English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For June 23/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

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http://data.eliasbejjaninews.com/eliasnews19/english.june23.20.htm

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Bible Quotations For today
Woe to the world because of stumbling-blocks! Occasions for stumbling are bound to come, but woe to the one by whom the stumbling-block comes
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 18/06-10:”‘If any of you put a stumbling-block before one of these little ones who believe in me, it would be better for you if a great millstone were fastened around your neck and you were drowned in the depth of the sea. Woe to the world because of stumbling-blocks! Occasions for stumbling are bound to come, but woe to the one by whom the stumbling-block comes! ‘If your hand or your foot causes you to stumble, cut it off and throw it away; it is better for you to enter life maimed or lame than to have two hands or two feet and to be thrown into the eternal fire. And if your eye causes you to stumble, tear it out and throw it away; it is better for you to enter life with one eye than to have two eyes and to be thrown into the hell of fire. ‘Take care that you do not despise one of these little ones; for, I tell you, in heaven their angels continually see the face of my Father in heaven.”

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 22-23/2020
Lebanon Records 16 New Coronavirus Cases
Ministers of Health, Industry broach means to boost pharmaceutical industries
Aoun Says Baabda Talks Aim to 'Immunize Civil Peace'
Baabda Says Preparations for National Meeting Ongoing
Exchange Shops Change Dollar Sale Mechanism after Fiasco
Aoun addresses Association of Media Economists: Main topic of Thursday’s dialogue is to fortify civil peace
Ministry of Finance: 14th meeting with IMF broached Civil Service Council's role, powers
Former PMs will boycott Baabda meeting: Without horizon and a waste of time
Hitti participates in virtual dialogue session organized by EU as part of Brussels 4 conference
Army Chief meets U.S. Ambassador
Del Col tells NNA Israeli violations could trigger incidents endangering cessation of hostilities
Canadian Ambassador pays Berri farewell visit
UN Secretary-General appoints Najat Rochdi of Morocco as Deputy Special Coordinator for Lebanon
Bukhari meets Central Bank Governor
Ministers of Industry, Information sign MoC: 'Media production a need for industrial production'
Abu Malek al-Talli Detained by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
Israeli Force Crosses Electronic Border Fence
Detained Lebanese Activist Accused of Dealing With Israel
As Lebanon Sinks into Crisis, Fear of Crime Grows
Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah calls for closer ties to China/Joe.Truzman/FDD/June 22/2020
Which 'East' are we Heading to and Immersing Ourselves in?/Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 22/2020
Avoiding the Abyss/Michael Young/Carnegie MEC/June 22/2020
The Caesar Act Comes Into Force (Part 2): Pressuring Hezbollah in Lebanon/Hanin Ghaddar/The Washington Institute/June 22/2020

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 22-23/2020
Protest Against Iran, Hezbollah During Funeral in Daraa
Iran won’t negotiate with Trump because he is a ‘criminal, not a president’: Official
Iran arrests founder, members of student charity organization for unknown reasons
Iran Arrests Founder of Student Charity Organization
Iran's Currency Reaches Lowest Value Ever against the Dollar
UK government issues official warning for Soleimani vigil at London Islamic center
Syrian Suspected of Crime against Humanity Arrested in Germany
Germany arrests Syrian doctor for ‘crimes against humanity’: Prosecutor
Israeli Defense Sales $7.2 Billion in 2019
Israeli IDF Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi : Iran is the most dangerous country in the Middle East
Egypt Sentences 16 Convicts to Prison in 'al-Nusra Front' Case
US ‘strongly opposes military escalation’ in Libya, calls for ceasefire, negotiations
Turkey's Lonely Tourist Attractions Face Make-or-Break Week
Libyan Knife Attack Suspect Known to MI5
Kurdish-led authorities in northeastern Syria in talks over US sanctions exemption
Readout: Minister Champagne holds call with Iranian Foreign Minister regarding PS752

Titles For The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 22-23/2020
Is Cairo Going to War?/Yezid Sayigh/Caranegie MEC/June 22/2020
Egypt, Turkey, and the Libyan Test/Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 22/2020
Return to Normal as Coronavirus Remains/Salman Al-Dossary/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 22/2020
The U.S. Is Right to Push to Extend the U.N. Arms Embargo on Iran/Behnam Ben Taleblu/Newsweek/June 22/2020
Washington’s Muted Response Emboldens Erdogan’s Hostage Diplomacy/Aykan Erdemir/Policy Brief/Kune 22/2020
Iranian proxy in Iraq targets US bases/Cable Weiss and Joe Truzman/June 22/2020
Will the EU Ever Stop Appeasing Iran's Mullahs?/Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/June 22/ 2020
Palestinians: The 'Un-Islamic' Family Protection Law/Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/June 22/ 2020

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on June 22-23/2020
Lebanon Records 16 New Coronavirus Cases
Naharnet/June 22/2020
Lebanon on Monday recorded 16 more COVID-19 cases, which raises the country’s tally to 1,603, the Health Ministry said. Eleven of the cases were recorded among residents and five among expats repatriated from Nigeria, Qatar, Ivory Coast and Belarus, the Ministry said in its daily statement. Ten of the local cases have been traced to known infected individuals, it added. The local cases were recorded in Beirut’s Zarif area (3), the Beirut southern suburbs of Bir Hasan (4), Shiyyah (1) and Ghobeiri (1), Tripoli’s el-Mina (1) and the southern town of Harees (1).
The expat cases were meanwhile registered in Hermel (1) and the southern towns of Adloun (1), Jwayya (1), Toura (1) and Aitaroun (1).

Ministers of Health, Industry broach means to boost pharmaceutical industries
NNA/June 22/2020
Ministers of Public Health, Dr. Hamad Hassan, and Industry, Dr. Imad Hoballah, on Monday held a meeting at the Ministry of Health and discussed the best means to boost pharmaceutical industries under the joint cooperation and supervision of both of their respective ministries.
The pair discussed practical ways to enhance cooperation between the two ministries in several fields, the most important of which is the promotion of local pharmaceutical industries. In the wake of the meeting, Hassan said that the meeting had reached an agreement on several issues of interest, including the manufacturing of food supplements under a license from the Ministry of Industry -- provided that joint technical committees undertake follow-up on the production process, with a view to preventing individualization and preserving investors' rights.
As for other pharmaceutical industries, the Health Minister highlighted the need for further research in a bid to reach the desired agreement. Hassan did not fail to underscore the importance of taking the successful and positive cooperation between the two ministries as an ideal model to follow among public administrations. In turn, Hoballah said that the Ministry of Industry would start issuing licenses to water and food supplement factories, provided that a joint committee representing both ministries and concerned parties would follow up on their activity.
"Our goal is to achieve three points: the first is to encourage investments in Lebanon's industrial field, especially in the pharmaceutical industry; the second is to preserve public safety and health in the service of investors and consumers; the third is to implement laws and avoid corruption and suspicion in their implementation," Hoballah explained.

Aoun Says Baabda Talks Aim to 'Immunize Civil Peace'
Naharnet/June 22/2020
President Michel Aoun on Monday announced that the objective of the all-party meeting he has scheduled for Thursday is to “immunize civil peace through pushing each of the domestic parties to shoulder its responsibilities.”“This aims to avoid a descent into the worse or to bloodshed, especially after what we witnessed on the streets of Beirut and Tripoli during the latest protests,” Aoun said. Noting that the dialogue meeting will not propose a national unity government, Aoun stressed that he is shouldering his full responsibilities as a president in order to “find solutions to the current crisis.”“We are working on rebuilding Lebanon and this takes a long time,” the president added.He was speaking during a meeting in Baabda with a delegation from the association of economic journalists.

Baabda Says Preparations for National Meeting Ongoing
Naharnet/June 22/2020
Preparations for the upcoming all-party talks at the presidential palace are ongoing, a spokesman said. “As for us, preparations at the palace are ongoing, and today most of the invited parties will meet to take their stances on the meeting,” said Rafik Chalala, the head of the Presidency’s press office.
“Some parties have said that they will take part in the meeting while others are mulling attendance and some will meet with their blocs to take the appropriate decision,” he added. He noted that the objective of the talks is to “confront the developments of the past two weeks, especially in Tripoli and Beirut.”
“The invitation addressed by President Michel Aoun was clear, and he has sensed from the vandalization and attacks on the army in Beirut and Tripoli that someone is plotting to re-ignite strife in Lebanon, especially after the slogans that were repeated,” Chalala went on to say. Addressing the invited political leaders, Chalala said they “understand the importance of coexistence and civil peace” and must accordingly be “at the level of responsibility.”“This critical and sensitive file requires national consensus,” he added. Noting that the security file will be the main topic of the meeting, Chalala pointed out that the “economic challenges” will also be raised in light of “the presence of the top leaders who represent the biggest popular base in the country.”Chalala's remarks come amid a flurry of media reports suggesting that a lot of parties will boycott the summit following the belligerent remarks that were voiced by Free Patriotic Movement chief Jebran Bassil on Saturday and in light of the absence of a clear agenda for the meeting.

Exchange Shops Change Dollar Sale Mechanism after Fiasco
Naharnet/June 22/2020
The Syndicate of Money Changers in Lebanon on Monday issued a statement officially declaring an end to a mechanism under which citizens had been allowed to buy $200 each every month at a rate approved by the central bank. The mechanism, which had required citizens to only present a national ID card, had been adopted on the hope that it would lower the dollar exchange rate on the black market but it quickly fired back. Crowds of citizens started gathering outside money change shops every day to buy dollars with the aim of selling them on the black market for higher rates.
According to media reports, some money changers would even give any citizen presenting a national ID card LBP 200,000 "in return for nothing." Those money changers sought to withhold dollar banknotes in order to sell them later at higher rates.The new mechanism announced Monday by the Syndicate will require citizens to present documents proving that they actually need the dollar banknotes. Citizens allowed to benefit from the mechanism are those seeking to pay the salaries of their foreign domestic workers; those seeking to buy travel tickets; those seeking to pay for higher education and student accommodation abroad; and those seeking to pay a housing installment or a U.S. dollar debt in Lebanon.

Aoun addresses Association of Media Economists: Main topic of Thursday’s dialogue is to fortify civil peace
NNA/June 22/2020
President of the Republic, General Michel Aoun, asserted that the main topic of next Thursday’s dialogue is “To fortify civil peace by each of the internal parties assuming their responsibilities in order to avoid slipping towards the worst and bloodshed, especially after we saw what happened in the Streets of Beirut and Tripoli following recent movements”. The President denied that the goal of such a dialogue meeting is to return to a Government of national reconciliation, noting that “The consensual system lacks democracy in the absence of the so-called minority and majority”.
President Aoun also stressed that “Through industry and agriculture, the Lebanese Lira is supported, and not through borrowing from abroad, which we have always relied on in the past in addition to rentier economy”, asserting that he bears all his responsibilities as President of the Republic in order to find solutions to the current crisis.
“We are working to build Lebanon again, and this takes long” the President added.
President Aoun then received a delegation from the Administrative Board of the Association of Economists Media, headed by President of the Association, Mrs. Sabine Oueiss.
Mrs. Oueiss delivered a speech in which the concerns of workers in the sector were presented, and the goals of the association were specified. Oueiss stressed the necessity of work, with all available means, to strengthen the banking sector and restore confidence to it locally and externally, out of the conviction that this sector does not bear the sole responsibility for the current financial crisis. “The banking sector is an essential pillar of the economy, and one of its pillars is to restore recovery and launch industry and agriculture as part of the transition from the rentier economy to a productive economy capable of securing sustainable growth and economic and social prosperity for the Lebanese” Mrs. Oueiss said.
Mrs. Oueiss also considered that the shift to a productive economy should not be at the expense of eliminating Lebanon’s advantages in the services, financial and banking fields, and called for removing the economy from the circle of political attraction, after paying exorbitant prices as a result of that, which led to collapse and lossof elements of Lebanon’s steadfastness and immunity. “This is the correct and only way to address the economic, financial and banking crisis, and to immediately take fast measures to address the problem of high prices, especially in light of the depreciation of the Lira exchange rate, and to put an end to the failure in the exchange market, through serious measures that reflect the sovereignty of the state over its cash” Oueiss said.
Moreover, Oueiss considered that the decision to resort to the IMF “Is a bold and advanced option on the path of restoring Lebanon to the path of recovery, but it is not enough and could be harmful if Lebanon does not initiate the country to take bold reform decisions which protect its people from the painful path”.
Finally, Mrs. Oueiss called for supporting the media sector with its various institutions because Lebanon and the media are an inseparable title, focusing on the importance of expediting the development of a modern law that guarantees public freedoms, and that includes a new structure capable of absorbing all workers in the visual, audio, written and electronic sectors, after the absence of the organization led to neglect and reflects negatively on freedoms in general.
Then the association’s Vice President, Bahij Abi Ghanem, spoke about the association’s goals, and its role in the economic media.
President Aoun’s Reply:
For his side, President Aoun welcomed the association’s administrative body, stressing the importance of free press, “Which is an essential element in governance, because it gives an ultimatum to the ruler to pay attention to the defect wherever it exists”. On the other hand, the President stressed the need to distinguish between the meaning of Media Freedom and the freedom of insults common today on social media, asserting the need to draft a law which puts an end to this type of practice.
Then, President Aoun spoke about the economy, stating the risks encountered by the banking sector, which were reflected on the economy. The President pointed out to the ongoing efforts to evaluate the economic and financial conditions, reminding of what was said in his oath speech regarding the transition to a productive economy, especially since production sectors were completely idle in light of the prevailing rentier economy, over thirty years.
President Aoun praised the interest shown by the Lebanese people today in agriculture, pointing out that he has always stressed the importance of industry and agriculture supporting the Lebanese currency and not borrowing from abroad, “Which we have always depended on in addition to the rentier economy”, asking: “Is it reasonable to support the Lira with debt?” President Aoun also cited the experiences of a number of countries, especially US and China, who have preserved the value of their national currency by their national production.
Concerning corruption, President Aoun explained that he had always received delegations who complained of corruption. “I used to ask each of its members if they had evidence and if they were ready to present, but their answers came in the negative. How can we fight corruption if the ones who complain are not willing to present evidence to the judiciary? Today we are working to build Lebanon again, and this takes a long time.Circumstances that Lebanon has gone through in recent years have not helped it in its turn much, starting from the global economic crisis through wars in a number of countries in the region, in addition to the Syrian displacement. Which has placed burdens on Lebanon until the end of 2018, according to International Monetary Fund figures, $ 25 billion, as well as the loss to its economy due to the closure of the border with Syria, which is estimated at $ 18 billion over a period of 9 years” President Aoun said.
On the possibility of achieving reform and securing a decent life for the Lebanese to gain the trust of the international community, President Aoun pointed out that, since he assumed the Presidency, he drew attention to many of the reasons which led to the situation we live in today.In this context, the President pointed out that “If there are external economic causes disobeying us as a country to solve it, then we see that the internal causes can be solved. The current system is not appropriate, especially in light of the possibility of obstructing the implementation of taken decisions, in addition to the absence of accountability”, recalling when he presented law proposals, to the Parliament, related to reform back when he was an MP, indicating that these proposals are “Still on shelves”.
Then, President Aoun affirmed that he bears all his responsibilities as President of the Republic aiming to find solutions to the crisis, “However, the society does not help that, it is critical and in return does not provide the required assistance”.
President Aoun called on everyone, as well as the media, to bear responsibility and highlight the accomplishments that have been achieved, especially in security, and to draw up a new electoral law. “The difficulty for us lies in changing the mentality of some, and I am convinced that people should not give in to despair, and I hope that we will be able to cross this stage and reach a solution. We are working on that, but the situation is not easy” the President said.
And concerning next Thursday’s dialogue, President Aoun assured that “The main issue of this dialogue is to fortify civil peace by assuming each of the internal parties their responsibilities, in order to avoid slipping towards the worst and bloodshed, especially after we saw what happened in the streets of Beirut and Tripoli after Recent moves”.
In response to a question, President Aoun denied that the goal of holding the dialogue table was to return to a Government of national reconciliation, indicating that “The consensual system lacks democracy in the absence of the so-called minority and majority”.
Banking Control Committee:
The President met a delegation from the Banking Control Committee, headed by Chair, Mrs. Maya Al-Dabbagh, and discussed their work after recent financial appointments.
The chairperson and members of the committee presented the tasks assigned to them and their importance, especially in this financial and economic circumstance that Lebanon is going through.
MP Rahme:
Politically, President Aoun received Chief of “Solidarity” Party, former MP Emile Rahme, and discussed with political developments and the situation in the northern Beqaa region and its needs.
After the meeting, Rahme said that he conveyed, to the President, the atmosphere of relief left by the invitation extended to the political leaders to participate in the “National Meeting” to be held next Thursday in Baabda Palace, to emphasize the unity of the national ranks and the importance of preserving civil peace after the rejected practices that took place in Beirut and Tripoli, during the past weeks, which almost awakened sedition, which no one wants.
“It is normal for political leaders to respond to this call with national goals, away from any political or interest considerations, in order to reaffirm the national constants that are unanimous in fortifying the country’s front and preventing the recurrence of incidents such as that experienced in years 1975 and 1976” Rahme indicated.
“JAD” Association:
President Aoun received the head of “JAD” association, Joseph Hawwat, in the presence of MP, Mario Aoun, and was briefed about the five-year plan to combat drugs in Lebanon.
The delegation briefed President Aoun on starting work on a five-year plan set by the association with the aim of investing in youth energy by establishing an integrated preventive village,dealing with the drug problem on 5,000 square meters land, in the region of Al-Mounsef, Byblos District.
Hawwat pointed out that the aim of this plan is to reduce the risks of drugs and protect young people to create a future advanced concept to highlight the seriousness of drug use and the danger of all psychotropic substances.
Moreover, Hawwat said that investing in the health of youth is the goal of the association’s work in its new plan, especially since drug addiction rates rise dramatically among young people, which exceeds the ability of prisons to absorb the numbers of detainees, which necessitated giving instructions from higher bodies not to arrest the abusers, who are a direct threat to their surroundings.
For his side, the President praised the work of the “JAD” Association, stressing the importance of treating drug addicts to save them from this dangerous social scourge, asserting the necessity of monitoring drug traffickers, arresting them and imposing the severest penalties against them. President Aoun also assured the need to take care of the new generation and keep it away from all social pests, “because the future of Lebanon is based on the muscles of the children of this generation, which we want healthy and safe”.
Preventive village:
The following are the most prominent characteristics of the village as a preventive measures against the effects of psychotropic substances:
- The first preventive village in terms of content and number of parts.
- 37 years of preparation for the completion and assembly of these scientific subjects.
- Materials were brought from ninety countries around the world.
- The number of pieces of scientific and training materials exceeds seven thousand.
At the level of the Arab world and the world as a whole:
- Museum / exhibition / training center / laboratory / data bank for psychotropic substances, or any similar work (please see the main departments and administrative departments).
- Or a place in the world that brings together all these addictive subjects and topics in innovative and modern ways to serve all age groups.
- This village aims at Arab and international communication and interaction, and it will be the biggest example in the world in terms of the idea and its contents.
-Achieving immediate and long-term expected results, where worked with companies specialized in studies to show the low number of addicts by reducing the supply and demand process.
-Creating a new concept in advanced ways for cooperation between the countries of the world. Entering through history through the establishment of the first educational center of this size and comprehensiveness on the problems of addiction.--Presidency Press Office

Ministry of Finance: 14th meeting with IMF broached Civil Service Council's role, powers
NNA/June 22/2020
The Press Office of the Ministry of Finance indicated in a statement on Monday that "The Lebanese negotiating delegation, chaired by Finance Minister Ghazi Wazni, held its 14th meeting with the International Monetary Fund."
The 14th meeting with the IMF mainly focused on the role of the Civil Service Council and its powers, adding that discussions will be followed up upcoming Thursday, statement indicated.

Former PMs will boycott Baabda meeting: Without horizon and a waste of time
NNA/June 22/2020
Former Prime Ministers Najib Mikati, Fouad Siniora, Saad Hariri and Tammam Salam held a meeting this afternoon at the Center House.
At the end of the meeting, Former PM Siniora delivered the following statement:
“We received an invitation from His Excellency President General Michel Aoun to attend a meeting at the Presidential Palace next Thursday. We never failed to respond positively to such invitations, and we often overlooked many sensitivities and formalities to respond to the requirements of national interest.
But this invitation today, and its declared aim, seem out of place in form and content. Is a waste of time, at a moment when the country needs different approaches to pull it out of the acute crisis that it is facing, to restore the confidence of citizens and reassure them about the future. This should be done by emphasizing the respect of Taif, the constitution and the unified national decision, by controlling the borders, by ensuring the independence of the judiciary through a publication of the judicial appointments decided by the Supreme Judicial Council instead of harming the principle of separation of powers, by stopping false interpretations of texts to invent concepts that are outside the provisions of the constitution and the law, or searching for gaps that do not exist to destroy the national balance and disassociation that the Lebanese drafted in the "Taif Agreement".
The real threat to stability may come from the deteriorating economic and financial situation the country has reached, which contributed to the delay in initiating reform from the part of those in position of responsibility, who do not have an agenda to protect civil peace from social explosion. This cannot be solved by large meetings that do not have a clear agenda, but rather by getting out of the state of confusion and complaining, by ceasing to blame others, and by embarking on reforms that restore confidence and save the economy and the national currency according to a serious plan of action that convinces the Lebanese, the international bodies and the donors.
The performance of the government in the past months (the electricity file, in particular the issue of Selaata, circumventing the Appointment Mechanism Law passed by Parliament, the selective fight against smuggling and the confusion in dealing with exchange rates or the government's failure to develop a unified study and plan for reform) indicates a blatant inability to make the country meet the serious challenges and be at the level of the current serious events. This can only be done by a program that draws a clear road map that includes a unified stance on the issues that led to the political, financial, economic and social collapse, and to the security and military exposure, and a program that corrects options and paths, launches reforms, restores Lebanon to its place and position, so it reconciles with its Arab environment and regains the world's confidence.
We do not find in the meeting a serious opportunity to revive the table of a national dialogue that leads to serious decisions that settle Lebanon's position as a free, independent and sovereign State that belongs to its Arab surrounding, and restores the best relations with it.
We agree with what Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai said yesterday and salute his national positions.
Our non-participation in this meeting is a clear objection to the inability of this authority to devise solutions that can save Lebanon with all its components. Today, Lebanon is threatened by a complete collapse that affects especially the middle class, that was always the backbone and the true lever of Lebanese society.
While we are aware of the criticality of the stage, we invite everyone to a rapid move to stimulate productive energies with all its economic, labor, union and civil components. In order to return to the fundamentals and defend:
1- The respect and implementation of the Lebanese constitution.
2- The approval of a reform plan and program that is clear and convincing economically and financially.
3- The respect of the decisions of the Arab and international legitimacies.
4- The respect of the social commitment to disassociation.
5- The integration with the Lebanese interest system in the relationship with the Arab world.
We express our deep regret of not participating in the meeting called for by His Excellency the President, as a clear protest message against the inability of this authority to devise solutions that can save Lebanon with all its components. And based on our national position and our respect for the minds and aspirations of the Lebanese, we announce our unwillingness to participate in a meeting without a horizon. May God help Lebanon and its people”.
Question: With this stance, you are removing the Sunni legitimacy from this table, as if you cut off the path to dialogue?
Answer: Our stance is always national and will continue to be so.-- Hariri Press Office

Hitti participates in virtual dialogue session organized by EU as part of Brussels 4 conference

NNA/June 22/2020
Minister of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants, Nassif Hitti, on Monday participated in a virtual dialogue session organized by the European Union within the framework of the Brussels 4 conference on "regional recovery in the face of the Coronavirus", along with a number of international officials.
Minister Hitti presented the difficult economic and financial conditions that Lebanon is going through and exacerbated by the impact of the spread of the Coronavirus pandemic, calling on the international community to better assist Lebanon and the host countries of the displaced and contributing to the socio-economic cost of displacement. He also dwelt on what Lebanon has undertaken at the health and medical levels in confronting the coronavirus and protecting citizens, the displaced persons and refugees on its territories, by providing them with medical services.

Army Chief meets U.S. Ambassador

NNA/June 22/2020
Army Commander, General Joseph Aoun, on Monday received at his Yarzeh office the U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon, Dorothy Shea, with talks reportedly touching on the general situation in the country and the US aid program for the Lebanese military.

Del Col tells NNA Israeli violations could trigger incidents endangering cessation of hostilities

NNA/June 22/2020
UNIFIL Head of Mission and Force Commander, Major General Stefano Del Col, on Monday said that Israeli overflights into Lebanese airspace were violations of UN Security Council resolution 1701, as well as of Lebanese sovereignty. "Such violations of Lebanese sovereignty and of resolution 1701 escalate tensions and could potentially trigger incidents endangering the cessation of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel," Del Col told the National News Agency.
Responding to questions by the NNA on the recent Israeli violations of the Lebanese airspace, UNIFIL Head of Mission and Force Commander Major General Stefano Del Col said: "UNIFIL has observed an increase in activities of Israeli fighter aircraft flying in the Lebanese skies.
Israeli overflights into Lebanese airspace are violations of UN Security Council resolution 1701 as well as of Lebanese sovereignty.
Such violations of Lebanese sovereignty and of resolution 1701 escalate tensions and could potentially trigger incidents endangering the cessation of hostilities between Lebanon and Israel. They are in contravention of our objectives and efforts to reduce tensions and establish a stable security environment in southern Lebanon. Once again, I reiterate the call to Israel to cease all overflights of Lebanese territory immediately."

Canadian Ambassador pays Berri farewell visit

NNA/June 22/2020
Speaker of the House, Nabih Berri, on Monday welcomed at his Ein Al-Tineh residence Canadian Ambassador to Lebanon, Emmanuelle Lamoureux, who paid him a farewell visit upon winding up her diplomatic mission in Lebanon.

UN Secretary-General appoints Najat Rochdi of Morocco as Deputy Special Coordinator for Lebanon
NNA/June 22/2020
United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres announced Friday the appointment of Najat Rochdi of Morocco as his Deputy Special Coordinator for Lebanon, in the Office of the United Nations Special Coordinator for Lebanon (UNSCOL) and Resident Coordinator. Ms. Rochdi will also serve as Humanitarian Coordinator.  Rochdi succeeds Philippe Lazzarini of Switzerland, who completed his assignment on 31 March. The Secretary-General is grateful for his accomplishments and wishes him continued success in his new appointment as Commissioner-General of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA). Rochdi brings over 20 years of experience in development and humanitarian assistance and international coordination in conflict and post-conflict areas, including through her latest assignment as Senior Adviser to the Special Envoy for Syria and Director of Peer to Peer with the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), Geneva. Prior to this, Rochdi served as Deputy Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator with the United Nations peacekeeping mission in Central African Republic (MINUSCA). Earlier, she served as Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator in Cameroon and Deputy Director of the Representative Office of the United Nations Development Programme in Geneva.
Rochdi holds a doctorate in information systems from the National Institute of Statistics and of Applied Economics in Rabat and a Master’s degree in Mathematics and Fundamental Applications from the University of Paris Sud 11. She is fluent in Arabic, English and French. --UNIC

Bukhari meets Central Bank Governor
NNA/June 22/2020
Saudi Ambassador to Lebanon, Walid bin Abdullah Bukhari, on Monday welcomed at his Yarzeh residence Lebanese Central Bank Governor, Riad Salameh, and former BDL Vice Governor, Dr. Mohammed Baasiri.
They held a tour d'horizon bearing on most recent developments and issues of mutual concern.

Ministers of Industry, Information sign MoC: 'Media production a need for industrial production'

NNA/June 22/2020
Minister of Industry, Dr. Imad Hoballah, and Minister of Information, Dr. Manal Abdel Samad Najd, on Monday inaugurated a media gathering at the Industrial Research Institute, titled "Media production is a need for industrial production". The MoC signature event, which aims to activate cooperation between the industrial and media sectors, took place in the presence of the Director General of the Ministry of Industry, Danny Gideon, the Director General of the Ministry of Information, Dr. Hassan Falha, and other senior officials and dignitaries. Minister Abdel Samad gave an address in which she affirmed that her participation in the aforementioned event was an attempt to stress the importance of cooperation between the media and industry sectors. "Today, the industry sector meets with the media sector to launch their cooperation; this cooperation is between one of the pillars of national production, the industry, and the public and private media. We emphasize the substantial role of the media to market an industrial plan which encourages investments, whether at home or abroad," Abdel Samad said.
She went on to capitalize on the need to encourage citizens to purchase Lebanese products, adding that this should resonate better with citizens when the media succeeds in shedding light on the importance of the Lebanese industry and industrial products.
"We aim to encourage the Lebanese industry to move the economic wheel through this initiative," the Minister said. She pointed out that meetings would be held between the two sectors, and that there would be cooperation projects to encourage the agricultural, health, environmental and commercial media. "This is necessary to shed light on the pillars of the Lebanese economy and production." Abdel Samad also expressed hope that the much-needed solutions would be swiftly discovered, away from political intervention, "so that we can revamp our economy and resolve all the outstanding issues in Lebanon."
For his part, Minister Hoballah gave a speech in which he made clear that today's gathering between the media and industrial sectors aimed at mobilizing the joint media-industrial energies and for crafting new and creative industrial programs.
"Despite the fact that corruption and the rentier economy have been deeply rooted in our system, many have become fully convinced that the local industry plays a pivotal role in achieving growth," Hoballah said.
He explained that local industries directly supported the national economy, not to mention safeguarded food and social security. "The importance of industry is that it is the basis for a transition from a rentier economy to a productive one, a thing which has prompted us to develop integrated economic plans and to set forward-looking goals on such basis," maintained Hoballah. "We have worked, in our capacity as the Ministry of Industry, with stakeholders to develop an integrated vision for the industrial advancement with short, medium, and long-term implementation programs aimed at raising the level of investor confidence -- this is what we have presented to the Lebanese, Arab, and international investors," the Minister of Industry added. Hoballah finally listed a number of proposals to move forward with the national industry and the MoC with the Minister of Information. "We have reached an agreement on a memorandum of cooperation between the Ministries of Industry and Information, which forms a solid base for the contribution of private and public media in developing local industries, and in calling for investments in this sector."

Abu Malek al-Talli Detained by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
Associated Press/Naharnet/June 22/2020
The main al-Qaida-linked group in Syria on Monday detained one of its own former commanders who had defected and set up his own hard-line outfit earlier this year after coming out against a cease-fire, opposition activists said. The activists said a big force from Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, or HTS, raided the house of Jamal Zeina, better known as Abu Malek al-Talli, on the outskirts of the northwestern city of Idlib and detained him. Al-Talli was behind major operations for the group that used to be known as al-Nusra Front, including the December 2013 kidnapping of 12 Orthodox nuns from Maaloula, a Christian village in Syria that insurgents controlled for few months during the country's nine-year conflict. Al-Nusra Front exchanged the nuns four months later with women held in Syrian government prisons. In 2014, militants under al-Talli's command briefly stormed the Lebanese border town of Arsal and captured more than two dozen Lebanese soldiers and policemen. Al-Nusra Front exchanged the troops it was holding with prisoners held in Lebanon after executing at least two of them. Al-Talli, a Syrian citizen, is known to be a hard-liner who is opposed to a truce reached in March between Russia and Turkey that stopped a Syrian government offensive on Idlib province, the last remaining rebel stronghold in the country. The three-month offensive under the cover of Russian airstrikes killed hundreds and sent a million people fleeing toward the Turkish border. Al-Talli defected in April and set up his own group that became close to al-Qaida-linked Horas al-Din group, Arabic for "Guardians of Religion." Horas al-Din are hardcore al-Qaida elements who broke away from HTS. The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said al-Talli defected from HTS in April, adding that he had personally acquired large sums of money from the deal to release the nuns. The Shaam Newtork, an activist collective, said al-Talli and other former HTS commanders have been opposed to recent policies adopted by the group's top commander, Abu Mohammed al-Golani, who has been taking cautious steps since Turkey sent thousands of soldiers into Idlib earlier this year. Al-Talli's son, Orwa, was shot dead in 2017 in an apparent internal feud between militants in northwest Syria.

Israeli Force Crosses Electronic Border Fence
Naharnet/June 22/2020
An Israeli infantry force comprising 10 soldiers and several K9 dogs on Monday crossed the electronic border fence that faces the Lebanese Army’s checkpoint in the town of Adaisseh, Lebanon’s National News Agency said. “It inspected and scoured the newly-carved road without breaching the Blue Line,” NNA added. Two Israeli bulldozers and two trucks later crossed the border fence from the same area and resumed trench-drilling works alongside the road. The Lebanese Army meanwhile went on alert on the Lebanese side of the border as a precaution.

Detained Lebanese Activist Accused of Dealing With Israel

Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 22 June, 2020
A Lebanese political activist who was detained last week was charged on Monday with collaborating with Israel and referred to a military prosecutor, Lebanon's state-run news agency reported. The National News Agency said Government Commissioner to the Military Court Judge Fadi Akiki charged Kinda El-Khatib with visiting Israel and "dealing with spies of the Israeli enemy." The report added that the judge referred El-Khatib to a military investigative judge for questioning. The military judge is expected to issue a formal arrest warrant. Lebanon and Israel are in a state of war and each bans its citizens from visiting the other country. Khatib was detained last week with her brother, who was later released. According to local media reports, she had visited Israel by crossing from Jordan. She has been active on social media, where she harshly criticized Lebanon's militant Hezbollah group and its strong ally, Lebanese President Michel Aoun. Hezbollah and Israel fought a monthlong war in 2006. Shortly before the charges were filed Monday, dozens rallied in Beirut demanding Khatib's release and saying that she was innocent. The protesters say El-Khatib's case is similar to that of Ziad Itani, a Lebanese stage actor who was released in 2018 after being cleared of charges of collaborating with Israel. Itani spent about four months in prison.

As Lebanon Sinks into Crisis, Fear of Crime Grows
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 22 June, 2020
Vincent al-Boustani's local council, in a small town north of Lebanon's capital, runs a tight ship: staff and volunteers conduct 24/7 patrols, cameras monitor the streets and motorcycles are banned after 9 pm. Boustani believes this is the best way to offer security as the economy crumbles, people become poorer and fear of crime increases. "The need for money, for food, I believe things will get even worse. I hope I'm wrong," he said, according to Reuters. "That's why we must remain alert, aware of the danger ... We're going towards the unknown." A financial crisis that has swept Lebanon since last year means more and more families have little means to cope as the currency collapses and the state offers little or no help. The country faces what is seen as the biggest threat to its stability since the 1975-1990 civil war. In the first four months of 2020, murders in Lebanon doubled from the same period last year. Car thefts jumped nearly 50% and burglaries 20%, according to a report by the Beirut-based research firm Information International, based on police data. As the currency plunges, more unrest is feared in a country with a tumultuous history and where sectarian tensions are never far from the surface.
The prices of imported foods upon which Lebanese depend have been driven up by a 70% decline in the Lebanese pound's value since October. A World Food Program report this month found that 50% of Lebanese, as well as 63% of Palestinians and 75% of Syrians in the country, had feared they would not have enough to eat over the past month. A security official linked spiraling prices to what he described as friction in the streets. "We're still at the start, it's only going to get bigger," he said. "There's no justification, of course, for any crime. But there are many things we used to deem, in normal days, a violation and now we turn a blind eye to keep things going."The crisis has already stoked tensions, with protests targeting the ruling elite and banks that have frozen depositors out of their savings as dollars grow scarce. Some banks have erected steel barriers to shield against attack. So too have luxury stores in central Beirut. Earlier this month, a manager at a major Lebanese bank was found murdered near his home in a Beirut suburb, though the motive remains unclear. Still, Colonel Joseph Moussallem, head of public relations for the Internal Security Forces, said comparing this year's crime figures to past years did not necessarily show an overall rise. While the economy's collapse has some impact on violence, "security is under control," he said. But, Myriam Tawk, 28, an architect whose purse was stolen from her car and whose friend was also robbed in a separate incident, feels less safe these days. "As soon as I arrived at the police station with my car window broken, they told me 'you got robbed on the corniche?'," she recalled. "Apparently this is happening every day."

Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah calls for closer ties to China
Joe.Truzman/FDD/June 22/2020
Hezbollah’s Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah June 17, 2020 speech
During a June 17 speech eulogizing former Palestinian Islamic Jihad Secretary-General Ramadan Shalah and Hezbollah commander Hajj Abu Ali Farhat, Hassan Nasrallah called for a realignment with China in an attempt to end Lebanon’s dependence on western aid during its economic crises.
“I have information that is absolutely definite, if I am not sure about something, I wouldn’t talk about it. Chinese companies are ready to bring in money, and without any of the complications that we talk about in Lebanon. We don’t have to give them money, they will bring money into the country,” Nasrallah stated.
Nasrallah was referring to a series of letters sent by Chinese companies, including one by China Machinery Engineering Company (CMEC), to Lebanese Prime Minister Dr. Hassan Diab.
“As the government of Lebanon will be undertaking Beirut to Bekaa Express Way, Train and Tunnel project in Lebanon, we would like by this letter to express our serious interest to participate in said project as well as any other Railway and Infrastructure Projects,” the CMEC statement read.
Lebanon has been suffering from years of fiscal mismanagement, corruption, political crisis and social unrest – which has factored into the Lebanese pound losing more than half of its value. Other factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the Syrian war have contributed to the current crises the country finds itself in.It is worth noting the newly enacted U.S. Caesar Law, which targets foreign entities who deal with the Assad regime’s military, aviation, gas and oil facilities, could add more instability to Lebanon’s current crisis due to any future business deals with Syria being scuttled due to the threat of U.S. sanctions.
From listening to Nasrallah’s speech, it is evident there is concern about the crises in Lebanon and the pressure campaign the Trump administration is placing on Syria’s allies, chiefly among them, Hezbollah.
“The American administration, the U.S. Treasury, the U.S. State Department, and their representative here, the American Embassy, have banned the dollar from entering Lebanon. This is a first. And second, they are exerting pressure on the Central Bank from supplying the market with what it currently has which could alleviate the problem,” Nasrallah said.
It is uncertain if Lebanon will decide to pivot eastward to obtain needed Chinese investment – or if it will ultimately accept an International Monetary Fund bailout that could have clauses excluding Hezbollah from benefiting from the aid.
Regardless of what Lebanon’s government decides, Nasrallah emphasized to the U.S. and its allies that Hezbollah will not give up its resistance against it and Israel despite the pressure it finds itself under.
Nasrallah said: “Whoever is going to make us choose between being killed by weapons or being killed by starvation, I tell them: We will continue to carry our weapons and we won’t starve; and we will kill you. We will kill you.”
*Joe Truzman is a contributor to FDD's Long War Journal.
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Which 'East' are we Heading to and Immersing Ourselves in?

Hazem Saghieh/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 22/2020
Chinese Maoism used to sum up its politics during particular stages with easily remembered, almost poetic slogans. For example, in 1957, Mao ZeDung said, “let a hundred flowers blossom”, to encourage intellectuals to critique party and government policies. The intellectuals who believed in it and did indeed critique were all imprisoned.
In Lebanon, we woke to a new phrase-slogan a few days ago- that of the next phase: “heading towards the East”. Since the call’s economic meaning undermined itself the moment it was uttered, we assume that what is demanded of us is furthering our immersion in the East. For heading somewhere to get aid necessarily entails an impact that goes beyond aid as such. The Arabs who headed West early on are the ones who produced what came to be known as the Nahda (Renaissance), which, when it comes down to it, signifies nothing more than approaching the Western model and imitating it.
With regard to the situation that we are faced with, some clarifications are called for: the new call does not, for example, imply that we ought to learn from the great civilizations of China, India and Persia, or from and about Indian democracy or to study the process through which hundreds of millions of Asians dramatically improved their economic conditions as a result of Western economies’ adoption of outsourcing. Of course, the wonderful book "Kama Sutra" is not to join our "respectable" library.
The East, here, refers to what is opposite of the West or being anti-Western. Defining through negation is always insufficient, but this inherent insufficiency is exacerbated by the fact that no one is absolutely anti-Western today. Neither China nor India or Russia, if we consider it to be Eastern, are absolutely anti-Western, to say nothing of Japan and South Korea. This so-called East may have died with the Maoists who declared once that "the east wind will overcome the west wind" only to dive into the "Cultural Revolution", whose number of millions of casualties historians are still tirelessly working to determine. North Korea may be the last remaining example of an absolutely estranged "East", totally isolated from the "West" and following the “Juche” theory of self-reliance and self-sufficiency.
In all likelihood, heading East, defined as an antithesis to the West, signifies, above all else, a rejection of Western democracy and the assumption that it is a cultural invasion that “tears the nation apart” and weakens it.
It is indicative that a particularly large number of those who had been adherents to Maoism, promptly embraced nationalist and religious movements, most prominently Iranian Khomeinism. Resisting the West is what matters to them, be it under the banner of Maoism, Khomeinism or under any other faction hostile to democracy and pluralism. The important thing is to find a totem to worship who can lead our struggle and whose leadership can unite us: Mao, Kim, Khamenei, Assad ... any of them would do.
As for Lebanon in specific, this easternization entails blowing it to pieces, a task that remains impossible without one possibility or a second, or both of them occurring simultaneously: seizing direct control of its political and economic system and maintaining a state of permanent war with an enemy. Such a situation, if actualized, necessarily entails civil war, sectarian and regional, becoming the regime that governs our lives.
Conversely, Lebanon’s value lies precisely in that it belonged to the East and was able to belong, at the same time, to a wider world. It could perhaps be said that Lebanon provided a reasonable model for transcending the concept of "belonging" in its narrow and parochial sense.
Of course, “belonging”, in this sense, is not new. Once upon a time, a campaign was waged against Orientalists, who had moved between many worlds and cultures, because they were, according to their critics, fabricating a non-existent East, but the West-East dichotomy had not been entrenched as it was, at the hands of Orientalism’s critics, after the critique was made.
The phrase "Eastern Christianity" was magnified, undermining any kind of pluralism within this East, and claiming that Christianity is about to merge into Islam and that the Crusades are nothing but an anomalous transient betrayal. Out of this Easternism, a new "Levantinism" concerned with supporting Bashar al-Assad, the symbol of our identity and protector of our dignity, was later conceived!
As for our criticism of Israel, we have not focused on its racism and settlements as much as we have on the fact that it does "not belong" to this region that is rife with racism and tyranny. What fool would freely choose to belong to this region?
But to market this Easternism, the Easternism of wars and civil wars, lies had to be conjured up. In order to perpetuate war, it was said that ISIS had been about to enter the homes of Lebanese, house by house, but for the saviors who came to our rescue at nick of time.
To perpetuate war, we removed from history and our memory the 1949-1968 period, when Lebanon managed, through peaceful means, to avoid "the wolves" that Secretary-General of Hezbollah warned us about. The fact is that the "wolves" did not arrive until after the first resistance paved the way for an occupation that ended with the Liberation of the second resistance, which thus demanded that we indefinitely lead lives of a very Eastern resistance.
They erased our knowledge of the past, which, as we well know, is a requisite for moving to the future in such a strange way: miserable souls, hungry stomachs and gagged mouths from which only talk about dignity and allegiance to the leader come out. This is the East that it is demanded we head towards and immerse ourselves in.

Avoiding the Abyss
Michael Young/Carnegie MEC/June 22/2020
مايكل يانك: تجنب الهادية في لبنان
http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/87528/%d8%b3%d8%a7%d9%85-%d9%85%d9%86%d8%b3%d9%89-%d8%a7%d8%ac%d8%aa%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b9-%d8%a8%d8%b9%d8%a8%d8%af%d8%a7-%d8%b1%d8%af-%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%89-%d8%a8%d9%86%d8%af-%d9%88%d8%ad%d9%8a%d8%af/
بدون إبرام اتفاق مع صندوق النقد الدولي ، سيواجه لبنان تضخمًا كبيرًا وانتشاراً الفقر وانهياراً لللدولة وانقسامات مجتمعية خطيرة وعندما تفقد الليرة قيمتها ، ستفشل مؤسسات الدولة ، وخاصة الجيش وقوات الأمن
* التأكيد على فشل مفاوضات لبنان مع صندوق النقد الدولي سابق لأوانه.
*Without an IMF deal, Lebanon will face hyperinflation, widespread poverty, state breakdown, and fragmentation. As the pound loses its value, the institutions of the state will fail, particularly the military and security forces
*Asserting the failure of Lebanon’s negotiations with the International Monetary Fund is premature.
The resignation last week of Henri Chaoul from his advisory position at the Lebanese Finance Ministry helped to bolster the sense of gloom that many Lebanese are feeling about their government’s negotiations with the International Monetary Fund. Chaoul’s stated reason for resigning was that he had concluded there is “no genuine will to implement either reforms or a restructuring of the banking sector.”
Chaoul may be correct, but chances are that the picture is more complicated. The intention of the political class to pursue reform was never sincere, and will never be. But what is at play here is not intentions; it is existence. Lebanon’s politicians and parties are perfectly aware of what no agreement with the IMF would mean. If we had any doubts, Gebran Bassil dispelled them last week when he declared in a press conference, “If we lose the IMF option, we will lose all possibility of Western financing and any possibility of investment and projects such as electricity and infrastructure and any possibility of reviving the banking sector and the economy.” The consequences of such a failure would lead to a scenario “like the Venezuelan example.”
Without an IMF deal, Lebanon will face hyperinflation, widespread poverty, state breakdown, and fragmentation. As the pound loses its value, the institutions of the state will fail, particularly the military and security forces. This need not imply civil war, but political parties will take over the security of their sects, leading to a reemergence of sectarian enclaves reminiscent of the war years. While this might seem as if it would reinforce the sectarian parties, caring for entire communities would have major downsides in a time of grave economic crisis. It would represent a monumental burden that would ultimately overwhelm the parties, with no prospect of a solution. The situation could bring the entire edifice that the politicians and parties have sought to preserve crashing down.
Nor is such an outcome apparently what Hezbollah wants. The party has not taken over the commanding heights of the Lebanese state, an advantage it has gifted to Iran, to give all that up just so the political class can continue stealing. And anyway, without an IMF deal, as Bassil unintentionally implied, there is little prospect that most of the corruption channels the politicians have spent years putting in place would survive. A crumbling state has already made it infinitely more difficult for Hezbollah to contemplate a military confrontation with Israel, if Iran were to require it. A state in advanced disintegration would invite Israel to attack the party with devastating intensity.
In other words, sincere or not, the politicians and parties need an IMF deal in the same way that a body needs blood. Then how do we explain the lack of momentum in negotiations between the government and the IMF? Quite simply by the fact that no one in Lebanon ever gives something up without trying to secure something in exchange. It’s obvious that for Lebanon to progress in negotiations with the IMF, the members of the political class will have to surrender a significant share of their networks of patronage and theft. They don’t want to do that without gaining politically in the process.
For example, Bassil holds a ministry whose reform is a priority for the IMF. He also aspires to be president, his serial denials notwithstanding. Does it make sense for him to offer concessions on the electricity front and not try to secure guarantees of a sort on the presidency? The same goes for all the other politicians, and for Hezbollah. We are in an initial phase today not of negotiations between Lebanon and the IMF, but between the Lebanese politicians and parties themselves as preparation for a deal with the IMF.
How can this knot of clashing ambitions be untied, and does the IMF have the patience to wait until the Lebanese get their house in order? The answers are unknown. The politicians may be so dismal that they will bicker until Lebanon is in the grave. But their understanding of the terrible outcome of this may actually contain their worst instincts.
The IMF, in turn, has the option of imposing a deadline on the Lebanese to reach an internal consensus, otherwise it will turn elsewhere. At that point its leverage would rise immensely, since the Lebanese would have no alternative but to come back to the organization in a state of greater need and tractability. Moreover, the relatively limited amounts of aid the IMF are likely provide to Lebanon give it the latitude to play the long game. Lebanon is not an IMF priority, which means the organization can put the country on hold, coercing the distressed Lebanese into coming around.
Then there is the question of whether the United States would veto an IMF package. While this cannot be ruled out, particularly when the attitude in Washington is hardening toward Lebanon, it will not be easy to block a limited bailout and condemn millions of people to unrelenting poverty. The European allies will probably advise against such a path, while there will even be voices in the United States warning of the risks that would come from creating another failed state in the Middle East. If Lebanon and the IMF were to reach an accord, meaning the Lebanese had taken steps that persuaded the IMF, it would make a U.S. veto far more complicated.
So what is the way out of the current impasse? It’s unfortunate but only the political class, whatever its depravity and incompetence, can answer that question. The Diab government has served its purpose in neutralizing the momentum of protests that began in October 2019. It was an invention of the politicians that was never destined to last long. Diab has proven himself to be out of his depth, thinking that because he was backed by most political forces, he could operate independently. The reality is that he has been hindered by a political class that wants to see him fail. His recent comments on his government’s stellar achievements, as well as how he had weathered a “coup,” were ridiculous in their self-puffery and discredited him.
It’s sad to have to admit it, but probably the only way out of this situation is that the parties and politicians reach a package deal that defines the conditions of their endorsement of an IMF bailout. It won’t be easy, but everyone sees there is no other possibility. Even Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah’s advice to “look east” and embrace Iran, Syria, and China cannot be taken seriously, unless his true aim was to present an alternative so unpalatable that it would push the politicians to compromise on their maximalist demands and conclude with the IMF. Of those countries, Iran and Syria are in dire economic straits, while China has expressed no interest whatsoever in reviving the Lebanese economy. Nor is Nasrallah’s vision shared by a majority of Lebanese. Bassil made that very clear in his remarks last week, and the country’s Sunnis are profoundly hostile to giving up on the Arab world in favor of Iran.
President Michel Aoun’ has called for a national dialogue at the presidential palace in Ba‘bda, which can, potentially, provide a forum for exchange among the country’s political forces. The contours of such a forum are still being discussed, however something like it could be necessary to move things forward. There will be many obstacles to an IMF deal in the months ahead, but Lebanon simply has no other choice but to agree to one. Therefore, as tempting as it may be to assume failure today, reality points in a different direction.

The Caesar Act Comes Into Force (Part 2): Pressuring Hezbollah in Lebanon
Hanin Ghaddar/The Washington Institute/June 22/2020
In addition to targeting Hezbollah and other local actors who support the Assad regime and harm Lebanon’s economy, the new U.S. legislation can help bolster Beirut’s sovereignty.
As noted in Part 1 of this PolicyWatch, Washington’s imminent implementation of the Caesar Syria Civilian Protection Act is setting off alarm bells in Lebanon. Although the law’s main intent is to punish Bashar al-Assad’s government for atrocities committed against the Syrian people, the regime would not have been able to survive long enough to commit these abuses without direct and indirect support from Lebanese militias, officials, and businesses.
Most notably, Hezbollah was at the forefront of the Syria war for years, helping Bashar al-Assad conduct his brutal campaigns more efficiently by drawing on fighters and resources from Lebanon. The group’s deep ties with the regime persist today, including in the fuel industry and other sectors explicitly targeted by the Caesar Act. This gives U.S. officials an opportunity to sanction Lebanese individuals, channels, and instruments that Hezbollah and Damascus use to keep the regime afloat.
Indeed, the ground is fertile for more pressure on the group and its allies inside Lebanon. The Hezbollah-led government in Beirut has asked the International Monetary Fund for an aid package of $10 billion, so local officials understand the repercussions of defying U.S. law and the broader international community at this critical moment. Accordingly, Washington and its partners should make clear that the country cannot expect IMF aid until it begins cutting specified military and commercial ties with the Assad regime. Despite what Hezbollah has been telling the Lebanese people, the country can still save itself by complying with the reforms and conditions laid out by the IMF, the Paris Conference, and UN Security Council Resolutions 1559 and 1701. The Caesar Act is a chance to reinforce this argument, while also curbing Hezbollah’s smuggling activities and strengthening the country’s border controls.
WHO SHOULD BE ALARMED?
Lebanon has long been connected to Syria politically, economically, and financially. The fact that the border between the two countries is still not officially demarcated allows for unchecked daily smuggling operations, making it difficult to estimate the size of financial exchanges between the two countries. But some details are evident—as Reuters reported in November, “Wealthy Syrians are believed to have deposits of billions of dollars in Lebanese banks.” Much of this money became trapped when Lebanon’s economy cratered and local banks imposed tight limits on cash withdrawals in U.S. dollars.
Some of these banks and their associated Lebanese partners and businesses may be subject to new sanctions for materially assisting the Assad regime, particularly if they are tied in any way to logistical support for Hezbollah military operations in Syria. Yet the Caesar Act’s most significant effect may be deterrence—namely, Lebanese companies that were hoping to gain access to the Syrian market through trade or reconstruction projects will now have to reconsider those plans.
Fuel smugglers are another important group who could be affected by the act. At a time when Lebanon cannot afford to lose more of its foreign currency reserves, Central Bank governor Riad Salameh hinted last month that the country is hemorrhaging $4 billion per year due to Hezbollah and other actors smuggling government-subsidized fuel into Syria. Companies involved in these deliveries are already alarmed, and many locals believe that the Caesar Act was purposefully created to target smuggling in both directions—not just fuel going into Syria, but weapons coming into Lebanon. U.S. officials should therefore use the threat of Caesar sanctions to press Lebanese officials on tightening border controls and instituting other measures that help curb fuel smuggling via illegal crossings.
Some of Hezbollah’s political allies should be worried about the new U.S. legislation as well. Although President Michel Aoun, Free Patriotic Movement leader Gebran Bassil, and Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri have been careful in their dealings with the Syrian regime, other allies have been less shy in announcing their military support for Assad, including the Syrian Social Nationalist Party and the head of the Arab Tawhid Party, Wiam Wahab. For example, Wahab reportedly sent personnel to fight alongside the regime in past years (e.g., a number of them were killed during a 2014 clash in Suwayda province).
STRENGTHENING THE BORDER, SEPARATING FROM ASSAD
By using these and other Syria-related violations as leverage, the Caesar Act could help Lebanon strengthen its sovereignty and empower its institutions against nonstate actors. In particular, if the threat of Caesar sanctions convinces Lebanese officials to formally demarcate their border and begin properly implementing Security Council Resolutions 1559, 1680, and 1701, then Hezbollah would be less free to exploit national institutions in support of the Assad regime next door. Moreover, smugglers would be less free to continue activities that damage Lebanon’s economy and bring dangerous weapons into its territory. On the regional level, bolstering Lebanon’s sovereignty would help the international community put more pressure on Iran’s “land bridge” to Beirut and the Israeli frontier.
On the diplomatic level, the Caesar Act can be leveraged in two ways. First, it could help discourage efforts to normalize Lebanese relations with Syria so long as an unreformed regime holds power in Damascus. When Lebanese activists and opposition figures raised concerns last month about how fuel smuggling is hurting the economy, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah stated that the only solution is to normalize relations in order to properly coordinate with Syria on resolving the problem. The group prefers this solution because it needs to keep the estimated 120 illegal crossings under its control, instead of having the border demarcated and supervised by the Lebanese Armed Forces. Yet Lebanese citizens (and banks) can no longer afford the damage caused by loose borders and Hezbollah involvement in Syria.
Second, the Caesar Act can push Lebanon to suspend its longstanding military agreements and coordination bodies with Damascus. These include the Syrian Lebanese Higher Council, a body created by the 1991 Treaty of Brotherhood, Cooperation, and Coordination during the Syrian occupation. According to the pact—which was not abolished when Syrian troops left Lebanon in 2005—the two countries “shall endeavor to achieve the highest levels of cooperation and coordination in the political, economic, security, cultural, scientific, and other fields.” The treaty also provides a mechanism for institutionalizing this coordination via several bilateral committees. Moreover, the Defense and Security Agreement, signed later that year, calls for comprehensive coordination and cooperation between each country’s military, security, and intelligence establishments.
The Caesar Act is a strong instrument to reinforce the argument that Lebanon can no longer be tied to the current Syrian regime on the economic and security levels. In order to prevent a total economic collapse, the country needs to distance itself from the Assad-Iran axis and defy any normalization with the present regime in Damascus. The threat of Caesar sanctions is one way of prodding Lebanese citizens to realize that clear, firm distancing is a prerequisite for international aid.
At the same time, U.S. officials should emphasize that the legislation is not intended to harm Lebanese businesspeople who have not been involved in supporting the Assad regime. For many local industrialists, merchants, and farmers, Syria is the only land route to send their goods to the rest of the region. These businesses need to be reassured that Caesar is not meant to target them or further damage the fragile economy. Toward that end, the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control should detail the types of legitimate cross-border trade and transshipment that will not be affected by the legislation.
*Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Fellow in The Washington Institute’s Geduld Program on Arab Politics.

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on June 22-23/2020

Protest Against Iran, Hezbollah During Funeral in Daraa
Damascus/Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 22 June, 2020
Thousands of civilians and members of the Russian-affiliated fifth brigade participated Sunday in a mass demonstration against the Syrian regime, Iran and Hezbollah in the city of Basra al-Sham in the eastern countryside of Daraa during the funeral of the victims of a roadside bombing. The demonstrators chanted anti-regime slogans, called for toppling the regime and demanded Iran and Hezbollah to leave Syria. The protest took place during the funeral of the casualties of the attack on a bus of fifth brigade fighters. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said Sunday’s demonstration was the largest since regime forces controlled Daraa province in 2018. The Haron Free League website posted video footage showing civilians from Daraa calling for the fall of the Syrian regime and the withdrawal of fighters from Hezbollah and Iran. It said that since its establishment, the eighth battalion of the fifth brigade acts as a “barricade” in the face of the Iranian expansion in Horan. It said the attack on the bus came after Iran fortified a checkpoint of the fourth Brigade led by Maher al-Assad, brother of the regime's head, Bashar Assad, in the western countryside of Daraa. By competing with Iran, Russia seeks to control the south of Syria. In the past weeks, Moscow has sought the recruitment of fighters to join the fifth brigade in Daraa. Around 400 men, mostly former opposition fighters from Quneitra and Yarmouk, have so far joined the ranks of the brigade. This came as the Division of Al Ghaith forces, which is close to the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, was seen deploying in the countryside of western Daraa after carrying out assassination attacks on figures opposing the Iranian expansion in the area.

Iran won’t negotiate with Trump because he is a ‘criminal, not a president’: Official
Yaghoub Fazeli, Al Arabiya English/Monday 22 June 2020
Iran will neither enter talks with US President Donald Trump nor will it abandon its current foreign policy, a senior military advisor to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei said. “We will not negotiate with Donald Trump in any way, because we consider him a criminal, not a president,” state media quoted Maj. Gen. Hossein Dehghan as saying on Monday. “We will not negotiate about our ballistic missile programs, and we will continue our regional policy,” said Dehghan. Iran has sought to expand its influence in the region using its vast network of proxies known as the “resistance axis.”Some of the militias supported by Iran include the Houthi militia in Yemen, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas and the Islamic Jihad Movement in Gaza, and dozens of other militias in Syria and Iraq. Any US action against Iran in the Arabian Gulf will be met with an extensive response, warned Dehghan. Tensions between the US and Iran have escalated since Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018 and launched a “maximum pressure” campaign against Tehran. The Trump administration wants a more comprehensive deal that would cover nuclear issues, Iran’s ballistic missile program and Iranian activities in the Middle East. Iran is willing to hold talks with Saudi Arabia without any preconditions, claimed Dehghan.

Iran arrests founder, members of student charity organization for unknown reasons
Yaghoub Fazeli, Al Arabiya English/Monday 22 June 2020
Iran has arrested the founder and two members of one of the largest non-governmental charities in the country for unknown reasons, the charity said on Monday. Student charity the Imam Ali’s Popular Students Relief Society tweeted early Monday that security forces arrested its founder Sharmin Meymandi at his home. Morteza Keymanesh and Katayoun Afrazeh, two other members of the charity, have also been arrested, the charity said. Judicial authorities have not yet said why the three have been arrested. Figures and outlets close to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have in recent years been critical of the charity, accusing it of smearing the regime by highlighting Iran’s problems. The charity mainly organizes students and other volunteers to help low-income Iranians and others in times of natural disasters. “Certain institutions” in Iran pressure groups to stop cooperating with the charity, the charity’s managing director Zahra Rahimi told the official IRNA news agency last year. Individuals and groups who previously cooperated with the charity were ordered to stop doing so, said Rahimi. “They link you to all kinds of groups without any evidence. They have linked us to groups that I do not even know, they have linked us to the monarchists and others. Please let us do our job,” she said. In response to Rahimi’s interview, an official from the ministry of interior said at the time that the charity should take legal action if it knows the source of the threats, and if it does not, it should ignore the threats. The charity had also previously said that some of its members received “threatening” phone calls when they were helping those affected by floods last year. In a statement on the country’s anti-government protests last November, the charity had criticized authorities’ labeling of protesters.
“Calling the poverty-stricken protesters outlaws, rioters and enemy agents” does not solve any problems, the charity said.

Iran Arrests Founder of Student Charity Organization
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 22 June, 2020
Iranian security forces on Monday arrested the founder of an influential student charity organization and two of his aides, and sealed the group´s offices in Tehran, a local news website reported. The report by fararu.com said authorities appeared at the home of Sharmin Meimandinejad, the charity's founder, and arrested him. It said that around the same time, Morteza Kaymanaeh, the spokesman for the charity, and another of its employees, Katayoun Afrazeh, were also arrested. The report gave no details or the reason for the arrests and the police did not announce any charges against the three or the charity, named after Imam Ali, the Shiite Muslim sect´s most revered figure after the Prophet Muhammad. Iranian hard-liners have in recent years criticized the charity, the Imam Ali´s Popular Students Relief Society, accusing it of misusing the organization for political purposes and defaming the system by highlighting Iran's problems, as well as working with foreign countries and international bodies. The charity mainly organizes university students and other volunteers to help the poor and others in times of natural disasters such as earthquakes and floods. Iran's moderate President Hassan Rouhani recently said charities and non-governmental groups should not allow "dishonest individuals" to assume positions in them. In May, judiciary chief Ebrahim Raisi warned about alleged plans by Iran's "enemies" to fund charities for "hostile" purposes. Iranian hard-liners accuse the West of seeking to topple the clerical establishment. These accusations have increased amid mounting US pressure following President Donald Trump's moves that pulled America out of Iran's nuclear deal with world powers and Washington's reimposing of economic sanctions on Tehran.

Iran's Currency Reaches Lowest Value Ever against the Dollar
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 22 June, 2020
Iran’s currency on Monday dropped to its lowest value ever against the dollar and officials warned Iranian exporters to bring their foreign earnings home from abroad. Money exchange shops briefly traded the Iranian rial 200,000 for a dollar and later in the day, the currency was valued at 198,000 rials against the dollar. The lows were a new record after the rial on Saturday traded at 190,000 for the dollar. The plunge of the rial comes amid severe US sanctions imposed on Tehran. Iran's Senior Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri on Monday urged Iranian exporters to bring home their earnings from abroad. Last week, Jahangiri said Iran’s oil revenues have plummeted to $8 billion from $100 billion in 2011. The country’s commerce ministry warned that it would revoke export licenses for those who fail to comply and bring the hard currency home while Iran's central bank said on Sunday that it would publish the names of the violators. Iranian companies reportedly export non-oil products in the value of more than 40 billion dollars a year, and officials say about half of that money stays abroad. The rial has tumbled from a rate of 32,000 rials to $1 at the time of Tehran’s 2015 nuclear deal with world powers. The currency unexpectedly rallied for some time after President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw the US from the nuclear deal and reimpose crippling trade sanctions on Iran more than two years ago.The sanctions have caused Iran’s oil exports, the country’s main source of income, to fall sharply.

UK government issues official warning for Soleimani vigil at London Islamic center
Yaghoub Fazeli, Al Arabiya English/Monday 22 June 2020
An Iran-affiliated London-based Islamic center was issued an official warning by the charity regulator for holding a memorial service for slain Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani and describing him as a “great martyr” earlier this year.
The Islamic Center of England (ICE), run by the UK representative of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, praised Soleimani on its website and held a vigil to mourn his death at its headquarters in London in January, an event that was also attended by Iran’s ambassador to London.
“We are very fortunate to live at a time to see, touch and feel a man like Soleimani and we hope and we pray and we work hard to make sure that there will be many, many more Qassem Soleimanis,” Massoud Shadjareh, the head of the Islamic Human Rights Commission (IHRC), was filmed saying at the event.
IHRC organises the annual Quds Day rallies in the UK, an event launched by former Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini and held on the last Friday of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan during which demonstrators condemn countries Iran views as “enemies.”
“We inspire to become like him, we are jealous [of] his [martyrdom], and we want the same thing for ourselves and our loved ones,” Shadjareh added. Soleimani, who headed the Quds Force, the overseas arms of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), was killed alongside Iraqi militia leader Abu Mahdi al-Mohandes in a US airstrike at Baghdad’s international airport on January 3. In a statement on its website, the ICE had described Soleimani and al-Mohandes as “great martyrs.”The ICE has been given an official warning and has been ordered to review the content on its website by the Charity Commission, an independent government department that registers and regulates charities in England and Wales.The Charity Commission pointed out that Soleimani had been under UK sanctions for terrorism and terrorist financing since 2011.
“Any charity being associated with terrorism is completely unacceptable and we are concerned by the corrosive effect this might have on public confidence in this and other charities,” Tim Hopkins, assistant director of investigations and inquiries at the Charity Commission, was quoted as saying on the UK government website.

Syrian Suspected of Crime against Humanity Arrested in Germany
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 22 June, 2020
A Syrian man accused of torturing an inmate while working as a doctor at a prison run by regime military intelligence in his homeland has been arrested in Germany, prosecutors said Monday. The suspect, identified only as Alaa M. in line with German privacy rules, was arrested in the central state of Hesse on Friday, federal prosecutors said. He is suspected of bodily harm and committing a crime against humanity, reported The Associated Press. The case relates to M.'s alleged actions at a prison in the Syrian city of Homs in late 2011, when a doctor was called as a man arrested for taking part in a demonstration suffered an epileptic fit after being tortured, according to a statement from prosecutors. The suspect beat the man with a plastic pipe and then kicked him after he fell to the ground, they said. After the victim's condition worsened the following day, the suspect is accused of joining another prison doctor in beating the man again until he lost consciousness. The victim was put in a blanket and carried away by prison guards. He later died, although the cause is unclear, prosecutors said. The suspect left Syria in 2015 and came to Germany, where he has practiced as a doctor. Alaa M.'s arrest comes as two former members of the Syrian secret police are being tried at a court in the German citizen of Koblenz, accused of crimes against humanity for their role in a regime-run detention center where thousands of opposition protesters were tortured. Those proceedings, the first war crimes trial outside Syria linked to the country’s years-long conflict, have been described as a pivotal moment in the effort to bring Syrian officials accused of crimes to justice.

Germany arrests Syrian doctor for ‘crimes against humanity’: Prosecutor
AFP, Berlin/Monday 22 June 2020
A Syrian doctor living in Germany has been arrested on suspicion of carrying out crimes against humanity at a prison in his war-torn country of origin, prosecutors said Monday. The suspect, identified as Alaa M., is accused of having “tortured a detainee ... in at least two cases” at a prison run by Syrian intelligence services in the city of Homs in 2011, said German federal prosecutors in a statement. Alaa M. was called to the assistance of a man who had suffered an epileptic fit after being detained for taking part in a protest, the statement said. He then proceeded to beat the man with a plastic pipe. “Even after he had gone down, Alaa M. continued the beatings and additionally kicked the victim,” the statement said. The next day, Alaa M. and another doctor are said to have subjected the victim to further beatings. He later died, though the cause of death is unclear. Alaa M. left Syria in mid-2015 and moved to Germany, where he also practiced as a doctor. Syria's civil war, which started with the brutal repression of anti-government protests, has killed more than 380,000 people and displaced nearly half the country's pre-conflict population. The UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitoring group estimates that at least 100,000 people have died from torture or as a result of horrific conditions in government prisons. In April, the first court case worldwide over state-sponsored torture by Bashar al-Assad's regime opened in Germany. The two defendants are being tried on the principle of universal jurisdiction, which allows a foreign country to prosecute crimes against humanity. Germany has taken in more than 700,000 Syrian refugees since the start of the conflict.

Israeli Defense Sales $7.2 Billion in 2019
Agence France Presse/Naharnet/June 22/2020
Israel's defense exports amounted to $7.2 billion in 2019, slightly down from $7.5 billion the previous year, the government said Monday. As in 2018, the bulk went to Asia and the Pacific region, according to a defense ministry statement. The head of Israel's International Defense Cooperation Directorate, Yair Kulas, said the novel coronavirus pandemic was likely to impact this year's sales. "We were expecting to see a trend of growth in G2G (government-to-government) agreements throughout the year 2020, but the corona(virus) pandemic has devastated the global economy and the defense sector," Kulas said in the statement. The Israeli government does not comment on individual arms contracts, but Monday's statement said radar and early warning systems accounted for 17 percent of sales, with missiles, rockets and air defense systems bringing in 15 percent. It said that piloted aircraft and avionics contributed to 13 percent of 2019 sales, with Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) and drone systems amounting to eight percent. Other areas included cyber and intelligence systems, ammunition and armament and naval systems. Sales to Asia and the Pacific region accounted for 41 percent of the total, according to the statement, with 26 percent going to Europe, 25 percent to North America and four percent each to Latin America and Africa.

Israeli IDF Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi : Iran is the most dangerous country in the Middle East
Jerusalem Post/June 22/2020
Despite the distance, Tehran's role in funding terror groups along Israel's borders makes it Israel's top threat.
Despite its distance from Israel, Iran is the most dangerous country in the Middle East, IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Aviv Kochavi said Sunday evening. “Iran has become the most dangerous country in the Middle East,” Kochavi said at a ceremony marking Strategy and Third-Circle Directorate, an entirely new position on the General Staff, which will focus principally on Israel’s fight against Iran. “It’s made significant progress with its nuclear program, but the nuclear [threat] is no longer the only threat. Iran also possesses conventional weapons,” Kochavi said, adding that while “it is located in the third circle, but is highly effective in influencing the first and second circle,” he said referring to financing terror groups like Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria as well as Hamas and Islamic Jihad in the Gaza Strip.
Israel has warned repeatedly about Iran’s nuclear ambitions as well as aspirations of regional hegemony and has admitted to hundreds of airstrikes as part of its “war-between-wars” (known as MABAM in Hebrew) campaign to prevent the transfer of advanced weapons to Hezbollah in Lebanon and the entrenchment of its forces in Syria where they could easily act against Israel. With more active and explosive fronts on Israel’s borders, with enemy arsenals turning groups like Hezbollah into terror armies, the guiding principle for the IDF’s Momentum multi-year plan is to win any future war as quickly as possible.
The new directorate was formed as part of the IDF’s Momentum plan and under Kalman it will bolster the IDF’s attack capabilities, including technological means for the IAF jets to destroy enemy targets, increase the military’s intelligence superiority and expand its intelligence gathering on the Islamic Republic. This includes using satellites as well as bolstering Israel’s cyber (both defensive and offensive) capabilities. And while Iran will be the directorate’s primary threat, it will also focus on other countries in the region that pose a threat to Israel. The “third circle” refers to three tiers of direct threats to Israel, the first being terror groups along Israel’s borders like Palestinian Islamic Jihad and Hamas; the second being larger threats like Hezbollah and neighboring enemy militaries and the third being countries that do not share a border with Israel like Iran and Yemen.
Speaking at the ceremony, Kalman said that the reality of the global and regional environment “has changed significantly” and that while “the IDF has strengthened its position as a player in international security...faced with these challenges, the IDF is required to operate in a variety of arenas and dimensions.”
Kalman, a former fighter pilot, previously led the IDF’s Strategic Division. Under the Momentum plan, the IDF’s Liaison Unit which maintains relations with foreign militaries will be absorbed into the Strategy and Third-Circle Directorate which will also focus on developing the IDF’s larger strategies and international relations. Also during the ceremony Maj.-Gen. Tomer Bar took over from Maj.-Gen. Amir Abulafia, who led the Planning Division which has been renamed as the Force Design Directorate.
Bar, also a former fighter pilot, will command over the newly focused Directorate which will oversee the development of new combat and weapons techniques, specifically those which require cooperation between various branches of the military.
“By correctly making use of the technology we will expose the hidden enemy and, with high lethality and by realizing the multilateral spaces, carry out what is expected of us, creating force multipliers on the battlefield and reaching a rapid victory in every arena and facing any threat,” he said.
*Hagay Hacohen contributed to this article

Egypt Sentences 16 Convicts to Prison in 'al-Nusra Front' Case

Cairo - Asharq Al-Awsat//Monday, 22 June, 2020
The Cairo Criminal Court sentenced 16 suspects to life in prison, and three others to 15 years for their connections to the formation of the terrorist al-Nusra Front organization. The State Security Prosecution had previously referred them to the state security criminal court and ordered the arrest of fugitive suspects in the case. Investigations revealed that the first defendant formed and led a terrorist group aimed at disrupting the implementation of the constitution and laws, preventing state institutions and public authorities from practicing their duties, assaulting civilian and public freedoms and harming national unity and social peace. He is also accused of leading a terrorist group, affiliated with al-Qaeda, which calls for overthrowing the ruling regime, fighting the armed forces and police and destroying public establishment. It also calls for killing Christians and seizing their money, and seizing civilian private properties with the aim of disturbing public order and endangering the safety and security of society. Meanwhile, the Department of Terrorism of Tura Courts Complex postponed to June 23 the re-trial of two defendants, who had been sentenced in absentia to seven years in prison. The case dates back to 2013 when security forces dispersed the Muslim Brotherhood sit-in. The suspects are convicted of inciting violence in Cairo’s May 15 district. The order stated that the defendants “participated in a demonstration without a license designed to destabilize the country. They joined a group that was established contrary to the provisions of the law and uses force and violence to achieve its goals.

US ‘strongly opposes military escalation’ in Libya, calls for ceasefire, negotiations
Tuqa Khalid, Al Arabiya English/Monday 22 June 2020
The United States opposes military escalation in Libya and calls for a ceasefire and for parties to negotiate, the US National Security Council said on Monday. “The United States strongly opposes military escalation in Libya – on all sides. We urge parties to commit to a ceasefire and resume negotiations immediately. We must build on progress made through the UN’s 5+5 talks, the Cairo Initiative, and the Berlin process.”Clashes between the two main warring parties in Libya, the Libyan National Army (LNA), commanded by Khalifa Haftar and the Government of National Accord (GNA), led by Fayez al-Serraj, have intensified. And tensions between the countries backing the different sides of the civil conflict have also risen. On Saturday, Egypt warned that it may resort to military intervention in Libya to protect its national security. There have been several initiatives over the years to restore order in the country which crumbled in 2011 after toppling of dictator Muammar Gaddafi. Since then, the unrest and the conflict has displaced hundreds of thousands of Libyans and killed thousands more. The latest peace initiative was the “Cairo Initiative,” put forth by Egypt on June 6. The initiative included a ceasefire, talks in Geneva, election of a leadership council, disbanding of militias and exit of all foreign fighters from Libya. However, Turkey, which backs the GNA and has been ramping up its military operations in Libya, rejected Egypt’s initiative.

Turkey's Lonely Tourist Attractions Face Make-or-Break Week
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 22 June, 2020
Turkey’s Mediterranean coasts and historic attractions face a critical week as the government presses to open borders and salvage at least part of a tourist season already battered by the coronavirus pandemic. With beaches largely empty and many hotels deciding whether to open, Tourism Minister Mehmet Ersoy told Reuters he hoped the world’s sixth-largest destination could attract up to half of last year’s 45 million arrivals. But much depends on talks to begin flights from Russia, Germany and Britain - also hard hit by the virus - which should reach some conclusions by early next week, he said. The stakes are high for Turkey, where a rebound this month in COVID-19 cases has raised concerns in a country where tourism accounts for up to 12% of the economy. Foreign arrivals fell by two thirds in the first five months of the year. To convince foreigners and their governments that travel is safe, Ankara launched a “healthy tourism” program including health and hygiene checks, and more than 600 hotels have applied for certification. It is lobbying some 70 countries with a focus on the European Union. Yet flights are only beginning to trickle in, including from the United States. In the Mediterranean hub of Antalya at the weekend the historic town center was virtually empty and very few foreign tourists were seen at hotels. Such hotels “cannot survive with only Turkish tourists,” Ersoy said in a Friday interview. “The next 10 days will be critical as decisions are made on borders ... so far it’s not clear how international traffic will start.”
Asked whether tourism would be halted if foreigners sparked new outbreaks, he said “we have to watch the numbers” and decisions would be taken with a separate scientific committee. Turkey hopes top tourist source Russia - which has the world's third-highest coronavirus cases here - will start flights in mid-July. Second-place Germany has a coronavirus travel warning until the end of August but could lift it sooner. Since a lockdown was lifted this month, new official cases doubled before settling around 1,200 per day. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Turkey lost some ground.
‘Longest recession’ Some $35 billion in tourism revenues helped briefly turn Turkey’s current account positive last year. In April, the deficit was $5 billion as revenues disappeared and empty hotel rooms this summer would drive it higher. A growing external imbalance will put more pressure on Turkey’s lira, which hit a record low last month, and could raise more concerns over Turkey’s diminished foreign currency reserves. “Tourism is probably the sector which will go through the longest recession” and its seasonal workers face “a very bad period,” said Seyfettin Gursel, economist at Istanbul’s Bahcesehir University. Ankara decided to halt state funding that partially covered lost wages of formal employees, including some in tourism. Workers and a union said some hotels have begun training on hygiene and social distancing even while many have held off hiring. Okan Osman, from Frankfurt, was one of very few tourists to arrive in Antalya, which he said was “much better and cleaner” than years past. “Of course it’s difficult for everyone and for the staff, but they seem to have been well trained and everyone is really well prepared.”

Libyan Knife Attack Suspect Known to MI5
Asharq Al-Awsat/Monday, 22 June, 2020
The English town of Reading held a minute's silence on Monday for the victims of a deadly stabbing attack carried out by a Libyan man who had come across the radar of Britain's domestic security agency MI5 in 2019. Three people were killed and three others were hospitalized after the man wielding a five-inch knife went on the rampage in Forbury Gardens park on Saturday, randomly stabbing people enjoying a sunny, summer evening. A Western security source, speaking on condition of anonymity, told Reuters that the suspect was a 25-year-old Libyan called Khairi Saadallah.Calling the incident terrorism, police said a 25-year-old had been arrested but they were not hunting others. "What we saw here on Saturday evening in Reading was the actions of one lone individual," Home Secretary (interior minister) Priti Patel said. The security source told Reuters that Saadallah had come to the attention of the MI5 last year over intelligence he had aspirations to travel for extremist purposes, although his plans then came to nothing. "The security services have records on thousands of people and rightly so," said Patel, adding she was limited in what she could say because the investigation was live. Shocked residents of Reading, about 65 km west of London, held a minute's silence at 0900 GMT. The attack was reminiscent of some recent incidents in Britain that authorities also called terrorism.

Kurdish-led authorities in northeastern Syria in talks over US sanctions exemption
Reuters/Monday 22 June 2020
Kurdish-led authorities in northeastern Syria are in talks with their military allies in a US-led coalition on a promised exemption from US sanctions targeting the Syrian government, a senior Kurdish official said. Washington says the sanctions, which took effect last week, mark the start of a sustained campaign of economic and political pressure on President Bashar al-Assad to stop the war in Syria and agree to a political solution. Northeastern Syria is controlled by Kurdish-led militia who have helped the US-led coalition fight ISIS terrorist group, driving the extremists out of swathes of Syrian territory.
Badran Jia Kurd, a vice president of the regional administration, said the sanctions would have an impact on his area, which trades with government-held Syria via local merchants and uses the Syrian pound, which has plunged in value. “They will lead to an increase in prices to a very great degree and to weakness in trade activity with the Syrian interior, while on the other hand crossings to Iraq are closed, meaning the region was already living an economic siege,” Jia Kurd said. “They told us the self-administration regions will be exempt from the Caesar sanctions but the mechanisms and means to achieve this exemption are being discussed with the international coalition.”The sanctions are named after a Syrian military photographer who smuggled thousands of photos out of Syria showing mass killings, torture and other crimes. A US State Department spokesperson said the United States had provided exemptions for humanitarian aid in all areas of Syria since the beginning of sanctions against the government and would remain in close coordination with its partners. “We do not comment on the substance of private, diplomatic conversations,” the spokesperson wrote in emailed comments. The coalition has said the sanctions do not impede humanitarian assistance or hinder “coalition stabilization activities in northeast Syria.”The new sanctions allow for the freezing of assets of anyone dealing with Syria, regardless of nationality.

Readout: Minister Champagne holds call with Iranian Foreign Minister regarding PS752
June 22 - Ottawa, Ontario - Global Affairs Canada
The Honourable François-Philippe Champagne, Minister of Foreign Affairs, today held a call with Mohammad Javad Zarif, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran.
Minister Champagne was clear: immediate action is required from Iran to ensure they conduct a comprehensive, transparent investigation and provide compensation for families.
Minister Zarif committed to Iran sending the flight recorders to France for analysis without further delay. Iran will detail its progress on this issue at the International Civil Aviation Organization this week.
He also agreed to enter into negotiations for reparations, and to provide an update to Canada and the other grieving nations at the next meeting of the International Coordination and Response Group.
Canada will continue working with its partners to ensure Iran follows through on its commitments and to ensure transparency, accountability, justice and closure for the families of the victims of this tragedy.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on June 22-23/2020
Is Cairo Going to War?
Yezid Sayigh/Caranegie MEC/June 22/2020
The Egyptian military may intervene in neighboring Libya, but it likely wants to avoid a major confrontation.
Carnegie senior fellow Yezid Sayigh has written extensively on the Egyptian military, particularly in the context of the Program on Civil-Military Relations in Arab States, which he leads. In a recent Carnegie report, he provided a detailed anatomy of Egypt’s military economy. In light of this, Sayigh was asked by a journalist to comment on the warning by Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi on June 20 that Egyptian forces would intervene in Libya if Turkish-backed forces of the Government of National Accord crossed the Sirte-Jufra frontline. His answers are reproduced below.
Question: How likely is Egypt to intervene militarily in Libya or enter into direct confrontation with Turkish forces there?
Yezid Sayigh: The possibility that Egypt will intervene directly is increasing, although I think the Sisi administration strongly prefers not to, and will only do so as a last resort. If it does intervene, this does not have to be a full intervention in order to be effective in dissuading forces loyal to the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord and its Turkish backers from advancing to or past the Sirte-Jufra line. Nor does the Egyptian military need to advance to that line itself or confront Turkish-backed forces directly.
I expect that Egypt’s first step would be to cross the border in force, in other words through a sizeable deployment, and then pause. In that way it would signal its seriousness and persuade the other side to stop its advance. But if worse comes to worst, Egypt has the ability to move a significant number of forces into Libya since it is right next door to the country. In this regard, its capacities are greater than Turkey’s. But even then Egyptian forces are likely to remain in the eastern border region of Libya.
Question: Do you think Egypt might seek goals in Libya that go beyond concerns about security on their shared border?
YS: No. Egypt’s primary interest in Libya is to protect its own security on that border. It distrusts the Government of National Accord and sees Turkey’s involvement as a serious threat. However, its support for the Libyan National Army led by Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar only really derives from the hope that he can deliver a secure and stable common border. Egypt has economic interests in Libya, which provides a market for Egyptian labor and contractors. However, these are not major and Cairo would not risk a potentially costly military deployment over them.
Question: Would Egypt come out as a political winner or loser from an intervention?
YS: The state would probably gain domestically, since it controls public media and can manipulate how its actions and their outcomes are seen. Moreover, Egyptians have a heightened threat perception of Libya and would view the government’s behavior as legitimate. There will probably also be a certain amount of international sympathy and even open support for Egypt from Russia and some European countries. The United States and main European countries would probably express their understanding for such a move, but not voice unconditional support. That is because they will worry about the potential for further military escalation in Libya, conflict in the Mediterranean, and enhanced Russian influence. So we are likely to see diplomatic efforts to make sure that the Egyptian intervention is defensive, limited, and gradual.
Question: Could Egyptian military intervention tip the scales back in favor of Haftar’s forces after their major recent setbacks?
YS: Egypt already supports Haftar’s forces. Direct intervention would help them considerably by securing their rear, freeing up troops to redeploy to central Libya, and strengthening morale. It would also dampen rising discontent with Haftar in the east as well as within the Libyan National Army, unless the Egyptians also decide to nurture a successor to him. In all cases it is very likely that Egypt will seek to rein Haftar in and prevent him from making a second attempt to seize western Libya and Tripoli, a move it opposed last year. I believe that Egypt will make it clear to Haftar that any future support, including intervention, is aimed at preventing his collapse but no more, and that he must accept a new political process to resolve the conflict. Egyptian intervention will not represent a blank check for Haftar.
Question: Could declared United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabian backing for an Egyptian military intervention help win the war against Turkish-backed forces in Libya?
YS: There will not be a total war involving Egyptian forces in Libya. The UAE could resume and expand both arms supplies and the combat role of their air force in support of the Libyan National Army, in coordination with the Egyptian military. But I don’t expect the UAE to tip the balance any more than they already have in the past. I suspect that Saudi support will mostly be declaratory.
Most important, however, is that Egypt will not engage in a major war in Libya just to fulfill the strategic agenda of the UAE or Saudi Arabia. We saw that with the Sisi administration’s refusal to join the joint Emirati-Saudi war effort in Yemen, despite the strength of their political relationship and the massive financial and economic investment the two Gulf monarchies had made in Egypt. The outcome of Egyptian intervention will be strategic stalemate, which hopefully could lead to a more serious diplomatic effort by the international community to produce a lasting political settlement of the Libyan conflict.

Egypt, Turkey, and the Libyan Test
Ghassan Charbel/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 22/2020
What does Erdogan’s Turkey want from its direct military intervention in Libya? Does it want to be the first player in the country that has a strategic location and oil wealth in its land and water? Or is it seeking to pressure Egypt, harm its security and interests, and punish it for the damages it has caused to the “Brotherhood” project during the “Arab Spring”?
Does it want to grab the status of the “big local power”, which has the right to move its forces, militias, and mercenaries across the region’s countries? Does it consider that the current international climate is suitable for Ankara to reserve a privileged position in future arrangements that concern the region’s security, wells, and rivers?
Does Erdogan’s Turkey want to reproduce the experience of Khamenei in controlling the decision-making in Arab capitals? Did Turkey in Libya benefit from America’s desire to cut off any attempt by Russia to establish a base on the Libyan coast after it strengthened its presence in Syria? What is the truth about the intricate tango between Erdogan and Putin from Idlib to Sirte?
Can Europe, despite its lack of unity, see Libya falling into the hands of the man who, from time to time, threatens to submerge the Old Continent with the waves of refugees? Does Erdogan consider the Middle East as a jungle, in which the strongest prevail over the United Nations and the tears of its Secretary-General or the Secretary-General of the Arab League and his appeals? Does he think that what Iran has done and is doing in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen justifies Turkey’s infiltration into Arab maps?
These questions will linger as long as Erdogan continues to rush in the region as if he were in a race against time. His forces are on Iraqi soil without Baghdad’s approval, and on Syrian soil without the consent of Damascus.
His aircraft are conducting raids in Iraq. And his forces are changing the features of regions in Syria, not to mention his military presence in Qatar, Somalia, and Cyprus, although in different circumstances, and his attempt to impose a fait accompli in oil exploration in the Mediterranean.
It is no exaggeration to say that the speech of President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi opened a new page in the Libyan crisis. The speech was important for its location, time, and rhetoric. The Egyptian president approached the borders with Libya to announce with a clear tone that his country cannot resign from the fate of the African country, not only because it is Arab, but also for Egypt’s role, stability, and vital interests.
The speech came shortly after Turkey’s attempt to impose conditions on the situation in Sirte and Al-Jafra. As for the vocabulary, it was calm and strict at the same time, and enough to send the message to those who are supposed to listen.
In front of the Egyptian forces, Sisi declared that any direct interference by the Egyptian State enjoys international legitimacy, whether in the United Nations Charter: the right to self-defense, or based on the sole elected authority of the Libyan people, which is the House of Representatives.”
Sisi sent a clear warning that drew a “red line” between Sirte and Al-Jafra, stressing that Egypt “will allow nobody to breach it.”
Further emphasizing his warning, he addressed the members of the Egyptian forces, saying: “Be prepared to carry out any mission here within our borders, or if necessary, outside our borders.”
It is a very clear message to Turkey. Sisi considered that developments in Libya “and sending mercenaries and militias to it” constituted a “threat to Arab, regional and European national security, international peace and stability, as well as a direct danger to Egyptian interests.”
In a phrase used for the first time since the outbreak of the Libyan crisis, Sisi said: “If the army advances to Libya, the Libyan tribes will be at the forefront,” pointing out that the Egyptian army will train and arm the country’s tribes.
The truth is that Libya, suffering from wounds, is now at a crossroads: speeding up a ceasefire and curbing the appetites of Turkish interference, or turning into an arena for a multi-lateral confrontation internally and externally.
There is no doubt that the Egyptian leadership exerted extraordinary efforts to move away from the option of intervention, but President Recep Tayyip Erdogan did not leave it with any other option.
The Turkish interference in Libya has surpassed its previous limits, which Cairo was able to turn a blind eye to or tolerate. It turned into a direct military intervention, blew the equations on the ground, and moved to the stage of imposing conditions around the Libyan future.
What’s more, Turkey moved mercenaries from Syrian territories to engage in the fight against Libyan citizens. This means recruiting Arabs to fight Arabs, but within the context of a Turkish scheme. This is not a simple matter.
Egypt could not ignore the fact that the Turkish military presence on Libyan soil threatens not only its role but also its stability. Moreover, Erdogan spares no occasion to express his desire to settle scores with present-day Egypt, which has dealt a painful blow to his regional dream by overthrowing President Mohamed Morsi.
Erdogan’s involvement in the Libyan file is dangerous. In this context, it is possible to understand the open solidarity with Egypt, which Saudi Arabia was quick to express, soon after Sisi’s speech.
Saudi Arabia, which was the first to warn against Iranian policies to penetrate maps and destabilize countries, has also rushed to caution against the major coup represented by Turkish intervention policies.
The support expressed by Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, and Bahrain for the Egyptian position is in fact a reflection of Arab eagerness to restore the balance between the components in the Middle East region.
Exploiting the Arab land as an arena for the Iranian-Turkish hegemony race is a harbinger of endless wars.
It is no secret that the Arab barrier in the face of these winds begins with a Saudi-Egyptian understanding to build a unified Arab position that turns the Libyan test into an opportunity to deter Erdogan’s dreams.

Return to Normal as Coronavirus Remains

Salman Al-Dossary/Asharq Al-Awsat/June 22/2020
Life returned to normal in Saudi Arabia on Sunday after nearly three months since lockdown was imposed. Life also returned to normal throughout most of the world after the worst health, social and economic crisis witnessed by the modern world.
Businesses and commercial and sports activities will resume according to strict health protocols even as the coronavirus monster continues to lurk without abating. In fact, the pandemic has become more widespread since the lockdown. The world today is forced to find a new different and practical equation to deal and coexist with the coronavirus. Infections have topped 8.67 million worldwide and 460,000 have died. Estimates, however, say that the actual infections are in the hundreds of millions given that it is impossible to test every single person on the planet no matter how advanced health means become.
We can say that the critical phase that saw the spread of COVID-19 at the beginning of the year was like a trial for governments to buy time. They were confronted with the great danger of the collapse of health systems and hospitals and clinics were overwhelmed by patients. Some intensive case units could no longer take in more critical cases, as witnessed in Italy, Brazil and other countries.
During the first six months of the year, countries bolstered their health systems and found best ways to deal with rapidly growing infections. Most importantly, they came up with strict health protocols that could help curb the outbreak, which had become inevitable and unavoidable. Given that it is impossible to halt social and economic life any longer, countries now have to approach this enemy from an angle of incurring least harm, not preventing or uprooting the disease.
In my view, after six months of the pandemic, strictly addressing the number of infections is not the only way to deal with the coronavirus. There are two main factors that can determine the ability of countries to coexist with the disease on the long-term, at least until a cure or a vaccine is available: The first is the ability of health systems to take in critical cases, and the other, is lowering the number fatalities as much as possible.
In Germany, 2 percent of COVID-19 infections succumbed to the disease. This is a relatively low percentage compared to the rest or the world and compared to countries that have been hit hard by the outbreak. Take Italy, for example, where some 12 percent of infections have passed away.
Saudi Arabia has reported a 0.6 percent fatality rate, which is among the lowest in the world. This reflects success in confronting the coronavirus. Relative to the number of infections and the size of the population, this figure is among the lowest in the world.
The planet may be trying to return to the pre-coronavirus world, but the virus is still there, its infections are increasing and it is still deadly. Several aspects of the disease are still unknown, as is how come it differs from one country to another. However, one of the most important lessons to derive from the coronavirus is the dire need for more global vigilance in combating pandemics, given the threat of more disease outbreaks in the future. It also demands the need for adopting a united health policy that requires the cooperation of several sectors in fighting this pandemic and others. Health ministries are no longer the sole parties concerned with combating the coronavirus pandemic, but whole countries, with all of their departments, are involved in this war against this virus, which will unfortunately live with us for years to come.

The U.S. Is Right to Push to Extend the U.N. Arms Embargo on Iran
Behnam Ben Taleblu/Newsweek/June 22/2020
It’s not every day that Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, borrows from the lexicon of international relations theory. Highlighting the Islamic Republic’s proliferation of conventional arms, Khamenei bragged in a recent address that Iran managed to change “the balance of power” in the Levant against Israel. Rhetorical flourishes aside, the content of Khamenei’s statement is not new. For years, Tehran has spread weapons across the Middle East to further its revisionist vision of an ideal regional order.
But this is only part of a larger problem.
Barreling down on the international community this October is a lapsing U.N. arms embargo on Iran. The ban covers both exports and imports of conventional weapons, as defined in the U.N. Conventional Register of Arms. Subject to a five-year limit, the ban is enshrined in U.N. Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 2231—which codified the 2015 Iran nuclear deal (known by its acronym, the “JCPOA“). This temporary ban replaced the previous, and incrementally more restrictive, UNSCRs on Iran that contained no expiration dates.
The end of the embargo brings with it a two-fold conventional arms challenge: Iranian military modernization through the legal importation of weapons, as well as Iran’s greater export of weapons that enhance the lethality of its proxies and partners. While Iran has already violated UNSCR 2231’s arms ban through attempts to both procure and proliferate weapons, losing the international architecture with which to call this activity a “violation” and rally the international community to act permits Tehran, to Khamenei’s point, to more easily chip away at the existing balance of power in the Middle East.
On exports, the loss of the embargo would mean the loss of the highest-level blanket international prohibition against Iranian weapons transfers, a move sure to complicate the political predicate for future multi-national efforts to interdict weapons or address threats to international shipping. Moreover, if the ban terminates this October, there will be only country-specific resolutions with general arms bans, such as those pertaining to Lebanon and Yemen—both of which Iran has already violated.
On imports, if the embargo lapses, the most significant multilateral restriction on Iranian military modernization will go with it. For the U.S., which has long sought to impede the Islamic Republic’s military power, the next best policy tools are almost all unilateral. They range from enforcing an existing U.S.-origin embargo on Iran that has been in place since the early 1980s, to threatening various sanctions against foreign sales nodes, to engaging in covert action to thwart purchases, to introducing defective material into Iran’s supply chain.
While the Trump administration has shown how effective U.S. unilateral pressure can be, there is no reason to let the international prohibition lapse. In fact, Iranian leaders like President Rouhani have cited the expiring embargo as one reason to keep the JCPOA (instead choosing to incrementally violate the accord) despite the return of sanctions. Blunter still was the secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, Ali Shamkhani, who threatened that the JCPOA would “die forever” if sanctions against Iranian arms purchases were extended. Underscoring that threat was a semi-official Iranian news outlet, which recently broadcast five retaliatory options Tehran has to turn the screws on Washington if the embargo is extended. For Rouhani, Shamkhani, and others in the Islamic Republic, the JCPOA is more than just a “patient pathway” to a nuclear weapon. It is also a patient pathway to an enhanced Iranian military.
Washington has been ringing the alarm bell on this issue for some time, with the administration (and voices in Congress) openly calling for, at the very least, extending the arms embargo at the U.N. Security Council. Should that fail, they will reportedly press for restoring all U.N. sanctions on Iran, which resets the international baseline for pressure against Iran back to what existed from 2010 to 2015.
This strategy is not lost on America’s adversaries, who are gearing up to oppose any extension of the embargo. At the helm of this effort are Russia and China, two states Iran has already lobbied to oppose the U.S. at the Security Council. Despite its rhetoric about “self-sufficiency,” it is no accident that Moscow and Beijing are the two places where Tehran now seeks help. Both played an outsized role in Iran’s post-Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988) re-armament, helping it gain access to a limited quantity of fighter jets, diesel submarines and anti-ship missiles. Both states also signed up during that era to aid Iran’s nuclear program.
According to a 2019 Defense Intelligence Agency assessment, Iran is again likely to turn to Russia and China for “advanced conventional capabilities” after the embargo ends. These capabilities could reportedly include advanced fighter aircraft, tanks, coastal defenses and air-defense systems. What the report overlooks, however, are the potential cruise missiles Tehran may seek to procure from Russia and China. Another land-attack cruise missile would significantly enhance Iran’s long-range strike capabilities. It would also help the regime achieve parity between its cruise and ballistic missile arsenal. Iran is believed to have proliferated cruise missiles in the past, and currently seeks to grow the lethality of these weapons. Last September, cruise missiles featured prominently in Iran’s attack against oil facilities in Saudi Arabia.
While Russia and China are not predisposed to provide Tehran with every capability it desires, empowering Iran would create more headaches for Washington and yield less time and resources for the Russian and Chinese problem sets. In 2017, the U.S. National Security Strategy warned that the era of “great power competition” was back, with Russia and China more inclined to challenge Washington’s “geopolitical advantages” around the world. Iran is now set to be one theater for this contestation.
Although Iran is classified as a “rogue” power in that same strategy document, there are growing linkages between it and Russia and China. Since the advent of the JCPOA, Iran has purposely drawn itself closer to both powers. If the arms embargo lapses in October, Washington could witness in real time the merging of the great and regional power challenge.
But not everyone believes enhanced Iranian conventional capabilities are a bad thing.
In fact, some scholars have implicitly embraced the idea. This school of thought hopes that a more conventionally capable Islamic Republic could mean a more secure Islamic Republic, which over time might dampen the regime’s desire for unconventional warfighting tools like terror proxies or even nuclear weapons. Other analysts have sought to temper concerns over a deluge of foreign weaponry arriving in Iran by citing the legacy of past procurement hurdles (such as over the S-300 system), as well as by raising the question of financing.
It is no secret Iranian military planners are conscious of their conventional shortcomings, but focusing only on the above driver downplays other, more path-dependent components of Iranian security policy. This includes the legacy of conflicts like the Iran-Iraq War, which taught Tehran the value of deterrence—as well as the legacy of Iran’s asymmetric interventions and proxy wars, which taught Tehran how to bleed its adversaries in a plausibly deniable fashion.
Both legacies mean that Iran would be less likely to divest from its quest for the ultimate deterrent (a nuclear weapon) or cheap and relatively successful war-fighting tools—like using proxies—when presented with the option to grow its conventional military. If anything, the regime would work to retain its asymmetric capabilities and layer on greater conventional capabilities when they become available, pocketing the arms embargo’s termination as a concession from an irresolute West.
Worse, the newfound capability could spur an escalation in Iranian low-intensity warfare in the region. With the regime feeling more secure—and thus more confident in its deterrence and ability to protect the homeland using conventional weapons—it will turn its sights abroad.
None of this is to mean that Tehran will immediately become a conventional military power in October 2020. However, as new hardware is procured, reverse engineered, incorporated into existing doctrine, rendered interoperable (if possible) and perhaps even proliferated, the net effect will be a more hybridized and lethal war-fighting capability. When placed in the hands of Iran’s revolutionary and Islamist leadership, such capability is not inclined to promote responsibility and restraint.
It is this outcome that an extended arms embargo seeks to avoid. Washington has no philosophical gripe with Iranian military power, or the idea of Iran having a defense policy. However, it does take issue with how such power is wielded. Therefore, Washington opposes the Islamic Republic of Iran, which is the world’s foremost state sponsor of terrorism and already the largest missile power in the Middle East, attaining a significant conventional military capability.
“Normal” nations do not face such embargoes or impediments. Revolutionary regimes ought to. Tehran should be permitted to access international arms markets if and only if it acts like a normal nation. Otherwise, Washington should press ahead with its plans to extend the embargo.
*Behnam Ben Taleblu is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, where he focuses on Iranian political and security issues.

Washington’s Muted Response Emboldens Erdogan’s Hostage Diplomacy

Aykan Erdemir/Policy Brief/Kune 22/2020
A Turkish court on June 11 convicted Metin Topuz, a Turkish national and liaison officer for the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration at the U.S. Consulate General in Istanbul, to eight years and nine months in prison on baseless charges of aiding an armed terror organization. Topuz is just the latest victim of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s hostage diplomacy, but he will not be the last if Washington continues to grant impunity to Turkey’s Islamist strongman.
Turkish prosecutors have brought spurious and politically motivated charges against some 50 individuals with ties to the United States and the European Union, including citizens, permanent residents, and employees, since Turkey’s failed coup attempt in 2016. Borrowing from Tehran’s hostage-taking playbook, Erdogan has used these prisoners as bargaining chips to extract concessions from Turkey’s U.S. and European treaty allies in NATO.
Erdogan’s highest-profile victim, American pastor Andrew Brunson, spent almost two years in pre-trial detention on farcical charges of terrorism, coup-plotting, and espionage. The Turkish president first offered to trade Brunson for Reza Zarrab, the ringleader of Iran’s sanctions-evasion network arrested by U.S. authorities in March 2016, and then for Fethullah Gulen, Erdogan’s former-ally-turned-archnemesis residing in Pennsylvania. Similarly, the Turkish president tried to trade German national Deniz Yucel, the German daily Die Welt’s Turkey correspondent, who was arrested in February 2017 on charges of spreading terrorist propaganda. Erdogan reportedly offered to release Yucel in exchange first for Berlin’s extradition of two Turkish generals and then for the unblocking of German arms exports to Turkey.
Other U.S.-affiliated individuals held hostage by Erdogan over the course of the last four years include Turkish-American dual citizens Ismail Kul, a chemistry professor at Widener University, and Serkan Golge, a NASA scientist, along with two U.S. consular employees, Hamza Ulucay and Nazmi Mete Canturk. Turkey released Kul and Golge in early 2019, after 17 months and 34 months of imprisonment, respectively. Yet Ankara still prevents both scholars from returning to the United States, which prompted the Committee of Concerned Scientists to pen a letter to President Donald Trump in December 2019, urging him to assist Kul and Golge “in any way possible so they may … get back to their lives.” The two consular workers – Ulucay, released in January 2019 after 18 months in prison, and Canturk, freed from house arrest in June 2018 – are similarly banned from leaving Turkey.
Eric Edelman, former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey, and Jake Sullivan, former national security adviser to Vice President Joe Biden, observe that the U.S. administration’s “lack of clear messaging has only reinforced Erdogan’s conviction that the United States will not meaningfully challenge him.” Similarly, Henri Barkey, former member of the State Department Policy Planning Staff, warns that a “U.S. failure to show that it stands by its people will cripple the State Department’s ability to represent America overseas.”
To push back against Erdogan’s hostage diplomacy, Senator Roger Wicker (R-MS), co-chairman of the U.S. Helsinki Commission, introduced a bill with bipartisan support, S.1075, the Defending United States Citizens and Diplomatic Staff from Political Prosecutions Act of 2019, which would require the president to impose sanctions on all senior Turkish officials responsible for the wrongful detentions of locally employed staff and citizens. In a Washington Post op-ed last year, Sen. Wicker warned that any negotiation over the fate of U.S. hostages “would only reward Erdogan’s bad behavior,” and that “[a]s with Brunson, only stiff political and economic pressure will work.” In its 2020 Annual Report, the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom recommended passing S.1075 and “the imposition of sanctions on responsible Turkish officials.”
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo issued a statement on June 11 noting that the United States is “deeply troubled” by the conviction of Topuz, a sentiment reiterated in tweets expressing “deep disappointment” from the U.S. Embassy in Ankara. Al-Monitor Senior Correspondent Amberin Zaman rightly called this a “muted response” that will strengthen Erdogan’s conviction that Trump will “continue to leave Turkey off the hook.” Unless Washington makes clear to Erdogan that there will be serious consequences for hostage diplomacy, the list of victims will only continue to grow.
*Aykan Erdemir is a former member of the Turkish parliament and a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), where he also contributes to FDD’s Center on Military and Political Power (CMPP). For more analysis from Aykan and CMPP, please subscribe HERE. Follow him on Twitter @aykan_erdemir. Follow FDD on Twitter @FDD and @FDD_CMPP. FDD is a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.

Iranian proxy in Iraq targets US bases
Cable Weiss and Joe Truzman/June 22/2020
A recent graphic released by the League of the Revolutionaries.
In a recently published video, the Iranian-backed front League of the Revolutionaries (LoR) claimed responsibility for recent attacks including the crash of an American C-130 military cargo plane and several rocket attacks against American-led coalition bases in Iraq.
The LoR publication begins by claiming the group was responsible for a June 8 Camp Taji crash of an American C-130 which led to the injury of 4 aboard including a Wyoming Air National Guard member. A night time recording of the incident shows two rockets being launched towards the Camp Taji runway.
“The bombing of the runway at the Taji base at the time of the landing of a Lockheed C-130 which led to the plane crashing and causing a great loss to the enemy,” the LoR statement read. The Associated Press has quoted US officials as downplaying any link to hostile activity, but added that they were “investigating” the incident.
Furthermore, LoR claims it was able to position a drone over Camp Taji to monitor movements of the “enemy” before the attack occurred. It’s not the first time LoR has claimed to position a drone over an American-led coalition base.
As previously detailed in FDD’s Long War Journal, LoR published several videos of its commercial drones monitoring the American Embassy in Baghdad and Ayn al Asad Airbase.
This is also not the first rocket strike on Camp Taji claimed by LoR. In March, 2 US personnel and one UK soldier were killed in a rocket barrage on the base. Not long after, LoR emerged to take credit for the strike, beginning its campaign against Coalition troops in Iraq.
The publication goes on to claim responsibility for a June 11 attack against the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad. Similar to the previous videos of the Camp Taji attack, a night time recording of a rocket launch adjacent to a road is depicted.
“Targeting of the United States Embassy on June 11,” read the LoR statement in the description of the attack.
Lastly, LoR claimed responsibility for the June 16 rocket attack near the Baghdad Airport. According to local reports, two rockets struck near the Baghdad Diplomatic Support Center with no casualties being involved.
“Targeting the place where the American occupier forces are located at the Baghdad Airport 06/16,” read the LoR statement.
It is noteworthy to mention that of the newly emerged Iranian-backed groups, LoR has consistently published material claiming attacks on American-led coalition bases.
The steady rocket attacks against American interests and bases suggest that the group has legitimized itself as an Iranian-backed front against American-led forces in Iraq.
As previously detailed by FDD’s Long War Journal, the League of the Revolutionaries is likely a front group for other, more established Iranian proxies in Iraq. LoR is just one of many purported groups to have emerged this year to claim attacks against US or Coalition personnel.
This influx in supposed militias inside Iraq is likely a propaganda game being played by Iran and its allies to create political cover for anti-American activities in the country for more established groups. It also may serve to create a narrative of a far-reaching movement that is opposed to the presence of American troops.

Will the EU Ever Stop Appeasing Iran's Mullahs?

Majid Rafizadeh/Gatestone Institute/June 22/ 2020
Germany, Britain and France also appear to have turned a blind eye to a recent statement made by the IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi, who raised serious concerns about possible clandestine and undeclared nuclear sites in Iran.
Germany, Britain and France must put a stop to their mercenary appeasement policy and corrupt loyalty to the Iranian regime. It is the equivalent of enriching the Third Reich during WWII or Soviet Russia during the Cold War. It would have been so much less costly in life and treasure to stop Hitler before he crossed the Rhine. The more the EU kisses up to the ruling mullahs, the more it empowers their rogue, soon-to-be-nuclear regime.
In refusing to support the US plan to extend the United Nations arms embargo on the Iranian regime, Germany, Britain and France appear to have turned a blind eye to a recent statement made by the IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi (pictured), who raised serious concerns about possible clandestine and undeclared nuclear sites in Iran. (Photo by Joe Klamar/AFP via Getty Images)
The ruling mullahs of Iran are being handed yet another gift courtesy of the leaders of Europe. On June 19, 2020, Germany, Britain and France issued a statement that they will not support the United States' plan to extend the United Nations arms embargo on the Iranian regime. The arms embargo is set to expire in October 2020. Germany, Britain, and France, known as E3, were members of Iran nuclear deal, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which, revealingly, Iran never signed.
The foreign ministers of these three European countries pointed out in a statement that "We firmly believe that any unilateral attempt to trigger UN sanctions snapback would have serious adverse consequences in the UN Security Council". They added, "We would not support such a decision, which would be incompatible with our current efforts to preserve the JCPOA."
Did Germany, Britain and France fail to read the latest report from the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which highlighted that Iran is violating all the restrictions of the JCPOA?
The European Union has refrained from criticizing the Iranian regime even though, as of May 20, 2020, it has increased its total stockpile of low-enriched uranium from 1,020.9 kilograms (1.1 tons) to 1,571.6 kilograms (1.73 tons). That is approximately eight times more than what the regime was allowed to maintain under the misbegotten JCPOA "nuclear deal." According to the terms of the JCPOA, Iran had been permitted to keep a stockpile of 202.8 kilograms (447 pounds), and enrich uranium up to 3.67%. Iran is now enriching uranium up to the purity of 4.5% and possesses far more heavy water than permitted under the nuclear agreement.
The EU has remained silent about all that, as well as the dangerous fact that Tehran regime now has enough enriched uranium to refine and build a nuclear bomb if it desired to do so. Approximately 1000kg of uranium enriched at just 5% can be further refined to create one nuclear bomb. Moreover, according to the IAEA report, Iran is still not allowing the IAEA to inspect its sites.
Germany, Britain and France also appear to have turned a blind eye to a recent statement made by the IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi, who raised serious concerns about possible clandestine and undeclared nuclear sites in Iran. "The agency [IAEA]," he warned, "identified a number of questions related to possible undeclared nuclear material and nuclear-related activities at three locations in Iran. The agency," the report clarified, "sought access to two of the locations. Iran has not provided access to these locations and has not engaged in substantive discussions to clarify the Agency's questions."
The EU has not only managed to disregard Iran's dangerous nuclear defiance, they have also been willing to lift the United Nations arms embargo despite all the terror and assassination plots Iran has brought to the EU since the beginning of the JCPOA. These include, in recent years, a series of assassination and terrorist plots across Europe -- some successful, others not, but all committed in the EU by Iran's agents, and traced back to Tehran. In July 2018, a foiled a terrorist attack in Paris targeted a large convention attended by high-level speakers including former US House of Representatives Speaker Newt Gingrich, ex-New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and former Canadian Foreign Minister John Baird. A few months later, in October, and Iranian diplomat and several other individuals of Iranian origin were arrested in France, Belgium and Germany for what French intelligence officials concluded was a foiled bomb plot, behind which was the Iranian regime.
Iran's regime has also been murdering dissidents on European soil. Ahmad Mola Nissi, a Dutch citizen of Iranian origin and a critic of the Iranian regime, was gunned down at his front door in November 2017. The Dutch authorities publicly acknowledged that it had "strong indications" that the Iranian government had commissioned the murder.
Another of Tehran's political opponents, Mohammad Reza Kolahi Samadi, was killed in similar circumstances in Amsterdam in 2015. He had apparently been targeted for his opposition to the Iranian government since the 1980s. Furthermore, the Iranian regime, the top state sponsor of terrorism, has a long and distinguished track record of complete disregard for human rights and international law.
Germany, Britain and France must put a stop to their mercenary appeasement policy and corrupt loyalty to the Iranian regime. It is the equivalent of enriching the Third Reich during WWII or Soviet Russia during the Cold War. It would have been so much less costly in life and treasure to stop Hitler before he crossed the Rhine. The more the EU kisses up the ruling mullahs, the more it empowers their rogue, soon-to-be-nuclear, regime.
*Dr. Majid Rafizadeh is a business strategist and advisor, Harvard-educated scholar, political scientist, board member of Harvard International Review, and president of the International American Council on the Middle East. He has authored several books on Islam and US foreign policy. He can be reached at Dr.Rafizadeh@Post.Harvard.Edu
© 2020 Gatestone Institute. All rights reserved. The articles printed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Editors or of Gatestone Institute. No part of the Gatestone website or any of its contents may be reproduced, copied or modified, without the prior written consent of Gatestone Institute.

Palestinians: The 'Un-Islamic' Family Protection Law
Khaled Abu Toameh/Gatestone Institute/June 22/ 2020
"I understand the head of the clan, who does not want sovereignty other than the rule of the male, but what do the lawyers refuse?" Harhash asked. "This means that the woman here would not have a law that protects here or a lawyer who represents her if she is killed, beaten or assaulted." — Nadia Essam Harhash , Palestinian journalist, raialyoum.com.
"Is preserving the Palestinian family by beating and killing the woman and denying her right to inheritance? How can a lawyer stand against a law that might do justice to an oppressed woman or person? How can a lawyer stand against a law that might do justice to an oppressed woman or person?" — Nadia Essam Harhash , Palestinian journalist, raialyoum.com.
For now, it appears that the PA government is hesitant to pass the law out of fear of alienating Islamists and conservative clan leaders. The widespread opposition to the proposed legislation is further proof of the growing popularity... of Hamas and other extremist Islamist groups among Palestinians. According to them, criminalizing the beating or murder of women is a clear-cut violation of Islamic teachings and values.
Palestinian women and human rights organizations are under attack by Hamas and other Islamic groups and figures for supporting a new family protection bill. According to them, criminalizing the beating or murder of women is a clear-cut violation of Islamic teachings and values.
Palestinian women and human rights organizations are under attack by Hamas and other Islamic groups and figures for supporting a new family protection bill that is currently being drafted by the Palestinian Authority (PA) government.
The PA's Ministry of Women's Affairs says the proposed law would amend the penal code to establish a minimum age for marriage, review current legal protections for victims of domestic violence, impose harsher penalties on perpetrators, and train the police force in assisting victims.
For many Palestinians, particularly Islamists, the proposed law is like a red rag to a bull.
Several Palestinian political and religious figures and groups have strongly condemned the proposed law as "un-Islamic" and called on the PA not to endorse it. Alarmed by the fierce opposition and public outcry, the PA government has been reluctant to approve the controversial bill.
The Palestinian Independent Commission for Human Rights (ICHR) said it was following the controversy surrounding the draft law to protect families from domestic violence, as well as the attacks on those who support the bill.
ICHR said that passing a law to protect the family from violence "is a national requirement and a societal need to confront the increasing family violence that amounts to killing in many cases, especially against women."
"This type of crime requires special legislative interventions that take into account the conditions of our society, in order to provide protection for all family members and specifically women, children, persons with disabilities and the elderly, according to procedures that guarantee privacy and maintain the community fabric."
Noting that the proposed bill would "enhance family values ​​and respect for their unity," the human rights group expressed concern over the campaign of incitement waged against women and human rights activists who are working to advance the law. ICHR pointed out that Palestinian female lawyer Khadija Zahran is among those who have been bullied and threatened for supporting the law.
The Palestinian Women's Affairs Team group condemned the "ferocious attack" against by Palestinian feminists who are calling for the passage of the law to protect families from violence.
In a statement, the group denounced the campaign of threats, bullying and defamation against feminist activists, women lawyers, and human rights advocates who voiced support for the draft law:
"This campaign is a form of violence and a flagrant violation of the right of individuals to express an opinion, an expropriation of rights, and an attempt to impose [a different] opinion by force."
The proposed law, the group explained, aims to "confront the worrisome and increasing family violence in our Palestinian society, which in some cases has reached the point of killing, especially against women."
Referring to ongoing defaming and bullying of women who support the bill, the group said:
"The attacks on women and feminist activists is clear evidence of the need for a protective law that takes into account the situation of women, and broadens the view of the concept of violence."
The group urged PA President Mahmoud Abbas and the PA government, as well as human rights organizations, civil society institutions, and political parties, "to guarantee the safety and security of Palestinian activists from threats," and called for "respecting opinions and views from all parts of our Palestinian people to reach a state of law and Palestinian democracy."
The feminist activists and human rights groups are particularly worried after a group of Islamic "scholars" published a strongly worded statement against the proposed family protection bill. The "scholars" ruled that the proposed bill contradicts "the provisions of Islamic law and the values ​​of society" and warned that it would lead to the "destruction and weakening of the Palestinian family."
The "scholars" said their main concern was that the bill would pave the way for the intervention of external powers in private family affairs.
"The families will be dismantled, and all the foundations of affection, mercy, coexistence, tolerance and mutual respect will be destroyed... The law constitutes a violation of family privacy and the special relations between the husband and his wife, the father and his children, and transfers these relationships from the private sphere to the public sphere."
The "scholars" are also opposed to the bill because they believe it is "un-Islamic" for a woman to complain to the police or go to a non-religious court to seek justice.
The Islamic "scholars" said they feared that the bill would legitimize interference in family matters "by giving everyone in the community the right to complain to the relevant authorities," adding that this would "strengthen individual and personal values that are not bound by Islamic values."
The "scholars" said they also opposed the bill because it "eliminates any disciplinary, legal or religious authority of parents over their children, or the husband over his wife and family" and ends gender discrimination at workplaces between men and women. They are saying, in other words, that Islamic sharia law forbids equality between men and women at work.
Hamas, the Islamist terror group ruling the Gaza Strip, has also joined the campaign to thwart the proposed bill. Hamas representatives have expressed their "absolute rejection and categorical opposition to the draft law."
"We believe that Islamic law and the benign values ​​and ethics of our society contain enough solutions and remedies to achieve justice, fairness and stability for all segments of society without the need to import strange foreign concepts that do not fit our society.
"We view with great gravity the pressures exerted and practiced to enact this law, which would be used to spread abnormal practices, such as sexual relations outside of marriage, absolute freedoms, moral chaos, and homosexuality in all its forms."
The Hamas officials called on Abbas to reject the approval of the draft family protection law and to work towards strengthening the sharia judiciary instead.
In a bizarre twist, senior Hamas official Mahmoud Zahar went as far as claiming that the law aims at protecting women from domestic violence and abuse was somehow connected to Israel and the US administration "schemes" against the Palestinians. "This law aims to appease external parties at the expense of Islam and Islamic values and morals," Zahar said. "The law destroys the Palestinian family and is incompatible with Islamic law and inconsistent with Palestinian identity, culture and morals."
The Palestinian Council of Sharia Attorneys said that the bill was "a violation of the true Islamic religion and its teachings." The lawyers warned that, if implemented, the law would "effectively contribute to the loss of our sons and daughters and allow them to carry out actions that are contrary to the teachings of Islam and Islamic laws and traditions."
The lawyers considered that the bill contains "a clear targeting of the sharia courts, affects the security of the Palestinian family and contributes to its destruction and dissolution."
Prominent Palestinian journalist Nadia Essam Harhash scoffed at the lawyers' claims and said Palestinians are witnessing "a breakdown of the moral system."
Harhash said that while she understands the opposition of male clan leaders to the proposed bill, she's perplexed by the lawyers' position.
"I could only ask myself, if this is the position of lawyers, what is the position of the tribes? I understand the head of the clan, who does not want sovereignty other than the rule of the male, but what do the lawyers refuse?.. This means that the woman here would not have a law that protects her or a lawyer who represents her if she is killed, beaten or assaulted. What Islam and religion are these lawyers talking about? Is it an Islamic religion that we do not know? What Palestinian family are they talking about and want to preserve? Is preserving the Palestinian family by beating and killing the woman and denying her right to inheritance? How can a lawyer stand against a law that might do justice to an oppressed woman or person?"
For now, it appears that the PA government is hesitant to pass the law out of fear of alienating Islamists and conservative clan leaders. The widespread opposition to the proposed legislation is further proof of the growing popularity and influence of Hamas and other extremist Islamist groups among Palestinians. According to them, criminalizing the beating or murder of women is a clear-cut violation of Islamic teachings and values.
*Khaled Abu Toameh, an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem, is a Shillman Journalism Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
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