LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
October 23/2019
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.october23.19.htm

News Bulletin Achieves Since 2006
Click Here to enter the LCCC Arabic/English news bulletins Achieves since 2006

Bible Quotations For today
All who exalt themselves will be humbled, but all who humble themselves will be exalted
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Luke 18/09-14/:”Jesus also told this parable to some who trusted in themselves that they were righteous and regarded others with contempt: ‘Two men went up to the temple to pray, one a Pharisee and the other a tax-collector. The Pharisee, standing by himself, was praying thus, “God, I thank you that I am not like other people: thieves, rogues, adulterers, or even like this tax-collector. I fast twice a week; I give a tenth of all my income.”But the tax-collector, standing far off, would not even look up to heaven, but was beating his breast and saying, “God, be merciful to me, a sinner!”I tell you, this man went down to his home justified rather than the other; for all who exalt themselves will be humbled, but all who humble themselves will be exalted.’”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News published on October 22-23/2019
No Solutions In Lebanon As Long As it Remains Occupied By Hezbollah
Independent Secular government
Hariri Eyes 'Very Positive' Donor Response to Reforms
France gives tentative nod to Lebanese government over reforms
PM’s office says foreign governments back Lebanon reform goals
ISG Backs Hariri's Reforms, People's Right to Democratic Expression
Paris Urges Respect for Lebanese Right to Protest, Encourages Reforms
Western Countries Praise Lebanese Protests
Lebanese Keep Up Protests as Jumblat Downplays Proposed Reforms as 'Weak Drugs'
Army Says ‘Impostor Cleric’ Held for Distributing Money to Protesters
Shehayyeb Reverses Decision on Reopening of Educational Institutes
Berri: Govt. Should Have Paralleled Plan with Immediate Reforms
Report: Nasrallah Met Khalil Sunday
Lebanese Protesters Sing Into the Night, Unsatisfied With New Economic Reforms
Army Stops ‘Provocative’ Hizbullah, AMAL Flag Bearers on Motorbikes
Popular Revolt Puts Hizbullah under Rare Street Pressure
Lebanon, Chile, Algeria, Hong Kong: The Planet in Revolt
From the virtual world to the real world: How Lebanese youth’s online revolution powered street protests
Argentina Designates Hezbollah a Terror Group
Lebanon’s leaders under siege from people power

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on October 22-23/2019
Putin obliges Erdogan to call off Turkey’s operation against the Kurds in NE Syria
Putin says talks with Erdogan have yielded ‘momentous’ results for Syria
Turkey says ‘no need’ to restart Syria offensive after deadline expires
US troops exiting Syria to stay ‘temporarily’ in Iraq: Pentagon chief
Russia defense minister: 500 militants have escaped in Syria
Turkey replaces four more pro-Kurdish mayors as crackdown widens
Two Iraqi police commanders, four others killed in militant attack: Sources
SDF informed US they fulfilled obligations under ceasefire: US official
UN: Over 176,000 displaced by Turkish offensive in northeast Syria
Syria’s Assad visits Idlib front line: Presidency
Pompeo says too early to judge Syria success
Netanyahu rival Gantz to be named Wednesday to try to form Israeli government
Iran’s army will stand up against aggression: Iranian military chief
UK removes advisory against flying to Egypt’s Sharm el Sheikh

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on October 22-23/2019
No Solutions In Lebanon As Long As it Remains Occupied By Hezbollah/Elias Bejjani/October 20/2019
Urgent Prayer Request from Heart for Lebanon.org for their Christian work with the growing numbers of Syrian refugees pouring into Lebanon/jackiskeels/October 20/2019
Independent Secular government/Roger Bejjani/October 22/2019
Popular Revolt Puts Hizbullah under Rare Street Pressure/Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 22/2019
Lebanon, Chile, Algeria, Hong Kong: The Planet in Revolt/Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 22/2019
From the virtual world to the real world: How Lebanese youth’s online revolution powered street protests/Najla Houssari/Arab News/October 22, 2019
Argentina Designates Hezbollah a Terror Group/Luis Petri/Gatestone Institute/October 22/2019
Lebanon’s leaders under siege from people power/Osama Al-Sharif/Arab News/October 22/2019
Putin obliges Erdogan to call off Turkey’s operation against the Kurds in NE Syria/DebkaFile/October 22/2019
Emmanuel Macron Can’t Save Boris Johnson/Lionel Laurent/Bloomberg/October, 22/2019
Why Hamas Supports Erdogan's War/Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/October 22/2019
Turkey's New 'Bashibazouks': The Free Syrian Army/Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/October 22/2019
A warm handshake with history/Naif bin Marzouq Al-Fahadi/Arab News/October 22/2019
How will Ecuador force majeure impact US West Coast Refineries?/Faisal Faeq/Arab News/October 22/2019
 

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News published on October 22-23/2019
No Solutions In Lebanon As Long As it Remains Occupied By Hezbollah
Elias Bejjani/October 20/2019
لا حلول في ظل احتلال وإرهاب حزب الله
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/79665/elias-bejjani-no-solutions-in-lebanon-as-long-as-it-remains-occupied-by-hezbollah-%d9%84%d8%a7-%d8%ad%d9%84%d9%88%d9%84-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d8%b8%d9%84-%d8%a7%d8%ad%d8%aa%d9%84%d8%a7%d9%84-%d9%88%d8%a5/

Lebanese angry Citizens from all walks of life, from all the country’s diversified religious denominations, and from all Lebanese geographical areas are taking place in both the demonstrations and sit-ins.
The peoples’ demands are very basic and all are legitimate.
They want a decent life, in a decent country, that is not occupied by the terrorist Hezbollah, free, independent, democratic and where the law prevails.
They want the rulers as well as the politicians to be public servants and not thieves, terrorists, Trojans and dictators.
Hopefully promising patriotic leaders, qualified activists and politicians will emerge as soon as possible to lead the peaceful protests before the terrorist Hezbollah and the Trojan rotten political parties’ leader and puppet officials abort it.
Meanwhile, the Hezbollah Iranian armed militia is the cancer that has been systematically and evilly devouring Lebanon the land of the Holy Cedars piece by piece since 1982, and oppressing its people in a bid to subdue them and kill their lust and love for freedom.
Because of the Hezbollah savage occupation, No solution is currently possible what so ever in Lebanon for any social or economic crisis in any domain and on any level for any problem being big or small while the country remains under its Iranian and terrorist occupation.
Those rotten and Trojan politicians and political parties’ leaders who are calling for a new government are cowardly and sadly keeping a blind eye on the Hezbollah devastating occupation which is the actual problem.
Because they are opportunist and mere merchants they are knowingly ignoring the real and actual problem which is the occupation, and in a shameful Dhimmitude stance are appeasing and cajoling the criminal occupier for power gains on the account of the country’s people, stabilty, world wide relations, sovereignty, independence and freedom.
Lebanon needs to be freed from the Hezbollah Iranian occupation, and at the same from all its mercenary politicians, officials and political parties’ chiefs.
Liberation of occupied Lebanon urgently requires that the Lebanese free politicians and leaders call on the UN and on the Free world countries to help in implementing all the clauses of the two UN resolutions 1559 and 1701.
From our Diaspora, we hail and command the courageous and patriotic Lebanese citizens who are bravely involved in the current ongoing demonstrations and sit-ins.
May Almighty God bless, safeguard Lebanon and grant its oppressed people the power and will to free their country and reclaim it back from Hezbollah, the Iranian terrorist Occupier.

Urgent Prayer Request from Heart for Lebanon.org for their Christian work with the growing numbers of Syrian refugees pouring into Lebanon

jackiskeels@aol.com/October 20/2019
Subject: Urgent Prayer Request
As you have been reading and viewing on the news, the Near East has two major events taking place today. Since last Thursday, the people of Lebanon have been demonstrating. They would like to see a new government formed to deal with the economic crisis that is driven in part by the refugee crisis. The protests have spread across the country. Banks are closed and the main labor union is on strike, fuel and other supplies are in short supply.
Therefore, today we have decided to postpone the formal dedication of our new Hope Ministry Center – Bekaa in light of the current situation. This decision has been made out of an abundance of caution and due to the significant logistical issues, that are being experienced throughout the country.
You have also been hearing and seeing the images of the Kurds leaving Northern Syria. While accurate numbers are hard to come by, between 180 to 250 thousand Kurdish people are on the run. Who knows where they will end up, some will most likely come to Lebanon. A cease fire is in place for a few more hours which will allow more Kurds to leave Northern Syria.
Today we are working with 95 Kurdish families under our Holistic Family Ministry. All of them are in our Bible Study program and in our Worship Gatherings. The children are all being served under our Hope on Wheels ministry. We have the indigenous team ready and with the new Hope Ministry Center - Bekaa on line we have the capacity to help many more as they come into Lebanon.
Join us in a conference call for a time of prayer and updates from Lebanon on Thursday, the 24th, at 4:00 pm (EDT). Conference Call # (515) 606-5333 and passcode: 212244 ~ www.HeartforLebanon.org
Pray for the necessary financial investments to come in so we can show the love of Jesus Christ to those who are living in despair. (Invest here)
On behalf of our entire team thank you so much for your prayers.

Independent Secular government
Roger Bejjani/October 22/2019
Principles and action plan of such a government:
1. Free the judicial system for accountability through a rigorous independent prosecution mechanism (maybe a new independent prosecution task force).
Refer to cases to be investigated.
2. Engage the international community for a medium term bailing out (cedre).
3. New electoral law based on the uninominal circumscription with no parity and no sectarian consideration.
4. Early elections based on the new law.
5. Restrict bank cash withdrawals of over USD 5000 a day and USD 15000 a month per individual and transfers abroad to be justifiable and pre-approved.
6. Make USD invoicing and salaries illegal.
7. Maintain the USD/LBP exchange rate at LBP 1550 for the USD.
8. Reduce the interest rate to a 5% on the USD max and 7% on LBP irrespective of the deposited amount.
9. Trim the administration and send home 25,000 between civil servants and professors. Compensate them with a generous indemnity.
10. Re-activate Kafalat boosting small and medium businesses.
11. Seriously address the environment challenges.
12. Implement a smart not populist waste management strategy.
13. Secure freedom of speech and expression.
14. Adopt Hariri’s budget of 2020 and up-date it.
15. Breaking the parity principle and adopting solely the meritocratic system.
16. Cut all ties between the political system and the various sects. Including the monetary ones.
CASES TO BE INVESTIGATED
1. Kahraba. The main sources of expenditures and the number 1 reason of the debt. Hundreds of millions of USD are suspected to have been derived to political figures and the Syrian occupiers.
2. The various financial and monetary engineering that have taken place since 1994 until today. It is suspected that those engineering have generated abnormally high profits to certain individuals.
3. Sukleen. It is suspected that Sukleen used to pay for favoritism to certain political leaders in various forms.
4. The political employment of unneeded civil servants and professors by political leaders rewarding at the state expenditures their political clientele.
Other cases. But those 4 files would represent the major areas that in the one hand have caused our public debt and on the other hand where corruption and/or abuse of power may have taken place.

Hariri Eyes 'Very Positive' Donor Response to Reforms
Agence France Presse/Associated Press/Naharnet/October 22/2019
Prime Minister Saad Hariri started meeting foreign envoys Tuesday, his adviser said, adding that he expected a very positive response to the cabinet's adoption of major economic reforms. Senior adviser Nadim Munla said Hariri had begun a series of meetings with key ambassadors in Beirut, six days into a mass anti-government protest movement, which has drawn muted reactions from Lebanon's top foreign allies. "We believe, after the announcement of the decisions of the cabinet yesterday, that we're going to get very positive reactions from them," Munla told reporters.
"This has been the main demand by most of the members of the international community," he added. On Monday, Hariri announced that his fractious cabinet had agreed on wide-ranging economic measures, including a 2020 budget and a number of key reforms. Elements of the reforms had been blocked by some of Hariri's governing partners, but Munla said pressure from the unprecedented protests had helped push them through.
The reform package includes a privatization program and debt reduction drive that aim to reassure donors and allow for the disbursement of a huge aid package approved in Paris last year. Munla also said he hoped the package announced Monday would "lead to some positive reactions on the market."The reforms also included a series of measures designed to fight rampant corruption, one of the main grievances of the hundreds of thousands of people demonstrating since last week. But the protesters dismissed the new measures as insufficient and a desperate move by the political class to save their jobs.
Munla said a new anti-graft law was being drafted and that suggestions made by civil society would be included in the bill. "The pressure that has been manifested over the last days and possibly weeks, personally, I believe it's irreversible and it's going to lead to very concrete laws," he said. President Michel Aoun has said that he was in favor of lifting banking secrecy on the accounts of ministers.
"I think they (ministers) are going to respond, what I have seen, is that there is a movement in that direction," Munla said. He added that a cabinet reshuffle was not ruled out, saying, "I think this will be determined in the coming few days. It is one of the options." Munla said restoring the people's confidence in their government "is not going to be an easy job. It's going to be an uphill battle."He added that international companies like Siemens, General Electric or Mitsubishi will have a two-month window to make bids for constructing new power stations, with the winning bid announced two months later.
He said the plants -- which will take years to build -- should increase Lebanon's power production by 1,000 megawatts by mid-2020. Lebanon currently produces about 2,000 megawatts, while its peak demand is nearly 3,500 megawatts. Residents rely on private generators to cover the deficit.
From 2007 until 2010, Lebanon's economy grew at an average of 9% annually. But it hit a major downturn in 2011, when a political crisis brought down the government and the uprising in neighboring Syria stoked unrest among Lebanese factions. Since then, growth has averaged a mere 1.5%, according to government estimates. Munla said there will be no economic growth in 2020. Nearly three decades after the end of the 1975-1990 civil war, Lebanon still experiences frequent cutoffs of water and electricity. With public transport networks virtually non-existent, its aging roads are clogged with traffic. Chronic problems with waste management have sparked mass protests in recent years.

France gives tentative nod to Lebanese government over reforms
Reuters, Paris/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
France said on Tuesday that it was encouraging the Lebanese government to push ahead with the necessary reforms to restore the economy and that it remained committed to putting into action decisions made at a donor’s conference last year.
Lebanon’s Cabinet on Monday approved an emergency reform package in a bid to defuse the biggest protests the country has seen in decades and help unlock billions pledged in Paris last year. “France is attentive to the latest developments in Lebanon. It calls for the preservation of the peaceful nature of the protests and the strict respect of the rights of all Lebanese to protest,” Foreign ministry spokeswoman Agnes von Der Muhll said in a statement. “It renews its encouragement to the Lebanese government to carry out the necessary reforms to enable the restoration of the Lebanese economy and the provision of public services by the State, for the direct benefit of all Lebanese citizens,” she said. Lebanon, which has been battered by eight years of war in neighboring Syria and is hosting more than a million Syrian refugees, wants the funds for investment to overhaul its infrastructure and lift dwindling economic growth. Donors in turn want to see Lebanon commit to long-stalled reforms and work to curb corruption. “France stands alongside Lebanon. It is in this perspective that we are committed, with our international partners, to the rapid implementation of the decisions taken at the CEDRE conference in Paris in April 2018,” von der Muhll said. She made no specific reference to the decisions announced by the Lebanese government on Monday.

PM’s office says foreign governments back Lebanon reform goals
Reuters, Beirut/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
Foreign governments backed the Lebanese government’s reform targets on Tuesday, Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s office cited the country’s UN coordinator Jan Kubis as saying. Hariri met ambassadors including from the United States, Russia, China, the European Union and the Arab league, his
office said. They urged Lebanon to address the demands of protesters, refrain from using violence against them, and work to curb corruption, it said. Protesters gathered in Riad al-Solh Square in Beirut on Tuesday as nationwide demonstrations in Lebanon continued for the sixth day. Reforms announced by Lebanon’s government are expected to get a “very positive” reaction from foreign donors and send a clear message that the country is handling its budget deficit, senior government adviser Nadim Munla said earlier on Tuesday.

ISG Backs Hariri's Reforms, People's Right to Democratic Expression
Naharnet/October 22/2019
Prime Minister Saad Hariri held talks Tuesday at the Grand Serail with the International Support Group for Lebanon, which included the ambassadors of the U.S., Russia, France, the UK, Germany, Italy, and the EU as well as the Chinese charge d’affaires the U.N. Special Coordinator for Lebanon, and the Arab League representative. “Prime Minister Hariri informed the ambassadors about the serious reform overdue measures taken yesterday by the government, be it as a part of the draft 2020 budget to be adopted within the constitutional deadline, or outside the budget,” an English-language statement released by Hariri’s office quoted U.N. Special Coordinator Jan Kubis as saying after the meeting. “Hariri reiterated that these and other envisaged measures are just first steps. He credited the consensus in government around them to the men and women that have in the past days protested for their national dignity, restoring national identity and putting it above the sectarian or confessional identity,” Kubis added. He said Hariri reconfirmed that these measures are not meant to ask the protesters to “stop expressing anger” as that is “a decision that only they can take.”“If early parliamentary elections are their demand, it is only their voice to decide,” the statement quoted Hariri as telling Kubis. “He also confirmed that the government will not allow anyone to threaten the protesters and that the state has the duty to protect the peaceful expression of legitimate demands,” Kubis added. He said the International Support Group expressed its support for the reform objectives that Hariri has outlined and the decisions endorsed by the cabinet, which are “in line with the aspirations of the Lebanese people.”The ISG applauds “the democratic expression of the Lebanese people and their calls for just, social, responsible and acceptable deep reforms and changes that should substantially reduce corruption and waste (of public funds) and move away from sectarianism and should put government in full accountability and lead to sustainable development and stability. Their grievances must be addressed,” Kubis added, according to the statement issued by Hariri’s office. “The ISG welcomes the largely responsible behavior of the Internal Security Forces and the Lebanese Armed Forces that notably since Saturday have respected people’s right to peaceful protest,” the U.N. official said. “It takes note of Prime Minster Hariri’s commitment that the government and its legitimate security forces will continue providing protection to peaceful demonstrating civilians while taking appropriate action against possible instigators of violence, in protection of public and private property and institutions and right of people to peacefully express their opinion,” Kubis went on to say. He said the ISG urges the leaders and political actors of Lebanon to “listen to the legitimate demands of the people, to work with them on solutions and their implementation and to refrain from rhetoric and actions that could inflame tensions and incite confrontation and violence.”“The ISG reiterates its strong support for Lebanon and its people, for its territorial integrity, sovereignty and political independence,” Kubis added.Hariri had earlier met with the French Ambassador Bruno Foucher, the Russian Ambassador Alexander Zasypkin and the Ambassador of the United Kingdom Chris Rampling.`

Paris Urges Respect for Lebanese Right to Protest, Encourages Reforms

Associated Press/Naharnet/October 22/2019
France's Foreign Ministry said in a statement Tuesday that Paris is closely following the developments in Lebanon, adding that the protests should remain peaceful and the right of Lebanese to protest should be respected. It said France encourages the Lebanese government to carry out reforms in order for the CEDRE conference resolutions to be implemented. France, Lebanon's former colonial ruler, remains a major player in Lebanese politics. Embattled Prime Minister Saad Hariri sought international support Tuesday for economic reforms announced a day earlier, which were intended to pacify massive protests calling for his government to resign. Hariri hopes the reform package will increase foreign investments and help Lebanon's struggling economy. But the nationwide demonstrations that began last week only grew larger Monday after the reforms were announced, with protesters dismissing them as more of the same "empty promises" seen in past decades that never materialized. Lebanon's biggest demonstrations in 15 years have unified an often-divided public in their revolt against status-quo leaders who have ruled for three decades and brought the economy to the brink of disaster. Rampant corruption has also hollowed out the country's infrastructure and basic services. In downtown Beirut, thousands of protesters were digging for a sixth day of demonstrations, insisting Hariri's government resign. Scores of other protesters held a sit-in outside the central bank, while protests in other cities and town continued as well.Hariri held meetings Tuesday with ambassadors from the U.S., Russia, China, the European Union and the 22-member Arab League to explain the reform package. "These measures are only the first step," Hariri told the envoys, as quoted in a statement released by his office. He said the package came after being "unanimously agreed upon by the government because of the young men and women who demonstrated over the past days for the sake of national dignity."

Western Countries Praise Lebanese Protests
Beirut - Khalil Fleihan/Asharq Al Awsat/October 22/2019
Western countries did not evacuate their nationals from Lebanon over recent anti-government protests because their security assessments concluded that the popular movement did not pose a threat to their diplomats or individuals working in private firms. The embassies, such as the United States mission, only advised nationals to avoid protest areas and others perceived as dangerous. Asharq Al-Awsat learned that security officials at a number of western embassies, including the great powers, considered that this movement does not jeopardize their diplomats or nationals. During five days of protests, no heavy weapons were used, in contrast to the civil war when embassies had to evacuate their staff and nationals.Two acts of violence were witnessed over the past five days when former MP Misbah al-Ahdab’s bodyguards accidentally opened fire in the northern city of Tripoli. The second saw a scuffle erupt between Minister Akram Shehayyeb’s bodyguards and protesters in Beirut. An ambassador of a major power revealed that he formed a cell to monitor the popular protests in all regions. Observers noted the understanding position of security forces and the military in dealing with the demonstrators. They have tolerated some rioters, such as those who threw rocks and empty bottles at them. The violence ultimately left 57 soldiers wounded. Riot police have not been forced to take any action. The ambassador said the protest slogans revealed that the Lebanese people have moved on past sectarian divisions and are seeking to eliminate any sectarian chants and are only carrying the Lebanese flag, not political ones. A European country ambassador said the movement was calm and civil and that its positives outweigh the negatives. Western diplomatic circles also hailed Prime Minister Saad Hariri for stressing that the security forces were protecting the protesters.

Lebanese Keep Up Protests as Jumblat Downplays Proposed Reforms as 'Weak Drugs'
Associated Press/Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 22/2019
Tens of thousands of Lebanese protesters kept the country on lockdown on Tuesday, rallying for a sixth consecutive day to demand new leaders despite the government's adoption of an emergency economic rescue plan. Demonstrations initially sparked by a proposed tax on WhatsApp and other messaging apps quickly grew into an unprecedented cross-sectarian street mobilization against the political class. The movement has spread to all major cities and into Lebanon's vast diaspora. The cabinet was spurred into passing wide-ranging economic reforms on Monday, but the move failed to win over protesters, who now seem bent on removing the entire political elite, which they see as corrupt. Tuesday's protests initially seemed smaller than on previous days, but they swelled in the afternoon, with thousands gathering in central Beirut. Protester Abdel Amir Ramadan, a 73-year-old from Beirut's southern suburbs, lamented the state of the country. "Lebanon used to be the Paris of the Middle East. Now it's the dumping ground of the Middle East," he said. He was unconvinced by the government’s rescue plan, announced on Monday by Prime Minister Saad Hariri. "They have been in power for years, why did they just wake up to these reforms now?" Ramadan asked. "Today, the decisions are not in their hands. They are in the hands of the people."Among the measures were a 2020 budget meant to bring the deficit down to 0.63 percent of GDP, without new taxes, along with a privatization program and projects to support the underprivileged. The agreed reforms will also halve the salaries of current and former lawmakers and ministers.
'Let the banks pay'
A couple of dozen demonstrators shouted slogans in front of the central bank on Tuesday, despite the premier's announcement. "Down with the rule of the central bank. We won't pay the taxes. Let the banks pay them," they chanted. Heiko Wimmen, analyst with the International Crisis Group, said it appeared Monday's measures were not enough. "These mostly technical solutions may put the country on a sounder fiscal footing, but they appear inadequate to the challenge of the protests, which now demand broader, systemic change," he said. The country's main parties, including those of President Michel Aoun and the powerful Iran-backed Hizbullah, have warned of a political vacuum and supported the reform package. Hariri met top ambassadors in Beirut Tuesday, hoping to restore confidence that Lebanon can handle its ballooning debt and unlock a huge aid package approved in Paris last year.
"We believe, after the announcement of the decisions of the cabinet yesterday, that we're going to get very positive reactions" from the international community," senior Hariri adviser Nadim Munla told reporters. Lebanon's economy has been sliding closer to the abyss in recent months, with public debt soaring past 150 percent of GDP and ratings agencies grading Lebanese sovereign bonds as "junk." Fears of a default have compounded the worries of Lebanese citizens exasperated by the poor quality of public services.Residents suffer daily electricity shortages and unclean water.
'Only chance'
On Tuesday morning, the Lebanese Army was trying to reopen a number of major roads that have been blocked by demonstrators for days, the state-run National News Agency reported. In Beirut, volunteers cleaned up streets after euphoric crowds partied deep into the night on Monday, dancing to impromptu concerts and DJ sets. It is unclear how long protests will last, but banks said they would remain closed on Wednesday, having shuttered last week as the demonstrations gained momentum. Given the size of the gatherings, the six-day-old mobilization has been remarkably incident-free, with armies of volunteers providing water to protesters and organizing first aid tents. Hariri seemed aware that the measures he announced would not quench the people's thirst for change, telling protestors on Monday the plan was not simply a "trade-off" to get people off the streets. Lebanon fought a devastating 15-year civil war that ended in 1990 and many of the country's politicians today were formerly warlords fighting along sectarian lines in the conflict. Outside of Lebanon, expats in Europe, the United States and Africa staged sit-ins and demonstrations in solidarity. In Beirut, Mounir Malaeb, an elderly man from the southern city of Tyre who came to the capital to join the rallies, said the protest movement was "the only chance the people have." "If we give the government another chance, we would be crazy," he said. "We have been giving them chances since the 1990s."Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblat, a powerful politician who has representatives in the government, criticized the reforms as "weak drugs" that aim to buy time.

Army Says ‘Impostor Cleric’ Held for Distributing Money to Protesters
Naharnet/October 22/2019
A man claiming to be a Shiite Muslim cleric has been arrested for distributing money to protesters in downtown Beirut, the army said on Tuesday. “A force from the Intelligence Directorate arrested Mohammed Ali Tarshishi for claiming to be a cleric and distributing money of an unknown source to protesters in the city of Beirut,” an army statement said.“The detainee is being interrogated under the supervision of the competent judicial authorities,” the military added.The man had appeared in videos circulated on Monday.

Shehayyeb Reverses Decision on Reopening of Educational Institutes

Naharnet/October 22/2019
Education Minister Akram Shehayyeb on Tuesday backpedaled on a decision for the reopening of educational institutes, as massive and unprecedented protests that have brought the country to a standstill continued for a sixth day. "Due to the continued blocking of roads, the minister of education and higher education announces the closure tomorrow, Wednesday and until further notice of public and private schools, secondary schools and vocational institutes," a statement said. The minister had earlier called on educational institutions to resume classes Wednesday morning "out of keenness on students' interest and the academic year."Shehayyeb later clarified that his decision does not have a "political motive" and is not aimed at harming the popular protests. The country's catholic and evangelical schools and the Saint Joseph University had announced that they will close Wednesday despite the minister's previous call for the resumption of classes. Groups of Lebanese University students taking part in the protests had also announced that they would not attend classes. A group of faculty members at the American University of Beirut meanwhile called for a strike, saying there is a need to “align with the broader demands of the masses.”“Any return to normalcy is a counter political act of ‘doing business as usual’ whereas in the country we have large scale social mobilization and strikes across different sectors,” they said in a statement.

Berri: Govt. Should Have Paralleled Plan with Immediate Reforms
Naharnet/October 22/2019
Speaker Nabih Berri was “satisfied” with the emergency plan approved by the government a day earlier, but stressed the need to parallel it with actual “immediate” measures, al-Joumhouria daily reported on Tuesday. However, the Speaker noted that a series of immediate reforms should have been placed along with the Cabinet’s statement. He also stressed the need to launch the National Commission for the Abolition of Political Sectarianism, “this step is urgently needed in order to reach the civil state,” he was quoted as saying “it is the solution to all the Lebanese suffering.”
Lebanon's cabinet Monday approved a raft of economic reforms and agreed on the 2020 budget, Prime Minister Saad Hariri said, after growing protests that fueled calls for his government's resignation. The premier told a televised press conference after a cabinet meeting that the measures, including a halving of salaries of MPs and ministers, were not merely an attempt to quell the demonstrations, in which the political class has been the main target. The protests which started five days earlier over tax hikes have evolved into an unprecedented push to remove Lebanon's entire political leadership.

Report: Nasrallah Met Khalil Sunday
Naharnet/October 22/2019
A three-hour meeting was reportedly held Sunday between Hizbullah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and AMAL Movement Minister of Finance Ali Hassan Khalil in the presence of Hajj Hussein Khalil, political assistant to Nasrallah, al-Joumhouria daily reported on Tuesday. According to the daily, discussions tackled the latest developments and the swelling protest movement seeking the removal of the entire political class. The two reportedly discussed the economic rescue plan prepared by Prime Minister Saad Hariri. According to information, Nasrallah made some observations about the paper and that he approached it “positively.”

Lebanese Protesters Sing Into the Night, Unsatisfied With New Economic Reforms
Reuters/October 22/2019
Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri says new reforms meant to work toward protesters' demands but some of Lebanon's dollar-denominated bound dropped to record lows. Lebanon approved an emergency reform package on Monday in response to protests over dire economic conditions, but the moves did not persuade demonstrators to leave the streets or investors to halt a plunge in its bonds. Protesters sang into the night in Beirut and continued to demonstrate in other parts of the country. Hundreds of thousands of people have flooded the streets since Thursday, furious at a political class they accuse of pushing the economy to the point of collapse. Roads were blocked for a fifth day across the country. Schools, banks and businesses were closed, and the banks are expected to remain shut on Tuesday. Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri, in a televised speech, said the new measures might not meet the protesters' demands but were a start towards achieving some of them. But despite the reforms, Lebanon's dollar-denominated bounds suffered hefty losses on Monday following sharp drops on Friday. Some sank to record lows. Investors said the turmoil showed Lebanon was running out of time to fix its economic problems. The protests have been extraordinary because of their size and geographic reach in a country where political movements are normally divided on sectarian lines and struggle to draw nationwide appeal.

Army Stops ‘Provocative’ Hizbullah, AMAL Flag Bearers on Motorbikes
Naharnet/October 22/2019
The Lebanese Army cracked down on Hizbullah and AMAL Movement supporters on motorbikes as they aggressively roamed some streets in Beirut carrying the parties’ flags and shouting insults against what they called “the revolution.”The motorbikes on Monday evening tried to terrorize and provoke the protesters in downtown Beirut and infiltrate their ranks but the army prevented them. Protesters meanwhile vowed to resist any attempt to scare them from peaceful protests by anybody. The army upped security measures on all the roads leading to Beirut’s Riad al-Solh Square where protest movements are swelling seeking the removal of the entire political class. The motorbikes have reportedly “returned to Beirut’s southern suburbs” after roaming the capital’s streets. The National News Agency said the motorbikes passed through the Ras al-Nabaa, Verdun and Tariq al-Jedideh areas.
Video footage meanwhile showed them passing outside Speaker Nabih Berri’s headquarters in Ain el-Tineh while shouting loyalist slogans.

Popular Revolt Puts Hizbullah under Rare Street Pressure
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 22/2019
When mass anti-government protests engulfed Lebanon, a taboo was broken as strongholds of Hizbullah saw rare demonstrations criticizing the party and revered leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah. On live TV and in protest sites, citizens accused the party of providing political cover for a corrupt government that they say has robbed people of their livelihoods. This shattered the myth of absolute acquiesence among Hizbullah's popular base, baffling even those who hail from the movement's strongholds. "No one ever expected that in any of these areas in south Lebanon we would hear a single word against Nasrallah," or AMAL Movement leader Nabih Berri, said Sara, a 32-year-old activist who participated in protests in the southern city of Nabatiyeh. "It's unbelievable," the activist added, asking to use a pseudonym due to security concerns. The popular Iran-backed movement is a major political player that took 13 seats in the country's May 2018 parliamentary elections and secured three cabinet posts. It helped its Christian ally Michel Aoun assume the presidency in 2016 and has since backed his government despite popular dissatisfaction that peaked last week following protests over taxes, corruption and dire economic conditions. South Lebanon -- a bastion of the powerful Shiite movement since the group liberated the region from Israeli occupation in 2000 -- was not spared.
Protests have been reported in the cities of Nabatiyeh, Bint Jbeil, and Tyre, where Hizbullah and its political affiliate the AMAL Movement hold sway.
With the exception of Tyre, they were not as big as other parts of the country. But "the novelty here is that some of these protesters are party loyalists," said Sara. "They support Hizbullah, but they are suffocating."Among his supporters, Nasrallah is revered as an icon, with his pictures inundating highways, shops and homes. In the past, his followers have mobilized against anyone who tried to criticize him, often ostracizing opponents as supporters of rival Israel.
'The resistance'
But anti-government protests that started in Beirut on October 17 and quickly spread across the country left no politician unscathed, not even the Hizbullah leader. "All of them means all of them, Nasrallah is one of them," protesters chanted in Beirut. Criticism of Nasrallah even aired on the Hizbullah-run Al-Manar TV, in a scene that was previously unfathomable for watchers of the movement's media arm. In a live interview from central Beirut, one protester urged Nasrallah to "look after his people in Lebanon" instead of focusing on regional enterprises like Syria, where he has deployed fighters to defend President Bashar al-Assad's regime. Nasrallah acknowledged the mounting criticism against him in a speech on Saturday: "Curse me, I don't mind." Speaking on the protesters demands, he warned against calling for the resignation of the government -- saying it could take a long time to form a new one and solve the crisis. Hatem Gharbeel, a protester in Nabatiyeh, said Hizbullah loyalists felt let down. "The messages being addressed to Nasrallah by his own supporters in Nabatiyeh is that the resistance is not just about fighting Israel or terrorism," he said. "It should also be about supporting people's livelihoods."
Other party heads have come in for even greater criticism. Prime Minister Saad Hariri, Foreign Minster Jebran Bassil and Speaker Nabih Berri have been the targets of strong insults and slurs by demonstrators, even in areas where they are popular.
'Nothing to lose'
But the relatively toned-down criticism of Nasrallah has broken taboos, said Gharbeel. "The barrier of fear has been broken, " he said. "It shows that people are not blindly following their political or sectarian leaders anymore." Lokman Slim, an independent political activist and an outspoken critic of Hizbullah, said that resentment among Lebanon's Shiite community "is not born out of a single event or a single moment.""Frustration has been fermenting over the past few years over an economic crisis hampering not just the Lebanese state but also Hizbullah's statelet."Hizbullah has filled in for the weak central government in areas where it has influence, creating social welfare institutions and provided an array of public services, including education and health services. But the group has come under financial strain due to tightening U.S. sanctions since President Donald Trump assumed office, forcing Nasrallah to appeal to his popular base for donations earlier this year. "The Shiites have nothing to lose anymore," said Slim. "This is why they are out on the streets."

Lebanon, Chile, Algeria, Hong Kong: The Planet in Revolt
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/October 22/2019
Authorities are battling popular uprisings in several parts of the world at once as people from vastly different countries -- from Lebanon to Hong Kong -- rage against common enemies: economic inequality and perceived marginalization.
It's about money
In Chile, it was a 30-peso ($0.0004) rise in the price of a metro ticket that brought people out on the streets in anger, in Lebanon it was a tax on WhatsApp calls in a country with already high rates. "This is not happening because they raised the metro fare by 30 pesos," said a man who gave his name only as Orlando, taking part in protests in Santiago this week against the growing gap between rich and poor. "This is about the situation of the last 30 years," said the 55-year-old, lamenting long queues at clinics, waiting lists at hospitals, high medicine prices and declining purchasing power. "Inequalities are widening everywhere," said analyst Thierry de Montbrial of the French Institute of International Relations. "It is linked to globalization, to the technology revolution, and the societal changes this has brought about. The crushing of the middle class is... a global phenomenon." In a report in January, poverty monitor Oxfam said the world's 26 richest individuals now own the same wealth as the poorest half of the world's more than seven billion people. While billionaires saw their combined fortune grow by $2.5 billion each day in 2018, the world's poorest 3.8 million people saw their relative wealth decline by $500 million per day, or 11 percent in 2018. This is just the kind of imbalance fueling people's anger with ruling elites that often boost their already big fortunes through corrupt means. On the streets of Beirut, for example, protesters called Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, who has accumulated vast wealth in his 27 years on the job, a "thief", and railed against reports that Prime Minister Saad Hariri had paid $16 million to a South African model. All this while "we are dying at the hospital gates," lamented Hoda Sayyour, one of the demonstrators.
Equality
More and more, ordinary citizens are clamoring to have a say in government decisions, and rejecting the top-down imposition of leaders and policies. In Hong Kong, protests against a proposal to allow extraditions of criminal suspects to mainland China morphed into increasingly angry and sometimes violent anti-government, pro-democracy mobilization. In Algeria, anti-regime protests have been underway since February, with demands for political reform and the removal of regime insiders ahead of a presidential vote to replace longtime leader Abdelaziz Bouteflika, who resigned in April. "The traditional system of enforcing power from top to bottom is increasingly being challenged... there is a social revolution with a growing demand for participatory democracy," said De Montbrial. In Spain, it is a quest for independence that has brought Catalan separatists out on the streets as the government refuses to talk to their leader.
En masse, young people worldwide are rejecting traditional concepts of power and authority, recently taking to the streets of world capitals in their tens of thousands under the logo Extinction Rebellion to denounce the harm humans are inflicting on the planet. The movement advocates non-violent civil disobedience to drive the point across.
New tactics
The current rebellious climate spreads easily on social media, which has become an ever-more a popular platform for mobilizing the disaffected -- including France's anti-government "yellow vest" protesters who have no traditional leadership or organizational structure. "Social networks allow people who do not know each other to mobilize around a shared cause," said Arnaud Mercier of the Pantheon-Assas University in Paris. "It offers a simple way to circulate information, call meetings, and give instructions." With no hierarchy and often no leader, these modern-day protesters baulk at the traditional of negotiating with law enforcement and public authorities, which has completely "shaken up" the status quo, he added. This has caught many governments by surprise. "The regimes of the day, like in 2011 (when popular revolts overthrew dictators in Egypt, Libya and Tunisia) are reacting too little too late to the aspirations of their own people, displaying their ignorance of the changing dynamic and their lack of knowledge of their own societies," Didier Billion wrote in a recent analysis for the Institute for International and Strategic Relations thinktank.

From the virtual world to the real world: How Lebanese youth’s online revolution powered street protests
Najla Houssari/Arab News/October 22, 2019
The ‘electronic revolution’ is parallel to the revolution on the streets. It is mostly comprised of young people aged 12 and above.
For the first five days of the demonstrations, television images transmitted live to the Lebanese public provided the incentive for people to take to the streets
On the sixth day, activists reconsidered social media, and WhatsApp has become the most-used platform to transmit live images
BEIRUT: The Lebanese youth revolt against tax increases and corruption began on social media with protests about a proposed levy on WhatsApp, bringing dissent from the virtual world to the real world. For the first five days of the demonstrations, television images transmitted live to the Lebanese public provided the incentive for people to take to the streets. On the sixth day, activists reconsidered social media, and WhatsApp has become the most-used platform to transmit live images. The objection of Lebanese army soldiers to motorcyclists holding the flags of Amal and Hezbollah led to the protest rally in Riad Al-Solh Square in central Beirut on Monday night. This reassured those who were still apprehensive about taking to the street. The “electronic revolution” is parallel to the revolution on the streets. It is mostly comprised of young people aged 12 and above.
Politicians should talk to these young people using modern means, which is what Prime Minister Saad Hariri has done. On his Twitter account, Hariri tweeted part of his speech after the cabinet meeting: “I will not allow anyone to threaten young demonstrators. Your voice is heard, and if your demand is an early election to make your voice heard, I am with you. You have returned the Lebanese identity to its right place outside any sectarian restriction.”Activists leading the protests have been devising various forms of electronic attraction to motivate people to take to the street, including a video with the signature “Do you know why?” It includes songs about how to defy injustice, recounting the reasons for the revolution and filing “preliminary” demand papers summarizing the demands of people speaking on the street and in front of the cameras.
The hashtag #down_with_Bank_governor coincided with the move by some activists on Tuesday to the Central Bank of Lebanon to protest against the policy of its governor Riad Salameh. However, the response came through the same electronic means and other applications defending the governor.
Many rumors are circulating on social media, including that the president summoned the TV media for consultation and that there is a fear that the aim is to pressure the owners of the TV stations to stop transmitting live demonstrations to prevent protesters from expressing their opinion.
The most well-known action was that of the sister of the Free Patriotic Movement leader Gebran Bassil resorting to social media to defend President Aoun and her brother.
Dr. Iman Eliwan, a professor of modern media, said that young Lebanese view social media as their “only platform of expression, and touching it ignited the first spark of the protests. And resorting to it during the protests aimed at activating ‘networking’ to prevent any possibility of laxity and to remain united using one language.”And whether the absence of a unified reference for the movement is caused by this “networking,” she said: “It is possible that there may be group leaders on social media, and they consider these platforms as their strength.”Eliwan added: “These young people express deep anger and this happens at their age. We used to say that they belonged to the Sofa Party. But they went down to the streets. They control the streets. Maybe they are marginalized in their homes and in their communities.”Asked if these online revolutions have achieved any results, she said: “It has not reached anywhere in the experiences that we have seen in the Arab world. It can ignite the spark and activate the movement, but the horizon of this movement is deadlocked.

Argentina Designates Hezbollah a Terror Group
لوس بتري/كايستون: الأرجنتين تصنف حزب الله مجموعة إرهابية
Luis Petri/Gatestone Institute/October 22/2019
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/79739/%d9%84%d9%88%d9%8a%d8%b3-%d8%a8%d8%aa%d8%b1%d9%8a-%d9%83%d8%a7%d9%8a%d8%b3%d8%aa%d9%88%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%b1%d8%ac%d9%86%d8%aa%d9%8a%d9%86-%d8%aa%d8%b5%d9%86%d9%81-%d8%ad%d8%b2%d8%a8-%d8%a7/

This past July... President Macri published Argentina's first public registry (RePET) of those tied to terrorism. He made a clear commitment to the fight against international terrorism. The public registry is a historical landmark containing over 1,000 entries of individuals and entities tied to terrorism in Argentina, including Hezbollah.
The registry will function under the Ministry of Justice, but the Ministry of Security and our Financial Intelligence Unit or UIF-AR will have the power to designate terror groups by requesting to freeze the assets of known terrorist actors. This whole-of-government approach ensures that the country can use a variety of tools when targeting terrorists.
Previously, the only people in Argentina labeled as terrorists were those considered terrorists by the U.N. Security Council. This [new] registry works to target all terrorist organizations in the international arena, as well as persons or entities under investigation in Argentina.
Argentine Congressman Luis Petri (center) presenting about Argentina's new anti-terrorism public registry at an event organized by the Center for a Secure Free Society (SFS) on July 25, 2019, at the Russell Senate Office Building in Washington D.C.
The following is an edited and translated transcript of a speech given by Argentine Congressman Luis Petri on July 25, 2019 at the Russell Senate Office Building in Washington D.C. during an event hosted by the Center for a Secure Free Society (SFS) in commemoration of the 25th anniversary of the AMIA attack in Argentina. This speech has been slightly modified and reorganized for clarity by the editors, with the approval from Congressman Petri.
There is a before and after when you consider the effects of September 11th in the world. But in Argentina, this "before and after" began a lot earlier. In 1992, the Embassy of Israel was bombed [in Buenos Aires], followed two years later [on July 18, 1994] by one of the worst terrorist attacks in Argentina against the AMIA Jewish community center, and causing 85 casualties and wounded many more.
In the wake of this attack, and before President [Mauricio] Macri took office, Argentina lacked a clear policy regarding [international] terrorism and condemning terrorist actions. Therefore, the attacks went largely unpunished.
In 2013, the former president [and current candidate for vice president], Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Iran, creating a "truth commission" supposedly to analyze evidence against those accused in the 1994 terrorist attack. The opposition, however, determined, that the only goal of the MOU was to seek impunity [for Iran] by removing the Interpol red notice against those responsible for the AMIA attack. The MOU, shortly after being signed, was declared unconstitutional by the Argentine judicial system.
On January 15, 2015, the AMIA special prosecutor, Alberto Nisman, shocked [the world] when he publicly indicted then-President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner for betraying Argentina and the AMIA victims. The MOU was at the heart of Nisman's accusation, [alleging that the Kirchner government negotiated an illegal back-door deal with Iran]. The day before Nisman was scheduled to appear publicly before the Argentine National Congress to testify about his allegation, he was found murdered in his high-rise apartment in Buenos Aires.
The assassination of Alberto Nisman represents the ongoing impunity of those who perpetrated the horrific terrorist act 25 years ago. Today, Nisman is the 86th victim of the AMIA attack.
When President [Mauricio] Macri took office in December 2015, he turned the tide and has been fighting for justice [for the AMIA victims] since his presidency began. One of the first measures President Macri made, was to instruct his Minister of Justice to uphold the ruling that declared the MOU unconstitutional.
Additionally, he asked his government to work as quickly as possible to hold a trial in absentia for those [in Iran] believed to be responsible for the AMIA attack.
For 25 years, Argentines gather every July 18th on Pasteur Street in downtown Buenos Aires in front of the AMIA building, commemorating the memory of the victims of the terrorist attack and asking for justice and truth. This call was answered in 2019, this past July, when President Macri published Argentina's first public registry (RePET) of those tied to terrorism. He made a clear commitment to the fight against international terrorism. The public registry is a historical landmark containing over 1,000 entries of individuals and entities tied to terrorism in Argentina, including Hezbollah. This registry or RePET is used to provide access and exchange information, facilitating international counterterrorism cooperation [with our allies]. Third-party countries can request to have persons or entities tied to terrorism included in RePET upon the consideration taken by the Argentine government and as long as there is a link to Argentina.
The registry will function under the Ministry of Justice, but the Ministry of Security and our Financial Intelligence Unit or UIF-AR will have the power to designate terror groups by requesting to freeze the assets of known terrorist actors. This whole-of-government approach ensures that the country can use a variety of tools when targeting terrorists. Just a day after the registry was created, the Financial Intelligence Unit of Argentina (UIF-AR), led by Mariano Federici, ordered the country-wide freeze on Hezbollah's assets in our country.
Before this executive action by President Macri, Hezbollah was not officially recognized [as a terrorist organization] in Argentina. If someone wanted to raise their flag, they would have been able to do so. Previously, the only people in Argentina labeled as terrorists were those considered terrorists by the U.N. Security Council. This [new] registry works to target all terrorist organizations in the international arena, as well as persons or entities under investigation in Argentina.
President Macri's commitment to fight against terrorism is not limited to this registry. President Macri's commitment has endured and is comprised of many smaller actions that are less known to the public, but no less important.
In addition to the new registry, Argentina is now using new measures to investigate potential terrorists. One of these new measures is the use of informants and the use of special agents in investigations that were not previously covered under Argentine law. Other measures include the possibility of seizing properties of those who are linked to terrorist activities, stronger immigration control, and Argentina is working to approve legal measures to allow trials in absentia for those responsible for terrorist activities, [including those accused in the AMIA attack].
We need cooperation, we need to work together. We need to fight terrorism wherever it takes place. The United States is a top ally in Argentina's fight against international terrorism. My commitment, and that of my government, is with the memory of the victims of the AMIA attack. This attack is an open wound for the fabric of Argentine society. Our country demands truth and justice.
Editor's note: Argentina made history this year as the first Latin American country to designate Hezbollah as a foreign terrorist organization. This is an important step forward for the region and Argentina is poised to become a leader and role model with their registry (RePET) acting as a roadmap for other Latin American countries seeking to make the same designation of Hezbollah. Less than one month after Argentina, on August 9, 2019, Paraguay designated Hezbollah as a terrorist organization, as well, giving the region and U.S. allies in Latin America more momentum than ever in the fight against terrorism.
*Translation and editing by Joseph Humire.
© 2019 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Lebanon’s leaders under siege from people power
Osama Al-Sharif/Arab News/October 22/2019
Lebanon’s political mosaic is crumbling and the longstanding taboos are now fair game for millions of Lebanese of all sects, who have taken to the streets demanding the “overthrow” of the president, the government and lawmakers. The oligarchy that has ruled over Lebanon for decades, while overseeing the plundering of the state’s resources and the immiseration of its citizens, is now under siege.
What started as spontaneous, initially violent, protests against unfair taxes and the failing economy have become a popular censure of a dysfunctional system. The protests have turned into a peaceful and democratic festival where men and women, young and old, Muslim and Christian, Sunni, Shiite and Druze from all over this small but diverse country celebrate their unity as Lebanese and not as members of rival sects or ethnicities.
Not since the Cedar Revolution of 2005, when people revolted against the decades-old Syrian presence following the assassination of Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, have the Lebanese demonstrated such a sense of unity. This time the uprising has spread from Beirut to Tripoli in the north, to Sidon and Tyre in the south and even to Nabatieh — the heart of Hezbollah’s grassroots base.
Lebanon’s ruling overlords were taken by surprise, opting to blame others for failing to carry out economic reforms. Head of the Lebanese Forces party Samir Geagea called on Prime Minister Saad Hariri to resign and later ordered his Cabinet members to quit the government. Walid Jumblatt, the leader of the Druze community, called for dialogue and hinted that his ministers would also quit, before changing his mind. Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, whose ministers have a majority in the 30-member Cabinet, warned PM Hariri against resigning and threatened to let his followers take over the streets. The popular response was unnerving: Nasrallah was booed by protesters, who chanted, “All of them means all; Nasrallah is one of them.”
Nasrallah’s ally, President Michel Aoun, had little to say to the protesters. Beleaguered Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri, who along with his wife is accused of wide-scale corruption, vowed to hear the protesters’ demands, but not before letting his Amal Movement goons attack demonstrators in Tyre and Sidon. Foreign Minister and Aoun’s son-in-law Gebran Bassil initially accused the protesters of fulfilling a foreign agenda. He became the center of people’s wrath and ridicule.
Not a single leading politician was spared public criticism. People are demanding the removal of all the political elites that have ruled over their respective fiefdoms against a decorative facade of state institutions. People are fed up with massive corruption, cronyism, a sectarian-based political system, unemployment, especially among the youth, rises in the cost of living and failing public services, among others. They want more than the resignation of top officials — they want them to return plundered funds and stand trial.
For three decades, since the signing of the 1989 Taif Agreement, which formalized a quota-based power-sharing setup among Lebanon’s various sects, the country of about 4 million has been hostage to a self-serving oligarchy that has shared not only political power but accumulated wealth from public utilities and national resources. Today, Lebanon’s foreign debt has passed the $85 billion mark and its economy survives only because of a strong banking system and remittances from the 14 million-plus Lebanese in the diaspora.
Since its independence from France in 1943, this country of just 10,000 square kilometers has seen more than its fair share of regional and foreign meddling, civil strife and military interventions, against a backdrop of deepening sectarian and political rivalries. The civil war of 1975 to 1990 was punctuated by the Israeli invasion of 1982, which resulted in internal polarization, massacres against Palestinians and the eventual departure of the Palestine Liberation Organization from Lebanon.
The protesters want more than the resignation of top officials — they want them to return plundered funds and stand trial.
The rise of Shiite resistance, first through Amal and later Hezbollah, became a major game-changer in internal Lebanese politics. Hezbollah’s Iranian connection and its heavily armed militia have led to the organization’s growing manipulation of various local players, finally resulting in its hegemony over the political system that we see today.
Lebanon’s contribution to the Arab world in terms of culture, progressive political ideas, media, music and art, cuisine, and business is unique. The ongoing protests — colorful, daring and largely peaceful — will undoubtedly inspire economically driven protests in the region. We have seen variant examples in Sudan, Iraq, Egypt and Jordan. But, as the political elites scurry to find a compromise that might calm the street, which seems unlikely, the challenge is to save Lebanon from chaos and collapse. The economic reforms approved by the government on Monday, important and necessary as they are, have been largely rejected by the protesters. It is a matter of credibility, or the lack of it, for millions of Lebanese. Hariri noted that he would be willing to support an early election, which is one of the protesters’ demands. For now, it seems the protests will continue and the army has stepped in to offer protection from partisan hooligans.
Hariri may be forced to resign, paving the way for an interim government of nonpartisan experts to prepare for new a general election. That is what the public wants, but some overlords will resist and opt to fight for their survival rather than succumb to the emerging power of the people.
*Osama Al-Sharif is a journalist and political commentator based in Amman. Twitter: @plato010

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on October 22-23/2019
Putin obliges Erdogan to call off Turkey’s operation against the Kurds in NE Syria
DebkaFile/October 22/2019
Six hours of discussion in Sochi ended in a deal between President Vladimir Putin and President Recep Erdogan for a buffer zone, a halt in Turkey’s operation in NE Syria and its pullback from the country, DEBKAfile’s military sources report. Their memorandum has five main points:
1-Russia agreed to remove the Syrian Kurdish YPG militia to beyond 30 km from the Turkish border, after which Russian and Turkish troops will jointly patrol a narrow 10km deep “safe zone.”
2-Beginning at noon on Wednesday, Russian military police and Syrian border guards will facilitate the removal of YPG members and weapons to beyond the zone within 150 hours (thereby continuing the truce US Vice President Mike Pence concluded with Erdogan last week.)
30This truce will be extended as of Wednesday noon.
4-The situation in the Syrian Kurdish towns of Ras al-Ayn and Tal Abyad which 5-Turkish forces were poised to attack, but never captured, will remain as is up to 32km from the border. Our military sources say that this point in effect allows the Kurdish forces to stay where they are in parts of those towns.
The Kurdish YPG will leave the towns of Tel Rifaat and Manjib.
6-Turkey agrees to terminate its military operation against the Kurds of northern Syria.
Erdogan then announced finally: “We have signed a historic memorandum for the territorial and political integrity of Syria and the return of refugees.” He refrained from alluding to the Kurds in his statement. Putin said: “We resolved the rather acute situation that has developed on the Syrian-Turkish border.” He too omitted mention of the Kurdish issue.

Putin says talks with Erdogan have yielded ‘momentous’ results for Syria
Reuters, Sochi/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday that talks with his Turkish counterpart Tayyip Erdogan had yielded what he called momentous results for Syria, but did not say what they were. Putin, speaking at a news conference in southern Russia with Erdogan, said the two countries’ foreign ministers would disclose what had been agreed between the two men later. Putin was speaking after the commander of Kurdish forces in northeast Syria told the United States he had met all obligations set out in a US-brokered truce. Following the brief press conference for the two leaders, their foreign ministers held another press conference where Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that Moscow and Ankara have agreed that the Kurdish YPG militia would pull back 30 km (19 miles) from the Syrian border in a deal he heralded as one that would end the bloodshed in the region. The YPG, is a key component in the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) that have for years fought alongside US troops against ISIS. Lavrov said the Kurds would also withdraw from the towns of Manbij and Tel Rifaat. He added that the Russian military police and Syrian border guards would be deployed on the Syrian side of the border with Turkey from noon on Oct. 23 outside the zone of Turkey’s military operation.

Turkey says ‘no need’ to restart Syria offensive after deadline expires
AFP, Istanbul/Wednesday, 23 October 2019
Turkey said on Wednesday there was “no need” to restart its offensive against Kurdish fighters in Syria, saying that it had been informed by the US that their withdrawal from the border areas had been “completed”. “At this stage, there is no need to carry out a new operation,” the defence ministry said in a statement. A US-brokered deal had set a 120-hour deadline for Kurdish fighters’ pullout from a proposed safe zone, which expired at 1900 GMT. The commander of Kurdish led-SDF fighters has informed the United States that it has carried out all of its obligations under a US-brokered truce to withdraw forces from a border area with Turkey in northeastern Syria, a senior administration official said on Tuesday. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday that talks with his Turkish counterpart Tayyip Erdogan had yielded what he called momentous results for Syria.

US troops exiting Syria to stay ‘temporarily’ in Iraq: Pentagon chief

AFP, Washington/Wednesday, 23 October 2019
The American troops withdrawing from Syria will stay in Iraq “temporarily” before returning to the United States, US Defense Secretary Mark Esper said on Tuesday. In an interview with CNN, Esper said the US forces were pulling out in phases, and had now moved from the “immediate zone of attack” to a northeastern corridor out of the country. “Then we’ll have another phase that will draw all the forces out. We will temporarily position in Iraq before bringing the troops home. They will be coming home,” he said. Dozens of US armored vehicles arrived on Monday at a base in Iraqi Kurdistan. Asked about US President Donald Trump’s comment on Monday that a small number of soldiers were being deployed to secure oilfields in Syria, Esper said that was still under discussion. “But that needs to be worked out in time. The president hasn’t approved that yet,” he said. “With regard to deployment, my aim is to keep my options open - really, the president’s options open - so if events change on the ground in Syria or other parts that we have the flexibility to respond to the president’s position,” he added. Esper echoed Trump in defending the abandonment of the Kurdish fighters who bore the brunt of the US-led campaign against ISIS in Syria. They were forced to flee from cities they controlled in Syria in the face of a Turkish offensive against them. He said Washington opposed the Turkish invasion, but: “We are not going to war against a NATO ally and certainly not... with regard to a border that we didn’t sign up to defend in the first place.”The United States currently has 5,200 troops in Iraq, part of a US-led international coalition against ISIS. Their presence at several bases in Iraq has been the subject of debate there, with pro-Iranian Shia militias and politicians making frequent demands for their withdrawal.

Russia defense minister: 500 militants have escaped in Syria
The Associated Press, Beirut/Wednesday, 23 October 2019
Russia’s defense minister says that about 500 suspected militants have fled captivity from northeastern Syria since the start of Turkey’s offensive in the area.Sergei Shoigu said efforts are now being taken to apprehend the captives who fled. Syrian Kurdish forces held thousands of ISIS fighters in detention centers in the area and there have been concerns the detainees could escape. Shoigu spoke to reporters on Tuesday in Sochi, Russia, after Russian and Turkish presidents made a deal to take shared control of the 440-kilometer (270-mile) Turkey-Syria border. The agreement allows Turkish troops to control the area in northeastern Syria they have taken since Turkey launched its offensive on Oct. 9, while Russian military police and Syrian border guards will control the rest of the border. Shoigu said the Russian military will need to bring in additional equipment to patrol the border to ensure Kurdish fighters withdraw from the 30-kilometer (19-mile)-wide area along the frontier.

Turkey replaces four more pro-Kurdish mayors as crackdown widens
Reuters, Istanbul/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
Turkey has replaced four mayors from the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) with state officials, the offices of two provincial governors said on Tuesday, part of a widening crackdown on local councils controlled by the party.
Ankara accuses the HDP of links to militants of the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). It has now replaced a total of 12 mayors from the HDP on alleged links to terrorism since municipal elections in March. The mayors in the towns of Kayapinar, Bismil and Kocakoy in the southeastern Diyarbakir province and the mayor of Ercis in the eastern province of Van were suspended and replaced by local administrators, the offices of the two regional governors said. Three mayors are currently in custody on terrorism charges, the governors’ offices said, while the Diyarbakir prosecutor’s office said the former Bismil mayor had been released under judicial control. The HDP said six other of its candidates who won a majority of votes in the March mayoral elections were not given their election certificates because they had previously been dismissed from public office by decree. In August, Turkey first removed the mayors of Diyarbakir, Mardin and Van, three metropolitan cities won by the HDP. Selcuk Mizrakli, who was removed from his office in Diyarbakir, was jailed pending trial on Tuesday, the provincial prosecutor’s office said. Prior to the March municipal polls, around 100 mayors in towns held by the HDP had been replaced by state officials. The former co-leaders of the pro-Kurdish HDP have both been jailed since 2016 on terrorism charges, with several other prominent members accused of supporting terrorism over what the government says are links to the PKK. The HDP denies links to the PKK but does not consider it a terrorist organization. The moves against the HDP coincide with a Turkish military offensive in neighboring Syria against the YPG Kurdish militia, which Ankara also accuses of ties to the PKK. A five-day, U.S.-brokered pause in the offensive was due to expire later on Tuesday. The HDP is the only party in the Turkish parliament that opposed Operation Peace Spring in northeast Syria.

Two Iraqi police commanders, four others killed in militant attack: Sources

Reuters, Baghdad/Wednesday, 23 October 2019
Six police officers including two senior commanders were killed in northern Iraq on Tuesday when ISIS militants opened fire on them during a reconnaissance mission, security sources said. Militant attacks on security forces are common in Iraq but the killing of senior commanders is rare. Major General Ali al-Lami, who commands the Iraqi Federal Police’s Fourth Division, and Brigadier General Mohammed Allawi from the same division were killed alongside four members of their security detail, Samara Operations Command sources said. The generals were leading a reconnaissance mission in the Zor area north of Samara in Salahuddin. Militants opened fire on them as soon as they got there. Helicopter gunships were firing at the bushes in that area where the militants are hiding, Iraqi army officials said. The defense ministry issued a statement of condolences calling the fallen generals martyrs and heroes. Four Iraqi police officers were killed and five wounded when ISIS militants attacked checkpoints in the Allas oilfields area of the northern Salahuddin province late on Monday, police said earlier. Iraq declared victory over the hardline Sunni militants in late 2017 after pushing them out of all territory it held in the country. They have since reverted to hit-and-run insurgency tactics aimed at destabilizing the government in Baghdad.

SDF informed US they fulfilled obligations under ceasefire: US official

Reuters, Washington/Tuesday, 22 October
The commander of Kurdish led-SDF fighters has informed the United States that it has carried out all of its obligations under a US-brokered truce to withdraw forces from a border area with Turkey in northeastern Syria, a senior administration official said on Tuesday.
“A letter came in from General Mazloum...that he had carried out all of his obligations under the arrangement that we had done with the Turks...to withdraw all YPG forces out of the Turkish-controlled safe zone,” the senior administration official told reporters, referring to Mazloum Abdi, the head of Washington’s former allies in the fight against Islamic State. Ankara and Washington have been in close contact to agree that the withdrawal has taken place, the official said and therefore Turkey’s pause in its military offensive into Syria would turn into a permanent halt of the campaign, as agreed under a deal in Ankara last week. The five-day truce in Turkey’s cross-border offensive to allow the withdrawal of Kurdish YPG fighters from the border area ends at 10 p.m. (1900 GMT) on Tuesday and President Tayyip Erdogan has said Turkey could then press on with the fighting.
“We think that Turkey, in the end, will agree that the withdrawal has taken place under the terms of the agreement. This means that the Turkish pause becomes a Turkish halt in military operations,” the official said. But he warned that if Ankara fails to cease operations, US sanctions will follow. “Any Turkish kinetic military operation that moves forward at the end of this 120 hours, when they’re supposed to move into an even more...rigid and formal ceasefire under the name halt....will lead to us concluding that Turks have violated our agreement with inevitable sanctions.”The official said Washington was keeping a close eye on Erdogan’s visit to Sochi to have talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin and reminded that Erdogan has made it clear to the US delegation that he was going to work with Russians to try to get an arrangement for the wider 20 mile-safe zone Ankara has envisioned. Earlier, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Tuesday it was too early to know if an accord to end Turkey’s assault in Syria would succeed, ahead of a deadline for Kurdish fighters to leave border areas. “Some progress has certainly been made,” Pompeo said at the Heritage Foundation in Washington.

UN: Over 176,000 displaced by Turkish offensive in northeast Syria

The Associated Press, Beirut/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
The UN says that nearly two weeks after Turkey launched its offensive in northeast Syria more than 176,000 people have been displaced, including nearly 80,000 children, and “critical infrastructure has been damaged.”UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric said Tuesday that power lines have been damaged, reportedly affecting at least four medical facilities. He said the Alouk water station, which serves over 400,000 people in al-Hassakah city and surrounding displacement camps, has received temporary repairs and generators are now being used to supply safe water for the population in the area. Dujarric told reporters at the UN headquarters in New York that Imran Riza, the UN humanitarian coordinator in Syria, said after visiting the northeast that he was grateful UN appeals for humanitarian access were successful and water was restored, “averting more serious humanitarian problems.”

Syria’s Assad visits Idlib front line: Presidency
AFP, Damascus/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad visited government troops on the front line in Idlib Tuesday, his first visit to the northwestern province since the start of the conflict. “President Assad meets members of the Syrian army on the front line in the town of Hbeit in the Idlib countryside,” the president’s office said on its social media networks. The Idlib region of some three million people has been protected by a Russian-brokered ceasefire deal since August 31, but skirmishes persist on the ground. “We said it before and we are still saying that the battle of Idlib is the basis that will end the chaos and terrorism in all areas of Syria,” Assad was quoted as saying by the official Syrian news agency Telegram. “Erdogan is a thief who stole factories, wheat and oil, and today he is stealing the land,” Assad added.

Pompeo says too early to judge Syria success

AFP, Washington/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Tuesday it was too early to know if an accord to end Turkey’s assault in Syria would succeed, ahead of a deadline for Kurdish fighters to leave border areas. “Some progress has certainly been made,” Pompeo said at the Heritage Foundation in Washington hours before the 1900 GMT deadline for formerly US-allied Kurdish fighters to pull out. But he added: “It is a complicated story, to be sure. The success of the outcome there is not yet fully determined.”Turkey launched an assault against the Kurdish YPG militia after President Donald Trump told his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan in a telephone call that he would pull out US troops who had served as a buffer between the two sides. Under heavy criticism, Trump slapped sanctions on Turkey and sent Pompeo and Vice President Mike Pence to Ankara, where they reached a deal Thursday under which the YPG would pull out of a “safe zone” within five days. “We think now we are in a better place” than before the accord, Pompeo said. Quoting Trump, Pompeo said that the United States needed to demonstrate “some tough love” to NATO ally Turkey.
Turkey has warned that it would resume its offensive if the Kurds do not withdraw within the deadline. Turkey links the YPG to banned separatists at home, but the Kurdish fighters enjoy wide support in Washington for bearing the brunt of the battle to crush the extremist ISIS group.

Netanyahu rival Gantz to be named Wednesday to try to form Israeli government
Reuters, Jerusalem/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
Israeli President Reuven Rivlin will on Wednesday task centrist politician Benny Gantz with trying to form the next coalition government after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu failed, Rivlin’s office said on Tuesday. Netanyahu, a fourth-term conservative whose party tied with Gantz’s in September’s election, told Rivlin on Monday he was giving up on forming the government after failing to win support from a majority of parliament.

Iran’s army will stand up against aggression: Iranian military chief
Staff writer, Al Arabiya English/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
Iran’s armed forces “do not have their eyes on the land and resources of the neighbors, but will stand up against any aggression,” claimed the chief of staff of Iran's armed forces Maj. Gen. Mohammad Bagheri on Tuesday, the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported. Tensions have increased in recent months as a result of a series of attacks on oil infrastructure and tankers, including the September 14 attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities which have been widely blamed on Iran. While the Iranian-backed Houthi militia claimed responsibility for the attacks, the US, Saudi Arabia, Britain, France and Germany publicly blamed Iran for the attacks. Iran denies any involvement. Earlier this month, Bagheri had said that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) provides the Houthi militia with “advisory and intellectual assistance.”Arab Coalition forces have provided evidence of Iran’s weapon smuggling to Yemen. Speaking at a press conference on May 31, 2019, the Arab Coalition spokesman Turki al-Maliki presented evidence that Iran is supplying missiles, drones, and explosive-laden ships to the Houthi militia. “The enemy should know that if an attack is carried out against Iran … they will face heavy casualties, destruction of equipment and humiliation,” said Bagheri. “The enemies are terrified of us,” he said, adding that the costs of an attack against Iran will be far greater than its benefits. Iran has not been attacked “due to its deterrence power,” claimed Bagheri.

UK removes advisory against flying to Egypt’s Sharm el Sheikh

The Associated Press, London/Tuesday, 22 October 2019
UK airlines can resume flights to the Egyptian resort of Sharm el-Sheikh, suspended after an ISIS bombing brought down a Russian passenger plane over Sinai four years ago, killing all 224 people on board, the British government said Tuesday. The Department for Transport said “improvements in security procedures at the airport, and close co-operation between the UK and Egypt on aviation security, mean commercial airlines can now be allowed to operate routes to and from the airport.”“We look forward to services to Sharm el-Sheikh resuming, and lifting the restriction is the first step in that process,” said Transport Secretary Grant Shapps, stressing that the “safety and security of British nationals remains our top priority.”Sharm el-Sheikh, a top resort on the Sinai Peninsula, had been a major package-holiday destination for British tourists before the November 2015 attack, which and was claimed by ISIS.
Since the attack, Egyptian authorities have spent millions of dollars to upgrade security at airports across the country. Travel company Tui welcomed Britain’s decision and said it planned to re-introduce trips to Sharm el-Sheikh, “taking into account customer demand.”Egypt also welcomed the decision. The country’s civil aviation ministry said in a statement that it was a “step forward in a new stage of more flights for UK holidaymakers to all Egyptian airports.”Tourism Minister Rania el-Mashat hailed the decision as a “message to the world that Egypt is safe” and that it would have a “positive impact” on British tourists heading to Egypt. Egypt’s vital tourism industry has been showing signs of recovery lately, after years in the doldrums because of the political turmoil and violence that followed a 2011 uprising that toppled former leader Hosni Mubarak. The downing of the Russian passenger jet was the final blow.
Airline easyJet said in a statement: “We are aware of the lifting of the restriction on UK airlines flying into Sharm el-Sheikh Airport and will look at any opportunities for easyJet and easyJet Holidays as a result.”

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on October 22-23/2019
Emmanuel Macron Can’t Save Boris Johnson
Lionel Laurent/Bloomberg/October, 22/2019
Whoever came up with the Article 50 process for leaving the European Union probably never thought it would be used, let alone turned into a maddening form of procedural torture worthy of Kafka.
Brexit was meant to have been wrapped up in March, yet the UK’s inability to decide what it wants has frustrated the best-laid plans of Brussels’s technocrats. After Westminster’s three rejections of former prime minister Theresa May’s original Brexit deal, and after the EU’s two extensions of the original Brexit deadline, Boris Johnson is now in Downing Street and we’ve entered a Bizarro World where reality has been turned upside down.
We have a new Brexit deal that the EU insists is not a renegotiation, a special arrangement for Northern Ireland that the UK says is not a backstop (the name of the original guarantee in May’s deal to avoid a hard border in Ireland), and an official British request for an extension to the Oct. 31 deadline that Johnson says he doesn’t want.
You can imagine the EU’s 27 other leaders taking deep breaths and counting to 10. The bloc has made a Herculean effort to parry British attempts to divide its members on Brexit, and last week’s hard-fought new deal with Johnson was greeted with back-slapping relief. Finally, the EU could get on with other issues, from a tariff war with Donald Trump’s America to tackling climate change and trying to hold a firm line on China.
France’s president Emmanuel Macron showered Johnson in compliments, no doubt glad that seeing off the Brits — amicably, of course — would remove an obstacle to his ambitions for deeper EU integration. Now, once again, the prospect of delay is back, and with it the threat of more contagion as Britain’s dysfunctional national politics infects the orderly running of the EU and threatens that cherished unity.
So what should the bloc do?
Responding hastily is in nobody’s interest. Parliament hasn’t actually voted on the new Brexit deal yet. The demand for a three-month extension was forced on Johnson by British lawmakers as a way to make sure the Halloween deadline wouldn’t let him and his Brexiter allies bully the House of Commons into accepting “his deal or no deal.”
Any ruling from Brussels on an extension before Parliament votes on Johnson’s deal (which may happen in the next couple of days) would be seen as meddling in UK politics. Likewise, siding with Johnson by ruling out any delay would mean committing the EU to an ugly and economically damaging no-deal split on Oct. 31 in the event that Westminster failed to rubber-stamp his deal. If there’s not enough time to organize the vote itself before the end of October, the EU would allow an extension — it has no interest in prematurely slamming the door shut, no matter what Brexiter ministers such as Michael Gove might say.
If Members of Parliament approve Johnson’s deal rapidly, the debate is moot. The EU would obviously give the UK enough time to jump through the various legislative hoops to put Brexit into law.
Where things get complicated is if Westminster thwarts Macron’s plans for a quick divorce and rejects Johnson’s deal. If the deal fails by a handful of votes, and if those votes come from Johnson’s disgruntled allies in Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist party, then Macron’s more hawkish views on an extension could hold sway. Brussels might offer only a short delay (less than the three months asked for) to try to force the last few holdout MPs into line or face a no-deal exit.
But if it becomes clear that Johnson’s deal will never get through the Commons (or is amended to death by opposition lawmakers) that will show the EU that Britain needs deeper political change to break the logjam. More dovish European calls for a longer extension would probably win the day. “Time alone will not solve the problem,” Amelie de Montchalin, France’s European affairs minister said on Monday, though she added there was room for discussion on an extension of six months or so should it be needed for a UK election or second referendum.
Even though some kind of extension appears inevitable, no one should underestimate how tense this debate might become among the EU’s leaders. The situation is very different to when May was in power, when hardcore Brexiters complained that she had done a poor job and boasted they could get a better deal from Brussels. Brexiters don’t blame the EU anymore for what is clearly a UK problem: Parliament’s inability to decide.
Macron’s impatience with London is spreading to his fellow leaders, with Germany’s chancellor Angela Merkel talking of Britain as a post-Brexit “competitor.” There’s a point where infinite delays will be deemed costlier than no deal.

Why Hamas Supports Erdogan's War
Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/October 22/2019
If, according to Hamas, Turkey has the right to protect its border, why does Israel not have the same right?
Hamas's support for Erdogan's war on the Kurds seems to be in the context of its attempt to persuade the Turkish authorities to allow its members to continue using Turkey as a base for masterminding terrorist attacks against Israel.
As Hamas said in its statement, it is opposed to the "US and Israeli presence in the region." Hamas seems to be happy that the US abandoned the Kurds and left northern Syria. Hamas does not want the US to play any political or military role in the region....
It now remains to be seen how Erdogan will reward Hamas for supporting his war on the Kurds. Hamas, meanwhile, is holding its breath, hoping that Turkey will embrace the group and facilitate its fight against Israel.
Hamas, the terror group ruling the Gaza Strip, is the only Palestinian party that has come out in support of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's war on the Kurds in Syria. Pictured: Erdogan at a rally in support of Hamas, on May 18, 2018 in Istanbul, Turkey.
Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood-affiliated terror group ruling the Gaza Strip since 2007, is the only Palestinian party that has come out in support of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's war on the Kurds in Syria.
A statement issued by Hamas on October 14 said that the terror group "understands Turkey's right to protect its border, defend itself and remove threats harmful to its national security against the tampering of the Zionist Mossad in the region, as part of [Israel's] effort to undermine Arab and Islamic national security."
Hamas also praised Erdogan for his "support for the Palestinian cause and the rights of the Palestinian people" and expressed opposition to "the Zionist and US presence in the region."
Sami Abu Zuhri, a Hamas spokesman in the Gaza Strip, voiced support for Turkey. "The Israeli media campaign against Turkey is rude and unacceptable. Israel will remain the enemy and Turkey will remain in the hearts of Muslims," he wrote on Twitter.
Another Hamas leader, Izzar al-Risheq, said that his group is "confident that President Erdogan has no ambitions in Syria and he only wants to preserve the security of his country." The Muslims, he added, need to "end their conflicts so they would have the time to confront the big challenge imposed by the presence of the Zionist enemy."
Hamas's patrons in Qatar, the Gulf country that has long been serving as the Muslim Brotherhood's most hospitable base of operations, have also defended Turkey's war on the Kurds. According to Qatari Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman, speaking at the Global Security Forum meeting in Doha:
"Weapons and training provided to Kurdish groups during the war against Daesh represent an imminent threat to the Turkish security... We can't heap the blame on Turkey as Ankara wants to clear its territory and stand up against terrorism. Turkey can't remain silent until terror hits its territory."
Hamas's support for Turkey in its war against the Kurds contradicts its own claim that it does not meddle in the internal affairs of Arab and Islamic countries. In the past few years, several Hamas officials have repeatedly denied charges that their group was meddling in the internal affairs of Egypt, Syria, Libya and Jordan.
The Hamas denials, however, are completely false.
Hamas maintained close ties with Brotherhood's Mohamed Morsi after he was elected as President of Egypt. After he was removed from power, Morsi was formally charged with "collaboration" with Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. In the past few years, the Egyptian authorities have accused Hamas of involvement in a series of terror attacks against Egyptians, including the 2015 assassination of Attorney General Hisham Barakat.
As far as Hamas is concerned, however, collaboration with the Muslim Brotherhood president and involvement in terrorist attacks in Egypt was not intervention in the internal affairs of an Arab country.
The Syrians expelled Hamas leaders and closed their offices in Damascus shortly after the beginning of the civil war in Syria in 2011. The Syrian authorities said they made the decision after it became clear that Hamas was "supporting terrorists in Syria." Hamas, in other words, was caught helping "terrorists" who were fighting against the regime of Bashar Assad. According to Hamas's logic, working with anti-Assad terrorists is not considered intervention in the internal affairs of that Syria.
In the past two years, there has been growing evidence that Hamas has also been meddling in the internal affairs of Libya. According to various reports in the Arab media and statements by Libyan officials, Hamas has been providing military aid to some terrorist groups in Libya. Some Libyan officials have also blamed Qatar for financing terrorist groups belonging to the Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas. Earlier this year, the Libyans announced that they arrested 13 men on suspicion of spying for Hamas.
Jordan is another Arab country that has suffered from Hamas's intervention in the kingdom's internal affairs and Hamas's threats to its national security. In 1999, the Jordanian authorities expelled five Hamas leaders. A few years later, the Jordanians arrested a Hamas cell that was involved in smuggling weapons from Iran into the kingdom. Earlier this month, the Jordanian authorities reportedly arrested two Muslim Brotherhood activists on suspicion that they were linked to Hamas.
Because of its constant meddling in the internal affairs of various countries, Hamas has damaged its relations with most of the Arab and Islamic countries. Recently, reports suggested that the Turkish authorities are revising their relations with Hamas. According to the reports, the Turkish authorities are unhappy with the presence of Hamas operatives in their country, particularly because are using Turkey as a base for planning terrorist attacks and money laundering. The Turks are also reported to be angry with Hamas because of its close ties with Iran and Hezbollah, and Hamas's attempts to mend fences with the Assad regime in Syria.
Hamas's support for Erdogan's war on the Kurds seems to be in the context of its attempt to persuade the Turkish authorities to allow its members to continue using Turkey as a base for masterminding terrorist attacks against Israel.
It is ironic that Hamas, which has launched thousands of rockets at Israel and carried out many terrorist attacks against Israelis, is now saying that "understands Turkey's right to protect its border."
This is the same Hamas that has been condemning Israel for defending its border against terrorist infiltrations from the Gaza Strip. Since March 2018, Hamas has been encouraging Palestinians to demonstrate near the border with Israel, where they have been attacking Israeli soldiers with rocks, firebombs and explosive devices. If, according to Hamas, Turkey has the right to protect its border, why does Israel not have the same right?
There is another reason why Hamas is courting Erdogan. As Hamas said in its statement, it is opposed to the "US and Israeli presence in the region." Hamas seems to be happy that the US abandoned the Kurds and left northern Syria. Hamas does not want the US to play any political or military role in the region because of Washington's "bias" in favor of Israel.
For Hamas, Erdogan is a hero because he succeeded in persuading the Americans to withdraw from Syria. Hamas and its Muslim Brotherhood allies are hoping that the departure of the US would pave the way for them to spread their influence to Syria.
When Hamas talks about the "Zionist Mossad tampering in the region," it is seeking to depict the Kurds as Israeli agents and collaborators. The message Hamas is sending to Arabs and Muslims: These Kurds are traitors working for Israel and the US, and that's why they deserve to be slaughtered. Erdogan has therefore become Hamas's hero because he's waging war on Israeli and US "agents."
Hamas's support for Turkey reflects its "extreme political and Machiavellian opportunism," said Palestinian columnist Rami Abdallah. "Hamas has mastered all the arts of politics and its tricks."
It now remains to be seen how Erdogan will reward Hamas for supporting his war on the Kurds. Hamas, meanwhile, is holding its breath, hoping that Turkey will embrace the group and facilitate its fight against Israel.
*Khaled Abu Toameh, an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem, is a Shillman Journalism Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
© 2019 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Turkey's New 'Bashibazouks': The Free Syrian Army

Burak Bekdil/Gatestone Institute/October 22/2019
"In the outskirts of Aleppo, the FSA [Free Syrian Army] has implemented a Sharia law enforcement police force that is a replica of the Wahhabi police in Saudi Arabia — forcing ordinary citizens to abide by the Sharia code..." — HuffPost, December 31, 2012.
Trained and funded by Turkey since 2016 and with a reputation for violence and looting, the fighters of the Syrian National Army (SNA, formerly the Free Syrian Army) resemble very much the Ottoman bashibazouks.
"Elizabeth Tsurkov, a fellow at the U.S.-based Foreign Policy Research Institute who has interviewed dozens of the fighters and said they appear to be driven by a desire for power and money rather than by any specific ideology... 'Hatred of Kurds, a sense of Arab chauvinism, complete intolerance for any dissent, and just a desire to make a profit is what's driving most of the abuses.'" — Associated Press, October 15, 2019.
During Turkey's most recent, ongoing, military incursion into Syria, launched on October 9, SNA militias captured a major highway that runs across northern Syria. According to Associated Press, "The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based war monitor, said the Turkey-backed fighters shot and killed six civilians along the road, including Hevreen Khalaf, a woman who led a Kurdish political party."
Turkey's principal armed allies in the Syrian war theater, the Free Syrian Army (FSA), which recently reflagged itself as the Syrian National Army (SNA), is a grouping of various factions of jihadists posing as a "liberation force." Pictured: FSA gunmen on October 19, 2019 in Akcakale, Turkey, near the border with Syria.
Bashibazouks ("corrupted heads" in Turkish) first appeared in the Ottoman army at the end of the 18th century and fought in Egypt against Napoleon's army. These irregular mercenary soldiers, often made up of homeless beggars and thugs, were notorious for their lack of discipline, plundering and brutality. During the Crimean War (1853-1856) the allied generals made futile attempts to discipline them. The bashibazouks' excesses during the Russian-Ottoman war of 1877-78 finally forced the Istanbul government to abandon using them.
More than two centuries after their Ottoman ancestors had used bashibazouks, the Turks found their Arab reincarnation in Syria.
Turkey's principal armed allies in the Syrian war theater, the Free Syrian Army (FSA), which recently reflagged itself as the Syrian National Army (SNA), is a grouping of various factions of jihadists posing as a "liberation force." According to a December 31, 2012 article in HuffPost:
"[The FSA] has in the recent past stolen wheat reserves intended for the residents of Aleppo and sold it to private Turkish grain traders, expropriated stocks of pharmaceuticals and forcibly resold them back to its owners, and ransacked schools...
"In the outskirts of Aleppo, the FSA has implemented a Sharia law enforcement police force that is a replica of the Wahhabi police in Saudi Arabia — forcing ordinary citizens to abide by the Sharia code...
"Lebanese newspapers such as Al-Akhbar and Assafir, and Alex Jones' infowars.com, have broadcast a disturbing video of a 12-year-old child apparently forced by the FSA to cut off the head of a Syrian military officer...
"The FSA has also been targeting the infrastructure of the country. One of the main power plants in Damascus was knocked out for three days last week, impacting 40 percent of the city's residents."
Apparently, the self-styled SNA, FSA's new brand of jihadists, is following suit. According to an October 15, 2019 report, Turkey's extremist proxies "vowed to kill 'pigs' and 'infidels,' paraded their Kurdish captives in front of cameras and, in one graphic video, fired several rounds into a man lying on the side of a highway with his hands bound behind his back." Trained and funded by Turkey since 2016 and with a reputation for violence and looting, the SNA fighters resemble very much the Ottoman bashibazouks.
During Turkey's most recent, ongoing, military incursion into Syria, launched on October 9, SNA militias captured a major highway that runs across northern Syria. According to Associated Press:
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based war monitor, said the Turkey-backed fighters shot and killed six civilians along the road, including Hevreen Khalaf, a woman who led a Kurdish political party.
In a video circulated online, fighters can be seen rushing toward a bullet-ridden armored vehicle, saying they have captured a "pig." A woman's faint voice can be heard from within, saying she is the head of a political party. The video indicates Khalaf was captured alive and later died or was killed...
Another video posted online showed the Syrian fighters screaming "God is greatest!" ["Allahu Akbar!"] as they fired several rounds into a bound prisoner who resembled one of the captured men in the previous video...
"The main problem with these forces is their criminality," said Elizabeth Tsurkov, a fellow at the U.S.-based Foreign Policy Research Institute who has interviewed dozens of the fighters and said they appear to be driven by a desire for power and money rather than by any specific ideology.
"Hatred of Kurds, a sense of Arab chauvinism, complete intolerance for any dissent, and just a desire to make a profit is what's driving most of the abuses," she said.
SNA's Turkish brothers-in-arms do not depict a more angelic picture either. According to Fox News:
A member of U.S. Special Forces serving alongside the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in Syria told Fox News on Wednesday they were witnessing Turkish atrocities on the frontlines.
"I am ashamed for the first time in my career," said the distraught soldier, who has been involved in the training of indigenous forces on multiple continents.
That gloomy testimony came at a time when Amnesty International compiled evidence of war crimes committed by Turkish forces and Turkish-backed Syrian armed groups during the offensive.
Amnesty International reports, based on witness testimony between October 12-16, shows "how Turkish forces have displayed a disregard for civilian life, including through summary killings and unlawful attacks that have killed and injured civilians."
"The information provides damning evidence of indiscriminate attacks in residential areas - including attacks on a home, a bakery and a school - carried out by Turkey and allied Syrian armed groups."
The bashibazouk spirit in the Turkish army seems to have revived centuries after it first emerged in the Ottoman army. With one difference, though: The Ottoman bashibazouks were merely bandits disguised as soldiers. The Turkish ones are "jihadist" bandits disguised as soldiers.
*Burak Bekdil, one of Turkey's leading journalists, was recently fired from the country's most noted newspaper after 29 years, for writing in Gatestone what is taking place in Turkey. He is a Fellow at the Middle East Forum.
© 2019 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

A warm handshake with history
Naif bin Marzouq Al-Fahadi/Arab News/October 22/2019
The role of great leaders during major events is critical for the safety of the world. It requires a strong grip by the hands of the man aspiring to build, and all the achievements, challenges and great scenes are embodied in the dawn of one glorious day, under the flutter of flags that translate people’s hopes and dreams of a tomorrow in which hands will be joined and differences dissolved.
Seeing the majestic moment of the enthronement of Emperor Naruhito, the world senses the wisdom of leaders that is necessary for its balance and growth.
The world is united more than ever at a time when the entire planet rushes toward its future at the speed of light.
Borders and distances are merged due to successive industrial and technical revolutions, while challenges grow for international institutions whose policies are becoming deeper and more sensitive.
Only great peoples, such as our Japanese friends, keep writing their history with the same determination and faith.
I bear an exceptional heritage and a responsibility, of which I feel the enduring gravity, every time history marks an occasion to shape the future of a generation. I remember my homeland’s great ancestors — the late King Abdul Aziz, his sons who succeeded him on the throne, and the loyal men who strove all their lives for a glorious future.
Ancient nations share a similar biography, which begins with devotion and sacrifice and is crowned with glory and immortality.
Saudi Arabia and Japan are not only united by their deep-rooted history and the timeless glory of their leaders, they also share an ethos of working devotedly and diligently to shape future policies and adapt to challenges.
The vision of the Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, is to work with the Kingdom’s historical partners to achieve cultural and human openness, and with its economic partners in a race against time to attain results and accomplishments, promising wealth and prosperity.
The two countries’ vision is brought together in international forums through their seats in international institutions, such as in the G20 forum.
Every day I witness harmonious practice and a flexible path, increasingly embodied by the work of the Saudi-Japanese Vision 2030, which is designed to provide a new basis for what our peoples create and deliver in the interests of world peace.
The invitation extended to Prince Turki bin Mohammed bin Fahd bin Abdul Aziz, minister of state and member of the cabinet, to the enthronement ceremony highlights the strength of the historical and long-standing relationship between Saudi Arabia and Japan.
The high-level royal representation comes as a Saudi message; that the Kingdom stands where its friends stand around the world, and puts its hand in theirs where goodness, growth and stability are the message, and to which the Kingdom does not accept any alternative.
We will stand, alongside the people of the world and our friends, the people of Japan, to witness the beginning of a new chapter enriched by an ancient ceremony.
This new chapter is a compass pointing toward the future, yet its stories will be told under the heading of successes and glories. We will salute His Majesty the Emperor as we learn, once again, what the stability of prosperous homelands can mean for all the peoples of the Earth. This is our future, together.
*Naif bin Marzouq Al-Fahadi is the Saudi Ambassador to Japan.

How will Ecuador force majeure impact US West Coast Refineries?
Faisal Faeq/Arab News/October 22/2019
Latin America has become an increasingly important source of medium and heavy crude oil to feed America’s west coast refineries.
Ecuador’s location on the northwestern coast of South America has made it especially important for these facilities even if volumes emanating from the country have fluctuated significantly.
On one level, Ecuador’s comparatively small oil production of about 500,000 bpd meant that its recently announced withdrawal from OPEC was not seen as especially significant. However, the country’s proximity to the US West Coast made it a logical supplier of substitute crude oil to offset declining Alaskan production. The major refining regions on the US West Coast are Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Puget Sound areas. Small clusters are also located in the San Joaquin Valley of California near Bakersfield, Honolulu, and a few specialty facilities in Alaska. The technical complexity of the refining industry on the West Coast is very high.
It is hard to know how quickly Ecuador can regain control of these major oil fields that were impacted and how swiftly oil output might resume.
Before the shale oil revolution, most US refineries were configured to process heavier crude grades . At the same time, it is logistically impossible for shale supplies to reach the US West Coast refineries by pipelines.
The latest declaration of ‘force majeure’ on the majority of Ecuador crude oil exports will have an impact on the US West Coast refineries.
Domestic unrest in the country has suspended production at three fields amid protests against rising fuel prices has even forced the government to move from the capital, Quito, to the coastal city of Guayaquil.
It is hard to know how quickly the government can regain control of these major oil fields that were impacted and how swiftly oil output might resume.
US West Coast refining capacity is around 2.5 million bpd, and about 11 percent of their crude oil requirement comes from Ecuador.
This could conceivably be replaced by barrels from the Arabian Gulf producers or even filled from the spot market. However, this in turn could impact the margins of the US West Coast refiners who would need to factor in additional long-haul shipping costs for replacements barrels.
The US Energy Information Administration says that US refiners imported an average of about 175,800 bpd of Ecuadorian heavy sour crude oil in 2018.
Roughly 81 percent of that crude from Ecuador was sent to US West Coast refineries, with the rest going to the US Gulf Coast refineries.
While the ongoing supply disruption to Ecuadorian crude has limited global significance, it nonetheless represents a potential positive for demand for heavy sour crude grades from the Arabian Gulf — already in high demand since the US imposed sanctions on Venezuelan crude imports.
• Faisal Faeq is an energy and oil marketing adviser. He was formerly with OPEC and Saudi Aramco.