English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For July 10/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
#elias_bejjani_news

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Bible Quotations For today
Who speaks a word against the Son of Man will be forgiven; but whoever blasphemes against the Holy Spirit will not be forgiven
Luke 12/10-12: And everyone who speaks a word against the Son of Man will be forgiven; but whoever blasphemes against the Holy Spirit will not be forgiven. When they bring you before the synagogues, the rulers, and the authorities, do not worry about how you are to defend yourselves or what you are to say; for the Holy Spirit will teach you at that very hour what you ought to say.

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on July 09-10/2021
Presidency denies false news: Presidential Palace subject to electrical power like everyone else, uses its own power generators during outage and rationing
President, Public Works Minister follow up on airport situation and procedures adopted to organize arrivals
Ibrahim Says He's Under the Law, Urges Removal of Pictures
Ferzli: Parliament Bureau, Justice Committee request brief of evidence in port blast probe
Fahmi Rejects to Give Permission for Abbas Ibrahim's Prosecution
Hariri, Bogdanov hold phone call on local developments: Press office
PCM: Higher Relief Committee has received Beirut Families Union's request to approve financial donation in contribution to STL
Rahi meets FPM delegation, Minister Msharafieh
Lebanon’s Maronite patriarch hopes for better ties with Riyadh
Lebanon’s power stations shut down as crisis deepens
Scuffles outside as MPs Mull Request to Lift Immunity in Port Case
Lebanon Pharmacies Go On Open-Ended Strike over Shortages
U.S., French Ambassadors to Beirut in Rare Joint Saudi Visit
Reports: Hariri to Quit as Discussions over Successor Begin
French Ambassador to Lebanon Anne Grillo and U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy Shea Joint Communique
Communiqué Conjoint

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on July 09-10/2021
Enthusiasm for Kabul airport mission betrays Turkey’s strategic ambitions in Central Asia
Russia Says Taliban Controls Two-Thirds of Afghan-Tajik Border
Taliban Claim to Control 85% of Afghanistan, U.S. Says Kabul Fall 'Not Inevitable'
US is not engaged in ‘open war’ with Iran-backed militias: State Department official
Iraq’s confused diplomacy could complicate Saudi-Iran overtures
Changed dynamics after US exit from Afghanistan
Israeli PM Bennett holds secret meeting with Jordan's Abdullah
US sees ‘serious threat’ in attacks in Iraq, Syria but unsure what to do
Pfizer Pushes for 3rd Shot as Variant Drives Global Outbreaks
Jihan al-Sadat, Wife to Egypt's ex-President, Dies

Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July 09-10/2021
Iran’s Latest Nuclear Escalation Exposes Biden’s Failed Iran Policy/Anthony Ruggiero/Richard Goldberg/FDD/July 09/2021
The Middle East should be afraid of Iran’s Ebrahim Raisi/Alireza Nader/Saeed Ghasseminejad/Al Arabiya/July 09/2021
Question: "What is the way of salvation?"/Questions.org/July 09/2021

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on July 09-10/2021
Presidency denies false news: Presidential Palace subject to electrical power like everyone else, uses its own power generators during outage and rationing
NNA/July 09 July/2021
The Presidency Press Office issued the following statement:
“Media websites published today, fabricated and false news which was distributed in a programmed, coordinated and intended manner. Fake news stated that the Presidential Palace is “pressuring” on the national Litani River Corporation to be fed with electric current from the Bsalim powerline, etc.…
The Press Office emphasizes that this news is false and baseless, since the Presidential Palace is subject to a normal electric current, just like all other institutions and houses. During electric outage and rationing, Baabda Palace uses its own generators”. -- Press office

President, Public Works Minister follow up on airport situation and procedures adopted to organize arrivals
NNA/July 09 July/2021
President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, met Public Works’ Minister, Michel Najjar, today at the Presidential Palace, and addressed with him the situation at Rafic Hariri International Airport in addition to the adopted procedures adopted to organize the reception of arrivals.
Statement:
After the meeting, Minister Najjar made the following statement:
“I was honored to meet His Excellency, the President. In the meeting, we tackled matters related to the Public Works Ministry, primarily logistical, security and health measures taken at the airport. I assured His Excellency that all measures have been taken to facilitate the passage of arrivals. We also referred to the field visit which we made yesterday to the airport with the Public Works Committee in the Parliament, headed by MP Nazih Najem, during which we checked and asserted that all required procedures were implemented.
Moreover, issues related to the Beirut Port were tackled, and I had sent a letter to His Excellency the President which included all problems which we suffer from at the port.
We also discussed the legal and logistical frameworks to solve all these problems, and I explained some of the projects presented by several Russian and French companies related to the ports of Beirut and Tripoli”.
Questions & Answers:
Responding to a question, the Public Works Minister stated “Yesterday, we made a field tour at the airport while 3 planes were arriving. We saw that the issue of waiting for those arriving in Beirut to get out of the airport takes around 30 to 40 minutes, divided between public and security measures, PCR and baggage receipt. Recent congestions at the airport were resulting from baggage not arriving on time, due to inspections outside the arrival halls to ensure that there were no smuggled items. We have adopted a new mechanism so that this is not repeated, and things have returned to their previous state. Arrivals that they are being followed from the moment they arrive at the General Security until they leave the airport gate. I assure all citizens and expatriates who are waiting for this season to come to Lebanon and visit their families, that the airport is in total good condition, whether in health conditions, or in terms of public safety and speed in measures”. -- Presidency Press Office

Ibrahim Says He's Under the Law, Urges Removal of Pictures
Naharnet/July 09 July/2021
General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim stressed Friday that he is “under the law,” days after Judge Tarek al-Bitar requested a permission to prosecute him in the port blast case. “I emphasize that, like every Lebanese, I’m under the law, and we must show solidarity and work away from narrow political calculations or political exploitation, in order to know the truth of what happened at Beirut port,” Ibrahim said in a statement. “That’s why I call on supporters to remove all the banners and pictures out of respect for the fallen civilians and servicemen,” Ibrahim added, referring to pictures of him and supportive banners that popped up after his name was mentioned in the case. The General Security chief also lamented “a series of leaks and rumors” that targeted him in recent days. “Even before I was informed of this decision… a series of leaks and rumors targeted me on social networking websites, some of which noted that Judge Tarek al-Bitar had discovered my involvement in deals to smuggle the ammonium nitrate to Syria, and others claimed that I’m keeping money at a financial institution in the UAE,” Ibrahim said, adding that he has also been targeted by insults at the hands of “electronic armies.”
The major general also noted that has launched legal measures against those who have targeted him in recent days, while thanking supporters for the “solidarity and love” that they have shown. “The course of right will triumph if we show patience and insistence on unveiling the facts,” he added.

Ferzli: Parliament Bureau, Justice Committee request brief of evidence in port blast probe
NNA
/July 09 July/2021
Deputy House Speaker Elie Ferzli indicated that lawmakers who convened Friday in Ain-el-Tineh had decided to request the documents and evidence compiled by lead investigator in the Beirut port blast case, Judge Tarek Bitar, before allowing the lifting of immunity of officials summoned in the probe. "After reviewing Judge Tarek Bitar's demand for permission to prosecute former minister Nohad Mashnouq and MPs Ali Hassan Khalil and Ghazi Zeaiter (...) and following lengthy discussions by the Parliament Bureau and the Administration and Justice House Committee, chaired by Speaker Nabih Berri, it has been decided to demand the brief of evidence included in the probe, in addition to all documents and papers substantiating suspicions and relevant to those called in for questioning," Ferzli said. He added that the Parliament Bureau and the said Committee would convene upon receiving the requested documents, before addressing the House in that respect. "The Parliament is keen on this national cause, and it vows to following up on this dossier in accordance with the law and the Constitution," he said.

Fahmi Rejects to Give Permission for Abbas Ibrahim's Prosecution
Naharnet/July 09 July/2021
Caretaker Interior Minister Mohammed Fahmi has rejected to grant the judiciary the permission to prosecute General Security chief Maj. Gen. Abbas Ibrahim in the port blast probe, judicial sources told LBCI TV on Friday. According to media reports, Fahmi’s decision is based on a legal review by the Ministry’s legal department. “The ship Rhosus and its cargo were seized by the judiciary and there was no role or jurisdiction for General Security,” the reports quoted the department as saying.

Hariri, Bogdanov hold phone call on local developments: Press office
NNA
/July 09 July/2021
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri and Special Representative of the President of Russia for the Middle East, Mikhail Bogdanov, discussed the latest developments on the Lebanese scene in a phone call held Friday, Hariri's press office quoted a statement by the Russian Foreign Ministry as saying. "During the contact, Hariri expressed his viewpoints and evaluation of the increasingly exacerbating social, political, and economic developments," the statement read. "For his part, Bogdanov highlighted the necessity to back all efforts aiming to form a capable government of mission, comprised of technocrats and headed by Hariri. He also underlined the importance that all key political and religious actors reach a national agreement on the bases of national unity, territorial integrity, independence, and sovereignty," the statement added.

PCM: Higher Relief Committee has received Beirut Families Union's request to approve financial donation in contribution to STL
NNA
/July 09 July/2021
The Presidency of the Council of Ministers issued Friday the following:
“The Higher Relief Committee has received an official letter from the ‘Union of Beirut Families Associations’ requesting approval to accept a € 500,000 conditional financial donation in favor of the Higher Relief Committee, as a contribution to cover part of Lebanon's financial contribution to the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, provided that the amount is transferred to the STL’s account. The letter signed by the president of the Union, Mohammad Afif Yamout, states: ‘The Union of Beirut Families Associations is keen on providing a conditional financial donation to contribute to covering part of Lebanon’s financial contribution to the STL, which suffers a lack of funding that hinders its operations and may lead to its suspension before the completion of the purpose for which it was established. This has serious repercussions that will adversely affect the achievement of justice and constitutes a dangerous precedent that puts the credibility of the United Nations at stake, knowing that the purpose of the establishment of the Tribunal goes beyond the assassination of martyr late Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, for it is a national and just cause; it is a matter of justice that all the Lebanese deserve, regardless of their affiliations. Thus, the Union of Beirut Families Associations seeks hereby seeks your approval of the conditional financial donation in favor of the Higher Relief Committee, worth 500,000 euros (fresh money) as a contribution to cover part of Lebanon’s financial contributions to the STL. The funds will be transferred to the STL’s account and necessary measures will be taken in accordance with the duly established procedures.’ ----PCM Press Office

Rahi meets FPM delegation, Minister Msharafieh
NNA
/July 09 July/2021
Maronite Patriarch Beshara Rahi met Friday in Bkerki with a delegation of the Free Patriotic Movement, accompanied by former minister Nada Boustani.
Rahi later received Caretaker Minister of Social Affairs, Ramzi Msharafieh, with whom he discussed the current situation and latest developments on the local scene.

Lebanon’s Maronite patriarch hopes for better ties with Riyadh
The Arab Weekly/July 09/2021
BEIRUT – Lebanon’s most senior Christian cleric said on Thursday he hoped for an improvement in ties with Saudi Arabia, which has withheld support for the crisis-torn Lebanese economy because of the rising influence of its arch-enemy Hezbollah. Lebanon is battling an economic meltdown that poses the worst threat to its stability since the 1975-1990 civil war. Saudi Arabia, which had long channelled funds into Lebanon’s fragile economy alongside other Gulf monarchs, has so far been reluctant to step in during the current crisis, keeping its distance as Hezbollah advances politically.
“Saudi Arabia has not violated Lebanon’s sovereignty or its independence, it has not violated its borders or involved it in wars,” Maronite Patriarch Bechara Boutros Al-Rai said in a speech at an event celebrating 100 years of Saudi relations with the church.
Rai, a harsh critic of the heavily-armed Hezbollah, has called for Lebanon to remain neutral, referring to Hezbollah’s deployment of fighters to Syria and its alliance with Iran in a power struggle with Saudi Arabia.
Without responding directly to the patriarch’s plea for better ties, Saudi Arabia’s ambassador to Lebanon Waleed al Bukhari expressed the hope that Lebanon’s squabbling politicians can focus on the national interest “to face the challenges the country is facing”, referring to attempts by some factions to upset Lebanon’s strong links to the Arab world. The patriarch traditionally wields influence in Lebanon as head of the Maronite church, a group from which the president must be drawn under a sectarian power-sharing system.
The centennial of Saudi relations with the church took place on the same day as the US and French envoys to Lebanon jointly visited Riyadh to discuss support for the troubled country. The French and US ambassadors to Beirut held talks with Saudi officials in Riyadh and their embassies tweeted that the “important trilateral consultations” aimed to find ways how they can together “support the Lebanese people and stabilise the economy.”Saudi Arabia has been staying out of Lebanese politics as its influence waned in the face of the rising power of its regional rival, Iran.
Lebanon’s Iranian-backed militant Hezbollah group has gained more power over the past decade. The US, the European Union and Gulf Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia, consider Hezbollah or its military wing a terrorist organisation and have imposed sanctions on its officials and institutions. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken met French and Saudi counterparts in Italy on the sidelines of the Group 20 meeting last month. Blinken said at the time they discussed Lebanon’s crisis and called on Lebanese politicians to show “real leadership.” US State Department spokesman Ned Price said Wednesday that a Lebanese government needs to be cohesive and responsive to the Lebanese people and put the public interests first. Price also said fundamental reforms are needed to rescue the Lebanese economy. “Corruption, impunity, lawlessness have dogged successive governments and ultimately and most importantly, have drained the Lebanese people of much needed resources,” Price said.

Lebanon’s power stations shut down as crisis deepens
Bloomberg/09 July ,2021
Lebanon is struggling with severe electricity and water shortages after two of the country’s main power plants ran out fuel, the latest manifestation of a financial crisis that shows little sign of ending. Electricite Du Liban (EDL) said its stations in Deir Ammar and Zahrani - which together provide about 40 percent of the country’s electricity - were shut down Friday. Foreign correspondent banks have yet to approve transactions that will allow EDL to unload two fuel shipments waiting at port since last week, it said in a statement. In separate comments, EDL in the eastern city of Zahle asked residents to reduce consumption, saying the “power supply has been cut across Lebanese territories indefinitely.
”Turkey’s Karpowership resumes electricity supply to Lebanon
Lebanon has been reeling since late 2019 from its worst financial meltdown in decades. The currency has collapsed, driving inflation into triple digits and wiping out life savings. The government is bankrupt, has defaulted on its international debt and has failed to take the measures required to clinch international support. Lebanese households already rely on subscriptions to private backup generators as mismanagement and corruption mean EDL has for years failed to provide 24-hour electricity. As foreign reserves at the central bank dwindle, however, so has the power supply, with EDL now providing only a few hours a day. At the same time, private generators are now also being shut down for long stretches every day to preserve scarce fuel and rest engines not designed to be the main source of power. Videos have spread on social media in recent weeks of fires allegedly caused by overheated or faulty private generators. Water companies have asked people to reduce their consumption to a minimum after being forced to shut water pumping and distribution stations due to the power shortage. The North Lebanon Water Company announced a “state of high emergency.” Lebanon’s central bank has been effectively subsidizing fuel, medicine and food items through preferential exchange rates, but is fast running out of funds in the absence of a functioning government and a plan to stabilize the economy. The result is a severe shortage not only in fuel for electricity but in widely-used drugs from anti-biotics to heart and cancer treatments, as well as gasoline, with motorists waiting for hours to fill their tanks.
Fuel, medicine shortage
Last month, the central bank began supplying dollars to fuel importers at a rate of 3,900 Lebanese pounds, rather than the now-largely defunct official rate of 1,507 pounds. The measure, despite higher prices at the pump, was meant to help ease petrol shortages but has so far failed to make an impact as much fuel is reportedly smuggled into Syria, where it fetches far higher prices, or is being hoarded by Lebanese worried prices will rise further. Pharmacies also shut their doors Friday to protest the widespread shortages which some say have also been exacerbated by middle-men hoarding supplies in expectations that the subsidies will eventually end. Distortions are upending the economy as the pound nears 20,000 per dollar on the black market, rendering once respectable salaries worthless. Officials have warned that money’s running out to finance such hefty subsidies but are also worried about the social impact of ending them. The crisis has already pushed more than half the population below the poverty line with the United Nations warning of growing food insecurity in what, until recently, was considered a middle-income country. Politicians have not yet agreed on a new government to replace the caretaker one, which resigned after an explosion ripped through Beirut port, killing at least 200 people. The international community, including Gulf countries which supported Lebanon in the past, has repeatedly urged politicians to form a new government empowered to enact reforms and unlock donor funds.


Scuffles outside as MPs Mull Request to Lift Immunity in Port Case

Naharnet/July 09 July/2021
The families of the port blast victims on Friday scuffled with army troops outside the Ain el-Tineh palace as MPs met inside to study Judge Tarek al-Bitar’s request for lifting the parliamentary immunity of three lawmakers. At least one woman was injured during several attempts to breach the army’s security cordon. The relatives carried banners demanding justice and accountability as well as pictures of the victims and of the MPs Ali Hassan Khalil and Ghazi Zoaiter -- two former ministers whom Bitar has decided to summon in the probe. Ex-interior minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq, an incumbent MP, has also been mentioned by the judge, in addition to ex-minister Youssef Fenianos. The families later blocked the Ain el-Tineh road, warning against the “politicization” of the file.

Lebanon Pharmacies Go On Open-Ended Strike over Shortages
Agence France Presse/July 09 July/2021
Pharmacies in crisis-hit Lebanon began an indefinite strike on Friday over medicine shortages as the cash-strapped state struggles to afford subsidies on key imports. The country is facing what the World Bank has called one of the world's worst economic crises since the 1850s, and its foreign currency reserves are fast depleting. Drug importers warned on Sunday that they were running out of hundreds of drugs, and that the central bank had failed to pay suppliers abroad millions of dollars in accumulated dues under a subsidy scheme. The association of pharmacy owners announced there would be a "general open-ended strike across Lebanon" from Friday morning. Ali Safa, a member of the association, said 80 percent of pharmacies had stayed closed in Beirut and other big cities, and around half had done so in other areas. An AFP photographer said most pharmacies had closed along the densely populated coastline north of Beirut, while another said many remained shut in the capital's southern suburbs. Some medicines have disappeared from the shelves in recent months, forcing many people to appeal on social media for help in finding them, including from friends and family abroad. Beirut resident Elie, 48, said he had visited five pharmacies earlier in the week to find medicine to treat high uric acid. "They kept telling me there was none left, or that the suppliers had not delivered" the medicine, he told AFP. Medicine importers' syndicate head Karim Gebara told AFP on Sunday that some drugs to treat cardiac diseases, high blood pressure, diabetes, cancer and multiple sclerosis were already out of stock. He said this was because the central bank was not releasing dollars, and importers could no longer open lines of credit. Pharmacy owner Safa said that over the past two months suppliers had gradually stopped deliveries. He said he and others wanted the health ministry to approve a list of medicines that would continue being subsidized according to priority, and then be sold at a fixed rate. Suppliers could then sell all the other drugs according to the black market exchange rate to the dollar, he said, in order not to make a loss.
The central bank on Monday said it would earmark $400 million to support key products including medicine and flour. Gebara said the central bank had promised $50 million a month in subsidies for medicine, which would cover just half of importers' current bills.

U.S., French Ambassadors to Beirut in Rare Joint Saudi Visit
Associated Press/July 09 July/2021
The French and U.S. ambassadors to Beirut held talks Thursday with Saudi officials in Riyadh, a rare joint visit aimed at finding a unified strategy to help Lebanon out of its unprecedented economic and political crises. Their embassies tweeted that the "important trilateral consultations" aimed to find ways how they can together "support the Lebanese people and stabilize the economy."Lebanon's political leaders are deeply divided over the formation of a new government to handle the crises, unfolding since 2019 and the most critical threat to the country's stability since its 15-year civil war ended in 1990.
The Lebanese pound, pegged to the dollar for the past 30 years, is in free fall, hitting new lows on the black market Thursday, trading at 18,000 pounds to the dollar -- more than 10 times the official rate. The import-dependent Lebanon is struggling to provide basic needs, including fuel, because of the foreign currency crunch. Unemployment and poverty are soaring. Still, political leaders are unable to agree on a new government needed to start talks with the International Monetary Fund for a recovery package. Lebanon has been without a fully functioning government for 11 months, after caretaker Prime Minister Hassan Diab resigned in the wake of a massive and deadly explosion in Beirut Port that only worsened the country's woes. Saudi Arabia has been staying out of Lebanese politics as its influence waned in the face of the rising power of its regional rival, Iran. Lebanon's Iranian-backed militant group Hizbullah has gained more power over the past decade. The U.S., the European Union and Gulf Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia, consider Hizbullah or its military wing a "terrorist" organization and have imposed sanctions on its officials and institutions. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with French and Saudi counterparts in Italy on the sidelines of the Group 20 meeting last month. Blinken said at the time they discussed Lebanon's crisis and called on Lebanese politicians to show "real leadership." U.S. State Department spokesman Ned Price said Wednesday that a Lebanese government needs to be cohesive and responsive to the Lebanese people and put the public interests first. Price also said fundamental reforms are needed to rescue the Lebanese economy. "Corruption, impunity, lawlessness have dogged successive governments and ultimately and most importantly, have drained the Lebanese people of much needed resources," Price said.

Reports: Hariri to Quit as Discussions over Successor Begin
Naharnet/July 09 July/2021
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri has decided to step down and he is seeking an appropriate exit, media reports said on Thursday. “There is lack of a real political will to form a government and there is an intention not to form the government,” Lebanese journalist Johnny Mounayar said in an interview with al-Jadeed TV. “PM-designate Hariri has decided to quit… and the decision is not to form a government with or without Saad Hariri,” Mounayar added. “From now until the date of the parliamentary elections, we will witness the most dangerous months of the Lebanese crisis,” the journalist went on to say, warning that the country will witness further deterioration. Center House sources meanwhile told MTV that “the issue of accepting an alternative PM-designate is being discussed by (Speaker Nabih) Berri, Hariri and the ex-PMs.”“We have not heard of the report about (Free Patriotic Movement head Jebran) Bassil’s sadness over Hariri’s resignation and the presidential camp has done everything to prevent the government’s formation,” the sources added.

French Ambassador to Lebanon Anne Grillo and U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy Shea Joint Communique
USA Embassy web site/July 09 July/2021
On July 8, 2021, French Ambassador to Lebanon Anne Grillo and U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy Shea conducted trilateral meetings with counterparts in Saudi Arabia to discuss the situation in Lebanon. This initiative follows up on the trilateral meetings among U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian, and Saudi Arabian Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan Al-Saud on June 29 in Matera, Italy on the margins of the G-20 conference.
During this working visit, Ambassadors Grillo and Shea stressed the desperate need for a fully empowered government that is committed to and able to implement reforms, noting that the French and U.S. governments, as well as other like-minded partners, continue extending urgent assistance to the Lebanese people, including health, education, and food support. Ambassadors Grillo and Shea also emphasized that concrete actions by Lebanon’s leaders to address decades of mismanagement and corruption will be crucial to unlocking additional support from France, the United States, and regional and international partners.

Communiqué Conjoint

USA Embassy web site/July 09 July/2021
Le 8 juillet 2021, l’ambassadrice de France au Liban, Anne Grillo, et l’ambassadrice des Etats-Unis au Liban, Dorothy Shea, ont mené des rencontres trilatérales avec des interlocuteurs en Arabie Saoudite pour discuter de la situation au Liban. Cette visite s’inscrit dans le prolongement de la rencontre trilatérale du Secrétaire d’Etat Antony Blinken, du ministre de l’Europe et des Affaires étrangères Jean-Yves Le Drian, et du ministre saoudien des Affaires étrangères Faisal bin Farhan Al-Saoud, le 29 juin à Matera, en Italie, en marge du sommet du G20.
Au cours de cette visite de travail, les ambassadrices Grillo et Shea ont souligné la nécessité absolue d’un gouvernement pleinement habilité, engagé et capable de mettre en œuvre des réformes, tout en rappelant que les gouvernements français et américain, ainsi que d’autres partenaires animés du même esprit, continuent d’apporter une aide d’urgence au peuple libanais, notamment dans les domaines de la santé, de l’éducation et de la sécurité alimentaire. Les ambassadrices Grillo et Shea ont également souligné que des actions concrètes menées par les dirigeants libanais pour lutter contre des décennies de mauvaise gestion et de corruption seront cruciales pour obtenir un soutien supplémentaire de la France, des États-Unis et des partenaires régionaux et internationaux.

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on July 09-10/2021
Enthusiasm for Kabul airport mission betrays Turkey’s strategic ambitions in Central Asia
The Arab Weekly/July 09/2021
Turkey is not hiding its enthusiasm for maintaining a presence in Afghanistan to protect Kabul Airport.
Analysts think the Turkish willingness to take on the role reflects its desire to use the departure of US and Western forces as a springboard to achieve Ankara’s strategic ambitions in Central Asia. It hopes to expand its influence through a military, economic and cultural presence that tries to revive the common historical roots that bind it to some of the peoples of the region. Some analysts say that Ankara is tempted to play a larger role on the ground after the departure of the Western forces from the region but has not fully thought out the consequences, especially since it will be undertaking a defensive mission at Kabul Airport. It is therefore likely that its first goal is to position itself as a pivotal player on the Afghan scene, especially one that it is close geographically to the region and aims to succeed where Western powers have failed. Turkish government officials said that Defence Minister Hulusi Akar and US Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin held a “constructive and positive meeting”, Wednesday, to discuss a plan developed by Turkey to manage and guard Kabul airport after the complete withdrawal of NATO forces from Afghanistan.
The talks focused on the financial, political and logistical support. Securing the airport is essential to the movement of diplomatic missions in and out of Afghanistan after NATO’s withdrawal. The Pentagon said that Austin and Akar discussed the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan and “reaffirmed the importance of providing adequate security” at the airport. It added that they agreed to speak again in the near future.
Observers believe that Ankara knows very well that it will not be militarily any more capable than the United States or the Soviet Union, which, after years of war, were forced to withdraw from Afghanistan. They expect Ankara’s strategy will not rely solely on military muscle.
To secure its presence at Kabul airport Ankara is expected to use relations with countries such as Pakistan and Qatar which have strong connections inside Afghanistan, in order to maintain solid channels to the Taliban and bring them into the trilateral alliance Ankara is trying to build there. Andrei Isef, an expert in Turkish affairs, asserted in Modern Diplomacy that the Turkish president’s ambitions would not be limited to just securing the airport.
Turkey sees Central Asia as a focal point for its attention and has diversified its activities and meetings in the region. Its most recent step was the “Islamabad Declaration” signed by the foreign minister of Turkey, Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu, his Pakistani counterpart Shah Mahmood Qureshi and Azerbaijan’s chief diplomat Jehon Bermov last January in the Pakistani capital. The tripartite declaration included deepening cooperation in defence and security, joint exercises, capacity building and the exchange of new technologies.
Relations of trust between Erdogan and Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan pave the way for military and political cooperation in Afghanistan, especially since Ankara wants Islamabad to play an active role alongside Turkey in the mission of guarding Kabul Airport. Including the Taliban in this alliance, in the light of the militant group’s strong ties with Pakistan, is possible. It may even help in promoting negotiations between the Taliban and current Afghan president, Ashraf Ghani, in order to produce a government controlled by the Islamist movement, provided that the West is convinced, even if only nominally, that such an arrangement could finally bring peace to the country that has been mired in war for decades. Qatar can exert pressure on the Taliban movement to accept this formula, taking advantage of the historical relations between the two sides, especially by employing the financial card as Taliban’s needs for economic support will be significant if they take over Afghanistan.
Turkey also wields an important card in Afghanistan, consisting of Turkic tribes (northern and central regions) that still speak the Turkish language and have a strong influence. These include the Uzbeks and Turkmen, who are often referred to as “outside Turks”, while the region in which they live is known as “Southern Turkistan”. Turkey plays on the ethnic dimension, benefiting from the geographic expansion of Turkic tribes throughout history. It is working to revive this historical common bond by presenting it in a positive light through the production of historical TV series. If the Turks succeed in imposing their security and political presence over Kabul airport, this will open the way for them to play a greater role in Afghanistan and the region. It also opens other avenues for Turkish economic and security influence. But the task is likely to run into Iranian influence in the country and Tehran’s willingness to compete in filling the vacuum that the Westerners will leave after their withdrawal. Iran has had already a successful experience doing exactly that in post-US Iraq.

Russia Says Taliban Controls Two-Thirds of Afghan-Tajik Border
Agence France Presse/July 09/2021
Russia on Friday said the Taliban controls about two-thirds of the Afghan-Tajik border and urged all sides in Afghanistan to show restraint. "We have noted a sharp rise in tension on the Afghan-Tajik border. The Taliban movement quickly occupied a large part of border districts and currently controls about two-thirds of the border," Russian foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said, adding that Moscow urges all sides to "show restraint." She said that Moscow is ready to take "additional measures" to "prevent aggression" on its ally Tajikistan and called on all sides to "avoid spreading tensions outside of the country." The Taliban announced Friday they had captured a key border crossing with Iran, hours after President Joe Biden issued a staunch defense of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. A Taliban delegation was in Moscow on Friday and giving a press conference. This week more than 1,000 Afghan troops fled into Tajikistan after a blistering offensive by the insurgents in the north of Afghanistan.  Afghan authorities have vowed to retake all the districts lost to the Taliban and deployed hundreds of commandos to counter the insurgents' offensive in the north.
The fighting in the north has also forced Moscow to close its consulate in the city of Mazar-i-Sharif, the capital of Balkh province and one of Afghanistan's largest urban centers near the border with Uzbekistan.

Taliban Claim to Control 85% of Afghanistan, U.S. Says Kabul Fall 'Not Inevitable'
Agence France Presse/July 09/2021
The Taliban claimed Friday to be in control of 85 percent of Afghanistan, including a key border crossing with Iran, following a sweeping offensive launched as U.S. troops pull out of the war-torn nation. Hours after President Joe Biden issued a staunch defense of the U.S. withdrawal, the Taliban said fighters had seized the border town of Islam Qala -- completing an arc of territory from the Iranian border to the frontier with China. In Moscow, a delegation of Taliban officials said they controlled some 250 of Afghanistan's 398 districts -- a claim impossible to independently verify and disputed by the government. Separately, Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid told AFP the Islam Qala border crossing was "under our full control", while government officials in Kabul said a fightback was under way. "All Afghan security forces including the border units are present in the area, and efforts are under way to recapture the site," interior ministry spokesman Tareq Arian told AFP. Hours earlier, Biden said the U.S. military mission would end on August 31 -- nearly 20 years after it began -- having "achieved" its goals.
But he admitted it was "highly unlikely" Kabul would be able to control the entire country. "The status quo is not an option," Biden said of staying in the country. "I will not send another generation of Americans to war in Afghanistan."
With the Taliban having routed much of northern Afghanistan in recent weeks, the government is holding little more than a constellation of provincial capitals that must be largely reinforced and resupplied by air.
The air force was under severe strain even before the Taliban's lightning offensive overwhelmed the government's northern and western positions, putting further pressure on the country's limited aircraft and pilots. Biden said the Afghan people alone should determine their future, but he acknowledged the uncertainty about what that would look like. Asked if a Taliban takeover was inevitable, the president said: "No, it is not."
But, he admitted, "the likelihood there is going to be one unified government in Afghanistan controlling the whole country is highly unlikely.".
The Taliban, for their part, welcomed Biden's statement.
"Any day or hour that U.S. and foreign troops leave earlier is a positive step," spokesman Suhail Shaheen told AFP. Afghan commandos have clashed with the insurgents this week in a provincial capital for the first time, with thousands of people fleeing Qala-i-Naw in northwest Badghis province. President Ashraf Ghani said the government could handle the situation, but admitted difficulties lay ahead. "What we are witnessing is one of the most complicated stages of the transition," he said in a speech in Kabul. "Legitimacy is ours; God is with us." The Taliban have been emboldened by the troop withdrawal and, with peace talks with the government deadlocked, appear to be pressing for a full military victory. Still, on Thursday a member of the negotiating team in Doha insisted the insurgents were seeking a "negotiated settlement". "We do not believe in monopoly of power," spokesman Shaheen told AFP. In Moscow, a Russian foreign ministry spokeswoman said the Taliban controlled about two-thirds of the Afghan-Tajik border as a delegation from the insurgents wound up a visit. Some "85 percent of Afghanistan's territory" was under the group's control, said Taliban negotiator Shahabuddin Delawar. This week more than 1,000 Afghan troops fled into Tajikistan in the face of a Taliban onslaught.

US is not engaged in ‘open war’ with Iran-backed militias: State Department official
Joseph Haboush & Nadia Bilbassy-Charters, Al Arabiya English/ 09 July ,2021
The United States is not engaged in an “open war” with Iran-backed militias despite the latter ramping up attacks on US forces in the Middle East, a senior State Department official said Friday. An uptick in militia attacks has been seen in recent weeks and months on US bases in Iraq and Syria, which have led US President Joe Biden to order retaliatory airstrikes. But the tit-for-tat moves do not insinuate an indirect. “I understand that some of these militias completely disagree with what the United States is trying to do in Iraq in fighting ISIS, but we’re asking them, we’re demanding, that they just leave us alone and we’ll leave them alone, so that we can fight this common enemy, which is ISIS,” Acting Assistant Secretary of State Joey Hood said. In an interview with Al Arabiya, Hood hit out at Tehran’s proxies and militias for the recurring attacks, “which serve no one’s interest, and only allow ISIS more freedom to operate.”
Asked about Lebanon, Hood berated the political elites in Beirut, calling them a “clique that has been in control for far too long.”But the US diplomat extended an olive branch to Lebanese officials and said that if they want to show “that they’re actually leaders,” they would need to form a government “right now” capable of implementing badly needed reforms. “And if they do that, countries in Europe and the United States have all said we are ready to support with billions of dollars in assistance. But we will not throw money at this problem without seeing those fundamental changes that need to take place,” Hood said. Washington will, however, continue to provide humanitarian aid to the Lebanese people who are suffering. “And it’s needless suffering brought on by a political class that doesn’t seem willing to make the compromises that it needs to make to just pursue the reforms that everyone knows that they need to pursue,” Hood said. As for the Lebanese army, Hood said the US was coordinating with allies, including Saudi Arabia and France, to help. Calling the Lebanese army as a “linchpin to stability in the country,” Hood said: “We need to make sure that they at least have what they need to continue doing their jobs.”Hood also discussed Libya and Syria during his interview with Al Arabiya. In Libya, the US diplomat said Washington was in talks with its allies, including Turkey, for ways to ensure the withdrawal of foreign fighters and mercenaries.
He called for elections to take place on the scheduled date of December 24. “And Libya is lucky because it doesn’t have a huge population, and it does have hydrocarbon resources. So it’s not for a destitute country. You can say it’s a failed state in terms of governance, but in terms of being able to fund its own redevelopment, that possibility is there,” Hood said. Turning to Syria, Hood said the US was “not about regime change in Damascus” when asked if Washington was still demanding that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad be replaced. “What we’re about is a UN-led political process that will lead to a Syrian government that is fully representative of his people and takes care of its people and doesn’t torture them, doesn’t put them in prison for their political views, doesn’t withhold assistance from them, doesn’t gas them and drop barrel bombs on them, as the Assad regime has done,” he said. But the UN-led political process does not have a very good chance “right now, because Bashar is not taking it very seriously,” Hood said.

Iraq’s confused diplomacy could complicate Saudi-Iran overtures
The Arab Weekly/July 09/2021
BAGHDAD – Saudi Arabia still views Iran with a lot of caution despite a rapprochement drive between the two countries through the mediation of Iraq. Saudi Arabia and Iran, longtime foes, began direct talks in April to contain tensions at the same time that global powers have been embroiled in nuclear negotiations in Vienna. Neither Iran nor Gulf Arabs wants a return to tensions of 2019 which saw attacks on tankers in Gulf waters and on Saudi oil installations, then the 2020 US killing, under former President Donald Trump, of top Iranian general Qassem Soleimani. A perception that Washington was now disengaging militarily from the area under US President Joe Biden has prompted a more pragmatic Gulf approach, analysts said. Nevertheless, Biden has demanded Iran rein in its missile programme and end its support for proxies in the region including in Yemen, which are key demands of Gulf Arab nations. Saudi-Iran talks have focused mainly on Yemen, where a military campaign led by Riyadh against the Iran-aligned Houthi movement for over six years no longer has US backing. Iraq, however, is facing serious challenges in pressing ahead with its mediation efforts, in view of the escalating pressure by Iran-aligned Shia militias on the government of Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi. Riyadh had earlier spoken of an “exploratory phase” in talks with Tehran, but questions are growing about Iraq’s ability to achieve a rapprochement between the two countries. Not only is Baghdad unable to reign in the chaos of the militias, but Iraqi diplomacy makes the matter more complicated, in view of its weakness and confused approach.
Over the last few months, Baghdad has been trumpeting the success of its diplomacy in achieving talks between Tehran and Riyadh, stressing that the initial round of talks that took place last April was positive. Observers, however, believe that Iran-Saudi rapprochement “is such a thorny issue that weak and confused diplomatic capabilities, like those of Iraq, cannot deal with.”The observers also point to Tehran’s failure to take practical steps in what would be a goodwill gesture towards Riyadh, which has demanded an end to Iran’s support to militias and chaos across the Middle East, particularly in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen. Iraq says that its efforts and its good relations with the two countries led to direct talks last April between Saudi and Iranian officials for the first time since relations were severed in January 2016.
Ihsan al-Shammari, head of the Iraqi Centre for Political Thinking, says “efforts by Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi to bridge the gap between Saudi-Iranian conflicting views constitute an advanced step.”Observers believe that Baghdad’s success in bringing the two regional rivals to the negotiating table could eventually serve Iraq, by easing tensions across the region and inside the country, where powerful Iran-backed militias have been wreaking havoc. “Kadhimi succeeded in transforming Iraq into a mediator instead of transmitting messages between the two countries, as previous governments did in the past,” Shammari said. “Iraq is playing the role of mediator in order to achieve stability at home. In fact, the two countries wield a great influence inside Iraq,” he added, noting that stability “will benefit Baghdad amid continued threats by armed factions to target Riyadh from Iraqi territory.”
The Iranian Foreign Ministry had earlier said that Tehran looks positively on talks with Saudi Arabia and that it “always welcomes talks”. However, Riyadh is still assessing Tehran’s moves and gestures to determine the extent of the Iranian regime’s seriousness when it comes to rapprochement. Gulf countries, led by Saudi Arabia, usually accuse Iran of having a Shia expansionist agenda in the region and of interfering in the internal affairs of Arab countries, including Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon, accusations that Tehran denies. Iranian intransigence, however, reduces the chances for the success of any talks, especially in the absence of any change when it comes to the approach of the Iranian foreign policy. For years, Baghdad officials have been relaying messages between Iran and Saudi Arabia, two neighbours of Iraq and regional powers.
Adnan al-Sarraj, head of the Iraqi Centre for Media Development, believes that “dialogue between Saudi Arabia and Iran could bring peace to the region,” noting that “any political conflict between the two countries would eventually complicate the general situation in Iraq.” “Holding such a dialogue could prove a boon for Iraq by opening the door to economic cooperation at a time when the country is facing an acute economic crisis, exacerbated by the decline in oil prices and the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic,” he added. Relations between Riyadh and Baghdad are currently going through their best time compared to years ago, but the detrimental role of the Iran-backed militias has disrupted much of this rapprochement.
Iraqi parliamentarian of the Iran-backed Al-Fateh Alliance, Muhammad Al-Baldawi, says that “Iraq has completed all preparations for holding a round of direct and public talks between the two parties and is in the process of putting the final touches to set the date,” noting that his country is able to play the role of mediator between Iran and Saudi Arabia. However, Saudi Arabia has expressed the view on several occasions that it is in Iran’s interest to work with its neighbours in a positive way that may guarantee security and stability, stressing at the same time that rapprochement with Iran is still at an “early stage.” There are real concerns about Ibrahim Raisi’s accession to the Iranian presidency and these fears have been voiced by some Iraqi leaders, who warned against the collapse of talks with Saudi Arabia and the impact of such a collapse on the countries of the region. Despite his political fluctuations, the leader of the Sadrist movement Muqtada al-Sadr, voiced his concern on June 21 about Raisi’s presidency and said that “Raisi taking power in Iran shall not eclipse the region with extremism and escalation.”“We hope that he will use reason, Sharia and dialogue to end political and sectarian conflicts in the region which would strengthen Islam, Shiism and Arabism and weaken the common enemy in general and Israel in particular, which have exploited those conflicts for a long time to spread their webs,” Sadr also said in a statement posted on Twitter. He called on Saudi Arabia and Iran to solve their problems on the one hand and keep Iraq out of their conflict as well as not interfere in its affairs, especially as Iraq is on the verge of parliamentary elections, which are an internal affair. He stressed the continuation of good neighbourliness and the development of “equal” relations between his country, Saudi Arabia and Iran, adding that the main foundations of good neighbourliness are “non-interference in the country’s internal affairs and cooperation in overcoming common difficulties.”Riyadh views negotiations with Tehran as a necessity to reach a solution in Yemen in light of Iran’s unlimited support for the Houthi militias in their battle against the legitimate government, backed by the Arab coalition and Saudi Arabia. The Iranian regime is currently hoping to make gains from the ongoing nuclear negotiations in Geneva, but the countries of the region, led by Saudi Arabia, oppose any deal with Iran that would not address Tehran’s missile programme, the Iranian behaviour in the region and the ongoing interference by the Iranian regime in Arab internal affairs
.

Changed dynamics after US exit from Afghanistan
The Arab Weekly/July 09/2021
LONDON – As US troops quietly quit their last key bases in Afghanistan last weekend, Russian-backed Syrian forces were stepping up their bombardment and siege of Idlib and preparing for a possible closure of the last humanitarian crossing from Syria to Turkey. It was a reminder of just how much the Middle East and South Asia have changed since NATO forces began their attempts to stabilise Afghanistan 20 years ago. As late as the Libya intervention in 2011, and against Islamic State as recently as 2019, the United States was still the key intervening power in conflicts, at least when it wished to be. On rare occasions, that might remain the case, even with the number of troops reduced to a few hundred in Iraq and Syria, plus now a similar-sized detachment guarding the US embassy in Kabul, US air and naval forces remain significantly more powerful than any other player. On the ground where it counts, however, other players are now dominant, facing off for influence in a way that has already redefined the wars in Libya and Syria. Indeed, whether America itself really knows what role it wants to play remains unclear. Institutionally, the US military and many agencies of the US government have been embroiled in the Mideast and Afghanistan for so long they may inevitably wish to remain engaged. The domestic and other drivers to pull back, however, are becoming ever stronger. Going forward in Afghanistan, the ongoing presence of US and British troops guarding their respective embassies is largely dependent on a Turkish deal to retain control of Kabul airport, now likely to become the only other significant international presence in the country. As in multiple other conflicts, Turkey is looking to position itself as a key international player, “ but Russia, China and other states also see opportunities to increase influence and mitigate risks.
Chinese- Russia factor
For China, that means deepening discussions with long-term partner Pakistan and the authorities in Kabul, reportedly including a potential motorway from the Afghan capital to Peshawar in Pakistan’s North West Frontier province. That could revolutionise the region and significantly antagonise India, “ but would require a very different security situation. Russia’s closest central Asian ally, Tajikistan, on Wednesday requested Moscow’s support to secure its mountainous border with Afghanistan. Moscow has its own history in Afghanistan, but as in the Middle East, it is unlikely to pass up an opportunity to supplant the United States and has stepped up diplomatic and military outreach across Central Asia. According to local media reports, some of Afghanistan’s most significant roads now pass through Taliban control and 15 of Afghanistan’s 34 regional capitals are now largely encircled by the militants, including the key northern city of Mazar-i-Sharif. US intelligence estimates cited by US media predict the Afghan government itself could fall in six months to a year, although with Afghan troops already said to be melting away in some areas, any unraveling could come faster.
In Libya, Syria, Iraq and Yemen, Washington remains involved to various degrees but other nations are now often more influential. That has particularly benefited Russia, which now has a significant presence in Syria and Libya supporting its much more assertive naval forces in the eastern Mediterranean. Regional dynamics are more complex still, benefiting smaller powers.
Unreported wars
In Libya, where Washington and its NATO allies marshalled an ad hoc coalition to oust Muammar Gadhafi in 2011, the war is now a complex fight between elements backed by foreign powers including Russia, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, France and others, in part driven by a desire for oil and gas reserves. In Syria, where the United States retains a modest military presence in some oil-rich Kurdish areas, the primary drivers of the conflict now include a much broader confrontation between the Russian-backed regime of Bashar al-Assad and Turkey, which controls some areas along the border with its own troops and Turkish-backed militias. As well as shaping the war on the ground with troops and air power since its intervention began in 2015, Russia has also used its veto at the United Nations to control diplomatic actions on Syria, including the latest potential border closure.
In contrast to 2011, developments in these conflicts are now barely covered by international media. Activities of US forces are also much less sovered, with little clarity, for example, over reported explosions at a US base in Syria this week.
Indeed, many of the key developments in US-Mideast relations, such as the visit to Washington this week of Saudi Deputy Defence Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman, go largely unreported or at least officially unannounced. The same goes for an uptick in US strikes against Iranian-backed forces in Iraq earlier this month, one country where the United States remains more involved than expected after withdrawal of combat troops but has also seen its power fade.
What happens next in Afghanistan may similarly go largely ignored. Most coverage so far has focused on what the United States and Britain might do next, not what is happening on the ground. Whether Turkey can control the international airport may come down to whether it is able to strike a deal with a dramatically resurgent Taliban, but the details of that and whether or not it truly happens may also barely be reported. That does not mean multiple countries will not be paying attention. The West might wish Afghanistan had ceased to exist once its troops are no longer there, but in many ways the 21st-century “Great Game” for influence there is only just beginning.


Israeli PM Bennett holds secret meeting with Jordan's Abdullah
Jerusalem Post/July 09/2021
The agreement reached between Lapid and Safadi builds on Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's decision to sell up to 50 cubic meters of water to Jordan during the current water year, Lapid said. Prime Minister Naftali Bennett secretly met with Jordan’s King Abdullah at his palace in Amman last week, as the two countries finalize a major water deal in advance of their separate trips to Washington later this summer. The story of the meeting was reported widely Thursday by the Israeli media but was not confirmed by Bennett’s office. Such meetings between former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and King Abdullah were rare and had not happened for a number of years due to rising tensions between the two countries. At last week's meeting Bennett and Abdullah agreed that the two countries must heal that rift. As a step in that direction they spoke of a water deal. Foreign Minister Yair Lapid on Thursday publicly visited Jordan to help finalize the water deal and a separate agreement to increase trade levels. “The Kingdom of Jordan is a neighbor and partner of the State of Israel. The Foreign Ministry will continue to hold an ongoing dialogue in order to preserve and strengthen that relationship,” Lapid said, according to a statement put out by his office.“We will expand economic cooperation for the benefit of both countries,” he added. The US State Department welcomed the rapprochement between the Israel and Jordan, adding that the water and trade deal would "strengthen civilian cooperation between the two countries and will support the Palestinian people by allowing increased trade between Jordan and the West Bank.""It is these kinds of tangible steps that increase prosperity for all and advance regional stability," the US added.
Israel plans to sell 50 million cu.m. of water to Jordan, in what could be a short term annual allocation. Such a move would augment the 55 million cu.m. yearly allotment guaranteed to Jordan under the 1994 peace between the two countries.
Additional water offers have been rare. In 2010 Israel allowed Jordan to purchase 10 million cu.m. and in April, a 3 million cu.m. purchase was approved.
Bennett already gave his initial approval to the deal, which was cemented when Lapid met with his Jordanian counterpart, Ayman Safadi, on Thursday.
“Final details will be worked out by the professional teams in the coming days,” the Foreign Ministry said.
While in Jordan Lapid also agreed to increase Jordan’s export level to Palestinians in the West Bank from $160 million to $700m. annually.
Some $470m. of that sum “will be included under Palestinian trade regulations (List A1), with the rest handled in accordance with Israel’s trade regulations (List B),” the Foreign Ministry said.
“The increase will be decided by the parties in accordance with the Paris Protocol, which provides the economic framework for trade between Israel and the Palestinian Authority,” it added.
The new Bennett-led government has sought to improve the relationship with its regional ally, viewed as essential to Israel’s national security.
Over the last year Defense Minister Benny Gantz and former foreign minister Gabi Ashkenazi worked on damage control measures with their neighbor.
Israel’s gestures are expected to help Jordan combat its economic woes and drought which have threatened to destabilize the Hashemite Kingdom.
Lapid’s trip is seen as a precursor to this summer’s Washington visits. No date has yet been set for Bennett’s trip.
But King Abdullah of Jordan will arrive in Washington on July 19 to meet with US President Joe Biden, the White House announced on Wednesday.
“The President and the First Lady look forward to welcoming His Majesty King Abdullah II of Jordan, Her Majesty Queen Rania, and His Royal Highness Crown Prince Hussein to the White House,” the official statement reads. “His Majesty’s visit will highlight the enduring and strategic partnership between the United States and Jordan, a key security partner and ally of the United States.”
“It will be an opportunity to discuss the many challenges facing the Middle East and showcase Jordan’s leadership role in promoting peace and stability in the region,” the White House said. “President Biden looks forward to working with His Majesty to strengthen bilateral cooperation on multiple political, security and economic issues, including the promotion of economic opportunities that will be vital for a bright future in Jordan.”
David Makovsky, director of the Koret Project on Arab-Israel relations at the Washington Institute, told The Jerusalem Post that he believed the visit “reflects that to be among the first Arab leaders to visit – even if a half year since taking office – Biden wants to signal his support for the Hashemite Kingdom that is viewed as a pro-American ally.”
“While security ties remain excellent, I am sure the administration hopes that personal ties will improve in the post-Netanyahu era between the leadership of Jordan and Israel,” said Makovsky.
Tensions, however, were still evident during Lapid’s visit with Safadi regarding points of conflict between the two countries: the Temple Mount, Jerusalem and West Bank settlements.
Jordan has a special relationship with the Temple Mount – also known as al-Haram al-Sharif – which is the third holiest site in Islam, over which the Hashemite Kingdom has custodial responsibilities.
Jordan fears that Israel wants to change the status quo on the Temple Mount, that allows only Muslim worship while banning Jewish prayer.
According to the Jordan News Agency, Safadi spoke with Lapid of the need to preserve the Temple Mount’s status quo. He urged Lapid not to allow the eviction of Palestinians from the east Jerusalem Sheikh Jarrah neighborhood, warning that it would be a war crime.
Safadi also emphasized the importance of a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict based on the pre-1967 lines with east Jerusalem as a Palestinian capital.
The former Netanyahu government had opposed any two-state resolution based on the pre-1967 lines, while former prime minister Ehud Olmert had supported that basic framework.
Bennett’s government is made up of parties that support and oppose a two-state arrangement based on the 1967 lines. Bennett himself is opposed to a Palestinian state, while Lapid favors one, but neither want a Palestinian state on the 1967 lines.
*Maariv contributed to this report

US sees ‘serious threat’ in attacks in Iraq, Syria but unsure what to do
The Arab Weekly/July 09/2021
WASHINGTON – The Pentagon said on Thursday it was deeply concerned about a series of attacks on US personnel in Iraq and Syria in recent days. US diplomats and troops in Iraq and Syria were targeted in three rocket and drone attacks on Wednesday alone, including at least 14 rockets hitting an Iraqi air base hosting US forces, wounding two American service members. While there were no immediate claims of responsibility for the attacks, part of a wave targeting US troops or areas where they are based in Iraq and Syria, analysts believed they were part of a campaign by Iranian-backed militias. “They are using lethal weaponry. I don’t know how you can say anything other than it is a serious threat,” Pentagon spokesman John Kirby told reporters. Iraqi militia groups aligned with Iran vowed to retaliate after US strikes on the Iraqi-Syrian border killed four of their members last month. Iran denied supporting attacks on US forces in Iraq and Syria and condemned US air strikes on Iranian-backed groups. Its proxies in Iraq remain the prime suspects, nonetheless. Iraq, long an arena for bitter rivalry between the US and Iran despite their shared enmity towards the Islamist State (ISIS) extremist group, has seen growing numbers of rocket and drone attacks on American targets in recent months. The last few days have witnessed repeated attacks on US interests in the west, Iraqi Kurdistan in the north and the US embassy in Baghdad. Some have been claimed by previously unknown groups demanding the departure of the “American occupier”, or promising to avenge the deaths of comrades killed in US strikes. But observers blame them on existing pro-Iranian factions, operating under the umbrella of the Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilisation Forces) paramilitary alliance formed to fight ISIS. Commanders from the Hashed, which is integrated into state forces and has become a major political player, often praise the attacks, without ever claiming responsibility. The Hashed has vowed revenge for the deaths of its forces in US strikes in Iraq and Syria. Experts warn that, the attacks have turned into a dangerous tit-for-tat violence. One senior US military official warned that Iraqi armed groups “are playing with fire”. But Washington is yet to offer a clear strategy or project a strong political will to deal with the provocations. The ongoing talks about Iran’s nuclear programme and the promise of an end to the US sanctions have not lowered the Iraqi militants’ escalation. The United States has been holding indirect talks with Iran aimed at bringing both nations back into compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, which was abandoned by then-President Donald Trump. No date has been set for a next round of the talks, which adjourned on June 20.
Endless cycle
“We can expect the cycle to continue”, said Marsin Alshamary, an Iraq specialist at the Brookings Institution, a Washington-based think-tank. Pro-Iranian forces have carried out dozens of attacks against US interests in Iraq since the start of the year, mainly as shows of force. Iraq researcher Hamdi Malik of the Washington Institute said recent attacks by Iran-backed militias in Iraq and Eastern Syria were a way of bolstering support and competing for influence. Nothing works better than targeting the US, experts say. Pro-Iranian groups suffered a heavy blow in January last year with the US killing of Iran’s revered commander Qasem Soleimani and his Iraqi lieutenant Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis. “By not acting when more of their people are killed, (pro-Iran groups) risk losing their credibility and legitimacy in the eyes of their own bases,” Malik said. They are also cautious of “losing respect in the eyes of other components of the ‘axis of resistance’ in other countries in the region,” he said, referring to pro-Iranian forces in Syria, Lebanon and Yemen. On the other side, Washington “is trying to curb the influence and the authority of these militias,” said Alshamary. The Iraqi state has repeatedly condemned the rocket and drone attacks, but has been unable to put any of the perpetrators on trial, Alshamary said. Such incidents have escalated in Iraq and Syria even as the US and Iran conduct delicate negotiations aimed at reviving a 2015 accord on Tehran’s nuclear activities, scuppered by the Trump administration in 2018.

Pfizer Pushes for 3rd Shot as Variant Drives Global Outbreaks
Agence France Presse/July 09/2021
Pfizer and BioNTech announced they would seek authorization for a third dose of their Covid-19 vaccine to boost its efficacy, as the Delta variant drove devastating outbreaks in Asia and Africa and cases rose again in Europe and the United States.
With the pandemic once again wreaking havoc, Japan banned fans from most Olympic events and placed Tokyo under a virus state of emergency throughout the Games just two weeks before the opening ceremony.
Delta is the most infectious strain of the virus since the start of the global pandemic early last year. Originally detected in India, it has quickly spread and is accelerating outbreaks even in countries with high vaccination rates, leading the World Health Organization to warn this week that the world was at a "perilous point" as the official global death toll passed four million. Pfizer and BioNTech said Thursday they expected that a third dose will perform well against the strain, and that they would be seeking authorization in the United States, Europe and other regions in coming weeks.
Initial data from an ongoing trial showed a third shot pushed antibody levels five to 10 times higher against the original coronavirus strain and the Beta variant, first found in South Africa, compared with the first two doses alone, according to a statement.
The companies said they expected similar results for Delta -- but added they were also developing a vaccine specifically tailored to fight the deadly strain.
The news came after Japan, where the variant currently accounts for around 30 percent of cases, said it would ban spectators from almost all Olympic venues in light of a new state of emergency imposed on the capital.
The Olympic flame arrived in the Japanese capital Friday, in a muted finish to a nationwide torch relay that was supposed to stoke excitement about the Games but which has been taken off public roads or otherwise altered because of virus concerns.
'Do not leave your home' -
Elsewhere in Asia, Vietnam's Ho Chi Minh City went into a two-week lockdown, with residents now barred from gathering in groups larger than pairs in public, and people are only allowed to leave home to buy food, medicine and in case of emergencies.
Police have also set up check-points at city borders and only those with negative test results can get in.
In Indonesia, desperately needed supplies of oxygen and protective equipment arrived from neighboring Singapore.
Indonesia has become a global Covid-19 hotspot, with a fierce outbreak leaving hospitals struggling to cope -- many are now refusing new patients, leaving scores to die at home, while desperate relatives hunt for oxygen tanks to treat the sick.
Indonesia, with a population of 270 million, now has a recorded caseload of over 2.4 million -- but testing rates are low and experts believe the true figure is far higher.
The virus is alsi returning to many places once held up as models in combating the pandemic. Authorities in Australia’s largest city Friday tightened a now-three week lockdown as new Covid-19 infections hit a record and authorities warned an outbreak of the Delta variant was spinning out of control.
"Do not leave your home unless you absolutely have to," state premier Gladys Berejiklian told Sydney's five million residents, warning they were facing the greatest threat to their safety "since the pandemic started".
And South Korea said it would raise coronavirus curbs to their highest level in the Seoul metropolitan area, with prime minister Kim Boo-kyum warning a record spike in new cases had reached "maximum crisis level."
Almost half the South Korean population will now be barred from gathering in groups of more than two people after 6pm for two weeks and schools will be shut, among other new restrictions.
Meanwhile in Brazil, which has the world's second-highest known Covid-19 death toll after the United States, authorities have said the variant was spreading rapidly in the country's most populous state Sao Paulo. Also badly hit and struggling to cope is Africa, where the WHO warned the worst was yet to come after the most disastrous week in its history of pandemics. "The fast-moving third wave continues to gain speed and new ground," said Dr Matshidiso Moeti, the WHO's regional director for Africa.
Delta is making itself felt even in places where vaccination drives have been robust.
France on Thursday advised its citizens against traveling to Spain and Portugal because of a Delta-caused spike in cases.

Jihan al-Sadat, Wife to Egypt's ex-President, Dies
Agence France Presse/July 09/2021
Jihan al-Sadat, the second wife of assassinated Egyptian president Anwar Sadat, has died at the age of 87, the presidency said on Friday. "The presidency... weeps with immense sadness for Jihan al-Sadat, the wife of president Anwar Sadat, a hero of war and peace," an official statement said. She was "a model for Egyptian women", the statement added. She had been in hospital for several weeks after returning from treatment in the United States, her son Mohamed said. She was born in Cairo to an English mother and Egyptian father in 1933 and married Sadat in 1949. The former president was assassinated by Islamists in 1981.


The Latest The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July 09-10/2021
Iran’s Latest Nuclear Escalation Exposes Biden’s Failed Iran Policy
Anthony Ruggiero/Richard Goldberg/FDD/July 09/2021
أنتوني روجيرو/ريتشارد غولدبرغ/مؤسسة الدفاع عن الديموقراطيات: أحدث تصعيد نووي إيراني يكشف سياسة بايدن الفاشلة تجاه حكم الملالي
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/100479/anthony-ruggiero-richard-goldberg-irans-latest-nuclear-escalation-exposes-bidens-failed-iran-policy-%d8%a3%d9%86%d8%aa%d9%88%d9%86%d9%8a-%d8%b1%d9%88%d8%ac%d9%8a%d8%b1%d9%88-%d8%b1/

Rafael Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), on Tuesday informed the IAEA Board of Governors that Iran will use indigenously enriched uranium to produce uranium metal. This is the latest nuclear provocation from Tehran as the Biden administration offers to rejoin the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and lift economic sanctions.
The Islamic Republic informed the IAEA that it would convert into uranium metal some of the 20 percent-enriched uranium-235 that it began producing in January, which Tehran would then use to make fuel for the Tehran Research Reactor. Iran’s actions are a transparent attempt to manufacture a justification for its increased uranium enrichment activities and its previously announced production of uranium metal. Both activities develop crucial knowledge that Tehran can use in a nuclear weapons program.
The E3 (France, Germany, and the United Kingdom) were disturbed by this development and issued a strong statement that called Tehran’s actions a “serious violation of Iran’s [JCPOA] commitments.” The group also noted that the Islamic Republic has “no credible civilian need for uranium metal R&D and production, which are a key step in the development of a nuclear weapon.”
State Department spokesman Ned Price called Tehran’s actions “another unfortunate step backwards for Iran.”
Iran also curtailed the IAEA’s monitoring of Tehran’s nuclear program when it did not extend an IAEA-Iran access agreement brokered in May. The Islamic Republic, meanwhile, has reportedly restricted IAEA inspectors’ access to its main enrichment plant while refusing to resolve outstanding IAEA questions about undeclared nuclear activities at several facilities in Iran. Importantly, Iran’s failure to comply with IAEA safeguards investigations constitutes a material breach of its obligations under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty — something that would not be resolved by rejoining the JCPOA.
Unfortunately, these developments were predictable when the E3 and the Biden administration decided to accommodate Iran’s stonewalling of the IAEA during the March 2021 IAEA Board of Governors meeting. The appropriate response would have been a resolution condemning Iran’s refusal to answer the agency’s legitimate questions. But the efforts to return to the flawed 2015 nuclear deal took precedence and, in the process, the E3 and United States signaled that the IAEA safeguards mission was a secondary priority.
These concessions weakened Grossi’s standing and made it more difficult for him to get Tehran to cooperate. Furthermore, the United States and E3 have perversely incentivized the director general to avoid disputes with Iran — instilling a fear inside the agency that a confrontation could be blamed for any failure to revive the JCPOA — which gives Iran greater latitude to extort the IAEA. Time will tell if the E3 and the United States have irreparably harmed the IAEA’s integrity, but they have likely weakened safeguards beyond the Iran case.
To address Iran’s latest violation, the E3 and United States should immediately call for a special Board of Governors meeting. The E3 statement hints that their patience is waning. However, by proposing the lifting of sanctions on Iran as a solution to this crisis rather than insisting on accountability at the IAEA board, the group signals weakness to Tehran.
A special Board of Governors meeting would be an opportunity to adopt a resolution that reinforces the board’s confidence in Grossi, condemns Iran’s nuclear escalation, and reaffirms that concerns related to Iran’s compliance with its Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement remain separate from any negotiated return to the flawed 2015 deal.
The Biden administration and America’s E3 partners made a serious mistake by appeasing Iran’s nuclear extortion under the misguided notion that Tehran would moderate its behavior following concessions. JCPOA proponents now know that the Islamic Republic is determined to proceed with its nuclear program and will exploit any weakness. The Biden administration should restore its leverage and deal with the incoming Raisi administration from a position of strength.
*Anthony Ruggiero is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), where Richard Goldberg is a senior advisor. Anthony previously served in the U.S. government for more than 19 years, most recently as senior director for counterproliferation and biodefense on the U.S. National Security Council. Richard previously served as director for countering Iranian weapons of mass destruction for the National Security Council. They both contribute to FDD’s Iran Program and Center on Military and Political Power (CMPP). For more analysis from the authors, the Iran Program, and CMPP,

The Middle East should be afraid of Iran’s Ebrahim Raisi
Alireza Nader/Saeed Ghasseminejad/Al Arabiya/July 09/2021
علي رضا نادر/سعيد قاسمي نجاد: يجب على الشرق الأوسط أن يخاف من إبراهيم رئيسي الإيراني
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Iran’s newly elected president, Ebrahim Raisi, is known for his brutal and fanatical devotion to the Islamic Republic, a history that it would serve Middle Eastern nations well to remember in future foreign policy dealings with the country.
Raisi’s selection by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei as president is meant to facilitate a smooth succession and instill fear in Iranians yearning to break free from the theocracy. While domestic politics drove the selection of Raisi, it nonetheless has implications for foreign policy. Raisi and Khamenei, who will likely feed each other’s hardest impulses, will surely lead to further Iranian intervention in the Middle East, an expanding ballistic-missile program, and unrelenting hostility toward Israel and the Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Raisi is the top contender to succeed Khamenei once the 82-year-old leader passes – although the road to succession may be a turbulent one. Knowing that the key to succeeding Khamenei is his approval, Raisi’s main goal over the next few years is not to lose the Ayatollah’s trust. As a result, he will be Khamenei’s most loyal disciple as long as Khamenei and the hope of succession are alive.
Raisi adheres to all of Khamenei’s key principles, including maintaining the revolutionary status quo, his rabid anti-Americanism, and dedication to advancing Iran’s missiles and nuclear programs. At the same time, Raisi has been careful not to outbid Khamenei in his radicalism.
Unlike some of Khamenei’s supporters, Raisi does not oppose the US return to the nuclear agreement or the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Like Khamenei, he understands that the regime desperately needs an infusion of cash. US sanctions have served as a constraint on the Islamic Republic’s ability to fund its most nefarious activities, therefore a US return to the JCPOA and the easing of sanctions will see greater resources for regional expansion.
Raisi also believes in Khamenei’s concept of the “resistance” economy, a rather vague doctrine of self-sufficiency that prioritizes the local supply chain over the interconnections of a global economy. In practice, it means less reliance on imports, limited trade with the West, and expanded trade with countries that pose no cultural and political risks. The resistance economy is not a formula for growth but may serve the Islamist regime well as its key goal is to minimize the effect of sanctions.
If a deal is not reached in a few weeks, the Raisi administration, facing high inflation and limited access to hard currency, has little choice but to continue negotiations. The regime may use more threatening actions, including military attacks on US and allied targets, to extract more concessions from Washington. Alarming advances in uranium enrichment and other moves toward nuclear weaponization are an increasing possibility. The regime appears to view amping up the West’s nuclear fears as a valuable strategy against the US in Vienna. Raisi has said clearly, as has the supreme leader, that he is not willing to negotiate on other issues such as missiles and Iran’s regional activities. Thus, the Biden administration’s intention to negotiate a “longer and stronger” agreement is unlikely to happen.
Raisi’s appointments to key national security positions could indicate how militant his foreign policy will be. A key contender is the former nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili either as the foreign minister or head of the supreme national security council. Jalili’s appointment may complicate the nuclear negotiations, as he is known to be fiercely uncompromising.
And Raisi shares Khamenei’s intense hatred for the Arab monarchies. Like the supreme leader, Raisi has used very harsh words to describe Saudi Arabia, and is an active promoter of anti-Semitism, seeking the annihilation of Israel.
Henry Kissinger once asked whether the Islamic Republic views itself as a nation-state or a revolutionary cause. Raisi’s selection provides a final answer to his question. The Biden administration should take note.
*Alireza Nader is a senior fellow for the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Saeed Ghasseminejad is a Senior Advisor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Follow them on Twitter @AlirezaNader and @SGhasseminejad. FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.

Question: "What is the way of salvation?"
Questions.org/July 09/2021
Answer: Are you hungry? Not physically hungry, but do you have a hunger for something more in life? Is there something deep inside of you that never seems to be satisfied? If so, Jesus is the way! Jesus said, “I am the bread of life. He who comes to me will never go hungry, and he who believes in me will never be thirsty” (John 6:35). Are you confused? Can you never seem to find a path or purpose in life? Does it seem like someone has turned out the lights and you cannot find the switch? If so, Jesus is the way of salvation! Jesus proclaimed, “I am the light of the world. Whoever follows me will never walk in darkness, but will have the light of life” (John 8:12). Do you ever feel like you are locked out of life? Have you tried so many doors, only to find that what is behind them is empty and meaningless? Are you looking for an entrance into a fulfilling life? If so, Jesus is the way of salvation! Jesus declared, “I am the gate; whoever enters through me will be saved. He will come in and go out, and find pasture” (John 10:9). Do other people always let you down? Have your relationships been shallow and empty? Does it seem like everyone is trying to take advantage of you? If so, Jesus is the way! Jesus said, “I am the good shepherd. The good shepherd lays down his life for the sheep. I am the good shepherd; I know my sheep and my sheep know me” (John 10:11, 14).
Do you wonder what happens after this life? Are you tired of living your life for things that only rot or rust? Do you sometimes doubt whether life has any meaning? Do you want to live after you die? If so, Jesus is the way of salvation! Jesus declared, “I am the resurrection and the life. He who believes in me will live, even though he dies; and whoever lives and believes in me will never die” (John 11:25-26).
What is the way? What is the truth? What is the life? Jesus answered, “I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me” (John 14:6).
The hunger that you feel is a spiritual hunger, and can only be filled by Jesus. Jesus is the only one who can lift the darkness. Jesus is the door to a satisfying life. Jesus is the friend and shepherd that you have been looking for. Jesus is the life—in this world and the next. Jesus is the way of salvation!
The reason you feel hungry, the reason you seem to be lost in darkness, the reason you cannot find meaning in life, is that you are separated from God. The Bible tells us that we have all sinned, and are therefore separated from God (Ecclesiastes 7:20; Romans 3:23). The void you feel in your heart is God missing from your life. We were created to have a relationship with God. Because of our sin, we are separated from that relationship. Even worse, our sin will cause us to be separated from God for all of eternity, in this life and the next (Romans 6:23; John 3:36).
How can this problem be solved? Jesus is the way of salvation! Jesus took our sin upon Himself (2 Corinthians 5:21). Jesus died in our place (Romans 5:8), taking the punishment that we deserve. Three days later, Jesus rose from the dead, proving His victory over sin and death (Romans 6:4-5). Why did He do it? Jesus answered that question Himself: “Greater love has no one than this, that he lay down his life for his friends” (John 15:13). Jesus died so that we could live. If we place our faith in Jesus, trusting His death as the payment for our sins, all of our sins are forgiven and washed away. We will then have our spiritual hunger satisfied. The lights will be turned on. We will have access to a fulfilling life. We will know our true best friend and good shepherd. We will know that we will have life after we die—a resurrected life in heaven for eternity with Jesus!
“For God so loved the world that he gave his one and only Son, that whoever believes in him shall not perish but have eternal life” (John 3:16).
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