LCCC
ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
July 05/2018
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias
Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/newselias18/english.july05.18.htm
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Bible
Quotations
You are Simon son of
John. You are to be called Cephas, the rock
John 01/35-42.: "The next day John again was standing with two of his
disciples, and as he watched Jesus walk by, he exclaimed, ‘Look, here is the
Lamb of God! ’ The two disciples heard him say this, and they followed
Jesus. When Jesus turned and saw them following, he said to them, ‘What are
you looking for?’ They said to him, ‘Rabbi’ (which translated means
Teacher), ‘where are you staying?’ He said to them, ‘Come and see.’ They
came and saw where he was staying, and they remained with him that day. It
was about four o’clock in the afternoon. One of the two who heard John speak
and followed him was Andrew, Simon Peter’s brother. He first found his
brother Simon and said to him, ‘We have found the Messiah’ (which is
translated Anointed).He brought Simon to Jesus, who looked at him and said,
‘You are Simon son of John. You are to be called Cephas’ (which is
translated Peter). the rock"
Titles For The Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on July 04-05/18
Cabinet formation still in limbo
following Aoun, Jumblatt meeting/Georgi Azar/Annahar/July 04/18
Lebanese journalist sentenced to prison in absentia, for ‘defaming’ foreign
minister on Facebook/Hassan Chamoun/Global Voices/July 04/18
Iran and the Oil War/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/July 04/18
Would the US Create a New Military Service/David Ignatius/The Washington
Post/July 04/18
Germany: Migration Deal Keeps Merkel in Power, For Now/Soeren Kern/Gatestone
Institute/July 04/18
Indonesia: Falling to Radicals/Lawrence A. Franklin/Gatestone Institute/July
04/18
Water crisis in Iran: Causes, consequences and perspectives/Ali Hajizade/Al
Arabiya/July 04/18
Obama and his many shocking favors to Iran’s rulers/Mashari Althaydi/Al
Arabiya/July 04/18
Arab coalition and the Houthis’ maneuver/Khairallah Khairallah/Al Arabiya/July
04/18
Hamas’ incendiary toys fly as far as Jerusalem Hills. IDF remains passive/DEBKAfile/July
04/18
Ultra-Orthodox Lawmaker Blames Earthquake in Northern Israel on Reform Jews/Haaretz/July
04/18
Titles For The
Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
July 04-05/18
Joumblatt meets Aoun, calls for 3
ministers
Aoun-Jumblat Meeting Fails to Tackle Druze Share Obstacle
Maronite Bishops Warn over Citizenship Decrees
Richard Says U.S. Wants to Help in Building 'Lebanese State'
Report: More Syrian Refugees Leave Arsal for Home this Week
Report: Hizbullah ‘Sending Fighters Back’ from Syria
Minister Qansou Dies after Battle with Illness, Hariri Mourns Him
ISF Arrests Gang Smuggling Drugs to Egypt in Livestock Skin
Bassil Urges 'Proportional' Govt., Slams LF's 'Attacks'
PSP Urges 'Respect for Vote Result', Aswad Says It Can't Get 3 Ministers
Cabinet formation still in limbo following Aoun, Jumblatt meeting
Lebanese journalist sentenced to prison in absentia, for ‘defaming’ foreign
minister on Facebook
Titles For The Latest LCCC
Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on July 04-05/18
1 Dead, 5 Hurt as Car Hits
Pedestrians in World Cup City Sochi
US Considers Designation of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards as Terror Group
Austria to Revoke Immunity of Iranian Diplomat Linked to Bomb Plot
UAE Freezes Accounts of 9 Iranian Individuals, Entities as Part of Terror
List
Cairo Invites Hamas for Talks over Reconciliation
Israeli Army Appoints First Iran Project Director
UN Security Council to hold emergency Syria talks
Syrian rebels say talks with Russia over south ‘failed’
Jordan’s foreign minister tells Russia ceasefire needed in southern Syria
Jordan to open 3 border crossings with Syria to facilitate entry of aid
Israel’s Netanyahu to meet Putin in Moscow next week
Iraq launches major offensive against ISIS after they executed abductees
Enforced security measures taken by The Iraqi government in Baghdad
following the execution
Fears grow Israel set to raze west bank Bedouin village
ISIS Says Baghdadi's Son Killed in Syria
Two People Fall Critically Ill near UK Nerve Poisoning Town
U.N. Envoy Holds 'Fruitful' Talks with Yemen Rebel Chief
The Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on July 04-05/18
Joumblatt meets Aoun,
calls for 3 ministers
The Daily Star/July 04, 2018/BEIRUT: After emerging from an
ice-breaking meeting with the president Wednesday, former MP Walid Joumblatt
told reporters that he was firm in his stance that it’s his right to name
all three Druze ministers in the next Cabinet.But the Progressive Socialist
Party leader said that his discussions with President Michel Aoun did not
directly address the government formation process. “I appreciate the
president’s concern about the unity of the mountains and his calls for calm
and strengthening the coexistence between its children,” Joumblatt said.
Mount Lebanon and the Chouf district are often referred to as “the
mountains,” where bloody clashes between Christians and Druze took place
throughout the Civil War. “The results of the parliamentary elections gave
us the right to request three ministers,” Joumblatt said while speaking to
reporters after the meeting. He also called on his supporters to ease their
rhetoric and attacks on social media against political rivals. The Free
Patriotic Movement - which was founded by Aoun - and the PSP waged a social
media war against each other leading up to May's parliamentary elections.
Tensions peaked last month when Joumblatt said that Aoun's term had "failed
since its first moment." Joumblatt's demand to name all three ministers set
to represent the Druze community has been seen as an attempt to prevent his
Druze rival, MP Talal Arslan, from being named a minister. Aoun and current
FPM leader Gebran Bassil have reportedly insisted on naming Arslan as a
minister. The FPM are aligned with Arslan in a parliamentary bloc for
Chouf-Aley.
Aoun-Jumblat Meeting Fails to Tackle Druze Share Obstacle
Naharnet/July 04/18/A meeting on Wednesday between President
Michel Aoun and Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat anticipated
to solve the Druze share obstacle and facilitate the government formation
process did not come to fruition. Jumblat who met Aoun reportedly at the
latter’s request, told reporters after the meeting at Baabda Palace that his
talks with Aoun discussed the “general situation without addressing the
government formation process,” or the Druze ministerial quota. Anxious
reporters asking Jumblat why didn't he himself bring the subject up since
Aoun has made the first initiative and called him for a meeting a day
earlier, Jumblat answered: “He did not bring it up.”However, disappointed
Jumblat reiterated that “the results of the parliamentary elections gave us
the right to allocate three ministers.”Jumblat insists the three Druze
ministerial seats be part of the PSP’s share. Meanwhile Druze MP Talal
Arslan, of the Strong Lebanon bloc, also demands to get a portfolio. “I
appreciate Aoun’s keenness on the Mountain’s unity. I wish everyone would
alleviate political rhetoric,” concluded Jumblat. Earlier, LBCI television
said Aoun had held phone talks with Jumblat on Monday to prepare for a
meeting. Jumblat had recently described Aoun's presidential tenure as a
“failure,” drawing a storm of fiery responses from politicians loyal to the
president.
Maronite Bishops Warn over Citizenship Decrees
Naharnet/July 04/18/The Council of Maronite Bishops warned Wednesday over
the “negative repercussions” of citizenship decrees, noting that some people
of Lebanese descent are more eligible to obtain citizenship than others.
“The fathers discussed the citizenship decrees that have been issued since
1994 until today and their breach of the law and negative repercussions on
coexistence. Accordingly, they stress that citizenship is closely linked to
the country's identity, dignity, sovereignty and higher interests, and the
officials should not take it lightly under any excuse,” the bishops said in
a statement issued after their monthly meeting in Bkirki. The meeting was
chaired by Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi. “There are people of Lebanese
descent in the diaspora, including personalities who have established their
presence at the global level and in various fields, and they are more
eligible than others to get citizenship,” the Council added. The Interior
Ministry has recently revealed the names of hundreds of people including an
Iraqi vice-president to receive Lebanese nationality under a controversial
presidential decree. The interior ministry published the list after reports
of the May 11 decree emerged and the names of wealthy Syrians close to the
Damascus regime were leaked to the media. Critics slammed the secrecy of the
decree in a country where thousands of people born to Lebanese mothers but
foreign fathers remain unable to acquire citizenship. The list published on
the ministry's website comprised more than 400 names of various
nationalities, including a quarter of Syrians and just over a quarter of
Palestinians. Its most notable include one of Iraq's two vice-presidents,
Iyad Allawi, who is also British and whose mother was Lebanese, as well as
his wife and three children. Foreigners can only be naturalized by
presidential decree, signed by the prime minister and interior minister.
Naturalisation is controversial in the tiny Mediterranean state, where power
is shared according to religious parity. Fears of upsetting that fragile
demographic balance are often cited as the reason Lebanese women cannot pass
their nationality onto children born to foreign fathers.
Richard Says U.S.
Wants to Help in Building 'Lebanese State'
Naharnet/July 04/18/U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Elizabeth
Richard announced Tuesday that the United States wants to support the
Lebanese in their endeavor to “build the Lebanese State.”“Two hundred and
forty two years later, Americans still accept and embrace the courage that
democracy requires. We are not the only democracy that understands this. I
think that Lebanon showed courage this last year, by holding the first
elections in nine years,” Richard said at a Awkar ceremony marking the 242nd
anniversary of America's independence. “Your elected leaders will now have
to continue to show courage as they work to form the next government,” the
ambassador added. “As a U.S. Government, and the U.S. Embassy, we want to
continue to support the important work of helping you build the Lebanese
State,” she went on to say. Noting that Washington continues to invest in
the “development and economic growth” of Lebanon, Richard said the U.S. has
“robust programs in public health, agriculture, and small and medium
business” in Lebanon. “We continue to invest in the future of Lebanon, with
extensive programs in education, from primary school to university
scholarships,” she added. “And we continue to invest heavily in the
professionalization of the Lebanese Armed Forces and the Internal Security
Forces,” Richard reassured. She added: “I believe that as long as we share a
common vision of the future, the United States will continue to support the
citizens of this country as they work to build a better future for Lebanon.”
Report: More Syrian Refugees Leave Arsal for Home this Week
Naharnet/July
04/18/Several hundred Syrian refugees residing in the northeastern border
town of Arsal are expected to return on Saturday as part of a voluntary
repatriation program joining several hundreds who returned last week, LBCI
station said on Wednesday. Around 470 Syrian refugees have returned to
neighbouring Syria last week as part of returns coordinated between both
countries. The repatriations come amid a dispute between the Lebanese
government and the U.N.'s refugee agency, which Beirut accuses of trying to
discourage refugees from going home. UNHCR rejects the charges. The Syrian
government on Tuesday called on refugees to return, saying it has
successfully cleared large areas of "terrorists." The rare appeal reflects
the Syrian government's growing confidence after more than seven years of
war. While officials usually appeal to Syrians abroad to return during
television appearances and interviews, this is the first formal appeal
broadcast on official media. Lebanon hosts around 1 million registered
Syrians — who account for roughly a quarter of the tiny country's population
— and officials have said that Lebanon can no longer afford the strain on
its fragile economy.
Report: Hizbullah ‘Sending Fighters Back’ from Syria
Naharnet/July 04/18/Hizbullah’s participation in the Syrian
war has reportedly “exhausted” the party compelling it to “bring back to
Lebanon almost half of its fighters” fighting alongside the government
forces of President Bashar Assad, the pan-Arab al-Hayat daily reported on
Wednesday. “According to information obtained by France, Hizbullah is
withdrawing almost half of its fighters from Syria back to Lebanon and those
are estimated at a few thousand fighters,” a senior French source told the
daily. The total number of Hizbullah elements battling in the Syrian war
ranges between 5,000 and 8,000, “half of which will be returning back to
Lebanon,” added the source who spoke on condition of anonymity. Furthermore,
he said that “Israel is not targeting Hizbullah in Syria, nor is the party
attacking Israel. It is like a mutual understanding between the two not to
attack, as between Syria’s Assad and Israel,” he added.
Contrary to what Israel believes, the source pointed out that Hizbullah’s
involvement in Syria’s war has strengthened the party despite losing many of
its fighters in battle. “Israeli strikes in Syria are limited to Iranian
positions because Hizbullah has heavy weapons and has gained great military
experience through the war in Syria. This is what Paris told Israel, which
previously believed that the Syrian war would weaken Hizbullah militarily at
a time when Paris saw that Hizbullah was strengthening itself even though it
had lost many elements,” the source pointed out. Israeli officials have come
to realize that any attack against Hizbullah would be “a disaster for
Lebanon and for Israel alike.” He believed that Hizbullah was returning its
fighters from Syria because their presence there has become a subject of
controversy and resentment at its political and popular base because of the
dead who were falling there.
Minister Qansou Dies
after Battle with Illness, Hariri Mourns Him
Naharnet/July
04/18/Caretaker State Minister for Parliament Affairs Ali Qansou passed away
at dawn Wednesday after a battle with illness. Prime Minister-designate Saad
Hariri mourned the late minister and extended condolences to his family and
friends. “We have lost a dear colleague and a special personality who served
in ministerial, political and partisan posts throughout decades,” Hariri's
press office said in a statement. Noting that he got to know Qansou from the
latter's participation in the government, Hariri described him as a “role
model in kindness and cooperation,” adding that he “practiced his missions
with all due competency and responsibility and always knew how to balance
between his political affiliation and his public post.” Qansou, who died at
70, was a former chief of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party. According to
a party statement, Qansou was an SSNP member for five decades.
ISF Arrests Gang Smuggling Drugs to Egypt in Livestock Skin
Naharnet/July 04/18/The Internal Security Forces smashed a
drug-trafficking network operating between Lebanon and Egypt since 2013,
arresting seven suspects who smuggled the drugs by sea in cattle skin
shipments. ISF said they arrested seven Lebanese nationals, ranging between
30 and 54 years old, on June 27 following enormous raids and monitoring in
the regions of al-Hammoudieh, Durus, Bekaa, Sidon, Bourj Hammoud and Ain al-Mrayseh.
The network has been trafficking tons of cannabis and Captagon pills via sea
cargo after hiding them in cattle skin. ISF confiscated two Kalashnikov
rifles, HK combat rifle, Browning military pistol and a quantity of
ammunition in one of the suspect’s houses in Beirut’s Sakiet al-Janzir. They
also seized 4,320 dollars in cash, 1,315 Euros, 123,000 Russian ruble and
1,650,000 LBP. The suspects have admitted that since 2013, they have carried
out 15 smuggling operations from Lebanon to Egypt by sea freight. Each
shipment had weighed between 3 to 10 tons. They said they hid the drugs
between layers of livestock skins and that a new shipment was being prepared
for shipment in the next days before their detentions. It weighed around
seven tons of cannabis and thirty boxes of Captagon, admitted the suspects.
The packaging used to take place in Baalbek’s town of al-Sharawneh and Tal
al-Abyad in Bekaa. The merchandise were then taken to a warehouse owned by
one of the suspects in Bourj Hammoud and al-Ghazieh before being taken to
the Port for shipping. Lebanon coordinated with the competent Egyptian
authorities regarding the seizure of the last smuggled drugs shipment.
Bassil Urges
'Proportional' Govt., Slams LF's 'Attacks'
Naharnet/July 04/18/Free Patriotic Movement chief MP Jebran Bassil on
Wednesday called for distributing the seats of the new Cabinet
“proportionally” and according to the results of the May parliamentary
elections, as he decried the Lebanese Forces' “attacks” on the FPM. “A
nonnegotiable equation must be established, which is the distribution of
seats according to the results of the polls that were held under a
proportional representation system,” Bassil said in an interview with MTV.
Turning to the strained relation with the LF, Bassil said the landmark
Maarab Agreement “should not be implemented à la carte.” “Its political
foundation is based on supporting the presidency and it included a bilateral
agreement – which is nonbinding for others – over the government, the
appointments and the parliamentary elections,” Bassil added. “According to
the applicable distribution, the LF is only eligible to get three ministers,
but we have not said that we do not accept that they get four. But should
they demand five, our bloc should get ten, because our size is double
theirs,” Bassil went on to say. Also referring to the Maarab Agreement, the
FPM chief added: “You cannot unjustly accuse 'your brother' of corruption
and then say that you are seeking partnership between us.” “We tried a lot
not to publicize the dispute with the LF and we did not attack them out of
keenness on the agreement, but their attacks in the recent period were only
focused on the FPM's ministers,” Bassil went on to say.
PSP Urges 'Respect for Vote Result', Aswad Says It
Can't Get 3 Ministers
Naharnet/July 04/18/The Democratic Gathering parliamentary bloc of the
Progressive Socialist Party called Wednesday for “respecting the results of
the elections” in the Cabinet formation process, hours after a meeting
between PSP chief Walid Jumblat and President Michel Aoun.
In a statement issued after its periodic meeting under MP Taymour Jumblat,
the bloc called for “resolving the obstacles, eliminating the hurdles,
respecting the results of the elections, unifying the standards and taking
into consideration the real representation of forces and parties.”
MP Ziad Aswad of the Free Patriotic Movement meanwhile took to Twitter to
emphasize that the PSP should only get two ministers in the new government.
“The election results gave you two ministers. Period. From now on, no one
will be eliminated in Mount Lebanon,” Aswad said, addressing Walid Jumblat
and apparently referring to allocating the third Druze seat to MP Talal
Arslan, who was allied with the FPM in the elections. Speaking to reporters
after his meeting with Aoun, Jumblat said their talks did not tackle the
issue of the cabinet formation process. “No, we did not tackle this issue.
The president did not raise the issue with me and I, in my turn, did not
raise it,” Jumblat said. Asked whether he was still insisting that the PSP
be allocated all three Druze seats in the government, Jumblat answered:
“Yes, because this is the vote result. Popular and political voting gave us
this right. We might all lose in the upcoming elections.” Druze
representation and Christian representation are the two main obstacles
hindering the formation of the new government. Another obstacle is the
representation of the so-called Sunni opposition.
Cabinet formation
still in limbo following Aoun, Jumblatt meeting
Georgi Azar/Annahar/July 04/18
Joumblatt met with Aoun at the Baabda Presidential Palace, with talks
focusing on maintaining “national unity” and stability in the mountainous
Chouf district in the wake of the recent armed clashes between PSP and
Lebanese Democratic Party supporters. BEIRUT: Socialist Party leader Walid
Joumblatt denied that his meeting with President Michel Aoun tackled the
formation of a new Cabinet, which has failed to come to fruition ever since
it entered its caretaker mode on May 21. Joumblatt met with Aoun at the
Baabda Presidential Palace, saying that the “matter didn’t come up in our
talks.”Talks instead focused on maintaining “national unity” and stability
in the mountainous Chouf district in the wake of the recent armed clashes
between PSP and Lebanese Democratic Party supporters. Following the
conclusion of the May 6 parliamentary elections, clashes erupted between
both sets of Druze supporters, killing one PSP member. The LDP, led by Talal
Arslan, issued a joint statement with the PSP calling on their supporters to
show restraint to avoid further escalation. Touching on his recent
comments labeling Aoun’s tenure as a failure for blaming his presidency's
shortcomings on the plight of Syrian refugees, Joumblatt refused to “back
down from his stance.”“If his tenure was partially a success, then a
solution to the electricity issue would have been found and the deficit
would not have increased by two billion dollars,” he said. The rift between
the PSP and the Free Patriotic Movement, founded by Aoun in 2005, rests on
Joumblatt’s demand to solely pick the three ministerial posts up for grabs,
leaving Arslan out of the equation. Arslan aligned himself with the FPM
during the parliamentary elections, which yielded a sizable win for the FPM
and their allies after they increased their bloc to 29 MPs. Joumblatt
doubled down further on his stance following the meeting, telling reporters
that his demand is based on “the results of the popular and electoral votes
which give us this right.”The PSP managed to secure nine seats across the 15
districts.
Lebanese journalist
sentenced to prison in absentia, for ‘defaming’ foreign minister on Facebook
Hassan Chamoun/Global Voices/July 04/18
A Lebanese journalist was convicted in absentia of defaming acting Minister
of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants Gebran Bassil in a Facebook post.
A court in the western Lebanese city of Baabda sentenced Fidaa Itani to four
months in prison and a fine of 10 million Lebanese lira (roughly USD $6660)
on June 29, 2018.
Fidaa Itani is a journalist who focuses on Syria and the refugee crisis.
The Facebook post in question leveraged a complex critique of political and
military actions by various powerful actors in Lebanon. Itani decried raids
carried out by the Lebanese army in Arsal last year, which resulted in the
death of Syrian citizens in detention. He also criticized the continuous
nationalist push for the forced removal of refugees on Lebanese territories.
Itani went on to express concern about the Lebanese political party and
militant group Hezbollah. Itani has publicly opposed Hezbollah's military
intervention in Syria on behalf of the Assad regime.
Shortly thereafter, lawyers for the army and the presidency filed a lawsuit
against Itani. On top of this, he began receiving direct threats from people
associated with Hezbollah. In short order, he fled the country and sought
exile in the UK.
In an interview with the francophone Lebanese newspaper L'Orient le Jour,
Itani explained that the original suit, filed by lawyers claiming to
represent the Lebanese president and the army, seems to have vanished and
now been replaced by the case brought by Gebran Bassil.
Translation Original Quote
I don't know how the first legal action disappeared, nor what was cooked
with the case between services of the military intelligence and the
president of the republic, or even Hezbollah. Although it seems that Gebran
Bassil volunteered to institute an action in their stead.
Itani also said that he had not received official confirmation of the
sentence, and only heard the news from media reports. He also told Maharat
Foundation, a free speech NGO, that acting Minister Bassil has filed a total
of nine cases against him, including this one.
Reacting on both Facebook and Twitter, Fidaa Itani was unsurprisingly
critical of the judge's decision. Sharing an article citing his prison
sentence, he commented: “More repression and more robberies.”
The sentence of Itani was reported, criticized and denounced by some
Lebanese and international organizations.
In an email sent to reporters, Bassam Khawaja, Lebanon researcher at Human
Rights Watch, said:
Sentencing a journalist to four months in prison for a critical Facebook
post is an outrageous attack on free speech that lays bare the lack of
meaningful protections for freedom of expression in Lebanon. Lebanon’s new
parliament should act quickly to abolish laws that criminalize defamation,
which are disproportionate, unnecessary, and violate international human
rights law.
Indeed, Lebanon's penal code criminalizes defamation and makes special
provisions against insulting the president, the flag, and other public
officials. The country's military code criminalizes “insulting the flag or
army”. These offenses all are punishable with fines and prison time, and
offer no special exception for journalistic work.
According to Freedom House 2016 Report on Lebanon:
Lebanese journalists complain that media laws are chaotic, contradictory,
and ambiguously worded. Provisions concerning the media, which justify the
prosecution of journalists, can be found in the penal code, the Publications
Law, the 1994 Audiovisual Media Law, and the military justice code.
Rising pressure on free expression in Lebanon
In Lebanon's legal landscape, court cases against journalists are not a new
phenomenon, but such incidents have multiplied in recent months, with a
smattering of charges against journalists, TV show hosts, and commentators.
On January 24, 2018, TV comedy show host Hisham Haddad was prosecuted for
making jokes at the expense of Prime Minister Saad Hariri and Saudi crown
prince Mohammad Bin Salman.
In March 2018, the owner of the website Lebanon Debate was sentenced to six
months in prison and was ordered to pay 10 million Lebanese Lira, after
being found guilty of libel in a case brought by the Director General of
Customs.
In November 2017, prominent Lebanese TV host Marcel Ghanem was prosecuted
for obstruction of justice after he resisted charges brought against two of
his guests, both Saudi journalists, who denounced Lebanese President Aoun
and Minister Bassil of being “Hezbollah's partner in terrorism.” The case
against Ghanem was dropped.
In another article written by L'Orient Le Jour, Marcel Ghanem was reported
saying that the arrests of journalists and their convictions was the result
of “muzzling practiced by the ruling powers under the cover of the struggle
against terrorism or Israel”.
But public prosecutors are not the only legal entities bringing charges of
defamation and libel against media workers. On January 10, 2018, the
Lebanon's notoriously harsh military court sentenced in absentia Lebanese
journalist and researcher Hanin Ghaddar for defaming the Lebanese army at a
conference held in the USA in 2014. Her sentence was later overturned.
Ten days later, military intelligence summoned human rights defender Ovada
Yousef over Facebook posts. Yousef told Human Rights Watch that he was
detained by the military and police for four days.
Maharat Foundation, a media and free speech NGO, has called for Lebanese
judicial authorities to take into account the right of criticism against
public persons:
Translation Original Quote
Maharat also calls on the new parliament to speed up the reforms it has
introduced with the MP Ghassan Mukhaiber, notably the abolition of the
prison sentence and the preventive detention of anyone expressing his
opinion by any means, including the Internet, and broadening the concept of
public criticism.
Time will tell if their initiative amounts to real change in the country's
free speech environment.
The Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News
published
on July 04-05/18
1 Dead, 5 Hurt as Car
Hits Pedestrians in World Cup City Sochi
Associated Press/Naharnet/July 04/18/A car veered onto the
sidewalk and struck people near a bus stop in the Russian city of Sochi,
killing one pedestrian and injuring five others. In a video shown by state
news channel Russia-24, a black car traveling at high speed on a main street
veers across two lanes of traffic and crashes into the pedestrians, then
plows through a railing and collides with a car traveling on a cross-street.
News reports said preliminary information suggested the driver had fallen
asleep at the wheel. Wednesday's accident occurred in the Dagomys district
of Sochi, one of the 11 cities hosting soccer World Cup matches.
US Considers
Designation of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards as Terror Group
Washington - Moaz al-Omari/Asharq Al-Awsat/July, 04/18/Iran’s Revolutionary
Guard Corps and its classification on the list of terrorist organizations
was currently discussed by the US administration, CNN quoted US officials as
saying. Sources close to US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said he supported
the IRGC’s classification on the terrorism list. The sources pointed out
that this move has been on the table of discussion for months, and was being
studied intensively recently as part of the United States’ escalation in
strategy towards Iran. According to CNN, the move would allow the US
Treasury, Justice and State departments to freeze IRGC assets, target its
leadership criminally and restrict its travel. Separately, a US human rights
report revealed Iranian inhumane practices towards children, women and
immigrants. The report classified Iran as one of the worst human rights and
human trafficking countries of 2018. Syria, Myanmar and Yemen are also on
the list. According to the US State Department report, a number of Iranian
government officials are accused of complicity in human trafficking, such as
forced recruitment of men and boys. The report also emphasized the
recruitment of Afghans under the age of 13 in Iran, to fight with
Iranian-backed militias in the Middle East. The Iranian government has also
provided financial support to the militias fighting in Iraq, the report
said, adding that Tehran continued to detain migrants, some of whom may be
victims of human trafficking, in detention centers and prisons awaiting
deportation. Some of the detainees were severely physically assaulted and
sometimes killed, according to the report. Officials in international human
rights organizations said they identified 800 women who had been victims of
a smuggling network abroad for prostitution in countries neighboring Iran
such as Iraq, Turkey and Pakistan, as well as Europe.
Austria to Revoke Immunity of Iranian Diplomat Linked
to Bomb Plot
Asharq Al-Awsat/July, 04/18/Austria will seek to lift the legal immunity of
an Iranian diplomat linked to a bomb plot against an Iranian opposition
rally that was held in France over the weekend. The Iranian government was
notified that the man's diplomatic status would be canceled within 48 hours
unless Tehran does so first, Matthias Forenbacher, a spokesman for Austria's
foreign minister, told The Associated Press. The diplomat, Assadollah Assadi,
was detained Sunday near the German city of Aschaffenburg on a European
arrest warrant after a couple with Iranian roots was stopped in Belgium and
authorities reported finding powerful explosives in their car. The web site
of the Austrian Foreign Ministry lists Assadi as a counselor at the Iranian
Embassy in Vienna. Iran's ambassador was summoned to the ministry Monday and
asked to "contribute to clarifying the situation," Forenbacher said. Iranian
President Hassan Rouhani is scheduled to travel to Austria on Wednesday for
a long-planned visit. Belgian authorities accuse Assadi of being part of a
plot to set off explosives at a rally of the National Council of Resistance
of Iran (NCRI) in neighboring France and want him extradited.
Munich prosecutors told the AP they are also investigating the diplomat in
connection with the alleged plan. Iranian Foreign Minister Mohamad Javad
Zarif called the allegations of a foiled extremist plot a ploy Monday.
Rouhani's visit to Switzerland and Austria was shaken by the diplomat’s
arrest. Details of his arrest emerged as Rouhani began a European tour
seeking assurances about the Iranian nuclear deal, which has been thrown in
to doubt after the unilateral withdrawal of the US. The plotters were
planning on targeting a meeting of the Paris-based NCRI - an umbrella bloc
of opposition groups in exile that seek an end to clerical rule in Iran. The
NCRI meeting, which attracted a crowd of thousands, took place on Saturday
in Villepinte, just outside Paris, a three-hour drive from Brussels. US
President Donald Trump's lawyer Rudy Giuliani and several former European
and Arab ministers attended the meeting.
UAE Freezes Accounts of 9 Iranian Individuals, Entities
as Part of Terror List
Abu Dhabi /Asharq Al-Awsat/July 04/18/The Securities and Commodities
Authority (SCA) issued an order to freeze the funds and assets of nine
Iranian individuals and entities on UAE’s terror list. The Authority issued
a circular to all companies working in regulated securities and commodities
about the required procedures to implement the Cabinet’s resolution, which
relates to the list of terrorist organizations and individuals, reported the
Emirati News Agency (WAM). SCA requires companies working in securities and
commodities to identify and freeze any funds, securities, commodities
belonging to the nine Iranian individuals and entities on the list. The
procedures also require the companies to freeze funds linked to the listed
individuals and entities, or persons related to them. The SCA does not
require the companies to freeze any accounts, whether funds, securities or
commodities, if the names and related details are not completely identical
to those on the list, and in case of doubt, they should contact the SCA's
Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorism Financing Procedures unit. SCA
urged related parties and investors in UAE-based financial markets to report
any suspicious transactions as part of its ongoing cooperation and
coordination efforts with government bodies and departments. In May,
following the US decision, the UAE placed the nine Iranians on its list of
terrorists and terrorist organizations for suspected connections with Iran’s
Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC).
Cairo Invites Hamas for Talks over Reconciliation
Ramallah/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 04/18/Egypt’s intelligence service invited the
head of Hamas Politburo, Ismail Haniyeh, to visit Cairo within the next few
days to discuss various issues, mainly the stumbling Palestinian
reconciliation. Several sources in Hamas confirmed that Haniyeh had received
an invitation to visit the Egyptian capital along with a senior delegation
from the movement. The sources expected the visit to take place as soon as
possible, “perhaps next week.” The sources said the main aim of the
invitation was to resume Egypt’s efforts to complete the reconciliation
between Fatah and Hamas. Egypt decided to intensify its contacts with all
parties in order to remove obstacles to the implementation of the agreement
it sponsored on October 12 last year. Egyptian efforts came after the
appointment of a new Egyptian intelligence chief. Before Hamas received an
invitation to visit Cairo, Fatah Central Committee member Azzam al-Ahmad
held talks with Egyptian officials in this regard. Al-Ahmad said that Egypt
has started moving towards completing the reconciliation file. Sources told
Asharq Al-Awsat that Egypt wanted to reach a specific agreement with Hamas
on controversial issues with Fatah, such as security empowerment, as well as
the possibility of forming a unity government to prepare for the general
elections. Egypt has also asked Hamas to maintain peaceful “return marches”
so as not to cause a deterioration of the situation that could lead to a new
war. Abbas had announced his intention to take national and financial
measures against the Gaza Strip after the assassination attempt on the
Palestinian prime minister in Gaza last March. The assassination attempt
froze all contacts on reconciliation that had already been stalled between
the two movements.
Israeli Army Appoints First Iran Project Director
Tel Aviv- Nazir Majli/Asharq Al-Awsat/July 04/18/After Israel’s Security
Agency, known as Shin Bet, revealed an “Iranian plot” to assassinate former
Prime Minister Ehud Barak, military sources in Tel Aviv indicated that Chief
of Staff Lt.-Gen. Gadi Eisenkot has appointed Maj.-Gen. Nitzan Alon as the
first director of a special Israeli project to coordinate all issues related
to confronting Iran. Sources explained that Alon, who recently left his role
as head of the military’s Operations Directorate, accompanied Eisenkot on
his recent trip to the United States and participated in meetings with US
military leaders, including Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen Joseph
Dunford. Military experts pointed out that this is the first time the
Israeli army has appointed a project director for Iran issues, who will deal
with Iran’s nuclear program, coordinating intelligence gathering with other
countries and countering Iran’s presence in Syria.
In the past, Israel's national intelligence agency Mossad was responsible
for the “Iran file” under prime ministers Ariel Sharon and Ehud Olmert. Yet,
since the war between Iran and Israel has come into the open, the
appointment of a “special project head” underscores the overwhelming
importance Israel sees for these developments. As per his part, Alon will
also be responsible for coordination between the Israeli and US security
establishments, knowing that both countries are in constant coordination
regarding the Iranian file. Both US and Israel haven’t concealed their
interest in changing the regime in Tehran. Based on Israeli reports, US
pressures on Iran, especially the enforcement of additional sanctions, are
having an unexpectedly significant impact. Part of this can be seen in the
growing protests in large Iranian cities in the face of the worsening
economic situation and critical water shortage. Alon was head of the
Operations Directorate, and security sources estimate that he can be
credited for what is called the “Israeli growing successes” on everything
related to Israel’s “war between the wars” against Iran, Hezbollah and
Shiite militias. He was also charged with maintaining the connection between
the Israeli army, Military Intelligence and the Mossad and he reports
directly to the chief of staff. In other news, head of Shin Bet domestic
security service Nadav Argaman met last week former prime minister Ehud
Barak to discuss the latter’s personal safety, amid reported concerns of
Iran seeking to attempt to target him and other prominent Israelis traveling
abroad. The unusual meeting which was only attended by Barak and Argaman
took place at short notice. They discussed the safety and security of Barak
who frequently travels abroad and does not have bodyguards assigned to him.
He sometimes carries a sidearm. Both Barak and the Shin Bet refused to
comment on the matter. Security reports have stated that Iran is planning to
attack what it described as “Israeli targets” outside Israel in revenge
after the T-4 army base in Syria was struck in an air raid killing at
Iranian members. Security agencies indicate that Iran might target former
Israeli military and political leaders who travel as businessmen.
UN Security Council to
hold emergency Syria talks
AFP, US/Wednesday, 4 July 2018/The UN Security Council will hold an
emergency meeting Thursday to discuss the Syrian army’s Russia-backed
offensive against rebel groups that has forced some 300,000 people to flee,
diplomats said. Sweden, which holds the rotating Security Council
presidency, requested the closed-door meeting along with Kuwait, Swedish
diplomats said Tuesday. The United Nations estimates that between 270,000
and 330,000 Syrians have fled since June 19 the ongoing bombings in the
southwestern province of Daraa.
For Thursday’s meeting, the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian
Affairs will report to the 15 Council members about the humanitarian
situation in Daraa, which borders Jordan.
Increasing violence
The increased violence “indicates yet another failure by the parties of the
conflict to protect civilians and civilian infrastructure,” Sweden’s UN
mission said. “Efforts must be intensified to de-escalate violence, also to
enable the UN cross-border convoy from Jordan that is on standby at the
border to deploy as soon as possible.” Jordan and Israel have said their
borders would remain closed, even as tens of thousands of Syrians flee the
government offensive. Jordan, which has recorded some 650,000 Syrian
refugees to the UN on its soil, says it can no longer accept more. “Intense
air and ground based strikes have reportedly continued in multiple areas in
Syria’s Daraa Governorate, resulting in the death and injury of civilians
and the largest displacement in the area since the conflict began,” UN
deputy spokesman Farhan Haq told reporters. “The situation of internally
displaced people at the Jordanian border is precarious, aggravated by dusty
desert winds and high temperatures of up to 45 degrees Celsius (113
Fahrenheit).”He pointed to local reports of at least 12 children, two women
and one elderly man who have died near the Jordanian border from scorpion
bites, dehydration and disease spread through contaminated water. Haq said
the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights had
urged Jordan to open its border and for other countries in the region to
welcome the civilian refugees. More than 350,000 people have been killed
since Syria’s brutal civil war began in 2011, with millions more displaced.
All international calls to halt the offensive in Daraa have so far fallen on
deaf ears.
Syrian rebels say talks with Russia over south ‘failed’
AFP, Beirut/Wednesday, 4 July 2018/Syrian rebels said Wednesday that talks
with regime ally Russia on handing over their remaining territory in the
southern province of Daraa had failed, as they opposed giving up their heavy
arms. “Negotiations with the Russian enemy in Busra al-Sham have failed,
after they insisted on the surrender of heavy weapons,” the rebels’ Central
Operations Room in the South said in a tweet. “This round of negotiations
didn’t produce any results... The session ended and no future meetings have
been set,” spokesman Ibrahim Jabbawi said. Earlier on Wednesday, Jordanian
Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi told Russia that political dialogue and a
ceasefire were priorities for southern Syria where he said a humanitarian
catastrophe risked unfolding. Safadi made the comment after holding talks
with his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Moscow.
Jordan’s foreign minister tells Russia ceasefire needed in southern Syria
Reuters, Moscow/Wednesday, 4 July 2018/Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman
Safadi told Russia on Wednesday that political dialogue and a ceasefire were
priorities for southern Syria where he said a humanitarian catastrophe
risked unfolding. Safadi made the comment after holding talks with his
Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Moscow.He said the situation in
southern Syria was a cause for serious concern and needed to be resolved as
soon as possible. The Russian-backed Syrian government has mounted a
campaign to recover southwestern Syria from rebels. Syrian rebel negotiators
began a new round of talks with Russian officers on Tuesday over a peace
deal in southern Syria under which they would hand over weapons and allow
Russian military police to enter rebel-held towns.
Jordan to open 3 border crossings with Syria to facilitate entry of aid
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English/Wednesday, 4 July 2018/The Jordanian
government announced on Wednesday the opening of three border crossings with
Syria to hasten operations of delivering humanitarian aid to displaced
Syrians from Southern Syria. “The government decided to open the three
border crossings on Wednesday in order to facilitate the transit of
humanitarian aid to displaced Syrians,” the Ammon news agency cited
Jordanian government spokeswoman Jumana Ghunaimat as saying. Ghunaimat did
not elaborate on which border crossings will be opened, but she said that 36
trucks carrying humanitarian aid crossed in the direction of the Syrian
territories. Earlier, the Jordanian army expressed in a statement its
concern that ISIS and other radical groups will take advantage of the
displacement crisis in the Daraa province south of Syria. In an interview
with the al-Hadath news channel, Jordanian army general Awda al-Shudeifat
said that Jordan will hold on to its decision not to open its border to let
in more displaced Syrians, expressing the country’s concern about the
infiltration of terrorists among the refugees. On another development,
Jordanian government spokeswoman Ghunaimat revealed that negotiations
between Russia and Syrian opposition have resumed with the help of Jordanian
mediation. The spokeswoman said “a Jordanian mediation has finally resulted
in the return of negotiations between the two parties” adding that this
mediation also resulted in “the formation of an expanded negotiating
committee representing the whole south, in order to reach to an agreement
that preserves the blood of innocent people and ensures the safety of the
people to create the conditions for a final political solution.”
Israel’s Netanyahu to meet Putin in Moscow next week
Reuters, Jerusalem/Wednesday, 4 July 2018/Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu will meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow next week,
Netanyahu’s office said in a brief statement on Tuesday. The meeting is set
for Wednesday, July 11. Netanyahu and Putin meet periodically and discuss
regional issues, particularly concerning mutual interests in the civil war
in Syria and to avoid accidental clashes between Israeli and Russian forces
that both operate in Syria. The two leaders last met in Moscow in May.
Israel is also concerned that Iran is establishing a military presence in
Syria, and it has attacked Iranian targets there. Backed by Russia, Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad launched an offensive last month to regain the
southwestern Deraa region, driving thousands of refugees toward neighboring
Jordan and Israel. On Sunday, Israel beefed up its tank and artillery
deployment on the Golan Heights frontier with Syria, cautioning Damascus’
forces to keep a distance as they sweep rebel-held areas over the border.
“We have a separation of forces agreements with Syria since 1974, this is a
fundamental arrangement. We will follow it meticulously and it is incumbent
on all others to do the same,” Netanyahu said on Tuesday in a veiled warning
that Israel will not accept any breach of the frontier. Putin and Netanyahu
held a phone conversation last month and agreed to strengthen coordination
on Syria and discussed joint efforts to ensure security in the area of the
Syrian-Israeli border, the Kremlin said.
Iraq launches major offensive against ISIS after they
executed abductees
Enforced security measures taken by The Iraqi government in Baghdad
following the execution
AFP, IraqWednesday, 4 July 2018/Iraqi forces launched a major operation
against remnants of ISIS on Wednesday following public anger over the
extremists’ murder of a group of abducted civilians. Dubbed “Vengeance for
the Martyrs”, the operation will see army, special forces, police and
Kurdish peshmerga fighters hunting down ISIS cells in the center of the
country, Iraq’s Joint Operations Command (JOC) said in a statement. It comes
after the bodies of eight ISIS captives were found late last month along a
highway north of Baghdad. Some of the abductees had appeared in a video in
which ISIS threatened to execute them unless Baghdad released female
prisoners. The JOC statement said army, federal police, special forces,
peshmerga fighters and the Hashed al-Shaabi paramilitary force had launched
“a vast operation to clear out the region east of the Diyala-Kirkuk”
highway. The operation was being supported by the Iraqi air force and the
US-led coalition that intervened against ISIS in Iraq and Syria after the
extremists seized control of large parts of both countries in 2014. One
extremist had already been killed and eight captured, the JOC said, and
equipment including vehicles and bombs destroyed.
The operation marked the first time that federal Iraqi forces and the
peshmerga were working together since clashes following last year’s Kurdish
independence referendum. Iraq declared victory over ISIS in December after
expelling the jihadists from all major towns and cities in a vast offensive.
But the Iraqi military has kept up operations targeting mostly remote desert
areas from where jihadists have continued to carry out attacks. Prime
Minister Haider al-Abadi had vowed to avenge the eight civilians killed by
ISIS and ordered the execution of hundreds of convicted jihadists. Thirteen
extremists on death row were executed last week.
Fears grow Israel set to raze west bank Bedouin village
AFP/Wednesday, 4 July 2018/Residents and activists voiced concern on
Wednesday that Israel is set to raze a Bedouin village in a strategic part
of the occupied West Bank ignoring international calls for a reprieve.
Activists said the Israeli military issued a warrant to the 173 residents of
Khan al-Ahmar on Tuesday authorizing it to seize access roads to the
village. Heavy equipment, including at least one bulldozer, were seen around
the village on Wednesday, leading to speculation a road was being prepared
to facilitate its evacuation and demolition. “Today they are proceeding with
infrastructure work to facilitate the demolition and forcible transfer of
residents,” Amit Gilutz, spokesperson for Israeli human rights group
B’Tselem, told AFP. Israeli authorities say the village and its school were
built illegally and in May, the supreme court rejected a final appeal
against its demolition. But activists say the villagers had little
alternative but to build without Israeli construction permits as the
documents are near impossible for Palestinians to obtain for that part of
the occupied West Bank. Israel authorities say they have offered villagers a
relocation site. They did not immediately responded to a request for comment
on Wednesday. Britain’s minister of state for the Middle East, Alistair
Burt, visited the village in May and called on the Israeli government to
show restraint. He warned that any forced relocation “could constitute
forcible transfer of people as far as the United Nations is
concerned.”Forcible transfer is considered a violation of the Geneva
Conventions. Khan al-Ahmar is located east of Jerusalem near several Israeli
settlements along a road leading to the Dead Sea. Activists are concerned
continued Israeli settlement construction in the area could effectively
divide the West Bank in two.
ISIS Says Baghdadi's Son Killed in Syria
London/Asharq Al Awsat/July 04/18/Hudhayfah al-Badri, son of ISIS leader Abu
Bakr al-Baghdadi, was killed in the central Syrian province of Homs, the
ISIS propaganda agency Amaq announced Tuesday. Al-Badri was killed in an
operation “at the thermal power station in Homs,” the group said in a
statement alongside a photo of a young man holding an assault rifle.
Meanwhile, Human Rights Watch said that a local group working to uncover
mass graves in the area of northeastern Syria once controlled by ISIS needs
international support and technical assistance to preserve evidence of
possible crimes and identify the remains. With an unknown number of mass
graves in the city of Raqqa and surrounding areas and thousands of bodies
left to be recovered, local authorities affiliated with the Raqqa Civil
Council are struggling to cope with the logistical challenges of collecting
and organizing information about the bodies recovered and providing it to
families searching for missing or dead relatives, the US-based organization
said in a report. “Raqqa city has at least nine mass graves, each one
estimated to have dozens, if not hundreds, of bodies, making exhumations a
monumental task,” said Priyanka Motaparthy, acting emergencies director at
HRW. “Without the right technical assistance, these exhumations may not
provide families with the answers they have been waiting for and could
damage or destroy evidence crucial to future justice efforts.” Members of
the international community now providing recovery and stabilization
support, most prominently the United States, should support local
authorities in developing and maintaining a more precise system for storing
information on missing persons and identifying exhumed remains, HRW added.
Two People Fall Critically Ill near UK Nerve Poisoning
Town
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/July 04/18/Two people are critically ill in
hospital after suspected exposure to an "unknown substance" near the English
town where a former Russian spy was poisoned with a nerve agent, officials
said Wednesday. Counter-terrorism police, who the led the investigation into
the poisoning of Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia, said they were
assisting local police in the investigation which has been declared a "major
incident" by the emergency services. Scientists at Britain's defense
laboratory at Porton Down are carrying out tests to try and establish if
there is any connection between the two incidents, British media reported.
The couple, a man and a woman in their 40s, were discovered unconscious at a
house in a quiet, newly-built area in Amesbury, a village near the
prehistoric monument of Stonehenge. Local man Sam Hobson, 29, told AFP he
was a friend of the pair, identifying them as Charlie Rowley and Dawn
Sturgess. He said that Sturgess fell ill first then Rowley later on. "He was
sweating loads, dribbling, and you couldn't speak to him, he was making
funny noises and he was rocking backwards and forwards. It's like he was in
another world," Hobson said. Amesbury is about 12 kilometers (eight miles)
from Salisbury, where the Skripals were found slumped on a bench in March in
an incident that sparked a bitter diplomatic crisis with Russia.
PM 'regularly updated'
Prime Minister Theresa May's Downing Street office said the incident was
being treated "with the utmost seriousness" and that she and top ministers
were being kept "regularly updated."Officials also held an emergency meeting
at the Cabinet Office "to receive updates on the facts and the situation on
the ground," May's spokesman said. "The position we're at is as was set out
by Wiltshire police overnight... it's important that we let them get on with
their work."The two patients "are both currently receiving treatment for
suspected exposure to an unknown substance at Salisbury District Hospital,"
a police statement said. "They are both in a critical condition."The
hospital is the same one where the Skripals were treated. The pair were
found on Saturday with police saying they initially suspected they had
fallen ill after using "heroin or crack cocaine from a contaminated batch of
drugs.""However, further testing is now ongoing to establish the substance
which led to these patients becoming ill and we are keeping an open mind."
'Such a quiet place'
Security cordons have been set up around the areas where the pair went
before they fell ill with security boosted in both Amesbury and Salisbury. A
spokesman for Public Health England (PHE) said "it is not believed that
there is a significant health risk to the wider public."
Local resident Natalie Smyth, 27, told AFP she saw fire engines and
ambulances arrive at the house on Saturday. "They shut the road. They said
it was a chemical incident and then that it was drug-related. "It is so
strange, it is such a quiet place," she said, indicating that the emergency
services personnel were wearing protective suits. Robert Yuill, a local
councilor, said the emergency services reaction to the incident was "far
less intense" than after the Skripal poisoning.
Police 'containing any risk'
One of the areas cordoned off was Amesbury Baptist Church, where the pair
had attended a party on Saturday. "We understand this may well be the last
event this couple went to in public," church secretary Roy Collins told
reporters. "We are all quite puzzled and shocked -- naturally the connection
with Salisbury and recent events there mean there is a heightened public
interest," he said. Collins said around 200 people had attended the event
but "nobody else has suffered any ill effects". Wiltshire's Police and Crime
Commissioner Angus Macpherson said there was "no reason to think it's
connected" to the Skripal case. Skripal, 67, and his 33-year-old daughter
Yulia, who was visiting from Moscow, collapsed on March 4 in Salisbury and
were treated for an extended period of time before being released from
hospital. A police officer who came to their aid, Nick Bailey, was also
taken to hospital.
Moscow has rejected British accusations of involvement in the Skripal
poisoning, which sparked a diplomatic crisis that saw Russia and the West
expelling dozens of diplomats in tit-for-tat moves. Britain said a
Soviet-made nerve agent dubbed novichok was used on the Skripals.
U.N. Envoy Holds 'Fruitful' Talks with Yemen Rebel
Chief
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/July 04/18/The U.N. envoy for Yemen said
Wednesday he had held "fruitful" talks with rebel leader Abdulmalik al-Huthi
in his bid to avert all-out fighting for the strategic port city of Hodeida.
"I'm greatly reassured by the messages I have received, which have been
positive and constructive," Martin Griffiths told reporters at Sanaa airport
after two days of talks in the rebel-held capital. "All parties have not
only underscored their strong desire for peace, but have also engaged with
me on concrete ideas for achieving peace," he said. "I'm especially thankful
to Abdulmalik al-Huthi, whom I met yesterday, for his support and the
fruitful discussion we held."Griffiths said he would brief the U.N. Security
Council on Thursday on his latest talks in Yemen, where a brutal war between
the rebels and the Saudi-backed government threatens to engulf Hodeida, the
entry point for desperately needed humanitarian aid. In the coming days, the
U.N. envoy is to meet President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi, whose loyalists have
reached the southern outskirts of the Red Sea port city with support from
Emirati troops. On June 13, the government and its allies in a regional
coalition, led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE, launched a major assault on
Hodeida, sparking U.N. fears of a fresh humanitarian crisis in a country on
the brink of famine. Griffiths, who was appointed to the post in February
after his predecessor threw in the towel, said finding a solution to the
Hodeida conflict could create "positive conditions" for the "rapid and
urgent restart of political negotiations in the coming days." Hodeida is the
latest battleground in the Yemeni conflict, which has killed nearly 10,000
people since 2015, 2,200 of them children. The Red Sea port provides a
lifeline for the 22 million Yemenis dependent on humanitarian aid and is
also the point of entry for three-quarters of the country's commercial
imports. The government and the Saudi-led alliance accuse the Iran-backed
rebels of receiving smuggled weapons through Hodeida and have demanded their
unconditional withdrawal from the city, which they have held since 2014.
The Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published
on July 04-05/18
Iran and the Oil War
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al Awsat/July 04/18
We can attribute most of the region’s wars, whether directly or indirectly,
to the conflict over oil. Today, we are in the midst of a major regional oil
war, which Iran wants to use against the West and which its adversaries want
to use to stifle it.
Iranian Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri had threatened Saudi Arabia and the
Arab Gulf, without naming them, when he said: “Anyone trying to take away
Iran’s oil market (share) would be committing great treachery against Iran
and will one day pay for it.”
His statement came shortly after a telephone call between the Saudi king and
the US president in which they agreed to support the stability of the oil
market. President Donald Trump said Saudi Arabia will support the stability
of the market and raise output by 2 million barrels per day if needed.
The drop in oil prices, however, is the least of the Iranian regime’s
concerns, especially given that its oil production capacity has been
weakened after a series of blows dealt to it by the American administration.
Washington has prevented American oil companies and other firms from
carrying out drilling, production and shipping operations.
Pressure on Tehran increased with the foreign tours by the US Secretary of
State and the retreat of major markets, like India, from buying Iranian oil.
The Iranian rial hit an all-time low with Trump’s launching of his economic
war on Tehran. This reignited rallies in Iranian cities in protest against
the poor economic situation.
The rapid economic sanctions are very effective and are certainly better
than military confrontation, which may erupt as a result of the Iranian
regime’s expansion and foreign wars. With the dwindling of the government’s
sources of income, Iran has indeed started to decline in what may end with
its collapse if it does not garner the approval of the supreme leader to
make major concessions. We can rule out this option at the moment and until
the end of the year.
The Iranian VP’s threats are directed at Saudi Arabia because it ruined its
ability to resist the boycott, while meeting the needs of Iran’s markets,
like India. By increasing production, Iran will also fail in playing its
only card against Washington, which is that the lack of supply could have
forced the Trump administration to back down on its oil embargo against
Iran.
Iran can sell its oil, but in small amounts and for cheap prices. It will
immediately lose its main revenues, which it is using to fund its war in
Syria, Yemen, and, of course, Lebanon. It is unlikely to stop paying the
wages of its employees and finance subsidies of the citizens’ essential
products, because this will quicken the demise of the regime, which has been
sitting in a precarious position for nearly a year and a half now.
The oil game is important in the American-Gulf-Iranian war. Perhaps it’s the
strongest weapon in the strategy to pressure Iran to back down and accept
the US’s 12 conditions or it may later lead to the collapse of the regime.
Let’s not forget that it’s through oil that Ayatollah Khomeini reached power
when the movement that opposed the Shah succeeded in halting work at
refineries and stopped oil exports, and the Shah’s departure became a
domestic and foreign demand.
Would the US Create a New Military Service?
David Ignatius/The Washington Post/July 04/18
President Trump has hurled so many thunderbolts recently that people may
have missed the one that could have the greatest long-term impact on
America’s national security — his directive to the Pentagon last week to
start creating a new military service that he dubbed the “Space Force.”
It’s certainly a Trumpian idea: big and bold, with a Hollywood glitz factor;
highly disruptive of the status quo; and lacking in any detailed planning
about implementation. But many experts say the idea of revamping space
defense makes some sense, though they caution that it requires a serious
public debate about how to get maximum benefit at minimum cost.
Trump was emphatic in a June 18 speech to the National Space Council: “I’m
hereby directing the Department of Defense . . . to immediately begin the
process necessary to establish a Space Force as the sixth branch of the
armed forces . . . separate but equal” from the Air Force. Knowing that the
Pentagon resists the idea, Trump then turned to Gen. Joseph F. Dunford Jr.,
chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and said: “Got it?” Dunford answered:
“We got it.”
The Pentagon fears that launching a separate space contingent would set off
one of the epic turf wars that have been a regular feature of US military
history. These rivalries often follow the advent of new technologies. The
Air Force emerged from the cocoon of a jealous Army only after World War II.
When missile technology advanced in the 1950s, the Army argued that it was a
form of artillery that should be controlled by its ballistic specialists,
while the Air Force insisted it was part of the aeronautical domain. The Air
Force had assumed space was its responsibility, until last week.
“This will mean nonstop bureaucratic arm-wrestling for the next five years,”
warns John Hamre, a former deputy defense secretary who heads the Center for
Strategic and International Studies. While recognizing the infighting that’s
ahead, Hamre, like many other Pentagon veterans, believes that some changes
could enhance space-warfare capabilities that have been badly botched by the
Air Force.
“We have squandered our advantage in space; the Air Force went for a decade
with no defense systems for satellites, after the military threat to them
was clear,” argues Rep. Jim Cooper (D-Tenn.), who joined Rep. Mike D. Rogers
(R-Ala.) last year in a bipartisan House move to create a semi-autonomous
space “corps” within the Air Force, much as the Marines are part of the Navy
Department.
The Pentagon helped shoot down the “corps” idea a year ago. Defense
Secretary Jim Mattis wrote congressional leaders last October: “I oppose the
creation of a new military service and additional organizational layers at a
time when we are focused on reducing overhead and integrating joint
warfighting functions.”
But Trump continued to push his pet space project. One advocate was Vice
President Pence, chairman of the National Space Council and a rocket
enthusiast who’s said to have brought his family to Florida to watch NASA
launches. Another was Newt Gingrich, the former House speaker who, like
Trump, enjoys promoting controversial ideas.
“If Trump can break through the bureaucracy, all this will happen within a
decade,” even by 2020, Gingrich predicted in a phone interview Tuesday.
Gingrich, who informally attends Space Council meetings, says he has talked
with Trump about the idea but that the passion for it is the president’s.
The Air Force had been hoping this proposal would go away. When I traveled
in April to a space conference in Colorado Springs with Air Force Chief of
Staff David Goldfein and Secretary Heather Wilson, they dismissed any
suggestion that their service’s control of space defense might be
challenged. After so many months in denial, the Air Force is now “largely
out of the loop” in planning, but “it’s going to happen without them,” says
Todd Harrison, director of aerospace studies at CSIS.
Germany: Migration Deal Keeps Merkel in Power, For Now
Soeren Kern/Gatestone Institute/July 04/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/12643/germany-migration-deal
"No country in the world can take in refugees indefinitely. Successful
integration can only succeed with a limitation of immigration. This is the
core message of the coalition agreement...." — Introduction to Interior
Minister Horst Seehofer's 63-point "Migration Masterplan," leaked to the
public on July 2, 2018.
"There is a pattern to European Union summits about subjects on which
governments cannot agree. First, leaders stay up all night to signal their
commitment. Second, they issue a statement sufficiently vague and
contradictory to allow everyone to declare victory. Third, officials charged
with implementing the agreement argue endlessly over how to interpret
it...." — The Economist.
"The summit communique may say that the issue is one for Europe 'as a
whole,' but the practical reality is that differences were papered over, not
resolved." — The Guardian.
In an extraordinary last-minute reversal, Chancellor Angela Merkel, facing
the imminent collapse of her coalition government, agreed late on July 2 to
reinstate border controls with Austria.
Interior Minister Horst Seehofer had threatened to resign from Merkel's
cabinet unless she agreed to a plan by July 3 to reduce so-called irregular
secondary movements. The plan to which Merkel agreed entails holding
refugees at detention camps to be established along Germany's southern
border, the main gateway for refugees to the country, and turning back those
who have already claimed asylum in other EU countries.
Seehofer's resignation would have called into question the continued
viability of a 70-year-alliance between Merkel's Christian Democratic Union
(CDU) and his Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU).
Bundestag President Wolfgang Schäuble warned that the two parties were
"standing at the edge of the abyss."
A CDU/CSU divorce would have deprived Merkel of her majority in parliament
and possibly triggered new elections in which the anti-immigration party,
Alternative for Germany (AfD), would have been the biggest winner, according
to recent polls.
By acquiescing to Seehofer's demand, Merkel has secured the near-term
continuity of her government. The dispute, however, has exposed Merkel's
loss of authority over her own parliamentary group and, according to some
observers, has ushered in the beginning of the end of the Merkel era.
Still in charge, for now. Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel (right) has
acquiesced to the demand of Interior Minister Horst Seehofer (left) to
reinstate border controls with Austria, in order to save the alliance
between Merkel's and Seehofer's political parties and secure the near-term
continuity of Merkel's government. (Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images)
The CDU/CSU agreement reads:
"We agree to limit and to improve the control and management of secondary
movements:
"We are agreeing to a new border regime at the German-Austrian border, to
ensure that we prevent asylum seekers whose asylum procedures are the
responsibility of other EU countries are prohibited from entering the
country.
"We will establish transit centers from where asylum seekers will be
directly returned to the relevant countries (rejection based on a fiction of
non-entry). We want to act in a coordinated manner and will conclude
administrative agreements with the countries concerned or to establish
procedures.
"In cases where countries refuse administrative direct rejection agreements,
the deportation will take place at the German-Austrian border on the basis
of an agreement with the Republic of Austria."
The so-called transit centers would have an extraterritorial legal status
similar to an international airport, so that German authorities can
accelerate the deportation of illegal migrants without lengthy
administrative procedures. For the deal to work, however, Germany will have
to reach bilateral deportation agreements with other EU countries. Austria
and Italy, for example, have expressed skepticism about the German plan.
In any event, the agreement is likely to have a deterrent effect as migrants
will be reluctant to be indefinitely interned at makeshift camps along the
German border until they are deported.
Seehofer's demands were first outlined on June 22, when he announced a
63-point "Migration Masterplan" to restore order to Germany's chaotic
migration policy. Details of the document were kept secret from the general
public until leaked to the media on July 2. The introduction reads: "The
challenges of global migration require a system of order. This masterplan is
based on the conviction that our country can only assume its external
responsibility if at the same time internal cohesion is maintained.... No
country in the world can take in refugees indefinitely. Successful
integration can only succeed with a limitation of immigration. This is the
core message of the coalition agreement....
"We want to prevent people from going underground during or after an asylum
procedure or disguising their true identity. The request for humanitarian
protection and the committing of criminal offenses is ruled out in
principle....
"People without right of residence must leave our country. A deportation
order must be followed by an actual departure...."
Of the 63 points, Number 27 was considered to be the most contentious. It
called for the reestablishment of border controls with Austria, and the
"refusal of entry to anyone who has already applied for asylum in another EU
member state."
Merkel said that she was vehemently opposed reinstating German border
controls out of concerns that other European governments would do the same,
thereby triggering a domino-effect that would effectively end the free
movement of people within the so-called Schengen Area. Currently, the Area
comprises 26 European states that have abolished passport controls at their
mutual borders.
Seehofer responded to Merkel's concerns by giving her time to find a
European solution. An EU Summit in Brussels on June 28-29, described as the
"mother of all summits" because of its impact on Merkel's political future,
attempted to bridge the differences among EU member states over migration
policy. After a marathon negotiating session, EU member states agreed to a
series of vague promises that there should be "a shared effort" on migration
but "only on a voluntary basis."
The Economist, in an editorial entitled, "The EU argues till dawn on
migration, and achieves little," wrote: There is a pattern to European Union
summits about subjects on which governments cannot agree. First, leaders
stay up all night to signal their commitment. Second, they issue a statement
sufficiently vague and contradictory to allow everyone to declare victory.
Third, officials charged with implementing the agreement argue endlessly
over how to interpret it.... "The leaders battled into the pre-dawn hours on
June 29, but the tortuous phrasing of their conclusions — one sentence
contained 12 commas — betrayed their inability to find meaningful
compromises on the issues that continue to bedevil them.... As ever, the
trickiest discussion was on how to share responsibility among governments
for migrants who arrive in Europe."
The Guardian wrote: "Whether the deal will last, or will work, or will begin
to draw the sting of the migration issue are all profoundly doubtful,
however. It is very hard to be confident that any of these things will
happen. The summit communique may say that the issue is one for Europe 'as a
whole,' but the practical reality is that differences were papered over, not
resolved. The EU's much-vaunted principles of solidarity were conspicuous by
their absence in words of studied vagueness."
In the end, Seehofer said that the agreement Merkel reached at the EU summit
in Brussels had failed to meet his demands.
Reaction to Merkel's last-minute deal with Seehofer, which must still be
approved by her other coalition partner, the Social Democratic Party (SPD),
was mixed, with some questioning the legality of the agreement. Some
commentators said the deal was unlikely to be effective, while others said
that Merkel has been weakened by the dispute. Most German commentators agree
that Merkel's open-border migration policies may be her political undoing.
Bild, in an editorial entitled "Toxic Solution," wrote:
"The CDU and CSU have now agreed on something they could have agreed on
three years ago. It is possible that the solution works. It is certain that
the climate in the coalition has probably never been so poisoned as now."
The President of the German Institute for Economic Research, Marcel
Fratzscher, said:
"A breakup of the German government, just 100 days after taking office, was
prevented for the time being, but the tensions within the government remain.
This is a pity not only for Germany but also for Europe, as it undermines
the credibility of the German government and the Federal Chancellor."
The chairman of the DPolG police union, Ernst Walter, praised the agreement
and said that he was "very happy" that Seehofer "showed courage, has not
resigned and continues to be our interior minister."
The vice president of the GdP police union, Jörg Radek, noted that the CDU/CSU
agreement is limited to the German border with Austria. In 2017, he said,
there were 16,312 unauthorized entries on the border with Austria, but
33,823 unauthorized entries along Germany's other borders, including those
with Belgium, the Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Luxembourg, the
Netherlands, Poland and Switzerland. "The borders with Belgium and the
Netherlands are as open as a barn door," he said. Radek accused the state
government of North Rhine-Westphalia of resisting effective controls along
its border.
Matthew Qvortrup, the author of the recent book, "Angela Merkel: Europe's
Most Influential Leader," concluded:
"After almost 13 years in power, time is rapidly running out for the German
chancellor.
"Nowhere was her diminishing influence more evident than at last week's EU
leaders' summit. Where once Merkel commanded the floor and had other leaders
practically queuing up to kiss her hand, this time it was she who came with
the begging bowl, and all but implored her colleagues to find a solution to
the immigration problem that could save her political skin. Gone was the
confident chancellor, usually front and center in photographs in her usual
pose: eyes straight ahead, hands clasped in front of her. Instead, she
looked away....
"She might yet survive as chancellor. She might try to engineer a transfer
of power to her preferred successor, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, the CDU
general secretary. But this could be difficult. Once, Merkel controlled the
party and politicians were seeking to be anointed by her. That was then.
This is now. It might well be time to say, 'Auf Wiedersehen, Mutti'
(Goodbye, Mom)."
*Soeren Kern is a Senior Fellow at the New York-based Gatestone Institute.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here
do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone
Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be
reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of
Gatestone Institute.
Indonesia: Falling to Radicals
Lawrence A. Franklin/Gatestone Institute/July 04/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/12617/indonesia-radicals
If Indonesia's repatriated foreign fighters have their way, all of the
country's churches will be destroyed.
If the repatriated foreign fighters are able to radicalize Indonesia's
Muslims, all of the country may eventually resemble Aceh Province, where,
after a lengthy reign of terror by Islamic militias, most Christians have
been driven out.
An Indonesian family of six, repatriated from former Islamic State
(ISIS)-controlled territory in Syria, separately targeted three Christian
sites in Surabaya, Indonesia, in May. The suicide bombings killed at least
11 people, as well as all of the attacking family members. Indonesian
authorities suspect the bombers are affiliated with Jamaah Ansharut Daulah (JAD),
the Congregation of the Islamic State. While anti-Christian incidents are
common in majority-Muslim Indonesia, until now, suicide bombings by
Islamists were not often seen there.
The same day, May 14, a second family, affiliated with the same terrorist
JAD cell, also staged a suicide attack at Surabaya's police headquarters. A
third family was killed in a town outside Surabaya when bombs prematurely
exploded inside their home. All three families met regularly for radical
Islamic religious sessions.
Indonesia's National Police Chief, Tito Karnavian, indicated that the
suicide family that attacked the churches were among an estimated 500 people
who had been deported from former ISIS-occupied land in Syria back to
Indonesia.
A sizeable Indonesian terrorist group, JAD, designated a terrorist entity by
the U.S. Department of State, has already pledged loyalty to ISIS, which,
through their Amaq News Agency, claimed responsibility for the Surabaya
attack. A JAD terrorist cell was also behind the May prison riot in Jakarta,
an incident that claimed the lives of five policemen. JAD's leader, Aman
Abdurrahman (a.k.a. Oman Rochman), is currently in prison, facing the death
penalty for urging his followers to attack a Starbucks and a police post in
Jakarta in 2016.
Indonesian author and counterterrorism expert Al Chaidar believes that some
of Indonesia's ISIS volunteers to Syria are legacy terrorists, following in
the paths of their Jihadi fathers. He also claims that some of these
jihadists favor the al-Qaeda linked Al-Nusra, while others favor ISIS.
Police Chief Karnavian describes JAD as even more radical than Indonesia's
al-Qaeda-affiliated Jaamah Islamiyah (JI/Islamic Congregation), the
terrorist group responsible for killing 200 people in Bali in 2002.
On another ominous note, Suhardi Alius, Indonesia's Chief of
Counterterrorism Operations, said that about 40 JAD volunteers who joined
the Jihad in the Philippines in 2017, gained combat experience in the
process. These Indonesian JAD terrorists had evidently joined with Filipino
terrorists to fight against Philippine army troops who were trying to
liberate the town of Marawi in the southern Philippines from terrorist
control. JAD's decision to dispatch some of its members to fight in the
Philippines indicates that, like its predecessor, Jaamah Islamiyah, it might
be interested in re-establishing the 15th century Sulu Islamic Sultanate
throughout the archipelagos of Southeast Asia.
Other mostly non-violent but conservative Indonesian Muslim organizations
groups -- such as the Islamic People's Forum and the Islamic Defenders Front
-- can simply count on Indonesia's restrictive religious legislation to
block Christian interests. These include the 2006 JOINT Decree on Houses of
Worship, which requires the signatures of 60 neighboring households of
non-Christian families to approve initiating church construction.
Occasionally, however, the Islamic Defenders Front, through vigilante
action, harasses Muslims who it accuses of not being sufficiently orthodox.
Both Christians and moderate Muslims are also often accused of violating
Indonesia's blasphemy law. However, Islam's watchdog agency for doctrinal
unity, the Council of Indonesian Ulama, continues to stir up intolerant
feelings by issuing restrictive religious judgments concerning the rights of
minorities. These judgements include helping convicting people who convert
from Islam to Christianity of blasphemy despite Indonesia's civil
Constitution, which pledges to protect the interests of minority religions.
Only one of Indonesia's provinces, Aceh is governed by Sharia law. In Aceh,
Koranically approved physical punishments are meted out to "sinners" --
Christians and Muslims alike.
Nevertheless, both of Indonesia's largest Islamic organizations, Nahdlatul
Ulama and Muhammadiyah, roundly condemned JAD's murderous assault on
Christians.
JAD might not be successful in attracting many Indonesian Muslims to join
its ranks; suicide bombings may be too extreme for most Indonesian Muslims.
As more Indonesian foreign volunteers navigate their way back to this
Southeast Asian nation, however, acts of terror, like these recent attacks,
may become the new normal. Because of JAD's affiliation with ISIS and its
global resources, the terrorist group is likely to have a much larger impact
than its numbers indicate.
Finally, Indonesian General Gatot Nurmantyo predicts a dark future for the
Indonesian state's rendezvous with terrorism. He says there are sleeper
terrorist cells in virtually every one of Indonesia's provinces except
Papua. If Indonesia's repatriated foreign fighters have their way, all of
the country's churches could well be destroyed. If the repatriated foreign
fighters are able to radicalize Indonesia's Muslims, all of the country may
eventually resemble Aceh Province, where, after a lengthy reign of terror by
Islamic militias, most Christians have been driven out.
*Dr. Lawrence A. Franklin was the Iran Desk Officer for Secretary of Defense
Rumsfeld. He also served on active duty with the U.S. Army and as a Colonel
in the Air Force Reserve.
© 2018 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here
do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone
Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be
reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of
Gatestone Institute.
Water crisis in Iran: Causes, consequences and perspectives
Ali Hajizade/Al Arabiya/July 04/18
If the 20th century can be called “the Age of Oil” the 21st century can
become “the Age of Water”. As the population grows and agricultural
development expands, water consumption also increases. And while certain
countries suffer from floods, a number of countries, in particular, in the
Middle East region, suffer from the water shortage. Drought and water
shortage in the Middle East countries can lead to economic and consequently
political instability. In this regard, the most vulnerable country is Iran.
Unlike the Gulf countries, Iran couldn’t develop an effective system of
water supply and use.
Even though the Iranian regime is trying to convince its people and the
whole world that the US and Israel “want to destroy Iran”, in fact, drought
poses a bigger threat for the future of Iran than US and Israel taken
together. According to the recent joint research of Iranian and American
scientists, drought and water shortage in ancient times were causes of the
collapse of ancient Empires in this region. Right now the situation is quite
different. Firstly, the population has grown; secondly, agriculture needs an
enormous quantity of water. That means that processes, which could take ages
in ancient times, can fit in 40-50 years nowadays. Iran has been suffering
from drought for quite a long time; rivers and lakes in the country dry up
and groundwater become depleted.
There are two main causes of this process. The first one is the decrease in
precipitation in Iran. According to estimates, the rate of precipitation has
reached its lowest point in more than 40 years. Precipitation decrease had a
negative impact on the groundwater, lakes and rivers level.
It is wrong to say that the Iranian authorities don’t take any measures to
fight the crisis, however, mostly the measures taken by them are either
belated or half-hearted
Evaporation rate
In addition, evaporation rate also has a negative impact on the water
reserves of Iran. The evaporation rate in the country is above the global
norm – an estimated two-thirds of rainfall evaporates before it can
replenish rivers - and domestic use of water is 70 percent higher than the
global average. Another cause is the human factor, namely, disproportionate,
unplanned and illiterate use of water in agriculture. After the revolution
in 1979, many educated people, professionals in various industries,
including those few specialists in land reclamation who lived in Iran, left
the country.
Agriculture, water management, and planning have been under the supervision
of incompetent and corrupted persons, whose decisions were taken on the
basis of political, not economic incentives. Taking into account the growing
population, low-income level, and international sanctions, Iranian
government sought to the total self-reliance of the food supply. They needed
much cheap and available food as soon as possible. That’s why the Government
started to build a large number of dams on rivers.
They needed these dams to irrigate fields, but on the other hand, the dams
were violating the ecosystem, which was developed for ages. Furthermore,
artesian wells were randomly dug and groundwater was pumped out in large
amounts. Iranian farmers were receiving concessional loans and grants from
the Government. It had a positive impact on the Iranian economy, but only
for a short period. Rural population had the opportunity to earn and
city-folk could buy relatively cheap food.
However, that couldn’t last forever, uncontrolled consumption of water and
increased planting of crops, requiring more irrigation water together with
the drought in Iran, led the country to the verge of environmental and
economic catastrophe.
Consequences of the water crisis can be witnessed in various parts of the
country. For example, as a result of total desiccation of Lake Hamun, near
the Afghan border, the population of 124 surrounding villages were forced to
leave this area. This happened in 2001, the situation in Iran has only
worsened since that time. Another major environmental disaster is taking
place in the North-West of Iran in Southern Azerbaijan. The desiccation of
the largest salt lake in the Middle East has already caused environmental
and economic catastrophe, merging into the political arena. Although the
lake began to dry up in the middle of 1990s, the central government didn’t
take serious measures to save it. The main cause of the desiccation is dams
on the rivers, which once were feeding the lake.
According to local activists, water passes mainly to large farms, whose
owners are people close to the regime. Such attitude led to conspiracy
theories that the central government drains the lake intentionally to force
people to migrate to the interior of Iran, where they can be easily
assimilated and will stay far from separatist objectives.
The authorities’ inaction and their appeals to resettle Azerbaijanis to
other parts of Iran create the conditions for such theories. Moreover, the
authorities are hunting Azerbaijani environmental activists, who protest the
inaction of the authorities. Areas around the lake are suffering from
sandstorms. In 2016, a famous actor Leonardo Di Caprio posted a picture of
drying Urmia Lake in his Instagram to draw the attention of the world to
this environmental catastrophe. However, the Lake has dried up even more
since that time.
Harmful effects of the water crisis in Iran are also witnessed in the
south-west of the country in the Ahwaz region. This area is settled by Arabs
and gives a lion’s share of the Iranian oil. Despite that fact, the
population of the region is faring poorly. The Ahwaz region was badly
affected during the Iran-Iraq war. Not recovered from the previous war, the
region faced a new serious water crisis. Millions of palm trees,
traditionally cultivated in this region, have faced a threat of total
elimination, due to lack of irrigation water.
Citizens of the Ahwaz region also suffer from severe salt and sandstorms,
caused by the water crisis. It is noteworthy that Ahwazis suffer not only
from the drought and poverty; they also face serious consequences of the
industrial pollution of agricultural fields and orchards.
According to the scientific report prepared by young Iranian specialists in
2017, only a small part of Iranian land is suitable for intensive
agricultural activities. Here is how the land’s suitability is classified
according to the report:
Iran’s land suitability for cropping as (million ha): very good 0.4 percent
(0.6), good 2.2 percent (3.6), medium 7.9 percent (12.8), poor 11.4 percent
(18.5), very poor 6.3 percent (10.2), unsuitable 60.0 percent (97.4), and
excluded areas 11.9 percent (19.3). However, it is worth knowing that amount
of lands, suitable for agriculture will decrease every year, as a result of
the drought. According to a report prepared by the Trade Council of Ministry
of Foreign Affairs of Denmark (The agriculture and food market in Iran -
Opportunities and challenges for Danish companies, March 2017) in March 2017
– despite all efforts at nutritional self-sufficiency, Iran is still
dependent upon the import of food. It is about significant import from
India.
In addition, there is a significant import of red meat, butter, fish, fruit,
and wheat, and self-sufficiency regarding these products is not expected to
be realized in any near future. It should also be noted that approximately
70 percent of the raw materials for animal fodder is imported from abroad.
Of course, the import dependence, that eventually affects the cost of food.
Rural-urban migration
The water crisis spurs rural-urban migration. Many villagers swell the
masses of the urban poor. In most cases, this is poorly educated and
unskilled workers, who can hardly find a job in already suffering from
unemployment in Iranian cities. Such migration increases the risk of social
upheaval. Expressions of social discontent caused by the water crisis are
already seen. Isfahan is a province that has faced the lack of water and
protests are taking place in the province. One of the biggest cities of Iran
– Isfahan, once famous for its rivers and gardens is now suffering from the
water crisis.
Certain experts think (it is hard to disagree with them) that “climate
refugees” were the driving force during the mass protests in Iran 2017-2018.
It is wrong to say that the Iranian authorities don’t take any measures to
fight the crisis, however, mostly the measures taken by them are either
belated or half-hearted.
Iranian officials often complain about the lack of finances, due to
international economic sanctions, however, it is hard to believe in it
because, despite the sanctions, the Iranian authorities are able to find
funds to finance pro-Iranian proxies all over the region, the war in Syria
and lobbying activity in the West.
In addition to the internal instability, the water crisis also puts a strain
on relations with neighboring countries, in particular with Turkey and
Afghanistan. The Iranian Government is not happy with Turkey’s and
Afghanistan’s plans to build dams on their territory. Moreover, the
Government of Afghanistan accuses IRGC of supporting Taliban, to sabotage
the building of dams on Afghanistan’s territory.
Every year Iran is approaching the point of no return with regard to the
water crisis. Today, the Iranian Government is not able to handle the
consequences of the crisis; the pressure will only get higher. In the near
future, this can lead to major social and political upheavals, then can
totally change the current geopolitical landscape of Iran.
Obama and his many shocking favors to Iran’s rulers
Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/July 04/18
Day after day, month after month, year after year and scandal after another,
expose further the depth which former American President Barack Obama
descended to via his dangerous amity towards the Khamenei regime.
Following the shocking reports that the Obama administration “covered up”
Project Cassandra which pertains to Hezbollah’s drug network that is active
in Latin and North America, amid his “Sufi” love in the huge deal with Iran
and after his destructive role in the Syrian disaster - due to his hypocrisy
in favor of the Khamenei regime - the former American president stands
exposed. We are now looking at a new scandal that pertains to Obama’s
flirtatios scandals with the Khamenei regime. There’s talk that a large
number of the children of Khamenei regime leaders attained US citizenship
during Obama’s term. Many of them were now active in Iranian lobbies in
America via think tanks, universities, organizations, media outlets and
others.
Trump tweet
American President Donald Trump commented on this via Twitter saying: “Just
out that the Obama Administration granted citizenship, during the terrible
Iran Deal negotiation, to 2,500 Iranians - including to government
officials. How big (and bad) is that?”
Trump was commenting on a Fox News report that said: “Several children of
current and former Iranian officials live in the United States, including
Ali Fereydoun, whose father Hossein Fereydoun is the brother of and special
aide to Rouhani; and Fatemeh Ardeshir Larijani, whose father Ali Larijani,
parliament Speaker.”The report cited the statement of Iranian Member of
Parliament Hojjat al-Islam Mojtaba Zolnour who revealed that while
negotiating the Iran nuclear deal, the Obama administration granted
citizenship to 2,500 Iranians, including family members of government
officials
Many of these young men and women who are the children of the “elite” of
Iran’s ruling regime have, as we said, become an active propaganda machine
in favor of the Obama deal and to serve the purpose of intensifying the
black propaganda against Arabs and Saudi Arabia in particular. Truth however
has now been revealed thanks to the Conservatives in America, regional and
international sanctions and by confronting Iran in exposing the dark face of
the Khamenei monster.
Obama’s friend and the dove of Khameneism, Hassan Rouhani, recently spoke
before a crowd of Iranians in Switzerland and said: “Iran spending its
income on those whom the Americans call terrorists is mere allegation.”
Oh really? Where were we, and where are we now?
Arab coalition and the Houthis’ maneuver
Khairallah Khairallah/Al Arabiya/July 04/18
The delay in restoring the Hodeidah Port comes within the context of a clear
plan that aims to achieve the goals without inflicting heavy losses on
civilians. The fact that Hodeidah is not just a port but a large city whose
population is around 800,000 cannot simply be ignored.
What also cannot be ignored is the fact the people of Hodeidah and the
surrounding areas are peace-loving who have nothing to do with the arms
spread among the North’s tribes.
The people of Hodeidah will thus not fight the Houthis because fighting
isn’t their trait. All they can do is be patient and wait for the day when
they restore their freedom after the sectarian militias which raise Iranian
slogans wreaked havoc in their city.
Above all, there are two factors which delay military decisiveness. The
first one is that the continuity of war is a source of profit for several
parties in Yemen and outside it.
The second one is that the national Yemeni army and the Arab coalition
cannot but take into consideration UN Special Envoy for Yemen Martin
Griffiths who insists to give the Houthis a chance. The Houthis and the
party that stands behind them, Iran, exploit this situation to maneuver
things.
Fortunately, the Arab coalition and the forces on the ground do not buy this
maneuver as they know well that the only language the Houthis understand is
the language of military decisiveness.
But what can be done when there is a UN envoy who doesn’t want to benefit
from the past experiences, especially from the experience of the phase when
the Houthis entered Sanaa and seized control over it on September 21, 2014.
The day is not far when the UN envoy becomes aware of the size of
humanitarian tragedy in Yemen and discovers that the Houthis do not keep
their word and do not respect the pledges they sign.
If the Houthis respect any deals, they would not have staged a coup on the
Peace and Partnership Agreement, which they signed with other Yemeni
parties, including with Interim President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi, after
seizing Sanaa. Back then, the deal was signed under UN sponsorship, which
was represented by then-UN envoy Jamal Benomar. The current UN envoy is
supposed to remember this.
There is no other option except closing all Yemeni ports in the face of the
Houthis who will then be forced to retreat to the north and wait for the
battle of Sanaa
Peace and partnership
The ink was barely dry on the Peace and Partnership Agreement when the
Houthis arrested the interim president, placed him under house arrest and
imposed the constitution they want.
Alright, if there are some who do not want to recall what Ansar Allah did to
Hadi who found himself under house arrest and forced to resign before he
fled Sanaa to Aden, then what about what happened with Ali Abdullah Saleh?
Doesn’t what the Houthis did to the former president, who became their ally
and signed a series of agreements with them, represent the epitome of
treachery?
There are no middle-ground solutions with the Houthis. Everything they are
proposing now regarding handing over the Hodeidah Port to the UN only aims
to gain time. Ansar Allah desperately needs this port even if it is under
the UN supervision.
What matters for them is to stay in the city and in the port one way or
another to guarantee their interests. What does guaranteeing these interests
mean? It means collecting fees and charges on goods passing through the port
and using the port to smuggle weapons from Iran.
Sooner or later, the legitimate government will reclaim Hodeidah. There is
no other option except closing all Yemeni ports in the face of the Houthis
who will then be forced to retreat to the north and wait for the battle of
Sanaa.
Reaching an agreement with them is not possible because they do not respect
their word. They invaded Sanaa via equivocation and played all their cards
to achieve their aim. They wanted Sanaa to be the starting point to control
all of Yemen.
Liberating Hodeidah will be another step toward a fatal blow to the Iranian
project in Yemen. If the Hodeidah Port is not important, Hezbollah’s
secretary general would not have emphasized what’s happening in Yemen.
Hassan Nasrallah said he was “ashamed” that he is not among the Yemeni
fighters on the west coast.
It is clear that this talk which aims to raise the morale of the Houthis
will not yield any results. Truth is, there’s a horizon to the Yemen battle
and this horizon goes beyond Yemen because it aims to confront all of the
Iranian project.
Nasrallah gives significance to the battle of Yemen and then says “it has no
horizon,” which suggests that he says one things and then the opposite. This
is just one of the series of battles that are currently fought in the region
to preserve whatever is left of it, whether in the Arab Gulf, Iraq, Syria or
Lebanon…etc.
Decisive Storm
What’s important now is that the Arab coalition which launched the Decisive
Storm Operation and the forces that are fighting the Houthis on the ground
do not buy what the UN envoy buys.
“Legitimacy” will return to Hodeidah in the right time and the UN envoy,
whose good intentions cannot be doubted, will find out that the Houthis
master the art of maneuver and that their only goal is to implement what
Iran directs, i.e. transform Yemen into a thorn in the side of every Arab
Gulf state.
In the end, what the Houthis want to accomplish for Yemen? It is certain
that the universities which they will establish – that is if they ever build
one – will not be any better than Al-Iman University which Abdul Majeed al-Zindani
founded during the days of Ali Abdullah Saleh and which graduated extremists
whose only concern was spreading strife across the region.
Awareness of what is on stake in Yemen is essential or rather very
essential. If it hadn’t been for this awareness, the Decisive Storm
Operation, which has left the Houthis with only one naval passage which is
Hodeidah, would not have been launched.
If it hadn’t been for this awareness, the Houthis would have been in Mukalla,
Aden and the Port of Mocha which controls Bab-el-Mandeb, the strait which
all ships heading to the Suez Canal pass through.
Once again, the humanitarian motives of the UN envoy are understandable.
However, despite the size of the Yemeni tragedy, it is a requirement to be
convinced that it is not possible to look into a new formula for Yemen amid
the current balance of powers.
No one wants to eliminate the Houthis. They are part of the Yemeni fabric
but at the same time no one wants to deal with them like they’re half of
Yemen or more. Eliminating them is not the need of the hour. What’s required
is to put them in their place beginning with liberating Hodeidah.
Hamas’ incendiary toys fly as far as Jerusalem Hills.
IDF remains passive
DEBKAfile/July 04/18
Hamas’ latest terrorist ploy is proliferating. On July 2, a record 50 fires
were ignited by exploding balloons and kites, which reached Beit Shemesh in
the Jerusalem Hills for the first time.
DEBKAfile: The IDF has suspended its counter-terror operations in the Gaza
Strip ever since June 27, when Hamas and its allies declared its
“bomb-for-bomb” strategy, meaning that IDF air strikes in reprisal for Hamas
or other groups’ rocket and mortar attacks on Israel would meet violent
Hamas retaliation.
The IDF has also halted its drone attacks and gunfire against the Hamas
vehicles used for the transfer of incendiary kites and balloons from Gaza
across the border into Israel. The infiltration of four Palestinian
terrorists from southern Gaza on Monday, July 2, for torching an IDF sniper
post, would not too long ago have brought forth Israeli aerial bombardments
of Hamas military compounds. Not this time.
Monday saw the most devastating number of kites and balloons to land in
Israel in the nearly three months of this offensive – 45-50 fires were
ignited. Heads of the overtaxed fire brigade were forced to warn the
government that the firefighting system is on the point of collapse.They
also warned that the emergency reinforcements of manpower and equipment
diverted to the Gaza district from other parts of the country were creating
dangerous shortages elsewhere.
These warnings coincided with signs that Hamas is expanding its successful
terror-by-arson project to other parts of the country. Whereas the
communities adjoining the Gaza Strip suffered the worst damage – 47,000
acres of orchards, crops, woods and natural preserves reduced to smoking,
black wasteland – the bane is spreading from the south to central Israel.
The dangerous toys, having become a daily threat in Netivot, Ofakim, KIryat
Gath and Lachish, landed over the weekend in Gan Yavne, Gedera and Rehovot
and on Monday, were discovered for the first time outside Beit Shemesh in
the Jerusalem Hills.
The heavily wooded hill region around Jerusalem, the capital, presents a
constant fire menace in arid summer conditions. The forests were targeted
last year by arsonists who set eight fires which came close to residential
districts in Jerusalem before they were brought under control. Police have
warned the public not to touch or go near any kites or balloons before
calling emergency services, because they are likely to be booby-trapped.
Ultra-Orthodox Lawmaker Blames Earthquake in Northern Israel on Reform Jews
Haaretz/July 04/18
In a Knesset debate on the egalitarian prayer space in the Western Wall,
Lawmaker Yinon Azoulay suggests Reform Jews take the money they invest in
Israel and 'build a Kotel in the U.S.'
Lawmaker Yinon Azoulay (Shas) said Wednesday that Reform Jews "are not Jews"
and blamed the minor quakes in the Galilee Wednesday morning on the lobby to
build an egalitarian prayer space in the Western Wall. Speaking at a Knesset
debate on the contested mixed-gender prayer space in the Western Wall,
Azoulay said: "Today we heard there was some kind of earthquake, maybe we
should do some soul-searching that this earthquake was because someone is
trying to touch that which is sacred to us? Hear our pain, they are not
Jews.""What do you have to do with the ancient stones of the Kotel?" Azoulay
asked, suggesting that Reform Jews "take the money you invest in the State
of Israel and build a Kotel in the U.S." Azoulay also went on to criticize
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for failing to recognize the "disaster"
that is the Women of the Wall and the Reform Jews.
On Sunday, Culture and Sports Minister Miri Regev addressed Reform Jews by
saying: "I've met reforms in Argentina. They were very nice, but they should
be reform in Argentina. Here in Israel they should behave" like they're in
Israel. Following Regev's statement, Executive Director of the Israel
Movement for Reform and Progressive Judaism Gilad Kariv said: "The
rabbinical institution and national Haredi factors who invaded Likud are
laying siege to the Israeli government and turning its ministers into
collaborators in an organized campgain of unjustified hatred."The ministers'
conduct, Kariv said, resembled that of the wise men of Jerusalem from the
Jewish parable Kamsa and Bar Kamsa, whose silence and lack of leadersip led
to the zealots' victory and the fall of the second temple. Regev resigned as
head of the comittee last week, saying her conscience does not allow her to
convene the committee and approve the work to prepare the historic
archeological site for mixed-gender prayer, and that she doesn't want to see
women wearing prayer shawls in the Western Wall. Before becoming minister,
Regev was a staunch supporter of "every citizen's right to pray in the sites
holy to the," as she wrote in a Facebook post in 2013. Once a minister, she
also voted in favor of the egalitarian prayer space, which the Knesset
approved and later rescinded.