He pointed out that
Christians and Druze in Lebanon have more concerns than Sunnis and Shiites “due
to their numbers, emigration and other issues.”“It is not possible to impose an
electoral law on Christians or on Druze should they reject a certain law,”
Nasrallah stressed. He noted that Lebanon's consensual democracy system “must be
applied to the electoral law.”“We must convince each other in order to reach a
settlement over the electoral law,” Nasrallah urged. “Let us all be modest and
offer concessions to rescue our country,” he added.
Timeline
Berri Urges Hariri to 'Assume Responsibility' ahead of
Cabinet Meeting
Naharnet/May 02/17/Speaker Nabih Berri assured that several meetings between
various political parties will be held ahead of a cabinet meeting on Thursday to
agree on a new electoral law, as he urged Prime Minister Saad Hariri to assume
responsibility, the pan-Arab al-Hayat daily reported on Tuesday. Visitors to
Berri quoted the Speaker as saying: “It is certain that many meetings will be
held. But more importantly is they be held within the government. Prime Minister
Saad Hariri must assume his responsibilities in this regard. In any case there
will be no vote (on a new electoral law) in the cabinet. The election law can
only be reached in conformity.”Referring to his law proposal, he added: “I
presented my idea and assured that I will add nothing. Let them take it or leave
it. I am waiting for the cabinet to refer the draft law to parliament, the May
15 session is still as scheduled.”The thorny electoral draft law tops Thursday's
cabinet agenda amid fears that a breakthrough might not reached in light of
conflicting opinions between political parties. The possibility of cabinet
voting on the proposed voting system formats is unlikely in light of rejections
voiced by Berri and head of the Democratic Gathering bloc MP Walid Jumblat.
Meanwhile Prime Minister Saad Hariri avoids a cabinet vote to avoid engaging the
country in additional divisions, said al-Joumhouria daily. Hariri prefers to
continue consultations in a bid to reach a compromise format, after reports
claiming that any tendency towards voting might overthrow the government and
turn things upside down which falls in none of the party's interests, it added.
Berri's proposal for the creation of a senate as part of efforts to resolve the
electoral law crisis calls for forming a body consisted of 32 Muslim senators
and 32 Christian senators and for allocating its presidency to the Druze
community. It calls for electing a senate under a sectarian voting electoral
system and a parliament under an electoral law fully based on proportional
representation. Another law proposal was introduced by Free Patriotic Movement
Jebran Bassil and is based on a “sectarian” qualification system. Hizbullah has
repeatedly called for an electoral law fully based on the proportional
representation system and a single or several large electorates.
Al-Rahi Advises Officials to 'Avoid Extension, Vacuum'
Naharnet/May 02/17/Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi advised political parties
on Tuesday to reach a new voting system for the upcoming parliamentary polls and
avoid an extension of the parliament’s term or vacuum at the legislative
authority. “I don't support the 1960 electoral law. I have always reiterated
that I support an agreement on a new voting system,” said Rahi before departing
to Rome on a visit that will last for a few days. He clarified saying: “What I
said before was that instead of extending the parliament's term or engage into
vacuum, the current law (1960) still lingers but I never said I supported it.”
“There are more than 25 draft laws out of which only one is legal which is the
one issued during the government of PM (Najib) Miqati and presented by then
Minister Marwan Charbel,” Rahi pointed out. Miqati's “law derives its legitimacy
from the fact that it was voted and approved by the government and referred to
the parliament, but the latter did not vote on,” he added. The Patriarch
concluded urging political parties to avoid extension of the parliament and
vacuum, “it is better to agree on a new law," he remarked. Al-Rahi has
perpetually said he does not tolerate an extension of parliament's term, as he
called for an electoral law that does not “eliminate” any Lebanese component.
Jumblat Hails Nasrallah's Remarks on 'Importance of Consensus'
Naharnet/May 02/17/Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat swiftly
lauded on Tuesday remarks by Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah about the
importance of reaching a “consensual” electoral law. “Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's
remarks were very accurate and comprehensive about the importance of consensus
and the need to exit the current vicious cycle and avoid its alarming aspects,”
Jumblat tweeted shortly after a televised speech by Nasrallah. In his address,
Nasrallah stressed that his party is not seeking to “impose” the proportional
representation electoral system on the country, while warning that Lebanon is
“on the brink of the abyss” regarding the issue of the electoral law.“It is not
possible to impose an electoral law on Christians or on Druze should they reject
a certain law,” Nasrallah stressed. He noted that Lebanon's consensual democracy
system “must be applied to the electoral law.” “We must convince each other in
order to reach a settlement over the electoral law,” Nasrallah urged. “Let us
all be modest and offer concessions to rescue our country,” he added.
Bassil Slams Those who 'Reject Vote on Electoral Law' and
'Accept Vote on Extension'
Naharnet/May 02/17/Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil on Tuesday
criticized political parties who have rejected a cabinet vote on a new electoral
law “although they have accepted to vote for illegitimate extension” in
parliament. “No to extension, no to vacuum and no to the 1960 law, and yes to a
new law conforming to the National Pact,” Bassil said after the weekly meeting
of the Change and Reform bloc. “We are not clinging to any law and we are open
to several laws, topped by the Orthodox Gathering law,” he added. The FPM chief
said the Lebanese are obliged to “reach a new law that conforms to the National
Pact and a law that ensures correct representation to all Lebanese people.”He
also denied that the FPM has asked for moving parliamentary seats from one
district to another. “We have spoken of abolishing six seats that have been
added illegitimately in order to give them to the diaspora in order to correct
representation,” he said.
Qassem Says Palestinians Must Liberate Entire Palestine
after Hamas Eases Stance
Naharnet/May 02/17/Hizbullah deputy chief Sheikh Naim Qassem announced Tuesday
that “any resistance not aimed at liberating Palestine from the sea to the river
cannot be of use,” a day after the Palestinian movement Hamas unveiled a new
policy document easing its stance on Israel after having called for years for
its destruction. “We are not with a resistance that paves the way for a
settlement and we are not with a resistance that splits Palestine into two
states,” Qassem said during a meeting with the Global Campaign to Return to
Palestine, in an apparent jab at Hamas. “We are with a resistance that only
accepts a fully liberated land so that Palestinians can return to their land in
dignity and pride,” Hizbullah number two added. “We are with the resistance in
Palestine and we are with the resistance for the sake of Palestine. Resistance
in Palestine does not have one form; resistance in Palestine is taking place
through words, prayer, writing, captivity, protests, gunfire, car ramming
attacks and stabbings. These are all forms of resistance in Palestine,” Qassem
went on to say. Hamas exiled leader Khaled Meshaal said on Monday: "We in Hamas
believe that renewal and reinvention is a necessity."While the new document does
not amount to recognition of Israel as demanded by the international community,
Hamas officials say, it formally softens its stance in a few key areas. Hamas
leaders have long spoken of the more limited aim of a Palestinian state in the
West Bank and the Gaza Strip without explicitly setting this out in their
charter. But after years of internal debate, the new document formally accepts
the idea of a state in the territories occupied by Israel in the Six-Day War of
1967. It also says its struggle is not against Jews because of their religion
but against Israel as an occupier. However, the original 1988 charter will not
be dropped, just supplemented, in a move some analysts see as a way of
maintaining the backing of hardliners. The new document also continues to speak
of liberating historic Palestine, including areas that are today part of Israel.
Hamas is considered a “terrorist group” by Israel, the United States and the
European Union, and the new document is aimed in part at easing its
international isolation. One Hamas leader, Ahmed Youssef, told AFP the updated
charter was "more moderate, more measured and would help protect us against
accusations of racism, anti-Semitism and breaches of international law." Israel
was not convinced, however, with a spokesman for Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu saying "Hamas is attempting to fool the world, but it will not
succeed."
Army Tightens Security Measures in Arsal
Naharnet/May 02/17/The Lebanese army tightened security measures on Tuesday in
the northeastern border town of Arsal, media reports said. The troops closed the
road at an Intelligence checkpoint in the Ain al-Shaab neighborhood in Arsal,
amid tight measures on the main entrances to the town, they added. Tight
security measures were taken in the Wadi Hmeid area in the outskirts of Arsal.
VDL (93.3) said the army has later reopened the road, but kept measures tight to
fend off the infiltration of militants. Arsal lies 12 kilometers from the border
with Syria and has been used as a conduit for weapons and rebels to enter Syria,
while also serving as a refuge for people fleeing the conflict in the
neighboring country. The Army exerts incessant efforts to fend off any assault
by militants who are entrenched on the mountainous area along the
Lebanese-Syrian border. Media reports said over the weekend that due to the
army's incessant efforts to fight militants and gunmen, the number of militant
groups “has significantly dropped.”
Coffee Vendor Assaulted in Sidon
Naharnet/May 02/17/Unknown assailants attacked and injured a coffee vendor on
Tuesday in the southern city of Sidon, the National News agency reported. Three
unidentified men assaulted the coffee vendor, who was identified with his
initials as M.Aa. NNA said. The agency said the assailants brutally attacked
M.Aa, who sells coffee near al-Murjan school in Sidon, using sharp tools which
led to severe injuries and broke his machine. Security forces arrived at the
scene and opened investigation into the incident. NNA added, the assailants were
riding a white Mercedes-Benz 300.
Future: For electoral law abiding by Taef
Tue 02 May 2017/NNA - Future bloc underscored the importance of adhering fully
to Taef and Islamic Christian coexistence and respecting the Constitution and
law in forming any new electoral law, stressing the necessity for Lebanese to
agree on a law prone to provide fair popular representation at the Parliament.
The bloc on Tuesday convened under the chairmanship of former PM Fouad Siniora
at the Center House in Beirut. The Future congratulated all laborers in Lebanon
on Laborers' day which, according to the bloc, came this year with an increasing
suffer at the livelihood level due to the bad economic situation.
ISF Chief discusses current situation with visitors
Tue 02 May 2017/NNA - Internal Security Forces chief, General Imad Othman, met
on Tuesday with Head of Jamaa Islamiya politburo, former lawmaker Assaad
Harmouche. He later welcomed MP Elie Aoun, with whom he discussed the current
general situation in the country. Othman also met with former minister Khalil
Hrawi.
Kataeb says returning to 1960 law or producing law to fit certain size is
mandate extension itself
Tue 02 May 2017/NNA - The political bureau of Kataeb on Tuesday convened under
the chairmanship of MP Sami Gemayel to confirm that the return to 1960 law,
producing certain law to fit certain political size or going to vacuum, is many
facets for the same coin which is parliamentary mandate extension that
confiscates the right of all Lebanese. The party warned of "the increase in
corruption and deals in the records of the current government."
Two Held as Captagon Manufacturing Machines Seized in
Baalbek
Naharnet/May 02/17/State Security agents on Tuesday managed to seize three
machines for manufacturing Captagon narcotic pills in the eastern city of
Baalbek, state-run National News Agency reported. “The machines were being
transported by a crane towards the al-Assireh neighborhood in Baalbek,” the
agency said. Two people were arrested during the operation, NNA added.
AUB Mourns Maroun Semaan: His Legacy will Resonate
through Ages
Tue 02 May 2017/NNA - The American University of Beirut (AUB) is greatly
saddened by the recent loss of trustee and alumnus Maroun Semaan, whose memory
will live on at this University for his transformative philanthropy and
illustrious service. "Maroun was a genuinely great and humble man, whose work
and whose impact will resonate through the ages," said AUB President Dr. Fadlo
R. Khuri. "We will carry on his wishes through our revised curriculum in the
faculty he graduated from and which will now forever hold his name. We will
carry on his good work in other important ways as well, along our own determined
common path, and seek to be always worthy of his profound trust."In 2017, AUB
named one of its largest and most successful faculties after this visionary
partner and friend of the University-The Maroun Semaan Faculty of Engineering
and Architecture-following a transformative gift from the Semaan Foundation
which is the largest donation ever received by AUB. An influential entrepreneur
and incredibly successful businessman, Maroun Semaan was also a true civic
leader and engaged citizen. His inspired philanthropy has touched innumerable
lives. Mr. Semaan and the Semaan Foundation, which he founded in 2011, have
provided much-needed support in the fields of education, hospitalization, and
social welfare, focusing on the Middle East.
In 2013, Maroun Semaan was elected to the AUB Board of Trustees and served his
alma mater with distinction and true dedication, bringing his business acumen
and great love for AUB to help the University as it pursues its lofty ambitions
for an even more impactful and engaged future.
AUB Board Chair Philip Khoury stated: "The university today mourns the loss of
its student, alumnus, trustee, role model and philanthropist Maroun Semaan.
Maroun believed deeply in the power of education and its role in preparing the
citizen leader. His love for and service to AUB knew no bounds. Fittingly, his
legacy will endure through the ages, as generations of engineers and architects
will graduate from the school that he did, and which now most fittingly bears
his name." A true believer in the transformative power of education, Mr. Semaan
was himself the recipient of a scholarship allowing him to study at the American
University of Beirut. He graduated in 1977 with a Bachelor of Mechanical
Engineering and, with the tools that AUB helped him hone, moved to the Gulf to
pursue his career. After graduation, Mr. Semaan held numerous leadership
positions in the fields of oil and gas, infrastructure, and civic works. Then,
in 1991, he joined Petrofac and helped grow this small company into an
international powerhouse in the oil and gas engineering industry. Mr. Semaan was
also a founding member of the Arab Forum for Environment and Development (AFED)
and served on the Board of the American University of Sharjah.
After serving in many leadership positions at Petrofac International, including
on the Board of Directors and as president, Maroun Semaan retired from the
company in 2013 and focused on entrepreneurial endeavors in renewable energy,
telecommunications, and real estate.
Mr. Semaan's generosity to AUB has been extraordinary, supporting student
scholarships, PhD fellowships, and innovative research over the years. In
addition, the Semaan Foundation was one of the Strategic Partners for AUB's
150th Anniversary and made a major gift to the American University of Beirut
Medical Center to name the Outpatient Surgery Center after Mr. Semaan's parents,
the late Tanios and Souraya Semaan.
On January 16, 2017, at the launch of BOLDLY AUB: The Campaign to Lead,
Innovate, and Serve, Maroun Semaan's daughter Nour spoke about his belief in the
power and necessity of serving humanity through purposeful philanthropy.
"He always wondered how someone with means could rest his head on his pillow
while a neighbor of his, near or far, is unable to make ends meet," said Nour
Semaan. "His primary objective is providing a suitable environment for students
and seekers of knowledge. His ambition is to ensure the availability of medical
care, and to encourage development projects wherever there is need, as his
contribution in lighting a candle in the darkness of the Middle East."Upon
hearing the news of his passing, faculty and students from the Maroun Semaan
Faculty of Engineering and Architecture gathered to pay tribute to this towering
figure, who will continue to inspire this and future generations with his legacy
of profound and beneficent leadership.
Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
May 02-03/17
Three Policemen Killed in Cairo Attack
Asharq Al-Awsat/May 02/17 /Cairo – Egypt’s Interior Ministry said on Tuesday
that three policemen were killed and five others injured in a shooting in Cairo
late Monday. A statement issued on the ministry’s Facebook page said the attack
occurred just before midnight, when armed men in two vehicles shot at police
officers in the city of Nasr eastern Cairo. No group has claimed responsibility
for the attack, which comes just weeks after two ISIS suicide bombers killed at
least 45 in deadly church bombings in Alexandria and Tanta, one of the bloodiest
attacks the country has experienced in years. Four years ago, extremists have
increased their attacks on security forces in Egypt’s north of Sinai, killing
hundreds of security personnel. Other deadly attacks were perpetrated in Cairo
and other cities, while the Egyptian Army says that it has killed hundreds of
extremists.
Egypt’s FM Holds Talks in Uganda on Water Security
Sawsan Abu-Husain/Asharq Al-Awsat/May 02/17 /Cairo – Egyptian Foreign Affairs
Minister Sameh Shoukry will hold discussions in Uganda on Tuesday, during a
visit aimed at boosting cooperation with Nile Basin countries, according to a
ministry statement. The foreign ministry’s spokesperson, Ahmed Abou Zeid, said
that Shoukry would deliver a letter from Egyptian President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi
to his counterpart Yoweri Museveni, regarding cooperation in water-security
issues and the Nile Basin Initiative (NBI). Abou Zeid added that the visit would
also involve discussions on bilateral relations and development cooperation. He
also said that Shoukry and his Ugandan counterpart would tackle the progress of
the bilateral cooperation program between the two African countries, as well as
the projects implemented by the Egyptian Partnership Agency for Development (EAPD)
in Uganda. Shoukry’s visit falls within efforts to consolidate ties between the
two countries, and to support cooperation on the security and military levels,
as well as joint efforts to fight terrorism. The visit also aims to encourage
businessmen in both Egypt and Uganda to increase joint investment projects.
Shoukry and Museveni are expected to exchange views on regional developments, in
particular the situation in South Sudan.
UN Envoy to Syria to Attend Syrian Talks in Astana
Jordan Dakamseh/Asharq Al-Awsat/May 02/17 /New York – UN envoy for Syria,
Staffan de Mistura, will join Syrian high-level talks on enforcing ceasefire in
Kazakhstan this week, a UN statement said Monday. The statement added that in
view of the urgency and importance of re-establishing a de-escalation of the
situation in Syria and moving on confidence-building measures, de Mistura has
agreed to attend the meeting as an observer at the invitation of the Kazakh
government. The 4th international conference on Syria will take place in Astana,
Kazakhstan’s capital, on May 3 and 4. Experts are due to hold bilateral
consultations on Tuesday. While in Astana, de Mistura is planning to conduct
political consultations with the ceasefire guarantors and other participants on
military situations. “This will be particularly timely as he’s currently putting
finishing touches on his deliberations regarding the next round of intra-Syrian
talks in Geneva,” the statement declared. The previous conference on Syria was
held in Astana on March 14-15. Delegations of Russia, Iran and Turkey, which had
brokered a nationwide ceasefire in Syria, took part in the negotiations
alongside the Syrian government delegation and experts from the UN, United
States and Jordan.
IS Attack Kills 32 by Syria Refugee Camp on Iraq Border
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/May 02/17/At least 32 people were killed on
Tuesday in an Islamic State group attack near a refugee camp on the Syrian side
of the border with Iraq, a monitor said. "At least five suicide attackers blew
themselves up outside and inside a camp for Iraqi refugees and displaced Syrians
in Hasakeh province," Syrian Observatory for Human Rights chief Rami Abdel
Rahman said. Heavy clashes then erupted between the IS fighters and members of
the Syrian Democratic Forces, an alliance of Kurdish and Arab fighters, some of
whose combatants were among the dead, Abdel Rahman told AFP. The camp lies in
the Rajm al-Salibeh area just inside Syrian territory, and at least 21 of the
dead were displaced Syrians or Iraqi refugees, the Observatory said. "At least
30 people were wounded, and the death toll may rise because some people are in
critical condition and others are still unaccounted for," the Britain-based
monitor said. The US-backed SDF has captured swathes of northern Syria from IS,
and in recent days overran most of the strategic Euphrates Valley town of Tabqa.
The battle for Tabqa is an important part of a broader offensive for IS's main
Syrian stronghold, Raqa, downstream.
Putin Calls for Boosting Syria 'Ceasefire' ahead of Astana
Talks
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/May 02/17/President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday
called for shoring up Syria's frail truce as Russian-led peace talks involving
Syrian rebels and regime officials are set to begin Wednesday in Kazakhstan's
capital Astana. "We consider that this situation -- the ceasefire -- needs to be
strengthened, and this is precisely what our representatives will work on
tomorrow and the day after in Astana together with the sides in the Syrian
conflict," Putin said at a news conference in the Black Sea resort city of Sochi
after talks with German Chancellor Angela Merkel. "Our task is to create
conditions for unification, the cessation of hostilities, the cessation of
mutual destruction and the creation of conditions for the political cooperation
of all opposing sides." The two days of talks -- sponsored by Syrian regime
supporters Russia and Iran along with rebel-backer Turkey -- are the first since
U.S. President Donald Trump infuriated the Kremlin by launching a missile strike
against Assad's forces over an alleged chemical weapons attack last month. A
rebel delegation led by Mohammad Alloush, leader of the Jaish al-Islam faction,
has arrived in Astana for the talks, Kazakhstan's foreign ministry said Tuesday.
An adviser to the main opposition High Negotiations Committee (HNC), Yehya Aridi,
told AFP that the group would participate in the talks with "approximately" the
same delegation as in previous rounds of negotiations. The rebels did not
separately confirm Alloush's participation. Regime negotiator Bashar al-Jaafari
will lead the Damascus delegation. U.N. envoy Staffan de Mistura will also take
part in the talks which could pave the way for a new round of U.N.-brokered
peace negotiations in Geneva this month, the United Nations said Monday. The
Astana negotiations are viewed as complementary to the broader Geneva talks on a
political settlement, but neither have yielded real progress so far. The last
round of talks in March saw a delegation from Damascus meet representatives from
the talks' sponsors Russia, Iran and Turkey, but leaders of armed rebel groups
stayed away for the first time over alleged violations of a fragile ceasefire
deal. Kazakhstan's foreign ministry said a U.S. delegation led by Stuart Jones
-- acting assistant Secretary of State for the Near East Affairs Bureau -- would
observe this week's talks. Both the White House and the Kremlin have
confirmed plans for a telephone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and
Russian leader Vladimir Putin on Tuesday in which Syria is expected to raised.
More than 320,000 people have been killed in Syria since the country's war began
with anti-government protests in March 2011.
Erdogan Rejoins Turkey Ruling Party after Near 3-Year
Absence
Associated Press/Naharnet/May 02/17/Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan
rejoined the ruling party on Tuesday after an absence of almost three years, the
first major change to come into effect following a controversial vote to boost
his powers. Erdogan last month narrowly won a referendum on sweeping
consitutional changes to create a presidential system in Turkey with just over
51 percent of the vote. Under the old system, the head of state had to sever
ties with their political party and Erdogan had to leave the ruling Justice and
Development Party (AKP) when he became president in August 2014 after more than
a decade as premier. The reforms permit the president to be a member of a
political party, allowing Erdogan to return to the AKP which he co-founded in
2001 as a new Islamic-rooted force in Turkish politics and which has dominated
the scene ever since.
Supporters of the changes say they will bring Turkey efficient governance but
opponents fear they will set the country on the path to authoritarian rule.
- 'Erdogan to take leadership' -Erdogan was welcomed as a new member at a
special ceremony at party headquarters in Ankara by hundreds of AKP officials.
He signed the paperwork to become a member to thunderous applause before a
rendition of the national anthem, an AFP photographer said.
Erdogan had travelled to the ceremony from his palace in a convoy including at
least two dozen black vehicles driving on closed roads and carried live by all
television channels. AKP spokesman Yasin Aktay said Erdogan will also likely be
reinstalled as party chairman on May 21 at an extraordinary AKP congress.
"During this congress, there will be an election and we envisage that the
president will be elected as party chairman," Aktay told reporters. As AKP head,
Erdogan would replace Prime Minister Binali Yildirim who is set to stay on as
premier. If confirmed, it would be the first time that the president will be
both party chairman and head of state since the end of the presidency of Ismet
Inonu, the successor and right-hand-man of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, Turkey's
modern founder.
- Erdogan's 'fifth child' -Erdogan, who has four children, has described the AKP
as his "fifth child" and has never made a secret of his desire to return to the
fold. He is keen to sharpen the party's performance ahead of polls scheduled for
2019 after the 'No' vote came out on top in key battlegrounds including Ankara
and Istanbul in the April 16 referendum. Although the AKP has won every election
since 2002, in June 2015 it suffered a setback after losing its absolute
majority in parliament before winning it back in November that year. The new
constitution envisages major changes including the abolition of the premier's
post and giving the head of state power to appoint ministers. But these changes
will only come into force after elections scheduled for November 2019 and the
party membership shift is one of the few measures to take effect before then.
- 'Huge advantage' -Samim Akgonul, a researcher from the University of
Strasbourg, said Erdogan's return to the AKP would give him a "huge advantage".
By taking over the party, Erdogan would also be able to exert control over the
rival personalities and different factions within the AKP. "Erdogan wants to be
master of the party de-jure and not only de-facto so his decisions... on
appointments are not questioned," Akgonul added. Erdogan co-founded the AKP
along with other conservative heavyweights, including his predecessor Abdullah
Gul who has yet to return to the party following his 2007-2014 presidency. There
was speculation in the Turkish media about whether Gul would attend the ceremony
but Aktay said special invitations had not been made.
Moscow Beats Washington by Suggesting Zones of Tensions’
Reduction in Syria
Thaer Abbas and Paula Astih/Asharq Al-Awsat/May 02/17 /Beirut – Russia surprised
the Syrian opposition and their allies on Monday by suggesting four “zones of
reduction of tensions” in the country, and the creation of a joint working group
to prepare for a battle to remove ISIS and al-Nusra from those Syrian areas with
the help of the opposition, read a paper presented by Moscow to opposition
forces, including Ahrar al-Sham, during a preparatory meeting for the Astana
summit held in Ankara. The paper, which aims to de-escalate tension between
opposition forces and the regime, was leaked on the eve of the fourth round of
the Astana talks, to be held on Tuesday in the Kazakh capital. All 15 armed
opposition factions expected to participate in the Astana summit gave their
“preliminary approval” on the Russian proposal. However, those factions demanded
clarifications concerning the possibility of Iran’s participation in the joint
forces.“We will never accept the participation of Iran in the joint forces,” a
source from the Syrian opposition told Asharq Al-Awsat. Moscow also suggested
the creation of “safety lines along all the borders of the de-escalation zones
with the possibility of deploying forces from guarantor countries for ceasefire
monitoring,” the paper read. Syrian opposition member Abdel Rahman al-Hajj told
Asharq Al-Awsat on Monday that Ankara suggested that the interposition zones
proposed in Russia’s paper be of 2 km, adding that Moscow’s paper “is an
anticipatory operation to oust the proposal of safe zones, which the US is
currently planning to establish.”Meanwhile, after recuperating around 80 percent
of Tabqa from ISIS militants, the Syrian Democratic Forces, backed by the
Washington-led international coalition, edged closer to completely controlling
the city, located in the countryside of western Raqqa.
In the city of Raqqa, ISIS’ capital in Syria, residents suffered from a tense
security situation and difficult humanitarian conditions, as they wait for the
upcoming battle to liberate their city.
Human Rights Watchdog Reports Regime Massacre in Syria
after Peace Talks Relaunch
Asharq Al-Awsat/May 02/17 /The Syrian Network For Human Rights(SNHR) has
released a report entitled: “The Syrian Regime Perpetrates a Massacre in
Hamouriya Town Two Days After Geneva Talks’ Fifth Round Start”. The report
documents a massacre in Hamouriya town, in Damascus suburbs, that took place on
Saturday, March 25, 2017. The report relies on accounts from city residents,
eyewitnesses, and survivors. Also, the report includes verified footage and
videos showing great destruction that resulted from bombardment, and pictures of
child victims. SNHR is an independent non-profit non-governmental Syrian human
rights organization. It was established in June 2011 in the wake of the
systemically increasing human rights violations against the Syrian people and as
a response to the need for various human rights groups that can contribute to
exposing these practices and bring justice to the victims.
According to the report, targeted areas were civilian, where no military centers
or weapon warehouses for armed opposition factions or extremist groups were to
be found before or during the attack. Fixed-wing Syrian regime forces warplanes
fired four missiles targeting the center of al Rawda Street at the main market
in the middle of Hamouriya town, which resulted in the death of 17 civilians
including three children and seven women, and injured no less than 30 others,
said the report.
Additionally, al Rawda Mosque was heavily damaged, and tens of shops were
destroyed as well as a number of cars. The Syrian regime has, beyond any doubt,
violated Security Council Resolutions 2139 and 2254 which both states that
indiscriminate attacks must be halted, the report stressed. Also, the regime
violates Article 8 of Rome Statute through the crime of willful killing, which
constitutes war crimes. Targeting unarmed civilians, Syrian forces have violated
the rules of the international human rights law which guarantee the right to
life. Additionally, these violations were perpetrated in a non-international
armed conflict which amount to a war crime. The report called on the United
Nations’ Security Council to take additional measures against the incessant
bombardment of civilians, stressing that all warring parties to must respect
these steps, and adhere to the rules of the international humanitarian law.
Also, the report gave emphasis to further supporting the International,
Impartial and Independent Mechanism that was established in accordance with
General Assembly Resolution 248/71, adopted on December 21, 2016. The report
called for referring the Syrian case to the International Criminal Court and
holding all those who were involved accountable, and for the implementation of
the international commitment known as “Responsibility to Protect” in order to
save the lives of Syrians, culture, and arts from being destroyed, looted, and
ruined. A request was also made on expanding sanctions so that they include all
prominent figures in the Syrian and Iranian regimes who are directly involved in
committing crimes against humanity and war crimes against Syrians.
Turkey Seizes Russian Anti-Tank Missile Parts Smuggled from
Ukraine to Iran
Said Abdul Razzak/Asharq Al-Awsat/May 02/17 /Ankara – Counter-trafficking forces
seized main parts used in making advanced Russian anti-tank missiles in the port
of Zonguldak, in northern Turkey. Gunrunners have hidden the shipment inside a
truck coming from Ukraine en route to Iran. Turkish security sources said on
Monday that the truck driver, a 38-year-old Iranian national had been arrested.
When under interrogation, the driver confessed that the shipment on its way to
Iran, and that he was receiving financial rewards for every shipment he
smuggled. The Customs and Trade Ministry said Sunday that the man, identified
only by his initials E.E., was detained at the port in the Black Sea city of
Zonguldak, after officials searched his truck that had arrived aboard a vessel
from Ukraine. Turkish customs and trade authorities’ statement said that seized
objects in the truck were main parts used to make anti-tank missiles. The
statement added that the seized pieces are main 9K111 Fagot and 9K113 Konkurs
Russian-made anti-tank missile parts. Terrorist groups like ISIS and
paramilitary organizations like the Kurdish Democratic Union Party and its
Syrian military arm (Kurdish People’s Protection Units) have recently registered
activities involving the abovementioned missiles. The ministry said authorities
believe the missile parts had probably been sent for repairs and were being
returned to a terror organization. Security sources pointed out investigations
with the driver of the Iranian truck are underway.
Differences on Supporting Kurds Focus of Wednesday’s
Erdogan-Putin Talks
Taha Abed alWahed/Asharq Al-Awsat/May 02/17 /Moscow – Turkish President Recep
Tayyip Erdogan is expected to arrive in the Russian city of Sochi on Wednesday
where he is due to hold talks with President Valdimir Putin on bilateral ties
and regional issues, most notably Syria, announced the Kremlin.
Observers believe that support for Kurdish and radical groups will be a point of
contention between the two leaders. This is the second visit Erdogan pays to
Russia in 2017, with the first being on March 10. An informed source in Moscow
noted to Asharq Al-Awsat that the Erdogan-Putin meeting coincides with the
launch of a new round of negotiations on Syria in Astana. It said that the two
leaders could take advantage of the talks in order to reach understandings over
issues that will be present on the negotiations table. “Should Putin and Erdogan
reach understandings on issues addressed at Astana, then they will be confirming
the importance of their bilateral ties, which will create the necessary
conditions to overcome pending matters between the two countries,” it added. The
source did however rule out the possibility of Ankara and Moscow reaching an
understanding over Russia’s support for the Kurds. Putin and Erdogan will simply
listen to each other’s concerns on the issue and pledge to gradually overcome
differences over it, it explained. Ankara will in turn receive from Moscow a
final “warning” on Turkey’s alleged backing of radical Islamist groups in Syria,
reported Russia’s TASS news agency according to informed Russian foreign
ministry sources. Russia is keen to ask Turkey “whether it was in its interest
to keep on backing these groups” and whether Moscow can offer the necessary
support for Kurds in their fight against the ISIS terror group. In addition,
Russia will also issue a warning, asking Ankara how much it is prepared for real
strategic partnership with Moscow. It should however lift sanctions on the
import of Russian wheat before any progress can be made in this regard, said the
sources. Ties between Turkey and Russia deteriorated after the former shot down
a Russian plane in Syria in 2015. Erdogan and Putin sought to ease the tensions
and they have held several meetings in 2016 and 2017 to than end.
Hamas Seen Facing Long Path to End Isolation despite New Policy
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/May 02/17/Hamas has softened its
stance on Israel after long calling for its destruction, but the Palestinian
movement must do more to convince the world to end its isolation, analysts and
diplomats said Tuesday. The Islamist movement, which runs the Gaza Strip,
unveiled a new policy document on Monday night ahead of a first face-to-face
meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Palestinian President Mahmoud
Abbas, whose Fatah party remains at loggerheads with Hamas. Some analysts see
the move as an attempt by Hamas to ease tension with regional allies and assuage
hostilities with global powers. Speculation has also mounted over who will
succeed 82-year-old Abbas, whose Fatah movement is based in the occupied West
Bank, as Palestinian president. Hamas is considered a terrorist group by Israel,
the United States and the European Union, while it has strained relations with
many Arab states. Some diplomats said while the announcement was potentially
positive, they would need more to convince them the party had really changed its
approach. "It is a piece of paper. We will see if there is a real shift or if it
is window dressing," one Western diplomat said. While still attacking Israel,
the document accepts for the first time pre-1967 armistice lines as a matter of
"national consensus" -- in what many interpreted as implicitly accepting the
existence of Israel. Hamas officials however said that it did not amount to a
recognition of Israel as demanded by the international community. The document
also says its struggle is not against Jews because of their religion but against
Israel as an occupier, with Hamas officials stressing it was a shift. One Hamas
leader, Ahmed Yusef, told AFP the updated charter was "more moderate, more
measured and would help protect us against accusations of racism, anti-Semitism
and breaches of international law." However the Islamist movement will still not
negotiate directly with Israel and the original hardline 1988 charter will not
be dropped, just supplemented, in a move some analysts see as a way of
maintaining the backing of hardliners. Israel rejected the document, with Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's spokesman accusing Hamas of "attempting to fool
the world." Israel has fought three wars with Hamas since 2008 and maintains a
crippling blockade on Gaza. On Tuesday, there were a number of Hamas-organized
protests against the decade-long blockade, with a few thousand protesters taking
to the streets in different cities.
Muted response
Mukhaimer Abu Saada, a political analyst in Gaza, said the document sought to
help improve regional and global relations. The document made no reference to
the Muslim Brotherhood, of which Hamas was a splinter movement. In 2013, Muslim
Brotherhood president Mohammed Morsi was overthrown in Egypt, and the movement
has since been suppressed in several Middle Eastern countries. "Hamas has been
isolated regionally and internationally since the outbreak of the so-called Arab
Spring and the exclusion of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt," Abu Saada said.
"It is about assuring Egypt and the other Arab states there is no relationship
between Hamas (and the Brotherhood)." There was little initial public reaction,
either positive or negative, on Tuesday. The United States, Russia and other
global players remained silent, with Arab states remaining largely quiet. The
office of U.N. Middle East envoy Nickolay Mladenov did not comment on the
contents of the document. Another Western diplomat said that as the document did
not officially recognize Israel or renounce violence, it would be impossible for
them to change position publicly. Congressman Ed Royce, chair of the U.S. House
Foreign Affairs Committee, offered a rare reaction, downplaying the document's
significance. "Until Hamas recognizes Israel's right to exist, its words are
meaningless. I will see to it that Hamas remains designated a terrorist
organization as long as it continues to launch rocket attacks against Israeli
civilians."
A third diplomat based in Israel saw some reason to be positive, but stressed it
would be unlikely to lead to any shifts in relations in the short term.
"Diplomats have been pushing for a change to the charter for a long time," he
said. "You need extremists to move towards the center." Yossi Mekelberg from the
Chatham House think tank in London said that while Israel was publicly bullish,
some would interpret it as a positive sign. But he noted the issue had not
received extensive coverage in Western media. "If you look at Europe, it is
pretty self-obsessed right now," said Mekelberg, also a professor at Regent's
University London. "They are hardly interested in Hamas. "I think the response
from the international community will be that it is a good sign, something to be
explored, but we won't see major shifts."
New Hamas Program Softens Language, but Some Goals Remain
Associated Press/Naharnet/May 02/17/The Islamic militant Hamas on
Monday unveiled what had been billed as a new, seemingly more pragmatic
political program aimed at ending the group's international isolation. With the
new manifesto, Hamas rebrands itself as an Islamic national liberation movement,
rather than a branch of the pan-Arab Muslim Brotherhood, which has been outlawed
by Egypt. It also drops explicit language calling for Israel's destruction,
though it retains the goal of eventually "liberating" all of historic Palestine,
which includes what is now Israel.
It's not clear if the changes will be enough to improve relations with Egypt
which, along with Israel, has been enforcing a crippling border blockade against
the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip since the group seized the territory in 2007. Hamas
clung to hard-line positions that led to its isolation in the first place. The
group reaffirmed that it will not recognize Israel, renounce violence or
recognize previous interim Israeli-Palestinian peace deals — the West's
long-standing conditions for dealing with Hamas.
The five-page program, a result of four years of internal deliberations, was
presented at a news conference in Doha, Qatar, by Khaled Mashaal, the outgoing
Hamas leader in exile. The group has said Mashaal's replacement is to be named
later this month, after the completion of secret leadership elections. The
document reflects a "reasonable Hamas, that is serious about dealing with the
reality and the regional and international surroundings, while still
representing the cause of its people," said Mashaal. A copy of the program was
distributed to journalists in Gaza who followed the news conference by video
link.
The new platform seemed to cement the ideological divide between Hamas and its
main political rival, the Fatah movement of Western-backed Palestinian President
Mahmoud Abbas. Hamas drove out forces loyal to Abbas in its 2007 takeover of
Gaza, a year after defeating Fatah in Palestinian parliament elections.
Reconciliation efforts have failed. The Hamas manifesto was released at a time
of escalating tensions between the two sides. In recent weeks, Abbas has
threatened to exert financial pressure, including cutting wage payments and aid
to Gaza, as a way of forcing Hamas to cede ground. Leaders of the group have
vowed they will not budge. The war of words with Hamas was seen as an attempt by
Abbas to position himself as a leader of all Palestinians ahead of his first
meeting with President Donald Trump at the White House on Wednesday. The U.S.
president has said he would try to broker Israeli-Palestinian negotiations on a
peace deal, despite repeated failures over the past two decades. In the past,
Hamas has sharply criticized Abbas' political program, which rests on setting up
a Palestinian state in the West Bank, Gaza Strip and east Jerusalem, lands
Israel captured in the 1967 Mideast War. In its founding charter, Hamas called
for setting up an Islamic state in historic Palestine, or the territory between
the Mediterranean and the Jordan River, which also includes Israel.
The new program for the first time raises the possibility of establishing a
Palestinian state in the 1967 lines, saying it's a "national consensus formula."
However, the wording suggests Hamas considers this to be an interim step, not a
way of ending the conflict. The document does not contain an explicit call for
Israel's destruction, but says "Hamas rejects any alternative to the full and
complete liberation of Palestine, from the river to the sea.""There shall be no
recognition of the legitimacy of the Zionist entity," the document says. The
Palestine Liberation Organization, now led by Abbas, exchanged letters of mutual
recognition with Israel in 1993. The Hamas document said it considers armed
resistance against occupation as a strategic choice and that the group "rejects
any attempt to undermine the resistance and its arms."Over the years, Hamas has
carried out shooting, bombing and rocket attacks in Israel. Since 2008, Israel
and Hamas militants in Gaza have fought three cross-border wars. Abbas has been
an outspoken opponent of violence, saying it undercuts Palestinian interests.
While the founding charter was filled with anti-Jewish references, the new
document stresses that Hamas bears no enmity toward Jews. It says its fight is
with those who occupy Palestinian lands. Mashaal is to step down as Hamas leader
later this month. Two possible contenders for the No. 1 spot are Moussa Abu
Marzouk, a former Hamas leader, and Ismail Haniyeh, a former top Hamas official
in Gaza. The Mashaal announcement was initially scheduled for 7 p.m. (1600 GMT)
Monday, but was delayed after a Doha hotel withdrew consent at the last minute
to host the Hamas news conference. Hamas scrambled to find a new venue.
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources
published on May 02-03/17
The Trump-Abbas Meeting: Issues,
Constraints, and Ways Forward
Ghaith al-Omari, Ehud Yaari, David Makovsky, and Dennis Ross/The
Washington Institute/May 02/2017
Watch leading American, Israeli, and Palestinian experts preview Palestinian
Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas' May 3 White House meeting with President Trump.
On May 1, Ghaith al-Omari, Ehud Yaari, David Makovsky, and Dennis Ross addressed
a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Omari is a senior fellow at the
Institute, former advisor to the Palestinian Authority, and author of the recent
report Governance as a Path to Palestinian Political Rejuvenation. Yaari is a
Lafer International Fellow with the Institute and a Middle East commentator for
Israel's Channel Two television. Makovsky is the Institute's Ziegler
Distinguished Fellow and coauthor (with Ross) of its Transition 2017 paper
Toward a New Paradigm for Addressing the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict. Ross is
the Institute's William Davidson Distinguished Fellow and former U.S. point man
on the peace process. The following is a rapporteur's summary of their remarks.
GHAITH AL-OMARI
Today in the Palestinian territories, the political situation bears similarities
to the situation preceding the first two intifadas, creating the possibility of
another outbreak. Namely, the Palestinian Authority (PA) lacks legitimacy due to
corruption, poor governance, and an inability to register achievements in the
peace process. Lacking popular support, the PA has a weakened hold on the
mechanisms of government control. A concurrent lack of faith in the peace
process makes the situation more volatile still. Indeed, if Palestinians do not
see their goals advanced through diplomacy, they may turn to other means to
address their grievances.
Another factor suggesting the possibility of a new intifada is generational:
today's younger Palestinians simply do not remember the costs of the earlier
intifadas. So far, the PA security forces have kept a lid on tensions, but their
powers to contain dissent are limited. The best way to truly prevent an intifada
is for the PA to gain broad legitimacy among the Palestinian public. This would
require a vigorous push to implement governance reforms, eliminate corruption,
and open up political space for grassroots dialogue.
In the broader regional context, the Saudis and other Gulf states may be willing
to help with the Palestinian situation, but the United States first must show a
serious commitment to confronting Iran, these states' regional adversary. Once
assured of this U.S. commitment, they may be willing to join an open U.S.-PA
dialogue, in which they can support and prod the PA as necessary. If the Arab
states demonstrate buy-in to such a process, PA president Mahmoud Abbas himself
will be forced to stay involved.
EHUD YAARI
As Mahmoud Abbas makes his way to Washington, U.S. president Donald Trump must
be mindful of the local Palestinian context in striving to develop a dialogue
that enables concrete improvements in the diplomatic situation.
For his part, Abbas realizes the tenuousness of his position in the PA, and he
is taking strong steps to protect himself. He thus privately admonished his
security chief, Majid Faraj, after Faraj appeared to be consolidating too much
power. Furthermore, he is reluctant to choose a successor, fearing such a figure
will be empowered at his own expense. His brittle grasp on power also means he
is unlikely to strike a final-status peace deal, even if the Israelis make a
relatively generous offer. He does not want to be known as the leader who
betrayed the Palestinian commitment to allow millions of refugees to return to
their homes. Abbas, moreover, understands that Trump will be a harsher
interlocutor than Obama was, and the PA leader will likely seek to minimize
potential damage to his name during the Trump meeting.
At home, Abbas has cracked down on Hamas, cutting funding for electricity and
reducing officials' salaries. Hamas, meanwhile, has indicated a possible
willingness to enter into some kind of power-sharing arrangement with Abbas's
Fatah faction in the Gaza Strip. In practice, Hamas's role would resemble
Hezbollah's in Lebanon, where the government officially runs state institutions
and security forces but the militant group wields greater power de facto.
Altogether, conditions do not appear to be ripe for a major breakthrough on a
final-status deal, and a failed attempt could backfire. Instead, the Trump
administration should lay the groundwork for a generous interim agreement
whereby Israel would cede to the Palestinians control of the majority of the
West Bank. If Trump is eager for an immediate victory, he can ask Abbas to
recognize the historical Jewish connection to Israel and Jerusalem. But he
should acknowledge the high unlikelihood of a final-status agreement -- and act
accordingly.
DAVID MAKOVSKY
Abbas takes pride in his past defiance of the United States, once declaring that
he had said "no" twelve times to former president Barack Obama. President Trump,
however, has signaled that he will not go as easy on Abbas as Obama did, and
will be less willing to take no for an answer. Likely recognizing this changed
dynamic, Abbas will adjust to his new reality. He also is enjoying his turn in
the limelight, a result of renewed U.S. interest in the peace process.
Therefore, he will want to remain relevant to Trump.
While the Arab states certainly have an interest in renewing the peace process,
a large regional conference is unlikely to take place in the near future. To be
effective, such a conference would need to mark the first step in a lengthier
process, rather than being simply a single event. Indeed, expending significant
energy on a one-off conference that produces no substantial change risks
squandering the president's credibility.
On the Israeli side, officials increasingly recognize the urgency of the
Palestinian issue. One former Mossad head, Tamir Pardo, publicly identified it
as Israel's most important existential threat. To address this issue and others
important to him, Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu must maintain his
good relationship with Trump. He demonstrated such a commitment when Israel
unilaterally announced its intentions to restrain settlement construction
somewhat, a clear response to Trump's request for such a step. For his entire
tenure as premier, Netanyahu has longed to work with a Republican president. If
he can't partner successfully with this one, he will look like the problem, not
the Americans.
DENNIS ROSS
Israelis and Palestinians today are as pessimistic about a final-status deal as
they have been in the past thirty years. Yet despite the temptation to leave the
problem alone, allowing a power vacuum to form does not constitute a feasible
option. As experience has shown in Iraq, Syria, as well as in the Palestinian
context, the worst actors will fill such a vacuum. Since President Trump has
made his interest in the Israeli-Palestinian issue clear, he should approach the
meeting with Abbas in a way that empowers the PA leader to improve the
situation.
In particular, Trump must make a request of Abbas, although, crucially, he
should not expect an immediate answer. Rather, he must give Abbas the space to
respond in some form over a specified period -- but at the same time insist that
Abbas act. And this request does not involve two common suggestions -- a single
Netanyahu-Abbas meeting or an end to the PA push to internationalize the
conflict -- which will be ineffective since they do not materially change
circumstances on the ground.
Instead, Trump can ask Abbas to cease sending money to the Martyrs Fund, an
entity that provides cash payments to Palestinians in jail for killing Israelis.
For Abbas, this will be a difficult move, given that the idea of struggle
against Israel is essential to Palestinian identity. Accordingly, ending these
payments would be a strong statement that Abbas is willing to take the necessary
steps for compromise. Alternatively, Trump can ask Abbas to acknowledge the
two-states-for-two-peoples formulation, a requirement in setting the stage for a
final-status agreement. For this to happen, Abbas must acknowledge the existence
of two national movements, one Israeli and one Palestinian.
If Abbas proves unwilling to make any concessions, then the United States can
publicize his noncompliance. One of the Palestinians' most important
achievements has been international legitimacy for their cause. If Washington
were to publicly portray Abbas as intransigent, that could undermine their
hard-won legitimacy, giving the Americans leverage in talks.
Bringing the Arab states into this conversation is likewise important, but these
countries want assurances that the United States takes the Iranian threat as
seriously as they do. If the Arab capitals see Washington devising a strategy
that counters the Iranians and forces them to pay a price for their regional
behavior, then they will be more willing to help provide cover for both the
Israelis and Palestinians to make difficult decisions.
**This summary was prepared by Aryeh Mellman.
Hamas's Moderate Rhetoric Belies Militant Activities
Matthew Levitt and Maxine Rich/The Washington Institute/May 02/2017
A softer tone in the Gaza group's new statement will mean nothing without
parallel changes in its behavior.
On May 1, Hamas released the first update to its founding 1988 charter at a
press conference in Qatar. While the original charter explicitly ties Hamas to
the Muslim Brotherhood, identifies the only solution to the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict as militant jihad, and calls for the creation of an Islamist state, the
new statement -- which does not supersede the previous charter, despite the new
language -- was expected to adopt a softer, seemingly more moderate tone. But
rhetoric aside, Hamas's recent actions offer a clear indication of the group's
continued hardline militancy.
BACKGROUND: THE HAMAS CHARTER
From its inception, Hamas has been explicitly dedicated to Israel's destruction
and the establishment of an Islamist Palestinian state in all of historic
Palestine. Its core ideology is manifest in its 1988 charter -- first published
in Chicago by one of its front organizations, the Islamic Association of
Palestine -- which rejects any permanent peace with Israel on religious,
nationalist, and ideological grounds. It therefore flows logically, according to
the charter, that "there is no solution for the Palestinian question except
through Jihad. Initiatives, proposals and international conferences are all a
waste of time and vain endeavors."
The 1988 charter calls for the creation of an Islamist state, rather than a
secular one, and includes unmistakably anti-Semitic language targeting Jews, not
Israel. Perhaps more problematic for Hamas today, the 1988 charter expressly
describes the group as "one of the wings of the Muslim Brotherhood."
Hamas, however, is trying to transform itself. Its political statement, leaked
to the press in April, sparked renewed interest in a Hamas "makeover." The
document distances Hamas from the Muslim Brotherhood, and may include some
acknowledgment of the 1967 armistice lines for the Six Day War as the basis for
a deal with Israel. The Hamas charter, for its part, was a one-man job, written
by Sheikh Abdul Fattah Dukhan as the group was just forming itself. Ever since,
officials have engaged in periodic discussions about updating the charter and
softening its sharper edges.
Hamas's so-called moderation is aimed at widening its international appeal at a
time when the group faces multiple challenges, including a dismal economic
situation in Gaza -- most recently underscored by the energy crisis in Gaza --
and strained relations with Egypt, which is at war with Hamas's parent
organization, the Muslim Brotherhood. And despite being hailed as a sign of
moderation, the document still includes less friendly sections, including a
rededication to armed resistance to liberate all of Palestine, "from the Jordan
River eastward to the Mediterranean Sea in the west." Even as Hamas is trying to
change its tune, its recent militant activity speaks volumes about the group's
true intentions.
HAMAS PREPARATIONS FOR WAR
Since 2014, when dozens of its tunnels, bases, and missiles were destroyed in
its most recent clash with Israel, Hamas has worked to rebuild its wartime
infrastructure, including drilling tunnels within the Gaza Strip and into both
Egypt and Israel. In 2016, Hamas announced the deaths of twenty-two members of
its military wing; most died in tunnel collapses. So far this year, several
Hamas members have likewise been killed in tunnel collapses or accidents. In
March, Hamas unexpectedly called upon two thousand reservists to participate in
a drill meant to simulate a major conflict with Israel, including a ground
invasion. The exercise, which included artillery, combat intelligence, and
combat engineering elements, is the terrorist organization's largest this year.
Relatedly, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) recently defused two bombs buried
near the Gaza-Israel border. Hamas's international preparations for war were
also brought to light in February when a Hamas operative, who had been living in
Turkish Cyprus, was arrested on his return to the West Bank. He admitted to
joining Hamas while abroad and training at a military camp in Syria.
Hamas's preparations are not limited to an on-the-ground struggle. In March, it
was revealed that Hamas had produced several dozen advanced missiles similar to
those maintained by Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant group and political party.
The Israel Security Agency, or Shin Bet, warned late last year that Hamas's
missile arsenal now equals it strength prior to the 2014 conflict, during which
the group shot more than a thousand rockets toward Israel.
HAMAS SMUGGLING
In Gaza, Hamas continues to smuggle weapons, money, and equipment in preparation
for violent attacks and the next conflict with Israel, which foiled 1,226
smuggling attempts at the Gaza border in 2016. Most recently, two Gazan sisters
were caught attempting to enter Israel laden with explosives. One of the sisters
had a visa into Israel to receive cancer treatment, and tried to smuggle
explosive materials hidden inside medical supply tubes. Shin Bet's initial
investigation indicates that the supplies were sent by Hamas for use in
terrorist attacks in Israel. Earlier this month, Israeli authorities seized
thirty diving suits, allegedly bound for Hamas's burgeoning naval militant
branch, hidden within a shipment of imported sports clothes. A Gaza fisherman
was also recently arrested for smuggling equipment to Hamas.
In the West Bank, another illicit shipment was intercepted last year, filled
with materials for hundreds of mortars and rockets, and electric engines used
for digging tunnels. And Hamas continues to take advantage of international
humanitarian workers. In March, the coordinator of the Turkish Cooperation and
Coordination Agency's Gaza branch, Muhammad Murtaja, was arrested on charges of
aiding the terrorist organization. To improve the accuracy of Hamas rocket
attacks, the man claimed he was supposed to bring a disk-on-key to Hamas,
containing "improved and elaborately detailed maps of various sites in Israel."
He also helped dig a tunnel, became an expert in explosive devices, and
witnessed cash transfers from the Turkish organization to Hamas officials.
HAMAS IN THE WEST BANK
Hamas continues to build its infrastructure in the West Bank and Israel. In 2016
alone, 114 local Hamas cells were apprehended in the West Bank, versus 70 in
2015. One cell, broken up near Hebron in February, had been receiving
instructions online from Hamas for shooting, kidnapping, and explosives attacks.
Several of the targets were within Israel proper, including a bus station, a
train station, and a synagogue. Another attempted kidnapping plot was foiled in
December, resulting in the seizure of large quantities of ammunition, two
AK-47s, three pistols, and a shotgun from the West Bank cell. That same month, a
Hamas operative was arrested when authorities uncovered his plans for attacks in
and around Jerusalem, including bombing a bus.
Hamas invests heavily in its base outside Gaza. A major money-transfer route was
thus detected in February, through which Hamas sent thousands of dollars via
debit cards smuggled to its operatives in the West Bank. Hamas is also
aggressively developing its West Bank arsenal. In February, the IDF closed a
West Bank bookstore used by Hamas to produce incendiary propaganda and
manufacture explosives, and a gun manufacturing facility was busted late last
year near Hebron, a notorious Hamas stronghold.
HAMAS IN SINAI
Despite its supposed rapprochement with Egypt, Hamas continues to work closely
with Islamists in the Sinai Peninsula. In March, Israel issued an explicit
warning to Hamas about these activities: "Hamas leaders: Your efforts to hide
your cooperation with Islamic State's smuggling from Sinai, through lies and
manipulation in attempts to broadcast 'business as usual' with Egypt, are not
hidden from our view." Indeed, Hamas benefits financially from its relationship
with the Islamic State in Sinai, through which it is able to smuggle weapons
into Gaza. In fact, Hamas recently increased its tax on goods smuggled into Gaza
by IS Sinai fighters. Hamas, in turn, allows IS Sinai to run a media channel
from the Gaza Strip, through which the Sinai jihadist group has claimed
responsibility for attacks in Egypt. And Hamas has treated wounded IS fighters
in the hospitals it runs in Gaza. According to recent reports, some weapons used
by IS in attacks against Egyptian forces came from Gaza into Sinai -- a reverse
directional flow and one that has Egyptian authorities particularly concerned.
CONCLUSION
As Hamas leader Khaled Mashal insisted last month, "We were and we still are in
an open war with [the] criminal enemy [Israel]." Hamas may engage in politics,
"but it insists on the choice of jihad and resistance...[This choice] is Hamas's
greater and first strategy...This is Hamas. Hamas is not changing its skin."
Indeed, nowhere are the group's true intentions more clear than in its recent
election of Yahya Sinwar, a convicted murderer and militant hardliner, as its
new leader in Gaza. Just last month, Sinwar swore that Hamas will continue to
fight Israel and would "not surrender even a morsel" of land. A change in Hamas
rhetoric will mean nothing without a parallel change in Hamas behavior.
The international community should judge Hamas not by any moderation in the
group's rhetoric but by its actions on the ground. So long as the latter remain
militant and extreme, the relative moderation of the former means not much at
all.
Matthew Levitt is the Fromer-Wexler Fellow and director of the Stein Program on
Counterterrorism and Intelligence at The Washington Institute. Maxine Rich is a
research assistant at the Institute.
Germany: Migrant Crime Spiked in 2016
Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/May 02/17
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/?p=54902
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/10304/germany-migrants-crime
Although non-Germans make up approximately 10% of the overall German population,
they accounted for 30.5% of all crime suspects in the country in 2016.
Nearly 250,000 migrants entered the country illegally in 2016, up 61.4% from
154,188 in 2015. More than 225,000 migrants were found living in the country
illegally (Unerlaubter Aufenthalt) in 2016.
The Berlin Senate launched an inquiry into why migrants disproportionally appear
as criminals in the city-state compared to Germans.
An official annual report about crime in Germany has revealed a rapidly
deteriorating security situation in the country marked by a dramatic increase in
violent crime, including murder, rape and sexual assault.
The report also shows a direct link between the growing lawlessness in Germany
and Chancellor Angela Merkel's decision to allow in more than one million mostly
male migrants from Africa, Asia and the Middle East.
The report — Police Crime Statistics 2016 (Polizeiliche Kriminalstatistik, PKS)
— was compiled by the Federal Criminal Police Office (Bundeskriminalamt, BKA)
and presented by Interior Minister Thomas de Maizière in Berlin on April 24.
umber of non-German crime suspects (nichtdeutsche Tatverdächtige) legally
residing in Germany jumped to 616,230 in 2016, up from 555,820 in 2015 — an
increase of 11% — according to the report. Although non-Germans make up
approximately 10% of the overall German population, they accounted for 30.5% of
all crime suspects in the country in 2016, up from 27.6% in 2015.
In this year's report, the BKA created a separate subcategory called "migrants"
(Zuwanderer) which encompasses a combination of refugees, pending asylum
seekers, failed asylum seekers and illegal immigrants.
According to the BKA, the number of migrant crime suspects (tatverdächtiger
Zuwanderer) in Germany in 2016 jumped to 174,438 from 114,238 in 2015 — up
52.7%. Although "migrants" made up less than 2% of the German population in
2016, they accounted for 8.6% of all crime suspects in the country — up from
5.7% in 2015.
In terms of non-German crime suspects residing legally in Germany, Turks were
the primary offenders in 2016, with 69,918 suspects, followed by Romanians,
Poles, Syrians, Serbs, Italians, Afghans, Bulgarians, Iraqis, Albanians,
Kosovars, Moroccans, Iranians and Algerians.
In terms of migrant crime suspects, Syrians were the primary offenders, followed
by Afghans, Iraqis, Albanians, Algerians, Moroccans, Serbs, Iranians, Kosovars
and Somalis.
Police in Bremen, Germany frisk a North African youth who is suspected of theft.
(Image source: ZDF video screenshot)
The report's other findings include:
2016. These include a 14.3% increase in murder and manslaughter, a 12.7%
increase in rape and sexual assault and a 9.9% increase in aggravated assault.
The BKA also recorded a 14.8% increase in weapons offenses and a 7.1% increase
in drug offenses.
Non-German crime suspects committed 2,512 rapes and sexual assaults in Germany
in 2016 — an average of seven a day. Syrians were the primary offenders,
followed by Afghans, Iraqis, Pakistanis, Iranians, Algerians, Moroccans,
Eritreans, Nigerians and Albanians. German authorities have repeatedly been
accused of underreporting the true scale of the migrant rape problem for
political reasons. For example, up to 90% of the sex crimes committed in Germany
in 2014 do not appear in the official statistics, according to André Schulz, the
head of the Association of Criminal Police (Bund Deutscher Kriminalbeamter, BDK).
Non-German crime suspects committed 11,525 robberies in Germany in 2016 — an
average of 32 a day. Moroccans were the primary offenders, followed by
Algerians, Syrians, Georgians, Tunisians, Albanians, Afghans, Serbs, Iraqis and
Iranians.
Non-German crime suspects committed 56,252 aggravated assaults in 2016 — an
average of 154 a day. Syrians were the primary offenders, followed by Afghans,
Iraqis, Iranians, Moroccans, Algerians, Somalis, Albanians, Eritreans and
Pakistanis.
Bavaria was the German state most affected by non-German criminality, followed
by North Rhine-Westphalia, Baden-Württemberg, Hesse, Berlin, Lower Saxony,
Rhineland-Palatinate, Saxony, Hamburg, Schleswig-Holstein, Saxony-Anhalt,
Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Saarland, Bremen and Thüringen.
Berlin was the German city most affected by non-German criminality, followed by
Munich, Hamburg, Frankfurt, Cologne, Düsseldorf, Hanover, Stuttgart, Dortmund,
Bremen, Leipzig, Nürnberg, Essen, Duisburg, Mannheim, Karlsruhe, Dresden,
Freiburg im Breisgau, Chemnitz, Aachen, Bielefeld, Wuppertal, Augsburg, Bonn,
Bochum, Gelsenkirchen, Wiesbaden, Münster, Kiel, Halle, Krefeld, Braunschweig,
Mainz, Lübeck, Mönchengladbach, Erfurt, Oberhausen, Magdeburg and Rostock.
The BKA also recorded 487,711 violations of German immigration laws (ausländerrechtliche
Verstöße), up 21.1% from 402,741 violations in 2015. Nearly 250,000 migrants
entered the country illegally in 2016, up 61.4% from 154,188 in 2015. More than
225,000 migrants were found living in the country illegally (Unerlaubter
Aufenthalt) in 2016.
The new data contradicts claims made by the BKA in December 2016 — just four
months before the current report — that migrant criminality was actually
decreasing.
During a press conference in Berlin on April 24, Interior Minister Thomas de
Maizière admitted:
"The proportion of foreign suspects, and migrants in particular, is higher than
the average for the general population. This cannot be sugarcoated. There is an
overall rise in disrespect, violence and hate. Those who commit serious offenses
here forfeit their right to stay here."
Separately, officials in Bavaria revealed that the number of crimes committed by
asylum seekers and refugees there increased by 58% in 2016. They accounted for
9.6% of all crimes committed in the state, up from 3.2% in 2015 and 1.8% in
2012. Syrians were the primary offenders, followed by Afghans, Iraqis and
Nigerians.
"The increase in crime in Bavaria in 2016 is mainly due to foreign suspects,
especially immigrants," said Bavarian Interior Minister Joachim Herrmann.
At the same time, officials in Baden-Württemberg noted a 95.5% increase in the
number of physical assaults involving at least one migrant in 2016.
Meanwhile, the Berlin Senate launched an inquiry into why migrants
disproportionally appear as criminals in the city-state compared to Germans. In
2016, 40% of all crime suspects in the German capital were non-Germans.
None of this seems to be having an impact on the German elections set for
September 24, 2017. Polls show that if the election for German chancellor were
held today, Angela Merkel, who is largely responsible for the migration crisis,
would be re-elected with 37% of the vote. Martin Schulz, the Social Democrat
candidate who has pledged to increase migration to Germany even further, would
win 29% of the vote and the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany would win
8%. For now, German voters appear to believe that the alternatives to Merkel are
all worse.
*Soeren Kern is a Senior Fellow at the New York-based Gatestone Institute.
Follow him on Facebook and on Twitter.
© 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/10304/germany-migrants-crime
Germany Hit by Merkel's Imported Crime Wave
Vijeta Uniyal/Gatestone Institute/May 02/17
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/?p=54900
According to the Germany's annual crime report, compiled by the Federal Crime
Bureau (BKA), there has been a more than 50% rise in migrant crime in the
country compared to the year before.
They not only indulge in petty crime but have come to dominate serious and
violent crime in Germany.
European mainstream media may keep on putting a positive spin on Merkel's
"courageous" and "selfless" stance, but her policy continues to incur heavy
economic, social and human cost, not only on Germany, but on the cultural future
of European civilisation.
At the height of the European migrant crisis in early 2016, when masses of
migrants were pouring into Europe, the German Green Party Chairwoman Katrin
Göring-Eckardt could not control her joy. "We have just received an unexpected
gift in the form of people," she told her fellow Germans, reminding them to be
grateful. This gift, she said, was going to make the country "more religious,
more colourful, more diverse and younger." It was gift, it turns out, that keeps
on giving.
According to the country's annual crime report, compiled by the Federal Crime
Bureau (BKA), there has been a more than 50% rise in migrant crime in the
country compared to the year before.
The German newspaper Die Welt, which received an advance copy of the annual
crime report, wrote:
"The number of immigrants suspected of criminal acts in 2016 has risen by 52.7
percent, to the figure of 174,438, compared to the previous year. To ensure a
fair comparison with the rest of the population, crimes that only immigrants can
commit, such as illegal entry to the country, have been taken out from the
statistics. The annual police report (PKS) shows that there were total of
616,230 crime suspects of foreign origin last year. The migrant share [of total
crime figures] was disproportionately large, namely 174,438 -- more than a
quarter."
These staggering crime statistics are even more alarming if one looks through
the narrow definition German government uses to denote a "criminal migrant". As
Die Welt explains, these crime figures do not take into account "foreigners who
have been living and working in Germany for some time, but only a specific group
of protection-seekers [refugees]."
In a sane world, the government would take steps to protect its own citizens
from such "protection-seekers". Not in Merkel's Germany.
What is relevant is not only what these official crime statistics reveal, but
what they conceal. The actual crime share of these "protection-seekers" is much
higher if one considers the fact that more than 30% of them are serial offenders
and 5% of them have been booked on criminal charges at least 6 times -- a
mind-boggling number given their relatively recent arrival in the country.
These new entrants make up less than 2% of the German population, but constitute
9% of Germany's criminal population. They not only indulge in petty crime but
have come to dominate serious and violent crime in Germany. Nearly 15% of all
suspects charged with serious bodily harm, rapes and sexual assaults come from
this group, the police crime report reveals.
The German government's denial of surging migrant crime wave has led to the
systemic under-reporting and suppression of information about migrant crimes.
Take, for example, Berlin, where a left-wing state government keeps police
chronically disarmed, even of defensive gear such as bulletproof vests, let
alone firearms. The Berlin government prohibits law enforcement agencies from
using video surveillance in the German capital, on the grounds of "civil
rights".
To highlight the rampant lawlessness in Berlin, a TV crew from the German cable
network SAT1 installed its own surveillance cameras around Berlin's well-known
Kottbusser Tor no-go zone. Last year, the Berlin police registered 1,600 crimes
around Kottbusser Tor. An ordinary television crew, however, managed to record
hundreds of crimes in just 48 hours. According to journalist and moderator Claus
Strunz:
"Our 9 cameras monitored the area [Kottbusser Tor] for 48 hours. And on the
video feed -- we can't say the exact number -- but there are hundreds of crimes
that would have otherwise gone undiscovered... And the parents [living in the
area] say that in the year and a half since [uncontrolled migration began], they
don't let their daughters walk alone on the street... either day or night."
As no act of journalistic insubordination against Merkel's "Refugees Welcome"
directive goes unpunished, Claus Strunz was attacked by a journalist colleague
for "politicising" his current affairs show. He was called a "populist" --
dog-whistle-talk for a far-right sympathiser -- a potentially suicidal career
move for any journalist wishing to work in Germany.
Strunz was also one of the few German journalists who cared to highlight the
plight of the families of the victims of the last year's Christmas market
attack, in which a Tunisian Islamist migrant drove a truck loaded with 20 tons
of steel beams into a busy Christmas market in Berlin. He murdered 12 people and
injured 48 others.
The German mainstream media evidently decided not to personalize the stories of
the Berlin terror victims. In a telling move, Merkel government categorized the
victims of that attack as victims of regular "traffic accident". For Merkel and
Germany's ruling establishment, apparently, the victims of migrant crimes and
terror are nothing more than unfortunate roadkill on the way towards a
multicultural paradise.
Rather than tackling the migrant crime wave, the Merkel government has chosen to
spin the facts and bury the truth.
"Refugees aren't more criminal than Germans," a senior official from Germany's
Ministry of the Interior claimed last summer. He further maintained that,
according to the Ministry's calculations, "migrants hardly committed any sexual
assaults and murders." That statement was made barely six months after mass
sexual assaults on New Year's Eve in Cologne.
When Chancellor Merkel began her re-election bid five months ago, she described
migrant crimes as "terrible isolated incidents" for which she wanted to see
"tough sentencing."
So how does "tough sentencing" look like under Merkel's watch? For those New
Year's Eve assaults in Cologne, where some two thousand Muslim men raped,
assaulted and robbed more than 1200 women, almost all of the attackers managed
to walk free. They did not even see a judge, let alone face punishment. Despite
hundreds of testimonies by victims, countless reliable eyewitnesses and endless
surveillance footage, the Interior Minister of North Rhine-Westphalia state,
where Cologne is located, admitted that "most of the cases will remain
unsolved."
With five months to go until the German elections, Merkel's government has
decided to address the problem by instituting an €18 million study to probe the
issues of "migration and integration."
That is just peanuts compared to what Merkel is willing to pay for her "refugee"
policy. Her decision to offer asylum to more than one million migrants will cost
country's taxpayers up to €1.5 trillion, according to the prominent German
economist Bernd Raffelhüschen. In the best-case scenario, Raffelhüschen
estimates, the cost of Germany's migrant policy will be around €878 billion. "If
the second generation [of the migrants] cannot be integrated into the workforce
at par with the native population, these costs will go up to €1.5 trillion,"
Raffelhüschen told Die Welt. Raffelhüschen's calculations, published last year,
only take into account the migrant intake of 2015; they do not include any
present or future migrant waves.
Germany's Federal Integration Commissioner and Merkel-confidant Aydan Özoguz is
pushing for migrants to be granted voting rights similar to German citizens in
any national referendum -- regardless of their legal status. According to an
advisory report recently co-authored by Özoguz, "people who permanently live in
a country should be able to participate in democratic decision making."
Özoguz, who helped shape Merkel's refugee policy of opening up Europe to
millions of migrants from Arab and Muslim countries, with her proposal to grant
voting rights to migrants, is creating a roadmap for a radical transform of
Germany -- and by default that of the continental Europe
To offset the recent rise of right-wing political party, Alterative für
Deutschland (AfD), the German political establishment sees the empowerment of
such a vast new wave of migrants as a political counterweight.
Ever since Merkel opened Europe's borders in the spring of 2015 by arbitrarily
suspending the existing EU-wide border regulations (Dublin II), Europe has been
dragging itself ever deeper into a self-inflicted migrant crisis. European
mainstream media may keep on putting a positive spin on Merkel's "courageous"
and "selfless" stance, but her policy continues to incur heavy economic, social
and human cost, not only on Germany, but on the cultural future of European
civilization.
*Vijeta Uniyal, a journalist and news analyst, is based in Germany.
© 2017 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Republicans Are Now the ‘America First’ Party
Russel Ronald Reno/The New York Times/May 02/17
For most of my career, the Republican Party was pretty easy to define. It stood
for small government, an internationalist foreign policy, free trade, and moral
and religious conservatism. Ronald Reagan was the party’s North Star. Of course,
there have always been Republicans who veered from that line — but everyone
understood what the party meant.
Of all the people still trying to process Donald Trump’s rise to the presidency,
perhaps none are more confused than my generation of conservatives, who came of
age under Mr. Reagan and drank deeply of that old orthodoxy. We are, by now, the
establishment — the senators, governors, think-tank presidents and columnists
who, until Mr. Trump came along, got to define what “Republican” and
“conservative” meant. My cohort simply cannot accept that Mr. Trump has taken
away that coveted role and revolutionized not just our party, but also the very
terms of the American political divide.
But we need to. Because as Mr. Trump recognized, the new schism in American life
is not about big versus small government, or more or less regulation. It is
about immigration, free trade and the broad and deep impacts of globalization on
America’s economy and culture. “Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo,”
he told the Republican National Convention.
It is obvious to all but the most blinkered Republicans that with or without Mr.
Trump, the Reagan era is over. The conservative-donor and think-tank consensus
has been exploded. The next smart, ambitious young Republican politician with
national aspirations will not adopt Ted Cruz’s strategy of trying to revive the
rotting flesh of Reaganism. He will read out of Mr. Trump’s playbook, attacking
globalism rather than big government. And he’ll win, because he’ll be talking
about what worries voters.
When William F. Buckley founded National Review in 1955, he argued that
individual freedom needed to be protected from liberalism’s drift toward
collectivism. Mr. Reagan’s vigorous anti-Communism put this into practice, as
did his support of deregulation and tax cuts to promote economic freedom. My
generation of conservatives inherited this framework.
Over time, however, that iteration of Republican conservatism became less
salient, in large part because it won. In 1989 we saw the fall of the Berlin
Wall. Soon after, Bill Clinton declared that the era of big government was over.
Barack Obama bailed out Wall Street, promoted the further extension of free
trade and was a cheerleader for Silicon Valley billionaires. By 2016, only a
thoroughly catechized conservative believed Democrats were strangling economic
freedom. Democrats have also assumed a large piece of the libertarian mantle,
especially when it comes to sexuality and drugs.
Meanwhile, the Republican Party stood still. True, the positions Mr. Buckley
outlined over the years were supple enough, but their advocates were not: Their
unthinking and increasingly ritualized loyalty to that phase of conservatism led
the Republican establishment into political irrelevance, as Mr. Trump’s takeover
of the party so brutally revealed. Given a clear, brash alternative, the
Republican base tossed aside the orthodoxies of Reaganism.
Most commentators struggle to explain Mr. Trump’s electoral success, because
they assume he has no coherent political philosophy. This is myopic. As a public
figure, Mr. Trump has articulated a consistent message that speaks to a
fundamental political challenge facing the 21st-century West: We must affirm
nationalism and fight globalism.
This basic political message is dramatized by his populist rhetoric. At his
campaign rallies he did not get cheers for denouncing government waste or
championing tax cuts. His applause lines spoke of building a wall, deporting
illegal immigrants, renegotiating trade deals and bringing back jobs. The
America First, antiglobalist themes won him the election, not freedom-oriented,
anti-government ones.
I’m not surprised. Both parties — but not the average American voter — have been
moving in a globalist direction for years. In his 2013 Inaugural Address,
President Obama championed the qualities of innovation and mobility that will
allow our nation to thrive in “this world without boundaries.” He was not
proposing to eliminate passports, but he was expressing a sentiment that regards
borders, limits and boundaries as necessary but regrettable, while openness and
diversity are inherent goods.
This way of thinking is everywhere, which makes it seem like common sense,
rather than a political choice. Woodrow Wilson formulated Princeton’s informal
motto: “Princeton in the nation’s service.” In 1996 it was extended to include
“and in the service of all nations,” and then recently revised to read
“Princeton in the nation’s service and the service of humanity.” Undoubtedly,
administrators thought they were adapting to new global realities, rather than
taking a controversial stance.
The same goes for Stanford’s president, John Hennessy, who raised $750 million
to fund a new program to gather “the world’s brightest minds” who can work
“toward solving global challenges.” Isn’t this an admirable, sensible and
responsible adaptation to the direction things are going?
In contrast, Mr. Trump does not presume that the world must become flat. His
Inaugural Address contrasted sharply with Mr. Obama’s 2013 speech. He spoke of
renewing borders and solidarity, and called for national reconsolidation. This
does not mean putting a stop to global trade or shutting down immigration, any
more than Mr. Obama meant to bargain away American sovereignty or “destroy
America,” as some conservative pundits insisted during his administration. But
these two speeches, only four years apart, reflect a stark difference in
emphasis. What Mr. Obama presented as a happy evolution Mr. Trump frames as
something to be resisted. As he said in his recent address to the joint session
of Congress: “My job is not to represent the world. My job is to represent the
United States of America.”
Mr. Trump’s shocking success at the polls has done our country a service.
Scholars may tut-tut about the historical connotations of “America First,” but
the basic sentiment needs to be endorsed. Our country has dissolved to a far
greater degree than those cloistered on the coasts allow themselves to realize.
The once vast and unifying middle class has eroded over the last generation.
Today we are increasingly divided into winners and losers. This division
involves more than divergent economic prospects and income inequality. Globalism
is an ideology of winners who stand astride our society as it is being remade by
dramatic economic, demographic and cultural changes.
Mitt Romney wrote off nearly half the American population as “takers.” Hillary
Clinton made her notorious remarks about “deplorables.” These sentiments, widely
shared by elites on the right and left, have become toxic. Caterpillar recently
announced it is moving its corporate headquarters from Peoria, Ill., to Chicago.
The unspoken reason? “C-suite level” talent bridles at relocating to flyover
country. In today’s America, the rich, well-educated and globalized people on
top, whether Republicans or Democrats, do not want to live among those who
populate our country. The leaders increasingly hold them in disdain.
After World War II, Mr. Buckley adopted an exaggerated approach to postwar
American liberalism (which was hardly inclined toward socialism) because he
thought the stakes were high. We face different dangers. In 2017, a growing
economic divide and continuing cultural fragmentation, and even animosity, are
grave threats that now define our politics. The Cold War is now domestic. Easy
talk about the world becoming flat or global trade lifting all boats disguises,
explains away and exacerbates the damage being done to the body politic. Mr.
Trump’s stark juxtaposition of globalism and Americanism is crude and
hyperbolic, but necessarily so.
The generation of conservatives tutored by Mr. Buckley’s polemics against
collectivism developed a healthy skepticism of big government. But they did not
dismantle the modern welfare state; instead, they sought to limit its excesses
and reduce long-term dependency. In the same spirit, rejecting globalism need
not entail renouncing America’s role as leader of the international order or
attacking global trade.
Rather, we need to become much more skeptical of post-national ways of thinking.
For too long a globalist utopianism — Mr. Obama’s happy, peaceful and inclusive
world without boundaries — has tempted us to neglect one of the fundamental
tasks of political leadership, which is to promote the kind of national
solidarity that binds a country’s leaders to its people.
Globalism poses a threat to the future of democracy because it disenfranchises
the vast majority and empowers a technocratic elite. It’s a telling paradox that
the most ardent supporters of a “borderless world” live in gated communities and
channel their children toward a narrow set of elite educational institutions
with stiff admissions standards that do the work of “border control.” The
airport executive lounges are not open and inclusive.
John Q. Public is not stupid. He senses that he no longer counts. And he resents
the condescension of globalist elites, which is why Mr. Trump’s regular
transgressions against elite-enforced political correctness evoke glee from his
supporters.
After Auschwitz, nationalism inevitably frightens many. I prefer to speak of
patriotic solidarity, or a renewed national covenant. Whatever we call the
antithesis to utopian globalism, it need not mean wholesale endorsement of Mr.
Trump’s harshest rhetoric, which is often narrow and inarticulate. There’s a
great deal more to our country than he allows, including traditions of secular
and religious universalism that make the idealistic internationalism Mr. Obama
sometimes articulated paradoxically very American. Nevertheless, we’ve tilted
too strongly in the globalist direction. In our divided country, conservatism —
and liberalism as well — needs to lean in the direction of nationalism.
For many in the conservative camp, this seems unnecessary, even irresponsible.
They think Mr. Trump has betrayed the movement Mr. Buckley shaped. We need to
remember, however, that the Cold War gave drama and relevance to Mr. Buckley’s
way of framing our fundamental political commitments. But the Soviet Union
collapsed a generation ago. Our commitments must be made against a different
horizon.
France and the Benefits of a Little Dictatorship
Andrew Roberts/The New York Times/May 02/17
He was only in his 30s when he came to power, defeating a sinister ultraright
group that threatened to wreck France. Well read and intelligent, he had had the
finest education France offered and made the best of it. He had high ambitions
for the unity of Continental Europe and France’s foremost place in it, and
looked upon a newly isolated Britain with scarcely concealed irritation
bordering on contempt. He contemplated military action in Syria. He especially
wanted to bring the tens of thousands of French exiles home from London to
contribute once again to the life of the country, and promised nothing less than
a popular revolution designed to “unblock France.”Both Emmanuel Macron and
Napoleon Bonaparte fit this description perfectly, assuming that Mr. Macron
beats Marine Le Pen of the National Front in the final round of the French
elections on May 7, rather as Napoleon crushed the Bourbon royalists in the
decade after their attempted coup in 1795. Even Ms. Le Pen’s attack on her
opponent as someone who does not love France echoes the Bourbons’ portrayal of
Napoleon as a Corsican outsider. Mr. Macron, whose En Marche! (Onward!) movement
adopts a military metaphor so beloved by Napoleon, does not seem to mind the
comparisons that are already being made.
Of course the “democratic revolution” that Mr. Macron says he hopes will elect
him is far removed from the military coup that propelled Napoleon to power in
November 1799 and kept him there until 1815. But like Napoleon, Mr. Macron, who
calls himself a pragmatic centrist, says he will transcend the left-right
partisanship that has so bedeviled French politics over recent decades.
Napoleon succeeded in “unblocking” France, with educational, legal, financial,
religious and commercial reforms, many of which still exist. The Legion of Honor,
Bank of France, Council of State, education system and much of Parisian
architecture are Napoleonic constructs that testify to his genius 200 years
later. Mr. Macron promises a similar boldness: “I do not propose to reform
France; I propose to transform it at its deepest level,” he told this paper. But
can his “democratic revolution” create any such enduring monuments?
Mr. Macron was born in Amiens, the city where Napoleon sent his brother Joseph
to negotiate peace between Britain and France in 1802. The treaty signed there
lasted barely a year before hostilities broke out again, partly over the issue
of the free-trading relationship with Europe that Napoleon would not allow
Britain to enjoy, fearing its effect on French industry. The post-Brexit
negotiations in which Mr. Macron will most likely play such an important part
have long historical shadows. By the collapse of the Peace of Amiens in 1803,
Napoleon had lured back from London almost all the French exiles who had fled
during the revolution, in larger numbers than the tax exiles who fled the 75
percent top tax rate of President François Hollande, under whom Mr. Macron
served as economics minister from 2014 to 2016.
The panic around the rise of the National Front, which has brought Mr. Macron to
the brink of victory, can partly be blamed on Charles de Gaulle. He
institutionalized the extensive powers of the French presidency in 1958, with
more than a nod to Napoleon’s dictatorship. Strong central government was
thought to have worked for France and was visibly lacking in the Second, Third
and Fourth Republics thereafter.
De Gaulle also continued Napoleon’s system of voting in successive rounds,
winnowing the number of contenders. De Gaulle assumed that this would ensure two
centrist candidates of the left and right always got into the final round. But
the eruption of Jean-Marie Le Pen in 2002 and now his daughter Marine has
exploded that complacent assumption, aided by the exposure of the sheer greed
and graft of the center-right candidate François Fillon, who could otherwise
have made it to the runoff in Ms. Le Pen’s place. How the shade of the general,
the greatest Frenchman since Napoleon, must be regretting his calculations.
The toxicity of modern French politics would hardly have surprised Napoleon, who
survived almost as many assassination attempts as de Gaulle. But even today’s
viciousness is as nothing if Mr. Macron does not win on May 7. A neo-fascist
victory could well lead to an uprising in the suburban banlieues, which would
recall the “événements” of 1848, 1871 and 1968, when protests turned to
bloodshed.
If he does win, Mr. Macron will inherit a sclerotic, underproducing, overtaxed,
absurdly bureaucratic, highly partisan country with a huge security problem.
Napoleon was able to cut through all of those same problems by manipulating
public opinion through a controlled press, muscling through votes in a largely
appointed Parliament and simply imposing diktats once he became emperor of
France in 1804. He could do this because he differentiated between a “popular
revolution” led dictatorially by him and a “democratic revolution” dependent
upon free and fair elections.
As a genuine democrat rather than simply posing as one, Mr. Macron will have no
such luxury.
UNESCO resolution passes calling to reject Israeli
sovereignty over all Jerusalem
Ynetnews/Itamar Eichner & Associated Press|/May 02/17
Despite the Foreign Ministry's best attempts to thwart a UNESCO proposal to
revoke Israeli sovereignty in Jerusalem, the resolution passed—on Israel's
Independence Day—with the support of seven Arab states; PM Netanyahu calls
decision 'absurd,' while Pres. Rivlin calls to transfer all embassies to
Jerusalem.
On the eve of Israel's Independence Day, UNESCO passed a resolution calling for
the revocation of Israeli sovereignity in all of Jerusalem, despite Israeli
attempts to convince as many countries as possible to resist.
The UNESCO resolution calls on Israel, as the "occupying Power," to cease
"persistent excavations, tunneling, works and projects in east Jerusalem," which
the Palestinians claim as the capital of their future state. Israel views the
entire city as its capital.
Israeli archaeological excavations and other infrastructure projects in the Old
City have long stoked tensions.
The UNESCO resolution did reaffirm "the importance of the Old City of Jerusalem
and its Walls for the three monotheistic religions," though it accused Israel of
taking actions that have "altered, or purport to alter the character and status
of the Holy City."
The countries that voted in support of the resolution were: the seven Arab
states Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, and Sudan; Iran, Malaysia,
Mauritania, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Vietnam,
Sweden, Russia, China, Brazil, Nicaragua, and Chad.
Ten countries opposed the resolution: the United States, Ukraine, Italy ,
Germany, Great Britain, Paraguay, Lithuania, Greece, Togo, and the Netherlands.
The countries that voted to abstain were: France, Haiti, the Dominican Republic,
Mexico, Spain, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Kenya, Trinidad and Tobago, Albania,
Cameroon, Estonia, the Ivory Coast, Slovenia, Ghana, Mozambique, Uganda,
Argentina, India, El Salvador, Japan, South Korea, Sri Lanka, and Nepal.
The countries whose representatives did not vote on the resolution were Nepal,
Serbia, and Turkmenistan.
Netanyahu promises: 'We're not going anywhere'
Earlier Tuesday, at the World Bible Quiz, marking the 50th anniversary of the
reunification of Jerusalem, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed the
expected vote. "We deny UNESCO and uphold our truth, which is the truth.
Throughout Jewish history, Jerusalem was the heart of the nation. This year we
celebrate the 50th anniversary of the liberation and unification of Jerusalem
and the 120th anniversary of the First Zionist Congress, and therefore we
present you with eight questions marking Zion and Jerusalem."
After the decision was announced, Netanyahu responded to it again, this time at
a reception for foreign diplomats and military attachés in celebration of
Israel's 69th Independence Day, hosted by President Reuven Rivlin and his wife
Nehama. Netanyahu shared that over the last couple of days, he conducted many
conversations with world leaders, heads of state and foreign ministers, in
regard to the "absurd" vote taking place at the UN. He stressed that the number
of countries that support anti-Israeli suggestions in UNESCO is gradually
shrinking.
"The absurd decisions in UNESCO have to not merely be reduced in the number of
their supporters. That's happening, I'm glad to say, went down from 32 to 26,
today to 22. There are more countries today that are abstaining or supporting
Israel than there are those opposing Israel. But my goal is to have no votes in
UNESCO on Israel.
"Last year UNESCO said that the Jewish people have no connection to the Temple
Mount. Can you imagine?" said Netanyahu. "Three thousand years ago Solomon built
his temple there. This is the same temple that Herod ... that was rebuilt by the
Exiles of Babylon coming back here with the Proclamation of Cyrus the Great;
it's the same temple that Jesus visited when he overturned the money tables, the
money changers' tables—he didn't do this in a monastery in the Himalayas. He did
it in the Jewish Temple here. And UNESCO said a year ago that we have no
connection to the Temple Mount. This year they didn't say that. That's an
improvement in the march of absurdity. They also said that Judaism too has
connection to Jerusalem. We're making progress. But there's still a way to go
and the way we have to go is in fact to cut out this nonsense.
"One hundred US senators, one hundred, every single one of them, Democrats and
Republicans and I guess there are some independents there too, every single one
of them wrote to the Secretary General of the United Nations and said, 'Enough!'
The theater of the absurd, when it comes to Israel, has to stop.
"So there is a gap still between our expanding, growing bilateral relations and
our multilateral diplomacy," added Netanyahu. "It's true the gap is being
reduced from year to year, but if I can express a wish to you: I want it
eliminated, as I want you to cut your travel time, as the President suggested.
Move your embassies to Jerusalem, the eternal capital of Israel for 3,000 years.
Referring to critics of Israeli policy, Netanyahu said, "There is of course the
line among a handful of academics and misguided protestors saying that Israel is
isolated. No. It's not. Almost daily, I meet with world leaders. Well, to be
precise, about 250 leaders from around the world—we have fewer work days so
sometimes we have to meet twice a day—who come to Jerusalem and we meet here.
And the number's growing, all the time, year to year. And they all tell a
different story.
Last week the Chancellor of Austria said Israel is a role model for the entire
world. From African leaders I hear profound thanks for Israeli technology that
helps save and improve lives throughout Africa. From Asian leaders, such as the
leaders of Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan that I met recently, or the leader of
Singapore, I hear an earnest desire to deepen economic cooperation. I heard the
same in Australia, as I hear it from the representatives of Latin American
countries. From American and Western leaders and others I hear gratitude for our
intelligence which has helped stop many, many terror attacks in their countries,
in your countries.
"And perhaps most remarkably, from Arab leaders I hear an increasing recognition
that Israel is not an enemy but an indispensable ally in the common battle
against terror and the common effort to secure a different future, a better
future for all the peoples of the Middle East.
"How has this happened? What makes Israel a role model for the world? Well, the
first thing—and let me be as clear-cut and candid as I can—Israel is a good
society. It's democratic, it's open and welcoming. Minorities thrive. Look
around a vast radius and you can see how Israel stands out. Everyone here can
succeed. You can be an Arab Supreme Court Justice, or a Christian diplomat, or a
female general, or a Druze minister, or a gay Member of Knesset. Our pluralism
is our strength.
"We're not perfect," admitted Netanyahu while speaking to those gathered in the
crowd. "I don't know what country is, and we always strive to improve. Israel is
a moral nation that from its first day has tirelessly pursued peace with all our
neighbours. And we can do a great deal of good in moving towards this not only
with our neighbors but with every one of you.
"There is a revolution taking place right now in the world. It is challenged by
the forces of militant Islam who want to take us back to a dark medievalism, but
we will overcome it. Everywhere, we will overcome it. And the other force is
propelling us into an amazing technological future. Everything, every single
thing is becoming technologized: agriculture, water, health, transportation,
cars—everything. And those who innovate will seize the future. Every one of your
countries, every one of your societies should partake in this future. Everyone
needs it. Israel happens to be now a global hub of technology. There are many
reasons why it's happened. It's related to our history and our culture and to
other circumstances, but it has happened.
"When I visited China recently, President Xi said to me, you know we're about to
cross 1.4 billion people. And I said, well, we just crossed eight million. And
he said, but you're a global power in innovation, in inventiveness. And I have
to say that we want to share the fruits of our ingenuity in water, in
agriculture, in medicine, in every single field that makes life better, longer,
safer. And we want to do it, more than anything, with our neighbors, because if
their life is good, our life will be good.
"So I, like many Israelis, I know the cost of war and that is why I am dedicated
to pursuing this peace. I think this peace can be pursued today in ways that are
different and perhaps weren't available before, because I believe that many in
the region today understand that there are opportunities and advantages that
weren't available before. I think that through the intertwining of regional
normalization and Palestinian-Israeli normalization, we can bootstrap our way up
to another historic peace. And I hope that the Palestinian leadership will make
it possible for us to advance towards that peace.
Despite this comment on his wish for peace with the Palestinians, Netanyahu did
not hold back criticism against its leadership, which funds terrorists held in
Israeli prisons. "The payment of money to terrorists by a sliding scale—the more
you kill the more you get—that's the opposite of peace. It sends exactly the
wrong message to young Palestinians. We want them to move towards peace. The
Palestinian Authority has paid, pays roughly 300 million dollars a year,
specific payments, not social security, that doesn't exist regrettably in
Palestinian society yet, but it's paid to a few thousand jailed terrorists. And
now imagine what happens after a few years—it's a billion dollars, and after
several years—it's several billion dollars. Imagine if all that money was put
towards coexistence, education for peace, joint projects, for medicine, for
agriculture, for sewage treatment, everything. Just imagine what can happen
here.
"I think this could change the region, and yet it requires this clear-cut shift
of direction. I think it's time to stop financing murder and to start financing
peace. We are partners for peace. We seek it for our people. We pray for it, we
yearn for it, and we’re ready to act for it. And we need partners for peace. I
know that all of you seek it too. We welcome your cooperation in this effort and
we want, of course, to cement our mutual relations.
"The Jewish people is powerless no longer, defenseless no longer, homeless no
longer," concluded Netanyahu. "We use our power for good, to treat injured
Syrian civilians, to prevent terror attacks, to serve as a model of what our
troubled region could look like and what it should look like. Just imagine more
Tel Avivs and fewer Aleppos.
"And yet, despite the shrill and hateful calls from Iran, and still from
Palestinian quarters, to uproot Israel, we're not going anywhere. Israel is here
to stay forever, growing stronger, more advanced, more prosperous, seeking
peace."
Rivlin urges countries to 'recognize Jerusalem,' move embassies to Jerusalem
President Reuven Rivlin also referred to the UNESCO decision at the reception he
hosted. After speaking of Israeli innovation and the relatively short time that
has passed since its founding, Rivlin said that “Jerusalem is the capital of
Israel. Since the days of King David, there was no other reality. It is time to
put an end to the absurd. It is time to recognize Jerusalem, as the official
capital of the State of Israel. It is time to move all the official embassies
here. To Jerusalem.”
“When I visit other countries, and when we host heads of states from around the
world, I am proud to hear that while Israel is just 69 years young, it is
already known for its strengths. Israeli innovation is known around the world.
Every day we build our cooperation; in agriculture, in science and research, in
culture and education, and more.”
Central to the President’s address was the importance of the status of Jerusalem
as the capital of Israel. “The State of Israel is a fact. But it will never be
taken for granted. We would not be standing here celebrating together, if not
for the support, of the international community, or its recognition for the
right of the Jewish People to return to our historical homeland and establish a
national home. A home that has Jerusalem at its heart. Jerusalem has always been
the center of the Jewish world. The place we have prayed towards for thousands
of years. There was never any doubt that Jerusalem would be the capital of
Israel. And 50 years ago, we returned to the Old City of Jerusalem, we united
the whole city under Israeli sovereignty. We felt then, that the dream of
Jerusalem as the physical and spiritual capital of Israel had finally become a
reality.”
The President stressed to the diplomats from around the world, “Dear friends,
for 70 years you have been coming here to Jerusalem to take part in official
events; at the Israeli parliament, with the presidents of Israel, with the prime
ministers of Israel, and many with others.” He noted, “Most of you are younger
than me. You were born to the fact of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. You
know no other reality. Since the days of King David, there was not, there is
not, and there never will be any other reality. It is time to put an end to the
absurd. It is time to recognize Jerusalem, as the official capital of the State
of Israel. De facto, not just de jure. It is time to move all the official
embassies here. To Jerusalem.”
The President concluded by once again welcoming his guests, and said, “Dear
friends, it is my pleasure to welcome you all. I look forward to seeing you all
from time to time. And when we meet for Israel’s 70th birthday, I hope your
drive here will be much shorter. Happy Independence Day!”
In addition to the reception attended by ambassadors and diplomatic
representatives, the President's Office received many greetings from leaders
around the world including, Queen Elizabeth II, King Philip of Spain, King
Willem-Alexander of the Netherlands, US President Trump, Russian President
Putin, French President Hollande, and many others.
Among the greetings, President Trump noted the US's support for Israel was
"Ironclad", and added, "The tremendous strength of the United States-Israel
relationship is reflected not only in the close partnership between our
governments, but also in the ties that connect our two people."
President Hollande wrote, "In the unstable regional environment of today, Israel
can be sure of France's support for the security of Israel," and added, "this is
an absolute priority for France.”
Minister of Defense Avigdor Liberman, IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot were also
in attendance.
The President quoted from the Encyclopedia Britannica entry on ‘Semitic
Languages’ from 1911, which read “The dream of some Zionists, that Hebrew—a
would-be Hebrew, that is to say—will again become a living, popular language in
Palestine, has still less prospect of realization than their vision of a
restored Jewish empire in the Holy Land.”
The President stated, “I think of all we have achieved in the last 69 years, and
now that we are entering the 70th year of the State of Israel, I am excited to
think what groundbreaking achievements are still ahead of us.”
Israeli, Palestinian ambassadors to UNESCO decision with approval and
indignation
UNESCO caused an uproar last year when member states approved a resolution that
diminished Jewish ties to holy sites in Jerusalem. Israel suspended cooperation
with the agency in response.
Elias Wadih Sanbar, the Palestinian ambassador to UNESCO, said Tuesday's
resolution was part of efforts to "stop giving a kind of blank check to an
occupier that is acting with total illegality and impunity. The Israeli
ambassador to the agency, Carmel Shama Hacohen, said those who supported the
motion "have to feel ashamed," adding that "There is no reason to vote against
any country, and especially on its Independence Day, and especially on a
decision that tries to delete the historical connection of the Jewish people, a
3,000-year connection."
Italian Foreign Minister Angelino Alfano said he had instructed the country's
representative to UNESCO to vote against "the latest politicized resolution on
Jerusalem."
"Our opinion is very clear: UNESCO can't become the headquarters of a permanent
ideological clash in which questions are faced for which the solutions are
supposed to be handled in other headquarters," Alfano was quoted as saying by
the Italian news agency ANSA.
First published: 02.05.17