LCCC
ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
August 11/2018
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias
Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the
lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/newselias18/english.august11.18.htm
News Bulletin Achieves Since
2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006
Bible
Quotations
If I
speak in the tongues of mortals and of angels, but do not have love, I am a
noisy gong or a clanging cymbal
First Letter to the Corinthians 12/28-31//13/01-07: And God has appointed in
the church first apostles, second prophets, third teachers; then deeds of
power, then gifts of healing, forms of assistance, forms of leadership,
various kinds of tongues. Are all apostles? Are all prophets? Are all
teachers? Do all work miracles? Do all possess gifts of healing? Do all
speak in tongues? Do all interpret? But strive for the greater gifts. And I
will show you a still more excellent way. If I speak in the tongues of
mortals and of angels, but do not have love, I am a noisy gong or a clanging
cymbal. And if I have prophetic powers, and understand all mysteries and all
knowledge, and if I have all faith, so as to remove mountains, but do not
have love, I am nothing. If I give away all my possessions, and if I hand
over my body so that I may boast, but do not have love, I gain nothing. Love
is patient; love is kind; love is not envious or boastful or arrogant or
rude. It does not insist on its own way; it is not irritable or resentful;
it does not rejoice in wrongdoing, but rejoices in the truth. It bears all
things, believes all things, hopes all things, endures all things."
Titles For The Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from
miscellaneous sources published on August 10-11/18
Lebanon: Calls to Save Higher
Education Amid Warnings of Standards Decline/Beirut - Caroline Akoum/Asharq
Al Awsat and Ali Barada/August 10/18
A Goodwill Gesture over Electricity Sows Discord in Lebanon/Associated
Press/Naharnet/August 10/18
Hariri breathes life into Cabinet formation talks/Georgi Azar/Annahar/August
10/18
Hezbollah expands its arsenal/Abbas Al-Sabbagh/Annahar/August 10/18
Analysis/Wooed by Egypt, Hamas and Israel Can Still Prevent All-out War/
Zvi Bar'el /Haaretz/August 10/18
Europe’s Dangerous Illusions on Iran/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10
August, 2018/
The Washington Post's Take on Saudi Arabia/Salman Al-dossary/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday,
10 August, 2018/
Death, Diamonds and Russia’s Africa Project/Leonid Bershidsky/Bloomberg/August
10/18
Hamas and the Five-year Deal/Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday,
10 August, 2018/
Erdogan tells Turks to buy free-falling lira as Trump doubles metals
tariffs/Ynetnews/Reuters/August 10/18
Analysis: Where is Trump’s Israeli-Palestinian peace plan/Michael Wilner/Jerusalem
Post/August 10/18
Saudi effort to punish Canada seems to have little effect/Associated
Press/August 10/18
The emigrant, the deception and the trap/Ghassan Charbel/Al Arabiya/August
10/18
Reconciliation in the Horn of Africa under Emirati patronage/Abdullah bin
Bijad Al-Otaibi/Al Arabiya/August 10/18
The new Syria amidst conflicting regional, international interests/Shehab
Al-Makahleh/Al Arabiya/August 10/18
Who among Arabs is betting on Iran/Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/August 10/18
Titles For The
Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on
August 10-11/18
Hariri Asks Berri for Help, Promises Solutions to Form Govt
Protesters demand new traffic measures after crash in Bchamoun
Aoun: Road to Reform Will Achieve Goals, Anti-Corruption Plan a Priority
Report: Officials Considering Several ‘Proposals’ to End Govt. Stalemate
Hariri Vows Solutions for Cabinet Delay, Asks for Berri’s Help
'New Drive' as Bassil Reportedly Accepts 4-Seat Share for LF
Report: Officials Considering Several ‘Proposals’ to End Govt. Stalemate
Jarrah issues postage stamp in honor of Patriarch Sfeir
Qatari Ambassador pays Rahi farewell visit
Jreissati orders legal action over death threat against Baalbeck Governor
One Injured as UNIFIL Vehicle Flips Over in Adaisseh
Lebanon: Calls to Save Higher Education Amid Warnings of Standards Decline
Elissa Breaks Taboo with Clip Announcing Cancer
A Goodwill Gesture over Electricity Sows Discord in Lebanon
Hariri breathes life into Cabinet formation talks
Hezbollah expands its arsenal
Titles For The Latest LCCC
Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on August 10-11/18
Canadian police: 2 of 4 dead in shooting are officers
Erdogan Says Turkey 'Won't Lose Economic War' after Lira Crash
Turkey Lira Crashes as Trump Piles on Pressure
Iran’s Economy on Verge of Collapse after Sanctions
Ahmadinejad Asks Rouhani to Resign
Khamenei Seeks to Downplay Concerns over Iranian Regime’s Future
Iranian Opposition Group Reveals Details of Paris Bomb Plot against it
Iraqi Cleric Sadr Wins Vote Recount
Sadr Retains Election Victory in Recount of Iraq Ballots
Sadr’s Reluctance Drags Iraq Government Formation
Syrian Troops Shell Idlib, Drop 'Surrender' Notes
Canada Asks for Help in Saudi Dispute
Canada welcomes appointment of Michelle Bachelet as next UN High
Commissioner for Human Rights
Calm Returns to Gaza-Israel Border - for Now
Hamas, Israel Seeking to Calm the Ghost of War They Both Fear
Cost of Syria War Destruction Close to $400 Billion
Russian-Turkish Coordination on Limited Idlib Battle
The Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on August 10-11/18
Hariri Asks Berri for
Help, Promises Solutions to Form Govt
Beirut/Asharq Al Awsat and Ali Barada/August 10/18/Lebanese
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri promised to present new solutions in
the next few days that might facilitate the cabinet formation and said he
asked for the Speaker’s help in the formation process. Hariri’s visit to
Speaker Nabih Berri in Ain Al-Tineh on Thursday came few days after the
latter met with caretaker Foreign Minister and head of the Free Patriotic
Movement Gebran Bassil to discuss obstacles hindering the birth of a new
cabinet over disputes linked to ministerial shares. The PM-designate urged
all political sides to prioritize the country's interest over partisan
interests. Later on Thursday, Hariri received Bassil at the Central House
and the two leaders discussed recent political developments, including those
related to the formation of the new government. “We are in a difficult
economic and regional situation," Hariri said, disclosing that further
meetings will be taking place in the coming days to end the deadlock.
Refusing to comment on some parties’ threats to resort to the street, he
denied any external interference to prevent the formation of a new
government, saying such a delay was an "internal" issue over shares. Hariri
said he would visit President Michel Aoun when he is ready to offer a
cabinet formula. Also, Lebanese Forces deputy George Adwan said the reason
behind the delay in the government formation was "internal," stressing that
the key hurdle lies in the distribution of shares. The MP said “Hezbollah”
was one of the parties that most supports the formation of a new government.
Meanwhile, the "Loyalty to the Resistance" parliamentary bloc sounded the
alarm on the stalemate, warning that further procrastination risks tension.
"The formation process has taken so long and the delay has started to risk
sliding toward tension," the bloc said in a statement following its regular
meeting.
Protesters demand new
traffic measures after crash in Bchamoun
Annahar Staff /Annahar/
August 10/18 /BEIRUT: Locals are protesting to demand new traffic measures
banning trucks from taking the road during morning hours, after Wednesday's
deadly crash that left one killed and ten injured on the Bchamoun-Khalda
highway, involving a truck and a queue of vehicles. The wounded were
transferred to nearby Kamal Jumblatt hospital for treatment; while security
forces worked on reopening the road to traffic. Witnesses described an
out-of-control truck careening on the roadway, knocking cars out of its
path. A dramatic video circulating shows the extent of damage from the
deadly accident, with cars smashed, strewn around the road, and persons
looking dazed.
Aoun: Road to Reform
Will Achieve Goals, Anti-Corruption Plan a Priority
Naharnet/August 10/18/President Michel Aoun stressed on
Friday that the country’s reform path will not go backwards assuring that
fighting corruption is one of the government's priorities. “The road towards
reform will not go backwards and will achieve its objectives through
peaceful and legal means,” said Aoun addressing a delegation of Lebanese
from Europe and France. On the government’s plans against corruption, Aoun
said: “A practical and comprehensive anti-corruption plan has been set out
and will be one of the government's priorities.”
Report: Officials Considering Several ‘Proposals’ to
End Govt. Stalemate
Naharnet/August 10/18/The delay in lining up a Lebanese government amid
wrangling between political parties over Cabinet shares, has called for
forwarding several suggestions, some of which are “being considered”, in a
bid to solve the stalemates. Sources following on the formation process told
al-Joumhouria daily on Friday that several scenarios have been proposed to
agree on the size of representation of the Lebanese Forces, and possibly
facilitate other obstacles mainly the Druze share. “One of the ways out, is
to have the same combination in the current caretaker government where
political parties will get the same representation size. The suggestion is
being considered,” they said. “Allocating three services portfolios for the
Lebanese Forces is another suggestion. But that, the LF has rejected. They
also turned down an idea to get three services portfolios plus a minister of
state,” added the sources on condition of anonymity. Assigning four services
portfolios for the party has been “implicitly accepted during LF-Hariri
(Prime Minister-designate) talks,” they said. However, “it would not include
a so-called sovereign portfolio nor a deputy prime minister post.”Allocating
ten ministers as part of the President’s (Michel Aoun) share is another
suggestion, but it’s still a “complicated” one in light of his demands to
get eleven. As for the obstacle of the Druze share, the “President still
rejects giving Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat the whole
three Druze Cabinet seats. He refuses monopolization,” they said. Another
recommendation is to give Jumblat two Druze ministers plus a third Christian
minister, which is still under discussion.
Hariri Vows Solutions for Cabinet Delay, Asks for
Berri’s Help
Naharnet/August 10/18/Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri vowed to put
forward some suggestions that would facilitate the delayed formation of the
government, adding that he requested the Speaker’s help in this endeavor
when he met him on Thursday, the Saudi Asharq al-Awsat daily reported on
Friday. After his meeting with Speaker Nabih Berri, Hariri said the
obstacles hampering the formation are “domestic and linked to ministerial
shares.” He urged political parties to prioritize the country’s interest
before their own. Later on Thursday, Hariri met with Foreign Minister Jebran
Bassil at the Center House. They discussed the recent political
developments, including those related to the formation of the new
government. “We are in a difficult economic and regional situation. We must
do something. We hope things will crystalize in the coming days in order to
line-up a government,” said Hariri after the meeting. The Premier refused to
comment on threats of some parties to resort to the streets, he assured
“there is no external interferences in the government formation. The problem
is internal and linked to ministerial shares.”Hariri said he will visit
President Michel Aoun when “a new Cabinet format is ready.”
'New Drive' as Bassil Reportedly Accepts 4-Seat Share
for LF
Naharnet/August 10/18/There is a "new drive" in the Cabinet formation
process, an AMAL Movement minister said on Friday. Speaking after talks with
PM-designate Saad Hariri, caretaker Finance Minister Ali Hassan Khalil said:
“There is a new drive in the government formation process and we hope things
will move forward.”LBCI television meanwhile quoted unnamed sources as
saying that Free Patriotic Movement chief MP Jebran Bassil has agreed that
the Lebanese Forces be granted four ministerial portfolios, “including one
that can be described as a sovereign portfolio.”“No party will get a share
that exceeds ten ministers,” the sources added. The four portfolios labeled
as 'sovereign' in Lebanon are foreign affairs, defense, interior and
finance. The justice and energy portfolios are sometimes viewed as being on
the same level of importance. In remarks to MTV, FPM sources meanwhile
downplayed LBCI's report. “It is not up to Bassil to specify the shares and
portfolios of the other blocs and he's only concerned with the bloc's
portfolios and share,” the sources said. The reports come in the wake of a
long-anticipated meeting between Bassil and Hariri that was held on
Thursday. The LF's share and that of the Progressive Socialist Party are
reportedly the two main obstacles that are delaying the formation of the new
government.
Report: Officials Considering Several ‘Proposals’ to
End Govt. Stalemate
Naharnet/August 10/18/The delay in lining up a Lebanese government amid
wrangling between political parties over Cabinet shares, has called for
forwarding several suggestions, some of which are “being considered”, in a
bid to solve the stalemates. Sources following on the formation process told
al-Joumhouria daily on Friday that several scenarios have been proposed to
agree on the size of representation of the Lebanese Forces, and possibly
facilitate other obstacles mainly the Druze share. “One of the ways out, is
to have the same combination in the current caretaker government where
political parties will get the same representation size. The suggestion is
being considered,” they said. “Allocating three services portfolios for the
Lebanese Forces is another suggestion. But that, the LF has rejected. They
also turned down an idea to get three services portfolios plus a minister of
state,” added the sources on condition of anonymity. Assigning four services
portfolios for the party has been “implicitly accepted during LF-Hariri
(Prime Minister-designate) talks,” they said. However, “it would not include
a so-called sovereign portfolio nor a deputy prime minister post.”Allocating
ten ministers as part of the President’s (Michel Aoun) share is another
suggestion, but it’s still a “complicated” one in light of his demands to
get eleven. As for the obstacle of the Druze share, the “President still
rejects giving Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat the whole
three Druze Cabinet seats. He refuses monopolization,” they said. Another
recommendation is to give Jumblat two Druze ministers plus a third Christian
minister, which is still under discussion.
Jarrah issues postage
stamp in honor of Patriarch Sfeir
Fri 10 Aug 2018/NNA - Caretaker Minister of Telecommunications, Jamal Jarrah,
issued a postage stamp holding the name of Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir, as
approved by the Cabinet. The event was hosted by Dr. Antoine Sfeir at his
Faitroun residence yesterday (Thursday), with the participation of diplomats
from Spain, Switzerland, Norway, Saudi Arabia, the UN and USA, in addition
to a panel of politicians and dignitaries.
Qatari Ambassador pays Rahi farewell visit
Fri 10 Aug 2018/NNA - Qatari Ambassador to Lebanon, Ali Bin
Hamad Al-Marri, on Friday paid a farewell visit to Maronite Patriarch, Mar
Bechara Boutros Rahi. The Maronite Patriarch lauded the Ambassador's
5-year-long role in Lebanon. "Lebanon shall remain an oasis of dialogue and
a meeting point among all sides," Rahi told the Qatari diplomat, hailing the
good existing relations between Lebanon and Qatar, as well as with all the
other Arab countries.
Jreissati orders legal action over death threat against
Baalbeck Governor
Fri 10 Aug 2018/NNA - Caretaker Minister of Justice, Salim
Jreissati, on Friday ordered State Prosecutor Judge Samir Hammoud, to take
the necessary legal action against those involved in making death threats
against the Governor of Baalbeck-Hermel, Bachir Khodor.
One Injured as UNIFIL
Vehicle Flips Over in Adaisseh
Naharnet/August 10/18/A driver belonging to the Indonesian
battalion of the U.N. Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) was lightly injured
Friday in a traffic accident in the southern town of Adaisseh, the National
News Agency said. The agency said the UNIFIL vehicle flipped over on the
Adaisseh road in Marjeyoun district after a brake malfunction. The
peacekeeping force has more than 10,000 troops deployed in southern Lebanon.
Lebanon: Calls to Save Higher Education Amid Warnings of Standards Decline
Beirut - Caroline Akoum/Asharq Al Awsat and Ali Barada/August
10/18
Following a wave of criticism targeting Lebanon’s higher education
sector and the recent scandal about fake military diplomas obtained by some
soldiers, the country’s finest educational institutions – the Lebanese
University – was stricken with reports about European universities not
recognizing its certificates, a news that the university has totally denied.
A few days after the announcement by the American University of Beirut (AUB)
and Saint Joseph University (USJ) of suspending their membership in the
Association of Universities of Lebanon, demanding the refinement of Lebanese
universities, fresh reports indicated that the European Union has threatened
not to recognize the certificates and diplomas granted by the Lebanese
University (UL), unless the latter works to reform its curricula within a
period of three years. The UL issued a statement denying the reports,
accusing some private universities of using false information to hit the
national university. However, refuting the reports does not mean that higher
education in Lebanon does not face a real problem. In recent years,
sectarian and confessional quotas have begun through the distribution of
licenses to establish universities away from specific criteria, despite the
fact that some Lebanese universities still top the list of best institutions
at the Arab and international levels. According to the latest report by the
British education organization Quacquarelli Symonds (QS), which published
the list of the top 1,000 universities in the world in 2019, the AUB ranked
first out of 100 universities and 237th globally. Although the name of the
Lebanese University did not appear in the top 1,000 universities in the
world, it ranked 25 in the Arab world, while Saint Joseph University was
ranked 12th on the Arab level and 500th globally. However, this ranking is
now at risk due to the deteriorating standards at the national level,
according to officials at USJ and AUB. This has led the two universities to
suspend their membership in the Association of Lebanese Universities.
Dr. Issam Khalifeh, researcher and professor at the UL, also agrees. In
remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, he said that the UL was the “most affected by
this reality,” warning of the negative consequences should the situation
remains as is. An official source at USJ and AUB’s Chief Academic Officer,
Dr. Mohammad Harajli, confirmed that the decision to suspend the membership
was taken three months ago, before the scandal of fake diplomas that were
granted to some members of the military institution. According to Harajli,
the decision was based on several criteria, the most important of which is
the bitter reality of Lebanon’s education sector and the excess of private
universities, which have reflected negatively on the level of education.
Commenting on this issue, the USJ official said: “The problem is not with
the granting of licenses [to open new universities]; but in the absence of
the necessary criteria, controls and methods that should be adopted.”On the
other hand, the president of the Association of Universities of Lebanon,
former Minister Sami Menqara agreed that the level of higher education has
declined, but criticized the decision taken by the two private universities.
In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Menqara underlined the need for cooperation,
especially by the two prominent universities. Stressing his rejection to the
granting of random licenses for the establishment of new universities, he
said: “A large number of Lebanon’s universities are not registered with the
Association, which only accepts the membership based on specific criteria.”
He noted that the association so far encompassed only 19 universities.
Elissa Breaks Taboo
with Clip Announcing Cancer Fight
Associated Press/Naharnet/August 10/18/It was an unusual way to reveal a
struggle against cancer, particularly in a part of the world where the
illness is still largely considered a private matter and taboo. But a video
clip released on Twitter is how Lebanese singer Elissa chose to share the
news with her fans and millions of followers on social media. "You are the
reason I am strong and healthy ... you are my strength. And this story is a
thank you," she posted, along with the song uploaded on YouTube entitled:
"For all those who love me." The video clip begins with a woman inside an
MRI machine and someone saying 'It's an early stage of breast cancer,' and
goes on to show the 45-year-old singer in various situations at a hospital,
with doctors and surrounded by friends. It features a voiceover of Elissa
speaking about her battle. The response was overwhelming from fans,
celebrities and politicians across the Arab world who posted, tweeted and
retweeted messages of support. The video clip has garnered more than seven
million views from fans and supporters since it was posted on Tuesday. The
clip and outpouring of support were all the more striking because cancer in
most of the Arab world, and particularly breast cancer among women, is
rarely discussed in public, and cancer patients often struggle in solitude.
Some among the older generation continue to refer to cancer as "that
disease," without mentioning it by name. Elissa declined a request for
comment through her agent, who said the singer was not giving interviews.
Elissa, whose real name is Elissar Khoury, is among the best known and
highest-selling female artists in the Arab world and received several music
awards in her career, mostly for Arabic pop songs delivered in the Lebanese
or Egyptian dialect. She was diagnosed with the illness in December 2017 but
kept it secret, even after she collapsed on stage during a live performance
in Dubai in February this year. She later tweeted to her fans that she was
healthy, adding: "Nothing serious don't worry!" The collapse is featured in
the seven-minute video released on Tuesday. "I do my radiotherapy session, I
go to the studio, I finish another session, I rest for two hours and go to
the studio again," Elissa says in the video clip, describing how she kept up
her work during her treatment. The song has a feel-good catchy tune with a
refrain that says: "Yalla, yalla yalla (come on!), let's sing and be happy,
let's make up for time lost, come on let's live," alternating between scenes
at a hospital and Elissa singing and dancing on stage.Fans across the Arab
world posted supportive messages, describing her as a super hero and a model
of strength. They included Free Patriotic Movement chief and caretaker
Foreign Minister Jebran Bassil, who tweeted that Elissa should be an
inspiration for all women with cancer not to give up. Elissa, who is
scheduled to perform in Beirut on Friday night, ended the video with the
words: "I've recovered. I've beaten the illness, and I won. ... Early
detection of breast cancer can save your life. Don't ignore it, face it. ...
Do it not only for yourself, but for your loved ones."On the Net:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=2&v=jYqd7qPNTm0
A Goodwill Gesture
over Electricity Sows Discord in Lebanon
Associated Press/Naharnet/August 10/18
It was supposed to be
a goodwill gesture from an energy company in Turkey.This summer, the
Karadeniz Energy Group lent Lebanon a floating power station to generate
electricity at below-market rates to help ease the strain on the country's
woefully undermaintained power sector. Instead, the barge's arrival opened a
Pandora's box of partisan mudslinging in a country hobbled by political
sectarianism and dysfunction. There have been rows over where it should
dock, how to allocate its 235 megawatts of power, and even what to call the
barge. It has even driven a wedge between Lebanon's two dominant parties
among Shiite Muslims: Amal and Hizbullah. Amal, which has held the
parliament speaker's seat since 1992, revealed sensationally last week it
had refused to allow the boat to dock in a port in the predominantly Shiite
south, even though it is one of the most underserved regions of Lebanon.
Power outages in the south can stretch on for more than 12 hours a day.
Hizbullah, which normally stands pat with Amal in political matters, issued
an exceptional statement that it had nothing to do with the matter of the
barge at Zahrani port. A Hizbullah lawmaker went further to say his party
disagreed on the issue with Amal. Ali Hassan Khalil, Lebanon's Finance
Minister and a leading Amal party member, said southerners wanted a
permanent power station, not a stop-gap solution, in an implied dig at the
rival Free Patriotic Movement, a Christian party that runs the Energy
Ministry.
But critics seized on the statement as confirmation that Amal's leaders were
in bed with the operators of private generators, who have been making
fortunes selling electricity during blackouts at many times the state price.
"For decades there's been nothing stopping them from building a power
plant," said Mohammad Obeid, a former Amal party official, in an interview
with Lebanon's Al Jadeed TV station. "Now there's a barge that's coming for
three months to provide a few more hours of electricity -- and that's the
issue?"
Hassan Khalil, reached by phone, refused to comment. Nabih Berri, Amal's
chief and Lebanon's parliament speaker, who has long been the subject of
critical coverage from Al Jadeed's, sued the TV channel for libel on
Wednesday for its reporting.Energy Minister Cesar Abi Khalil, a Christian,
lashed out at Amal, saying the ministry even changed the barge's name from
Ayse, Turkish for Aisha, a name associated in Lebanon with Sunnis, to Esra
Sultan, which does not carry any Shiite or Sunni connotations, to try to get
it to dock in Zahrani. Karadeniz said the barge was renamed "out of courtesy
and respect to local customs and sensitivities.""Ayse is a very common
Turkish name, where such preferences are not as sensitive as in Lebanon," it
said in a statement to The Associated Press. Finally, on July 18, the barge
docked in Jiyeh, a harbor south of Beirut but north of Zahrani, and in a
religiously mixed Muslim area. But two weeks later it was unmoored again,
after Abi Khalil, the energy minister, said the infrastructure at Jiyeh
could only handle 30 megawatts of the Esra Sultan's 235 capacity. With
Zahrani closed to the Esra Sultan, it could only go to Zouq Mikhael, a port
in the Christian-dominated Kesrouan region in the north, where it was
plugged to the grid Tuesday night, giving the region almost 24 hours of
electricity a day. Lebanon has been contending with rolling blackouts since
the days of its 1975-1990 civil war. Successive governments have failed to
agree on a permanent solution for the chronic electricity failures, largely
because of profiteering, endemic corruption and lack of political will. In
2013, the Energy Ministry contracted with Karadeniz to buy electricity from
a pair of its barges, which are still docked in Jiyeh and Zouq Mikhael. This
summer, Abi Khalil signed a new contract with Karadeniz to keep the barges
for another three years. As part of the deal, Karadeniz agreed to lend
Lebanon the third barge, the Esra Sultan, to produce electricity for three
months at no cost - Lebanon would just have to pay for the fuel. The company
said Lebanon's internal squabbles do not affect how long the Esra Sultan
would stay in Lebanon. It arrived on July 18 and it will leave on Oct. 18,
it said.
Hariri breathes life into Cabinet formation talks
Georgi Azar/Annahar/August 10/18
"I've been tasked with forming a new Cabinet and if they want to blame me
for the delays, so be it," Hariri said.
BEIRUT: In an attempt to break the deadlock
over the formation of a new Cabinet, Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri
held Thursday a new round of deliberations with Speaker Nabih Berri and
caretaker Foreign Minister Gebran Bassil. Hariri reiterated after his
sit down with Berri that the delays stem from internal political differences
and "not foreign interventions," while vowing to head to the Presidential
Palace to meet with President Michel Aoun once a new lineup is drafted.
"I've been tasked with forming a new Cabinet and if they want to blame me
for the delays, so be it," Hariri said.
Following his meeting with Berri, Hariri held similar discussions with
Bassil, who had previously maintained that he's at the "service of" the
Prime Minister-designate to discuss "any obstacles and how to overcome
them." Hariri's been steadfast in his attempt to form an all-inclusive
Cabinet that brings together representatives of major parties. However,
Hariri's efforts have stumbled as the Lebanese Forces, Bassil's Free
Patriotic Movement and Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblatt
continue to quarrel over their share of portfolios. Aoun, who founded the
FPM, has been trying to secure at least four other ministries to go
alongside Bassil's seven, granting the FPM veto power in a Cabinet of 30
ministers. However, sources familiar with the ongoing negotiations say
Hariri is opposed to granting Aoun's FPM or any other coalition, including
the Iranian-backed group Hezbollah, its Shiite political partner Speaker
Nabih Berri's Amal Movement and their allies, veto power in the government,
the equivalent of over 10 seats in a 30-member Cabinet. "The FPM are
confusing their share with that of the President," LF MP George Adwan
recently said.
The PSP has also been trying to secure the three Druze posts up for grabs,
leaving FPM ally and rival Druze leader Talal Arslan out of the equation,
which further complicates negotiations for Hariri. “Everyone talks about
their concern for the country ... but I hope all the political parties will
put their country ahead of their own interests," Hariri said. Hariri was
designated to form a Cabinet by a sweeping majority of lawmakers including
key Hezbollah allies. His designation follows parliament elections in which
the Iranian-sponsored armed group Hezbollah and its allies secured an
absolute majority in parliament while the Saudi-backed Hariri's Future
Movement bloc lost a third of its parliamentary seats.
Hezbollah expands its arsenal
Abbas Al-Sabbagh/Annahar/August 10/18
The show of force serves to send Israel a message on the psychological
warfare front, while possibly shedding light on the recent downing of an
Israeli drone in Bint Jbeil.
BEIRUT: In a recent Hezbollah sponsored
media report, the party showcased a squadron of drones among other weapons
in its arsenal at the “Mleeta Resistance Tourist Landmark.”The show of force
serves to send Israel a message within the realm of psychological warfare,
retired Major General Hisham Jaber tells Annahar, while possibly shedding
light on the recent downing of an Israeli drone in Bint Jbeil.
Hezbollah’s use of unmanned aerial vehicles, or UAVs, can be traced back to
2004 when it sent an Iranian Mirsad on a brief reconnaissance mission over
Israel lasting some 14 minutes before returning to Lebanon undetected.The
party had confirmed at the time that the drone could be used to scout
airports, bases, and military infrastructure, while also carrying up to 50
kilograms of explosives. Aoun calls for UNIFIL mandate renewal amid "Israeli
aggression"
Fast forward two years and drones were also deployed during the 2006 war
after Hezbollah sent at least three UAVs toward enemy territory. In 2012,
the Shiite group was able to fly an advanced UAV to southern Israel over a
distance of several hundred miles down the Israeli coast over Gaza and the
Negev desert, before photographing military sites and gathering intel on the
Dimona reactor, part of the Negev Nuclear Research Center. Hezbollah also
used drones to strike Islamic State targets in Syria in the summer of 2017,
hitting IS positions, bunkers, and fortifications in the Western Qalamoun
area near the border with Lebanon. Hezbollah's expanding arsenal casts doubt
over reports on the mysterious downing of an Israeli reconnaissance plane
near the town of Beit Yahoun in Bint Jbeil, of which the remains were later
destroyed by Israeli aircraft. All signs point toward the plane being shot
down by Hezbollah, contradicting Israeli reports that it crashed due to
technical malfunctions. The drone was also carrying live munitions which
were later destroyed by the Lebanese army, which brings credence to the
argument that the aircraft was not merely on a reconnaissance mission. The
downing of the Israeli reconnaissance drone might indicate that Hezbollah
has acquired air defense weapons; reports that Jaber neither confirms nor
denies, adding that Israel “is willing to pay millions to know more
information about the group's defensive mechanisms.”The success of Syrian
air defenses in shooting down an Israeli F-16 in February in a direct
confrontation with Tel-Aviv might also signal that the Iranian-backed
militant group has acquired new anti-aircraft weapons as part of the broader
conflict between Tehran and Damascus, on the one hand, and Israel, on the
other. Jaber says Hezbollah is unlikely to showcase or put such weapons to
use under the current circumstances, but will rather seek to keep Israel in
the dark over the party's true military capabilities.
The Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News
published
on August 10-11/18
Canadian police: 2 of
4 dead in shooting are officers/
الشرطة في مدينة فردركتون(نيوبرونزوك الكندية) تعلن أن اثنين من القتلى الأربعة
هم من افرادها
Jonathan Rumley/Yahoo Canada NewsAugust 10, 2018
Associated Press/August 10/18
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/fredericton-shooting-kills-four-including-two-police-officers-134947466.html
Fredericton police said they are not releasing the names of the
slain officers yet.
FREDERICTON, New Brunswick: Four people, including two police
officers, were shot to death in an apartment complex in the eastern Canadian
city of Fredericton on Friday, and a suspect was taken into custody,
authorities said. It was a rare instance of gun violence in the Canadian
province of New Brunswick.
Fredericton police said they are not releasing the names of the slain
officers yet.Justin Mclean, who lives in the complex, said he tried to
help.“I just woke up and heard gunshots and I looked outside my window.
There was basically three dead people laying there. It wasn’t a pretty
sight,” Mclean told the Canadian Broadcasting Corp.“The cops were trying to
put one of the officers into the vehicle so they could take him out to
safety.” He said there had been fights in the apartment complex, but never
anything like this.David MacCoubrey, who also lives in the complex, said he
heard about 20 shots and hid on his kitchen floorز“I’m on my floor,” he said
in a phone interview. “The cops have come through my place. They have
searched all the apartments in the building. It sounded like it started in
the courtyard area.”He awoke in his apartment on Brookside Drive around 7
a.m. local time to the sound of three gunshots 33 feet (10 meters) from his
bed.MacCoubrey said his apartment complex has four buildings in a square,
and it sounded like the shots were coming from the middle of the complex.He
said police have been searching the buildings, and he’s been sitting away
from windows. “It’s not something that happens here regularly,” he
said.Travis Hrubeniuk, who lives nearby, said his fiancee had just left for
work around 7:45 when he began hearing a steady stream of sirens. Hrubeniuk
said residents have been advised to stay inside with their doors locked. The
quiet residential neighborhood, which has houses, grocery stores, a church
and an elementary school, is the last place Hrubeniuk said he expected to
encounter a dangerous situation. “This is the first time I’ve even heard of
any serious crime or violent crime in this city,” he said. In 2014, a
shooting in Moncton, New Brunswick left three Royal Canadian Mounted Police
officers dead and two wounded. Fredericton has a population of about 58,000
and is located just northeast of Maine.New Brunswick Premier Brian Gallant
tweeted his condolences to the victims and their families. “During this
difficult time, our thoughts are also with the courageous women and men on
the front lines working to keep us safe,” said Gallant. Bill Henwood, a
funeral director at York Funeral Home, whose business is located inside the
cordoned off area on Brookside Drive, said the lockdown occurred before
anybody got to work. Henwood said people are sitting in their cars or just
standing near the blockade of police and fire vehicles “hanging tight and
waiting for word” on what comes next.“All the businesses even on the outside
of the lockdown area have their lobbies and their business areas closed.
They aren’t letting customers in at the moment,” he said. Henwood said the
situation is a shock. “It’s not something that we expect in Fredericton to
wake up and hear about. To see that there’s actually fatalities is pretty
extraordinary for this area. It doesn’t normally happen.”
Erdogan Says Turkey 'Won't Lose Economic War' after Lira Crash
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/August 10/18/Turkish President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan on Friday pledged that Turkey would prevail in an "economic war"
after the lira crashed to historic lows over Ankara's strains with
Washington. "We will not lose the economic war," state-run TRT Haber
television quoted Erdogan as saying in his first reaction to the latest lira
plunge. The state-run Anadolu news agency also quoted Erdogan as saying that
Turkey would be able to overcome the situation just like flooding this week
in the Black Sea province of Ordu. "God willing we will overcome these
disasters (the Ordu floods) and also we will be successful in the economic
war," he said on a visit to the Black Sea Bayburt region. Erdogan had in
comments late Thursday raised eyebrows by appearing to play down the
magnitude of the crisis, saying: "If they have dollars, we have our people,
we have our right and we have Allah!" he said.
Turkey Lira Crashes as
Trump Piles on Pressure
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/August 10/18/The embattled Turkish lira
tumbled almost 20 percent to new record lows against the dollar on Friday as
strains with the United States intensified, but President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan defiantly proclaimed Turkey would emerge victorious in an "economic
war."Compounding the lira's agony, President Donald Trump said he had
doubled steel and aluminum tariffs on Turkey, noting that relations between
the NATO allies were "not very good."The lira's plunge is one of the most
serious economic crises that Erdogan has faced since coming to power in 2003
in the wake of a financial crisis in 2001 that brought the economy to near
meltdown. The currency turbulence coincides with the most bitter dispute
with the United States since the 1974 Turkish invasion of Cyprus, which so
far shows no sign of abating. The lira was trading at 6.6 to the dollar at
1335 GMT, a loss on the day of 19 percent. "The Turkish Lira is in a state
of crisis, as a result of investor confidence in Turkish assets remaining at
alarmingly low levels," said Jameel Ahmad, Global Head of Currency Strategy
& Market Research at FXTM.
'National fight'
But Erdogan, who had remained unusually silent until now as the lira crisis
mounted, urged Turks to take matters into their own hands. "If you have
dollars, euros or gold under your pillow, go to banks to exchange them for
Turkish lira. It is a national fight," he said. "This will be the response
to those who have declared an economic war," he said, blaming Turkey's woes
on what he described as an "interest rate lobby" seeking to push the country
to higher rates. Erdogan had raised eyebrows Thursday when he appeared to
invoke divine intervention, saying: "If they have dollars, we have our
people, we have our right and we have Allah!"Turkey remains at loggerheads
with the United States over the detention for the last two years of American
pastor Andrew Brunson and a host of other issues.
Trump intensified the alarm on financial markets with a new tweet on the
Turkey row.
I have just authorized a doubling of Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum with
respect to Turkey as their currency, the Turkish Lira, slides rapidly
downward against our very strong Dollar!" Trump said on Twitter. "Our
relations with Turkey are not good at this time!"But Erdogan said Turks
should not be alarmed by exchange rate movements. "The dollar, the mollar,
will not cut our path," said Erdogan, adding Turkey had alternatives "from
Iran, to Russia, to China and some European countries."
- 'May not stem worries' -
Markets are deeply concerned over the direction of domestic economic policy
under Erdogan with inflation at nearly 16 percent but the central bank
reluctant to raise rates in response. UBS chief economist for EMEA emerging
markets Gyorgy Kovacs said a giant rate hike of 350-400 basis points would
be "consistent with real rate levels that in the past helped to stabilize
the currency."He warned that a "rate hike alone might not stem the worries
about the U.S. and Turkey tensions and a potential further escalation."And
it remains unclear if the bank would be willing to sharply lift rates, with
analysts saying the nominally independent institution is under the influence
of Erdogan, who wants low rates to keep growth humming. After winning a June
election with revamped powers, Erdogan tightened his control over the
central bank and appointed his son-in-law Berat Albayrak to head a
newly-empowered finance ministry. "President Erdogan's strengthened powers
under the new presidential system have made it increasingly uncertain
whether policymakers will be able to act to stabilize the economy," said
William Jackson, chief emerging markets economist at Capital Economics in
London.
Accelerating speed
Concerns mounted Friday after a report in the Financial Times that the
supervisory wing of the European Central Bank had over the last weeks began
to look more closely at eurozone lenders' exposure to Turkey. The report
said the situation is not yet seen as "critical" but Spain's BBVA, Italy's
UniCredit and France's BNP Paribas are regarded as particularly exposed.
With many Turkish companies have taken out loans in dollars, banks face a
higher risk of default. "Investors have been looking at the unfolding
currency crisis in Turkey as a local difficulty, however the accelerating
speed of the declines appears to be raising concerns about European banks
exposure to the Turkish banking system," said Michael Hewson, chief market
analyst at CMC Markets UK. Albayrak, who formerly served as energy minister,
on Friday announced what he has described as a "new economic model" for
Turkey but he focused on macro-economic issues and steered well clear of
tackling the currency crisis. The lira's plunge has featured remarkably
little on Turkish television channels and newspapers -- most of which after
recent ownership changes are loyal to the government -- with media focusing
instead on recent flooding by the Black Sea.
Iran’s Economy on
Verge of Collapse after Sanctions
London - Riyadh - Asharq Al-Awsat and Fateh al-Rahman Youssef/Friday,
10 August, 2018/Iranian government efforts to confront the country’s
worsening economic crisis have backfired and things are likely to get worse
after the US reimposed sanctions on the country following its withdrawal
from the 2015 nuclear deal between Tehran and world powers. The government
sought to stabilize the currency by pegging it at a set rate to the dollar
but this measure ended up speeding the rial’s decline, Bloomberg said. The
rial’s value has gone down down 70 percent since May. In the runup to the
Aug. 7 resumption of US sanctions, President Hassan Rouhani got stern
directives from a few corners of Iran. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei urged him
to deal with corruption. The Revolutionary Guards commander told him to
focus on Iran’s slumping currency, while a sizable chunk of Parliament
summoned Rouhani to harangue him about the sinking economy. None of them,
however, had any advice on how to ease the growing sense of despair and
outrage in the streets, reported Bloomberg. Over the past few weeks, there
has been a 50 percent rise in the price of some food items, triggering
scattered protests. Fawaz al-Elmi, an expert in international trade, told
Asharq Al-Awsat that Iran will likely “face the worst of scenarios.”“The US
sanctions will have severe repercussions on the Iranian economy,” he said,
adding that 105 international companies have withdrawn from the Iranian
market and the riyal has lost another 12 percent of its value since the
sanctions have gone into effect on Tuesday. Only three years after the
nuclear deal was signed, though, instead of enjoying the fruits of the
accord, Rouhani has to explain what went wrong—and how he’s going to fix it.
To some observers, Rouhani’s attempts to deal with the situation have been
reactionary and not part of a coherent strategy. “They’re dealing with
crises as they happen,” Saeed Laylaz, a pro-reform economist who has advised
the government, told Bloomberg. “The people have lost their trust, and they
are craving efficiency. They don’t care if it comes from men with beards
(religious figures in Iran) or neckties.”Rouhani has governed as a moderate.
He now finds himself on precarious middle ground. To the right, he faces
pressure from conservative clerics who were critical of the nuclear deal to
begin with. On the left, he’s blamed for not doing enough to reform the
political or economic system during the two years the deal was in effect.
Progress was made—oil exports surged, for example—but job creation couldn’t
meet demand in a country where more than 60 percent of the population is
under 30.
Ahmadinejad Asks Rouhani to Resign
London - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10 August, 2018/Former Iranian president
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has asked President Hassan Rouhani to resign. In a video
published on his official website, Ahmadinejad said Rouhani, the Larijani
brothers and the conservative and reformative blocs are responsible for the
current situation in Iran. The return of calm hinged on the three
authorities stepping down, he said. Ahmadinejad said that Rouhani is not
accepted by the Iranians, posing the question of 'Who is responsible for the
current situation in the country?' Five years have already passed, and the
economy in the country is collapsing – the confidence in the regime is
almost at zero level, he said. Ahmadinejad added that the people don’t want
Rouhani and his presence undermines the country. He implicitly hinted at the
nuclear deal, saying that it offered privileges but the people received
nothing. This is the second time in six months that Ahmadinejad demands the
heads of the three authorities to resign. In February, Ahmadinejad responded
to a speech delivered by Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei on the delay of
social justice and the necessity of apologizing to the Iranians 39 years
after the Iranian revolution. Ahmadinejad called on Khamenei to take
tangible steps given his position and vast powers in the regime, in order to
maintain the confidence of the public – he demanded to amend the
constitution and to hold quick and free presidential and parliamentary
elections. The demands of Ahmadinejad coincide with the return of US
sanctions and the renewal of popular protests. He finds himself comfortable
in renewing his demands, especially that it was confirmed last week that
Rouhani would appear in front of the parliament to answer questions on his
government’s handling of Iran’s economic struggles. Two pro-regime clerics
Hossein Noori Hamedani and Naser Makarem Shirazi criticized the government
and the judiciary over the slow pace in dealing with corruption files.
Larijani said Wednesday, after withdrawing confidence from the Iranian
minister of labor, that it is a shame that launching accusations has become
a trend, hinting at speeches delivered by Ahmadinejad in a number of cities
in Iran.
Khamenei Seeks to Downplay Concerns over Iranian Regime’s Future
London - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10 August, 2018/Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei
said Iran had nothing to be concerned about, in his first reaction since the
return of biting US sanctions on Tuesday. "With regard to our situation do
not be worried at all. Nobody can do anything," his website Khamenei.ir
quoted him as saying, according to Reuters. US President Donald Trump
tweeted on Tuesday that the new sanctions, which were lifted under a 2015
international nuclear deal, were the most biting sanctions ever imposed.
Companies doing business with Iran will be barred from the United States,
Trump said. Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif told the Iran
newspaper that Oman and Switzerland have acted as mediators in talks with
America in the past but that there are currently no direct or indirect talks
being held with the United States. He also denied that he met with US
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in Singapore last week. Iranian President
Hassan Rouhani, speaking in a meeting with North Korea's foreign minister on
Wednesday, said that America cannot be trusted, according to the State news
agency IRNA. "Today, America is identified as an unreliable and
untrustworthy country in the world which does not adhere to any of its
obligations," Rouhani said. In the current situation, friendly countries
should develop their relations and cooperation in (the) international
community," he said, adding Iran and North Korea have "always had close
views" on many issues. Ri traveled to Tehran after attending a security
forum in Singapore, where he and Pompeo sparred over an agreement made at
June's landmark summit between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
Iranian Opposition Group Reveals Details of Paris Bomb
Plot against it
Brussels – Abdullah Mustafa/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10
August, 2018/The Paris-based National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI)
revealed on Wednesday the details of the failed plot to bomb its conference
in late June. Chairman of the NCRI’s Foreign Affairs Committee Mohammad
Mohaddesin told a press conference in Brussels that the opposition group had
identified three of the suspects involved in the plot, which he said was
ordered by the Iranian regime. The purpose of his press conference was to
highlight the role of the regime in planning terrorist attacks, he stressed.
Two of the suspects, married couple Amir Saadouni, 38, and Nasimeh Naamani,
34, were arrested in Belgium. They claimed to be supporters of the NCRI and
attempted to infiltrate its ranks, said Mohaddesin. Naamani had traveled
from Belgium to Iran in 2009 where she married Saadouni. Saadouni had
secretly traveled to Iran on July 2. Mohaddesin identified the third suspect
as Assadollah Assadi, 46, the chief of Iranian intelligence in the Iranian
embassy in Vienna. He was appointed to the embassy in 2014 under the
position of “third secretary.”Assadi gave the final order to the terrorists
to carry out their attack against the NCRI in June, he added. The attack was
plotted months ago by Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei, President Hassan
Rouhani, Foreign Minister Mohammed Javad Zarif, head of intelligence, chief
of the national security council, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps and
its Quds Force and Khamanei’s political and security affairs deputy, said
Mohaddesin. The Iranian intelligence ministry tasked Assadi with carrying
out the plot, he added. The intelligence and security center in Vienna has
been transformed into the coordinator of intelligence and security in
Europe, he charged. The plotters were planning on bombing an NCRI meeting
that was held on June 30 in Villepinte, a Paris suburb. US President Donald
Trump's lawyer Rudy Giuliani and several former European and Arab ministers
attended the meeting. Six people, including the Iranian diplomat, were
arrested for the crime.
Iraqi Cleric Sadr Wins Vote Recount
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/August 10/18/Nationalist Shiite cleric Moqtada
Sadr's alliance won Iraq's legislative election in May according to a manual
recount, the electoral commission said Friday, paving the way for a
government to be formed nearly three months after the polls. Allegations of
fraud prompted the supreme court to order a partial manual recount, but
Sadr's joint list with communists will retain all 54 seats it won to become
the biggest bloc in Iraq's 329-seat parliament. The only change resulting
from the recount will be an extra seat for the Conquest Alliance of
pro-Iranian former paramilitary fighters at the expense of a local Baghdad
list. Conquest Alliance remains in second place but will have 48 seats
instead of 47, Iraq's nine-member electoral commission said. Prime Minister
Haider al-Abadi's bloc remains in third with just 42 seats. After the
supreme court officially announces the final results, the outgoing president
has 15 days to convene the parliament, which must then elect a new head of
state and begin the process for forming a coalition government. Sadr has
already signed a coalition agreement with Shiite Ammar al-Hakim's Al-Hikma
list, which will stay on 19 seats after the recount, and the secular
outgoing vice-president Iyad Allawi, whose list was comprised largely of
Sunnis and secured 21 seats. The May 12 election saw a record low turnout of
44.5 percent, with long-time political figures pushed out by voters seeking
change in a country mired in conflict and corruption. The recount results
come after deadly protests broke out earlier in the summer, with
demonstrators angry at water shortages, unemployment and the dire state of
public services. Regular power cuts mean there has been little respite
from sweltering summer temperatures and with the national grid providing
just a few hours of electricity per day, many Iraqis are forced to pay to
use generators through the private sector. Graft is also seen as a huge
problem in a country where citizens argue they fail to benefit from the
country's oil wealth. Officially $40 billion (34 billion euros) has been
allocated to the power sector over the past 15 years, but a substantial
slice has been siphoned off by corrupt politicians and businessmen who have
fronted fake contracts. In an attempt to quell public anger after more than
a month of protests, Abadi sacked four directors in the electricity ministry
on Tuesday and moved a number of others. The decision followed the dismissal
last month of electricity minister Qassem al-Fahdawi "because of the
deterioration in the electricity sector", the premier's office said at the
time.
Sadr Retains Election
Victory in Recount of Iraq Ballots
Asharq Al-Awsat/August 10/18/Cleric Moqtada al-Sadr retained his lead in
Iraq's May parliamentary election, results of a nationwide recount of votes
showed on Friday, positioning him to play a central role in forming the
country's next government. Iraq's Independent High Election Commission (IHEC)
released the results of the recount on its website early on Friday. The IHEC
said the results of the recount matched the initial results from 13 of
Iraq's 18 provinces. The winning parties are still embroiled in negotiations
over forming the next governing coalition three months after the vote, with
no sign of an imminent conclusion. The recount did not alter the initial
results significantly, with Sadr keeping his tally of 54 seats. Parliament
ordered the recount in June after widespread allegations of fraud cast doubt
on the integrity of the ballot. According to the results announced Friday, a
group of Iran-backed Shiite leaders, the Conquest Alliance, remained second
behind Sadr's bloc but gained 48 seats instead of 47, with incumbent Prime
Minister Haider al-Abadi's bloc still in third place with 42 seats. Abadi,
who is seeking a second term in office, is heading a fragile caretaker
government until a new one is formed. The political uncertainty over the
makeup of the new government has raised tensions at a time when public
impatience is growing over poor basic services, unemployment and the slow
pace of rebuilding after a three-year war with ISIS. After the supreme court
officially announces the final results, the outgoing president has 15 days
to convene parliament, which must then elect a new head of state and begin
the process of forming a coalition government and settling on a new prime
minister.
Sadr’s Reluctance Drags Iraq Government Formation
Baghdad, New York/Asharq Al Awsat and Ali Barada/August 10/18/Sadrist
Movement Leader and top Iraqi cleric Muqtada al-Sadr said he is reluctant to
participate in the formation the upcoming government, refusing to enter into
parliamentary alliances that are based on sectarian, ethnic and partisan
quotas. Sadr’s position jeopardizes efforts for forming Iraq’s next
government. Sadr issued an official statement on Thursday saying that he
will no longer continue supporting Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi for
another term in office. The statement also referred to the four-week-old
popular protests as “shy steps that do little to meet the protesters'
demands.”Sadr said he preferred to undertake “constructive political
opposition” if political forces did not meet conditions he set for forming
the government and the method of electing a qualified prime minister.
Commenting on Sadr's statement, Fatah Alliance member Amer Al-Fayez said
“the failure of political blocs to agree on alliances combined with a foggy
political atmosphere makes everything possible, whether it be the formation
of a government or opposition blocs. Fatah Alliance is a Shiite bloc
coalition that was formed to contest the 2018 general election. It includes
former groups involved in Hashd al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization Forces). In
the meantime, Special Representative and Head United Nations Assistance
Mission in Iraq (UNAMI) Jan Kubis hoped the next government would form in
time for "Eid al-Adha," which takes place late August. Kubis said that
forming the upcoming government is a part of meeting the aspirations of
Iraqis who, in recent demonstrations, had sent a "very strong message"
expressing their frustration with the incumbent political system. Iraqis
have also taken to street against sectarian quotas and foreign interference
in Iraqi politics. “There is a chance,” Kubis told Asharq Al-Awsat when
addressing the possibility of the nation-wide prominent Shiite authority Ali
al-Sistani instigating change among prominent political forces. Kubis called
on Baghdad powers to carry on with the policy of openness initiated by Abadi
with neighboring countries, especially Saudi Arabia and Gulf states.
Syrian Troops Shell Idlib, Drop 'Surrender' Notes
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/August 10/18/Syrian regime forces shelled
rebel and jihadist positions in the northwestern province of Idlib on
Thursday and dropped leaflets urging people to surrender. The province is
the largest chunk of territory still in rebel hands, and President Bashar
al-Assad has warned it would be his next priority. The United Nations, for
its part, appealed Thursday for talks to avert "a civilian bloodbath" in
Idlib, on the border with Turkey. "The war cannot be allowed to go to Idlib,"
the head of the United Nations humanitarian taskforce for Syria, Jan Egeland,
told reporters in Geneva. Egeland said he remained "hopeful" that diplomatic
efforts could avert a major ground offensive that would force hundreds of
thousands to flee. "It is bad now" in Idlib, Egeland said. "It could be 100
times worse." The warning came as government helicopters dropped leaflets
over towns in Idlib's eastern countryside urging people to surrender, an AFP
correspondent said. "The war is nearing an end... We are calling on you to
join the local reconciliations, as many of our people in Syria did," said
the leaflets, which were stamped with the military's seal. Such surrender
deals are often negotiated by regime ally Russia. They typically see rebels
hand over territory to government troops in exchange for a halt to shelling,
the return of state institutions, and a chance to either join regime forces
or be bussed out of the area. "The fate of your family, children and future
depend on your decision," warned the leaflets. Heavy artillery and rocket
fire on Thursday morning slammed into territory around Jisr al-Shughur, a
key town in the southwestern part of the province, according to the Syrian
Observatory for Human Rights. "The shelling is in preparation for a possible
regime assault on that area," Observatory head Rami Abdel Rahman said,
referring to Jisr al-Shughur.But "the fate of remaining areas in the
province depend on any deal" between key powerbrokers Russia and Turkey, he
said. Jisr al-Shughur is near the administrative borders with Latakia and
Hama provinces.
"Regime reinforcements including equipment, soldiers, vehicles and
ammunition have been arriving since Tuesday," he told AFP. They were
arriving in three regime-held areas: Latakia province just west of Jisr al-Shughur,
in the Sahl al-Ghab plain to the south in Hama province, and in a sliver of
the province's southeast that is already in government hands. Al-Watan
newspaper, which is close to the government, also reported on Thursday that
army troops had bombed rebel and jihadist positions in the area. Idlib,
which has escaped regime control since 2015, lies along the border with
Turkey but is otherwise nearly completely surrounded by government-held
territory. Around 60 percent of it is now held by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS),
which is led by Al-Qaeda's former Syria affiliate, while rival opposition
factions also control territory.Syrian troops have recaptured key swathes of
the country in recent months with Russia's help. - Dozens arrested
-Apparently fearing a surrender deal for Idlib, HTS has been arresting
dozens of figures in the province that have been go-betweens with the
regime. Early Thursday, the group detained several such figures from
villages in Idlib's southeast, calling them "chiefs of treason", according
to an HTS-linked media agency. The Britain-based Observatory, which relies
on a network of sources inside Syria, said it had documented more than 100
such arrests by HTS and rival forces this week alone. Idlib province is home
to around 2.5 million people, including rebels and civilians transferred en
masse from other territory that fell to Syrian troops after intense
assaults. It was designated last year as one of four "de-escalation" zones
where violence was supposed to be reduced ahead of a nationwide ceasefire.
It is the only such zone left, after Assad's troops in recent months
recaptured the other three with a blend of military assaults and
"reconciliation" deals.
Canada Asks for Help in Saudi Dispute
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/August 10/18/Canada is quietly nudging allies
including Germany and Sweden for help with resolving its row with Saudi
Arabia, a government source confirmed Thursday. The senior official, who
asked not to be identified due to the sensitivity of the diplomacy, said
Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland had spoken with her counterparts in the
two European nations. Germany and Sweden previously were targets of Saudi
backlashes for calling out the kingdom over human rights abuses. Freeland
sought to understand how they resolved those disputes, and asked for their
support, the official said. Ottawa also planned to reach out to regional
heavyweight the United Arab Emirates and Britain, which has strong
historical ties to Saudi Arabia. Women's rights advocates, charitable
organizations, and civil rights groups, meanwhile, urged the international
community "to join Canada in calling for the unequivocal respect of women's
rights in Saudi Arabia." They also called for Riyadh to "immediately
release" women activists in detention, and commended Freeland "for her
uncompromising stand for human rights, and for her bold leadership in
walking the talk on women's rights globally." "We join Canada in urging
Saudi Arabia to release women's rights activists Samar Badawi and Nassima
al-Sada," said the statement signed by 22 non-governmental groups and
individuals, including the Nobel Women's Initiatve, Oxfam, and Lawyers
without Borders. Tensions have been high since Monday, when Riyadh expelled
Canada's ambassador, recalled its own envoy and froze all new trade and
investments after Ottawa denounced a crackdown on rights activists in Saudi
Arabia. On Wednesday, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stood firm, saying:
"Canada will always speak strongly and clearly in private and in public on
questions of human rights ... at home and abroad, wherever we see the need."
"Canadians expect that, and indeed people around the world expect that
leadership from Canada," he said. Trudeau noted that Freeland had "a long
conversation" on Tuesday with her counterpart Adel al-Jubeir to try to
resolve the dispute. "Diplomatic talks continue," he said.
Canada has been disappointed that Western powers including the United States
-- a key ally of Saudi Arabia -- did not publicly support Ottawa. "Both
sides need to diplomatically resolve this together. We can't do it for them.
They need to resolve it together," US State Department spokeswoman Heather
Nauert told a briefing on Wednesday. In March 2015, Saudi Arabia recalled
its ambassador from Stockholm over criticism by the Swedish foreign minister
of Riyadh's human rights record. Earlier this year, Bloomberg News reported
that Saudi Arabia was scaling back its dealings with some German companies
amid a diplomatic spat with Berlin. The move came after Germany's foreign
minister last November remarked that Lebanon was a "pawn" of Saudi Arabia
after the surprise resignation of its Prime Minister Saad Hariri while in
Riyadh.
Canada welcomes appointment of Michelle Bachelet as
next UN High Commissioner for Human Rights
August 10, 2018 - Ottawa, Canada - Global Affairs Canada
Global Affairs Canada today issued the following statement:
“Canada welcomes the decision to appoint Michelle Bachelet, former president
of Chile, as the next UN high commissioner for human rights. Ms. Bachelet
brings with her a wealth of experience, including as a champion for gender
equality and the rights of women and girls.
“Canada extends its gratitude to the outgoing high commissioner, Zeid Ra’ad
Al Hussein, for his unwavering commitment to the promotion and protection of
human rights around the world. Under his leadership, the Office of the High
Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) strengthened the human rights agenda
of the United Nations.
“Canada maintains a strong relationship with the OHCHR, which remains an
essential element of the rules-based international order. In 2016, Canada
announced up to $15 million over three years in unearmarked funding for the
OHCHR. Canada has also provided additional targeted funding to OHCHR country
missions and thematic programs, including the Human Rights up Front
initiative.
“We trust that Ms. Bachelet, as the next high commissioner, will continue to
fight for the values that the OHCHR represents and that Canada shares: human
rights, freedom and dignity for all. Together, we must remain steadfast in
our efforts to protect and promote human rights around the world.”
Calm Returns to Gaza-Israel Border - for Now
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/August 10/18/Calm returned to Gaza and
neighbouring areas of Israel Friday after a deadly flare-up between
Palestinian militants and the Israeli military, but fresh protests could
test the embryonic truce. Palestinian political sources said agreement had
been reached to end all rocket fire into Israel and air strikes on Gaza from
around midnight (2100 GMT) on Thursday. There was no Israeli confirmation
but there were no fresh strikes overnight. Thursday had seen extensive
Israeli raids in retaliation for the launching of more than 180 rockets and
mortar rounds by Gaza's Islamist rulers Hamas and its allies on Wednesday
night. Three Palestinians were killed in the Israeli strikes, including a
mother and her year-old daughter, while seven Israelis were wounded by
Palestinian rocket fire as hundreds took refuge in bomb shelters.It was one
of the most serious flareups since the 2014 Gaza war and followed months of
escalating tensions. Late on Thursday, an Israeli air raid flattened a
five-storey building which hosted a cultural centre in Gaza City but which
the army said was used by Hamas security forces. The Israeli security
cabinet and the Hamas leadership convened separately late on Thursday, with
the truce offer brokered by Egypt and the United Nations on the table.
Neither Israel nor Hamas officially confirmed any truce had gone into
effect, although that has also been the case with previous informal
arrangements. It would be the third such truce in a month. Reserve general
Doron Almog, former head of Israel's southern command which deals with Gaza,
told army radio on Friday morning that the next 24 hours would be crucial.
"We are closer to an arrangement than we have been in the past because
Hamas's interest in a deal is greater than its wish for escalation," he
said.
- Lone call for war -For Israel, the response to the Hamas rockets is
politically problematic for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. A Friday
opinion poll published by Hebrew-language newspaper Maariv found that 64
percent of respondents, both Jews and Arabs, were dissatisfied with
Netanyahu's policy towards Hamas, with only 29 percent supportive. The
survey polled 512 people and had a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.
Maariv commentator Ben Caspit wrote that during the security cabinet meeting
on Thursday Defence Minister Avigdor Lieberman was a lone voice in support
of a new war in Gaza. "He was the only one who demanded to launch a
large-scale operation in the Gaza Strip. Netanyahu was opposed. The (Israeli
army) also didn't recommend it," he said. Hamas and Israel have fought three
wars since 2008. Palestinian protesters were expected to gather along the
Israeli border on Friday evening, as they have every week since late March.
"Despite the aggression on the Gaza Strip, our Palestinian people will
continue our march of return and breaking the blockade until it achieves its
goals," said Hamas spokesman Hassem Qassem. The protests are calling for an
end to the decade-long Israeli blockade of Gaza and the return of
Palestinian refugees to their ancestral homes inside Israel, which they fled
or were expelled from during the war surrounding Israel's creation in 1948.
Israel says its blockade is necessary to isolate Hamas although critics say
it amounts to collective punishment of two million people. It says any
significant return of refugees would mean the end of it as a Jewish state.
At least 165 Palestinians have been killed since protests began on March 30.
Most were killed by Israeli fire during the protests but others died in air
strikes. One Israeli soldier was shot dead by a Palestinian sniper.
Hamas, Israel Seeking to Calm the Ghost of War They
Both Fear
Ramallah, Tel Aviv- Kifah Zboun and Asharq Al Awsat/Friday, 10 August,
2018/Eighteen citizens were injured on Thursday when Israeli planes targeted
the Said Messhal Cultural Foundation west of Gaza city. Calm returned to the
Gaza Strip gradually after a long day, during which Israel bombed about 150
targets belonging to Hamas and other factions, which responded by about 180
rockets and shells at nearby Israeli settlements and cities. Palestinian
factions have declared the end of fighting “if Israel commits” to the
decision. A Palestinian official said in a brief statement that the joint
chamber of the factions “announces the cessation of all operations… as the
factions consider that the round of escalation in response to the Israeli
aggression is over.” He added: “But if the occupation commits any of its
crimes, the resistance will defend its people.”Palestinian sources with
knowledge of the matter told Asharq Al-Awsat that the decision to stop the
fighting was made without much pressure in order to convey two important
messages. “First, that any Israeli bombing will be met with the same; and
second, that Hamas does not want to engage in a war in the sector,” the
sources said. Israel also appears to be avoiding the specter of war with
Hamas. “We are not eager for war, but we will not make any concessions to
Hamas,” Yuval Steinitz, a member of Israel’s inner cabinet, told Israel
Radio on Thursday. The latest escalation began on Wednesday following rocket
attacks from Gaza that targeted nearby Israeli towns and cities and an armed
attack on an army engineering vehicle on the border, in retaliation for
Israel’s killing of two members of Qassam brigade on Tuesday. In a
subsequent development, a Grad rocket hit the city of Beersheba, the
farthest area hit by a rocket from Gaza since the war of 2014. The Israeli
army said sirens had been launched in Beersheba, the largest city in
southern Israel, located about 40 kilometers from the Gaza Strip. Explosions
were heard in the outskirts of the city inhabited by 200,000 people, but no
casualties were reported, as the rockets landed in an open area. Israel
responded with raids. but no injuries were reported. The United Nations’
Middle East envoy, Nickolay Mladenov, has expressed his concern about the
latest escalation of hostilities in the Gaza Strip. Mladenov said he was
“deeply alarmed” by “multiple rockets fired toward communities in southern
Israel” the day before. “If the current escalation, however, is not
contained immediately, the situation can rapidly deteriorate with
devastating consequences for all people,” he added. Palestinian President
Mahmoud Abbas also announced that he has made intensive international
contacts at all levels to stop the Israeli escalation “on our people in the
Gaza Strip.” He called on the international community to intervene
immediately and urgently to stop the fighting.
Cost of Syria War Destruction Close to $400 Billion
Beirut - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10 August, 2018/Seven years of relentless
conflict in Syria have wreaked destruction that the United Nations said
Wednesday had cost the country close to a whopping $400 billion. The figure
was released after a two-day meeting of more than 50 Syrian and
international experts in Lebanon, hosted by the UN's Economic and Social
Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA).ESCWA said the "volume of destruction in
physical capital and its sectoral distribution" had been estimated at more
than $388 billion (334 billion euros). According to Agence France Presse, it
said the figure did not include "human losses resulting from deaths or the
loss of human competences and skilled labor due to displacement, which were
considered the most important enablers of the Syrian economy."
More than half of Syria's pre-war population has fled the country or been
displaced internally over the past seven years. Russia's 2015 military
intervention helped a spectacular recovery by regime forces, which have
regained significant ground in recent months. ESCWA said a full report on
the impact of the war was due out in September and that the updated
estimates reached this week would help inform ongoing discussions on
post-conflict Syria.
Russian-Turkish Coordination on Limited Idlib Battle
Moscow - London - Raed Jabr and Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10 August, 2018/A
Russian source told Asharq Al-Awsat Thursday that the expected visit of
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to Ankara early next week comes in
light of information about a possible agreement between concerned parties to
facilitate the control of Syria’s Idlib province without causing huge
damages. Despite a Syrian military preparation to start the battle of Idlib,
the Russian source said, “There could be an agreement to facilitate the
takeover of Idlib without causing immense damages.” Lavrov will visit Ankara
on August 13-14 to take part in a conference of Turkey’s ambassadors and
permanent representatives, the Russian Foreign Ministry’s official
spokesperson Maria Zakharova told a news briefing on Thursday. "He will
address the ambassadorial conference and will have talks with the Turkish
Foreign Minister," Zakharova said. Earlier, Moscow failed to reach
understandings with each of Tehran and Ankara on means to settle the
situation in Idlib province. “We expect a mixed military operation in Idlib
that would reflect complex alliances,” the source said in a sign that any
agreement in the province would probably be a reproduction of the scenario
of control implemented in the south of Syria, amid differences among rebels
concerning the role of Jabhat al-Nusra. He said that a large number of
opposition fighters could join the Syrian Army and the Russians to confront
al-Nusra and its allied forces. “We would witness an alliance of the fait
accompli on the ground,” the source explained. Meanwhile, Jan Egeland,
Special Advisor to the UN Special Envoy for Syria said the agency was making
preparations for a battle and would ask Turkey to keep its borders open to
allow civilians to flee if the need arose. “The war cannot be allowed to go
to Idlib. Idlib is a very special place, it is the place where people fled,”
the UN top diplomat said. Idlib, one of the last major rebel strongholds in
Syria, is located near the border with Turkey. According to the UN, a
military offensive on Idlib could displace up to 2.5 million people towards
the Turkish border. Syrian regime helicopters dropped Thursday leaflets over
towns in Idlib's eastern countryside urging people to surrender. "The war is
nearing an end ... We are calling on you to join the local reconciliations,
as many of our people in Syria did," said the leaflets, which were stamped
with the military's seal.
The Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published
on
August 10-11/18
Analysis/Wooed by Egypt, Hamas and Israel Can Still Prevent All-out War
زيفي برئيل من الهآررتس: بسعي من مصر بإمكان حماس وإسرائيل تجنب الحرب الشاملة
بينهما
Zvi Bar'el /Haaretz/August 10/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/66643/zvi-barel-haaretz-wooed-by-egypt-hamas-and-israel-can-still-prevent-all-out-war-%D8%B2%D9%8A%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%A8%D8%B1%D8%A6%D9%8A%D9%84-%D9%85%D9%86-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%87%D8%A2%D8%B1%D8%B1%D8%AA%D8%B3/
In need of a stable economic base, Hamas has no problem continuing talks
while bombs are flying. Meanwhile, Israel seems willing to negotiate as if
it weren't being attacked – and to strike back as if there were no talks
Hamas’ leadership in the Gaza Strip, led by Hamas’ political bureau chief
Ismail Haniyeh and Hamas leader in Gaza Yahya Sinwar, was not enthusiastic
over the way Hamas’ overseas leaders entered Gaza last week. The luxury cars
in which they entered Gaza from Egypt, their arrogant conduct – especially
that of Saleh al-Arouri, Haniyeh’s deputy, and the inevitable tension
between officials in Gaza suffering public anger and Israeli airstrikes and
officials living in Qatar and Lebanon couldn’t be hidden even by the
plethora of verbiage praising the first Gaza meeting between the two
leaderships.
The meeting was even “approved” by Israel, which promised not to attack
those arriving from outside even though they head its wanted list.
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas had expected the Hamas leadership to
torpedo Egypt’s efforts to reconcile between Fatah and Hamas and broker a
long-term cease-fire between Hamas and Israel, thereby sparing him the need
to make a formal decision on the Egyptian proposal, which he views as a
draft that can still be amended.
But when he discovered that, despite the disagreements within Hamas – mainly
over the question of transferring control of Gaza to the Palestinian
Authority and what the organization’s attitude should be toward U.S.
President Donald Trump’s “deal of the century” – negotiations on the
Egyptian proposal had become serious, he sent a list of reservations to the
head of Egyptian intelligence, Abbas Kamel, that would alter the proposal
completely.
Kamel, who was in Washington last week, invited the Hamas leadership to
Cairo to show them Fatah’s answer. Hamas had already announced that it
accepts the Egyptian plan.
“We thought they would be small changes to the plan’s principles, but we
discovered it was a new plan,” said Khalil al-Hayya, who serves as Sinwar’s
deputy in his role as head of Hamas in Gaza. Al-Hayya attended the Cairo
meeting along with six other Hamas leaders, four from abroad and two from
Gaza.
Fatah proposed a three-stage plan, he said. First, in the week after the
agreement was signed, PA cabinet ministers would resume full authority over
Gaza’s affairs.
The question of merging Hamas’ security services with those of the PA would
be left for the next stage, in which security officials from both
Palestinian factions would meet with Egyptian officials to discuss how to
establish security control over Gaza similar to that prevailing in the West
Bank. A monitoring committee comprised of Fatah, Hamas and Egyptian
representatives would oversee implementation of whatever agreement was
reached.
In the second stage, which would last about a month, Hamas would also have
to stop collecting taxes in Gaza. In exchange, the PA would promise to pay
the salaries of all Hamas government officials, including policemen and
firefighters involved in civil defense, but not members of its military
wing. The Egyptians, in contrast, had proposed that Hamas keep collecting
taxes and use the money to pay its security forces, which include fighters
from its military wing; Hamas would then transfer the remaining funds to the
PA for it to pay the salaries of the Hamas government officials, including
policemen and firefighters.
In the third stage, which would last ten weeks, both sides would prepare for
PA elections.
During this week’s discussions between Hamas leaders and the heads of other
factions in Gaza, some factions, like the Democratic Front for the
Liberation of Palestine, favored accepting Abbas’ plan. But others opposed
it, including Islamic Jihad, the Popular Committees and Hamas’ military
wing. The Hamas delegation then took those responses back to Cairo.
Meanwhile, the fighting between Hamas and Israel continued. On Thursday,
Hamas announced that “the escalation is over and its continuation depends on
the occupier’s behavior.” The statement said Hamas had finished responding
to “Israel’s aggression” and had upheld its principle that fire would be met
with fire. But it said nothing about Egypt’s intensive involvement over the
last two days, which included threatening language toward Hamas, or the
Trump Administration’s effort to persuade Israel to curtail its military
responses and refrain from launching a major operation, or UN envoy Nikolay
Mladenov’s tireless efforts on the Gaza-Israel issue.
Both Washington and Cairo see ending Gaza’s humanitarian crisis as much more
important than dealing with the tactical confrontation between Israel and
Hamas. Rightly or wrongly, Washington considers Gaza critical to advancing
its “deal of the century,” given Abbas’ refusal to even meet with the U.S.
envoys and his success in mobilizing Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan against
the deal.
That success was first and foremost thanks to Trump’s unilateral decision to
move the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem and recognize the city as Israel’s
capital. Trump later sparked another uproar when he froze aid to UNRWA, the
UN aid agency for Palestinian refugees, in an effort to bring about the
agency’s closure. Finally, Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, reportedly
asked Jordan to strip Palestinian refugees in Jordan of their refugee
status. All of this led Cairo and Riyadh to issue public statements against
the American plan.
The U.S. administration therefore attaches great importance to solving the
Gaza crisis, which will at least alleviate the tragedy of its two million
residents and end the fighting, enabling both sides to move on to a
diplomatic process.
Egypt, which denounced the embassy move and opposes any harm to UNRWA, is
willing to help advance a diplomatic process. But it’s much more interested
in solving Gaza’s crisis, since its security strategy includes trying to
prevent the reopening of the terror pipeline between Gaza and Sinai.
Therefore, contrary to its previous position, Egypt is no longer
conditioning any solution to the Gaza problem on internal Palestinian
reconciliation.
This stance may be intended to pressure Abbas. But the fact that Cairo
decided to open the Rafah crossing between Egypt and Gaza more or less
permanently, that it is in advanced talks over Gaza’s reconstruction by
Egyptian companies and has even gotten Israel to agree that Port Said,
rather than Cyprus, will serve as Gaza’s port – and that it did all this
without involving the PA – shows that Egypt wants progress on Gaza with or
without the PA, and with no connection to the “deal of the century.”
In Egypt’s view, the American "deal of the century" is half-baked, vague and
unrealistic. Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry, who returned on
Thursday from a two-day visit to Washington, termed his talks with Secretary
of State Mike Pompeo and National Security Adviser John Bolton “positive,”
but media reports prior to his return said that during his meeting with
Trump’s Mideast envoy, Jason Greenblatt, no new ideas were presented to him,
nor did Washington offer any guarantees that Israel would agree to the deal.
In other words, he heard no willingness to apply American pressure on
Israel.
Shoukry also received no details on how much money Washington will give for
Gaza’s reconstruction. And more importantly, he got no concrete pledge to
increase American aid to Egypt.
According to these reports, the Americans asked Shoukry to promise that
Egypt would oversee security affairs in Gaza until the crisis is solved.
Shoukry replied that he’s the wrong address; Palestinian affairs are handled
by Egyptian intelligence and President Abdel-Fattah al-Sissi. He told
associates this request showed that the Americans don’t understand the
situation in Gaza.
Assuming these reports accurately reflect the nature of the talks in
Washington, Egypt’s conclusion is that it needs to separate the Gaza issue,
which requires immediate attention, from the “deal of the century,” which
currently looks like a dream.
Rebuilding Gaza isn’t only important for Egypt’s security. It would also
give Egyptian companies a new market, especially since much of the new
infrastructure would be built on Egyptian territory and provide jobs for
Egyptian Bedouins in Sinai financed by donor states. Moreover, opening a
Palestinian port in Port Said wouldn’t just give Egypt new revenues; it
would also give it another lever of political control over Gaza, just as the
Rafah crossing does.
These Egyptian and American considerations have boosted Hamas’ political
status. Today, the organization is being wooed. Two years ago, Egypt viewed
Hamas as a hostile terrorist organization working with the Muslim
Brotherhood and the Islamic State, but now, it’s willing to accept Hamas as
Gaza’s legitimate government.
Israel, too, is willing to give Hamas this recognition, citing the need for
a responsible government, at least on security issues. In the past, Israel
negotiated with Hamas only over prisoner exchanges and cease-fires. Now,
it’s holding diplomatic and economic negotiations with Hamas over Gaza’s
future. The fact that Israeli and Hamas officials aren’t negotiating
directly doesn’t change the fact that talks are taking place.
After Hamas won the 2006 PA elections, it proposed continuing civilian
cooperation with Israel, but without formal recognition. Israel adamantly
rejected that offer. Now, 12 years later, Israel and Hamas seem headed back
to that idea.
The danger is that Hamas could become intoxicated and make new demands. But
so far, it has evinced a desire to advance the negotiations and at least
arrange a long-term cease-fire with Israel, lasting five to seven years.
It’s still not clear whether it will insist on linking negotiations over the
Israeli captives and missing people it holds with negotiations over a
cease-fire and economic rehabilitation. But according to Palestinian
sources, Hamas seems to be heading toward a concession on this issue.
Hamas badly needs a stable economic base, both for its day-to-day operations
and for its long-term control of Gaza. And it has no problem continuing the
talks while bombs and rockets are flying. Israel, too, seems willing to
continue negotiating as if it weren’t being attacked, and to strike back as
if there were no talks.
Europe’s Dangerous Illusions on Iran
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10 August, 2018/
It was an almost surrealistic scene the other day when the European Union’s
foreign relations spokeswoman Federica Mogherini traveled half the way round
the world to New Zealand to lobby for “continued trade with the Islamic
Republic of Iran” in defiance of sanctions re-imposed by US President Donald
Trump. Here was an official of a bloc of democracies supposedly allied to
the United States not only criticizing an American policy, something quite
legitimate, but inviting others to oppose it with full resolve. Almost on
the same day Alistair Burt, the minister in charge of the Middle East in the
British Foreign Office, told BBC Radio 4 that the United Kingdom, still part
of the EU, was adopting a similar position against Trump’s move. Other
European Union officials have also expressed similar views. The problem is
that they don’t really know what they are talking about. To start with they
all insist that the so-called “nuke deal” concocted by former US President
Barack Obama is inviolable because, in Mogherini’s words, the EU must “honor
its signature.” However, the EU never signed the so-called Joint
Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), nor did anyone else. There is no
signature to honor or not.
In any case, though hovering on the sidelines like a ghost, the EU was never
part of the negotiations that took place between Iran on one hand and the
five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany on the other.
Moreover, the so-called 5+1 group that negotiated with the Islamic Republic
was an informal group with absolutely no legal existence and certainly no
legally binding mission and no mechanism for enforcing its decisions and
answerability.
If Mogherini and Alistair Burt are serious in their campaign in favor of the
JCPOA they should re-write it in the form of a treaty signed by EU members
and ratified by their respective parliaments or at least the EU’s Council of
Ministers. Even then, for JCPOA to acquire some legal dignity it would have
to be re-written in the form of an act of parliament and submitted to the
Islamic Majlis in Tehran for proper ratification according to the Iranian
Constitution, something that the Islamic government is loath to do.
All that would require agreement on a single official version of the deal
which means discarding the various English and Persian versions in
circulation.
By re-imposing some of the sanctions imposed by four of his predecessors,
Trump may have been impolitic or provocative. But he has betrayed no
signature and violated no treaty. All he has done is refusing to continue
suspending some sanctions as Bill Clinton and Barack Obama had done before
him.
Other factors point to EU’s hypocrisy in this matter.
With the re-imposition of American sanctions thousands of firms trading with
both Iran and the US would face a dilemma: which of the two markets to
choose? It is not in EU’s gift to resolve that dilemma for them. So far, and
at least two years after the ”nuke deal” was unveiled, European firms are
not quite sure how or even if they can treat the Islamic Republic as a
normal trading partner. Nor has EU’s lobbying for the mullahs persuaded them
to free a dozen European Union citizens still held hostage in Tehran about
whom neither Mogherini nor Burt ever make a noise.
If sincere, the EU could use a range of tools at its disposal to encourage
at least some firms to continue trading with Iran in areas affected by the
re-imposed sanctions. Four-fifth of Iran’s trade with the EU bloc is with
Germany, France, the UK and Italy. All those countries have well-established
mechanisms for export protection but none is prepared to use them in support
of trading with Iran. Interestingly, some of the sanctions that the EU is
still keeping in place against Iran are tougher than those re-imposed by
Trump.
Leaving all that aside, the EU’s Trump-bashing on the issue would not change
some facts. Even supposing the EU did something to render the re-imposed
American sanctions less painful or utterly ineffective the concerns that
Trump has raised about aspects of Tehran’s behavior would remain worthy of
consideration by Europeans.
Shouldn’t one try to persuade or force Tehran to stop “exporting revolution”
i.e. terror? Doesn’t peace and stability in the Middle East benefit from an
end to Tehran’s meddling in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Bahrain, not to
mention Afghanistan and Pakistan? Would it not be a good thing if the
present rulers in Tehran allowed the Iranian people a greater space for
self-expression and participation in shaping their nation’s destiny?
The EU could play appositive role by acting as a broker between Iran and the
US rather than go for empty diplomatic gesticulations. The EU should seek to
persuade Iran that its traditional cheat-and-retreat strategy peaked out
under Obama and its pursuit would only lead to disaster. Obama encouraged
the mullahs in their reckless strategy by supposedly granting them “the
right to enrich uranium” as Islamic Foreign Minister Mohammad-Javad Zarif
goes around boasting. However, all nations have the right to enrich uranium
if they so wish or even to build nuclear weapons.
The mullahs wanted another “ victory over the Infidel” and Obama gave them
the illusion of one through secret negotiations in Oman. Obama’s behavior
persuaded the mullahs that regardless of what mischief they may make at home
or abroad no one would make them pay a price for it. Even better, a faux
anti-American profile might give a morally bankrupt and repressive regime
some prestige in parts of the world where anti-Americanism is the last
refuge of every scoundrel. In a talk in New York in 2016 Zarif noted that
without its “anti-Imperialist” profile the Islamic Republic would be “just
another Pakistan”, which in his world view means a nobody.
Trump isn’t repeating Obama’s mistake by getting involved in secret
shenanigans favored by the mullahs; he is playing above board. His message
is: behave differently and you shall be treated differently.
That may or may not be the right policy, but it is at least a policy. The
EU, on the other hand, has no policy on Iran apart from using it as an
excuse for a little bit of Trump-bashing, a favorite global sport these
days.
The Washington Post's Take on Saudi Arabia!
Salman Al-dossary/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10 August, 2018/
At its core, the Saudi-Canadian recently erupted conflict is not as much
about “human rights,” as it is spun around Canadian encroachment on and
intervention in Saudi internal affairs.
In a nutshell, Canada not only blatantly intruded on the affairs of another
country, but also provocatively allowed for its embassy in Riyadh to post an
escalatory tweet on its official account in Arabic. A move which defies the
historic tradition of embassies being thought of as the first lifeline for
mediation in the case of any disputes emerging between any two countries.
But in this case, the Canadian embassy was used to promote for a crisis
which is harmful to both countries.
Trailing along, the internationally-known newspaper “The Washington Post”
published an editorial with a sweeping Arabic introduction, a first, which
overlooks all facts involved in the crisis and sides with the Canadian
argument.
Granted, each media outlet has the right to fully express the views of its
editors, but what stands out is the audacity in imposing Western values,
which are still contented among Western countries themselves, on the Saudi
Kingdom. Demanding of Saudi Arabia to strictly abide by vague notions that
the West still is indecisive on, is a case made for double standards.
The Washington Post, a great liberal newspaper, wants to reshape cultural
values in countries that are thousands of miles away, just to justify the
Canadian understanding of human rights and fundamental freedoms as the
“right one.”
It continued to make the argument on Western values being conceded universal
truths, without explaining or mentioning when and how it was deemed so!
What gives any country the right to impose its culture on other countries?!
Going an extra mile, the newspaper disastrously made the assertion that
Saudi internal affairs are a cause for legitimate concern among all
democracies and free societies. Unfortunately, such irrational calls go
beyond being provocative and into helping extremists rallying supporters
under the slogan of combatting Western interference in the region.
Emphasizing on the undebatable nature of having to adhere to universal human
rights, the diversity of values and cultures should be taken into account as
an important factor for the promotion and protection of human rights.
It is worth mentioning that among industrialized countries, there are four
which still apply the death penalty: the United States, Japan, Singapore,
and Taiwan. More so, there are 32 states in the US that made legal and work
by the death penalty. Remaining US states consider capital punishment a
violation of human rights. With that being said, it is questionable how the
Washington Post took it upon itself to make holy and dub as universal a
specific set of ‘values,’ when a Western country such as the US can’t find
consensus upon similar matters.
Saudi Arabia actively cooperates with United Nations human rights bodies, is
also a member of the United Nations Human Rights Council, and spends
relentless efforts in amending slips over time as an essential part of its
reform project.
The Saudi government has also been making remarkable shifts and changes with
the implementation of its national plan for transformation known as Kingdom
Vision 2030.
It cannot be assumed that a universal clear-cut definition for human rights
has been settled in today's world. And it is nearly impossible to find an
across-the-board consent on such a meaning or even find a mechanism for full
global application and throughout diverse world cultures.
Needless to say, Canada's values are now under attack on a world stage.
Countries such as Italy and Austria have elected to power politicians who
espouse ideas similar to those held by the Republican US President Donald
Trump. All of whom are not in the same boat with the Canadian government's
very advanced approach to liberalism.
Commenting on the crisis between Canada and Saudi Arabia, Maclean’s Andrew
MacDougall writes ‘the question for Canada now: What can we do about it?’ in
his August opinion piece, “Canada risks paying the price for being a Boy
Scout in a bad-boy world.”
“We might not like it, but the answer might be toning down our rhetoric
abroad while keeping the fires lit at home—at least until the United States
gets itself together,” he adds.
MacDougall’s conclusion represents a clear and rational take on things,
which is consistent with international relations and principles of
non-interference in the sovereignty of world states.
In other words, Canada is free to impose its set of values within its
borders so long it believes it fits and serves its citizens’ best interest.
However, it is not free to classify its values and culture as superior to
others.
It goes without saying that The Washington Post can also take a page out of
this book instead of opting to cross-measure countries to standards upheld
by other states.
Death, Diamonds and Russia’s Africa Project
Leonid Bershidsky/Bloomberg/August 10/18
The murder of three Russian journalists last week in a remote area of the
Central African Republic, the world’s poorest country according to the World
Bank, has turned a spotlight on what looks like a big Kremlin play for
influence and resources in Africa. Where China has spent decades and
billions of dollars trying to entrench itself there, Russia is offering its
brute force and strong appetite for risk. It’s already making headway.
The three journalists, Orkhan Dzhemal, Alexander Rastorguev and Kirill
Radchenko, were in the Central African Republic working on an investigative
film about the Wagner private military company. That's a secretive Russian
contractor linked by news reports to Yevgeny Prigozhin, a St. Petersburg
catering entrepreneur close to Russian President Vladimir Putin. Prigozhin
is also one of 12 people indicted in the US along with the Internet Research
Agency, a troll farm he funded that has been caught up in Special Counsel
Robert Mueller’s investigation of Russian interference in the 2016
presidential election. Wagner has provided mercenaries to fight in the
eastern Ukraine and Syria, and it’s probably also present in the Central
African Republic and neighboring Sudan.
Back in March, the Russian Foreign Ministry reported that Russia was working
with the government of Central African Republic President Faustin-Archange
Touadera to explore the country’s natural resources on a concession basis.
At the same time, the ministry said, Russia had sent weapons along with five
military and 170 civilian instructors to train the nation's military forces.
The African country, home to warring Christian and Muslim groups, is under a
United Nations-imposed arms embargo, but Russia obtained an official
dispensation, arguing that the weapons – 5,200 Kalashnikov submachine guns
and smaller numbers of handguns, grenade launchers and other hardware – were
for the UN-supported regime.
The mining concessions and the “civilian instructors,” however, appear to be
more closely linked than the Foreign Ministry let on. Africa Intelligence, a
Paris-based investigative and research outfit, reported in July that the
government of the Central African Republic had begun extracting diamonds on
an alluvial site not far from the capital, Bangui, with the help of a
company called Lobaye Invest. The company, according to Africa Intelligence,
is a subsidiary of the St. Petersburg firm M Invest, founded by Prigozhin.
Africa Intelligence reported that Wagner fighters were delivering mining
equipment to the site in armored trucks. At the same time, Touadera’s
Russian advisers are helping the president negotiate a truce with various
groups that used to be part of the Muslim rebel movement, Seleka.
This is a business model Wagner has reportedly used in Syria, where it lends
its private troops to the regime of President Bashar Al-Assad, and in return
receives a share of revenues from the oil wells and refineries the troops
recover from regime opponents. In February, Wagner mercenaries clashed with
US troops while trying to seize a refinery and suffered major losses.
Like Syrian oil, Central African Republic diamonds are a commodity on which
no ordinary business can get its hands. In the 1960s, the country exported
half a million carats of diamonds a year, a volume that would make it the
seventh-biggest exporter in the world today. Unlike neighboring Democratic
Republic of Congo, which specializes in industrial diamonds, Central African
Republic diamonds are mostly gem-quality. But the enormous economic
potential of the industry was undermined by civil strife and government
greed. A lot of diamonds are still extracted illegally and smuggled out of
the country, and there’s a partial ban on diamond exports.
Another of the country's major resources is gold, and the three Russian
reporters died while trying to drive out to a gold mine, apparently to check
on Russian presence there. The circumstances of their death are still
unclear: The driver of their vehicle, who survived, keeps changing his
testimony. But even though the journalists didn’t live to tell their story,
they were known well enough in Russia to turn attention to Wagner. Dzhemal
was one of Russia’s top war reporters, known for his intrepid coverage of
the Russian operation against Georgia in 2008 and the Libyan conflict of
2011, in which he nearly lost a leg. Rastorguev was a documentary filmmaker
known for his bold experiments, which often included giving a camera to
subjects to record their daily lives. He was one of the two creators of The
Term, the essential documentary depiction of the 2011-2012 political
protests in Russia.
Official Moscow was quick to deny any responsibility for the journalists’
death. Maria Zakharova, the Foreign Ministry spokeswoman, said they’d
neglected the official channels, and pointed out that the presence of
Russian “civilian instructors” in the Central African Republic was no
secret. That, however, is probably disingenuous. There have been reports in
the regional media that there are many more Russians in the Central African
Republic than the 170 that the Foreign Ministry has mentioned. Nor has
Russia admitted a connection between the “instructors” and mineral
concessions.
These concessions make Russia a contender for resources that have long
interested China, present in the country since 2007, when a Chinese company
began drilling for oil there. China has been less lucky than Russia so far,
despite writing off billions of Central African Republic debt and setting up
a program to train government officials. The oil project stalled in 2017,
and China recently failed to gain a dispensation similar to Russia’s to
supply weapons. France, Central African Republic’s former colonial master,
is especially concerned about the inroads made there by non-Western powers.
Putin’s Russia has sought to restore its Soviet-era influence throughout the
developing world, and its activity in Africa is not limited to the Central
African Republic. It’s worth watching for reports of Russian concessions in
other nations, such as Sudan, Chad, Rwanda and Gabon. The Wagner business
model is well suited to the region where a forceful presence can be a
prerequisite for successful business – and where looking into how this
business is conducted can easily get one killed.
Hamas and the Five-year Deal
Abdulrahman Al-Rashed/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 10 August, 2018/
The truth is, I was surprised by Hamas this time, the organization and the
governance, the language and the style and above all, the political skill.
Perhaps this is the only occasion where I praise Hamas, and I, like many, am
always critical of the extremist organization due to the chaos and crises it
has caused, the opportunities it ruined and implicating its people in the
process, inside the Gaza Strip and outside it. What surprised us about Hamas
regarding the truce deal with Israel is that it showed it has more political
skill than others. It will gain a lot for a small price. If the deal
succeeds, it will have survived a suffocation process aiming to eliminate
it, and will prove that it is wittier than its rival, the Palestinian
Authority, and wittier than the old Fatah Movement which has monopolized
Palestinian strategic decision-making since the 1970s.
We are waiting for the details of the “five-year deal”, a peace and
reconciliation truce between the two sides. Truth is it is a “malicious”
invention as it is peace and not permanent peace, an admission but not a
complete admission. Based on this deal, Hamas will attain a rare Israel
acknowledgment that it is a Palestinian legitimacy and not just an affiliate
to Ramallah’s government.
Israel would also pledge not to attack Hamas or the Strip and in exchange,
Hamas will stop launching attacks underground or from the sky via tunnel
networks, or by cutting electric lines, or launching missiles and flying
incendiary balloons.
Hamas will also finally have the keys of two border crossings, Karam Abu
Salem and Rafah. Its naval territory in the Mediterranean will also be
increased by 12 kilometers and it will be allowed to move individuals and
merchandise through it.
Israel will also release a number of the movement’s members who are detained
in Israeli prisons. Hamas deceived the Ramallah authority as it let it bet
on failure thus not sabotaging the negotiations. President Mahmoud Abbas was
confident that the deal between Hamas and Israel is impossible so he chose
to escalate and be strict in his stances.
The Palestinian Authority became Hamas and Hamas became the Authority. In
Ramallah, Abu Mazen’s consultants were saying Hamas and Israel will not meet
and when they met they said it’s impossible that they will reach an
agreement. But here they are agreeing, and Ramallah is still taking a nap.
Until a few months ago, Hamas was pleading with Ramallah’s government to pay
for electricity, telecommunications and employee wages but it has been
refusing to do so until it’s handed over full governance of the Gaza Strip
in exchange. Hamas has decided that instead of taking the money of the bills
from Ramallah’s Authority, which takes them from Israel, to go straight to
the source, to the enemy that being friends with is a must. It got more than
the payment for electricity and telecommunications for almost nothing in
return, five years of winter hibernation.
Hamas already lives through this situation due to the faltering of the Assad
regime and the siege on the Khamenei regime. The only friends it has in this
gloomy world are Mohammed Dahlan and the Egyptian government. It is through
these two that it managed to get more than we had expected. The expectations
were that Hamas will be obliged to be under the leadership of the
Palestinian Authority which in turn will give up its demands to Hamas and
Israel as a price.
Some will shame Hamas for accepting to sign the five-year deal and Hamas
will defy them by asking them to propose an alternative to the agreement
amid the dangerous transformations in the region’s political map.
They will also view this deal as an attempt to drive a wedge between the two
Palestinian parties, however, they cannot deny that the relationship between
the two parties is already fractured and what the Authority and Hamas did to
each other does not need attempts to drive a wedge to achieve this purpose.
Those who will condemn Hamas for accepting that Egypt sponsors the deal are
not aware that it is impossible to achieve any agreement without Egypt, and
therefore this is the agreement of necessity.
Why is the deal valid for five years? We do not know yet how guarantees were
calculated and whether the duration expresses a test of intentions and the
move towards another more important phase later. Israel does not trust
Hamas, which always blames armed groups in Gaza and that are not under its
authority for launching missiles.
And Hamas does not trust Israel’s promises because, for instance, it
arrested those it released during the famous Shalit deal. Five years is a
new opportunity for both parties that may pave way for important future
Palestinian changes.
Erdogan tells Turks to buy free-falling lira as Trump
doubles metals tariffs
من يديعوت أحرونوت ورويترز: اردوغان يطلب من الأتراك شراء الليرة التي تنهار
قيمتها وترامب يرفع الضريبة على المعادن المستوردة من تركيا
Ynetnews/Reuters/August 10/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/66646/ynetnews-reuters-erdogan-tells-turks-to-buy-free-falling-lira-as-trump-doubles-metals-tariffs-%D9%85%D9%86-%D9%8A%D8%AF%D9%8A%D8%B9%D9%88%D8%AA-%D8%A3%D8%AD%D8%B1%D9%88%D9%86%D9%88%D8%AA-%D9%88%D8%B1/
Following President Trump’s doubling of tariffs on Turkish metal imports,
President Erdogan tells Turks to exchange gold, dollars into lira as
investors sell off shares in European banks with large exposure to the
Turkish economy; Lira dives more than 18 percent on Friday to hit a new
record low after Trump took steps to punish Turkey over the detention of US
citizens.
President Tayyip Erdogan told Turks on Friday to exchange gold and dollars
into lira, with the country’s currency in free fall after President Donald
Trump turned the screws on Ankara by doubling tariffs on metals imports.
The lira has been falling on worries about Erdogan’s influence over monetary
policy and worsening relations with the United States. That turned into a
rout on Friday, with the lira diving more than 18 percent on the day and
more than 40 percent this year to a new record low after Trump took steps to
punish Turkey in a wide-ranging dispute.
Trump said he had authorised higher tariffs on imports from Turkey, imposing
a 20 percent duty on aluminium and 50 percent one on steel. The lira, he
noted on Twitter, “slides rapidly downward against our very strong Dollar!
Our relations with Turkey are not good at this time!” he said in an early
morning post.
While Turkey and the United States are at odds over a host of issues, the
most pressing disagreement has been over the detention of US citizens in
Turkey, notably Christian pastor Andrew Brunson who is on trial on terrorism
charges. A delegation of Turkish officials held talks with their
counterparts in Washington this week but there was no sign of a
breakthrough.
Waves from the crisis spread abroad, with investors selling off shares in
European banks with large exposure to the Turkish economy.
The lira sell-off has deepened concern particularly about whether
over-indebted companies will be able to pay back loans taken out in euros
and dollars after years of overseas borrowing to fund a construction boom
under Erdogan.
Erdogan’s characteristic defiance in the face of the crisis has further
unnerved investors. The president, who says a shadowy “interest rate lobby”
and Western credit ratings agencies are attempting to bring down Turkey’s
economy, appealed to Turks’ patriotism.
“If there is anyone who has dollars or gold under their pillows, they should
go exchange it for liras at our banks. This is a national, domestic battle,”
he told a crowd in the northeastern city of Bayburt. “This will be my
people’s response to those who have waged an economic war against us.”
“The dollar cannot block our path. Don’t worry,” Erdogan assured the crowd.
That is unlikely to mollify investors who are also worried by the growing
dispute with the United States.
The tensions with Washington have, for investors, underscored Turkey’s
authoritarian trajectory under Erdogan.
“The basic reason the exchange rate has gone off the rails is that
confidence in the management of the economy has disappeared both
domestically and abroad,” said Seyfettin Gursel, a prominent economist and a
professor at Turkey’s Bahcesehir University.
“First of all, confidence needs to be regained. It is obvious how it will be
done: since the final decision-maker of all policies in the new regime is
the president, the responsibility of regaining confidence is on his
shoulders.”
Turkey’s sovereign dollar-denominated bonds tumbled with many issues trading
at record lows. Hard currency debt issued by Turkish banks suffered similar
falls.
Meanwhile the cost of insuring exposure to Turkey’s sovereign debt through
five year credit defaults swaps has spiralled to the highest level since
March 2009, topping levels seen for serial defaulter Greece , which has
three bailouts in the last decade.
The lira’s relentless depreciation drives up the cost of imported goods from
fuel to food for ordinary Turks.
New Finance Minister Berat Albayrak—Erdogan’s son-in-law—acknowledged that
the central bank’s independence was critical for the economy, promising
stronger budget discipline and a priority on structural reforms.
Presenting the government’s new economic model, he said the next steps of
rebalancing would entail lowering the current account deficit and improving
trust. There would be a transformation in the finance ministry with regards
to taxation, he said.
This did nothing to revive the currency. “The tweet is mightier than the
Turkish sword,” Cristian Maggio, head of emerging markets strategy at TD
Securities, said in a note to clients. “Albayrak’s plan was uninspiring at
best.”
Erdogan, a self-described “enemy of interest rates”, wants cheap credit from
banks to fuel growth, but investors fear the economy is overheating and
could be set for a hard landing. His comments on interest rates—and his
recent appointment of his son-in-law as finance minister—have heightened
perceptions that the central bank is not independent.
The central bank raised interest rates to support the lira in an emergency
move in May, but it did not tighten at its last meeting.
Analysis: Where is Trump’s Israeli-Palestinian peace
plan?
مايكل ولنر من الجيرازلم بوت: أين أصبحت خطة ترامب للسلام الفلسطيني الإسرائيلي؟
Michael Wilner/Jerusalem Post/August 10/18
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/66651/michael-wilner-jerusalem-post-where-is-trumps-israeli-palestinian-peace-plan-%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%8A%D9%83%D9%84-%D9%88%D9%84%D9%86%D8%B1-%D9%85%D9%86-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AC%D9%8A%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B2/
In testing whether time is right for a rollout, the administration may be
releasing both false and genuine trial balloons to gauge a response.
US President Donald Trump’s plan for Israeli-Palestinian peace may be the
most closely guarded policy secret in Washington these days, 18 months in
the making and yet still known only to the small handful of men behind it.
Senior administration officials describe the plan as detailed, pragmatic,
and essentially complete. All that prevents them from publishing it is their
sense that the timing is off.
They are waiting for some ripe moment to present itself – perhaps when the
Palestinian leadership decides to give the administration a second chance
after writing it off for recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital last
year. But such a moment seems unlikely any time soon. The Palestinian
Authority, which has not seen the plan, says that Trump’s peace team has
given every indication that its contents will reflect bias in favor of
Israel by sidestepping explicit references to a two-state solution,
dismissing refugee claims, endorsing a permanent Israeli presence in the
Jordan Valley, allowing Jewish settlers to remain in the West Bank and
remaining silent on the future placement of a sovereign Palestinian capital.
There are reasons to believe they are right. While the White House insists
that its recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital does not predetermine
sovereignty over the entire city in an eventual peace agreement, it has
never explicitly stated, as it did with Israel in December, that
Palestinians have a reciprocal right to a capital in the holy city – or to
any capital at all.
They have removed all reference to a two-state solution, to Palestinian
independence or Palestinian territories from State Department language,
dismissing those terms as “meaningless” without yet spelling out
alternatives. And they have defunded the UN Relief and Works Agency,
characterizing the Palestinian aid organization as a corrupt and inefficient
body perpetuating a false narrative on refugees unhelpful to the pursuit of
peace.
“The traditional core issues are essential and we focus on them extensively
with a strong appreciation of the historic differences between the two
sides,” Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law and senior adviser leading
the peace effort, told the Palestinian Al-Quds newspaper in June. “We are
committed to finding a package of solutions that both sides can live with.”
But, he added: “Simply resolving core issues without creating a pathway to a
better life will not lead to a durable solution.”
Kushner and Jason Greenblatt, the president’s special representative for
international negotiations, have said their plan tackles some of the
thorniest issues in the conflict with specificity and ingenuity – a truly
novel take on a geopolitical challenge that has, for too long, been mired in
stale thinking. But while past efforts have failed, the careful balance
American presidents have walked in since 1967 has allowed them to bring both
sides around the same table, to the precipice of an agreement multiple
times. Trump’s approach thus far has not. The reason the timing has been off
may be because the approach is off.
TRUMP’S TEAM says that the PA leadership is prejudging what is in their plan
before they see it, and this much is true: Palestinian officials, like the
rest of us, have been left to read tea leaves based on the behavior they
have seen thus far. If the plan includes revelatory material that defies
expectations – as the team claims – then it should not wait for a moment of
kindness from the Palestinians to present itself before releasing the plan.
That moment will be created by the presentation of the plan.
The peace team seems to be considering this approach, expressing confidence
that their work will see the light of day whether or not the Palestinians
come around beforehand. They say the plan will include proposals that both
parties will love and hate, and lament that they are frequently forced to
dismiss rumors on the contents of their plan that scatter news reports.
But in testing whether the time is right for a rollout, the administration
may be releasing trial balloons – based both on false as well as genuine
tidbits from the plan – to gauge public response, knowing full well it can
simply deny whichever ones float too high. Regardless of the strategy,
public response has been self-evident as the plan is still under wraps.
Palestinian leaders are skeptical Trump’s team will ever support a policy
that disadvantages Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and at some point, it
will have to prove them wrong to earn their trust back. And a report in
Foreign Policy magazine last week, which quoted Kushner from back in January
questioning the role of UNRWA, did them no favors. White House officials
said it was a stretch to say they were denying the refugee status of
millions of Palestinians simply by challenging UNRWA’s mandate, which treats
the descendants of refugees from the 1940s the same as their modern-day
ancestors. But Palestinian leaders saw Kushner’s comments in an e-mail
calling for the “disruption” of UNRWA as further evidence of his plans to
erode Palestinian claims to a homeland there.
There is one new sign the administration is working on a rollout with
direction and purpose. The Associated Press reported last week that the
peace team had begun staffing up, on-loading officials from the State
Department and National Security Council to create working groups on the
policy dimensions of the plan, the economic components of the plan and the
strategic sale of the plan to the public. The formation of these teams would
indicate that a release is not imminent – these staffers still need time to
get into place and prepared – but that publication could be ready in the
coming months.
“You can’t put something out where everybody says, ah, this is dead on
arrival,” a senior administration official told The Jerusalem Post in June.
“You can’t do that. And the same exact document that may be dead on arrival
on a Monday might not be dead on arrival on a Thursday. That sounds kind of
counterintuitive, but that’s the way this works.”
Saudi effort to punish Canada seems to have little effect
Associated Press/August 10/18
Saudi Arabia’s energy minister said oil sales to Canada will not be
affected.
TORONTO: When Saudi Arabia ordered its citizens studying in Canada to
abruptly leave the country it left institutions like Techno Canada in the
lurch, forcing the small Toronto business school to scramble for new
students in the middle of the summer.
But that doesn’t mean the school’s director wants his government to abandon
its advocacy of civil rights in Saudi Arabia, which prompted the worst
diplomatic rift in history between the two countries.
“I am very much with my government to stand up for human rights,” the head
of Techno Canada, Basu Mukherjee, said as he conceded the loss of Saudi
students will hurt his bottom line. “It is going to be hard, but we will try
our best to replace them.”
Similar sentiments have been expressed in recent days across Canada as
schools, hospitals and even some businesses largely shrug at Saudi Arabia’s
decision to punish the government of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau over
tweets supporting two jailed dissident bloggers.
In a sign that the Saudis may not have as much leverage over Canada as they
thought, many in the country say they are less concerned about the effects
on Canada of the diplomatic spat than they are concerned for the well-being
of the 15,000 students who were told they cannot resume studies for the fall
semester and 800 doctors and medical residents who must leave by Sept. 1.
“It’s very difficult for people who have families and leases,” said Dr.
Salvatore Spadafora who oversees 216 of Saudi doctors and medical residents
in the Toronto Academic Health Sciences Network. “They are all working very,
very hard and trying to study and then this happens.”
The Saudi government expelled Canada’s ambassador to the kingdom and
withdrew its own ambassador on Sunday, days after two Canadian tweets in
support of arrested activist Samar Badawi, whose writer brother Raif Badawi
was arrested in Saudi Arabia in 2012 and later sentenced to 1,000 lashes and
10 years in prison for insulting Islam. Then it halted flights by its
national airline and ordered the students home, a decision that affects
institutions as small as Techno Canada, which has just 40 people enrolled,
to major institutions such as the University of Toronto.
But even though the Saudis are a significant presence in Canadian hospitals
and in higher-education, contributing about $1 billion to $1.5 billion
Canadian dollars (US$770 million to US$1.1 billion) to the Canadian economy
last year, the overall effect is minimal since other foreign students can
easily replace them.
Spadafora said other medical students will pick up the shifts of the Saudi
residents and physicians when they go home by Sept. 1.
Brian Hodges, who oversees about 94 from Saudi Arabia including 58 or 59
trained specialists or fellows at Toronto’s University Health Network, said
patient care won’t be affected. “The first priority really is figure how to
support them,” he said. “Many have been with us for five or four years and
are close to doing exams.”
Trudeau, a staunch defender of woman’s rights, is not backing down and has
received only limited criticism from domestic opponents. “Canadians have
always expected our government to speak strongly, firmly, clearly and
politely about the need to respect human rights at home and around the
world,” he said. Financial markets did not appear hurt by the dispute amid
reports that the Saudis intended to unload Canadian assets. There were
rumors that Kingdom Holding Co. intended to sell its 47.5 percent stake in
the Toronto-based luxury hotel chain Four Seasons. A company spokeswoman,
Sarah Tuite, would only say that “day to day operations” have not changed.
“It is business as usual,” she said. Bilateral trade between the two nations
is just $3 billion a year. Canada does get 10 percent of its imported crude
oil from Saudi Arabia, but even if the dispute escalates further Saudi oil
could potentially be replaced with U.S. shale oil or oil from Canada’s oil
sands region — the third largest oil reserves in the world. Saudi Arabia’s
energy minister said oil sales to Canada will not be affected. The worst
potential impact on Canada would be if Saudi Arabia canceled Canada’s
largest arms deal, a $15 billion deal with Saudi Arabia in 2014 to export
its light-armored vehicles to the kingdom. Jim Reid, a union leader who
represents 500 workers at the General Dynamics facility in London, said that
could lead to job losses.
The Canadian foreign ministry says they have heard nothing about the
contract.
“The Saudi’s are shooting themselves in the foot,” Reid said. “Yes, it’s
going to cause some economic hardship for some universities and colleges and
hospitals but this is disrupting their own citizens’ lives whether they are
doctors in hospitals or students. It boggles the mind.”
Robert Bothwell, a professor at the University of Toronto, said anything
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman does to harm Canada will also harm a range
of Saudi interests including their investments and students. “The Saudi
monarchy is playing around with thousands of Saudi subjects, slaves. Their
interests are not being regarded. They are just pawns and that’s very much
to be regretted,” Bothwell said.
The emigrant, the deception and the trap
Ghassan Charbel/Al Arabiya/August 10/18
Retirement age is approaching. He must choose. Does he continue to reside in the
country that gave him a nationality and a meaning to his life, or shall he
return to the land of his ancestors? Previously, he was quick to answer.
He used to say that he would return immediately upon receiving his pension. His
brothers rejoiced in his promise as they believed that everyone who is far from
his roots was definitely lost. It is no secret that the idea of return came to
his mind when he encountered living difficulties, which were many. The idea of
return is a magical charm to heal a sense of alienation that is present every
time you see yourself lost in another culture and a distant dictionary. He
laughs today as he remembers some episodes of his journey. In the beginning, he
had feelings of hostility. He almost felt that he came to a hostile country. He
smelled hate hidden behind the quick smiles and brief greetings. But a doctor
named Time began treating his wounds and bruises.
He found work and got a monthly salary. The factory has a union, rights and
rules. Fatigue is present but abuse is prohibited. He heard the word “law”
frequently and with respect. The law does not allow. The law does not accept.
The law does not permit. He understood that injustice was not inevitable.
It is necessary to pass through the circles of influence, whether through the
channels of security, the political party or the confession
He understood that you can object and protest, and you can resort to the court;
and that the judge can stand against the strong even if they have the ability to
climb to this position or that. He knew that officials avoid contacting a judge
or obstruct the process of justice to avoid scandals and punishments.
He had a strange feeling. He sensed his dignity. This is not his native country,
and yet, it treated him better than his country. Here, soldiers cannot knock on
your door at night and take you to an unknown location. A sick serviceman cannot
pour on you all the frustrations of his life and the complexes of his superiors.
Here, they cannot rip out your nails or limit the number of your fingers. All
the arts of torture that our countries have donated are no longer allowed here.
The prisoner has rights even if he is convicted of a horrific crime.
Sanctified resemblance
Living amid disparities was not easy at the beginning. We are communities of
sanctified resemblance. The citizen is a replica of his neighbor, his
grandfather and every citizen residing in any part of the map. Similarity is the
golden rule. Similarity in belonging. One source. One color. One so-called
“mawwal” in Arabic. Every difference opens the door to corruption. Every
question spoils tranquility and joy. The family has given us conclusive answers
to the most difficult questions we would prefer not to repeat or elaborate. Here
the world is different. They have escaped the spell of halos that cannot be
touched or approached.
Everything is under scrutiny and examination. Everything is subject to analysis
and revision. He felt very scared at first. Final convictions protect you from
the anxiety of exposure to questions. Final convictions give you a degree of
immunity and a reassuring roof on your head and a cushion. They help you close
the door to the winds of uncertainty and questioning and the legacy test. He had
to practice living with people who did not belong to the same river. People who
read in other books. People with different values and a different way of
answering questions of both the universe and every day’s life.
Their values are different. So are their view of society and the rules governing
the dealings between its members, their view of the state, the constitution, the
individual and his rights, the judiciary, education and freedom.
It was never an easy matter. Some of his comrades did not pass the test. They
either packed and returned home or stayed after turning themselves into
strangers or a time bomb.
In his new country, he got married and sent his children to school. The children
have deepened their belonging to the new country. They consolidated their
proficiency in its language, customs and values. Fearing that they would totally
lose the features of their ancestral country, he was keen to spend holidays with
them in the land where he was born. But he noticed over time that his children
were becoming more immersed in the hosting world, its logic, symbols and ways of
thinking.
Days passed. The children graduated and joined the labor market. The companies
treated them as full citizens. Competence is a standard. Children got
opportunities that are commensurate with their abilities. He knew deep in his
heart that this was not possible in his homeland. Diplomas are not enough to get
a job.It is necessary to pass through the circles of influence, whether through
the channels of security, the political party or the confession. So employment
becomes a form of partisan recruitment, because you become indebted to those who
allowed you to obtain the job.
The ‘Arab Spring’
When the “Arab Spring” swept through his country, he thought that it would
compensate for years of absence from global development. He thought that it
would accelerate progress and that the citizens have learned the lesson.
But when the elections were held, he was greatly disappointed. It is not enough
to open the ballot boxes in societies that used to be run by a strong man, not
with the constitution or the institutions. The forces of the past reemerged,
sweeping away dreams and turning every elections into a confrontation project.
He visited his country several times in an attempt to convince himself that the
doors of return were open once he reached the retirement age.
He originally came to trim garden trees in the quiet French city. When he knew
that the resident was Arab, the conversation began. Since I loved stories, I
asked him about his. But what he said struck me. He told me he had visited his
homeland and was not reassured.
He sensed that there were no real roots for stability… and that the country
remains threatened by the birth of an oppressive man or tyrannical thought. He
told me that he did not want his children or grandchildren to be exposed to
civil or regional wars or to the adventures of the small malicious armies. He
told me about the new politicians in his country… about the corrupt, the
adventurous, the fanatic, the liberal and the moderate. The daily breakdowns,
the deterioration of services and the fragility of institutions… about citizens’
concern about their bread, their life and their future.
The decision is no longer difficult. He will remain in his new country. He
concluded his conversation by saying: “Our countries are frightening and
difficult to handover to our children. I will not put them in the original trap
from which I fled.”
Reconciliation in the Horn of Africa under Emirati
patronage
Abdullah bin Bijad Al-Otaibi/Al Arabiya/August 10/18
For several years, the strategic security of the Arab Gulf States has been in
full swing in a way that is different than what it used to be. It is now
characterized by effectiveness, initiative and inclusiveness, led by Saudi
Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
Its most striking aspects is confronting the Iranian influence and its allies in
the region and the world, in Africa and in the Horn of Africa particularly. The
most recent results of this confrontation is the historic reconciliation under
the auspices of the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin
Zayed Al Nahyan, between Ethiopia and Eritrea.Thanks to full Saudi-Emirati
coordination, there are multiple developments taking place on an Arab, regional
and international level. Results are accumulating and accomplishments are being
achieved, one victory after the other.
Supporting, spreading and strengthening “the stability of the states” are the
major principles that lead the declared strategy of the UAE and Saudi Arabia,
along with the full rejection of the “stability of chaos” led by Iran, Turkey
and Qatar
Today’s success is due to the decisions of yesterday. The present victory is the
outcome of the strategies of the past, and this will also be the case in the
future. The results of every decision and strategy drawn today will appear in
the near and distant future.
Historical reconciliation
Let us put aside the ancient history of the old conflict between the two
countries, Ethiopia and Eritrea, during the 1960s, and the grinding war between
1998 and 2000, which paved the way for the surrounding countries, namely
fundamentalist Sudan at the time and Somalia, which was brimful of terrorism at
the time as well, to influence the conflict of the two countries.
The result today is impressive. This historic reconciliation between the two
countries overcomes the past and its conflicts and heads to build a better
future that puts an end to losses and strengthens the stability of the region
that is full of conflicts and clashes. The two countries will thus not fall,
like Somalia did, into extremism and terrorism.
Supporting, spreading and strengthening “the stability of the states” are the
major principles that lead the declared strategy of the UAE and Saudi Arabia,
along with the full rejection of the “stability of chaos” led by Iran, Turkey
and Qatar. These are the pillars of their strategy in the Horn of Africa and in
Sudan after it divided and after it participated in the Decisive Storm
Operation, which is an advanced position had it not been for some uncomfortable
decisions towards the balances of power in the region and Turkish attempts to
penetrate Sudan and Somalia. Weakening the Iranian regime and everything the
latter believes to be a means of survival and weakening its rhetoric, ideology
and future are one of the most important means to effectively and efficiently
confront it. The Emirati role, which has been growing and bolstering in recent
years, is an important indicator of what countries can achieve through effective
leadership, successful alliances and progressive visions.
Triumphant alliance
This Saudi-Emirati alliance saved the Arab world from the tragedies and
calamities of the fundamentalist terrorist "spring" which some called the Arab
Spring. It rescued Bahrain and Egypt decisively along with other Arab countries
through generous support, a clear vision and a strong strategy. A number of Arab
countries are still grateful to the UAE and Saudi Arabia for what happened
during those awful years in the near past.
The UAE’s major role in Libya to bury the hatchet and support the Libyan people
and state is known and acknowledged by everyone. The UAE’s purpose is to support
the stability of the Libyan state and reconcile between the different Libyan
parties away from all the fundamentalist and terrorist forces supported by
hostile axes in the region.
These axes perceive Libya as an area to expand their support for fundamentalism
and terrorism and to harm the stability of Egypt and Tunisia and other Arab
countries if they achieve their goal of completely taking control of Libya.
Such political, economic and strategic roles are not built overnight, but they
are rather built through wisdom, calmness and insight. Slow and steady wins the
race as the English proverb says. The UAE and Saudi blood that mixed up in Yemen
is the most prominent example of the triumphant alliance led by the two
countries. These triumphant successes are the best proof that the strength of
political will and decisions are capable of changing international and regional
equations in an effective clear way. It’s enough to compare how the situation
used to be three years ago against how it is now.
Finally, the UAE’s support of the stability of countries in the region and its
progressive insight constitute its leadership and pioneering in all files and
crises. Sponsoring the historical reconciliation between Ethiopia and Eritrea is
the best example.
The new Syria amidst conflicting regional, international
interests
Shehab Al-Makahleh/Al Arabiya/August 10/18
On August 2, Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman told reporters: “From
our perspective, the situation is returning to how it was before the civil war,
meaning there is a real address, someone responsible, and central rule.” This is
rather noteworthy at this time that the Syrian front will be calmer. In other
words, Israel prefers to see Syria return to pre-war status when the central
government in Damascus was in full control before March 2011.Such a statement is
not void and is of utmost importance as it demonstrates that the plans or
schemes to divide Syria into various provinces or federal states had gone with
the wind. What Lieberman said and the Jordanian armed forces’ assistance to the
Syrian Army in the Yarmouk Basin against Khaled bin Al-Walid, an ISIS affiliate,
reveal a fact that both Jordan and Israel are back to pre-Syrian war era in
terms of cooperation with the Syrian government regarding securing borders.
However, the issue at stake is Idlib, a predicament to the Syrian government,
Russia, Iran and China on one hand and Turkey and the militants in Idlib
province on the other.
Turkey is hostile to the Syrian regime. Ankara has ethnic and regional
aspirations in Syria. At present, the Turkish government is at odds with the
West. The Turks have never forgotten that once they were part of the Byzantine
Empire, the first Christian State, and the capital of the Ottoman Empire. Thus,
the coming era for Turkey will be an existential war. Therefore, the clash of
the Turkish civilization with others is in parity with existentialism which is
inevitable. This justifies why Ankara is pragmatic, depending on situational
contradictions in Syria on one hand and American-Western interests on the other.
The formation of the “National Liberation Front” in Idlib, a group of opposition
factions, formed by the Free Syrian Army backed by Turkey, aimed to fortify the
Turkish stance because the number of fighters reached 100,000. This figure would
create a major dilemma for the Syrian Army and its allies to free Idlib as plans
have been set up to start the operation in September. Thus, the battle of Idlib
will be the last in the Syrian conflict that determines the future not only for
Syria, but also for Turkey as a new ally will join the battle: China, which has
Uyghur fighters amongst those militants in Idlib.
The Chinese ambassador to Syria, Qi Qianjin, told a Syrian Arabic daily, few
days ago that China will allegedly assist the Syrian Army in their upcoming
battle in southwestern Idlib, and that the Chinese military is prepared to
somehow take part in the upcoming Idlib offensive, especially because of the
large presence of Uyghur fighters near Jisr Al-Shughour. The Chinese ambassador
to Syria, Qi Qianjin, told a Syrian Arabic daily, few days ago that China will
allegedly assist the Syrian Army in their upcoming battle in southwestern Idlib,
and that the Chinese military is prepared to somehow take part in the upcoming
Idlib offensive, especially because of the large presence of Uyghur fighters
near Jisr Al-Shughour
The ambassador elucidated: “The Chinese military has played an imperative role
in protecting sovereignty, security and stability of China. At the same time, it
(China) is seeking to take part in peacekeeping operations later on. At present,
there is ongoing cooperation between Syria and China in combating terrorism. We
also know that the war on terror is not only for the benefit of the Syrian
people, but also for the Chinese people and the people of the world.”
That is an indication on the coming battle of Idlib where the Chinese army will
be involved as China will not allow them back to their homeland as they are a
high risk to Chinese national security.
Chinese presence in Mideast via Syria
The vigorous military interposition of the Chinese forces in Syria would be a
major step forward towards a more ample participation of China in the Middle
East and the world as a whole. China has refrained from taking part in military
operations beyond its borders. Therefore, a military operation in Syria could
open the door to more Chinese military engagements around the world. What
Beijing fears most is the return of those Uyghur militants, members of the
Turkestan Islamic Party, who are now in Idlib province to China where they can
launch attacks against the Chinese government, seeking an independent state.
The Chinese ambassador’s statement demonstrates that China is paving the ground
to send Chinese special operations forces (SOF) to actively take part in the
forthcoming battle of Idlib to liquidate the Uyghur fighters amongst others.
This Chinese bid will be of due concern to Turkey as the Turkish army cannot
counter pressure from both Russia and China which both have huge economic and
business transactions with Ankara. The Turkish President Recep Tayyep Erdogan
cannot lose them for a number of militants.
The Middle East has become the new playground for China strategically. With SOF
arrival to the port of Tartous on the Syrian coast in order to participate in
the coming battle in Idlib, such Chinese participation in Syria could lead to
more competition between Washington and Beijing. The reason is that China has
been deeply concerned about the large number of Chinese-born militants known as
the “Turkmen” or “Uyghurs” movement who have joined ISIS in Syria and Iraq.
Today, with the arrival of two units of the Chinese (SOF), known as the Siberian
and the Night Tigers, to fight the terrorist factions in the province, which is
adjacent to Turkey, Beijing is seeking to fight those outside its territory for
fear of their return to the region which is located in the territory known as
Xinjiang as those pose an existential threat to the territorial integrity of
China.
The number of Chinese militants fighting alongside terrorist groups in Syria is
estimated at 5,000. Therefore, China’s participation in military operations
against these militants is due to China’s own interests in Syria, not to mention
the economic, political and security interests. The return of these Chinese
fighters from Syria to China with their extremist and terrorist ideology means a
great security and military threat to the Chinese economy and society. Moreover,
China’s participation in the coming campaign against terrorists aims to protect
its economic interests in Syria as China has invested more than $40 million in
Syria’s infrastructure.
Few days ago, Ankara has prepared a document to discuss with the Russians and
Chinese regarding the future of Idlib without going to war, fearing the
spillover and the refugee influx to Turkey. The terms were not satisfactory to
both Moscow and Beijing. This is conducive to the scenario of war which would
end the dreams of Erdogan in Syria.
Who among Arabs is betting on Iran?
Mashari Althaydi/Al Arabiya/August 10/18
What do Iran, Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon currently have in common?
On top of being countries that suffer from the poisonous Iranian harm, or
actually because of it, they have popular anger and explosive whines from the
burdening and costly economic expenses. Protests that do not end, sometimes to
demand the removal of garbage, sometimes due to power cuts and water
contamination, and sometimes to protest against economic hardship, like what’s
happening in Lebanon, Iraq and Iran.
The anger’s essence is poured onto the political category itself or rather on
the regime and the entire political contract so is it a coincidence that all of
these countries are all influenced in one way or another by apparent and secret
Iranian influence?
If Iran, which wants to impose its influence on these countries, is itself
sipping from this cup of economic bitterness, how can it be a model that can be
trusted and relied on?
Declining economy
In Iraq, people attacked the headquarters of the parties that support the
Iranian camp, like Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq and the Badr militia. In Lebanon and
despite the strong Shiite bilateral alliance – at least until now – there are
angry manifestations at the political sectarian “system” that harmed the
country’s interests, as for instance the tourism season was harmed in addition
to damages to the local banking sector.
As for Yemen, activists in Sanaa called for a “revolt of the hungry” against the
Houthi militias as it is primarily responsible for the ailing conditions that
the Yemeni people have reached, ever since their coup against legitimacy at the
end of 2014. Meanwhile, the Yemeni currency, the rial, continued to decline
yesterday against foreign currencies.
It reached an unprecedented decline despite the measures adopted by the
legitimate government and the Central Bank in Aden to restore a stable currency
exchange rate and put an end to the manipulation of the banking market.
If Iran, which wants to impose its influence on these countries, is itself
sipping from this cup of economic bitterness, how can it be a model that can be
trusted and relied on?
The public’s wise men said: “He who is next to a happy man, is happy!”