English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For July 28/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.july28.20.htm

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Bible Quotations For today
Now you Pharisees clean the outside of the cup and of the dish, but inside you are full of greed and wickedness.
Luke 11/37-41: “While he was speaking, a Pharisee invited him to dine with him; so he went in and took his place at the table.The Pharisee was amazed to see that he did not first wash before dinner. Then the Lord said to him, ‘Now you Pharisees clean the outside of the cup and of the dish, but inside you are full of greed and wickedness. You fools! Did not the one who made the outside make the inside also? So give for alms those things that are within; and see, everything will be clean for you.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on July 27-28/2020
132 New Coronavirus Cases in Lebanon
Lebanon Reimposes COVID-19 Restrictions as Infections Spike
Lebanon: Rise in Virus Cases Sparks Lockdown Discussions
Govt. Declares New Lockdown Measures to Face Resurgent Virus
Authorities Advise Two-week Lockdown over Virus Surge
Lebanon now rated as low as Venezuela after Moody’s rating cut to lowest grade
Patriarch Rai: Neutrality Would Strengthen Unity
Lebanon Ex-PM Hariri to Attend Verdict Hearing in his Father’s Assassination
Lebanese Forces MP Says PCR Test was ‘Erroneous’
Iranian Ambassador Meets Grand Mufti: Iran Will Not Hesitate to Help Lebanon
Jumblat Urges ‘Media Alert’ over Increase in Virus Cases
Israel Deploys Anti-Missile Artillery on Border with Lebanon
Hizbullah Denies Involvement in Israel Border 'Clash'
UNIFIL Urges 'Maximum Restraint' after Lebanon-Israel Border 'Clashes'
Israel, Hezbollah Trade Fire Across Lebanese Border
Netanyahu: Hezbollah is playing with fire/The Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Was this the long-awaited Hezbollah retaliation?/The Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
IDF thwarts Hezbollah terror cell infiltration along border with Lebanon/The Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Israeli Army Says Thwarted Hezbollah Infiltration Attempt Along Lebanon Border/Haaretz/July 27/2020
Fighting breaks out on Israel-Lebanon border/Rina Bassist/AL-MONITOR/July 27/2020
A week ago, when Hezbollah indicated one of its fighters, Ali Mohsen, was killed in Syria, the group immediately had its social media fans calling for attacks on Israel./The Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Netanyahu warns Hezbollah against 'playing with fire' after border attack/Bassam Zaazaa/The National/July 27/2020
Hezbollah says all-out war with Israel unlikely in coming months/Reuters/July 27/2020
Hezbollah Deputy Chief: All-out War with Israel Unlikely in Coming Months
In North, Gantz warns that Israel will meet tests with strong response/Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
The Struggle over Beirut’s History/Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al Awsat/July, 27/2020

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on July 27-28/2020
Turkish magazine calls for founding Islamic caliphate after Hagia Sophia conversion
Spain sees thaw in Europe-Turkey tensions on energy drilling in Mediterranean
Hook: Lifting Arms Embargo On Iran Will Intensify Conflicts In Syria And Elsewhere
Two Baghdad Protesters Dead after Clashes with Police
Iraq Army Launches Fourth Phase of Anti-ISIS Operation in Diyala
Egypt’s army chief of staff checks combat readiness of forces near Libya border
African Union to hold disputed Ethiopia dam meeting on August 3: Sudan
Iran Moves Mock Aircraft Carrier to Strait of Hormuz
Full Ceasefire Takes Effect in Eastern Ukraine
Woman Accused of Joining ISIS Arrested on Return to Germany
LNA: Turkey Delivering Military Gear to Militias through Commercial Vessels
Ukraine’s FM says Iranians to discuss crash compensation in Kiev
 

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July 27-28/2020
Iran-Syria Air Defense Pact Could Disrupt Allied Operations/Farzin Nadimi/The Washington Institute/July 27/2020
Unraveling the mystery of US F-15s intercepting Iran’s Mahan air/Seth J. Frantzman/Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Turkish Government’s Hagia Sophia Rhetoric Adds Insult to Injury/Aykan Erdemir/Tuğba Tanyeri-Erdemir/Providence/July 27/2020
With a Potential Iran-China Deal, Time for Israel to Reassess Its Policy/Jacob Nagel/Mark Dubowitz/Newsweek/July 27/2020
To stop China’s crimes against humanity, hit its pride and pocketbook/Craig Singleton/Washington Examiner/July 27/2020
Palestinians: The Priorities of Muslim 'Scholars' During COVID-19/ Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute./July 27, 2020
Turkey on the Warpath/Uzay Bulut/Gatestone Institute/July 27/2020
The Islamist Takeover of George Floyd/A.J. Caschetta/JNS/July 27/2020
Raymond Ibrahim/Burned Alive”: Persecution of Christians, June 2020/Gatstone Institute/July 26/2020
The Virus Will Make Everything You Hate About Flying Worse/David Fickling/Bloomberg/July 27/2020

 

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on July 27-28/2020
132 New Coronavirus Cases in Lebanon
Naharnet/July 27/2020
Lebanon on Monday confirmed 132 more coronavirus cases, which raises the country's overall tally since February 21 to 3,882. The Health Ministry said 120 of the cases were recorded among residents and 12 among expats.
Twenty-nine of the local cases were recorded in Northern Metn, 19 in Jbeil district, 16 in Baabda district and 12 in Beirut while the locations of 25 cases remain under investigation.


Lebanon Reimposes COVID-19 Restrictions as Infections Spike
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
Lebanon reimposed severe COVID-19 restrictions on Monday for the next two weeks, shutting places of worship, cinemas, bars, nightclubs, sports events and popular markets, after a sharp rise in infections. Shops, private companies, banks and educational institutions would be permitted to open, but only on Tuesdays and Wednesdays, with a near total lockdown in place Thursday through Monday until Aug 10. This week’s lockdown coincides with the Eid al-Adha holiday when Muslims normally hold large gatherings. Officials said they were alarmed by a spike in cases in recent days, with at least 132 new infections and eight deaths confirmed in the last 24 hours. Lebanon has recorded just 51 deaths from the coronavirus since February. “We have to go back a step back and work with determination as though the pandemic has now begun,” Minister of Health Hamad Hassan was quoted in state media as saying. “We have to work more seriously to avoid a medical humanitarian catastrophe.”Beirut’s airport, land border crossings with Syria and sea ports would be kept open, as well as medical institutions, industrial and agricultural firms and critical government functions. Those arriving from high risk countries would be held in quarantine for 48 hours until they receive the results of a coronavirus test. Those arriving from other areas would be expected to quarantine at home.

 

Lebanon: Rise in Virus Cases Sparks Lockdown Discussions
Beirut - Caroline Akoum/Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
An unprecedented rise in the number of coronavirus cases in Lebanon has stoked fears that hospitals will be overwhelmed. “This critical situation is prompting talks about a possible return to a full lockdown as of this week,” Lebanese MP Issam Araji, who heads the parliament's public health committee, told Asharq Al-Awsat.On Sunday, the Ministry of Public Health announced that 168 new COVID-19 cases were registered in the country, raising the total to 3,746. Among them is "Strong Republic" MP George Okais, whose infection has stocked concerns that he could have transmitted the disease to members of parliament. Several politicians, who have recently met the MP, including Lebanese Forces Leader Samir Geagea and Speaker Nabih Berri, carried out tests and their results came back negative. “If numbers continue to rise in the next couple of days, we must take a decision to return to a total lockdown, except for some sectors,” Araji said. He explained that such decision would not have a big effect on the economy because Lebanon is closing for two days this week on the occasion of Eid Al-Adha. The deputy is particularly concerned about the inability of the health sector to cope with rising cases. He said private hospitals are not well equipped to face a larger outbreak. “The head of Private Hospitals Syndicate informed us that in case COVID-19 spreads across Lebanon, hospitals will be overwhelmed,” Araji said. The outbreak would also put a strain on the public health sector, which has no more than 1,900 hospital beds, in addition to 350 beds for intensive care and 170 for patients who need ventilators. On Sunday, several municipalities announced clusters of COVID-19 cases, urging residents to respect preventive measures. The Lebanese Red Cross also revealed in a statement that 17 of its paramedics in Zahle have been infected, and are now observing home quarantine. Also, the Beirut Bar Association announced the closure of its offices for four days starting on Monday after a lawyer contracted the virus.


Govt. Declares New Lockdown Measures to Face Resurgent Virus
Naharnet/July 27/2020
The government on Monday announced new lockdowns in a bid to rein in a new wave of coronavirus cases in the country. Non-essential sectors will be closed from Tuesday until August 10, Interior Minister Mohammed Fahmi said after a meeting for the government’s anti-COVID ministerial panel. Those sectors include bars, nightclubs, sporting races, event halls and gardens, internal gaming centers, popular souks, indoor and outdoor children parks, public parks, seaside promenades, public beaches, religious ceremonies, indoor pools, group training sessions at gyms, concerts, places of worship, theaters and cinemas.
Restaurants, cafes and public transportation vehicles will meanwhile be obliged to operate with 50% of their customer capacity. The government also asked those who age 65 years and older to stay home and avoid mixing. A general lockdown involving all private institutions and companies, markets and the educational and banking sectors will meanwhile be imposed from July 30 to August 3 and from August 6 to August 10. “All gatherings will be banned,” Fahmi said.He added that the health, food, security, military, pharmaceutical, industrial, agricultural and media sectors in addition to public institutions and municipalities and the sea, land and air ports of entry will be exempt from the lockdown measures.

 

Authorities Advise Two-week Lockdown over Virus Surge
Naharnet/July 27/2020
Health Minister Hamad Hassan said on Monday the scientific committee at the ministry recommended a two-week lockdown over the recent surge in COVID-19 cases in Lebanon with the exception of the airport. At a press conference, Hassan said the committee has also recommended banning visits to hospital patients.“We can not surrender now and will continue to raise our voices. We must tighten preventive measures against the virus,” said the Minister. “The Disaster Management Center affiliated with the Ministry of Health will be activated at the Rafik Hariri University Hospital to operate 24/24 hours. It will soon be announced due to the failure of a number of hospitals to receive people infected with the virus,” he added. After the opening of its airport and lifting lockdown restrictions, Lebanon witnessed a remarkable uptick in coronavirus cases. The country is poised to take strict and mandatory measures as of Monday in a bid to contain a resurgence of the virus.On Sunday, Lebanon recorded 168 COVID-19 cases raising the country’s overall tally to 3,747 cases -- among them 933 Lebanese expats, according to official data.
The tally includes 51 deaths and 1,692 recoveries.


Lebanon now rated as low as Venezuela after Moody’s rating cut to lowest grade
Bloomberg/Tuesday 28 July 2020
Lebanon had its rating cut to the lowest grade by Moody’s Investors Service, which said that bond investors will likely suffer major losses on their holdings as the government struggles to secure aid to ease a crippling financial crisis. Moody’s lowered Lebanon’s credit score to C from Ca, the same level as crisis-ravaged Venezuela. It reflects Moody’s “assessment that the losses incurred by bondholders through Lebanon’s current default are likely to exceed 65 percent,” the agency said in a statement. Lebanon, which has already defaulted on billions of dollars in debt this year, is struggling to secure an International Monetary Fund loan deal amid sharp domestic divisions over how to tally losses in the financial system. “The collapse of the currency in the parallel market and the concomitant surge in inflation fuel a highly unstable environment,” Moody’s said. “In the absence of key steps toward plausible economic and fiscal policy reform, official external funding support to accompany a government debt restructuring is not forthcoming.”

 

Patriarch Rai: Neutrality Would Strengthen Unity
Beirut- Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
Lebanon’s Maronite Patriarch Beshara Boutros Rai said Sunday that the first and main target from a neutral system is to strengthen unity, safeguard Lebanon’s “entity, sovereignty, and independence,” and enhance “national partnership, stability, and good governance.”Rai said neutrality helps in preserving Lebanon's sovereignty, distancing it from foreign conflicts, and achieving stability and economic growth, which would allow for Lebanon's return to its historical role as a bridge linking the East and West. In his religious sermon during Sunday Mass service, the Patriarch said that at the national level, neutrality aims to enhance unity in a state that would be able to defend itself through the power of the constitution, National Pact, law, and institutions. Internationally, Rai said neutrality helps separate Lebanon from regional and international alliances, conflicts, and wars, especially those that would have direct negative repercussions on stability inside the State. The Patriarch called for working together to revitalize Lebanon by fighting corruption and carrying out reforms, starting with the electricity file. “Reforms should begin with the electricity sector and should include a judicial fight against the rampant corruption which is increasing without any conscience check or fear,” he said, referring to the latest confiscation of huge quantities of spoiled foodstuffs. Thus, Rai urged politicians to proceed with necessary reforms away from political disputes. He called on the political class in Lebanon to "rise above their personal interests and narrow calculations for the sake of the country and its people."

 

Lebanon Ex-PM Hariri to Attend Verdict Hearing in his Father’s Assassination
Beirut - Mohamed Choucair/Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri will attend the long-awaited verdict of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon in the case of his father’s Feb. 2005 assassination, Asharq Al-Awsat has learned. MP Marwan Hamadeh, who has survived an attempted murder in October 2004, and family members of victims of the attack on ex-PM Rafik Hariri’s convoy on Beirut’s seafront will also attend the verdict at The Hague on Aug. 7. Hamadeh’s presence will be highly significant because the STL determined that his attempted assassination, in addition to two separate attacks on Lebanese politicians George Hawi and Elias el-Murr are legally connected to Hariri’s murder. The three cases are currently under investigation. Four suspects are on trial in absentia over Hariri’s murder in a huge suicide bombing. They are Hezbollah members Salim Ayyash, Assad Sabra, Hussein Oneissi and Hassan Habib Merhi.
Asharq Al-Awsat learned that Saad Hariri will not make any statement on the case before the verdict is issued. The court has heard evidence from more than 300 witnesses and amassed 144,000 pages of evidence. After the verdict is issued, Hariri “will not resort to vengeance” because he differentiates between those who have committed the crime and the confession that they belong to. Hariri is keen on preserving civil peace and on consolidating the national partnership.


Lebanese Forces MP Says PCR Test was ‘Erroneous’
Naharnet/July 27/2020
Strong Republic bloc MP of the Lebanese Forces George Okais clarified on Monday that a PCR test he had taken over the weekend showing he had contracted COVID-19 turned out “false.”“The Health Minister has just informed me that my PCR test that showed me positive for coronavirus on Friday proved to be false. I repeated the test today and it showed a negative result,” said Okais in a tweet. The MP said he was “sorry to make anxious all individuals he met over the week before he ra the test.LF chief Samir Geagea and several MPs and parliament employees started undergoing PCR tests as of Saturday afternoon after Okais announced he had contracted the virus. Okais had announced Saturday that he tested himself for the virus upon learning that his friend Hadi al-Hashem, the director of the Foreign Minister’s office, was infected with coronavirus.


Iranian Ambassador Meets Grand Mufti: Iran Will Not Hesitate to Help Lebanon
Naharnet/July 27/2020
Iranian Ambassador to Lebanon Mohammed Jalal Firouznia confirmed on Monday that his visit to Dar el-Fatwa and his meeting with Grand Mufti of the Republic, Sheikh Abdul Latif Daryan “is to confirm Iran’s support for Lebanon as a people and a country.”“I have stressed several times that any country capable of helping Lebanon must not hesitate to do so. Iran stands by Lebanon’s side in this sensitive ordeal, and we will not hesitate to provide assistance to the entire Lebanese,” said Firouznia from Dar el-Fatwa where he held talks with Daryan. The Iranian ambassador pointed out that “Lebanon is in urgent need to adhere to national unity. We need to reveal Islamic unity in the Arab world as a whole. In Iran, we are open for the sake of reinstating Islamic unity." In response to a question about a possible Israeli strike on Lebanon, he said: “The Israeli enemy has not forgotten its defeat in the July war (2006). If it does such foolishness, there is no doubt that a stronger strike will be waiting for it. The axis of the resistance is stronger than ever.” On the calls to neutralize Lebanon from regional conflicts, he said: “This issue is a private Lebanese matter. All initiatives and ideas at this stage must be taken within the framework of unifying and consolidating national unity."

 

Jumblat Urges ‘Media Alert’ over Increase in Virus Cases
Naharnet/July 27/2020
Progressive Socialist Party leader ex-MP Walid Jumblat said on Monday that Lebanon must declare an "emergency and media alert" because the majority of Lebanese seem to undermine the threat of COVID-19 coronavirus. “A strict emergency and media alert must declared about coronavirus because the majority of citizens have either forgotten or disregard the presence of coronavirus,” said Jumblat in a tweet. He also said the focus must entirely be on equipping the country’s public hospitals, and referred to hundreds of laid-off hospital personnel from major medical facilities without naming any. “Let the focus be entirely on equipping government hospitals above all else, and taking advantage of the medical personnel that were laid off and employed before they migrate,” urged Jumblat. After the opening of its airport and lifting lockdown restrictions, Lebanon witnessed a remarkable uptick in coronavirus cases. The country is poised to take strict and mandatory measures as of Monday in a bid to contain a resurgence of the virus.On Sunday, Lebanon recorded 168 COVID-19 cases raising the country’s overall tally to 3,747 cases -- among them 933 Lebanese expats, according to official data.
The tally includes 51 deaths and 1,692 recoveries.

 

Israel Deploys Anti-Missile Artillery on Border with Lebanon
Naharnet/July 27/2020
The Israeli army reportedly deployed anti-missile artillery and batteries on the borders of Lebanon, Sky News Arabia reported on Monday. The move comes amid heightened tensions on Israel’s borders with Lebanon and Syria. On Sunday, an Israeli reconnaissance drone “on a mission over the border area” crashed evening into Lebanese territory, the Israeli army said. The tensions surged after an Israeli airstrike in Syria killed five Iran-backed fighters including a member of Lebanon’s Hizbullah.

Hizbullah Denies Involvement in Israel Border 'Clash'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/July 27/2020
Hizbullah denied involvement in combat Monday at the Lebanon-Israel border after Israel said it had repelled an attempt by "terrorists" to penetrate its territory. Hizbullah "confirms that it did not take part in any clash and did not open fire in today's events until now," it said in a statement. "All that the enemy's media is claiming about thwarting an infiltration operation from Lebanon into occupied Palestine... is completely false," it added. The group also denied Israeli media reports about Hizbullah casualties in the incident, describing the claims as “an attempt to fabricate fictional and false victories.”The gunfire was “from one side only, the side of the scared, nervous and tense enemy,” Hizbullah added. Moreover, it stressed that its response to the death of its fighter Ali Kamel Mohsen in an Israeli raid in Syria “will certainly come.”“The Zionists will only have to keep waiting for the punishment to their crimes,” Hizbullah said. It also warned that the Israeli shelling that hit a civilian house in the southern town of al-Hibbariyeh will not go without a response. Israel had earlier said that it repelled an attempt by "terrorists" to penetrate its territory, opening fire on the gunmen just after they crossed the frontier with Lebanon. Israel's army said a group of three to five men armed with assault rifles crossed the Blue Line that divides Israel and Lebanon in the occupied Shebaa Farms. Israeli army spokesman Jonathan Conricus said that despite the area being forested, spotters had tracked the group as they approached the Blue Line."Once they crossed the border, we engaged," he said. There was an exchange of fire between the gunmen and Israeli forces, which did not result in any Israeli casualties, Conricus said. "We confirmed visually that the terrorists fled back to Lebanon," he added. Conricus said Israeli forces had fired artillery into Lebanon "for defensive purposes." An AFP correspondent reported Israeli artillery bombardment on the hills of Kfarshouba in the Shebaa Farms area near the Israeli position of Roueysaat al-Alam, and reported plumes of smoke rising above the area. Israel's army had initially ordered civilians on its side of the Blue Line to stay indoors, but later lifted those restrictions. The firing has stopped, according to the United Nations peacekeeping force UNIFIL, which called for "maximum restraint." The border developments come a week after an alleged Israeli missile attack hit positions of Syrian regime forces and their allies south of Damascus on July 20, killing five. Hizbullah said one of its own died in the raid. Hizbullah number two Sheikh Naim Qassem said in a televised interview on Sunday that "if the Israelis decide to launch a war, we will confront it and we will respond."

 

UNIFIL Urges 'Maximum Restraint' after Lebanon-Israel Border 'Clashes'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/July 27/2020
United Nations peacekeeping force UNIFIL called for "maximum restraint" after clashes were reported Monday on the border between Lebanon and Israel, adding the firing had stopped. An AFP correspondent reported Israeli artillery bombardment on the hills of Kfarshouba in the Shebaa Farms area near the Israeli position of Roueysaat al-Alam, and reported plumes of smoke rising above the area. Lebanon and Israel are still technically at war and UNIFIL usually patrols the border between the two. "Major General (Stefano) Del Col has been in contact with both parties to assess the situation and decrease tension while urging maximum restraint," UNIFIL spokesman Andrea Tenenti said. "The firing has now stopped," he added. Hizbullah, which has a large presence in the area, issued no immediate statement on Monday's incident. But its Al-Manar television channel said calm had returned to the area. Media reports meanwhile said that Hizbullah is expected to issue a statement on the developments. Israel said it repelled an attempt by "terrorists" to penetrate its territory, opening fire on the gunmen just after they crossed the frontier with Lebanon. It said a group of three to five men armed with rifles crossed the Blue Line in the Shebaa Farms area. Israeli army spokesman Jonathan Conricus said spotters had tracked the group as they approached the border."Once they crossed the border, we engaged," he said. "We confirmed visually that the terrorists fled back to Lebanon," he added. There were no reported casualties among Israeli forces, Conricus said. Details on any casualties from the Lebanese side were not immediately available. While Conricus did not blame the alleged infiltration attempt on Hizbullah, Israeli army Arabic-language spokesman Avichay Adraee said the suspected operation was carried out by a "Hizbullah cell."Monday's reported border exchange comes a week after an Israeli missile attack hit positions of Syrian regime forces and their allies south of Damascus on July 20, killing five. Hizbullah said one of its own died in the raid. Hizbullah number two Sheikh Naim Qassem said in a televised interview on Sunday that "if the Israelis decide to launch a war, we will confront it and we will respond.""What happened in Syria is an aggression, which led to the death of Ali Kamil Mohsen," he said of last weeks' strikes. Israel has launched hundreds of strikes in Syria since the start of the country's civil war in 2011. Israel and Hizbullah last fought a 33-day war in Lebanon in the summer of 2006.
 

Israel, Hezbollah Trade Fire Across Lebanese Border
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
Israeli forces on Monday exchanged fire with Hezbollah militants along the volatile Israeli-Lebanese frontier, as Israeli civilians living in the area were ordered to remain indoors amid the heaviest fighting between the bitter enemies in nearly a year. The fighting occurred in an area known as Chebaa Farms, which was captured by Israel in the 1967 Middle East war and is claimed by Lebanon. Residents of southern Lebanon near the border reported Israeli shelling was continuing for more than an hour. The fighting came as Israel was on heightened alert for a possible attack by Iran-backed Hezbollah, after an Israeli airstrike in Syria killed a Hezbollah militant last week. A Lebanese source familiar with the operation told Reuters the operation was made in response to last week's attack. In a statement, the Israeli army said a "security incident" had taken place and civilians near the border were to remain in their homes. It also blocked roads and told people to avoid "non-essential" travel. The army declined to give further details, saying the incident was "ongoing." But Israel´s public broadcast channel Kan said there had been an exchange of fire. Israel and Hezbollah fought to a stalemate in a month-long war in Lebanon in 2006. Israel has carried out dozens of airstrikes in Syria in recent years targeting what it says are Iranian weapons shipments bound for Hezbollah in Lebanon. There was no immediate statement by Hezbollah. The UN peacekeeping force in Lebanon, known as UNFIL, said its commander Maj. Gen. Stefano Del Col was in contact with both parties to assess the situation and decrease tensions. "He urges maximum restraint," the UNIFIL statement said. Speaking in parliament, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the government was closely following developments in the north. "The military is prepared for every scenario," he said. "We operate in all the arenas for Israel´s defense - close to our borders and far from our borders."Netanyahu and Defense Minister Benny Gantz cut short meetings in parliament to meet military commanders at army headquarters in Tel Aviv.

 

Netanyahu: Hezbollah is playing with fire

The Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Netanyahu warned that Israel will hold Hezbollah and Lebanon responsible for any attacks from Lebanon into Israel. Any attack from Hezbollah will have a strong response, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said hours after the IDF thwarted an attack on northern Israel by the Lebanese terrorist organization.
“Hezbollah has to know it’s playing with fire,” Netanyahu warned in a statement to the press. “Any attack will be met with great force. [Hezbollah leader Hasan] Nasrallah is greatly mistaken about Israel’s determination to defend itself, and Lebanon has paid a heavy price for this mistake.”
Netanyahu warned that Israel will hold Hezbollah and Lebanon responsible for any attacks from Lebanon into Israel. The prime minister also said Hezbollah is doing Iran’s bidding and harming Lebanon. Alternate Prime Minister and Defense Minister Benny Gantz commended IDF soldiers for preventing “a serious event that could have cost human lives.”“Israel is determined as ever to protect the lives of its soldiers and its civilians…Whoever dares test the force of the IDF is putting himself and the state he comes from in danger,” Gantz warned.
Attacks on Israel will bring a “powerful, sharp and painful” response, the defense minister stated.

 

Was this the long-awaited Hezbollah retaliation?

The Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Hezbollah said nothing happened, the IDF is still on alert... so what's going on?
Late on Monday afternoon, plumes of smoke rose near Har Dov, and residents of Israeli communities all along the borders from the Mediterranean to the Hermon were ordered to remain at home. The long-awaited Hezbollah response was unfolding. Was this the long-awaited Hezbollah retaliation?
The long-awaited Hezbollah response was unfolding. Or was it? According to the IDF, a terrorist attack by a cell of three to five Hezbollah operatives was thwarted after they crossed the Blue Line, several meters into sovereign Israeli territory, and soldiers opened fire on them.
The cell fled back into Lebanon without firing at the soldiers, and both sides claimed there were no casualties.While IDF Spokesperson Brig.-Gen. Hidai Zilberman said civilians could return to their normal routines, the military remains on high alert for future attacks.
If this was Hezbollah’s retaliation for the death of one of their operatives in an alleged Israeli airstrike in Syria, why hasn’t the IDF also returned to “normal?” Why are military vehicles still not allowed to travel on roads adjacent to the border, and why haven’t troops returned to their posts?
Is it possible that this was just Hezbollah testing the IDF?
The narrative pushed by the Hezbollah-affiliated Al Mayadeen news channel is that Israel made up the whole incident. That troops are so on edge about an attack by the Lebanese terrorist army that they fired at what they thought were infiltrators – but in reality were just empty fields.
Hezbollah later released a statement saying that there had been no clash along the border and that the soldiers had fired on empty fields, making up the entire incident due to their “extreme fear” over a Hezbollah retaliation. That’s a nice version if the group does not want an escalation with the Israeli military.
But if what the IDF says is correct, that a cell of Hezbollah operatives tried to attack soldiers on Mount Dov – an area where due to terrain there is no fence separating Israel and Lebanon – then maybe the group is trying to cover up a massive operational failure.
Let’s lay the cards on the table for a minute. Hezbollah lost an operative in an alleged Israeli airstrike and has vowed to avenge the death of any member killed by “Zionist aggression.” It has done so in the past – most notoriously last September, when the group fired three anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs) toward IDF targets in northern Israel near the community of Avivim in retaliation for the killing of two operatives in Syria. The IDF was preparing for a repeat of such a scenario this time. But instead of firing ATGMs, Hezbollah reportedly sent a cell to infiltrate into Israeli territory.
Who sends a cell to climb into Israeli territory during a heat wave unless it expects it to carry out a deadly attack? And Mount Dov, as mentioned earlier, is a tense playground for Hezbollah and the IDF. Just yesterday, UNIFIL soldiers shot in the air after shepherds refused to stop their truck, as requested. The incident, which allegedly occurred near the Lebanese village of al-Wazzani near the contested Shaba Farms, was caught on camera. In May, a Syrian shepherd identified as Mohammed Noureddine Abdul Azim was shot by soldiers after he infiltrated into Israeli territory near Mount Dov. Azim was flown to Rambam Health Care Campus in Haifa, where he was treated for multiple gunshot wounds before being repatriated to Lebanon. Just days before the May incident on Mount Dov, a senior IDF officer stationed in the area told The Jerusalem Post that many shepherds in the area are known to collect intelligence on troop movements. Hezbollah denied there was a clash on the border on Monday. It released a statement saying that the retaliation for Syria was yet to come, as would retaliation for the homes in Lebanon that were damaged by IDF shells.
While the IDF said it had successfully thwarted the attack, the military and defense establishment are still on alert. Hezbollah is saying one thing, the IDF the other. But the IDF must have the footage of the infiltrators crossing into Israeli territory. So release the tapes and the IDF can show this failed attack by Hezbollah, and it can close the chapter on this latest round.

 

IDF thwarts Hezbollah terror cell infiltration along border with Lebanon

The Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Hezbollah cell infiltrated several meters into Israel before being engaged by soldiers • Netanyahu: Hezbollah is playing with fire, Lebanon will be held responsible. Tensions remain high in the North after the IDF thwarted a Hezbollah terrorist attack Monday afternoon near Mount Dov along the border with Lebanon. The defense establishment is concerned Hezbollah might still carry out an attack against the military. A Hezbollah cell, which numbered between three and five operatives, crossed the border, also known as the Blue Line, several meters into sovereign Israeli territory and was identified by the IDF, which opened fire on them with machine guns and tank shells. The cell fled back into Lebanon without firing at the soldiers, IDF Spokesperson Brig.-Gen. Hidai Zilberman said, denying reports that anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs) were fired during the incident.
“We have some tense days ahead,” he said.
While the condition of the Hezbollah cell members was unclear, the Hezbollah-affiliated Al Mayadeen news outlet reported that no Hezbollah fighters were killed during the failed attack. The soldiers were unharmed, the IDF said.
Hezbollah later released a statement saying there had been no clash along the border, and soldiers had fired on empty fields, making up the entire incident due to their “extreme fear” over a Hezbollah retaliation.
“The Islamic Resistance confirms no clash or exchange of fire occurred on its end during today’s incidents until this moment,” Hezbollah said in a statement. “Instead, all came from one side, that of the fearful, worried and nervous Israeli enemy.”
Hezbollah said its response to the death of its member in Syria was “definitely coming” and that the damage of one of the houses in the village of Al-Habariyah “will not pass quietly.”In a press conference Monday evening, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said any attack from Hezbollah would be met with a strong response by the Israeli military.
“Hezbollah has to know it’s playing with fire,” he said. “Any attack will be met with great force. [Hezbollah leader Hassan] Nasrallah is greatly mistaken about Israel’s determination to defend itself, and Lebanon has paid a heavy price for this mistake.” Israel will hold Hezbollah and Lebanon responsible for any attacks from Lebanon into Israel, Netanyahu said. Hezbollah is doing Iran’s bidding and harming Lebanon, he said. Sitting next to him, Alternate Prime Minister and Defense Minister Benny Gantz said the soldiers prevented a more serious attack that could have claimed lives.
“Lebanon and Syria are sovereign states and will bear the painful responsibility for any terrorist act that takes place from their territory,” he said. “Anyone who dares to test the power of the IDF will endanger himself and the country from which he operates. Any action against the State of Israel will lead to a powerful, sharp and painful response.”
Earlier in the afternoon, there had been unconfirmed reports of an exchange of fire along the border. Photos released by Hezbollah-affiliated reporters on Twitter showed plumes of smoke near Kfarchouba in southern Lebanon near the Mount Dov area after reports of the IDF firing shells toward the area.
UN Interim Force in Lebanon Maj.-Gen. Stefano Del Col contacted Israeli and Lebanese forces during the incident in an attempt to restore calm. According to various Lebanese media reports, a Hezbollah cell fired ATGMs toward an IDF vehicle near the southern Shaba Farms area, and the IDF responded by shelling Lebanese territory. During the incident, residents of northern Israeli communities bordering the Lebanese border were instructed by the IDF to remain in their homes and that nonessential car travel “should be avoided.” But after about an hour of clashes, Home Front Command said residents could “return to normal.”
Lebanese media also reported that residents close to the Israeli border could return to their daily routine as the smoke cleared. Nevertheless, Zilberman said the military considers the event to be ongoing, with the possibility of additional attacks.
More than a dozen communities, including Avivim, Hagoshrim, Zarit, Hanit, Yiftah, Kfar Giladi, Misgav Am, Metulla, Neveh Ativ, Kiryat Shmona, Rosh Hanikra, Shlomi and Shetula, were affected after the security incident in the area of Mount Dov was reported.
Netanyahu and Gantz left the Knesset, where they had been holding faction meetings, and headed to the Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv to oversee the operations.
MOMENTS BEFORE the incident began, Netanyahu warned that Lebanon and Hezbollah would be responsible for any attack against Israel.
“Our policy is clear,” he said during the Likud faction meeting. “First, we will not allow Iran to entrench militarily on our border with Syria. This is the policy that I set years ago; we uphold it consistently. Second, Lebanon and Hezbollah will bear the responsibility for any attack against us emanating from Lebanese territory.”Netanyahu made the comments as tensions remain high along Israel’s northern border, with the IDF concerned of a potential Hezbollah attack against military targets, either by sniper or anti-tank guided missiles.
“The IDF is prepared for any scenario,” he said. “We are active in all arenas for the security of Israel – both close to our borders and far from them. We are constantly monitoring what is happening on our northern border. When I say ‘we,’ that means myself, the defense minister, the IDF chief of staff – all of us together.”Netanyahu cut short the Likud faction meeting and left Jerusalem for the Kirya military headquarters in Tel Aviv to hold a security assessment.
“We are in the midst of a serious security event,” he said.
Gantz, who also left the Knesset for the security assessment with Netanyahu and other senior defense officials, warned before the incident that “no enemy test us.”Speaking at the beginning of the Blue and White faction meeting, he said: “Whoever does so will discover a determined and alert military that is ready to protect the citizens of Israel and its sovereignty.”“I reiterate: The responsibility lies with the State of Syria and the State of Lebanon for any action that is taken from their territory,” he added. Iran and its proxies continue to “try to establish an Iranian choke hold” along Israel’s northern border, but the IDF and security forces will “continue to act against Iran, the smuggling of weaponry and against the precision-missile project,” Gantz said. He spoke with IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Aviv Kochavi – who has been in Safed at Northern Command headquarters for the past three days – regarding the incident in the North and was updated on the situation. Gantz also spoke with the heads of communities on the Israeli-Lebanon confrontation line, led by Mateh Asher Regional Council chairman Moshe Davidovich. The IDF has been on high alert since an alleged Israeli airstrike in Syria last week killed a Hezbollah fighter.
Following a situational assessment on Friday, and in accordance with Northern Command’s defense plan, the military said it deployed additional soldiers to Division 91 and the 210 Bashan Division, along with artillery and field intelligence troops “with the goal of strengthening defenses along the northern border.”
Iron Dome missile-defense batteries were also on alert, as well as IAF jets.

الهاررتس الإسرائيلية: الجيش الإسرائيلي أحبط محاولة تسلل لحزب الله عبر الحدود في منطقة شبعا
Israeli Army Says Thwarted Hezbollah Infiltration Attempt Along Lebanon Border

Haaretz/July 27/2020
Lebanese sources say Hezbollah carried out an operation in a disputed border area, allegedly in response to the death of a fighter last week in an airstrike attributed to Israel ■ No casualties reported
The army said Monday it had thwarted an attempt by Hezbollah to infiltrate into Israel, adding that all Israelis in the border area had been ordered to remain indoors after an exchange of artillery fire between the two sides. Monday's clash comes after the Iran-backed Lebanese Shi'ite group vowed to avenge one of its fighters, who was reportedly killed in an airstrike on pro-Iranian militants in Syria that was attributed to Israel. Israel Defense Forces Spokesman Brig. Gen. Hidai Zilberman said a group of about five Hezbollah operatives crossed several meters into Israel, but fled back to Lebanon after Israeli forces opened fire at them. Zilberman said their condition is unknown, and confirmed no Israeli soldiers were hurt.Earlier, the IDF spokesman said there had been an incident on the border with Lebanon, in the Har Dov area. Hezbollah-affiliated Al Mayadeen reportred that Hezbollah targeted an Israeli vehicle with a guided Kornet missile. Lebanese sources confirmed to Reuters that Hezbollah carried out an operation against the Israeli army in the disputed Shebaa Farms. One of the sources said it was in response to last week's killing of a Hezbollah fighter. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in Jerusalem that "we are in the midst of a complicated event." He then made his way to military headquarters in Tel Aviv, where he was joined by Defense Minister Benny Gantz. A reporter for the Hezbollah-affiliated Al Manar network later reported that Israel was attacking in the area of Kfarchouba, on the Lebanese side of the border, north of Har Dov. For just over an hour, the IDF ordered residents of the border region to remain indoors, refrain from going out into open areas, including for farming. The army closed major roads, and asked residents to avoid unnecessary trips.
Things eventually returned to normal less than two hours after the beginning of the incident, with Lebanese media also reporting that the situation was calm in villages in southern Lebanon. Israeli airstrikes that hit military posts south of Damascus last week killed five foreign fighters and wounded several others, a Syrian war monitor reported. The airstrikes came in response to an earlier attack on the Golan Heights which it attributed to Syrian forces.  On Sunday, Hezbollah said it has no intention of divulging “precise details” about how it will respond to “Israel’s aggression,” the organization’s deputy secretary general, Naim Qassem, said.  “There’s no change in the rules of the game and the formula for our response,” he told Al Mayadeen, a pro-Hezbollah Lebanese television station. “A balance of deterrence against Israel exists, and we don’t intend to change this balance.”
Qassem also confirmed that Israel had sent Hezbollah a message via the United Nations. On Saturday, Al Mayadeen reported that Israel told Hezbollah it hadn’t intended to kill the operative in last week’s airstrike, which was aimed at combating Iran’s presence in Syria.
Israel’s military has taken a number of steps to increase preparedness after Hezbollah said in a statement this week that one of its fighters was killed in a Monday night strike blamed on Israel near Damascus International Airport, south of the Syrian capital.

Did Hezbollah paint itself into a corner over 'retaliation policy?'


Fighting breaks out on Israel-Lebanon border
Rina Bassist/AL-MONITOR/July 27/2020
Tensions keep escalating on the Israel-Lebanon border, with IDF and Hezbollah exchanging heavy fire.
Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Spokesman Brig. Gen. Hidai Zilberman said this afternoon that Israeli troops thwarted a Hezbollah attack near the border with Lebanon. According to reports, a Hezbollah cell of three to five operatives crossed the Blue Line border a few meters into sovereign Israeli territory. The troops then opened fire at the group with machine guns and tank shells. It was reported earlier in the day that IDF and Hezbollah exchanged heavy fire today in that area. According to reports, Hezbollah launched an attack on Israeli troops on the frontier, apparently in retaliation for the death of Hezbollah operative Ali Kamel Mohsen Jawad, who was killed in a July 20 airstrike south of Damascus. Israel did not take responsibility for that strike, but Hezbollah was quick to blame Israel and promised to react. The IDF has in recent days increased deployment of forces in the north and has also increased the deployment of Iron Dome anti-missile batteries in the region. It was published this morning that the IDF now estimates Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah won’t settle for anything less than hurting Israeli soldiers as retaliation for the killing of Jawad.
Today’s exchange of fire took place in the contested Mount Dov, also known as Shebaa Farms — an area Israel, Lebanon and Syria each claim as its own. Residents in the region reported sounds of gunfire and explosion and huge clouds of smoke rising in the air. According to Hezbollah-affiliated media outlet al-Mayadeen, Hezbollah militants fired a Kornet anti-tank guided missile at an IDF tank. Hezbollah-affiliated TV station Al-Manar reported on Israeli artillery fire in the region.
Following reports on the escalation, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu cut short the weekly Likud faction meeting and is set to meet now with Defense Minister Benny Gantz and senior security officials for an emergency meeting.
This afternoon, IDF instructed residents in localities near the border, including the towns of Kiryat Shmona and Metula, to stay home, and blocked the access to some of the main transportation axes in the north. Already this weekend, the army has blocked some of the roads near the border for passage of civilian vehicles, and farmers were prevented from reaching fields close to the border fence. On July 24, shrapnel hit a building and a vehicle in the Druze village of Majd al-Shams, but no injuries were reported. IDF fired at some Syrian military targets in the southern Quneitra region after the shrapnel incident.
Speaking at the weekly Cabinet meeting July 26, Prime Minister Netanyahu warned that Israel “won’t allow Iran to entrench militarily on our northern border. Lebanon and Syria are responsible for any attack from its territory against Israel. We will not allow anyone to upend our security or threaten our citizens. We won’t tolerate any attack on our forces.”Visiting the north of Israel on Sunday, Defense Minister Gantz issued a clear threat to Hezbollah, saying Israel was prepared to take harsh action against “anyone who tests us.” Gantz added, "We acted against the entrenchment of Iran in Syria. If someone involved in Iran’s activities in Syria — which we will continue to act against — this is liable to happen. We take that into account."Also on Sunday, IDF said one of its drones had crashed in southern Lebanon. The army said the drone went down over Lebanese territory during operational activities along the border, stating there was no concern that any information was leaked.
 

A week ago, when Hezbollah indicated one of its fighters, Ali Mohsen, was killed in Syria, the group immediately had its social media fans calling for attacks on Israel.
The Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Hezbollah has been telegraphing its policy of retaliation for months, trying to build up some kind of deterrence that it thinks will help it save face in case of potential casualties in Syria.
The idea has come about over the last years, in which Hezbollah has often followed through on claims it will retaliate against Israel if its members are targeted or killed. In this it tried to create a balance of terror. On July 27, it seems to have put that process into action in a limited way at first.
Many are scratching their heads after a small Hezbollah squad apparently approached Israel through the Mount Dov area. This is a disputed area that has long been targeted by Hezbollah. The group claims it is “resisting” Israel and trying to “liberate” the area, which it claims for Lebanon from the “Zionists.” But Hezbollah has hinted over the years that the battle with Israel will spread beyond Mount Dov to the whole border, as well as the Syrian side of the Golan Heights.
A week ago, when Hezbollah indicated one of its fighters, Ali Mohsen, was killed in Syria, the group immediately had its social-media fans calling for attacks on Israel. It took a week for Hezbollah to do something. Pro-Hezbollah media linked to Iran and the Syrian regime all sought to praise and highlight the group’s July 27 raid into Mount Dov. Al Mayadeen claimed the group targeted a tank. Iran’s Fars News also said there were “unconfirmed reports” of an attack on a “Zionist tank.”
All these programs claimed they relied on Israeli media for their information. Clearly, the Hezbollah information machine was in the bunker with Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. These channels also pointed out an Israeli drone had crashed a day ago, as if to link it to Hezbollah’s “success.”
Overall, the perception in the afternoon was that Israel had thwarted a daylight attack. It bore some commonalities with the September 1, 2019, retaliation Hezbollah carried out after it claimed an Israeli drone crashed in Beirut and after two of its members were killed in Syria. Both attacks took place in daylight.
In the 2019 incident, anti-tank missiles were fired. Israel evacuated mannequins placed in the vehicle that was hit. This ability to avoid casualties and have Hezbollah “retaliate” was unique last year. This year, it appears Hezbollah sent a small team to actually infiltrate into an area where Israeli forces are located.
Russia’s Sputnik in Arabic had another interpretation. Relying on a “source,” it claimed Hezbollah tried to infiltrate the border village of Ghajar, and it was exposed in the process of targeting an “Israeli military convoy.” In Lebanon, initial reports implied there were no Hezbollah casualties. Israel said in the afternoon there were no casualties. Some wondered if the incident was conjured up for Hezbollah to pretend it had done something, while doing nothing.
But the pro-Hezbollah narrative will be that they succeeded in crossing the Blue Line, just as they claim to have cut three holes in the border fence earlier this year as a “success.” They showed they could attack at a time and place of their choosing and keep Israel waiting. Nasrallah thus did what he said he would do. He “retaliated.”Hezbollah’s narrative is that Israel is worried about Hezbollah and that it fears Hezbollah’s retaliation. This narrative works on several levels. It enables Hezbollah to pretend it is doing something and allows it to save face by carrying out smaller retaliations.
Over the last number of days, reports indicated that both Israel and Hezbollah did not want an escalation. Hezbollah seemed to play down talk of wider conflict. But Hezbollah is facing other problems, such as an economic crisis. This means it might need a distraction. However, it also knows that any incident could spiral out of control.
The question for Hezbollah is whether it painted itself into a corner with its balance of deterrence. There are now several incidents to look toward as a kind of model for Israel-Hezbollah relations. The problem is that complacency and expectation of de-escalation could lead to false beliefs that there will not one day be a false move, or miscalculation, by one side that leads to wider conflict. Hezbollah continues to import precision-guided munitions from Iran and build up its arsenal, and it continues to slowly digest Lebanon’s government and economy. That is Iran’s real goal – to present an increased military threat along the Lebanese and Syrian border. It is not that Iran wants de-escalation; it wants a long-term threat close to Israel.
In this respect, Hezbollah initially showed it could decide when and where to strike in retaliation. It also showed that it somehow has a “right” to have its fighters in Syria and that if they are wounded, then it can “retaliate” as it chooses.
This presents a balance in which it has effectively extended its “right” to be present in Syria, much as it slowly became a norm to have Hezbollah run southern Lebanon. In this sense, what was once a question mark becomes reality.
On the larger playing field of the Middle East, therefore, Hezbollah acquiring this “right” to retaliate may be the larger story, even if its actual act appears to be a failure or an Israeli success in thwarting Nasrallah’s moves. That also leads to Nasrallah adopting a view that he can continue to hold Israel in waiting as to when he might next need to carry out an operation.

Netanyahu warns Hezbollah against 'playing with fire' after border attack
Bassam Zaazaa/The National/July 27/2020
Israeli military says there was exchange of gunfire but Lebanese group denies involvement
Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday evening warned Hezbollah against aggression, after the two sides exchanged fire along their border in the heaviest fighting between the bitter enemies in almost a year. "Hezbollah should know it is playing with fire," Mr Netanyahu said in a televised address from Israel's Defence Ministry headquarters in Tel Aviv. He said that any attacks from Lebanese territory would draw a powerful response. The Israel army earlier said it foiled a Hezbollah attempt to infiltrate its territory after a cell of four fighters crossed the Lebanese borders and exchanged fire with Israeli forces. The military said it had ordered residents along the border to remain indoors as local media reported an exchange of artillery fire near Shebaa Farms, where explosions were heard. Hezbollah dismissed the Israeli claims about "purported skirmishes". But the attack by the Iran-backed militia was in response to the killing of one of its fighters in an Israeli strike on the edge of Damascus last Monday, a Lebanese source told Reuters. The Israeli army said a “security incident” had taken place. It said it blocked roads and told people to avoid “non-essential” travel.
Israel’s public broadcast channel Kan said there had been an exchange of fire. Israeli army spokesman Lt Col Jonathan Conricus said the military thwarted "an attempt to infiltrate into Israel” by a group of armed militants. “We know for certain that they were armed and that they crossed the Blue Line into Israel,” Lt Col Conricus said. The militia rejected the accusations. Hezbollah "confirms that it did not take part in any clash and did not open fire in today's events until now", it said. "All that the enemy's media is claiming about thwarting an infiltration operation from Lebanon into occupied Palestine is completely false."
Andrea Tenenti, spokesman for the UN Interim Force in Lebanon, said the head of mission and force commander, Maj Gen Stefano Del Col, contacted both sides to assess the situation and ease tension. Gen Del Col urged both parties to exercise "maximum restraint".
Former Lebanese environment minister Wiam Wahhab tweeted: “I doubt that what happened in south Lebanon today was an operation by the resistance but it seems that the Israelis are petrified from an operation. Briefly, that is what happened.”
After the incident, a resident’s house was hit by Israeli shelling in Al Hbareyye, a border village in southern Lebanon's Al Arqoub region.
Abou Hassan Daher, a resident of Al Kheyam, another border village, told The National that clashes were heard and smoke could be seen from the Israeli shelling. “Shortly after lunch we were napping when we heard several explosions and gunfire coming from the other side of the border line," Mr Daher said.
"We stepped out to the balcony and saw thick smoke rising up near Haramoun Mountain."Israel has carried out dozens of air strikes in Syria in recent years, aiming for what it says are Iranian weapons shipments bound for Hezbollah in Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told Parliament that the government was closely following developments in the north.“The military is prepared for every scenario,” Mr Netanyahu said. “We operate in all the arenas for Israel’s defence, close to our borders and far from our borders.”Tension rose along Israel’s northern frontiers with Lebanon and Syria, including the occupied Golan Heights, after last week’s attack. “We maintain the policy that I set years ago: we will not allow Iran to establish itself on our border," Mr Netanyahu said earlier on Monday, the Jerusalem Post reported.
"Lebanon and Hezbollah will be responsible for any attack against us that comes out of Lebanon."
 

Hezbollah says all-out war with Israel unlikely in coming months

Reuters/July 27/2020
Tensions rose along Israel's frontier with Syria and Lebanon after Lebanon's Hezbollah militia said a fighter was killed in an apparent Israeli strike on the edge of Damascus last week. The deputy leader of Lebanon's powerful Hezbollah movement on Sunday dismissed the prospect of an escalation of violence between the Iran-backed movement and Israel despite increased tensions in the last week. "The atmosphere does not indicate a war ... It's unlikely, the atmosphere of war in the next few months," Sheikh Naim Qassem said in an interview with pro-Damascus television station al Mayadeen. Tensions rose along Israel's frontier with Syria and Lebanon after Lebanon's Hezbollah militia said a fighter was killed in an apparent Israeli strike on the edge of Damascus last week. After two Hezbollah members were killed in Damascus in August 2019, Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah vowed the group would respond if Israel killed any more of its fighters inside Syria.The Israeli military has since boosted its forces on its northern front. An Israeli drone crashed inside Lebanon during operational activity along the border, an Israeli military spokeswoman said on Sunday.
Israel has stepped up strikes on Syria in recent months in what Western intelligence sources say is a shadow war approved by Washington that has undermined Iran's military power in the region without triggering a major increase in hostilities. Hezbollah has deployed fighters in Syria as part of Iranian-backed efforts to support President Bashar al-Assad in a conflict that spiraled out of protests against his rule in 2011. The bases in eastern, central and southern Syria which Israel has hit in recent months are believed to have a strong presence of Iranian-backed militias, according to intelligence sources and military defectors familiar with the locations. Analysts say Hezbollah and Israel want to avoid an all-out conflict at a time of regional tensions and keep rules of engagement drawn up since the Iran-backed movement fought a one-month war with Israel in 2006. "There is no change of rules of engagement and the deterrent equation with Israel exists and we are not planning to change it," Qassem said.


Hezbollah Deputy Chief: All-out War with Israel Unlikely in Coming Months
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
The deputy leader of Lebanon's Hezbollah, Naim Qassem, has dismissed the prospect of an escalation of violence between the Iran-backed party and Israel despite increased tensions in the last week. "The atmosphere does not indicate a war ... It's unlikely, the atmosphere of war in the next few months," Qassem said in an interview on Sunday. Tensions rose along Israel's frontier with Syria and Lebanon after Hezbollah said a fighter was killed in an apparent Israeli strike on the edge of Damascus last week. After two Hezbollah members were killed in Damascus in August 2019, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah vowed the group would respond if Israel killed any more of its fighters inside Syria. The Israeli military has since boosted its forces on its northern front. An Israeli drone crashed inside Lebanon during operational activity along the border, an Israeli military spokeswoman said on Sunday.
Analysts say Hezbollah and Israel want to avoid an all-out conflict at a time of regional tensions and keep rules of engagement drawn up since the party fought a one-month war with Israel in 2006. "There is no change of rules of engagement and the deterrent equation with Israel exists and we are not planning to change it," Qassem said. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday that the Lebanese state was responsible for any attack on Israel from within its territory.

In North, Gantz warns that Israel will meet tests with strong response

Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
‘We are not looking for unnecessary escalations,’ says defense minister
As tensions remain high between Israel and Hezbollah, Alternate Prime Minister and Defense Minister Benny Gantz visited IDF Northern Command Sunday afternoon, warning that Israel will continue to protect its security interests.
In the North, Gantz held a situational assessment with IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Aviv Kochavi, OC Northern Command Maj.-Gen. Amir Baram, OC Operations Directorate Maj.-Gen. Aaron Haliva and lower-ranking commanders in the field.
According to a statement released by his office, he “took a closer look at the IDF’s preparations in the face of tensions” and was impressed by the way troops are preparing throughout the North. “We believe there can be [security] events on the border. We are prepared for all possibilities,” Gantz said.
“The State of Israel has no interests in Syria or Lebanon, except for security interests,” he said, adding that Israel will “continue to ensure our security interests,” which include the prevention of entrenchment by Iranian forces, the blocking of the transfer of advanced weapons and preventing the development of precision missiles in Syria or Lebanon.
“The situation in Lebanon and Syria is not good, not economically, not in terms of the coronavirus and not in terms of their infrastructure,” Gantz said. “I remind both Lebanon and Syria that they are responsible for what is happening in their territory. The State of Israel will demand this responsibility. We are not looking for unnecessary escalations, but whoever tests us will meet a very strong response. I hope we will not have to use it.”Earlier in the day, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that Syria and Lebanon would bear full responsibility for any attack against Israel coming from their territory.
Speaking at the weekly cabinet meeting, he said Israel “won’t allow Iran to entrench militarily on our northern border. Lebanon and Syria are responsible for any attack from its territory against Israel. We will not allow anyone to upend our security or threaten our citizens. We won’t tolerate any attack on our forces.”Netanyahu said he, Gantz and Kochavi were conducting ongoing situational assessments, and “the IDF is prepared to respond to any threat.”Following the alleged Israeli strikes last Monday, the Lebanese daily Al-Akhbar reported that Hezbollah had raised its alert level “to monitor activities” of IDF soldiers along the border between the two countries, and statements attributed to Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah suggested that Israel be wary of an attack.
The strike targeted several sites around the capital, including a major ammunition depot, and killed several Iranian and Syrian personnel as well as Hezbollah terrorist Ali Kamel Mohsen. “We acted against the entrenchment of Iran in Syria,” Gantz said. “If someone is involved in Iran’s activities in Syria, which we will continue to act against, this is liable to happen.”Following a situational assessment on Friday and in accordance with Northern Command’s defensive plan, the IDF said it would be reinforcing troops, artillery batteries and enhanced field intelligence in the area “with the goal of strengthening defenses along the northern border.”The military deployed troops to Division 91 and 210 Bashan Division along with artillery and intelligence troops. Iron Dome missile-defense batteries were also on alert, as were IAF jets. Following threats by Nasrallah that the entire northern front is open for retaliation, the military has also moved some soldiers deeper into Israel out of their positions directly along the border so that they would not be a target for Hezbollah. The moves are part of the military’s strengthening of power and readiness in anticipation of any retaliation by the Lebanese Shi’ite terrorist group, which it expects against soldiers or a military installation along the border, but not against civilians.
On Sunday evening, the IDF said a drone crashed in Lebanon during a routine operation along the border, but there was no risk of any intelligence being compromised. Also on Sunday evening, Lebanese media reported that the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) peacekeepers fired in the air after two shepherds failed to stop their truck as requested. The incident, which allegedly occurred near the Lebanese village of al-Wazzani near the contested Sheeba Farms, was caught on camera. In a statement carried by L’Orient-le-Jour newspaper, the Wazzani Municipality “strongly condemned the assault, the blocking of the roads and shooting that was experienced by the residents who work in the pastures.” The municipality accused the “UNIFIL forces operating in the south, and specifically the Spanish battalion,” and asked that the agency look into the incident.
In May, a Syrian shepherd identified as Mohammed Noureddine Abdul Azim was shot by IDF forces after he infiltrated into Israeli territory near Mount Dov. Azim was flown to Rambam Health Care Campus in Haifa, where he was treated for multiple gunshot wounds before being repatriated to Lebanon.
Just days before the incident on Mount Dov, a senior IDF officer stationed in the area told The Jerusalem Post many shepherds in the area were known to collect intelligence on troop movements. The IDF has identified several locations along the Golan Heights where Hezbollah collects intelligence on Israel, the officer said, adding that “whoever crosses the demilitarized zone into Israel is considered a threat, and the IDF will respond accordingly.”

 

The Struggle over Beirut’s History
Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al Awsat/July, 27/2020
Some Lebanese are taking refuge in nostalgia today, as usually happens when one feels that a phase is ending and a way of life is waning. Their current nostalgia revolves around Beirut, their capital. The period they are feeling nostalgic for, their belle époque, is the 1960s in particular.
This decade, while it is appealing universally, is emphatically appealing to the Lebanese. It extends from the settlement reached by the United States and Egypt that made Fouad Chehab president in 1958 until the 1967 war and the subsequent tensions at the border with Israel after the Palestinian resistance was established. The subsequent 1969 Cairo Agreement that announced the state's duality was the climax and the end. This decade witnessed the flourishing of Lebanese capitalism and its expansion to the peripheries of the country, but it was also characterized by a relatively large degree of stability, an expansion of the middle class and Beirut’s presence, at the same time, at the heart of the world. In that decade, the city seemed simultaneously charming and enchanted. However, in the Lebanese’ divergent interpretations of their “belle époque”, we find yet another manifestation of their sectarian and cultural contentions. For each of them chooses reasons and meanings different to those of the others. Among the various interpretations, today, two have a strong and somewhat clamorous presence.
We have a touristic folkloric tale that presents Beirut as a city for foreign visitors, providing them with hotels, cafes, banks and entertainment. Beirut, in this story, is not the capital of every region, including the miserable ones in the south, north and Bekaa, nor is it walled with poor people who were its belt of misery. It is only the capital of a few archaeological sites in Baalbek, Jbeil and Sidon, as well as a few ski resorts in Faqra and Laqlouq. As for the city's makers, they are but a mere handful of the patrons of the tourism and hospitality industries who host musicians and foreign actors and organize folkloric festivals, theater performances and concerts. Bankers and businessmen are the most prominent among them, accompanied by their “velvet salon madams", the crème de la crème.
The counter-narrative to the tourist tale is one of arms; Beirut had become what it became because it welcomed fighters, wrote about fighters, or held demonstrations that called for one sort of conflict or another. According to this story, Beirut is the city that adored Gamal Abdel Nasser and in which the novelist who was assassinated by Israel, Ghassan Kanafani, resided. George Habash and Wadih Haddad, the founders of the Arab Nationalist Movement and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine graduated from its American university, where an Arab Nationalist ideologue, Constantine Zuriek, gave classes.
The tourism narrative is traditionally a Christian one. It was inherited, during the Rafik Hariri era, by the Sunnis, who added an emphasis on construction and reconstruction. The arms narrative, traditionally Sunni, was inherited by the Shiites during the Hezbollah era. They changed its figures and events without altering the centrality of struggle and resistance. Some of its eloquent narrators were brought up in Arab Nationalist and Palestinian parties.
In fact, the Beirut of the 1960s is bigger than either narrative makes it out to be. Each of them only tells of fragments of its many parts. The city was not made by businessmen and notables, even with the benevolent efforts on the part of some among them. Their role is dwarfed by the role of those among its sons and immigrants from the peripheries and the outside who worked and toiled, becoming its sons themselves.
Moreover, one of the reasons for Beirut's importance and uniqueness was its role in creating a welcoming society, receiving and embracing strangers and making them feel that they had become part of its fabric. Of course, Beirut is not a demonstration or two or 20 demonstrations, though these mobilizations sometimes manifested the city's vitality and democratic opposition, or the desire of those who felt alienated from it to integrate into it. As for the idea that Beirut could be summed up in one or two plays calling for "arming the masses" (who, fortunately, were not armed at the time), this does not even summarize its theater, let alone the city itself. The city was, at the same time, its cafés, hotels, restaurants, banks, hospitals, newspapers, publishing houses, universities, cinemas and theaters, those who supported the authorities and those who opposed them, resistance and defeatism and right and left. The Arab intellectuals enthusiastic about fighting a certain enemy flocked to it as did Arab capitalists smuggling their capital out of the countries ruled by militant nationalist regimes with a certain love for arms. Arab and Western tourists came as well. Its Lebanese university produced a new elite that broke the sectarian and territorial centrality of Christian Mount Lebanon, and its American, Jesuit and Arab universities opened it up to the various sources of education from the region and the world, and consequently to the world's many markets, allowing its students to meet each of these markets’ requisites and demands. If we were to sum it up in one word, it would be freedom. This exactly what creates our nostalgia revolves around Beirut, regardless of the parties’ different interpretations of it.


The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on July 27-28/2020
Turkish magazine calls for founding Islamic caliphate after Hagia Sophia conversion
Emily Judd, Al Arabiya English/Monday 27 July 2020
A Turkish magazine called for the establishment of an Islamic caliphate on Monday following the conversion of the Hagia Sophia into a mosque. The latest cover of the magazine “Gercek-Hayat,” translated as “True Life” in English, reads “Now Hagia Sophia and Turkey are independent…Get together for Caliphate.”“If not now, when? If not you, who?” it goes on to say, in both Turkish, English, and Arabic. Some have interpreted this as a call for Erdogan to establish Islamic rule that transcends Turkey’s borders. The cover displays the Arabic words of the Islamic declaration of faith known as the shahada. Earlier this month Erdogan announced the conversion of the ancient Hagia Sophia - originally built as a church in the sixth century – from a museum into a mosque. It officially opened as a mosque on Friday with Erdogan in attendance for prayers and Turkey’s top government imam delivering a sermon holding an Ottoman sword.
Erdogan as ‘caliph’
Turkish journalist Abdurrahman Dilipak, who shared the magazine cover on his Twitter account, said last year that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has earned the title of “Caliph.” “The Caliphate now rests with President Erdogan,” Dilipak said during an interview last March, according to Ahval news outlet. Erdogan has styled himself to be a global Islamic leader in line with Turkey’s Ottoman history, whose rulers used the title caliphs to perpetuate a claim that they are the true rulers of the Islamic world. The term caliph has been used by terrorist organizations like ISIS to symbolize their desire to control the Muslim world and bring it under an extremist Islamic rule. Magazine links to the Turkish government. Gercek Hayat is an Islamist weekly magazine that has links to the Turkish government, according to former Turkish parliament member Aykan Erdemir. The publishers of Gercek Hayat own one of the leading pro-Erdogan daily newspapers in Turkey, which has received “significant economic support from government and pro-government entities over the years,” said Erdemir who is now senior director of the Turkey Program at the US thinktank Foundation for Defense of Democracies. The magazine has a history of making comments against religious minorities in Turkey including Christians and Jewish people, according to Erdemir. In May, religious minorities in Turkey condemned the magazine for linking three religious minority leaders – the Chief Rabbi, the Armenian patriarch, and the Greek Orthodox ecumenical patriarch – to terrorism. The anti-Christian and anti-Semitic incitement in Gercek Hayat is “in-part government-funded and hence government-sanctioned,” according to Erdemir. “If Erdogan’s government was truly concerned about Gercek Hayat’s targeting of religious minorities, they could have stopped providing economic support to its publishers,” he said.

 

Spain sees thaw in Europe-Turkey tensions on energy drilling in Mediterranean
Reuters/Monday 27 July 2020
Spain’s foreign minister said that talks in Turkey on Monday had helped to reduce tensions between some European Union members and Ankara over Turkish energy exploration in the Mediterranean, adding that a one-month pause in drilling was possible. Foreign minister Arancha Gonzalez Laya, at a news conference in Ankara with Turkish counterpart Mevlut Cavusoglu, said an “inflexion point” had been reached on the dispute over drilling for oil and gas in the eastern Mediterranean Sea. Turkey is at loggerheads with Greece and Cyprus over overlapping claims for offshore reserves and the two EU members, along with France, have rejected Turkey’s plan to explore between Cyprus and Crete. Paris and Athens have called for sanctions against Turkey for what they view as an encroachment on Greek and Cypriot waters, while Berlin has warned Ankara to cease “provocations”. Turkey has rejected the criticism and said it is abiding by international law. The Turkish lira has, meanwhile, slipped to near a record low versus the euro. “We have reached some inflexion point mainly on the drilling in the eastern Mediterranean and this was a useful dialogue with Mevlut to deescalate tensions that exist,” Gonzalez Laya said. “I think his will to pause exploration for at least a month to give space to dialogue between parties is a signal of confidence,” she said. Cavusoglu did not mention any plans to pause, and Turkey’s foreign ministry was not immediately available to comment. Last week Turkey’s navy issued an advisory for seismic surveys at sea in a move Greece said was an attempt to encroach on its continental shelf. The Turkish research ship is still anchored outside Antalya. Ibrahim Kalin, chief adviser to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, said last week that threatening sanctions “will never fly here and will have no impact on Turkey’s sovereignty or determination in pursuing the national interest.” Last week, French President Emmanuel Macron said the EU should also take action against Turkey over its role in Libya’s conflict.


Hook: Lifting Arms Embargo On Iran Will Intensify Conflicts In Syria And Elsewhere
Radio Farda/July 27/2020
The United States Special Representative for Iran Brian Hook says conflicts in Syria and elsewhere will escalate if the United Nations arms embargo on Iran is lifted. Meanwhile, Hook added that the Islamic Republic of Iran has constantly continued to violate the terms of the arms embargo. Based on the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran the UN Security Council will lift the arms embargo imposed on Iran more than a decade ago by October 18. However, the United States has started an initiative to extend the embargo beyond the deadline, what seems to be part of its maximum pressure campaign.
The United States believes lifting the arms embargo against Iran would be dangerous. Washington has prepared a draft resolution it has submitted to the UNSC members. Hook said that ending the embargo will seriously compromise peace and security of the Middle East. “No one believes Iran should be able to buy and sell conventional weapons,” he said, adding that “Conflicts in Syria and elsewhere will intensify if arms embargo on Iran is lifted.”Russia and China have opposed the idea of extending the embargo, but the United States is still trying to convince the two countries to vote for an extension.U.S. President Donald Trump has earlier discussed the matter in a conversation with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, but Russian officials appear to be adamant not to change their position.

 

Two Baghdad Protesters Dead after Clashes with Police
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/July 27/2020
Two demonstrators died in Baghdad early on Monday after being shot with tear gas canisters in confrontations with security forces, medics said, the first victims of protest-related violence under Iraq's new premier. The deaths threaten to reignite a country-wide protest movement that erupted in October over government graft and incompetence but had died down in recent months. On Sunday, demonstrators staged angry rallies over power outages in the capital and several southern cities, where temperatures topping 50 degrees Celsius have overwhelmed electricity generators. In Baghdad, dozens gathered at the protest hub of Tahrir Square, clashing with police and other security forces stationed there. An AFP correspondent saw the burnt remains of tent structures in the square on Monday morning. "Two protesters died this morning. One was shot with a tear gas canister in the head, and another in the neck," a medical source told AFP on Monday. The two victims are the first since Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhemi, who had promised a dialogue with protesters, took office in May. In a statement overnight, his office acknowledged "unfortunate events" in protest squares, but insisted security forces had been instructed not to use violence unless absolutely necessary. It said the government would carry out an investigation into Sunday's events to hold those responsible to account. But online, activists were already comparing Kadhemi to his predecessor Adel Abdel Mahdi, who stepped down last year following months of protest-related violence. Around 550 people were killed in that wave of rallies and another 30,000 wounded, many of them by military-grade tear gas canisters that can pierce human skulls if fired directly rather than lobbed at an arc to disperse crowds. There was virtually no accountability for those deaths under Abdel Mahdi; Kadhemi had pledged to publish a list of all the victims, carry out investigations and open a dialogue with protesters. But a cartoon shared online on Monday morning showed a caricature of Abdel Mahdi handing over tear gas canisters to his successor.

Iraq Army Launches Fourth Phase of Anti-ISIS Operation in Diyala
Baghdad – Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
The Iraqi armed forces, backed by the anti-ISIS coalition, continued to crack down against ISIS cells in various regions of the country to destroy the terrorist organization’s military and logistic capabilities. The Joint Operations Command launched the fourth phase of “Heroes of Iraq” offensive in Diyala, one of the organization’s strongholds. The international coalition, which began handing over many of its positions to the Iraqi army, announced that it would continue to assist the country’s efforts to eliminate the group. Such statements often spark political disputes due to the ongoing heated debate between those demanding the unconditional withdrawal of American forces from Iraq and those who believe that the coalition was still necessary because of the ongoing ISIS attacks. The last of these operations was the assassination of a top military official. The Joint Operations Command (JOC) issued a statement announcing that the forces found explosive belts and devices, rockets and launchers in one of the ISIS hideouts, as well as various kinds of military devices. JOC deputy commander Lieutenant General Abdul Amir Rashid Yarallah said the operation aims to create a safe environment for the return of the internally displaced persons (IDPs). The spokesperson for the Iraqi Commander-in-Chief, Yehia Rasool, announced on his twitter that operations were kicked off in al-Mgaisa, Tawakkul, Diyala Basin, south Khanaqin, Zur Umm al-Hinta and al-Abara in Diyala.”The Diyala operation was launched earlier in July in conjunction with the procedures to implement the orders of Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi to control border crossings with Iran. The former head of the security and defense parliamentary committee, Hakim al-Zamili, called for comprehensive operations against ISIS, noting that a number of terrorist cells and remnants are active in some liberated areas and in the Baghdad belt. He told Asharq al-Awsat that the terrorists are capable of hiding in their locations and predicting military preparations, adding that are located in the Hamrin mountains, Diyala, western Anbar, the Baghdad belt and south of Mosul.
The military operations have limited impact because plans are often leaked before they are implemented, allowing the terrorists to move to different areas and return once the operation is over, he remarked. Zamili, who is a prominent member of the Sadrist movement of cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, suggested that the forces launch surprise operations against their targets for them to be effective.

 

Egypt’s army chief of staff checks combat readiness of forces near Libya border
Tuqa Khalid, Al Arabiya English/Monday 27 July 2020
Egyptian armed forces chief of staff Mohamed Farid inspected on Monday the combat readiness of the forces in the western region near the border with Libya. The inspection was “within the framework of the General Command’s plan for following up the strict measures to safeguard state borders and national security in all strategic directions, whether on land, sea or air,” according to a statement by the Ministry of Defense. The top commander’s visit comes a week after the Egyptian parliament authorized the deployment of troops outside the country. President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi had threatened military action against Turkish-backed forces in Libya and said on June 20 that his country has a legitimate right to intervene in Libya and ordered the army to be prepared to carry out missions if necessary. Libya has plunged into chaos since the 2011 toppling of dictator Moammar Gaddafi. Clashes between the two main warring parties in the North African country, the Libyan National Army (LNA), commanded by Khalifa Haftar and the Government of National Accord (GNA), led by Fayez al-Serraj, have intensified recently. Many foreign powers have backed different sides of the conflict with varying degrees of support, with the most prominent countries being Turkey backing the GNA and Egypt backing the LNA. Turkish media reported a few days ago that Ankara put in place a military plan in anticipation of a possible Egyptian intervention in Libya. “Turkey is ready to respond to any attack on its forces in Libya, whomever the attacker maybe,” Turkish Zaman newspaper reported on Thursday citing unnamed government officials.It added: “If Egypt send military forces to Libya, Turkey has a plan to increase its forces and military equipment in Libya to confront the Egyptian forces.”


African Union to hold disputed Ethiopia dam meeting on August 3: Sudan

AFP, Khartoum/Monday 27 July 2020
The African Union is to hold a three-way meeting on Ethiopia’s controversial Nile dam project on August 3 with Sudan and Egypt, the Sudanese irrigation minister said onMonday. The talks between Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan held under the AU’s South African presidency will cover “outstanding issues,” Yasser Abbas told reporters, without elaborating. The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) has been a source of tension in the Nile River basin ever since Ethiopia broke ground on it in 2011. Egypt and Sudan view the dam as a threat to vital water supplies, while Ethiopia considers it crucial for its electrification and development. Ethiopia, in several rounds of talks overseen by the AU, has resisted the two Arab countries’ calls for a legally binding dispute resolution process.

Iran Moves Mock Aircraft Carrier to Strait of Hormuz
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020 - 10:30
Iran has moved a mock aircraft carrier to the strategic Strait of Hormuz amid heightened tensions between Tehran and the US, satellite photographs released Monday show, likely signaling the Islamic Republic soon plans to use it for live-fire drills. An image from Maxar Technologies taken Sunday shows an Iranian fast boat speed toward the carrier, sending waves up in its wake, after a tugboat pulled her out into the strait from the Iranian port city of Bandar Abbas. Iranian state media and officials have yet to acknowledge bringing the replica out to the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's oil passes. However, its appearance there suggests Iran´s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard is preparing an encore of a similar mock-sinking it conducted in 2015. The US Navy's Bahrain-based 5th Fleet, which patrols Mideast waterways, remains "confident in our naval forces´ ability to defend themselves against any maritime threat," said spokeswoman Cmdr. Rebecca Rebarich when asked about the faux carrier's movements. "We cannot speak to what Iran hopes to gain by building this mockup, or what tactical value they would hope to gain by using such a mock-up in a training or exercise scenario," Rebarich told The Associated Press. "We do not seek conflict, but remain ready to defend US forces and interests from maritime threats in the region." The replica resembles the Nimitz-class carriers that the US Navy routinely sails into the Persian Gulf from the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow mouth of the waterway. The USS Nimitz, the namesake of the class, just entered Mideast waters late last week from the Indian Ocean, likely to replace the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower in the Arabian Sea. The replica carries 16 mock-ups of fighter jets on its deck, according to the satellite photos taken by Maxar Technologies. The vessel appears to be some 200 meters (650 feet) long and 50 meters (160 feet) wide. A real Nimitz is over 300 meters (980 feet) long and 75 meters (245 feet) wide. Last summer saw a series of attacks and incidents further ramp up tensions between Iran and the US. They reached a crescendo with the Jan. 3 US drone strike near Baghdad International Airport that killed Qassem Soleimani, head of the Guard´s expeditionary Quds, or Jerusalem, Force. Iran retaliated with a ballistic missile attack that injured dozens of American troops stationed in neighboring Iraq. Also, last week a US F-15 fighter jet approached a Mahan Air flight over Syria, which led to passengers on the Iranian jetliner getting injured.

Full Ceasefire Takes Effect in Eastern Ukraine

Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
A full and comprehensive ceasefire between Ukrainian government forces and pro-Russian separatists has entered into force in eastern Ukraine, opening the prospect of an end to military and civilian casualties, the two sides said on Monday.
Ukrainian, Russian and OSCE negotiators last week agreed on a full ceasefire in eastern Ukraine from Monday, putting on hold the military conflict that has claimed more than 13,000 lives since 2014. The deal was backed by the presidents of Russia and Ukraine, Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskiy, who agreed "the need for an urgent implementation of extra measures to support the ceasefire regime in Donbass". Zelenskiy has sought to resolve the conflict since his election last year, arranging a number of prisoner swaps. "We are talking about the possibility of a real ceasefire on both sides," the head of Ukraine's joint forces operation Volodymyr Kravchenko told a televised briefing. "The situation is stable and controlled," he added.On Sunday, Ukraine's defense ministry said in a statement that its forces "stand ready to give a proper rebuff to the enemy in case of violation of the agreements".
The separatists' DNA news agency said on Monday observers "did not record any violations of the ceasefire by the security forces of Kiev, starting from 00:01 on July 27 this year."Ukraine and Russia have been foes since 2014, when Moscow seized Ukraine's Crimea peninsula and backed the rebellion in the east. Major combat ended with a ceasefire agreed in the Belarus capital Minsk in 2015, but sporadic clashes still regularly kill civilians, Ukrainian soldiers and separatists.
 

Woman Accused of Joining ISIS Arrested on Return to Germany
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
German prosecutors said Monday a German woman who allegedly joined the ISIS group in Syria was arrested upon her return to the country. She is accused of membership in a foreign terrorist group, war crimes against property and other crimes.
Federal prosecutors said in a written statement that the woman, identified only as Nurten J. in line with local privacy laws, was arrested Friday at Frankfurt Airport. Prosecutors allege she traveled with her then 4-year-old daughter to Syria in 2015 to join ISIS. There, she married a man who had also come from Germany and they started a family. The woman allegedly raised her children according to ISIS ideology and in return she received a monthly payment from the extremist group and lived successively in five different apartments whose former tenants were either killed or evicted. After ISIS lost its territories in Syria, J. and her family were captured by Kurds and were eventually taken into deportation custody in Turkey. It was not clear if she was returned to Germany in custody and the fate of her children was not known. The federal prosecutor's office could not immediately be reached for further details.

 

LNA: Turkey Delivering Military Gear to Militias through Commercial Vessels
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 27 July, 2020
Libyan National Army (LNA) spokesman Ahmed al-Mismari accused on Monday Turkey of delivering military equipment through commercial vessels to militias loyal to the Government of National Accord (GNA). In televised remarks, he added that Turkey was using American-made tanks and the Hawk missile system on Libyan territories. The first condition for reaching a ceasefire in Libya is Turkey’s complete withdrawal from the country, he added. Moreover, Ankara is exploiting the current lull in fighting to bring in more mercenaries to the country, he continued.

 

Ukraine’s FM says Iranians to discuss crash compensation in Kiev
Reuters/Tuesday 28 July 2020
An Iranian delegation will visit Ukraine on Wednesday and Thursday to discuss compensation for a Ukrainian jet shot down by Iran on January 8, the Ukrainian foreign minister said on Monday. Iranian forces say they downed the Ukraine International Airlines Boeing 737 jet on January 8 after mistaking it for a missile amid heightened tensions with the United States. All 176 people on board - including 57 Canadians - were killed. “Given the circumstance of what happened, there are all reasons to ask from Iran to pay the highest price for what it did,” Dmytro Kuleba, speaking in English, told a news conference during a visit to the Polish capital Warsaw. Kuleba said Ukraine would represent all countries and groups affected during the talks. “I cannot disclose final numbers of the compensation ... numbers will be the result of the consultations,” he said.


The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on July 27-28/2020

Iran-Syria Air Defense Pact Could Disrupt Allied Operations
Farzin Nadimi/The Washington Institute/July 27/2020
Despite domestic challenges, major technical hurdles, and ongoing Israeli military interdiction, Iran still aims to transfer potent air defense systems to fellow ‘axis of resistance’ members and interconnect them.
On July 8, Syrian defense minister Ali Abdullah Ayoub and Maj. Gen. Mohammad Bagheri, chairman of Iran’s Armed Forces General Staff, signed an agreement in Damascus to significantly expand bilateral military cooperation, especially in the field of air defense. Seeing a dual need to counter aerial threats against Iran and its allies while also undermining the coalition military presence in the Middle East, Tehran has developed a strategic vision that requires effective protection and (in time) denial of airspace. Toward that end, it has repeatedly proposed to augment Iraqi, Lebanese, and now Syrian air defense systems and integrate them with its own network.
In 2019, for example, Bagheri offered to link up with Iraq’s air defense network and form a joint shell against “common enemies.” More recently, during a July 16 meeting with Lebanese president Michel Aoun, Iranian ambassador Mohammad Jalal Firouznia expressed interest in supplying the country with defensive weapons, including antiaircraft missiles. The meeting came just days after Bagheri described the new air defense agreement with Syria as another step toward pushing the United States out of the region. He has also made numerous other visits to Syria since being appointed to Iran’s top military job in 2016, seeking closer long-term military cooperation with Bashar al-Assad’s regime.
Indeed, Iran has had a significant military presence in Syria since the country’s civil war began in 2011. Most of its personnel are there in an advisory and command-and-control capacity, though some were involved in combat alongside proxy militia groups. Iran also uses Syria as a transfer hub to supply Hezbollah in neighboring Lebanon. To support this effort and rotate manpower, it uses an “air bridge”—Iranian military and civilian aircraft frequently transport personnel and materiel to Damascus International Airport, Qamishli, Latakia, and T-4 (Tiyas) air base, while Syrian flights return from Iran with weapons and ammunition for regime and militia forces.
ISRAEL IS A WRENCH IN IRAN’S PLANS
The growing scope of certain Iranian and proxy operations in Syria makes them vulnerable to Israeli air and missile strikes, which have become a regular occurrence and are seemingly unbothered by Syria’s haphazard air defenses. The defensive systems that Russia has deployed to Syria during its intervention are more formidable, but they are there to protect Russian bases, not to target Israeli aircraft.
Iran has largely been silent about these human and material losses, indicating both its frustration and its inability to prevent them. On July 16, however, General Staff spokesman Abolfazl Shekarchi warned Israel against any further strikes, then repeated Tehran’s commitment to upgrade Syria’s air defenses and strengthen the “axis of resistance” against Israeli attacks. Indeed, Iranian military leaders appear to have great confidence in the versatility and effectiveness of their domestically developed air defense systems, especially after one such unit succeeded in shooting down an American RQ-4 reconnaissance drone over the Strait of Hormuz in June 2019.
As things currently stand, however, Israel’s air force has been able to conduct a large number of successful strikes, sometimes operating inside Syria, and other times firing standoff weapons while flying over the Mediterranean Sea, Lebanon, or the Golan Heights. The Israeli army has potent strike options as well, including tactical ballistic missiles capable of reaching deep inside Syria.
AXIS OF AIR DEFENSE?
Bagheri used his latest visit to Damascus to excoriate the U.S. military presence in the Middle East, promising that Iran would continue to resist “American extortion” in the region using its new bilateral defense pact as a tool. For example, the agreement could be used to cover a wide spectrum of air defense cooperation, such as providing complete systems to Syria, upgrading its existing systems, or integrating the two countries’ air defense networks (though the latter would be difficult to achieve without Iraq’s cooperation).
More specifically, Iran can offer Syria low- and high-altitude surface-to-air missile systems capable of intercepting targets as far away as 200 km and at altitudes up to 30 km (see table). It can also offer to send some of the data fusion/management capabilities and passive detection systems it has unveiled in recent years.
Syria’s current air defense forces are mostly limited to older Russian systems such as the S-125 (SA-3), 2K12 (SA-6), S-75 (SA-2), and S-200 (SA-5), along with more modern SA-11 Buk and SA-17 Buk-M batteries augmented by Pantsir-S1 point defense systems (the latter paid for by Iran). In late 2018, Moscow completed delivery of the S-300 (SA-20) system to Damascus. At the time, U.S. officials were concerned the delivery would embolden Iran, but the system is reportedly still under Russian control and not operational.
Iran has a number of S-200, S-75/HQ-2, and 2K12 systems in service back home and has upgraded them over the years, so it could offer to upgrade Syria’s batteries as well. In addition, it could send Assad indigenously developed systems such as the Raad, Tabas, 15th of Khordad, Talash, and 3rd of Khordad (the type used to shoot down the U.S. drone). Tehran might also intend to help Syria set up local production/assembly lines for such systems, most likely in underground facilities (similar production capabilities could conceivably be offered to Iraq or even Hezbollah).
Iran’s longest-range and supposedly most-advanced air defense system, the Bavar-373, is still under development and has yet to enter full-scale production. Iran claims that the system is comparable to an American Patriot missile battery and superior to Russia’s S-300PMU-2, but for now all it can offer Syria is to deploy an unproven example there for testing and evaluation purposes under operational conditions. Of course, such exposure would also give adversaries a chance to observe the system in action and hone their tactics against it.
As for which of these theoretical transfers will actually happen, that depends on how well Tehran can cope with formidable challenges at home and inside Syria. Iranian leaders clearly want to expand their deterrence and strategic depth beyond the limits set by their ballistic missile arsenal, and fielding more-advanced, longer-range air defense systems would be their method of choice. At the same time, however, they seem increasingly threatened by a host of foreign and domestic perils, including what looks like a campaign of sabotage against their nuclear program and industrial infrastructure. Adding to their concerns is a sobering military reality: Israel is determined to prevent them from transferring any new systems to Syria, and sending them now would only widen the considerable gaps in Iran’s own air defense coverage.
Under these circumstances, it is doubtful that Tehran will be able to transfer substantial amounts of this equipment to Syria in the near term. The best they can hope for (if anything) is a pair of air defense bubbles: one at Imam Ali base near the Abu Kamal border crossing, and another at T-4 air base or in the Damascus area.
This is a far cry from their ideal scenario: establishing at least a dozen mobile medium-to-long-range missile batteries and radars around Syria to protect joint bases and storage hubs from Israeli raids.
POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
Per paragraph 6b, Annex B of UN Security Council Resolution 2231, Iran is not allowed to transfer air defense systems to any country without the council’s permission; therefore, as long as this ban is in place, all states should take the necessary measures to enforce it. Unfortunately, the ban is scheduled to expire on October 18, but the United States has stepped up its diplomatic efforts to make sure that arms sanctions remain in place indefinitely.
The international community also has other grounds for stopping the proliferation of antiaircraft systems from Iran. On July 16, the European Union Aviation Safety Agency extended its ban on all commercial overflights of Iranian-controlled airspace below 25,000 feet (7,620 meters) for another six months due to concerns about “hazardous security” there. The EU move—which reemphasized a directive originally issued by the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration—came just as an increasingly tense Iran put parts of its air defense system on high alert, and mere months after one of its SAM batteries accidentally shot down a Ukrainian airliner. Going forward, Washington should reassert its commitment to aviation safety in the region under Annex 17 to the Chicago Convention (“Safeguarding International Civil Aviation Against Acts of Unlawful Interference”), using the standards therein as justification to prevent Iran from exporting and controlling air defense systems that have already proven a threat to civil aviation.
*Farzin Nadimi is an associate fellow with The Washington Institute, specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Gulf region.

Unraveling the mystery of US F-15s intercepting Iran’s Mahan air
Seth J. Frantzman/Jerusalem Post/July 27/2020
Iran is angry about the interception of the airliner. It has sought to highlight the incident in order to condemn the US.
At just after four in the afternoon on Thursday, July 23 Iranian Mahan Air flight 1152 was crossing into Syrian air space. Passengers were shocked to see out their oval-shaped windows what appeared to be a fighter jet approaching the plane. Panic ensued.
The pilot rapidly descended and then climbed, causing the plane to careen down 125 feet and then up 500 feet. It was a bumpy ride for less than a minute, made worse by passengers shouting about the warplane just outside their window.
The warplane was an American F-15 conducting a visual surveillance of the flight. Mahan Air was flying close to a US base called the Tanf Garrison that is in Syria near the Jordanian border. The airline had flown this route before. The pilots did not expect to have to take any evasive maneuvers and the crew and passengers had not been warned to expect anything.
When Mahan Air 1152 landed in Beirut one of the passengers sent video of the incident to Iran’s IRIB News. The passenger was apparently an IRIB journalist. He said Israeli jets had intercepted them. It was now nightfall. Videos began to circulate online around ten in the evening. The flight soon departed back to Iran. This time it flew a slightly different route. It flew north of Damascus, over the Syrian desert and then near Tanf to Iraqi airspace. The flight was scheduled for 2 hours and 20 minutes each way, around 1,445 km.
Media reports about the panic aboard flight 1152 began after reports circulated online around 9:45 p.m. Various social media accounts such as @Intel_Sky, @AuroraIntel, @Avischarf and @Gerjon_ helped track the flight and unravel part of the story. Regional media, such as Al-Mayadeen, reported that Israeli jets had threatened the civilian airliner and others spread rumors online that Israeli F-15s had used the civilian airliner as cover, claiming Israel had used this maneuver before over Syria.
First of all, it is clear that while the flight conduct a rapid descent and ascent, it leveled off to 34,000 feet quite quickly and then descended to Beirut. About half an hour later it was on the tarmac.
Iran is angry about the interception of the airliner. It has sought to highlight the incident in order to condemn the US. It appears Iran’s regime media and pro-regime accounts didn’t know whether to blame Israel of the US for the incident. Press TV and others blamed Israel initially. The confusion was not helped by IRIB, which changed its account from blaming Israel to the US.
The pilot of the Mahan Air flight appears to have known the jets were American. By around 11 in the evening Israeli media were quick to clarify that these were not Israeli aircraft. While Iranian media spread rumors of “injured and killed” aboard the flight, the reality appears to be that few were badly injured from the rapid descent and ascent. Authorities at Rafik Hariri International Airport in Beirut said passengers disembarked safely with only minor injuries.
Syria’s regime apparently knew the jets were American as well, as was clear from Syrian regime media sources on the evening of July 23. Syria has complained in the past about US warplanes harassing civilian airliners near Al-Tanf. They also claim US planes fly there with “warning systems off” and have almost caused accidents with civilian airliners.
On the ground the US maintains a 55km security zone around the base. US F-15s have shot down drones approaching Tanf in the past. In June 2017 An F-15E Strike Eagle shot down two drones, one of which was an Iranian-made Shahed 129 near Tanf. There were at least four incidents in which US forces struck Syrian regime elements, including on May 18, June 6, June 8 and June 20, 2017.
According to an article in The Drive by Tyler Rogoway, in May 2020 there were a group of F-15E Strike Eagles in Jordan with the US 389th Fighter Squadron. Known as the Thunderbolts they are based in Mountain Home Air Force Base in Idaho. They were based at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan. This base, near Azraq in Jordan, has been expanded to accommodate more US forces and new hangars and sunshades for F-15s and other aircraft in the last year.
These are the “go-to multi-role fighter with quick access to southern Syria,” Rogoway wrote. They have carried out sorties over Tanf and may also have been involved in the mission to strike at ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi in October 2019. Air Force Times wrote in February that the F-15E Strike Eagles with the 389th were deployed to an “undisclosed location” in Jordan. They call under the 332nd Air Expeditionary Wing. There are other F-15Es from RAF Lakenheath in the UK deployed to Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia from the US 494th Expeditionary Fighter Squadron. The Jordanian airbase the F-15s likely flew from is 250km from Tanf.
F-15s flying at 700 km/h would reach the area in around twenty minutes, more than enough time to intercept the Mahan Air which had been crossing Iraq for an hour of its flying time heading toward the intercept point just beyond the border. Whatever raised used suspicions likely would have led to an alert to US after Mahan left Tehran and made its destination clear. The US Treasury had sanctioned Mahan Air in December 2019 for ties to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
The US Central Command says that the F-15 was on a routine air mission near Tanf and that is conducted a “standard visual inspection of a Mahan Air passenger airliner at a safe distance of approximately 1,000 meters.” The US did the inspection to ensure the safety of Coalition personnel at Tanf garrison. The US took almost twelve hours after the incident to release the statement.
The incident happened in Syria when it was nine in the morning in Washington, DC Iranian media reported it several hours later, so it was already in the afternoon when the US would have been asked to react to the reports. Only in the late afternoon did CENTCOM release its statement. Correspondents in Washington began hearing about the US reaction between seven in the evening and nine in the evening, which is twelve hours after the fighter jets first encountered the Mahan air flight.
While Iran has now denounced the US “harassment” of Flight 1152 as “unlawful” and a “terrorist” act, the US says that it conducted the inspection as a professional intercept in accordance with international standards. Iran disagrees and says the passenger plane was moving in a normal flight corridor and the US fighters conducted an unlawful maneuver.
The US says its aircraft, apparently one that came close to the plane and a second that hung back, opened distance when they confirmed it was just a Mahan Air passenger aircraft. Iran wants Lebanon and Syria to file a complaint with the International Civil Aviation Organization. It is not clear by what law the US operates fighter aircraft over Tanf and the Syrian regime as well as Russia have both complained about the US presence in Syria.
The Tanf air corridor is regularly used by Iranian aircraft. In fact, 1152 seems to have used this route often between January and February. There is also apparently a radio beacon that uses VHF omnidirectional range (VOR) and directional measuring equipment (DME) near the Tanf base across from route 2 in Syria. Social media user @RedIntelPanda notes that the beacon enables pilots to use it to cross the area.
The incident over Tanf is only in its early days of being explained and answer sought. Iran will want to show that the US harasses civilian airliners, at a time when Iran is being critiqued for having shot down a Ukrainian civilian airliner in January after Iran carried out ballistic missile attacks on US forces in Iraq. Iranians point out that the US has also shot down an Iranian passenger plane in the past. In 1988 The USS Vincennes guided-missile cruiser mistakenly shot down Iran Air flight 655, killing 290 people. Iran-US tensions are already high in the region. Now they are worse.

Turkish Government’s Hagia Sophia Rhetoric Adds Insult to Injury
Aykan Erdemir/Tuğba Tanyeri-Erdemir/Providence/July 27/2020
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan converted the Hagia Sophia into a mosque on July 10, drawing criticism from foreign governments ranging from the United States to Russia, including a joint condemnation by 27 European Union foreign ministers. Ankara’s fait accompli has raised legitimate concerns about the potential damage to this sixth-century world heritage site, revered by Christians and Muslims alike. While Hagia Sophia’s conversion poses a significant risk to the monument’s sacred heritage, the Turkish government’s accompanying rhetoric will be equally damaging to interfaith relations.
In his televised address to the nation regarding Hagia Sophia, Erdoğan said its conversion into a mosque would gratify “the spirit of conquest” of Mehmet II, the Ottoman sultan who captured Constantinople from the Byzantines in 1453. The next day, Erdoğan’s ultranationalist coalition partner Devlet Bahçeli echoed the Turkish president by proclaiming that the course of the Turco-Muslim conquest, “which has been going on for 567 years, has entered a new phase.”
Such belligerent rhetoric from the highest levels of the Turkish government not only threatens Turkey’s neighbors, which have been increasingly wary of Erdoğan’s irredentist ambitions, but also targets the country’s very own citizens. Elpidophoros, the archbishop of the Greek Orthodox Archdiocese of America—and a native of Istanbul—warned that “a mentality of the conqueror, and claiming conqueror’s rights… changes the relationship of the state to its citizens.” He added, “I am a Turkish citizen myself, and I don’t want the state to have the mindset of the conqueror, because I am not a conquered minority. I want to feel in my own country as an equal citizen.”
The archbishop’s concern is justified. The conquest mentality of which he complains permeates Turkey’s official rhetoric and public discourse, relegating religious minorities to the status of subjects of a Muslim-dominated polity. Even Turkey’s foreign ministry, which once had the reputation of being the country’s most secular and pro-Western bureaucracy, fell victim to the Erdoğan government’s conquest mentality in its rebuttal to US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s criticism. When the ministry’s spokesperson bragged that Turkey has been “delicately cherishing the historical, cultural, and spiritual value of Hagia Sophia since its conquest,” he effectively blurred the distinction between the Ottoman Empire and the Turkish Republic, embracing a fifteenth-century conquest on behalf of a republic of equal citizens established through the overthrow of that empire in the twentieth century.
What is more alarming than the Turkish ruling elite’s conquest mentality is their frequent and proud use of a violent trope, “the right of the sword,” to claim legitimacy. Erdoğan’s ultranationalist partner Bahçeli argued that the legal basis for converting Hagia Sophia rests on “the right of the sword” that Mehmet II claimed in 1453. Turkey’s pro-government news site A Haber went as far as to publish a guide, entitled “What does the right of the sword mean?” which it presented as the justification for Erdoğan’s move.
Such prejudicial language not only targets Turkey’s religious minorities, but also intimidates members of the country’s Muslim majority who oppose the government’s supremacist policies. The deputy leader of Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party accused Turkish citizens who oppose Hagia Sophia’s conversion of acting like “the Byzantines among us,” insinuating they are traitors. Similarly, Bahçeli referred to the move’s critics as “remnants of the Byzantines” and the “clandestine Byzantine lobby’s Westophile native collaborators.” Smearing the opposition—Muslims and non-Muslims alike—as fifth columnists is a frequently-deployed trope that aims to silence Turkey’s dissident voices, making the country’s minorities feel even more abandoned.
The ruling coalition’s attempts to silence citizens who oppose Hagia Sophia’s conversion into a mosque is intended to conjure the illusion of a unanimous popular will behind their policy. In Bahçeli’s words, Hagia Sophia’s conversion has fulfilled the “the will of our nation.” Ironically, the Turkish government took no steps to promote deliberation of their policy. It did not consult any of the stakeholders in parliament or another platform, including the ecumenical patriarchate, and presented their fait accompli as reflecting the desires of a monolithic populace, where disagreement is evidence of treason and foreignness.
It is not surprising that the Turkish government’s Hagia Sophia policy and toxic rhetoric received praise from other extremists around the world. Gaza’s ruling militant group Hamas was the first to declare its support. The Muslim Brotherhood followed, congratulating Turkey for this “historic step,” which they celebrated for restoring Hagia Sophia’s right to “its owners.”
The conquest mentality that has shaped the Turkish government’s Hagia Sophia policy and rhetoric not only puts the sacred heritage of Turkey’s religious minorities at risk, but also threatens their lives, making them potential targets of hate crimes. Given the appeal of Erdoğan’s pan-Islamist policies in the Middle East and beyond, such explosive rhetoric has the potential to embolden and incite other supremacists. This is a sad turn of events for a country that for decades remained a beacon of secular democracy for the world’s Muslim-majority nations.
*Aykan Erdemir is a former member of the Turkish parliament and senior director of the Turkey Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD). He serves on the Anti-Defamation League’s Task Force on Middle East Minorities and the steering committee of the International Panel of Parliamentarians for Freedom of Religion or Belief (IPPFoRB).
*Tuğba Tanyeri-Erdemir is the coordinator of the Anti-Defamation League’s Task Force on Middle East Minorities. Follow Aykan and Tuğba on Twitter @aykan_erdemir and @TurkishFacade.

With a Potential Iran-China Deal, Time for Israel to Reassess Its Policy

Jacob Nagel/Mark Dubowitz/Newsweek/July 27/2020
A recent emerging agreement between China and Iran promises the embattled Islamic Republic a potentially regime-saving economic and security partnership. The Chinese reportedly will invest $400 billion over 25 years in the Iranian economy in exchange for heavily discounted Iranian oil, thereby undercutting U.S. efforts to sanction and isolate Tehran. For Israel, this deal between an economic partner and a mortal enemy should be an alarming wake-up call: Beijing is not a friend, and is certainly no substitute for American support.
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani initiated the Sino-Iranian agreement in 2016 in the wake of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, or Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, which lifted American economic sanctions against the Islamic Republic. Approved by the Iranian cabinet last June, the agreement promises an expansion of the Chinese presence in banking and telecommunications as well as in railways, ports and other infrastructure projects in Iran. The agreement includes deeper Sino-Iranian military, cyber, intelligence and technology cooperation.
The reaction inside Iran has been caustic. Rouhani’s critics, from former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to regime opponents, have denounced the agreement. They understand that a weakened and isolated Iran will end up on the losing end of any deal with the Chinese Communist Party. They have seen how China traps countries with massive debt, which ultimately gives China leverage to assume control of their critical infrastructure and resources. This is all part of the strategy behind Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative—a trillion-dollar global land, sea and communications program spanning more than 100 countries. The Iranian regime, however, seeks to lean on China for its high-tech, authoritarian surveillance state model. Chinese tools can enable greater regime repression and increase the likelihood that the mullahs will remain in power.
The Sino-Iranian agreement is still not sealed. Both sides may wait until America’s November elections, hoping that Joe Biden will abandon President Donald Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign against the mullahs. Should Biden repeal the powerful secondary sanctions that have deterred Chinese banks and energy companies from significant business in Iran, Beijing and Tehran will have great opportunities.
For Israel, this is a clear sign that it is time to pivot from Beijing. Iran is Israel’s most dangerous enemy; its leaders repeatedly vow to destroy the Jewish state and are developing nuclear and missiles programs to that end. Tehran funds and arms Hezbollah, which has amassed 150,000 missiles on Israel’s northern border and is acquiring Iranian precision-guided munition capabilities that could devastate Israeli critical military installations, key infrastructure and civilian centers.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is also the most dangerous adversary of the United States—Israel’s most valuable ally. The Chinese Communists are serial proliferators of nuclear and missile technology to rogue regimes like Iran, North Korea and Pakistan. They threaten Hong Kong and Taiwan. They are militarizing the South China Sea, weaponizing data, stealing intellectual property on a massive scale and committing shocking human rights abuses, including forcing more than one million Uyghur Muslims into concentration camps. The CCP also lied about the COVID-19 virus, suppressing vital information that could have contained a devastating global human and economic disaster.
But for Israel, decoupling won’t be simple. China is one of Israel’s largest trading partners and sources of foreign investment, alongside the United States and Europe. Sino-Israeli trade stood at $15.3 billion in 2018, an almost 4,400 percent increase in real dollar terms since 1995. Beijing sees Israeli critical infrastructure as part of its Belt and Road Initiative. This includes the Haifa port (where the U.S. Sixth Fleet docks), the port of Ashdod, underground tunnels and control systems in the northern Carmel mountains, and Tel Aviv’s subway system. The strategic importance of this infrastructure is clear, given that some of it runs alongside key military installations, major businesses, food suppliers and other essential Israeli military and civilian services.
In Israeli high-tech, China has recognized the “Start-up Nation” as an essential source of technology to build next-generation weapons. Israeli startups raised $325 million from Chinese investors in the first three quarters of 2018, up from $76 million in 2013. The numbers are increasing, though China remains far behind the U.S. in venture capital investments. Still, Beijing’s smaller investments are strategic and designed to leverage Israel’s prominence in artificial intelligence, edge computing, autonomous vehicles, robotics and big data. These are all technologies recognized by the U.S. Department of Defense as essential to its own military modernization efforts, even if they are officially civilian in their current application. Israel must therefore reassess these ties, as it is a core strategic interest for Israel to ensure that American military leadership does not erode.
Israeli strategic planners may be tempted by the idea that China-Israel economic ties could offset Beijing’s growing partnership with Tehran. That is a delusion. The CCP will acquire everything it can from both Israel and Iran without fear or favor. And, if forced to choose, it will choose the Islamic Republic. Iran provides critical energy supplies to China that Israel cannot match. Its population is eight times larger. Its land mass is 75 times greater. It occupies a much more strategic territory for Belt and Road. And the Islamic Republic is an American enemy, which Beijing can leverage in its global contest with the U.S.
That puts the United States and Israel on one side in the emerging cold war between Washington and Beijing, with China and Iran on the other. Israelis have no choice but to side with America, and this must be reflected in official policy. Israeli decision-makers do not need to pass laws or regulations that will suffocate the private sector. They simply must ensure that strategic investments cannot be decided upon by bureaucrats with a narrow domestic agenda. This is a security issue. The Israeli government must help the country’s high-tech entrepreneurs by leveraging strategic partnerships with India, Japan, Australia, Canada and other Indo-Pacific allies, as well as emerging ties with Gulf countries, to identify alternative capital to displace Chinese investment. These decisions must be handled directly by those who are responsible for the national defense and security aspects of Israel, and who can therefore see the bigger picture.
The U.S. can help, too. Congress should earmark investment funds similar to those that jumpstarted U.S.-Israel high-tech cooperation. The U.S. government also can facilitate the visa process for Israeli entrepreneurs looking to set up their corporate headquarters in America while also maintaining R&D in Israel. That’s been a successful business model that should be encouraged, but is currently encumbered by American immigration practices.
In the meantime, continued U.S.-Israel military and intelligence cooperation is needed. Iran’s deal with China will indubitably challenge Israeli and American efforts to thwart Iran’s nuclear, and broader military, ambitions. A deal with China, especially if Washington fails to respond with secondary sanctions against Chinese banks and companies, would certainly erode the U.S. “maximum pressure” campaign that has constrained those ambitions to date. It also will send a signal of weakness to those observing U.S. restrictions.
As Israel demonstrates to Washington that it is committed to decoupling from China, there will be even greater opportunities for the two countries to cooperate. Technology, military, intelligence and political cooperation will only deepen. American and Israeli free market ingenuity will outpace anything that China’s state-run authoritarian model can produce. With the Chinese joining hands with Israel’s most dangerous enemies in Iran, Israel has no choice other than to draw closer to its best friend and to keep a distance from its best friend’s biggest rival.
*Brigadier General (res.) Jacob Nagel is a visiting professor at the Technion aerospace faculty and a senior visiting fellow at Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD). He previously served as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s acting national security advisor and head of the National Security Council.
*Mark Dubowitz is a former venture capitalist and high-tech executive and currently serves as FDD’s chief executive, where he focuses on Iran and China.

To stop China’s crimes against humanity, hit its pride and pocketbook
Craig Singleton/Washington Examiner/July 27/2020
As the world endures the ravages of COVID-19, it also finds itself confronting an increasingly hostile China bent on warping established human rights norms to advance its malign ambitions. These efforts have taken the form of forced mass sterilization of ethnic minorities at concentration camps in the Xinjiang province, as well as the arrests of hundreds of peaceful protesters in Hong Kong for violating a newly imposed national security law.
Western democracies, several of which find themselves confronting civil unrest, are the only thing standing in China’s way as it seeks to rewrite the rules-based order and redefine what it means to be a responsible member of the international community. To that end, the United States and its allies have a responsibility to confront Beijing over its rampant human rights abuses and, to the extent possible, undermine China’s ability to leverage its economic might to silence would-be critics.
What’s more, as consumers demand a greater focus on corporate social responsibility, the private sector faces a stark choice of its own: Cut ties with any factories involved in perpetuating human rights abuses in China or maintain the status quo and risk complicity in Beijing’s atrocities.
New evidence from Xinjiang shows that Beijing is seeking to exterminate Uighur Muslims. Ground-breaking research by the Associated Press and German expert Adrian Zenz revealed disturbing details last week about forced abortions, birth control, and sterilizations. The research further documented a nearly 84% drop in natural birthrates over a three-year period in Xinjiang, suggesting that China’s methodical attempt to eliminate this “undesirable” population has been shockingly effective.
As events in Xinjiang have taken a dark turn, so, too, has the situation in Hong Kong, where Chinese authorities wasted little time arresting hundreds of peaceful protesters, including a 15-year-old girl whose only crime was to wave a Hong Kong independence flag. Libraries in Hong Kong have now prohibited patrons from accessing books written by human rights activists, and various pro-democracy groups have also been forced to disband and relocate overseas, much to Beijing’s delight.
While the U.S., United Kingdom, European Union, Japan, Australia, and Taiwan all decried Beijing’s power grab, China leveraged its position at the United Nations Human Rights Council to rally support from 53 nations, almost all of which are dictatorships and human rights abusers themselves. In doing so, Beijing secured a veneer of legitimacy for its crackdown while underscoring the impotence of what should be the most influential, global human rights body.
What’s more, China maintained its tier-three status in the State Department’s Trafficking in Persons Report for 2020, a designation reserved for the world’s worst offenders. This means that China fails to meet even the most basic standards of trafficking enforcement. Beyond documenting atrocities in Xinjiang, the report revealed that China has expanded its campaign of terror into other provinces, often targeting other minorities, and “sought the coerced repatriation and internment of religious and ethnic minorities living abroad.”
Since Beijing seeks impunity by flexing its geoeconomic muscles, the West’s response should focus on harnessing its economic might, which far exceeds that of China and its UNHRC accomplices. These efforts should include a more-robust sanctions regime, continued efforts to investigate Chinese abuses, incentivizing supply-chain diversification, and undermining China’s debt-trap diplomacy.
U.S. plans to sanction Chinese officials perpetrating abuses in Xinjiang have frustrated Beijing, as has the Senate’s passage of the Hong Kong Autonomy Act, which targets people who violate the territory’s autonomy. The U.S. should go further in ratcheting up sanctions pressure on any Chinese government entities involved in directing these human rights atrocities, as well as companies whose equipment enables such misdeeds. If the U.S. can coordinate these efforts with partners, Beijing may find itself facing disputes with all of its major trading partners, which could damage China’s economy. Such moves could also push previously neutral countries into our orbit, many of which likely harbor private concerns about China’s actions but have been wary of aligning themselves with the West.
Congress can also raise the temperature by holding China publicly accountable for its abuses, directing U.S. agencies to work with foreign counterparts to undercut China’s debt-trap coercion, and holding high-profile, bipartisan, public meetings with Hong Kongers and Uighur dissidents. Congress should also consider symbolic gestures such as renaming the street outside of the Chinese Embassy in Washington, D.C., after Chinese activists and granting asylum to Uighurs who have fled Xinjiang.
Lastly, the private sector must do its part, particularly in the face of reports that Uighurs were transferred from concentration camps to factories that produce goods for dozens of global brands, including Apple and Nike. At a time when the U.S. government, shareholders, and customers are monitoring corporations’ willingness to align their practices with social-justice concerns, CEOs must seriously consider transitioning their supply chains out of China. To that end, the administration and its partners in Southeast Asia should devise creative ways to incentivize such transitions. In the aftermath of last year’s NBA fiasco, responsible CEOs should also avoid kowtowing to Beijing, which will be all too eager to use their businesses as proverbial shields against U.S. action on human rights.
The West has finally caught a glimpse of a future world with China at the helm. At this point, it is clear that preventing such a reality will require hitting Beijing’s pride, as well as its pocketbook.
*Craig Singleton, a former U.S. diplomat and national security expert, is an adjunct fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. He contributes to FDD’s Center on Military and Political Power.


Palestinians: The Priorities of Muslim 'Scholars' During COVID-19

 Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute./July 27, 2020
These religious leaders say they are also worried about other "epidemics" that post a threat to Arabs and Muslims, such as peace with Israel and women's rights.
The Muslim "scholars" also seem concerned about the possibility that Palestinian women may be coming closer to being given rights that are now accorded only to men. For these religious figures, the prospect of women being treated equally and with respect appears to be more of a threat than the coronavirus.
Across the globe, people are preoccupied with preventing the spread of the coronavirus and rescuing the global economy. The world's best minds are racing against time to invent a vaccine that will save the lives of millions of people threatened by COVID-19. The pandemic has caused panic about basic living conditions, health and livelihood.
Palestinian Islamic leaders, meanwhile, are busying themselves with the religious implications of menstruation. For these leaders, it is peace with Israel, not the virus, that is imperiling the health of Arabs and Muslims.
These Muslim leaders appear to be more interested in preventing women from working under unbiased conditions than about those individuals suffering from the pandemic. They also seem to be more interested in demonizing Israel than in dealing with the demon called COVID-19.
As Palestinians are facing a sharp increase in the number of coronavirus cases detected in Palestinian cities, villages and refugee camps in the West Bank, their Islamic religious leaders are responding in their usual way: inciting against Israel and Jews. Pictured: Palestinian Authority policemen man a checkpoint in Bethlehem on June 29, 2020, to enforce a 48-hour closure of the city, aimed at containing the spread of coronavirus. (Photo by Hazem Bader/AFP via Getty Images)
As Palestinians are facing a sharp increase in the number of coronavirus cases detected in Palestinian cities, villages and refugee camps in the West Bank, their Islamic religious leaders are responding in their usual way: inciting against Israel and Jews.
These religious leaders say they are also worried about other "epidemics" that post a threat to Arabs and Muslims, such as peace with Israel and women's rights.
By July 23, the number of Palestinians diagnosed with the coronavirus since last March reached 8,411, according to the Palestinian Authority Ministry of Health. Seventy-one Palestinians have died after contracting the disease, the ministry said.
Such disturbing statistics, however, do not seem to worry the so-called Association of Palestinian Scholars. These self-proclaimed religious scholars, who proudly describe themselves as "inheritors of the prophets," say that they see no difference between the dangers of the coronavirus and peace with Israel.
The Islamic group, in a recent statement, issued a prayer to the "Almighty God to protect our nation from this [coronavirus] epidemic and to protect it from the epidemic of normalization" with Israel. The statement came in response to claims by Palestinians and Arabs that some Arab television networks had aired programs allegedly promoting normalization between Arab countries and Israel.
The "scholars" ruled that it is haram (forbidden by Islamic law) for Muslims to watch such programs. "We affirm," they said, "that boycotting these channels is a religious duty, and we would like to remind our nation that the boycott campaign against this [Israeli] enemy is increasing in Muslim and non-Muslim countries."
Since the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic, the Association of Palestinian Scholars has been offering Palestinians nothing but anti-Israel incitement and calls for jihad (holy war) against Israel and Jews. This is the sole "remedy" these "scholars" have extended to their followers as they grapple with the rising number of coronavirus infections and economic hardship resulting from lockdowns and other restrictions aimed at curbing the spread of the disease.
In a more recent statement, the Association of Palestinian Scholars completely ignored Palestinians' fears concerning the alarming increase in confirmed coronavirus cases. Instead, the group embarked on yet another bellicose campaign against Israel and Jews, echoing the old anti-Semitic libel that Jews are "desecrating with their filthy feet our blessed holy sites."
Accusing Jews of "cowardice and turning mosques into places of entertainment," the Muslim "scholars" said that Jews will remain in a state of fear "because they have cut off their relationship with God."
Needless to say, the "scholars" also did not forget to send another warning to all Arabs and Muslims against engaging in any form of normalization with Israel. The "scholars" said they will be "afflicted with God's curse in this life and hereafter" if they do not heed the warning. They then sent yet another warning to Jews: "Do not be tempted by those who support normalization [with Israel] and remember that the Quran descended from Heaven to prevail and triumph."
The Muslim "scholars" also seem concerned about the possibility that Palestinian women may be coming closer to being accorded the rights that are now accorded only to men. For these religious figures, the prospect of women being treated equally and with respect appears to be more of a threat than the coronavirus.
The Palestinian Authority's decision to join the Convention of the Elimination of all Forms of Discrimination Against Women (CEDAW), an international treaty adopted in 1979 by the United Nations General Assembly, has enraged the Association of Palestinian Scholars and many other extremist Islamist groups, tribal leaders and religious figures in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. In December 2019, the heads of several Palestinian clans criticized the PA for committing to CEDAW and called for banning feminist groups operating in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
The Association of Palestinian Scholars recently joined the campaign against the treaty, notwithstanding the Palestinian people's preoccupation with the coronavirus outbreak.
"The CEDAW treaty claims that it wants to protect women and the family," the Association said in another statement. "In fact, it wants to destroy the human structure by spreading vice and plunging societies into the swamps of disintegration and loss."
The Muslim "scholars" are saying, in effect, that they do not care about Palestinian women who have been affected by the coronavirus, directly or indirectly, as much as they care about ensuring that these women are not given the rights enjoyed by Palestinian men.
These "scholars" have no advice to offer Palestinian women during the coronavirus outbreak other than issuing fatwas (Islamic opinions) on menstruation during the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan. In Islam, Muslim women are required to take a break from fasting during their menses.
One of the questions that seems to be preoccupying the "scholars" is what happens when a Muslim gets her period during the fast.
Across the globe, people are preoccupied with preventing the spread of the coronavirus and rescuing the global economy. The world's best minds are racing against time to invent a vaccine that will save the lives of millions of people threatened by COVID-19. The pandemic has caused panic about basic living conditions, health and livelihood.
Palestinian Islamic leaders, meanwhile, are busying themselves with the religious implications of menstruation. For these leaders, it is peace with Israel, not the virus, that is imperiling the health of Arabs and Muslims.
These Muslim leaders appear to be more interested in preventing women from working under unbiased conditions than about those individuals suffering from the pandemic. They also seem to be more interested in demonizing Israel than in dealing with the demon called COVID-19.
*Khaled Abu Toameh, an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem, is a Shillman Journalism Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
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Turkey on the Warpath
Uzay Bulut/Gatestone Institute/July 27/2020
The Erdogan regime has been militarily targeting Syria and Iraq, sending its Syrian mercenaries to Libya to seize Libya's oil, and continuing to bully Greece. It is now provoking ongoing violence between Armenia and Azerbaijan.
"Until the Syrian people are free, peaceful and safe, we will remain in this country." — Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Reuters, July 21, 2020.
"Crimes committed against Yazidis [in Syria] include forced conversion to Islam, rape of women and girls, humiliation and torture, arbitrary incarceration, and forced displacement." — Yazda.org, May 29, 2020.
One of Turkey's main targets also seems to be Greece.... If such an attack took place, would the West abandon Greece?
Turkey is currently involved in quite a few international military conflicts -- both against its own neighbors such as Greece, Armenia, Iraq, Syria and Cyprus, and against other nations such as Libya and Yemen. Pictured: Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (right) meets with Fayez al-Sarraj, the leader of one the two rival governments that control Libya, on June 4, 2020 in Ankara, Turkey.
Turkey is currently involved in quite a few international military conflicts -- both against its own neighbors such as Greece, Armenia, Iraq, Syria and Cyprus, and against other nations such as Libya and Yemen. These actions by Turkey suggest that Turkey's foreign policy is increasingly destabilizing not only several nations, but the region as well.
In addition, the Erdogan regime has been militarily targeting Syria and Iraq, sending its Syrian mercenaries to Libya to seize Libyan oil and continuing, as usual, to bully Greece. Turkey's regime is also now provoking ongoing violence between Armenia and Azerbaijan.
Since July 12, Azerbaijan has launched a series of cross-border attacks against Armenia's northern Tavush region in skirmishes that have resulted in the deaths of at least four Armenian soldiers and 12 Azerbaijani ones. After Azerbaijan threatened to launch missile attacks on Armenia's Metsamor nuclear plant on July 16, Turkey offered military assistance to Azerbaijan.
"Our armed unmanned aerial vehicles, ammunition and missiles with our experience, technology and capabilities are at Azerbaijan's service," said İsmail Demir, the head of Presidency of Defense Industries, an affiliate of the Turkish Presidency.
One of Turkey's main targets also seems to be Greece. The Turkish military is targeting Greek territorial waters yet again. The Greek newspaper Kathimerini reported:
"There have been concerns over a possible Turkish intervention in the East Med in a bid to prevent an agreement on the delineation of an exclusive economic zone (EEZ) between Greece and Egypt which is currently being discussed between officials of the two countries."
Turkey's choice of names for its gas exploration ships are also a giveaway. The name of the main ship that Turkey is using for seismic "surveys" of the Greek continental shelf is Oruç Reis, (1474-1518), an admiral of the Ottoman Empire who often raided the coasts of Italy and the islands of the Mediterranean that were still controlled by Christian powers. Other exploration and drilling vessels Turkey uses or is planning to use in Greece's territorial waters are named after Ottoman sultans who targeted Cyprus and Greece in bloody military invasions. These include the drilling ship Fatih "the conqueror" or Ottoman Sultan Mehmed II, who invaded Constantinople in 1453; the drilling ship Yavuz, "the resolute", or Sultan Selim I, who headed the Ottoman Empire during the invasion of Cyprus in 1571; and Kanuni, "the lawgiver" or Sultan Suleiman, who invaded parts of eastern Europe as well as the Greek island of Rhodes.
Turkey's move in the Eastern Mediterranean came in early July, shortly after the country had turned Hagia Sophia, once the world's greatest Greek Cathedral, into a mosque. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan then linked Hagia Sophia's conversion to a pledge to "liberate the Al-Aqsa Mosque" in Jerusalem.
On July 21, the tensions arose again following Turkey's announcement that it plans to conduct seismic research in parts of the Greek continental shelf in an area of sea between Cyprus and Crete in the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean.
"Turkey's plan is seen in Athens as a dangerous escalation in the Eastern Mediterranean, prompting Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis to warn that European Union sanctions could follow if Ankara continues to challenge Greek sovereignty," Kathimerini reported on July 21.
Here is a short list of other countries where Turkey is also militarily involved:
In Libya, Turkey has been increasingly involved in the country's civil war. Associated Press reported on July 18:
"Turkey sent between 3,500 and 3,800 paid Syrian fighters to Libya over the first three months of the year, the U.S. Defense Department's inspector general concluded in a new report, its first to detail Turkish deployments that helped change the course of Libya's war.
"The report comes as the conflict in oil-rich Libya has escalated into a regional proxy war fueled by foreign powers pouring weapons and mercenaries into the country."
Libya has been in turmoil since 2011, when an armed revolt during the "Arab Spring" led to the ouster and murder of dictator Muammar Gaddafi. Political power in the country, the current population of which is around 6.5 million, has been split between two rival governments. The UN-backed Government of National Accord (GNA), has been led by Prime Minister Fayez al Sarraj. Its rival, the Libyan National Army (LNA), has been led by Libyan military officer, Khalifa Haftar.
Backed by Turkey, the GNA said on July 18 that it would recapture Sirte, a gateway to Libya's main oil terminals, as well as an LNA airbase at Jufra.
Egypt, which backs the LNA, announced, however, that if the GNA and Turkish forces tried to seize Sirte, it would send troops into Libya. On July 20, the Egyptian parliament gave approval to a possible deployment of troops beyond its borders "to defend Egyptian national security against criminal armed militias and foreign terrorist elements."
Yemen is another country on which Turkey has apparently set its sights. In a recent video, Turkey-backed Syrian mercenaries fighting on behalf of the GNA in Libya, and aided by local Islamist groups, are seen saying, "We are just getting started. The target is going to be Gaza." They also state that they want to take on Egyptian President Sisi and to go to Yemen.
"Turkey's growing presence in Yemen," The Arab Weekly reported on May 9, "especially in the restive southern region, is fuelling concern across the region over security in the Gulf of Aden and the Bab al-Mandeb.
"These concerns are further heightened by reports indicating that Turkey's agenda in Yemen is being financed and supported by Qatar via some Yemeni political and tribal figures affiliated with the Muslim Brotherhood."
In Syria, Turkey-backed jihadists continue occupying the northern parts of the country. On July 21, Erdogan announced that Turkey's military presence in Syria would continue. "Nowadays they are holding an election, a so-called election," Erdogan said of a parliamentary election on July 19 in Syria's government-controlled regions, after nearly a decade of civil war. "Until the Syrian people are free, peaceful and safe, we will remain in this country."
Additionally, Turkey's incursion into the Syrian city of Afrin, created a particularly grim situation for the local Yazidi population:
"As a result of the Turkish incursion to Afrin," the Yazda organization reported on May 29, "thousands of Yazidis have fled from 22 villages they inhabited prior to the conflict into other parts of Syria, or have migrated to Lebanon, Europe, or the Kurdistan Region of Iraq... "
"Due to their religious identity, Yazidis in Afrin are suffering from targeted harassment and persecution by Turkish-backed militant groups. Crimes committed against Yazidis include forced conversion to Islam, rape of women and girls, humiliation and torture, arbitrary incarceration, and forced displacement. The United States Commission on International Religious Freedom (USCIRF) in its 2020 annual report confirmed that Yazidis and Christians face persecution and marginalization in Afrin.
"Additionally, nearly 80 percent of Yazidi religious sites in Syria have been looted, desecrated, or destroyed, and Yazidi cemeteries have been defiled and bulldozed."
In Iraq, Turkey has been carrying out military operations for years. The last one was started in mid-June. Turkey's Defense Ministry announced on June 17 that the country had "launched a military operation against the PKK" (Kurdistan Workers' Party) in northern Iraq after carrying out a series of airstrikes. Turkey has named its assaults "Operation Claw-Eagle" and "Operation Claw-Tiger".
The Yazidi, Assyrian Christian and Kurdish civilians have been terrorized by the bombings. At least five civilians have been killed in the air raids, according to media reports. Human Rights Watch has also issued a report, noting that a Turkish airstrike in Iraq "disregards civilian loss."
Given Turkey's military aggression in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Armenia, among others, and its continued occupation of northern Cyprus, further aggression, especially against Greece, would not be unrealistic. Turkey's desire to invade Greece is not exactly a secret. Since at least 2018, both the Turkish government and opposition parties have openly been calling for capturing the Greek islands in the Aegean, which they falsely claim belong to Turkey.
If such an attack took place, would the West abandon Greece?
*Uzay Bulut, a Turkish journalist, is a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Gatestone Institute.
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.


The Islamist Takeover of George Floyd
A.J. Caschetta/JNS/July 27/2020
The Islamic Republic of Iran has depicted the late George Floyd as a Muslim martyr.
We Americans seem quite capable of separating ourselves into fractious groups without the help of our enemies, but that hasn't stopped many, especially the Islamists of the world, from using the death of George Floyd to fuel our divides.
Attorney General William Barr warned on June 4, that "hackers ... associated with foreign governments" have been using Floyd's death, "playing all sides to exacerbate the violence." Later that day, something alarmed the New Jersey Office of Homeland Security enough for it to Tweet a warning about "fake social media accounts ... post[ing] content in order to instill fear and panic." But for all the covert activity going on, a great deal of it is out in the open for all to see.
Like the looters in Minneapolis, New York, and Los Angeles, who didn't care about George Floyd beyond the opportunity his death provided for their personal enrichment, many Islamists in the U.S. and abroad have hypocritically and brazenly seized Floyd's death as a stone to throw at American society from within their own glass houses.
The most respected Sunni Islamist intellectual of the twentieth century, Sayyid Qutb, accused African Americans of creating jazz music "to satisfy their primitive instincts — their love of noise and their appetite for sexual arousal."
Islamists, of course, are not immune to racist ideas. The most respected Islamist intellectual among the Al-Qaeda-ISIS set, is Sayyid Qutb (1906-1966), who was also the Muslim Brotherhood's most influential ideologue. Qutb spent almost four years (1948-1951) in the U.S., and in his letters to friends back in Egypt, he often complained about anti-Arab and anti-Muslim sentiments in America. But, as many have noted, those letters also show Qutb's own racial bigotry, as when he explains that, "Jazz is the American music, created by Negroes to satisfy their primitive instincts — their love of noise and their appetite for sexual arousal."
When Sudanese Al-Qaeda member Dr. Jamal al-Fadl walked into the U.S. embassy in Eritrea in June 1996 to turn himself in and give evidence against the terrorist group, one of his chief complaints against bin Laden and the Al-Qaeda leadership was rampant discrimination against black African members who received lower salaries and less comprehensive health care benefits than the Arabs in the group.
Nevertheless, sensing an opportunity to propagandize after the outbreak of rioting in America this year, Al-Qaeda released a letter on June 29 addressed to "the oppressed, the vulnerable, and the revolutionaries of the American people." The letter applauds protesters and rioters for rising up "against racists and the arrogant White House" and encourages them to "establish justice with their own hands."
Echoing bin Laden's frequent peace offerings to America, the Al-Qaeda missive offers Islam as the cure for America's racial strife, "because it is a religion which ensures that people live in freedom, dignity, and peace, and doesn't allow discrimination of any sort between white and black."
Pro-Palestinian activists are exploiting the Black Lives Matter movement to bring attention to their anti-Israel agenda, yet many have long ignored or contributed to a culture of casual anti-black racism.
In the U.S., Islamists have also incorporated George Floyd into their messaging. Hesham Shehab and Benjamin Baird have documented how numerous Islamists in one city, Chicago, "have minimized and excused th[eir own] abhorrent behavior while exploiting Floyd's death." Shebab's and Baird's research focuses on the ways that pro-Palestinian activists and groups (American Muslims for Palestine, Chicago's Students for Justice in Palestine, Chicago's Mosque Foundation) "whitewash the normalization of anti-black hate within their own communities, while simultaneously paying lip service to the cause of racial justice and equality."
From the moment that video of Floyd's death went viral, Palestinian activists throughout the U.S. and abroad tried to turn the subsequent protests against police brutality into an American Intifada and Floyd himself into a shaheed (martyr). Some "protesters" in American cities have displayed Palestinian flags, worn Palestinian keffiyehs and even adopted Palestinian tactics, like the Molotov cocktail-throwing Palestinian activist lawyer Urooj Rahman. Likewise, Floyd's image has been photographed throughout Palestinian territories, and his name has become a regular component of anti-Israel protests.
Gaza Islamic scholar Dr. Taher Al-Lulu hopes the "flames" of racial unrest in the U.S. "will burn the sons of Zion."
In a Friday, June 12, 2020 sermon that aired on Palestine Today TV, Gaza Islamic scholar Dr. Taher Al-Lulu lectured his audience about "racial discrimination imposed by Trump and the whites." He could barely contain his glee that "for 10 days, America has been engulfed in flames ... We pray to Allah that these flames will burn the sons of Zion, America."
Turkey's Islamist president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, always looking for an opportunity to detract attention from the millions of Christians killed by the Ottoman Empire he hopes to resurrect as well as from the brutalities committed by his own regime, denounced in English "the racist and fascist approach that led to the death of George Floyd in the US city of Minneapolis as a result of torture," adding "We will be monitoring the issue." This is rich, coming from the leader of a country that openly discriminates against Kurds. As Pinar Tremblay put it in Al-Monitor, listening to music in Kurdish or attempting to speak Kurdish in the wrong neighborhood can get one killed in Turkey." What would happen in Turkey to a "Kurdish Lives Matter" movement?
American hostage Lordell Maples at a press conference staged by his Iranian captors, November 18, 1979.
At the outset of its Islamic revolution, Iran used race to divide Americans. Among the hostages seized at the U.S. embassy in Tehran on November 4, 1979, were nine African-Americans, all of whom were released on November 20, except for Charles Jones who was captured in the communications vault and therefore considered an important spy. But first they were subjected to an entire day of lectures on the evils of American imperialism and then paraded before reporters to read statements and answer questions, sitting under a banner that read "Oppressed blacks!! The United States Government is our common enemy." One of the men, USMC Sgt. William Quarles, was manipulated into saying things he later regretted.
Iran jumped hard on the George Floyd bandwagon, so it comes as no surprise that it held a tasteless cartoon contest (the "I can't breathe exhibit") and gave Floyd (who was not a Muslim) the Soleimani treatment by portraying him as a Shi'ite saint.
In a June 19 sermon in Iran's Fars province, Ayatollah Lotfollah Dezhkam boasted that the "shout of the Iranian nation [is now] being heard from the mouths of the Americans themselves: Death to America!"
Unlike those who live in Islamist societies ruled by dictators and theocrats, Americans can settle our disputes rationally.
What country will lecture us next about America's "systemic racism"? Perhaps, from its seat on the United Nations Human Rights Council, it will be Mauritania, the last country on earth to abolish slavery, but where slavery still persists.
Unlike those who live in Iran, Turkey, the Palestinian territories and other places ruled by dictators and theocrats, Americans can settle our disputes rationally, in discussions, even arguments, and ultimately in elections, rather than in the streets. In spite of its flaws, our system is the envy of the world. Just ask any anti-Khamenei protester, or any independent journalist in Turkey, or any Palestinian who dares to cross Hamas or the PLO.
*A.J. Caschetta is a Ginsburg-Milstein fellow at Campus Watch, a project of the Middle East Forum, and a principal lecturer at the Rochester Institute of Technology.


Raymond Ibrahim/Burned Alive”: Persecution of Christians, June 2020
Gatstone Institute/July 26/2020
ريموند إبراهيم/معهد كايتستون: جردة في أعمال اضطهاد المسيحيين خلال شهر حزيران/2020..يحرقون وهم أحياء
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/88897/raymond-ibrahim-burned-alive-persecution-of-christians-june-2020-gatstone-institute%d8%b1%d9%8a%d9%85%d9%88%d9%86%d8%af-%d8%a5%d8%a8%d8%b1%d8%a7%d9%87%d9%8a%d9%85-%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%87%d8%af/
A Christian teenager was sexually assaulted by his Muslim employer in early June. The boy’s father and brother were then beaten for trying to seek justice for him. — Persecution.org, June 19, 2020, Pakistan.
“These Muslim Fulani herdsmen have been attacking our communities because we are Christians. Their desire is to take over our lands, force us to become Muslims, and if we decline, they kill us….” — Ibrahim Agu Iliya, Morning Star News, June 3, 2020, Nigeria.
Police killed a man after he cited his Christian faith as reason not to falsify his testimony, as police were urging him to do….Police were trying to get Younas to recant his eyewitness testimony against a Muslim family accused of murder…. When beating him did not yield results, they tried to bribe him…. “During the attack, one of the officers shouted, ‘We will teach him a lesson for insulting us!’” — Persecution.org.; June 25, 2020, Pakistan.
“Is it wrong to have another religion? Is Christianity wrong?” — Fitri Handayani, a woman who converted from Islam to Christianity, describing her ordeals at the hands of her family, YouTube; June 17, 2020, Indonesia.
“These are our houses. In ten years, none of you will be left here and then your homes will be ours anyway.” — Kurdish representative in Qamishli to Christian family; World Council of Arameans (Syriacs); June 17, 2020, Syria.
In June 2019, at least 100 Christian men, women and children were murdered by Fulani gunmen in Sobame Da, a village in the Mopti region of central Mali. Pictured: The village of Sobame Da. (Image source: United Nations/MINUSMA/Flickr)
The Slaughter of Christians
Nigeria: The jihad on Christians continued in the West Africa nation without letup. In what police described as a “brutal assault,” suspected Muslims raped and slaughtered Uwaila Vera Omozuwa, a 22-year-old Christian girl studying inside Redeemed Christian Church of God in Benin City. “We are all devastated by her death,” a spokesman of the church said, before explaining: “She [had] decided to do some private studies during the lockdown because the church was peaceful. She’s been taking the key from the parish pastor and returning it after her studies.” The slain girl’s mother described what happened after she heard of the attack:
“I RAN [TO THE CHURCH] BUT BEFORE I GOT THERE, THEY TOOK HER TO A PRIVATE HOSPITAL AND WHEN I SAW MY DAUGHTER, I CRIED. THEY RAPED HER; THE DRESS SHE WAS WEARING THAT MORNING WAS WHITE. THE WHITE HAD TURNED TO RED; ALL HER BODY WAS FULL OF BLOOD…. MY DAUGHTER WAS VERY KIND AND VERY INTELLIGENT AND DISCIPLINED. WE HAD JUST CELEBRATED HER ADMISSION TO UNIVERSITY.”
In a separate incident, Muslim Fulani herdsmen entered a Christian-owned store and shot to death its owner and four other Christians. They did not steal anything from the store or from the victims’ bodies. Despite the presence of armed security, the terrorists were able to fire their weapons for a full ten minutes, before leaving without a trace. In response, Ibrahim Agu Iliya, a Christian, assembled and led a team of unarmed civilians to apprehend them. He said,
“THESE MUSLIM FULANI HERDSMEN HAVE BEEN ATTACKING OUR COMMUNITIES BECAUSE WE ARE CHRISTIANS. THEIR DESIRE IS TO TAKE OVER OUR LANDS, FORCE US TO BECOME MUSLIMS, AND IF WE DECLINE, THEY KILL US… THE GOVERNMENT’S INABILITY TO STOP THESE MUSLIM FULANI HERDSMEN IS BECAUSE THE GOVERNMENT IS BEING CONTROLLED BY FULANI POLITICAL LEADERS HEADED BY MUHAMMADU BUHARI, NIGERIA’S PRESIDENT, WHO’S ALSO A FULANI MAN.”
Sunday Samuel — who witnessed and survived the attack, and whose 42-year-old slain sister Asabe Samuel owned the store — agreed:
“I STRONGLY BELIEVE THAT SOME OF THESE SECURITY PERSONNEL WHO ARE MUSLIMS ARE CONNIVING WITH THESE ARMED MEN TO ATTACK OUR PEOPLE. THESE KILLINGS OF CHRISTIANS HERE ARE JUST TOO MUCH OF A PRESSURE ON US, AND THE SAD REALITY IS THAT OUR PEOPLE HAVE MADE REPRESENTATIONS TO THE GOVERNMENT AT BOTH THE STATE AND FEDERAL LEVELS AND NOTHING HAS BEEN DONE.”
In another massacre on June 3 — just after a May terror attack in the same region, where “more than 30 corpses of slain Christians still lay in nearby villages” — Muslim Fulani herdsmen shot or hacked to death with machetes nine Christians, most of them church-attending women and children; a three-year-old was seriously wounded. Seven other Christians were kidnapped at gun point.
Burkina Faso: “Christians were among those targeted and killed,” a June 5 report found, after “armed jihadists launched three separate attacks … that left at least 58 dead,” including children. Dozens were also injured. A “contact reported that it was clear from the testimony of a survivor that the militants were targeting Christians and humanitarians taking food to an internally displaced people camp, where many mainly-Christian villagers had taken refuge after fleeing prior jihadi violence.” Intended victims who the terrorists discovered were Muslim were spared. A survivor recalled how the driver of his truck had cried “forgive, forgive, we are also followers of the prophet Muhammad!” That call had caused one of the terrorists to turn to the others and say, “They have the same religion with us,” prompting an end to the attack on the vehicle. “Jihadi attacks on Christians in the African nation have been on the rise,” the report added; “Last December, at least 14 people were killed when gunmen stormed a Protestant church service… Last April, gunmen killed a Protestant pastor and five other Christians who were leaving a worship service.”
Mali: During near simultaneous raids on three Christian majority villages, “suspected Islamic radicals killed at least 27 people, some of whom were burned alive,” according to a June 4 report:
“MALI HAS BEEN IN CHAOS SINCE 2012, WHEN AL QAEDA-LINKED JIHADISTS SEIZED THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY. FRENCH FORCES INTERVENED THE FOLLOWING YEAR TO DRIVE THEM BACK, BUT THE MILITANTS HAVE SINCE REGROUPED AND EXPANDED THEIR OPERATIONS INTO NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES SUCH AS BURKINA FASO AND NIGER.”
A separate report elaborated:
“MALI SUFFERED ITS WORST YEAR OF EXTREMIST VIOLENCE IN SEVEN YEARS IN 2019. JIHADI MILITANTS CARRIED OUT MURDEROUS ATTACKS IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL AREA, LAYING WASTE TO CHRISTIAN VILLAGES AND CAUSING HUNDREDS TO FLEE WITH ONLY THE CLOTHES ON THEIR BACKS. IN ONE OF THE WORST ATTACKS, IN JUNE 2019, AT LEAST 100 MEN, WOMEN AND CHILDREN WERE SLAUGHTERED IN SOBAME DA, A MAINLY-CHRISTIAN VILLAGE IN THE MOPTI REGION OF CENTRAL MALI.”
Pakistan: On June 4, Muslim neighbors attacked a Christian family for purchasing a home in what they claimed was a “Muslim neighborhood.” Despite five medical operations, the father, Nadeem Joseph — who along with his mother-in-law was shot — succumbed to his wounds and died in a hospital on June 29. Prior to the attack, the Christian family’s Muslim neighbors had regularly harassed them — including by damaging their home, riding loud motorcycles in front of it, and calling them “chooras,” a derogatory term meaning “unclean Christians.” Before he died, Joseph had made a video from his hospital bed:
“I AM FEELING SCARED EVEN IN THE HOSPITAL,” HE SAID. “I FEAR [FOR] MY LIFE AND MY FAMILY[‘S]…. A MONTH AGO, I PURCHASED A HOUSE IN TV COLONY. I STILL HAVE TO MAKE THE FINAL PAYMENTS TO THE SELLER, BUT SALMAN KHAN, A MUSLIM IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD, HAS STARTED HARASSING MY FAMILY.”
After asking him to leave the neighborhood, because it was “meant for Muslim residents only,” Khan exclaimed: “How dare a Christian family live amid Muslims?… Christians and Jews are the opponents of Muslims. Therefore, you cannot stay in this house.” It was then that Khan opened fire on Joseph and his family; he was shot twice in the stomach, and his mother-in-law in the shoulder.
In a separate incident, police killed a man after he cited his Christian faith as reason not to falsify his testimony, as they were urging him to do. On June 22, police broke into the home of Waqar Masih. According to the Christian:
“ARIF JUTT, A POLICEMAN, ALONG WITH HIS OTHERS ILLEGALLY BARGED INTO MY HOUSE. THEY SEARCHED FOR MY FATHER [YOUNIS] AND THREW HIM DOWN FROM HIS BED. THEY BEAT MY FATHER WITH THEIR GUNS AND CONTINUOUSLY KICKED HIM IN STOMACH. MY FATHER COULD NOT SURVIVE THE TORTURE AND BREATHED HIS LAST IMMEDIATELY.”
Police were trying to get Younas to recant his eyewitness testimony against a Muslim family accused of murder. When beating him did not yield results, they tried to bribe him. “I am a Christian and I will never cheat and get bribed,” Younis had responded. “My father’s deep commitment to his faith made the policemen aggressive,” Waqar continued. “During the attack, one of the officers shouted, ‘We will teach him a lesson for insulting us!’”
Sudan: On June 6 in Omdurman, a number of mosque leaders called on the faithful to rid their “Muslim area” of South Sudanese Christians, prompting Muslims to rise up against and beat — and in one instance, kill — Christians. According to the report, “The mosque leaders told those at the evening prayer that the South Sudanese were infidels, criminals and brewers of alcohol, which is forbidden in Islam.” In one of the attacks to follow, “three young Muslim men with rods, sticks and rifles subsequently beat two Christians.” According to a source,
“THE ATTACK LEFT ONE OF THE TWO CHRISTIANS [AN 18-YEAR-OLD] IN CRITICAL CONDITION AFTER SUSTAINING INJURIES ON HIS HEAD. THE MUSLIMS WHO CONSIDER THE AREA MUSLIM TERRITORY WERE SHOUTING, ‘THEY [SOUTH SUDANESE CHRISTIANS] MUST LEAVE THIS PLACE BY FORCE.’”
Later, “mobs of young Muslim men” set fire to 16 makeshift shelters of plastic sheeting that had sheltered South Sudanese Christians. The Christians fled but only after 10, including one woman, were injured in the assault. Afterwards, she said, “Muslim men have long harassed Christian women… This issue is disturbing us, and it is not acceptable — but what can we do, oh God?”
Later, on June 20, near the capital of Khartoum, “young Muslim men shouting the jihadist slogan ‘Allah Akbar [‘Allah is the greatest’]’ stabbed a [35-year-old] Christian to death in a street assault on him… Mariel Bang is survived by his wife and four children ranging in age from 1 to 4 years old.” Four other Christians — three of whom were women — traveling with Bang were also beaten; one was left in critical condition. “We will burn this place,” one of the assailants was heard to say.
Mozambique: “It was fierce, cruel and lasted three days,” a nun said of a jihadi raid on the town of Macomia that began on May 28 and lasted for three days. She and the other Teresian Carmelite Sisters of Saint Joseph, who have served Macomia for 16 years, had temporarily fled their school and boarding house. “Even though the danger had by no means receded,” they returned on June 4, said Sister Blanca Nubia Castaño, because they were hoping, “at the very least to be able to visit (our) employees and their families and help them and give them new courage”:
“AS A RESULT OF THIS BARBARISM, THE TOWN CENTER WAS COMPLETELY DESTROYED, THE MAJORITY OF THE ADMINISTRATIVE INFRASTRUCTURE WAS DAMAGED AND THE COMMERCIAL AND SHOPPING CENTER WAS REDUCED TO ASHES…. WE STILL DON’T KNOW THE NUMBER OF CIVILIAN VICTIMS OR THOSE OF THE SECURITY FORCES. ON JUNE 3, PEOPLE SLOWLY BEGAN TO RETURN TO THEIR HOMES, SOME OF WHICH HAD BEEN BURNED, WHILE OTHERS HAD BEEN LOOTED…. OUR MISSION WAS SAVED BECAUSE IT IS SITUATED IN THE HILLS, CLOSE TO A MILITARY BASE.”
“Since the end of 2017,” according to the report, “violence in the region has claimed the more than 1100 lives” and “caused the displacement of some 200,000 people.”
Attacks on Apostates
Indonesia: On June 17, Cutfitri (or Zulfitri) Handayani, a woman who converted from Islam to Christianity, uploaded an impassioned video recording (with English subtitles) describing her ordeals at the hands of her family, while regularly asking, “Is it wrong to have another religion? Is Christianity wrong?” Her Muslim family and that of her ex-husband, among other abuses, took custody of her two young sons, and falsely claimed that she had been kidnapped. During her pleas, which were interrupted by uncontrollable weeping, she begged her sister to “please leave [at least] one of my children, don’t take them both…. How can you, my own family, seize my own children—are you happy at my condition, suffering without my children?” She said that her sister would eventually surrender the young children to their father, who, Handayani hinted, is engaged in illegal activities. “I beg you sister, reveal the truth, don’t slander [innocent] people.” She revealed that she was told that for her children to be returned to her, she would first have to “return to Islam.” She replied, “even if it means I be murdered, I will never return there, because my faith belongs here, in Christianity!”
Uganda: Muslims beat a Muslim convert to Christianity and his wife for refusing to recant, and torched their home. Marijan Olupot, formerly an Islamic sheikh, had secretly embraced Christianity on Christmas Day 2019. Soon after, in May, he confessed his conversion to his two wives. One joined him, the other refused. When she reported the matter to a local Muslim leader, he publicized the apostasy among the local Muslim population. Accordingly, on June 8, around 11:30 pm, Muslim villagers surrounded and the convert’s home and torched it. He, his wife, and three children — 10, 12, and 14 — barely managed to escape from the rear door. “Unfortunately as we were fleeing in the night, the attackers managed to get hold of my wife and beat her with sticks, injuring her left hand and back and the right leg, but thank God my Christian neighbors rescued her, ” he said:
“AS WE WERE FLEEING, I HEARD ONE OF THE MUSLIMS, NAMED HAMUZA, CALLING OUT THAT THE HOUSE SHOULD BE COMPLETED DESTROYED [AT WHICH POINT THE HOUSE WAS SET ON FIRE]…. WE NEED PRAYERS AT THIS TRYING MOMENT, AS THE MUSLIMS ARE OUT TO KILL ME. MY OTHER WIFE IS SCHEMING FOR MY DEATH.”
In a separate incident, Muslims “beat a Christian convert with sticks and burned his home for refusing to renounce Christ,” a June 22 report noted. According to the 27-year-old apostate from Islam, he refused to open his door after Muslims in the area came knocking at night. “They destroyed the door and made entry, but I escaped through the rear door. They followed me and got hold of me and began beating me up. Neighbors came when I screamed for help.” After a neighbor took him to a hospital, while he was being treated, the same Muslims “returned to his house and set it on fire,” he said.
General Abuse of Christians
Pakistan: A Christian man and his family were enslaved and abused “for their Christian faith,” a human rights activist disclosed in a June 24 report. Earlier, in 2015, Bashir Masih, a Christian man, had agreed to be Ali Babar Waraich’s servant for an advance sum equivalent to $2,397 USD. After five years of labor, not only did his Muslim “master” refuse to release Bashir and his family from their indentured servitude, but it was revealed that he had been abusing them. According to Dr. Riaz Aasi, who is closely acquainted with this case,
“DURING WARAICH’S CUSTODY, BASHIR AND HIS WIFE WERE BEATEN AND ABUSED FOR THEIR CHRISTIAN FAITH. HOWEVER, BASHIR [WAS] NEVER HESITANT TO PROCLAIM AND PRACTICE HIS FAITH…. AS A RESULT OF CONTINUOUS YEARS OF ABUSE, BASHIR’S LEGS HAVE TWISTED, AND HE CAN’T WALK WITHOUT SUPPORT. BASHIR HAS NEVER BEEN PROVIDED WITH MEDICAL AID FOR HIS LEGS…. CHRISTIAN VICTIMS OF BOUNDED [SIC] LABOR ARE VOICELESS. THEY ARE EXTREMELY PRESSURIZED AND THREATENED IN THE VILLAGES BY LANDLORDS, RESULTING IN THE LOSS OF THEIR COURAGE TO SPEAK AGAINST INJUSTICE. THEY PREFER TO SUFFER RATHER THAN RAISING THEIR VOICES FOR JUSTICE. THEREFORE, VICTIMS IN MOST CASES KEEP SILENT TO PROTECT THEIR FAMILIES. BASHIR WENT THROUGH THE SAME EXPERIENCE.”
In another incident, a Christian teenager was sexually assaulted by his Muslim employer in early June. The boy’s father and brother were then beaten for trying to seek justice for him. Saim Masih, 13, began working for Muhammad Tauseef to pay off his father’s loan from the Muslim (equivalent to $2,128 USD). After a year’s worth of work, Saim’s father argued that the debt had been paid and that his son’s salary would need to be raised if Muhammad wanted the youth to continue working for him. The Muslim “got irritated and rejected the demand,” a human rights activist said. He beat the father while calling him “a ‘choora,’ a term used to denote Pakistani Christians as untouchable.” He then, to quote his older brother, Saqar, “began beating and sexually assaulting” the 13-year-old boy. When Saqar went to police to register a complaint against Muhammad, however, the “police refused the application and abused Saqar.” He “was then pressurized to withdraw the application, but he refused.” As a result, on June 5, the older brother went “missing for about 30 hours. When he was found, his body was covered with multiple injuries.” Masked men also threatened the father and other family members to drop the complaint. “To date,” concluded the June 19 report, “local police have done little to protect Saim or his family. This is likely due to the religious bias faced by Christians in Pakistan.”
Finally, in a June 14 report, Hannah Chowdhry, a Pakistani human rights activist, offered more details concerning a church attack that occurred on May 9, when a Muslim mob, trying “to take advantage “of the coronavirus lockdown … attempted to break into the church in a bid to illegally wrestle the property from its rightful owners.” She continued:
“THERE WERE TWO MAFIA GANG MEMBERS WHO BROUGHT FIVE OR SIX OTHER MEN WITH THEM WITH GUNS AND PISTOLS…. THEY BROKE DOWN THE OUTER WALL OF THE CHURCH. THERE WAS A CEMENTED CROSS AS WELL THAT THEY BROKE DOWN AND THREW ON THE FLOOR AND THEY TRIED TO BREAK INTO THE CHURCH…. ALTHOUGH THE PEOPLE ARE TERRIFIED ABOUT WHAT HAS HAPPENED, THEY HAVE STARTED UP SERVICES IN THE CHURCH AGAIN …. THIS HAPPENS ON A REGULAR BASIS AND WE JUST HAVE TO MAKE PEOPLE AWARE OF WHAT IS HAPPENING AROUND THE WORLD…. IT’S DEVASTATING THAT THIS IS STILL HAPPENING EVEN DURING THE PANDEMIC.”
Another rights activist added that authorities should — but rarely do — take action against people grabbing land; this “creates fear in local congregations and takes away their freedom to practice their faith.”
Iraq: On June 2, “suspicious fires” consumed more than 240 acres of mostly Christian land in the Nineveh district. The fires severely damaged “the livelihoods of those who are attempting to rebuild their lives following displacement from the Islamic State (ISIS).” The report states:
“THIS IS NOT THE FIRST INSTANCE OF CROP FIRES BEING SET IN NINEVEH. MANY RESIDENTS ARE QUICK TO BLAME EITHER ISIS OR THE PMF (POPULAR MOBILIZATION FORCES), AN IRANIAN-BACKED MILITIA WHICH CONTROLS THE TERRITORY. THE PMF IS ALSO A STRONG SUPPORTER OF THE SHABAK, AN ETHNIC [BUT MUSLIM] MINORITY WHO ALSO SUFFERED PERSECUTION UNDER ISIS BUT EMERGED FROM THE GENOCIDE IN A POSITION OF STRENGTH. THERE ARE OFTEN TENSIONS BETWEEN THE SHABAK AND CHRISTIANS, ESPECIALLY AS THE SHABAK HAVE MOVED INTO CHRISTIAN AREAS IN A SOMETIMES FORCEFUL MANNER.”
In addition, according to a report, Turkish airstrikes ostensibly targeting members of the Kurdish Workers’ Party (PKK) “impacted [several] villages” which are “home to Christian communities”:
“HUNDREDS OF CHRISTIAN FAMILIES WHO FLED MOSUL AND THE NINEVEH PLAINS DURING THE 2014 ISIS ATTACKS NOW LIVE IN ZAKHO, ONE OF THE AREAS TARGETED BY TURKEY’S RAIDS. MANY OF THESE CHRISTIANS HAVE BEEN DISPLACED ONCE AGAIN.”
Syria: According to a June 17 report, an Aramean Christian woman “became terrified” when she discovered that two Kurdish militiamen had dug a tunnel that ended up in the backyard of her house. “Aramean Christians across Northeast Syria have been complaining more than once about this military strategy that is being employed by the PYD/YPG [People’s Kurdish Protection Unit’s] Kurds.” The brothers of the woman, “a respected deaconess in one of the local churches in Qamishli,” met with local Kurdish leaders in an effort to “get them to close the hole and find another tunnel exit.”
“AFTER THE REQUEST WAS APPROVED, ONE OF THE KURDISH REPRESENTATIVES IN QAMISHLI FRIGHTENED THE FAMILY, TELLING THEM: ‘THESE ARE OUR HOUSES. IN TEN YEARS, NONE OF YOU WILL BE LEFT HERE AND THEN YOUR HOMES WILL BE OURS ANYWAY.’ THIS LATEST CASE HAS SHOCKED THE VULNERABLE ARAMEAN WOMAN WHO IS AFRAID TO STAY AT HOME ALONE AND CAN’T SLEEP PEACEFULLY. THE ARAMEANS, WHO IN THE LAST YEARS HAVE BEEN LIVING UNDER THE KURDISH YOKE IN OCCUPIED NORTHEAST SYRIA, HAVE FREQUENTLY BEEN VICTIMS OF THE YPG’S SCARE TACTICS, INTIMIDATIONS, THREATS, OPPRESSION AND (LETHAL) VIOLENCE.”
Commenting on these Kurdish tunnels that often presage the confiscation of Christian properties, a representative of the World Council of Arameans, said,
“EVERYONE KNOWS ABOUT IT, BUT NOBODY KNOWS WHETHER OR NOT A TUNNEL HAS BEEN DUG UNDER THEIR OWN HOUSE…. YPG KURDS TARGET THE NATIVE ARAMEANS AND THEIR ANCESTRAL LANDS SO THAT THE LATTER WILL BE TURNED INTO WAR ZONES FROM WHICH THE DEFENSELESS CHRISTIANS WILL INEVITABLY WANT TO FLEE.”
*Raymond Ibrahim, author of the recent book, Sword and Scimitar, Fourteen Centuries of War between Islam and the West, is a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Gatestone Institute, a Shillman Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center, and a Judith Rosen Friedman Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
Picture Enclosed: In June 2019, at least 100 Christian men, women and children were murdered by Fulani gunmen in Sobame Da, a village in the Mopti region of central Mali. Pictured: The village of Sobame Da. (Image source: United Nations/MINUSMA/Flickr)

The Virus Will Make Everything You Hate About Flying Worse
David Fickling/Bloomberg/July 27/2020
Last month, my wife and I planned our first holiday in six months. It was a hectic experience. Borders between most Australian states had been closed since the start of the coronavirus lockdown. We’d been hoping to fly three hours to the tropical resort town of Cairns in northeastern Queensland state, to escape the Sydney winter and holiday with friends.
Within hours of the announcement that Queensland’s border would open, tickets on the handful of flights north started selling out. With so few seats available, yield management — the practice by which airlines monitor minute-by-minute demand for their seats, and raise prices accordingly — was in overdrive. By the time we finally booked, we’d spent about A$1,000, or 40%, more than if we’d been quicker off the mark.
That’s a glimpse of what awaits travelers as the world comes out of Covid-induced hibernation over the next two years. Global air traffic is projected to decline by at least half in 2020. Most airlines believe business won’t return to pre-pandemic levels until 2023, at the earliest. Even then, it will still feel like a depression for an industry that had expected to be as much as a fifth larger by that point.
The financial consequences for large carriers and their employees will be wrenching — and those passengers who do start flying again will have to bear the costs. The drawn-out recovery will accentuate all the aspects of flying that travelers bemoan. Did you think travel in 2019 was costly, crowded, mean and lacking in glamour? Get used to it.
The decline of business travel poses the biggest threat to the industry. Premium-class travelers account for about 5% of traffic but 30% of airline revenue, allowing carriers to offer economy seats at cheaper fares. Tight corporate budgets and the boom in videoconferencing under lockdown may have killed off a sizeable share of that industry. Some 60% of travel managers surveyed by BCD Travel in April expect the frequency of business travel to be lower even after the pandemic subsides.
Of all economy and premium-class tickets bought by businesses, “10%-15% will never return," Ben Baldanza, former chief executive officer of budget carrier Spirit Airlines Inc., said by email. “Video was available before Covid, but now businesses have both experience and confidence in using it.”
Recessions typically lead to a three-year slump in air travel — and the one we’re seeing is likely to be unprecedented in its depth and length. Long-haul operations could still be struggling five years from now, according to Baldanza. The early days of recovery may bring bargains as carriers attempt to coax passengers back on board — though we certainly didn’t get one for our holiday. Sooner or later, though, the industry will have to reckon with the mountain of debt it’s taken on.
There's simply no flight-map for this. Companies with net debts more than about four or five times the size of their Ebitda are conventionally considered at high risk of missing payments. That ratio will hit 16 for the global airline industry in 2021, according to the International Air Transport Association. Such levels are rarely seen for any businesses outside the financial and real estate sector, unless they’re on the brink of bankruptcy. For an entire industry, it’s unheard of.
Some carriers will be able to withstand the crisis better than others. Those with strong positions in large domestic markets that have been spared the worst of the virus, such as Australia, Japan and China, should do better, as will regional Asian carriers and budget airlines in the European Union. Because of their low-cost bases, short-haul discount carriers are likely to be more resilient than their full-service rivals.
Airlines based in large domestic markets hit hardest by Covid-19 — the US, India, Brazil, Russia — will find the going harder. The worst affected are likely to be the handful of airlines that spent the past two decades aspiring to connect the world as global hub carriers.
The state’s role will be impossible to escape in the decade ahead. Already, governments have extended some $123 billion of aid — equivalent to the last four years’ worth of industry profits. The damage that coronavirus is doing to traffic and the centrality of quarantine measures mean that only a handful of mainly budget carriers are likely to survive on their own feet. Lufthansa AG is likely to pay down debt rather than buy new planes over the next few years, Bloomberg News reported last week, while IAG SA's British Airways will retire its fleet of 747s. Many airlines will need ongoing state support, on top of the bailouts that have already taken place.
In either scenario, the future for those companies looks grim. Carriers that don’t receive government backing will head toward bankruptcy. Those that do receive help still risk ending up in the position of sclerotic state-owned flag-carriers like Alitalia SpA, Malaysian Airline System Bhd. and Air India Ltd., lurching from crisis to crisis under the weight of government loans.
That will translate into unpleasant experiences for passengers. You’re unlikely to find yourself surrounded by socially-distanced empty seats — even easyJet Plc, which proposed that measure in April, subsequently dropped it. Airlines at the best of times can’t make money unless they fill 80% of the plane. On the first leg of my flight from Sydney to Brisbane every one of the 174 seats on board was occupied, and the second leg from Brisbane to Cairns was about 90% full. Your best hope of avoiding infection will be either to wear a mask, to count on the reliability of in-cabin air filtration or to avoid flying altogether.
Carriers will also amplify the existing trend towards making money where passengers seem insensitive to price — in other words, everything but the tickets themselves. Ancillary revenues from things like baggage fees, extra legroom, on-board meals, frequent-flier points and hotel and car rental bookings have risen five-fold over the past decade to hit $109.5 billion last year, according to consultants IdeaWorks Company. That’s more than 12% of overall airline revenues and at some discount carriers it amounts to as much as a third of the total. The aftermath of the pandemic will provide carriers a reason to stop handing out free food and drink that could be seen as carrying infection. They’ll come attached with a stiff price tag in future.
Baggage fees will also soar. The brightest spot in the aviation industry at the moment is freight. Because of the shortage of passenger flights, cargo holds are fuller than they’ve ever been, allowing carriers to push up prices. Luggage fees are a way of both earning extra revenue in the passenger cabin and discouraging people from bringing bags, freeing up more space below decks for profitable commercial shipments.
As for seats, passenger groups believe a review of seat size due to be released this summer by the US Federal Aviation Administration will give carriers the green light to pack people even closer together. On a typical Airbus SE A320 or Boeing Co. 737, each inch taken off legroom could open up space for an extra row of passengers, up to maximum levels determined by evacuation protocols. Seat designers these days offer products with as little as 28 inches between each row, compared with levels of 31 inches to 33 inches at most full-service carriers. Those who are too tall to cram into such spaces may find paying an extra fee for decent legroom is the only way to stretch out. The truth is, consumers are willing to overlook all manner of indignities in the name of cheap fares, as demonstrated by the success of gleefully spartan, bare-bones airlines like Ryanair Holdings Plc. Everything is relative in ticket pricing, however; in the post-pandemic era of flying, tickets may only look cheap. The carriers that survive will have more market power thanks to the collapse or takeover of their rivals, putting them in a good position to squeeze out the higher fares they’ll need to pay off their debts. Witness the recent history of the US aviation industry, when nearly 200 bankruptcies over three decades left the sector so concentrated that even a long-standing skeptic like Warren Buffett saw fit to take equity stakes, while customer complaints soared.
Will regulators come to the rescue of consumers, by preventing further consolidation? Don’t count on it. But that largess that governments are giving away shouldn’t come for free, either. In particular, they should use their newfound influence to push carriers to do more on reducing emissions, one of the fastest-growing areas for climate pollution. Nearly three-quarters of the world’s air traffic touches down in either North America, the European Union or China. Given that concentration, it’s only political will that’s preventing governments from imposing a global price on carbon emissions — something that in any case would get passed on to ticket surcharges in much the same way that costly jet fuel was in the early 2010s.
Two types of airline businesses are likely to prosper in the decade ahead: Lean budget carriers and government-controlled, bailed-out long-haul national champions. For most of us, that means a future with fewer cross-continental flights being pampered on the upper deck of a jumbo jet, and more time crammed into narrow seats eating dry sandwiches. The industry that emerges from coronavirus will be nasty, brutish and short-haul.