LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
November 20/18
Compiled &
Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
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Bible Quotations For today
Believe in the light, so that you may become
children of light
John 12/31-36: "Now is the judgement of this world; now the ruler of this world
will be driven out.And I, when I am lifted up from the earth, will draw all
people to myself.’He said this to indicate the kind of death he was to die. The
crowd answered him, ‘We have heard from the law that the Messiah remains for
ever. How can you say that the Son of Man must be lifted up? Who is this Son of
Man?’ Jesus said to them, ‘The light is with you for a little longer. Walk while
you have the light, so that the darkness may not overtake you. If you walk in
the darkness, you do not know where you are going.While you have the light,
believe in the light, so that you may become children of light.’ After Jesus had
said this, he departed and hid from them."
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis &
editorials from miscellaneous sources published on November 19-20/18
US rabbi claims Gulf states 'compete' over ties with
Israel/Itamar ichner/Ynetnews/November 19/18
The US and GCC’s twin strategies toward Iran/Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg/Arab
News/November 19/18
The new Iraq and the Qatari temptation/Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/November
19/18
Cultural diplomacy as a means for dialogue/Hassan Al Mustafa/Al Arabiya/November
19/18
Water geopolitics in the Middle East/Shehab Al-Makahleh/Al Arabiya/November
19/18
Are We Prepared for the Zombie Apocalypse? Actually, Yes/Stephen
Carter/Bloomberg/November, 19/18
Assange Speculation Shows Why Charges Should Be Public/Noah
Feldman/Bloomberg/November 19/19
The Rain, the Decline and the Wasted Time of Our Lives/Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al
Awsat/November 19/19
Palestinians Arresting Women; Where are the Media/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone
Institute/November 19, 2018
Who Gains from the US Withdrawal from the Nuclear Arms Treaty/Stephen Blank and
Peter Huessy/Gatestone Institute/November 19/18
Egypt’s Economy Rising, Rights Declining/Barak Barfi/The Washington
Institute/November 19/ 2018
Analysis/Egypt Is Worried That Israel, Jews, and Gays Could Do Harm to Its
'National Foundations'/Zvi Bar'el/Haaretz/November 19/18
Titles For Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
November 19-20/18
Trump Reaffirms Support for Lebanon in Congratulatory Letters to
Aoun, Hariri
Bassil Meets March 8 Sunni MPs, Urges Hariri Meeting
Aoun Receives Qatar Ambassador
Grand Mufti Voices Support for Hariri
Mustaqbal MP Says Solution to Sunni Hurdle in ‘Court of Other Team’
Mustaqbal Lauds Aoun's Efforts to Achieve Govt. 'Breakthrough'
Nissan Chief Ghosn Arrested over Financial Misconduct
Lebanon: IMF Reduces Growth Forecasts to 1% as Inflation Rises
Syria Regime Seizes Drug Shipment from Hezbollah-Controlled Region
Beirut Airport Refrains from Refueling Iranian, Syrian Planes
Martyr Pierre Gemayel's 1992 Letter to His Father Disclosed
Hankache: Government Formation Stalemate Proves Political System Is Unviable
Kataeb Party Pledges to Carry on Battle for Change in Wake of Syndical Election
Wins
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports
And News published on November 19-20/18
Russia, Iran, Turkey to Hold Syria Talks Next Week,
Says Kazakh FM
Trump to Hariri: U.S. Looks Forward to Working with Govt. Committed to Upholding
Sovereignty
British Foreign Minister Visits Iran for Nuclear Talks
Germany Says Will Bar 18 Saudis over Khashoggi Murder
Trump Says 'No Reason' For Him to Hear Khashoggi Death Tape
Iraq denies mediating between Saudi Arabia and Iran
Kazakh FM: Russia, Turkey, Iran to hold Syria talks November 28-29
Yemeni Rebels Say They Will Halt Rocket Fire at Saudi Arabia
Taliban Confirms Talks with U.S. Officials on Afghan Conflict
Syrian government troops take southern district from Daesh
Jordan, Iraq Set Timeline to Establish Joint Border Industrial Zone
Netanyahu says calling Israeli snap polls now would be ‘irresponsible’
Lieberman Accuses Israeli Govt of Granting Immunity to Hamas Leaders
PLO Rejects US Attempt to Denounce Hamas before UN
Jordan’s Parliament Approves Amendments to Income Tax Law
Egypt, Ethiopia Agree to Resume Nahdha Dam Negotiations Within Two Weeks
Undersea Gas Fires Egypt's Regional Energy Dreams
Reports: GCC summit to be held on Dec 9, Qatar not on agenda
Latest Lebanese Related News published on November 19-20/18
Trump Reaffirms Support for Lebanon in Congratulatory Letters
to Aoun, Hariri
Kataeb.org/Monday 19th
November 2018/U.S. President Donald Trump cabled both President Michel Aoun and
caretaker Prime Minister Saad Hariri to convey his sincere wishes to the
Lebanese people a few days before the Independence Day. In his letters, Trump
hailed the "major progress" that the Lebanese government has achieved during the
past year, notably the "successful" parliamentary elections that were held in
May. Hailing Lebanon's resilience in the fight against terrorism, Trump stressed
that his country looks forward to working with the new Lebanese government, and
outlined the U.S. commitment to support Lebanon's sovereignty and political
independence.“The United States stands firm to its support for a prosperous,
secure and peaceful Lebanon,” Trump concluded.
Bassil Meets March 8 Sunni MPs, Urges Hariri Meeting
Naharnet/November 19/18/Free Patriotic Movement chief MP Jebran Bassil met
Monday with the MPs of the pro-Hizbullah Consultative Sunni Gathering and called
for a meeting between them and Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri in order to
resolve a spat that is delaying the formation of the new government. “The
meeting was frank and we voiced our remarks with the aim of reaching a
solution,” Bassil said after the meeting. “I call on the parties who are
directly concerned with the obstacle to hold a meeting between them in order to
reach a solution,” he urged. Bassil also noted that President Michel Aoun is not
involved in the standoff. Speaking on behalf of the MPs, the lawmaker Abdul
Rahim Mrad said: “We will sit together as MPs of the Consultative Gathering to
study our next move and we have reiterated to Mr. Jebran that we insist on the
appointment of one of us.”“PM-designate Saad Hariri must become convinced and
must offer concessions and we will engage in dialogue with him,” Mrad added.
“Rejecting the nomination of one of us is intransigency,” the MP added, in
response to a reporter’s question. The government was on the verge of formation
on October 29 after the Lebanese Forces accepted the portfolios that were
assigned to it but a last-minute hurdle over the representation of pro-Hizbullah
Sunni MPs surfaced. Hizbullah has insisted that the six Sunni MPs should be
given a seat in the government, refraining from providing Hariri with the names
of its three Shiite ministers in a bid to press him.
Aoun Receives Qatar Ambassador
Naharnet/November 19/18/President Michel Aoun received at Baabda palace on
Monday the Qatari Ambassador to Lebanon, Mohammed Hassan Jaber al-Jaber, the
National News Agency reported. Jaber handed his host a written letter from the
Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, confirming his personal
participation in the Arab Economic and Social Development Summit, to be held in
Beirut on January 19-20, NNA said. The Emir expressed hopes the “summit achieves
the desired goals and contributes to support Arab solidarity and promote joint
Arab action for the benefit of our peoples and nation.”The Arab Economic and
Social Development summits are summits of the Arab League, held at the head of
state level to address issues of economic and social development among
member-states.
Grand Mufti Voices Support for Hariri
Grand Mufti of the Republic Abdul Latif Deryan stressed support for Prime
Minister-designate Saad Hariri and his continued endeavors for around six months
now to form a new government, voicing optimism that a “near solution will be
reached.”“No matter how hard things get, the formation of the government needs
patience until a new format is reached and an end for the new obstacle is set,”
said Deryan in a televised address marking the Prophet Mohammed birthday. He
said the hurdle hampering the formation is “strictly political” and not linked
to “Sunni representation” as some perceive, “all political parties must
cooperate in order to solve it,” he said. “We support Hariri who is struggling
to form a homogeneous government capable of confronting all the obstacles,” said
Deryan, pointing out “the formation of the government is a necessity and a
national responsibility of all political forces.”
Mustaqbal MP Says Solution to Sunni Hurdle in
‘Court of Other Team’
Naharnet/November 19/18/Brushing off all claims that easing the pro-Hizbullah
Sunni MPs hurdle lies with Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri, al-Mustaqbal
Movement MP Ammar Houri said on Monday the PM has given all he can to ease the
formation of the government and “the ball is in the court of the other
team.”“The ball is in the court of the other team, it is not in Mustaqbal’s
court,” said Houri in remarks he made to VDL (93.3) radio station. “(Foreign
Minister Jebran) Bassil is trying to round the angles with other parties after
the last-minute obstacle of Sunni representation was invented shortly before the
government formation,” he added. “Hariri (head of Mustaqbal) has given all he
can,” added Houri. Free Patriotic Movement chief, Bassil is leading a mediation
effort between political parties in a bid to ease the obstacles hampering the
formation. Bassil is trying to convince the rival parties to accept a settlement
based on naming a “consensus” Sunni minister. The government was on the verge of
formation on October 29 after the Lebanese Forces accepted the portfolios that
were assigned to it but a last-minute hurdle over the representation of pro-Hizbullah
Sunni MPs surfaced. Hizbullah has insisted that the six Sunni MPs should be
given a seat in the government, refraining from providing Prime
Minister-designate Saad Hariri with the names of its own ministers in a bid to
press him.
Mustaqbal Lauds Aoun's Efforts to Achieve Govt. 'Breakthrough'
Naharnet/November 19/18/Al-Mustaqbal
parliamentary bloc on Monday hailed what it called “the efforts that President
Michel Aoun is overseeing to achieve a breakthrough” in the stalled cabinet
formation process. In a statement issued after its weekly meeting, the bloc also
called for “understanding the current challenges, ending the policies of time
waste and facilitating the missions of the PM-designate.”“The cabinet line-up is
ready with the will and participation of the majority of political forces,
except for the side that is still holding back from participation and insisting
on imposing its condition of representing the six-MP group,” Mustaqbal added,
referring to Hizbullah. The government was on the verge of formation on October
29 after the Lebanese Forces accepted the portfolios that were assigned to it
but a last-minute hurdle over the representation of pro-Hizbullah Sunni MPs
surfaced. Hizbullah has insisted that the six Sunni MPs should be given a seat
in the government, refraining from providing Prime Minister-designate Saad
Hariri with the names of its three Shiite ministers in a bid to press him. Free
Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil, Aoun’s close aide and son-in-law, is
meanwhile trying to convince the rival parties to accept a settlement based on
naming a “consensus” Sunni minister.
Nissan Chief Ghosn Arrested over Financial
Misconduct
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/November 19/18/Nissan chairman Carlos Ghosn was
reportedly under arrest in Tokyo on Monday, as his firm accused him of
"significant acts of misconduct" and said it would seek to oust him. Japan's
public broadcaster NHK and other media outlets said Ghosn --Brazilian-born, of
Lebanese descent and a French citizen--had been arrested after being questioned
by Japanese prosecutors for various improprieties including underreporting his
income. "The Tokyo District Public Prosecutor's Office arrested Nissan chairman
Ghosn on suspicion of violation of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act,"
NHK said. In a statement, Nissan said it had been conducting a probe into Ghosn
for several months after receiving a whistleblower report and had uncovered
misconduct going back several years. The Tokyo prosecutor's office had no
comment on the reports about Ghosn, who also heads an alliance of Renault,
Nissan and Mitsubishi. Nissan said it had launched an investigation into both
Ghosn and Representative Director Greg Kelly several months ago. "The
investigation showed that over many years both Ghosn and Kelly have been
reporting compensation amounts in the Tokyo Stock Exchange securities report
that were less than the actual amount, in order to reduce the disclosed amount
of Carlos Ghosn's compensation," the statement said. "Also, in regards to Ghosn,
numerous other significant acts of misconduct have been uncovered, such as
personal use of company assets, and Kelly's deep involvement has also been
confirmed." The company said it had provided information to Japanese prosecutors
and would propose to the board of directors that it "promptly remove Ghosn from
his positions" along with Kelly. The astonishing news first emerged Monday
evening, when the Asahi Shimbun newspaper reported Ghosn was being questioned by
prosecutors and was likely to face arrest. Public broadcaster NHK reported that
Tokyo prosecutors were raiding Nissan's headquarters in the city of Yokohama.
Renault shares plunged 12 percent in late morning trading in Paris on the shock
news, which emerged after the end of the Tokyo session. "If he is arrested, it's
going to rock the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance as he is the keystone of
the alliance," said Satoru Takada, an analyst at TIW, a Tokyo-based research and
consulting firm. "He is the man of charisma for the alliance. It is likely to
have a negative impact on its brand image," he told AFP. Nicknamed Le Cost
Killer, Brazil-born Ghosn, 64, is known for overhauling Renault and Nissan
starting in the nineties. Renault came to the rescue of the then-ailing Japanese
automaker in 1999 and parachuted in Ghosn, who set about slashing costs and jobs
in a huge corporate overhaul. In 2016, Ghosn also took charge at troubled
Mitsubishi after Nissan threw it a lifeline, buying a one-third stake for about
$2.2 billion as it wrestled with a mileage-cheating scandal that hammered sales.
Ghosn has a high profile in Japan and is known as a major advocate of the
country's auto sector. He has not yet commented on the allegations.
Lebanon: IMF Reduces Growth Forecasts to 1% as Inflation Rises
Beirut- Ali Zeineddine/Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday,
19 November, 2018/The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reconsidered its
earlier assessment of the Lebanese economy and reduced growth expectations from
1.7 percent to only one percent. It expected that inflation would increase to
6.5 percent, compared to 1.5 percent of growth and 4.5 percent inflation last
year. The new figures will widen the gap between private sector incomes and the
cost of living, while the State has supported the incomes of all its employees
and increased salaries by over 100 percent, following the adoption of the salary
scale law a year ago. The recent growth assessment contradicted recent estimates
by the Governor of Banque du Liban (BDL) Riad Salame, who said: “We expect the
economy to grow by 2 percent in 2018, which is close to the average growth rate
in the Middle East and Africa.”Additional negative indicators emerged in recent
statistical summaries issued by the World Bank, where Lebanon’s external debt
increased by 4.85 percent to about $73.53 billion at the end of 2017. The
long-term foreign debt stocks stood at $64.49 billion, compared to $62 billion
in 2016. As for net capital flows, foreign direct investment flows to Lebanon
decreased during the past year, in a continuing trend since 2011. It declined
from $2.57 billion in 2016 to $2.56 billion in 2017. The external debt-to-export
ratio rose from 328.5 percent in 2016 to 341.3 percent in 2017. The IMF report
pointed out that the uncertainty over the future of policies and macroeconomic
imbalances was contributing to weakening the Lebanese economic growth. It called
for working to control public finances in order to reduce dependence on the
central bank and to adjust the consequent pressure on the inflation rate. On a
positive note, the report said that the continued flow of transfers by Lebanese
expats to their home country would play a key role in maintaining private
consumption levels in Lebanon. It also praised efforts made to improve the
revenues of the Lebanese state, which included raising the value-added tax.
Syria Regime Seizes Drug Shipment from Hezbollah-Controlled Region
Homs - Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 19
November, 2018/The Syrian regime seized over the weekend a drugs shipment that
had departed from the western al-Qusayr region that is controlled by its ally,
the Lebanese Hezbollah group, informed sources in the city of Homs told Asharq
Al-Awsat. The confiscation of the shipment, which was headed to regime-held
Latakia, highlights the differences between the regime and Hezbollah, both of
which control the Syrian-Lebanese border areas. The sources emphasized the
importance of the news being released on regime agency SANA, adding that this
was a message to Hezbollah and possibly even its backer, Iran. The drugs seizure
was not reported by either Hezbollah or Iranian media. SANA reported Saturday
that concerned authorities confiscated in the Homs province a large shipment of
captagon narcotic pills that were concealed in wooden doors. The shipment was
being transported via a Kia vehicle that was carrying a Homs license plate. The
drugs were packed for shipping and were being delivered from Qusayr to Latakia,
it reported. The concerned authorities arrested the smugglers. The informed
sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that the arrest was not simply a thwarting of a
smuggling operation, but it was the “exposure of only the lowest rung of
operations and an attempt to pressure those behind it.”This confirms the
existence of differences or possible a struggle for power between the regime and
Hezbollah, they added. Hezbollah has since capturing Qusayr in 2013 cut down
trees and turned agricultural property into tobacco and cannabis farms, revealed
locals who were forced out of the region. They said that the armed group was
still preventing their return even though the regime has restored its control
over it. US government reports revealed that 30 percent of Hezbollah’s income is
generated from the drug trade throughout the world. Syria has long been a
passage for the drug trade and this activity had spiked since 2005. These
figures were confirmed by a regime anti-drug campaign that was carried out in
2010.
Beirut Airport Refrains from Refueling Iranian, Syrian Planes
Beirut - Nazeer Rida/Asharq Al Awsat/November 19/19/Lebanon has made a
commitment to refrain from supplying Iranian and Syrian airlines with fuel at
Beirut airport, in line with US sanctions. These companies are on a long list of
sanctions received by the country. Beirut’s Rafik Hariri International Airport
responded to the decision of international sanctions on a number of airlines,
including Iranian airlines. The airport refrained from supplying the aircraft of
those companies with fuel. The list includes more than 20 airlines from 15
countries around the world. Senior Lebanese sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that
the list included Iranian airlines, such as Iran Air, Mahan Air and others,
Syrian airlines such as Cham Wings and Syrian Arab Airlines, in addition to a
Belarusian airline, Belavia. The list also includes other airlines that do not
land in Beirut, the sources said. “The decision is international and cannot be
disregarded by Lebanon,” Lebanese political sources said. “Lebanon will not
violate international resolutions, but will abide by them.” They said that
government instructions received at the airport ordered full commitment to the
list. Several international companies supply Beirut airport with jet fuel, some
of which are linked to the parent companies British Petroleum (BP) or Total,
which have taken the decision to abide by the sanctions. The sources told Asharq
Al-Awsat: “The decision is effective and is being applied at the airport since
the US sanctions against Iran came into force.”In recent statements, Secretary
of the Association of Iranian Airlines Maqsoud Asadi Samani confirmed the
halting of supply of fuel to Iranian aircraft at the airport in Beirut, saying:
“Unfortunately, in recent days, there were talks about this issue, and we have
now reached the stage of implementation. Iranian airlines cannot currently
refuel at the Lebanese airports.”
Martyr Pierre Gemayel's 1992 Letter to His Father Disclosed
Kataeb.org/Monday 19th November 2018/A few days before the 12th anniversary of
the assassination of Minister Pierre Gemayel, the Kataeb Students’ Department
and MP Elias Hankache posted a letter that the martyr had written in 1992, upon
his return to Lebanon, to his father, former President Amine Gemayel, who was
still in exile. Gemayel sent his father a letter to inform him that he had
decided to stay in Lebanon in order to pursue his academic education", deeming
his decision as "an unavoidable necessity both on the social and psychological
levels.”The late son beseeched his father to consent to his decision and not to
refuse his request to stay in Lebanon, asking him to trust his option. "I lay
thousands of warm kisses on your precious and bright forehead," Gemayel
concludes in his letter.
Hankache: Government Formation Stalemate Proves Political System Is Unviable
Kataeb.org/Monday 19th November 2018/Kataeb MP Elias Hankache said that the
government formation stalemate proves that Lebanon's political system has become
unviable, adding that the State and the country's entity itself have become
jeopardized by the post-elections partitioning and the conflict it is causing.
"Lebanon and the Lebanese must be freed from the prison they have been
incarcerated in. This would only happen through the formation of a national
rescue government that includes competent specialists; one that rises up to the
challenges, stops the disintegration of the State and halts the large-scale
deterioration in the country," he told the Kuwaiti Al-Anbaa newspaper. Hankache
stressed the need to adopt a decentralized system that would help develop the
State even during ministerial void, calling on the bickering rivals and
partitioning partners to realize the repercussions of their actions. "Even if a
government is formed, it won't be anything other than a Cabinet of political,
partisan and sectarian trenches," Hankache said. "How would the new government
be productive and honor its pledges as long as it will consist of the same
people who previously caused disasters and ordeals?" he asked. "In addition to
that, Hezbollah, which will be a main component in the government, deals with
the Lebanese with arrogance and superiority as it continues to bypass the
Constitution, laws and norms." "How will it be possible to enforce
accountability on a government that is actually a miniature replica of the
Parliament?" the lawmaker wondered.
Kataeb Party Pledges to Carry on Battle for Change in Wake of Syndical Election
Wins
Kataeb.org/Monday 19th November 2018/The Kataeb party congratulated the
candidates who won the syndical elections that were held on Sunday, hailing
their win as a proof of the will of change amid the mentality of partitioning
and spoil sharing that is prevailing over the country. Kataeb candidate Emilie
Hayek won a seat in the Order of Dentists, as she was able to get more votes
than another contender on the rival list backed by the Free Patriotic Movement,
the Lebanese Forces and the Future Movement. Independent candidate Roger Rbeiz,
who was supported by the Kataeb party, was elected as the head of the Dentists
Order. As for the elections at the Beirut Bar Association, the Kataeb candidate
Raymond Jamhouri won a seat in the order's retirement fund council, along with
Imad Martinos, an independent candidate supported by the party, who won
membership of the Bar's council. "The Kataeb party promises all the Lebanese and
partisans to carry on its change battle at all levels until we reach the Lebanon
that we all dream of," the party concluded in its statement. Kataeb leader Samy
Gemayel also congratulated the winners, stressing that syndicates serve as a
gateway to struggle and a platform to serve people and defend their interests.
Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on November 19-20/18
US rabbi claims Gulf states 'compete' over
ties with Israel
Itamar Eichner/Ynetnews/November 19/18
Rabbi Marc Schneier, who maintains close ties with Persian Gulf, believes we
will see establishment of official diplomatic relations between Israel and the
six emirates as soon as 2019; 'We will soon see the official forming of
relations with Bahrain, and the rest will follow.' Rabbi Marc Schneier,
president of the Foundation for Ethnic Understanding (FFEU), who maintains
extensive ties with countries in the Persian Gulf, said he has recently seen a
vast improvement in relations between Israel and the Gulf states.
Schneier, who is known as a rabbi to many US celebrities, said in an interview
with Yedioth Ahronoth that the six Persian Gulf emirates are competing over who
will be the first to go public with their relationship with Israel, and
establish diplomatic ties.
"I believe we will soon see the official forming of relations with Bahrain, and
the rest will follow," he asserted. Over the past 15 years, Rabbi Schneier has
visited many palaces in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab
Emirates.
According to him, the Iranian threat is what stands behind the change in
attitude toward Israel. "Israel and the Gulf states face the same existential
threat—Iran."
However, economic opportunities is another driving force behind the improved
relations.
"The current Emir of Qatar and leaders in Saudi Arabia said that the combination
of Gulf’s wealth and Israel's high-tech knowledge could potentially transform
the region into the most successful area in the world,” Schneier explained. "If
in the past it was argued that the Gulf states would be willing to establish
official relations with Israel only after peace with the Palestinians is
achieved, then today the leaders of these countries say that merely returning to
the negotiating table will suffice," said the rabbi.
"I believe we will see diplomatic relations developing with all six Gulf states
as early as 2019," he emphasized.
The US and GCC’s twin strategies toward Iran
Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg/Arab News/November 19/18
The US’ Iran strategy is finally out in public and a legitimate question has
been raised as to whether the region’s key players, in particular the Gulf
Cooperation Council (GCC), have a similar strategy or are they only reacting to
the US’ moves?
I would argue that the GCC has had an Iran strategy in place for some time, the
last articulation of which was agreed by the GCC ministers of defense, interior
and foreign affairs in 2017, and endorsed by the GCC summit in April 2017. The
GCC and US strategies are quite similar and their centerpiece is an enhanced GCC-US
Strategic Partnership, established at the May 2016 Camp David summit of heads of
state, and reconfirmed in the consequent GCC-US summits of 2016 and 2017.
In the latest issue of Foreign Affairs magazine, US Secretary of State Mike
Pompeo laid out the most detailed public articulation of the Trump
administration’s strategy on confronting Iran. Pompeo outlined the “Trump
doctrine,” which is that Iran is put on notice that the US will not allow its
destabilizing activities to go unchecked, and is willing to use force to stop
them. In addition, the Trump administration is pursuing a “maximum pressure”
campaign designed to choke off revenues that the Iranian regime uses to fund
violence throughout the region and to allow its agents to covertly plot around
the world.
What are the most important elements of the GCC strategy toward Iran? The
strategy starts by identifying the main sources of threats emanating from Iran:
Military and asymmetric, as well as territorial, political, diplomatic, economic
and environmental. The strategy addresses each group of threats, outlining the
actions required to deal with them. Finally, the strategy includes a political
process on how the confrontation could be defused.
While the GCC has been building its own defenses to stop Iran’s extraterritorial
reach, it has also several times attempted to engage Iran diplomatically.
The military threats include nuclear, ballistic and conventional weapons. On
Iran’s nuclear program, the GCC has expressed its support for the Trump
administration in calling for a revamped deal that removes the so-called sunset
clauses and establishes a more robust inspection system to ensure that it is and
will remain a peaceful, non-military program.
On Iran’s ballistic missiles program, the GCC strategy calls for a strengthened
international regime to supplement the restrictions outlined in UN Security
Council Resolution 2231. At the same time, the GCC is building a ballistic
missile defense shield in cooperation with the US.
And, finally, to face Iran’s conventional military threats, the GCC is enhancing
its military capabilities in the air, on land and at sea, with considerable
progress. It has built a unified military structure that includes all services.
This process has been brought closer to completion with the recent appointment
of Gen. Eid Al-Shalawi as commander of the GCC Unified Military Command — the
first in the GCC’s 37-year history.
The most difficult part of confronting Iran is how to deal with its asymmetric
threats, mainly its use of terrorism and sectarian strife to destabilize the
region and beyond. On confronting Iranian-sponsored terrorism, the GCC and its
partners, such as the US and the UK, have developed various tools to disrupt the
work of terrorists supported by Iran, especially intercepting and weakening
their funding through sanctions. To counter Iran’s sectarian speech and that of
its proxies in the region — particularly in Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq and Syria — the
GCC has established various centers to counter the terrorists’ messaging, which
is used to recruit and radicalize young people.
Territorial threats include Iran’s occupation of three UAE islands (Greater and
Lesser Tunb, and Abu Musa), as well as incursions into the GCC’s territorial
seas, continental shelf and maritime economic zones, which are rich in oil and
minerals.
Environmental threats include the risk of accidents in Iran’s nuclear reactors,
especially the Bushehr nuclear plant, which came online a few years ago and is
located near a major earthquake fault line. There have been close calls at the
facility after some major earthquakes.
While the GCC has been building its own defenses to stop Iran’s extraterritorial
reach, it has also several times attempted to engage Iran diplomatically. In
1986, the GCC articulated 10 principles based on the UN Charter and asked Tehran
to commit to them, but without success, as Iran was more interested in military
solutions at the time of the Iran-Iraq war. There was limited success later,
during the presidencies of Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani (1989-1997) and Mohammed
Khatami (1997-2005). A number of security agreements were signed and a general
thaw in relations took place.
That hopeful period was put in abeyance with the election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad,
but the GCC continued to engage Iran during his presidency, without success. The
Arab Spring events of 2011 led to a break in the dialogue because Iran saw it as
an opportunity to pursue its goals without having to change its behavior or
engage with its neighbors. It succeeded in extending its hegemony to Syria,
Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen. It attempted to do the same thing in Bahrain, Kuwait
and Saudi Arabia but failed.
Despite an energized Iranian interventionist policy throughout the region, the
GCC has identified a political process. In response to an Iranian message in
2016 to start a new page, the GCC sent a letter through Kuwait to Iran,
suggesting a course of action to build confidence and engage peacefully. Thus,
while the GCC is enhancing its own elements of power — military, economic and
cultural — it is also leaving the door open for a political solution to defuse
the conflict with Iran.
*Abdel Aziz Aluwaisheg is the GCC Assistant Secretary-General for Political
Affairs & Negotiation, and a columnist for Arab News. The views expressed in
this piece are personal and do not necessarily represent GCC views. Twitter:
@abuhamad1
The new Iraq and the Qatari temptation
Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/November 19/18
Iraq is a large country that’s swayed by all forms of influence. Iran is greedy
for it and the US sees it as a goal to reach. However, before all that, Iraq is
for its people with their different sects and orientations, and their interests
must be served. It is in the Iraqis’ best interest to shield the country from
wars and from mortgaging its wealth and security in favor of this or that
neighbor.
Iraq today has a new parliament, a new prime minister and a new president who is
the Kurdish sensible politician Barham Salih who made his first foreign tour and
visited Iran and Saudi Arabia and other Gulf cou
Will Iraq today be biased towards the “harmful” Iranian neighbor after the
international American economic and political restraints tightened around the
Iranian regime? We ask this while being aware of the size of Iranian political
investment and depth inside Iraq.
Iraqi President Barham Salih’s visit to Riyadh and his meeting with King Salman
is a good sign. We’re not saying it’s a sign towards matching Iraqi policy with
Saudi Arabia but towards putting Iraq and the Iraqis’ interest above all other
considerations
This investment is enveloped with the fangs and claws of gangs affiliated with
Iran in Iraq – gangs whose statuses strengthened to the point where they have
political wings represented in the parliament, like the case is with the
Iranian-backed Hezbollah group in Lebanon. Speaking of Hezbollah, the party
exported its expertise in political destruction to Iraq via its delegate there,
Mohammed Kawtharani.
Qatari meddling
Since Qatar, under the authority of Hamad bin Khalifa and the Brotherhood’s
planning, is an ally in a harmful alliance whose pillar is Iraq and Turkey, it’s
trying to access the Iraqi arena via this alliance.
News reports from inside Iraq state that Qatar is today promoting to Iraq’s
rulers the idea of having Iraq join an alliance that includes it, Iran, Syria
and Turkey, and that is based on the mutual political and economic interests
among all five countries.
This piece of news, which is not surprising given the behavior of Qatar’s
current rulers, sheds light on the importance of maximizing Iraq’s national
powers which call for preserving the wealth and security of Iraq that has been
suffering since 1990 until today. It also gives importance to focusing on Iraq’s
domestic affairs such as development and improvement of public services (water,
electricity, health, education, etc..) and keeping away from Iranian harmful
policies and Qatari-Brotherhood schemes.
What strengthens the validity of this piece of news is that the National Axis
Alliance, which includes most of the Sunni political powers, rejected that Iraq
become part of this alliance that consists of the five countries.
Anyway, Iraqi President Barham Salih’s visit to Riyadh and his meeting with King
Salman is a good sign. We’re not saying it’s a sign towards matching Iraqi
policy with Saudi Arabia but towards putting Iraq and the Iraqis’ interest above
all other considerations, including the Iranian and Turkish and even the Saudi
ones, since as long as Iraq will focus on development and stability, there will
be no other Saudi Arabian consideration anyway!
Will the Americans, who paid plenty of money and sacrificed plenty of men in
Iraq, accept that Iraq becomes an affiliate of a hostile axis?
The gamble is on the wise men of Iraq and its vigilant people and on all those
who want Iraq’s interest before anything else.
Cultural diplomacy as a means for dialogue
Hassan Al Mustafa/Al Arabiya/November 19/18
At its core, diplomacy depends on achieving results and goals with the most
flexible, least violent and low-cost methods that avoid security or military
measures as much as possible.
In some cases, “hard power” is used diplomatically, as a means not an end in
order to achieve goals that leaders cannot achieve through conventional means or
through dialogue. Therefore, “force” is used as a quick and short-term option
that has specific goals.
In this context, diplomacy has several aspects, one of which is “cultural
diplomacy.” This was the focus of a discussion held in Manama last month, which
was attended by UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed, Bahrain’s
Foreign Minister Sheikh Khalid bin Ahmed and a group of young diplomats.
Of course, “cultural diplomacy” doesn’t only depend on the culture of the
individual – though this is definitely important – but it should also include a
comprehensive program, an action plan and collective effort
Abdullah bin Zayed spoke about “cultural diplomacy” as “a gateway of cooperation
aimed at spreading our high humanitarian mission and our common Arab culture”,
as well as “sharing innovative ideas with regard to the development of future
diplomatic work and foreseeing the prospects for diplomatic cooperation and
coordination to address the rapid changes on the regional arenas and the
international scene.” He added that this necessitates an unconventional approach
to political action, development of old mechanisms and expansion of new areas of
work in the departments of foreign ministries in the Gulf to focus on what can
be called “complementary diplomacy,” of which culture is one of the key pillars.
Using culture as a bridge
A former diplomat once told me that while he was on a visit to an important and
influential country for bilateral talks, the head of the delegation had to leave
for a few minute. He told me: “I found myself alone with the president of that
country, and wondered what I can talk to him about, instead of just being
silent. Within a few seconds, I began talking about an important historical
figure who had changed the policy of the country in question.
The president was happy to respond and started telling me about that figure’s
character and explained how and why he loved and respected that person’s ideas.
Even after the head of the delegation returned, we continued talking on the same
subject; because the president was proud how his guest knew details of his
country’s culture and history.”
This is a simple example of how culture can create a bridge between
interlocutors, make minds meet, help solve problems and diffuse crises.
“Cultural diplomacy” is not an easy art to cultivate. It requires a person to
have a great deal of knowledge and wisdom. A diplomat needs to be knowledgeable
in the history and civilization of the country he visits, understand customs and
the key traditions in addition to knowing the background of the people he meets
and the topics that will be discussed so that he is able to read the mind of his
interlocutor and negotiate with him, and this requires more training, knowledge
and patience. It is not just a mechanical drill that easily delivers any
political gain.
Of course, “cultural diplomacy” doesn’t only depend on the culture of the
individual – though this is definitely important – but it should also include a
comprehensive program, an action plan and collective effort, which will be
discussed in the next article.
Water geopolitics in the Middle East
Shehab Al-Makahleh/Al Arabiya/November 19/18
In the 21st century, the Middle East will witness a new and unalike kind of war.
Despite economic pressures, ethnic and sectarian dissections, terrorism
activities, religious radicalism, organized crime and environmental crisis, the
likelihood of water war has escalated in recent years in the region due to the
scarcity of this natural resource and due to the drought waves for decades.
Water scarceness is of boundless geopolitical significance. Nihilists and
visionaries likewise are susceptible to assume that water has or would have
profound geopolitical insinuations. Water resources are a fundamental factor for
local clashes in the region, fuelled by deteriorating economic development plans
in the Middle East, which would exacerbate water war dynamics.
Prospects of war in the Mideast
The Arab world is 14 million square kilometers, of which 87 percent is desert.
About 50 percent of renewable Arab water resources are located outside the Arab
region. This is evident in the trajectory of international rivers, such as the
Nile, the Tigris and the Euphrates. Studies show that the share of Arab citizens
in renewable water will shrink from 1200 cubic meters annually to 400 cubic
meters per capita per year by 2025. Furthermore, 15 Arab nations have fallen
below water poverty line, meaning that they will not be able to meet their basic
water requirements by 2025.
Since water and food security are interrelated, and since economic, military and
security aspects are of due importance for any country, a lack or absence of any
of these elements would lead to either internal war or a regional war; thus,
affecting the face and future of the region. In a panoramic view, the picture is
becoming increasingly murkier as the Arab population continues to grow, while
water resources are destroyed by armed conflicts or become scarce due to
droughts which have depleted groundwater resources.
Renewable and non-renewable water resources have shrunk. This has been the case
in Iraq, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon and Egypt; however, the Gulf Cooperation Council
(GCC) states have been spending huge amounts of money on desalination process
which would be adequate as long as oil and gas prices are high.
The Levant and Iraq have been amongst the worst affected by scarcity of rainfall
and water shortages in the past two decades. Turkey insists that any agreement
on sharing of the Tigris and the Euphrates water Syria and Iraq depend heavily
on political harmony between the three countries. Of course, the Kurdish issue
is the essence of any water deal between the three states as well as oil and gas
cooperation.
Countries in charge should all sit and discuss water security for the
generations to come to avert them any wars that would lead to enormous toll of
deaths if conflicts break out
The Israelis also recognize that the dearth of water resources is weakening
their position strategically. Former Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir had been
stressing on the interdependence of security and water. Shimon Peres, former
head of the State of Israel, believes that water is more important than land,
and that control of water sources makes Israel a geographically closed and
independent country as no other neighboring country would dare threaten Israel’s
sovereignty.
Former Israeli Defense Minister Ariel Sharon said that in fact (the Six-Day War)
began the day Israel decided to turn the Jordan River water inside Israel by
diverting the branches of the river to exercise more pressure on Jordan later on
and to twist the government’s arm to accept Israeli conditions and terms.
The Israelis are also cognizant of the complexity of their water crisis. The
water level of the Sea of Galilee has dropped to the lowest level in a century,
and the salt water infiltrates heavily into the underground crevices. Israel,
Jordan, the West Bank and the Gaza Strip are among the countries most forced to
settle water issues and reach an understanding on sharing their water resources.
Jordan is one of the countries most affected by the water crisis, and the water
agreement between Amman and Tel Aviv was essential in the Israeli-Jordanian
peace agreement. The question here is: Will Israel respect this deal in the
future?
Regional water wars
At present, many factors can lead to insecurity and be the main causes of
instability and war. Religious or ethnic differences, poverty, hunger and lack
of resources are the most important. The geographical distribution of water is
one of the major geopolitical dimensions of natural resources. This distribution
is an important factor in the ability of governments to control these assets.
Political reasons of war on natural resources including water is a sufficient
drive to ignite new conflicts among Middle East countries as such a valuable
resource is key to prosperity and development at all levels.
Will there be a war on water in the Middle East?
The 21st century is undergoing demographic increase in the Middle East, posing
pressure on water. Economists believe that scarcity of water in the region is
more threatening than anywhere else in the world. For millennia, this scarcity
has played an essential role in determining political relations in the region.
Ideological, religious and geopolitical differences have also been associated
with water-related tensions.
Though competition over water resources in the Middle East region is very old,
rivalry has intensified in recent years. To cite as an example, the
Sudanese-Egyptian-Ethiopian competition over the Nile Water and the
Syrian-Turkish-Iraqi rivalry over the Tigris and the Euphrates water can trigger
a regional war for many years.
Future of Water Security
Climate change, low rainfall and poor water resources management, and the
absence of a sound economic plan for water and soil use are among the factors
that will lead to increased competition for wars over water resources. Israel is
also trying to control Palestinian and Lebanese water sources in order to
increase water productivity. Thus, water crisis and the inability of the
countries of the region to manage such a calamity would be conducive to internal
conflicts, which may affect food security and other vital interests of the
region, leading to further battles on water.
To conclude, the countries in charge should all sit and discuss water security
for the generations to come to avert them any wars that would lead to enormous
toll of deaths if conflicts break out.
Are We Prepared for the Zombie Apocalypse? Actually, Yes
Stephen Carter/Bloomberg/November, 19/18
Are we properly prepared for the zombie apocalypse? OK, you’re thinking that’s
just science fiction. It could never happen, so why bother getting ready? But
after watching some of the frenzied television coverage of this week’s sudden
snowstorm that paralyzed the Eastern Seaboard, I’m not so sure. Reporters kept
asking each other, in all solemn gravity, who’s to blame for the fact that
cities and states were so poorly prepared. The usual academic wisdom is that if
we prepare for every low-probability event, we’ll bankrupt ourselves. Only
hindsight bias insists that the signs of every unlikely catastrophe were always
there. But it’s a hindsight bias to which we cling, venting our fury at those
who didn’t put the clues together. So in the highly unlikely event that the
zombie apocalypse happens, journalists and commentators, from their fortified
redoubts, will certainly be demanding to know why nobody planned for this
eventuality.
Happily, we have an answer: The US military is on the case.
Seriously.
Well, sort of seriously.
On the website of the US Strategic Command, you can find CONPLAN 8888-11, a
detailed plan for “counter-zombie dominance” prepared by a group of junior
officers as part of a training exercise. The document, which came to public
attention a few years ago, is festooned with disclaimers, including a large red
box on the first page informing readers that the assignment was based on a
“completely fictitious scenario” — but presumably the disclaimers would
themselves be disclaimed in any congressional hearing attempting to fix blame in
the event of an actual zombie invasion. So let’s spend a few minutes taking
CONPLAN 8888-11 more or less seriously. Once we take the plan seriously, it
makes interesting reading. Were its advice followed during the zombie disasters
portrayed so regularly on small screen and large, we wouldn’t see the US
military so easily swept aside in the opening hours of the invasion.
That’s the term used again and again in the document — “invasion” — and surely
it’s the most accurate way to conceptualize the disaster that would follow a
zombie infection. Undead hordes shambling through the streets should be treated
the way one would treat any other invaders. This means the goals must be to
protect the uninfected population and to eliminate the invaders. Zombies can’t
be deterred or bargained with, so they must be destroyed. The immediate
difficulty is the same one that worries their television and film counterparts:
“Zombie forces will become stronger with each human casualty,” because “each
human casualty will become a zombie.”
Therefore it’s important to create hardened protected sites and to guard
critical infrastructure. Because zombies will be drawn to human population
centers and can’t swim (or can they?), roads should be barricaded and blocked at
checkpoints. Local authorities will be tasked with maintaining potable
uncontaminated food supplies. If none of this works, evacuation will be ordered.
Law enforcement and military personnel are warned not to allow survivors to “go
back for” family, friends, and loved ones. Any who do must be left behind.
The plan anticipates that human survivors would raid police stations,
sporting-goods stores and armories for weapons. This is apparently seen as a
feature, not a bug. All official transmissions would be sent uncoded, so that
survivors might intercept them and know where to link up with military forces.
The planners accept the popular view that zombies are not alive, a proposition
that widens the choice of potential strategies. Ordinarily, the measures that
may be taken in armed conflict are legally and ethically restricted, but “US and
international law regulate military operations only insofar as human and animal
life are concerned.” Small wonder, therefore, that the plan envisions the use of
nuclear weapons within U.S. territory as necessary.
The idea is to use enough force to destroy large concentrations of zombies, then
conduct reconnaissance to hunt down the rest. Finally, when the emergency ends,
government will be turned back over to civil authorities. It all sounds good —
good enough for us to wonder why “The Walking Dead” features no surviving
military forces. (They can’t all have been ambushed by the governor.) But as
CONPLAN 8888-11 freely admits, there are potential problems. For one thing,
determining where to deploy forces requires accurate intelligence, which likely
would not be forthcoming. The document advises assuming “worst-case scenarios
derived from popular culture references.” For another, deployed military forces
will be expected to carry sufficient supplies to operate for 40 days, after
which the planners believe most of the zombies will have died from decay or lack
of food. (Although this assumption seems to be the consensus of various sources,
it may be overly optimistic.) The difficulty, as the planners confess, is that
the US military may not possess enough food and water for the necessary forces
to deploy for so long without resupply.
Moreover, the document notes, not enough military facilities are actually
hardened against zombie attack. Command-and-control aircraft would be safe, but
after a few days refueling operations would likely break down. The planners
suggest that surviving aircraft try for Hawaii or various other Pacific islands,
but seem pessimistic that many would make it. (In “World War Z” — the novel, not
the film — many of the world’s leaders, including the president of the United
States, successfully take to the sea.) . And course there’s the risk that the
invaders will turn out to be Evil Magic Zombies, or EMZs, in which case there
will be little that conventional military force can achieve. Still, the planners
have a suggestion: “The Chaplain Corps may provide the only viable means of
combating EMZs.” They document adds, ominously: “Atheists could be particularly
vulnerable to EMZ threats.”But put all of these concerns aside. At least
somebody’s trying. You want the government to plan for low-probability
disasters? Here’s a plan for a low-probability disaster. Sure, the chances of a
zombie apocalypse are infinitesimal. But should it ever happen, the last few
survivors (those who beat the 0.0088 probability of surviving 100 days) will
likely behave just like the journalists who seemed surprised to discover that
snowstorms are occasionally worse than predicted. They’ll want to know who’s to
blame.Good to know somebody’s thinking ahead.
Assange Speculation Shows Why Charges Should Be Public
Noah Feldman/Bloomberg/November 19/19
The word-processing error that unintentionally revealed the Justice Department’s
sealed charges against WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange is fascinating, not
least because analogous mistakes can be found in texts going all the way back to
the Babylonian Epic of Gilgamesh.
It also raises important legal policy questions: In a free, open society, what
justifies the use of secret indictments? Are they a nefarious tool of the deep
state, like secret trials? Or are they a valuable mechanism for allowing law
enforcement to do its job? The accidental disclosure of an Assange case
originated with a federal prosecutor who was filing a motion with a federal
court in Virginia to seal the criminal complaint against one Seitu Sulayman
Kokayi. Twice in the short document, the name of the person whose charges were
supposed to be sealed was given as “Assange” rather than “Kokayi.” The Kokayi
case was recently unsealed, and the error was discovered by Seamus Hughes, a
terrorism expert who monitors court cases.
Anyone who’s ever worked as a lawyer or a paralegal can tell you how this
happened. Law firms and legal offices keep copies of sample documents containing
boilerplate language — like the language prosecutors use to explain why a sealed
criminal complaint is necessary.
Often, the sample documents have names filled in. When I was a summer associate
at a white-shoe firm 20 years ago, all the sample documents used the name of the
investment bank that the firm had faithfully represented for more than half a
century. In the Assange case, the sample document was probably changed and saved
when the prosecutors filed the Assange sealing request.
The lawyer drafting the document has the job of changing the names from the
sample. The prosecutor in the Kokayi case was most likely in too much of a rush
— and didn’t proofread.
But don’t be too scornful. The error is as old as books — or rather older.
Consider this example from the ancient Gilgamesh epic, pointed out to me by the
brilliant Bible scholar Idan Dershowitz, who is writing a book on what he calls
“errorology.” The epic tells the story of a worldwide flood and a man who
survives it on an ark filled with animals. (Sound familiar?)
In the Gilgamesh version, the role of Noah is played by a man called Utnapishtim.
But in Tablet XI of the epic, the text accidentally calls the same hero by the
name Atra-hasis.
This slip-up allowed scholars to realize that the flood story must have been
taken from an earlier text, in which Atra-hasis is the hero. When it comes to
Assange, the error also conveys information — namely that prosecutors prepared a
request to seal the charges. Subsequent reporting confirmed that the case is out
there, although we don’t know what the alleged crime is.The justification for
sealing an indictment is typically that if the defendant knew he had been
indicted, he would evade arrest by fleeing or avoiding capture. Sealing is
supposed to be a last resort, usable only when the government couldn’t simply
redact the defendant’s name from the charging documents. The decision is up to
the court, not the prosecutor. That’s why the request to seal was being filed in
the Kokayi case — and why it was filed in Assange’s case as well. The legal
requirement of justification, as well as the assignment of the authority to the
judge, not the prosecutor, both signal that sealed indictments aren’t desirable.
The US Constitution requires that criminal trials be open to the public. It’s a
basic principle of the rule of law in a democracy that there be no secret
criminal proceedings. Publicity enables scrutiny, oversight and protest if the
law isn’t being followed or if it isn’t being applied fairly.
Secret indictments come uncomfortably close to secret trials. In principle, the
public should be able to know whom the government seeks to punish. Assange is a
perfect example of why the public ought to know who is being charged. The case
most likely raises tricky questions about freedom of speech. If he was a pure
recipient and publisher of leaks, he deserves First Amendment protection. If he
went further than that, and solicited criminal disclosures or coordinated his
leaks as part of a conspiracy to distort electoral results, his conduct may have
been outside the reach of the Bill of Rights and plausibly criminal.
We don’t know what he did or is alleged to have done — and that’s just the
point. Sealed indictments don’t satisfy the public need to debate and consider
the rightness of the prosecution. Yet it must also be remembered that if Assange
is apprehended and stands trial, we would immediately know the nature of the
charges. And if he’s never caught, he’ll never be put on trial. The U.S. doesn’t
try people in absentia. It could be plausibly argued that the sealed charges
were needed in this case to help the US catch him. I’m not sure that argument
should have convinced a judge. Assange has certainly long known that the US was
interested in extraditing him. That’s one reason he has stayed so long in the
Ecuadorian Embassy in London. The sealing may therefore not have been warranted,
all things considered.
But that decision was properly for a judge to make. There are some situations
where sealing an indictment is clearly warranted. And we now know about this one
— courtesy of an epic fail of find-and-replace.
The Rain, the Decline and the Wasted Time of Our Lives
Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al Awsat/November 19/19
Everyone has a story he loves to tell, even to a passing stranger. I love
stories, I enjoy the role of the listener and hate that of the speaker. I always
considered the taxi driver as the open book of a city and the honest reflection
of its pulse and concerns.
I have recently experienced this in New York, on my way from the hotel to the
airport. The driver asked me if I was an Arab, so I confessed. He also inquired
about my country of origin. He said he had not visited Lebanon, but he heard
that it was a beautiful and pleasant country.
I cannot deny that Lebanon is a beautiful country or deserves to be described as
such. Whether it was pleasant, however, was a complex and controversial issue. I
did not want to go into commenting on it. The driver said he was happy to be in
New York. Life is not easy, and you have to struggle, but you feel like a human
being. You pay your taxes and the state defends your rights. If you have been
attacked or treated unfairly you resort to the court. The judge does not mind
your assets and your color. Those days have gone. You can file a lawsuit against
the President and collect your rights.
The tenure of Donald Trump does not worry him, he said. His policy seems to be
beneficial to the economy. Other things are not important. I can go and vote
against him if I like. The president here comes and goes.
He left some time for me to comment on the long stay of presidents in our
region. I did not. I prefer questions over answers.
He told me that he would never be a millionaire, but he had stability, comfort,
and health insurance. He said he threw himself in America to save the rest of
his life, considering that life in the country from which he came is definitely
wasted. He stressed that he did not want to return to his homeland, and that he
would never go back on his decision. He considered living in a country not
governed by the law a tragedy, and the absence of serious institutions a recipe
for destruction, albeit sometimes delayed.
He said that one time when he was young, he decided to get a driving license. A
date was set for his exam. On that day, his brother accompanied him to the
concerned officer’s bureau in the relevant department. He waited there to know,
a bit later, that his driving license was ready. Just being at the officer’s
bureau spared him the burden of the exam. Before leaving, his brother shook the
officer’s hand warmly, slipping in something in an expression of appreciation.
The driver said that the incident raised his fears, especially as his relatives
told him about the ability of university students to buy exam questions in
advance.
He said that wasting the time of our lives is no less dangerous than wasting
blood. Citizens spend their lives following up on transactions that cannot be
completed unless they slip in the hands of the concerned employees something to
get their work done. He said that a year ago, he decided to visit his relatives.
Unluckily, the rain fell heavily during his visit. He recounted how the capital
sank into the water, the vehicles were stranded, people were distressed and
garbage piles flooded everywhere. He talked about major losses and many wasted
hours. He concluded by saying: Our countries are not livable. The underdeveloped
schools are wasting our days, so does unemployment. Corruption is consuming the
time of our lives.
The idea of wasting life struck me. Poverty is a waste of life, so is ignorance,
corruption, lack of planning and absence of institutions. Another form of
wasting life is states’ adherence to "degenerative" education that is far from
the needs of the modern age and economy. Millions of students flock into
disciplines that are not needed by the labor market. The survival of the same
old work environment incites negativity, in parallel with the spread of
technological illiteracy in an age that is advancing at an amazing pace with
successive revolutions.
It is also possible to include sectarian and harmful speech in the context of
squandering lives and assassinating rescue chances. In the same framework, the
phenomenon of large migrations can be understood. People feel that staying in
their country is a punishment for them and their children. They are so desperate
to escape even in the “boats of death.” Experts in the future are talking about
waves of immigrants who will hit the European continent in the next two decades
because of the continuing failure of the countries, in which they were born.
Arabs used to eagerly wait for the rain to come. Rain means life in the soil. It
means awakening trees, flowers and seasons of wealth. Recently, many new nodes
have been added to the Arab people’s complexes, namely rain and torrents.
Whenever it rained abundantly, we found ourselves in a scandal here or there. It
rains and our faults are exposed. Water does not run in the sewers because of
corruption. Streets turn into lakes, and the citizens have to use boats to reach
their homes. The scandal also targets institutions such as the civil defense and
fire departments. Money is wasted in less important places, while the budget is
narrow in institutions that save people’s lives- if they had modern equipment.
God’s enemy is social networking. Every scandal or tragedy is received on the
phone, which has become a stark newspaper throughout the day and night. Beirut
witnessed a shameful chapter of this kind a few days ago. I do not want to give
the impression that rain is the only perpetrator. The reasons for wasting lives
in Lebanon are many. They involve the consecration of strange and horrific rules
that constitute a gross and flagrant violation of the dignity of citizens,
wasted months without the ability to form a government, keeping the presidential
palace vacant, waiting for the savior who fails to rescue, or disrupting
Parliament for very confusing reasons.We are tired of complaining. We are tired
of lamenting. The truth is painful. Those who don’t seek to grow regress. Some
cosmic villages head towards the future, while we continue the journey of
decline and waste of life.
Palestinians Arresting Women; Where are the Media?
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute/November 19, 2018
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13313/palestinians-arresting-women
Mahmoud Abbas does not want his people and the rest of the world to know that
his security forces are arresting women for criticizing a social security law or
providing financial aid to Palestinian families in the Gaza Strip.
Unlike Jbara and Marab'eh, Ahed Tamimi was lucky to be arrested by Israel. Had
she been arrested by the Palestinian Authority, no one would ever have known.
This attitude is another example of the anti-Israel bias of the international
media and community. It is yet another example of how the West gives the
Palestinians a pass to violate human rights and crack down on dissent.
Last August, the Palestinian Authority (PA) protested because Israel arrested a
Palestinian woman from Hebron on charges of incitement and affiliation with
Hamas. The 42-year-old woman, Lama Khater, is also known as a strong critic of
the President Mahmoud Abbas and his Palestinian Authority.
Khater's scathing attacks on Abbas and his government, however, did not stop the
Palestinian Authority from condemning Israel and demanding her immediate
release.
This was not the first time that the Palestinian Authority has condemned Israel
for arresting a Palestinian woman who voiced criticism of Abbas and his
policies. Last year, the Palestinian Authority condemned Israel for arresting
Khaleda Jarrar, a senior member of the Popular Front for the Liberation of
Palestine, one of several PLO terrorist groups. Jarrar was arrested by Israel
for membership in a terrorist group and incitement.
The incidents concerning Khater and Jarrar came to mind this week as Palestinian
sources revealed that Mahmoud Abbas's security forces in the West Bank arrested
two Palestinian women.
The first woman, Majdoleen Marab'eh, was arrested in the West Bank city of
Qalqilya after she criticized the Palestinian Authority's controversial social
security law.
The law, which has sparked a wave of protests among Palestinians, calls for
deducting 7% of private sector employees' monthly salaries for a social-security
fund and setting the retirement age for men and women at 60 years.
The second woman recently arrested by the Palestinian security forces is Suha
Jbara, a mother of three from a village near Ramallah, the de facto capital of
the Palestinians in the West Bank.
According to Palestinian sources, the 31-year-old Jbara was arrested on November
2, when more than 25 Palestinian security officers raided her home and arrested
her in front of her three children. The sources said she was suspected of
transferring donations collected from Palestinians in the West Bank to the
families of Palestinians killed and wounded by the Israeli army in the Gaza
Strip.
Her father, Badran, said she was first taken to a Palestinian Authority
detention center in Ramallah where, after a brief interrogation, she was
transferred to the PA's notorious Jericho Prison. He said that although his
daughter suffers from a heart disease, she has been denied medical treatment and
was being held in harsh conditions. A lawyer appointed by her family has since
been banned from seeing her.
Jbara's family has expressed deep concern about her health. "We're very
concerned about her condition because she's being held in harsh conditions," the
family complained. "Her three children, aged 12, 9 and 8, have since been
crying, and are refusing to eat and go to school."
"In the past few days, there is widespread outrage on social media over the
arrest of Suha Jbara," said Obada Subeih in a blog in the Qatari-owned
Al-Jazeera network. "Undoubtedly, the Palestinian Authority has become a heavy
burden on the Palestinian people. The charges attributed to her are a moral
scandal for the Palestinian security forces and the Palestinian political
leadership in Ramallah."
Several Palestinians took to social media to express extreme consternation over
the arrest of Jbara, and described her imprisonment as "disgraceful." They also
launched several hashtags demanding her release and calling on the International
community to exert pressure on the Palestinian Authority to stop targeting
women. These appeals, however, have thus far fallen on deaf ears. The
Palestinian media in the West Bank, which is directly and indirectly controlled
by Abbas's Palestinian Authority, has ignored the arrest of the two women. As
far as Abbas's media outlets are concerned, there is no need to report about the
plight of Palestinian women arrested by the PA. The only women whose stories are
published in the Palestinian Authority media are those who are arrested by
Israel for security-related offenses. Abbas does not want his people and the
rest of the world to know that his security forces are arresting women for
criticizing a social security law or providing financial aid to Palestinian
families in the Gaza Strip.
One can understand why the Palestinian media has deliberately chosen to ignore
the Palestinian Authority's crackdown on Palestinian women. But it is hard to
understand why the international media and human rights organizations continue
to turn a blind eye to such practices. The two women would have won the
attention of the Western media and human rights groups had they been arrested by
Israel. Then, Western journalists based in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv would have
visited the families of the two women a long time ago and published several
articles on their ordeal.
Take, for example, the case of Palestinian teenager Ahed Tamimi, who was
arrested and sentenced to prison for slapping an Israeli soldier last year. She
has since become the darling of the Western media, whose representatives have
turned her into an icon and "symbol of resistance to Israeli occupation."
Unlike Jbara and Marab'eh, Tamimi was lucky to be arrested by Israel. Had she
been arrested by the Palestinian Authority, no one would ever have known.
This attitude is another example of the anti-Israel bias of the international
media and community. It is yet another example of how the West gives the
Palestinians a pass to violate human rights and crack down on dissent, while
remaining obsessed with Israel. Moreover, it is another example of the hypocrisy
of Abbas, who condemns Israel for combating terrorism and incitement, while he
throws Palestinian women in jail.
*Bassam Tawil is a Muslim Arab based in the Middle East.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Who Gains from the US Withdrawal from the Nuclear Arms Treaty?
Stephen Blank and Peter Huessy/Gatestone Institute/November 19/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13296/nuclear-inf-treaty-withdrawal
Russia has violated not only the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF),
but, according to former senior White House nuclear arms official Frank Miller,
every major arms-control agreement it has signed with the United States.
The same kind of deception has been characteristic of China.
The truth is that there is no INF arms-control regime to be saved. It is
senseless to pine for a treaty that only one power -- the United States --
observes. Self-abnegation here only enables others to shoot first and make
threats that the US cannot answer.
Those who warn against US withdrawal from the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces
Treaty (INF) are forgetting the very important lesson that made it a viable tool
for ending the Cold War in the first place three decades ago: what President
Ronald Reagan at the time called "peace through strength." Pictured: President
Reagan and the Soviet Union's General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev sign the INF
in Washington, DC on December 8, 1987.
The US renunciation of the 1987 United States-Soviet Union Intermediate Range
Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) has generated much skepticism in the arms-control
community -- particularly in much of Europe, and from Japan.
These countries hoped not only to keep Russia and the United States in the 1987
treaty (despite Russia's major violations of the INF treaty), but persuade China
to become a party to the treaty and thus be forced to eliminate the hundreds of
INF-range missiles China has deployed in Asia and ranged against US and its
allied interests.
Critics have presented the following five main arguments against the US move:
It enables Russia to build as many INF missiles as it likes, while
simultaneously allowing Moscow to blame Washington for reneging on the treaty.
It imperils the entire structure of arms control, including the possible 2021
extension of the United States-Russia 2010 New START Treaty.
It would require extensive consultation with Europe or risk undermining allied
cohesion and offering Moscow new targets in its campaign of political warfare
against the NATO alliance.
It is unnecessary -- despite Russian violations -- because the US has adequate
conventional air-launched and sea-launched cruise missiles to keep Russia at
risk and defend Europe, and presumably America's Pacific allies, against China.
It concedes a strategic advantage to Russia, since no INF-equivalent missile is
in production by the United States to match Russian INF missile deployments.
These arguments, however, do not hold up to scrutiny.
Given the fact that the Russian and Chinese threats are present and growing, the
US decision to withdraw from the treaty and deploy weapons to counter these
threats actually strengthens -- not weakens -- both deterrence and the defense
of America's allies.
Unfortunately, however, most critics refuse to accept the implications of
Russia's acknowledged violations of the treaty, as well as both Russian and
Chinese continued rapid production of nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles (as
Beijing is not a party to the INF treaty).
Moreover, Russia has violated not only the INF treaty, but, according to former
senior White House nuclear arms official Frank Miller, every major arms-control
agreement it has signed with the United States. In addition, according to the US
nuclear specialist Mark Schneider, when Russia released its official
nuclear-weapon figures earlier this year -- as stipulated in the New START
treaty -- and announced a reduction in nuclear warheads, Moscow allegedly
deployed more than two dozen additional multiple warhead missiles.
The same kind of deception is characteristic of China. Although Beijing often
declares that it has a "no first use" nuclear doctrine, it is not a party to any
nuclear-arms-reduction treaty, and therefore does not disclose its true nuclear
capacities, doctrine and strategy.
US military commanders in Asia and US Pacific Command (PACOM) thus have voiced
growing anxiety about the military missile balance in the Asia-Pacific Theater.
The point is that Russia and China both habitually brandish nuclear weapons
against US allies, presumably to try to fragment America's European and Asian
alliances.
To counter such threats effectively and stand up to the intimidation culture and
tactics of Russia and China, the US would do well create a conventional and
nuclear capability that is at least on a par with those of Moscow and Beijing.
Rather than undermining arms control, this might induce Russia to negotiate in
better faith in any future negotiations with the US and could drive a wedge
between Russia and China.
The truth is that there is no INF arms-control regime to be saved. It is
senseless to pine for a treaty that only one power -- the United States --
observes. Self-abnegation here only enables others to shoot first and make
threats that the US cannot answer.
Those who warn against US withdrawal from the treaty are forgetting the very
important lesson that made it a viable tool for ending the Cold War in the first
place three decades ago: what President Ronald Reagan at the time called "peace
through strength."
In short, deploying military forces the US needs to deter its enemies really
needs to go forward in the absence of sound and verifiable treaties that would
otherwise end these threats.
*Stephen Blank is a senior fellow at the American Foreign Policy Council; Peter
Huessy is director of Strategic Deterrent Studies at the Mitchell Institute for
Aerospace Studies.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
Egypt’s Economy Rising, Rights Declining
براك برفي من موقع معهد واشنطن: الإتصاد المصري يتصاعد والحقوق تتدنى
Barak Barfi/The Washington Institute/November 19/ 2018
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/69061/barak-barfi-the-washington-institute-egypts-economy-rising-rights-declining-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%83-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D9%81%D9%8A-%D9%85%D9%86-%D9%85%D9%88%D9%82%D8%B9-%D9%85%D8%B9%D9%87/
Cairo has made progress on returning to its pre-revolution economic levels, but
censorship, surveillance, and other humanitarian abuses continue to accelerate.
On October 31, an IMF staff team reached an agreement with Egypt to release the
fifth of six $2 billion aid tranches agreed upon in November 2016. The
organization’s positive assessment of Cairo’s economic reforms reflects
President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi’s willingness to enact painful financial
restructuring that his predecessors either refused to countenance or abruptly
halted before completion. Now that the country is emerging from the economic
doldrums, Washington should urge it to enact political reforms that give
citizens more public space to engage their leaders and debate their future.
FINANCIAL UPTURN
The 2011 revolution led to political and security instability, triggering an
economic crisis after Egypt’s traditional revenue streams from foreign direct
investment and tourism fell dramatically. After Sisi overthrew a Muslim
Brotherhood-led government in 2013, he eventually accepted an IMF austerity
program to increase revenues through tax reform and slash expenses by cutting
energy subsidies. In return, the IMF pledged $12 billion in low-interest loans.
Since then, the country’s financial health has improved significantly, largely
returning to pre-revolution levels. The IMF projects growth to reach 5.3% this
year and 5.5% in 2019—far above the 4.3% average during Hosni Mubarak’s
presidency. Foreign currency reserves reached $44.5 billion last month, compared
to $36 billion in December 2010. In early November, Tourism Minister Rania al-Mashat
noted that the number of foreigners visiting Egypt had increased by 40% from
September 2017 to September 2018. Meanwhile, better-targeted subsidies have
decreased leakage (i.e., diverting resources to unintended targets such as the
wealthy), while more-focused social programs have provided cash transfers and
free school meals to the poor. Such improvements led the IMF to praise the
central bank’s “prudent monetary policy” and “commitment to a flexible exchange
rate policy,” while the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development lauded
Egypt’s “improved competitiveness.”
If approved, the staff team’s recommendation would leave only one more tranche
to be disbursed in March 2019 before Egypt completes the program—a feat the
country has never accomplished. Previous presidents opted out of IMF programs
once they were able to alleviate deficits in balance of payments or reduce
interest payments on foreign debt. President Sisi’s willingness to press on
reflects an ability to make politically risky decisions that his predecessors,
especially Mubarak, lacked.
MORE TO BE DONE
Not all is rosy, however. The most recent Finance Ministry Bulletin indicated
that the annual budget deficit fell by only 0.1% in July/August, equivalent to
an annual decline of 0.6% (though the government projects that the deficit will
shrink by 1.4% in fiscal year 2019, down to 8.4%). Elsewhere, food subsidies
increased from $2.6 billion in FY 2017 to around $4.8 billion in the FY 2019
budget, while foreign direct investment fell from $7.93 billion in FY 2017 to
$7.72 billion in FY 2018—far from the $10.9 billion peak reached in 2007, before
the financial crash. And though Egypt is once again accessing debt markets via
international bond offerings rather than relying on costly domestic private bank
loans, its credit is still deemed highly speculative by the three major ratings
agencies.
For these reasons, the country’s foreign debt ballooned from $35 billion in
December 2010 to $92.6 billion in June 2018. With foreign aid falling to around
$63.2 million in FY 2019, Cairo will have to service this debt on its own;
interest payments are currently slated to skyrocket 42%.
Egypt has also failed to meet IMF benchmarks on submitting an automatic
fuel-price-index mechanism and outlining plans to sell state-owned enterprises.
Moreover, it still suffers from microeconomic shortcomings in worker
productivity, industry competitiveness, mismatched worker skills, and economies
of scale (firms with five or fewer employees account for 60% of Egypt’s private
sector, according to the IMF). Indeed, Cairo has not made much progress in
achieving the IMF goal of “structural reforms to promote higher and inclusive
growth, increasing employment opportunities for youth and women.”
Historically, domestic consumption rather than exports fueled Egypt’s growth—a
trend that has failed to generate the hard currency necessary to service the
debt and subsidize foreign purchased commodities such as wheat. Until Egypt
tackles these challenges, it will continue to lag behind other countries.
POLITICAL RECIDIVISM
Although Egypt has made important strides in macroeconomic reform, political
liberalization has regressed since Sisi took power. In a letter to Congress this
August, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo noted that “the overall human rights
climate in Egypt continues to deteriorate,” with Cairo “enforcing legislation
that conflicts with its human rights obligations.” Amnesty International
concurred, characterizing the country as “an open-air prison for critics” in a
September campaign.
In July, parliament approved legislation that would subject anyone with more
than 5,000 followers on social media to surveillance. Egyptians have already
been detained for speaking out on topics as politically innocuous as sexual
harassment—criticisms that often went unpunished under Mubarak. In October, for
instance, economist Abdul Khaliq Faruq was arrested for publishing a book
blaming poverty on corruption, even though he had written several other similar
works in the past.
One bright spot was Sisi’s recent comment urging the revision of a controversial
2016 law whose restrictions have made it virtually impossible for NGOs to
function. Such limitations earned the ire of the Trump administration, which
responded by withholding $261 million in aid last year. Although the aid was
ultimately released this July, American and international pressure likely
contributed to Sisi’s willingness to countenance amending the law. Nevertheless,
it remains to be seen whether he actually follows through, since he may simply
be propitiating foreign benefactors with hollow promises.
POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
Washington still views Egypt as a valuable Arab ally despite Cairo’s loss of
regional influence in recent years. To promote stability, U.S. officials should
encourage Sisi’s government to lift some restrictions on civil and political
freedoms. In particular, the legislation criminalizing dissemination of “false
news” includes harmless critiques of society and lamentations about the
country’s lethargy, thereby catching far too many ordinary citizens in its net.
Another onerous law requires online news sites to pay $37,500 for media permits,
a decree that Reporters Without Borders labeled “extortion.”
Despite these issues, Sisi has shored up the economy and helped stabilize the
tumultuous post-Mubarak era. As such, his rule does not appear to be in
jeopardy, rendering austere measures to keep the public in check unnecessary.
The United States should encourage Egypt to repeal these measures, favoring
quiet entreaties over threats of additional aid cuts. Given Trump’s cordial
relationship with Sisi, such requests can be broached in one of their frequent
phone calls. The pressure that Washington applied on the NGO law indicates that
Egypt is still susceptible to U.S. influence. Such levers should be used to put
Cairo back on the path to political liberalization.
**Barak Barfi is a research fellow at New America, where he specializes in Arab
and Islamic affairs.
Analysis/Egypt Is Worried That Israel, Jews, and Gays Could
Do Harm to Its 'National Foundations'
تحليل لزفي برئيل من الهآررتس: مصر قلقة من أن إسرائيل واليهود والمثليين
يمكن أن يضروا بمؤسساتها الوطنية
Zvi Bar'el/Haaretz/November 19/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/69057/zvi-barel-haaretz-analysis-egypt-is-worried-that-israel-jews-and-gays-could-do-harm-to-its-national-foundations-%D8%AA%D8%AD%D9%84%D9%8A%D9%84-%D9%84%D8%B2%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A6/
The letter containing the warning was sent to a university president from the
office of Education Minister Mahmoud Abu al-Nasr, but there are more “others”
whose influence the Egyptian public needs to be protected from.
“Dear Dr. ____, esteemed university president, I am pleased to send my best
wishes to your excellency and to inform you that I have received a letter from
the deputy national defense chief regarding the desire of the European Union’s
Erasmus [student exchange] program to work with Egyptian universities on the
selection of student candidates. They are to travel to Europe in the context of
their course work outside of Egypt. We have come to know that several of the
courses [in Europe] have aimed at instilling values and concepts (homosexuality,
acceptance of the other, particularly Jews and Israelis, etc.) meant to break up
society and the family and do harm to national foundations. I hereby ask with
all due respect that you not cooperate with these courses without obtaining
security approval in this regard.”
The letter, which was labeled “confidential, important and highly urgent,” was
sent to the university president, whose name and whose university I was asked
not to disclose, from the office of Egyptian Education Minister Mahmoud Abu
al-Nasr.
Like Israel, in Egypt too, international institutions’ cultural and educational
programs have been met with suspicion and even hostility. The concern has been
over the programs’ interference in “the country’s internal affairs” not only
when it comes to foreign, economic and legal policies but also harm to “national
foundations” and the structure of society, as the education minister’s letter
would have it.
In Israel, the education and culture ministers as well as the strategic affairs
minister are responsible for the subject, whereas in Egypt, it’s the
intelligence service that sets the rules. Maybe in Israel, the subject will soon
be dealt with by the Shin Bet.
The interesting and outrageous aspect of the letter relates to the definition of
“the other” against which the Egyptian society has to defend itself. Protecting
against the influence of gays, Jews and Israelis on the fabric of Egyptian
society is essential to preserving the purity and unity of society. Any attempt
to teach that these “others” should be accepted harms the country’s security and
therefore any curriculum devoted to such a purpose undermines the nation’s
foundations.
It’s all right to cooperate with Israel on defense and economic issues and join
forces with Israel to fight terrorism and buy natural gas from the Israelis, but
Egypt needs to ensure that it is not polluted by the cultural influences that
Israel or the Jews in general might export to the country.
In Israel, one can actually understand the Egyptians’ fears. After all, Israel
has banned Palestinian poets from the school curriculum. A novel about a
romantic relationship between an Arab man and Jewish woman was struck from the
general high school reading list in Israeli schools. And films depicting the
cruelty of the occupation are perceived as a threat to national values in the
country. So it shouldn’t be surprising that a country like Egypt is adopting a
similar policy when it comes to Israelis and Jews.
But we can all relax. Israel, the Jews and gays are not the only “others” whose
influence the public needs to be protected from. Egypt is full of “others” who
exist in its midst and damage its purported unitary character. In addition to
these three, there are also Egyptian women who wear a niqab, the Muslim
head-covering that leaves only the woman’s eyes visible.
Last month, a female member of the Egyptian parliament, Ghada Ajami, sponsored a
bill that would bar women from wearing the niqab in public places, including
hospitals, schools, and government and non-government offices. In support of her
bill, Ajami said a society that is “living in difficult security conditions and
is fighting terrorism” has the right “to bar the wearing of the niqab in public
places because it conceals the identity of the person wearing it.” Ajami later
retracted the proposed legislation but the debate that it sparked on social
media didn’t abate. Security arguments are no longer accepted as self-evident,
particularly when the Egyptian regime is waging all-out war against religious
organizations whoever and wherever they may be.
But one person who has come to the defense of women, both religious and
non-religious, to wear what they wish is Nawara Negm, who in a lengthy,
well-honed and sharp article on the Mada Masr website actually took aim at the
country’s intellectual elites, “all of whom express themselves as if they were
citizens of the European Union and as if Egypt were completely subject to the
international treaty on human rights.” The intellectuals who have expressed
support for the ban on the niqab have argued that women could be carrying
explosives on their bodies en route to committing terrorist attacks, but Negm
says sarcastically that they forget that the major terrorist attacks in Egypt
have been committed by men “without any concern that they would have to wear a
niqab to hide under.”
Another elite, those who object to the bill on the grounds of women’s rights and
the right of the woman to wear what she wants, also came in for a rebuke from
Negm: “Since when was the Egyptian woman free to choose what she wears, her way
of life, how she expresses herself and her tone of speech? On a daily basis, the
Egyptian woman looks in the mirror when choosing clothing that will protect her
from harassment on the street, rather than clothes reflecting her taste and
personality. She chooses to speak in a particular tone so people don’t say that
she is insolent and crude. She walks on the street like a male soldier so as not
to attract attention and get looks. ... She has to choose between the holy task
of finding a husband and the need to deflect men’s glances. She chooses work
that won’t cause the public to talk about her. She has to come and go at times
when she won’t be harassed and she even sometimes chooses her life partner out
of a desire not to remain single.”
The female “other” is dangerous to society so “don’t speak about women’s freedom
and dignity in a country like Egypt,” writes Negm, whose father is one of
Egypt’s greatest popular poets, Ahmed Fouad Negm, who sat in jail for years for
his critical poetry and whose mother is the prominent author Safinaz Kazem. No
Egyptian intellectual, however, has agreed to speak on behalf of Jews and gays.
They are “others” who are too dangerous.
Analysis/Egypt Is Worried That Israel, Jews, and Gays Could
Do Harm to Its 'National Foundations'
تحليل لزفي برئيل من الهآررتس: مصر قلقة من أن إسرائيل واليهود والمثليين
يمكن أن يضروا بمؤسساتها الوطنية
Zvi Bar'el/Haaretz/November 19/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/69057/zvi-barel-haaretz-analysis-egypt-is-worried-that-israel-jews-and-gays-could-do-harm-to-its-national-foundations-%D8%AA%D8%AD%D9%84%D9%8A%D9%84-%D9%84%D8%B2%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A6/
Egypt’s Economy Rising, Rights Declining
براك برفي من موقع معهد واشنطن: الإتصاد المصري يتصاعد والحقوق تتدنى
Barak Barfi/The Washington Institute/November 19/ 2018
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/69061/barak-barfi-the-washington-institute-egypts-economy-rising-rights-declining-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%83-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D9%81%D9%8A-%D9%85%D9%86-%D9%85%D9%88%D9%82%D8%B9-%D9%85%D8%B9%D9%87/