LCCC ENGLISH DAILY NEWS BULLETIN
March 09/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani
The Bulletin's Link on the lccc Site
http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.march09.20.htm
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Bible Quotations For today
I told you that you would die in your sins, for you will
die in your sins unless you believe that I am He
“Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint John 08/21-24: “Again he
said to them, ‘I am going away, and you will search for me, but you will die in
your sin. Where I am going, you cannot come.’Then the Jews said, ‘Is he going to
kill himself? Is that what he means by saying, “Where I am going, you cannot
come”?’He said to them, ‘You are from below, I am from above; you are of this
world, I am not of this world. I told you that you would die in your sins, for
you will die in your sins unless you believe that I am he.”
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese
Related News & Editorials published on March 08-09/2020
Secret facility at Hizballah’s Beirut hospital cares for Iranian high-ups
down with corona/DebkaFiles/March 08/2020
Aoun calls for 'unifying personal status law'
Berri: We renew the commitment to continue the struggle alongside women
Hariri: Lebanese women have proven their true worth
32 coronavirus cases in Lebanon
Lebanon Confirms Four More Coronavirus Cases
After Debt Default Move, Lebanon Faces Reform Challenge
Kubis Urges Lebanon to Ensure Women are 'More Involved' in Political Life
Kubis: Honest statement of PM Diab opens the way out of the crisis
Hizbullah Urges 'Solidarity' with Govt. on Eurobond Decision
Sami Gemayel Slams Lack of 'Measures, Reforms' in Diab's Default Speech
Al-Rahi: We Won't Allow Lebanon's Downfall
Police Shut Nightclubs that Did Not Abide by Coronavirus Closure Order
Lebanon Debt Talks Won't Last More than 9 Months if Well-Intentioned, Says
Minister
Lebanon Bondholders Stepping up Efforts to Form Creditor Group
Kataeb: Shooting at 'Kataeb Central House' in Saifi at dawn today
Musharrafieh: Women will have most prominence in the Ministries of Social
Affairs and Tourism
Majzoub extends educational institutions' closure until the evening of March 15
Al Shamsi praises women's achievements on International Women's Day: Left a
distinctive mark in building their homelands
Is Lebanon on the verge of collapse/Rami Rayess/The Arab Weekly/March 08/2020
Lebanese women to press for equal personal status rights on International
Women’s Day/Samar Kadi/The Arab Weekly/March 08/2020
Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on
March 08-09/2020
KSA Releases King's Photos after Purge over
'Coup Plot'
MBS Crown prince detains three family members over ‘coup plot’
Israel Election Challenger Gets Extra Security after Threats
Iraq’s Shiite Parties ‘Deeply Divided’ over Naming New PM
Egypt Says Ethiopia’s Posturing over Nile Dam Threatens Regional Security
Iran Stops Flights to Europe as Coronavirus Death Toll Climbs
IranAir stops all flights to Europe
Iran Reports 49 New Coronavirus Deaths, Highest Single-Day Toll
Quarter of Italian Population Put under Virus Lockdown
Gulf Shares Slump after OPEC Fails to Agree Virus Action Plan
Italy locks down millions as its coronavirus deaths jump ¥ Italy to quarantine
16 million people in wealthy north
Saudi Arabia locks down Qatif province to prevent coronavirus spread
Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous
sources published on March 08-09/2020
Resilience of Iranian Women Shows
Regime’s Abject Failure/Princess Noor Pahlavi/Asharq Al-Awsat/March 08/2020
Who's Attacking Palestinian Christians/Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute/March 8,
2020
An Iranian Concert at Saudi Arabia’s Tantora Festival/Camelia Entekhabifard/Asharq
Al-Awsat/March 08/2020
Saudi Arabia targets senior royals in sweeping/Simeon Kerr in Dubai and Andrew
England in London/FT/March 08/2020
Turkey-Russia ceasefire deal has failed the Syrian refugees/Raghida Dergham/The
National/March 08/2020
Iran’s epidemic of lies and disinformation/Baria Alamuddin/Arab News/March
08/2020
Amid virus crisis, Iran focuses on nuclear program/Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab
News/March 08/2020
Turkish-Russia agreement on Idlib is a fragile step in right direction/Yasar
Yakis/Arab News/March 08/2020
The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News &
Editorials published on March 08-09/2020
موقع دبيكا: حزب الله يعالج كبار المسؤولين
الإيرانين من الكورونا في معهد الرسول الأعظم الصحي الكائن في الضاحية الجنوبية
Secret facility at Hizballah’s Beirut hospital cares for Iranian high-ups down
with corona
DebkaFiles/March 08/2020
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/83960/%d9%85%d9%88%d9%82%d8%b9-%d8%af%d8%a8%d9%8a%d9%83%d8%a7-%d8%ad%d8%b2%d8%a8-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%84%d9%87-%d9%8a%d8%b9%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ac-%d9%83%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%b1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b3%d8%a4%d9%88%d9%84/
تقرير من موقع دبيكا نشر أمس افاد بأن حزب الله يبنقل من إيران إلى بيروت كبار
المسؤولين الإيرانيين المصابين بفيروس الكورونا ليقوم بعلاجهم في مستشفى معهد
الرسول الأعظم الكائن في الضاحية الجنوبية التي هي عملياً دويلته الخارجة عن نطاق
سلطة الدولة اللبنانية
Hizballah’s Al-Rasool Al Aatham University hospital in south
Beirut has been converted to a secret facility for treating high Iranian
officials infected with coronavirus, various Lebanese sources reveal. Tehran’s
Lebanese proxy boasts that its hospital operates according to strict Shiite
Islamic tenets.
Transferring high-profile victims outside the country to a secret venue appears
to be part of the Islamic regime’s cover-up of the real figures and death toll
from coronavirus in a country of 80 million which, alongside Italy, is seen as a
primary source of global contagion.
The Hizballah-Iran operation flies high Iranian officials down with the disease
from Tehran to Beirut by direct flight. This is one means of concealing the true
scale of the infection across the country, but also high officials benefit from
better treatment than they would in Tehran. There are no details about the
numbers of these transfers. The regime only reports the deaths of prominent
officials post factum. The last death reported on Thursday, March 5, was of
Mohammad Mirmohammadi, who was a member of the Expediency Council which chooses
national leaders and a close adviser to supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
On Friday, a female member of parliament Fatima Rahabar, succumbed to the
virus.No international health authority engaged in halting the spread of
coronavirus has laid hands on reliable information for determining the scale of
Iran’s contagion. It is also kept secret from the domestic authorities in
Tehran. If anyone has the true figures of the numbers of Iranians infected
and/or dead of corona-19 it would most likely be a very tight circle of regime
leaders within the supreme ruler’s inner circle and top commanders of the
Revolutionary Guards.
In the early stages of the virus, cases were reported in the shrine city of Qom,
a popular center of international Shiite pilgrimage, and therefore a primary
source of contagion to other parts of the Shiite world.
https://www.debka.com/secret-facility-at-hizballahs-beirut-hospital-cares-for-iranian-high-ups-down-with-corona/
Aoun calls for 'unifying personal status law'
NNA/March 08/2020
"On International Women's Day, we remember all women who have been victims of
society, violence or injustice," President of the Republic, Michel Aoun, said
via Twitter on Sunday, on the occasion of International Women's Day. He added:
"A unified personal status law that respects the articles of the Human Rights
Charter is the first step towards lifting the repression of women in Lebanon."
Berri: We renew the commitment to continue the struggle
alongside women
NNA/March 08/2020
House Speaker Nabih Berri considered, in a statement today, that "March 8th is a
juncture in which we renew the commitment to continue the struggle alongside
Lebanese women, in order to establish their right to partnership in all aspects
that create life, development and prosperity of the human being, and Lebanon."He
added: "To the Lebanese women, to mothers, all mothers, the mothers of the
martyrs and the resistance, the sincerest wishes on their day...May each year
bring you goodness!"
Hariri: Lebanese women have proven their true worth
NNA/March 08/2020
Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri tweeted Sunday on the occasion of
International Women's Day, saying: "A salute to women everywhere, especially to
Lebanese women who have proven their true worth and competence, and leadership
role in our society and in shaping its future."
32 coronavirus cases in Lebanon
Perla Kantarjian/Annahar/March 08/2020
According to the Rafic Hariri University Hospital report, over the last 24
hours, its emergency unit received 100 people suspected to have contracted the
virus.
BEIRUT: With four new cases on Sunday, the number of coronavirus cases in
Lebanon was announced to be 32. According to the Rafic Hariri University
Hospital report, over the last 24 hours, its emergency unit received 100 people
suspected to have contracted the virus.
Only 19 were required to be quarantined in the hospital, while the rest were
advised in-home quarantine. Among the 116 people who underwent the necessary
tests, 112 tested negative while 4 tested positive.According to the statement,
the number of cases within RHUH is 28, while the other 4 cases are being
transferred to the hospital by a team from the Ministry of Health. Additionally,
RHUH declared that all cases have a stable medical condition, except for 3 who
are in critical condition.
Lebanon Confirms Four More Coronavirus Cases
Naharnet /March 08/2020
Lebanon on Sunday confirmed four new coronavirus cases, taking the overall tally
to 32, according to the state-run Rafik Hariri University Hospital. A statement
issued by the hospital said it received 100 cases at its coronavirus section
over the past 24 hours. “They all underwent the necessary medical examinations
and 19 of them needed to be kept in quarantine according to the overseeing
doctor’s evaluation while the rest will observe home isolation,” the statement
said. Lab tests were meanwhile conducted for 116 individuals of whom 112 tested
negative and four tested positive. The statement said 28 of those who tested
positive are in the hospital’s quarantine unit while the other four will be
transferred later. It added that three out of those infected are in a critical
condition while the rest are in a stable condition. Lebanon has closed schools,
sport clubs, nightclubs, fairs and other venues and urged against gatherings,
after Health Minister Hamad Hasan announced that the country is no longer in the
containment phase regarding the virus.
After Debt Default Move, Lebanon Faces Reform Challenge
Agence France Presse/Naharnet /March 08/2020
Lebanon, shaken by street protests and economic crisis and now set to default on
its Eurobond debt, has pledged reforms that will serve as a litmus test for its
new government. "The real question is: will politicians do what's necessary to
fix the problem?" asked Sami Nader, director of the Levant Institute for
Strategic Affairs. "If defaulting does not go along with a clear-cut commitment
to reform, this will accelerate collapse."Lebanon's debt burden, long among the
largest in the world, is now equivalent to nearly 170 percent of its gross
domestic product. Prime Minister Hassan Diab said Saturday his government would
suspend payment of a $1.2 billion Eurobond maturity due on Monday and seek debt
restructuring because of dwindling foreign currency reserves. He also announced
plans to slash state spending and downsize an inflated banking sector. His
self-styled technocratic government, nominated in January to tackle a financial
meltdown and unprecedented anti-government protests, must now prepare for talks
with creditors and decide on whether to a seek the help of the International
Monetary Fund. With a long track record of chronic political gridlock,
corruption and financial mismanagement, many expect Lebanese politicians to
stumble. The demonstrators who have rallied since October don't believe the
government will carry through with the necessary changes. "We want to remind the
ruling class that the solutions have been available for years but, just like
today, we lacked courageous political will," said activist group Taqaddom in a
statement. Another group, Shabab al-Masref, warned that the government pledges
may just be "ink on paper".
IMF debate
Despite its turbulent history, the small Mediterranean country has never before
defaulted, but in recent months it has grappled with its worst economic turmoil
since the 1975-1990 civil war. Foreign currency has become increasingly scarce,
Lebanon's pound has plunged in value and banks have imposed tough restrictions
on dollar withdrawals and transfers. Diab met last month with an IMF delegation
to discuss technical assistance to tackle the spiraling financial crisis, but he
has yet to request funds amid internal divisions. Banking experts have argued in
favor of an IMF rescue, saying it would secure international assistance that the
cash-strapped country desperately needs and provide the kind of assurances
creditors are looking for. "The IMF is the only option moving forward if
politicians want an exit," Nader said. But Hizbullah, which along with its
allies holds a majority in parliament, has emerged as a vocal critic. Last week
it said it rejected conditions and "ready-made recipes" which global bodies
could impose, warning against what it called "foreign guardianship" over the
economy. In some troubled economies, the IMF has in the past recommended subsidy
cuts, tax hikes and a floating currency to address state insolvency, at times
fueling the kind of street protests that have already shaken Lebanon for months.
Exposed to danger
An-Nahar newspaper, Lebanon's oldest daily, however warned the country could be
exposed to more "danger" because the government has decided to embark on the
default path without IMF assistance. The IMF is a "necessary international
mediator that could have helped Lebanon by providing it with cover" against
creditors who may consider legal action, it said in an editorial Sunday. As
Lebanon braces to enter restructuring negotiations, a credible and feasible
economic rescue plan is "the main prerequisite," said Mohamad Faour, a
post-doctoral research fellow in banking and finance at University College
Dublin. Creditors usually prefer for such reform plans to be part of an IMF
package, he said, warning that "kick-starting the negotiations with no concrete
plan would be a non-starter." Diab on Saturday reiterated Lebanon's commitment
to reforms pledged at a Paris conference in April 2018, including spending cuts
and electricity sector reform, as well as plans to downsize a bloated banking
sector. The economist Jad Chaaban, a prominent critic of Lebanon's political
elite, blamed the crisis on decades of mismanagement by the state, including of
commercial lenders, many of which are owned by politicians themselves. He said
in a Facebook post that the prime minister's latest announcement marked the "end
of a system that saw banks covering up the corruption of the ruling
elite.""Political parties are in trouble, bank owners are in trouble, and the
tug of war between the two will only get worse."
Kubis Urges Lebanon to Ensure Women are 'More Involved' in Political Life
Naharnet/March 08/2020
U.N. Coordinator for Lebanon Jan Kubis on Sunday called on Lebanon to ensure
that women are “more involved” in the country’s political life, in a statement
marking International Women’s Day. “Lebanon is encouraged to take measures to
ensure women are more involved and allowed to actively take part in the
realization of change and in shaping the image of their country’s future through
greater inclusion and participation in decision-making processes,” Kubis said in
his statement.“This year, the commemoration of International Women’s Day takes
place at a pivotal moment in Lebanon’s history. Having historically stood at the
forefront of rights movements, Lebanon’s women have, once again, proven to be a
catalyst for social progress by taking the lead in calls for change and reform.
Their efforts to protect the non-violent character of Lebanon’s popular movement
and their united stance against a downslide towards strife demonstrated their
essential role in building peaceful societies,” he said. “Yet, the contributions
of women to the social, economic, political, legal, academic and all other
spheres in Lebanon can only attain its optimal level once the barriers still
hindering gender parity in leadership positions are lifted,” Kubis added.
Commenting on the presence of six women in Lebanon’s 20-member new government,
the U.N. official said that while the 30% women rate in the Cabinet and the
adoption of the 1325 National Action Plan constitute positive leaps and can be
effective tools for women’s empowerment, a long way is still ahead. “Women in
Lebanon continue to face many forms of discrimination, while inequality in
different fields is still predominant, gender-based violence is not adequately
combatted, and their concerns, rights, and interests are only rarely
prioritized,” he said. Kubis added: “Achieving gender equality is a key factor
for the establishment of a stable, peaceful and prosperous Lebanon. Bold
political, legal, economic and social steps are needed, especially through the
adoption and effective implementation of the necessary relevant laws, to ensure
women get to exercise their role as half of society and as pioneers of change
and advancement on all levels.”Kubis also promised that the United Nations in
Lebanon, through its different agencies, funds and programs will “continue to
press for the equal rights of women and will maintain its unwavering support for
their empowerment, participation and representation in all fields.”
Kubis: Honest statement of PM Diab opens the way out of the
crisis
NNA/March 08/2020
United Nations Special Coordinator for Lebanon, Jan Kubis, tweeted Sunday over
Lebanese Prime Minister's address yesterday, saying: "Honest statement of PM
Hassan Diab about the failure of the previous economic model opens the way out
of the crisis. I encourage creditors to work with the government to avoid
disorderly default following the suspension of the 9 March Eurobonds
payment...dictated by the critical situation of the country."
Hizbullah Urges 'Solidarity' with Govt. on Eurobond Decision
Naharnet/March 08/2020
A senior Hizbullah official announced Sunday that his party “backs the
government in its decision related to the Eurobonds,” urging the people and all
political forces to “show solidarity with it and support its stance.”
Everyone should “cooperate with it so that it takes its decisions bravely, away
from intimidation and blackmail,” the deputy head of Hizbullah’s Executive
Council, Sheikh Ali Daamoush, said. “The government’s decision not to pay the
dues and to restructure the debt instead is less negative than paying, because
paying without finding solutions to secure liquidity might lead to bankruptcy
and to heading to the International Monetary Fund to be subject to its
conditions,” Daamoush said. “Can Lebanon and the Lebanese bear the conditions of
the IMF?” he wondered. He warned that the IMF would impose conditions such as
“hiking the (VAT) tax to 20%, selling the state’s properties, privatizing
institutions and floating the Lebanese pound.” Daamoush added: “When we
announced that we are against heading to the IMF, some parties unleashed the
media mouthpieces against us, although we are not against the IMF as a financial
institution but rather against placing Lebanon under the international fund’s
tutelage, dictations and conditions, the same as we are against the tutelage of
any international or regional side over Lebanon.”“We don’t want our country to
lose its sovereignty and national decision under the pressure of the financial
and economic crisis, at a time that there are solutions that can prevent
collapse without putting the country under any side’s hegemony or burdening the
people with new taxes,” Daamoush went on to say. He said the alternative course
requires “a national will and understandings in addition to bold decisions.”
Sami Gemayel Slams Lack of 'Measures, Reforms' in Diab's
Default Speech
Naharnet/March 08/2020
Kataeb Party chief MP Sami Gemayel has criticized a speech delivered by Prime
Minister Hassan Diab in which he announced that Lebanon will default on its
March 9 Eurobond debt.
“No legal measures were announced, no practical and instant reforms were
announced, no economic and social steps for rescue were announced and no
containment measures were announced to confront the repercussions from the
default decision,” Gemayel lamented in a tweet. “All what we heard was a
declaration of the state’s bankruptcy and a disclosure of the reality of net
foreign currency reserves at the central bank,” he added. On Saturday, Diab said
that "the Lebanese state will seek to restructure its debts, in a manner
consistent with the national interest" through negotiations with creditors.
Diab's government was nominated in January to handle the economic crisis amid
unprecedented protests that began in October demanding a complete overhaul of
the political class. He said a default -- the first decision taken by his
government -- was the "only way" to stop reserves from depleting. In taking this
path, Diab's administration is in effect overruling objections from banks who
say it would pile added pressure on domestic lenders and compromise ties with
foreign creditors. The move also exposes the country to legal action by
creditors."How could we pay creditors while the Lebanese people are unable to
access their own money in their bank accounts?" Diab said. Despite a series of
crises, the country has never before defaulted, but in recent months it has
grappled with its worst economic turmoil since the 1975-1990 civil war. Foreign
currency has become increasingly scarce, Lebanon's pound has plunged in value
and banks have imposed tough restrictions on dollar withdrawals and transfers.
Diab said debt restructuring is part of a wider economic rescue plan, that seeks
to cut state spending and save more than $350 million annually. He said
downsizing the banking sector is part of the reform plan. Seeking to assuage
public concern, the prime minister pledged to protect bank deposits, especially
those of small depositors. He assured foreign backers of Lebanon's commitment to
reforms pledged at a conference dubbed CEDRE in Paris in April 2018. But an $11
billion (10 billion euro) aid package pledged at the conference has not been
unlocked by donors due to a lack of commitment to reforms. Diab said Lebanon
must now enter into debt restructuring negotiations, which "will take time,
effort, and will require painful measures."
Al-Rahi: We Won't Allow Lebanon's Downfall
Naharnet/March 08/2020
Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi on Sunday warned against “tampering with
Lebanon’s fate,” as he stressed that the church “will not allow its
downfall.”“It is a must to remind that the free financial and economic system –
of which the banking sector is a key part and in which the Lebanese stash their
lifelong savings – is a pillar of the pillars of the Lebanese entity which was
established by the venerable patriarch Elias Hoayek 100 years ago,” al-Rahi said
in his Sunday Mass sermon. “Beware of harming it and beware of jeopardizing the
future of the Lebanese through attacking it, because the reason (behind the
financial crisis) is found in another place,” the patriarch warned. He said the
government’s duty is to “address the reasons immediately and punish those
manipulating the national currency.”“We remind that free economy is at the heart
of the constitution, but the church wants it to have a social dimension that
guarantees justice, solidarity and the human’s dignity and rights,” al-Rahi
added.
Police Shut Nightclubs that Did Not Abide by Coronavirus
Closure Order
Naharnet/March 08/2020
Two units from the Tourist Police aided by members of the Internal Security
Forces overnight hit the streets to “shut down all nightclubs that did not abide
by the closure order” issued by Tourism Minister Ramzi Msharrafiyeh and
Lebanon’s anti-coronavirus panel. Al-Jadeed TV said the security forces moved at
the instructions of Prime Minister Hassan Diab, Msharrafiyeh and Interior
Minister Mohammed Fahmi. Lebanon’s government-linked anti-coronavirus committee
had on Friday recommended extending the closure of educational institutions and
nurseries until March 14 and called for shutting down sport clubs, nightclubs,
cinemas, fairs, theaters and other venues that witness gatherings. It said
nightclubs should be closed until next Sunday. Health Minister Hamad Hasan
warned Friday that Lebanon is no longer in the “containment phase” regarding the
virus, citing the arrival of infected Lebanese citizens from countries not
categorized as hotbeds of the virus, such as Egypt and the UK. Lebanon’s
confirmed coronavirus cases rose to 28 on Saturday after six new cases were
recorded.
Lebanon Debt Talks Won't Last More than 9 Months if Well-Intentioned, Says
Minister
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 8 March, 2020
Negotiations to restructure Lebanon's foreign currency debt should not last more
than nine months if well-intentioned, the economy minister told a local
broadcaster, as the country headed for its first sovereign default. Hit by a
major financial crisis, Lebanon declared on Saturday it could not pay
forthcoming maturities - the first of which is a $1.2 billion bond due on
Monday. The prime minister called for fair restructuring negotiations. The
default will mark a new phase in a crisis that has hammered the economy since
October, slicing around 40% off the value of the currency, denying savers free
access to their deposits and fueling unemployment and unrest. The financial
crisis is seen as the biggest risk to Lebanon's stability since the end of the
1975-90 civil war. Face-to-face negotiations between Lebanon and bond holders
are expected to begin in about two weeks, a source familiar with the matter told
Reuters. Prime Minister Hassan Diab, in a televised address to the nation on
Saturday, said foreign currency reserves had hit a "critical and dangerous"
level and were needed for basic imports. Lebanon had therefore, suspended the
March payment. The financial crisis came to a head last year as capital inflows
slowed and protests erupted over decades of state corruption and bad governance.
"The negotiation process will last for months and if we have good intentions
will not go on for more than nine months," Raoul Nehme, the economy minister,
told broadcaster al-Jadeed in comments published on its website overnight.
Reuters could not immediately reach him for comment. "The government is now
waiting for the position of the Eurobond holders," Nehme said, adding that he
expected them to adopt "positive" positions. Referring to the possibility of
Lebanon being sued abroad, he said creditors may bring legal cases against the
central bank but would not win. Lebanon has some $31 billion in dollar bonds
that sources say the state wants to restructure. Lebanon's public debt has
reached around 170% of gross domestic product, meaning the country is close to
being the world's most heavily indebted state, Diab said. Lebanon's banks, big
holders of the debt, are ready to talk with foreign creditors as the government
seeks to restructure, a source familiar with the matter said on Saturday. There
was no timetable yet for any restructuring and the discussions with foreign
creditors are likely to start slowly, the source said. The Lebanese banking
association has appointed Houlihan Lokey as financial adviser to help with the
process. There has been no sign of a bailout from foreign states that aided
Lebanon in the past. Western governments insist Beirut first enact long-delayed
reforms against waste and corruption. Many analysts believe the only way for
Lebanon to secure financial support would be through an IMF program. But this is
opposed by Hezbollah, which has said conditions the IMF would seek to impose
would cause a "popular revolution". Lebanon has however sought IMF technical
assistance.
Lebanon Bondholders Stepping up Efforts to Form Creditor Group
Asharq Al-Awsat/March 08/2020
A set of Lebanon’s bond holders are to step up efforts to form a creditor group
in the coming days after the country’s presidency signaled on Saturday it would
default, one of the members of the group said. Prime Minister Hassan Diab
announced later on Saturday that Lebanon cannot meet its forthcoming debt
maturities, setting the heavily indebted state on course for a sovereign
default. “We think it (creditor group) will come together soon,” the member of
the group said, requesting anonymity. “From what we understand the government
wants to be reasonable and so do most creditors. They understand the country is
in a difficult situation.”So far, the group had been more informal, with
distressed debt veterans Greylock Capital and Switzerland-based Mangart Advisors
facilitating discussions between bond holders and other interested investors.
The group member told Reuters that amid the prospect of a default, potential
legal and financial advisors had been sounded out. Lebanon’s government itself
has hired investment bank Lazard and law firm Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton
LLP to help steer its efforts. “From what we understand the government wants to
be reasonable and so do most creditors. They understand the country is in a
difficult situation,” said the group member. “We think if this is approached in
a constructive way that something can be achieved.” Diab declared the suspension
of a bond payment of $1.2 billion due on March 9, saying foreign currency
reserves had hit dangerously low levels and were needed to meet basic needs.
Diab said Lebanon's public debt had reached around 170% of gross domestic
product, meaning the country was close to being the world's most heavily
indebted state.
Kataeb: Shooting at 'Kataeb Central House' in Saifi at dawn
today
NNA/March 08/2020
The Lebanese Kataeb Party disclosed, in an issued statement on Sunday, that
unknown gunmen opened fire at dawn today at the Central Kataeb House in Saifi,
hitting its eastern façade with six bullets. The Party placed this assault in
the custody of the state and its security services, to track down and reveal the
identity of the perpetrators. "The Kataeb Central House that has embodied
independence and freedom, which was labeled by the October 17 Revolution as the
House of the People, and which became the meeting place for revolutionaries and
free men of various sects, affiliations and orientations, will remain open to
all Lebanese and the spearhead in the battle towards sovereignty, liberty and a
decent life," the Party pledged in its statement. It concluded by asserting that
the Kataeb will never be undermined or intimidated by such "cheap and trivial
political messages."
Musharrafieh: Women will have most prominence in the
Ministries of Social Affairs and Tourism
NNA/March 08/2020
Minister of Social Affairs and Tourism, Ramzi Musharrafieh, tweeted Sunday on
the occasion of Women's Day, saying: "On International Women's Day, a salute to
disabled women, elderly women, abused women and working women..."He added: "In
the Ministry of Social Affairs and the Ministry of Tourism, women will have
significant presence and most effective roles, for they are the foundation of
society."
Majzoub extends educational institutions' closure until the
evening of March 15
NNA/March 08/2020
Higher Education Minister Tarek al-Majzoub requested that classes continue to be
suspended in all public and private educational institutions until Sunday
evening, March 15, 2020, in a circular addressed to elementary and secondary
schools, vocational institutes and public and private universities today. "In
order to preserve the health and safety of students and administrative and
educational bodies, and after communicating with the Public Health Minister and
the official bodies tasked with following-up on the fight against the
Coronavirus, and based on public interest requirements, all directors of public
and private educational institutions are requested to continue to suspend
classes in all public and private educational institutions until Sunday evening,
March 15, 2020," the circular read. It also called for "completing the
preparation of emergency programs to end the educational curricula and
compensate for the lessons lost by the students."
Al Shamsi praises women's achievements on International
Women's Day: Left a distinctive mark in building their homelands
NNA/March 08/2020
On the occasion of International Women's Day, United Arab Emirates Ambassador to
Lebanon Hamad Saeed Al Shamsi, hailed the significant accomplishments of women,
saying: "International Women's Day pushes us every year to appreciate the
important and pioneering role that women play in our societies, especially since
women have left a distinctive mark in building their nations." In an issued
statement marking the event which falls on the 8th of March of each year, Al
Shamsi said "the UAE participates in the appreciation and recognition of the
role of women and their active contribution to the process of political,
cultural, social and economic development." He noted that "this day has become a
global occasion to discuss and present women's achievements and future
aspirations for further progress. "The UAE has attached great importance to
empowering citizens, male and female alike, since its foundation in 1971. The
constitution guarantees equal rights for all, and before the law in obtaining
health, education and work," Al Shamsi maintained. He continued to stress that
"women have been recognized as an equal partner to men in the development of our
nation for a long time. Although our country is newly established, evidence of
our success in empowering women to work is their presence in leadership
positions in a number of government agencies, the army, businesses and in
different sectors of society." The UAE Ambassador highlighted his country's
pioneering position in "topping many global and regional indicators on gender
equality and women's accomplishments, and in women's access to education,
literacy and job opportunities, as well as in the index of treating women with
respect, among other indicators." Al Shamsi concluded by congratulating women on
their international day, deeming them as "well-deserving of appreciation,
gratitude and praise being half of society, and perhaps even the whole society,"
adding, "All the best to the Emirati women who charted the path of success and
brilliance and exerted strenuous and relentless efforts in building our state."
Is Lebanon on the verge of collapse?
Rami Rayess/The Arab Weekly/March 08/2020
As Lebanon passes through the most severe and unprecedented economic and fiscal
crisis in its contemporary history, there are increasing doubts that its new
cabinet is capable of confronting the enormous upcoming challenges. The Arab and
international communities upon which Lebanon traditionally relies for aid have
expressed a cold attitude towards the cabinet headed by Hassan Diab. Lebanese
Foreign Minister Nassif Hitti recently made his first European visit to Paris,
with the new cabinet relying on the French to revive the CEDRE Conference
resolutions that pledged almost $11 billion in aid to Lebanon.
The conference was orchestrated by French President Emmanuel Macron, convened in
the French capital in April 2018 and called on Lebanon to initiate reforms that
would introduce drastic changes to the economy.
Lebanon’s power sector squanders $2 billion a year in estimated losses, a figure
that has increased the country’s deficit and public debt to no avail because the
country still suffers electricity shortages in vast areas. In effect, the new
cabinet has copy-pasted the former government’s plan as-is without amendment.
The plan postpones the assignment of an independent supervisory committee, which
is a precondition for donors, to increase transparency and secure efficient
administering of the sector. The pretext is that there is a need to change the
regulatory law first. Criticisms have also been voiced against this
postponement, considering that this is a step that would allow the Energy
Ministry to complete all huge tenders without the supervision of the committee.
Information leaked from Paris indicated that France had lost enthusiasm to
extend aid to Lebanon unless it seeks aid from the International Monetary Fund
(IMF), a step that would deepen division among Lebanese political parties.
Hezbollah has explicitly rejected any deal with the IMF because it considers the
fund a Western tool used to dominate crippled countries such as Lebanon. On the
Arab front, Diab has reportedly asked to visit Saudi Arabia, part of a Gulf tour
that would also see him travel to Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and
other countries. Riyadh has yet to respond. Qatar has said it would welcome a
visit from Diab, regardless.
The new government’s plan promised Qatar Petroleum one out of the three grand
Floating Storage Regasification Units to be built in Lebanon. Another enormous
challenge that confronts the cabinet is the $1.2 billion Eurobond set to mature
March 9, with other bonds requiring repayment in April and June. Lebanese
Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni, a veteran financial expert, said the country “has
the option to choose between the worse and the worst.”After the Central Bank
announced that it was the sole responsibility of the cabinet to deal with this
debt, there are fears that abiding by those payments would lead to a sharp
decrease in the Central Bank’s foreign currency reserves, something that would
exacerbate the liquidity crisis in the country. Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri
warned against making the forthcoming payment, saying it would lead to
catastrophic results at the social level. The revolt that started October 17,
2019, toppled the government headed by Saad Hariri but has lost momentum, with a
few exceptions of cutting roads or breaking into ministries and public
departments. The call for early parliamentary elections, though supported by
several political forces, seems to be blocked by Hezbollah, which is of the view
that parliament should complete its designated term, which ends in 2022. As a
result of this, political and economic deadlock is looming. Once more, Lebanon
finds itself at a crossroads as it has always been. No matter where it goes and
how it goes, difficulties are at the forefront.
Lebanese women to press for equal personal status rights on
International Women’s Day
Samar Kadi/The Arab Weekly/March 08/2020
BEIRUT - Although a record of six female ministers sit in Lebanon’s cabinet,
Lebanese women struggle to achieve equal gender rights in a country where
discrimination against them is facilitated by 15 religion-based personal status
laws.
Family law in Lebanon falls under the ruling of religious courts so each sect
dictates its own rules concerning marriage, divorce, inheritance and custody,
which are mostly unfair to women across all confessions. A video of a divorced
Shia woman grieving her daughter’s death after she was denied the right to see
her for years and forbidden from attending her funeral sent crowds demonstrating
outside the Supreme Islamic Shia Council, the community’s highest religious
authority. Men and women chanted that corruption had infiltrated the turbans of
religious leaders who refuse to listen to demands for more just rulings.
Unfortunately, another International Women’s Day is marked and women in Lebanon,
who are educated and hardworking, are still fighting for basic rights, said Mona
Fayyad, a sociologist and Lebanese University professor.
“One of the most flagrant forms of discrimination against Lebanese women is not
having the right to give their nationality to their children if they are married
to non-Lebanese, whereas men grant their non-Lebanese wives full citizenship in
no time,” Fayyad said. “Discrimination is also inherent in the personal status
laws of all sects and religions. It is a matter that harms both genders because
it consigns them to their sect and places them at the mercy of the clergy in
matters of marriage, divorce, inheritance, et cetera.”“Definitely women are
doubly harmed because religious laws do not grant them the same rights as men
when it comes to inheritance or children custody or even the right to divorce in
the Shia community,” Fayyad added.
Zeina Ibrahim, a member of the Protecting Lebanese Women organisation, has been
campaigning for seven years to raise maternal custody within the Shia community
to 7 years for boys and 9 years for girls, as well as shared custody afterward.
“We have many clerics who back us and they are part of the campaign because they
consider our demands are rightful and can be achieved since it does not go
against religion,” Ibrahim said, noting that all other sects have amended the
custody regulations except the Shia. “Of course, we hope there is a common
equitable civic law for personal status affairs that applies to all religions
and sects. Besides personal status issues, many discriminate laws need to be
amended to become fairer to women and fulfil their rights,” Ibrahim added.
Prominent Shia cleric Sheikh Ahmad Taleb called for reforms in religious courts.
He said he supports raising the age of custody and that immediate reforms should
be made within the courts, Ibrahim noted. A report by Human Rights Watch, called
“Unequal and Unprotected” listing forms of discrimination facing women in
Lebanon, said, across all confessions, women faced legal and other obstacles
when terminating unhappy or abusive marriages; limitations on their pecuniary
rights; and the risk of losing their children if they remarry or when the
so-called maternal custody period ends.
“Gender inequality in Lebanon is among the worst in the world,” Fayyad said.
“There is no equality between people (the haves and have nots) in general and no
equality between male and female citizens especially under the authority of the
clergy. What we need is hands-off from the clergy over personal status
laws.”Equal rights in a civil state are among the demands of anti-government
demonstrators who have been protesting since October against a ruling class
accused of corruption and mismanagement that pushed Lebanon to the brink of
economic collapse. Meanwhile, events dedicated to women’s rights were set for
International Women’s Day under the theme “I am Generation Equality: Realising
Women’s Rights.”
Those included a female march on March 8, panel discussions of women’s role in
the protest movement and a 2-day event — “Women in the spotlight” — that
includes talks, discussions, stand-up comedy, yoga workshops, garage sales and
live music. The activities were organised by women architects, artists and
activists who started local initiatives that are environmentally sensitive. One
event was designed to honour pioneering Lebanese women athletes who defied
social stigmas and thrived through determination and perseverance and a public
talk on how to “build resilience in a time of crisis” will provide tips to deal
with the socio-economic crisis gripping Lebanon; mentally, financially and
physically.
The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News
published on March 08-09/2020
KSA Releases King's Photos after Purge over
'Coup Plot'
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/March 08/2020
Saudi Arabia released images of King Salman carrying out his royal duties on
Sunday, after a stunning purge of at least three princes including his brother
and nephew for allegedly plotting a coup. Saudi royal guards on Friday detained
the trio, multiple sources told AFP, in a move that signals Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman's tightening grip on power. The detentions also raised
speculation about the health of the 84-year-old king and whether Prince
Mohammed's succession to the Arab world's most powerful throne was imminent. But
the official Saudi Press Agency posted photos of the king presiding over the
swearing-in ceremony of newly appointed Saudi ambassadors to Ukraine and
Uruguay. A source close to the Saudi leadership told AFP on Saturday the "king
is healthy and fine" and the detentions were meant to enforce "discipline"
within the royal family. The crown prince is "in control" and the purge was
carried out "after an accumulation of negative behavior by the two princes",
this source added without elaborating. Prince Ahmed bin Abdulaziz al-Saud, a
brother of King Salman, and the monarch's nephew Prince Mohammed bin Nayef were
detained after they were accused of plotting a palace coup aimed at unseating
the crown prince, heir to the Saudi throne, sources said. Prince Nayef's younger
brother, Prince Nawaf bin Nayef, was also detained, they added.The detentions
mark the latest crackdown by Prince Mohammed, the king's son who has
consolidated his grip on power with the imprisonment of prominent clerics and
activists as well as princes and businessmen. He is already viewed as the de
facto ruler, controlling all the major levers of government, from defense to the
economy.
MBS Crown prince detains three family members over ‘coup plot’
The Arab Weekly/March 08/2020
Crown Prince orders arrest of three princes including King’s brother, nephew for
allegedly plotting palace coup to overthrow de facto ruler.
RIYADH - Saudi authorities have detained three princes including King Salman's
brother and nephew for allegedly plotting a coup, three sources said Saturday,
signalling the de facto ruler's tightening grip on power.
The detentions, which cast aside the last vestiges of potential opposition to
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, come at a sensitive time as the petro-state
grapples with plunging oil prices and limits access to Islam's holiest sites
over fears of the new coronavirus. Royal guards detained Prince Ahmed bin
Abdulaziz al-Saud, a brother of King Salman, and the monarch's nephew Prince
Mohammed bin Nayef on Friday after they were accused of plotting a palace coup
aimed at unseating the crown prince -- heir to the Saudi throne -- an Arab
official and a Western official said. Prince Nayef's younger brother, Prince
Nawaf bin Nayef, was also detained, they added.
A number of military and interior ministry officials accused of supporting the
coup plot had also been rounded up, the Western official said, citing Saudi
government sources. "With this purge, no rivals remain to stop the crown
prince's succession to the throne," he said.
The detentions raised speculation about the health of the 84-year-old king and
whether the crown prince's succession to the Arab world's most powerful throne
was imminent. But another source close to the Saudi leadership said the "king is
healthy and fine" and the detentions were meant to enforce "discipline" within
the royal family. The crown prince is "in control" and the purge was carried out
"after an accumulation of negative behaviour by the two princes", this source
added without elaborating. The Wall Street Journal, which was first to report
the detentions, said Prince Ahmed and Prince Nayef -- once potential contenders
for the throne -- could face lifetime imprisonment or execution. It was unclear
where they were being held. The detentions mark the latest crackdown by Prince
Mohammed, the king's son who has consolidated his grip on power with the
imprisonment of prominent clerics and activists as well as princes and
businessmen. Already viewed as the defacto ruler controlling all the major
levers of government, from defence to the economy, the prince is widely seen to
be stamping out traces of internal dissent before a formal transfer of power
from his father King Salman. Prince Mohammed has faced a torrent of
international condemnation over the murder of critic Jamal Khashoggi inside the
kingdom's Istanbul consulate in October 2018. "Prince Mohammed is emboldened --
he has already ousted any threats to his rise and jailed or murdered critics of
his regime without any repercussion," said Becca Wasser, a policy analyst at the
US-based RAND Corporation."This is a further step to shore up his power and a
message to anyone -- including royals -- not to cross him."
'Disgruntled princes'
The detentions come as Saudi Arabia grapples with a coronavirus-led slump in oil
prices just as the kingdom was seeking to raise funds to finance Prince
Mohammed's ambitious Vision 2030 reform programme. The kingdom has suspended the
"umrah" year-round pilgrimage over fears of the disease spreading to Mecca and
Medina, raising uncertainty over the upcoming hajj. The pilgrimages are a key
source of revenue. "The arrest of several senior disgruntled princes... reflects
a growing discontent with the 'Son King' over his despicable hegemony and
erratic social, economic, foreign and religious policies," said Madawi al-Rasheed,
a London-based Saudi academic. Prince Mohammed had edged out Prince Nayef, the
former crown prince and interior minister, in 2017 to become heir to the throne.
At the time, Saudi television channels showed Prince Mohammed kissing the hand
of the older prince and kneeling before him in a show of reverence. Western
media reports later said that Prince Nayef had been placed under house arrest, a
claim denied by Saudi authorities. Prince Ahmed, said to be in his 70s, was
reportedly keeping a low profile after he returned to the kingdom from his base
in London. Just before his return in October 2018, the prince had courted
controversy over remarks he made to protesters in London chanting against Saudi
royals over the kingdom's military involvement in the ongoing conflict in Yemen.
"What does the family have to do with it? Certain individuals are responsible...
the king and the crown prince," he said, according to an online video of the
incident. The comment was seen by many as rare criticism of the kingdom's
leaders, but Prince Ahmed had dismissed that interpretation as "inaccurate".
Israel Election Challenger Gets Extra Security after Threats
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 8 March, 2020
Israel's parliament on Sunday beefed up the security detail protecting Benny
Gantz, the main electoral challenger to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, after
deeming various death threats against Gantz to be credible. The threats came in
the wake of last week's volatile and inconclusive election, in which Netanyahu
was unable to capture the parliamentary majority needed to form a government.
Gantz revealed that a man tried to assault him Saturday evening as he arrived at
a speaking engagement, and that Netanyahu supporters have been threatening him
online. One post called for Gantz to be murdered just like former Prime Minister
Yitzhak Rabin, who was assassinated by a Jewish ultra-nationalist in 1995.
Another portrayed him and his fellow party leaders in Arab headdress, similar to
images that circulated of Rabin before he was killed. In his comments, Gantz
vowed to unseat Netanyahu with a more worthy leadership and warned the prime
minister to tamp down his divisive rhetoric before it was too late. “Netanyahu:
The pubic atmosphere and the threats worry every national leader,” he said,
pointing his finger forward. “The incitement is raging everywhere and you are
silent.”“I won't allow you to sow fear. I won't allow you to turn man against
his brother. I won't allow you to bring about modern Israel's first civil war in
return for a ticket out of your trial,” he added. “Your regime has trampled all
norms.”
Netanyahu goes on trial for next week to face corruption charges of fraud,
breach of trust and accepting bribes. Israel's longest-serving leader is
desperate to remain in office, because installing a new government would give
him an important political boost and potentially allow him to legislate his way
out of the legal quagmire. Initial exit polls had indicated his Likud party and
smaller religious and nationalist allies may be able to eke out a razor-thin
edge in parliament. But when the dust finally settled after Monday's vote, final
results showed Netanyahu's right-wing bloc capturing just 58 seats, well short
of the 61-seat majority required to form a new government. A defiant Netanyahu
still insists he has emerged as the winner, and accused his opponents of trying
to “steal the elections” by aligning with Arab-led parties he claimed were
hostile to the state. “I promise you, I am not going anywhere,” Netanyahu told
supporters Saturday. While Netanyahu's opponents control a majority of seats in
the incoming parliament, they are deeply divided, with a hardline nationalist
party and the predominantly Arab Joint List among them. Those divisions could
make it difficult for Gantz to establish an alternative coalition. If neither he
nor Netanyahu can form a government, the country could be headed to an
unprecedented fourth straight election. But even if he can't build a government
himself this time, Gantz's party looks to be promoting legislation in the new
parliament that would bar anyone indicted of a crime being able to lead a
government. If it passes, the proposal would essentially end Netanyahu's career.
With his back against the wall, Netanyahu has intensified his attacks. His
allies have lashed out in all directions — threatening to fire the attorney
general, blackmailing lawmakers who didn't defect to his camp, comparing his
opponents to the ancient enemies of the Jewish people and hinting that
supporters would angrily take to the streets if he was voted out. Convening what
he called an “emergency conference” Saturday night, Netanyahu himself accused
Gantz and his partners of undermining Israeli democracy. “There is no limit to
their cynicism," he charged. “The political reason we are here tonight is the
deceitful attempt to steal away the will of the people with lies and
anti-democratic legislation.”
Iraq’s Shiite Parties ‘Deeply Divided’ over Naming New PM
Baghdad – Hamza Mustafa/Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 8 March, 2020
Mohammed Allawi’s decision to withdraw his candidacy for the position of prime
minister has left Iraq at an impasse and confronted Shiite parties with the need
to choose a successor. The country had 12 days to appoint a new figure, five of
which have already passed. Differences among Shiite parties have strengthened
the hand of Sunni and Kurdish parties that had withheld confidence from a
cabinet lineup proposed by Allawi. The failure to approve the lineup at
parliament led him to withdraw his candidacy. The Sunni and Kurdish parties,
including President Barham Salih, have effectively thrown the ball back in the
Shiite court. The president is entitled by the constitution to nominate any
figure he deems fit to form a cabinet. This figure does not necessarily have to
be part of the largest parliamentary bloc. Salih, however, opted to allow the
Shiites to choose the prime minister in line with political norms that have been
in place in Iraq since 2003. The Sunnis and Kurds did not oppose Allawi’s
nomination, but they rejected his political performance and his failure to hold
any serious negotiations with them over the government. MP Mohammed al-Karbouli
told Asharq Al-Awsat: “Allawi was a mystery until the very end. He did not have
a clear approach in choosing ministers.” He added that the majority of the names
he chose for his cabinet were “unsuitable” for their posts. “It would be wrong
to claim that we objected to ministerial shares. He did in fact try to reach an
understanding with us and the Kurds in the end. This meant making concessions.
We were clear in stating that we were mainly concerned about the cabinet’s
agenda. He was not clear about this,” he explained. MP Salem al-Ghaban told
Asharq Al-Awsat that the Shiites are “deeply divided” about the crisis over
naming a new premier. “There appears to be no light at the end of the tunnel,”
he remarked, despite acknowledging the efforts to bridge divides and resolve
disputes among Shiite leaderships. He blamed the lack of progress in resolving
the dispute to the “intransigence” of some leaderships that refuse to show any
flexibility that would lead to an agreement. He predicted that they will fail to
name a PM within the constitutional deadline. Moreover, Ghaban remarked that
Qassem Soleimani, the top Iranian commander killed in a US strike earlier this
year, “always used to bring together the divided Iraqi Shiites.”
Egypt Says Ethiopia’s Posturing over Nile Dam Threatens
Regional Security
Cairo – Mohamed Nabil Helmi/Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 8 March, 2020
With the fierce crisis persisting over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD),
Egypt has been upping its rhetoric against Addis Ababa, accusing it of
undermining regional stability. “Ethiopia’s policy on the GERD is a further
assertion of the unilateral nature of its regional conduct that has resulted in
continuing harm and suffering for multitudes of our African brethren,” it said.
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement on Friday in which
it rejected the Ethiopian foreign ministry’s statement on the Arab League stance
on GERD altogether.
Cairo, in the statement, urged the international community to join the Arab
League in taking cognizance of Ethiopia’s continuing defiance and unilateralism,
which threaten to undermine regional stability and security. “This statement is
inappropriate, undiplomatic, and constitutes an unacceptable affront to the Arab
League and its member states. The fact that the Arab League adopted a resolution
calling on Ethiopia to respect the applicable rules of international law and not
to undertake unilateral measures that could harm Egyptian riparian rights and
interests is a testament to the extent to which Ethiopia unilaterally considers
its interests not only as superseding, but also superior to, the collective
interests of the sovereign states of the Arab League which it seeks to
suppress,” it added. The Arab League voiced rejection of any infringement of
Egypt’s historical rights to the waters of the River Nile.
This came at the end of the 153rd session of the Arab League Council, which
kicked off on March 4 at the level of foreign ministers. “This resolution
adopted by the Arab League reflects dismay and discontent at Ethiopia’s track
record throughout the endless rounds of negotiations on the GERD, particularly
since the conclusion of the 2015 Agreement on Declaration of Principles (DoP),”
continued the Egyptian Foreign Ministry. “Ethiopia’s posture and position during
these negotiations, which has been criticized by the Arab League, evinces its
intent to exercise hydro-hegemony and to anoint itself as the unchallenged and
sole beneficiary over the Nile.”Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry is
expected to kick off on Sunday an Arab tour, starting from Jordan. He will also
visit Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates.
Iran Stops Flights to Europe as Coronavirus Death Toll Climbs
Asharq Al-Awsat/Sunday, 8 March, 2020
IranAir has stopped all flights to European destinations, the official IRNA news
agency reported on Sunday, citing a statement from the Civil Aviation
Organization. "With attention to the restrictions that have been placed on (IranAir)
flights by Europe for unclear reasons all IranAir flights to European
destinations have been suspended until further notice," IRNA reported, citing
the statement. Iran is in the midst of a coronavirus outbreak with one of the
highest rates of fatality from the illness outside of China, where the virus
originated. The health ministry said on Sunday that total coronavirus cases have
risen to 6,566, while the death toll has reached 194, according to state
television. Among the dead was Fatemeh Rahabar, a 55-year-old newly elected
lawmaker who passed away in Tehran, the state-run IRNA news agency reported
Saturday. She'd been elected to the next parliament that begins work in May.
Earlier this week, Iranian lawmaker Abdolreza Mesri told state television that
23 members in the current parliament had the coronavirus, and urged all
lawmakers to avoid the public.
IranAir stops all flights to Europe
Arab News/March 08, 2020
DUBAI: IranAir has stopped all flights to European destinations, the official
IRNA news agency reported on Sunday, citing a statement from the Civil Aviation
Organization. “With attention to the restrictions that have been placed on (IranAir)
flights by Europe for unclear reasons all IranAir flights to European
destinations have been suspended until further notice,” IRNA reported, citing
the statement. Iran is in the midst of a coronavirus outbreak, with 5,823
infections and 145 deaths, one of the highest rates of fatality from the illness
outside of China, where the virus originated.
Iran Reports 49 New Coronavirus Deaths, Highest Single-Day
Toll
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/March 08/2020
Iran's health ministry on Sunday reported 49 new deaths from the novel
coronavirus, the highest toll within 24 hours since the start of the outbreak in
the country. "At least 194 of our compatriots who fell sick with the COVID-19
illness have passed away," health ministry spokesman Kianoush Jahanpour said in
a televised news conference. The outbreak of the virus in Iran is one of the
deadliest outside of China, where the disease originated. Jahanpour added that
743 new infections were also confirmed within the past 24 hours, bringing the
number of cases to 6,566 spread across all of Iran's 31 provinces. With 1,805
infections, the capital Tehran remains the province with the most cases, the
spokesman added. But the situation in other provinces continued to deteriorate,
with Jahanpour saying 685 cases were detected in and around Qom, the holy Shiite
city south of Tehran where the country's first cases were reported. He said the
number of cases was also "rising quickly" in Isfahan, a popular tourist
destination, where there were now 564 people sick with the virus. No official
widescale quarantine measures have been enforced but several provinces have
announced they would not provide lodging for tourists in an effort to dissuade
travel. Iran has been scrambling to contain the spread of the virus, closing
schools and universities until the end of the Iranian new year celebrations and
holidays in early April, a period when people typically travel and visit family.
Quarter of Italian Population Put under Virus Lockdown
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/March 08/2020
More than 15 million people were placed under forced quarantine in northern
Italy early Sunday as the government approved drastic measures in an attempt to
halt the spread of the deadly coronavirus that is sweeping the globe. Prime
Minister Giuseppe Conte said on Twitter he had signed off on plans to strictly
limit movement in and out of large areas including Venice and the financial
capital Milan for nearly a month. "#Coronavirus, the new decree is finally
approved," Conte wrote, confirming earlier reports of the lockdown in the
newspaper Corriere Della Sera and other media.With more than 230 fatalities,
Italy has recorded the most deaths from the COVID-19 disease of any country
outside China, where the outbreak began in December.Italy has the world's second
oldest population after Japan, according to the World Bank, and older people
appear to be more vulnerable to becoming severely ill with the new coronavirus.
Without a "serious" reason that cannot be postponed, such as urgent work or
family issues, people will not be allowed to enter or leave the quarantine
zones, Corriere Della Sera reported. These include the entire Lombardy region as
well as Venice and its surrounding areas, and the cities of Parma and Rimini --
affecting a quarter of Italy's population of 60 million. Museums, nightclubs,
gyms and casinos will be closed in these places, with people advised to stay at
home as much as possible, the newspaper said, adding that the restrictions would
be in place until April 3.
People will be allowed to return home from outside these regions, while bars and
restaurants are allowed to remain open provided it is possible for customers to
stay a meter (three feet) away from one another. The measures echo those taken
in China's central Hubei province, whose nearly 60 million residents have been
under lockdown since late January when the government rushed to put a lid on the
virus that first emerged in the regional capital, Wuhan. Worldwide, the total
number of people with COVID-19 has passed 100,000 while 3,500 have died across
95 nations and territories.
The disease has convulsed markets and paralyzed global supply chains, and Italy
has found itself at the forefront of the global fight against the virus, with
more than 5,800 infections recorded in the past seven weeks in all 22 Italian
regions. The virus has now spread to all 22 Italian regions and the first deaths
are being recorded in Italy's less well medically equipped south.
Gulf Shares Slump after OPEC Fails to Agree Virus Action Plan
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/March 08/2020
Shares in the energy-dependent Gulf plunged to multi-year lows Sunday after
OPEC's failure to agree on a coronavirus action plan prompted fears of an
all-out oil price war. OPEC and its allies failed to clinch a deal on production
cuts that would have offered support to energy markets, sending prices tumbling
to four-month lows on Friday. The OPEC+ meeting was expected to agree to deeper
cuts of 1.5 million barrels per day to counter the effects of the novel
coronavirus, but Moscow refused to tighten supply. Fears of a price war were
stoked as Saudi Arabia -- the world's top exporter -- quickly responded by
making significant cuts to its oil price. All the seven bourses in the Gulf were
in the red amid a panic sell-off over fears that energy prices, the mainstay of
public revenues in the region, could collapse. The Saudi stock market, the
largest in the region, dived by 7.7 percent minutes from the opening bell on
Sunday, the first day of the trading week. Shares in oil giant Saudi Aramco
dropped below their IPO price of 32 riyals ($8.5) for the first time, losing
some 7.6 percent to 30.50 riyals. The world's biggest company launched on the
bourse to much fanfare in December in a record-breaking initial public offering,
but since then its market value has slipped from the IPO value of $1.71 trillion
to $1.63 trillion. The slide on the Saudi market also came amid accounts of high
level arrests among the ruling family that sent shockwaves around economic
circles in the region. Multiple sources told AFP that Saudi authorities have
detained three princes, including King Salman's brother and nephew, for
allegedly plotting a coup, in a move that signals Crown Prince Mohammed bin
Salman's tightening grip on power. The Dubai Financial Market shed 8.5 percent
at one point on Sunday, its worst decline in six years, before recovering
slightly. Its sister market in Abu Dhabi also lost 7.0 percent, while the Qatar
Stock Exchange dropped 3.5 percent. Market leader Emaar Properties, the largest
real estate company in the Middle East, dropped 9.1 percent to its lowest ever
price of 2.99 dirhams (81 cents) a share. Kuwait Boursa authorities stopped
trading after the Premier Index slumped 10 percent while the All-Shares index
dived 8.4 percent. The tiny markets of Bahrain and Oman dropped by 3.0 percent
and 1.1 percent, respectively.
Oil price war Bloomberg News reported on Sunday that Saudi Arabia had
begun an all-out oil war after making the biggest cut in its oil prices in the
last 20 years. The Gulf powerhouse cut its price for April delivery by $4-6 a
barrel to Asia and $7 to the United States, with Aramco selling its Arabian
Light at an unprecedented $10.25 a barrel less than Brent to Europe, Bloomberg
said. "Saudi Arabia is responding to Russia's exit from output cuts by launching
a price war," Bill Farren-Price of Petroleum Policy Intelligence told AFP. "They
will boost volumes (exports) and seek market share at all costs. Oil prices will
collapse on Monday" when global markets open, he said. "The combination of
higher oil production and lower demand due to the coronavirus makes that
inevitable. It will be a bloodbath."The new developments are reminiscent of the
oil price war that erupted in 2014 and sent oil prices crashing to less than $30
a barrel.The price fall battered revenues in the Gulf countries, forcing them to
resort to austerity measures and borrowing to plug budget deficits.
Italy locks down millions as its coronavirus deaths jump ¥ Italy to quarantine
16 million people in wealthy north
NNA/March 08/2020
MILAN, March 8 (Reuters) - Italy ordered a virtual lockdown across much of its
wealthy north, including the financial capital Milan, in a drastic new attempt
to try to contain a outbreak of coronavirus that saw the number of deaths leap
again sharply on Sunday.The unprecedented restrictions, which aim to limit
gatherings and curb movement, will impact some 16 million people and stay in
force until April 3. They were signed into law overnight by Prime Minister
Giuseppe Conte. The new measures say people should not enter or leave Lombardy,
Italy's richest region, as well as 14 provinces in four other regions, including
the cities of Venice, Modena, Parma, Piacenza, Reggio Emilia and Rimini. Only
people with proven, work-related reasons, or health problems will be able to
move in and out of the exclusion zones. Leave has been cancelled for health
workers. "We are facing a national emergency. We chose from the beginning to
take the line of truth and transparency and now we're moving with lucidity and
courage, with firmness and determination," said Conte. "We have to limit the
spread of the virus and prevent our hospitals from being overwhelmed," he told a
news conference called in the early hours of Sunday. Italy has been hit harder
by the crisis than anywhere else in Europe so far and Sunday's latest figures
showed that starkly. The number of coronavirus cases jumped 25% in a 24-hour
period to 7,375, while deaths climbed 57% to 366 deaths. It was the largest
daily increase for both readings since the contagion came to light on Feb. 21.
{Reuters}
Saudi Arabia locks down Qatif province to prevent
coronavirus spread
NNA - (Reuters)/March 08/2020
Saudi Arabia said on Sunday it has imposed a temporary lockdown on the eastern
Qatif province, an oil-producing region and home to a large Shi'ite Muslim
population, to prevent the spread of coronavirus after 11 people there were
infected. All the individuals who had been diagnosed with the disease in the
kingdom have either been to Iran or interacted with people who visited the
Islamic Republic, home to major Shi'ite holy sites. The Saudi interior ministry
said in a statement that no one would be allowed to enter or exit Qatif and that
work at all public and private sectors in the province had been suspended with
the exception of institutions providing necessary services. Commercial supplies
would continue to flow to the region, said the statement carried on state media.
The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources
published on March 08-09/2020
Resilience of Iranian Women Shows Regime’s Abject Failure
Princess Noor Pahlavi/Asharq Al-Awsat/March 08/2020
This year has served as a strong reminder of the resilience and strength of
Iranian women
There have been many victims of the ruling regime. Untold numbers of people have
been persecuted, arrested, tortured and killed. Innocent people have been
targeted for their faith, their race, their politics and any number of other
characteristics. But from its very outset, this regime has had no greater focus
and target than Iran’s women. Khomeini’s earliest writings were diatribes
against the progress for women that my grandfather ushered in. Khomeini never
got over the equality that Iranian women had. His mission was to destroy it and
for 41 years, his regime has looked to silence Iranian women. It will never
succeed.
Iranian women have always been lionesses who have stood up for their rights and
refused to stay silent in the face of oppression wherever they see it. This year
has served as a strong reminder of the resilience and strength of Iranian women
and today, on International Women’s Day, I want to honor their sacrifices and
thank them for their leadership. These women are heroes. For years, Atena Daemi
has languished in Evin prison. Her “crime” was advocating for women and
children’s rights. In jail, she has been denied proper medical treatment.
Despite this unjust treatment she has bravely persisted in her activism. She has
written from prison that her struggle for justice for Iran’s women and other
oppressed groups will not cease.
After losing her son, Mostafa KarimBeigi, in the 2009 protests Shahnaz Akmali
used her pain and grief as fuel for action. She has rallied other mothers whose
children have been murdered by the regime and has been a source of companionship
and solace for them. Despite imprisonment and threats, she has never let up the
fight. After saying goodbye to her friends at her Quran study class, Fatemeh
Sepehri was arrested for being a signatory of the “14-person letter” calling for
an end to the regime’s gender apartheid and to the regime itself. Today, she
remains imprisoned for having had the bravery to stand up for the rights of all
Iranian women.
Having lost her son Sattar Beheshti in a regime torture cell, Gohar Eshghi has
become a mother to so many more grieving families who share in her pain of a
child stolen far too early. She has shown the nation what true courage and
unmatched empathy look like.
These are the brave women whose names we know. Yet there are too many,
thousands, of other mothers, sisters, and daughters struggling whose names we do
not. These women whose loved ones were slain in the Aban (October) month
massacre have kept on in silence. Their pain and anger are unimaginable and
their bravery to continue the fight has empowered us all. These women should
never have had to be in this position. I wish they weren’t. I can only imagine
that they wish the same. But they have taken the pain and used it to try to end
our national tragedy, to end this gender apartheid. They are our nation’s
heroines and on International Women’s Day they should know that the Iranian
people look to them for inspiration.
We see this remarkable strength in Iranian women everywhere. On my mother’s
travels to Greece to meet with Iranian refugees, she met with women who had been
through unthinkable tragedy. She met women who had survived abuse, mental health
struggles, drug addiction and so much else. They sat, talked, laughed and cried
together as Iranian women. The stories my mother shares with me from these women
are astounding and the strength they possess to keep standing is remarkable. To
me, this show’s the regime’s abject failure. They have tried to silence Iranian
women for four decades. But Iranian women of all stripes have only become
stronger and more united in their demand for justice, equality and freedom. One
day soon in tomorrow’s free Iran, we will celebrate this great day, together,
across Iran and honor the immense bravery and achievements of Iranian women.
That day is not far.
Who's Attacking Palestinian Christians?
Bassam Tawil/Gatestone Institute/March 8, 2020
The plight of Christians living under the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank
and Hamas in the Gaza Strip is one that is often ignored by the international
community and foreign journalists based in the Middle East.
It is worth noting that that the Christian population in the Bethlehem area has
dropped from 86% in 1950 to less than 12% today. Across the West Bank,
Christians now account for less than 2% of the population....
In the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip, the situation of Christians is even worse.
Instead of raising their voices against the persecution of Christians by the
Palestinian Authority and Hamas, these Christian leaders are busy trying to
blame Israel. They want the world to believe that Christians are fleeing
Bethlehem and the Gaza Strip because of Israeli security measures against
terrorists, and not because of the brutalities perpetrated by the Palestinian
authorities and Muslims in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. If their claim were
true, why aren't Muslims also fleeing as a result of the purported Israeli
measures?
While Christian leaders are busy condemning Israel and spreading blood libels
against it, Christians in Bethlehem (pictured) are again being targeted by
hoodlums and punks.
While Christian leaders are busy condemning Israel and spreading blood libels
against it, Christians in Bethlehem are again being targeted by hoodlums and
punks.
The latest victim of this anti-Christian violence is Dr. Salameh Qumsiyeh, a
gynecologist from Bethlehem who was brutally attacked by unidentified thugs as
he was driving his car in the center of the city on February 18.
Four masked assailants intercepted Qumsiyeh's car, eyewitnesses said, and beat
him with clubs and sharp tools before fleeing the scene. Qumsiyeh was rushed to
hospital, where medics said that the wounds he had suffered were serious.
The doctor's family, one of the biggest Christian clans in the Bethlehem area,
issued a statement harshly criticizing the assault, dubbing it a "sinful and
despicable attack by a group of cowards and violators of laws and national and
social norms." The clan went on to express shock over the attack and was careful
to claim that it had been carried out by "mercenaries." It urged the Palestinian
Authority (PA) security forces to do their utmost to "arrest the cowards and
bring them to justice."
Palestinian factions in the Bethlehem area also denounced the "brutal and
cowardly" attack on Qumsiyeh. "We strongly condemn this cowardly and suspicious
act, which is alien to our traditions," the factions said in a statement.
The Holy Family Hospital in Bethlehem further condemned the assault on Qumsiyeh
and urged the Palestinian security forces to apprehend the perpetrators and
bring them to justice.
The attack on Qumsiyeh came only weeks after a Christian woman from the town of
Bet Jala, near Bethlehem, died when Palestinian police officers raided her home
to arrest her son, Yusef, for unpaid debts. The woman was identified as
63-year-old Terez Ta'amneh.
Ta'amneh's daughter, Marian al-Hajal, accused the Palestinian security forces of
"killing my mother" and said that as a Christian, she has no confidence in the
Palestinian law and police. "The seven police officers who raided our home," she
said, "were led by Jamal Hmeid, a nephew of Kamel Hmeid, the Palestinian
governor of Bethlehem."
On the eve of last Christmas, 76-year-old Fairouz Ijha, a Christian woman from
Bethlehem, complained that she has been in court for the past two years,
fighting to attain family-owned land illegally seized by Muslims. "Each time I
ask the judge for permission to speak, he tells me, 'it's not your turn yet,'"
Fairouz said. "If I were a Muslim, I would have been treated differently."
A Christian schoolteacher who identified herself as "Diana" emphasized that
discrimination against Christians was not new and has in fact increased. "The
[Palestinian] police have separate rules for Muslims and Christians," she
maintained. "If, for example, there's a car accident involving a Christian and a
Muslim, the police always side with the Muslim."
The plight of Christians living under the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank
and Hamas in the Gaza Strip is one that is often ignored by the international
community and foreign journalists based in the Middle East.
It is worth noting that that the Christian population in the Bethlehem area has
dropped from 86% in 1950 to less than 12% today. Across the West Bank,
Christians now account for less than 2% of the population, though in the 1970s
they were 5%.
In the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip, the situation of Christians is even worse. The
number of Christians living there has dropped from 4,200 in 2007, to only a few
hundred today.
"The Hamas people took over my house and turned it into a war room," said Kamal
Teresi, a Christian who recently fled the Gaza Strip.
"I was put in a number of prisons, and the Hamas prison is nothing but beating
and psychological torture. We Christians are not bystanders in Palestine; we
have been in Palestine for 2000 years; we are not guests. They [Hamas] are
harassing and hurting the Christian public and Christian institutions, churches
and associations. I can't go back to Gaza; returning would be a death sentence."
While ordinary Christians are saying they no longer feel safe living under the
Palestinian Authority and Hamas, their leaders continue to lie to the world
about the predicament of their community. Instead of raising their voices
against the persecution of Christians by the Palestinian Authority and Hamas,
these Christian leaders are busy trying to blame Israel.
These Christian leaders, possibly to avoid being targeted themselves, seem to
want the world to believe that Christians are fleeing Bethlehem and the Gaza
Strip because of Israeli security measures against terrorists, and not because
of the brutalities perpetrated by the Palestinian authorities and Muslims in the
West Bank and Gaza Strip.
If that were true, why aren't Muslims also fleeing as a result of the purported
Israeli measures? Israel's security measures, by the way, are usually not
directed against Christians but against Palestinian Muslims for their
involvement in terrorism. If anyone has good reason to flee from Israeli
security, it is the Muslim terrorists and their families, and not peaceful and
vulnerable Christians, most of whom are not involved in anti-Israel activities
or terrorism.
What are Palestinian Christian leaders doing to defend their community?
Unfortunately, nothing. Some even join the Muslims who spread blood libels
against Israel.
One such cleric is the head of the Sebastia Diocese of the Greek Orthodox Church
in Jerusalem, Archbishop Atallah Hanna, who recently claimed that Israel had
"poisoned" him in an apparent failed assassination attempt. Hanna, who is known
for his vicious anti-Israel incitement, alleged that he had inhaled a dangerous
amount of poison when a gas canister was fired through the window of his room at
the church.
It later turned out that Hanna's accusations were completely unfounded and
simply the continuation of a despicable defamation campaign against Israel.
An investigation by the Israeli authorities revealed that the church had invited
an Israeli company to spray the church with pesticide. "We expect a clergyman to
adhere to the truth," the Israeli Foreign Ministry responded to Hanna's blood
libel, "and that clergymen around the world denounce these outrageous false
proclamations and refrain from distributing this libel."
Hanna, like other Palestinian Christian leaders, is not just a liar; he is a
traitor to his own community. Hanna has not spoken a word against the attack on
Qumsiyeh and other Christians in Bethlehem. He does not care about the suffering
of his people under the oppressive Islamist rule of Hamas in the Gaza Strip.
By ignoring the real reason why Christians are fleeing from the West Bank and
Gaza Strip, leaders such as Hanna are emboldening the anti-Christian Muslims and
allowing them to continue their attacks on Christians living there.
As for the international community and Christian institutions around the world,
it is their most far-reaching duty to look into these blood libels by
Palestinian Christian leaders to check if there is factual accuracy. If they
fail to do so, the day will come when not a single Christian will be left in
Bethlehem, the Gaza Strip, and most likely the Middle East, with the exception
of Israel, where numbers are on the rise.
*Bassam Tawil is based in the Middle East.
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do
not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No
part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied
or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.
An Iranian Concert at Saudi Arabia’s Tantora Festival
Camelia Entekhabifard/Asharq Al-Awsat/March 08/2020
When the Shiraz Festival of Arts (in Iran) began in late 60s and early 70s, it
brought with it a mixture of disbelief, resentment and at the same time,
admiration and pride. At the time when there were no social media and internet,
the ordinary man’s access to the Festival’s events was limited to the national
television broadcasts and the printed press.
Even then, not all households had television sets to watch. A considerable
proportion of the public – particularly in small cities and villages - informed
themselves of social and political goings-on and trends by attending the local
mullah’s sermons.
At the time, that is more than 50 years ago, organizing cultural and artistic
events in Iran that bore the elements of western modernity, was inevitably met
with resentment and rejection by radical Islam.
Khomeini had called Shiraz Festival the “festival of vulgar arts”!
The 1979 revolution left nothing of the Shiraz Festival of Arts nor did it allow
music and arts in general, nor any hope in those who had dreamt of Iran’s
development and progress and its march towards a prosperous future. It killed
all aspirations in those for whom Iran was a cradle of arts, beauty, progress
and an example of a successful country in the region. What the revolution
brought for the people of Iran was silence, destruction of previous
achievements, and an artless society; what it gave the region was a gift of
extremism, threat, the end of a dream of an example of a prosperous and
progressive Iran, and a backward and medieval interpretation of Islam and the
Shiite faith.
The Iranian Revolution not only brought profound transformation within the
country but had a deep impact on political and social trends of its neighboring
countries also. The revolution resuscitated and strengthened extremist movements
the same way the Shah’s cultural and reform programs had inspired his neighbors
and made them follow such programs in earnest.
It is hard to believe that in 1970s, Googoosh’s songs (a popular female singer)
were broadcast from Saudi Arabia’s radio and television networks. There were
cinemas in Saudi Arabia, and Iran’s neighbors inspired by changes and
progression in Iran, followed suit.
With Shiraz Festival in mind, I attended the second winter music festival in
Tantora at AlUla Medina in the north western region of Saudi Arabia. The Tantora
Festival is a cultural event aimed at bringing together music and arts of the
East and the West and combat – at least in a cultural sense - fundamentalism and
extremist movements.
The Tantora music festival in a religious and highly traditional country like
Saudi Arabia is a huge undertaking, effective and indeed an achievement in line
with the new generation’s aspirations for change and reforms. The participation
of famed international artists, singers and musicians at the month-long Tantora
festival over the past two years, demonstrates the deep appreciation and
recognition by artists that this region needs support for reformist changes. It
is hoped that this festival would become an inspiration for other Muslim
countries the same way that the late Shah Mohammad Reza’s reforms was seen as
progressive and daring.
In the meantime, the Tantora Festival in its last two days was – for the first
time - host to Iranian artists to prove that cultural and artistic activities
recognize no frontiers, and that in circumstances where Iranian singers are not
allowed to perform in their own countries, this opportunity afforded them within
the realms of the most religious and the most traditional Muslim country in the
world.
For the first time in the history of Saudi Arabia, Iranian singers performed on
Saudi soil.
Iranian singers who participated in Tantora Festival maintained that their
presence at the Festival was not a political gesture, but to support the sublime
idea of “music without frontiers” with the purpose of introducing Iranian music
and culture to other people. They said they would welcome any constructive
change for the betterment of human society.
The suffering, deprivation and calamity the peoples of this region have endured
over the past decades have been enormous. There are no frontiers for violence
and extremism either. They can easily move from place to place, cross frontiers
and bring with them destruction, poverty and ignorance.
The open-mindedness, courage and vision with which Iranian singers participated
in the Festival, was admirable.
Artists are ambassadors for those who like and believe in them. Those who sang
in the Festival were “crème de la crème” of Iranian singers and representatives
of an array of age groups and tastes within the Iranian society. They were the
voice of a society eager to be heard, filled with hope and appetite for
happiness. This voice was heard by Iranians from a neighboring country not far
from them.
It is always difficult to start a new movement and encourage change in a
society. It is always and inevitably faced with resistance from different
individuals, groups and organizations. There is no doubt, however, that there
will be voices and groups who will gradually join in support of a cultural
movement the region so badly needs. It is an honor and a pleasure indeed that
prominent and popular Iranian singers among representatives of other countries
are on the forefront of the movement that supports such reforms and rejects
fundamentalism.
Saudi Arabia targets senior royals in sweeping
Simeon Kerr in Dubai and Andrew England in London/FT/March 08/2020
Saudi Arabia has launched a sweeping crackdown against senior royals and
security officers in a purge that appears to be part of Crown Prince Mohammed
bin Salman’s efforts to tighten his grip on power by targeting potential rivals.
At least three princes were among those detained, including Prince Ahmed bin
Abdulaziz, a 77-year-old brother of King Salman, and considered by many as an
obstacle to Prince Mohammed’s succession, two people briefed on the matter said.
Prince Mohammed bin Nayef, the former crown prince and interior minister, was
also detained on Friday. He is believed to have been under house arrest since
being replaced as crown prince by Prince Mohammed, who is known as MBS, in 2017.
The widening crackdown has extended to the “entire inner circle” of Prince
Mohammed bin Nayef, said one person close to the royal family.
The number of arrests of princes could amount to as many as 20, said another
person briefed on the operation. Other officials and officers were also taken
into custody, the person added.
The crackdown appears intended to remind the wider family that any hints of
perceived disloyalty would not be tolerated.
“The key is the top two guys,” said the person close to the royal court,
referring to Prince Ahmed and Prince Mohammed bin Nayef. “The others that came
with them are peripheral.”
The person added: “They wanted to send a message to family for all to fall into
line and Prince Ahmed was the biggest fish. He had been making noises for a
while so patience ran out.”
Ali Shihabi, a Saudi commentator and supporter of the crown prince, dismissed
rumours of a coup attempt, adding that “what people must appreciate is that the
royal family has had to go through a very delicate generational
succession . . . given the large number of princes who were technically eligible
to succeed”.
“What is important is that this process is playing out without any bloodshed
which is a rare occurrence in history,” Mr Shihabi said on Twitter. “The message
is very clear that nothing will be allowed to destabilise the country or cause
any bloodshed.”
He added that the king and crown prince “are in absolute control”.
King Salman swore in two Saudi ambassadors on Sunday, according to the official
news agency, which published pictures showing him in apparent good health.
The event appeared designed to quell rumours about his health. The 84-year-old
monarch had also had lunch with senior princes on Friday, a person familiar with
the matter said.
The government has not responded to a request for comment.
Speculation had swirled on Saturday that the king’s health had persuaded MBS to
launch the crackdown to smooth any transition.
As the news about the arrests spread, many government supporters took to social
media to express their backing for the leadership, with several nationalistic
hashtags trending on the social media site over the past 48 hours.
“Saudi Arabia will remain standing tall and safe despite the plots of haters and
enemies,” television presenter Tariq al-Harbi said in a tweet featuring a
picture of the king and crown prince.
Prince Mohammed, the kingdom’s de facto leader, has launched far-reaching social
and economic reforms while projecting Saudi power across the region. But his
drive to modernise the conservative kingdom has been accompanied by waves of
crackdowns that have targeted members of the royal family, businessmen,
academics, activists, bloggers and journalists.
He has displayed zero tolerance towards criticism and the world’s top oil
exporter was plunged into its biggest diplomatic crisis in years after Saudi
agents killed Jamal Khashoggi at the kingdom’s consulate in Istanbul in October
2018.
Riyadh blamed the veteran journalist’s murder on a rogue operation, and Prince
Mohammed’s supporters and Riyadh’s western allies hoped the 34-year-old leader
would heed lessons from the chastening experience. He has avoided controversy
since then as Saudi Arabia prepares to host the G20 group of nations meeting
this year.
But the arrests of the royals will cast further scrutiny on his autocratic
leadership and suggest he is reverting to his aggressive approach of dealing
with any perceived threats — even from those family members who appear to have
been neutralised by his previous crackdowns.
It is unclear how much of a threat Prince Ahmed — who was overlooked as a
potential successor after a brief stint as interior minister in 2012 and has
kept a low profile since his return to the kingdom — and Prince Mohammed bin
Nayef posed to the crown prince’s grip on power. The latter’s friends say he has
been subject to close monitoring since he was replaced as crown prince.
MBS, whose rapid rise to heir apparent three years ago shook up the traditional
succession process, has pushed through a series of contentious policies.
Months after he became crown prince, he launched an extraordinary
anti-corruption crackdown that led to more than 300 princes and businessmen
being detained at the Ritz-Carlton hotel in Riyadh. Most have been released, but
many were freed only after they agreed to transfer cash and assets to the state.
The government claimed it netted more than $100bn in the purge, but the
crackdown was also seen as an early sign of the crown prince’s drive to cement
his power and a sign that nobody was untouchable.
The kingdom has also been criticised for its role in the five-year war in Yemen,
where a Saudi-led coalition has been accused of killing thousands of civilians
in air strikes that have struck homes, hospitals, weddings and funerals.
“There are lots of things going on in Saudi Arabia that are not in MBS’s
favour,” the analyst, who did not want to be named, said.
The kingdom is expected to face another tough year as oil prices, Saudi Arabia’s
economic lifeline, have plunged about 30 per cent since January as coronavirus
has spread across the globe.
The disease has caused the kingdom, which is home to Mecca and Medina, Islam’s
two holiest sites, to temporarily suspend the entry of religious pilgrims during
the Umrah season, an important source of revenue and jobs for Saudi Arabia.
Turkey-Russia ceasefire deal has failed the Syrian refugees
Raghida Dergham/The National/March 08/2020
Missing in Moscow was a longer-term view on ending the war. This is a problem,
as the quagmire will only expand in the country
If there is one takeaway from Thursday’s meeting between Turkey’s President
Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, it is that
their ceasefire deal will not bring long-term stability to Syria. The summit in
Moscow might have offered some face-saving measures for both leaders, but it did
not revive the political process or offer a roadmap for a lasting ceasefire.
For sure, the summit did not provide either leader with a win. Mr Erdogan
received none of what he demanded – neither the withdrawal of Syrian regime
forces back to the lines stipulated by an agreement made between Turkey and
Russia last year, nor the end of Russian support for the regime’s offensives. Mr
Putin, too, failed to receive what he was after – namely, a commitment from his
Turkish counterpart to take action against groups in north-western Syria that
Russia considers to be terrorists.
Missing from Moscow was longer-term view to ending the Syrian conflict that
began in 2011. This is a problem because, absent this, any ceasefire is bound to
be short-lived and the quagmire will only expand in Syria with all the
stakeholders further digging in their heels
If the meeting had any positive outcome, it was that Russia’s foreign ministry
had succeeded in urging Mr Putin to seek a diplomatic resolution rather than
military confrontation with Turkey. That said, the joint news conference that
followed the meeting did not inspire confidence. For his part, Mr Erdogan made
it clear that if the Assad regime continued to attack Turkish forces, Ankara’s
response would be even harsher than it has been so far.
In other words, the ceasefire might amount to a mere temporary cessation of
hostilities. Even the safe corridor under discussion between the Turkish and
Russian defence ministers holds little significance beyond keeping a channel
open between their forces.
Missing from Moscow was a longer-term view on ending the Syrian conflict that
began in 2011. This is a problem because, absent this, any ceasefire is bound to
be short-lived and the quagmire will only expand in Syria with all the
stakeholders further digging in their heels.
For Mr Erdogan in particular, this is a deepening crisis. Problems between
Ankara and Moscow could deprive the Turkish president of an important bargaining
chip in his ongoing negotiations with the US and Nato, of which Turkey is a
member. Second, insistence upon Turkish dominance in northern Syria will
inevitably lead to a confrontation with Russia, because Moscow will not cease
its support for Syrian regime forces. In the absence of any sign of an imminent
political settlement – and with Mr Erdogan’s public opposition to elections in
Syria until the country’s refugees are repatriated – the Turkish president will
struggle to resolve the many challenges facing his political career.
The fact that Mr Erdogan had to go to Moscow, and could not convince the Russian
leadership to hold the meeting in Ankara is further evidence of the pressure Mr
Erdogan is under. Adding to the voices against him are several from the European
continent, where leaders are accusing him of blackmail: Mr Erdogan is currently
encouraging the travel of large numbers of Syrian refugees from Turkey to
Europe.
It has also not helped that Mr Erdogan’s position inside Nato is at an
especially low point. Indeed, the US – the leading member of the alliance – does
not trust Mr Erdogan and was unimpressed by his policy directions in recent
times – including Ankara’s purchase of the Russian-made S-400 missile system,
despite strong American and Nato opposition. The system is not yet operational
in Turkey, with Washington considering the possibility of helping Ankara to
replace it with the Patriot Missile system – although the idea is likely to fall
through.
Meanwhile, a notable absentee from the Moscow summit – aside from Mr Al Assad
himself – was Iran. The regime in Tehran and Hezbollah, its ally in Lebanon, are
knee-deep in Syria’s troubles for a variety of reasons. But both Iran and
Lebanon are struggling through deepening crises in their own countries. Their
choice today is between staying in Syria and participating in the conflict in a
mere auxiliary role, or withdrawing to attend to their domestic problems,
ranging from economic crises to mass popular discontent to the outbreak of
coronavirus.
Indeed, coronavirus could threaten the fate of Iran’s regime, not only because
the ruling clerics there have obstructed the measures necessary to prevent an
epidemic, but also because authorities seem to have no system in place to
measure how much the virus has spread. As one Iranian told me, the bazaar
culture cannot be stopped and quarantines are a strange concept to their
culture. So far, controlling the outbreak has proved extremely difficult, and
the Iranian leadership might not be able to avert a larger disaster.
It is therefore possible that Iran’s external agenda, especially in Syria but
also Iraq and Lebanon, could increasingly take a backseat. However, this does
not mean that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps – the regime’s militia –
will suspend their operations in the various theatres across the Middle East.
And it will not necessarily mean that Iran’s woes could force it to reconsider
its policies and respond to US and European calls to renegotiate the nuclear
deal and abandon its expansionist ambitions. As I have been told, flexibility is
out of the question despite the regime being weighed down by sanctions.
Unfortunately, the policies pursued by all the stakeholders in Syria’s future do
not take into consideration the humanitarian crisis. What is distressing about
it is, there seems no light at the end of the tunnel for the millions of
ordinary civilians.
*Raghida Dergham is the founder and executive chairwoman of the Beirut Institute
Iran’s epidemic of lies and disinformation
Baria Alamuddin/Arab News/March 08/2020
The coronavirus epidemic has drawn global attention to all the worst aspects of
the Islamic Republic. The regime’s initial response was to energetically cover
up all evidence of a major outbreak, fearing it would further depress a dismal
election turnout. Even as the crisis became visible to all, state media mocked
the merits of quarantine, and medical workers were reprimanded for wearing
masks. Such excessive secrecy undoubtedly helped the disease to spread.
Security personnel took up residence in hospitals, intimidating staff and
warning them not to discuss the infection. Medical professionals report pressure
to deliberately misrepresent the number of cases, while the head of Qom’s
Medical Science University acknowledged on TV that the Health Ministry had
banned the publication of data about the outbreak. “By turning this into a
national security issue, they are putting more pressure and stress on doctors
and medical teams and creating an environment of chaos and fear,” a Tehran
pathologist said.
Glaring statistical discrepancies indicate that this pathologically dishonest
regime is massively underreporting the scale of the outbreak. Although Iran
acknowledges over 6,500 cases and nearly 200 deaths, epidemiologists say the
real numbers may be over 10 times greater.
Dozens of members of parliament and government officials are infected. A former
ambassador to Syria and a senior adviser to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei have
died. Yet Khamenei remains in denial, saying the virus “won’t affect the country
for long and will leave.” TV footage of a visibly ill deputy health minister,
not even wearing a mask to avoid coughing over people attending his own press
conference, did little to inspire confidence that the regime was up to the
challenge.
Clusters of infections popped up around individuals traveling from Qom to Iraq,
Lebanon, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman and elsewhere, before Iranian officials had even
formally acknowledged what was happening. This fundamentally dishonest behavior
delayed by several weeks the ability of nearby states to take precautions,
transforming an isolated outbreak into a region-wide epidemic. Even now,
Hezbollah is obstructing any prospects of canceling flights between Iran and
Lebanon.
This regime aspires to root its legitimacy in Islamic principles, but it
instinctively relies on lies and misinformation whenever it finds itself under
pressure.
The release of 54,000 prisoners long after reports that the virus was already
rampant in the prison system is just one of numerous panicky and belated
measures. With the disease present in all 31 Iranian provinces, experts warn
that the plan to send 300,000 militiamen to conduct tests and disinfect homes
could paradoxically contribute to spreading the virus. With the closure of
schools there was a sudden rush of traffic toward holiday resorts on the Caspian
coast, prompting officials to threaten the use of force to halt unnecessary
travel that could further spread infection.
The difficulties of purchasing health equipment under US sanctions have been
exacerbated by the Iranian authorities selling their stockpiles of facemasks to
China. When news of this leaked, state news agencies claimed that the masks were
donated to China “as sign of long-term and traditional friendship between two
countries.” With China one of Iran’s few significant remaining trading partners,
Tehran continued to receive flights from Beijing, even after it became obvious
that infected individuals were already arriving. In an open letter to Rouhani,
Iran’s Health Minister raised concerns that a regime-connected network was
profiting from the virus by monopolizing the trade in medical equipment. “How is
it possible that this opportunist network announces that in 24 hours they can
provide 200 million masks?” the minister inquired.
At the center of the outbreak in Iran, in the holy city of Qom, shrines that
host millions of pilgrims each year remain open because of the influence of
powerful clerics. Some clerics rebuked the cessation of Friday sermons, claiming
that the virus couldn’t spread in holy places. One custodian asserted that his
shrine mustn’t be shut down because Iranians regarded it as “a source of
recovery and healing.” In videos circulating online, pilgrims make a show of
licking the gold-plated fixtures at one location, having been told that this
would protect them from the virus. Cleric and former vice president Mohammad-Ali
Abtahi commented that pious Iranians believed that “this is the time to show
their loyalty to Islam and to Qom by traveling there in its difficult days.”
This regime aspires to root its legitimacy in Islamic principles, but it
instinctively relies on lies and misinformation whenever it finds itself under
pressure; despite the Revolutionary Guard knowing it shot down a passenger plane
in January, killing all 176 on board, for days the regime vigorously denied all
involvement. The ayatollahs lied for decades about the existence of their
military nuclear program, and in 2019 they re-embarked on efforts to enrich
sufficient uranium for a nuclear bomb, despite Khamenei stating that such
weapons violated Islam’s teachings.
The same regime that claims it doesn’t interfere in its neighbors’ affairs can’t
restrain itself from frequent boasting about its control over four Arab
capitals. It asserts that any support it provides is in the cause of peace and
prosperity, but has amassed such large missile stockpiles in these states that
future conflict becomes almost inevitable. Former Foreign Minister Manouchehr
Mottaki once bragged to me that Iran was donating $1bn a year to Hezbollah; yet
he was unable to respond when I noted how many other Lebanese politicians were
on Tehran’s payroll, rendering an entire nation wholly beholden to a hostile
foreign power.
It never ceases to amaze me how willing senior European officials are to believe
Iran’s protestations of good intentions, even when the inherent contradictions
of Tehran’s claims are staring them in the face — the terrorism, the militancy,
the criminality, the arms proliferation, the attacks against peaceful nations.
This disgusting, throwback regime has cannibalized the nation’s wealth to wage
its overseas paramilitary wars, leaving its people to starve. So we shouldn’t be
surprised that on the threshold of a major pandemic, criminally negligent
leaders choose to play Russian roulette with millions of its citizens’ lives.
*Baria Alamuddin is an award-winning journalist and broadcaster in the Middle
East and the UK. She is editor of the Media Services Syndicate and has
interviewed numerous heads of state.
Amid virus crisis, Iran focuses on nuclear program
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh/Arab News/March 08/2020
Amid the coronavirus crisis, the Islamic republic is advancing its nuclear
program and violating the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), commonly
known as the Iran nuclear deal. The UN’s atomic watchdog, the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), reported that Tehran has increased its uranium
stockpile, which now stands at the equivalent of 1,510 kg. Under the nuclear
deal, Iran was limited to 300 kg of weaker enriched uranium.
This reveals a substantial increase in Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile in a
short period of time. Tehran currently possesses five times more enriched
uranium as it is supposed to have under the agreement. More importantly, the
theocratic establishment now has enough enriched uranium to refine and build a
nuclear bomb. Approximately 1000 kg of uranium enriched at just 5 percent can be
refined to create one nuclear bomb.
For the Iranian regime, one of the most effective times to expand its nuclear
activities comes when media outlets and the international community are focusing
on other urgent issues. The coronavirus has taken the global spotlight and
governments around the world are attempting to halt its spread. This seems to
have given the Iranian regime a perfect opportunity to work on its nuclear
program at a faster pace.
This is probably why the international community remains silent in the face of
the IAEA’s alarming report. Iranian leaders claim that the Supreme Leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is against obtaining nuclear weapons. The foreign
minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, said at the Munich Security Conference last
month that “We have always said we are not interested in building nuclear
weapons.”
But if Iran is truly not seeking nuclear weapons, why is it still banning the
IAEA’s inspectors from visiting its nuclear sites and why is declining to
cooperate with the watchdog? According to a recently published second report by
the IAEA: “the agency identified a number of questions related to possible
undeclared nuclear material and nuclear-related activities at three locations in
Iran.”
With or without the deal, the Islamic Republic is required to disclose its
nuclear activities and sites to the IAEA as part of the treaty on the non
proliferation of nuclear weapons (NPT).
Rafael Grossi, the new head of the group, told journalists when he was meeting
French President Emmanuel Macron: “Iran must decide to cooperate in a clearer
manner with the agency to give the necessary clarifications.”
This issue has nothing to do with the nuclear deal. With or without the deal,
the Islamic Republic is required to disclose its nuclear activities and sites to
the IAEA as part of the treaty on the non proliferation of nuclear weapons
(NPT). Iran is a member to the NPT. Therefore, Iranian leaders cannot place the
blame on the US for withdrawing from the nuclear deal.
It should also be noted that the three undeclared locations in Iran which the
IAEA is investigating are different from the clandestine nuclear site that
Israel and two non-partisan organizations based in Washington — the Institute
for Science and International Security and the Foundation for the Defense of
Democracies — revealed last year. Prime Minister Netanyahu stated in his speech
to the UN General Assembly that Iran had a “secret atomic warehouse for storing
massive amounts of equipment and material from Iran’s secret nuclear weapons
program.” Tehran claimed that the warehouse, which is located in a village in
the suburbs of Tehran, was a place where carpets were cleaned.
The IAEA’s inspectors were able to detect traces of radioactive uranium at the
site. Israel’s warning and other reports had proved accurate. The head of the
IAEA stressed recently this issue again: “The fact that we found traces (of
uranium) is very important. That means there is the possibility of nuclear
activities and material that are not under international supervision and about
which we know not the origin or the intent. That worries me.”
The international community must take immediate steps to halt Iran’s march
toward nuclear weapons. Unfortunately, its leaders continue to benefit from the
disunity between European and American policy. If this gap is not bridged and if
the EU does not change its position toward Tehran, we may soon see an Iranian
regime with nuclear weapons, amplifying its destructive behavior and military
adventurism in the region. A united front, comprising joint sanctions, would
send a clear message and engender an economic stranglehold which would force the
Iranian government to concentrate on its domestic agenda. If the international
community remains silent, the Iranian regime’s violations will escalate, and the
stability of the Middle East will continue to suffer as Tehran pursues its
subversive agenda.
The regime has crossed a major threshold concerning its nuclear program. The
international community must act immediately and maintain its focus on
preventing Tehran from acquiring nuclear weapons.
Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is an Iranian-American political scientist. He is a leading
expert on Iran and US foreign policy, a businessman and president of the
International American Council.
Turkish-Russia agreement on Idlib is a fragile step in
right direction
Yasar Yakis/Arab News/March 08/2020
At the end of the summit on Idlib in Moscow on March 5 between the Turkish and
Russian presidents the two foreign ministers read, each in his own language, the
three-point-agreement that had been reached.
The first was an immediate cease-fire that came into force within hours, at zero
hours on March 6. The second was a six-kilometer safe corridor on both sides of
the M-4 motorway that links Lattakia to Aleppo. The defense ministries are to
draw up within seven days the rules governing the functioning of the safe
corridors. The last one was that Turkish and Russian soldiers would start
patrolling the M-4 motorway as of March 15.The most important outcome of the
meeting is the agreement for a cease-fire. If it holds, this will be a welcome
conclusion, because it could stop the bloodshed and material damage to the
military and civilian infrastructure.
There are hopes that the agreement may be a turning point in the Idlib crisis,
but there are fragilities as well.
The most important one is the fundamental difference between Turkey’s and
Russia’s approach to the Idlib question. This difference was still visible in
the Moscow summit. Vladimir Putin reiterated Russia’s position in his remarks
before the text of the agreement was read out. He said Russia was determined to
fight the groups that the United Nations considered as terrorists.
According the UN Security Council Resolution 2254, these groups are:
“individuals, groups, undertakings, and entities associated with Daesh, Al-Nusra
Front, Al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups as designated by the Security
Council.”
The Resolution further provides that the cease-fire agreed in Syria on Nov. 14,
2015 “will not apply to offensive or defensive actions against these
individuals, groups, undertakings and entities.”
This is a binding obligation for Turkey, irrespective of other commitments that
it undertook in the Astana/Sochi process.
If it holds, this will be a welcome conclusion, because it could stop the
bloodshed and material damage to the military and civilian infrastructure.
In Idlib there are armed opposition groups that Turkey considers moderate. Some
of them fought in the past in the ranks of Al-Qaeda-linked factions. If Turkey
maintains its support for them, it remains to be seen whether it will fight the
groups that Russia considers terrorist.
Syrian air space is controlled by the Russian forces, so the Turkish air force
cannot operate in it. However, Turkey, acting within its own air space, was able
to destroy several Syrian targets with guided missiles. Furthermore, it used its
artillery, based in its own territory, to pound the Syrian government targets
within its range.
Drones manufactured in Turkey turned out to be the most effective weapons during
the present Idlib crisis. Unarmed drones equipped with cameras helped identify
the targets and the armed ones destroyed them.
Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced before the summit that if the Syrian government
does not retreat to a line beyond the Turkey’s observation posts it would use
military force to push it to that line. This attitude contradicts the leaders’
statement in favor of Syria’s sovereignty. The wording of the March 6 agreement
is not clear on this subject, but it looks as if Turkey will not insist on this.
Putin may have persuaded Erdogan that it is in fact Syria’s own territory.
The week before the agreement, both Turkey and Syrian government forces suffered
sizeable human and material losses: 33 Turkish soldiers were killed in a single
incident. The losses continued in lesser numbers in the subsequent days. This
created a heated debate in domestic politics in Turkey with the opposition
parties harshly criticizing the government’s Syria policy.
The losses suffered by both sides may have helped to create an atmosphere
conducive to negotiations. They may have reached the conclusion that they both
are vulnerable. The agreement is far from solving every intricacy of the Idlib
problem, but if all stakeholders approach the problem favorably, this may
trigger a thaw.
Even though the area controlled by the Turkish army in the Idlib province had
diminished, Turkey increased its military presence by sending more troops and
equipment after the killing of 33 Turkish soldiers. Experts estimated that up to
10,000 soldiers and a huge quantity of heavy equipment and ammunition may have
been sent to Idlib in the past ten days. This allowed Turkey to have an upper
hand in a critical area.
When Erdogan’s statement to expel the Syrian government forces from Idlib is put
together with the text of the Moscow agreement of March 6, one may conclude that
the two leaders made reciprocal concessions during their negotiations and met in
a middle ground by straddling the fence.However, it is not reasonable to expect
that Syria — and behind it, Russia — will agree that the terrorist groups
indefinitely stay in Idlib.
*Yasar Yakis is a former foreign minister of Turkey and founding member of the
ruling AK Party. Twitter: @yakis_yasar