English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For November 14/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.november14.20.htm

News Bulletin Achieves Since 2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006

 

Bible Quotations For today
I tell you, the one who believes in me will also do the works that I do and, in fact, will do greater works than these, because I am going to the Father.I will do whatever you ask in my name, so that the Father may be glorified in the Son
John 14/08-14: “Philip said to him, ‘Lord, show us the Father, and we will be satisfied.’Jesus said to him, ‘Have I been with you all this time, Philip, and you still do not know me? Whoever has seen me has seen the Father. How can you say, “Show us the Father”? Do you not believe that I am in the Father and the Father is in me? The words that I say to you I do not speak on my own; but the Father who dwells in me does his works. Believe me that I am in the Father and the Father is in me; but if you do not, then believe me because of the works themselves. Very truly, I tell you, the one who believes in me will also do the works that I do and, in fact, will do greater works than these, because I am going to the Father.I will do whatever you ask in my name, so that the Father may be glorified in the Son. If in my name you ask me for anything, I will do it.”


Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on November 13-14/2020

Guila Fakhoury/My Dad Amer Fakhoury Was Assassinated by Hezbollah and the Lebanese government
MoPH: 1904 coronavirus cases, 21 deaths
US dollar exchange rate: Buying price at LBP 3850, selling price at LBP 3900
President Aoun discusses path of border demarcation negotiations and implementation of Resolution 1701 with Kubis
Diab affirms right to access "student dollar" as per Parliament-approved law
Diab: Lockdown aimed at avoiding the collapse of the health system
100 Days after Beirut Port Blast, Families of Victims Await Answers
Shea Says U.S. Still Supporting Lebanon, Pressuring Hizbullah
Families of Port Victims Meet Berri after Ain el-Tineh Sit-in
Report: U.S. Intervention Expected to Ease Border Demarcation Snag
Msharrafieh: Lebanon’s Refugee Plan Adopted at Damascus Conference
U.S. Ambassador Meets Arslan in Khalde
Hariri Calls Bahrain Leaders to Offer Condolences
Army Clarifies Why a U.S. Military Jet Has Landed in Riyaq
MP Says FPM to Challenge U.S. Sanctions against its Leader
Nissan's $95 Million Suit against Ghosn Begins in Japan
France urges speedy government formation in Lebanon/Najia Houssari/Arab News/.November 13/2020

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on
November 13-14/2020

US Election: Biden to get 306 Electoral College votes against Trump’s 232
Biden Wins Arizona, Cementing U.S. Election Lead
Trump Emerges from Election Gloom to Hold Rare Work Meeting
France to Urge U.S. to Remain in Afghanistan and Iraq
Moroccan army launches operation in Western Sahara border zone
Polisario Says WSahara Ceasefire over as Rabat Launches Operation
France Marks 5 Years since Deadly Attacks on Bataclan, Cafes
Saudi Crown Prince Vows 'Iron Fist' against Extremists after Attack
More than 10 Dead after India-Pakistan Kashmir ClashBahrain buries Prince Khalifa, world’s longest serving prime minister
Twelve killed, 36 wounded as India, Pakistan forces trade fire in disputed Kashmir

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 13-14/2020

Question: "How is Jesus our Sabbath Rest?"/GotQuestions.org/November 13/2020
For as long as there have been people, there have been losers/Justin Marozzi/The National/November 13/2020
US envoy on Iran: Any deal with Tehran must see hostages freed/Robert Tollast/The National/November 13/2020
Svante Cornell on the Armenian-Azerbaijan Conflict/Marilyn Stern/Middle East Forum Webinar/November 12, 2020
Arabs: “Westerners Must Stop Appeasing Islamists”/Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute./November 13/2020
Erdogan increasingly governing on borrowed time/Dr. John C. Hulsman/Arab News/November 13/2020
Iran the big loser in Nagorno-Karabakh war/Luke Coffey/Arab News/November 13/2020
US criticism of religious freedom in Turkey stirs debate/Menekse Takyay/Arab News/November 13/2020
The US Elections: An Episode in a Cultural War/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/November 13/2020
Is Stephanie Williams hyping up the progress of Libyan talks in Tunis?/Jemai Guesmi/The Arab Weekly/November 13/2020

 

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on November 13-14/2020

Guila Fakhoury/My Dad Amer Fakhoury Was Assassinated by Hezbollah and the Lebanese government

https://www.facebook.com/FakhouryFoundation/
November 12/2020
Today marks the day my dad was taken by Hezbollah. Today marks the start of Amer Fakhoury’s assassination by Hezbollah and the Lebanese government. We will not let them win and kill another US citizen, today we mark it as the birth of the Amer Fakhoury Foundation.

 

MoPH: 1904 coronavirus cases, 21 deaths
NNA/November 13/2020
The Ministry of Public Health announced on Friday 1904 new Coronavirus infections and 21 deaths across the past 24 hours.

US dollar exchange rate: Buying price at LBP 3850, selling price at LBP 3900
NNA/November 13/2020
The Money Changers Syndicate announced in a statement addressed to money changing companies and institutions, Friday’s USD exchange rate against the Lebanese pound as follows:
Buying price at a minimum of LBP 3850
Selling price at a maximum of LBP 3900

President Aoun discusses path of border demarcation negotiations and implementation of Resolution 1701 with Kubis
NNA/November 13/2020
The President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, received UN Special Coordinator in Lebanon, Mr. Jan Kubis, today at the Presidential Palace, and discussed with him the general conditions and the course of negotiations to demarcate the southern maritime borders in light of the deliberations of the meeting held last Wednesday at UN headquarters at Naqoura. The discussion also tackled the periodic report that Mr. Kubis intends to present to the Security Council on the implementation of Resolution 1701.
Developments of the file for the formation of the new government, and the issue of the US sanctions imposed on a number of Lebanese politicians were also under discussion.
President Aoun offered his condolences to the peacekeeping forces in Sinaa, who died due to a helicopter crash which they were traveling in due to a technical failure.
Internationally, the meeting was attended by Mr. Kubis, Head of the Political Unit, Mrs. Saskia Raming and Ms. Lina Al-Kidwa.
On the Lebanese side, former Minister Salim Jreissati, the Director General of the Presidency of the Republic, Dr. Antoine Choucair, and Advisor, Osama Khashab attended.
MP Nicolas Sehnaoui:
President Aoun also met MP, Nicolas Sehnaoui, and discussed with him current internal developments, the issue of rebuilding the areas that were damaged as a result of the port explosion, and the process of distributing compensations to the affected.
MP Sehnaoui said that President Aoun is working to secure an amount of 150 billion pounds in addition to the 100 billion pounds that he previously secured, in order to facilitate the process of returning the affected to their homes as fast as possible.
Condolences to the Prime Minister of Bahrain and Oreiqat:
In addition, President Aoun telegraphed to the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, condoling the death of the Prime Minister, Prince Khalifa bin Suleiman Al Khalifa The President also telegrammed to the Palestinian President, Mahmoud Abbas, condoling the death of the late Saeb Oreiqat. Presidency Press Office


Diab affirms right to access "student dollar" as per Parliament-approved law
NNA/November 13/2020
Caretaker Prime Minister, Hassan Diab, affirmed that the families of students who are pursuing their studies abroad have the right to access the "student dollar" based on the law approved by the Parliament. PM Diab stated that evading the application of this law entails legal responsibilities for the party that refuses to implement it, for it causes great damage to the students' parents and the students themselves.Premier Diab called for the immediate implementation of this law. -- Presidency of the Council of Ministers Press Office

Diab: Lockdown aimed at avoiding the collapse of the health system
NNA/November 13/2020
Caretaker Prime Minister, Hassan Diab, delivered Friday the following message:
“Good evening,
Tomorrow, the country will begin a nationwide lockdown aimed at avoiding the collapse of the health system and protecting ourselves and our people.
The lockdown is not a solution per se. It is an opportunity to raise the country's health sector preparedness in light of the dramatic surge in coronavirus infections over the past weeks.
Who did not begin to feel that this pandemic will be knocking at every door? The majority of patients won the battle against the virus, but they went through hard times.
The consequence and reaction to the coronavirus hitting a father, a mother, or any member of the family are unimaginable.
The feeling of losing a dear one without being there for a final goodbye leaves us with a deep wound and profound sadness.
Many people have criticized the lockdown decision. I certainly understand them and I am aware of their economic suffering. We are hearing feedback from many sources. Lebanon's status is similar to that of other countries around the world, where the authorities have to trade-off between the economy and our health and lives.
Personally, I choose life and health over the economy, and this is definitely your choice too, for the economy becomes meaningless if we lose our lives.
We are working hard to get the vaccines that would protect us from this pandemic as soon as possible.
It is true that this pandemic is still beyond the ability of states to cope with it, but protecting ourselves from the virus is not difficult at all.
We are only required to ensure self-protection:
Wearing a mask, washing hands frequently, and disinfecting the objects we use.
Can we do this?
Can we spare ourselves and our families this suffering?
We can certainly do that.
The Lebanese people’s unwavering tenacity will enable them to stand up to the challenges.
This outbreak is not tougher than the one we have experienced.
All government measures will not work unless the Lebanese adhere to wearing masks and disinfecting, and observe social distancing.
Is it difficult to do so?
Of course not...
I am confident that if we commit ourselves to safety measures, we will be among the first countries to have triumphed over the pandemic, just as we were in the first wave.
I call on every Lebanese citizen and resident, male and female alike: take care of yourselves so that you can protect your family ... and so that things can return to normal.
God bless you!” -----Grand Serail Press Office

100 Days after Beirut Port Blast, Families of Victims Await Answers
Beirut - Youssef Diab/Asharq Al Awsat/November 13/2020
One hundred days after the devastating explosion at Beirut Port, which left 200 people dead, more than 5,000 injured and thousands of families without shelter, the relatives of the victims await answers on those responsible for the disaster. Faced with this bleak reality, the relevant judicial authorities presented a different approach, stressing that the investigator, Judge Fadi Sawan, was close to identifying the culprits. In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, a senior judicial source said that Sawan took very important and difficult decisions that led to the arrest of 25 persons, including the Director General of Lebanese Customs, Badri Daher, former Customs chief Chafik Merhi, the director of Beirut Port, Hassan Qraitem, head of Land and Maritime Transport Abdel-Hafiz al-Qaisi, and the port’s security official, Brigadier General in Army Intelligence, Tony Salloum, in addition to senior personnel at the port.
Sawan also heard the testimonies of 53 witnesses, including the current and former ministers of public works, finance and justice, and current and former heads of security services. The judicial sources explained that the investigation has followed two paths: “The first related to allowing the ammonium nitrate shipment to be stored at the port for seven years; and the second on whether the explosion was the result of failure and error or was a premeditated terrorist or security attack.”The sources noted that the US Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) has estimated in its report the volume of explosive materials at 552 tons out of 2,750 tons that were stored in warehouse No.12, which left 16 km of radial damage. The US report seemed to rule out a terrorist act. The Lebanese judiciary is counting on the French experts’ report, which is yet to be submitted, according to the judicial sources.
They noted that the French report “will be detailed in terms of determining the causes of the explosion, since the French explosives experts worked for a longer period of time, and undertook a comprehensive survey of the Beirut Port, the destroyed buildings and facilities, as well as the sea.”
The head of the Beirut Bar Association, Melhem Khalaf, who filed lawsuits on behalf of 664 victims, expressed concern over interference in the judiciary’s work to keep high-ranking state officials away from prosecution. In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Khalaf said: “This is an opportunity for the judiciary to regain self-confidence, restore people’s trust, and be free from any (political) pressure.”

Shea Says U.S. Still Supporting Lebanon, Pressuring Hizbullah
Naharnet/November 12/2020
 U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy Shea said Friday that her country is still following the policy of pressuring Hizbullah, while noting that Washington has not ceased its support for Lebanon. “We have not done yet as the Gulf states did in moving away from Lebanon and not supporting it,” MTV quoted Shea as saying. As for the latest U.S. sanctions on Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil, Shea reportedly said: “Through his relationship with Hizbullah, Bassil covers the party's weapons while Hizbullah covers his corruption.” “We did not support the last government because it was formed by Hizbullah, but we stood by the Lebanese people and we will see what the next government will look like to determine our position,” Shea added, according to MTV. “We will insist on our positions, and if we do not do that, they will return to corruption; no one will help them at all unless we see progress step by step, and there will be nothing free from now on,” she went on to say. As for the coronavirus crisis in Lebanon and the pro-Hizbullah caretaker health minister, Shea said: “Our condition to help Lebanon confront the coronavirus was to move away from the Health Ministry because the Health Minister is close to Hizbullah and to deal with friendly and reliable institutions, such as AUB and the Lebanese Army.”

 

Families of Port Victims Meet Berri after Ain el-Tineh Sit-in
Naharnet/November 12/2020
Relatives of victims killed in the Beirut port blast on Friday staged a sit-in outside Speaker Nabih Berri’s headquarters in Ain el-Tineh, demanding that he hold an extraordinary session to grant the families compensations similar to those granted to the families of the army’s fallen soldiers.
They also called on citizens to join their demos in order to fulfill the demands and unveil the investigation’s developments. Berri later met with a delegation representing the demonstrators and reassured that he will “endorse the cause of the martyrs and the wounded of the port blast at all levels, especially at the legislative level.” “The least amount of loyalty to the martyrs of the port and the rest of those affected would be passing legislation that does them justice, closes their wounds and rebuilds and repairs what was destroyed by the explosion,” the Speaker added.
The catastrophic August 4 blast killed around 200 people and wounded more than 6,500 others. It also devastated swathes of the capital and displaced around 300,000 people.

Report: U.S. Intervention Expected to Ease Border Demarcation Snag
Agence France Presse/November 12/2020
The upcoming fifth round of maritime demarcation talks between Lebanon and Israel reportedly awaits the intervention of the U.S. mediator to solve some hurdles arising during their latest meeting, the Saudi Asharq el-Awsat reported Friday. On Wednesday, Lebanon and Israel held their fourth maritime border talks to allow for offshore hydrocarbon exploration. The Israeli delegation has reportedly presented a “provocative proposal" showing a new map that cuts off additional parts of the Lebanese economic waters, in response to a map presented by the Lebanese delegation, declaring Lebanon's right to parts of the Israeli "Karish" energy field, said the daily. The fourth session of indirect negotiations that took place at the UNIFIL headquarters in Ras el-Naqoura under US and UN auspices was described as “tense,” according to a Lebanese source close to the negotiations. The Israeli delegation “raised new demands not based on any legal order, in response to the maps, documents, legal, topographical, historical and geographical evidence presented by Lebanon in the second session,” a source told the daily on condition of anonymity. In an earlier session, Lebanon presented new maps rectifying the previous positions course, demanding an additional area of 1,430 square kilometres further south. The additional area extends into part of the Karish gas field which Israel has assigned to Greek firm Energean for exploration. Meanwhile, the Jewish state has reportedly demanded the sea frontier be moved further north, deeper into areas claimed by Lebanon. A source who spoke on condition of anonymity, told the daily that “the talks were strained, given that the Lebanese delegation basis its maps on the law of the sea, while the Israeli side does not rely on anything legal,” he said, refusing to provide additional information in commitment to an agreement to keep the details of the negotiations undisclosed. “It is normal to engage in horsetrading, it is expected, but Lebanon is negotiating from a position of strength, and adheres to its full rights under international law,” he concluded.

Msharrafieh: Lebanon’s Refugee Plan Adopted at Damascus Conference
Naharnet/November 12/2020
Caretaker Minister of Social Affairs Ramzi Msharrafieh announced Friday that the Lebanese government’s plan to repatriate Syrian refugees back home was adopted at this week’s Damascus conference on the displaced. He said a time frame for the return of refugees is set to be approved in coming meetings. “The refugee conference in Damascus adopted the Lebanese government's plan in this regard, and this plan was presented to the Russian delegation and to the concerned persons in Syria,” said Msharrafieh. In televised remarks on LBCI, he said that Lebanon has the “highest refugee density in the world, reaching to one third of Lebanon's population amid a crunching economic and health situation.” He said the issue is being tackled from a humanitarian perspective away from politics, noting that "Syria provided shelters for the displaced persons.”Msharrafieh stressed that “the exodus from Syria was a result of a security situation rather than political,” noting that a time frame will be set for the return of the displaced." Syria's government kicked off a two-day Russia-backed conference in Damascus Wednesday towards facilitating the return of millions of Syrian refugees to the war-torn country, despite reservations within the international community. Of neighboring countries hosting the bulk of Syrian refugees, only Lebanon and Iraq sent representatives, according to organizers. Neighboring Turkey hosts the highest number of Syrian refugees, followed by Lebanon and Jordan

U.S. Ambassador Meets Arslan in Khalde
Naharnet/November 12/2020
Lebanese Democratic Party leader MP Talal Arslan held talks Friday with U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy Shea at his residence in Khalde.The ambassador was accompanied by the embassy’s adviser Fadi Hafez. The National News Agency said the talks tackled “the latest local and regional political developments.”The visit comes after a row between Shea and Arslan’s ally Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil over the latest U.S. sanctions against the latter.

Hariri Calls Bahrain Leaders to Offer Condolences
Naharnet/November 12/2020
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri on Friday contacted the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Issa Al Khalifa, and the Crown Prince and Prime Minister, Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, to express his condolences on the passing of Sheikh Khalifa bin Salman Al Khalifa, the late prime minister.
During the phone call with the Bahraini King, Hariri emphasized "the depth of the historic relations between Lebanon and Bahrain," a statement released by Hariri's press office said.

Army Clarifies Why a U.S. Military Jet Has Landed in Riyaq
Naharnet/November 12/2020
The Lebanese Army on Friday clarified why a U.S. military plane has landed at the Riyaq military airport in the Bekaa. “A newspaper and some websites have circulated a report about the arrival of a U.S. military plane to the Riyaq airport to carry American journalist Austin Tice,” an army statement said. Freelance journalist Tice, 39, vanished Aug. 14, 2012 after he got into a car in the Damascus suburb of Daraya to make a trip to Lebanon and was detained at a regime checkpoint. The army statement clarified that the U.S. military plane had been on a routine mission and that it had carried a U.S. team that will train some Lebanese military units. The plane “ended its mission and departed without carrying the journalist Tice, contrary to what has been reported,” the statement said.

MP Says FPM to Challenge U.S. Sanctions against its Leader
Naharnet/November 12/2020
Free Patriotic Movement MP Cesar Abi Khalil said Friday that the party’s lawyers will challenge before US courts the recent sanctions imposed against its leader, Jebran Bassil. “The FPM has its own rules of procedure. Bassil assumed the party’s leadership and will remain head as long as he is elected,” said Abi Khalil in televised remarks on LBCI TV station. Khalil said the batch of “sanctions have drawn a wave of popular sympathy with Bassil and the party.”Last week, the US Treasury announced sanctions against former energy and foreign affairs minister Jebran Bassil, accusing him of corruption involving billions of dollars that has left the economy in a shambles. On the stalled government formation which many blame on the FPM leader, the MP said: “The party continues to facilitate the process to the utmost level,” noting that when “unified standards are adopted in the formation process, a cabinet can be formed in 3 hours.”

Nissan's $95 Million Suit against Ghosn Begins in Japan
Associated Press/November 12/2020
Proceedings in a $95 million lawsuit brought by Japanese car giant Nissan against its former chairman Carlos Ghosn began Friday in a court near Tokyo. Nissan filed the suit against Ghosn in February and is seeking 10 billion yen over what it said were "years of his misconduct and fraudulent activity". Ghosn is an international fugitive after jumping bail last year and fleeing Japan, where he was awaiting trial on charges of financial misconduct, which he denies. Nissan says the suit is aimed at "holding Ghosn accountable for the harm and financial losses incurred by the company due to the misconduct". In a statement, Ghosn said the civil lawsuit was an extension of "the extremely unreasonable internal investigation with sinister intent by a portion of Nissan's senior management and the unreasonable arrests and indictments by the public prosecutors". He said his Japanese defence team, which is representing him in his absence, "will show that the suspicions of wrongfulness and charges... have absolutely no foundation". Ghosn spent more than 100 days in detention in Japan after his sudden November 2018 arrest, but launched an audacious escape while out on bail in Tokyo, arriving in Lebanon apparently undetected. He alleges Nissan turned on him over concerns he wanted to more closely integrate the automaker with French partner Renault. Renault has also filed a civil claim for damages against Ghosn over alleged financial misconduct. Ghosn's former aide Greg Kelly remains in Japan and pleaded not guilty to allegations of financial misconduct at his first court hearing in Tokyo in September. Two men accused of helping Ghosn flee Tokyo are currently being held in the United States, where they are fighting extradition to Japan.

France urges speedy government formation in Lebanon
Najia Houssari/Arab News/.November 13/2020
Durel said: “France will keep providing urgent assistance to Lebanon in several fields, especially education”
Macron’s rescue initiative has not led to the formation of a government yet, three months after its launch
BEIRUT: France urged Lebanon to “speed up the formation of an efficient government, accepted by all political parties” to enact badly needed reform and provide proper leadership amid tensions and a severe economic crisis. The adviser to the French president for the affairs of the Middle East and North Africa, Patrick Durel, held a series of meetings on Thursday and Friday, with officials and the heads of the eight parliamentary blocs, including the representative of Hezbollah, Mohammed Raad, and the leader of the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), Gebran Bassil.
French President Emmanuel Macron had previously met with these figures at the Pine Palace during his two visits to Beirut in the wake of the explosion at the Port of Beirut on Aug. 4 and again on Sept. 1.During his meeting with President Michel Aoun on Thursday, Durel said: “France will keep providing urgent assistance to Lebanon in several fields, especially education.”He said: “The international community’s fulfilment of its obligations toward Lebanon is linked to the implementation of reforms.”
Macron’s rescue initiative for Lebanon has not led to the formation of a government yet, three months after its launch. Then prime minister-designate, Mustafa Adib, apologized on Sept. 26 for his inability to form a government. His successor, Saad Hariri, is still facing formation obstacles since his designation on Oct. 22.Pessimism over the possibility of resolving the stalemate is rising amid ongoing disagreement over the government’s form, the number of portfolios and the names of the ministers, in light of the FPM’s inflexibility, Hezbollah and the Amal movement’s position on the finance portfolio, and the objection of Hezbollah’s allies for not having the party represented in the next government. US sanctions against Bassil, on the grounds of corruption charges, have increased his supporters’ intransigence. Aoun’s office said he assured the French envoy that “Lebanon adheres to the French initiative for the benefit of Lebanon,” but stressed the need for “a broad national consensus to form a government that can achieve the required tasks, in cooperation with parliament, to pass necessary reform laws.”A spokesperson continued that Aoun complained to Durel: “The financial forensic auditing process in the accounts of the Lebanese Central Bank, which is considered one of the foundations of these reforms, is facing many obstacles” adding that “a three-months extension has been made for Alvarez & Marsal to secure what facilitates its mission.”The president added that “the US sanctions targeting Lebanese politicians (has) made matters more complicated,” suggesting “conducting a broad national consultation at this delicate stage so that the authorship comes in line with the French initiative.”
Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri described the meeting with the French envoy as “good.”
Berri reiterated to Macron’s adviser his adherence to “the French initiative and the necessity to implement reforms, especially in the field of energy and fighting corruption.” He added that “creating a government whose ministers are specialists and have the parliament’s confidence is the only means for Lebanon’s salvation.”Hariri has so far refused to go into any details related to the formation of the government and the obstacles he is facing. His media adviser, Hussein Al-Wajh, told Arab News: “Any statement or analysis regarding the fate of the government issued by any party is a personal opinion and Hariri has nothing to do with it.”The French envoy’s visit was accompanied by questions about whether he wanted to convey a final warning to the politicians who backed away from their commitments to Macron and inform them of the possibility of postponing the international conference in support of Lebanon, which France promised to organize by the end of this month. The immediate outcome of Durel’s visit did not show signs of a rapid breakthrough, to stir the stagnant waters of the French initiative. Durel reiterated: “The French initiative is the only valid option on the table to save Lebanon, otherwise the cost will be much worse than what is happening now, if the time factor is ignored.”According to what a participant in the French envoy’s meetings with party leaders told Arab News, Durel stressed “the French side’s adherence to a government of specialists and not partisans, that has acquired broad internal consensus.”


The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on November 13-14/2020

US Election: Biden to get 306 Electoral College votes against Trump’s 232
Joseph Haboush, Al Arabiya English/November 13/20
President-elect Joe Biden garnered 306 Electoral College votes versus President Donald Trump’s 232, US media outlets reported Friday. The final tally came after Trump was declared the winner of North Carolina’s 15 electoral votes and Biden won Georgia with 16 more electoral votes. A presidential candidate must get 270 electoral votes to be declared the winner. This year’s highly anticipated presidential election was the center of controversy after Trump claimed voter fraud and Democrats quickly gained leads in states after mail-in ballots flooded vote counting centers. Read more: US elections: How the American president is elected, not by the people. However, senior US officials and election board supervisors downplayed Trump’s claims. Lawsuits brought forth by the Trump campaign are still being played out in court and will be over the next few weeks. Some of the lawsuits have already been thrown out or rejected by US courts. Trump has yet to concede defeat although tens of international leaders and heads of states have contacted Biden to congratulate him. Biden has already appointed his soon-to-be White House chief-of-staff and his transition team is getting coronavirus briefings.It has been reported the White House officials have so far not contacted Biden or his team to provide them with classified briefings on national security, which is customary during a transition period.

Biden Wins Arizona, Cementing U.S. Election Lead
Agence France Presse/November 13/2020
Joe Biden has won the state of Arizona, US networks said late Thursday, further cementing his lead in the Electoral College and flipping the state Democratic for the first time since 1996. NBC, CBS, ABC and CNN declared Biden the winner in the tight race with a lead of more than 11,000 ballots, giving him the state's 11 electoral votes. Fox News and The Associated Press called the race in the southwestern state in Biden's favor on Election Night, triggering the wrath of president Donald Trump, but the other outlets held off on declaring a winner until after nine days of ballot counting. Arizona gives Biden a 290-217 lead over Trump in the Electoral College that ultimately decides the presidency, with 270 needed to win the White House. Despite Biden being declared winner of the election on Saturday, Trump has refused to concede and continues to make baseless claims of election fraud. Races in North Carolina and Georgia have yet to be called. Bill Clinton was the last Democrat to win Arizona in a race for the White House.

Trump Emerges from Election Gloom to Hold Rare Work Meeting
Agence France Presse/November 13/2020
U.S. President Donald Trump, who has largely vanished from public view since his election defeat, was to emerge Friday for a White House meeting on the Covid-19 vaccine drive. For 10 days the Republican has been consumed by his pursuit of a conspiracy theory that Democrat Joe Biden won through massive ballot rigging. Despite his own intelligence officials' declaration Thursday that the November 3 election was "the most secure in American history," Trump and his right-wing media allies show no sign of giving up their crusade. "Biden did not win, he lost by a lot!" Trump asserted falsely again late Thursday while tweeting commentary on the Fox News evening show starring his booster Sean Hannity. Trump has been tweeting day and often night on the unproven fraud claims. But he has been absent from his normal presidential duties and notably silent about dramatically soaring coronavirus infection rates around the country and steadily rising deaths. Friday's midday (1700 GMT) work session was marked as an "update" on Operation Warp Speed, the government partnership with pharmaceutical companies to create and distribute a vaccine. The closed meeting marked a rare change in the president's public daily schedule which has mostly been empty since the election. He has gone more than a week now without speaking in public or taking questions from journalists.
- Split reality -
Trump and his senior aides are living increasingly in a split reality.
Despite a healthy majority of ballots tallied for Biden and days of failed attempts by Trump lawyers to present proof of significant irregularities, White House trade advisor Peter Navarro told Fox Business on Friday that his side remained convinced of victory.
"We think he won that election," he said. "We are moving forward here at the White House under the assumption that there will be a second Trump term."Biden, meanwhile, is steadily preparing to take over on January 20 and the list of world leaders accepting that he will be the new president keeps lengthening. China was the latest nation on board, with a foreign ministry spokesman saying "we express our congratulations." However, Biden's newly appointed chief of staff, Ron Klain, told MSNBC late Thursday that moves by Trump to block the incoming administration from access to confidential government briefings posed a growing risk. Klain highlighted the inability to join in on preparations for rolling out the Covid vaccine in "February and March when Joe Biden will be president.""The sooner we can get our transition experts into meetings with the folks who are planning the vaccination campaign the more seamless," he said. Top Republicans remain outwardly loyal to Trump, but there appears to be widening discomfort within the party over the blocking of Biden's transition team. Senator James Lankford told Tulsa Radio KRMG earlier this week that he was giving Trump until Friday to allow Biden access to the daily presidential intelligence briefing or "I will step in." John Bolton, a former national security advisor under Trump and a popular figure on the hawkish foreign policy wing of the Republican Party, said his side has to "acknowledge the reality that Biden is the president-elect."
"They may not like it but the country deserves to give him the preparation he needs," he told NPR radio Friday. Since the election, Trump has only left the White House to play golf twice and to attend a brief Memorial Day ceremony at Arlington National Cemetery.

France to Urge U.S. to Remain in Afghanistan and Iraq
Agence France Presse/November 13/2020
The French government will tell Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who is preparing for a visit to Paris, that the US should not pull its troops out of Afghanistan or Iraq, Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian said Friday.
Asked in a televised interview to react to outgoing President Donald Trump's reported plans to hasten a US withdrawal from Afghanistan, Le Drian said "We don't think that should happen. We will also say that it shouldn't happen in Iraq, either." According to political and diplomatic sources, Pompeo issued an ultimatum in September that all US personnel would leave Iraq unless the government puts a stop to a rash of attacks against them. Le Drian said the Iraq situation was on the agenda for talks with Pompeo, as was Iran, terrorism, the Middle East and relations with China. Trump said in October that he wanted all US troops home from Afghanistan "by Christmas", December 25. That promise was followed by clarification attempts by high-ranking officials, including national security advisor Robert O'Brien who said that troop numbers in Afghanistan would be cut to around 2,500 in early 2021. Pompeo will see President Emmanuel Macron on Monday in a meeting that will be conducted "in complete transparency towards the team of president-elect Joe Biden", Macron's office said. Pompeo's visit to France will be the start of an international tour that will see him travel to Turkey, Georgia, Israel, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Saudi Arabia from November 13–23.

 

Moroccan army launches operation in Western Sahara border zone
Reuters/November 13/2020
RABAT: Morocco announced Friday that its troops had launched an operation in no man's land on the southern border of the Western Sahara to end "provocations" by the pro-independence Polisario Front. Rabat said its troops would "put a stop to the blockade" of trucks travelling between Moroccan-controlled areas of the disputed territory and neighbouring Mauritania, and "restore free circulation of civilian and commercial traffic." In response, the Polisario Front said the three-decade-old ceasefire in the disupted Western Sahara was over . "War has started, the Moroccan side has liquidated the ceasefire," senior Polisario official Mohamed Salem Ould Salek told AFP, decribing the action by Rabat as an "aggression". "Sahrawi troops are engaged in legitimate self-defence and are responding to the Moroccan troops," said Ould Salek, who serves as foreign minister of the Polisario-declared Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic. Pro-Polisario protesters have for weeks blocked the road where it passes through a UN-monitored buffer zone near the Mauritanian border after a UN Security Council resolution that included language seen as favourable to Morocco. In a statement the Foreign Ministry said Morocco “had no other choice but to assume its responsibilities in order to put an end to the blockade ... and restore the free flow of civilian and commercial traffic”. Morocco took over the desert territory in 1975 when Spanish rule there ended and considers the phosphate-rich region part of its own country.
The Algeria-backed Polisario movement seeks independence for Western Sahara. Last month the UN Security Council passed resolution 2548 which called for a “realistic, practicable and enduring solution... based on compromise”. That language was widely seen as calling into doubt any referendum on the territory’s future - a goal long sought by the Polisario and backed by the United Nations in 1991.

Polisario Says WSahara Ceasefire over as Rabat Launches Operation
Agence France Presse/November 13/2020
The pro-independence Polisario Front declared a three-decade-old ceasefire in the disputed Western Sahara was over on Friday after Morocco launched an operation to reopen the road to neighbouring Mauritania.Rabat said its troops would "put a stop to the blockade" of trucks travelling between Moroccan-controlled areas of the Western Sahara and Mauritania, and "restore free circulation of civilian and commercial traffic."The Polisario, which had warned on Monday that the 1991 ceasefire was hanging by a thread, said the move by the Moroccan military had brought it to an end. "War has started, the Moroccan side has liquidated the ceasefire," senior Polisario official Mohamed Salem Ould Salek told AFP, describing the action by Rabat as an "aggression". "Sahrawi troops are engaged in legitimate self-defence and are responding to the Moroccan troops," said Ould Salek, who serves as foreign minister of the Polisario-declared Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic. The Moroccan foreign ministry said it had been forced to act by the actions of Polisario fighters in no-man's land on the Mauritanian border. "The Polisario and its militias, who have infiltrated the zone since October 21, have been carrying out acts of banditry, blocking traffic and continually harassing MINURSO military observers," a ministry statement said. Foreign Minister Nasser Bourita insisted the action being taken was a measured response and had not affected any civilians. "This is not an offensive action, it is a firm action compared to the action (by the other side) which is unacceptable," Bourita told AFP.
A senior ministry official contacted by AFP said that for some three weeks, around 70 armed men had been "attacking truck drivers, blocking their passage and engaging in extortion."Currently, 108 truck drivers with vehicles from different countries including France, Morocco and Mauritania, are stranded on the Mauritanian side of the border and 78 on the other side, the official said. In a joint statement issued on November 5, the stranded truck drivers appealed to both Rabat and Nouakchott for help returning home after Polisario fighters blocked their passage. Western Sahara, a vast swathe of desert on Africa's Atlantic coast, is a disputed former Spanish colony. Rabat controls 80 percent of the territory, including its phosphate deposits and its lucrative ocean fisheries. The Polisario's forces are largely confined to the sparsely populated desert interior and refugee camps in neighbouring Algeria, the independence group's main foreign backer.
- 'Vigorous response' -
Peacekeeping force MINURSO has patrolled a buffer zone between the two sides since a UN-brokered ceasefire took effect in 1991.
The village of Guergerat in the far south of the Western Sahara is the last village under Moroccan control. Beyond it is a strip of desert where Polisario fighters have maintained a periodic presence in recent years. An informal trade has grown up exporting Moroccan fresh produce to the Mauritanian coastal city of Nouadhibou, but to the growing anger of Rabat it has periodically fallen foul of the Polisario. In its statement on Monday the group, which has campaigned for independence since the last days of Spanish rule in the 1970s, warned it would "respond vigorously in self-defence and to defend its national sovereignty" in the event of any Moroccan incursion. "This will also mean the end of the ceasefire and the beginning of a new war across the region," the statement added. Morocco, which maintains that Western Sahara is an integral part of the kingdom, has offered autonomy for the territory but insists it will retain sovereignty. The Polisario demands a referendum on self-determination as set out in the 1991 ceasefire. The planned referendum has been repeatedly postponed due to disputes between Rabat and the Polisario over voter rolls and the question to be put. Negotiations on the territory's future involving Morocco, the Polisario, Algeria and Mauritania have been suspended for several months.

 

France Marks 5 Years since Deadly Attacks on Bataclan, Cafes
Associated Press/November 13/2020
In silence and mourning, France marked five years since 130 people were killed by Islamic State extremists who targeted the Bataclan concert hall, Paris cafes and the national stadium in a series of coordinated attacks. It was France's deadliest peacetime attack, deeply shaking the nation. It led to intensified French military action against extremists abroad and a security crackdown at home. Five years later, Prime Minister Jean Castex was leading silent ceremonies Friday at the multiple sites targeted by coordinated attackers around the French capital on Nov. 13, 2015: the Stade de France in the Paris suburb of Saint-Denis, the Bataclan, and five cafes in eastern Paris where gunfire shattered the balmy Friday night. The public could not join this year's commemorations because of France's partial virus lockdown. The ceremonies came as France is again under high alert for terrorist attacks after three Islamic extremist attacks since September have killed four people.

Saudi Crown Prince Vows 'Iron Fist' against Extremists after Attack
Agence France Presse/November 13/2020
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman pledged Thursday to strike extremists with an "iron fist", after a bombing against a gathering of diplomats was claimed by the Islamic State group. "We will continue to strike with an iron fist against all those who want to harm our security and stability," Prince Mohammed said in an address to the Shura Council, the top government advisory body, a day after Wednesday's attack in the Red Sea port of Jeddah.

More than 10 Dead after India-Pakistan Kashmir Clash
Agence France Presse/November 13/2020
Indian and Pakistani forces on Friday waged their biggest artillery battle in several months leaving more than 10 dead and dozens wounded either side of their disputed Kashmir frontier, officials said. At least five separate clashes -- involving shelling and gunfire -- were reported along the 740-kilometre (460-mile) ceasefire line that has separated the nuclear-armed rivals for the past seven decades, officials from the two sides said. Hundreds of villagers were moved away from the so-called Line of Control (LoC) in Indian-controlled territory, while Pakistani officials said dozens of homes were set ablaze by Indian shelling on their side. The new peak in tensions came only five days after three Indian soldiers and three militants were killed in an exchange along the LoC. India is also involved in a border showdown with the Chinese army in the Himalayas. The latest fighting erupted on Friday morning and shells were still being fired into the night, according to residents. The two sides each accused the other of launching "unprovoked" attacks. "Pakistan used mortars and other weapons" and "deliberately targeted civilian areas", said an Indian army statement. Three Indian soldiers were killed and three wounded in the Keran sector of the frontier. Kashmir police said three civilians were killed and at least three suffered serious injuries, with one man losing both legs. On the other side of the border, Raja Farooq Haider, senior minister in Pakistani Kashmir, said five people were killed and 31 wounded in the intense shelling on the Neelum and Jhelum valleys.
"For how long we have to bear such colossal losses?" he said in a Twitter message directed at Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan. A senior local official in Neelum, Raja Shahid Mehmood, confirmed the casualties and said the shelling was continuing late Friday.
Indian officers said the fighting was sparked when militants tried to cross into Indian-controlled territory at the northern end of the LoC. Indian troops "retaliated strongly causing substantial damage to the Pakistan army's infrastructure and casualties," said the military statement adding that ammunition dumps and forward bases had been hit. The two sides regularly stage artillery duels across the LoC, and invariably blame each other for the clashes. Kashmir has been divided between the two countries since their angry separation in 1947. It has been a cause of two of their three wars since then. Both countries claim the whole of the Himalayan region, where India is also fighting an insurgency that has left tens of thousands dead since 1989. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi was to visit troops in a border area on Saturday for Diwali, the biggest Hindu holiday of the year, according to media reports. Modi, who portrays himself as tough on security, has spent every Diwali with the military since becoming the country's leader in 2014. Modi launched what he called "surgical strikes" inside Pakistani Kashmir in 2016 after militants attacked an Indian base killing 19 soldiers. The neighbors staged air strikes against each other last year after a suicide bomb attack in which more than 45 Indian troops were killed.

Bahrain buries Prince Khalifa, world’s longest serving prime minister
Reuters, Dubai/November 13/2020
Bahrain on Friday buried Prince Khalifa bin Salman al Khalifa, the world's longest serving prime minister, after his body returned from the United States where he died on Wednesday. Khalifa, 84, the uncle of King Hamad bin Isa al Khalifa, had served as prime minister since independence from Britain in 1971. The al-Khalifa family has reigned since 1783. King Hamad on Wednesday appointed Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, 51, as the small Gulf state's new prime minister. He was buried in the Hunainiyah cemetery in Riffa in a small ceremony attended by royal family members and senior representatives of the Bahrain Defense Force, Interior Ministry and National Guard, state news agency BNA said.

 

Twelve killed, 36 wounded as India, Pakistan forces trade fire in disputed Kashmir
The Associated Press, Muzzafarabad, Pakistan/November 13/2020
Pakistani and Indian troops clashed anew in the disputed Himalayan region of Kashmir, leaving 12 people dead, including three Indian and one Pakistani soldier, and wounding at least 36 on both sides, officials said Friday. The fighting came amid increasing tensions between the nuclear-armed South Asian neighbors — since gaining independence from Britain in 1947, Pakistan and India have fought two of their three wars over Kashmir, which is split between them and claimed by both in its entirety. The Pakistani military and government officials accused India of initiating the fighting by firing rockets and mortar shells overnight and on Friday that killed a soldier, five Pakistani civilians and wounded 27, including women and children. Five Pakistani soldiers were also wounded in the clashes, the military said. The fatalities were some of the highest reported in recent years. Sardar Masood Khan, the leader of the Pakistani-administered Kashmir, urged the United Nations and world community to take notice, saying he feared a wider conflict. “If such Indian hostilities are not stopped, then it will also be difficult to stop a war between Pakistan and India,” he said. Earlier, Pakistan’s military described it as the latest unprovoked cease-fire violation by India and said Pakistani troops responded by targeting Indian posts. Raja Shahid Mahmood, a government official in Pakistan-administered Kashmir, said several homes were damaged. “People are running for safety in panic and India is deliberately targeting the civilian population," he told The Associated Press. Villagers were hiding in community bunkers as the exchange of fire intensified, he said. Mohammad Shabir, a shop owner in the border village of Chakothi, said officials shut the main bazaar after rockets targeted the village. In Srinagar, the capital of Indian-controlled Kashmir, the Indian army said three of its soldiers were killed and three others were wounded. According to police officer Mohammed Ashraf, three Indian civilians, including one woman, were also killed by Pakistani shelling. He said one wounded civilian was in critical condition in hospital and two houses were damaged.
Col Rajesh Kalia, an Indian army spokesman, blamed Pakistan for starting the clashes. In another statement, late on Friday, Pakistan's military said India launched the assault after four Indian soldiers died last Sunday fighting Kashmiri rebels in the Indian-controlled Kapwara district. The military said Pakistan stands “committed to defend the motherland and our Kashmiri brethren, even at the cost of our blood and lives."In the Indian-controlled sector of Kashmir, rebels have been fighting against Indian rule since 1989. Most Muslim Kashmiris support the rebel goal that the territory be united either under Pakistani rule or as an independent country. On Thursday, Pakistan summoned an Indian diplomat to protest what it called India's violation of a 2003 cease-fire agreement. Two civilians were wounded on Thursday on the Pakistani side of the border in that exchange.
Pakistan's Foreign Ministry again summoned an Indian diplomat on Friday in protest. Tensions soared in February 2019, when Pakistan shot down an Indian warplane in Kashmir and captured a pilot in response to an airstrike by Indian aircraft targeting militants inside Pakistan. India said the strikes targeted Pakistan-based militants responsible for a suicide bombing that killed 40 Indian troops in the Indian-controlled part of Kashmir.


The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 13-14/2020

Question: "How is Jesus our Sabbath Rest?"
GotQuestions.org/November 13/2020
Answer: The key to understanding how Jesus is our Sabbath rest is the Hebrew word sabat, which means "to rest or stop or cease from work." The origin of the Sabbath goes back to Creation. After creating the heavens and the earth in six days, God "rested on the seventh day from all His work which He had made" (Genesis 2:2). This doesn’t mean that God was tired and needed a rest. We know that God is omnipotent, literally "all-powerful." He has all the power in the universe, He never tires, and His most arduous expenditure of energy does not diminish His power one bit. So, what does it mean that God rested on the seventh day? Simply that He stopped what He was doing. He ceased from His labors. This is important in understanding the establishment of the Sabbath day and the role of Christ as our Sabbath rest.
God used the example of His resting on the seventh day of Creation to establish the principle of the Sabbath day rest for His people. In Exodus 20:8-11 and Deuteronomy 5:12-15, God gave the Israelites the fourth of His Ten Commandments. They were to "remember" the Sabbath day and "keep it holy." One day out of every seven, they were to rest from their labors and give the same day of rest to their servants and animals. This was not just a physical rest, but a cessation of laboring. Whatever work they were engaged in was to stop for a full day each week. (Please read our other articles on the Sabbath day, Saturday vs. Sunday and Sabbath keeping to explore this issue further.) The Sabbath day was established so the people would rest from their labors, only to begin again after a one-day rest.
The various elements of the Sabbath symbolized the coming of the Messiah, who would provide a permanent rest for His people. Once again the example of resting from our labors comes into play. With the establishment of the Old Testament Law, the Jews were constantly "laboring" to make themselves acceptable to God. Their labors included trying to obey a myriad of do’s and don’ts of the ceremonial law, the Temple law, the civil law, etc. Of course they couldn’t possibly keep all those laws, so God provided an array of sin offerings and sacrifices so they could come to Him for forgiveness and restore fellowship with Him, but only temporarily. Just as they began their physical labors after a one-day rest, so, too, did they have to continue to offer sacrifices. Hebrews 10:1 tells us that the law "can never, by the same sacrifices repeated endlessly year after year, make perfect those who draw near to worship." But these sacrifices were offered in anticipation of the ultimate sacrifice of Christ on the cross, who "after He had offered one sacrifice for sins forever, sat down on the right of God" (Hebrews 10:12). Just as He rested after performing the ultimate sacrifice, He sat down and rested—ceased from His labor of atonement because there was nothing more to be done, ever. Because of what He did, we no longer have to "labor" in law-keeping in order to be justified in the sight of God. Jesus was sent so that we might rest in God and in what He has provided.
Another element of the Sabbath day rest which God instituted as a foreshadowing of our complete rest in Christ is that He blessed it, sanctified it, and made it holy. Here again we see the symbol of Christ as our Sabbath rest—the holy, perfect Son of God who sanctifies and makes holy all who believe in Him. God sanctified Christ, just as He sanctified the Sabbath day, and sent Him into the world (John 10:36) to be our sacrifice for sin. In Him we find complete rest from the labors of our self-effort, because He alone is holy and righteous. "God made him who had no sin to be sin for us, so that in him we might become the righteousness of God" (2 Corinthians 5:21). We can now cease from our spiritual labors and rest in Him, not just one day a week, but always.
Jesus can be our Sabbath rest in part because He is "Lord of the Sabbath" (Matthew 12:8). As God incarnate, He decides the true meaning of the Sabbath because He created it, and He is our Sabbath rest in the flesh. When the Pharisees criticized Him for healing on the Sabbath, Jesus reminded them that even they, sinful as they were, would not hesitate to pull a sheep out of a pit on the Sabbath. Because He came to seek and save His sheep who would hear His voice (John 10:3,27) and enter into the Sabbath rest He provided by paying for their sins, He could break the Sabbath rules. He told the Pharisees that people are more important than sheep and the salvation He provided was more important than rules. By saying, "The Sabbath was made for man, not man for the Sabbath" (Mark 2:27), Jesus was restating the principle that the Sabbath rest was instituted to relieve man of his labors, just as He came to relieve us of our attempting to achieve salvation by our works. We no longer rest for only one day, but forever cease our laboring to attain God’s favor. Jesus is our rest from works now, just as He is the door to heaven, where we will rest in Him forever.
Hebrews 4 is the definitive passage regarding Jesus as our Sabbath rest. The writer to the Hebrews exhorts his readers to “enter in” to the Sabbath rest provided by Christ. After three chapters of telling them that Jesus is superior to the angels and that He is our Apostle and High Priest, he pleads with them to not harden their hearts against Him, as their fathers hardened their hearts against the Lord in the wilderness. Because of their unbelief, God denied that generation access to the holy land, saying, “They shall not enter into My rest” (Hebrews 3:11). In the same way, the writer to the Hebrews begs his readers not to make the same mistake by rejecting God’s Sabbath rest in Jesus Christ. “There remains, then, a Sabbath-rest for the people of God; for anyone who enters God’s rest also rests from his own work, just as God did from his. Let us, therefore, make every effort to enter that rest, so that no one will fall by following their example of disobedience” (Hebrews 4:9–11).
There is no other Sabbath rest besides Jesus. He alone satisfies the requirements of the Law, and He alone provides the sacrifice that atones for sin. He is God’s plan for us to cease from the labor of our own works. We dare not reject this one-and-only Way of salvation (John 14:6). God’s reaction to those who choose to reject His plan is seen in Numbers 15. A man was found gathering sticks on the Sabbath day, in spite of God’s plain commandment to cease from all labor on the Sabbath. This transgression was a known and willful sin, done with unblushing boldness in broad daylight, in open defiance of the divine authority. “Then the LORD said to Moses, ‘The man must die. The whole assembly must stone him outside the camp’” (verse 35). So it will be to all who reject God’s provision for our Sabbath rest in Christ. “How shall we escape if we neglect so great a salvation?” (Hebrews 2:3).


For as long as there have been people, there have been losers

Justin Marozzi/The National/November 13/2020
How to lose well? It is a question that has taxed humans since time immemorial, from the Ancients over 2,000 years ago to those involved in today’s unedifying brouhaha in Washington.
For most of the world’s history, contests for political power have tended to be a zero-sum game, frequently fatal for the loser. Victory for one protagonist has generally required the defeat of another. And while victories – whether on a football field, battlefield or by the ballot box – are synonymous with glory, defeats are mostly ignoble affairs. The first-century Greek philosopher Plutarch tells us how steely Spartan mothers used to wave their sons off to battle with the ominous warning: “Come back with your shield, or on it,” meaning victory or death. Living as a loser wasn’t so much dishonourable as completely unthinkable.
Losing may be distasteful, in politics as in other walks of life, but it is an important force for stability. Acknowledging and coming to terms with loss enables an entire country, as well as the loser, to move on. It is difficult to have a stable transition when a losing candidate for office refuses to accept defeat.
Cody Combs: US presidential prediction professor talks 2024 election
US President Donald Trump does not have to look too far back to find a spirit-lifting example of how a one-term president, having been humiliatingly fired by the American public, grew greater in defeat. On January 20, 1993, President George HW Bush sat down in the White House to write a letter to Bill Clinton, the man who had just wiped the floor with him in the presidential election. It was a model of decency and grace.
“I wish you great happiness here,” Mr Bush wrote. “You will be our President when you read this note. I wish you well. I wish your family well. Your success now is our country’s success. I am rooting hard for you. Good luck — George.” Does anyone think Mr Trump will be able to write something similar to President-elect Biden?
On the other side of the Atlantic, British Prime Minister John Major was trounced by Tony Blair in the 1997 election. He knew his time was up and took it on the chin. “When the curtain falls, it’s time to leave the stage,” he said.
In the Middle East and North Africa, leaders have not always spotted the curtain falling in time. Both Saddam Hussein in Iraq and Muammar Gaddafi in Libya paid for this failure with their lives. Tunisian President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali got out in the nick of time. In Syria, President Bashar Al Assad remains in power but it is a blood-soaked, pyrrhic victory, achieved only through the immiseration and defeat of the entire country.
If war is politics by other means, as the Prussian General Carl von Clausewitz taught us, then 21st-century western politicians should be grateful that these days, politics is non-lethal war by other means. It wasn’t always this painless. In 1649, the English king Charles I, a ruler who revelled in the divine right of kings, was tried and executed by Parliament. Appalled by this revolutionary reversal of the natural order, his final speech on the scaffold was nevertheless a model of composure and grace in defeat.
“I go from a corruptible to an incorruptible Crown; where no disturbance can be, no disturbance in the World,” he said before the axe fell. Sic transit gloria mundi, the account of his execution ended. Thus passes worldly glory.
American politics may be a bruising business but at least it’s not a matter of life and death. President Trump – he keeps the title for life, remember – can certainly take some solace from Thucydides. As the Greek historian wrote almost 2,500 years ago in his History of the Peloponnesian War: “In a democracy, someone who fails to get elected to office can always console himself with the thought that there was something not quite fair about it”. Acceptance is a necessary first step towards this consolation.
In order to lose well, it is equally important to master one’s ego and not be controlled by it. In the epic Roman poem Pharsalia, the poet Lucan explained the civil war between Julius Caesar and Pompey the Great from 49-45BC partly as an excess of unchecked male ego. Neither man could back down. “Caesar [could not] tolerate a superior, nor Pompey an equal.” The republic paid dearly with the resulting chaos and instability. Suetonius made a similar point in his Life of Caesar, which is again relevant to Mr Trump’s white-knuckled hold on power. Caesar, considering that “it would be more difficult to force him from first place to second than from second to last, resisted with all his power”.
Losing and failure are hardly unique to political life. The business world also offers some enlightening lessons in how to deal with them. Failure here tends to be regarded as an indispensable step on the path to success. It famously took Thomas Edison 1,000 attempts to invent his prototype light bulb. Asked by a reporter how he felt about failing 1,000 times, Edison shot back: “I didn’t fail 1,000 times. The light bulb was an invention with 1,000 steps.” Over in Silicon Valley, failure and bankruptcy are rightly seen as essential components of the Darwinian life cycle for business, spurring innovation, rebuilding and success.
Losing really shouldn’t be too difficult to deal with. It’s part of everyday life and most of us are taught from an early age to get used to it. If we don’t always lose gracefully, we know that we should. Before they step out onto the world’s most famous tennis court, the greatest players on earth are reminded of the need to behave properly and rise to the occasion, whatever the result. Inscribed above the entrance to Wimbledon’s Centre Court are words from Rudyard Kipling’s poem If: “If you can meet with Triumph and Disaster, and treat those two imposters just the same…”
Losing really shouldn’t be too difficult to deal with. It’s part of everyday life and most of us are taught from an early age to get used to it
No one has done this better in recent years than perennial champion Roger Federer, who last year lost to Novak Djokovic in five sets in perhaps the greatest Wimbledon final of all time. Federer is a greater champion not just for his winning record but for his magnanimity in defeat. As the Novak Djokovic Foundation reminds us: “The feeling of losing and moving on are particular skills children need to develop in order to deal with negative experiences in life when they become older.”Mr Trump’s favourite insult is to call someone a loser. “I hate to lose, and if anybody gets used to losing they are going to be a loser… I still hate to lose. And that will never change.” The simple truth is that Trump is now a loser. In the two months that remain of his one-term presidency, however, he still has time to salvage some good, for his own legacy, for the Republican Party and, more importantly, for the US. He now needs to learn the art of the fail. The president once said: “Sometimes by losing a battle you find a new way to win the war.” To adapt a line from German officers to British paratroopers taken prisoner at the Battle of Arnhem in 1944: For you, Mr Trump, the war is over. It is time to accept it.

US envoy on Iran: Any deal with Tehran must see hostages freed
Robert Tollast/The National/November 13/2020
Tehran's rights abuses and missile development give countries common ground for action, Elliott Abrams says.
It would be “unconscionable” for any US President to make a new deal with Iran that didn’t see Western hostages freed to return home, US Special Representative for Iran Elliott Abrams said on Thursday.
In a wide-ranging interview with The National on US policy towards Tehran and its regional context, he said that the last four years had given America leverage to stop Iran's destabilising activities in the Middle East.
“This is a regime in Tehran that is using people, their families, in the cruellest ways. There are three American hostages in Iran – Baquer Namazi, Siamak Namazi and Morad Tahbaz. Baquer is 84 years old. Why are they holding him? Why can’t he go back to his family?” he said.
“I think that it would be unconscionable to have any kind of agreement next year, no matter who is president, that does not include the return home of the three American hostages.
“Several other countries are dealing, certainly the UK, with hostages that remain in Iran. We can only hope that there is a unified international demand that these people be returned to their families.”
Mr Abrams stressed that America’s increasing actions against Iran in recent months had not been unilateral, nor were they devised in the twilight of President Donald Trump’s administration, contrary to what critics claim.
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammed Javad Zarif accused the US of “reckless unilateralism” after Mr Trump’s administration withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, commonly known as the “nuclear deal”, in 2018 and starting a “maximum pressure” sanctions campaign.
An Iranian technecian at the International Atomic Energy Agency inspecting the site of the uranium conversion plan of Isfahan, central Iran, 03 February 2007. EPA
“Maximum pressure is a campaign to build leverage. Years later, we have a lot of leverage. We have done tremendous damage to regime revenues,” said Mr Abrams.
“They can’t take four more years of it. Now is the moment to use that that leverage. Get Iran to stop the missile programme and the sabotage and the nuclear violations. Otherwise, they don’t want to do these things. We’ve built the pressure. Now we have the leverage.”
Mr Abrams explained that one reason for the far-reaching sanctions is the overlap between the Iranian military and the economy.
“I do hear people saying from time to time, ‘surely there is nothing left to sanction’. And that is an outright fact. But sadly, it is because of the pervasiveness of the IRGC [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] in the Iranian economy,” he said.
“So many companies and activities produce funding for the IRGC. In fact, under counterterrorism sanctions, there are many more targets that deserve to be sanctioned, and this is in addition to the nuclear sanctions.”
Since the start of the maximum pressure campaign, sanctions on Iran have cost the country $70 billion, curtailing Tehran’s ability to fund regional militias.
But Tehran has also scaled up its prohibited nuclear activities and lashed out at countries in the region either directly or through its proxies, attacking oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia, sabotaging oil tankers and stepping up arms transfers to militias in Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon.
Human rights
Mr Abrams described how new sanctions focusing on human rights abuses and conventional missiles refocus the narrative on issues where US allies could find common ground.
“There is a focus on human rights right now because it is November and in November last year there was a great uprising of the Iranian people that was brutally suppressed by the Iranian regime.”
Mr Abrams believes that while sanctions to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon are important, its human rights abuses must not be forgotten.
Nuclear programmes
Iranian soldiers during a military exercise in the Gulf, near the strategic strait of Hormuz in southern Iran during a three-day exercise. AFP, HO via Iranian Army website
When pressed on whether focusing sanctions on human rights, terrorism and missiles could sidetrack US policy on nuclear non-proliferation, Mr Abrams said he did not think this was the case.
“In June, there was a unanimous IAEA resolution including Russia and China, demanding that Iran allow access to two suspicious sites. I hope we can return to closer unanimity in the IAEA because here, we’re not just talking about the JCPOA. We’re talking about older and more fundamental safeguard agreements, and we’re talking about pledges that Iran made many years ago to the international community,” he said.
“Now we have, on November 11, a report by the IAEA which says that the explanation that Iran has given for the existence of suspicious things found by the IAEA, such as the presence of suspicious particles that appear to be manufactured, the explanations are not technically credible.”
“If I escape from diplomatic language, that means they’re lying to the IAEA again. And there were long delays in access. In the case of a request from the IAEA to access a site in January, it took about nine months. This is really not acceptable. There is a board meeting coming in late November and it is our hope that every member will speak up about the need to hold Iran up to the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty pledges it has made.”
Regional pressure
The ballistic missile named after Qassem Suleimani is being tested in an undisclosed location in Iran. AFP / Iranian Defence Ministry
Going back to the regional picture, Mr Abrams noted how the US still sought to place pressure on Iran’s regional militias and economic interests.
On November, Christian Lebanese politician Gebran Bassil was sanctioned for his ties to Lebanon's Iran-back Hezbollah movement.
Notably, Mr Bassil was also sanctioned due to allegations of corruption, under an act passed in 2012 by Barack Obama’s administration, the Global Magnitsky Act.
“We’d like to see a profusion of Global Magnitsky statutes by other countries,” said Mr Abrams.
“The UK has one. We’d like to see the EU, and every democratic country adopts something like it, because it’s an effective way for all of us together to fight corruption.”
Asked how the US should respond in Iraq if more American soldiers are killed by Iran-backed militias, after two were killed in attacks in March, Mr Abrams said, “I hope that the Iranians get the message that the United States will defend itself and will defend its people. And I think that this will continue in 2021 no matter who is president.”

 

Svante Cornell on the Armenian-Azerbaijan Conflict
Marilyn Stern/Middle East Forum Webinar/November 12, 2020
https://www.meforum.org/61767/cornell-on-the-armenian-azerbaijan-conflict

Svante Cornell, director of the Institute for Security and Development Policy Council's Central Asia-Caucasus Institute (CACI), and founder of the Institute for Security and Development Policy (ISDP) in Sweden, spoke to participants in an October 19 Middle East Forum webinar (video) about the Armenia-Azerbaijan war over Nagorno-Karabakh that erupted in late September of this year.
This latest outbreak of fighting erupted due to shifts in the "power differential between Armenia and Azerbaijan" and the fact that "regional and global geopolitics were getting too unstable for the status quo to hold," explained Cornell. The conflict first erupted in the late 1980s between the Soviet republics of Armenia and Azerbaijan over the Nagorno-Karabakh enclave inside Azerbaijan, which is majority ethnic Armenian. Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh wanted unification with the Armenia but faced resistance from Moscow as well as from Azerbaijan.
As the conflict escalated into a war between the two republics as the Soviet Union collapsed, Russia intervened in support of Armenia against the nationalist-led Azerbaijan Republic. Armenia, although three times smaller than Azerbaijan and lacking its enormous natural resources, won the war and took control of Nagorno-Karabakh and its population of 150,000, as well as seven other nearby provinces populated by approximately 700,000 Azerbaijanis.
Armenia's success was attributable to internal turmoil in Azerbaijan, Russian support, and the failure of Turkey to intervene on behalf of Azerbaijan. By taking over such vast territory, "Armenia bit off more than it could chew," Cornell said. Azerbaijani society refused to reconcile itself to the loss of Nagorno-Karabakh. As Azerbaijan became enriched with petrodollars in the years that followed, it spent massive amounts on building its military. "The disparity between the two parties to this conflict increase[ed]," to an extent that the status quo "was no longer sustainable ... something had to give."
The status quo held as long as it did largely due to geopolitical circumstances. Turkey and Israel – which were strategic partners in the 1990s – supplied military equipment to Azerbaijan, while "Russia and Iran supported Armenia in order to ... prevent Western and Turkish influence from spreading into the ... Caucasus of Central Asia." Even though Turkey has turned Islamist under Erdoğan, Azerbaijan still manages to maintain positive ties with both Turkey and Israel. The status quo held so long as outside players restrained their clients.
Turkey, in particular, became less willing to do so as a result of the "prominence" nationalist factions have assumed in Turkey since the attempted coup against Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in 2016. Turkish nationalists in the military and state institutions see Russia as Turkey's historical adversary. Erdoğan has of late been provocative in his dealings with neighboring Greece, Cyprus and the Aegean; now he has taken the same approach to developments in the Caucasus.
Cornell said that the most important factor in the timing of the latest round of fighting was "the change in Armenia's positioning in this conflict." As a result of the 2018 Velvet Revolution, opposition activist Mr. Nikol Pashinyan came to power as prime minister. Pashinyan initially sought to restart peace negotiations with Azerbaijan but insisted that Nagorno-Karabakh should have separate representation in peace talks. At the same time, he provocatively announced, "Karabakh is Armenia," at a time when Azerbaijan's rhetoric warned of military action if negotiations were fruitless.
Armenia miscalculated by depending too heavily on Russia's protection from military confrontation with Azerbaijan. Russia considers Azerbaijan a strategically important country in the Caucuses and does not want to antagonize their relationship. Russia also took a dim view of Velvet Revolutions and had no qualms about Pashinyan being cut down to size in the conflict. As long as the fighting took place on the internationally recognized territory of Azerbaijan, Russia was content to limit its involvement to selling arms to Armenia. Russia's traditional modus operandi is "try[ing] to use the conflict [to] increase its influence on both sides." Cornell speculated that Moscow hopes "insert Russian peacekeepers into the conflict zone" (which in fact since happened under the recent cease-fire agreement).
Cornell argued that permanent solution to the conflict will require the U.S. and the European Union (EU) to take on the role of lead mediators, as they are the only honest brokers acceptable to both Armenia and Azerbaijan. Both the U.S. and the EU have a strong interest in "creating a stable land bridge between ... Europe and Central Asia" and "making sure that governments in the Caucasus countries are able to make their own decisions." Without a high-level of international involvement to find a long-term solution in lieu of ceasefires, episodic wars between Armenia and Azerbaijan will continue to erupt.
*Marilyn Stern is communications coordinator at the Middle East Forum.

Arabs: “Westerners Must Stop Appeasing Islamists”
Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute./November 13/2020
خالد ابو طعمة/معهد كايتستون: العرب يطالبون دول الغرب التوقف عن التملق للإسلاميين (الإسلام السياسي) وتحديداً جماعة الإخوان المسلمين وعدم التساهل معهم
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/92334/khaled-abu-toameh-gatestone-institute-arabs-westerners-must-stop-appeasing-islamists-%d8%ae%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%af-%d8%a7%d8%a8%d9%88-%d8%b7%d8%b9%d9%85%d8%a9-%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%87%d8%af-%d9%83%d8%a7/

"Political Islamic organizations are the reason for perpetuating terrorism and hatred. These organizations are banned in most of the Islamic countries, while Europe, especially Britain, embraces them and allows them to operate freely. Europeans can only blame themselves." — Mohammed al-Sheikh, Saudi writer, Twitter, October 29, 2020.
"There is no doubt that France's previous policies, lenient with [Muslim] extremists, contributed to the current wave of terrorism, as well as legislation that guarantees the right to asylum and immigration to every expatriate on its soil." — Hailah al-Mashouh, Saudi columnist and political analyst, Elaph, November 5, 2020.The group [Muslim World League] warned that Islamists have succeeded in implementing their political projects in non-Muslim countries under the umbrella of training mosque preachers and funding Islamic charities.
We are now seeing a large number of Arabs and Muslims warning about the clear and present danger Islamism poses to many different societies. These individuals are demonstrating courage and conviction in taking this public stance. Their advice, that Western states must eradicate Islamist organizations in Europe, is vitally important. The recent terrorist attacks carried out by Muslims in France and Austria should serve as a warning to Europeans who have long been appeasing and endorsing extremist Muslim politicians and organizations. Pictured: The door of a restaurant, riddled with bullet holes, in Vienna, Austria on November 3, 2020, the day after a terror attack in which four people were killed. The recent terrorist attacks carried out by Muslims in France and Austria should serve as a warning to Europeans who have long been appeasing and endorsing extremist Muslim politicians and organizations.
This warning was sounded in the past few weeks by a growing number of writers, political analysts and politicians in Arab and Islamic countries. The main message they are sending to the Europeans: Political Islam is a threat not only to non-Muslims, but to Muslims and Arabs as well. Europeans need to wake up and start confronting the Muslim extremists.
"Political Islam organizations are the reason for spreading hatred and terrorism in the world," said Saudi writer Mohammed al-Sheikh. "Political Islamic organizations are the reason for perpetuating terrorism and hatred. These organizations are banned in most of the Islamic countries, while Europe, especially Britain, embraces them and allows them to operate freely. Europeans can only blame themselves."Abdel Moneim Ibrahim, a prominent political analyst from Bahrain, wrote that France is paying the price for its "courtship" of political Islam.
"Is France really paying the price for its complacency and its lax security grip on the dozens of terrorist organizations operating under the cover of charitable or Islamic societies, Quran memorization or teaching the Arabic language, as well as scores of imams in French mosques who incite violence and hatred and sympathize with jihadist terrorist groups?
"This is true. France bears part of the responsibility for not closing these suspicious associations under the pretext of freedom of expression and freedom of religions..."The French government knows very well that there are suspicious Islamic governments and organizations currently supporting terrorist acts in France. It knows very well that Turkey -- specifically the government of [Turkish President Recep Tayyip] Erdogan -- and Qatar -- are the ones that feed terrorism and support it with money from France and the rest of the European countries. Turkey and Qatar rely on suspicious associations supervised by the Muslim Brotherhood and other terrorist organizations such as al-Qaeda and ISIS."
If France continues to flirt with political Islam, Ibrahim cautioned, "the innocent French will continue to pay a very high price."
Palestinian political analyst Adli Sadeq pointed out that in many Western countries, the Muslim Brotherhood organization was still being treated as a "moderate political movement."
Many countries, Sadeq said, have refused to designate the Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist organization because they falsely consider it a "moderate" group. "It makes no sense to say that the Muslim Brotherhood is centrist and moderate," he argued. "There is no difference between them and the jihadist groups."
Tunisian newspaper editor and political analyst Alhashimi Nawiri called on Western countries to re-evaluate their relations with Islamic organizations:
"It has become clear that these [Islamic] organizations, in their ideological depth, are fascist groups that have nothing to do with democratic values.
"The damage that the West has begun feeling is having a severe impact on the cohesion of its societies and states. This is the result of embracing and nurturing these [Islamic] political movements. The presence of these groups in Western countries has begun to cast a shadow over millions of Muslims living there and who are required (after each terrorist attack) to prove their innocence and clarify that Islam is innocent of these groups and their actions."
Hailah al-Mashouh, a Saudi columnist and political analyst, also took France to task for its conciliatory policies toward Islamic organizations:
"There is no doubt that France's previous policies, lenient with [Muslim] extremists, contributed to the current wave of terrorism, as well as legislation that guarantees the right to asylum and immigration to every expatriate on its soil."
She advised the European Union to outlaw and criminalize all political Islamic groups, especially those affiliated with the Muslim Brotherhood, and said such a move would be an effective weapon to combat terrorism.
"There is no decisive solution to the [terrorist] attacks except by criminalizing and expelling extremist groups," al-Mashouh emphasized. The Western countries, she added, should learn from the Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood-affiliated groups, which were expelled from the two countries. Failure to expel these groups from France and other Western countries, she warned, will lead to more violence and bloodletting.
The Muslim World League, a pan-Islamic group whose declared goal is to clarify the true message of Islam by "advancing moderate values that promote peace, tolerance and love," warned that political Islam is an extremist, dangerous and violent ideology.
"The ideas of political Islam are based on spreading hatred, interfering in the affairs of states and influencing their national cohesion, as well as inciting violence in it in order to pass its political agenda," the group said in an apparent message to France, Austria and other Western countries and those who embrace and empower Muslim Brotherhood groups and figures. The group warned that Islamists have succeeded in implementing their political projects in non-Muslim countries under the umbrella of training mosque preachers and funding Islamic charities.
Several other prominent Arab and Muslim media personalities and political analysts advised the Europeans to be wary of the financial and political support the Muslim Brotherhood-affiliated groups receive from Turkey, Iran and Qatar.
Faisal Abbas, editor-in-chief of Arab News, said that the "malicious hands" of Turkey are aiding the Muslim terrorists in Western countries.
"The misuse of religion to score points has always been the preferred method of these malicious regimes, and perhaps Iran is a professional in this field," Abbas commented. "They are using religion for political gain and to stir hate and incitement. "We are living through difficult and dangerous times."
Abbas's warning about the role of Turkey, Iran and Qatar in financing and supporting Islamist groups and individuals in Western countries was shared by Tunisian writer Al-Habib al-Aswad, who wrote that "terrorism has turned into an industry run by Islamists aspiring to rule the world and who still think in the logic of Islamic conquests and infidels."
Al-Aswad warned that Turkey and Qatar have been funding Islamist organizations, militias and media outlets in the West and said: "We are nearing a new wave of terrorism that could be more violent than the previous ones."
We are now seeing a large number of Arabs and Muslims warning about the clear and present danger Islamism poses to many different societies. These individuals are demonstrating courage and conviction in taking this public stance. Their advice, that Western states must eradicate Islamist organizations in Europe, is vitally important. Further appeasement of terrorists will have a direct result: more beheadings and murders on the streets of European capitals and cities.
*Khaled Abu Toameh, an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem, is a Shillman Journalism Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
 

Erdogan increasingly governing on borrowed time
Dr. John C. Hulsman/Arab News/November 13/2020
As ever, the ancient Greeks had it right about how humans can go very wrong, very quickly. As the great dramatist, Euripides, put it, “He who overreaches will, in his overreaching, lose what he possesses.” When I recently came across this wise adage, embattled Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan immediately came to mind. For Ankara’s present regional overreaching in the Caucasus, the eastern Mediterranean, Syria, and Libya is sure to end in tears. At the same time Erdogan has launched his aggressive neo-Ottoman foreign policy, the walls are closing in on him, both economically and strategically, as new President-elect Joe Biden is likely to have far less patience with his antics than did his old friend, Donald Trump.
But even beyond geopolitics, Turkey’s ambitious foreign policy is doomed to fail for the simple reason that an expansionistic strategic policy cannot be run on the cheap. For years now, domestic economics has been Erdogan’s Achilles heel, amounting to his greatest weakness in terms of both domestic and foreign policy. Earlier this month, the Turkish president seemed to have been caught unawares, as his son-in-law and closest political confidant, Bert Albayrak, abruptly quit his job as Turkey’s economy minister, and de facto, second most important leader in the country. This signaled chaos inside the presidential palace, as well as calling unwelcome attention to Turkey’s endemic economic woes. Albayrak, 42, has spent two years futilely trying to turn around the country’s economy. During his tenure the Turkish lira has lost fully 45 percent of its value against the dollar. At the same time, due to both the pandemic crisis and a longstanding lack of Turkish economic reform, growth remains elusive, while inflation — the scourge of the poor — remains a high 11.9 percent this month. Albayrak’s departure, coming the same week his father-in-law fired the governor of Turkey’s Central Bank, Murat Uysal, illustrating that the chickens are coming home to roost for the long-serving Erdogan government, bereft of positive economic ideas as it is, and looking for scapegoats. Given these economic realities, and no sign of improvement on the horizon, it is hard to see how Turkey’s expansive neo-Ottoman foreign policy can be sustained into the medium term.It is hard to see how Turkey’s expansive neo-Ottoman foreign policy can be sustained into the medium term. If economics are beginning to limit the Turkish president’s freedom of maneuver on the international stage, worsening relations with the US are about to dramatically exacerbate Turkey’s economic and strategic problems. Shorn of Erdogan’s personal rapport with the outgoing American president, Ankara is in for a very bumpy ride.
It was Trump alone, in defiance of both the House of Representatives and the Senate, who held back sanctions being imposed on Ankara, over two different matters. First, Turkey’s purchase of the Russian S-400 missile defense system is viewed in Washington as a brazen betrayal of NATO itself, as Ankara is opting to buy major weapons systems from the alliance's putative enemy. Erdogan knew all about the congressional outrage, and chose to inflame it, counting on Trump to deflect any serious damage.
With Trump on his way out, and with a Biden administration far more interested in reinvigorating the NATO alliance, this amounts to a major political miscalculation.
Secondly, American securities regulators have determined that Halkbank, a Turkish public bank viewed as close to the Erdogan government, is alleged to have aided Iran in evading US sanctions. Trump held up the ongoing investigation in the name of national security interests. Again, it is unlikely that a far less sympathetic Biden White House will shield Ankara from its folly. In both cases, American sanctions are expected to hit Ankara hard and fast in the early days of the new Biden government. The timing of this economic hit literally could not be worse for the Erdogan government, already on its knees from the effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis, as well as its longstanding aversion to reform.
In such circumstances, increasingly cornered by these dual political risk realities, it is hard to see how Turkey’s expansionistic foreign policy can be sustained with endemic economic crisis setting in, and with America — still the most important player in the world — increasingly turning against its erstwhile ally. Erdogan’s grandiose dream of Turkey emerging as the dominant regional power in the Middle East seems doomed to failure as the country’s underlying power realities simply do not justify such a lofty, unattainable dream.
But, as Euripides pointed out, the cost of overreaching is not just the failure to attain the unattainable dream, such a fevered delusion historically tends to lead to the loss of what the utopian dreamer had in the first place. For the better part of a generation, since 2003, Erdogan has towered over the Turkish political scene, dominating everyone and everything in his path. Initially sustained by decades-old economic reforms — instituted by his ally-turned-rival former Turkish President Abdullah Gul — and close ties with a supportive America, Erdogan thrived in this very specific context.
Now that context — an economic revival and close ties to its superpower ally — have dramatically shifted. In wanting too much, as Euripides wisely foretold — Erdogan now stands in danger of losing all he has.
*Dr. John C. Hulsman is the president and managing partner of John C. Hulsman Enterprises, a prominent global political risk consulting firm. He is also senior columnist for City AM, the newspaper of the City of London. He can be contacted via chartwellspeakers.com.

Iran the big loser in Nagorno-Karabakh war
Luke Coffey/Arab News/November 13/2020
An almost three-decades-old conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh was brought to an end this week after 45 days of hard fighting. The conflict had its origins in the collapse of the Soviet Union. During this period, ethnic Armenians living inside Azerbaijan’s Nagorno-Karabakh region tried to break away and join Armenia. Armenia took advantage of the chaos and invaded the region, capturing a sizable chunk of Azerbaijan’s internationally recognized territory.
A ceasefire agreement was signed in 1994, which, for the most part, held — albeit there were occasional minor skirmishes over the years. That same year, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe established the so-called Minsk Group to help broker a final peace — but it failed to do so.
Having grown impatient over the lack of progress in peace talks and the bellicose rhetoric coming from Armenian leaders, Azerbaijan decided to act. Major fighting kicked off in late September and was brought to an end this week by an Azerbaijani victory. With the help of Turkish and Israeli drones, and a lot of bravery from its soldiers, Azerbaijan was able to liberate large swathes of its territory from Armenian occupation.
Armenia is estimated to have lost approximately 40 percent of its equipment, including hundreds of tanks, armored vehicles and pieces of artillery. It is likely that Azerbaijan ended up capturing more equipment from Armenia than it lost on the battlefield — probably one of the few cases in history of an army ending a war with more equipment than it started with.
Turkey and Russia played a big role in the conflict. Russia traditionally backs Armenia, but in this conflict took a standoffish approach to the dismay of Yerevan. Turkey has always been close to Azerbaijan and has been in a protracted geopolitical competition with Russia over places like Syria, Libya, and to a certain extent Ukraine in recent years.
The peace agreement announced earlier this week was brokered by Russia with Turkish influence behind the scenes. It led to the surrender of Armenian forces inside Azerbaijan and the deployment of a small Russian peacekeeping force to regions in Nagorno-Karabakh with a sizable Armenian minority. While a lot of the commentary has been focused on what Armenia’s defeat means for Turkey and Russia, one country that was a big loser in this conflict was Iran.
Iran will have to devote time, resources, and troops to adjust to the new geopolitical reality along its northern border with Azerbaijan.
For historical reasons Iran sees itself as entitled to a special status in the South Caucasus. Both Armenia and Azerbaijan were once part of the Persian empire. Today, Armenia and Iran enjoy cozy relations.
Azerbaijan is one of the predominately Shiite areas in the Muslim world that Iran has not been able to place under its influence. While relations between Baku and Tehran remain cordial on the surface, there is an underlying tension between the two. During the war in Nagorno-Karabakh in the 1990s, Iran sided with Armenia as a way to marginalize Azerbaijan’s role in the region.
There are three reasons why Iran is a big loser in this conflict.
Firstly, it remains to be seen how Azerbaijan’s victory will play out with Iran’s sizable Azeri minority. Azeris are the second-largest ethnic group in Iran. During the conflict there was a lot of pro-Azerbaijani rhetoric and protests on social media and on the streets in support of Baku by ethnic Azeris. The Iranian regime was very careful to appear balanced during the conflict, but at the same time stifled many of these pro-Azerbaijani protests. There is a constant low-level push for self-determination and increased autonomy in northern Iran for the Azeri minority. Although this has not materialized into a mass movement for independence, it makes some in the Iranian leadership nervous.
Secondly, Iran will have to devote time, resources, and troops to adjust to the new geopolitical reality along its northern border with Azerbaijan. This could mean less Iranian focus on other places such as the Gulf and Syria. Part of the Azerbaijan-Iran state border has been under Armenian occupation since 1994. Now that this border is back under the control of Baku, a new security dynamic has been created between the two countries. Also, the presence of 2,000 Russian peacekeepers — now only 100 km from the Iranian border — is bound to make many in Tehran nervous. Although Russia and Iran have enjoyed good relations in recent times, the two have been rival powers in the region for centuries. Iran has already started to deploy more military assets along its northern border. It remains to be seen whether this is just a temporary measure or will become permanent due to the new security situation on the ground.
Finally, it is unclear how Azerbaijan’s success in the war will affect its bilateral relationship with Iran. Azerbaijan has strived to maintain cordial relations with Iran because it relied on access to Iranian airspace and territory to supply its autonomous region of Nakhchivan — an exclave of Azerbaijan nestling between Iran, Armenia and Turkey. In addition to transit rights, Azerbaijan also relied on Iran to provide natural gas to Nakhchivan. As part of the recent peace deal, Armenia is opening up a corridor through its territory to allow Azerbaijan to transport goods directly to Nakhchivan. In addition, earlier this year Turkey announced a new natural gas pipeline to supply Nakhchivan with energy. Iran is less important for Azerbaijan now and it is likely that the dynamics in the bilateral relationship will change in Baku’s favor.
Iran has many problems. A stagnant economy, political unrest at home, the fallout from the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and the never-ending costly interventions in places such as Syria and Iraq. The last thing Tehran needs right now is a change to the cozy status quo it has enjoyed in the South Caucasus for the past three decades.
Unfortunately for Iran, this is exactly what is happening.
*Luke Coffey is director of the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy at the Heritage Foundation. Twitter: @LukeDCoffey

US criticism of religious freedom in Turkey stirs debate

Menekse Takyay/Arab News/November 13/2020
Pompeo is scheduled to meet the Greek Orthodox Patriarch Bartholomew I, but no Turkish officials
He is expected to run for the senate, and support from the Greek Orthodox community and evangelicals would be a boost to his hopes of election
ANKARA: A US statement saying that its Secretary of State Mike Pompeo plans to “promote our strong stance on religious freedom” during his visit to Istanbul next week has drawn the ire of Ankara.
Pompeo’s visit is part of his planned tour of seven nations, including countries in the Middle East and the Gulf. During his time in Istanbul on Monday and Tuesday, the top diplomat is scheduled to meet the Greek Orthodox Patriarch Bartholomew I, but no Turkish officials.
Turkey’s Foreign Ministry criticized the US statement “as extremely inappropriate.”
“It would be more advisable for the United States to look in the mirror first and to show the necessary sensitivity to human rights violations such as racism, Islamophobia and hate crimes in its own country,” the ministry said in its own statement.
Pompeo is expected to run for the senate, and support from the Greek Orthodox community and evangelicals would be a boost to his hopes of election in Kansas.
“Religious freedom, more specifically issues facing Christians around the world, is a shared concern among many Republicans — especially influential evangelical and diaspora communities,” Ziya Meral, senior associate fellow at RUSI (Royal United Services Institute for Defense and Security Studies), told Arab News.The tension surrounding Pompeo’s visit is just the tip of the iceberg, however. The incoming administration of US president-elect Joe Biden, who will assume office in less than three months, will also pressure Ankara over religious freedom in Turkey — an issue that has been in the spotlight recently following President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s decision to convert Istanbul’s Haghia Sophia into a mosque in July, which drew accusations that he was attempting to erase the cultural heritage of Orthodox Christians in the city. Turkey is also under increasing pressure to reopen the Greek Orthodox theological school shut down in 1971.
Biden is expected to be a staunch supporter of religious freedom globally, including the rights of Greek Orthodox followers. Under former President Barack Obama, Biden became the only sitting vice president to visit the Ecumenical Patriarchate, which he did twice.
Turkey drew further criticism late in October when it opened the former monastery of Christ the Savior in Chora, an ancient Christian basilica, for Islamic prayer services, compromising the building’s architectural and historical value. That decision was taken following a presidential decree claiming that the use of the building as a museum was illegal.
According to Meral, there is non-partisan anger at Turkey over a long list of issues from the reconversion of Hagia Sophia to the prolonged detainment of an American pastor and the termination of residency permits for foreign Christian church workers living in Turkey.
“Geopolitical issues from Greece to Armenia to northeastern Syria have now melted into the usual narratives of ‘us versus Islamists,’ which continues to politicize the issue of religious freedom beyond the actual concerns of religious minorities,” Meral said.
While Meral expects the Biden administration to continue to raise these issues with Turkey, he said it “won’t pursue a similar agenda on religious-freedom issues abroad (to the one) we saw Trump and Pompeo pursuing.”
In June, the US Department of State published its 2019 Report on International Religious Freedom. It criticized Turkey for limiting the rights of non-Muslim religious minorities, especially Armenian Apostolic Orthodox Christians, Jews, and Greek Orthodox Christians.
“The government continued to restrict efforts of minority religious groups to train their clergy,” the report also noted.
Dr. Mine Yildirim, head of the Freedom of Belief Initiative and the Eurasia Civil Society Program at the Norwegian Helsinki Committee, said Turkey’s long-standing key challenges in the area of freedom of religion or belief require fundamental changes.
“Some of the central legal issues include the lack of legal personality of religious or belief communities, the status of places of worship, and the glaring inequality related to the public funding of the Presidency of Religious Affairs and those individuals and communities that do not receive services from this institution,” she told Arab News.
“Most of these issues have been the subject of judgments from the European Court of Human Rights. However, those judgments have not been effectively implemented. All states can hold each other accountable on account of their ratifications of international human rights instruments,” Yildirim added.
Experts underline that religious freedom is and will remain a foreign-policy priority for the US under the Biden administration.
Yildirim believes that, while multilateral initiatives are important, states should focus more on strengthening international human rights control mechanisms in order to contribute to the protection of human rights, including freedom of religion or belief.
Anna Maria Beylunioglu Atli, a lecturer at MEF University in Istanbul, meanwhile, suggested that external pressure from the West can only go so far, and that real domestic change will only happen if there is a shift in mindset among policy makers in Ankara.
“Otherwise, we will only see cosmetic changes in religious freedom,” she told Arab News. “There has been serious regression in this area since 2013, and there has been no significant improvement so far.”

The US Elections: An Episode in a Cultural War

Amir Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/November 13/2020
Although we don’t yet know the denouement of last week’s election in the United States, one thing is already clear: this was an exceptional event in America’s 200-year old democracy.
To start with this was the first time that the election was not fought within the rules of the traditional two-party system. The Republican Party offered no manifesto or program, allowing the exercise to become a duel between President Donald J Trump and his opponents. That, in turn, gave the election a personal aspect never seen before. The Democratic Party did offer a program, but mostly to furnish the vacuum- a program half of which canceled the other half. The party’s presidential candidate, Joe Biden claimed he had a secret plan to deal with the Covid-19 pandemic but mostly campaigned as anti-Trump and attracted support from diverse sectors largely on that basis.
The Republicans suffered a split with the old establishment and some of the wannabes opting for anti-Trump shenanigans.
The Democratic Party’s left tried to focus on winning in Congressional elections and voted for Biden holding its nose.
For months before election-day, numerous polls predicted a landslide victory for Biden with a blue tsunami that would sweep Trump and the segment of the Republican Party supporting him into oblivion.
In the end, however, the Republican secessionists failed to help cut Trump down to size and thus acquire a base for future plans. Results show that Republican voters turned up en masse to back their candidate. That enabled the split party to increase its numbers in the House of Representatives and hang on to its Senate majority. In contrast, the Democrats’ leftist segment failed to achieve the revolutionary score it had hoped for. To be sure the “four furies”, the four ladies who have energized the left, did keep their seats. But in most cases Democrat voters went for centrists or rightist candidates of the party, people closer to Joe Biden than Bernie Sanders.
There were other surprises.
The Democrats saw part of the “coalition of minorities” that has been their electoral backbone for decades abandon them in favor of Trump. The vilified incumbent increased his vote among Blacks, or African-Americans, by almost 50 percent and won a larger share of Latino votes than any Republican presidential candidate in decades. This time round the Democrats also sustained losses among Jewish Americans who turned to Trump in unexpected numbers.
In this election, Bill Clinton’s cliché “it’s the economy, stupid!” showed its limits. More voters continued to trust Trump on fixing the economy than Biden.
With all that in mind one might ask: what was this election really about?
An analysis based on class divisions, in the Marxian sense, would miss the point. More rich and well-to-do Americans voted for Biden than for Trump. Biden raised much more money for his campaign than did Trump. The bulk of the establishment elite of business, academia and media voted for Biden along with a majority of celebrities, big or small. However, Trump’s constituency was not exclusively composed of what Hillary Clinton described in unflattering terms.
Leaving the class angle aside, one could also see that foreign policy was not a key factor either- in fact it wasn’t even properly debated by the two sides. Both candidates agreed that China was a looming threat.
With minor cosmetic caveats, Biden also endorsed Trump’s initiatives for bringing peace to the Middle East. Nor was defense policy a source of divisions with Biden indicating he would not undo the build-up and modernization begun under Trump.
But what if this election was an episode in a cultural war over the American national narrative? The central theme of the American national narrative is that of victims of religious persecution and political oppression coming to the New World, and, thanks to pioneer spirit, hard work, thirst for freedom and innovation, transforming themselves into heroes. In that narrative America is a celebration of individual success and heroism.
The German writer Erich Mari Remarque noted that one enters America by leaving behind one’s autobiography, joining the great American story. Other non-American writers, among them Charles Dickens, Ivan Bunin, Ilya Ehrenburg, Frantz Kafka and Parviz Dariush have also depicted America as “the land of new beginnings” for all those fleeing “old grievances and ressentiments”. Alain Robbe-Grillet wrote of the challenge of making the “I” correspond with the “me” as one aspired after being a subject in one’s own life but often ended up an object manipulated by others through religion, tradition and sheer power. Only in America with its huge physical and social spaces one could think of a first-person narrative.
Now, however, that narrative is challenged by a good segment of the American elite, especially in academia and media, in favor of a new narrative that replaces heroism with victimhood. In that narrative you must show that you or your ancestors have somehow suffered, granting you the status of a victim deserving empathy, apology and compensation from “the system.”
Victimhood was a trope for most candidates in this election. Biden reminded people about the tragic death of his first wife in a car accident and that of one of his sons. He also revived his middle name Robinette to point to his ancestors’ sufferings as Protestants in a militantly Catholic France. Biden’s Vice-Presidential running-mate Kamala Harris was unable to point to any suffering endured by her Jamaican and Indian-Tamil parents in America but made much of her blackness to commiserate with victims of slavery in the New World. For his art, Trump alternated between playing hero and victim. He cast himself as the little man’s champion heroically standing against the powerful establishment. But then he also played the victim persecuted by the mainstream media.
There were other signs of candidates distancing themselves from the classical American narrative. Biden spoke of “our communities”, implicitly choosing the salad-bar shibboleth over the melting pot image. With the confederacy of minorities in mind, he promised to protect and advance community rights forgetting that human rights, as spelled out in the Bill of Rights and the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, also largely an American product, are individual not collective rights.
For more than a century, America offered the world a different socio-politico-economic model, implicitly trying to make others like itself. It succeeded beyond expectation as, today, a majority of nation-states are democracies with constitutions and a largely market-based capitalist economic system. The classical American model remains the most attractive around the world. The irony, however, is that the model in question is being challenged inside the US itself. Rather than wanting to make others like the US, a growing segment of US establishment, wants to make the US like others, notably European social democratic models. If this election was about an attempt at ditching the American narrative, it failed. But the cultural war is far from over.

Is Stephanie Williams hyping up the progress of Libyan talks in Tunis?

Jemai Guesmi/The Arab Weekly/November 13/2020
TUNIS – Libyan political circles in the west and east of the country have expressed their wariness about the repercussions of the method adopted by the Acting Head of the United Nations Mission in Libya Stephanie Williams in managing the work of the Tunis Forum for direct Libyan Political Dialogue, which ended Thursday its fourth day of meetings.
Williams’ statements—in which she sought to promote the atmosphere of “understanding” supposedly prevailing in the work of the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum in Gammarth, Tunisia, and to highlight that “achievements” were being made towards the new roadmap for the upcoming transitional period—contributed to nourishing the fear of an intent to pass “lame” agreements and understandings for real breakthroughs in order to cover up for the failure of the forum.
Williams said, during a press conference she held late on Wednesday evening, that the participants in the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum “reaffirmed their commitment to Libya’s unity and sovereignty and the need to move towards transparent elections, as they agreed on many steps, including the constitutional basis.”“The participants have also reached a preliminary agreement on a roadmap to end the transitional phase and which clarifies the necessary steps to unite Libya’s institutions and start a national reconciliation process, and which includes the organisation of fair, free and transparent parliamentary and presidential elections to be held in no more than 18 months,” Williams added.
These statements found no echo with Sheikh Ali Misbah Abu Sbeiha, Head of the Supreme Council for Fezzan Tribes and Cities and member of the Presidential Council of the Libyan Tribal Forum, who did not hesitate to warn that Stephanie Williams could turn into a new Paul Bremer in Libya, in reference to what the US administrator did to split Iraq along ethnic and sectarian lines during the 2003 US invasion and occupation of that country.
“If the information circulating about the expected outcomes of the Tunis dialogue is accurate, then the UN Acting Envoy, Stephanie Williams, will become Libya’s Bremer,” Abu Sbeiha wrote, warning in this context that “Williams could shove the country into a new phase of conflicts.”
He appealed to “all those with a hint of patriotism from among the masses of the Libya people to reject this projector at least declare their withdrawal from it if they are unable to reject it.”
Libyan parliamentarian, Ali Takbali, considered that the United Nations mission is trying by all means to make the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum succeed in Tunisia, and to push it towards reaching an agreement.
Speaking with The Arab Weekly by phone from the city of Benghazi in eastern Libya, Takbali said that the UNSMIL “wants a lame agreement so that the crisis will go on for years to come, for this is an agreement that, if officially announced, will not lead Libya to stability, but will instead open other doors for division and conflict.”
Libyan political analyst Kamal Merash said, in a phone call with The Arab Weekly from the French capital, Paris, that Williams’ statements are part of a strategy in which she is betting on giving the impression that there are important breakthroughs on which to build an agreement to solve the Libyan crisis.
“This strategy depends on nourishing an exaggerated sense of optimism and taking advantage of the state of anticipation of all Libyans, who are tired of wars and the deterioration of their living conditions,” Merash said. This strategy “may succeed in the short run, but it will fail fairly quickly when the time comes to implement the agreement on the ground.”
This divergence in opinions did not obscure the disappointment of many Libyans who are suspicious of these wrong introductions reflected in the unsatisfactory indicators in relation to the issue of the distribution of positions, especially the presidency of the next government. Williams’s optimism has fuelled speculations about how and to whom these positions will go, especially in light of the remarkable competition between the names being advanced for this position.
Leaks from inside the halls of the Libyan dialogue sessions in Tunisia revealed several names that are being promoted in different ways. It seems that the next head of the transitional government will be from Misrata, and the most prominent candidates for this position are Fathi Bashagha, Ahmed Maitig, Mohamed abdullatif al-Muntasir, Abulkacem Qzit, Khaled al-Ghwail and Abdulhamid Dabiba.
According to The Arab Weekly sources from inside the corridors of the Libyan Forum, some of these proposed names have already started buying votes and resorting to various other pressure tactics, while others kept their options open in relation to prevailing political balances, pending the official announcement of the candidates for the position.
The sources did not rule out that the leaked information about the arrival earlier in Tunis of Libyan businessman Ali Triki, as a special envoy of Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar with a mission to support the nomination of Ahmed Maitig to head the new transitional government, was part of these pressure tactics which seem to be changing and adjusted according to the balances of power.
Nevertheless, the fact that all of the leaked names were of figures from Misrata and only Misrata prompted MP Ali Takbali to warn against the repercussions of these leaks and raised his suspicions that the United Nations mission might be behind the whole scenario, pointing out that “western Libya cannot be reduced to the city of Misrata alone.”
Political analyst Kamal Merash disagreed and said the leak was most likely related to Stephanie Williams’s strategy, a sort of “test balloon.”
“I think Williams is deliberately exaggerating optimism as a weapon to pressure all parties, and among her tools for that purpose is leaking certain names for important positions and excluding others as a ‘test balloon’ to gauge everybody’s reactions,” he said.
He believes that the list of candidates for these positions “is ready and has already been drawn up in advance in the embassies of some countries that are blatantly interfering in the Libyan crisis, and Williams will bring it out at the last minute after exhausting the participants in the forum with fruitless discussions about reaching a consensus over the names.”