LCCC
ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
March 31/2018
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias
Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/newselias18/english.march31.18.htm
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Bible
Quotations
Holy Saturday/Don’t be amazed. You seek Jesus, the Nazarene,
who has been crucified. He has risen. He is not here
Saint Mark
16/01-019/When the Sabbath was past, Mary Magdalene, and Mary the mother of
James, and Salome, bought spices, that they might come and anoint him. Very
early on the first day of the week, they came to the tomb when the sun had
risen. They were saying among themselves, “Who will roll away the stone from
the door of the tomb for us?” for it was very big. Looking up, they saw that
the stone was rolled back. Entering into the tomb,
they saw a young man sitting on the right side, dressed in a white robe, and
they were amazed. He said to them, “Don’t be amazed. You seek Jesus, the
Nazarene, who has been crucified. He has risen. He is not here. Behold, the
place where they laid him! But go, tell his disciples and Peter, ‘He goes
before you into Galilee. There you will see him, as he said to you.’ ” They
went out, and fled from the tomb, for trembling and astonishment had come on
them. They said nothing to anyone; for they were afraid.† ‡Now when he had
risen early on the first day of the week, he appeared first to Mary
Magdalene, from whom he had cast out seven demons. She went and told those
who had been with him, as they mourned and wept. When they heard that he was
alive, and had been seen by her, they disbelieved. After these things he was
revealed in another form to two of them, as they walked, on their way into
the country. They went away and told it to the rest. They didn’t believe
them, either. Afterward he was revealed to the
eleven themselves as they sat at the table, and he rebuked them for their
unbelief and hardness of heart, because they didn’t believe those who had
seen him after he had risen. He said to them, “Go into all the world, and
preach the Good News to the whole creation. He who believes and is baptized
will be saved; but he who disbelieves will be condemned. These signs will
accompany those who believe: in my name they will cast out demons; they will
speak with new languages; they will take up serpents; and if they drink any
deadly thing, it will in no way hurt them; they will lay hands on the sick,
and they will recover.” So then the Lord,§ after he had spoken to them, was
received up into heaven, and sat down at the right hand of God. They went
out, and preached everywhere, the Lord working with them, and confirming the
word by the signs that followed. Amen.
Titles
For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources
published on March 30-31/18
The act of forgiveness is the Core & essence of love, and love is God/Elias
Bejjani/31 March 18
Non Elections … Lebanese-Style/Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Al Awsat/March 30/18
Regulation Could Power a New Era of Silicon Valley Growth/Conor Sen/Bloomberg/March
30/18
Trump and the Fading Ghost of an Illusion/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/March
30/18
Why Christians Need Self Rule in Iraq/Uzay Bulut/Gatestone Institute/March
30/18
Tens of thousands of Palestinians swarm Gaza border, 15 killed by IDF fire/Ynet
reporters, AP, Reuters/March 30/18
Why Iran fears Trump’s new national security team/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab
News/March 30/18/
Turkey’s Russia, Iran links are far from an alliance/Sinem Cengiz/Arab
News/March 30/18/
An Iranian hand and Qatari scream behind the Houthi missile attack/Fahad
Suleiman Shoqiran/Arabiya/March 30/18
A return ticket to the past/Mamdouh AlMuhaini/Arabiya/March 30/18
The Shirazis and the media/Hassan Al Mustafa/Arabiya/March 30/18
Titles For Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News
published on March 30-31/18
The act of forgiveness is the Core & essence of love, and love is God
Jobless rate in Lebanon at 46%, president warns
Lebanon Reduces Deficit by $4.8 Billion ahead of Paris Meeting
Saudi and Emirati Envoys Pray in Baalbek Mosque
Rifi Says His Relation with Saudi Arabia is 'Frozen'
Jumblat Says Citizens 'Arrested' at Airport over Traffic Tickets
Around 1,000 Refugees to Return to Syria from Shebaa
France says not planning unilateral Syria operation
Jumblat Fears Mustaqbal-FPM Attempt to 'Besiege' Him
Berri congratulates Sisi on his reelection
Foucher lauds approval of State budget
Hariri meets with Tamer, Candidate Najm
Around 600 Syrian Refugees return home Saturday
Rahi officiates over Good Friday Mass in Bkirki
Harb: It is not important to give the expatriate the right to vote, but to
protect this right and prevent forging his will
Marouni: Challenge Lies in Safeguarding the Opposition Voice in Parliament
Non Elections … Lebanese-Style
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And
News published on March 30-31/18
Syrian
Rebels, Civilians Quit Ghouta as Talks for Last Pocket Stutter
U.S. Military Says 2 Coalition Personnel Killed in Syria
Turkey Snubs French Mediation Offer with Kurdish Militia
Erdogan 'Saddened' by France's Stance on Kurdish Militia
Kremlin Says Russia Did Not Initiate 'Any Diplomatic War'
France says not planning unilateral Syria operation
US military: Syria bomb kills 2 coalition troops, wounds 5
Russia Hits Back against EU Countries in Spy Row
Israel Tells U.N. It Will 'Defend' Itself from Gaza Protests
6 Dead, Dozens Hurt as Thousands of Gazans March near Israel Border
Trump Says U.S. Withdrawing from Syria 'Very Soon'
Pressure on Iran will help avoid war: Saudi Crown Prince tells the WSJ
France Says Not Planning Unilateral Syria Operation
Amnesty: 8 Iran Sufis on Hunger Strike, Claim Torture
Saudi Crown Prince Meets Representatives of Five Permanent Members of
Security Council
Saudi Crown Prince: Houthi Missiles Sign of Weakness, Muslim Brotherhood an
Incubator for Terrorists
Crown Prince Holds Talks with Chairmen of Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan
New Case Doubles Legal Troubles for Sarkozy
Russia Expels 60 US Diplomats, Closes US Consulate in St. Petersburg
Latest Lebanese Related News published
on March 30-31/18
The act of forgiveness
is the Core & essence of love, and love is God
Elias Bejjani/31 March 18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/63547
Today while solemnly we celebrate “The Holy Friday” that personify Our
Lord’s love, sacrifices, Sufferings, pain and tolerance, let us all pray
that Almighty God shall showers on us graces of love and forgiveness.
Jesus taught us in the “Our Father’s prayer” to forgive those who sin
against us, so that He forgives our sins.
Jesus told us that if while presenting our offerings before the altar and
remembered there that we have an unsolved conflict or a certain problem with
anyone, we are ought to immediately abstain from continuing this holy ritual
and go first to reconcile with the one who we have the conflict with, and
afterwards return to carry on presenting the offerings.
Meanwhile our “Holy Bible” emphasizes in dozens of verses that faith without
deeds, is a dead faith, exactly like a body without spirit.
Hence, a person who can not, and does not seek to forgive others, God shall
not forgive his sins.
At the same time all prayers remain futile and worthless in case they are
not genuinely combined at the same time with actual deeds.
Also, all sorts of faith, no matter how strong or solid they might be, shall
remain superficial and incomplete without turning them into righteous deeds.
He who holds grudges, falls a prey to temptations, lives with hatred, and
lets the devil control his life, is a person who does know how to love or
forgive, and does not know Almighty God, because God is love and
forgiveness.
In conclusion, any person no matter how righteous he might be, and does not
know and practice both love and forgiveness he does know Almighty God.
On this “Holy Friday” let us kneel with reverence and call on our loving
Father to grant us and every human being the gifts of forgiveness and love,
and to enlighten our thoughts to clearly realize that faith without deeds is
a dead faith and that God Himself is LOVE and forgiveness
Jobless rate in
Lebanon at 46%, president warns
Staff Writer, The Daily Star/March 30/18
BEIRUT - President Michel Aoun said Thursday that the grave economic
situation, presence of Syrian refugees and the reluctance of Lebanese to
take low-paid jobs has caused unemployment to soar to 46 percent. Aoun made
the remarks during a meeting with a delegation from the Lebanese Press
Syndicate at Baabda’s presidential palace. “Unemployment has increased to
reach an alarming 46 percent,” Aoun told The Daily Star during the meeting.
“The reason is because Lebanese are selective about choosing a desired job.
Because of this, they are replaced by Syrians working at a lower wage.”
Official figures estimate the number of unemployed at 25 percent among the
general population and 35 percent among youth aged 18-25. The government has
repeatedly said that many Syrian refugees are working on construction sites
and in factories and farms for below the official minimum wage, without
receiving any social or medical benefits. Aoun also claimed that the number
of Syrian refugees in the country had reached 1.86 million. The number of
those officially registered with the U.N. refugee agency in Lebanon is less
than 1 million. “Today, the United Nations thanks us for our humanity in
dealing with the Syrian refugees,” Aoun said. He added, however, that he had
told EU Commissioner for European Neighborhood Policy and Enlargement
Negotiations Johannes Hahn a few days before that thanks and compliments “do
not feed bread” to the refugees. “You have to resolve the refugee case
before we ourselves become refugees,” Aoun recounted telling the
commissioner, who was reportedly displeased. Aoun also spoke of protests
that have flared up across the country in the past months as workers demand
pension and salary increases. “We started talking about the salary scale in
the first two months of my term. ... I told them, ‘Before you talk about
increasing salaries, you have to tell citizens that Lebanon has gotten
poorer.’ But the opposite of that happened. They demanded a raise,” Aoun
said. “And now you see the deficit in the budget ... and the civil protests
that are happening. You can’t just give a [salary] raise to one sector and
leave out others.” He said these dynamics were behind his comment, made
Wednesday, that Lebanon would be heading toward bankruptcy if it continued
on its current trajectory. The statement, he said, was intended as a
warning, to push people to take responsibility. In a session of Parliament
held Thursday to discuss the budget, Finance Minister Ali Hasan Khalil said
that, despite growing debt, Lebanon was “not a bankrupt state” and “has
never suffered a setback in paying its obligations to lenders.”Despite the
current situation, Aoun urged optimism. “Our reality should not make us
frustrated. We know that the situation is difficult, but we can overcome
it,” he said.
Lebanon Reduces
Deficit by $4.8 Billion ahead of Paris Meeting
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/The parliament has adopted a 2018
government budget projecting a slightly reduced deficit of $4.8 billion. The
package, only Lebanon's second voted budget since 2005, was approved late
Thursday, days before a French-sponsored donor conference to support the
small Middle Eastern country. The $4.8 billion deficit is a notch lower than
the $5 billion that Lebanon, the world's third most-indebted country,
approved last year when it adopted its first budget in 12 years.The first
draft for this year's budget projected a $6.7 billion deficit, or three
times the amount in 2011, the year neighboring Syria broke out into
conflict, sending more than one million refugees into flight to Lebanon.
Parliament voted the budget early to set the conditions for the CEDRE (or
Cedar) Conference, also known as Paris IV, scheduled to take place in the
French capital on April 6. The donor meeting will be attended by senior
officials from several Arab and European countries as well as from key
global and regional financial institutions. Lebanon hopes to raise "between
6 and 7 billion dollars in the shape of credit facilities and funds," Nadim
Munla, an adviser to Prime Minister Saad Hariri, told AFP. Lebanon's growth
rate has plummeted from 9% in 2010 to an average of 1.1% over the past three
years, and similar donor conferences were held in 2001, 2002 and 2007. They
did not yield all the pledged assistance, however, as Lebanon failed to
comply with promised reforms.
Saudi and Emirati Envoys Pray in Baalbek Mosque
Naharnet/March 30/18/The Saudi and Emirati envoys to Lebanon on Friday paid
a rare visit to the eastern city of Baalbek. State-run National News Agency
said Saudi charge d'affaires in Lebanon Walid al-Bukhari and UAE Ambassador
to Lebanon Hamad al-Shamesi performed the Friday prayer at the Grand Ommayad
Mosque in Baalbek, at an invitation from Mufti of Baalbek and Hermel Sheikh
Khaled Solh. In his Friday sermon, Solh condemned “the missiles that are
targeting the land of the Two Holy Mosques,” Saudi Arabia. He also hailed
“the efforts of the kingdom of goodness and the state of the United Arab
Emirates.”After the prayer, Bukhari and Shamesi met with the head of
Baalbek's endowment department and a number of Baalbek clerics, in the
presence of al-Mustaqbal Movement's parliamentary candidate Hussein Solh,
Baalbek deputy municipal chief Mustafa Solh and a number of mayors. The two
guests later visited the King Faisal Al-Saud Mosque in Baalbek's Solh
neighborhood where they met its imam, Sheikh Qassem al-Qobrosli. The visit
by the two Gulf envoys comes amid a heated electoral battle in the Baalbek-Hermel
region where a list backed by Mustaqbal and the Lebanese Forces is seeking
to win some seats in Hizbullah's stronghold.
Rifi Says His Relation with Saudi Arabia is 'Frozen'
Naharnet/March 30/18/Ex-justice minister and Tripoli parliamentary candidate
Maj. Gen. Ashraf Rifi has announced that his relation with Saudi Arabia is “frozen.”Rifi,
however, stressed that there is “mutual respect” between him and the
kingdom, in an interview with al-Akhbar newspaper published Friday. Turning
to elections, the former minister added: “An electoral expert whom I trust
told me that my popularity has declined. I agreed with him but said that
there are two reasons: the lack of financial capabilities and the presence
of security pressures.” “State authorities are currently using all their
capabilities, using the carrot and stick approach and fabricating files for
people,” Rifi charged.He added: “We have asked our people not to confront
the security forces,” he added.
Jumblat Says Citizens 'Arrested' at Airport over
Traffic Tickets
Naharnet/March 30/18/Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat on
Friday warned that Lebanese travelers are being “arrested” at Beirut's Rafik
Hariri International Airport over outstanding traffic violation tickets. “Is
it true that citizens returning from abroad or traveling are being arrested
at Beirut's airport under the excuse of traffic tickets and accordingly are
being detained until the settlement of issues?” Jumblat asked in a Twitter
post. “By the way, the public prosecutor does not work on Saturdays and
Sundays, which would keep citizens detained,” the PSP leader lamented. He
added: “Wouldn't it be better to jail top officials and their bodyguards who
insult people in a provocative way during the passage of their convoys?”
Around 1,000 Refugees to Return to Syria from Shebaa
Naharnet/March 30/18/Lebanon's General Security agency is expected to
implement Saturday an agreement reached with Damascus on returning around
1,000 displaced Syrians from Lebanon's Shebaa region to their hometowns
inside Syria, a media report said. “Their hometowns which lie on Mount
Hermon's eastern foot have been liberated from the militants of al-Nusra
Front and the Free Syrian Army,” al-Akhbar newspaper reported Friday. It
said the Shebaa region had witnessed an influx of hundreds of displaced
Syrians during battles in the Syrian towns of Beit Jinn and Mazraat Beit
Jinn and areas surrounding them. “The return agreement had been raised when
some Nusra and Daesh groups were evacuated from Arsal's outskirts to Idlib,”
al-Akhbar said. “But the situations on the ground in the border town of
Shebaa prevented its implementation,” it added. The daily said that
Saturday's expected repatriation is supposed to take place through buses
that will cross a seven-kilometer distance between Shebaa and the Syrian
towns.The Lebanese General Security had in 2014 established a permanent
border post in the region to control illegal crossing.
France says not planning unilateral Syria operation
Fri 30 Mar 2018/NNA - France said on Friday it is not planning a unilateral
military operation in Syria outside the international coalition fighting the
Islamic State group after senior Kurdish officials claimed Paris intended to
send troops. "France is not planning any new military operation on the
ground in northern Syria outside the international coalition against Daesh,"
President Emmanuel Macron's office said in a statement, using another term
for IS. Macron met with a delegation from the Kurdish-dominated Syrian
Democratic Forces (SDF) on Thursday, and Kurdish official Asya Abdullah told
reporters afterwards that France was planning on sending "new French troops
to Manbij". "The cooperation will be reinforced," she said. Khaled Issa, the
official representative in France of Syria's Kurdistan, had added: "France
is going to reinforce its military presence." The comments added to
heightened international tensions as Turkey wages an offensive against
Kurdish fighters in Syria whom it views as an extension of the Kurdistan
Workers' Party (PKK) that has waged a three-decade insurgency inside Turkey.
Ankara launched an air and ground offensive in Afrin in January to oust the
People's Protection Units (YPG), Kurdish fighters who make up the bulk of
the SDF, viewed as terrorists by Turkey. Turkey has threatened to expand its
military operation against Kurdish fighters, who ousted IS from the town of
Manbij near the Turkish border, and repeated the threat on Wednesday. But
the US-led coalition fighting jihadists in Syria, of which France is a
member, sees the YPG as a key player in the fight against IS and has warned
that Turkey's operation risks distracting from that battle. Macron had on
Thursday offered to help establish a "dialogue" between the SDF and Turkey
"with help from France and the international community" -- an idea angrily
rejected by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday. "We are
extremely saddened by France's... wrong stance on this issue," Erdogan said
during a speech in Ankara. --- AFP
Jumblat Fears Mustaqbal-FPM Attempt to 'Besiege' Him
Naharnet/Fri 30 Mar 2018/Progressive Socialist Party leader MP Walid Jumblat
has criticized “the behavior of al-Mustaqbal Movement and the Free Patriotic
Movement on the eve of the elections.”“Their behavior suggests that there is
an attempt to besiege me, probably for calculations related to the
post-elections phase,” Jumblat told al-Joumhouria newspaper in remarks
published Friday. “Prime Minister Saad Hariri and Minister Jebran Bassil may
be involved in these calculations,” Jumblat added. He accused Hariri of
backing down from their electoral agreement in west Bekaa in response to his
“rejection of cooperating with the FPM.”Asked why he is dismayed by “FPM's
behavior in Chouf,” Jumblat slammed the movement's “rhetoric.”“Their
rhetoric has nothing to do with ethics,” he said. Asked whether he fears not
being able to “form a parliamentary bloc with a political weight,” Jumblat
smiled and noted: “When we toppled the May 17 Agreement, my friend Nabih
Berri and I were not MPs... Political weight does not only depend on the
number of MPs.”
Berri congratulates Sisi on his reelection
Fri 30 Mar 2018/NNA - House Speaker, Nabih Berri, congratulated on Friday
Egyptian President, Abdul Fattah Sisi, on his re-election. In his
congratulatory cable, Berri wished Sisi to achieve more development and
prosperity for Egypt and its people.
Foucher lauds approval of State budget
Fri 30 Mar 2018 /NNA - French Ambassador to Lebanon, Bruno Foucher, saluted
in a statement on Friday, the work of the Parliament Council and the
commitment of its Speaker in contributing to endorsing the State budget for
2018 in a short time. "Yesterday evening, the House of Representatives
endorsed several laws, including the 2018 State budget and the hydraulic
law. The Parliament Council also approved the International Financing
Agreements, including an agreement with the French Development Agency for
€30 million for small and medium-sized companies engaged in renewable
energies," the statement said. "The adoption of these texts represents a
positive step towards the convening of CEDRE on April 6. We applaud the work
of the Chamber of Deputies and the commitment of its Head, which allowed the
adoption of these texts within a limited period of time," the statement
added. Foucher also hoped that "the upcoming CEDRE Conference will bring
together as many parties as possible and allow Lebanon to implement the
ambitious investment plan, coupled with the reforms that are expected by
both the economic actors and the partners of Lebanon, in order to create the
necessary jobs to re-launch the economy in a sustainable manner."
Hariri meets with Tamer, Candidate Najm
Fri 30 Mar 2018/NNA - Prime Minister Saad Hariri met Friday at the "House of
Center" with the Lebanese Democratic Movement Head, Jacques Tamer, in
presence of the Future Movement's electoral candidate for the Orthodox Seat
in Beirut's second district, Nazih Najm. Following the meeting, Tamer said,
"Our visit today to Prime Minister Hariri is to confirm our support to his
efforts, being a man of moderation around whom all the Lebanese must rally."
"We, as a Movement, will support Mr. Nazih Najm, the candidate for the
Orthodox Seat in the elections, because he represents me personally, as well
as the Movement and all friends," Tamer added. In turn, candidate Najm said,
"I thank Mr. Tamer for his support, which he conveyed to Prime Minister
Hariri, and we consider ourselves to be as a one group in the country." Najm
added: "PM Hariri represents moderation and has the vision and program to
save the economy and bring the country to safety shore, in cooperation of
course with His Excellency, President Michel Aoun."
Around 600 Syrian Refugees return home Saturday
Fri 30 Mar 2018/NNA - Some 600 Syrian refugees are expected to return to
their homeland on Saturday morning, National News Agency Correspondent said
on Friday. The first phase of their departure begins at 9:00 a.m. from
Shebaa and Arqoub to the villages of Beit Jenn and Beit Jenn Farm, located
on the eastern side of Mount el-Sheikh. Moreover, Syrian vehicles have been
working to transport the refugees from the western entrance of the town of
Shebaa in South Lebanon to their villages on the eastern side of Jabal
al-Sheikh via the Hasbani-Masna'a road, NNA reporter added. The repatriation
is being followed-up in coordination between the Lebanese General Security
and concerned Syrian authorities.
Rahi officiates over Good Friday Mass in Bkirki
Fri 30 Mar 2018/NNA - Maronite Patriarch,
Cardinal Beshara Rahi, presided over Good Friday Mass service in Bkirki in
presence of Cardinal Nasrallah Boutros Sfeir. Rahi's sermon, dedicated to
the worship of Christ and his lifetime sacrifice on the Holy Cross to save
the world, reminded all true believers of the importance of compassion,
acceptance of the other and the promotion of forgiveness. The prelate hoped
that "the words of Jesus on the Cross will be our Constitution in life, a
fact that will make the resurrection a passage to a new life."
Harb: It is not important to give the expatriate the
right to vote, but to protect this right and prevent forging his will
Fri 30 Mar 2018/NNA - MP Boutros Harb considered in an issued statement
Friday that the important thing lies not in granting the Lebanese
expatriates the chance to partake in the parliamentary elections, but rather
to protect their votes and prevent the falsification of their will.
Commenting on the Interior Minister's decision to screen the votes of
employees and voters outside Lebanon, Harb said: "The problem is not how to
transfer the envelopes from the Central Bank to the registration committees,
but how to control the transfer of envelopes containing the ballot papers
from embassies and consulates to the Central Bank without any tampering or
forgery along the way." "This is a serious issue that remains unresolved.
The envelopes can be exchanged at embassies or consulates or as they are
being transferred," he added. Harb urged the government to protect the
electoral process from fraud, hoping to "put in place a mechanism that
ensures the safety of the elections and their outcome." On the other hand,
Harb criticized the Foreign Ministry's granting of passports to Lebanese
expatriates at the expense of one thousand Lebanese pounds contrary to the
passport law. "This denotes a violation that exposes the electoral process
to appeal and renders the expatriate's vote invalid," he underscored.
Marouni: Challenge Lies in Safeguarding the Opposition
Voice in Parliament
Kataeb.org Friday 30th March 2018/Kataeb MP Elie Marouni, who is running for
another term in the upcoming polls in the Zahle district, warned of attempts
to strip the city of its free decision, admitting that the race will be hard
amid the absurd electoral law being adopted."The challenge lies in the
importance of keeping the opposition voice in the Parliament," he told
Addiyar newspaper. Marouni said that electoral bribery is being used in
order to influence the voters, calling on them to realize that the money and
services are transient while the country's future is what really matters.
"Some candidates have money, while others have a history of national
struggle."Marouni stressed that, if re-elected, he will work on implementing
the Kataeb's 131-point platform which proposes solutions to almost all the
country's problems, adding that he will seek to boost development in Zahle.
Non Elections …
Lebanese-Style/إياد أبو شقرا: على الطريقة اللبنانية… انتخاب أي شيء ولا شيء
Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Al Awsat/March 30/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/63428
In one of Lebanon’s ex-Prime Minister Dr. Selim Al-Hoss most relevant
quotes, he said: “Lebanon enjoys a lot of freedom but very little
democracy!”; and in the current elections’ season, this quote is more
truthful than ever.
Yes, there is a lot of freedom; perhaps, even too much. However, as far as
democracy is concerned, and regardless of the electoral law adopted, it is
supposed to embody well-informed and responsible freedom.
Alas, this is not the case. In Lebanon, there are no more criteria to run
for elections, and no point in throwing promises at an electorate that does
not care, is not interested in details, does not deal with the concept of
elections in a mature and responsible way, and, ignore the fact that
accountability is a vital part in practicing politics in an environment that
claims to be free and sovereign.
Some may argue that there were several landmarks in the history of
‘Independent Lebanon’ (since 1943) that have proven the futility of attempts
to keep a self-perpetuating ‘clannish’ and sectarian traditional political
system. This is actually true; as on more than one occasion, this system
staggered after an almost total rift remerged between its intellectual
elites and its traditional base. However, regional factors and global
considerations converged to aid, and then, rescue this system.
It is surely right to say that many intellectuals have rejected, for some
time, the ills of ‘clientship’, nepotism, and taking refuge and strength in
religious sects and feudal politics. But, they, either continued to adhere
to the ‘idealism’ of their ‘ivory towers’ or fell at the first test with
reality; and thus, some chose to coexist and accept the ‘rules of the game’
so becoming part of the system, or got desperate and left, or even,
immigrated.
On the other hand, political parties, long hoped for as the intellectual and
organizational vehicles for change, also changed. From the very beginning,
there were openly ‘sectarian’ – Christian and Muslim – parties, as well as
parties that were sectarian by nature although raising liberal banners and
seeking an elitist target audience. Next to these two sets of parties were
secular or semi-secular ideologies that were able to attract members and
supporters from all sects.
However, as time passed by, and benefitting from experience, some of the
sectarian parties managed to readjust its rhetoric and approach in order to
adapt to the new post-1920 politics, which were by far more complex than the
simple ones of Mt Lebanon of 1860-1865. On the other side of the arena, the
ideological cross-sectarian alternatives collapsed as a result of the
retreat of ‘Syrian Social Nationalism’ following the failed coup attempt of
1960-1961, Arab Nationalism after the Six Days war of 1967 and later the
Camp David Accords (1978), and International Left as a result of the demise
of the USSR in 1991.
Furthermore, the experience with the Palestinian Resistance Movement, which
was penetrated by several Arab regimes that established loyal organizations
within it, became a living proof that even the noblest of aims could not
withstand regional pressures, whether through threats or financial
‘support’. This is exactly what happened in Lebanon, where many parties
regarded as potential alternatives to the traditional ‘clannish’ system,
became ‘mercenaries’ to neighboring countries, following their dictates and
even joining their wars. Among the best examples, here, was the
confrontation between the “two Baaths” of Syria and Iraq. The conflict began
as an organizational difference between the ‘National Command’ hosted in
Iraq and Syria’s ‘Regional Command’, but it soon developed into
contradictory subservient loyalties to two clan-based regimes, one ‘Takriti’
in Baghdad, the other ‘Assadi’ in Damascus.
Later on, with the escalation of the Lebanese War, which almost brought down
the fragile system, an international decision was taken to ask a local
regional ‘policeman’ not only to save that system, but also destroy the then
catalyst to its imminent downfall, i.e., the Palestinian Resistance
Movement. This is exactly what happened, after giving the Syrian army the
‘green light’ to enter and occupy Lebanon, with international and Israeli
blessings.
The beginning of this episode was camouflaged by a flimsy Arab cover called
the ‘Arab Deterrent Force’, but soon afterwards, the Syrian regime
metamorphosed into a ‘mandatory force’ that began rebuilding Lebanon as it
wished. Thus, when wider interests, such as the adoption of the
constitutional ‘Taif Accords’ of 1989, were not to Damascus’ liking, the
latter worked to undo it, going as far as murdering the first post-Taif
Lebanese President, and suspending every item Damascus felt would jeopardize
its interests.
The ‘Taif Accords’ which were signed ten years after the Khomeini Revolution
in Iran, were a serious internal – regional attempt to repair the Lebanese
system and help it withstand ongoing demographic changes since Independence.
But, unseen in the background, were the developing conspiracies against the
‘Accords’ between Damascus and Tehran.
For a long time, many thought that Damascus was the power in charge of the
‘Lebanese file’, more so after it was given a free hand in Lebanon as a
reward for Hafez Al-Assad taking part in the ‘Liberation of Kuwait Campaign’
(1990-1991). However, the passing of Hafez Al-Assad and the takeover by his
son Bashar, provided an early sign that Tehran was becoming the principal
player, leaving Damascus the roles of Iran’s ‘bridge’ to Lebanon, and the
‘nanny’ of its regional project in the Arab Middle East. This fact did not
take long to emerge in the aftermath of the withdrawal of Syrian troops from
Lebanon, after the assassination of Rafic Hariri (Lebanon’s former Prime
Minister) and his colleagues in early 2005. The assassination, in
retrospect, was a necessary step in the advancement of Iran’s crawling
expansion in Iraq and Yemen, including Iran’s political and strategic ‘war
against political Sunni Islam’.
Today the role accorded to Hezbollah of Lebanon and the Popular Mobilization
Forces in Iraq become unquestionably clear, as the map of the ‘new Syria’
unfolds under Russo-Iranian sponsorship and tacit Israeli and Western
approval; including the uprooting and displacement of more than 20 million
Arab Sunni Muslims from the desert arc extending from Fallujah in the east
to Daraa in the southwest.
This is a fact, I claim, most Lebanese are aware of. Still, as the Lebanese
approach the ‘elections’ scheduled for May 6th, they behave as if this was
an opportunity to ‘protest’. Just a demonstration they would join, and then
return home.
No one really wants to think how absurd it is to have elections in the
shadow of non-governmental weapons, and based on a sinister, distorted and
ill-intentioned electoral law.
These elections are, actually, intended to legitimize the ‘status quo’ and
make it ‘constitutional’, citing what is, in reality, an artificial
stability and a fake moderation.
Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on March 30-31/18
Syrian Rebels,
Civilians Quit Ghouta as Talks for Last Pocket Stutter
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/Hundreds more
Syrian rebels and civilians prepared Friday to leave Eastern Ghouta under a
negotiated withdrawal, as Russia unilaterally announced a similar deal to
empty the final pocket of the battered enclave. The former rebel bastion on
the outskirts of Damascus has been drained by a nearly six-week Syrian
government assault and a pair of evacuation deals brokered by regime ally
Moscow. Under such agreements, rebels agree to hand over territory in
exchange for safe passage for them and civilians to opposition zones in
northwest Syria. More than 36,000 people have already been bused out of the
enclave, and fresh evacuations were under way on Friday. Around 1,000
people, a quarter of them fighters, were boarding buses in a pocket of
Ghouta held by the Faylaq al-Rahman rebel faction, according to Syrian state
media. That agreement, reached last week, left the overpopulated, devastated
town of Douma as the final rebel holdout in the region. Russia's defense
ministry on Friday said it had brokered a deal that would see rebels abandon
Douma "shortly", but the fighters there quickly denied it. "We categorically
refuse leaving or being displaced," said Jaish al-Islam's spokesman Hamza
Bayraqdar. "That's an essential demand of the negotiations. We have not
reached an agreement yet," he told AFP, adding that talks were ongoing.
Eastern Ghouta was the armed opposition's last stronghold around Damascus,
which groups regularly targeted with rockets and mortar rounds.
Stalling talks
To secure Damascus, President Bashar al-Assad launched a ferocious air and
ground assault on February 18 to oust rebels from their perch in Ghouta.
More than 1,600 civilians have been killed in the onslaught, according to
the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitoring group. Troops pursued a
divide-and-conquer strategy, seizing most of the enclave then breaking up
what was left of it into three isolated pockets. Moscow stepped in and
swiftly announced two withdrawal agreements with rebels, the first of which
saw more than 4,500 fighters and civilians bussed out of the town of Harasta.
The second deal, reached with Faylaq al-Rahman one week ago, has seen more
than 31,000 people quit the towns of Arbin and Zamalka and the Jobar
district. In the first two deals, rebels caved in to Russia's "leave or die"
approach but negotiations for the Douma pocket, held by Jaish al-Islam, has
looked more arduous.
Douma's population has swelled to an estimated 200,000 with people displaced
from other bombed-out districts. Jaish al-Islam had been in talks with
Russia to reach a settlement whereby they could stay, instead of being bused
out like other rebels. But negotiations faltered over the group's demands of
a general amnesty and safe passage for Douma residents to move freely across
the country, a source with knowledge of the talks told AFP. Moscow
threatened Jaish al-Islam with a renewed blitz on the town if they did not
agree to withdraw, and Syrian troops have amassed around the holdout.
'Nearly wiped out'
The rebel movement have also come under growing pressure from Douma's
residents, hundreds of whom have organized demonstrations demanding a status
update on the talks. On Thursday, Russia's foreign minister said Syrian
forces had ousted nearly all rebels from Ghouta. "As a result of this
anti-terrorism operation in Eastern Ghouta, terrorist elements have nearly
been wiped out of this suburb of the Syrian capital," Sergei Lavrov said.
Syria's state news agency SANA said around 29,000 civilians had fled Douma
in recent days, using a "corridor" opened up by advancing Syrian troops.
SANA said a total of 143,000 people in total had streamed out of Ghouta
along such corridors and as part of the evacuation deals. It did not confirm
the agreement with Jaish al-Islam, but its correspondent said "preliminary
information" indicated a deal was close to being reached.
The rebels evacuated so far were bused to the northwestern province of Idlib
and one of the sticking points in the Douma talks appears to be the
destination. "The problem with Jaish al-Islam is that it's quite big, very
cohesive, very organized, but it doesn't go well with anyone else," said
Thomas Pierret, an analyst at the National Center for Scientific Research in
Paris.
U.S. Military Says 2 Coalition Personnel Killed in
Syria
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/Two coalition personnel have been
killed and five others wounded in an attack with an improvised explosive
device in Syria, the U.S. military said on Friday. The U.S. Central Command
did not give the nationalities of the victims of the attack, which happened
on Thursday, with wounded evacuated for further medical treatment. The
attack targeted personnel taking part in Operation Inherent Resolve, the
U.S.-led drive to fight the Islamic State group in Syria and Iraq.
Turkey Snubs French Mediation Offer with Kurdish
Militia
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/Turkey on Friday rejected a French
offer to mediate with the Syrian Democratic Forces which is dominated by a
Kurdish militia blacklisted by Ankara, a presidential spokesman said. An
offer to facilitate dialogue between the two sides was extended by French
President Emmanuel Macron late on Thursday after he met a delegation of
Kurdish and Arab fighters. But Turkey dismissed it out of hand in a move
likely to further fuel tension with Paris, which has expressed clear
concerns over an ongoing Turkish military operation in northern Syria. "We
reject any efforts to promote 'dialogue', 'contact' or 'mediation' between
Turkey and those terrorist organizations," presidential spokesman Ibrahim
Kalin wrote on Twitter. Macron said he hoped "a dialogue" could be
established between the two sides with help from Paris and the international
community.
The backbone of the SDF is the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG), a
militia group which has been driven out of its Afrin stronghold by the
Turkish offensive. The YPG is the military wing of the main Syrian Kurdish
political movement, the Democratic Union Party (PYD). The Turkish military
began its offensive against the YPG in January, targeting the group over its
ties with the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) which has waged an
insurgency inside Turkey since 1984 and which Ankara blacklists as a terror
group.
France 'cooperating with terror'
"Turkey's position on PKK/PYD/YPG, which seeks to legitimize itself as SDF,
is perfectly clear," Kalin said, warning Paris against taking any steps
which could be construed as legitimizing terror groups. "The countries we
consider friends and allies must take a clear stand against all forms of
terrorism," he said. "The various names and disguises cannot hide the true
identity of the terrorist organization."Both France and the United States
have worked closely with YPG fighters in the battle against Islamic State
jihadists in Syria and During Thursday's talks, Macron acknowledged the
"role of the SDF in the fight against Daesh", the Elysee said using an
Arabic acronym for IS. But his remarks were not well received by Turkish
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who said he was "extremely saddened by
France's... wrong stance on this issue."Macron and Erdogan have spoken
several times on the phone since Turkey's operation began on January 20.
Deputy Prime Minister Bekir Bozdag took a much tougher line, lashing out at
France and warning that any country cooperating with "terrorists" would be
on Turkey's radar. "France's assurance of support for PYD/YPG/YPJ terror
organizations is clear cooperation and solidarity with terror groups
attacking Turkey," wrote Bozdag on Twitter.YPJ is the women's force within
the YPG.
A sharp warning
"Those who cooperate with terror groups against Turkey ... and attack Turkey
alongside terrorists will get the same treatment that we inflict upon those
terrorists," said Bozdag, who is also the government spokesman."They will
become Turkey's target."Bozdag said he hoped France would not take such an
"irrational step."About 10 days into the Turkish operation in Syria, Macron
had incensed Turkish officials by saying France would have a "real problem"
if the campaign turned out to be an "invasion operation."The comments drew a
sharp response from Turkish authorities, saying that Turkey has never been
"colonialist" in its history, urging Paris to look at its own past. On March
18, Turkish forces and their rebel allies took full control of Afrin, with
the YPG largely withdrawing without a fight.
Erdogan 'Saddened' by France's Stance on Kurdish
Militia
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/Turkish President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday said he was "extremely saddened" by France's
position after Paris offered to mediate with the Syrian Democratic Forces
dominated by a Kurdish militia deemed a terrorist group by Ankara. "We are
extremely saddened by France's... wrong stance on this issue," Erdogan said
during a speech in Ankara after French President Emmanuel Macron said on
Thursday that he hoped "a dialogue" could be established between Ankara and
the SDF. "We have no need for mediation... Since when has Turkey had an
issue of sitting down at the table with terror organization?"The majority of
the SDF is made up of the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) militia
which Ankara says is a "terrorist" offshoot of the outlawed Kurdistan
Workers' Party (PKK) waging an insurgency inside Turkey since 1984. The PKK
is blacklisted as a terror group by Ankara and its Western allies. But the
YPG inside the SDF has been working closely with the United States to fight
the Islamic State (IS) group in Syria, much to Ankara's anger. "Those who
say 'we guaranteed support to YPG', 'we can mediate between Turkey and SDF'...
are out of their depth and are surpassing their limit," Erdogan thundered.
"You can sit down at the table with terror organizations but Turkey will
continue its fight against terror."During the meeting with a delegation of
Syrian and Arab fighters on Thursday, Macron acknowledged the "role of the
SDF in the fight against Daesh," using another term for IS. Turkey on
January 20 launched an operation against the YPG in its western enclave of
Afrin in Syria and on March 18, Turkish troops supporting Syrian rebels
drove the YPG out of Afrin city. Erdogan hit out at France, saying it "still
had yet to give an account for its dirty and bloody past" and that "after
this stance, it no longer had the right to complain about terror
organizations, terrorists and terror attacks." The Turkish president added
that Macron had made "strange remarks" in a call about Syria last week. "I
was forced to point it out to him, even if the tone was a bit raised," he
said, without giving details.
Kremlin Says Russia
Did Not Initiate 'Any Diplomatic War'
Fri 30 Mar 2018/The Kremlin said Friday it was not Russia that had unleashed
a diplomatic war with the West following the mass expulsion of U.S. envoys
in retaliation against coordinated moves by Britain and its allies over a
spy poisoning. "Russia did not unleash any diplomatic war," President
Vladimir Putin's spokesman Dmitry Peskov told journalists. "Russia never
initiated any exchange of sanctions." "Russia has been forced to take
retaliatory steps in response to hostile, illegal actions" by Washington, he
said, adding that Moscow wanted "good relations" and remained open for
dialogue. On Thursday, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Moscow would
expel 60 U.S. diplomats and close Washington's consulate in Saint Petersburg
in a tit-for-tat response to the expulsion of its envoys in the wake of the
poisoning of a former double agent in Britain. White House press secretary
Sarah Sanders said Russia's expulsion of U.S. diplomats marked a "further
deterioration" in relations between the two countries. In all, more than 150
Russian diplomats have been ordered out of EU and NATO member countries and
other nations in coordinated action against Moscow over its alleged
involvement in the poisoning of Sergei Skripal and his daughter with a nerve
agent in southwestern England on March 4. ---AFP
France says not planning unilateral Syria operation
Fri 30 Mar 2018/NNA - France said on Friday it is not planning a unilateral
military operation in Syria outside the international coalition fighting the
Islamic State group after senior Kurdish officials claimed Paris intended to
send troops. "France is not planning any new military operation on the
ground in northern Syria outside the international coalition against Daesh,"
President Emmanuel Macron's office said in a statement, using another term
for IS. Macron met with a delegation from the Kurdish-dominated Syrian
Democratic Forces (SDF) on Thursday, and Kurdish official Asya Abdullah told
reporters afterwards that France was planning on sending "new French troops
to Manbij". "The cooperation will be reinforced," she said. Khaled Issa, the
official representative in France of Syria's Kurdistan, had added: "France
is going to reinforce its military presence." The comments added to
heightened international tensions as Turkey wages an offensive against
Kurdish fighters in Syria whom it views as an extension of the Kurdistan
Workers' Party (PKK) that has waged a three-decade insurgency inside Turkey.
Ankara launched an air and ground offensive in Afrin in January to oust the
People's Protection Units (YPG), Kurdish fighters who make up the bulk of
the SDF, viewed as terrorists by Turkey. Turkey has threatened to expand its
military operation against Kurdish fighters, who ousted IS from the town of
Manbij near the Turkish border, and repeated the threat on Wednesday. But
the US-led coalition fighting jihadists in Syria, of which France is a
member, sees the YPG as a key player in the fight against IS and has warned
that Turkey's operation risks distracting from that battle. Macron had on
Thursday offered to help establish a "dialogue" between the SDF and Turkey
"with help from France and the international community" -- an idea angrily
rejected by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday. "We are
extremely saddened by France's... wrong stance on this issue," Erdogan said
during a speech in Ankara. --- AFP
US military: Syria bomb kills 2 coalition troops,
wounds 5
Fri 30 Mar 2018/NNA - The U.S. military said Friday that two coalition
personnel have been killed and five were wounded by a roadside bombing in
Syria in a rare such attack since the U.S-led coalition sent troops into the
war-torn country. The military did not say where the incident occurred but
it came hours after a local Syrian official said that a roadside bomb has
exploded in the tense, mixed Arab-Kurdish town of Manbij that is not far
from the border with Turkey. The U.S. military statement said the incident
occurred on Thursday night and that the wounded personnel were being
evacuated for further medical treatment. The coalition statement said
details pertaining to the incident were being withheld pending further
investigation. It did not identify the casualties as American soldiers, only
coalition personnel members. The local Syrian official, Mohammed Abu Adel,
the head of the Manbij Military Council, an Arab-Kurdish US.-backed group in
the town, said the bomb went off hundreds of meters away from a security
headquarters that houses the council just before midnight on Thursday.
Earlier Friday, a U.S. military official, Col. Ryan Dillon, said an incident
involving coalition forces was reported in Manbij but said no more
information was available. He said the coalition was still gathering
information about the incident. Manbij is under threat of a Turkish military
operation. Ankara says Syrian Kurdish militiamen it views as "terrorists"
and an extension of Kurdish insurgents inside Turkey is in control of the
town. The town has also seen a number of small explosions, protests and an
assassination attempt on a member of the Manbij military council in recent
weeks. Local officials blame Turkey and other adversaries for seeking to sow
chaos in the town that was controlled by Islamic state militants until the
summer of 2016. The U.S.-backed backed Kurdish-Arab Manbij military council
has been in control since and U.S. troops patrol the town and area with
troops based nearby. --- AP
Russia Hits Back against EU Countries in Spy Row
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/Russia on Friday expelled Dutch
diplomats and told Britain it had one month to reduce its diplomatic
presence in the country, hitting back at EU countries after a coordinated
campaign by the UK and its allies over a nerve agent attack on a former spy.
Earlier in the day Russia had summoned the ambassadors of a number of
nations including Britain, France, Germany and Canada to inform them of
retaliatory measures. Dutch ambassador Renee Jones-Bos said she had been
told two diplomats would be expelled. "Two of my colleagues are
leaving Moscow. But we (the embassy) are staying here," state news agency
TASS quoted her as saying. The Russian foreign ministry also gave Britain a
month to cut its number of diplomatic staff in Russia to the same as Russia
has in Britain. Moscow has already announced that it would expel 60 U.S.
diplomats and close Washington's consulate in Saint Petersburg after the
expulsion of its own diplomats and the closure of one of its U.S.
consulates. In all, more than 150 Russian diplomats have been ordered out of
the U.S., EU members, NATO countries and other nations in a coordinated
action against Moscow, which they accuse of being involved in the poisoning
of ex-spy Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia in a nerve agent attack in
the English city of Salisbury on March 4. The ambassadors had earlier been
seen arriving at the Russian foreign ministry, an AFP journalist reported.
"The ambassadors will be handed protest notes and told about the Russian
side's retaliatory measures," the foreign ministry said in a terse
statement. The ministry did not say what those steps would be, but
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Thursday that Moscow would
respond with "tit-for-tat" measures, but they might "not only" be
symmetrical. The Kremlin said Friday it was not Russia that had unleashed a
diplomatic war with the West. "Russia did not unleash any diplomatic war,"
President Vladimir Putin's spokesman Dmitry Peskov said. "Russia never
initiated any exchange of sanctions.""Russia has been forced to take
retaliatory steps in response to hostile, illegal actions" by Washington, he
said, adding that Moscow wanted "good relations" and remained open for
dialogue.
'Great news'
Some people in Saint Petersburg said they welcomed the move. "This is great
news," said Viktor Glushko, 60. "It is about time. Relations will not get
worse because they were never good and we will get by without them." In
Washington, the State Department said Thursday there was no justification
for the Russian move and that the United States "reserves the right to
respond.""It's clear from the list provided to us that the Russian
Federation is not interested in a dialogue on issues that matter to our two
countries," spokeswoman Heather Nauert said of the expelled diplomats. White
House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders said Russia's expulsion of U.S.
diplomats marks a "further deterioration" in relations between the two
countries. Lavrov said the U.S. Ambassador to Russia Jon Huntsman had been
informed of "retaliatory measures."
Yulia 'improving rapidly'
The hospital where Skripal and his daughter are being treated said Thursday
that Yulia, 33, was "improving rapidly and is no longer in a critical
condition", while 66-year-old Sergei remained in a critical but stable
condition. Britain has said it is "highly likely" that Russia was
responsible for the attack using the Novichok nerve agent developed in the
Soviet Union, but Russia has angrily denied any involvement. Russia said 58
diplomats from the U.S. embassy in Moscow and two from the consulate in the
city of Yekaterinburg have to leave Russia by next Thursday. The U.S.
consulate general in Saint Petersburg will have to be vacated by Saturday.
Moscow warned that Huntsman's suggestion that the U.S. could also freeze
Russian state assets would lead to "further serious deterioration in our
relations."It also warned that it could take further measures in response if
Washington "continued hostile actions" against the Russian embassy and
consulates. Lavrov said Russia was also mulling tit-for-tat responses to the
other countries that have expelled its diplomats. "As for the other
countries, it's also all symmetrical measures as to the number of people who
will be leaving Russia from diplomatic missions, and that's all so far,"
Lavrov said. The measures might "not only" be symmetrical, he added. Lavrov
said Britain had informed Moscow of the state of health of Yulia Skripal on
Thursday and that Russia had asked again for access to her as a citizen.
After the poisoning, Britain reacted by announcing it would expel 23 Russian
diplomats, suspend high-level diplomatic contact with Moscow and not send
royals to the 2018 football World Cup hosted by Russia. Russia then
responded by closing a British consulate in Saint Petersburg and closing the
British Council educational and cultural organization.
Israel Tells U.N. It Will 'Defend' Itself from Gaza
Protests
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/Israel on Thursday warned the
United Nations that it has the right to "defend" itself on the eve of a mass
protest planned by Palestinians in Gaza. Israeli Ambassador Danny Danon
wrote to Secretary-General Antonio Guterres and the Security Council to warn
of a "dangerous effort by Palestinian leaders to create conflict by
orchestrating a series of mass confrontations." Palestinians in Gaza on
Friday will kick off six weeks of protests leading up to the inauguration of
the new U.S. embassy in Jerusalem around May 14. The Israeli armed forces
chief has warned that forces at the Gaza border with Israel were ready to
respond if the border fence is breached. "In light of the Palestinians’
organized planned provocation for the coming weeks, I reiterate Israel's
right to defend its sovereignty and protect its citizens," Danon wrote. The
ambassador condemned the planned protest and said U.N. personnel in Gaza
should refrain from taking part in the demonstrations.
6 Dead, Dozens Hurt as Thousands of Gazans March near
Israel Border
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/Clashes erupted as thousands of
Gazans marched near the Israeli border in a major protest on Friday, with
five Palestinians killed and more than 50 wounded. Some Gazans estimated the
total number of protesters in the tens of thousands, including women and
children. They gathered at multiple sites throughout the blockaded
territory, which is flanked by Israel along its eastern and northern
borders, AFP correspondents said. Smaller numbers approached within a few
hundreds meters (yards) of the heavily fortified border fence, with Israeli
troops using tear gas and live fire to force them back. The Palestinian Red
Crescent reported 201 people wounded from live fire, while the health
ministry in the Gaza Strip said four people were killed during the clashes.
Israel's military said: "17,000 Palestinians are rioting in five locations
along the Gaza Strip security fence. "The rioters are rolling burning tires
and hurling firebombs and rocks at the security fence and at (Israeli)
troops, who are responding with riot dispersal means and firing towards main
instigators."Earlier in the day, before the main protests began, a
Palestinian farmer was killed by Israeli tank fire near the border, the
health ministry said. The Israeli military said the tank fire came after
"two suspects approached the security fence ... and began operating
suspiciously." Protesters were demanding hundreds of thousands of
Palestinian refugees who fled or were expelled during the war surrounding
Israel's creation in 1948 be allowed to return. Hamas leader Ismail Haniya
attended the protest, believed to be the first time he had gone so close to
the border in years. Organizers said the six-week protest would run until
the inauguration of the new U.S. embassy in Jerusalem around May 14. The
upcoming embassy move has added to tensions surrounding the march. Israel
announced a "closed military zone in the area surrounding the Gaza Strip,"
accusing its Islamist rulers Hamas of using the lives of civilians "for the
purpose of terror."It has deployed reinforcements, including more than 100
special forces snipers, for fear of mass attempts to break through the
security fence. Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman said in a Twitter
post directed to Gazans in both Hebrew and Arabic that "Hamas's leadership
is playing with your life.""Anyone who approaches the fence today will be
putting themselves in danger."U.S. President Donald Trump's recognition of
Jerusalem as Israel's capital in December has infuriated Palestinians, who
claim its annexed eastern sector as the capital of their future state. Hamas
has fought three wars with Israel since 2008.
Rare family protest
Protests along the border are common, often culminating in young Palestinian
men throwing stones at Israeli soldiers who respond with tear gas, and
rubber and live bullets. The March of Return protest is different because it
is intended to include families with women and children camping near the
border for weeks. Five main camp sites have been set up spanning the length
of the frontier, from near the Erez border crossing in the north to Rafah
where it meets the Egyptian border in the south. Cultural events are planned
in the larger communal tents, including traditional Palestinian dabke
dancing, while tens of thousands of meals will be handed out on Friday,
organizers said. A young couple were married near one of the camps on
Thursday evening. Saeed Juniya had erected a small tent a few hundred meters
(yards) from the border fence east of Gaza City, where he was accompanied by
his wife and children. "We are determined and not scared as we are not doing
something wrong. The people are demanding their land and to return to their
country," he said. Organizers say the camps will remain in place until May
15 when Palestinians commemorate the Nakba, or "catastrophe", of the 1948
creation of Israel with the exodus of more than 700,000 Palestinians.
According to the United Nations, some 1.3 million of Gaza's two million
residents are refugees or their descendants and the protest is calling for
them to be allowed to return to land that is now Israel. Washington's plans
to launch its new embassy around the same time, to coincide with the 70th
anniversary of the foundation of the Israeli state, have further stoked
Palestinian anger. Israel's ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon,
on Thursday labeled the protest an "organized planned provocation" and
reiterated "Israel's right to defend its sovereignty and protect its
citizens."
The launch of the protests comes as Palestinians mark Land Day,
commemorating the killing of six unarmed Arab protesters in Israel in 1976.
Trump Says U.S. Withdrawing from Syria 'Very Soon'
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/U.S. President Donald Trump
insisted Thursday that U.S. forces would pull out of Syria "very soon" and
lamented what he said was Washington's waste of $7 trillion in Middle East
wars. In a populist address to industrial workers in Ohio, Trump said U.S.
forces were close to securing all of the territory that the Islamic State
jihadist group once claimed. "We'll be coming out of Syria, like, very soon.
Let the other people take care of it now," he promised, to applause. Trump
did not say who the others were who might take care of Syria, but Russia and
Iran have sizable forces in the country to support President Bashar
al-Assad's regime. "Very soon -- very soon we're coming out. We're going to
have 100 percent of the caliphate, as they call it -- sometimes referred to
as 'land' -- taking it all back quickly, quickly," he said. "But we're going
to be coming out of there real soon. Going to get back to our country, where
we belong, where we want to be." State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert
was later asked at a briefing if she was aware of any decision for the US to
pull out of Syria. She responded, "I am not, no. No."The United States has
more than 2,000 military personnel in eastern Syria, working with local
militia groups to defeat the Islamic State group while trying to keep out of
Syria's broader civil war. Trump's eagerness to quit the conflict
flies in the face of a new U.S. Syria strategy announced in January by then
secretary of state Rex Tillerson -- who has since been sacked. Tillerson
argued that U.S. forces must remain engaged in Syria to prevent IS and
al-Qaida from returning and to deny Iran a chance "to further strengthen its
position in Syria."In a speech at Stanford University, he also warned that
"a total withdrawal of American personnel at this time would restore Assad
and continue his brutal treatment against his own people."But Tillerson has
gone after being dismissed in a tweet. And Trump, who increasingly makes
foreign policy announcements without seeking the advice of U.S. generals or
diplomats, wants out. "We spent $7 trillion in the Middle East. And you know
what we have for it? Nothing," Trump declared, promising to focus future
U.S. spending on building jobs and infrastructure at home.
Pressure on Iran will help avoid war: Saudi Crown
Prince tells the WSJ
Arab News/March 30/18/Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman called on the
international community to pressure Iran economically and politically.
Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman called on the international
community to pressure Iran economically and politically with regards tothe
nuclear agreement to avoid a direct military confrontation in the region
during an interview with The Wall Street Journal on Friday. “Sanctions will
create more pressure on the Iranian regime,” the Saudi Crown Prince said,
explaining that efforts must be made to avoid a military conflict in the
region caused by Iran. Iran has supplied the Houthi militia in Yemen with
weapons used against Saudi Arabia over the past three years, the crown
prince explained during the interview. Since the war in Yemen began, the
Houthi militia group fired several ballistic missiles into Saudi Arabia.
However, the crown prince stated that these attacks were “evidence of
weakness”. Meanwhile in response to a question on Saudi Arabia’s
intervention, the crown prince said: “Yemen was about to get split between
the Houthis and Al-Qaeda if we had not intervened in 2015.
France Says Not Planning Unilateral Syria Operation
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/France said on Friday it is not
planning a unilateral military operation in Syria outside the international
coalition fighting the Islamic State group after senior Kurdish officials
claimed Paris intended to send troops. "France is not planning any new
military operation on the ground in northern Syria outside the international
coalition against Daesh," President Emmanuel Macron's office said in a
statement, using another term for IS. Macron met with a delegation from the
Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) on Thursday, and Kurdish
official Asya Abdullah told reporters afterwards that France was planning on
sending "new French troops to Manbij.""The cooperation will be reinforced,"
she said. Khaled Issa, the official representative in France of Syria's
Kurdistan, had added: "France is going to reinforce its military
presence."The comments added to heightened international tensions as Turkey
wages an offensive against Kurdish fighters in Syria whom it views as an
extension of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) that has waged a
three-decade insurgency inside Turkey. Ankara launched an air and ground
offensive in Afrin in January to oust the People's Protection Units (YPG),
Kurdish fighters who make up the bulk of the SDF, viewed as terrorists by
Turkey. Turkey has threatened to expand its military operation against
Kurdish fighters, who ousted IS from the town of Manbij near the Turkish
border, and repeated the threat on Wednesday. But the U.S.-led coalition
fighting jihadists in Syria, of which France is a member, sees the YPG as a
key player in the fight against IS and has warned that Turkey's operation
risks distracting from that battle. Macron had on Thursday offered to help
establish a "dialogue" between the SDF and Turkey "with help from France and
the international community" -- an idea angrily rejected by Turkish
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday. "We are extremely saddened by
France's... wrong stance on this issue," Erdogan said during a speech in
Ankara.
Amnesty: 8 Iran Sufis on Hunger Strike, Claim Torture
Naharnet/Agence France Presse/March 30/18/Eight members of Iran's Gonabadi
Sufi minority are on hunger strike, Amnesty International said Friday,
protesting alleged torture in prison after protests in which security forces
members were killed. "One of the men, Abbas Dehghan, has allegedly been
threatened with his wife being raped in front of him if he does not
'confess'," the rights group said in a statement. Amnesty said the eight
hunger strikers require medical care for injuries sustained during their
arrest in the violent clashes with security forces on 19 February. The
violence erupted during a demonstration by members of the Gonabadi order,
known as dervishes, who were protesting the arrest of members of the sect,
as well as rumors that their leader would soon be arrested. One member of
the sect has been sentenced to death for driving a bus into a group of
police officers during the protests, killing three. Two members of the Basij,
an Islamic militia tasked with a number of policing duties, were also killed
in the clashes. The men on hunger strike are being held in Shapour detention
center in Tehran, Amnesty said, describing it as "notorious for extracting
'confessions' through torture". "Commonly reported methods of torture
include kicking and punching; beatings with plastic pipes, cables or whips;
prolonged binding; and various forms of suspension including one known as
the 'chicken kebab', in which the person is suspended from a pole with their
arms bent back and tied to their ankles and then flogged," the group said.
More than 300 people were arrested in the February clashes. Amnesty said
some families were not informed of their whereabouts and the authorities
have been denied access to lawyers until their interrogations are complete.
At least 20 members of the sect have been charged so far, Amnesty said, with
more charges expected. It said one protester had died from injuries to his
head, which police say were received during the clashes. The family told
Amnesty it took two weeks for them to be informed of his death. A mystic
branch of Islam, Sufism is tolerated in Iran but perceived as a "deviation"
by many conservative members of the Shiite clergy. Emerging in the
nineteenth century, the Gonabadi order is one of the most important Sufi
branches in Iran. Its followers regularly complain of being harassed by
authorities and discriminated against by the Islamic Republic.
Saudi Crown Prince
Meets Representatives of Five Permanent Members of Security Council
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 30 March, 2018/Saudi Arabia's Crown
Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz, Vice President of the Council of
Ministers and Minister of Defense, met in New York in Friday with the five
permanent Security Council representatives to the United Nations who are: US
ambassador Nikki Haley, Russian ambassador Vasily Nebenzya, Chinese
ambassador Ma Zhaoxu, UK ambassador Jonathan Allen and French ambassador
François Delattre. During the meeting, the Crown Prince and the ambassadors
discussed the current situation in the Middle East, highlighting the
developmental in Yemen and the Iran-backed Houthi militia’s violations.
Crown Prince Mohammed affirmed for the representatives the necessity that
the Security Council must assume responsibility in this regard in addition
to the need to respect international treaties, conventions and law and the
United Nations Convention. The Prince also reaffirmed Saudi Arabia’s
commitment to the Charter of the United Nations and the huge bilateral
cooperation between them. The meeting was attended by Saudi Arabia's
Ambassador to the United States Prince Khalid bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al
Saud, Saudi Minister of Foreign Affairs Adel Al-Jubeir, and Saudi Arabia's
Permanent Representative to the United Nations Ambassador Abdullah Al-Maalami.
Saudi Crown Prince: Houthi Missiles Sign of Weakness,
Muslim Brotherhood an Incubator for Terrorists
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 30 March, 2018/Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed
bin Salman bin Abdulaziz, Vice President of the Council of Ministers and
Minister of Defense called for more pressure to be exerted against Iran
economically and politically to avoid a direct military confrontation in the
region. In an interview with 'The Wall Street Journal' published Friday, the
Crown Prince said sanctions “will create more pressure on the regime" in
Iran. “If we don’t succeed in what we are trying to do, we will likely have
war with Iran in 10-15 years,” he added. Regarding the war in Yemen, Crown
Prince Mohammed said consequences would have been worse if they did not act
there. “If we didn’t act in 2015 we would have had Yemen divided in half
between the Houthis and al Qaeda,” he said. Prince Mohammed described the
missiles fired against the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by Houthis as sign of
weakness saying: “they want to do whatever they can do before they
collapse.” The prince’s comments came days after 7 ballistic missiles were
fired at Saudi Arabia, 3 of which targeted Riyadh, and which were
intercepted by the Saudi Air Defense Forces. The UN Security Council
condemned the Houthi missile attacks targeting Saudi cities and stressed
that they pose "a serious national security threat to the Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia as well as a wider threat to regional security." Of The Muslim
Brotherhood, the crown prince said: "The Muslim Brotherhood is an incubator
for terrorists. We have to get rid of extremism. Without extremism no one
can become a terrorist.”
Crown Prince Holds Talks with Chairmen of Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 30 March, 2018/Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed
bin Salman bin Abdulaziz, Vice President of the Council of Ministers and
Minister of Defense, met Thursday with Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
of Morgan Stanley James Gorman. In a separate meeting, the Crown Prince also
met with Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of JPMorgan Jamie Dimon. Both
meeting discussed views on the services provided by the two banks to Saudi
Arabia, in addition to opportunities of cooperation and strategic
partnership.
Prince Khalid bin Salman bin Abdulaziz, Saudi ambassador to the United
States of America, and a number of senior officials attended the two
meetings.
New Case Doubles Legal Troubles for Sarkozy
Paris, London- Asharq Al Awsat/Friday, 30 March, 2018/Former French
President Nicolas Sarkozy, his lawyer Thierry Herzog, and Gilbert Azibert,
then a senior judge in France's highest court, will face trial over charges
of corruption and misuse of influence. According to prosecutors, Sarkozy’s
lawyer tried to get information from Azibert over the status of a campaign
financing investigation. In that inquiry, Sarkozy was suspected of accepting
illicit payments from the L’Oreal heiress Liliane Bettencourt for his 2007
presidential campaign. At the beginning of 2012, Sarkozy appeared before
court for charges of illegally funding of his electoral campaign. In a
related matter, the British judiciary released Alexander al-Jawhari, a
French businessman of Algerian descent, in a bail for health issues. Jawhari
was arrested on charges of Libyan funding of Sarkozy campaign in 2007.
Alexander al-Jawhari, who is wanted by French courts, was bailed for 1.14
million euros at a hearing in London’s Westminster Magistrates’ Court last
Friday, Judge Emma Arbuthnot said Thursday. The judge said that she would
re-evaluate Djouhri’s situation “weekly depending on his health”. Jawhari
suffers from heart problems and is supposed to undergo surgery on Thursday,
a source close to the case said. Jawhari’s name appeared in a suspicious
deal with Libya and in the case of helping a prominent figure of Libyan
leader Muammar Gaddafi regime to flee France. At that time, and following a
three-year investigation, prosecutors in Paris had no sufficient evidence on
a Libyan funding but a series of worrying testimonies and elements. Jawhari
was released after paying a bail. Yet, in February, he was arrested again
but was also released for his health condition.
Russia Expels 60 US Diplomats, Closes US Consulate in
St. Petersburg
Moscow, London - Raed Jaber, Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 30 March, 2018/Russia
has decided to expel 60 US diplomats and close the US consulate in St.
Petersburg in response to US actions against Russia in the case of the
poisoning of the former Russian spy Sergei Skripal. Russia will close down
the US consulate in St. Petersburg and expel 60 American diplomats as it
takes tit-for-tat measures against all the nations that have expelled
Russian diplomats, Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov has said on
Thursday. The Russian foreign ministry summoned the US ambassador in Moscow
to inform him of the response to the expulsion of Russian diplomats. Lavrov
stated that Russia will respond similarly to the countries that expelled its
diplomats. Russia has declared 60 employees of the US Embassy in Moscow and
two staff members of the Consulate General in Yekaterinburg personae non
gratae, they will have to leave the country by April 5, the Russian Foreign
Ministry said on Thursday. A Russian law enforcement committee which is
running an investigation into Skripal’s poisoning said it has sent a request
to Britain to provide Moscow with legal assistance. Moscow is seeking "the
British colleagues to perform a number of procedural actions aiming at
establishing the circumstances of the crime, as well as provide copies of
the materials of the criminal investigation".
Committee’s spokeswoman said the Russian asked London to provide it "with
the results of the inspection of the place where Yulia Skripal were found
unconsciousness as well as with the results of her medical examination.”
However, Moscow's request for samples of the chemical substance used to
poison Skripal was rejected, and Russia repeatedly criticized Britain's
refusal to involve Russian investigators in the case, or to help the Russian
consulate in London to obtain information and visit Yulia Skirpal. The
Kremlin is ready to cooperate with "any party working to ease tensions in
the current crisis” and over the past days, it was noted that the Russian
tone seemed more flexible and calm. Russia is now "carefully studying each
step," a Russian diplomat told Asharq Al-Awsat. The source added that there
is a conviction in Moscow that US and UK led the campaign against Russia,
but some countries that took “solidarity” measures told Russia that it does
not want an escalation with Moscow. Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said
that Vienna might be prepared to act as a mediator to settle the spat
between Britain and Russia.
Austrian Foreign Minister Karen Kniessel offered her country's mediation in
resolving the crisis between Russia and Britain. Austria is ready to act as
a mediator in settling the differences between the UK and Russia, she
said."It is important for us to pursue such diplomacy, which allows us to
maintain dialogue," she said. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria
Zakharova Thursday shrugged off a "surprise" threat against London, and
announced a “gift to Britain” which will be declared. However, she stressed
that the United States has no right to expel diplomats accredited at the UN
headquarters and Washington did not implement the necessary procedures for
that.
The spokeswoman said that Moscow has begun to feel a link between
provocations in the case of Skripal and the situation in Syria. On banning
journalists of Russian Zvezda TV channel from covering the European summit,
Zakharova indicated that the West is dealing with Russian journalists as
spies. She noted that they should remember that "the Russian Foreign
Ministry has a lot of information about the activities of Western
journalists in Russia and some of these cases have reached the
courts.”Russia's foreign intelligence chief Sergey Naryshkin acknowledged
that "among the representatives of the Russian diplomatic missions there are
intelligence officers, but they are few, and they were providing security
for Russian embassies."He said the expulsion of the diplomats is a
provocation from a well-known group of countries that are working to create
an atmosphere of hatred against Russia, stressing that “the response is
coming, and will be firm.”Russian concerns about British and Western
measures also tackled economic sides with the Kremlin spokesman discussing
measures being considered by London and Washington aimed at Russian assets,
including a ban on the issuance of sovereign bonds on the London Stock
Exchange. A parliamentary committee will investigate suspicious funds paid
in British property worth 880 million pounds purchased by Russian nationals.
The Treasury Committee said it would investigate economic crimes in Britain
after allegations that London has become the preferred destination for money
laundering operations. Russia is closely watching a report that British
Prime Minister Theresa May may be considering limiting London’s role in
marketing Russian debt to investors, Kremlin spokesman said on Thursday. “We
are watching this very closely. Indeed it is a very important matter that
probably concerns (these) countries’ image as reliable economic partners,”
Peskov said of the UK and US warnings. Peskov’s statements came after
British newspaper The Guardian reported on Wednesday that May had agreed to
consider a ban on the City of London helping Russia sell government debt in
the wake of the poisoning of a Russian former spy in England. The spy and
his daughter were exposed with nerve gas in their home. Britain's counter
terrorism unit announced that Sergei and Yulia Skripal were poisoned with a
deadly nerve agent left on their front door.
Dead of the force's counter terrorism unit, Dean Haydon, said: “At this
point in our investigation, we believe the Skripals first came into contact
with the nerve agent from their front door. We are therefore focusing much
of our efforts in and around their address. Those living in the Skripals.”
BBC’s Security correspondent Gordon Corera said the highest concentration
was found on the Skripals' door handle, and could have been administered
through a "gloopy substance which could have been smeared on to that door
handle".
He added it would explain why the nerve agent may have been found on the
Skripals' car or the restaurant in which they had eaten which has been
cordoned off by detectives.
Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on March 30-31/18
Regulation Could Power a New Era of Silicon Valley Growth
Conor Sen/Bloomberg/March 30/18
The secret use of Facebook data in the U.S. presidential election has forced
governments and consumers to think about how such companies gather and
profit from personal information — a major concern overdue for close
attention. This scrutiny may be the beginning of the end of the unregulated
growth of Silicon Valley. Tech companies and their investors may shudder at
the thought, but their fear of regulation may be unwarranted. Part of the
maturation process of any industry is regulation that suits its activities,
and the gains from a safer, more trusted technology sector could quite
plausibly outweigh any losses.
This was one theme that emerged from discussions at last week's Bloomberg
Ideas event in San Francisco, where Bloomberg columnists discussed some of
the issues facing the technology sector. In a panel on regulatory
challenges, columnist Joe Nocera talked about the growth of the credit-card
industry decades ago. The industry fought regulation that imposed limits on
how much cardholders could be liable for in the case of fraud or theft, but
after the industry lost that fight and consumers had some protections,
plastic became the coin of the realm. This would not have happened if the
credit-card industry had remained a Wild West.
This is the model Silicon Valley should consider as its ambitions expand to
industries at the heart of our daily lives. It was one thing when the
industry was more focused on semiconductors and database software, where
product failures may have been a big problem for engineers who relied on
them but were a nuisance at worst for the public at large. It's quite a
different matter when the industries in question are transportation, media,
health care and finance — when failure has a much graver real-world impact
on far more people.
One industry where regulation may provide the greatest catalyst for growth,
as became apparent in my own Bloomberg Ideas panel on capital markets and
innovation, is cryptocurrencies. While I remain a skeptic about the future
of cryptocurrencies, a member of the audience expressed the modern version
of the case Nocera mentioned: that institutional investors who are
interested in cryptocurrencies could be waiting for a regulatory framework
to emerge before allocating money to them. The early enthusiasts focus a lot
on how a regulatory crackdown could represent the demise of cryptocurrencies
— but clear rules and investor protections may provide the foundation for a
more legitimate and much larger industry to emerge. My decision to
deactivate my Facebook account last week in response to the company's data
practices reflects this theme. While I remain a fan of Facebook's product as
a user — there's no better way for me to keep up with distant family members
and local news — I'm concerned with how the company and others use my
personal data in ways I don't know about, and how indifferent the company
seems to be about the appropriate business use of said data. My hope is that
continued public scrutiny on the company leads to adequate reform or
regulation, after which I would gladly reactivate my account. A regulated
tech sector will be different, but there’s no cause to assume it will be
worse. By curtailing some actions, regulations will encourage the public to
go along with everything else the companies do — ultimately supporting this
dynamic sector toward continued growth.
Trump and the Fading Ghost of an Illusion
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/March 30/18
Does the appointment of John Bolton as National Security Adviser indicate
President Trump’s determination to formally renounce the so-called “nuclear
deal” concocted by his predecessor Barack Obama?
The common answer of the commentariat is a resounding yes. Long before Trump
promised to tear-up the deal, Bolton was on record denouncing it as an ugly
example of appeasement.
Thus, next May, when the “deal” comes up for its periodical renewal,
President Trump’s idea of “tearing up a bad deal” is likely to have broader
support in his administration. And that seems to be exactly what Tehran is
expecting.
In fact, just days after Bolton’s appointment, the spokesman for Iran’s
Atomic Energy Agency Behruz Kamalvand broke a year of silence to boast about
ambitious new plans for speeding up and expanding the Islamic Republic’s
nuclear project.
The buzz in Tehran is that the ruling establishment expects Trump to refuse
to sign another waiver linked to the “deal” and, perhaps order a tightening
of the existing sanctions. However, Tehran seems determined to continue its
formal commitment to the “deal” as part of a strategy to drive a wedge
between the Europeans and a Trump administration already unpopular in the
old continent.
Tehran’s calculation is that the mid-term elections in the US may deprive
Trump of crucial Congressional support and pave the way for his defeat in
the following presidential election. Thus the wisest course is to keep
everyone focused on the nuclear issue which the Europeans, and part of the
political establishment in the US, believe they have solved thanks to the
“deal” while he International Atomic Energy (IAEA) continues its 20-year
long equivocation on the issue.
Only Iran that really knows its own intentions on that score.
Iran is right in saying that it is not producing nuclear weapons. What Iran
is doing is to set up all the technical, industrial, and materiel means
needed to produce such weapons, if and when it decides to do so.
While not producing nuclear weapons now, Iran has a program designed to make
such weapons within months. It is like a chef who brings in all that is
needed for making a soup but does not actually start the cooking until he
knows when the guests will be coming.
In the past three decades Iran has trained and deployed the scientists and
technicians needed, built the research centers required, and set up
structures for a complete nuclear cycle, from raw materials to the finished
product.
Part of the Iranian national defense doctrine is based on the capacity to
produce and deploy nuclear weapons within a brief time span.
Before the revolution Iran regarded its northern neighbor, the Soviet Union,
a nuclear “super-power” as the sole serious threat to its national security.
The assumption was that in case of a Soviet invasion Iran should be in a
position to use tactical nuclear weapons waiting for the great American ally
to ride to the rescue.
After the mullahs seized power, Iran’s national defense doctrine was based
on the assumption that it will, one day, fight a war with the United States
plus its Arab allies and/or Israel.
The central assumption of Iranian strategists is that the US cannot sustain
a long war. It is, therefore, necessary to pin down its forces and raise the
kill-die ratio to levels unacceptable by the American public.
In the meantime, Iran would put its nuclear-weapons program in high gear,
and brandish the threat of nuclear war as a means of forcing the US to
accept a ceasefire and withdraw from whatever chunk of Iranian territory
they may have seized.
Former President Hashemi Rafsanjani publicly evoked the possibility of using
nuclear weapons against Washington’s regional allies, especially Israel.
“In a nuclear duel in the region, Israel may kill 100 million Muslims,”
Rafsanjani said in a speech in Tehran in October 2000. “Muslims can sustain
such casualties, knowing that, in exchange, there would be no Israel on the
map.” Iran’s top military commanders also speak about a military clash with
the United States as the only serious threat to the Khomeinist regime in
Tehran.
They believe they have three trump cards to play.
The first is that Iran has a demographic reserve of some 20 million people
of “fighting age” and is thus capable of sustaining levels of casualties
unthinkable for Americans. The second is that Iran is already the missile
superpower of the Middle East and could target all of Washington’s allies in
the region.
Iran’s third trump card is its nuclear program. Without it the other two
cards will not have the effect desired, especially if the US would unleash
its new generation of low-grade nuclear weapons designed for battlefield
use.
The real issue, as far as US and allies are concerned, is that the regime in
Iran has been, is and most likely will remain, a threat with or without
nuclear weapons.
Iran did not seize the US diplomats as hostages with nuclear weapons; nor
did it massacre 241 US Marines in Beirut with an atomic bomb. The mischief
that Iran is making in Afghanistan, Iraq, Yemen and Bahrain is not backed by
nuclear power either. So the real question is: How to deal with a maverick
power that has built its strategy on fomenting discord and instability not
only in the Middle Est but anywhere else it gets a chance?
Washington hawks, among them Bolton perhaps, believe that the only realistic
policy towards Iran is one of regime change before the Khomeinists build
their nuclear arsenal. They believe that could be achieved with a mixture of
military and diplomatic pressure combined with moral and material support
for a pro-democracy movement in Iran. The Europeans, however, fear that any
attempt even at soft regime change may push the Khomeinists on the offensive
in Afghanistan, the Persian Gulf, Iraq, the Caucasus, Lebanon, and the
Palestinian territories. Could a realistic policy be developed through a
sober assessment of both positions? If yes, that would requires far more
sophistication than the “to waiver or not to waiver” debate over what is; in
fact; the fading ghost of an accord wrought from dangerous illusions.
Why Christians Need Self Rule in Iraq
المسيحيون في العراق ولهذه الأسباب هم بأمس الحاجة لحكم ذاتي
Uzay Bulut/Gatestone Institute/March 30/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/63556
"These murders are giving us yet another signal that there is no place for
Assyrian Christians in Iraq." — Ashur Sargon Eskrya, President of the
Assyrian Aid Society-Iraq.
"The only way for us to have a bright future is to establish a local
administration in the Nineveh Plain lands, which will be a safe haven for
all persecuted communities, including Yazidis... [It] should be protected
internationally. This would also include forming a no-fly zone, and having
the province monitored by international powers for a temporary period until
we strengthen our military force and reconstruct our areas." — Athra Kado,
the head of the Assyrian Democratic Movement, Alqosh, Iraq.
On March 8, three members of an Assyrian Christian family -- Dr. Hisham
Maskoni, his wife, Dr. Shadha Malik Dano, and her elderly mother -- were
stabbed to death in their home in Baghdad. The two doctors, who had left
Iraq, the country of their birth, in 2003, returned five years ago to work
at St. Raphael Hospital in the capital.
The victims, who lived in a neighborhood controlled by a Shiite militia, had
been tortured, according to Ashur Sargon Eskrya, president of the Assyrian
Aid Society-Iraq, in an interview with Gatestone.
Eskrya also said that the motive behind the killings -- as in the case of an
innocent Christian killed in Baghdad in February -- had not been
established, and that so far, no suspects have been arrested. "These
murders," he added, "are giving us yet another signal that there is no place
for Assyrian Christians in Iraq."
An indigenous people of the Middle East, Assyrians have been targeted and
murdered over the centuries for their religion and ethnicity. Yet they were
once the rulers of the ancient Assyrian Empire. The traditional Assyrian
homeland contains parts of Turkey, Iran, Syria and Iraq.
The Assyrian legacy to civilization is significant. Ancient Assyrians were
pioneers in science, mathematics, astronomy, medicine, literature, art and
technology. They were also exceptional builders, as shown by archaeological
sites, including those at Ashur, Nimrud and Nineveh in Iraq. With the rise
of Islam and the Arabian conquests of the 7th century, however, Assyrians
and other eastern Christian peoples fell to a subordinate status -- "dhimmitude"
-- which forced them to pay a tax, the jizya, in exchange for "protection."
Since then, they have been persecuted repeatedly. According to the Assyrian
International News Agency, every fifty years, an Assyrian massacre took
place, but the 1914-1923 Christian genocide in Ottoman Turkey dwarfed
previous massacres and resulted in the systematic extermination of around
750,000 Assyrians – nearly three-quarters of their prewar population.
After the end of World War I and with the dissolution of the Ottoman Empire,
Assyrians were excluded from the new forging of nation-states in the region.
In spite of their having been severely persecuted and displaced by Muslims,
Assyrians were not granted independence or autonomy in their ancient lands.
Instead, they were left to the "tender mercies" of Turkey, Syria, Iraq, Iran
and the Kurds.
Devoid of a government or security force, Assyrians in Turkey, Iran and
Syria have been largely erased from their indigenous homeland. In Iraq's
Nineveh Plain, however, Assyrians still form the majority and wish to
establish a sustainable and democratic form of self-governance. Assyrians
currently have a security force in the region: The Nineveh Plain Protection
Units (NPU).
In an interview with Gatestone, Athra Kado, the head of the Assyrian
Democratic Movement in the town of Alqosh in Iraq and Director of the NPU
media center, said:
"Our nation has suffered for centuries. The latest genocide by ISIS, as well
as recent murders, such as those in Baghdad, are deeply affecting our people
physically and psychologically. The only way for us to have a bright future
is to establish a local administration in the Nineveh Plain lands, which
will be a safe haven for all persecuted communities, including Yazidis.
"The new administration that needs to be established in the Nineveh plain
should be protected internationally. This would also include forming a
no-fly zone, and having the province monitored by international powers for a
temporary period until we strengthen our military force and reconstruct our
areas. In order to make this a reality, our Nineveh Plain Protection Units
should be supported in both military and logistical terms."
Eskrya concurred, recounting for Gatestone:
"Throughout the bloody history of the region -- including the 1914-1923
Christian genocide, the 1933 massacre in Simele, the 1963 Iraqi-Kurdish War,
the dictatorial regime of Saddam Hussein and the 2014 ISIS genocide --
Assyrians have lost their trust in governments that rule them, and they have
even lost their trust in their own neighbors who engaged in kidnapping or
even killing Assyrian Christians and raping women.
"Even today, Assyrian Christians still face genocide and discrimination in
Iraq and the Middle East in general. During the ISIS invasion of the Nineveh
plain, for example, terrorists grabbed our lands and destroyed our churches
and historical sites. The result of all this persecution has been forced
demographic change against Assyrian Christians.
"But through a local administration in Nineveh, economic and infrastructural
developments can take place. The region is suffering from inadequate
resources, so the new province should get a higher budget from the central
government in Baghdad and should possess the right to self-rule."
Juliana Taimoorazy, founding president of the Iraqi Christian Relief Council
and a senior fellow at the Philos Project, has been advocating serious
security measures, economic development and the rebuilding of homes for
Assyrians. In an interview with Gatestone, she said:
"We fear crimes such as the murder of the Assyrian family in Baghdad will
chip away at the hope that has returned to the hearts and minds of those who
have decided to return to their towns in the Nineveh plain. However, our
resolve is steadfast, and we will not be shaken. I liken our Assyrian nation
to a tree that is standing tall amidst terrible winds. Although our branches
may break, our roots will always remain solid in the earth of Nineveh."
*Uzay Bulut is a Turkish journalist born and raised in Turkey. She is
presently based in Washington D.C.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here
do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone
Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be
reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of
Gatestone Institute.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/12099/christians-self-rule-iraq
Tens of thousands of Palestinians swarm Gaza border, 15
killed by IDF fire
عشرات الآلاف من الفلسطينيين يجتازون حدود غزة
و15 قتيل بنيران
الجيش الإسرائيلي
Ynet reporters, AP, Reuters/March 30/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/63558
The 'Great March of Return,' orchestrated by Hamas, draws some 30,000
Palestinians to the Gaza-Israel border; riots ensue, prompting IDF snipers to
shoot at main instigators; Defense Minister Lieberman warns anyone who
approaches security fence is putting his life in jeopardy; Hamas leader Haniyeh:
'Israel's threats do not scare us.'
At least 15 Palestinians were killed and hundreds more were wounded by IDF
gunfire along the Israel-Gaza border, Palestinian sources said Friday, as
thousands swarmed the security fence as part of "The Great March of Return,"
called for by enclave's militant Hamas rulers.
It was the deadliest day in Gaza in several months. Ten of the Palestinians were
killed during the clashes, a farmer was killed by pre-dawn tank fire in a
separate incident, and four others from IDF tank fire at an observation post in
the northern Gaza Strip.
The IDF said two of the Palestinians killed were members of Hamas's elite Nukhba
force. The military also said all of the dead were terror activists aged 18 to
30. According to Palestinian reports, one of those killed was reportedly 16
while another was 33.
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas declared Saturday would be a national day of
mourning. "Israel is fully responsible for all of the aggression in Gaza today,
and fully responsible for the death of Palestinians," Abbas said.
He ordered the Palestinian envoy to the UN, Riyad al-Maliki, to take all
immediate steps to demand international protection for the Palestinian people.
The United Nations Security Council was due to meet later on Friday to discuss
the situation in Gaza, diplomats said.
The Palestinian Health Ministry said more than 1,400 were hurt in the clashes.
The ministry clarified those injured included protesters hit by live bullets and
rubber-coated steel pellets, while others were overcome by tear gas.
Palestinian health officials said 758 of the protesters were wounded by live
gunfire, while others were struck by rubber bullets or treated for tear gas
inhalation. Witnesses said the military had used a drone in at least one
location to drop tear gas.
Clashes on the Gaza border as part of March of Return (Video: Reuters)
While protest organizers expected some 100,000 Palestinians to join the
demonstration, the IDF estimated only about 30,000 showed up.
Organizers invested a lot of resource in free bus services to transport Gazans
to the border, the construction of the tent encampments, and an aggressive
public campaign among other things, with little results.
In addition, Palestinian witnesses said tens of thousands gathered in tent
encampments set up at five sites at a distance of several hundred meters (yards)
from the border, but that only some of them engaged in clashes, burning tires
and throwing stones at IDF soldiers.
As the protest turned chaotic, the IDF declared the security fence on the Gaza
Strip border a closed military zone and began dispersing demonstrators using
riot control measures and firing at major instigators with live rounds.
An IDF force caught a seven-year-old Palestinian girl attempting to cross the
border fence, and returned her back to her parents in Gaza.
The IDF said that the girl was encouraged to attempt to cross by Hamas, which
"endangers women and children and uses them cynically."
GOC Southern Command Maj. Gen. Eyal Zamir said that IDF forces spotted attempts
to carry out terrorist attacks, including planting explosive charges on the
security fence, under the cover of the mass demonstration. No IDF troops have
been hurt in the clashes. IDF officials estimated early Friday evening the
violent clashes on the Gaza border will continue in the coming days, and that
even after the great mass of rioters are dispersed, attempts will continue to
sabotage the border fence and carry out attacks.
"We didn't allow any crossing of the border fence so far, and no significant
damage has been caused to our infrastructure near the fence," said the IDF's
Spokesman, Brig. Gen. Ronen Manelis. "What's been happening since this morning
is a violent terror protest. We're still in the midst of the event. So far,
we've succeeded in our mission, and anywhere there was an attempt to damage the
fence, accurate fire was used with strength, determination and discretion,"
Manelis added.
"We have information about plans to carry out many terror attacks during the
rioting. A significant terror incident will lead to a response by us that will
not be limited to the border fence area," the IDF spokesman warned.
The March of Return, Hamas says, is intended to be a weeks-long peaceful
demonstration advocating for the return of Palestinian refugees to Israel.
The IDF is on high alert as it sees the march as a hostile attempt by Hamas to
sabotage IDF infrastructure and the Gaza security fence, and fear it may lead to
a mass breach of the border.
Haniyeh: We will not give up right of return
In the meantime, the Hamas leadership visited the various protest locations: the
head of the Hamas political bureau, Ismail Haniyeh, was east of Gaza City; Hamas
leader in Gaza Yahya Sinwar was at the southern Gaza Strip; and Gaza Interior
Minister Fathi Hamad was at the northern Gaza Strip. They were seen among the
crowd, encouraging the people and showing their support.
"This march demonstrates that there are no alternatives to Palestine and the
right of return (for the Palestinian people)," Haniyeh told exuberant gatherers,
praising their decision to leave their home and attend the protest to "write the
future."
Haniyeh then brought to attention the goal of the march, teling attendees it
constitutes "the beginning of a return (of the Palestinian people) to the
entirety of the land of Palestine.""We will not give up and we will not bargain
with the Zionist entity over even a small piece of the land of Palestine,"
Haniyeh continued, stressing they will reject any deal proposed by the Trump
administration, who he blamed of trampling Palestinian right by "Trump's
decision to grant Jerusalem to Israel."
"Israel's threats do not scare us. Our people went out today to make it clear
that we will not give up Jerusalem and that there is no alternative to Palestine
and the right of return. We will not accept the right of return staying only a
slogan," he concluded, telling the crowd, "walk in the path of Allah—you are the
victors."Sinwar, meanwhile, said the protests are a signal to Israel and the
world that "our people will not accept the continuation of the siege."
Hamas spokesman Fawzi Barhoum praised the turnout. "The large crowds ... reflect
the Palestinian people's determination to achieve the right of return and break
the siege and no force can stop this right," he said.
Ahead of the protests, the military said it doubled its standard troop level
along the border, deploying snipers, special forces and paramilitary border
police units, which specialize in riot control. The army said it would not allow
the crowds to breach the fence or damage military infrastructure.
Brig. Gen. Manelis said Israel wants to avoid violence, but warned the IDF will
shoot anyone who approaches the border's security fence, enforcing a "no go"
zone for Palestinians.
At one of five encampments, east of Gaza City, people clustered around the
tents. An unpaved road linking the tents and the border fence was filled with
people walking in both directions. People ran for cover from time to time to
escape tear gas.
Ghanem Abdelal, 50, distributed water bottles to family members sitting on a mat
near one of the tents. He said he hopes the protest "will bring a breakthrough,
an improvement, to our life in Gaza."
Families brought their children to camps just a few hundred meters from the
border fence, with football fields marked out in the sand, and scout bands
playing.
But hundreds of Palestinian youths ignored calls from the organizers and from
the IDF to keep away, increasing the risk of confrontation with Israeli troops
who had taken up positions on the other side of the fence.
Some of the tents bore names of the refugees' original villages in what is now
Israel, written in Arabic and Hebrew alike.
Eighty-year-old Mansi Nassar walked towards the sensitive frontier with the aid
of his cane, disregarding entreaties to remain 700 metres (2,300 feet) from the
barrier.
"I was born in Beit Darras inside Palestine and I will accept no less than
returning to it," he said, referring to his former home village just south of
the modern Israeli city of Ashdod. The village no longer exists.
Directly addressing the residents of Gaza in Arabic on twitter, Defense Minister
Avigdor Lieberman accused Hamas of "playing" with their citizens' lives, which
he warned will be put in danger should they approach the security fence.
"I suggest that get on with your lives and not participate in the provocation,"
he wrote, attempting to dissuade them from the protest.
The start of the demonstration was symbolically linked to what Palestinians call
"Land Day," which commemorates the six Arab citizens of Israel killed by Israeli
security forces in demonstrations in 1976 over land confiscations. The week-long
Jewish holiday of Passover, when Israel heightens security, also begins Friday.
Just hours prior to the march, a Gaza man was killed and a second was wounded by
an Israeli tank shell after they approached the security fence at the southern
part of the strip and "carried out suspicious activity," according to the IDF.
The Gaza health ministry spokesman said the two were farmers. Residents there
said they were gathering crops to sell later.
The protest is due to end on May 15, the day Palestinians call the "Nakba" or
"Catastrophe," marking the displacement of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians
in the conflict surrounding the creation of Israel in 1948.
While Gazans were rallying at the border, dozens of Palestinians commemorating
Land Day clashed with IDF forces at the Beit El checkpoint at the entrance to
Ramallah and in the Bab a-Zawiya neighborhood of Hebron, burning tires and
throwing stones at security forces, which were using riot control measures to
disperse them. 65 Palestinians were injured.
Palestinians have long demanded that as many as five million of their
compatriots be granted the right to return. Israel rules this out, fearing an
influx of Arabs that would eliminate its Jewish majority. Israel argues the
refugees should resettle in a future state that the Palestinians seek in West
Bank and the Gaza Strip.
**Elior Levy, Yoav Zitun, Moran Azulay and Matan Tzuri
contributed to this report.
Why Iran fears Trump’s new national security team
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/March 30/18/
US President Donald Trump’s new national security team includes an intriguing
character in John Bolton, the former American ambassador to the UN who will
replace Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster as national security adviser.
Trump’s move, which came just one week after he fired Secretary of State Rex
Tillerson, most likely occurred because the president was seeking to have a
unified national security team — a critical point when it comes to having an
effective and successful foreign policy. More importantly, one of the top
foreign policy agenda items is linked to addressing the Iranian regime and the
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, also known as the Iran nuclear deal.
Previously, some significant differences existed, which were too deep to bridge.
For example, unlike the president, McMaster and Tillerson were in favor of
keeping the nuclear agreement.
Iran has reacted strongly to the new appointments by lashing out at the US and
interfering in Washington’s domestic politics. For instance, Ali Shamkhani,
secretary of the country’s Supreme National Security Council, called Bolton’s
appointment a “matter of shame,” according to Fars News Agency. But the
underlying reasons for Iran’s harsh reaction are actually anchored in the
regime’s fears.
First of all, Trump’s recent appointment leads to a formation of one of the most
determined national security teams in the history of the US when it comes to
robustly countering the Iranian regime and its Islamic Revolutionary Guard
Corps.
Iran’s ruling clerics fear that, with the appointment of Bolton and the exit of
Tillerson, the national security team is totally in sync with the president
regarding precisely what policies ought to be carried out in order to confront
Iran’s increasing influence across the Middle East and beyond.
A United White House is set to focus on how to cooperate more closely with Arab
states in order to counter Tehran’s destabilizing behavior and military
adventurism in the Middle East.
From the perspective of the US national security team, the international
community has exhausted diplomacy, negotiations and soft power efforts to change
the Iranian regime’s destabilizing behavior, as well as stopping Tehran’s
support for terrorist and militia groups across the region. Iran’s direct and
indirect militaristic interventions, the supply of illicit weapons to its
proxies, and its interference in the domestic affairs of Arab countries continue
to escalate on an unprecedented level, particularly in Yemen, Syria and Iraq.
For the first time, both Trump and his national security team agree that the
nuclear agreement is flawed because it empowers and emboldens the Iranian regime
with the flow of billions of dollars and enhanced global legitimacy.
On the other hand, it is important to point out that such a development does not
mean that the Iranian regime will immediately moderate its foreign policies. In
fact, based on the almost four-decade history of the ruling clerics, the regime
will pursue more aggressive policies in the region in order to project its power
in the hope of pressuring the other side to surrender.
It is worth noting that Iranian lawmakers have already announced they will seek
to build closer ties with Russia in order to counter the policies of the US and
its allies. Closer ties between Tehran and Moscow would allow Iran to be more
empowered to intervene in Syria, Yemen and Iraq.
Secondly, the Iranian regime is concerned that the recent changes in the US
national security team represent good news for Arab states in the Gulf. This is
due to the notion that, not only is Trump’s team now in alignment with the
president, but it is also in sync with Arab powers, specifically as both sides
view the Iranian regime’s expansionism as a top national security threat.
Such developments have uniquely created a fundamental convergence of interests
between Arab powers such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and the US. This could
lead to a powerful multilateral force that can transform policies into concrete
actions.
As a result, the White House will most likely be focusing on how to cooperate
more closely with Arab states in order to counter Iran’s destabilizing behavior
and military adventurism in the region.
This multilateral convergence of interests is what the Iranian regime fears
because it can tip the regional balance of power against Tehran and its
militias, and in favor of the Arab Gulf states.
• Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a Harvard-educated Iranian-American political
scientist. He is a leading expert on Iran and US foreign policy, a businessman
and president of the International American Council.
He serves on the boards of the Harvard International Review, the Harvard
International Relations Council and the US-Middle East Chamber for Commerce and
Business.
Turkey’s Russia, Iran links are far from an alliance
Sinem Cengiz/Arab News/March 30/18/
The presidents of Turkey, Russia and Iran will come together on April 4 in
Istanbul for a three-way summit on Syria. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan
will be hosting his counterparts Vladimir Putin and Hassan Rouhani in the second
such tripartite summit following the one last November in the Russian Black Sea
resort of Sochi. In order to prepare the ground for this meeting, the foreign
ministers of the three countries met in the Kazakh capital of Astana on March 16
to discuss the progress over the last year of the Astana process for Syria
peace.
A day before the Istanbul summit, the Turkey-Russia High Level Cooperation
Council will meet in Ankara. Besides the Syrian war and Turkish-Russian
bilateral ties, one of the most interesting aspects of Putin’s visit will be a
foundation laying ceremony for the Akkuyu nuclear power plant, which Putin and
Erdogan are expected to attend.
This will be a second ground-breaking ceremony for Turkey’s first nuclear power
plant after the first was held in April 2015, but the project was halted when
Turkey downed a Russian fighter jet near the Syrian border in November of the
same year.
According to experts who follow Russo-Turkish relations closely, the nuclear
plant, which will be built by Russia’s Rosatom in the Akkuyu district of the
southern province of Mersin at a cost of $20 billion, is the largest joint
project that symbolizes strategic relations between Moscow and Ankara.
The three countries have managed to turn Syria from a bone of contention into a
bridge between their capitals, but it would be naive to expect their tactical
cooperation to turn into a strategic partnership.
Thus, Putin’s presence at the ceremony would be highly significant and symbolic
at a time when the West has its eyes fixed on the deepening ties between Turkey
and Russia. This week, Turkish and Western leaders came together at a high-level
summit in Varna, Bulgaria, where they agreed to accelerate Turkish-EU relations.
However, they also underlined that not all the negatives between Ankara and
Brussels have been left behind.
While both sides reiterated their commitment to continuing the dialogue, there
was another significant development taking place between the West and Russia. On
the same day, 14 EU member states expelled dozens of Russian diplomats in an
orchestrated reaction over the poisoning of former Russian spy Sergei Skripal
and his daughter Yulia in the UK. Unlike those countries, Turkey has said it has
no plans to expel Russian diplomats, saying Ankara and Moscow have positive and
good relations and that Turkey was not in a position to take such action against
Moscow.
In light of this decision, the summit on Syria in Istanbul aims to show a
picture of strengthening collaboration among Turkey, Russia and Iran via the
Astana peace process. I would prefer to call the Astana process a “cooperation”
between these three countries rather than an “alliance,” as many experts and
analysts describe the relationship. In light of the Astana talks, many started
to argue that a new alliance had emerged among Moscow, Ankara and Tehran,
particularly against a common threat: The US. However, it would not be wrong to
argue that the theories of an alliance are likely to fail to explain the
situation among the three countries in the Astana talks.
When looking closely at Turkey’s bilateral relations with both Russia and Iran
from a historical perspective, it is clear that these countries have never
formed an alliance and are unlikely to do so in the future. History is certainly
a good guide. Although the current crisis in Turkish-US ties serves the
interests of Russia and Iran, it would be simplistic to argue that these
countries have formed an alliance against a common threat. There are still
significant differences between these countries’ perceptions of the US presence
in the Middle East.
Also, for its part, Ankara is unlikely to give up its special role in NATO
because neither Turkey nor the alliance has good reason to cut ties.
Also, there are still existing differences among these three countries on a
number of issues. However, one should give credit for their collaboration in the
Astana process, which seems to be a good example of pragmatic, rational and
result-oriented mediation efforts for the Syrian war.
Needless to say, among the several attempts at mediation, the Astana process
that was launched in January 2017 with the aim of putting an end to the violence
and improving the humanitarian situation in war-torn Syria seems to be the most
realistic and successful, at least for now, when considering progress on the
ground.The three countries have managed to turn Syria from a bone of contention
into a bridge between three capitals. However, it would be naive to expect the
tactical cooperation among these countries to turn into a strategic partnership
or an alliance when considering the potential differences among them, which
could resurface as a result of unpredictable developments on the ground. At the
end of the day, these three countries are seeking a greater role in the Middle
East in general and Syria in particular.
• Sinem Cengiz is a Turkish political analyst who specializes in Turkey's
relations with the Middle East.
An Iranian hand and Qatari scream behind the Houthi missile attack
Fahad Suleiman Shoqiran/Arabiya/March 30/18
In the rich, transcendent city of Riyadh, shrapnel from a missile fired by the
Iranian-backed Houthi rebels on Sunday night killed an Egyptian resident and
injured other civilians. The criminal timing of the launch of the missile while
Prince Mohammed bin Salman is on a tour in the United States. The Royal Air
Defense Forces intercepted all seven missiles fired towards the kingdom – an act
praised by the Saudi cabinet’s Tuesday session which was chaired by King Salman.
It is no surprise that this terrorist organization launched these missiles with
the aim of causing panic. This is what terror organizations such as Hezbollah,
al-Qaeda, ISIS, al-Nusra Front and the Houthi Movement have in common. These
groups’ main aim is to target the modern features of city life and take the
world back to the dark ages. Saudi Arabia is a 300-year-old country that has
fought dozens of wars. It has extensive military experience and has confronted
several regimes and major powers. The storm following the Riyadh rocket incident
is in our favor
Qatar’s gloating
After these missiles were intercepted, a close neighbor celebrated this criminal
event against Saudi Arabia via its media outlets. The Qatari regime employed all
its media platforms to celebrate and rejoice the missile attack. Some media
outlets even stated that Riyadh was struck by an earthquake following the
explosion, and that its streets wore a deserted look. The truth is that it was
just another ordinary day for the bustling city of Riyadh and its seven million
inhabitants. Dozens of videos taken by citizens showed that life was normal in
the city on the same day, and that this rocket made no impact whatsoever except
on social media networks. What’s more important than the firing of the weak
missiles is analyzing the incident from a political and security angle. The
missiles were made by Iran, and countries must investigate how Houthis attained
them.
The British have already raised this rightful demand. As the date for
determining the fate of the nuclear deal by the US approaches in May, Iran is
trying to attract the world’s attention in any way possible. It is eager to
trigger a war to internally stabilize the regime after protests erupted against
it and after the society’s criticism of the regime escalated. It is important to
confront Iran through political means and to enhance the presence of Iranian
opposition groups regionally and internationally while economically isolating
the regime. Such a response would send shockwaves within Iran. However, engaging
in a military confrontation will not be useful. We must fight it politically and
diplomatically and we will accomplish this especially with the rise of parties
that Saudi Arabia has always been able to cooperate with, notably within the
United States and Britain.
The sham terror list
We also must take into account the Qatari regime and its political and media
practices by preparing real, effective sanctions that would affect the regime’s
core. If the festivity over the attack on Saudi Arabia was issued by a country
that’s bigger and more significant than Qatar, we would have considered it a
declaration of war. As such, supporting the boycott and prolonging it, seeking
greater and more stringent methods, confronting it with media and politics, and
exposing its terrorism internationally is essential. We must never tire of
exposing Qatar's schemes and conspiracies in order to caution the world of its
devious designs, especially its support of terrorist organizations such as
Taliban, Hezbollah, Hamas, al-Qaeda, the Houthis and the Muslim Brotherhood. The
terror list which Qatar issued aims to ease its international discomfort
especially that when US President Trump met his great guest, Prince Mohammed bin
Salman, he said that “the United States would sever its relations with countries
that support terrorism.” A simple reason why the Qatari terror list is a trick
is that one of those listed, Mubarak al- Alajji, recently participated in an
official sports championship in Doha, and was honored with a prize after his
victory. This has been reported by Al Arabiya news channel and its website in
great detail. Saudi Arabia is a 300-year-old country that has fought dozens of
wars. It has extensive military experience and has confronted several regimes
and major powers. The storm following the Riyadh rocket incident is in our favor.
We now have the right to discipline the criminals involved in this incident and
to decisively and firmly deal with them to protect the region and the world from
their evil designs. “But they plan, and Allah plans. And Allah is the best of
planners.”
A return ticket to the past
Mamdouh AlMuhaini/Arabiya/March 30/18
Those who wish to go back to the past suffer from a sick nostalgia and are
deceived by a modified image of what they think were rosy days. They have not
really thought about the scientific discoveries and moral and intellectual
developments which made our world ten times better than the gloomy past.
If we bring back some important figures from the past to our present day, and
house them in the most luxurious hotels, put them on board the most expensive
flights, send them to the opera, have them spend vacations in the most beautiful
islands while they taste the most delicious food and hand them iPhones, they
will prefer to spend hours on WhatsApp and Twitter and stay in the present day
for good instead of going back to the primitive past with all its glories.
The scene is different in the past where someone could simply smash your head to
pieces because you have a different religion or sect. A long intellectual
journey led humanity to a new phase that overcomes all old perceptions that
humanity was locked up in for centuries
Difficulty in treating diseases
On the scientific level, today’s inventions were not known only 400 years ago.
No one knew what DNA was, or the Big Bang theory or how things came into
existence. They did not know what caused diseases and how to treat them so many
people died of illnesses which you can now treat by simply buying some pills
from your nearest pharmacy. The plague, which was known as the Black Death,
killed one third of Europe’s population. A man would get sick from it and die a
week later, however, this disease is no longer present today. The medical
condition scurvy killed millions of sailors and its treatment today is simply
effervescent vitamin C tablets. Their children used to die before their eyes and
they did not know how to save them. People in the past thought the earth was
flat and did not go to the extremities because they feared they’d fall. They did
not know anything about gravity. If they see the GPS we have today they’d deem
it magic and sorcery. People did not know why lunar eclipses happened so some
priests exploited their ignorance and promised them that the moon will return to
its normal state only if they make offerings like money or beautiful women.
In short, life and everything about it was a mystery to them. People roamed the
earth with low IQ levels due to a severe lack of knowledge. If someone over the
age of 40 from our present day decides to go back to the past, they will
probably die as at the time, life expectancy was 35 years due to the spread of
wars, diseases and crime, and due to the absence of police cars and surveillance
cameras!
Moral development
On the moral level, human values and ethics have greatly developed in recent
decades. For example, terms like human rights emerged, whereas if we go back to
the past and mention such terms to people they will be confused and perhaps ask
what human and what rights? The idea of man as a moral concept and independent
entity only emerged in recent decades. This is why the idea of slaves was
accepted in the past and did not trigger any qualms. The opposite is true today
as the idea of slaves is not only immoral, but it’s also legally criminalized.
Why? Because we have morally and psychologically developed. The same applies to
marrying minor girls. This was accepted in the past but it’s now prohibited and
rejected because it violates the present conscience which developed with time
until it reached its best phases today, despite all other problems. Racism which
categorizes people and measures pureblood was an accepted idea in the past, even
at universities in the 1930’s where it was a recognized major. This is what
Hitler relied on for his Nazi theory which made him kill people with physical
disabilities using furnaces and gas chambers as he viewed them as a burden and a
black stain which must be purged from the blood of the Aryan race.
Women and intellectual development
Women were followers and second-class citizens. However today, two of the most
important countries in the world are led by women, Angela Merkel and Theresa
May. Women advanced from being maids to becoming leaders reflective of civilized
development over the centuries. The idea of sabaya (slaves) is shameful and is a
serious violation of human rights in our times but it was accepted in the past.
If those who are obsessed with the past think that the possibility that they may
be slaves who are sold and bought for cheap prices is highly likely, they will
give up on the idea of returning to the past altogether.
On the intellectual level, humanity developed during the past centuries because
education prospered and illiteracy rates decreased. During the Middle Ages,
priests were the only ones who knew how to read while others drowned in the
dark. The more we go back in history, the higher illiteracy rates become. There
were no schools, universities or majors. There were no students to begin with.
This is why bitter religious, sectarian and tribal wars which killed millions of
people erupted. Nothing defeated intolerance and intolerant people except
thinkers and philosophers who shattered their ideas and transferred humanity to
a whole different level. Today’s world has, despite religious and sectarian
problems in some countries, overcome these wars. Global airports are the biggest
example of the unprecedented mingling among people. The scene is different in
the past where someone could simply smash your head to pieces because you have a
different religion or sect. A long intellectual journey led humanity to a new
phase that overcomes all old perceptions that humanity was locked up in for
centuries. It’s for all these reasons and more that our world is much better
than the lie of the rosy and romantic past which bad novelists and fake poets
praise and which exaggerating preachers sanctify. For those people, we can book
a one-way ticket to the past with no return.
The Shirazis and the media
Hassan Al Mustafa/Arabiya/March 30/18
In 1968, a total of 40 people, divided into four groups, gathered to learn
literary writing under the supervision of Sayyid Mujtaba Shirazi, the son of
late reference Mehdi Shirazi in Karbala. This was part of their Resalah related
work (treatise on practical law) led by Sayyid Mujtaba’s brother Sayyid
Ayatollah Mohammad al-Shirazi. Only four of these 40 people graduated from this
course. One of these four men was Sheikh Ahmed al-Katib, the author of the book
The Development of Shiite Political Thought, who later became critical of the
Shiarzi Movement and the religious rhetoric’s nostalgia for the past.
What can be noted is that the Shirazi Movement was one of the most significant
religious movements to use the media at an early stage. It was taken by the
media and its guise, and it managed to promote its ideas, incense its opponents
and recruit more followers through it
Early beginnings
In the 1960’s, a series of monthly books entitled The Sources of Islamic Culture
was published over a period of 10 years under the supervision of Sayyid Sadiq
al-Shirazi who is now the most followed reference among Shirazi Muqallideen
(those who conformed to Shirazi’s teachings).
Back then, the Shirazi Movement, which was first formed in the city of Karbala,
issued the magazines Morals and Ethics and Answers to Religious Matters.
This early interest in writing and publication was addressed in Sayyid Hassan
al-Shirazi’s book, Literary Work. Heads of the Shirazi school believe that Islam
was presented to people in an old and unattractive way, which forced them to be
distant from it. Therefore, it was necessary to formulate a new and beautiful
rhetoric that carries the message of Islam and influences the nation.
Revolutionary media
After the victory of the Islamic Revolution in Iran in 1979, the Shirazi
Movement gained more prominence in the media, especially after it established
good relations with the regime in Tehran and raised Arabic-speaking cadres. This
made the Shirazi Movement among the top participants of the “revolutionary”
media work. Sheikh Ahmed al-Katib, who had strong ties with Ayatollah Sayyid
Mohammed al-Shirazi, was one of the main contributors in establishing the
Arabic-speaking Voice of the Islamic Revolution radio station in Abadan. He also
presented a program called Today’s Iraq is looking for a Hussein for a year.
People who did not belong to the Shirazi Movement helped establish this
Arabic-speaking radio station, such as journalist Masoud al-Fak and others who
belonged to the movement in support of Imam Khomeini. Some of these individuals
later become opposition figures against the guardianship of the jurist and were
interrogated and imprisoned. Iraqi members who belonged to the Islamic Action
Organization, such as Doctor Mohsen al-Qazwini, Sheikh Sadiq al-Abadi and Sheikh
Saheb al-Sadiq were engaged in media work since the beginning of the revolution,
either via radio stations, television channels and magazines and newspapers.
Education and training
In 1985, Ahmed al-Katib established the media institution which operated for few
years and contributed to teaching media studies to young men who were not
skilled at professional writing. Sheikh Katib believed that the Shirazi Movement
– although it began dealing with the media in the early stages – did not know
the real and professional meaning of journalism and relied on a literary tone
that addresses instincts. He criticized this rhetoric’s “superficiality and lack
of depth in analyses.”The seminary of the “rising Imam” in Tehran, which
included cadres and religious students who followed the reference of Sayyid
Mohammed al-Shirazi, did not have a negative stance towards the media and did
not prevent students from reading newspapers and magazines, like some
traditional seminaries did. It even published its own magazines and bulletins,
such as the magazine Insights. It also organized workshops on journalism and
media. Attending these workshops was obligatory for the movement members and
elective for clerics.
Political media
For over 30 years, the Shirazi Movement was active in the media and produced a
number of magazines, dailies and bulletins, hundreds of books and thousands of
cassettes. Then it began launching religious satellite television channels.
The movement’s work in print media tackled three major fields which were
politics, culture and heritage. Politics provided rich material for writing and
these products acted as a propaganda tool in the conflict between organizations
which operated under the Shirazi reference and opposing political regimes
specifically in Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain. Financial support from the
Shirazi reference and Shirazi supporters as well as the facilitations which the
Iranian regime provided - until disputes escalated with the Shirazi Movement and
eventually led to severing ties in 1987 - helped produce this printed work.
The most important political publications are: 1. The monthly Martyr magazine,
which began issuing its prints in 1980, followed up on the Islamic Revolution in
Iran and its revolutionary rhetoric which it was in support of. Several men held
the post of editor-in-chief there such as Sheikh Sadeq al-Abadi, Sheikh Saheb
al-Sadeq and Nizar Haidar. The magazine included different movements operating
under the Shirazi reference.
2. The weekly Islamic Work daily whose editor-in-chief was Nizar Haidar. It was
issued by the Islamic Action Organization affiliated with the movement of Sayyid
Mohammed Taqi al-Modarresi.
3. The monthly Islamic Revolution magazine which was issued by the Organization
for the Islamic Revolution in the Arabian Peninsula. In the beginning of the
1990’s, the magazine’s name was changed into The Magazine of the Arabian
Peninsula. Its editor-in-chief was Dr Hamza al-Hassan.
Changing the name of the magazine reflected a political transformation in the
organization’s intellect. This was accompanied with editorial change as the
magazine publications adopted a softer and more realistic rhetoric to suit the
transitional phase which witnessed intensified dialogue and negotiations for the
return of the Reform Movement members to Saudi Arabia and the suspension of
their opposing political activity in 1993.
4. The magazine Saudi Affairs, which later became a website, was publishing from
London under the supervision of Dr. Hamza al-Hassan, who did not stay in Saudi
Arabia for long after the Reform Movement was dissolved. Hassan returned to
Britain and resumed his opposition activities from there. The magazine included
political and legal studies and it formed the intellectual framework of Reform
Movement members who defected and opposed the movement of Sheikh Hassan al-Saffar
and his new political rhetoric in support of communicating with the Saudi
government. The magazine which is no longer published cannot be categorized
within the Shirazi Movement projects because its godfather had left the
movement’s framework and adopted his own political orientations and intellect
and eventually a more strict rhetoric following the Arab Spring developments in
2011.
5. Al-Baqi' Magazine was a Persian monthly publication affiliated with the
Organization for the Islamic Revolution in the Arabian Peninsula. Said Khakrand
was its editor-in-chief for some time. The magazine’s publication was also
discontinued.
6. Al-Ahdath newspaper was a political daily printed six days a week from
London. It began publishing in 1988, around 3 months before Al-Hayat newspaper
began publishing from London.
The newspaper marked a transformation in the methodology of youths who were
raised in Al-Shirazi school as they began to think in a more realistic way, to
expand the scope of their concerns and sought to be present in the entire Arab
media arena and not just the Shiite one.
Al-Ahdath adopted an approach that kept away from political propaganda as much
as possible. According to those who followed up with the publication of this
daily, the latter did not take opposing and strict stances towards Arab
governments. The team included people from different countries, such as Saudi
Arabia, Iraq and Bahrain. The newspaper thus gained the interest of many,
especially during the war to liberate Kuwait in 1991 as it covered the
developments in details.
An editor at Al-Ahdath said the daily was printed late at night, thus it was
capable of publishing more news from dailies which had concluded the editions
for the day, like Al-Hayat newspaper. He added that Al-Ahdath did not compete
with Ash-Sharq al-Awsat and Al-Hayat but sometimes it did a better job at
spreading the news faster. He added that at the time, Al-Ahdath surpassed other
dailies like Al-Arab newspaper that was published from London.
Al-Ahdath’s publication was also discontinued in the 1990’s.
7. Al-Resaliah Culture magazine, a monthly political publication affiliated with
the Islamic Front for the Liberation of Bahrain.
8. Al-Hoda magazine, a monthly publication that addressed political and cultural
affairs and which was published in Iraq by Dar Al-Hoda for Culture and
Information. It represents the thinking approach of the reference - Ayatollah
Sayyid Mohammed Taqi al-Modarresi. The magazine is extant to this day.
Criticism and support of Shirazi publications
Some observers view these magazines and dailies as part of a historical era that
was characterized by conflicts between opposition organizations, both leftist
and religious, with governments in the region and as a normal product of change
following the Iranian revolution in 1979 – despite the experience’s adverse or
positive aspects. Others think these magazines and dailies contributed to
forming political awareness, even if relatively, among Arab Shiite. However,
some intellectuals and writers think these publications contributed to a
political rift between Shiite populace and the regimes in states where they
lived, which complicated problems and deceived young men into joining these
movements “whose political ideology was immature.”
These different perspectives are based on one’s partisan political and
intellectual stances. However, what can be noted is that the Shirazi Movement
was one of the most significant religious movements to use the media at an early
stage. It was taken by the media and its guise, and it managed to promote its
ideas, incense its opponents and recruit more followers through it. However,
this same movement fell into the trap of narcissism which inflates the self.
Jurisprudential, intellectual and cultural magazines, related to the Shirazi
Movement or figures and their contribution to conceptual changes will be the
next topic of my discussion in this series of articles.