LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
November 21/18
Compiled &
Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
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Bible Quotations For today
But do not ignore this one fact, beloved, that
with the Lord one day is like a thousand years, and a thousand years are like
one day
second Letter of Peter 03/01/15/This is now, beloved, the second letter I am
writing to you; in them I am trying to arouse your sincere intention by
reminding you that you should remember the words spoken in the past by the holy
prophets, and the commandment of the Lord and Saviour spoken through your
apostles. First of all you must understand this, that in the last days scoffers
will come, scoffing and indulging their own lusts and saying, ‘Where is the
promise of his coming? For ever since our ancestors died, all things continue as
they were from the beginning of creation!’ They deliberately ignore this fact,
that by the word of God heavens existed long ago and an earth was formed out of
water and by means of water, through which the world of that time was deluged
with water and perished. But by the same word the present heavens and earth have
been reserved for fire, being kept until the day of judgement and destruction of
the godless. But do not ignore this one fact, beloved, that with the Lord one
day is like a thousand years, and a thousand years are like one day. The Lord is
not slow about his promise, as some think of slowness, but is patient with you,
not wanting any to perish, but all to come to repentance"
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 20-21/18
Lebanon-linked Gang Accused of Laundering Millions of
Euros in Germany/Deutsche Welle/November 20/18
The Lebanese Daily, Al-Modon: Hizbullah Controls Area In Syrian Territory Along
Border With Lebanon – And Has Built Military Bases, Training Camps, And
Underground Warehouses There/MEMRI/November 20/18
Puttin To Israel, US: Loosen Sanctions In Exchange For Iran Leaving
Syria/Jerusalem Post/November 20/18
Brazil’s New President Stumbles in Terra Incognita/Mac
Margolis/Bloomberg/November, 20/18
The Political Split That Will Determine Brexit/Therese
Raphael/Bloomberg/November, 20/18
Snapchat Should Emulate Facebook for Once/Shira Ovide/Bloomberg/November, 20/18
From gossip to fake news: A full circle incorporating state secrets/Walid Jawad/Al
Arabiya/November 20/18
Political tasks for international organizations in Yemen/Hamdan Alaly/Al Arabiya/November
20/18
The most controversial hour/Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/November 20/18
Turkey and US: Conflict Contained, Not Resolved/Burak Bekdil/Gatestone
Institute/November 20/18
The EU's Dangerous New Confidence Game/Douglas Murray/Gatestone
Institute/November 20/18
MbS fingered again for the Khashoggi murder to undermine him ahead of the G20
Buenos Aires summit/DEBKAfile/November 20/18
Flare-Up in Gaza (Part 2): Gently Undoing a Gordian Knot/Ghaith al-Omari and
Assaf Orion/The Washington Institute/November 20/18
Why Has Netanyahu Reversed Course on Early Elections/David Makovsky/The
Washington Institute/November 20/18
Titles For Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
November 20-21/18
Trump Stresses to Aoun Keenness on Lebanon’s Security,
Safety
Pope Francis Praises Lebanon for Hosting Refugees
Putin Stresses Strong Bilateral Ties in Letter to Lebanese President
Aoun congratulates Lebanese on Prophet Mohammad's Birthday
Hariri patronizes Independence Exhibition in Sidon: We can overcome our crises
if we live the dreams of the youth
Reports: Bassil's Stance Further Complicates 'Sunni Obstacle'
Bassil Asks Lebanese Ambassador to Assist Carlos Ghosn
Nissan Shares Plunge as Ghosn Faces Ouster after Arrest
Mrad Says March 8 MPs Mulling 'Druze Solution' to 'Sunni Hurdle'
Kataeb Party Hails 'Historic, Epoch-Making Correlation' Between November Events
Gemayel, Jumblat Discuss Latest Developments
Lebanon-linked Gang Accused of Laundering Millions of Euros in Germany
The Lebanese Daily, Al-Modon: Hizbullah Controls Area In Syrian Territory Along
Border With Lebanon – And Has Built Military Bases, Training Camps, And
Underground Warehouses There
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports
And News published on November 20-21/18
Puttin To Israel, US: Loosen Sanctions In Exchange For
Iran Leaving Syria
UK's Hunt Discusses Nuclear Cooperation, Regional Demands with Iran
EU open to Iran sanctions after foiled France, Denmark plots
Iran Deputy FM: Europe Incapable of Creating Financial Mechanism
Iran Vows to Overcome Oil Sanctions, Seeks French Financial Channel
Iraq launches air strikes against ISIS targets in Syria
U.N. in Final Push for Syria Constitutional Committee
De Mistura in Final Push for Syria Constitutional Committee
Devalued Syrian Currency Adds to People’s Economic Hardship
Jordanian Delegation in Damascus in First Visit in 7 Seven Years
Iraq Strikes ISIS Targets in Syria
Putin, Erdogan Inaugurate TurkStream Pipeline
Falih: Saudi Crown Prince to Attend G20 Summit in Argentina
UK-Proposed UN Resolution for Hodeidah Truce Demands Houthis Halt Missile
Attacks
Pakistan summons US envoy to protest Trump’s criticism
US Muslim lawmaker-elect in proposal to end head-covering ban in Congress
Chicago hospital shooting leaves 4 dead, including police officer and gunman
U.N. Prepares Ground for Yemen Peace Talks as Battles Flare
Trump Dilemma: Preserve Saudi Alliance or Declare MBS a 'Murderer'
Officer Stabbed outside Brussels Police Station
Latest Lebanese Related News published on November 20-21/18
Trump Stresses to Aoun Keenness on Lebanon’s Security, Safety
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Tuesday,
20 November, 2018/Lebanese President Michel Aoun received on Monday a cable of
congratulations from US President Donald Trump on the occasion of Independence
Day. Trump stressed Washington’s keenness on supporting Lebanon’s prosperity,
security and safety. He also hailed the progress made throughout the year in
staging the parliamentary elections, which were held in May, and in combating
terrorism. In addition, Trump expressed his “deepest appreciation for the
partnership between the US and Lebanon.” He stated that he looks forward to
working with the new government that would be committed to preserving Lebanon’s
sovereignty and political independence. Lebanon’s Independence Day falls on
November 22.
Pope Francis Praises Lebanon for Hosting Refugees
Kataeb.org/Tuesday 20th November
2018/During his meeting with a Lebanese delegation at the Vatican on Tuesday,
Pope Francis praised Lebanon for hosting more than 1 million Syrian refugees,
hails the country as an "exemplary" model of coexistence. Kataeb MP Nadim
Gemayel, who was part of the Lebanese delegation, posted a photo of him shaking
hands with Pope Francis while standing next to Maronite Patriarch Bechara al-Rahi.
“We were blessed by his holiness, and we heard his wishes and prayers for
Lebanon; may his prayers intercede for Lebanon and its people,” Gemayel wrote on
Twitter.
Putin Stresses Strong Bilateral Ties in Letter
to Lebanese President
Kataeb.org/Tuesday 20th November 2018/Russian President Vladimir Putin cabled
President Michel Aoun to convey his sincere wishes to the Lebanese people as the
country is set to mark its 75th Independence Day. In his letter, Putin extended
his greetings, assuring ongoing cooperation between the two countries for the
sake of the Middle East’s security and stability. President Aoun also received
congratulatory letters from both Saudi king and crown prince, king of Morocco,
as well as the presidents of Egypt, Palestine, Tunisia, Algeria, Syria, Turkey,
Austria, Croatia, and Gabon.
Aoun congratulates Lebanese on Prophet Mohammad's Birthday
Tue 20 Nov 2018/NNA - President of
the Republic, Michel Aoun, on Tuesday extended greetings to the Lebanese people,
in general, and Muslims, in particular, on the occasion of the Prophet's
birthday. Aoun, whose words came via his Twitter account, hoped that "this
occasion would bring by peace, goodness, and tranquility to the Lebanese and
Arabs."
Hariri patronizes Independence Exhibition in Sidon: We can overcome our crises
if we live the dreams of the youth
Tue 20 Nov 2018/NNA - Marking the 75th Lebanese Independence Day occasion, the
Sidon Schools Network organized Tuesday a Graphic Design Exhibition entitled,
"Independence with 75 designs in lines and color", under the patronage of
Education and Culture Parliamentary Committee Head, MP Bahiya Hariri, held at
the Sidon Municipal Palace. The exhibition included 75 paintings, portraits and
manuscripts that symbolize the independence of Lebanon and its heroes, prepared
by students from a number of universities and public and private institutions.
In her opening word, MP Hariri praised the students for their creative
initiative and the hope reflected in their lines and colors. "Our salvation and
the way out of our crises and challenges can only be through living all your
dreams, because the purity of what you painted reflects the will of preceding
generations for Lebanon to be a country of creativity, beauty, love and giving,"
said Hariri. "In each of your creations we can see the spirit of responsibility
and love for your nation and your faith in yourselves and your communities," she
added, commending the youth's ability to create a future worthy of their
ambitions and determination to succeed. Hariri thanked "all the universities and
institutes that participated in the exhibition, full of colors and hope,"
congratulating all the Lebanese on Independence Day.
Reports: Bassil's Stance Further Complicates 'Sunni Obstacle'
Naharnet/November 20/18/A stance voiced Monday by Free Patriotic Movement chief
MP Jebran Bassil after his meeting with March 8’s Sunni MPs has further
complicated the so-called Sunni representation obstacle instead of easing it,
media reports said. “It is clear that the independent Sunnis obstacle is
aggravating and a settlement seems to be distant,” al-Akhbar newspaper reported.
“Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri is still insisting on his rejection to
represent them from his share and Minister Jebran Bassil, whom the President has
tasked with the negotiations, has created a new dilemma in the cabinet formation
deadlock, returning the ball to the PM-designate’s court,” the daily added.
“Bassil has reiterated his stance that rejects the calls for naming a March 8
Sunni minister from President Michel Aoun’s share,” al-Akhbar said. Bassil had
announced Monday that Aoun is willing to give up the Maronite-Sunni seat swap
with Hariri in order to give the PM-designate an additional Sunni seat and leave
the sixth Sunni minister to the pro-Hizbullah MPs or a consensus candidate. The
government was on the verge of formation on October 29 after the Lebanese Forces
accepted the portfolios that were assigned to it but a last-minute hurdle over
the representation of pro-Hizbullah Sunni MPs surfaced. Hizbullah has insisted
that the six Sunni MPs should be given a seat in the government, refraining from
providing Hariri with the names of its three Shiite ministers in a bid to press
him.
Bassil Asks Lebanese Ambassador to Assist Carlos
Ghosn
Naharnet/November 20/18/Caretaker Foreign Minister Jebran Bassil has instructed
Lebanese Ambassador to Japan Nidal Yahia to “follow up on the case of Mr. Carlos
Ghosn, the chairman of the “Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance,” after he was
arrested for alleged financial misconduct, the National News Agency said. NNA
added that Bassil has asked the envoy to “meet him, inquire about his needs,
verify the legality of the measures that have been taken, and ensure that he
will be provided with legal assistance so that he can present the facts and
evidence in his possession and have a real chance to defend himself.”“Ghosn is
an expat Lebanese citizen and represents one of the Lebanese successes abroad,
and the Lebanese Foreign Ministry will stand by him in his crisis to ensure that
he will get a fair trial,” the Ministry said in a statement. Ghosn, 64, was born
in Brazil of Lebanese descent, and educated at elite colleges in France, where
he started in industry at tiremaker Michelin. He has maintained his ties with
Lebanon, where he has invested in a winery. Ghosn made his name as a turnaround
specialist before he was parachuted into Nissan from Renault in 1999, swinging
the ax on costs to bring the troubled Japanese firm rapidly back to profit. A
globetrotting polyglot who shook up corporate culture in France and Japan, Ghosn
could seemingly do no wrong until disquiet began to mount in recent years over
his high renumeration. Japanese prosecutors confirmed Tuesday that they were
holding Ghosn after arresting him a day earlier on suspicion of systematically
under-reporting his salary over five years. Nissan said it had been
investigating Ghosn and Representative Director Greg Kelly for months, after a
report from a whistleblower. CEO Hiroto Saikawa said the company had uncovered
years of financial misconduct including under-reporting of income and
inappropriate personal use of company assets. There has been no word from Ghosn
or his representatives on the charges and no official confirmation on where he
is being held. Sources told AFP he was being held at a detention centre in the
capital belonging to Tokyo prosecutors.
Under Japanese law, Ghosn can be held for up to 23 days before being charged.
Prosecutors confirmed Ghosn had conspired with Kelly to report income of 4.9
billion yen ($44.5 million) over five years when his actual income for that
period had been nearly 10 billion yen. Several executives at Nissan were
reportedly involved in falsifying financial documents under instructions from
Kelly but they have been cooperating with prosecutors in a plea bargain deal in
return for lighter penalties. Public broadcaster NHK reported board members
received less compensation than financial statements showed, with Ghosn
pocketing the difference. Nissan also reportedly provided luxury residences to
Ghosn in Brazil and Lebanon by making subsidiaries purchase the properties for
billions of yen (tens of millions of dollars).
Governments weigh in
Japanese government officials scrambled to insist that the alliance of Nissan,
Mitsubishi and Renault that Ghosn oversaw would not be affected by his
astonishing downfall. And France, which holds a 15 percent stake in Renault,
said it would stay "vigilant" on the stability of the alliance as well as the
French automaker. French Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire said he had ordered an
inquiry into Ghosn's tax affairs immediately after learning of his arrest in
Japan but that it showed up "nothing in particular about his tax situation."
Nissan Shares Plunge as
Ghosn Faces Ouster after Arrest
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November
20/18/Nissan and Mitsubishi shares plunged Tuesday after chairman Carlos Ghosn
was arrested for alleged financial misconduct, that reportedly included
exorbitantly priced houses and diverted compensation. The two automakers have
already said they will propose removing Ghosn, and Renault -- which the titan
also heads -- said it would meet later in the day to discuss his fate. The
arrest of the superstar executive sent shockwaves through the auto industry and
beyond, and Japanese officials scrambled to send reassuring messages about the
stability of the three-firm alliance that Ghosn oversaw. "Keeping a stable
relationship (among the companies) is important," industry minister Hiroshige
Seko told reporters. "As the government, we will do anything we can," added
Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga, without elaborating. It was a stark
indictment on the legacy of the 64-year-old, until now feted for his success in
turning around failing companies with hard-nosed tactics that earned him the
nickname "Le Cost Killer" in France. In France, the government said it had found
no evidence Ghosn had cheated on his taxes there, though the allegations
levelled by Tokyo prosecutors did not include any claim of tax evasion. A day
after the astonishing news of Ghosn's arrest first emerged, there was
vanishingly little new information about his situation and no official
confirmation on his whereabouts. However, sources confirmed he was being held at
a detention center used by Tokyo prosecutors. Television footage showed a van
reportedly belonging to the French embassy entering the compound on Tuesday.
Japanese prosecutors have said Ghosn is being held on suspicion of
under-reporting his income by around five billion yen ($44.5 million) over five
years. Nissan CEO Hiroto Saikawa said a months-long investigation prompted by a
whistleblower had uncovered years of financial wrongdoing, including the
under-reporting of his salary and misuse of company assets. Public broadcaster
NHK reported Nissan had provided Ghosn with houses in four countries "without
any legitimate business reason," and that Nissan paid "huge sums" for the homes
in Rio de Janeiro, Beirut, Paris and Amsterdam. Representative Director Greg
Kelly, who was also arrested on Tuesday with Ghosn, reportedly ordered other
executives to "hide salaries", the Yomiuri Shimbun said. It also reported that
some compensation due to other executives ended up going to Ghosn, without
specifying how the process had worked. Local media reported prosecutors had
negotiated a plea bargain for only the second time since Japanese law changed
this year that would allow Nissan officials who are cooperating to receive
lesser charges or lighter penalties. The massive scandal prompted Nissan shares
to plunge, closing down 5.45 percent in Tokyo, while Mitsubishi had fallen 6.84
percent by the end of the trading day.
'It's all about money'
As Ghosn's once towering legacy unravelled, there was no word from the auto boss
or any of his representatives. Instead, his own handpicked successor as Nissan
CEO accused him of accruing too much power, in a harshly worded news conference
on Monday. "Too much authority was given to one person in terms of governance,"
Saikawa told reporters at Nissan's headquarters. "I have to say that this is a
dark side of the Ghosn era which lasted for a long time."It was an almost
unthinkable turn of events for Ghosn, who had earned a virtually unparallelled
reputation, particularly in Japan, for his role in resurrecting Nissan. Ghosn
has dominated the country's corporate landscape, and is a well-known figure
among the Japanese public, who know him as "Mr Fix It", partly through a popular
manga comic of his life story. But the tables have now turned, with the Yomiuri
Shimbun on Tuesday describing executives at Nissan slamming Ghosn as "greedy."
"He says the right things, but in the end it's all about money," the daily
quoted senior employees as saying. Nissan said the ongoing investigation had
uncovered years of misconduct by Ghosn and Kelly but refused to be drawn on
whether other people were involved, saying only: "These two gentlemen are the
masterminds, that is definite." The news sparked concern in France, where the
state owns a 15 percent stake in Renault. President Emmanuel Macron said Paris
would be "extremely vigilant" about the stability of the firm and its three-way
tie-up. Despite his international renown and rock-star status, particularly in
Japan where he was a rare foreign-born executive, Ghosn was not without his
detractors. He earned admiration but also anger for his ruthless restructuring
at firms like Nissan. And his pay packet was regularly the subject of criticism,
including at Renault, where it sparked a spat with shareholders.
Mrad Says March 8 MPs Mulling 'Druze Solution' to 'Sunni
Hurdle'
Naharnet/November 20/18/A solution similar to the one that was reached to
resolve the row over Druze representation might be reached to overcome the Sunni
representation hurdle that is delaying the formation of the new government, MP
Abdul Rahim Mrad said.
In remarks to al-Liwaa newspaper, Mrad described Monday’s meeting between Free
Patriotic Movement chief MP Jebran Bassil and the MPs of the Consultative Sunni
Gathering as “very positive.”“He said three parties should offer concessions:
the President, the PM-designate and the six (pro-Hizbullah Sunni) MPs,” Mrad
added. “As for President (Michel) Aoun, he is willing to give up his Sunni seat
and make it part of the Sunni quota in the cabinet in return for replacing it
with a second Maronite minister. Our concession would be to name a figure not
belonging to the Gathering that would be accepted by all parties, and what
remains would be the PM-designate’s acceptance of this solution,” the lawmaker
explained. Mrad added that Bassil “promised to put PM-designate Hariri in the
picture of the meeting with the members of the Gathering, in order to pave the
way for arranging a meeting between them and Hariri to discuss the issue and
reach a solution.”“But before this, we will hold consultations among us to
discuss the proposed solution, which is in the vein of the solution that was
reached for the Druze obstacle. We would then request a meeting with the
PM-designate to explore his stance and we hope he will be responsive,” Mrad went
on to say. Asked whether the members of the Gathering have already approved of
this solution, Mrad said: “We have neither approved nor rejected it. We will
calmly discuss the matter among us before meeting PM-designate Hariri.”The
government was on the verge of formation on October 29 after the Lebanese Forces
accepted the portfolios that were assigned to it but a last-minute hurdle over
the representation of the pro-Hizbullah Sunni MPs surfaced. Hizbullah has
insisted that the six Sunni MPs should be given a seat in the government,
refraining from providing Hariri with the names of its three Shiite ministers in
a bid to press him.
Kataeb Party Hails 'Historic, Epoch-Making Correlation'
Between November Events
Kataeb.org/Tuesday 20th November 2018/The Lebanese Kataeb party on Monday
deplored the ongoing failure to form a new government in Lebanon due to the
absence of a unified national vision, blaming the current stalemate on
partitioning and share splitting. "The concretization of the election results
into shares and ministerial portfolios is being favored over Lebanon's best
interest. Meanwhile, challenges and international warnings are growing, and the
suffering Lebanese are searching for a lost economic safety," read a statement
issued following the weekly meeting of the Kataeb's politburo. The party called
on politicians to draw lessons from past similar experiences, urging, once
again, the swift formation of a rescue government of specialists, while
political issues would be handled by the heads of parliamentary blocs. "Proceed
with this suggestion without any further delay, out of mercy for the nation and
the citizens." The party deemed the synchronized timing of Lebanon's
Independence Day, the Kataeb's foundation anniversary and the assassination
anniversary of Minister Pierre Gemayel as a "historic and epoch-making
correlation". "The Kataeb party reaffirms its firm belief in the continuation of
the march as laid out by martyr Pierre Gemayel and all those who also sacrificed
their lives. It also renews its pledge to cling and uncover the truth, to adhere
to full sovereignty, defend Lebanon's message and values, and to liberate the
country from the grip of corruption," the statement stressed. The party voiced
hope that peace and stability would prevail, and that there would be no more
illegal weapons so that the State would be solely in charge of the country's
decision-making power.
Gemayel, Jumblat Discuss Latest Developments
Kataeb.org/Tuesday 20th November 2018/Head of the Democratic Gathering bloc, MP
Taymour Jumblat, on Tuesday met with Kataeb leader Samy Gemayel, with talks
featuring high on the latest developments in the country. Gemayel was
accompanied by his advisers Fouad Abu Nader and Michel Khoury. The meeting, held
at Jumblat's residence in Clemenceau, was also attended MPs Akram Shuhayyeb and
Wael Abu Faour.
Lebanon-linked Gang Accused of Laundering Millions of Euros in Germany
Deutsche Welle/November 20/18
The German-Belgian border in late July 2015: It was shortly after noon when the
police pulled over a Mercedes C-Class with a Bremen license plate near the
western city of Aachen that had just entered Germany from Belgium.
Behind the wheel sat a young man who, like the other passenger in the car, was
born in Lebanon and lived in a town near the northern German city of Bremen. The
two told officers they had gone to Belgium to do some shopping. During a search
of the vehicle, however, the officers found €489,000 ($548,500) in cash, broken
down in small denominations and stashed between layers of underwear in gym bags.
Further investigations by customs agents in Essen revealed that the bags
contained traces of cocaine. Without knowing it, investigators had stumbled
across two members of a group that moved luxury watches, jewelry and cars worth
tens of millions of euros between Europe, West Africa, and the Middle East.
The investigative reporting teams from German public broadcasters NDR and WDR
and the Süddeutsche Zeitung (SZ) newspaper were given access to hundreds of
pages of case files, giving a rare insight into what investigators believe is a
global cocaine and money laundering network.
A network in western Europe
In February 2015, agents with the US Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA) successfully
intercepted telephone conversations between suspected members of a Colombian
drug cartel in which they talked about transferring drug profits to South
America.
This information sparked an extensive investigation in France, which led to
hundreds of telephone calls being tapped and numerous covert surveillance
measures being carried out. Investigators quickly identified an informal network
spanning across all of western Europe, with branches in the Middle East, Africa
and South America.
A total of 14 people have now been charged and stand accused of working together
to launder tens of millions of euros from drug deals.
Nearly all of them are Lebanese citizens or have family roots in Lebanon.
Investigators dubbed the case "Cedar," after the tree in the coat of arms on the
Lebanese flag. According to the case files, investigators believe that the
network was active in Europe but was controlled out of Lebanon.
At the height of the group's operations, they reportedly laundered €1 million
per week — also in Germany. It is unclear to what extent these accusations will
stand up in court.
From Lebanon back to South America
The investigation culminated in a massive operation in January 2016, in which
police searched homes in six countries, arrested suspects and seized more than
€800,000 in cash. Four suspects were arrested in Germany, where police searched
apartments in Düsseldorf, Münster and around Bremen.
The group functioned hierarchically. Some of the members, like the ones who were
detained on the border near Aachen, collected cash from drug sales in Germany,
Belgium, Spain, Italy and France.
They were supposed to then give the money to other members of the group who used
it to buy jewelry, luxury watches and expensive cars — which were then taken to
Lebanon to be sold. According to investigators, the proceeds from those sales
then flowed directly from Lebanon to the cartels in South America that had
delivered the cocaine to Europe.
Authorities also probed whether the perpetrators could have been acting on the
behalf of Hezbollah. The indictment, however, does not include any accusations
of funding terrorism, due to a lack of evidence.
Suspect denies knowledge of drug trafficking
Germany is believed to have been the hub of the group's illegal business. Two
defendants in the case lived in Münster and Düsseldorf, while two others lived
near Bremen.
The probe could also have unpleasant consequences for four German jewelers who
are now being investigated on charges of involvement in money laundering.
"The investigations have shown that from 2011 to 2015, these jewelers likely
collected over €20 million from the people involved. Each delivered cash and
each delivered it in plastic bags," explained a spokesperson for the public
prosecutor's office in Aachen.
One of the main suspects in the case is Ali Z. from Münster. In an interview
with NDR, WDR and SZ, he stated that he was innocent, saying that his
flourishing, legal export business had been exploited by the others accused in
the case.
He has claimed that he didn't know anything about drug money and said he assumed
the money had been obtained legally. Ali Z. added that to this day, he still
does not understand the basis on which prosecutors have made their accusations.
He rejected the accusation that the group supports Hezbollah, saying that French
investigators were politically influenced by their US colleagues without there
being any evidence for this connection. Other defendants did not wish to comment
on the trial.
Thousands of money laundering cases in Germany
Experts believe that the suspects did not go on their extravagant shopping trips
in Germany by chance. In comparison to its European neighbors, Germany lags
behind in the fight against money laundering.
"It is completely acceptable for someone to pay for luxury items or even real
estate in cash," said Sven Giegold, a German member of the European Parliament
and the Greens' spokesperson for economic and financial policy. Although
numerous business owners are obligated under the Money Laundering Act to report
suspicious payments, it only rarely happens.
Germany's Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU), which is responsible for such
cases, logged some 60,000 money laundering reports last year — out of which,
only 216 were from jewelers, car dealers or other retailers. An FIU spokesperson
said that the problems were being taken seriously. In the coming year, they plan
to specifically approach retailers in order to raise their awareness. The FIU
also wants to improve cooperation with supervisory authorities.
The trial in Paris is scheduled to run until the end of November.
The Lebanese Daily, Al-Modon: Hizbullah Controls Area In Syrian Territory Along
Border With Lebanon – And Has Built Military Bases, Training Camps, And
Underground Warehouses There
خريطة للمناطق السورية التي يحتلها
حزب الله
MEMRI/November 20/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/69072/memri-the-lebanese-daily-al-modon-hizbullah-controls-area-in-syrian-territory-along-border-with-lebanon-and-has-built-military-bases-training-camps-and-underground-warehouses-there/
A September 25, 2018 article in the Lebanese daily Al-Modon, which is known to
oppose Hizbullah, surveys the deployment of Hizbullah forces on the Syrian side
of the border with Lebanon. The article, by Ahmad Al-Shami, indicates that
Hizbullah controls large areas of the western Rif Dimashq Governorate, including
a strip along the border, 3km-5km long, and has cemented its presence in this
area by establishing military bases, strategically-placed outposts, training
camps, and underground warehouses. The article states further that over 1,500
Hizbullah operatives are deployed at over 100 military outposts in Rif Dimashq,
and that one of these positions houses Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guards
Corps (IRGC) forces as well, and serves as an Iranian headquarters. According to
the article, Hizbullah also derives economic benefit from its presence in this
area by smuggling people, vehicles and goods across the border, and also by
helping people to obtain a visa for Lebanon for a fee. It adds that one of the
organization's goals in controlling this area, which includes many Shi'ite
villages, is to provide itself with a location for storing its weapons, should
it become impossible to continue maintaining them in Lebanon.
The area in Syria controlled by Hizbullah according to the article (image:
Google Maps).
The following are excerpts from the article:[1]
https://www.memri.org/reports/lebanese-daily-hizbullah-controls-area-syrian-territory-along-border-lebanon-%E2%80%93-and-has-built
"Although it expelled the [Syrian] opposition forces from western Rif Dimashq
[Governorate] a year and a half ago, after a years-long siege, the Lebanese
Hizbullah militia remains in isolated military outposts and many security
compounds in a number of cities in western Ghouta, while the area controlled by
the [Hizbullah] militia along the Syria-Lebanon border is 3km-5km long.
"According to an opposition military source, over 1,500 Hizbullah operatives are
deployed in over 100 of the organization's military outposts in western Rif
Dimashq [Governorate], and air force intelligence is the only Syrian military
element that shares control of this area with them. The source added that all
the Hizbullah commanders and operatives in the region are direct subordinates of
the Hizbullah security apparatus – Branch 910, which has broad authority and
jurisdiction for decision-making in the region.
"The source also noted that most of Hizbullah's force in the region is at the
outposts erected on Syrian soil along the Lebanese border, which are considered
Border Guards outposts – from the outpost at the Masna'a [Border Crossing] to
the edge of the administrative jurisdiction of the region at the Rankous plains.
The outposts are spaced a kilometer apart.
"A knowledgeable source from [the city of] Al-Zabadani told the daily that
Hizbullah still controls the Al-Shallah neighborhood and parts of the [city's]
western quarter, which are considered its security zone, and also Qal'at Al-Tal
and Zahr Al-Qadhib in the west of the city – which are very important
observation points in the region. The organization also has military camps in
Serghaya and in 'Ain Hawr along the border strip, and it controls outposts [in
the] forested [area] around the village of Bloudan. In addition, the
organization uses Saudi-owned villas and other buildings... as vacation centers
for its operatives.
"In the towns of Kfeir Yabous and Jdeidat Yabous, Hizbullah has full control,
although the Syrian government has offices in them. Hizbullah has complete lists
of the residents of both towns, and no one can leave or enter unless their name
is on these lists. In the villages of Ma'adar and 'Atib, the situation is
similar, and in 'Atib, Hizbullah has established a large training base where
there [once] was a [Syrian] regime [forces] air defense radar brigade.
"Since Hizbullah besieged the town of Madaya,[2] it has established in the plain
[around] the village, which the local residents call Marjat Al-Tal, a large
closed military position that covers over three square kilometers and is
surrounded by a no-trespassing zone over two kilometers long; it is estimated
that Hizbullah has underground warehouses in this region. Likewise, Hizbullah
and [Iran's] IRGC control the Al-Talai' military camp, which it uses as their
training camp and as an Iranian operations room.
"In the north of the village Baqin, across from Madaya, Hizbullah has a single
position – a six-story building that the town's residents call 'Abd Al-Majid.
The building is used as a Hizbullah operations room and its storehouse serves as
a temporary jail. In the towns of Qudsaya and Al-Hama, there is no Hizbullah
presence; the organization withdrew its forces from there to the villages in
Wadi Barada, several days after it participated in the takeover [of the towns]
alongside the Assad regime forces.
"According to media member 'Omar Al-Shami, who is from Qudsaya, Hizbullah
controls the highest hills in Wadi Barada – Al-Nabi Habil and Ard Al-Dahra.
These are strategic spots that allow the organization to observe the region, and
it has training bases for its operatives there. Hizbullah and Syrian air force
intelligence control the villages of Basima and 'Ain Al-Fijah, and prevent the
villagers from returning to them even though there have been no opposition
elements there for two years.
"Hizbullah uses its outposts on the border to smuggle goods and people from
Syria into Lebanon and vice versa. In the town of Al-Dimas, the organization has
large warehouses for goods brought in from Lebanon, and they [the warehouses]
are considered a kind of 'free market'..."
According to the daily, Hizbullah engages in human trafficking between the
countries, and also smuggles motorcycles and other vehicles – sometimes with the
cooperation of Syrian customs officers – and for a fee it will help obtain visas
for Lebanon. It added: "[The sources emphasized] that Hizbullah aims to remain
in the western Rif Dimashq [Governorate], since the Lebanese border towns and
villages from Hermel [in Lebanon] to Yahfufa and Jdeidat Yabous [in Syria] are
all Shi'ite [and therefore support the organization]... Hizbullah is drawing up
a strategy for the future, and is maintaining an armed presence in that region
[in Syria] as an alternative plan, in case one day the pressure in Lebanon for
weapons to be in the hands of the Lebanese army alone[3] will increase [and if
that happens Hizbullah will be able to keep its weapons in Syria]."
[1] Al-Modon (Lebanon), September 25, 2018.
[2] For more on Hizbullah's siege on Madaya, see MEMRI Inquiry and Analysis No.
1226, Hizbullah Faces Criticism In Lebanon For Besieging Madaya: Its Starvation
Of Syrians Recalls Past Crimes Of Mass Extermination In History, February 9,
2016.
[3] On the controversy in Lebanon over the years about Hizbullah's weapons, see
e.g., Special Dispatch No. 6851, Letter By Five Former Lebanese Presidents, PMs
To Arab League Summit Conveys Opposition To Hizbullah's Weapons And Involvement
In Syria, Iran's Involvement In Arab World, March 30, 2017; Inquiry & Analysis
Series No. 1011, Lebanese President Michel Suleiman Renews His Attack On
Hizbullah's Weapons, August 22, 2013; Special Dispatch No. 2640, A Second
Hizbullah Missile Explosion in South Lebanon Intensifies Lebanon's Internal
Dispute over Hizbullah's Weapons, November 24, 2009.
Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on November 20-21/18
Brazil’s New President Stumbles in Terra Incognita
Mac Margolis/Bloomberg/November, 20/18
To rescue Brazil from its worst economic debacle in memory, and perhaps his own
worst instincts as a career dirigiste, president-elect Jair Bolsonaro has called
upon a market-friendly, University of Chicago-trained wunderkind. His pick for
Justice Minister? Sergio Moro, of course, the federal judge who presided over
the Carwash probe — Latin America’s biggest political corruption-busting case.
So who will be Bolsonaro’s foreign-policy whisperer, and shepherd the upstart
former parachutist in an uncertain world caught between a new cold war and a
potentially treaty-shredding trade conflict? Anyone please?
Yes, every new government needs time — and plenty of trial and error — to set
its own course. Yet Bolsonaro’s bellicose rhetoric has already provoked many of
Brazil’s global customers, slighted regional allies, and antagonized pivotal
trade partners — and all this weeks ahead of actually taking office. Argentina,
China, much of the Arab world: Bolsonaro’s outbursts offered a slap for almost
everyone.
True, Bolsonaro no sooner lobbed those diplomatic grenades than he retreated to
more measured, almost enthusiastically global positions. That tree-hugging Paris
Agreement to contain dubious climate change? Too important to scuttle, Bolsonaro
now says. And what about those Chinese economic imperialists who wanted not just
to buy Brazilian but “buy Brazil?” Now all the talk is over locking in a
fruitful relationship.
The pivot to moderation is a capitulation to reality. Consider Bolsonaro’s
recent announcement that he intends to assign the foreign ministry to a
diplomatic insider, with the respected World Trade Organization adviser and
former Brazilian envoy to the European Union Jose Alfredo Graca Lima on the
shortlist.
That could be a blessing. Even if world peace might not exactly hang on
decisions in Brasilia, getting Brazilian foreign policy right means a great deal
to the fortunes of Latin America’s biggest economy and the hemisphere beyond,
while neglecting traditional friends could be costly.
For all his talk of upending the old ways, Bolsonaro comes to office with a
formidable national legacy to protect. After years of retraction, the oil and
gas industry is expanding, with foreign drillers scrambling for stakes in the
country’s promising offshore reserves. Global demand is driving up prices for
Brazilian soybeans, meat and wood pulp.
Brazil’s beef exports to Islamic countries have grown by 16 percent a year since
2000, reaching $4.7 billion last year, according to Marcos Jank, a Brazilian
agribusiness expert. Bolsonaro’s vow to follow Donald Trump’s lead and move the
Brazilian embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem could jeopardize that bonanza. That
much was clear when Egypt abruptly canceled Brazilian Foreign Minister Aloysio
Nunes’s state visit last week. No wonder Bolsonaro now denies that any decision
on the embassy has been made.
Nowhere are the economic stakes higher for Brazil than in its relations with
China. China is Brazil’s biggest single investor and best customer, buying up
everything from soybeans to iron ore. It imported nearly $30 billion from Brazil
in the first half of this year, an 11 percent rise from the year before,
according to Commerce Ministry data. Total bilateral trade reached $44.8 billion
in the same period, with Brazil pocketing a $14.8 billion surplus.
“China is growing at double the rate of the rest of the world and transitioning
to a consumer-driven economy. That means it will drive world demand not only for
food but increasingly for the manufactured goods that we produce,” former
Brazilian ambassador to China Luiz Augusto de Castro Neves, who heads the
China-Brazil Business Council, told me. “Snubbing Beijing for political reasons
is shooting yourself in the foot.”
Nor is bending over backwards to Beijing the right policy. “If Brazil wants to
act strategically, it needs to think about how to partner with China and to
ensure diversification of trade, engage in cooperation initiatives and promote
industrial capacity,” said the Inter-American Dialogue’s Margaret Myers, who has
mapped Chinese infrastructure investments in Latin America. “To the extent that
the new Brazilian government wants to privatize, China would have considerable
interest in investment.”
It may be soon to say the yuan has dropped for Bolsonaro. “Like Trump, he is not
a normal president, so it’s foolish to think of a normal foreign policy,” said
Oliver Stuenkel, who teaches international relations at the Getulio Vargas
Foundation in Sao Paulo. “He was elected as a disruptor and will have to deliver
some disruption.”
Cozying up to Trump will likely be part of the script. Bolsonaro has never
hidden his admiration for the hemisphere’s disruptor-in-chief, and hot talk of a
joint Brazilian-Colombian invasion of Venezuela with a nod from Washington is
fueling the regional rumor gin.
That may be a stretch. The problem, according to Stuenkel, is what price Brazil
could pay for policy upheaval. “Brazil over the years built a reputation as a
country committed to strong multilateral institutions like the World Bank and
the World Trade Organization, and the United Nations, embracing them even when
they were doubted by many,” said Stuenkel. “Countries will react quicker and
more decisively against the Brazilians if the government abandons that
tradition.”Not all of Bolsonaro’s diplomatic eruptions are misguided. Behind the
seemingly cavalier dismissal of Mercosur by his economic adviser is a gathering
consensus that the underperforming South American trade pact needs a makeover.
Mercosur has been dogged by mission drift, a dead-end negotiation for a deal
with the European Union, and a 39 percent slump in total trade from 2011 to
2017. To that end, Bolsonaro may find an ally in business-oriented Argentine
President Mauricio Macri, who also wants to reform the languishing compact,
encourage bilateral trade deals outside Mercosur, and end the regional
indulgence of Bolivarian autocrats like Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro. “Economic
and trade interests should guide Brazil’s foreign policy,” Graca Lima told me.
“That means giving priority to the southern cone countries of South America, the
United States, China and the European Union.”
External affairs may not be for amateurs, but neither is it an “occult science,”
as Graca Lima put it. Roberto Abdenur, a former Brazilian diplomat, agrees.
“There’s sense in Brazil drawing closer to world powers and jettisoning its
third-world leanings, and for that he should pick an experienced foreign
minister as quickly as possible.” The new minister’s first job? “Educating
Bolsonaro about diplomacy.” The learning curve is sure to be steep.
The Political Split That Will Determine Brexit
Therese Raphael/Bloomberg/November, 20/18
Theresa May hasn’t just given her own party an ultimatum to back her Brexit deal
with Brussels. The UK Prime Minister has also handed Labor an equally difficult
choice: The outcome will decide whether she gets her way.
So far, Labor's divides over the European question have been largely obscured by
the Conservatives’ own feuds. For vocal Brexiters like Boris Johnson and Jacob
Rees-Mogg, anything short of a total break from all EU rules and institutions is
a betrayal of the Brexit referendum. There are already rumblings Conservative
lawmakers may trigger a vote of no confidence in her leadership.
These divisions have also helped to deflect attention from the fact that Labor
hasn’t had to come up with a plan of its own; instead it has merely created six
(impossible) tests by which it will pass judgment on whatever May proposes.
As lawmakers prepare to vote on May’s plan, the opposition is faced with a
choice it can only hate: Either it supports a government it wants to replace, or
votes against a deal that offers the country its best chance of an orderly
Brexit.
Which way Labor lawmakers vote matters all the more now because May, who only
has a slender parliamentary majority, is coming under fire from a second front
within her own party: Remainers such as transport minister Jo Johnson, who
resigned earlier this month urging his party to reject May’s deal and hold a
second referendum on Brexit. The parliamentary arithmetic is tight.
If Labor decides, as it almost certainly will, to oppose the deal, the prime
minister will have to rely on a handful of Labor MPs who believe that an
agreement is preferable to not having one and are willing to defy their
leadership if told to vote against the government. A few Labor MPs have helped
the government win Brexit-related votes in the past, but this would be a much
more consequential vote.
You would think that Labor, the pro-European party in British politics for the
past three decades, would support an agreement or oppose Brexit. Awkwardly,
though, while most Labor voters were Remainers in the 2016 referendum, more
party MPs actually represent Leave-voting constituencies. But the bigger
obstacle is that party leader Jeremy Corbyn himself has been a longtime critic
of the EU.
For Corbyn, Brexit has been more of a distraction than a cause to rally behind.
His priority is a radical reordering of the UK economy: the nationalization of
key industries, an expansion of welfare, and an overhaul of the tax system. The
EU’s insistence that Britain remain bound by its state-aid and competition rules
would hinder many of Corbyn’s plans. His clear preference is for a general
election, though he reluctantly agreed at his party’s annual conference to
support a second referendum — if a vote could not be held.
Keir Starmer, Labor's shadow Brexit minister, has at times appeared
uncomfortable with his party’s line. In 2017, he often repeated that it’s
impossible to imagine an agreement that would be worse than no deal at all. The
disruption, uncertainty and widespread economic loss that leaving without a
negotiated agreement would cause was, he said, the worst possible outcome. He
was right then, though the party’s position has only grown muddier ever since.
The risk is that in opposing May’s deal, Labor will push Britain into the
no-deal scenario that Starmer has warned against and that his party could have
prevented.
Snapchat Should Emulate Facebook for Once
Shira Ovide/Bloomberg/November, 20/18
What if Snapchat were to copy Facebook for a change?
Evan Spiegel, Snap Inc.’s co-founder and chief executive, has consistently said
that Snapchat is a place for deep interactions with a small number of close
contacts. And indeed much of the app’s activity is people firing photos and
short videos — called “snaps” — back and forth privately to friends as a form of
visual conversation.
But advertisements don’t appear in the stream of more than 3 billion snaps that
users send daily. Instead, a good chunk of Snapchat’s advertising spots pops up
in a public part of the app where news organizations, entertainment companies
and celebrities post to the world. The split between the heavy use of the chat
function and the share of revenue from everything else creates a perverse
incentive. Snapchat needs to lure people who are happy snapping all day with
their buddies to the part of the app where Snap makes money.
There’s a solution to this, though it’s one that Snapchat fans may not like:
Snap should start selling ads in or between the app’s private communications.
Facebook is already crossing this Rubicon by experimenting with ways to charge
companies for interacting with people in its Messenger chat app, which is also
primarily a place for people to communicate out of the public eye with a small
circle of people. Facebook’s other messaging app, WhatsApp, will get a similar
treatment soon.
Facebook has relentlessly copied Snapchat, and this is a chance for Snap to turn
the tables by borrowing select advertising tactics from Facebook’s messaging
apps. Introducing ads in chat also harmonizes the company’s advertising strategy
with its product focus. Why shouldn’t Snap’s ad strategy be based around the
essential and most used feature of its app?
For people who aren’t familiar with Snapchat, it has three basic functions.
There’s the camera, which people use to take photos or short videos and doctor
them with doodles or animations. Second, there’s a thread of private
communications, typically of people sending those visual snaps to friends. And
there’s Discover, a section with photo-and-video montages compiled or created by
news organizations, entertainment companies and people with a following such as
the comedian Kevin Hart. Personal montages from friends, called Stories, are
here, too.
Snap makes money from two of those three activities. Companies like Adidas pay
to create animations that let people appear to bounce an animated soccer ball on
their selfies. Advertisers also buy commercial messages within the Discover
montages and between friends’ Stories. Snap doesn’t break down the features that
draw the most use or advertising revenue, but analysts estimate that Snapchat
users spend a small minority of their time in the Discover section, which just
happens to be where the company generates a large share of its ad revenue.
That means Spiegel’s focus — not one of his strong suits — is split between the
feature that Snapchat users want most and his company’s business imperatives.
Identifying the best way to make money from the untapped potential of Snap chats
should be one of the top priorities from the executive Snap hired recently to
oversee its advertising business and other money-making areas. Snap hasn’t ruled
out this possibility. On a conference call with analysts in August, Snap’s chief
financial officer said the company was “looking at monetizing all aspects of the
app” and mentioned the possibility of making money from snap activity.
I confess I don’t have a clear idea of how Snapchat should mix advertisements
into the stream of personal communications. The company initially faced backlash
but persisted in putting commercial messages between the personal Stories. Snap
could do the same between individual snaps, which could help it become less
reliant on ginning up users’ interest in Discover.
Snapchat is less well suited to commercial interactions than Facebook’s
Messenger and WhatsApp, but the older company’s blueprint is still a good place
for Snap to start. Facebook is finding ways to get paid by businesses that might
interact first with a potential customer on Instagram or Facebook and then carry
that activity to the company’s Messenger app to, for example, ask questions
about a handbag and order it.
No one has cracked the code yet on effective advertising in personal
communications — not even Facebook, which is adept at making money. And there
are possible downsides to mixing ads into Snapchat messaging. Snapchat fans
might hate it. Plus, the prices for Snapchat’s ads are becoming cheaper as the
company embraces computerized auctioning to place them. It’s possible that
adding more slots for commercials that Snap can’t sell, or is forced to sell at
cut-rate prices or to low-quality advertisers, is the opposite of what the
company needs right now.
That’s a worry. But I can’t escape the idea that messaging is the soul of
Snapchat. It’s time for the company to unify its product priorities with its
financial ones.
From gossip to fake news: A full circle incorporating state
secrets
Walid Jawad/Al Arabiya/November 20/18
Gossip can be fun, but more importantly functional. Secrets are intriguing,
while State secrets are consequential. Gossip played a functional and necessary
role in conveying relevant information in the pre-mass media era. Personal
survival and society-wide well-being required continuously maneuvering to avoid
physical harm. As we evolved, gossip helped people navigate social structures
for personal gains. In the area of mass media gossip is institutionalized in the
hand of trusted media outlets but has lost its interactive nature. Mass media is
a one-way information machine; transmitting information from media organizations
to the audience. Social media has changed that equation allowing people to go
back to a more natural two-way communication style. Being exposed to information
is only useful to the extent they are factual. Of course, now that we have
discovered a “new-type” of information, Fake News, many became skeptical of most
news media outlets.
As we have been witnessing lately and specifically around elections, it’s a
short hop from disinformation to a virally spreading misinformation accepted as
truths on social media. Wholly or partially incorrect information disseminated
intentionally to serve any number of purposes is not a new phenomenon. Decades
ago when information was monopolized by mass media, Fake News was packaged
within traditional media channels. Wholly or partially incorrect information
disseminated intentionally to serve any number of purposes is not a new
phenomenon. Decades ago when information was monopolized by mass media, Fake
News was packaged within traditional media channels. It was referred to as
Yellow Journalism. The lines were clear. Today, disinformation; i.e. falsehoods
presented as truths, become Fake News once it is widely referenced by others and
accepted as truth without question Such lies don’t have to meet any standards or
even be convincing, they only need to create doubt. Understandably, people don’t
know what to believe anymore causing the truth to be lost. After all, who has
time to research information for accuracy?
Now that we have discovered “Fake News” circa 2016, many doubt information
uncovered by legitimate news outlets, all the while trusting none transparent
sources; enter WikiLeaks.
The WikiLeaks War
Julian Assange, the founder of WikiLeaks, stepped into the spotlight this week
when US prosecutors unintentionally revealed secretly filed criminal charges
against him. The US government has waged war against Assange and his
anti-secrecy organization. The US is more interested in killing the messenger,
as it were, than pursuing the people who have committed the criminality of
information theft; espionage or hacking.
The indictment which is under seal; i.e. the charges are secret, leaves us
speculating on its content. News reports confirm the indictment is connected to
the alleged Russia collusion investigation headed by Special Counsel Robert
Mueller into the 2016 Trump presidential campaign. WikiLeaks shared hacked
Democratic National Committee (DNC) emails, which is believed to be part of a
Russian government-sanctioned attempt to damage Hillary Clinton's presidential
campaign in favor of advancing Trump chances of winning the presidency according
to most accounts.
Assange has been holed up inside the Ecuadorian Embassy in London since 2012 in
an attempt to avoid prosecution in Sweden on sexual assault charges and possible
extradition to the US. It is unclear if his framing of Clinton being a personal
foe qualifies him to be delusional. But in his 2016 editorial on his WikiLeaks
site, he wrote: "I have had years of experience in dealing with Hillary Clinton
and have read thousands of her cables. Hillary lacks judgment and will push the
United States into endless, stupid wars which spread terrorism. ... she
certainly should not become president of the United States."
Thus, raising a critical question: was Assange exposing secrets for the sake of
spreading knowledge or for personal gains; the former makes him a journalist and
the latter a person with an agenda. The administration of former president Obama
treated him as a journalist rather than an activist. The Mueller indictment
suggests a shift in that approach.
Indeed, the Trump administration made Assange a target by reversing his
WikiLeaks classification as a media organization. This is a critical step to
allow the US government to go after Assange without the appearance of intruding
on press freedoms. Mike Pompeo, as the top US spy at the time, locked onto
Assange making him a CIA target conducting espionage against his organization
over the past year according to a New York Times report. The administration is
out of sync with Trump who had praised WikiLeaks numerous times during the 2016
campaign for releasing Democrats emails damaging Clinton. Further, Mr. Trump
adamantly denies any collusion between his campaign and the Russians. He
believes Mueller’s investigation is a “witch hunt” and “absolutely nuts.”
Who is not a Journalist?
Can the US government reclassify a journalist as “information broker” and what
are the criteria a person or an organization must meet before being stripped
from its media status? Pursuing legal options places the burden of proof on the
government. Because US laws don't carry over to none Americans, Assange, who is
Australian, has no legal recourse or right to due process. As per the guarantees
the American legal code offers freedom of speech, officials avoid facing the
news media in the courts. It is much easier and more effective to use their
bully pulpit to smear the media. Fake News is one way to render the press less
effective, but it doesn’t stop their mission. Having the ability to strip
journalists of their status can silence the media and at the same time turn a
democracy into a society rotting with corruption and abuse of power. Days ago, a
federal court ruled in favor of CNN White House correspondent Jim Acosta after
the White House revoked his access last week. The White House Press Corps is
expected to ask the president the tough questions and pursue answers on behalf
of the American people. Excluding a reporter on frivolous basis will not and
should not be tolerated.
Pleading ‘fake news’ before the court
Unfortunately, allegations of Fake News is harder to stop. However, the
silhouette of a silver lining is beginning to take shape. The casual observer
will inevitably notice the pattern by which government officials invoke “Fake
News.” They will soon conclude that only weak officials who are exposed by
truthful reporting will always cry “Fake News.” Soon enough crying “Fake News”
will be synonymous with crying “wolf!” Constantly labeling legitimate reports
'fake news' was trumped by the president’s tweet last year branding news media
as “the enemy of the American people.” The president’s freedom of speech is
constitutionally guaranteed. The First Amendment guarantees the same right to
every American except for inciting violence among other exceptions. Should we
really be surprised when someone takes it upon themselves to act violently
against the media?
Resorting to the courts seem to have delivered a first-round win to the press in
the Acosta case, but the fight is far from over. Although the legal system is a
compelling option when available, it is the court of public opinion officials
should fear the most.
Political tasks for international organizations in Yemen
Hamdan Alaly/Al Arabiya/November 20/18
On September 19, a group of Yemeni human rights activists and journalists met
with Mr. Kamel Jendoubi, the head of the prominent experts tasked with
investigating human rights violations in Yemen. The meeting was held on the
sidelines of the 39th session of the UN human rights council in Geneva, and it
aimed to discuss the council’s August report, which stirred wide controversy due
to some mistakes in it and due to its ignoring of many of the violations which
the Houthis are committing in Yemen. I was one of the participants in this
special meeting, which Jendoubi began with presenting the methodology adopted in
preparing the report and the difficulties that the team confronted while
visiting some areas that witnessed violations, as well as the obstacles which
prevented the team from reaching other areas. The most significant thing that
Jendoubi told us that day was that due to security threats, his team was
prevented from reaching the Taiz governorate and other areas where the Houthis
committed violations.
Such organizations clearly support the Houthis. Yemenis on social media networks
and in their gatherings wonder why does this always repeat as every time the
Yemeni national army gets close to liberating any governorate, international
organizations rush from day one to issue statements warning of the dangerous
humanitarian situation. During the peak of the conversation, my friend Mansour
al-Shadadi – a human rights activist from Marib – asked Jendoubi: “Why didn’t
you visit Marib governorate to look into the crimes which the Houthis are
committing there? It’s a secure city and the Houthis had bombarded it with
missiles.” Jendoubi replied saying his team was prevented from entering it due
to the security situation there.
I told him that the American envoy and other ambassadors and journalists from
European countries continuously visit it, and it’s safe. Jendoubi interrupted me
saying: “This is the envoy of America, a superpower,” to which I replied: “And
you represent the UN!” The conversation ended with him saying: “The UN’s safety
and security team is the one that prevented (our) team from reaching these
governorates for security reasons and (we) cannot violate this.” Hence the UN
report lacked the most important, brutal and dark side of the Houthis’
violations.
UN contradictions
On the same day, I met with Yemen's Deputy Human Rights Minister Nabil Abdul
Hafiz and condemned the government’s lack of action – represented in its human
rights and interior ministries – to secure the team’s visit to Taiz and Marib to
look into the violations which the Houthis are committing there. Abdul Hafiz
confirmed to me that the ministry repeatedly asked the team, both in written and
oral requests, to go to Taiz and Marib and guaranteed it full protection but
these demands were rejected. This is also what Yemen’s Minister of Human Rights
Mohammed Askar confirmed to me later.
I recalled these details while reading news that a high-level delegation from
international organizations, including UN organizations, risked itself to enter
Hodeidah last Tuesday as armed confrontations were ongoing in different areas in
and around the city.
A delegation headed by Executive Director of the World Food Program David
Beasley (who runs operations in more than 90 countries), UN Humanitarian
Coordinator Lise Grande and others risked their lives and entered Hodeidah as
they heard the gunfire, explosions and the roar of guns and fighter jets! The
aim was to suspend the operations to liberate Hodeidah and save the Houthi armed
militias, which the UN views in its decisions as rebellious.
Before this huge contradiction, what can we the Yemenis understand? Such
organizations clearly support the Houthis. Yemenis on social media networks and
in their gatherings wonder why does this always repeat as every time the Yemeni
national army gets close to liberating any governorate, international
organizations rush from day one to issue statements warning of the dangerous
humanitarian situation for the purpose of halting the liberation of these
governorates?! These organizations keep silent when the Houthi militias commit
violations against civilians.
Hypocrisy
It’s worth remembering that these international organizations kept silent when
the heavily armed Houthis marched towards Sanaa and the rest of the governorates
and they were even silent when the Houthis besieged Taiz and did not allow
bringing in water, food and medicine resulting in the death of premature infants
in hospitals because they lacked life-saving oxygen! Everyone still remembers
what happened on January 22, 2016 when the United Nations Department of Safety
and Security risked the lives of seven of the UN organizations’ chiefs,
including the former humanitarian coordinator, to enter Taiz and issue a
shameful statement announcing there was no humanitarian siege on the city. After
three and a half years, none of these organizations can today issue a statement
or a report acknowledging there is a humanitarian siege on Taiz.
The same applies to non-UN organizations. What makes a British “charity”
organization that practices political activities and carries out funded and
supported media campaigns in Europe and the US demand changing or amending UN
Security Council Resolution 2216 which obligates the Houthis to hand over their
weapons towards guaranteeing restoring the state and ending the war? There
is a huge amount of suspicious activities and shameful violations which some
international organizations operating in Yemen are committing; hence confirming
the political involvement and the scandalous exploitation of the humanitarian
situation to obstruct any military efforts that seek to restore the state and
liberate Yemen from the violence of the descent that claims that God granted it
the right to enslave and control the Yemeni people. The Yemenis now know your
conspiracies and your harmonious efforts along with the orientations of some
states that are keen on keeping the armed Houthi militia in the Arabian
Peninsula to be a dagger in the Arabs’ waist… but this will be in vain!
The most controversial hour
Turki Aldakhil/Al Arabiya/November 20/18
I know exactly this hour in which each of us remembers his wristwatch. I mean
those who do not get their cellular phones out of their pockets to check the
time when someone asks what time it is and who actually lift their hand towards
their eyes before they respond in an accurate manner that we do not often see
when it comes to a question asked by a stranger in a rush. I am not obsessed
with watches but I am still loyal to the watch as it’s the remains of a habit.
Many men and women differ in terms of wearing watches as it’s a remnant of
taste, and the interest in specific details also differs. It’s rare to see a
businessman who is over 50 years old without noticing the watch that he
decorates his wrist with!
Did he inherit it? It may be a limited edition that you may not see again. Or
does he want to say through the numbers that only shine bright when he – and
only he – looks at it that he is stingy and refuses to participate or give even
before the meeting begins? Or is he an ambitious man in his 30s who hails from
the generation of technology and who’s capable of managing the office via a
watch on his wrist? I was in London when a Jordanian friend summed up the
discussion and said: “You know we have rare resources in Jordan. We have relied
on the daylight saving time since the 1980s to co-exist with the fact that we
are a non-oil producing state. In 2010 alone, we saved more than $45 million
from the time difference of the hour. You may find someone wearing a watch
that’s worth five times his salary as he competes to catch up with industry
trends or because he is convinced that the best way to present himself is what
he wears!
Saving time to save money
Unfortunately, this is not the hour I am talking about. Two weeks ago, the
conversation I’ve frequently heard about on the same topic on the same usual
date but across different continents. From those who are angry and resentful
that the government is even controlling the citizen’s wristwatch, all the way to
the environmental activists who are joyful due to the quantity of energy that
can be saved when people are forced to pay attention to increasing energy
consumption, even if this leads to the law’s intervention in the redistribution
of sunrays in daylight hours.
I was in London when a Jordanian friend summed up the discussion and said: “You
know we have rare resources in Jordan. We have relied on the daylight saving
time since the 1980s to co-exist with the fact that we are a non-oil producing
state. In 2010 alone, we saved more than $45 million from the time difference of
the hour which people here have annoyed us about.” I laughed at his annoyance,
looked at my wristwatch as I smiled and bid him farewell.
“Early to bed and early to rise, makes a man healthy, wealthy, and wise,” is not
Benjamin Franklin’s most famous quotes when it comes to clocks skipping forward
or going backward for one hour. However, all narratives agree that the time
skipping forward for one hour during the summer made him very sleepless.
Franklin is the man with the elegant belly on the American dollar. Perhaps the
source of elegance here is the value of the dollar and not his belly. Franklin
lived for a while in Paris and wrote an anonymous letter suggesting that the
French reduce consumption of candles at night by waking up early to make use of
daylight.
Personally, I cannot say this story is false as I am aware that during his early
years, Franklin used to write using a pseudonym in the American press before he
began working as a diplomat to improve relations with Paris.
What’s interesting is that the pseudonym he used in the US to sign his articles
with was Silence Dogood. This was before he became the victim of the French’s
mockery as they ridiculed his seriousness about daylight saving and made up
jokes after he advised them to make use of it. The jokes proposed solutions
which, if anything, reflect how unserious they were in receiving that advice and
they ranged from rationing the use of candles to imposing tax on whoever closes
their windows to prevent the sunrays from accessing the house, to firing cannons
at sunrise and ringing church bells to wake up the extravagant lazy ones.
The early bird catches the worm
Back to Franklin’s approach of linking success to waking up early, a maker of
success and hope in the Arab world, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al-Maktoum said:
“You have two choices every morning: to keep sleeping and resume your dreams or
wake up and pursue them.” Therefore, I think the Emiratis, whom I have lived
among for around two decades, believe that a characteristic of a successful man
is to wake up early. What’s more interesting is that Germany and its allies were
the first to adopt the daylight saving time, and it happened on April 16, 1916.
The decision was purely economic as our Jordanian friend in London said. The
change which the most famous American legislator and president later proposed
and which the grandparents of the French revolution mocked only required
Germany’s need to preserve coal during World War I to be pursued!
Britain followed suit and imposed the idea on British colonies. Then daylight
saving time was adopted in the US in the summer of 1918. Ever since, daylight
saving – and not winter time because it’s going back to the standard time and
the global time – is viewed as an economic plan and a genius system to reduce
the energy bill. This is in addition to its positive influence on the social and
economic levels especially for non-oil producing states.
I am not exaggerating when I say that the decision to advance our wristwatches
one hour has resulted in a heated debate that has lasted for years. This debate
is for instance still ongoing in the EU. A month ago, President of the European
Commission Jean-Claude Juncker defended the idea to cancel changing the clocks
twice per year in winter and summer while leaving the option to let each EU
member state to have its own decision regarding this. Eighty eight countries
advance the clocks forward every year for economic reasons and sometimes for
environmental ones. What’s strange is that this change – that seems linked to
industrial and non-oil producing states – does not include Japan although an
important study held there in 2004 concluded that the direct effect of
implementing the daylight saving time is equal to preserving energy that would
be used by the whole country watching television on a daily basis for 66 days!
What’s even more interesting is that the conversation regarding daylight saving
becomes really serious when we realize it’s a completely sovereign right –
sovereign in a way that sometimes allows regions to decide on it as for example
South Brazil is different than North Brazil. We must note that the continents of
Africa and Asia, especially zones crossed by the equator, enjoy the stability of
hours, which relieves them from the debate about this hour which saves millions,
and which keeps politicians, intellectuals and our friends who are very
concerned with climate change up.
Advance your clocks forward or revert them, what’s more important is to enjoy
your time and save energy consumption no matter what the price of the hand watch
you’re wearing is.
Turkey and US: Conflict Contained, Not Resolved
Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/November 20/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13328/turkey-us-conflict-contained
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said that Turkey will not abide by the
renewed U.S. sanctions on Iran's oil and shipping industries, claiming that they
are "steps aimed at unbalancing the world."
U.S. President Donald Trump, in the same speech in which he hailed Erdoğan as a
"friend and a tough, smart man," ruled out the possibility of Gülen's
extradition.
The future actually looks potentially gloomier as the future of Syria shapes up
and Erdoğan might well switch back to more radical anti-Western rhetoric ahead
of critical local elections in March.
Although Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has recently toned down his
anti-American rhetoric, things have not come up roses in U.S.-Turkey relations.
Pictured: U.S. President Donald Trump and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
deliver statements at the the White House, on May 16, 2017. (Photo by Michael
Reynolds-Pool/Getty Images)
Only three months ago Turkey and its NATO ally the United States had too many
issues about which to disagree: They had major divergences over Syria; they had
different views on Turkey's plans to deploy the Russian-made S-400 air defense
system on NATO soil; they had mutual sanctions on top government officials due
to Turkey's refusal to free Andrew Brunson, an American evangelical Christian
pastor living in Turkey who faced bogus charges of terrorism and espionage; they
had a potential U.S. decision to block delivery to Turkey of arms systems,
including the F-35 stealth fighter; they had potential U.S. sanctions on a
Turkish public bank; the U.S. had doubled tariffs on Turkish steel and aluminium;
a Turkish boycott on U.S. electronics; major differences over Syrian Kurds; and
Turkey's persistent demands for the extradition of Fethullah Gülen, a Muslim
cleric who is Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's political nemesis, living
in self-exile in Pennsylvania.
Three months later, there is not much left of the anti-American euphoria in
Turkey. Erdoğan has already stopped accusing the U.S. of waging economic warfare
against Turkey. For his part, President Donald Trump has said, "We're having a
very good moment with Turkey ... He [Erdoğan] is a friend of mine. He's a strong
man, he's tough man, and he's a smart man."
What has changed so radically in three months to lift up the relationship from
its worst tensions in decades to such warmth? Not much.
Under U.S. pressure, Turkey released Pastor Andrew Brunson; Turkey's currency,
the lira, has since steadied, and there is no more Turkish talk of an American
"economic warfare." Yet Ankara and Washington still have a rich menu of problems
to be resolved. Washington has not had an ambassador in Ankara for more than a
year now, a first in the modern history of U.S.-Turkish relations. But there is
more.
According to the Greek magazine Hellas, U.S. officials say that Turkey's planned
acquisition of the S-400 system could potentially trigger actions under the
Countering America's Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA), and have
"serious ramifications for US ability to do business with Turkey across the
defense trade spectrum." Turkey insists that the S-400 deployment in the country
will start in October 2019.
It is still unclear if the U.S. will sanction Halkbank, the Turkish state bank
accused of violating U.S. sanctions on Iran. Markets remain anxious over a
penalty worth billions of dollars that could seriously damage the bank's
liquidity position in particular, and the Turkish banking system in general.
A potentially large penalty on Halkbank is not the only dispute over Iran
sanctions. On November 6, Erdoğan said Turkey will not abide by the renewed U.S.
sanctions on Iran's oil and shipping industries, claiming that they are "steps
aimed at unbalancing the world". "We don't want to live in an imperialist
world," he said. "We will absolutely not abide by such sanctions. We buy 10
billion cubic meters of natural gas. We cannot freeze our people in the cold."
Syrian Kurds remain an issue. Turkey and the U.S. differ on the Kurds. Both
countries view the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) -- the main Kurdish separatist
group -- as a terrorist organization. Turkey also thinks the People's Protection
Units (YPG) is PKK's Syrian branch, and insists that it should be listed as a
terrorist organization. The U.S. thinks differently about the YPG, which has
worked as a U.S. ally in the fight against Islamic State.
The U.S. offer of a reward of millions of dollars for information on the
location of three leading PKK figures cautiously pleased Ankara because Turkey
thinks the move is against PKK, not YPG. Although Ankara said it was pleased by
the American reward offer to help capture three top Kurdish PKK militants, most
Turkish security officials believe the move was a U.S. effort for public
diplomacy, aimed at eventually driving a wedge between the PKK and Syrian Kurds.
"We think this [the U.S. reward offer] aims to finally legitimize the YPG," one
senior security official told this author on November 17.
Turkish Defense Minister Hulusi Akar said the U.S. reward offer was a positive
but a "very, very late" step, and called on Washington to adopt the same policy
towards the YPG. "It is not possible for us to accept putting a bounty on PKK
leaders on the one hand, and sending trucks of tools, weapons and ammunition to
the YPG on the other," Akar said.
On top of that exhausting list of disputes for the Turkish and American
diplomats to resolve remains the issue of Fethullah Gülen, the Muslim cleric who
was once a staunch ally of Erdoğan. Gülen, now, however, is accused by the
Turkish government of being the mastermind behind the failed coup of July 2016.
Since then, the Turkish government has been seeking his extradition from the
U.S.
President Trump, in the same speech in which he hailed Erdoğan as a "friend and
a tough, smart man," ruled out the possibility of Gülen's extradition. Earlier,
there were media reports that the White House was looking for ways to remove
Gülen from the U.S. in order to placate Turkey over the murder of Saudi
journalist Jamal Khashoggi in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. But only hours
after that report, a senior Turkish official in Ankara said that Turkey had "no
intention of intervening in the Khashoggi investigation in return for any
political or legal favor."
All this means is that since the summer, things have not come up roses on the
Washington-Ankara axis. Most of the problematic issues remain unresolved. The
future actually looks potentially gloomier as the future of Syria shapes up, and
Erdoğan might well switch back to more radical anti-Western rhetoric ahead of
critical local elections in March.
*Burak Bekdil, one of Turkey's leading journalists, was recently fired from the
country's most noted newspaper after 29 years, for writing in Gatestone what is
taking place in Turkey. He is a Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
The EU's Dangerous New Confidence Game
Douglas Murray/Gatestone Institute/November 20/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13262/eu-confidence-game
The first problem of the European Court of Human Rights decision against
Elisabeth Sabaditsch-Wolff is that it means that, at least in cases of
blasphemy, truth is not a defence.
Such a judgement hands over the decision on what is or is not allowed to be said
not to a European or national court, but to whoever can claim, plausibly or
otherwise, that another individual has risked "the peace."
There have been similar mobster tricks tried for some years now. They all run on
the old claim, "I'm not mad with you myself; I'm just holding my friend back
here."
The first problem of the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) decision against
Elisabeth Sabaditsch-Wolff is that it means that, at least in cases of
blasphemy, truth is not a defence. Pictured: The courtroom of the ECHR in
Strasbourg.
At the start of this decade, a minor story occurred that set the scene for the
years that have followed. In 2010, a Saudi lawyer named Faisal Yamani wrote to
the Danish newspapers that had published cartoons of Islam's prophet, Mohammed.
Claiming to act on behalf of 95,000 descendants of Mohammed, the Saudi lawyer
said that the cartoons were defamatory and that legal proceedings would thereby
begin.
However, everything about the supposed legal claim reeked. How had Mr Yamani
located all these descendants? How had he come up with exactly 95,000 of them?
And how could you claim that a statement about somebody who died 1,400 years ago
was "defamatory"? Legally, one cannot "defame" the dead.
Everything about the claim was laughable Yet it had its desired effect. At least
one Danish paper -- Politiken -- swiftly issued an apology for republishing the
cartoons. So Mr Yamani got what he wanted. He had (one might suggest) conjured
up a set of alleged victims and cobbled together an alleged offence, but no
matter, because he also got a European newspaper to fold in no seconds flat. It
was an interesting probe of the European system of justice -- and a good example
of submission. And a fine scene-setting precedent for the decade that has
followed.
Now, eight years later, an even greater act of submission has come along. This
one not imposed from some dodgy Saudi lawyer, but from the highest court in
Europe.
At the end of last month, the European Court of Human Rights issued its ruling
in a long-running case involving an Austrian woman named Elisabeth Sabaditsch-Wolff.
Way back in 2009, in Vienna, Sabaditsch-Wolff (who has lived in several Muslim
countries) gave two seminars entitled, "Basic Information on Islam." During
these talks, in the words of the ECHR:
"... she discussed the marriage between the Prophet Muhammad and a six-year old
girl, Aisha, which allegedly was consummated when she was nine. Inter alia, the
applicant stated that Muhammad 'liked to do it with children' and '... A
56-year-old and a six-year-old? ... What do we call it, if it is not
paedophilia?'"For this statement, based on the text of an official Hadith [the
acts and saying if Muhammad], Sahih-Bukhari, Vol. 5, Book 58, Nos. 234–236, the
Vienna Regional Criminal Court, in February 2011, found Sabaditsch-Wolff guilty
of "disparaging religious doctrines." She was fined 480 euros and ordered to pay
costs. During an appeal the following December, the court upheld the decision.
In December 2013, Austria's Supreme Court dismissed a request for the
proceedings to be renewed.
So, Ms Sabaditsch-Wolff took her case to the ECHR, and filed her application in
June 2012. In her defence, she cited Article 10 of the European Convention on
Human Rights, which is meant to protect freedom of expression.
The wheels of ECHR justice, however, grind slow, so it was not until last month
-- a mere six years after the case was filed -- that the court issued its
judgement. According to the ECHR ruling: "Relying on Article 10 (freedom of
expression), Mrs S. complained that the domestic courts failed to address the
substance of the impugned statements in the light of her right to freedom of
expression. If they had done so, they would not have qualified them as mere
value judgments but as value judgments based on facts."
The court ruled that the right of people to express themselves under Article 10
did not supersede the right of other people "to have their religious feelings
protected" (under Article 9). The ruling states:
"The Court observed also that the subject matter of the instant case was of a
particularly sensitive nature, and that the (potential) effects of the impugned
statements, to a certain degree, depended on the situation in the respective
country where the statements were made, at the time and in the context they were
made."Meaning, it would appear, that a statement might be protected in one
European country and not in another.
"The Court noted that the domestic courts comprehensively explained why they
considered that the applicant's statements had been capable of arousing
justified indignation; specifically, they had not been made in an objective
manner contributing to a debate of public interest (e.g. on child marriage), but
could only be understood as having been aimed at demonstrating that Muhammad was
not worthy of worship. It agreed with the domestic courts that Mrs S. must have
been aware that her statements were partly based on untrue facts and apt to
arouse indignation in others. The national courts found that Mrs S. had
subjectively labelled Muhammad with paedophilia as his general sexual
preference, and that she failed to neutrally inform her audience of the
historical background, which consequently did not allow for a serious debate on
that issue."
Just as importantly, the court concluded:
"... [Austria's] domestic courts carefully balanced the applicant's right to
freedom of expression with the rights of others to have their religious feelings
protected, and to have religious peace preserved in Austrian society."
The fact that Ms Sabaditsch-Wolff had been ordered by the Austrian court only to
pay what the ECHR ruling called a "moderate fine" meant that the ECHR did not
view the punishment as "disproportionate."
Of course all of this has provoked a range of responses, from people saying that
the ECHR has overseen the insertion of a new blasphemy law within Europe to
those insisting that there is nothing to see here, and that the judgement is of
absolutely no interest. Somewhere in the middle are a range of legal voices
saying that all that the ECHR has done has agreed that the Austrian courts have
the right to make their own decisions on this matter. So again -- there is
nothing, or at least not much, to see here. Nothing could be further from the
truth.
The first problem brought by the ECHR decision to uphold the Austrian court's
verdict against Sabaditsch-Wolff is that it means that, at least in cases of
blasphemy, truth is not a defence. There is -- as every Islamic scholar knows --
significant evidence from the Hadith to allow someone to make a perfectly
plausible case along the lines that Sabaditsch-Wolff did. But the courts went
further. They claimed that her statements were based on "untrue facts" --
whatever those might be. As I have pointed out elsewhere, this poses a serious
problem for Europeans. It tells us that words we can read with our own eyes, and
which are in books freely available anywhere in the world, do not say the words
that they say. What are we to do? Lie? Apparently so.
The second problem is that it turns it a debate about facts into a debate about
"tone." Were certain things said in an "objective" manner or not? So, in the
future, one European might state something in one tone of voice and another
might state it in another -- and on that, a prosecution could be launched. While
the first defendant can expect to be hauled before the court, the second may be
allowed to continue to roam intellectually and physically free. Who is to decide
that?
The third problem is, of course, that such a judgement hands over the decision
on what is or is not allowed to be said not to a European or national court, but
to whoever can claim, plausibly or otherwise, that another individual has risked
"the peace."
Which returns us to the example of the 95,000 descendants of Mohammed. There
have been similar mobster tricks tried for some years now. They all run on the
old claim, "I'm not mad with you myself; I'm just holding my friend back here."
In the Austrian case, as in the Danish one, it seems to have a disturbing
ability to work. Yet in the universe of confidence games, this must be among the
baldest and the worst.
Once one group of people sees that game working, why shouldn't everyone else
play it too? Why shouldn't any other group in Austria other than Muslims claim,
on a routine basis, that their feelings have been hurt and announce to the
courts that, as a result, "peace" has been put at risk? If I were an Austrian
Christian of a fundamentalist bent, I might well think about attending various
lectures and sermons at a range of Austrian mosques, waiting until one of the
speakers denies the divinity and resurrection of Christ and then run straight to
the courts. After all, a denial of the resurrection of Christ by a Muslim could
be deemed to be seriously offensive to a Christian and who is to say that
"peace" will not be at risk as a result?
There is a complacency that has settled across Europe. This complacency is amply
demonstrated by those happy to say that what has just happened at the ECHR is
really nothing important. They are wrong. It is extremely important. Not just
because it is an awful example of the morally bewildered decade we are in, but
because it sets the stage horribly -- for Muslims and non-Muslims for decades to
come.
*Douglas Murray, British author, commentator and public affairs analyst, is
based in London, England. His latest book, an international best-seller, is "The
Strange Death of Europe: Immigration, Identity, Islam."
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
MbS fingered again for the Khashoggi murder to undermine
him ahead of the G20 Buenos Aires summit
DEBKAfile/November 20/18
After a short lull, a third wave of derogatory reports in the US, Turkey, and
West Europe again put the Saudi crown prince on the hot plate for the Jamal
Khashoggi murder on Oct. 2 at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. What has
catapulted this story back onto front pages after weeks of quiet? DEBKAfile’s
sources offer some background:
President Donald Trump said on Sunday, Nov. 11, that he had been briefed on the
tape on which Turkey claims to have recorded the murder, but he refused to watch
it: “It’s a suffering tape, It’s a terrible tape,” he said.
Several US media subsequently reported that the CIA, after being charged by the
president with investigating the crime, had concluded that it had been planned
and ordered by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman MbS). The CIA itself said
nothing to confirm this claim.
Trump responded to the allegation by saying that he can’t determine from the
facts put before him the degree of the crown prince’s responsibly for the
murder. “But at the same time,” he added. “We do have an ally and I want to
stick with an ally that in many ways has been very good.”
On Monday, Nov. 19, a well-known Turkish columnist alleged that the quarrel
between Khashoggi and the Saudi security officers holding him at the consulate,
was triggered by their demand that he send a cable to his son in Saudi Arabia
and he refused. He was then put to death. The columnist had no knowledge of what
the alleged cable was to have said.
On Tuesday, Nov. 20, another Turkish publication ran what it claimed were words
heard on the tape in the seconds of the murder. “Release my arm! What do you
think you’re doing?” Khashoggi is quoted as shouting. This was followed by the
sounds of blows and torture. The next words came from a man, identified as a
squad member, who said: “It feels spooky to put on the clothes of a man we
killed 20 minutes ago.” He is then heard to complain that Khashoggi’s shoes were
too small and is told to wear his own trainers. According to these Turkish
sources, this discrepancy showed up when the dead journalist’s double was filmed
on an Istanbul street after the murder.
The “double” was named by Turkish media as Mustafa al-Madani whom they claim is
close to the crown prince. All these new quotes in the Turkish media from a tape
in the possession of the Turkish authorities, appeared as the backdrop for a
conversation taking place then in New York in which Turkish Foreign Minister
Mevlut Cavusoglu demanded that UN Secretary Antonio Guterres set up an
international tribunal to probe the Saudi journalist’s murder.
Saudi Arabia strenuously denies all the Turkish allegations and claims that a
team sent to Istanbul to extract Khashoggi, went rogue and killed him. There
have been 21 Saudi arrests in connection with the crime, of whom 5 were
sentenced to death and 11 given prison sentences. The entire team acted on their
own initiative, says Riyadh, while Prince Mohammed was not involved and was in
total ignorance of what was happening at the Istanbul consulate.
The new rash of publications on the Khashoggi affair reflects a fresh,
coordinated effort to unseat the crown prince, say DEBKAfile’s sources who point
at four motives:
inRead invented by Teads.
1-Certain Washington circles are determined to impair the strong relationship
prevailing between the Trump administration and Saudi King Salman and his son.
Those circles have long sought to weaken the king, but since Donald Trump
entered the White House, they view MbS’s ouster that much more desirable for the
collateral gain of getting at the president and his family through that
relationship. The crown prince’s eclipse would gain two further advantages in
the eyes of those circles: It would seriously jeopardize Trump’s anti-Iran
campaign and also his projected Israeli-Palestinian peace plan which is
contingent on the cooperation of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the UAE and Israel.
2-A number of interested parties, political, financial and members of the world
oil community, look with extreme disfavor on the two crown princes, MbS and
Sheikh Mohammed Bin Ziyad (MbZ) of the United Arab Emirates, running the show in
the Gulf as a joint powerhouse. Knocking not just one of the princes off this
high perch – but both – is their goal. Turkey therefore planted a second tale in
its tame media, which sought to blacken MbZ as MbS’ accomplice in the Khashoggi
crime’s cover-up. This story alleged that the Emirates assigned this task to a
team of four. One was named by the Turkish media as the exiled Palestinian
Muhammed Dahlan, who is reputedly a close friend of MbZ. The Emirates foreign
minister categorically denied his tale.
3-Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan can’t let go of his burning desire to thrust
the two crown princes aside and out of his way to the leadership of the Sunni
Muslim world.
4-The Saudi crown prince has announced he will attend the G20 summit in Buenos
Aires on 26-30 November. He hopes that the sight of him hobnobbing with world
leaders as their equal (including Erdogan), and shaking their hands in front of
flashing cameras will repair the damage to his reputation cast by aspersions
over the Khashoggi affair and give him a solid footing on the world stage. The
new flood of pejorative reports hitting the media in the last few days aims at
snatching this opportunity out of his hands by making him an international
persona non grata.
Flare-Up in Gaza (Part 2): Gently Undoing a Gordian Knot
Ghaith al-Omari and Assaf Orion/The Washington Institute/November 20/18
Israel and Hamas cannot advance their current strategic goals through
intensified fighting, but the Cairo dialogue could enable important short-term
gains in Gaza.
This PolicyWatch is the second in a two-part series on the latest hostilities
between Israel and Hamas. Part 1 discussed the domestic political implications
for Israel.
After seven months of ongoing clashes, and before the recent escalation in Gaza,
Israel and Hamas were making significant progress in Egyptian-sponsored talks
aimed at reaching limited ceasefire understandings. Resuming those discussions
and implementing the understandings seems like their best available course of
action today, despite the current volatility.
The talks turned fruitful when they finally disaggregated the myriad demands
made by both sides, adopting a piecemeal approach instead of bundling. The main
goal is to produce a limited but concrete set of arrangements whereby Hamas
commits to end violence against Israel (including confrontations along the Gaza
security barrier during weekly “Marches of Return,” as well as incendiary kite
and balloon attacks), while Israel allows foreign assistance into Gaza to
alleviate the territory’s pressing economic and humanitarian situation.
Before the latest escalation, both sides took steps to signal their seriousness
and goodwill. Israel allowed the immediate transfer of $15 million to pay the
salaries of Hamas employees in Gaza as part of a $90 million grant from Qatar.
It also permitted the entry of fuel trucks. For its part, Hamas ensured that the
November 2 and 9 border marches avoided friction with Israeli forces, producing
two of the calmest Fridays since the practice began in March.
A TACTICAL SETBACK
The latest escalation stemmed from a tactical development, not from either
side’s strategic intent. On November 11, a covert Israel Defense Forces team
operating deep in Khan Yunis was exposed and exchanged fire with Hamas forces,
resulting in the deaths of one senior IDF officer and seven Hamas operatives.
This was followed by fierce cross-border fighting, the worst since 2014. Israeli
towns were targeted with around 500 rockets and mortars, which scored some
direct hits on homes and other buildings while spurring close to 100 intercepts
by Iron Dome defense batteries. One civilian was killed and several others
wounded in Israel. In Gaza, the IDF struck 160 targets; five Palestinians were
reported killed.
Soon afterward, however, both sides decided to pull back from the brink. The
Israeli cabinet accepted the defense establishment’s recommendation and agreed
to another Egyptian-proposed ceasefire, seeing no gains in further escalation.
Hamas declared victory but nevertheless kept its November 16 border march from
spiraling into violence.
DIVIDING, NOT BUNDLING
Disaggregation was the key to the last round of talks because bundling numerous
agenda items had bogged down previous efforts. By attempting to tackle a wide
swath of issues at once—security conduct, wages, fuel, commercial traffic,
intra-Palestinian reconciliation, prisoners, disarmament, and large
infrastructure projects—negotiators had increased the complexity of each item
and created room for more actors to derail the process.
On the Palestinian front, Egypt initially sought to reconcile the Palestinian
Authority and Hamas. The idea was to bring the PA back to Gaza before pursuing a
truce with Israel, both to bolster the PA’s standing and to deny Hamas political
credit. International donors supported this approach as a matter of diplomatic
and practical preference. Since many governments have formally designated Hamas
as a terrorist organization, reaching a Gaza truce without the PA would
complicate assistance efforts in the struggling territory. Donors would have to
go through cumbersome procedures to ensure that aid completely bypasses Hamas
and is not used for terrorist or military purposes.
Yet reconciliation talks stalled after PA president Mahmoud Abbas demanded that
Hamas disarm immediately, and the situation began to deteriorate sharply due to
sanctions he imposed on Gaza. Some believe that these pressure tactics were part
of a deliberate effort by Abbas to precipitate conflict between Hamas and
Israel. In any case, while his concerns regarding Hamas arms were legitimate and
shared as an ultimate goal by Egypt and Israel, his insistence made him a
spoiler in the urgent context of stabilizing Gaza and avoiding escalation.
As a result, Egypt—with the support of international donors and Israel—opted to
pursue a Gaza truce independent of its Palestinian unity discussions. The aim
was not to seek a direct Hamas-Israel agreement, but rather to broker a set of
understandings between them while sidelining the PA during the negotiations and
initial implementation. Working through the UN, international donors are already
in the process of setting up a funding mechanism that bypasses the PA and Hamas.
Meanwhile, the various components of the wider understandings are being phased
in gradually to create ongoing momentum.
To achieve this result, Egypt also had to make some adjustments of its own,
especially regarding the role of Qatar. Tensions between Cairo and Doha are
longstanding, and Gaza has been one arena where they played out. Hamas political
leader Khaled Mashal and his Qatar hosts were a serious hindrance to reaching a
ceasefire during the 2014 Gaza war, contributing to the conflict’s unprecedented
length. Yet once it became clear that Qatar was—at least for the time being—the
only country willing to immediately allocate funds for the Gaza stabilization
plan, Egypt took the pragmatic path of allowing Doha to participate.
VULNERABILITIES
While disaggregation has produced progress, it left some actors feeling that
their interests were unmet, thereby motivating them to play a spoiler’s role.
For example, Abbas may have been pressured to acquiesce to Egypt’s approach, but
if past experience is any guide, his continued cooperation is far from
guaranteed. As the PA becomes increasingly marginalized, he may choose to act on
his threat to cut all PA payments to Gaza, plunging the territory into a deeper
humanitarian crisis that could quickly sharpen its security threats.
Such a move would test the resolve of Israel and international donors. Israel
could opt to divert some of the value-added tax (VAT) clearances it collects on
the PA’s behalf into Gaza, and donors could do the same with their aid. Yet such
a course of action could have implications for West Bank stability, perhaps
including PA security cooperation with Israel.
Local Gaza actors could derail the process as well. Under new leadership,
Palestinian Islamic Jihad has been reenergizing its relations with Iran and
reasserting its presence, firing rockets into Israel on October 26 in a strike
that was not coordinated with Hamas. Moreover, some constituencies within Hamas
are not satisfied with the ceasefire arrangements. Some hardline elements see
them as an unacceptable concession to Israel, while others are unhappy with the
group’s implied reorientation away from the Muslim Brotherhood orbit of
Qatar/Turkey and toward Egypt. Keeping PIJ and rogue Hamas elements under
control will test the limits of the organization’s leadership as they try to
fulfill their end of the bargain in Gaza.
Besides intentional spoilers, tactical developments may dictate their own
escalatory logic, as occurred in the latest round of fighting. As Hamas promoted
popular assaults on Israel’s border and at sea over the past seven months,
several uncontrolled attacks were conducted by individual elements in Gaza, and
two rockets were launched inadvertently, perhaps due to technical failure. These
tactical sparks could flare up into unintended escalation.
Alternatively, Hamas may try to walk the tightrope of controlled violence for
domestic gains, allowing its current sense of victory over triggering Israel’s
political crisis to balloon into hubris and tactical adventurism. Israel may
likewise find it more difficult to walk back from the brink if the current
political turbulence persists. Although the prospect of early elections seems to
have dissipated for the moment, the public’s very negative reaction to the
government’s handling of recent clashes could erode Israel’s restraint in a
future flare-up.
CONCLUSION
Continuing the truce process and implementing its understandings seem like the
best means of preventing a pointless confrontation in Gaza and stabilizing the
territory’s humanitarian situation. Accordingly, the United States should
encourage the parties as they seek to reach practical understandings and promote
calm. It should also signal support for Egypt’s efforts to stabilize Gaza and
encourage a positive role for the PA in these efforts, as much as it is willing
to play. At the same time, Washington can prepare for future obstacles, readying
donors to step in if Abbas again cuts Gaza’s budget and, later, building on
available momentum by leveraging the administration’s own peace plan to further
stabilize the theater through economic and infrastructure improvements.
*Ghaith al-Omari is a senior fellow at The Washington Institute and coauthor of
its recent study “Neutralizing the Gaza Powder Keg.” Assaf Orion, a retired
Israeli brigadier general and defense strategist, is a visiting military fellow
at the Institute.
Why Has Netanyahu Reversed Course on Early Elections?
David Makovsky/The Washington Institute/November 20/18
He seems to have calculated that keeping his coalition together is the best way
to rebuild public support for the Gaza ceasefire policy, but his political
margins are narrowing.
In a rather dramatic turnaround, Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu has
raised the stakes against a key political rival and scuttled efforts to hold
early elections that seemed inevitable last week. The upshot is that his
government may now remain in power until regularly scheduled elections arrive in
November 2019—though his coalition’s thinning 61-59 majority in the 120-member
parliament means there are no guarantees it will last that long. Whatever the
case, Netanyahu will temporarily serve as defense minister, foreign minister,
and prime minister, perhaps the closest Israel has come to a de facto
presidential system.
The move came in a nationally televised speech on November 18, when he decided
to go over the head of Education Minister Naftali Bennett and appeal to the
country and his right-wing base directly. After calling Bennett wrong-headed for
threatening to resign unless he received the defense portfolio, Netanyahu
proceeded to argue that when right-wing governments were brought down from
within during the 1992 and 1999 election cycles, they paved the way for
left-wing governments that pursued supposedly inimical policies.
Following the speech, Bennett and his main ally, Justice Minister Ayelet Shaked,
faced pressure for putting their own ambitions above the goal of maintaining a
right-wing government, spurring them to announce a change of heart. Yet Finance
Minister Moshe Kahlon, who leads a ten-member faction in parliament, is still
calling for early elections. The rapid twists and turns have blindsided the
Israeli political world.
Netanyahu had been begging his coalition partners to go to early elections for
months, so what is behind his sudden reversal? First, it should be pointed out
that his overall foreign policy outlook has remained consistent: namely, he
agrees with the Israel Defense Forces leadership that a Gaza ceasefire is
preferable to escalation given the more urgent priority of curbing Iran’s
presence in Syria. Early elections could make it more difficult to maintain a
ceasefire.
Netanyahu is also well aware that two of his three predecessors were driven from
office following major upticks in Israeli-Palestinian violence. To be sure,
recent polls indicate that 74 percent of Israelis are unsatisfied with his
limited retaliatory response to the latest wave of Hamas rocket strikes. For
now, though, he is unlikely to change that approach; instead, he seems keen on
giving himself more time to recover from the poor polling performance and avoid
early elections that would put even more public focus on the Gaza flare-up. He
cannot ignore public dissatisfaction, of course—his commitment to the stalemate
is tenuous and could unravel if developments warrant. Yet he knows that the 74
percent poll result does not mean that anywhere close to that proportion of the
electorate favors a full-scale ground incursion into Gaza given the risk of
heavy Israeli casualties.
Netanyahu also appears to be betting that the recent resignation of Defense
Minister Avigdor Liberman, who said he wanted a tougher response to Hamas, will
be forgotten if elections are pushed off until next November. He knows it will
be more difficult for Liberman to critique him from the benches of the political
opposition than from the press conferences and newspaper headlines regularly
accorded to defense ministers. If the Gaza issue cools down in the coming
months, Liberman’s faction may have to run as an immigrants’ party—a tough
platform to sell thirty years after the mass immigration of Jews from the former
Soviet Union.
Another factor that may have changed Netanyahu’s desire for early elections is
his seemingly cooling relationship with Russian president Vladimir Putin. Until
recently, Netanyahu’s aides loved telling reporters that he was the only leader
on the world stage who enjoys close ties with both President Donald Trump and
Putin. In September, however, Syrian forces shot down a Russian military plane
while attempting to counter Israeli airstrikes. Since then, Putin has refused to
meet with Netanyahu directly, and speculation has grown that Moscow wants to
constrain Israel’s ability to hit Iranian targets in Syria. The prime minister’s
critics would no doubt use this tension against him in early elections.
Regarding U.S. policy, the latest developments in Israel free the Trump
administration to put forward its long-awaited peace plan sooner rather than
later. Such a plan would have a greater chance of success if Washington and
Netanyahu waited for a potentially more centrist government to form. Yet the
Trump administration cannot wait until next November, since that would risk
peace efforts spilling over into the next U.S. presidential election political
cycle. The White House may therefore decide to put its plan forward long before
then. For his part, Netanyahu may be counting on the Palestinian Authority
rejecting the U.S. plan as insufficient, sparing him from having to say no to
Trump himself.
In sum, Netanyahu has outmaneuvered his rivals by going straight to the public.
Yet the narrowing of his parliamentary majority will likely embolden coalition
members to push their agenda to the maximum, meaning his government may still
fold before completing its term. For example, if ultraorthodox factions press
their religious demands, at what point would succumbing to them risk alienating
the other constituencies Netanyahu needs to win reelection in 2019? Likewise,
the Gaza stalemate is very fragile and may not hold until next fall, ensuring a
bumpy road ahead.
*David Makovsky is the Ziegler Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute
and helped created its interactive mapping tool "Settlements and Solutions: Is
It Too Late for Two States?"