LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
April 14/2018
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

 

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Bible Quotations
He who supplies seed to the sower and bread for food will supply and multiply your seed for sowing and increase the harvest of your righteousness.
Second Letter to the Corinthians 09,01a/.05-15/"Now it is not necessary for me to write to you about the ministry to the saints, So I thought it necessary to urge the brothers to go on ahead to you, and arrange in advance for this bountiful gift that you have promised, so that it may be ready as a voluntary gift and not as an extortion. The point is this: the one who sows sparingly will also reap sparingly, and the one who sows bountifully will also reap bountifully. Each of you must give as you have made up your mind, not reluctantly or under compulsion, for God loves a cheerful giver. And God is able to provide you with every blessing in abundance, so that by always having enough of everything, you may share abundantly in every good work. As it is written, ‘He scatters abroad, he gives to the poor; his righteousness endures for ever.’ He who supplies seed to the sower and bread for food will supply and multiply your seed for sowing and increase the harvest of your righteousness. You will be enriched in every way for your great generosity, which will produce thanksgiving to God through us; for the rendering of this ministry not only supplies the needs of the saints but also overflows with many thanksgivings to God. Through the testing of this ministry you glorify God by your obedience to the confession of the gospel of Christ and by the generosity of your sharing with them and with all others, while they long for you and pray for you because of the surpassing grace of God that he has given you. Thanks be to God for his indescribable gift!'

The Son of Man is going to be betrayed into human hands
Luke 09/37-45: "On the next day, when they had come down from the mountain, a great crowd met him. Just then a man from the crowd shouted, ‘Teacher, I beg you to look at my son; he is my only child. Suddenly a spirit seizes him, and all at once he shrieks. It throws him into convulsions until he foams at the mouth; it mauls him and will scarcely leave him. I begged your disciples to cast it out, but they could not.’ Jesus answered, ‘You faithless and perverse generation, how much longer must I be with you and bear with you? Bring your son here. ’While he was coming, the demon dashed him to the ground in convulsions. But Jesus rebuked the unclean spirit, healed the boy, and gave him back to his father. And all were astounded at the greatness of God. While everyone was amazed at all that he was doing, he said to his disciples, ‘Let these words sink into your ears: The Son of Man is going to be betrayed into human hands.’But they did not understand this saying; its meaning was concealed from them, so that they could not perceive it. And they were afraid to ask him about this saying."
 
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on April 13-14/18
Despite the Promises, the Devil is in the Detail/Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Al Awsat/April 13/18
Iran To Suffer Most In Syria/Heshmat Alavi /Forbes/April 13/18
Israel Says Downed Iranian Drone Was Armed and Heading for Attack/Yaniv Kubovich and Amos Harel /Haaretz/Apr 13/18
Can any US-French strike deter Syria’s brutal regime/Randa Takieddine/Al Arabiya/April 13/18
Saudi Arabia, the US and political Islam/Ahmad al-Farraj/Al Arabiya/April 13/18
Mohammed bin Salman and Sururism/Abdullah bin Bijad Al-Otaibi/Al Arabiya/April 13/18
Europe, Trump and the Iran Deal/Amir Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/April 13/18
European Immigration: Nuns Out, Terrorists In/Douglas Murray/Gatestone Institute/April 13/18
 
Titles For Latest LCCC Lebanese Related News published on April 13-14/18
Nasrallah Says Israel in 'Direct Combat' with Iran after Syria Raid
Mustaqbal Supporters Clash with Zuheiri's Bodyguards in Barbir
Israeli Drone in Akkar Overflight Similar to One that Preceded T-4 Strike
Israeli Force Tries to Nab Lebanese Shepherd
Mashnouq Meets Election EU Observer Team
Hariri Marks 43rd Civil War Anniversary
Report: Hariri, Bassil Expected in Separate 'Electoral' Visits to South Lebanon
Mentally Troubled Mother Murders Daughter, Injures the Other
Hezbollah: No 'Total War' in Syria – 'Unless Trump and Netanyahu Lose Their Minds'
Despite the Promises, the Devil is in the Detail
MEA extends decision to halt flights over Syria until Monday
Machnouk says official security apparatuses stand at equal distance from all
Berri on civil war anniversary: Civil peace and national unity red line
Hariri from Jdeidet Marjeyoun: Our program is moderation and development

 
Titles For Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published on April 13-14/18
Haley Says U.S. Must Act, but Not 'Rush' Decision on Syria
Macron Tells Putin He Wants to 'Intensify' Syria Dialogue
U.N. Chief Warns Syria Tensions May Lead to 'Full-Blown Military Escalation'
Russia Accuses Boris Johnson of 'Distorting' OPCW Findings on Skripals
Putin Warns Macron against 'Dangerous' Syria Actions
Western Powers at U.N. Make Case for Military Action against Syria
Saudi Aims to Pressure Rival Iran at Arab League Summit
Guterres: Situation in the Middle East threatens global security
Putin warns Macron against ‘dangerous’ Syria actions
Thousands leave Syria's Douma as evacuations wrapping up
In sharp exchange, Putin warns Netanyahu to stand down on Syria, hears Israel will stop Iran
25 dead in attack at Iraq funeral of anti-ISIS fighters
Egyptian prosecutors summon reporters over election coverage
Clashes erupt on Israel-Gaza border on third Friday of protests, 363 wounded

Latest Lebanese Related News published on April 13-14/18
Nasrallah Says Israel in 'Direct Combat' with Iran after Syria Raid
Agence France Presse/Associated Press/Naharnet/April 13/18/Israel's strike on a Syrian airbase this week has put it in direct confrontation with regional foe Iran, Hizbullah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said Friday. "The Israelis committed a historic mistake... and put themselves in direct combat with Iran," Nasrallah warned in a televised address on the parliamentary elections. Seven Iranian personnel were killed in Monday's strike. "This is unprecedented in seven years (of war in Syria): that Israel directly targets Iran's Revolutionary Guard," Nasrallah said. He added that the "targeted killing" of Iranians was an act of "grave foolishness." "This is a turning point for the region, and what came before is not what will come after," Nasrallah warned. Israel is believed to have carried out numerous raids inside Syria since 2013 but it rarely admits to them publicly. It declined to comment on accusations by the Syrian government and ally Russia that Israeli forces were behind the T-4 strike. Russian, Iranian and Hizbullah fighters have a presence at the base, according to the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. The Observatory said a total of 14 fighters, including Iranians, died in the strike. Moscow has said no Russians were killed in the attack. Turning to the standoff over the suspected Syria chemical attack, Hizbullah's leader said addressing U.S. President Donald Trump: "Your tweets do not scare us.""With such a (U.S.) president and such an administration, we have to worry and prepare for all scenarios," Nasrallah said. "Trump and his administration and intelligence as well as the entire world must know that all these tweets and Hollywoodish threats have not scared and will not scare Syria, Iran, Russia, the resistance movements or the region's people," the Hizbullah leader stressed. He also said there is no proof and no logic to accusations that the Syrian government used chemical weapons in Douma. "Someone who is cornered might use chemicals, but why would a victor need to?" Nasrallah said. He added: "We condemn the use of chemical weapons, which is a war crime, but what happened in Douma was a farce."
Separately, Nasrallah reminisced the period during Prime Minister Saad Hariri's resignation ordeal. He said that Saudi minister Thamer al-Sabhan had sought to "spark civil war in Lebanon through the detention of the Lebanese premier." "Some in Lebanon were ready to go to that war," Nasrallah added. As for the elections, Hizbullah's leader said "no party has the right to monopolize Beirut.""The Beirut Unity list (of Hizbullah and its allies) is not running in the parliamentary elections to usurp Beirut's decision as al-Mustaqbal (Movement)'s list is claiming. Those who will elect it are the people of Beirut," Nasrallah emphasized.

Mustaqbal Supporters Clash with Zuheiri's Bodyguards in Barbir
Naharnet/April 13/18/A clash erupted Friday in Beirut's Barbir area between supporters of al-Mustaqbal Movement and the bodyguards of the businessman Raja al-Zuheiri, who is running for the Druze seat in Beirut's second electoral district. Zuheiri is a member of the Beirut Dignity electoral list, which is led by former judge Khaled Hammoud. Al-Jadeed television said the clash broke out as Zuheiri was visiting a fellow candidate, Mohammed Kheir al-Qadi, in Barbir's al-Arab neighborhood. “The clash involved gunfire and witnesses from the area said it came from Zuheiri's bodyguards. Young men from the area who support al-Mustaqbal Movement meanwhile encircled al-Qadi's house and hurled stones and empty bottles at it,” al-Jadeed added. LBCI TV said the clash erupted when Mustaqbal's supporters asked Zuheiri to leave the neighborhood.
“Gunfire ensued, which prompted the army to intervene and evacuate Zuheiri from the house he was hiding in,” LBCI added. Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq meanwhile tweeted that he was following up on the incident with Army Commander General Joseph Aoun and Internal Security Forces chief Maj. Gen. Imad Othman. “Security is a red line and no one is above the law – neither candidates nor their bodyguards,” Mashnouq added.

Israeli Drone in Akkar Overflight Similar to One that Preceded T-4 Strike

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/April 13/18/An Israeli reconnaissance drone was on Friday conducting intensive overflights over the mountainous regions of the northern Akkar province, the National News Agency said. “The drone hovered at a high altitude over the same region that witnessed three days of overflights last week, after which the Israeli enemy's warplanes targeted Syria's T-4 airbase from Lebanon's airspace,” NNA added. Fourteen fighters including seven Iranian revolutionary guards were killed in Monday's early-morning strike on the T-4 airbase in Syria. Israel is believed to have carried out numerous raids inside Syria since 2013 but it rarely admits to them publicly, although it does say it wants to curb Iranian influence in Syria. Lebanon has filed a U.N. complaint against Israel for violating Lebanon's airspace to carry out the T-4 strike.

Israeli Force Tries to Nab Lebanese Shepherd
Naharnet/April 13/18/Israeli troops on Friday attempted to abduct a Lebanese shepherd near the border, the Lebanese Army said.“At 3:00 pm, an Israeli enemy foot patrol made an unsuccessful attempt to kidnap a Lebanese shepherd in the Jabal al-Shahel area of the Shebaa Farms,” the Army Command said in a statement. “The issue of this violation is being followed up with the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL),” the statement added.

Mashnouq Meets Election EU Observer Team
Naharnet/April 13/18/Interior Minister Nouhad al-Mashnouq met on Friday with the EU's head of mission for electoral monitoring Elena Valenciano, in the presence of EU Ambassador Christina Lassen where talks focused on the logistic and technical preparations for the parliamentary elections, the National News Agency reported. For her part, Valenciano said more than 100 observers will monitor the elections, noting that a group of them will be responsible for monitoring expatriates'voting across 10 EU countries on April 29, including Switzerland.
The National Institute for Democracy, led by former US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, will also monitor the parliamentary elections through 30 observers who will be deployed in the 15 constituencies.
A team from the Arab League and another from the Arab Election Monitoring Network are expected to observe the elections as well, while the Carter Center will not be able to send observers, as it did back in 2009, for lack of funding, said NNA. Lebanon will stage its first parliamentary elections in nine years on May 6. The polls will be staged based on a complex proportional representation system in 15 electoral districts.

Hariri Marks 43rd Civil War Anniversary
Naharnet/April 13/18/Prime Minister Saad Hariri marked on Friday Lebanon’s 43rd civil war anniversary saying "lessons must be drawn" that lack of implementing legitimacy and disrespect for national coexistence are a “way to hell”“April 13, 1975 was a black day that ignited strife among the Lebanese and opened the doors wide for the State’s fall,” said Hariri in a tweet. “This day must be remembered and lessons must be drawn that overstepping legitimacy and national coexistence are only a door towards hell,” he added. The Lebanese Civil War was a multifaceted civil war in Lebanon, lasting from 1975 to 1990 and resulting in an estimated 120,000 fatalities. As of 2012, approximately 76,000 people remain displaced within Lebanon. There was also an exodus of almost one million people from Lebanon as a result of the war.

Report: Hariri, Bassil Expected in Separate 'Electoral' Visits to South Lebanon
Naharnet/April 13/18/Prime Minister Saad Hariri and Foreign Minister Jebran Bassil are expected to separately visit "Lebanon's southern border area," 24 days before the country's parliamentary elections start, in a bid to "garner support" for their candidates running in the May 6 polls, al-Joumhouria daily reported on Friday. "The visits have specific significance and bear political connotations," said the daily, since it comes shorlty before the elections. Hariri, head of al-Mustaqbal Movement, will head to the district of Marjayoun-Hasbaya Friday afternoon to encourage people into voting for Mustaqbal's candidate for the Sunni seat, Imad Khatib, in the southern district of Shebaa, said the daily. Khatib is running on an electoral list supported by Mustaqbal and the Free Patriotic Movement (led by Bassil) named "South Deserves."It will be competing with AMAL and Hizbullah's "Hope and Loyalty" list that includes MP Qassem Hashem. The second visit to the same district, kept secret and far from the media, is Bassil's intended trip on Saturday where he plans to inaugurate a new FPM office in the town of Haboush – Nabatieh, said al-Joumhouria. He will later head to Marjayoun to meet with FPM cadres and elements to garner support for the Movement's candidates on a list that interludes Mustaqbal parliament hopefuls, it concluded.

Mentally Troubled Mother Murders Daughter, Injures the Other

Naharnet/April 13/18/A mother of two who suffered from “mental health disorders” has stabbed her two young daughters killing one of them in the northern region of Wadi Khaled, the National News Agency reported on Friday. The woman, who was identified by her initials as R.Aa, committed the crime at 1:00 a.m. Friday in Jabal Mansoura-Mashta Hasan neighborhood. She stabbed to death her six-year old daughter before trying to stab the other one, 9 years, in her neck, but the young girl managed to escape, said NNA. Paramedics took the girl to the hospital and her condition was reported as stable, said the agency. The woman has admitted to killing her daughter and surrendered herself to the security services. NNA said, she suffers from mental disorders and has tried to commit suicide previously.
 
Hezbollah: No 'Total War' in Syria – 'Unless Trump and Netanyahu Lose Their Minds'
Reuters/Haaretz/ Apr 13, 2018 /'We rule out the situation developing into a direct American-Russian clash or a wide state of war,' Hezbollah official says
Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah does not believe the latest Syria crisis will spiral into a direct U.S.-Russia conflict or a wider all-out war, its deputy leader said in comments published on Friday. The heavily armed Shi'ite Hezbollah movement has been a vital military ally of Syrian President Bashar Assad in the seven-year war. "We rule out the situation developing into a direct American-Russian clash or a wide state of war," Sheikh Naim Qassem told Lebanese daily al-Joumhouria in an interview. "The conditions do not point to a total war happening ... unless (U.S. President Donald) Trump and (Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin) Netanyahu completely lose their minds," he said. Trump has threatened strikes on Syria after a suspected gas attack on a rebel-held town which a Syrian medical relief group said killed at least 60 people, and a Russian envoy voiced fears of a wider conflict between Washington and Moscow. Fears of confrontation between Russia, the Syrian state's key ally, and the West ran high after Trump said missiles "will be coming" and lambasted Moscow for standing by Assad. Trump has tempered those remarks since and even as he consulted allies Britain and France, there were signs of efforts to prevent the crisis from spiraling out of control. The White House said "no final decision has been made" on Syria after Trump met his national security team on Thursday.

Despite the Promises, the Devil is in the Detail
Eyad Abu Shakra/Asharq Al Awsat/April 13/18
In the ‘CEDRE’ Conference in Paris aimed at rallying international support for an investment program to boost the Lebanese economy, French President Emmanuel Macron underlined the importance of “following up” the outcome. Stressing that the outcome would be meaningless “unless radical changes” take place in Lebanon; Macron added: “If we help Lebanon we will help the region, and subsequently, help ourselves”.
This statement is very significant, more so when looking at the photo taken for Macron with the Lebanese delegation attending ‘CEDRE’. The photo included Prime Minister Saad Hariri, and ministers Ali Hassan Khalil (Amal Movement), Jebran Bassil and Cesar Abi-Khalil (both from President Michel Aoun’s Free Patriotic Movement) and Yusuf Fenianos (Marada Movement). The four ministers represent political groups that support the Syrian regime.
Incidentally, this comes as the international community seems to disregard what that regime has perpetrated for more than seven years, embarking on a process of ‘rehabilitation’ after the completion of what remains of the required ‘demographic engineering’ in Douma (greater Damascus), Al-Rastan and Talbisah (Homs Province) and areas in the Golan heights and Hawran in southern Syria.
Even Hariri - who since aligning himself with Aoun has regarded almost every decision taken as an ‘achievement’ - has virtually become part of the Lebanese ‘scenario’ integrated with the ‘Syrian settlement’. Indeed, by agreeing on the electoral law favored by the Hezbollah-Aoun alliance, Hariri opened the door, officially for Iran – the main sponsor of the Damascus regime – and its henchmen to reclaim the political initiative in Lebanon.
Thus, the ‘reservations’ expressed by more than one participant in ‘CEDRE’ reflects the intention of ignoring the results of the Lebanese parliamentary elections scheduled for May 6, and conceal the Tehran-Damascus axis’ expected gains.
Most observers believe that Hezbollah’s silence hides its satisfaction with the outcome of the polls, especially when they come amid the liquidation of the popular Syrian uprising after ‘besieging’ it with extremist organizations that diverted it to give credibility to the accusations of Damascus, Moscow and Tehran, to the uprising as being ‘Takfirist’ and pro-ISIS.
‘CEDRE’ did not give Lebanon a ‘carte blanche’. The international donors did not give the Lebanese unconditional financial support, but rather, insisted on a ‘follow up’ mechanism to monitor the promised reforms. However, even this mechanism remains part of the semi-concocted ‘reservations’ toward the reality of the Lebanese situation; and since both the French president is aware of the details, and so are the Americans, there seems to be a race between the ‘solution’ and the impasse.
Such a race cannot be separated from the overall regional situation. We are now at a crossroads of regional conflicts, extending from Iraq, to Syria and Lebanon, to Yemen, and back to the occupied Palestinian territories.
In fact, there are signs of increased complications in Russian-American means to resolve most Middle East issues. If Iran feels that it is now well-placed to freely maneuver or impose its conditions, Turkey seems to have gone to the opposite side, to its NATO position, allowing itself to exchange tactical services with Russia, its ‘historic enemy’. This means that Israel, which always benefits from its relations with both Washington and Moscow, is the only regional player able to implement its own project disregarding the current tension between the two major capitals.
Contrary to what some may think, Israel’s project is not limited to finalizing the status of the occupied Palestinian territories and preparing for their demographics, but also includes making official the deals and tacit considerations between Tel Aviv and Damascus, and subsequently - in the light of linking Lebanon with the ‘new Syria’ – between Tel Aviv and Beirut. Furthermore, it has become obvious to serious observers that bringing down the Damascus regime is not a priority for Israel; Had it been so, Israel would have pushed for getting rid of it by major Western capitals, mainly Washington, which for decades has been accusing it of sponsoring terrorism.
Today, how Washington deals with Iran’s regional project, namely with regards to the future of Syria and Lebanon, is a matter of utmost importance. Also important is monitoring the cooperative and yet competitive relations between Russia and Iran in Syria, and whether Washington and Paris are willing to relinquish their ‘shares’ in Lebanon to Russia, after peacefully coexisting with Iranian hegemony – through Hezbollah – over Lebanon during the Barack Obama presidency.
Back to the ‘CEDRE’ conference in Paris, among the issues discussed was that of Syrian refugees, which the Hezbollah-Aoun alliance raises from a sectarian and antagonistic perspective each for its own interests. The subject is also raised based on an economic and livelihood perspective by some in the Sunni-inhabited areas which had welcomed the Syrian refugees, leading to accusations of collusion with terrorism and ‘Takfir’.
What is taking place in Lebanon in order to speed up the imposition of the ‘status quo’ on Syria is to deprive the Syrian refugees of a nationalist and Sunni embrace; and actually joint efforts are being exerted to that end, supported by most major capitals, each for its own motives. On the other hand, there has been a trend among the Lebanese Sunnis which has gone along with this policy hoping it would rid them of the economic burden of the displaced, improving the chances of winning and benefiting from foreign money. So, the May elections are an extremely important stage to all parties although those expecting Lebanon to emerge with credible programs and policies are not very optimistic. The electoral alliances are interest-based, and the nature of the proportional representation system of the elections law will cause further fragmentation under the excuse of broadening the representation base. As a result, the size of parliamentary blocs will not allow for any realistic discussion on Hezbollah’s weapons, its relationship with the Lebanese state, and how independent it would be from Tehran. Promises look nice, but the devil is in the detail!

MEA extends decision to halt flights over Syria until Monday
Fri 13 Apr 2018/NNA - Lebanon's Middle East Airlines announced on Friday that it shall continue its decision to halt flights over Syria until Monday, April 16, 2018. The decision had been taken in coordination with the Public Works and Transport Ministry, MEA said.

Machnouk says official security apparatuses stand at equal distance from all
Fri 13 Apr 2018/NNA - Interior and Municipalities Minister, Nouhad Machnouk, on Friday stressed that all official security apparatuses stand at equal distance from all candidates before and during elections day. "There is a serious international and local monitoring of elections," Minister Machnouk said during presiding over a meeting of Mount Lebanon Security Council sub-committee, at Baabda Serail. The meeting took place in the presence of Mount Lebanon Governor, Mohammed Makkawi, and Mount Lebanon Attorney General Judge Ghada Aoun. Machnouk stressed maintaining security, stability and order during the entire electoral process. The Minister corroborated that the forthcoming legislative elections on May 6 shall contribute to consecrating the state's image as capable, fair and just. "The course of the parliamentary elections is a fundamental means for the advancement of the State's path," Machnouk said, stressing that international efforts in support of Lebanon shall not be wasted.

Berri on civil war anniversary: Civil peace and national unity red line
Fri 13 Apr 2018/NNA - Marking the anniversary of the civil war, Speaker of the House, Nabih Berri, stressed that all the Lebanese must draw a lesson from 'April 13' that Lebanon's civil peace and national unity constitute a red line.
Speaker Berri welcomed at his Mseileh residence Greek Orthodox Patriarch of Antioch and all the East Yohanna X Yazigi, with talks reportedly touching on affairs related to Lebanon and the broad region. On emerging, Patriarch Yazigi categorically deplored the recent statements by the US president regarding a strike on Syria, saying he pushes for a peaceful solution in Syria, Lebanon and the entire region. He urged national unity in Lebanon, Syria and the region as a whole, hoping that Lebanon's forthcoming parliamentary elections would be staged successfully and peacefully. Berri also met with former MP Nasser Qandil, with talks reportedly touching on most recent developments in Lebanon and the broad region.

Hariri from Jdeidet Marjeyoun: Our program is moderation and development
Fri 13 Apr 2018/NNA - The President of the Council of Ministers Saad Hariri arrived this afternoon to Jdeidet Marjeyoun, the first stop in his southern tour. Upon his arrival, a large rally was held, in the presence of the Mufti of Hasbaya, Sheikh Hassan Dalla, Father John Azar, representing Metropolitan Elias Kfoury, a number of clerics and members of the municipal council and the candidate for the Sunni seat in the region Imad al-Khatib.After a speech by the deputy mayor of Jdeidet Marjeyoun Sari Golmie, welcoming the Prime minister, Hariri said: "I have the honor to be with you here today in this beautiful area, which maintained its nature and coexistence Our project is the state and its advancement to serve all Lebanese all over Lebanon, especially in Marjeyoun and Jdeidet Marjeyoun. The South is dear to us just as it was dear to Martyr Prime Minister Rafic Hariri. We have great hope in all of you and to be together in these elections because our program is one, which is Lebanon, the state, coexistence, and moderation. You all know how much I worked on the issue of moderation at a time when not many were listening. I continued because I believe that this country can only continue with all the partners in it, all the Muslims and all the Christians. God has blessed us in this country with the existence of all these sects, we have to preserve it, and the only way do so is by having a strong state, a strong army and security forces, and moderation and affection among the Lebanese. Our program as Future movement is clear. It is moderation, development, and building the country, especially this area that has always resisted the enemy that invaded it and that invaded Lebanon. The South stood and fought back, and we will continue. Today the state is responsible of its citizens and the army is responsible of the protection of all its citizens. Thank you all and we will meet soon, on May 6th, and I want you to vote for the whole list and Imad Khatib is our candidate here."

Latest LCCC Bulletin For Miscellaneous Reports And News published
on April 13-14/18
Haley Says U.S. Must Act, but Not 'Rush' Decision on Syria
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/April 13/18/U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley said Friday there should be no rush to launch military action on Syria, but that "at one point you have to do something." "You don't rush decisions like this," Haley told reporters, adding that if there is haste "you make a mistake."Haley spoke ahead of a Security Council meeting called by Russia to discuss the threat of U.S.-led military action in Syria. President Donald Trump is analyzing all the information and taking measures to avoid any unwanted repercussions, she said. "We have to know that there is proof and we have to know that we are taking every precaution necessary should we take action," she said. Separate analyses by the United States, France and Britain have concluded that a chemical attack took place on Saturday in the rebel-held town of Douma, said Haley. The United States is consulting with Britain and France about a joint military response to the attack in Douma that medics and rescuers said left at least 40 people dead on Saturday.

Macron Tells Putin He Wants to 'Intensify' Syria Dialogue
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/April 13/18/French President Emmanuel Macron told his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin during a telephone call Friday that he wanted to "intensify" talks on bringing peace to Syria. "The president of the Republic said he wanted the dialogue between France and Russia to continue and intensify in order to bring peace and stability to Syria," Macron's office said after the call, which came as the West ponders possible strikes on Syria in retaliation for a suspected chemical attack. Macron, who had made the use of chemical weapons a "red line" not to be crossed, bemoaned Russia's use this week of its veto to block a U.N. Security Council resolution on setting up an investigation into the attack that would name those responsible. The veto had prevented a "united" front on putting in place a mechanism "to prevent the regime being a repeat offender," Macron said. He told Putin his priority in Syria was the "fight against terrorism", easing the suffering of civilians and "kickstarting negotiations on a credible and inclusive political process as soon as possible." On Thursday, Macron said he had "proof" that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's regime had used chemical weapons in Saturday's attack on Douma, the main city in the longtime rebel bastion of Eastern Ghouta, and that the U.S. and France would response "in due course".But he also appeared anxious to avoid a wider conflict, saying France would "in no way allow an escalation."

U.N. Chief Warns Syria Tensions May Lead to 'Full-Blown Military Escalation'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/April 13/18/Increasing tensions between world powers could lead to a "full-blown military escalation" in Syria, the U.N. chief warned Friday. U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres urged the Security Council to "act responsibly in these dangerous circumstances."

Russia Accuses Boris Johnson of 'Distorting' OPCW Findings on Skripals
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/April 13/18/Russia's Foreign Minister on Friday accused his British counterpart of distorting the findings of the world chemical watchdog's investigation into a spy poisoning the UK blames on Moscow. "Already politicians like Boris Johnson are once again trying to distort the truth and announce that the OPCW statement supports Britain's conclusions without exception," Sergei Lavrov said.

Putin Warns Macron against 'Dangerous' Syria Actions
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/April 13/18/Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday warned his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron during a telephone call against any "dangerous actions" in Syria, the Kremlin said. "The most important thing is to refrain from ill-considered and dangerous actions that would constitute a gross violation of the U.N. Charter and would have unpredictable consequences," the office of the president said in a statement after the call. Macron on Thursday said he had "proof" the Syrian regime had used chemical weapons on the former rebel outpost of Douma and would announce his response "in due course." "Vladimir Putin emphasized the advisability of conducting a thorough and objective investigation, until the completion of which it is not advised to voice any accusations against anyone," the Kremlin statement said. Moscow has repeatedly claimed the chemical attack was staged by rebels to provoke further intervention in the conflict by the West.

Western Powers at U.N. Make Case for Military Action against Syria

Agence France Presse/Naharnet/April 13/18/The United States, Britain and France made the case at the United Nations on Friday for military action against Syria, saying President Bashar al-Assad's repeated use of chemical weapons posed a threat to the world. U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley said no decision had been taken to launch strikes and stressed Washington was taking time to assess the implications of possible military action after Russia warned it could lead to a dangerous U.S.-Russian war. "Our president has not yet made a decision about possible action in Syria," Haley told a Security Council meeting. "But should the United States and our allies decide to act in Syria, it will be in defense of a principle on which we all agree." Citing U.S. estimates that Assad has used chemical weapons "at least 50 times" in the seven-year war, Haley said: "All nations and all people will be harmed if we allow Assad to normalize the use of chemical weapons."The United States is consulting with Britain and France about a joint military response to an alleged toxic gas attack in the rebel-held town of Douma that medics and rescuers said left at least 40 people dead on Saturday. "You don't rush decisions like this," Haley told reporters ahead of the meeting - the fourth on Syria at the council this week. Syria and Russia have denied using poisonous gas in Douma on April 7, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov saying that Moscow had evidence that the attack in Douma was staged. A U.N.-led panel has determined that Assad's forces had used sarin in the town of Khan Sheikhun last yaer and chlorine in at least three attacks on villages in 2014 and 2015.
Intolerable threat to security
Echoing the U.S. stance, France said Assad's government had reached a "point of no return" with repeated use of chemical weapons. "France will shoulder its responsibility to end an intolerable threat to our collective security," said French Ambassador Francois Delattre, who called for an end to the "chemical weapons escalation in Syria."Britain accused Russia of chipping away at international norms on non-proliferation by supporting Assad. "We will not sacrifice the international order we have collectively built to the Russian desire to protect its ally at all costs," said Ambassador Karen Pierce. By supporting Assad, Russia's actions are "prejudicial to our security" and will let the Islamic State group "re-establish itself" - something that "we believe we need to take action to defend," said Pierce. The arguments put forward by the three allies were dismissed by Russia as a pretext to advance the West's goal of overthrowing Assad and keeping Moscow's influence in check. "The sole thing that they have an interest in is to oust the Syrian government and to deter, contain the Russian Federation," Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia told the council session. The ambassador urged Britain, France and the United States "not to bring the world to such a dangerous threshold." Russia has told the United States that it will not allow its troops on the ground in Syria to be put at risk by military action, even though the two countries have channels of communication to avoid such a clash. The warning from Moscow came as United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that increasing tensions over Syria could lead to "full-blown military escalation."Guterres urged the Security Council to "act responsibly in these dangerous circumstances."Syria warned that it will have "no other choice" but to defend itself if the West launches military action. "This is not a threat, this is a promise," Syrian Ambassador Bashar Jaafari told the council.

Saudi Aims to Pressure Rival Iran at Arab League Summit
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/April 13/18/Saudi Arabia's push for a tough stand against its arch-rival Iran is expected to dominate an Arab League summit on Sunday as regional tensions grow over the wars in Syria and Yemen. The fate of Jerusalem will also be on the summit's agenda, as the United States prepares to move its embassy from Tel Aviv to the disputed city after declaring it the capital of Israel. Saudi Arabia, which is hosting the yearly summit in the Eastern Province city of Dhahran, is likely to seek Arab support to pile the pressure on Iran, analysts say. "The Saudis are going to push for a much harsher stance on Iran -- not necessarily on the nuclear dossier per se, but on Iranian influence in the Arab countries, particularly Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen," said Karim Bitar of the Paris-based Institute of International and Strategic Affairs. Iran's influence is wielded through a land route of armed parties in the Middle East -- the so-called "Shiite crescent" that cuts across the mainly Sunni Arab world. Iran has long been a supporter of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and backs Lebanon's Shiite Hezbollah movement, whose fighters are deployed in Syria alongside regime forces. Iran also openly supports the Shiite Huthi rebels in Yemen in their war against the Saudi-backed government but denies accusations of smuggling arms to the insurgents. And in Shiite-dominated Iraq, the Islamic republic backs armed groups and supports the government. "The securitisation of Iran is being pushed predominantly by Saudi Arabia and the UAE, along with other Arab countries including Egypt," said Andreas Krieg, assistant professor of defence studies at King's College London. "Saudi Arabia has also reached out to Iraq to try and build ties and tackle militias there," Krieg told AFP. "It's definitely safe to say that Iran is the centrepiece of this summit."- Syria chemical attack -The summit will be attended by delegations from 21 of the Arab League's 22-member states. Syria has been suspended from the organisation for seven years over Assad's crackdown on protesters. The gathering comes as the US administration of President Donald Trump, a key Saudi ally, faces crucial decisions on how to react to the use of chemical weapons in Syria. Trump has put off a final decision on US-led strikes against Syria after an alleged chemical attack against the rebel-held town of Douma that killed dozens. The summit is expected to release a statement on the suspected toxic gas attack, but it remains to be seen whether the Arab League will take any action as well. Syria serves today as a major pivot between Saudi Arabia and its allies on the one hand, and Iran and Hezbollah on the other. Each party in the conflict backs opposing sides but all agree that the country's future cannot be decided solely by the Assad regime, whose troops have regained territory with Russia's support. After years of demanding that Assad step down, Saudi Arabia this month conceded, in the words of its powerful crown prince, that the embattled president was staying. "Certain regional powers previously determined to bring down the Syrian regime -- particularly Saudi Arabia and Turkey -- have now accepted the status quo, that Assad is staying," Bitar said. "Bashar's Iranian patrons are also very well aware that their protege cannot run the show on his own and they are starting to accept the premise that they will have to negotiate spheres of influence in Syria territories". - Fate of Jerusalem -Not on the table at the summit, according to Krieg, is Qatar, cut off from its Gulf allies over accusations of ties to Iran and support for Islamist extremists -- claims denied by Doha. On the eve of the summit, Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir confirmed as much, saying a solution for Qatar would be found within the six-state Gulf Cooperation Council. The summit also comes after 33 Palestinians were killed and hundreds wounded at the hands of Israeli forces in mass protests along the Gaza border in recent weeks. The protests are to continue until mid-May, around the time Washington is to move its embassy to Jerusalem, which both Palestinians and Israelis claim as their capital.  Senior Palestinian official Hanan Ashrawi has said she hopes the summit will lead to a resolution, and concrete action, supporting the Palestinian position on Jerusalem.
 
Guterres: Situation in the Middle East threatens global security
Agencies/Friday, 13 April 2018/United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, addressing the Security Council on Syria, urged all states "to act responsibly in these dangerous circumstances.""Increasing tensions and the inability to reach a compromise in the establishment of an accountability mechanism threaten to lead to a full-blown military escalation," Guterres told the 15-member council. Russian UN ambassador told the security council that US, France, Britain are only interested in ousting Syrian government and containing Russia, adding that Russia has 'proof' Britain took part in staged Syria chemical attack. Russia accused the West of having the sole aim in Syria of overthrowing the government as it urged US, French and British leaders to refrain from military action. "We continue to observe dangerous military preparations for an illegal act of force against a sovereign state," Russian Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia told the Security Council. US Ambassador Nikki Haley said Friday there should be no rush to launch military action on Syria, but that "at one point you have to do something." Haley said US estimates Syrian president Assad has used chemical weapons in Syrian war at least 50 times, and that Russia has used the veto 12 times to protect Assad regime. "You don't rush decisions like this," Haley told reporters, adding that if there is haste "you make a mistake." Haley spoke ahead of a Security Council meeting called by Russia to discuss the threat of US-led military action in Syria. President Donald Trump is analyzing all the information and taking measures to avoid any unwanted repercussions, she said. "We have to know that there is proof and we have to know that we are taking every precaution necessary should we take action," she said. Separate analysis by the United States, France and Britain have concluded that a chemical attack took place on Saturday in the rebel-held town of Douma, said Haley. The United States is consulting with Britain and France about a joint military response to the attack in Douma that medics and rescuers said left at least 40 people dead on Saturday. France warned Friday that Syria's government had reached a "point of no return" by using chemical weapons and vowed to confront the "intolerable threat" of such attacks to global security. French Ambassador Francois Delattre told a Security Council meeting that world powers must respond to the threat of repeated use of toxic gas as a weapon in Syria's war. By "deciding once again to sue chemical weapons" in the rebel-held town of Douma, "the regime has reached a point of no-return," Delattre said. "France will shoulder its responsibility to end an intolerable threat to our collective security," he said. "We must cease the chemical weapons escalation in Syria." The United States is consulting with Britain and France about a joint military response to the attack in Douma that medics and rescuers said killed at least 40 people Saturday. Russia and Syria have denied that a chemical attack took place and said video footage and photographs were staged by President Bashar al-Assad's opponents.

Putin warns Macron against ‘dangerous’ Syria actions
AFP, Moscow /Friday, 13 April 2018/Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday warned his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron during a telephone call against any “dangerous actions” in Syria, the Kremlin said. “The most important thing is to refrain from ill-considered and dangerous actions that would constitute a gross violation of the UN Charter and would have unpredictable consequences,” the office of the president said in a statement after the call. Macron on Thursday said he had “proof” the Syrian regime had used chemical weapons on the former rebel outpost of Douma and would announce his response “in due course”. “Vladimir Putin emphasized the advisability of conducting a thorough and objective investigation, until the completion of which it is not advised to voice any accusations against anyone,” the Kremlin statement said. Moscow has repeatedly claimed the chemical attack was staged by rebels to provoke further intervention in the conflict by the West.
Macron seeks to ‘intensify talks’
Meanwhile, Macron told his Putin during the call that he wanted to “intensify” talks on bringing peace to Syria. “The president of the Republic said he wanted the dialogue between France and Russia to continue and intensify in order to bring peace and stability to Syria,” Macron’s office said after the call, which came as the West ponders possible strikes on Syria in retaliation for a suspected chemical attack. Macron, who had made the use of chemical weapons a “red line” not to be crossed, bemoaned Russia’s use this week of its veto to block a UN Security Council resolution on setting up an investigation into the attack that would name those responsible. The veto had prevented a “united” front on putting in place a mechanism “to prevent the regime being a repeat offender,” Macron said. He told Putin his priority in Syria was the “fight against terrorism”, easing the suffering of civilians and “kick starting negotiations on a credible and inclusive political process as soon as possible.”

Thousands leave Syria's Douma as evacuations wrapping up
Agencies/Friday, 13 April 2018/Thousands of Islamist fighters and their relatives left the Syrian town of Douma they once controlled as the last evacuations from Eastern Ghouta continued Friday, a monitor said. The fighters from the Jaish al-Islam group left overnight with thousands of civilians on board 85 buses that took them to areas of northern Syria still held by rebels. The evacuations are part of a deal brokered by Damascus's Russian ally to re-establish regime control on Eastern Ghouta, a area just on the edge of the capital that had escaped government control since 2012. "After midnight, 85 buses left Eastern Ghouta carrying 4,000 people, both fighters and civilians," the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitoring organization said. A top Syrian rebel official told AFP on Thursday that his faction only agreed to abandon its battered enclave outside Damascus because of an alleged toxic gas attack. “Of course, the chemical attack is what pushed us to agree” to a withdrawal from Douma, said Yasser Dalwan, a high-ranking member of Jaish al-Islam. It was the first public acknowledgement by Jaish al-Islam of a deal reached for Douma, their last rebel holdout in the Eastern Ghouta suburb of Damascus.
The agreement was announced on Sunday morning by Syria’s government and its ally Russia, just hours after toxic gases were allegedly released on Douma. First responders there said more than 40 people died Saturday after suffering symptoms consistent with chemical exposure, including wheezing, discolored skin and foaming at the mouth. World powers have threatened a strong response, with French President Emmanuel Macron saying Thursday he had "proof" Syria's government was behind the attack.
Civilians evacuate
More buses carrying evacuees and their belongings continued to leave Douma, just east of the Syrian capital, amid heightened tensions on Friday. The video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showed buses driving through the Muhayam al-Wafideen checkpoint. The evacuation takes place under a deal mediated by Russia to hand over the town to the Syrian government and end a months-long military siege. The Russian military announced on Thursday that the Syrian government is now in full control of the town on the outskirts of Damascus that was held by the rebels and that was the site of a suspected chemical attack over the weekend. More than 13,500 Syrian rebel fighters and their families left Douma this month. Hamza Bayraqdar, spokesman for Jaysh al-Islam, the main rebel group that once controlled Douma, said his fighters had all evacuated. They handed over their heavy and medium weapons, as well as maps of land mines and the tunnels they dug, according to Syrian state media. US President Donald Trump on Thursday put off a final decision on possible military strikes against Syria after tweeting earlier that they could happen “very soon or not so soon at all.”The White House said he would consult further with allies.
 
In sharp exchange, Putin warns Netanyahu to stand down on Syria, hears Israel will stop Iran
DEBKAfile/April 13/18/DEBKAfile reports exclusively that the Russian president and Israeli prime minister were at angry cross-purposes in their phone conversation on Wednesday, April 11. Vladimir Putin warned Binyamin Netanyahu to discontinue Israeli strikes in Syria because they may rock the Assad regime [backed by Moscow] and insisted on Israel respecting Syrian sovereignty and security. By this warning, Russia clamped down on the freedom the Israeli air force had hitherto enjoyed in Syrian air space for striking hostile elements, primarily Iran and Hizballah.
Netanyahu shot back, according to our sources, that Israel cannot possibly desist from action over Syria, since this would leave Iran at liberty to establish a permanent, hostile military presence in that country. And so, said the prime minister, Israel would have to persevere in its efforts to stop this happening. The conversation between Putin and Netanyahu ended in total discord. The Kremlin later issued this version: “Upon an initiative of the Israeli side, a telephone conversation took place between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The Syrian issue was discussed, including the recent missile strikes on the T-4 airfield in Homs by the Israeli Air Force. Vladimir Putin stressed the fundamental importance of respecting the sovereignty of Syria and called for refraining from any actions that might further destabilize the situation in the country and pose a threat to its security.” The Moscow readout did not reveal Netanyahu’s reply.

25 dead in attack at Iraq funeral of anti-ISIS fighters
AFP, Samarra/Friday, 13 April 2018/At least 25 people were killed and 18 injured in Thursday’s bomb attack on funerals for Iraqi fighters killed by militants, according to a new toll from police and medics. “Two bombs exploded as the funeral procession was entering the cemetery” in Asdira, village mayor Salaheddin Shaalan told AFP. The Sunni village is south of Sharqat, one of the last bastions of ISIS in the country’s north to be retaken by Iraqi forces. “In total, 25 people were killed and 18 injured, four of whom are still in critical condition,” a police officer told AFP on Friday, on condition of anonymity, revising an earlier death toll. Medical sources confirmed the new figures. It was the deadliest attack in Iraq since a January 16 double suicide bombing in Baghdad claimed 31 lives. Thursday’s attack took place during a funeral for five members of the Hashed al-Shaabi paramilitary units killed Wednesday night in the same village, 250 kilometers (150 miles) north of Baghdad. The mostly Shiite paramilitary units, which also include Sunni tribal forces, played a key role alongside the army in expelling militants from Iraqi towns last year.
ISIS defeated
The Iraqi government declared victory over ISIS in December after pushing ISIS militants out of their final holdouts along the border with Syria. But the group retains the capacity to strike despite losing control of vast swathes of Iraqi territory it seized in 2014. It still clings to pockets of desert in war-torn Syria and appears to be able to cross the porous border between the two neighbors. Militants sometimes manage to snatch control of roads at night, especially in the Salaheddin province where Thursday’s attack took place, and Anbar province along the border with Syria, security experts say. Iraq is gearing up for legislative elections set for May 12. Since the 2003 US-led invasion and the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime, polls in Iraq have consistently been marred by violence. But in the run-up to next month’s elections, the country has enjoyed a respite from violence.

Egyptian prosecutors summon reporters over election coverage

The Associated Press, Cairo/Friday, 13 April 2018/Egypt’s press syndicate chief says state security prosecutors summoned nine journalists over their coverage of last month’s presidential election. Hatem Zakaria said on Friday that the summons is for the recently-dismissed chief editor of the Egyptian daily Al-Masry Al-Youm and eight other reporters.They are expected to show up for questioning next Thursday. Al-Masry Al-Youm was fined 150,000 Egyptian pounds, or about $8,500, and its chief editor was dismissed after a report saying the state rallied voters to participate in the presidential election. Pro-government media and the state’s regulatory bodies have largely criticized independent and foreign media’s coverage of the election. President Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi was re-elected in last month’s vote, which critics dubbed as undemocratic after all serious contenders quit or were forced to drop out of the race.

Clashes erupt on Israel-Gaza border on third Friday of protests, 363 wounded
AP, Gaza City/Friday, 13 April 2018/Gaza’s Health Ministry says 363 Palestinians have been wounded by Israeli army fire or treated for tear gas inhalation, but did not provide a breakdown. The injuries were sustained during a mass protest Friday on Gaza’s sealed border with Israel, the third in as many consecutive Fridays. Thousands of Palestinians gathered at five tent camps, several hundred meters (yards) from the border fence. Smaller groups moved closer to the fence, burning Israeli flags, throwing stones and torching tires. In all, 27 protesters were killed and hundreds wounded by army fire since late March.


Latest LCCC Bulletin analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on April 13-14/18
Iran To Suffer Most In Syria
Heshmat Alavi /Forbes/April 13/18
Iran stands to lose the most after maintaining Syrian dictator Bashar Assad in power for seven years
with only one month left to the Iran nuclear deadline, the road promises to be excruciating for Tehran and each development is of colossal stakes
The world is weighing a possible United States-led air/missile strike against the interests of Syria’s Bashar Assad and his main ally, Iran. These developments are certain to inflict a heavy toll on the Iranian regime’s interests in the region and back home, leaving it the main party to suffer in any outcome.
Following Assad’s 2017 chemical attack against Khan Sheikhoon, Trump ordered a strike on the base he said Syrian warplanes involved in the attack were deployed from. 59 Tomahawk cruise missiles from U.S. warships in the Mediterranean struck major damage to landing strips and bunkers in the Al Shayrat airbase. That episode was merely a symbolic attack. What is unfolding now has the potential of being far more comprehensive. And what makes it completely interesting is the fact that Iran stands to lose the most after maintaining Syrian dictator Bashar Assad in power for seven years .
In an interview with Fox News, General Anthony Tata, former U.S. commander in Afghanistan said it is clear this Syria attack will be far more significant than last year's, adding this campaign may take some time.
And time is not on Iran’s side, knowing the more resources the U.S. and its allies have deployed in the region, the higher the price Tehran, Damascus, Moscow and their allies will have to pay.
Certain is the fact that the approach Trump is adopting significantly contrasts how Obama handled the Middle East dossier, going back on his own red line.
France and the United Kingdom, along with Saudi Arabia, are on board, as there is no longer any question about the horrific nature of the recent chemical attack targeting innocent civilians in Douma.
The U.S. has a naval combat group stationed in the east of the Mediterranean, with another on its way, both equipped with a high-number of long-range missiles. Numerous warplanes are also stationed in Qatar, parallel to others available on aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf.
Since Assad has most likely bunkered his air force or transferred them to a safe haven, such as Iran, this multi-national assault will possibly target a significant number of Syria’s air bases and/or whatever else is left of Assad’s air forces. Crippling his ability to target civilian populations is a moral necessity.
Syrian opposition activists are reporting dozens of Lebanese Hezbollah members of the Rezvan battalion fled Homs Province along with their families and arrived at the city of Yabrud, south of Damascus. They completely evacuated the T-4 airbase after the recent attack.
Attacking from the west would be more convenient and involving far lesser factors to calculate. All the while Paris’ warplanes can take off from their bases in France and attack targets in Syria. With the UK joining this effort, British submarines are stationed in the east Mediterranean and launching precision strikes against Assad’s bases. This goes alongside the British base in Cyprus.
All the while during the past few days reports indicate Ali Akbar Velayati, international affairs advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, returned to Iraq from Syria on Wednesday. 12 senior IRGC Quds Force commanders left the Al Kesve base, south of Damascus, and flew in a passenger plane to Najaf, Iraq. If Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) Quds Force commander Qassem Suleimani was with this group is not clear. A source in Najaf has told Ava Today, “The passengers leaving Damascus for Najaf left the latter city for Baghdad under extremely tight security measures.”
In another flight, at 8:09pm Wednesday local time, 35 senior IRGC Quds Force officers allegedly left Damascus for Baghdad.
Their precautions are understandable as sources in Washington are talking with reports saying U.S. measures will be punishing and significantly weakening Assad’s airpower, or completely destroying it. These air and missile attacks will be limited to Syria and IRGC Quds Force positions may also be on the target list. In the past week, Syria has transferred 23 of its passenger and warplanes to Iran, reports show. Velayati has time and again told Syrian media Tehran provides $8 billion/year to Damascus. IRGC provides for the “Syria Basij,” established by Iran in 2012 to maintain Assad in power.
With the expense of the Lebanese Hezbollah, the Quds Force, the Afghan Fatemioun and Pakistani Zeynabioun, all provided by Iran, the colossal costs reach $4bn/year. Add this to the $8bn/year mentioned by Velayati, the total reaches around $12bn/year. This has been ongoing for the past 7 years, meaning at least $84 billion of the Iranian people’s money have gone wasted in Syria. All extending the suffering of millions of people throughout the region.
This massive investment is on the verge of being destroyed through highly possible US-led attacks. The money Iran’s regime wasted in Syria could have been used to provide for the millions currently living in poverty.
Current circumstances have reached the point that Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu said on Wednesday the Assad regime must be ousted. Speaking to reporters following the chemical attack in Syria, Çavuşoğlu stressed the need to transition toward a “political process.”
To add insult to injury on Wednesday, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin announced Washington’s possible intention of imposing “very strong” sanctions on Iran, adding “primary and secondary sanctions” are on their way against Tehran. This is in reference to penalties against Tehran and entities involved in doing business with the regime. The European Union is also showing further signs of alignment with the U.S., extending for another 12 months sanctions on 82 individuals and one entity in Iran over human rights violations. E.U. sanctions will maintain the assets of these 82 individuals frozen, parallel to a travel ban. All exports of surveillance and communications control equipment to Iran will also be banned.
Trump has yet to order the attack and yet we are already witnessing developments playing out against Iran’s interests. And with only one month left to the Iran nuclear deadline, the road promises to be excruciating for Tehran and each development is of colossal stakes .
I am a political/rights activist focusing on Iran & the Middle East. I also write in Al Arabiya English, and contributed to The Federalist, The Hill and Raddington Report. I tweet @HeshmatAlavi
https://www.forbes.com/sites/heshmatalavi/2018/04/13/iran-to-suffer-most-in-syria/#37b62a163e03

Israel Says Downed Iranian Drone Was Armed and Heading for Attack
Yaniv Kubovich and Amos Harel /Haaretz/Apr 13, 2018
Israeli military statement on the February drone incursion comes as tensions between Israel and Iran grow following an attack in Syria that killed seven Iranians
The Iranian drone that was downed by the air force after it infiltrated Israeli airspace earlier this year was carrying explosives and was on its way to carry out an attack, the Israeli military said Friday. The military's statement comes amid tensions between Israel and Iran since an airstrike in Syria that Damascus, Moscow and Tehran say was carried out by Israel. Israel shot down an advanced Iranian drone in the early morning of February 10. The drone was operated by the Iranian air force from a command center in the T4 Syrian air base, located near Homs.
The Iranian drone entered Israeli airspace near the Beit She'an Valley and the Israel Air Force decided to shoot it down with a missile fired from an attack helicopter in order to minimize the damage it could cause. At first some claimed that the aircraft was a reconnaissance drone, and that this was its mission when it was shot down. But amid the tensions with Iran, IDF Spokesman Ronen Manelis said Friday that judging by the drone's flight route and "intelligence and operational analysis of the parts of the Iranian unmanned vehicle" indicates that "the aircraft was carrying explosives" and that its goal was "an act of sabotage in Israeli territory."Following the drone's infiltration, Israel launched a significant aerial attack on Syria, targeting the drone's command center and a number of anti-aircraft batteries. During the attack an Israeli F-16 was downed over Israel by a Syria anti-aircraft missile.
"The Iranian's interception by attack helicopters thwarted an attack," Manelis said, while noting that the drone "was identified by defense systems and was under surveillance until it was shot down and posed no threat at any stage."The military's statement on Friday suggests that there's a high probability that the attack attributed to Israel this week was against an Iranian target in Syria, and was an attempt to thwart a similar threat. This week's attack also targeted the Syria T4 base – where Israel struck the drone's command center back in February.

Can any US-French strike deter Syria’s brutal regime?
Randa Takieddine/Al Arabiya/April 13/18
The shocking pictures of the recent chemical attack carried out by the Syrian regime has led US President Donald Trump to make insulting remarks against Bashar al-Assad. Trump received two phone calls within 48 hours from French president Emmanuel Macron to coordinate their stances following the brutal chemical attack on Douma, which claimed more than 50 lives including a large number of children. France’s efforts at directing the negotiations towards an interim phase in Syria have failed due to Russia’s stubbornness on keeping Bashar al-Assad in power, despite him destroying Syria. Russia likes to entertain the belief, mostly supported by Assad, that the Syrian regime succeeded and regained areas it had lost. Unfortunately, the only solution now lies in the hands of the Russian leadership which will not hesitate in keeping its forces in Syria as long as Assad has handed it the keys to his country
However, it has actually regained wrecked cities and a country where millions of its people have been displaced and will not return. Moreover, without real American support for the Kurds, Turkish interests are growing more than ever in Syria. Meanwhile, Iran is present in Syria in a way that threatens Russia which still needs its alliance with Tehran at this stage.
Vested interests of external powers
Macron has stated many times that the use of chemical weapons in Syria is a red line, and if this line is crossed, the bases from where these chemical attacks were launched will be struck. In reality, everyone knows that Bashar al-Assad has crossed all red lines of brutality and cannot be stopped by Western powers. This is even if precise strikes against military installations and bases are carried out since he is protected by the dictators of Russia and Iran who do not care about their people’s opinions and whether they approve or not of military intervention in Syria. For example, there’s controversy among people in Iran about the use of military intervention in Syria and the spending of huge sums of money to fund Hezbollah and its fighters in Lebanon. However, the regime in Tehran does not care about its people’s opposition.
Russia has benefited from its intervention in Syria as the world has recognized that President Putin is the key to any solution, since the West, especially the United States, is no longer prepared to engage in any direct military intervention following the disaster of the Iraqi war.
Trump won’t change his mind, as he has tweeted that he wanted US troops to withdraw from Syria. He is prepared to strike the “animal” to punish him, but the move will be limited to a certain location. Meanwhile, democratic countries are weak at confronting the brutality of the Syrian regime after its huge failure following the overthrow of Saddam Hussein’s regime in Iraq and Gaddafi’s regime in Libya.
Russia rules the roost
These countries have grown to be extremely cautious when it comes to sending troops or carrying out strikes to overthrow the Syrian regime, even if the latter is responsible for displacing a great number of its people to neighboring countries, Europe and other states. This major refugee problem has become a burden on neighboring countries and the international community must bear part of the responsibility. Unfortunately, the only solution now lies in the hands of the Russian leadership which will not hesitate in keeping its forces in Syria as long as Assad has handed it the keys to his country.
It is important to note that the three countries — namely Russia, Syria and Iran — have denied using chemical weapons when in fact all the pictures prove the contrary. If the United States and France strike military bases in Syria, the regime will not be deterred from continuing, along with Iranian and Russian support, to destroy the country and the region. The solution lies in reaching an American-Russian agreement over the new situation in Syria that guarantees a transition without Assad, but no one believes in the US policy because it is totally tilted in favor of Israel which has always sought to protect Assad’s rule. This does not give much room for optimism for the future of Syria. The solution remains problematic. Democracies will not militarily intervene to confront Iran and Russia, and hegemony will remain for the forces on the ground without a final solution.

Saudi Arabia, the US and political Islam
Ahmad al-Farraj/Al Arabiya/April 13/18
There is no doubt that political Islam movements, i.e. the Muslim Brotherhood and its affiliates like the Sururist movement, have been trying for decades to drive a wedge in relations between Gulf countries, especially Saudi Arabia, and the Western world more particularly the US.
Any reading of the literature of these organizations, dating back to the 1950s and 1960s, shows that they specialized in demonizing the US. This position is not drawn from any religious principle, but it is just a tool to worry the countries they belong to, including the Saudi kingdom, based on the conviction that these states’ presence depends on America’s support to them. This is all because political Islam’s main goal is to attain governance and remain in power for as long as possible. Today, these organizations feel defeated as they watch the revival of the Saudi-American alliance with its pristine glory. However, these groups continue to work through their select mediums, like the Al Jazeera television channel, to cause a rift in Saudi-American relations
Desperate attempts
We have all watched the desperate actions of these political Islam groups during the occupation of Kuwait in 1990. We all saw how the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and its branches everywhere supported Saddam Hussein’s occupation of Kuwait. They stood firm against the use of friendly forces to liberate the country from the tyranny of that abhorrent occupation that created a bleeding wound in the Arab world and caused devastation that we still suffer from to this day. The most active affiliates in this regard were the Muslim Brotherhood in the Gulf. Although the region overcame this high treason, these groups struck again through the September 11 attacks. These terror attacks were carried out by al-Qaeda, another offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood movement. The goal behind this attack was to break relations between Saudi Arabia and the US, but this plan was foiled thanks to a lot of effort and wisdom.
Political Islam groups celebrated a lot during the presidential term of Barack Obama who supported the project of enabling these organizations to rule the Arab world. This project was launched during President Bill Clinton’s term in the late 1990s through meetings between Muslim Brotherhood leaders, the most prominent of which was Khairat Al-Shater and some American politicians. This cooperation, between the group and the US, completely discredited the Brotherhood’s claim of being anti-American. Today, these organizations feel defeated as they watch the revival of the Saudi-American alliance with its pristine glory. However, these groups continue to work through their select mediums, like the Al Jazeera television channel and its subsidiaries known as Azmi cells, to cause a rift in Saudi-American relations. They will continue doing so as they know that such a rift is the only way to achieve their final goals. However, they are bound to fail, the same way their other attempts failed in the past.

Mohammed bin Salman and Sururism
Abdullah bin Bijad Al-Otaibi/Al Arabiya/April 13/18
During his milestone visit to the United States, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman gave a very important interview to Time magazine in which he described the followers of the Sururist Movement as “the most extreme” in the Middle East. He said they were “ahead a little bit within the Muslim Brotherhood,” adding “in our law they are criminals and whenever we have enough evidence against any one of them, they will face a court.”This interview was part of a series of media appearances by the prince at a number of American media outlets, where he candidly discussed extremist groups and combating extremism. Talking about Sururism and its extensive threat comes within a very important context. The new stance which Saudi Arabia and the UAE have adopted for years against these extremist groups has greatly evolved over the course of classifying these movements as terror groups, legally pursuing them and besieging the countries that support them
False dissociation
Sururism is a wide movement within what was known as the Islamic Awakening or ‘Sahwa’, and it is the most important ideological experiment that combines Salafism with the philosophy of the Muslim Brotherhood.
Sururism is attributed to Mohammed Surur Zine El Abidine, a Syrian national who became a dissident of the Muslim Brotherhood. Three others participated in this with him, Mohammed Qutb, Abdel Moneim Al-Azzi (also known as Mohammed Ahmed Al-Rashed) and Abdul Rahman Abdul Khaliq, but they failed, and he succeeded. I have previously written about this dangerous movement and conducted a research on the subject and published it in the first issue of the monthly Al Mesbar book in January 2007. I’ve also written plenty of articles on the matter. Other researchers have also discussed this topic. I will not repeat what’s been written then but I will quickly go over a few details.
Following in the tradition of lies and deceit of political Islam symbols, Mohammed Surur wrote in As-Sunnah Magazine (Issue Number 27, 1993), an article entitled Sururism, in which he refers to his earlier 10-year-long affiliation with the Muslim Brotherhood in Syria. He denied having anything to do with the name of the Sururist movement and repudiated it. He wrote: “What’s interesting is that some of my old friends, from the initial group, were the ones who invented this term which was taken on by their enemies.”
He denied the existence of this organization saying: “I do not know of a group called Sururist, and I was never in charge of any group.” However, years later, Surur said quite the exact opposite.
In an interview with well-known Muslim Brotherhood member Azzam Tamimi in his show ‘Muraja’at’ (third episode) which was aired on Al-Hiwar television channel on March 24, 2008, he retracted from his earlier position and acknowledged the existence of a group and a movement saying: “This movement started in Saudi Arabia, and its affiliates are not of one nationality.” He added that it is “real” and that it is “an organization and a movement.”
Differences with Muslim Brotherhood
Sururism is one of the Brotherhood's products, but it is more extreme in its discourse and practices. It greatly profited from post 1979 circumstances so it spread with an unprecedented level of influence especially in Saudi Arabia.
In another interview, Sa'ad Al-Faqih told Azzam Tamimi that the movement was established by Saudi figures and not by Mohammed Surur. Faqih, however, always interprets events according to what he believes while making statements, and not according to how they really happened.
The relation between Sururism and the Muslim Brotherhood in Saudi Arabia was characterized by its fluctuation between joint work and inter-party rivalry. They released “joint statements” to voice opposing political stances but they disagreed over political interests, as in the case of the 2005 municipal elections.
Considering the great resemblance between the two, there were great conflicts in the educational operation, charitable work as well as in the media. This is in addition to conflicts over acquisition of mosques and Qur’anic recitation sessions. Sururism and the Muslim Brotherhood are both dangerous, extremist takfirist groups that have the same aims as other terrorist and takfirist groups, such as al-Qaeda, ISIS, and Salafist jihadist movements.
However, they disagree with them over the “timing.” Finally, the new stance which Saudi Arabia and the UAE have adopted for years against these extremist groups has greatly evolved over the course of classifying these movements as terror groups, legally pursuing them and besieging the countries that support them.The future points to even more measures to restrain them.

Europe, Trump and the Iran Deal
Amir Taheri/Asharq Al Awsat/April 13/18
The so-called Iran nuclear deal, a witches’ brew concocted by that most deserving of Nobel peace laureates Barack Obama, has furnished the theme of many bizarre diplomatic twists and turns. The latest is an attempt by sections of the European Union to persuade President Donald Trump to renege on his campaign promise to improve or scrap the “deal.”During the past year, the EU’s foreign policy point-woman, Federica Mogherini has been collecting air-miles calling on world capitals, including Washington and Rangoon, to demand “commitment” to the “deal” as if this were an article of faith in an as-yet undefined religion. The retiring British Ambassador to Washington Sir Peter Westmacott has been granting interviews to Iranian media demanding kudos for having spent “much time and energy” trying to persuade the US to stick by the “deal”.
Outgoing German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel also boasts about having spent much energy in his final months in office “defending the deal” as a Crusading knight protecting a holy relic. And now is the turn of the French Ambassador to Washington, Gerard Araud, to launch a Twitter campaign to persuade the Trump administration to “honor” that most questionable item in Obama’s legacy.
Basically, the Europeans advance four arguments.
The first, advanced by Westmacott, is that discarding the “deal” could damage the credibility of “major powers”, that is to say Britain, France, Germany and the US that signed it along with China and Russia.
There are two troubles with that argument.
The first is that it assumes that any diplomatic deal should be treated like a Catholic marriage that one abides “till death do us part”. Such an assumption would mean the end of diplomacy as the art of responding to changing realities.
If we were to go by Mogherini’s or Westmacott’s “commitment” to an unchangeable “deal”, Britain and France should have never denounced the “peace accord” that Chamberlain signed in Munich in 1939.
However, the EU argument about “respecting signatures” has another problem because nobody signed anything.
The so-called Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) is no more than a press release stating a set of desirable moves by Iran and the P5+1 which, incidentally, didn’t include the EU as such. Moreover, there are significant differences between the JCPOA’s English and Persian versions, making various imaginative re-readings, a la Roland Barthes or Jacques Derrida, possible. Mogherini cannot claim respect for “signatures” which never happened and that, had they happened, would not have included the EU.
The second argument is that the “deal” is working and, thus, the dictum “if it ain’t broken why fix it” applies. That assumption is not borne out by facts.
Iran and the P5+1 have either tried to circumvent or have brazenly broken their promises. Sir Peter, the retired UK diplomat, certainly knows that his government, in violation of the “deal” still refuses to allow the Iranian Embassy to open a bank account in London. Nor has the UK government unfrozen more than $600 million in Iranian assets. The Germans and the French still refuse to issues export guarantees to firms seeking trade with Iran. Huge memorandums of understanding are signed but put on the back-burner as Iran remains subject to sanctions by the United Nations, the EU and US.
As for Russia, during an official visit to Iran last week, Chairman of Russia Duma Vyacheslav Volodin heard an avalanche of complaints.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has shown what he thinks of Iran, a supposed ally notably in Syria, by his recent treatment of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani in Ankara. At the end of a “summit” with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Rouhani demanded a two-some with Putin. The Russian consented to a brief standing encounter which lasted around eight minutes. The Tsar Vladimir had no time to sit down with the Iranian mullah for a cup of tea.
As for China, it says Iran could use its frozen assets, piled up through oil exports to the People’s Republic, only by buying Chinese goods.
Beijing even refuses to let the 3,000 or so Iranian students in China to receive their stipends through banks, forcing the embassy to send people around to distribute cash among the budding scholars. Ironically, the only P5+1 member that has partially complied with the “deal” is the US, including by Mafia-style smuggling of $1.7 billion cash to Tehran and the transfer of $700 million a month since August 2015. Iran, for its part, asserts that there has been no change in its nuclear project.
Earlier this month, spokesman for Iran Atomic Energy Agency Behruz Kamalvand told a press conference in Tehran that the Iran’s nuclear project was “going full speed ahead” with “new and more ambitious plans under preparation.”
More importantly, Iran has managed to block international inspection of key research and development centers by claiming they are military sites and thus off limits. Less than half of Iran’s enriched uranium stocks have been shipped abroad, along with 10 percent of plutonium accumulated at the Arak plant.
Last week, marking National Nuclear Day, Rouhani unveiled what he called “83 new nuclear projects” as slaps in the face of the American “Great Satan.”
Why should Mogherini or Araud beat their chests about a “deal” not honored by either side?
The ambassador advances one last argument: If you scrap the “deal” how could you be sure Iran will not go “full speed ahead” with its nuclear ambitions?
This is a casuistic argument: accept the bad for fear of getting the worse.
Since the JCPOA was unveiled Iran’s national currency has fallen by some 40 percent to an all-time low against foreign currencies, including the Iraqi dinar and the UAE dirham.
The Tehran government cannot regularly pay the salaries of its employees. Had it not been for the cash smuggled and funneled by Obama, the mullahs would have been unable to pay their military either. Right now, Tehran has difficulty bankrolling the Lebanese “Hezbollah” and paying the salaries of Bashar al-Assad’s regime forces and civil service.
So the Obama “deal”, as Trump said during his campaign, is a bad deal.
What Trump didn’t say was that the “deal” was bad, both for Iran and the rest of the world. Araud would do well to re-read what Laurent Fabius, then France’s Foreign Minister, said in 2015: “France will not accept a deal if it is not clear that inspections can be done at all Iranian installations ... We’ll accept a deal, but not any deal.”It was partly because of France’s refusal to give the JCPOA legal status by signing that the Obama “deal” was launched as an informal initiative. Interestingly, Araud who now campaigns for the “deal” was appointed by Fabius, who took care to have a pinch of salt about it.

European Immigration: Nuns Out, Terrorists In
Douglas Murray/Gatestone Institute/April 13/18
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/12148/europe-immigration-nuns-terrorists
When the same Home Office that forbade Sister Ban even to enter the country discovered that the young male Iraqi was in Britain, he explained clearly that he had been trained by ISIS. He told the Home Office officials that the group had trained him to kill. The Home Office promptly found him a place to live and study, and treated him as the minor he said he was but most likely was not. He subsequently told a teacher that he had "a duty to hate Britain".
Last year the Institute of St Anselm (a Catholic training institute for priests and nuns, based in Kent) closed its doors because of problems it had getting the Home Office to grant visa applications for foreign students. One nun last year was apparently denied entry to the UK because she did not have a personal bank account.
So, those who flee ISIS are turned away, while those who are trained by ISIS are welcome.
The behaviour of government departments in charge of immigration and asylum across Europe repeatedly demonstrate the truth of the late Robert Conquest's maxim -- his "third law of politics" -- that the simplest way to explain the behaviour of any bureaucratic organisation "is to assume that it is controlled by a cabal of its enemies".
Last week it was reported in the Catholic Herald that a nun who was driven out of the town of Qaraqosh, on the Nineveh plains in Iraq, has been forbidden to visit her ill sister in the United Kingdom. Sister Ban Madleen was among those Christians who were forced to flee the largest Christian town in the area when ISIS entered it in 2014. She was among the thousands of Christians who fled the approaching jihadists and found refuge in Iraqi Kurdistan. There, she set up kindergartens to look after the children of other refugees who had also sought sanctuary in the Kurdish areas. A letter, seen by the Catholic Herald, from the UK Visa and Immigration division at the UK Home Office, stated that Sister Ban had not given evidence of her earnings as a kindergarten principal or shown enough evidence that her order of nuns would fund her visit.
The UK Home Office noted that Sister Ban had previously travelled to the UK and had on those occasions always complied with the terms of her visa. However, the Home Office pointed out that her visa was issued seven years ago, in 2011, and noted her lack of recent travel to the UK. It shows no understanding of why her recent travel might have been limited. Such as the possibility that events such as the rise of ISIS, the attempted annihilation of Iraq's Christian community and that community's quasi-Biblical flight to safety in the Kurdish regions might explain the nun's otherwise inexplicable absence from the UK?
In any event, the letter claims that for these reasons, the UK authorities are not satisfied that Sister Ban's appeal to visit her sick sister is genuine. Therefore, she is denied entry, with "no right of appeal or right to administrative review."
Perhaps Sister Ban made an elementary mistake. Instead of the nun telling the UK authorities that she had fled ISIS and been looking after refugees since her last visit to Britain she should have told the UK authorities that she had spent the interim period joining ISIS, being trained by them to kill, and that she had also learned how to hate Britain. If she had done this, then perhaps she would now be settling into life in the UK.
After all that is what Ahmed Hassan told the UK authorities after he entered the country illegally in 2015. When the same Home Office that forbade Sister Ban even to enter the country discovered that the young male Iraqi was in the UK, he explained clearly that he had been trained by ISIS. He told the Home Office officials that the group had trained him to kill. The Home Office promptly found him a place to live and study, and treated him as the minor he said he was but most likely was not. He subsequently told a teacher that he had "a duty to hate Britain". Last September, he stepped onto the District line and planted a bomb that failed to detonate fully, but which -- if it had gone off -- would have killed many dozens of commuters (including children) on the London Underground.
How does the UK Home Office find it impossible to give a temporary visa for a nun who fled ISIS, yet give every possible provision to an illegal migrant who has been trained by ISIS to kill in Britain?
Christian charities who have monitored the decision-making processes of the UK Home Office have prior experience of this bizarre process. Sister Ban is just one of a number of Christians who have found the UK authorities reluctant to permit them entry to the UK. According to Father Benedict Kiely (the founder of Nasarean.org: an organisation which helps persecuted Christians in the Middle East), the UK authorities have twice refused to issue a visa to another Dominican nun who has a PhD in Biblical Theology. Last year the Institute of St Anselm (a Catholic training institute for priests and nuns, based in Kent) closed its doors because of problems it had getting the Home Office to grant visa applications for foreign students. One nun last year was apparently denied entry to the UK because she did not have a personal bank account. And a year earlier -- in December 2016 -- three archbishops from Iraq and Syria were denied entry into Britain. They had been invited to the UK for the consecration of London's first Syriac Orthodox Cathedral – an event that was attended by Prince Charles. So, those who flee ISIS are turned away, while those who are trained by ISIS are welcome.
It is not just that the British immigration system -- and immigration systems across Europe -- seem to be controlled by a cabal of their enemies. They seem to be controlled by a cabal of people who are opposed to European nations having any suitable compassion, common sense or even an instinct for survival.
**Douglas Murray, British author, commentator and public affairs analyst, is based in London, England. His latest book, an international best-seller, is "The Strange Death of Europe: Immigration, Identity, Islam."
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