English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For October 24/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
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Bible Quotations For today
The Lord is the Spirit, and where the Spirit of the Lord is, there is freedom
02 Corinthians 03/12: Since we have such a hope, we are very bold, not like Moses, who would put a veil over his face so that the Israelites might not gaze at the outcome of what was being brought to an end. But their minds were hardened. For to this day, when they read the old covenant, that same veil remains unlifted, because only through Christ is it taken away. Yes, to this day whenever Moses is read a veil lies over their hearts. But when one turns to the Lord, the veil is removed. Now the Lord is the Spirit, and where the Spirit of the Lord is, there is freedom. And we all, with unveiled face, beholding the glory of the Lord, are being transformed into the same image from one degree of glory to another. For this comes from the Lord who is the Spirit.
 

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on October 23-24/2020

US offers up to $10 million reward for information on Hezbollah funding
Sudan to designate Lebanon’s Hezbollah as terrorist organization under Israel deal
Pompeo Says U.S. to Continue Targeting Hizbullah's 'Financing Networks'
Lebanon Records Highest Daily Tally of Virus Cases
President Aoun hopes the 100 billion LBP will contribute to alleviating the suffering of those affected by Beirut port explosion
President Aoun on UN International Day: I hope the organization will remain guardian of international values and peace between peoples and keeper of justice and equality
Hariri Says Consultations Positive, Vows to Implement French Paper
Raad Advises Hariri to Seek Understandings with All Blocs
Bassil Holds 'Frank' Talks with Hariri, Urges Techno-Political Govt.
U.N. Coordinator, Deputy Urge 'Rapid Structural Reforms' in Lebanon
UNFIIL Completes 'Temporary and Special' Beirut Mission
Bassil Denies Holding Talks with Israeli Officials on Demarcation File
One Year on, How is Lebanon's Hariri Back?
Under US pressure, Hariri is Lebanon’s PM of expediency
Lebanon: Abbas Ibrahim Returns from US after Contracting Coronavirus
October 17… The Revolution Renews/Hanna Saleh/Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2020
Text of Treasury Department press release: Treasury targets high-ranking Hizballah officials

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on October 23-24/2020

Treasury sanctions Iran's ambassador to Iraq
Text of Treasury Department press release: Treasury sanctions Iranian entities for attempted election interference
Text of Treasury Department press release: Treasury sanctions Iranian Ambassador to Iraq
First COVID-19 Treatment Fully Approved by FDA
Senate Committee Advances Supreme Court Nomination
The US Sets the Tempo of Its Allies’ Dealings With Syria, Refugee Conference
After Sudan, Trump Predicts Saudis to Forge Israel Ties
US, Sudan Press for Amicable Solution over Ethiopia Dam Dispute
Israel and Sudan Reach US-Brokered Deal to Normalize Ties
Israel Jets Strike Gaza after Rocket Fire
U.S. Condemns Turkish Missile System Test, Warns of 'Serious Consequences'
NATO Says Greece and Turkey Cancel Military Exercises
Turkish Cypriot Leader Sworn in with 'Two States' Call
UN: Libyan Factions Sign 'Permanent' National Ceasefire Deal
U.S. Hails Libya Ceasefire, Urges Foreign Fighters to Leave
US Drone Strike Kills 17 Militants in Northwest Syria
Kadhimi, Johnson Agree on ‘Strategic Cooperation’
Bloated Public Salaries at Heart of Iraq's Economic Woes
 

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on October 23-24/2020

Turkish interference in the Caucasus risks setting the whole region ablaze/Armen Sarkissian/The President of Armenia/The National/October 23/2020
Question: "Why was God so evident in the Bible, and seems so hidden today?"/GotQuestions.org/October 23/2020
Iran Targeted by U.S. Over Threats Against Democratic Voters/Jamie Tarabay and Kartikay Mehrotra/Bloomberg/ October 22/2020
Electing the President of the ‘Global Village’/Elias Harfoush/Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2020

 

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on October 23-24/2020

US offers up to $10 million reward for information on Hezbollah funding
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/Friday 23 October 2020
The United States Friday announced a reward of up to $10 million for any information on ways to disrupt Iran-backed Hezbollah’s funding.
“In that reward offer, [we are] seeking information on the activities, networks, and associates of Hezbollah that form a part of its financial support, which includes financiers and facilitators like Muhammad Qasir, Muhammad Qasim al-Bazzal, and Ali Qasir, the individuals the Department highlights today,” the State Department said.
The US says that Muhammad Qasir is a critical link between Hezbollah and Iran and directs a unit that facilitates the transfer of weapons from Syria to Lebanon. He has been a significant conduit for financial disbursements from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps – Qods Force (IRGC-QF) to Hezbollah,” the State Department said.
Al-Bazzal is another key financier for Hezbollah and the IRGC-QF, the statement said.
He and Ali Qasir are affiliated with Hezbollah-linked “front companies” that work in the steel industry and they assist in the transfer of Iranian crude to Syria.
“All three individuals have previously been designated by the US Department of the Treasury as Specially Designated Global Terrorists,” the State Department noted.


Sudan to designate Lebanon’s Hezbollah as terrorist organization under Israel deal
Joseph Haboush and Nadia Bilbassy-Charters, Al Arabiya English/Friday 23 October 2020
Sudan has agreed to designate Lebanese Hezbollah as a terrorist organization as part of a recent deal to normalize ties with Israel, a senior US official said Friday.
“After decades of living under a brutal dictatorship, the people of Sudan are finally taking charge,” a joint statement between the United States, Sudan and Israel said. But there was no mention of Hezbollah's designation, which the senior US official confirmed to Al Arabiya English that Sudan agreed to.
It remains unclear if this was a demand by other Arab states or only Israel and the US. Friday marked 37 years since one of the deadliest attacks against US troops on foreign soil. On Oct. 23, 1983, a suicide bombing at the US Marine Barracks in Beirut killed 241 American service members.
US President Donald Trump Friday announced that Sudan would normalize relations with Israel, in a landmark step after two Gulf Arab nations moved to recognize Israel.
Moments after Trump formally moved to remove Sudan from a US list of state sponsors of terrorism, reporters were escorted to the Oval Office where he was on the phone with leaders of Israel and Sudan.
The deal with Sudan will include aid and investment from Israel, particularly in technology and agriculture, along with further debt relief. It comes as Sudan and its transitional government teeter on the edge. Thousands have protested in the country’s capital Khartoum and other regions in recent days over dire economic conditions.
- With Agencies

 

Pompeo Says U.S. to Continue Targeting Hizbullah's 'Financing Networks'
Naharnet/October 23/2020
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on Friday announced that the United States “will continue to target, disrupt, and dismantle Hizbullah’s financing and operational networks,” in a statement marking the 1983 bomb attack on the U.S. marine barracks in Beirut that killed 241 U.S. service members.
“This attack, and the many more that followed around the world, make clear Hizbullah’s commitment to violence and bloodshed and demonstrate its continuing disregard for the lives of the very people that it claims to protect.  These terrorist acts have unmasked Iran, Hizbullah’s patron, as a rogue state willing to pursue its malevolent interests at all costs,” Pompeo said. “On this solemn day, we honor the sacrifice of those brave Americans, and we renew our commitment to preventing Hizbullah and its sponsor Iran from spilling more innocent blood in Lebanon or anywhere in the world,” he added.  “The United States will continue to target, disrupt, and dismantle Hizbullah’s financing and operational networks, and will continue to take all actions available to starve this terrorist entity of funds and support.  We are grateful for the nations around the world that have designated or acted to ban the activities of Hizbullah as a terrorist organization,” Pompeo went on to say.

 

Lebanon Records Highest Daily Tally of Virus Cases
Naharnet/October 23/2020
Lebanon on Friday announced 1,534 new COVID-19 deaths, the highest daily tally so far for the small country since the first infection was detected on February 21. In its daily statement, the Health Ministry said 1,460 of the cases were confirmed among residents and 74 among people coming from abroad. The new cases raise the overall tally to 68,479 while seven more deaths recorded over the past 24 hours take the death toll to 559.
The country has meanwhile recorded 32,412 recoveries. Four of the cases announced on Friday were recorded among health workers. Hospitals meanwhile admitted 685 patients into coronavirus sections over the past 24 hours, including 242 into intensive care units. According to the Health Ministry statement, 14,066 PCR tests were carried out over the past 24 hours, among them 1,100 at Beirut airport.
 

President Aoun hopes the 100 billion LBP will contribute to alleviating the suffering of those affected by Beirut port explosion
NNA /October 23/2020
The President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, expressed his hope that the sum of 100 billion Lebanese pounds, which was dispatched at his request, would contribute to alleviating the suffering of the owners of damaged housing units as a result of the explosion that occurred in the Beirut port on August 4, and affirmed that he would continue seeking to secure additional credit of 150 billion Lebanese pounds to cover the remaining cost of repairing damaged houses. It is noteworthy that Decree No. 6979 of September 23, 2020, which decided to allocate this amount to compensate the affected, was issued at the request of the President of the Republic and based on the powers granted to him under Article 85 of the Constitution that allows him to open exceptional appropriations if emergency and urgent circumstances so require. The army has assigned the distribution of these sums according to a specific mechanism and based on nominal schedules. -------Presidency Press Office


President Aoun on UN International Day: I hope the organization will remain guardian of international values and peace between peoples and keeper of justice and equality
NNA/October 23/2020
On the occasion of the United Nations International Day, the President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, sent a congratulating message to the Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mr. António Guterres, wishing that “The United Nations Organization will remain a guardian of international values ​​and peace between peoples, and a keeper of justice and equality." While President Aoun expressed Lebanon's appreciation for the responsibilities undertaken by the Secretary-General of the United Nations, he saluted his stances towards Lebanon and the Lebanese, wishing him continued health and success in the good efforts. -- Presidency Press Office


Hariri Says Consultations Positive, Vows to Implement French Paper
Naharnet/October 23/2020
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri on Friday described the non-binding consultations he held with parliamentary blocs as “positive,” noting that the discussions focused on the reforms that the new government should implement “as soon as possible.”“This government will be a government of specialists, so that we work quickly according to the French reform paper,” Hariri announced after the consultations. “We must deal with this opportunity by putting aside all our political disputes and showing positivity, so that we regain confidence between the citizen and the state and between the state and the international community,” the PM-designate added. As for the dire economic and financial situations, Hariri said that the country has not reached a “dead end.”“We can overcome what we are going through, but certainly that will take time. However, we must carry out our duty in terms of the reforms that we agreed on at the Pine Residence,” Hariri went on to say. He said that the only way to achieve that is to “speed up the formation of a government that can work on accomplishing all these reforms as well as the International Monetary Fund’s program.”“We must lay out the right foundations so that capital can return to the country,” Hariri said. He added: “I carried out consultations with most blocs and I will meet the President as soon as possible to discuss and consult with him over the outcome, and I will hold further consultations to pave the way for the formation of the government.”

Raad Advises Hariri to Seek Understandings with All Blocs
Naharnet/October 23/2020
The head of Hizbullah’s Loyalty to Resistance bloc MP Mohammed Raad on Friday advised Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri to seek “understandings with all blocs.”“We explained our viewpoint on two issues: the first is related to the government’s role and we have largely reached consensus on it, and we also emphasized on priorities related to the current period, especially after the surge in coronavirus cases at a time the health sector needs to be enhanced,” Raad said after meeting Hariri along with a delegation from the bloc. The meeting was part of Hariri’s non-binding consultations with lawmakers over the shape and program of the new government. “We discussed reform-linked issues related to the judiciary, the administration and the rectification of the financial and monetary situation, and this is all within the framework of the French initiative. And we stressed the need for understandings with all the blocs to ensure swiftness in the implementation of decisions,” Raad added, stressing that the new government should be trustworthy. “We advised that every minister should only handle one portfolio and that we should not go to a small cabinet but rather one formed of around 24 ministers,” the lawmaker added.

Bassil Holds 'Frank' Talks with Hariri, Urges Techno-Political Govt.
Naharnet/October 23/2020
Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil and a delegation from the Strong Lebanon bloc on Friday held talks with PM-designate Saad Hariri as part of the latter’s non-binding consultations with MPs over the shape and program of the new government. “We fulfilled our constitutional duty by heeding the PM-designate’s invitation to consultations and the discussion was responsible, frank and open. This confirms that there is no personal problem,” Bassil said after the meeting. “The personal aspect is a positive factor and can help reconcile viewpoints,” he added. “We are extremely positive and our concern is the formation of a government that can implement the reform program of the French initiative,” Bassil went on to say. He noted that the program should begin by striking an agreement with the International Monetary Fund, carrying out reforms and securing 24/7 power supply to citizens. “It is our right to have concerns and our ultimate priority is to halt the collapse and assist the people. We did not propose any demand or condition other than following unified standards towards all components,” Bassil added, warning that the adoption of non-unified standards would lead to the obstruction of the cabinet formation process. Bassil also called for the formation of a “techno-political government.” “This means that it should enjoy political support and what’s more important is to have ministers who enjoy specialty and expertise,” the FPM chief said.

U.N. Coordinator, Deputy Urge 'Rapid Structural Reforms' in Lebanon
Naharnet/October 23/2020
U.N. Special Coordinator for Lebanon Jan Kubis and U.N. Deputy Special Coordinator/Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator for Lebanon Najat Rochdi on Friday issued a joint statement marking the 75th Anniversary of the United Nations.
“October 24 -- the U.N. Day -- this year marks the 75th Anniversary of the United Nations, and 75 years of steadfast partnership between the U.N. and Lebanon, a founding member,” the statement said.
“The U.N. and Lebanon are inseparable. Lebanon and eminent Lebanese contributed to the U.N. since its inception. Many Lebanese personalities served in top and other responsible positions with honor and dignity. They contribute to the pursuit of U.N. objectives both in the U.N. Headquarters in New York and elsewhere dealing with important files and negotiations, and in numerous U.N. political and peacekeeping missions and operations all around the world,” the statement added.
It said many Lebanese served and continue to do so in U.N. agencies, funds, and programs with dedication and professionalism.
“Many times, in their common history the U.N. came to help Lebanon to safeguard and strengthen its security and stability, with UNIFIL at the forefront. The U.N. has helped Lebanon to cope with many humanitarian challenges including those concerning Palestinian and now Syrian refugees,” the statement added.
“The U.N. works with Lebanon on sustainable green development, human rights, gender equality or good governance agendas, including fight against corruption or technical assistance on elections. The U.N. supports the authorities and communities to help them deal with the COVID-19 pandemic,” it said.
The statement acknowledges that for Lebanon, 2020 has been a year of deepening hardship and mounting frustration.
“The severe economic crisis which sparked widespread popular protests has been compounded by the deepening COVID-19 crisis. The tragic blast of 4 August that caused the death of 193 people, injured many thousands and damaged scores of households, businesses and heritage sites, has once again amplified grave concerns of total lack of accountability for the lamentable situation of Lebanon and management of its public affairs,” the statement decried. It noted that the hardest hit by the multi-faceted crisis are “the people.”
“Those rapidly growing in numbers who have their stories of shock, neglect, deprivation and loss of livelihoods, perspective and dignity; those who saw lives of their dearest, their homes and futures blown away; those who lost hope and find themselves unable to start again. It is these people who are at the forefront of the U.N. efforts to end need and put Lebanon back on the path to sustainable development,” the statement added.
“This is a critical time for the people of Lebanon and their leaders. A defining moment. And perhaps more urgently than elsewhere, in Lebanon the messages of solidarity and responsible leadership must be taken to heart. Strong political will and firm leadership to pursue a reform agenda are also needed for Lebanon’s early recovery, to pave the way for longer-term development, while the people must always be at the center of bringing back and building a better Lebanon,” the statement said.
In the period to come, the U.N. will continue “standing closely with Lebanon and its people, will continue to encourage and facilitate the decisions that are necessary to fulfill their legitimate aspirations for the future,” the statement promised.
It said that the way out of the current crisis is “well known: rapid meaningful structural reforms in political, economic, and social areas, good governance with full transparency, accountability and independent judiciary as effective instruments in the fight against corruption and a move towards a truly inclusive civil society devoid of sectarian patronage, where the opportunities, protection, and rights are equal for all, including women and youth.”
“The voices of Lebanon’s women and youth must be heard. Their presence, needs and aspirations must figure at the forefront of a new social contract that will help to create a better Lebanon, where all citizens can enjoy equal rights and opportunities in public and private domains,” the statement added.
“In these difficult times, the U.N. remains resolute in its commitment to this cherished, unique country and its brave, industrious, resilient people to help them rebuild their country, lives and livelihoods for a better, dignified tomorrow,” the statement pledged.

UNFIIL Completes 'Temporary and Special' Beirut Mission
Naharnet/October 23/2020
After more than three weeks of engineering work in Beirut in support of and coordination with the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF), to deal with the aftermath of the tragic August 4 explosions, a UNIFIL detachment of multinational force returned Friday to the Mission's area of operations in south Lebanon, the U.N. force said. Nearly 150 peacekeepers from 13 of UNIFIL's 45 contingents facilitated the resumption of operations at the Beirut Port by clearing 11,500 tons of debris and carried out construction works. In the process, they also dismantled four of the damaged warehouses.
In addition, UNIFIL peacekeepers also assisted in the restoration of damaged heritage sites from further devastation by clearing 500 tons of rubble and separating and storing about 150 tons of stones, facades and wood ornaments for future use. This activity was carried out in coordination with the LAF, the Lebanese Directorate of Antiquities and the Blue Shield International. UNIFIL Head of Mission and Force Commander, Major General Stefano Del Col, paid special tributes to the hundreds of thousands of people directly affected by the explosions. He also expressed appreciation for the peacekeepers involved during the Beirut mission, authorized by U.N. Security Council resolution 2539 as “temporary and special measures” to provide support to Lebanon and its people in the aftermath of the explosions. “At the outset, I pay my tribute to all those people who suffered, were injured and to those who died on the tragic 4 August 2020 explosions,” he said before laying a wreath at the monument in memory of the Beirut blast victims. “You enabled the resumption of operations in the Beirut Harbor, cleared the main road in the Mar Mikhail neighborhood, that had been blocked for over two months, and supported the works at historical sites,” said the UNIFIL head. "We are honored to have been part of this common efforts to ease some of the pain that the city has been gone through,” he added. Del Col also emphasized that UNIFIL's main focus continues to be ensuring stability in south Lebanon and along the Blue Line.
“We are working to create the conditions for political and diplomatic efforts to take root, to achieve a long-term solution and a permanent ceasefire, for which the commitment of the parties is an essential element,” he added.

Bassil Denies Holding Talks with Israeli Officials on Demarcation File
Naharnet/October 23/2020
Media office of the Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil denied on Friday the Israeli reports claiming the lawmaker had held sea border talks with Israeli officials. Bassil’s media office said the “suspicious report, comes in an Israeli context aimed at disrupting the negotiations taking place, and reflects a personal targeting of Bassil shared between the Israeli lying machine and tools inside Lebanon.”Bassil’s office urged media outlets to refrain from publishing “false Israeli news.”The Israeli Broadcasting Corporation "Makan" quoted on Thursday an Israeli security source claiming that Bassil had a “big secret role in the negotiations between Lebanon and Israel regarding the demarcation of the border between them.” It also claimed that Bassil "had met with Israeli and US officials in various countries to discuss the demarcation file, and that he allegedly pledged to obtain the approval of Hizbullah in this regard."
Makan also claimed that the FPM chief had "coordinated" with the US side to keep the file in the hands of Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, who is following up the issue with the Americans through mediators in Washington of Lebanese origin.

One Year on, How is Lebanon's Hariri Back?
Naharnet/October 23/2020
One year after mass protests pushed him to resign, Saad Hariri is back as Lebanon's prime minister designate to draw together a pro-reform cabinet that can save the crisis-hit country.
What circumstances brought him back? What do the international community and key players inside Lebanon think? And will the consensus on him being named make his tricky task any easier?
Why the return?Less than two weeks after an unprecedented street movement erupted in October 2019 against a Lebanese political class viewed as inept and corrupt, Hariri stepped down.
He had presented a roadmap for reform to stem the country's economic downfall, but it was rejected by the angry street.
The country has since sunk further into crisis, with poverty soaring to more than half the population, banks increasingly restricting access to savings, a novel coronavirus lockdown, and finally on August 4 a massive blast at Beirut port that killed more than 200 people and ravaged large parts of the capital. Protests gradually subsided in 2020, reinvigorating the derided political class, which hampered the efforts of the next premier Hassan Diab towards redressing the country, and then those of his successor Mustapha Adib in forming a new crisis cabinet after the Beirut blast.
In early October, Hariri -- already three times premier and the head of the country's main Sunni Muslim political party -- said he was "definitely" a candidate to take on the task. Named on Thursday, he pledged to swiftly create a government of experts not affiliated to the country's traditional political parties, calling it Lebanon's "only and last chance".
"Lebanon has come full circle. We're back with Hariri," a European diplomatic source commented. Analyst Karim Bitar said: "The revolution wasn't able to produce leaders or form a unified front, while the traditional political parties were able to consolidate their ranks, regardless of divergences over pie-sharing." What does the international community think?"The international community understands the anger of the Lebanese people over Hariri's return, but it does not share in the same indignation because they know him, are used to dealing with him," Bitar said.
But Hariri's foreign backers France and the United States have different priorities. Paris wants a new pro-reform government of experts to fit the criteria proposed by France's President Emmanuel Macron under the so-called "French initiative". The US and its ally Saudi Arabia are however more focused on neutralising the Shiite movement Hizbullah, the only side not to have disarmed after Lebanon's 1975-1990 civil war.
"The Americans and Saudis are expecting Hariri to adopt a slightly more hawkish position regarding Hizbullah," Bitar said.
The United States on Thursday targeted two Hizbullah officials with economic sanctions, its latest against the group it regards as "terrorist".
All sides will be awaiting long-demanded reforms to unlock billions of dollars in financial aid to rescue the debt-ridden country.
What about in Lebanon?Hariri's nomination was backed by a majority of 65 lawmakers. Hizbulah and its ally the Free Patriotic Movement led by the president's son-in-law Jebran Bassil did not name him.
Its fellow Shiite party the Amal Movement however supported Hariri's return, implying tacit agreement from Hizbullah.
"Hariri is the candidate of the Shiite duo and the deep state. He is an integral part of the system," said Michel Douaihy, an analyst close to the protest camp. "Hizbullah is comfortable with Hariri. The party needs Sunni cover in the region," he said. Bassil's decision not to back Hariri was more to do with a power struggle between both men, Douaihy said.
"They're both 50 years old and want to be boss," he said, one as premier and the other eventually as president.
But in the end they would have no other option than to sit at the same table, Douaihy predicted. What challenges?Forming a cabinet can take months in Lebanon, where ministries have traditionally been shared out between its various political and religious sides.
In the last bid to create a cabinet, Hizbullah and Amal refused to relinquish control of the finance ministry and insisted on naming Shiite ministers, causing Adib to quit. Bassil, who was foreign minister in the government that stepped down last year, has claimed the next cabinet will have to be made up of both technocrats and political appointees since Hariri himself is not an independent. Finally, Hariri will have to endure the hostility of the protest camp, who view him as a member of the old political class, even if there was no immediate reaction in the street after his appointment.
 

Under US pressure, Hariri is Lebanon’s PM of expediency
The Arab Weekly/October 23/2020
Lebanese analysts see Hariri benefiting from the intersection of French and Iranian interests.
BEIRUT – Lebanon's Saad Hariri is once again a candidate to head a government he left nearly a year ago under pressure from popular protests over corruption and sectarianism. He has returned to the same mission in the same circumstances. Nothing has changed except that Hariri’s youthful face is giving everyone the illusion that changes are coming by winning France’s and Hezbollah's favours as the “candidate of necessity.”Lebanese analysts said that Hariri, who has become part of the problem and not the solution, is benefiting from the intersection of French and Iranian interests. Neither country has any objection to placing him at the head of a government awaiting the fate of US elections. If US President Donald Trump hangs on, this government would stay. If he loses, Paris and Tehran will seek a consensual solution according to the new stage.
Hariri, who is considered one of the Lebanese politicians most vulnerable to the influence of parties, will ostensibly form a government composed essentially of technocrats to solve the country's worsening economic crisis. But even before he is sworn in, he must negotiate with the Shia duo, Hezbollah and its ally Nabih Berri, leader of the Amal Movement, over who will take over the finance ministry.
Hariri previously agreed in his latest “initiative” to breathe life in the French plan that a Shia minister would take the reins of this important ministry. In Lebanon, the finance minister's signature on every government decision is essential, which virtually gives the appointee and his backers the right to veto any government decision. Moreover, he has access to official documents that are now used in extortion files. Lebanese President Michel Aoun has, against his own wishes, officially tasked Hariri with forming a new Lebanese government. The latter stressed the importance of the “time factor," which dictates the immediate formation of a cabinet. He spoke of the need to speed up the process following a short meeting with Aoun, which followed the announcement of the “binding” results of parliamentary consultations. These consultations require the president to pick a candidate for prime minister who gets the largest number of parliamentary votes. Political sources revealed that the threat of US sanctions against a number of personalities prompted Aoun to refrain from delaying the date of parliamentary consultations, after he discovered that Saad Hariri was the only candidate for the position of prime minister.
These sources stated that US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who spoke by phone with the Lebanese president last Tuesday evening, warned Aoun of the consequences of postponing parliamentary consultations and of disrupting the process of forming a Lebanese government that would be tasked with implementing specific reforms.
It is noteworthy that the president's son-in-law, Gebran Bassil, who heads the Free Patriotic Movement, refused to vote for Hariri, on grounds that the new prime minister should be a “specialist” and not a politician.
Hariri won the votes of 65 out of 128 members of parliament. Eight MPs submitted their resignations. This number is considered a personal victory for him after the two major Christian blocs (the Lebanese Forces and the National Movement) decided not to vote for him.
Hezbollah followed in the footsteps of the Free Patriotic Movement in also deciding not to vote for Hariri. A Lebanese MP described the choice as trying to accommodate the president, who had hinted to the party to raise the issue of “the defence strategy” in terms of discussing the problem of Hezbollah’s rogue weapons. Hariri immediately received the support of the Sunnis. The mufti of the Lebanese Republic, Sheikh Abdul Latif Derian, issued a statement congratulating Hariri for “being assigned to form the government and receiving once again the vote of confidence of the binding parliamentary consultations that heralded the imminent birth of a government of specialists whose mission is to get Lebanon out of the dark tunnel where it is struggling into the light of the upcoming reforms, with his enthusiasm and his ministerial team.” He wished him “success in the tasks entrusted to him in these exceptional circumstances the country is going through.”In a direct message to Aoun, Derian called on political forces to “facilitate the mission of Prime Minister Hariri because it is a major responsibility and a national duty to save the country from the political, economic, living and development crises it is going through.”
Hariri, 50, has been prime minister, a position that must be held by a Sunni Muslim in Lebanon's sectarian quota system, three times before. Mass protests that erupted a year ago, fuelled by popular outrage at the ruling elite over decades of corruption and waste within the state apparatus, toppled his previous coalition government. Following his nomination for prime minister for the fourth time, Hariri said that he would form “a government of non-partisan specialists, whose mission is to implement the economic, financial and administrative reforms contained in the French initiative paper, which the main blocs in Parliament pledged to support the government to implement.”However, he faces major challenges in overcoming the difficulties of a political arena that is based on sectarian quotas, in order to be able to form a government that must address a long list of problems, including the banking crisis, the collapse of the local currency, the high rates of poverty and the inflation of government debt. The new government will also have to deal with the rise in COVID-19 infections and the repercussions of the huge explosion at Beirut port last August that killed nearly 200 people and caused billions of dollars in losses.
The blast prompted the current government, the successor to Hariri's previous government, to resign. Hariri told reporters, “I say to the Lebanese people who are suffering from difficulties to the point of despair, that I am determined to abide by my pledge made to them, to work to stop the collapse that is threatening our economy, our society and our security, and to rebuild what was destroyed by the terrible port explosion in Beirut.”


Lebanon: Abbas Ibrahim Returns from US after Contracting Coronavirus

Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 23 October, 2020
Lebanese General Security chief Major-General Abbas Ibrahim returned to Beirut from the United States on Friday where he had tested positive for COVID-19, local media reported. Ibrahim's positive test result, announced on Monday, had delayed his return from talks in Washington and forced him to cancel scheduled meetings in Paris. "Ibrahim will continue his work after the end of the necessary quarantine period due to him contracting the coronavirus," the media said. Ibrahim had met US National Security Adviser Robert O'Brien at the White House last week to discuss American citizens held in Syria.Lebanon's directorate of General Security had said he was in good health when it announced his diagnosis on Monday.
 

October 17… The Revolution Renews
Hanna Saleh/Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2020
The Lebanese “October Revolution” started its second year quietly despite the endless disputes about its accomplishments and how it could have been better, more appropriate, or more effective. Most of the authoritarian coalition leaders and their followers do not hesitate to blame the revolution for the economic collapse, the exacerbation of hunger, and the security breakdown, as MP Gebran Bassil claimed. The revolution is even blamed for the dangerous pandemic’s spread in Lebanon after the crumble of the government’s claims that preventive measures amazed the world
Beyond a shadow of a doubt, what started in Lebanon on October 17, 2019, was a spontaneous popular movement that broke with decades of injustice, disregard for people’s rights, violations of their dignity, nepotism and the inequality and social disparities, which Lebanon had not known even before the civil war, ensuing from it. At that stage, no one expected the country to be on the verge of bankruptcy. The official media constantly reassured us that the Lebanese pound was fine, only for the signs of bankruptcy to suddenly appear, and the fact that plunder had reached the people’s bank deposits to become exposed!
Of course, the grievances about poor social living conditions that initially compelled people to take to the streets exacerbated with the bankruptcy and rise of unemployment. As to the banks’ confiscation of deposits and the revelations about the banks’ culpability and their strong ties with political authorities, it created a qualitative shift in the people’s movement. It became certain this corrupt plunderous regime could not meet any of the people’s demands.
But there is no need to wait before finalizing the movement’s direction and objectives. A whole year later, the ruling authority has not taken a single decision in citizens’ interest. Indeed, it tied its perpetuity to the exacerbation of the collapse. Those who planned this scheme are obsessed with maintaining the political status quo to protect Hezbollah’s illegitimate arms.
This helped the movement's demands to crystallize rapidly, and they came to revolve around uprooting the ruling clique. The movement took the shape of a peaceful popular revolution, abiding by the constitution and striving to retrieve the abducted state.
The revolution proposed put toppling the sectarian patron-client regime and putting an end to the strongly sectarian quota system on the table. The system, which, of course, began to take shape under the Syrian regime’s occupation three decades ago and deepened after 2005. At that point, the Iranian regime became in control through Hezbollah, the most prominent faction of the Quds Force and the Persian Crescent project.
The governing regime's pillars had arranged frameworks for exercising power and settling disputes among themselves, based on the contingencies of the balances of power. As a result, heresy replaced the constitution, and laws were altered and implemented with a large degree of discretion. The spoil-sharing applied to the judiciary and the role of surveillance bodies disappeared. The authorities subordinated the military; thus, after the revolution, it intimidated peaceful demonstrators and arrested them!
The ruling clique’s successive rifts, starting with Hariri’s forced resignation, embarrass Hezbollah, which has been positioning itself as the corrupt spoil-sharing regime’s foremost defender. Various intimidation and targeting campaigns were launched, and efforts to reinvigorate the previous March 8 and March 14 division were relentless. This muted some groups’ roles, heightened the specter of civil war, and even highlighted old battlefronts... Nevertheless, despite their money, media institutions, organizational capacity, control of the state and weapons, the shadow of the counter-revolutionary forces’ success is scant. The reason for this is the months of mass mobilization reached the most remote corners in the country, spreading a national consciousness that permeated the country’s social fabric. It would not have had such a strong impact if it weren’t for the mass participation of students and women, which hastened the realization that the cabal that has been in power for three decades had expired. All the functions it serves are out of date, to say nothing about the dreams the people dared to voice and the rights they demanded!
Many comparisons were made with events that post-independence Lebanon had witnessed, events that concluded with settlements that introduced the political structure's internal balance of power. From the general strike in opposition to Bechara El-Khoury in 1952 to the 1958 anti-Camille Chamoun "revolution" and all the dangerous developments that undermined Lebanon between 1969 and the end of the civil war in 1990. Lebanon’s relinquishment of its sovereignty through the 1969 Cairo Agreement set the stage for the later phase, and up to the developments of 2005, all of these movements were "revolutions" from above. They mirrored an intensification of the conflict over quotas of the spoil-sharing regime among inheritors of authority!
The comparison does not apply today. The revolution’s impact on the authorities’ behavior is clear for all to see. They speak of a government independent of the ruling sectarian pirates. Previously, they tried to trick the public by present Hassan Diab's government as one of independents. On the agenda, regardless of the arrogance, is a detailed discussion of the need for a transitional stage, after the revolution demanded a government independent in its members and leader was accepted by all decision-making capitals. The latter has begun to punish the corrupt regime by going beyond it and directing relief to those who deserve it directly.
Quietly entering the revolution's second year, however, is not, itself, the goal. With the consolidations of the push for political change and the people's belief that this change is forthcoming consolidated and that the tyrants who humiliated the Lebanese will pay the price, relying on seasonal and spontaneous outbursts may backfire and leave catastrophic consequences. And it has been consistently demonstrated that the haughty attempts that were made repeatedly in the name of "groups" to crystallize a for leadership are done. There is no need for dull renditions after so many of these kinds of opportunists have already been exposed. From those who proposed themselves as an alternative to a French delegate, and then to an American one, seeking a position either as an advisor or an expert ... even as part of the hybrid configuration led by Hassan Diab.
The peaceful Lebanese revolution's renewal faces a dual challenge today. The first is moving from spontaneous mobilization to establishing a political organization (or organizations) to bring about solid horizontal structures toward the building of a political front out of trusted leaders. Crystallizing a framework for a cross-regional national safety net is not a luxury any longer. It is essential for both the legitimization of alternative leadership and more needed now, even than it had been before. For the more exposed the authorities' disintegration becomes, the stronger its tendency becomes to resort to violence.
As for the second challenge, developing a political program, it is no less critical than the first. Calls for addressing key issues, the most prominent of which is how to deal with the sovereignty and issue and extend the state’s monopoly on the legitimate use of violence, have become pressing.
We are at a time of negotiations in Naquora to demarcate the maritime borders and the reliance on international law to protect our borders, rights, and wealth. Israel has kept the issue of its border vague since its establishment, and resolving it removes the need for the statelet’s arms. Also, when we see the Americans celebrating Major General Abbas Ibrahim, the claim that weapons outside the legitimacy protect the borders, wealth, or the dignity of people becomes totally untenable!

Text of Treasury Department press release: Treasury targets high-ranking Hizballah officials
PRESS RELEASES
Treasury Targets High-Ranking Hizballah Officials
October 22, 2020
Washington – Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned two members of Hizballah’s Central Council. The Central Council is responsible for identifying and electing the group’s highest decision-making body, the Shura Council, which formulates policy and asserts control over all aspects of Hizballah’s activities, including its military activities. Specifically, OFAC designated Nabil Qaouk (Qaouk) and Hassan al-Baghdadi (Baghdadi) for being leaders or officials of Hizballah.
“Hizballah’s senior leaders are responsible for creating and implementing the terrorist organization’s destabilizing and violent agenda against U.S. interests and those of our partners around the world,” said Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin. “We must continue to hold Hizballah accountable for its horrific actions as we approach the 37th anniversary of Hizballah’s bombing of the U.S. Marine Barracks in Beirut, Lebanon.”
Qaouk and Baghdadi were designated under Executive Order (E.O.) 13224, as amended, which targets terrorists, leaders or officials of terrorist groups, and those providing support to terrorists or acts of terrorism.
NABIL QAOUK AND HASSAN AL-BAGHDADI
Nabil Qaouk and Hassan al-Baghdadi are leaders or officials of Hizballah, a person whose property and interests in property are blocked pursuant to E.O. 13224, as amended.
Qaouk has served on Hizballah’s Executive Council, which oversees the group’s social and economic activities, as well as its Central Council. In recent years, he has spoken publicly on behalf of Hizballah, threatening war with Israel, denouncing the U.S. presence in the region, and lauding Hizballah’s use of guerrilla warfare, which serves only to erode security in Lebanon. Qaouk has also delivered speeches on behalf of Hizballah at several ceremonies commemorating deceased Hizballah terrorists, including the former Hizballah External Security Organization chief Imad Mughniyah and Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force (IRGC-QF) commander Qasem Soleimani, both of whom were responsible for the deaths of countless Americans. Mughniyah was designated in October 2001 for his ties to Hizballah, and Soleimani was designated in October 2011 for acting for or on behalf of the IRGC-QF.
Baghdadi, who has publicly identified himself as a Hizballah official, has participated in political events and delivered speeches on behalf of Hizballah. In several speeches, he praised Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah and defended Hizballah’s targeting of Americans. In 2020, Baghdadi attended a symposium in Lebanon during which he commended the IRGC and fighters in Syria and Iraq for attacking U.S. military bases. OFAC and members of the Terrorist Financing Targeting Center (TFTC) designated Nasrallah in May 2018 for acting for or on behalf of Hizballah, which he has led since 1992. OFAC previously designated Nasrallah in January 1995 for threatening to disrupt the Middle East peace process and in September 2012 for providing support to the Syrian regime of Bashar Assad.
In 2015, Baghdadi attended a ceremony in Tehran, Iran, with Naim Qassem and several other ranking officials, during which Qassem unveiled his book and praised Hizballah’s war with Israel. OFAC and the TFTC designated Qassem, the Deputy Secretary General of Hizballah, in May 2018 for acting for or on behalf of Hizballah.
The TFTC is an initiative between the United States, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Kingdom of Bahrain, the State of Kuwait, the Sultanate of Oman, the State of Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, which is designed to counter the financing of terrorism.
SANCTIONS IMPLICATIONS
The Treasury Department continues to prioritize disruption of the full range of Hizballah’s illicit financial activity, and with this action has designated over 95 Hizballah-affiliated individuals and entities since 2017. OFAC took this action pursuant to E.O. 13224, as amended, which targets terrorists, leaders or officials of terrorist groups, and those providing support to terrorists or acts of terrorism. Hizballah was designated by the Department of State as a Foreign Terrorist Organization in October 1997 and as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) pursuant to E.O. 13224 in October 2001.
As a result of today’s action, all property and interests in property of the individuals named above, and of any entities that are owned, directly or indirectly, 50 percent or more by them, individually, or with other blocked persons, that are in the United States or in the possession or control of U.S. persons, are blocked and must be reported to OFAC. Unless authorized by a general or specific license issued by OFAC or otherwise exempt, OFAC’s regulations generally prohibit all transactions by U.S. persons or within (or transiting) the United States that involve any property or interests in property of designated or otherwise blocked persons. The prohibitions include the making of any contribution of funds, goods, or services by, to, or for the benefit of any blocked person or the receipt of any contribution of funds, goods or services from any such person.
Furthermore, engaging in certain transactions with individuals designated today entails risk of secondary sanctions pursuant to E.O. 13224, as amended, and the Hizballah Financial Sanctions Regulations, which implement the Hizballah International Financing Prevention Act of 2015, as amended by the Hizballah International Financing Prevention Amendments Act of 2018. Pursuant to these authorities, OFAC may prohibit or impose strict conditions on the opening or maintaining in the United States of a correspondent account or a payable-through account by a foreign financial institution that knowingly facilitates a significant transaction for Hizballah or on behalf of a designated terrorist group, or a person acting on behalf of or at the direction of, or owned or controlled by, Hizballah.

 

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on October 23-24/2020

Treasury sanctions Iran's ambassador to Iraq
CELINE CASTRONUOVO/The Hill/October 22/2020
he Treasury Department on Thursday announced that it was sanctioning Iran’s ambassador to Iraq for his role in carrying out the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force’s (IRGC-QF) “destabilizing foreign agenda” in Iraq, according to a press release from the department.
The Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets and Control said in the statement that Iraj Masjedi, a general in the Revolutionary Guard, “has directed or supported groups that are responsible for attacks that have killed and wounded U.S. and coalition forces in Iraq.”
“The Iranian regime threatens Iraq’s security and sovereignty by appointing IRGC-QF officials as ambassadors in the region to carry out their destabilizing foreign agenda,” Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in the press release.
“The United States will continue to employ the tools and authorities at its disposal to target the Iranian regime and IRGC-QF officials that attempt to meddle in the affairs of sovereign nations, including any attempts to influence U.S. elections,” Mnuchin added, referring to a Wednesday night announcement from Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe that Russia and Iran are behind efforts to sway public opinions related to the 2020 presidential election.
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo supported the sanction in a statement, saying, “for many years, the Iranian regime and its primary tool of regional destabilization, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force (IRGC-QF), have exploited Iraq to advance their own interests at the expense of the Iraqi people.”
The designation came as the department also sanctioned two leaders of Hezbollah, the U.S.-designated terrorist organization backed by Iran that operates both a political party and military wing in Lebanon.
Mnuchin argued in a statement that Hezbollah Central Council members Nabil Qaouk and Hassan al-Baghdadi “are responsible for creating and implementing the terrorist organization’s destabilizing and violent agenda against U.S. interests and those of our partners around the world.”
Treasury argued in its press release that Hezbollah leaders have frequently supported the use of military action against Israel.
These actions come amid recent U.S.-brokered talks between Israel and Lebanon to end their decades-long dispute over their maritime border in the Mediterranean Sea.
The Trump administration has repeatedly rebuked Iran and the groups it supports as President Trump hopes to reduce the conflicts between Israel and surrounding Arab nations.
U.S.-Iran tensions have run particularly high throughout the Trump presidency, especially after the president withdrew the U.S. from the Iran nuclear deal and reimposed sanctions on Tehran.
At the beginning of the year, the two countries appeared to be on the brink of war after Trump ordered a drone strike in Iraq that killed Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani.
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Iran retaliated with a missile strike on an Iraqi military base housing U.S. troops. More than 100 military personnel suffered brain injuries, but there were no deaths.
The Trump administration, however, continues to accuse Iran-backed militias of targeting U.S. interests and personnel in Iraq.
Trump has attempted to reimpose all United Nations sanctions that were lifted under the Iran nuclear deal, though the international community has largely rejected the U.S. authority to do so, given Trump’s withdrawal from the agreement.

Text of Treasury Department press release: Treasury sanctions Iranian entities for attempted election interference
PRESS RELEASES
Treasury Sanctions Iranian Entities for Attempted Election Interference
October 22, 2020
WASHINGTON - Today, the Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) designated five Iranian entities for attempting to influence elections in the United States. The Iranian regime has targeted the United States’ electoral process with brazen attempts to sow discord among the voting populace by spreading disinformation online and executing malign influence operations aimed at misleading U.S. voters. Components of the Government of Iran, disguised as news organizations or media outlets, have targeted the United States in order to subvert U.S. democratic processes.
“The Iranian regime uses false narratives and other misleading content to attempt to influence U.S. elections,” said Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin. “This Administration is committed to ensuring the integrity of the U.S. election system and will continue to counter efforts from any foreign actor that threatens our electoral processes.”
Treasury designated the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), the IRGC-Qods Force (IRGC-QF), and Bayan Rasaneh Gostar Institute (Bayan Gostar) pursuant to Executive Order (E.O.) 13848 for having directly or indirectly engaged in, sponsored, concealed, or otherwise been complicit in foreign interference in the 2020 U.S. presidential election. The Iranian Islamic Radio and Television Union (IRTVU) and International Union of Virtual Media (IUVM) were designated pursuant to E.O. 13848 for being owned or controlled by the IRGC-QF. The IRGC, including the IRGC-QF, has been designated under multiple authorities since 2007.
The Iranian regime’s disinformation efforts have targeted a global audience through a variety of covert media organizations. Disinformation campaigns run by the Iranian regime focus on sowing discord among readers via social media platforms and messaging applications, and frequently involve mischaracterizing information.
Since at least 2015, Bayan Gostar has served as a front company for IRGC-QF propaganda efforts. In the months leading up to the 2020 U.S. presidential election, Bayan Gostar personnel have planned to influence the election by exploiting social issues within the United States, including the COVID-19 pandemic, and denigrating U.S. political figures. As recently as summer 2020, Bayan Gostar was prepared to execute a series of influence operations directed at the U.S. populace ahead of the presidential election.
IRGC-QF INFLUENCE OPERATIONS
IRTVU, a propaganda arm of the IRGC-QF, and IUVM aided Bayan Gostar in efforts to reach U.S. audiences. In addition, IRGC-QF outlets amplified false narratives in English, and posted disparaging propaganda articles and other U.S.-oriented content with the intent to sow discord among U.S. audiences. IUVM also posted conspiracy theories and disinformation related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Treasury Department encourages the American people to confirm information received via social media intelligently by going to multiple trusted sources for news and information, particularly when the source or suspected source of the information is from outside the United States. More guidance specific to the U.S. 2020 election and disinformation campaigns can be found here: https://www.cisa.gov/rumorcontrol
As a result of today’s designations, all property and interests in property of the persons designated today subject to U.S. jurisdiction are blocked, and U.S persons are generally prohibited from engaging in transactions with them. In addition, foreign financial institutions that knowingly facilitate significant transactions for, or persons that provide material or certain other support to, the persons designated today risk exposure to sanctions that could sever their access to the U.S. financial system or block their property and interests in property under U.S. jurisdiction. Additionally, any entities 50 percent or more owned by one or more designated persons are also blocked.

Text of Treasury Department press release: Treasury sanctions Iranian Ambassador to Iraq
PRESS RELEASES
Treasury Sanctions Iranian Ambassador to Iraq
October 22, 2020
Iraj Masjedi, a senior officer in the IRGC-Qods Force, continues to try to destabilize Iraq
Washington – Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) is designating Iraj Masjedi, a general in Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force (IRGC-QF) and Iran’s Ambassador to Iraq, for acting for or on behalf of the IRGC-QF. A close adviser to former IRGC-QF Commander Qassem Soleimani, Masjedi played a formative role in the IRGC-QF’s Iraq policy. In his decades of service with the group, Masjedi has overseen a program of training and support to Iraqi militia groups, and he has directed or supported groups that are responsible for attacks that have killed and wounded U.S. and coalition forces in Iraq. In his current capacity, Masjedi has exploited his position as the Iranian regime’s ambassador in Iraq to obfuscate financial transfers conducted for the benefit of the IRGC-QF.
“The Iranian regime threatens Iraq’s security and sovereignty by appointing IRGC-QF officials as ambassadors in the region to carry out their destabilizing foreign agenda,” said Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin. “The United States will continue to employ the tools and authorities at its disposal to target the Iranian regime and IRGC-QF officials that attempt to meddle in the affairs of sovereign nations, including any attempts to influence U.S. elections.”
Masjedi is being designated pursuant to the counterterrorism authority Executive Order (E.O.) 13224, as amended, for acting or purporting to act for or on behalf of, directly or indirectly, the IRGC-QF. The IRGC-QF was designated pursuant to E.O. 13224 in 2007 for support to numerous terrorist groups. The IRGC, including its external arm, the IRGC-QF, was designated as a Foreign Terrorist Organization on April 8, 2019.
A LONG-RUNNING THREAT TO IRAQI SECURITY
Iran’s ambassador to Iraq since 2017, Masjedi has publicly admitted the IRGC-QF’s role in special operations and the training of militia groups in Iraq, Syria, and beyond. He claims credit for organizing and supporting regional militias to advance Iran’s interests throughout the Middle East an enterprise that has spawned untold destruction and corruption, robbing Iraq of a stable, prosperous future.
Masjedi has facilitated financial transfers for the benefit of the IRGC-QF in coordination with IRGC-QF financial facilitator Hushang Allahdad, acting at the direction of former IRGC-QF Commander Soleimani and his successor, Esma’il Ghani. Soleimani was designated pursuant to multiple authorities, including E.O. 13224, in 2011, while Allahdad and Ghani were designated pursuant to E.O. 13224 in 2010 and 2012, respectively. Since 2018, Masjedi has helped the IRGC-QF obtain foreign currency in Iraq, in return for equivalent sums that the IRGC-QF in Iran has transferred to relevant entities. Most recently, Masjedi has provided direct assistance in obtaining tens of billions of dinars on behalf of the IRGC-QF in Iraq.
In the decades prior to his ambassadorial appointment, Masjedi was a senior figure overseeing IRGC-QF activities in Iraq, which included attacks targeting U.S. and coalition personnel, as well as kidnappings and the assassination of Iraqi provincial officials who sought to curb Iranian influence in Iraq. The IRGC-QF provided training for Iraqi recruits, often inside Iran. The Iraqi recruits hailed from groups loyal to, and supported by, the IRGC-QF, which help maintain Iranian influence in Iraqi politics and security. The IRGC-QF also manufactured and distributed weapons, including explosively formed penetrators, that killed and wounded hundreds during Operation Iraqi Freedom.
Masjedi is being designated pursuant to E.O. 13224, as amended, for acting or purporting to act for or on behalf of, directly or indirectly, the IRGC-QF.
SANCTIONS IMPLICATIONS
All property and interests in property of the individual designated today, subject to U.S. jurisdiction, are blocked, and U.S persons are generally prohibited from engaging in transactions with him or the blocked property. In addition, foreign financial institutions that knowingly facilitate significant transactions for, or persons that provide material or certain other support to, the individual designated today risk exposure to sanctions that could sever their access to the U.S. financial system or block their property and interests in property under U.S. jurisdiction.

First COVID-19 Treatment Fully Approved by FDA

AP, StatNews, BBC
With 1,000 new deaths reported yesterday, the U.S. has given its first full approval to a treatment for the coronavirus, remdesivir. The antiviral, already approved in dozens of other countries and for U.S. emergencies, has reduced recovery times — but not deaths — in major trials. In their final presidential debate last night, President Donald Trump and Joe Biden presented warring visions of the virus that has killed 220,000 Americans, with Trump promising “it will go away” as Biden foresaw a “dark winter” coming. Meanwhile, North Korea warned citizens to stay inside and avoid dust clouds that the government claims, without evidence, are transporting contagion from China.

Senate Committee Advances Supreme Court Nomination

Washington Post, NPR, BBC
Judge Amy Coney Barrett moved closer to filling the empty seat on the U.S. Supreme Court as the Senate Judiciary Committee yesterday approved bringing her nomination to the floor of the Senate. Outnumbered committee Democrats boycotted the vote in an unsuccessful attempt to invalidate it. Barrett is expected to be confirmed by Monday evening, bolstering conservatives hoping to overturn Roe v. Wade, cancel Obamacare and rein in voting access. Meanwhile, Polish police pepper sprayed hundreds of people protesting after the country’s Constitutional Tribunal banned abortions except in cases of rape, incest or danger to the mother’s life.

 

The US Sets the Tempo of Its Allies’ Dealings With Syria, Refugee Conference
London- Ibrahim Hamidi/Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2020
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is seeking to “set the tempo" among the member states of the Small Group on Syria regarding a number of files, including the political process and the Russian refugee conference scheduled in Damascus in mid-November.
The Group consists of the foreign ministers of Egypt, France, Germany, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, and the United States and works to support “a political settlement of the Syrian crisis on the basis of UN Security Council Resolution 2254 and the efforts of UN Envoy Geir Pederson for a political solution that guarantees the safety, territorial integrity, and sovereignty of Syria, and leads to the withdrawal of all foreign forces that came into the country after 2011.”
US officials had reiterated, on more than one occasion, the need for the withdrawal of all foreign forces, including Iranian militants, from Syria, with the exception of the Russian army, which signed agreements with its Syrian counterpart after entering the country in September 2015. Five states have currently their armies engaged in the conflict in the Middle Eastern country, including the United States, Russia, Iran, Turkey, and Israel.
It is commonly believed that the door to the implementation of Resolution 2254 is the Constitutional Committee, which has so far held three meetings and made very slow progress.
Pedersen has until now failed to organize a fourth round of talks due to the disagreement between the government and opposition delegations over the Committee’s agenda.
This issue will be tackled by the UN envoy in his upcoming meeting with Foreign Minister Walid al-Muallem and head of the government delegation to the Constitutional Committee, Ahmad Kuzbari, on Saturday and Sunday in Damascus.
According to Western officials, the Small Group will encourage “continued cooperation with the committee to ensure that progress is achieved in the discussions related to the constitution”, with the need for the fourth round to tackle “fundamental issues, including the holding of free and fair elections under the supervision of the United Nations according to Resolution 2254.” Western countries had sought to persuade Pedersen to go one step further by holding certain parties, especially the government, responsible for the failure of previous “constitutional” meetings and their inability to make a fundamental breakthrough in their work. But the UN envoy preferred to focus on “discussing fundamental issues.” Another crucial file is the refugee conference that the Russian and Syrian governments are organizing in Damascus on Nov. 11-12.
The invitation sent by the Syrian Foreign Ministry read that “the return of security and stability to large areas of the Syrian Arab Republic, as well as the reconstruction and renewal of infrastructure, represents a fundamental step to provide the adequate conditions for the return of refugees and displaced Syrians to their cities and villages to have a normal life.”
According to UNHCR statistics, the number of Syrian refugees in Turkey, Lebanon, Iraq, Jordan, and Egypt reached 5.6 million, including 3.5 million in Turkey (63.8 percent), 952,000 in Lebanon, and 673,000 in Jordan, in addition, about 7 million people who are internally displaced.
Damascus and Moscow are betting that the refugee conference would put Western countries in front of two options: boycott the initiative and then being accused by the two capitals of adopting double standards; or the return of a segment of Syrians and use this to pressure donor countries to transfer their contributions to Damascus instead of neighboring countries through the Brussels donor conference. On the other hand, Washington and Western capitals have expressed reservations about the conference, citing several reasons, including reconstruction. European countries and the US link the contribution to reconstruction with “the implementation of a credible political process.” Syrian experts have estimated the losses of the Syrian economy during the 9 years of war at about half a trillion USD. Accordingly, the Small Group, in its recent joint statement, has adopted a precise language about this. It pointed to the “profound suffering” of the Syrian people after nearly 10 years of war amid the spread of the Covid-19 pandemic and the severe economic crisis, but stressed the importance of “safe and unhindered access” to humanitarian aid for all Syrians,” while urging the international community to “continue to support the Syrian refugees, and the countries and societies hosting them, so that the Syrians can voluntarily return to their homeland in safety, dignity, and security.”
The Small Group also opposed “forced demographic change and commits to disburse no assistance for any resettlement of Syrian refugees that is not in line with UNHCR standards.”
In its joint statement, the Group expressed the need “to reinforce efforts toward a political solution in line with UNSCR 2254 that must result in progress toward facilitating the safe, voluntary, and dignified return of IDPs and refugees, the release of Syrian detainees, and holding all those responsible for atrocities accountable.” “There is no military solution that will bring peace, security, and stability to Syria. Progress on the political process as outlined in UNSCR 2254, in addition to the establishment of a nationwide ceasefire also as outlined in UNSCR 2254, remains the only path forward towards a better future for all Syrians,” the Small Group said in the joint statement.


After Sudan, Trump Predicts Saudis to Forge Israel Ties

Agence France Presse/October 23/2020
U.S. President Donald Trump predicted Friday that Saudi Arabia would soon forge ties with Israel after brokering an agreement for Sudan to normalize ties with the Jewish state. Speaking to reporters as he held a three-way phone conversation with the prime ministers of Israel and Sudan, Trump said at least another five Arab nations wanted to join the diplomatic bandwagon, which saw the inking of similar agreements involving Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates last month. "We have at least five that want to come in," Trump told reporters in the White House. "We expect Saudi Arabia will be one of those countries," he added, as he praised the country's "highly respected" rulers King Salman and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Although Trump did not mention any other countries, Oman and Mauritania are among the other countries in the region that have been tipped to normalize ties. Before the recent accords between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain, Egypt and Jordan had been the only Arab nations to have a formal peace deal with the Jewish state. Trump announced the agreement between Israel and Sudan's year-old civilian-backed government moments after he formally moved to end Khartoum's designation as a state sponsor of terrorism.

US, Sudan Press for Amicable Solution over Ethiopia Dam Dispute

Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 23 October, 2020
US President Donald Trump and Sudanese Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok on Friday called for an agreement to be reached over the dam dispute with Ethiopia and Egypt. “We hope to reach an amicable solution soon,” Hamdok said, speaking by phone with Trump following Sudan and Israel’s announcement to normalize ties. Trump, who held the call in front of reporters at the White House, said he had also told Egypt the same thing, saying it was a dangerous situation. Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt have been at odds over the filling and operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), and Trump on Friday said he had brokered an agreement to resolve the issue but that Ethiopia had broken the pact, forcing him to cut funds. “I had a deal done for them and then unfortunately Ethiopia broke the deal, which they should not have done. It was a big mistake,” Trump said. “They will never see that money unless they adhere to the agreement ... You can’t blame Egypt for being a little upset.” Trump urged Hamdok to get Ethiopia to agree come accept the deal to resolve the water dispute.
“I’m telling Egypt the same thing,” Trump added.

Israel and Sudan Reach US-Brokered Deal to Normalize Ties
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 23 October, 2020
Israel and Sudan agreed on Friday to take steps to normalize relations in a deal brokered with the help of the United States, making Khartoum the third Arab government to set aside hostilities with Israel in the last two months.
US President Donald Trump, seeking re-election on Nov. 3, sealed the agreement in a phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Sudanese Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok and Transitional Council Head Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, senior US officials said.
Trump’s decision this week to remove Sudan from the US list of state sponsors of terrorism paved the way for the accord with Israel, marking a foreign policy achievement for the Republican president as he seeks a second term trailing in opinion polls behind Democratic rival Joe Biden.
“The leaders agreed to the normalization of relations between Sudan and Israel and to end the state of belligerence between their nations,” according to a joint statement issued by the three countries. Israel and Sudan plan to begin by opening economic and trade relations, with an initial focus on agriculture, the joint statement said. A senior US official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said such issues as formal establishment of diplomatic ties would be resolved later. Trump touted the deal to reporters in the Oval Office with the Israeli and Sudanese leaders on the line in a three-way phone call, saying at least five other countries want to follow suit and normalize relations with Israel. Trump insisted the Palestinians also “are wanting to do something” but offered no proof. Palestinian leaders have condemned recent Arab diplomatic outreach to Israel as a betrayal of their nationalist cause and have refused to engage with the Trump administration, seeing it as heavily biased in favor of Israel. A senior Palestinian Liberation Organization official described Sudan’s decision to take steps to normalize relations with Israel as a “new stab in the back” for the Palestinians.
Dropping Sudan from terrorism list
Trump announced on Monday he would take Sudan off the terrorism list once it had deposited $335 million it had pledged to pay in compensation. Khartoum has since placed the funds in a special escrow account for victims of al-Qaeda attacks on US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania in 1998.
Shortly before the Israel-Sudan deal was announced, Trump notified Congress of “his intent to formally rescind Sudan’s designation as a State Sponsor of Terrorism.” The White House called the move a “pivotal turning point” for Khartoum, which is seeking to emerge from decades of isolation.
Trump’s aides have been pressing Sudan to take steps toward normalizing relations with Israel, following similar US-brokered moves in recent weeks by the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain. A sticking point in the negotiations was Sudan’s insistence that any announcement of Khartoum’s delisting from the terrorism designation not be explicitly linked to establishing ties with Israel. The military and civilian leaders of Sudan’s transitional government have been divided over how fast and how far to go in establishing ties with Israel. The Sudanese premier wants approval from a yet-to-be formed parliament to proceed with broader normalization, and that may not be a quick progress given sensitivities and civilian-military differences. The agreement was negotiated on the US side by Trump son-in-law and senior adviser Jared Kushner, Middle East envoy Avi Berkowitz, national security adviser Robert O’Brien, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and national security aide Miguel Correa. Kushner called the normalization deals the start of a “paradigm shift” in the Middle East. He said Sudan’s decision was symbolically significant because it was in Khartoum in 1967 that the Arab League decided not to recognize Israel’s right to exist. Sudan’s designation as a state sponsor of terrorism dates to its toppled ruler Omar al-Bashir and has made it difficult for its transitional government to access urgently needed debt relief and foreign financing. Many in Sudan say the designation, imposed in 1993 because Washington believed Bashir was supporting militant groups, has become outdated since he was removed last year. US congressional legislation is needed to shield Khartoum from future legal claims over past attacks to ensure the flow of payments to the embassy bombing victims and their families.

Israel Jets Strike Gaza after Rocket Fire
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 23 October, 2020
Israeli fighter jets struck suspected Hamas military targets in the Gaza Strip before dawn on Friday following rocket fire from the Palestinian enclave. Warplanes and other aircraft hit a "weapons manufacturing site and underground infrastructures" operated by Hamas, which has controlled the territory since 2007, the Israeli army said. Hamas reported no casualties from the strikes on the Nuseirat refugee camp and the southern city of Khan Yunis. Two rockets had been launched at Israel late Thursday, without causing any casualties or damage. One was intercepted by Israeli air defenses, while the other hit open ground, the army said. The last reported rocket attack from Gaza was on Tuesday night. It came after the army announced it had found a new tunnel that crosses "dozens of meters into Israel" from Gaza.The next day the army said the tunnel belonged to Hamas. Authorities have discovered some 20 tunnels originating in Gaza since 2014, army spokesman Jonathan Conricus said this week.

 

U.S. Condemns Turkish Missile System Test, Warns of 'Serious Consequences'
Agence France Presse/Friday, 23 October, 2020
The Pentagon on Friday strongly condemned the test of a Russian-made S-400 missile defense system by NATO ally Turkey and warned of "serious consequences." "The U.S. Department of Defense condemns in the strongest possible terms Turkey's October 16 test of the S-400 air defense system," Pentagon spokesman Jonathan Hoffman said in a statement.
"We object to Turkey's testing of this system, which risks serious consequences for our security relationship," Hoffman said. "We have been clear and unwavering in our position: an operational S-400 system is not consistent with Turkey's commitments as a U.S. and NATO Ally."

NATO Says Greece and Turkey Cancel Military Exercises

Agence France Presse/Friday, 23 October, 2020
Turkey and Greece have agreed to cancel rival military exercises that were to have been held next week on their respective national days, NATO's Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said Friday.
The neighbors, while NATO members, are at loggerheads over energy drilling and maritime rights in the eastern Mediterranean and the alliance has set up a hotline to head off accidental clashes. "This is a very welcome step," Stoltenberg said after a videoconference of NATO defense ministers, including Greece's Nikos Panagiotopoulos and Turkey's Hulusi Akar. "These are steps in the right direction, and it helps to reduce the risks for instance and accidents." Greece had been expected to conduct exercises on Wednesday October 28, its Oxi Day holiday, and Turkey on Thursday, celebrated there as Republic Day. Turkey has deployed the Oruc Reis, a gas exploration vessel under military escort into Greek waters off the island of Kastellorizo, and Greek vessels are nearby. Addressing a news conference after two days of talks on a variety of topics, Stoltenberg confirmed he had raised the situation with the Greek and Turkish ministers. "I will say that we had a good and constructive talks and allies expressed a strong support for the NATO de-confliction mechanism," Stoltenberg said. "I welcome now the fact that we have been able to see some concrete steps in that direction with the cancellation of the two exercises." French Defense Minister Florence Parly also hailed the decisions to cancel the military exercises, stressing the need to "respect international law and restore stability in the region." Stoltenberg also welcomed Germany's diplomatic mediation in the underlying dispute.
On Thursday, he had warned that -- while NATO could help keep the rival militaries apart -- it would be down to Ankara and Athens to open a dialogue to resolve their long-standing differences.

Turkish Cypriot Leader Sworn in with 'Two States' Call

Agence France Presse/Friday, 23 October, 2020
Ankara-backed Ersin Tatar, the newly elected Turkish Cypriot leader, took the oath of office Friday and immediately called for a two-state solution on the divided island. Voters in the self-proclaimed Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) on Sunday narrowly elected the right-wing nationalist as president at a time of heightened tensions in the eastern Mediterranean. The supporter of a permanent partition edged out previous Turkish Cypriot leader Mustafa Akinci, 72, a supporter of reunification with the Greek Cypriot south. "Equal sovereignty between the two peoples on the island and cooperation on the basis of two states is a necessity for us," he said at a swearing-in ceremony in northern Nicosia, in the presence of Vice President Fuat Oktay of Turkey, the only country that recognizes the TRNC. Tatar, 60, clinched his surprise victory in a second round of elections. Cyprus has been divided since Turkey invaded and occupied its northern third in 1974 in reaction to a Greek-engineered coup aiming to annex the island. On Monday, Cyprus President Nicos Anastasiades, the Greek Cypriot leader, and Tatar agreed in a phone call to meet in the U.N.-patrolled buffer zone that has for decades separated the north and the south. U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has said he wants to rekindle talks between the two sides following the north's elections.
The last attempt at U.N.-mediated negotiations collapsed in Switzerland in July 2017. The U.N. is now expected to convene a meeting between the two sides, Turkey, Greece and former colonial ruler Britain.
In his victory speech Sunday, Tatar said he would return to the negotiating table "when necessary," but said that Turkish Cypriots would "not compromise" on certain points essential to their "sovereignty."
"Our neighbors in the south and world community should respect our fight for freedom," Tatar said.
The TRNC is economically and politically dependent on Turkey -- not least because some 30,000 Turkish troops are on Cypriot soil.
In a call with Tatar after his victory, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said their cooperation would continue "starting with activities related to hydrocarbons." Northern Cyprus is a centerpiece of Turkey's strategy in the eastern Mediterranean, including a bitter dispute with Greece and Cyprus over oil and gas reserves. The European Union has deplored Turkey's drilling for hydrocarbons in disputed waters and warned Ankara against further "provocations."

UN: Libyan Factions Sign 'Permanent' National Ceasefire Deal
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 23 October, 2020
Libya's two warring factions signed a "permanent" ceasefire agreement across the country on Friday following five days of talks at the United Nations in Geneva, the UN's Libya mission said. The accord, concluded after talks between military representatives of Fayez al-Sarraj's Government of National Accord (GNA) and the Libyan National Army (LNA) of Khalifa Haftar, will be followed by political discussions in Tunisia next month. "The 5 + 5 Joint Military Commission talks in Geneva today culminate in a historic achievement as Libyan teams reach a permanent ceasefire agreement across Libya. This achievement is an important turning point towards peace and stability in Libya," UNSMIL said on its Facebook page, which showed a live stream of the signing ceremony. “The road to a permanent ceasefire deal was often long and difficult,” Williams said in Arabic at the ceremony.
“Before us is a lot of work in the coming days and weeks in order to implement the commitments of the agreement," she said. “It is essential to continue work as quickly as possible in order to alleviate the many problems due to this conflict facing the Libyan people."
“We have to give people hope of a better future,” Williams added. She expressed hope the agreement will succeed “in ending the suffering of Libyans and allowing those displaced by the conflict to return to their homes.”The meetings this week mark the fourth round of talks involving the Joint Military Commission under Williams' watch. The Geneva-based military talks come ahead of a political forum in Tunisia in November. That forum aims to “generate consensus on a unified governance framework and arrangements that will lead to the holding of national elections,” the UN mission said. On Wednesday, Williams had said the two warring factions agreed on issues that “directly impact the lives and welfare of the Libyan people," citing agreements to open air and land routes in the country, to work to ease inflammatory rhetoric in Libyan media, and to help kickstart Libya’s vital oil industry.

 

U.S. Hails Libya Ceasefire, Urges Foreign Fighters to Leave
Agence France Presse/Friday, 23 October, 2020
The United States on Friday hailed a U.N.-brokered permanent ceasefire signed between rival factions in Libya and said that all foreign fighters must now leave. "This agreement is a major step forward toward realizing the shared interests of all Libyans in de-escalation, stability and the departure of foreign fighters," said a statement issued by the U.S. embassy in Libya. "We urge internal and external actors now to support good-faith implementation of the agreement."The United States has long voiced concern about foreign involvement in Libya's war, especially of Russian-backed mercenaries that a U.N. report found were backing warlord Khalifa Haftar. The United States was part of the European-backed campaign that helped topple dictator Moammar Gadhafi in 2011, following which Libya has been torn by bloodshed. The United States, like the United Nations, recognizes the government in Tripoli which has made major headway on the battlefield with support from Turkey. But President Donald Trump last year sowed confusion by praising Haftar, whose campaign to seize control has been backed by Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, all close partners of the U.S. leader.

US Drone Strike Kills 17 Militants in Northwest Syria
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 23 October, 2020
The US Army said Thursday it carried out a drone strike against Al-Qaeda leaders in northwest Syria near the border, killing 17 militants, according to a war monitor. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said five civilians were also among those killed. "US Forces conducted a strike against a group of al-Qaeda in (AQ-S) senior leaders meeting near Idlib, Syria," said Major Beth Riordan, the spokeswoman for United States Central Command (CENTCOM). "The removal of these AQ-S leaders will disrupt the terrorist organization's ability to further plot and carry out global attacks threatening US citizens, our partners and innocent civilians," Riordan said in a statement. She did not specify the number of deaths from the strike. According to OSDH, the strike targeted a dinner meeting of militants in the village of Jakara in the area of Salqin, killing at least 17 extremists including 11 leaders. The strike hit in Syria's last major opposition bastion of Idlib, which is dominated by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) led a former Al-Qaeda affiliate, but other extremist groups are also present in the area. Observatory chief Rami Abdel Rahman said that five non-Syrian extremists were among those killed, but their nationalities were not immediately known. Among the six Syrian leaders killed, two were from HTS, he said. Ebaa, the media mouthpiece of HTS, said a strike targeted a "tent belonging to one of the dignitaries" in Jakara, killing several people.

Kadhimi, Johnson Agree on ‘Strategic Cooperation’
Baghdad - London - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 23 October, 2020
Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Kadhimi and his British counterpart, Boris Johnson, have agreed on strategic cooperation between Baghdad and London, including on fighting terrorism. Kadhimi met Johnson Thursday in the British capital, London, as part of his European tour that also included France and Germany.
A statement from the Iraqi PM’s office said the meeting discussed issues of common interest, the political and security situation in Iraq and the region, and developing relations between the two countries in a way that serves peace and local and regional stability.
The two officials agreed on more cooperation between Baghdad and London in combating terrorism, as well as in political and economic affairs, in light of the challenges facing Iraq due to the decline in global oil prices and the repercussions of the coronavirus pandemic.
Kadhimi also met separately with Prince Charles at the Clarence House and with British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab. During his meeting with the Prince, they discussed prospects for cooperation between Iraq and the UK, as well as some initiatives aimed at enhancing coexistence and protecting the environment. The British government said in a statement that Kadhimi discussed in London Iraq’s main security and economic challenges in addition to the cabinet’s reform plan. Johnson expressed his strong support to the Iraqi government. Yassin Al-Bakri, professor of political science at Al-Nahreen University, told Asharq Al-Awsat that “Iraq continues to enjoy the confidence and support of the main European players.” MP Aras Habib Kareem, Secretary General of the Iraqi National Congress (INC), said that Kadhimi’s trip comes at a time when Iraq needs a strong international partnership that generates promising economic opportunities. Wisdom Movement MP Raheem al-Aboudi revealed that Kadhimi received pledges from France, Germany and even Britain on a soft loan of $5 billion to resolve the salaries’ crisis.

Bloated Public Salaries at Heart of Iraq's Economic Woes
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 23 October, 2020
Long-time Iraqi civil servant Qusay Abdul-Amma panicked when his monthly salary was delayed. Days of waiting turned to weeks. He defaulted on rent and other bills. A graphic designer for the Health Ministry, he uses about half his salary to pay his rent of nearly 450,000 Iraqi dinars a month, roughly $400. If he fails to pay twice in a row his landlord will evict him and his family, he fears. "These delays affect my ability to survive," Abdul-Amma said. Iraq´s government is struggling to pay the salaries of the ever-swelling ranks of public sector employees amid an unprecedented liquidity crisis caused by low oil prices. September's salaries were delayed for weeks, and October´s still haven´t been paid as the government tries to borrow once again from Iraq´s currency reserves. The crisis has fueled fears of instability ahead of mass demonstrations this week.
The government has outlined a vision for a drastic overhaul of Iraq´s economy in a "white paper" presented last week to lawmakers and political factions. But with early elections on the horizon, the prime minister´s advisers fear there is little political will to execute it fully.
"We are asking the same people we are protesting against and criticizing to reform the system," said Sajad Jiyad, an Iraq researcher. The white paper´s calls for cutting public sector payrolls and reforming state finances would undermine the patronage systems that the political elite have used to entrench their power.
A major part of that patronage is handing out state jobs in return for support. The result has been a threefold increase in public workers since 2004. The government pays 400% more in salaries than it did 15 years ago. Around three quarters of the state´s expenditures in 2020 go to paying for the public sector - a massive drain on dwindling finances. "Now the situation is very dangerous," said Mohammed al-Daraji, a lawmaker on parliament´s Finance Committee. One government official said political factions are in denial that change is needed, believing oil prices will rise and "we will be fine." "We won´t be fine. The system is unsustainable and sooner or later it will implode," the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss internal politics. Iraq´s activists have called for a march on Oct. 25, expected to draw large crowds, a year since massive anti-government protests first brought tens of thousands to the streets demanded reforms and an end to the corrupt political class. "As far as meeting our demands, there have been no changes," said Kamal Jabar, member of the Tishreen Democratic Movement, founded during the protests last year. "To us, the white paper is a joke." Abu Ali, a merchant in Baghdad´s commercial district of Shorjah, fears what the following months have in store. The state is the primary source of employment for Iraqis, and civil servants are the lifeblood of his business. "The delays in salary payments have affected the market directly," he said. "If these delays continue our business and the economy will collapse." Abdul-Amma´s September pay was 45 days late, and he still hasn´t received the October pay that was supposed to come on the first of the month. He worries about the coming months as well. "I have a history of chronic heart disease, and one of my daughters is also sick," said the father of four. He pays $100 in medical fees per month. But to the architects of the reform paper, he is part of the problem: Public sector bloat is first in line for reform. "We hope the civil service and bureaucracy will recognize a need for change," Finance Minister Ali Allawi told The Associated Press in a recent interview. Iraq relies on oil exports to fund 90% of state revenues. Those revenues have plunged to an average $3.5 billion a month since oil prices crashed earlier this year.
That´s half the $7 billion a month needed to pay urgent expenses. Of that, $5 billion is for public sector salaries and pensions, according to Finance Ministry figures. Iraq also imports nearly all of its food and medicine; with foreign currency reserves at $53 billion, the World Bank estimates the country can sustain these imports for another nine months. Foreign debts account for another $316 million. Poor productivity of public workers is the heart of the issue, Allawi said.
"We´ve ended up with a low productivity, high-cost public sector that doesn´t really earn its keep," he said. "In one way or another this issue has to be tackled by either reducing numbers, which is politically difficult, reducing salaries ... or increasing productivity."
The white paper calls for public sector payments to be reduced from 25% of GDP to 12% but doesn´t detail how. Officials said one step may be to restore taxes on civil servants' benefits that previous administrations had lifted. To meet month-to-month commitments now, the government has had to borrow internally from its foreign currency reserves. A request of a second loan of $35 billion was sent to parliament, drawing criticism from lawmakers. Haitham al-Jibouri, head of parliament´s Finance Committee, said in televised remarks that if borrowing was the government´s only plan he would fetch a shopkeeper from Bab al-Sharqi, a commercial area in the capital, to do the finance minister´s job.
Parliament´s endorsement of the loan and the reform paper is crucial for the government to avoid a full-scale economic crisis.
But this will prove difficult with elections slated for next June, since factions want to hand out jobs to maintain their constituencies.
"Whoever decides to push ahead and support reforms first will lose out, they will also need to convince other political players who will also lose out," said Jiyad. "That is a tough sell."
Kadhimi´s advisers privately acknowledge the challenges of having the system that produced such mismanagement and corruption be its own savior. One official recalled a remark made by the finance minister at a meeting of a high-level committee tasked with managing the crisis.
He looked at the room of officials charged with halting the country´s fast spiral toward insolvency and said, "I can´t believe this was done for 10 years and none of you did anything to stop it." There was silence.
 

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on October 23-24/2020

Turkish interference in the Caucasus risks setting the whole region ablaze
Armen Sarkissian/The President of Armenia/The National/October 23/2020
 أرمين سركيسيان، رئيس جمهورية أرمينيا: التدخل التركي في القوقاز يهدد بإشعال النيران في المنطقة بأكملها
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/91645/armen-sarkissian-the-president-of-armenia-turkish-interference-in-the-caucasus-risks-setting-the-whole-region-ablaze-%d8%a3%d8%b1%d9%85%d9%8a%d9%86-%d8%b3%d8%b1%d9%83%d9%8a%d8%b3%d9%8a%d8%a7/

On September 30, I drafted a special letter to several world leaders to describe to them the situation in and around Nagorno-Karabakh, a contested region of the Caucasus inhabited predominately by ethnic Armenians. It has been attacked aggressively by Azerbaijan, with the full support of Turkey. I could hardly anticipate the scope of the aggression and the lack of humanity in the behaviour of their forces. Then and even now, the reality on the ground that my fellow Armenians are experiencing is more than alarming, and risks igniting further escalation and insecurity in the region and even beyond.
Months and even years before the military aggression by Azerbaijan on September 27, the Azerbaijani leadership was using very harsh, militaristic rhetoric and overtly voicing, at the highest levels of government, its intentions to resolve the conflict through a fully fledged war. Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia have been facing similar attempts for more than 25 years since a ceasefire was established after the first Karabakh war in 1994. Ever since then, the rhetoric and the destructive behaviour of Azerbaijan has never faded.
Nagorno-Karabakh – or Artsakh, as we call it in Armenia – has always been populated overwhelmingly by Armenians. It has never been a voluntary part of independent Azerbaijan. In 1921, Nagorno-Karabakh was given as a gift by Russia under Josef Stalin to Soviet Azerbaijan, which was not an independent state, but a part of the Soviet Union.
Following decades of continued discrimination, in 1987 and 1988 the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh began to raise their voices to re-join with Armenia. They conducted peaceful demonstrations and signed petitions. At the same time, ethnically motivated persecutions against Armenians in Soviet Azerbaijan mounted. There were pogroms and ethnic cleansing campaigns in a number of Azerbaijani cities.
During the collapse of the Soviet Union, the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh declared their independence earlier than Azerbaijan. In fact, Azerbaijan declared its own independence from the Soviet Union in a separate process, without Nagorno-Karabakh. Despite this and other facts that, in Armenia’s view, make Azerbaijan’s claims baseless in the context of the international law, the government in Baku seeks has, for about 30 years, sought to oppress with military means the right of the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh (or the Republic of Artsakh) to live in their homeland. It pursues a policy of forcibly capturing lands, cleansing them of their native inhabitants and heritage and ignoring the basic, fundamental rights.
After 30 years of rejecting any attempts at a peaceful solution, Azerbaijan, supported militarily and politically by Turkey, is once again attacking Armenia’s cherished homeland. Azerbaijan’s position is, in a sense, a continuation of the policies that Armenians have faced ever since the Ottoman Empire tried to perpetrate the genocide of Armenians almost 105 years ago. At that time, about 1.5 million ethnic Armenians perished, or were exiled and persecuted.
The Azerbaijani side today includes not only Turkish generals, officers and military experts, but also Turkish F-16 fighter jets and the infamous “Bayraktar” drones. Every day, these death machines and are involved in bombing Nagorno-Karabakh and even Armenia. Lethal and even prohibited weapons, such as cluster munition, have been deployed for more than three weeks against a huge number of Armenian civilians and civil infrastructure. The latter includes hospitals, houses and even kindergartens.
If you add to this the involvement of Syrian mercenaries, jihadists and radical fanatics who are now on Armenian soil killing my people, the full picture is clear. Mercenaries from international terrorist organisations fighting in the Middle East — in particular, Jabhat Al Nusra, Firqat Hamza and the Sultan Murad Division – are actively entering the fray. Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh are dealing with international terrorism.
Hence, we in Armenia remain very concerned and alert for those developments on the ground. We are also concerned by the hesitant stance of the international community, which needs to react immediately. It needs to apply pressure to Turkey to withdraw from our region with its weapons, mercenaries and cynicism. It needs to apply pressure to Azerbaijan to respect two ceasefires agreed on October 10 and 17. The war by Turkey and Azerbaijan against my nation risks creating another Syria in the Caucasus, with the potential to fuel a greater fire in the entire region and beyond.
Turkey does not hesitate to export Islamist militants and other terrorists into Azerbaijan. But, as usual, it needs an excuse for doing so. One of its excuses has been that Azerbaijanis are its ethnic kin. The reality is that that line of thinking simply doesn’t work in the new world, because by that logic Turkey’s ethnic kinship extends all the way into Central Asia, Mongolia, northern China and elsewhere. Is Ankara ready to interfere with any problem that its ethnic brothers may face there?
Perhaps the answer is yes – in which case, it is no wonder that modern Turkey has problematic relations virtually 360 degrees in every direction. It has had problems with Egypt. It is now involved in Libya. It speaks about the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan, but in the meantime has crossed over its border with Iraq. It violates the territorial integrity of Syria. It is trying to be very present in Lebanon and in parts of the Gulf. It also has big issues in the Eastern Mediterranean. And now, it is in the Caucasus. All of this is unacceptable.
Mercenaries from international terrorist organisations are entering the fray in Nagorno-Karabakh
Leaders of civilised nations, regardless of their religious or ethnic identities, must act unequivocally to stop aggressors and establish long-lasting peace. We need peace, and it can only be reached through negotiation and talks. But this is what the Azerbaijani side rejects each and every time, for reasons that are horrific to the rest of us. They claim they have a legitimate right to use force – brutal, military force – against the Armenians living in Nagorno-Karabakh.
We need to understand that there is no military solution to this and, I would say, to any conflict. Armenians have always believed that a solution has to be reached through peaceful negotiations and in a way that does not make things worse. This is why we have refrained from officially recognising the Republic of Artsakh, so as to allow the negotiations to take place and reach a peaceful solution. But Turkey and Azerbaijan seem to have a different understanding of what a solution is, and they push only a militaristic, aggressive and, in my view, genocidal agenda.
My appeal to Muslim and Arab leaders aims at asking them to use their influence and high prestige in the international arena to immediately stop the bloodshed and human suffering.
Together, we can stop this aggression, because we are proponents of peace, who reject war, violence and terrorism.
*Armen Sarkissian is the President of Armenia

 

Question: "Why was God so evident in the Bible, and seems so hidden today?"
GotQuestions.org/October 23/2020
Answer: The Bible records God’s appearing to people, performing amazing and undeniable miracles, speaking audibly, and many other things that we do not often witness today. Why is this? Why was God so willing to reveal and prove Himself in Bible times but seems "hidden" and silent today?
One reason God may seem hidden today is the simple fact of willful, unrepentant sin. “Then they will cry out to the LORD, but he will not answer them. At that time he will hide his face from them because of the evil they have done” (Micah 3:4; cf. Deuteronomy 31:18; 32:20). Also, without faith it is impossible to please God (Hebrews 11:6). Sometimes people miss evidence of God because of a refusal to believe (see Mark 6:1-6)—it’s hard to see when you refuse to open your eyes.
Far from being hidden, God has completed a plan of progressive revelation to mankind. During His centuries-long process of communication, God at times used miracles and direct address with people in order to reveal His character, His instructions, and His plans. In between God’s times of speaking, there was silence. His power was not as evident, and new revelation was not forthcoming (see 1 Samuel 3:1).
God’s first miracle – creation – has never been hidden in any way. Creation was and is the primary evidence of God’s existence and the way He exhibits many of His attributes. From what was made, man can see that God is powerful, sovereign, and eternal (Romans 1:20). The creation was His first declaration to mankind. “The heavens declare the glory of God; and the expanse proclaims His handiwork” (Psalm 19:1). Following creation, God spoke to people to further declare Himself and to inform man of His ways. He first spoke to Adam and Eve, giving them commandments to follow and, when they disobeyed, pronouncing a curse. He also assured them and all mankind that He would send a Savior to redeem us from sin.
After Enoch’s translation to heaven, it seems that God was “hidden” once again. But later, God spoke to Noah in order to save him and his family and to Moses, giving him the Law for His people to follow. God performed miracles to authenticate Moses as His prophet (Exodus 4:8) and to deliver the Israelites from Egypt. God performed miracles again in Joshua’s time to establish Israel in the Promised Land and again during the time of Elijah and Elisha to authenticate the prophets and to combat idolatry. In between those times of clear divine intervention, generations passed without seeing a miracle or hearing the voice of God. Many probably wondered, “Why is God hidden today? Why doesn’t He make Himself evident?”
When Jesus came to earth, after 400 “silent years” from God, He performed miracles to prove that He was indeed the Son of God and to foster faith in Him (Matthew 9:6; John 10:38). After His miraculous resurrection, He enabled His apostles to continue performing miracles in order to prove they were truly sent by Him, again so that people would believe in Jesus and heed the New Testament that the apostles were writing.
There are several reasons why, after the time of the apostles, God is no longer speaking audibly to us or making Himself as evident. As noted above, God has already spoken. His words were faithfully written down, and they have been miraculously kept for us through the ages. The Bible is finished. God’s progressive revelation is done (Revelation 22:18). Now we have the completed canon of Scripture, and we need no further miracles to “validate” the Bible, which has already been validated. In God’s perfect Word is everything we need “for doctrine, for reproof, for correction and instruction in righteousness” (2 Timothy 3:16). The Bible is perfectly able to make us “wise to salvation through faith in Christ Jesus” (2 Timothy 3:15). It is a “more sure Word of prophecy [more sure than miraculous experience] to which we would do well to take heed” (2 Peter 1:19). We need nothing more, and we are not to seek extra-biblical revelations. To do so calls into question the efficacy of Scripture that God has declared to be sufficient.
But doesn’t the Holy Spirit speak to us? Yes, He is our Comforter in this world (John 14:16). And He may work with our conscience to help guide us. But it’s important to understand that the Spirit is not giving new revelation today. Rather, He speaks to us through the written Word of God, which is the “sword of the Spirit” (Ephesians 6:17). The Spirit will often bring specific Scriptures to mind at times when we need them most (John 14:26); He enlightens us to understand the Word and empowers us to live it. But no one can say, “The Spirit has revealed to me a new fact about heaven, not found in the Bible!” That is adding to Scripture and the height of presumption.
Another reason for the “hidden” state of God today is alluded to by the prophet Habakkuk: “The just shall live by his faith” (Habakkuk 2:4). God does not give His people a continual chain of miraculous signs; He never has. Rather, He expects them to trust what He has already done, search the Scriptures daily, and live by faith, not by sight (Matthew 16:4; John 20:29; 2 Corinthians 5:7).
Finally, let us remember that, even in those times when it seems that God is doing nothing, He is still the sovereign Lord of all creation, and He is constantly at work, bringing about the completion of His perfect plan. One of the best examples of God’s “hidden” working is the book of Esther, in which God is never mentioned but which plainly shows His sovereign hand at work from beginning to end.

Iran Targeted by U.S. Over Threats Against Democratic Voters
Jamie Tarabay and Kartikay Mehrotra/Bloomberg/ October 22/2020,
While the Trump administration often mentioned Iran among cyber-adversaries suspected of seeking to disrupt U.S. elections, the focus had been primarily on China and Russia.
Now, the Islamic Republic is emerging as a prime target for President Donald Trump in the final days before the Nov. 3 election over an alleged Iranian email campaign to intimidate voters and incite social unrest. In a public announcement late Wednesday, U.S. Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe described Iran’s efforts, elevating the Islamic Republic as a more prominent suspect in efforts to disrupt the American political process.
The emails, claiming to be from the right-wing Proud Boys group, threatened Democratic voters with violence if they didn’t change their party affiliation and voted for Trump on election day.
Iran was also distributing a video that sought to imply that fraudulent ballots were being mailed from overseas in a bid to interfere with the elections, Ratcliffe said. In addition, Iran and Russia had managed to collect voter registration material, which was available online, and that Tehran used to deploy emails to Americans in an attempt to “convey misinformation,” he said.
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Google also identified an operation linked to Iran that “sent inauthentic emails to people in the U.S. over the past 24 hours,” a spokesperson said. For Gmail users, spam filters stopped 90% of the approximately 25,000 emails sent, the spokesperson said, suggesting the attack wasn’t particularly effective.
But with voters’ nerves already frayed, the administration’s handling of the episode also raises questions. Ratcliffe said the Iranian operation was meant to hurt the president, which is far from clear based on the contents of the video and emails. Cyber-researchers are also wondering what sort of intelligence Ratcliffe unearthed to accuse Iran of meddling within just hours of the spoofing operation. Attributing malicious operations to nation-states typically takes months and years, not hours.
Ohad Zaidenberg, lead cyber-intelligence researcher at ClearSky Cyber Security, said he’s still investigating the emails and their origin to understand how the U.S. was able to point the finger at Iran.
“We investigated the emails, but didn’t find the link to Iran,” said Zaidenberg, an expert in Iranian cyber-operations. “This attack’s source might be Iran, or other threat actor exploiting Iranians infrastructure.”
Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi also questioned Ratcliffe’s conclusions. “I will be very interested to hear what they have to say in a classified briefing because everything we have seen in the public domain has not justified a statement that we heard yesterday,” said Pelosi, at a news conference prior to a closed-door briefing. Afterward, she told reporters, “I think we have to be very careful about any statements coming out from the intelligence community 13 days before the election.”
Iranian officials rejected the U.S. allegations. “These accusations are nothing more than another scenario to undermine voter confidence in the security of the U.S. election, and are absurd,” Alireza Miryousefi, a diplomat at the Iranian mission to the United Nations, said in a statement.
Cyber researchers with expertise in Iranian politics contend the operation fits Iran’s agenda of supporting the campaign of Democratic challenger Joe Biden. These hackers weren’t trying to scare off Democrats, but instead further vilify Trump’s base, said Paul Prudhomme, cyberthreat intelligence adviser at the cyber-research firm, IntSights.
Iran has been turning up its cyber spigot on the Trump administration since it pulled the U.S. out of a multinational nuclear accord with Iran in May 2018. Since then, Treasury Department officers have been targeted by Iranian social engineering campaigns. While Iran’s cyber capabilities pale in comparison to Russia’s, they still aspire to “do to Trump what the Russians did to Hillary Clinton in 2016,” Prudhomme said.
Iran is “happy to see disarray and disruption in the U.S.,” said Dr. Sanam Vakil, the deputy director of the Middle East and North Africa program at Chatham House, a London think tank. “And if it can embarrass America in any way that is a positive thing.”
With U.S. sanctions imposed by the Trump administration hampering its military endeavors, Iran sees cyber-attacks as a good way to continue to try to exert influence and have an impact, she said. “As tensions continue this is going to be an area where Iran is going to invest,” she said.
Yet even as Ratcliffe said the Iranian campaign sought to damage Trump’s election chances, Vakil said that Iran’s politics aren’t monolithic. The overriding consensus is that a Biden presidency was welcomed, but there are some in the Iranian political establishment who prefer four more years of Trump.
“They see him as weakening the U.S., and that sort of weakness is positive for Iran in the Middle East,” she said. “He also appears to be drawing down U.S. influence in the Middle East and that can be billed as another win for Tehran.”
Iranian information operations date back at least eight years, said John Hultquist, a senior director at the cybersecurity firm FireEye Inc. “They have grown beyond fake news sites and social network activity to elaborate tactics, such as impersonating journalists to solicit videos and interviews and placing op-eds. They have even impersonated American politicians,” he said in an email.
The digital feud between the U.S. and Iran dates back to when a devastating digital worm called Stuxnet, first discovered in 2010, crippled an Iranian uranium processing facility. That attack has been attributed by multiple media outlets to the U.S. and Israel.
Partly in response, Iranian hackers launched attacks starting in 2011 that overwhelmed the websites of Bank of America Corp., Wells Fargo & Co. and others over a period of months. Since then, state-sponsored hackers have been accused of attacking Saudi Aramco, the world’s biggest oil exporter, in 2012, and a Las Vegas casino in 2014, among other businesses in the U.S. and elsewhere.
More recently, U.S. officials and cybersecurity experts have warned that Iran was among a handful of nation states that are intent on trying to disrupt the Nov. 3 election. “Iran seeks to undermine U.S. democratic institutions, President Trump and to divide the country in advance of the 2020 elections,” according to an August intelligence assessment.
Earlier this month, Microsoft Corp. reported that an Iranian-government linked group of hackers tried to infiltrate email accounts of a U.S. presidential campaign. Other targets of the hackers included current and former U.S. government officials, journalists covering global politics and prominent Iranians living outside of Iran, the company said.
— With assistance by Alyza Sebenius, Chris Strohm, and David Wainer

Electing the President of the ‘Global Village’
Elias Harfoush/Asharq Al Awsat/October 23/2020
Every citizen in the “Global Village” feels he or she has the right to a vote in the US presidential elections. The elections bear on the lives of the 8 billion people who live on this earth, their state’s decisions and their governments’ policies. So it is not surprising that the entire world is drawn to this election and concerned with its outcome.
This keen interest is not merely a result of a peculiar president, Donald Trump, being involved. The man who launched a historic revolt against the leadership approach that defined American presidents and their ties to both allies and rivals is up against Joe Biden, who returns to the fold carrying Obama’s legacy. The US military, political and financial influence compels this obsession with its elections. The victor will become the US military’s commander in chief and have his finger on that nuclear button that can change the world’s fate.
Everyone in the “Global Village” covets the vote that American constituents can put in the ballot box or send by mail. It can generate such massive change, the impact of which goes beyond the US borders to reach the four corners of the globe, which most Americans are unfamiliar with and wouldn’t dream of ever stepping foot in.
No constituents anywhere in the world have as weighty a vote as those in the US. Because of its momentous consequences, we hear about foreign powers’ campaigns to influence US constituents in one way or another. We also hear about attempts to interfere with the electoral process by such forces with interests tied to the results. We heard about this kind of activity four years ago, with what was said about Russia’s interference in Donald Trump’s favor, which preoccupied members of Congress and American prosecutors for a long time but ended without these claims becoming anything more than that, claims.
We are hearing about it today as well, as the New York Times reports about Russian and Iranian attempts to infiltrate constituents’ accounts and send them bogus e-mails to heighten skepticism about the electoral process and its outcome’s legitimacy. Although these activities do not influence the results, Christofer Ray, the director of the FBI, and CIA Director Jon Ratcliff have mentioned, the mere revelations about these attempts indicate the importance that Iran and Russia, like many other counties around the world, believe these elections have.
A change in leadership in Washington differs from that of any other capital. Going over the impact of the four years of Donald Trump’s term on international relations is enough to form an assessment of this change’s magnitude. It strikes us whether we look at US-Russian relations, Washington’s relations with Beijing and Pyongyang or the US role in the Middle East. There, we can see a strategic shift manifested in President Trump choosing to respond to Iran’s violations by unilaterally pulling out of nuclear agreement with Tehran, raising the relationship with Israel to historical highs and mediating Arab countries’ talks to establish diplomatic relations with it.
Barack Obama did not exaggerate when he described the upcoming US elections as “the most important election of our entire lifetime.” Because of the scale of the transformations that have taken place under the Trump administration, the potential for change becomes simultaneously enticing and worrying, as does the White House’s current occupant staying put for another four years. The specter of the latter possibility transpiring worries many of those who feel that they had been negatively affected by Trump’s policies. This apprehension is not only felt by the country from which the “Chinese virus” emerged or that which has established armed militias to sow instability in the Middle East. Indeed, even Washington’s traditional allies in the European Union and NATO are not resting on their laurels. Many observers are nervous about the prospect of Trump pulling out of the latter if elected for a second term after having launched several campaigns on allies, whom he accused of not fulfilling the financial obligations needed to meet their defense needs.
Concerning ties with European allies, Trump launched a slogan seen as contradictory to the transatlantic alliance’s framework since the Second World War ended. “America first” struck a chord with average Americans, who did not feel that maintaining internal security requires spending their money on foreign interventions and alliances. But it worried traditional allies in capitals like Paris and Berlin. In London, the special relationship between Trump and Prime Minister Boris Johnson quelled such fears. Britain’s exit from the European Union fortifies this reassurance, as it allows for a stronger unilateral US-British relationship.
“I’m a Berliner,” the phrase John F. Kennedy uttered 60 years ago at the square that bears his name in the German capital, has become nothing more than a memory. Kennedy was promoting reunification in repudiation of the wall that divided Berlin at the time. Today, Norbert Rottgen, the head of the foreign affairs committee in the German Bundestag and the favorite to succeed Angela Merkel next year, looks back on Kennedy’s words with some sorrow. He does not find that Germany has received the support it expects from its traditional ally. Rottgen says that over Trump’s four-year tenure, Washington has radically reexamined everything, NATO’s survival, US foreign policy stability... These transformations are unlike anything we have seen since the Second World War.
The Germans and the other Europeans, like the rest of the world’s inhabitants, await the announcement of US election results on next month’s fourth morning. They are all dreaming of the arrival of a president who will fulfill their dreams and advance their interests; nothing more clearly demonstrates that the president who wins at the ballot box will not merely become the president of the US and the American citizens who elected him. He will be the president of those who have no vote and play no role in his election. He will be the president of the “Global Village.”