English LCCC Newsbulletin For Lebanese, Lebanese Related, Global News & Editorials
For December 26/2020
Compiled & Prepared by: Elias Bejjani

#elias_bejjani_news
 

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Bible Quotations For today

When they saw that the star had stopped, they were overwhelmed with joy. On entering the house, they saw the child with Mary his mother; and they knelt down and paid him homage. Then, opening their treasure-chests, they offered him gifts of gold, frankincense, and myrrh
Holy Gospel of Jesus Christ according to Saint Matthew 02/01-12./:”In the time of King Herod, after Jesus was born in Bethlehem of Judea, wise men from the East came to Jerusalem,
asking, ‘Where is the child who has been born king of the Jews? For we observed his star at its rising, and have come to pay him homage.’When King Herod heard this, he was frightened, and all Jerusalem with him; and calling together all the chief priests and scribes of the people, he inquired of them where the Messiah was to be born. They told him, ‘In Bethlehem of Judea; for so it has been written by the prophet: “And you, Bethlehem, in the land of Judah, are by no means least among the rulers of Judah; for from you shall come a ruler who is to shepherd my people Israel.” ’Then Herod secretly called for the wise men and learned from them the exact time when the star had appeared. Then he sent them to Bethlehem, saying, ‘Go and search diligently for the child; and when you have found him, bring me word so that I may also go and pay him homage.’ When they had heard the king, they set out; and there, ahead of them, went the star that they had seen at its rising, until it stopped over the place where the child was. When they saw that the star had stopped, they were overwhelmed with joy. On entering the house, they saw the child with Mary his mother; and they knelt down and paid him homage. Then, opening their treasure-chests, they offered him gifts of gold, frankincense, and myrrh. And having been warned in a dream not to return to Herod, they left for their own country by another road.


Titles For The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on December 25-26/2020

Elias Bejjani/Video-Text: Christmas Is A Holy Event For Openness Prayers, Contemplation, & Forgiveness/Elias Bejjani/December 25/2020
No Solution In Lebanon Without A UN Military Intervention/Elias Bejjani/December 26/2020
Health Ministry: 2136 new cases of Corona, 14 deaths
US dollar exchange rate against Lebanese pound
Pope Francis calls on Lebanese leaders to put public interest ahead of personal gain
Pope Offers Christmas Message for Lebanon
Coronavirus Dampens Christmas Joy in Lebanon
Rahi Delivers Christmas Message in Aoun’s Absence
Lebanon’s Rai Urges Politicians to Form Government
Rahi receives “Strong Republic” Bloc delegation:
Israeli Jets Fly Low over Lebanon to Strike Syria's Hama
Billion-dollar Captagon pills seized in Italy smuggled by Hezbollah, not ISIS: Report
Report: Caesar Act Blamed for Increasing Power Cuts in Lebanon
Report: Lebanon Denies Depositing Maritime Border Maps with UN
Health Ministry has no sole authority to stop flights from Britain,' says Hassan
Drug quantity seized at Beirut Airport, suspect arrested
Hariri: May God inspire some so we can reach a government capable of stopping the collapse
Abdel Samad on honoring Lebanese journalists abroad: Creativity despite all challenges
Lebanon Says First Case of New Coronavirus Variant Detected on Flight from London
Explosions reported in Syria after Israeli jets fly over Lebanon capital Beirut
The Blast that Blew Away Lebanon's Faith in Itself/Samia Nakhoul/Reuters/December 25/2020
Lebanese lose hope their country can rise up

Titles For The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on December 25-26/2020

Pope Says Fraternity the Watchword 'at This Moment in History'
Christian minorities celebrate Christmas across the Middle East, pandemic dampens spirit
At least 6 dead in airstrikes on Iranian missile factories in Syria
Israeli strikes on Syria kill six Iran-backed fighters: Monitor
Democrats Back Biden’s ‘Unconditional’ Return to Iran Nuclear Deal
We want better ties with Israel'
Sisi: Success of Upcoming AU Summit Depends on Addressing Urgent Issues
Explosion Hits Gas Pipeline in Egypt's Sinai
Warning Message from US to Region: Do Not Weaken Our Ability to Pressure Damascus
Aboul Gheit: World May Face New Cold War, Arabs Must Be Vigilant
Trump Hails Truce as Libyans Celebrate Independence
Pompeo Says US Began Work to Set up Consulate in Western Sahara
Judge Orders Detention of Tunisian Media Magnate Karoui
Kuwait on alert over ISIS threat in end-of-year plot
Jordan’s Brotherhood excluded from parliamentary committees
EU and Britain Seal Post-Brexit Trade Deal

 

Titles For The Latest The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on December 25-26/2020
The Post-Pandemic World: A View from the Saudi Angle/Dr. Ihsan Ali Buhulaiga/Asharq Al-Awsat/December 25/2020
Biden Meddles with Donald Trump's Middle East Legacy at his Peril/Con Coughlin/Gatestone Institute./December 25/2020
How Islam Deified Tribalism/Raymond Ibrahim./December 25/2020

The Russian bear can still roar and claw at the global order but it lacks any power to change it/Dr. John C. Hulsman/Arab News/December 25/2020
Syria’s pain forgotten but not foregone this holiday season/Tala Jarjour/Arab News/December 25/2020
Can Turkey tidy up its foreign policy in 2021?/Sinem Cengiz/Arab News/December 25/2020

 

The Latest English LCCC Lebanese & Lebanese Related News & Editorials published on December 24-25/2020

Elias Bejjani/Video-Text: Christmas Is A Holy Event For Openness Prayers, Contemplation, & Forgiveness
Elias Bejjani/December 25/2020

#Elias_Bejjani_Christmas_Wishes

فيديو ونص: ذكرى الميلاد هي فرصة مقدسة للصلاة والتأمل والإنفتاح على الغير والمسامحة

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/81746/elias-bejjani-christmas-and-the-obligations-of-the-righteous-%d8%b0%d9%83%d8%b1%d9%89-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d9%8a%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%af-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%ac%d9%8a%d8%af-%d9%88%d9%88%d8%a7%d8%ac%d8%a8/

Today in the town of David a Savior has been born to you; he is Christ the Lord. (Luke 02/11)
Glory to God in the highest, on earth peace, good will toward men (Luke 02/14)
The holy birth of Jesus Christ bears numerous blessed vital values and principles including love, giving, redemption, modesty and forgiveness.
Christmas is a role model of love because God, our Father Himself is love.
Accordingly and in a bid to cleanse us from our original sin He came down from heaven, was conceived by the Holy Spirit, born of the Virgin Mary, and became man.
This is my commandment, that you love one another, even as I have loved you. (John15/12)
There is no greater love than to lay down one’s life for one’s friends. (John15/13)
Christmas is way of giving …God gave us Himself because He is a caring, generous, forgiving and loving and father.
Christmas embodies all principles of genuine redemption. Jesus Christ redeemed us and for our sake He joyfully was crucified, and tolerated all kinds of torture, humiliation and pain
Christmas is a dignified image of modesty ..Jesus Christ accepted to be born into a manger and to live his life on earth in an extremely simple and humble manner.
Let us continuously remind our selves that when our day comes that could be at any moment, we shall not be able to take any thing that is earthly with us for the Day of judgment except our work and acts, be righteous or evil.
Christmas is a holy act of forgiveness ….God, and because He is a loving and forgiving has Sent His Son Jesus Christ redeem to free us from the bondage of the original sin that Adam and Eve committed.
Christmas requires that we all genuinely pray and pray for those who are hurt, lonely, deserted by their beloved ones, feel betrayed, are enduring pain silently pain, suffer anguish, deprived from happiness, warmth and joy .
Christmas is ought to teach us that it is the duty of every believer to practice his/her faith not only verbally and via routine rituals, but and most importantly through actual deeds of righteousness….
Christmas’ spirit is not only rituals of decorations, festivities, gifts and joyful celebrations…But deeds in all ways and means by helping those who need help in all field and domains.
Christmas’s spirit is a calls to honour and actually abide by all Bible teachings and values.
In this realm we have a Biblical obligation to open our hearts and with love extend our hand to all those who are in need, and we are able to help him remembering always that Almighty God showered on us all sorts of graces and capabilities so we can share them with others.
Christmas is a time to hold to the Ten Commandments, foremost of which is “Honour your father and your mother”.
Christmas is a good time for us to attentively hear and positively respond to our conscience, which is the voice of God within us.
Christmas should revive in our minds and hearts the importance of fighting all kinds temptations so we do not become slaves to earthly wealth, or power of authority.
Christmas for us as patriotic and faithful Lebanese is a time to pray for the safe and dignified return of our Southern people who were forced to take refuge in Israel since the year 2000.
Christmas for each and every loving and caring Lebanese is a holy opportunity for calling loudly on all the Lebanese politicians and clergymen, as well as on the UN for the release of the thousands of Lebanese citizens who are arbitrarily and unjustly imprisoned in Syrian prisons.
Most importantly Christmas is a time for praying and working for the liberation of our dear homeland Lebanon, from the Iranian occupation.
No one should never ever lose sight for a moment or keep a blind eye on the sacrifices of our heroic righteous martyrs who willing sacrificed themselves for our homeland, identity, existence, and dignity. Our prayers goes for them on this Holy Day and for peace in each and every country, especially in the chaotic and troubled Middle East.
May God Bless you all and shower upon you, your families, friends, and beloved ones all graces of joy, health, love, forgiveness, meekness and hope.
Click Here To Read The Arabic Version Of The Above Piece

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XyUmzlLftrQ&feature=youtu.be

 

No Solution In Lebanon Without A UN Military Intervention

Elias Bejjani/December 26/2020
Sadly most of the free and patriotic Lebanese from all walks of life, and specially those who are living the in Diaspora, like myself,  all strongly believe there is no way any more or any slight hope that the Lebanese themselves are alone able to rescue their own country and free it from both, the Iranian occupation and the local Mafiosi political class.

The country has reached a stage of chaos that made the Lebanese helpless and unable to do any thing, but to leave if this option is available for them.

practically, Lebanon and the Lebanese are both kidnapped by the armed Iranian terrorist proxy, Hezbollah by force, intimidation, murder, oppression and all kinds of barbaric and savage evil means.

Meanwhile all the ruling officials, as well as the political class from the top to the bottom of the governing hierarchy especially and foremost the president and both the Prime Minster and the House speaker as well as the Parliamentary majority are mere puppets, mercenaries and Trojans.

The satanic occupation formula that is destroying systematically every this in Lebanon is a marriage between the armed and terrorist Iranian Militia which is Hezbollah, and criminal Mafia which is the political class with no one exception.

Corruption, chaos, and all kinds of crimes are invading the country on all levels and in all domains in both the public and the private sectors.

Banks are holding peoples' assets and money and impoverishing them, while the majority of the financial experts believe that the these banks are all  heading towards bankruptcy very soon.

There is no way that the Lebanese and their country who are both kidnapped and taken by Iran and its Hezbollah hostages can free themselves alone without a regional and international serious and powerful military help via the United Nations assembly.

The only window of help that the Lebanese are hoping to see is the formal and official UN declaration of Lebanon as a rouge-failed country.

Lebanon sooner and later Must be declared a rogue-failed country and put under the UN clause # 07..

A UN urgent military intervention under clause number 07 is the only left vehicle to rescue the hostage, occupied and kidnapped Lebanon.

In conclusion, there is No hope from the political Lebanese rotten and corrupted class, or from getting rid of the terrorist Iran military proxy, Hezbollah without an urgent UN foreign military intervention
 

Health Ministry: 2136 new cases of Corona, 14 deaths
NNA/Friday, 25 December, 2020
The Ministry of Public Health announced, on Friday, that 2136 new Corona cases have been reported, thus raising the cumulative number of confirmed cases to-date to 168,069.
It also indicated that 14 death cases were also registered during the past 24 hours.

US dollar exchange rate against Lebanese pound
NNA/Friday, 25 December, 2020
The Syndicate of Money Changers announced the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Lebanese pound for Friday, December 25, 2020, as follows:
Buying price at a minimum of 3,850 LL/$
Selling price at a maximum of 3,900 LL/$

Pope Francis calls on Lebanese leaders to put public interest ahead of personal gain
NNA/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Pope Francis, the chief pastor of the worldwide Catholic Church, included a message to the Lebanese people in his Christmas address from the Vatican on Thursday.
Speaking of his sorrow at the suffering that has engulfed Lebanon in 2020, he said. “It is even more painful to see you deprived of your precious aspirations to live in peace and to continue being, for our time and our world, a message of freedom and a witness to harmonious coexistence.” The pope appealed to Lebanon’s political and spiritual leaders to place the common good ahead of personal gain, borrowing a passage from one of the pastoral letters of Patriarch Elias Howayek, who played a leading role in the independence of Lebanon and the birth of the Greater Lebanon state in 1920: “You are responsible, you are the judges of the earth, you are the people’s representatives, who live on behalf of the people, you are obligated, in your official capacity … to pursue the common good. Your time is not devoted to your interests, and your job is not for you, but for the state and for the nation that you represent.”Pope Francis said he hoped that the Lebanese would benefit “from the current fluctuations of circumstances to rediscover their identity,” stressing that they should not desert their “homes or inheritance, nor give up on the dream of the future of a beautiful and prosperous country.”
The pope said he would visit Lebanon “ as soon as possible” and called on the international community to “help Lebanon stay out of regional conflicts and tensions.”On Thursday, Lebanon’s Maronite Patriarch Bechara Al-Rai devoted part of his traditional Christmas message to his failed initiative to facilitate the formation of a new government. He also criticized politicians and discussed the crises facing Lebanon. Al-Rai said: “The victims and the afflicted of the Beirut Port blast were assassinated with uncontrolled weapons, and their hearts (are) caves of grief. What is painful is that the forensic investigation revolves around itself and the jurisprudence and authorities. But the disaster is greater than everyone and surpasses everyone’s immunity.”
Al-Rai added: “Rarely has a nation experienced such a serious crisis, and (seen its) leaders as reluctant to save it as our leaders. This crisis would not have occurred had it not been for the poor performance of this political group from years ago to today. They see politics as an art to serve their interests and disrupt public life and constitutional entitlements — humiliating the people, corrupting institutions, obstructing the judiciary, and hammering the economy and the currency, as if this political group is managing an enemy state.”
Al-Rai warned, “There are those who want to destroy Lebanon, intentionally or ignorantly. But we are determined to meet the challenges, no matter how many there may be, and to save a democratic, neutral, and independent Lebanon — the Lebanon of sovereignty, partnership and sophistication.”
Al-Rai also spoke of “hidden and fabricated difficulties impeding the formation of the new government.” He said, “We were betting on conscience. But we regret the failure of the promises that were given to us. The formation of the government returned to the starting point. It would be preferable if those concerned would talk openly to the people about the reasons for not forming the government. The people have the right to know their reality and fate.”
Al-Rai also echoed the pope’s call for the international community to ensure Lebanon does not become embroiled in regional conflicts.
President Michel Aoun called Al-Rai on Thursday to apologize in advance for not attending the celebratory mass in Bkerke on Friday — Christmas Day — due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Sources close to Aoun said that the president’s rejection of the suggested cabinet lineup presented to him by Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri two weeks ago was that it “lacked balance and fairness in the distribution of portfolios among the sects” and that Hariri had demanded “the two portfolios of Justice and the Interior, that is, the equation of security and the judiciary. It is illogical for the government to be run by one person.”
On Thursday evening, large numbers of Lebanese expatriates arrived at Rafic Hariri International Airport in Beirut to spend the holidays with their families, resulting in long queues for the PCR tests that would mean they could avoid quarantine.
The Ministry of Health said more than 17,000 PCR tests had been conducted on Thursday alone, and also renewed its instructions to respect preventive measures during family gatherings over the holidays.
The ministry is reportedly braced for a huge increase in the number of COVID-19 infections after the holidays. Wednesday’s total of 2,246 new infections in the country was the highest since the pandemic began. --- Arab News

Pope Offers Christmas Message for Lebanon
Naharnet/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Pope Francis expressed his desire to visit crisis-hit Lebanon and urged political leaders to seek the best interest of the Lebanese people in Christmas Eve message. Lebanon was plunged into its worst economic crisis in decades by the devastating port blast in Beirut in August. In a message to cardinal Beshara el-Rai, the patriarch of the Maronite Church, the 84-year-old pontiff said Thursday he hoped to visit Lebanon "as soon as possible". "Beloved sons and daughters of Lebanon, I am deeply troubled to see the suffering and anguish that has sapped the native resilience and resourcefulness of the Land of the Cedars," he said. He appealed to Lebanon's leaders "to seek the best interest of the public" and for the international community to "help Lebanon to surmount this grave crisis and resume a normal existence".

Coronavirus Dampens Christmas Joy in Lebanon

Associated Press/Friday, 25 December, 2020
While many places around the globe were keeping or increasing restrictions for Christmas, Lebanon was an exception. With its economy in tatters and parts of its capital destroyed by a massive Aug. 4 port explosion, Lebanon has lifted most virus measures ahead of the holidays, hoping to encourage spending. Tens of thousands of Lebanese expatriates have arrived home for the holidays, leading to fears of an inevitable surge in cases during the festive season. Lebanon has the largest percentage of Christians in the Middle East — about a third of its 5 million people — and traditionally celebrates Christmas with much fanfare. But even with restrictions relaxed, a severe economic crisis was pouring gloom over the holidays this year. The streets of Beirut, traditionally lit with Christmas lights, are more subdued. Shops may have new products, but few people are buying A giant Christmas tree in downtown Beirut is decorated with the uniforms of firefighters to commemorate those who died in the port explosion. Another tree represents Beirut’s ancient houses destroyed in the blast. “People around us were tired, depressed and depleted, so we said let’s just plant a drop of joy and love,” said Sevine Ariss, one of the organizers of a Christmas fair along the seaside road where the explosion caused the most damage.

Rahi Delivers Christmas Message in Aoun’s Absence

Naharnet/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Maronite Patriarch Beshara el-Rahi, expressed his dissatisfaction on Friday with the failure of his initiative to accelerate the formation of a rescue government, the National News Agency reported. Rahi's remarks came during a Christmas mass which was held in the absence of President Michel Aoun over fears of the COVID-19 pandemic. "We were expecting the formation of a salvation government. We were surprised by the conditions and counter-conditions set (by parties) and how the formation is linked to the regional and world conflicts. We therefore found ourselves lacking a constitutional procedural authority in the midst of this collapse,” said Rahi. The Patriarch added: “If the reasons for not forming the government are internal, then the catastrophe is great because it reveals irresponsibility. And if it’s external, then the calamity is even greater because it exposes loyalty to other than Lebanon. In both cases people feel that change has become an urgent matter to stop the process of national collapse.”"We had hoped that President Michel Aoun and PM-designate Saad Hariri would form one team above all parties, and that they would be liberated, even temporarily, from all pressures and cooperate by forming a government of non-politicians in order to gain confidence from the people and the world, but our desires collided with unjustified conditions," Rahi added. In this context, the Patriarch stressed that "the distribution of ministerial portfolios is important, but considering the people's demands is more important…"Finally, he stressed the need for politicians to be honest with the people, which would benefit those responsible in critical crises.

Lebanon’s Rai Urges Politicians to Form Government
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Lebanon’s Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rai urged politicians on Friday to rid themselves of external pressure and form a government to end political deadlock and help resolve a severe financial crisis. Fractious politicians have been unable to agree on a new administration since the last one quit in the aftermath of the cataclysmic Aug. 4 Beirut port explosion, leaving Lebanon rudderless as it sinks deeper into economic crisis. Veteran politician Saad Hariri was named premier for a fourth time in October promising to form a cabinet of specialists to enact reforms necessary to unlock foreign aid, but political wrangling has delayed the process. If the reasons for not forming government are internal than "the problem is great" because it shows lack of responsibility, but if they are external "it is greater" because it exposes loyalties beyond Lebanon, Rai said at Christmas Mass. His repeated calls for the nation to be free from regional influences are widely understood as references to Lebanon's Hezbollah movement that is backed by Iran. "What conscience allows for Lebanon to be tied to struggles it has no relation to?" he added. Prime Minister-designate Hariri and President Michel Aoun aired their differences over the government in statements on Dec. 14.The financial crisis came to a head last year after decades of corruption and bad governance, sinking the currency by some 80%, freezing savers out of their deposits and causing poverty to soar.


Rahi receives “Strong Republic” Bloc delegation:
NNA/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Bechara Boutros al-Rahi, met this evening in Bkirki with a "Strong Republic" Bloc delegation headed by former Minister May Chidiac, including MPs Shawki al-Daccash, Antoine Habshi, Ziad al-Hawat, Pierre Bou Assi, Fadi Saad, Joseph Ishaq and Imad Wakim, as well as former Minister Melhem Riachi. The delegation conveyed to the Patriarch the Christmas greetings of Lebanese Forces Party Chief Samir Geagea, with talks centering on the general situation prevailing in the country. In a brief word on behalf of the delegation following the visit, Chidiac said: "We came as a 'Strong Republic' Bloc delegation to congratulate His Beatitude on the occasion of Christmas, the time of salvation of humanity through the birth of the Savior, our Lord Jesus Christ. We are the country of hope, and we must constantly believe that peace and salvation are on their way...It is wrong for those who think that we are despaired or frustrated, because we are children of the resurrection, the resistance and the struggle, and we will continue our path in this context." She added: "We came to affirm the historical relationship between the Lebanese Forces and the Maronite Patriarchate. We came to assert this basic historical line that constitutes the guarantee for Lebanon and for coexistence." Chidiac reiterated her Party's strong emphasis on the notion of "neutrality" initiated by the Patriarch, saying: "We, as Lebanese Forces, when visiting Bkirki, cannot but mention the issue of neutrality, for we believe that there is no salvation for Lebanon without this headline raised by His Beatitude the Patriarch, far-reaching its implementation, especially since His Holiness Pope Francis touched on this issue in the letter he addressed to the Lebanese yesterday."
Chidiac went on to express her Bloc's understanding of the Patrriach's relentless efforts and endeavor to form a government, particularly with the rising financial and economic crisis in Lebanon that has reached a point where the citizen can no longer afford to live because of the distress and lack of resources. However, she voiced her Bloc's belief that with such a ruling class, it is a hopeless and useless case! "We do understand the concerns of our Patriarch, yet we assured him of our conviction that the best solution is to press for early parliamentary elections, for said elections are a salvation, a refuge and a gateway to changing the current majority that controls the fate of the Lebanese," Chidiac corroborated. She added that they also stressed during their talks on the need to put an end to the state of security chaos in the country, and reiterated the necessity of forming an international fact-finding committee under the supervision of the United Nations to look into the Beirut Port explosion, bringing together all that has been accomplished so far by France, the United States and other international bodies. On a different note, the Patriarch continued to receive well-wishing visitors and messages marking the blessed season, whereby he met with former Bar Association Head Antoine Qlimos, and received congratulatory calls from Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri, former PM Tammam Salam, Mufti of the Republic Sheikh Abdul-Latif Derian, Head of the Supreme Islamic Shiite Council Sheikh Abdel-Amir Qablan, MP Bahiya Hariri, Ambassador Mustafa Adib and Mrs. Mona Hrawi.

Israeli Jets Fly Low over Lebanon to Strike Syria's Hama

Agence France Presse/Associated Press
Israeli warplanes violated Lebanon's airspace late Thursday to carry out a strike in neighboring Syria, sparking panic among residents on Christmas Eve.
The jets were heard flying at low altitude over Beirut and Sidon shortly before the strikes. Social media reports also said that blasts were heard in the northern regions of Akkar and Tripoli. It was not immediately clear whether those were bombardment sounds or the sounds of jets breaking the sound barrier.
Israeli jets regularly violate Lebanese airspace and have often struck inside Syria from Lebanese territory. But the Christmas Eve flights were louder than usual, frightening residents of Beirut who have endured multiple crises in the past year, including the catastrophic Aug. 4 explosion at the city's port that killed over 200 people and destroyed parts of the capital. That explosion resulted from the detonation of a stockpile of ammonium nitrates that was improperly stored at the facility.
Syria's state news agency SANA said Syrian air defenses intercepted missiles fired by Israel on the western province of Hama.
"Our air defenses intercepted an Israeli attack on the Masyaf area" in rural Hama, SANA reported. Syrian state TV aired footage purporting to show air defenses responding to the Israeli attack. The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights also reported strikes on Masyaf, saying Israel was "likely responsible." The war monitor said the attack targeted "positions of regime forces and Iran-backed militias," without providing additional details.Israel, which did not immediately comment on the reports, has launched hundreds of strikes in Syria since the start of the civil war in 2011. It has targeted government troops, allied Iranian forces and fighters from Lebanon's Hizbullah. It rarely confirms details of its operations in Syria, but says Iran's presence in support of President Bashar al-Assad is a threat and that it will continue its strikes.

Billion-dollar Captagon pills seized in Italy smuggled by Hezbollah, not ISIS: Report

Al Arabiya English/Friday 25 December 2020

http://eliasbejjaninews.com/archives/94235/%d9%83%d8%a8%d8%aa%d8%a7%d8%ba%d9%88%d9%86-%d8%ad%d8%b2%d8%a8-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%84%d9%87-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d8%a5%d9%8a%d8%b7%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d8%a7-%d8%b6%d8%a8%d8%b7-%d8%b4%d8%ad%d9%86%d8%a9-%d8%a8/
Italian authorities confirmed that nearly 15 tons of smuggled Captagon amphetamine pills seized last year appeared to have originated from the Iran-backed Lebanese Hezbollah group and not ISIS, according to the Italian Nova news agency. A Naples prosecutor said the financial value of the confiscated drugs amounted to about one billion dollars. The drugs were contained in three suspicious containers that included papers intended for industrial use and iron wheels. As part of an investigation broadcast by the BBC, the Italian Financial Crimes Unit provided details of the shipment, saying that it arrived from Syria and was seized last summer in an operation described as the largest of its kind. Italian authorities previously believed that ISIS was behind the drug smuggling operation but investigations showed that the Syrian regime and Hezbollah were behind it.

Report: Caesar Act Blamed for Increasing Power Cuts in Lebanon
Naharnet/Friday, 25 December, 2020
The US Caesar Act that punishes sides who cooperate with the Syrian regime, caused the electricity that Lebanon draws from Syria to be cut off more frequently, the Saudi Asharq el-Awsat reported Friday. Member of Hizbullah’s Loyalty to the Resistance Parliamentary bloc, MP Hussein Hajj Hassan, said that “Lebanon does not pay the price of the electricity it rents from Syria, and hesitates to renew the contract,” fearing “Caesar Act,” said the newspaper. Lebanon draws annually from Syria about 220 megawatts of electricity to supply Lebanon’s electrical grid, which suffers from a production problem.
Hajj Hassan reportedly told a delegation from the town of al-Tufail on the border with Syria, who met him complaining about electricity cut offs, “the problem is not only in Tufail, but in Lebanon as a whole.”"We are importing electricity from Syria to support the entire Lebanese electricity grid, but unfortunately, after the Caesar Act, some officials in Lebanon got frightened, even though importing electricity from Syria is a need for Lebanon, because electricity production in Lebanon is not enough,” the daily quoted Hassan as saying. He added that “Lebanon is hesitant to renew the contract with Syria, and is not paying its dues, because of the confusion in its internal and regional Lebanese policies, and the fear of unjustified sanctions from American arrogance dominating the world.”

Report: Lebanon Denies Depositing Maritime Border Maps with UN
Naharnet/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Lebanon reportedly denied depositing with the United Nations, new maps that include its claim to the maritime borders with Israel, that are being negotiated indirectly under the UN and US auspices, noting that the only maps deposited in the international organization are the land borders map drawn in 1922, the Saudi Asharq el-Awsat reported on Friday. The daily added that Tuesday’s statements made by the U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on the maritime border demarcation sparked “confusion,” when he said the “US remains ready to mediate constructive negotiations,” between Lebanon and Israel. He “encouraged both sides to continue discussions based on the respective claims they have previously deposited at the United Nations.”“Lebanon did not deposit new maps with the UN, given that the maps are sent upon conclusion of the agreement and the demarcation of the borders,” caretaker Foreign Minister Charbel Wehbe said in remarks to the daily. “As long as the border demarcation agreement has not been completed with the Israeli side, and is in the process of negotiation, the only maps deposited with the UN are the maps of the land borders drawn in 1922 between Lebanon and Palestine, and deposited with the League of Nations in 1923, and were confirmed in the armistice agreement between Lebanon and Israel in 1949,” added Wehbe. The Minister said that “Pompeo aimed to send a political message, rather than a technical one. He meant to say that the US continues to play a mediating role in the indirect negotiations,” affirming that Lebanon “welcomes that role to help reach an agreement.” The border demarcation talks between the Lebanese and Israeli sides experience additional complications, in light of Lebanon's demands for rights based on the international land border point established in 1922, which gives it an additional marine area of 2,290 square kilometers. Meanwhile, Israel rejects the Lebanese maps “supported by topographical, historical and geographical documents,” and wants to start from old coordinates, which is a memorandum sent to the United Nations in 2011, including a notice of initial agreement on a border point between their maritime borders, which limits the border dispute to only 860 square kilometers.

Health Ministry has no sole authority to stop flights from Britain,' says Hassan
NNA/Friday, 25 December, 2020
"The Ministry of Health has no sole authority to suspend flights from Britain, but rather to raise its recommendation to the Disaster Authority and its technical committee, as well as the governmental committee in confrontation of the epidemic, which was done last Monday...As for adopting the recommendation and approaching social, humanitarian, economic and other challenges, it is up to the committee as a whole, not just our ministry," explained Caretaker Public Health Minister, Hamad Hassan, via his Twitter account today.

Drug quantity seized at Beirut Airport, suspect arrested
NNA/Friday, 25 December, 2020
After receiving information from the central anti-drug smuggling office about the arrival of a passenger from Brazil in possession of an amount of drugs, the Administrative and Justice Police at Beirut Airport immediately identified the passenger upon his arrival at the Airport, NNA correspondent reported. Consequently and in coordination with the Airport Customs Office, a thorough search was conducted into the passenger's luggage, whereby the quantity of drugs was found hidden in an innovative and professional way inside perfume and shampoo bottles. The drugs were then confiscated and the suspect was handed over to the Customs Office for further investigation.

Hariri: May God inspire some so we can reach a government capable of stopping the collapse
NNA/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Prime Minister-designate, Saad Hariri, tweeted this morning on the occasion of Christmas, saying: “May the Lord bless the Lebanese in general, and members of the Christian sects in particular, with better days bearing the good news of controlling the Corona pandemic, and I hope that God will inspire some so that we can reach a government capable of stopping the collapse and starting a reconstruction workshop for what the port explosion has destroyed.”

Abdel Samad on honoring Lebanese journalists abroad: Creativity despite all challenges
NNA/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Caretaker Information Minister, Dr. Manal Abdel Samad Najd, tweeted Friday on honoring Lebanon’s journalists abroad, saying: “Yesterday, His Highness Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani’s International Prize to journalist @riadkobaisi for excellence in combating corruption, and today, His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum’s Award to the Chairman of the Board of Directors of An-Nahar Newspaper @naylatueni for her efforts in support of local and Arab press…It is the creativity of the Lebanese media despite all the challenges!”
 

Lebanon Says First Case of New Coronavirus Variant Detected on Flight from London
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Lebanon has detected its first case of the new variant of the coronavirus, which has been spreading rapidly in parts of Britain, on a flight arriving from London, it said on Friday.
"The detection of the first case of the new variant of Covid-19 on Middle East Airlines flight 202 coming from London on Dec. 21," the country’s caretaker health minister said on Twitter, urging all passengers on the flight and their families to take precautionary measures. A surge in coronavirus infections is straining Lebanon's healthcare system, which was already struggling amid a financial crisis and following the huge port explosion in August which damaged hospitals in Beirut. Lebanon, with an estimated population of 6 million people, has reported more than 1,000 deaths as a result of COVID-19.


Explosions reported in Syria after Israeli jets fly over Lebanon capital Beirut
The Associated Press, Beirut/Friday 25 December 2020
Israeli jets flew very low over parts of Lebanon early Friday, terrifying residents on Christmas Eve, some of whom reported seeing missiles in the skies over Beirut. Minutes later, Syria's official news agency reported explosions in the central Syrian town of Masyaf. Other Syrian media said Syrian air defenses responded to an Israeli attack near the town in the Hama province. There was no immediate word on what the target was or whether there were any casualties. Israeli jets regularly violate Lebanese airspace and have often struck inside Syria from Lebanese territory. But the Christmas Eve flights were louder than usual, frightening residents of Beirut who have endured multiple crises in the past year, including the catastrophic August 4 explosion at the city's port that killed over 200 people and destroyed parts of the capital. That explosion resulted from the detonation of a stockpile of ammonium nitrates that was improperly stored at the facility. There was no immediate word from Israel on Friday's flights and alleged attacks on Syria. In the past few years, Israel has acknowledged carrying out dozens of airstrikes in Syria, most of them aimed at suspected Iranian weapons shipments believed to be bound for Hezbollah. In recent months, Israeli officials have expressed concern that Hezbollah is trying to establish production facilities to make precision guided missiles. Masyaf is a significant military area for Syrian President Bashar Assad's regime that includes a military academy and a scientific research center. Israel has struck targets there several times in the past.


The Blast that Blew Away Lebanon's Faith in Itself
Samia Nakhoul/Reuters/December 25/2020
They gather in groups, wearing black, in the shadow of buildings gutted by the explosion that shook this city on Aug. 4. Men, women and children from Christian and Muslim sects cradle portraits of their dead.
Beirut has been blown back to the vigils of its 1975-1990 civil war. Then, families demanded information about relatives who had disappeared. Many never found out what happened, even as the country was rebuilt. Today’s mourners know what happened; they just don’t know why.
Four months on, authorities have not held anyone responsible for the blast that killed 200 people, injured 6,000 and left 300,000 homeless. Many questions remain unanswered. Chief among them: Why was highly flammable material knowingly left at the port, in the heart of the city, for nearly seven years?
For me, the port explosion rekindled memories I’ve spent 30 years trying to forget. As a reporter for Reuters, I covered the civil war, the invasion and occupation of Lebanon by Israel and Syria – and the assassinations, air strikes, kidnappings, hijackings and suicide attacks that marked all these conflicts.
But the blast has left me, and many other Lebanese, questioning what has become of a country that seems to have abandoned its people. This time, the lack of answers over the catastrophe is making it difficult for an already crippled nation to rise from the ashes again. “I feel ashamed to be Lebanese,” said Shoushan Bezdjian, whose daughter Jessica – a 21-year-old nurse – died while on duty when the explosion ripped through her hospital.
False hope
It took 15 years of sectarian bloodletting to destroy Beirut during the civil war. It then took 15 years to rebuild it – with lots of help from abroad. In 1990, billions of dollars poured in from Western and Gulf countries and from a far-flung Lebanese diaspora estimated to be at least three times the size of the country’s 6 million population.
The result was impressive: Beirut was reincarnated as a glamorous city featured in travel magazines as an exciting destination for culture and partying. Tourists came for the city’s nightlife, to international festivals in Graeco-Roman and Ottoman settings, to museums and archaeological sites from Phoenician times.
Many highly educated expatriates – academics, doctors, engineers and artists – returned to take part in the rebirth of their nation. Among them was Youssef Comair, a neurosurgeon who had left Lebanon in 1982 to pursue a specialization in the United States.
Comair had then worked as assistant professor of neurosurgery at UCLA and head of the epilepsy department at the Cleveland Clinic, where he pioneered the use of surgery as a therapy for epilepsy. When he landed back in Beirut to work as head of surgery at the American University of Beirut, Comair believed the country had turned a corner. Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri, the industrialist-turned-politician who had rebuilt post-war Beirut, was in power and promised a renewed age of prosperity.
“I was yearning for a life and a place ... receptive to all kinds of civilizations. This is what we were in Lebanon before the war,” recalled Comair. Behind the splendor of Beirut, however, post-civil war Lebanon was being built on shaky political ground.
At the end of the war, militia leaders on all sides took off their fatigues, donned suits, shook hands after the 1989 Saudi-brokered Taif peace accord and largely disarmed. But the nation’s political leaders, it seemed to many here, continued to pay more attention to a revolving door of foreign patrons than to the creation of a stable state.
The country’s Shiites turned to Iran and its Arab ally Syria, whose troops entered Lebanon in 1976 and stayed for three decades. The Sunnis looked to wealthy oil producers in the Gulf. Christians, whose political influence was heavily curtailed in the post-war deal, struggled to find a reliable partner and shifted alliances over the years. Domestic policy was dictated, at different times, by the foreign power with the deepest wallet.
Comair’s return to Beirut was propitious for me, too. While I was covering the US invasion of Baghdad in 2003, I was badly wounded in the head by shrapnel from a US tank shell fired at the Reuters office in the Palestine Hotel. After emergency surgery in Baghdad, I was evacuated by US Marines to neighboring Kuwait and then on to Lebanon for further treatment. Beirut had become a medical center of excellence for the region – and Comair was my doctor. For years, during my sojourns in Dubai and London, I regularly returned to Beirut and Comair to ensure I was healing.
But my country was once again under strain. After the Iranian-backed Hezbollah drove out Israeli forces in south Lebanon in 2000, the group was steadily increasing its military and political influence. In 2005, Hariri was assassinated, once more dealing a blow to those who thought Lebanon had a bright future. Once again, Lebanese top professionals emigrated. Comair took up a position at St. Luke’s Episcopal Hospital in Houston in 2006. I settled in London.
Both of us were determined to return, however. For me, a return home was a way to expose my children, who were in elementary school at the time, to my family and culture. The so-called Arab Spring in 2010 provided the moment. While protests erupted and dictators were toppled in Tunisia, Egypt, Syria, Libya, Bahrain and Yemen, Lebanon seemed like an oasis in a troubled region. Beirut was once again bustling. By 2012, both Comair and I were back in Beirut.
We were lulled into a sense of security: traditional Sunday lunches with family; sunset on the decks of Beirut beaches; music and film festivals; skiing on Mount Lebanon’s slopes. Friends and family began visiting in greater numbers, as Lebanon’s wartime reputation began to be forgotten. Tourism peaked in Lebanon in 2010, when the number of visitors reached almost 2.2 million, a 17% increase from 2009, according to official statistics.
Life stopped
Yet again, however, Lebanon’s foundations were weak. The country was living beyond its means, with successive governments piling up debt, which rose to the equivalent of 170% of national output in March 2020, according to Lebanon’s finance ministry. This time, national banks bore the brunt of the nation’s spending. By early last year, their losses on loans to the state totaled $83 billion, considerably more than Lebanon’s annual gross domestic product. The banks reacted by shutting their doors, freezing all accounts – effectively shutting down Lebanon’s economy.
For more than a year now, people in Lebanon have not been able to transfer money or withdraw more than $500 a week. The closure of the banks blocked another key stream of income for Lebanon’s economy – money from the diaspora.
Even before the coronavirus pandemic, Lebanon’s economic output had shrunk by 6.7% in 2019. In 2020, the economy is projected to shrink by another 20%. More than 50,000 children have left private schooling and enrolled in state education over the past year, government figures show, a trend that underscores the erosion of the country’s middle class. Nearly 700 doctors have left Lebanon over the past year, according to Sharaf Abou Sharaf, head of the doctors’ union.
What many Beirutis didn’t know before August is that an even bigger threat lay in their midst. In 2013, a ship had docked at the Beirut port with a stash of the highly flammable chemical ammonium nitrate. It wasn’t – and isn’t to this day – clear why the ship had headed to Lebanon. But the arrival and storage of the material was known to a revolving door of port and national security officials – installed by various government factions – who were never able to agree on how to remove the chemical shipment. It lay untouched for more than six years in a warehouse at the Beirut port, a short walk from the busy city center. When I covered the civil war, I chronicled the deaths of dozens of victims overlooked amidst the bigger events: two sisters who drowned at sea in a desperate attempt to flee shelling; three brothers immolated in a supermarket; young school children hit in shelling that targeted their bus. One morning in 1989 I found myself walking into a morgue with a mask that could not stifle the suffocating stench of 20 army soldiers shot in the head, their hands still tied behind their backs.
But I will never forget the terror in the eyes of my twin children on that afternoon in August when our car was suddenly thrown toward the side of the road as an orange and white mushroom cloud of dust and debris rose over our heads. “Duck and cover,” I yelled, instantly thrown back to the bombs of my conflict-zone reporting days. Glass and bricks from collapsing buildings fell near the car; uprooted trees blocked the roads. People ran everywhere; wailing ambulances struggled to reach the wounded.
“Life stopped on August 4,” said Rita Hitti, whose son Najib was a firefighter who was killed along with two other family members as they battled the flames that ignited the explosives at the port.
“I no longer have any feeling towards anything – my country or anything else.”
After the blast, the government resigned in the face of popular anger. But Lebanon’s different ruling factions remain too divided to create a new government that can help rebuild the city – and Lebanon’s economy. Their loyalties are split between foreign powers, including Europe, the United States, Iran and Syria. Attempts by France’s President Emmanuel Macron to help cobble together a new administration have thus far failed.
A society divided
Today, the split between Lebanon’s elite and the wider population is wide. Lebanese tycoons regularly feature on the Forbes list of the world’s richest people. Among the six listed in 2020 were members of the family of al-Hariri, the assassinated prime minister, and another former premier, Najib Mikati, and his brother Taha. Other leaders, many of them former militia heads, now live in grand villas, surrounded by security, in Beirut’s wealthy suburbs or secluded hilltops.
In 2019, the richest 10% owned about 70% of the country’s personal wealth, according to a report by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia. More than half the population is in poverty, the report added.
Samia Doughan, 48, recently joined a protest at the Beirut port against the nation’s leaders. She sobbed as she held a picture of her dead husband. “Every day, we wake up crying and we sleep crying,” said Doughan, the mother of twin girls. “These leaders should have been toppled a long time ago. They ruled us for 30 years, it’s enough.”
In contrast to the post-civil-war period, when overseas support flowed in, foreign donors say they will not finance Lebanon until a new administration can show that their money will not be squandered.
During the civil war, many Lebanese emigrated. This time, too, people are starting to look for an exit. Information International, a Beirut-based research firm which has done extensive research about migration, said an estimated 33,000 people left in 2018 and 66,000 left in 2019.
Immediately after the August blast, searches in Lebanon for the word “immigration” on Google Trends hit a 10-year peak, and a recent search by the Arab Opinion Index revealed that four out of five Lebanese aged 18 to 24 are considering emigration. Sharaf, head of the doctor’s union, says he receives between five and 10 requests a day for recommendations from doctors seeking jobs in foreign hospitals.
The heart of the capital, ordinarily packed over Christmas, is deserted. Stores and restaurants are closed. Martyrs Square, which during the Civil War was the frontline between Muslim west and Christian east Beirut before being rebuilt, is no longer lit up at night.
Comair and I are both now thinking of leaving Lebanon again. My doctor spends his days trying to rebuild his hospital, which was destroyed during the explosion. But he has little faith in the country’s long-term revival.
“We are witnessing the annihilation of Lebanon,” he told me. “I have no hope that this country can rise up.”


Lebanese lose hope their country can rise up
The Arab Weekly/December 25/2020
BEIRUT –They gather in groups, wearing black, in the shadow of buildings gutted by the explosion that shook this city on August 4. Men, women and children from Christian and Muslim sects cradle portraits of their dead. Beirut has been blown back to the vigils of its 1975-1990 civil war. Then, families demanded information about relatives who had disappeared. Many never found out what happened, even as the country was rebuilt. Today’s mourners know what happened; they just don’t know why. Four months on, authorities have not held anyone responsible for the blast that killed 200 people, injured 6,000 and left 300,000 homeless. Many questions remain unanswered. Chief among them: Why was highly flammable material knowingly left at the port, in the heart of the city, for nearly seven years?“I feel ashamed to be Lebanese,” said Shoushan Bezdjian, whose daughter Jessica, a 21-year-old nurse, died while on  duty when the explosion ripped through her hospital.
False hope
It took 15 years of sectarian bloodletting to destroy Beirut during the civil war. It then took 15 years to rebuild it with lots of help from abroad. In 1990, billions of dollars poured in from Western and Gulf Arab countries and from a far-flung Lebanese diaspora estimated to be at least three times the size of the country’s 6 million population. The result was impressive: Beirut was reincarnated as a glamorous city featured in travel magazines as an exciting destination for culture and partying. Tourists came for the city’s nightlife, to international festivals in Graeco-Roman and Ottoman settings, to museums and archaeological sites from Phoenician times. Many highly educated expatriates, academics, doctors, engineers and artists returned to take part in the rebirth of their nation. Among them was Youssef Comair, a neurosurgeon who had left Lebanon in 1982 to pursue a specialisation in the United States.
Comair had then worked as assistant professor of neurosurgery at UCLA and head of the epilepsy department at the Cleveland Clinic, where he pioneered the use of surgery as a therapy for epilepsy. When he landed back in Beirut to work as head of surgery at the American University of Beirut, Comair believed the country had turned a corner. Prime Minister Rafiq al-Hariri, the industrialist-turned-politician who had rebuilt post-war Beirut, was in power and promised a renewed age of prosperity. “I was yearning for a life and a place … receptive to all kinds of civilisations. This is what we were in Lebanon before the war,” recalled Comair.
Behind the splendour of Beirut, however, post-civil war Lebanon was being built on shaky political ground. At the end of the war, militia leaders on all sides took off their fatigues, donned suits, shook hands after the 1989 Saudi-brokered Taif peace accord and largely disarmed. But the nation’s political leaders, it seemed to many here, continued to pay more attention to a revolving door of foreign patrons than to the creation of a stable state. The country’s Shia Muslims turned to Iran and its Arab ally Syria, whose troops entered Lebanon in 1976 and stayed for three decades. The Sunnis looked to wealthy oil producers in the Gulf. Christians, whose political influence was heavily curtailed in the post-war deal, struggled to find a reliable partner and shifted alliances over the years. Domestic policy was dictated, at different times, by the foreign power with the deepest wallet. Lebanon, in brief, was once again under strain. After the Iranian-backed Hezbollah drove out Israeli forces in south Lebanon in 2000, the group was steadily increasing its military and political influence. In 2005, Hariri was assassinated, once more dealing a blow to those who thought Lebanon had a bright future. Once again, Lebanese top professionals emigrated and Comair took up a position at St. Luke’s Episcopal Hospital in Houston in 2006. He was, however, determined to return. The “Arab spring” in 2010 provided the moment. While protests erupted and dictators were toppled in Tunisia, Egypt, Syria, Libya, Bahrain and Yemen, Lebanon seemed like an oasis in a troubled region. Beirut was once again bustling. By 2012, Comair was back in Beirut. He was lulled into a sense of security: traditional Sunday lunches with family; sunset drinks on the decks of Beirut beaches; music and film festivals; wine tasting in the vineyards of Mount Lebanon’s foothills, skiing on its slopes. Friends and family began visiting in greater numbers, as Lebanon’s wartime reputation began to be forgotten. Tourism peaked in Lebanon in 2010, when the number of visitors reached almost 2.2 million, a 17% increase from 2009, according to official statistics.
Life stopped
Yet again, however, Lebanon’s foundations were weak. The country was living beyond its means, with successive governments piling up debt, which rose to the equivalent of 170% of national output in March 2020, according to Lebanon’s finance ministry. This time, national banks bore the brunt of the nation’s spending. By early last year, their losses on loans to the state totalled $83 billion, considerably more than Lebanon’s annual gross domestic product. The banks reacted by shutting their doors, freezing all accounts, “effectively shutting down Lebanon’s economy. For more than a year now, people in Lebanon have not been able to transfer money or withdraw more than $500 a week. The closure of the banks blocked another key stream of income for Lebanon’s economy, money from the diaspora. Even before the coronavirus pandemic, Lebanon’s economic output had shrunk by 6.7% in 2019. In 2020, the economy is projected to shrink by another 20%. More than 50,000 children have left private schooling and enrolled in state education over the past year, government figures show, a trend that underscores the erosion of the country’s middle class. Nearly 700 doctors have left Lebanon over the past year, according to Sharaf Abou Sharaf, head of the doctors’ union.
What many Beirutis didn’t know before August is that an even bigger threat lay in their midst. In 2013, a ship had docked at the Beirut port with a stash of the highly flammable chemical ammonium nitrate. It wasn’t and isn’t to this day clear why the ship had headed to Lebanon.
But the arrival and storage of the material was known to a revolving door of port and national security officials, installed by various government factions, who were never able to agree on how to remove the chemical shipment. It lay untouched for more than six years in a warehouse at the Beirut port, a short walk from the busy city centre. “Life stopped on August 4,” said Rita Hitti, whose son Najib was a firefighter who was killed along with two other family members as they battled the flames that ignited the explosives at the port.
“I no longer have any feeling towards anything, my country or anything else.”
After the blast, the government resigned in the face of popular anger. But Lebanon’s different ruling factions remain too divided to create a new government that can help rebuild the city and Lebanon’ s economy. Their loyalties are split between the United States, Europe and the Gulf states on one side and Iran and Syria on the other. Attempts by France’s President Emmanuel Macron to help cobble together a new administration have thus far failed.
A divided society
Today, the split between Lebanon’s elite and the wider population is wide. Lebanese tycoons regularly feature on the Forbes list of the world’s richest people. Among the six listed in 2020 were members of the family of al-Hariri, the assassinated prime minister, and another former premier, Najib Mikati, and his brother Taha. Other leaders, many of them former militia heads, now live in grand villas, surrounded by security, in Beirut’s wealthy suburbs or secluded hilltops. In 2019, the richest 10% owned about 70% of the country’s personal wealth, according to a report by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia. More than half the population is in poverty, the report added. Samia Doughan, 48, recently joined a protest at the Beirut port against the nation’s leaders. She sobbed as she held a picture of her dead husband. “Every day, we wake up crying and we sleep crying,” said Doughan, the mother of twin girls. “These leaders should have been toppled a long time ago. They ruled us for 30 years, it’s enough.”
In contrast to the post-civil-war period, when overseas support flowed in, foreign donors say they will not finance Lebanon until a new administration can show that their money will not be squandered. During the civil war, many Lebanese emigrated. This time, too, people are starting to look for an exit. Information International, a Beirut-based research firm which has done extensive research about migration, said an estimated 33,000 people left in 2018 and 66,000 left in 2019. Immediately after the August blast, searches in Lebanon for the word “immigration” on Google Trends hit a 10-year peak, and a recent search by the Arab Opinion Index revealed that four out of five Lebanese aged 18 to 24 are considering emigration.
Sharaf, head of the doctors’ union, says he receives between five and 10 requests a day for recommendations from doctors seeking jobs in foreign hospitals. The heart of the capital, ordinarily packed over Christmas, is deserted. Stores and restaurants are closed. Martyrs Square, which during the Civil War was the frontline between Muslim west and Christian east Beirut before being rebuilt, is no longer lit up at night. Comair and I are both now thinking of leaving Lebanon again. My doctor spends his days trying to rebuild his hospital, which was destroyed during the explosion. But he has little faith in the country’s long-term revival. “We are witnessing the annihilation of Lebanon,” he told me. “I have no hope that this country can rise up.”

 

The Latest English LCCC Miscellaneous Reports And News published on December 25-26/2020

Pope Says Fraternity the Watchword 'at This Moment in History'
Agence France Presse/December 25/2020
Pope Francis said in his Christmas message Friday that fraternity was a watchword for these unusually troubled times exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic. "At this moment in history, marked by the ecological crisis and grave economic and social imbalances only worsened by the coronavirus pandemic, it is all the more important for us to acknowledge one another as brothers and sisters," he said in his "Urbi et Orbi" message.


Christian minorities celebrate Christmas across the Middle East, pandemic dampens spirit
The Arab Weekly/December 25/2020
BETHLEHEM, West Bank – Bethlehem on Thursday ushered in Christmas Eve with a stream of joyous marching bands and the triumphant arrival of the top Catholic clergyman in the Holy Land, but few people were there to greet them as the coronavirus pandemic and a strict lockdown dampened celebrations in the traditional birthplace of Jesus. Similar subdued scenes were repeated across the Middle East as the festive family gatherings and packed prayers that typically mark the holiday were scaled back or cancelled altogether, generally replaced with symbolic scenes and initiatives.
In Iraq, it wasn’t Santa on a sleigh, but it was close: just before dusk on Christmas Eve, a busload of volunteers pulled into the Iraqi Christian town of Qaraqosh to deliver holiday happiness. Under a pinkish sky, they disembarked from their charter bus with cardboard boxes full of Christmas cards, bearing hand-written messages from across Muslim-majority Iraq. “A special greeting to our Christian brothers,” read one card, signed in the overwhelmingly Muslim southern port city of Basra the previous day.
”Beautiful initiative”
On foot, members of Iraq’s Tahawer (Dialogue) initiative and other volunteers delivered some 1,400 cards across the northern town, which was ravaged by jihadist rule after the Islamic State group advanced east across the Nineveh Plains in 2014.
“It’s a beautiful initiative,” said Rand Khaled, after receiving a Christmas card outside the Syriac Catholic Church of the Immaculate Conception in Qaraqosh. She was dressed in her Christmas Eve finest, with a chic chocolate-coloured coat shielding her from the cold.
“We need initiatives like this every once in a while, because people who don’t know these areas absolutely should get to know them,” Khaled said. Iraq’s Christians number around 400,000 today, down from some 1.5 million before the US-led invasion toppled longtime dictator Saddam Hussein in 2003.
It is a tiny minority in a country of 40 million people, most of whom are Shia Muslims. The cards came from all over Iraq: from the capital Baghdad and the Shia shrine city of Najaf, from mainly Sunni Arab Salahaddin province in the west and the Kurdish city of Dohuk in the far north. They were packed into dozens of boxes and transported up to 950 kilometres (600 miles) through military checkpoints before reaching Qaraqosh. “I don’t know how to describe it,” said Nishwan Mohammad, Tahawer’s programme manager. “People were ecstatic — they never expected someone to come visit them, much less bring them letters from all over Iraq,” he said.
Renewing hope
In Bethlehem, officials tried to make the most out of a bad situation.
“Christmas is a holiday that renews hope in the souls,” said Mayor Anton Salman. “Despite all the obstacles and challenges due to corona and due to the lack of tourism, the city of Bethlehem is still looking forward to the future with optimism.”
Raw, rainy weather added to the gloomy atmosphere, as several dozen people gathered in the central Manger Square to greet Latin Patriarch Pierbattista Pizzaballa. Youth marching bands playing Christmas carols on bagpipes, accompanied by pounding drummers, led a joyous procession ahead of the patriarch’s arrival early in the afternoon.
“Despite the restrictions and limitations we want to celebrate as much as possible, with family, community and joy,” said Pizzaballa, who was to lead a small Midnight Mass gathering later in the evening. “We want to offer hope.”Thousands of foreign pilgrims usually flock to Bethlehem for the celebrations. But the closure of Israel’s international airport to foreign tourists, along with Palestinian restrictions banning intercity travel in the areas they administer in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, kept visitors away. The restrictions limited attendance to residents and a small entourage of religious officials. Evening celebrations, when pilgrims normally congregate around the Christmas tree, were cancelled, and Midnight Mass was limited to clergy. The coronavirus has dealt a heavy blow to Bethlehem’s tourism sector, the lifeblood of the local economy. Restaurants, hotels and gift shops have been shuttered.
While many places around the globe were keeping or increasing restrictions for Christmas, Lebanon was an exception. With its economy in tatters and parts of its capital destroyed by a massive August 4 port explosion, Lebanon has lifted most virus measures ahead of the holidays, hoping to encourage spending.
Tens of thousands of Lebanese expatriates have arrived home for the holidays, leading to fears of an inevitable surge in cases during the festive season.

Lebanon has the largest percentage of Christians in the Middle East — about a third of its 5 million people — and traditionally celebrates Christmas with much fanfare.
“People around us were tired, depressed and depleted, so we said let’s just plant a drop of joy and love,” said Sevine Ariss, one of the organisers of a Christmas fair along the seaside road where the explosion caused the most damage.
New addition
Christmas is usually celebrated in Arab states with a Christian minority but the newest addition to the list of countries where the season was marked this year is Saudi Arabia. Christmas trees and glittery ornaments were for sale at Saudi gift shops, a once unthinkable sight in the cradle of Islam where all public non-Muslim worship is banned. In recent years, festive sales have gradually crept into the capital Riyadh, a sign of loosening social restrictions after Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz pledged to steer the conservative Gulf kingdom towards an “open, moderate Islam.”
Until barely three years ago, it was almost impossible to sell such items openly in Saudi Arabia, but authorities have been clipping the powers of the clerical establishment long notorious for enforcing Islamic traditions. For decades, Christmas sales were largely underground, and Christians from the Philippines, Lebanon and other countries celebrated behind closed doors or in expat enclaves. “It was very difficult to find such” Christmas items in the kingdom, said Mary, a Lebanese expat based in Riyadh who preferred to be identified by her first name.
“Many of my friends used to buy them from Lebanon or Syria and sneak them into the country,” she said. Saudi Arabia is the custodian of Mecca and Medina, Islam’s two holiest sites.
Local officials say school textbooks, once well-known for degrading Jews and other non-Muslims, are undergoing revision as part of Prince Mohammed’s campaign to combat extremism in education.
The heir to the Saudi throne has curbed the influence of the once-powerful religious police, as he permits mixed-gender music concerts, cinemas and other entertainment, but temples and churches are still forbidden.
Christians around the world celebrate the birth of Jesus on either December 25 or, for the Eastern Orthodox, January 7. It is not a religious occasion for Muslims but many choose to mark the holiday for its festive and joyous character.

 

At least 6 dead in airstrikes on Iranian missile factories in Syria
Arutz Sheva/December 25/2020
Airstrikes on Iranian militia bases and missile facilities in Syria leave at least 6 dead, with many more injured, observer group says. At least six Iranian-aligned combatants were killed and more injured in a series of airstrikes on militia bases in Syria overnight, according to a report by an observer group.
The London-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said Friday morning that airstrikes attributed to Israel in northwestern Syria struck missile assembly facilities maintained by pro-Iranian forces. Six fighters were killed in the strikes, the SOHR reported, with the death toll expected to rise to the number of militia members seriously injured in the missile strikes. All six of the dead were non-Syrian nationals, though it is unclear whether they were Iranian, Lebanese, or Iraqi. The missile strikes took place at around midnight from late Thursday into early Friday morning, and struck facilities used to assemble short and medium-range missiles in the Masyaf district of northwest Syria. Israel has refused to comment on the airstrike. The Syrian Ministry of Defense said that Israeli missiles had been launched from northern Lebanon toward the Masyaf area. It also claimed that the "air defense systems have successfully intercepted the attack and shot down most of the missiles."

 

Israeli strikes on Syria kill six Iran-backed fighters: Monitor
AFP, Beirut/Friday 25 December 2020
Israeli missile strikes on Syria killed at least six Iran-backed fighters Friday, a war monitor said. The dead were all foreign paramilitaries fighting alongside President Bashar al-Assad's forces, the Syrian Observatory for Human Right said. The missiles, which were fired from Lebanese airspace, hit positions held by Iran-backed militias in the Masyaf district of Hama province, Observatory chief Rami Abdul Rahman said. One also targeted a government-run research center, where surface-to-surface missiles are developed and stored, the Britain-based watchdog said. Iranian experts are believed to work in the research center. The Israeli military said it would not comment on reports in foreign media. The research center in Masyaf has been hit several times by Israeli strikes in recent years, the Observatory said. According to the United States, sarin gas was being developed at the center, a claim denied by Syrian authorities, who say the country has possessed no chemical weapons since it dismantled its arsenal under a 2013 agreement. Syrian state news agency SANA said air defenses intercepted missiles fired by Israel on Masyaf. “Our air defenses intercepted an Israeli attack on the Masyaf area,” SANA reported. It said air defenses hit “most” missiles before they reached their target. State television aired footage purporting to show air defenses responding to the Israeli attack. The Israeli activity in the skies was heard over parts of neighboring Lebanon, where many took to social media to denounce the Christmas Day attack. Israel has launched hundreds of strikes in Syria since the start of the civil war in 2011. It has targeted government troops, allied Iranian forces and fighters from Lebanese militant group Hezbollah. It rarely confirms details of its operations in Syria but says Iran's presence in support of President Bashar al-Assad is a threat to which it will continue to respond.
 

Democrats Back Biden’s ‘Unconditional’ Return to Iran Nuclear Deal
Washington - Rana Abtar/Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 25 December, 2020
A letter backing President-elect Joe Biden’s plan to return to the Iran nuclear deal without any new conditions has garnered 150 signatures from House Democrats. “We strongly endorse your call for Iran to return to strict compliance with the nuclear deal, the United States to rejoin the agreement, and subsequent follow-on negotiations” says the letter, which concluded its signature-gathering phase on Wednesday and is set to be sent to Biden. According to them, the diplomatic path endorsed by Biden to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons is the most effective. They added that the nuclear deal provides the required framework to achieve this goal. Further, they suggested lifting some of the sanctions imposed on Iran. In their letter, the Democrats accused the Trump administration of failing to contain Iran’s destabilizing activities, which has in turn increased the threat of conflict erupting in the region.
The lawmakers stressed that rejoining the nuclear deal would provide the required international support to exert pressure on Tehran. They noted that Iran’s destabilizing activities in the region, such as supporting terrorism, developing ballistic weapons, violating human rights and detaining political prisoners, are all matters that call for coordinated international diplomacy. The signatories include officials who enjoy close ties to Israel and the Israeli lobby in Washington (American Israel Public Affairs Committee), which opposes the rejoining of the nuclear pact without wide amendments and strict conditions.

We want better ties with Israel'
Arutz Sheva/December 25/2020
Turkish president says talks with Israel are continuing, adding that despite strong opposition to Israeli policies, he hopes to improve ties. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said Friday his country is looking to improve its relationship with Israel, despite his continued opposition to Israel’s policies vis-à-vis the Palestinian Authority. Speaking with reporters in Istanbul after Friday prayers, Erdoğan said that talks between Israel and Turkey are continuing, adding that he hopes his country will be able to strengthen its ties with the Jewish state – a major shift in rhetoric from the hardline leader. But Erdoğan added that Turkey views Israel’s policies in Judea, Samaria, and the Gaza Strip as being “unacceptable”. "We are having issues with people at the top level," he said. "If there were no issues at the top level, our ties could have been very different," Erdoğan continued. “The Palestine policy is our red line. It is impossible for us to accept Israel’s Palestine policies. Their merciless acts there are unacceptable.”Erdoğan’s terms as president, from 2014 on, and as prime minister, from 2003 to 2014, have seen Turkey’s relationship with Israel deteriorate dramatically, reaching a nadir in 2010, when Turkish Islamist radicals on MV Mavi Marmara attempted to force their way through Israel’s security blockade around the Gaza Strip. When Israeli forces boarded the vessel, the Turkish Islamists attacked the Israeli soldiers, prompting the troops to open fire, killing 10. This week, however, it was reported that Azerbaijan, a Muslim-majority country east of Turkey with ties to Israel, is working to mend relations between Turkey and the Jewish state.According to senior Israeli officials, Azeri President Ilham Aliyev raised the Israel-Turkey tensions in a recent call with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

 

Sisi: Success of Upcoming AU Summit Depends on Addressing Urgent Issues
Cairo - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 25 December, 2020
Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi said that the success of the upcoming African Union (AU) summit will stem from addressing urgent issues that impact the economic and social development in Africa. This came in remarks as he participated Thursday via video conference in the AU Bureau Summit with heads of the Regional Economic Communities (RECs). Sisi highlighted the importance of doubling efforts to compensate for the damage caused by the novel coronavirus to the economic condition, health and security of African peoples at the national and regional levels. Presidential spokesperson Bassam Rady said participants discussed preparations for the next AU summit, scheduled for February 2021. According to Akhbar Elyom official news portal, Sisi expressed his appreciation to the South African President, Cyril Ramaphosa, the current AU chair, for his keenness to hold meetings despite the challenges posed by the virus outbreak. He further stressed the importance of collective efforts to advance the agenda of joint African action in light of the current circumstances. Participants agreed to coordinate in this regard to establish the mechanism for holding the next AU summit while ensuring its smooth organization and preserving the interests of the continent and its peoples.

 

Explosion Hits Gas Pipeline in Egypt's Sinai
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 25 December, 2020
An explosion at a key natural gas pipeline in Egypt's restive northern Sinai Peninsula caused a fire but no human casualties, a senior official said. North Sinai Governor Mohamed Abdel Fadil Shousha said the explosion took pace late Thursday in el-Arish, the provincial capital. In a statement, he said the explosion will not affect the pipeline's supply to el-Arish's residential areas or an industrial zone in central Sinai. An investigation was underway to determine the cause of the blast, Shousha said, The Associated Press reported. A similar explosion hit a gas pipeline in northern Sinai last month and was claimed by ISIS group affiliate. Egypt has for years been battling an insurgency in northern Sinai that’s now led by the ISIS affiliate.IS has carried out a number of large-scale attacks in Egypt in recent years.

 

Warning Message from US to Region: Do Not Weaken Our Ability to Pressure Damascus
London - Ibrahim Hamidi/Friday, 25 December, 2020
The latest American sanctions against Damascus and the Middle East tour carried out by Joel Rayburn, US Special Envoy for Syria in the US State Department, delivered a strong message that a change in administration in Washington does not mean a change in policy or an end to the regime’s isolation. Even if tactical changes were to be introduced, strategic changes on Syria will not happen, he said. The sanctions came with an added “warning” against taking steps that could weaken Washington’s ability to continue its pressure campaign on Damascus. The recent sanctions “shut the door for the possibility of holding negotiations between the US and Syria” and obstruct the possibility of opening “channels of dialogue.” Rather, they only increase the economic pressure on Damascus with the central bank being among the latest targets. The impact was immediate, with foreign banks declaring that they were halting operations in Damascus.
Coordination with London
Washington blacklisted Asma al-Assad, president Bashar’s wife, her father and two brothers, as well as businesses they own. In addition, it targeted security, economic and executive Syrian officials, including Lina Mohammed Nazir al-Kinayeh, whom the Treasury identified as an official in Assad’s presidential office, her husband, MP Mohammed Hammam Masouti, and their businesses, and others. The latest sanctions take to 114 the number of individuals and entities that have been targeted since the Caesar Act came into effect in mid-June. Reports have said new sanctions will be announced before US President Donald Trump leaves the White House on January 20. Rayburn said the latest sanctions were announced a year after Trump signed the Caesar Act. “The United States remains committed to carrying out a sustained campaign of economic and political pressure to prevent the Assad regime and its staunchest supporters from amassing resources to fuel their war against the Syrian people,” he stressed on Tuesday. “To that end, the United States is imposing sanctions on 18 more individuals and entities, including the Central Bank of Syria. These individuals and corrupt businesses are impeding efforts to reach a political and peaceful resolution to the Syrian conflict, as called for by UN Security Council Resolution 2254,” he added. “Among those individuals sanctioned today are Asma al-Assad and some of her immediate relatives, all of whom are based in the United Kingdom. Asma al-Assad has spearheaded efforts on behalf of the regime to consolidate economic and political power, including by using her so-called charities and civil society organizations. Her and her family’s corruption is one of the many reasons that this conflict lingers on,” he remarked.
Rayburn said it was “significant” that Asma and her immediate relatives – her father, Fawaz Akhras; Asma al-Assad’s mother, Sahar Otri Akhras; Asma al-Assad’s brothers, Firas Akhras and Eyad Akhras – were being targeted. He noted that all of these figures are dual Syrian and UK citizens and are all based in the UK. “We coordinated this action with our UK counterparts,” he revealed. “Our UK counterparts are very, very close partners of ours on the Syria file. And so we did everything in conjunction with them. We would never surprise them on this because we’re in a very close strategic partnership with the UK on Syria.”It remains to be seen whether the British government or European Union will also sanction the same individuals. Tuesday’s sanctions reveal that Washington will continue to exert pressure on the Akhras family, Asma and her entourage. They also send a strong message that Syrians and non-Syrians who cooperate with the regime may be sanctioned. The third message is that anyone anywhere cooperating with the regime may be targeted.
Closing the door
Politically, some of the latest blacklisted figures used to play a role in the “second path” or “second door” of negotiations with American parties. They had held secret meetings in London to tackle western sanctions on Damascus, among other issues. Their designation makes such talks “legally impossible” in the future. The message of the “Syrian file team” in Washington is that “you cannot be a mediator in London or any other European capital and also a partner to Damascus.” The Caesar Act bars any dealings with the regime. Significantly, some of the American officials who were part of this negotiations path will possibly play a role in managing the Syrian file in Joe Biden’s administration. The sanctions, effectively, put an end to this option. Rayburn had recently concluded a tour of the region that included Turkey, Egypt, Israel, Iraq, northeastern Syria and other countries. The tour served as a “reminder” and a “warning” to concerned countries of the American goals in Syria: ensuring the defeat of ISIS, pressuring Iran to pull out from the country and pressuring the regime to implement resolution 2254. These are not the goals of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo or Raybun, but of America. The change in officials, will not change the goals. A change in administration, does not mean a change in policy. “I think that those goals already have a consensus behind them in Washington, and I really don’t think you’re going to see a significant change away from those goals. You can – there are different people who will come into different positions; they can have good ideas about how to implement those goals better. But I don’t think you’re going to see a discarding of those goals,” stressed Rayburn. “I think you can count on the United States as well as the other like-minded countries to continue seeking those goals regardless of who is in the White House,” he added.

Aboul Gheit: World May Face New Cold War, Arabs Must Be Vigilant
Cairo - Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 25 December, 2020
The world is heading towards a new form of relations between major powers and China’s rapid rise may lead the world towards a new Cold War, similar to the one waged between the United States and the Soviet Union, said Arab League Secretary General Ahmed Aboul Gheit. “Arab countries may find themselves with greater room to maneuver as the two global forces compete for power, but the race may also impose restrictions on movements as both sides seek to attract allies,” he remarked during an opening address of a scientific forum in Cairo on Thursday. The Arab World and Future Challenges was organized by the Institute for Arab Research and Studies. The Arabs must be prepared to confront the rapidly changing developments in the world, Aboul Gheit added. The competition between China and the US is being managed so that it does not escalate, but errors are always possible – as history can attest – during such tense conditions, he said. He noted several changes taking place in the world, such the decline of globalization, the rise of populism – as demonstrated in Brexit and the election of Donald Trump as US president. The populist trend will not wane with his recent reelection defeat. oreover, he said that Russia boasts a military to be reckoned with and it has aspirations to play a role on the international scene. China may succeed in luring it to work with it as part of a coalition against the West, led by the US. Furthermore, he said the cyberwars and artificial intelligence-powered guided weapons are new unprecedented challenges. The Arab world, meanwhile, has endured challenges from its regional neighbors, Aboul Gheit said. He noted that each of Iran and Turkey have ambitions to revive their past empires in the Arab region and are vying to impose their influence. He lamented that such regional “bullying” will continue for the foreseeable future due to the ideologies that Turkey and Iran follow and their exploitation of “political Islam” to justify their meddling in Arab affairs. Aboul Gheit stressed that committing to the national state is the salvation for the region and its countries. “We need to convince our neighbors to stop using religion to achieve their national interests,” he urged.

Trump Hails Truce as Libyans Celebrate Independence
Cairo – Khaled Mahmoud/Asharq Al-Awsat/December 25/2020
The world is heading towards a new form of relations between ma
Libya celebrated on Thursday the 69th anniversary of its independence amid accusations between the Libyan National Army (LNA), commanded by Khalifa Haftar, and the Government of National Accord (GNA), headed by Fayez al-Sarraj, of amassing forces in Sirte and al-Jufra cities. US President Donald Trump, meanwhile, congratulated Sarraj and the Libyan people on the occasion of Independence Day. Trump expressed Washington’s support for Libya to achieve stability, hailing the recent ceasefire and the launch of the political process. The United Nations Support Mission in Libya said Libyans “celebrate this national occasion today with one year to go before national elections planned on December 24, 2021, as put forth in the roadmap endorsed by the members of the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum (LPDF).” In a statement, it said it “seizes this opportunity to stress the importance of building on the positive progress achieved by the Libyans in the various intra-Libyan tracks to end the brutal fighting; move forward with the full implementation of the comprehensive Ceasefire Agreement; strengthen confidence-building measures; and, steadily work towards further improvements in the economic sector.”“While the Mission calls on Libyans to consolidate their efforts and take courageous steps towards national reconciliation, and to look forward to a bright future for all Libyans to live in peace and prosperity, it affirms its full commitment to assisting the Libyan people in building their unified state. “The Mission will continue to work with all parties to protect the Libyan people and Libya's resources, realize the democratic legitimacy of its national institutions; restore the country's sovereignty; and, end foreign interference,” it vowed. Meanwhile, Sarraj, and members of his cabinet, all wearing masks due to the novel coronavirus pandemic, attended a midday parade of military and police forces in Tripoli.He said that the country was enduring “several challenges and dangers,” hoping that next year’s celebrations will be held as Libya “celebrates democracy after the people have their say in presidential and parliamentary elections.”
In the east, Haftar presided over a LNA military parade in the city of Benghazi. He had kicked off the celebrations by visiting a monument for martyrs and by launching a tree-planting campaign aimed at combating desertification. On Wednesday, the LNA said that it had detected the “massive” amassing of “criminal and takfiri forces, which are armed with advanced Turkish weapons,” in the region of al-Hisha, al-Qadahya, Zamzam and eastern Misrata.The military warned that the forces, which also include thousands of mercenaries and foreign fighters, were preparing to launch an offensive on LNA-held positions in Sirte and al-Jufra. It slammed the development as a flagrant violation of the ceasefire, releasing footage of the deployed forces to back its claim.

Pompeo Says US Began Work to Set up Consulate in Western Sahara
Asharq Al-Awsat/Friday, 25 December, 2020
The US State Department said on Thursday it began the process to set up a US consulate in Western Sahara, after President Donald Trump’s administration this month recognized Morocco’s sovereignty over the region. In a departure from longstanding US policy, Washington agreed to recognize Morocco’s sovereignty over the Western Sahara, a desert region where a decades-old territorial dispute has pitted Morocco against the Polisario Front, a breakaway movement that seeks to establish an independent state. The recognition was part of a US-brokered deal in which Morocco became the fourth Arab country after the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan to normalize ties with Israel in the past four months. “Effective immediately, we are inaugurating a virtual presence post for Western Sahara, with a focus on promoting economic and social development, to be followed soon by a fully functioning consulate,” US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said in a statement. “This virtual presence post will be managed by the US Embassy in Rabat,” Pompeo said, adding that Washington would be continuing to support political negotiations  to  resolve  the issues between Morocco and the Polisario within the framework of Morocco’s autonomy plan. Washington’s support for Moroccan sovereignty over the desert territory represents the biggest policy concession the United States has made so far in its quest to win Arab recognition of Israel. The series of normalization deals have been driven in part by US-led efforts to present a united front against Iran and roll back Tehran’s regional influence. President-elect Joe Biden, due to succeed Trump on Jan. 20, will face a decision whether to accept the US deal on the Western Sahara, which no other Western nation has done. Western nations and the UN have long called for a referendum to resolve the dispute.

Judge Orders Detention of Tunisian Media Magnate Karoui

Asharq Al-Awsat/Thursday, 24 December, 2020
A judge ordered the detention of Tunisian media mogul Nabil Karoui on Thursday on suspicion of financial corruption, a spokesman for the judicial court said Thursday. Karoui is the leader of the Heart of Tunisia party, the second-largest party in parliament, and has previously run for president. His party is one of three that support the technocratic government in parliament. Karoui’s aides and party officials were not immediately available to comment. TAP state news agency said Karoui was to face charges of tax evasion and money laundering. Karoui was arrested in August 2019 but released a few months later on Oct. 9, in the middle of the election, though investigations into his case continued. Last year, Karoui said he was confident of his innocence and that his political opponents, specifically the Islamist Ennahda Party, were behind his imprisonment. Karoui is now an Ennahda ally in parliament.
 

Kuwait on alert over ISIS threat in end-of-year plot
The Arab Weekly/December 25/2020
KUWAIT– Kuwait was put on high security alert starting Thursday evening after indications of an Islamic State (ISIS) plot over the end-of-year holidays. A statement on Twitter attributed to Interior Minister Sheikh Thamer Al-Ali said that the ministry “has deployed foot patrols of fully equipped special forces units inside residential complexes and shopping malls,” in a “step aimed at imposing discipline and observing the law.”The statement did not give the immediate reason for the security alert, but the measure coincided with the disclosure by local media of what was said to be a plot by ISIS to use Kuwaiti teenagers to carry out bloody attacks in the country. The disclosure of the plan came during an exceptionally difficult period in Kuwait resulting from the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has affected the normal course of life in the country, especially commercial traffic and movement of goods and people in and out of the country. However, the major difficulty the country is facing currently is the deepening financial crisis resulting from the significant decline in oil prices, given that the state treasury is almost 100% dependent on oil revenues. This crisis has reached the point of the government discussing the possibility of it being unable to pay the salaries of state employees in the event Parliament refuses to authorise it to resort to borrowing to meet the deficit. The official investigations related to the case of the arrested juveniles in the new ISIS case revealed shocking details. Perhaps the most frightening of them is the fact that ISIS members had tasked these juveniles with targeting places of worship and commercial complexes on New Year’s Eve, with firearms seized in their possession.
In the event that the plan is confirmed, it will not be the first time that ISIS targets Kuwait. The terrorist organisation had, in the summer of 2015, conducted a suicide attack against a Shia mosque in the Al-Sawaber area in the capital, killing dozens of victims. ISIS’s exceptional focus on the Kuwaiti arena calls on opinion leaders and politicians to consider the hypothesis that this terrorist organisation has perhaps sensed the existence of a basis of religious militancy in the country that would allow it to infiltrate it and make it an entry point to destabilise an otherwise stable and secure Gulf region.
The Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Qabas quoted, on its website,sources as saying that the ringleader of the arrested juvenile suspects was the son of a former member of the National Assembly (Parliament). Apparently, he was the first to be contacted and enrolled by ISIS members.
The sources added that the results of the investigations, including the defendants’ confessions, have been submitted to the Minister of Interior, Sheikh Thamer Al-Ali, and the Undersecretary of the Ministry, Lieutenant General Essam Al-Naham. The two top officials ordered the strictest security measures in the vicinity of places of worship, in commercial complexes, and markets, through the deployment of Special Forces men, as well as undercover officers, in addition to the regular field security teams.
The sources pointed out that “the security forces had clear and explicit orders to take all precautions and to deal promptly and decisively with any suspect, and to report everything that is going on moment by moment to the security leaders.”
On Wednesday, the Kuwaiti State Security Services arrested six Kuwaiti juveniles who were in contact with ISIS.
The investigation revealed that they had been recruited and radicalised by ISIS. Investigators also seized firearms which were found in the possession of some of them, and confiscated several computers containing correspondence and coordination messages with the terrorist organisation.
The sources said that one of the arrested juveniles admitted that he was contacted by a person through one of the famous online games. That person had deliberately joined the juvenile’s team in the game. A week later, he contacted him through social media and asked him to embrace the ISIS ideology. He later asked him to draw ISIS flags inside his room and promised to send him money to recruit the rest of his friends. The sources indicated that the accused juvenile in turn spoke to one of his close friends, told him what happened, and eventually convinced him to join him in embracing the ISIS ideology, pointing out that that friend in turn recruited four of his friends. The sources also revealed that the security services managed to arrest the rest of the gang and referred them all to the competent authority. Investigations are still ongoing.

Jordan’s Brotherhood excluded from parliamentary committee
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The Arab Weekly/December 25/2020
AMMAN--The Muslim Brotherhood group in Jordan suffered a new setback, as it failed to hold a seat in any of the fifteen parliamentary committees. Thus, and for all practical purposes, the group finds itself outside the parliamentary equation.
The group, represented by the National Reform Alliance, succeeded in winning only six seats in the last November 10 parliamentary elections, losing about two-thirds of the seats it won in the previous legislative elections (16 seats).
The group was unable to form coalitions, as the Parliament’s internal rules require having 10% of the total members of the parliament to do that, and most of the committees devolved to the new representatives, who numbered 98 out of 130 deputies.
Most of the committees were constituted through elections, while 5 committees were formed by consensus. The new assembly is different from its predecessors as it aims to break the stereotypical image perpetuated by the previous assemblies through harder and more efficient work hoping to meet the expectations and aspirations of the Jordanian street. Analysts believe that the Brotherhood’s failure to be on any of the committees will practically lead to its side-lining on all issues inside the parliament, and thus, it will lose all influence, especially in the legislative process.
Parliament used to be the Brotherhood’s only outlet for political action through the presence of representatives from its political arm, the Islamic Action Front. But the situation has changed, and this party today has no weight in the parliament, while the Brotherhood is being dogged by court cases demanding its dissolution.The Ministry of Social Development recently published an official announcement in the Jordanian media about the decision issued by the Court of Cassation, the highest judicial body in the Kingdom, last June, decreeing the dissolution of the Brotherhood, in a step the latter considered hostile and indicating the existence of an official will to implement the judicial decision. The Court of Cassation stated in its decision No. 2013/2020, that “the Muslim Brotherhood Association, which was established in 1946, is considered dissolved from the date of June 16, 1953, in implementation of the provision of Article 12 of the Charitable Societies Law No. 36 of 1953 published on page 550 of the Official Gazette No. 1134, and one month after its publication in the Official Gazette.”
In its publication, the Ministry of Social Development called on creditors and civilians to get in touch with it with regard to any financial or other rights against the association, with supporting documents, within a period of one month from the publication of the announcement. Reacting to the ministry’s announcement, the group said that the said announcement “comes in the context of a broad official campaign targeting the path of reform, democracy, freedoms and human rights in the country.”
“The strict application of the Defence Law is being expanded such that a wide range of national forces, parties, trade unions and personalities have been targeted. The official measures aimed at ending political life, violating freedoms and human rights, and disrupting the path of national reform continue without interruption,” the group said in a statement. The statement added that “the group, which was not surprised by the recent official action, which is the culmination of the plan to target national forces and official bodies, including the Muslim Brotherhood, expresses its condemnation of this arbitrary measure.” The statement further added that “the group is an idea and a message that cannot be cancelled by a decision, nor by any procedure, and that its realistic legitimacy that has withstood for more than seven decades is stronger than any decision or procedure.”
The statement did not fail to allude to a conspiracy, by pointing out that “targeting the group at this delicate and sensitive time that our country and nation are going through, which calls for strengthening the home front and strengthening community cohesion, reflects confusion, narrow-mindedness and placing narrow considerations and delusional interests above national interests, especially since the evidence considered for taking the decisions cannot be considered as a legal argument against the group, especially since it was not a party to the case that was relied upon in the formation of the committee.”
Observers believe that the Jordanian Ministry of Social Development has published the judicial decision issued against the group as a prelude to its implementation on the ground, and that there is an order issued at the highest level of power to proceed with it.
The executive power had previously hesitated to implement the judicial decisions issued against the Muslim Brotherhood due to considerations observers said were political and related to concerns about the group’s reactions.
Observers believe that these concerns have eased in light of the awareness of decision-makers in the kingdom that the Brotherhood no longer holds great sway with the public due to the erosion of its popular base, which was confirmed by its low performance in the last legislative elections.
In recent years, the Muslim Brotherhood has been subjected to fatal blows, perhaps the most prominent of which were the internal splits that afflicted it and affected its top leaders.Today, the Brotherhood in Jordan seems to be constrained by the new reality and no longer possesses the power to manoeuvre or put pressure on decision-makers in the kingdom, amid expectations that it is likely to face even greater splits, especially that many of the group’s cadres and members were reluctant to participate in the last election.

EU and Britain Seal Post-Brexit Trade Deal
Agence France Presse/December 25/2020
Britain and the European Union struck a trade deal Thursday after 10 months of intense negotiation allowed them to soften the economic shock of Brexit. When the UK leaves the EU single market at the New Year it will not now face tariffs on cross-Channel commerce, despite breaking off half a century of close partnership."We've taken back control of our laws and our destiny. We've taken back control of every jot and tittle of our regulation in a way that is complete, and unfettered," British Prime Minister Boris Johnson declared. EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen was more measured.
"At the end of a successful negotiations journey I normally feel joy. But today, I only feel quiet satisfaction and, frankly speaking, relief," she said, citing English playwright William Shakespeare: "Parting is such sweet sorrow." She also warned that, protected by the deal from unfair British competition, "The single market will be fair and remain so."And she urged the 440 million Europeans remaining in the 27-nation union to put the drama of the four years since Britain's Brexit referendum behind them and to look to the future. "I say it is time to leave Brexit behind. Our future is made in Europe," she said.
Britain formally left the EU in January after a divisive referendum in 2016, the first country to split from the political and economic project that was born as the continent rebuilt in the aftermath of World War II. But London remains tied to the EU's rules during a transition period that runs until midnight on December 31, when the UK will leave the bloc's single market and customs union.
'Solid foundations'
The final 2,000-page agreement was held up by a last-minute dispute over fishing as both sides haggled over the access EU fishermen will get to Britain's waters after the end of the year. Von der Leyen said that although the UK would become a "third country" it would be a trusted partner. Johnson -- who rode to power pledging to "get Brexit done" -- insisted it was a "good deal for the whole of Europe and for our friends and partners as well". Leaders around the continent were quick to herald the 11th-hour accord that heads off the threat of Britain crashing out of the EU after 47 years of shared history with no follow-on rules. Irish premier Micheal Martin -- whose EU member state would have been hard hit by a no-deal -- said the accord was the "least bad version of Brexit possible". German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she was "confident" that the deal was a "good outcome" with French President Emmanuel Macron -- often portrayed as a bogeyman by the British tabloids -- saying that "Europe's unity and firmness paid off".
Christmas present?
Johnson was triumphant on Christmas Eve, calling the deal a "present" for Britain, but reaction elsewhere in the UK was more restrained. "I think it's dragged on for too long now," David Ashby, 62, said in Lincolnshire's Boston, summing up the mood of many.
In London, Shane O'Neill said he was pleased, adding: "It would've been a disaster if there would've been no deal." But Andy Finch, back in Lincolnshire, had been against Brexit from the beginning. "I still don't think it's a good idea," he said. "But that's where we are. And, well, we'll just have to see."
EU states to ratify -
Following the announcement of the political accord, von der Leyen's Commission will send the text to the remaining 27 European member states. Their ambassadors will meet on Friday, Christmas Day, and are expected to take two or three days to analyse the agreement and decide whether to approve its provisional implementation. The UK parliament will also have to interrupt its end of year holidays to vote on the deal on December 30, and with the opposition backing its implementation, it should pass easily. But with Britain outside the EU single market and customs area, cross-Channel traders will still face a battery of new regulations and delays with analysts expecting both economies to take a hit. Despite this, the threat of a return to tariffs will have been removed, and relations between the former partners will rest on a surer footing.
It will be seen as win by Johnson, as well as a success for von der Leyen and her chief negotiator Michel Barnier, who led almost 10 months of intense talks with Britain's David Frost. After the shock 2016 referendum, European capitals were concerned that if such a large rival on their doorstep were to deregulate its industry their firms would face unfair competition. Brussels insisted the only way to keep the land border between Ireland and the UK open was to keep Northern Ireland, a British province, within its customs union.
And members balked at giving up access to Britain's rich fishing waters, which support fleets in France, Belgium, Denmark, Ireland and the Netherlands.
It was the question of fish that emerged as the last stumbling block this week when London pushed to reduce EU fishing fleets' share of the estimated 650-million-euro annual haul by more than a third, with changes phased in over three years. The EU was insisting on 25 percent over at least six years.
In the end, the final agreement settled on the EU's figure but cut the length of the transition period to five-and-a-half years, an EU official said. After this time access to Britain's fishing grounds will be negotiated on an annual basis.

The Latest LCCC English analysis & editorials from miscellaneous sources published on December 25-26/2020

The Post-Pandemic World: A View from the Saudi Angle
Dr. Ihsan Ali Buhulaiga/Asharq Al-Awsat/December 25/2020
The year 2020 was rife with extraordinary developments. From the Saudi perspective, there is a vast difference from the positive time when it assumed the presidency of the G20 in late November to the emergence of the coronavirus “hurricane”. The situation was compounded by a weak job market and geopolitical regional tensions. However, despite the enormous challenges, Saudi Arabia handed over the presidency of the G20 to Italy after successfully and flawlessly carrying out its mission. The summit tackled pressing economic, financial, trade, environment and technical issues. It was year weighed down by the pandemic and the major responsibility of hosting the G20 summit. Saudi Arabia handled the responsibilities admirably. The Saudi team and G20 General Secretariat adopted the mentality that opportunity emerges from hardships. Saudi Arabia proved that cooperation between the members of the G20 amid the pandemic was important more than ever. The pandemic demanded that the members address how to protect mankind and people’s way of life. They addressed means to ease the impact of the pandemic and preparedness to confront future emergencies of this scale and more.
Realizing the danger of the pandemic, Saudi Arabia hosted an extraordinary virtual G20 summit on March 26. The event in itself was a precedent as it was the first time that the G20 holds two meetings under the same presidency. The summits in March and November demonstrated the high level of responsibility Saudi Arabia displayed in tackling regular and extraordinary world affairs. It left no issue unaddressed, giving everything its utmost attention in an effort to seize the opportunities of the 21st century to empower man, protect the planet and form new horizons.
Coronavirus
Before 2020, Saudi Arabia had unveiled an ambitious budget that estimated revenues at 833 billion riyals and expenditure at 1.020 trillion riyals. It predicted a deficit of some 187 billion riyals or 6.4 percent of its GDP. The Saudi economy suffered from the pandemic similar to all other economies. Its economy shrank by 7 percent during the second quarter due to a drop in economic activities. It was hurt further with the contraction of oil market by 8.2 percent. The impact of the pandemic on the economy was most felt during the second quarter and continued to a lesser degree into the third. This demonstrated in how despite authorities tripling the Value Added Tax, revenues in the third quarter increased by only 37 percent compared to the same time in 2019. We must not ignore the dramatic drop in oil revenues to less than 100 billion riyals in the third quarter. This was unprecedented in the 70 years throughout which oil was the main source of revenue for the Kingdom’s treasury.
Remaining challenges
The current challenge focused on how to fill the deficit amid a drop in oil revenues and the decline in non-oil economic activities. During the first three quarters of 2020, the deficit reached 184 billion riyals. Three-fifths of the deficit was met in the second quarter, at the peak of the pandemic shock. To tackle the financial challenges, Saudi Arabia implemented a number of economic measures and introduced a package of initiatives. International estimates predict that Saudi Arabia’s economy will grow. This is backed by high levels of spending at trillion-riyal rates for the past four years. Capital spending had also not ceased amid the pandemic. The 2021 budget reveals a goal to achieve financial balance. After noting a deficit of some 298 billion riyals in 2020, the estimated deficit for 2021 is expected to drop to around 141 billion riyals. The hopes are for the figure to continue to drop to 13 billion riyals by 2023. Overall, the success of an economy in the post-pandemic world depends on productivity and how many dollars can be generated in an average one working hour in any economy. That shows the level of competition of a country. The Saudi average production rate remains lamentably far behind that of members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Before being confronted with the pandemic, Saudi Arabia and its Vision 2030 had changed many concepts that were believed to be unchangeable. Of course, change for the sake of change is not justified, but change here underlines the fact that life exists after the end of the oil era. Five years ago, Saudi Arabia presented its Vision 2030 with 96 goals each posing a major challenge. The economy is witnessing a rewriting of the rulebook, which will ultimately lead to the restructuring of the entire economy. It will become an economy that is based on productive activities and investment. It will create jobs for the citizens, meet local demand and compete globally.


Biden Meddles with Donald Trump's Middle East Legacy at his Peril
Con Coughlin/Gatestone Institute./December 25/2020
It is worth remembering that, when President Trump took office, the region was still reeling from the dire consequences of former US President Barack Obama's inept and naive handling of the region.
By early January 2017, when Mr Trump took office, Iran was squandering the tens of billions of dollars it received for signing the nuclear deal, which Mr Obama had helped broker in 2015, on expanding its malign influence across the landscape of the Middle East. Mr Trump's Middle East legacy... completely redefined the landscape of the region from the chaos and conflict that prevailed when Mr Obama left office. Nowadays, the momentum in the region is moving towards peace, not conflict....
[T]he challenge for the incoming Biden administration now will be to see how it can pursue a different foreign policy agenda without jeopardising the very significant achievements that have been accomplished during Mr Trump's tenure.
Certainly, if the incoming Biden administration makes any serious attempt to undermine Mr Trump's legacy in the Middle East, it will do so at its peril.
President Trump's Middle East legacy is not only impressive -- it has completely redefined the landscape of the region from the chaos and conflict that prevailed when Mr Obama left office. Nowadays, the momentum in the region is moving towards peace, not conflict, as was so often the case during Mr Obama's presidency. Pictured from left to right: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, US President Donald Trump, Bahraini Foreign Minister Abdullatif bin Rashid Al Zayani and UAE Foreign Minister Abdullah bin Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan at the signing ceremony of the Abraham Accords at the White House on September 15, 2020 in Washington, DC.
The incoming Biden administration has indicated that one of its top priorities will be to adopt a new approach in Washington's dealings with the Middle East. In particular it wants to revive the flawed nuclear deal with Iran as well as re-establish a dialogue with the Palestinian leadership, which imposed a three-year boycott on the Trump administration.
Yet, while the new Biden team, the majority of whom are relics from the Obama administration, are keen to assert a new policy agenda for the region, they also need to take care that, in so doing, they do not squander the impressive legacy US President Donald Trump has built up in the region.
It is worth remembering that, when Mr Trump took office, the region was still reeling from the dire consequences of former US President Barack Obama's inept and naive handling of the region.
By early January 2017, when Mr Trump took office, Iran was squandering the tens of billions of dollars it received for signing the nuclear deal, which Mr Obama had helped broker in 2015, on expanding its malign influence across the landscape of the Middle East.
This malign influence included supporting the Assad regime in Syria, the Hizbollah terrorist organisation in Lebanon, pro-Iranian Shia militias in Iraq and the Houthi rebels in Yemen, which regularly employed Iranian-made drones and missiles to attack Saudi Arabia, a key US ally.
Attempts to revive the Israeli-Arab peace process, meanwhile, were going nowhere because of the Obama administration's antagonistic attitude towards Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, as well as maintaining its hopeless quest for a more constructive relationship with the Palestinian leadership.
In addition, Mr Obama's ambivalence about becoming involved in Syria's brutal war meant that US forces were hampered in their attempts to destroy the Islamist fanatics of ISIS, which had succeeded in capturing large swathes of northern Iraq and Syria.
Mr Trump therefore deserves enormous credit for achieving a complete turnaround in America's standing in the region during his tenure at the White House.
Thanks to Mr Trump's robust approach to Iran, where he withdrew from the nuclear deal and re-imposed crippling sanctions against Tehran, the Iranian economy has been seriously diminished, thus limiting the ayatollahs' ability to peddle their pernicious creed throughout the region.
ISIS, and its dream of establishing a self-governing "caliphate", has been completely destroyed, mainly because, soon after taking office, Mr Trump gave US commanders the authority and freedom to intensify the military campaign against the Islamist fanatics.
Arguably, Mr Trump's greatest achievement in the Middle East, though, has been the success he has enjoyed in breaking the impasse in the Israeli-Arab peace process, with a clutch of Arab regimes - the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco -- establishing diplomatic relations with Israel under the so-called Abraham Accords, with many other Arab governments -- including Saudi Arabia -- said to be giving serious consideration to following suit.
Mr Trump's Middle East legacy is not only impressive -- it has completely redefined the landscape of the region from the chaos and conflict that prevailed when Mr Obama left office. Nowadays, the momentum in the region is moving towards peace, not conflict, as was so often the case during Mr Obama's presidency.
So the challenge for the incoming Biden administration now will be to see how it can pursue a different foreign policy agenda without jeopardising the very significant achievements that have been accomplished during Mr Trump's tenure.
Certainly, if the incoming Biden administration makes any serious attempt to undermine Mr Trump's legacy in the Middle East, it will do so at its peril.
*Con Coughlin is the Telegraph's Defence and Foreign Affairs Editor and a Distinguished Senior Fellow at Gatestone Institute.
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How Islam Deified Tribalism
Raymond Ibrahim./December 25/2020
Aside from its religious veneer, Islam can easily be defined and understood by one wholly areligious word: tribalism—the bane of any democratic or pluralistic society.
The fact is, the entire appeal of Muhammad’s call to the Arabs of his time lay in its compatibility with their tribal mores, three in particular: loyalty to one’s tribe; enmity for other tribes; and raids on the latter to enrich and empower the former.
For seventh-century Arabs—and later tribal peoples, chiefly Turks and Tatars, who also found natural appeal in and converted to Islam—the tribe was what humanity is to modern people: to be part of it was to be treated humanely; to be outside of it was to be treated inhumanely. This is no exaggeration: Muslim philosopher Ibn Khaldun (d. 1406) described the Arabs of his time (let alone those from Muhammad’s more primitive era eight centuries earlier) as “the most savage human beings that exist. Compared with sedentary people they are on a level with wild, untamable animals and dumb beasts of prey. Such people are the Arabs.”Muhammad reinforced the dichotomy of tribalism, but by prioritizing fellow Muslims over blood relatives. Thus, in his “Constitution of Medina,” he asserted that “a believer shall not slay a believer for the sake of an unbeliever, nor shall he aid an unbeliever against a believer.” Moreover, all Muslims were to become “friends one to the other to the exclusion of outsiders.”
Hence the umma—an Arabic word etymologically connected to the word “mother” and which signifies the Islamic “Super-Tribe” that transcends racial, national, and linguistic barriers—was born; and its natural enemy remained everyone outside of it.
The Islamic doctrine of al-wala’ wa’l-bara’ (“loyalty and enmity”), which Muhammad preached and the Koran commands, captures all this. The latter goes so far as to command all Muslims to “renounce” and “disown” their non-Muslim relatives—“even if they be their fathers, their sons, their brothers, or their nearest kindred”—and to feel only “enmity and hate” for them until they “believe in Allah alone” (Koran 58:22 and 60:4; see also 4:89, 4:144, 5:51, 5:54, 9:23, and 60:1). These verses are in reference to a number of Muhammad’s close companions, who renounced and eventually slaughtered their own non-Muslim relatives as a show of their loyalty to Allah and the believers: one slew his father, another his brother, a third—Abu Bakr, the first caliph—tried to slay his son, and Omar, the second caliph, slaughtered several relatives. (For more, see the nearly sixty-page treatise, “Loyalty and Enmity,” in The Al Qaeda Reader.) Hence the jihad was born. As only two tribes existed—the Islamic umma in one tent and the dehumanized tribes of the world in another—Muslims were exhorted to attack and subjugate all these “infidels” in order to make their Super-Tribe supreme.
In short, tribalistic blood ties were exchanged for religious—that is, Islamic—ties.
This dichotomized worldview remains enshrined in Islamic law’s, or sharia’s, mandate that Dar al-Islam (the “Abode of Islam”) must battle Dar al-Kufr (the “Abode of Infidelity”) in perpetuity until the former subsumes the latter.
It also explains why tribal societies other than the Arabs also gravitated to and found Islam appealing.
For example, in the Turks’ oldest epic, The Book of Dede Korkut (based on oral traditions), the newly converted Turkic tribes engage in pagan practices either frowned on or banned by Islam: they eat horse meat and drink wine and other fermented drinks; and their women are, in comparison to Muslim women, relatively free. Only in the context of raids on the “infidel”—which comes to replace “tribal outsider”—are echoes of Islam evident in their lives. “I shall raid the bloody infidels’ land, I shall cut off heads and spill blood, I shall make the infidel vomit blood, I shall bring back slaves and slave-girls,” is a typical pre-battle boast. “They destroyed the infidels’ church, they killed its priests and made a mosque in its place. They had the call to prayer proclaimed, they had the invocation [or shahada] recited in the name of Allah Almighty. The best of the hunting-birds, the purest of stuffs, the loveliest of girls … they selected,” is a typical account of these new Turkish converts’ pious exploits.
Otherwise, Islam is absent from their lives. Although the Persian and Arab establishment was originally unimpressed by Turkish piety, they praised the new converts because they “fight in the way of Allah, waging jihad against the infidels” (which, then and now, always went a long way to exonerate otherwise un-Islamic behavior). It was the same for those Mongols who embraced Islam. As Ricoldo of Monte Croce (d. 1320) once observed, “the Tartars had adopted Islam because it was the easy religion, as Christianity was the hard one.” Whereas Islam complemented their preexisting tribal way of life, Christianity only challenged it. So it is that Muhammad’s most enduring contribution to world history is that, in repackaging the tribal mores of seventh-century Arabia through a theological paradigm, he also deified tribalism into a sort of hyper-tribalism, causing it to outlive its historic setting and dramatically spill into the modern era. Whereas many world civilizations have been able to slough off or at least temper their historic tribalism, for Muslims to break with tribalism is to break with Muhammad and his laws—to break with cardinal Islamic teachings.
Hence the notorious resistance to assimilation in the West; the creation of enclaves and clannish no-go zones; the incessant subversive activities of groups such as the Muslim Brotherhood and CAIR; and the sporadic flare outs of terrorism and hate crimes.
*Raymond Ibrahim, author of Sword and Scimitar: Fourteen Centuries of War between Islam and the West, is a Shillman Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center, a Judith Rosen Friedman Fellow at the Middle East Forum, and a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Gatestone Institute.

The Russian bear can still roar and claw at the global order but it lacks any power to change it

Dr. John C. Hulsman/Arab News/December 25/2020
Throughout his long tenure in the Kremlin, which began in May 2000, Russian President Vladimir Putin has managed to ensure his country remains a thorn in America’s side.
Consistently vexing the West — whether by annexing Crimea, maintaining ruthless control over Russia’s “near abroad” (the term it uses to refer to the 14 other Soviet successor states), or cozying up to China — Moscow has cut a swath across the international stage. But in general it has displayed a mosquito-like ability to annoy, rather than the power to directly take on the much stronger West.
Until now, that is. With its suspected cyberattacks against the US government during the past nine months, the Kremlin has graduated from being a mere annoyance to actually wounding the US. It was reported this month that at least six government agencies (including the State Department, Homeland Security, and the Treasury) were hacked, with devastating results. The cyberattacks display all the hallmarks of Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). A backdoor snooping code was added to standard governmental computer updates issued between March and June this year. According to Solar Winds, the company whose software was compromised, about 18,000 US public- and private-sector users downloaded the infected updates, which provided access to their systems. Russian hacker team APT29 — a division of the SVR better known as Cozy Bear — is thought to be responsible.
So pervasive was the infiltration that the unanimous recommendation from experts is that entirely new computer systems will have to be built for the US government, an undertaking that is sure to take years and prove highly costly.
The hacking escapade is just the sort of thing that Putin, with his background in secret-service skulduggery, is particularly good at. But while Russia can still sting, and even inflict serious wounds, the fact that Putin is able to play the Kremlin’s strategic cards so expertly cannot alter the basic fact that Russia remains in decline. Its fundamental political risk choice in the new era is merely a secondary one: whether to persist on its own as a fading, limited great power, or to throw in its lot in a subordinated fashion with the rising China. As we have said before in these pages, we are living in a new era of loose bipolarity where there two superpowers, the US and China, are clearly vying for global dominance. However, just below them in terms of importance, other great powers — such as the Anglosphere countries (English-speaking nations with historical and cultural ties to the UK), the EU, India, Japan and Russia — all have extensive room to maneuver and craft independent foreign policies of their own.
The choice for the first four of these powers is to adopt neutralism in the face of the Sino-American Cold War, or tilt toward Washington. For Russia, it is neutralism or an alliance, in one form or another, with Beijing.
A number of structural factors have prevented a formal Sino-Russian alliance from developing. First and foremost, Putin’s Russia — a government whose enduring popularity has always been based around its successful resurrection of Great-Russian nationalism — is loath to play second fiddle to China. Of course, in any Sino-Russian alliance that is how it would have to be, due to the relative power of the two countries. For a long time, this structural reality has kept the two enemies of the US apart.
To put Russia’s decline into context, its economy is smaller than Italy’s, and seven times smaller than that of rising China. Europe has fully 10 times the economic strength and three times the population of Russia. To put it mildly, these are not the characteristics of a rising power. Russia’s hapless economy, its political risk Achilles heel, has doomed the Kremlin’s efforts to reverse the country’s geopolitical trajectory — despite Putin’s undisputed mastery in playing his poor hand of strategic cards as well as he can.
All of this leads me back to my initial political risk assessment: Russia remains a great power, but one that is in decline. It still matters but more for the geostrategic choice that lies ahead of it, rather than for any independent ability to overturn the US-dominated world order.
However, if Russia did decisively throw in its lot with China, it would be the one great power action of our age that would, at a stroke, significantly remake the global structure of the world. Even as Biden’s America corrals prospective allies into its camp — with Japan, the Anglosphere countries, and India likely converts, and the EU possible — the White House must at the same time do everything in its power to prevent a Sino-Russian alliance from coalescing and strengthening.
This means that a continuation of the policy of containing the Russian bear is the way forward. To do so the US and NATO must draw clear lines between alliance and non-alliance countries in Eastern Europe. Those within NATO must be defended and supported to the hilt, and those outside the alliance tacitly left to be what they are in practice now: part of the Russian sphere of influence.
The continuation of this de facto strategy makes it highly unlikely that a Russia obsessed with its status in the world will accept a subordinate role in an alliance with China.
Analytically acknowledging the peculiar strengths and weaknesses of modern-day Russia is, in this larger light, of the utmost geopolitical importance.
*Dr. John C. Hulsman is the president and managing partner of John C. Hulsman Enterprises, a prominent global political risk consulting firm. He is also senior columnist for City AM, the newspaper of the City of London. He can be contacted via chartwellspeakers.com

Syria’s pain forgotten but not foregone this holiday season

Tala Jarjour/Arab News/December 25/2020
She may be around 5 or quite possibly older, but she is small. Her little hands are clutching four clear plastic bags. The top one is a goody bag with a handful of small local chocolates. Then there is a coloring book, sliding from between the goody bag and her elbow. Her left hand is working hard to prevent two more slippery bags containing warm clothes — most likely from benevolent donors — from falling. I do not know her name, but I know she is in Aleppo. I will call her Salma.
She is very elegant, wearing a tastefully assorted turtleneck and vest with tiny embroidered flowers. Her little skirt is hidden under the bags she is clutching, but we know she is dressed up by her clean white tights. If I can venture another guess, Salma has a creative mother or grandmother somewhere — someone taking care of her who has decided that she will be wearing something nice for a Christmas party this year, in shades of indigo and blue that go very well with her purple eyeglasses. Salma looks like a small tower of cute color and shiny plastic wrap, on top of which sit giant ear warmers, not exactly her size but justified by the snowman glued at the top, complete with his green hat and red bowtie. Unlike Salma, the snowman is wearing a giant grin.
She is posing for a picture, probably intended for the donors whose gifts generated the plastic objects tumbling between her tiny limbs. But Salma is not smiling. Take the color away and you might think the child is about to burst into tears. Her expressionless face can hardly conceal the reproaching stare in her eyes. “Why have you forgotten me?” I imagine her saying to the beholder. It is the sort of picture that says a million words.
Mufid’s words, much like Salma’s eyes, are staring the world in the face with one plea: To see their pain, and to make it just that little bit less unbearable
Looking at it on my computer screen this Christmas Day, too many miles and light years of safety away, I am stirred by shame. Salma lives in Aleppo. She is not the only one unable to draw a smile for the camera on this occasion. Dozens of children around her are hugging goodies but barely any are able to smile. Even in this year of ominous global suffering, Salma's portrait strikes a chord. The pain this child’s eyes are sending to the world is unbearably condemning.
I scroll down to a post from Mufid, not his real name, who is a respected cardiologist in Damascus. The senior doctor’s social media postings are typically terse, formal and often scientific. His careful notes come across as non-partisan, encouraging, edifying and always respectful. This week, his Christmas greeting is a telling read: “In this blessed season, we — Syrians — will complain. To this world. To God.”
Mufid’s opening sentence gives way to a litany of one-line supplications, each starting with “ya Rabb” (oh Lord). English-speaking Christians would call this text a prayer of intercession. Muslims would use the Arabic word “Du’aa.” In either case, this prayer is a plea from the heart, the suffering heart.
“We are not well, oh Lord,” goes the doctor’s invocation. “We are bearing more than we can … We are living our present moment in fear and have almost lost hope in our future.” The prayer of a few lines is not short of inflictions: Pain, cold, hunger, thirst, darkness, illness, feeling abandoned and, worst of all, not knowing why. At its end, the prayer asks for one thing: Rest. A tall order in today’s Syria.
Mufid’s words, much like Salma’s eyes, are staring the world in the face with one plea: To see their pain, and to make it just that little bit less unbearable. This is the abandoned Syrian people’s wish for the holidays. May heaven’s mercies, and those of the earth, touch little Salma’s heart and reach the forgotten corners of Syrian pain.
• Tala Jarjour is author of “Sense and Sadness: Syriac Chant in Aleppo.” She is a visiting research fellow at King’s College London and associate fellow at Yale College.

Can Turkey tidy up its foreign policy in 2021?
Sinem Cengiz/Arab News/December 25/2020
2020 has been a challenging year for Ankara, in both the domestic and foreign spheres. In addition to the foreign policy issues inherited from 2019, the coronavirus, devastating earthquakes, currency crises, and difficulties in the economy have dominated the agenda throughout the year. In the domestic realm, issues related to the reopening of Hagia Sophia as a mosque, the debate on the Istanbul Convention regarding violence against women, strict restrictions on social media, and talks over new political alliances occupied the chatter Turkish streets.
Yet, Turkish foreign policy was immune to domestic and global challenges. While approaching the end of this year, it is worth taking a closer look at what has happened in the Turkish foreign sphere in the shadow of the global pandemic. Which incidents have tested Turkey’s limits? How has Ankara teetered on the edge with the EU and the US?
During the first half of the year, Syria, Libya, the Eastern Mediterranean, and the issue of Turkey’s Russian-built S-400 missile defense systems were the topics that made Turkish policymakers busy. Almost every day, there was a new development in the Eastern Mediterranean that caused tension to escalate between the two warring parties, and Turkey was one of the main actors. Also, the diplomatic dispute over Varosha put a further strain on relations between Greece and Turkey. The EU leaders have now agreed to impose sanctions on Turkey due to gas drilling activities in the Eastern Mediterranean, but they have postponed further decisions.
While in the second half of the year, Turkey became part of a hot conflict in the Caucasia. Besides the Eastern Mediterranean, Syria, and Libya, Turkey was involved in the dispute between Azerbaijan and Armenia, throwing its support to Baku. The tension that started in late-September between Azerbaijan and Armenia over the occupied Nagorno-Karabakh region soon turned into a conflict. The Turkish public have watched developments from this conflict with great interest.
Throughout the year, Libya and Syria were the areas that brought the military dimension of Turkey’s foreign policy agenda back to the surface.
Throughout the year, Libya and Syria were the areas that brought the military dimension of Turkey’s foreign policy agenda back to the surface. Nowhere has Ankara’s securitized foreign policy gained more attention than this. The share of military tools and methods in the conduct of Turkish foreign policy have gradually expanded this year when compared to previous years. Turkey’s foreign policy discussions have reached a point where policy concepts and military terminology have increasingly intertwined. This led the country’s opposition to criticize the government for having a “lack of vision” in conducting the country’s foreign affairs.
Turkey has had to face severe problems and has taken foreign policy steps that prioritize its own interests in the face of difficult actors such as the US and Russia. On Dec. 14, the US imposed sanctions on Turkey over its acquisition of the Russian S-400 missile defense system. The sanctions come at a delicate moment in the fraught relations between Ankara and Washington as Joe Biden gears up to take office on Jan. 20, replacing Republican Donald Trump.
This week, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said that Turkey hoped to open a new chapter in its relations with the EU and the US in the new year. “We do not view our versatile political, economic, and military ties as an alternative to our well-established relations with the US. We also hope that the EU gets rid of the strategic blindness that moves Turkey away (from the bloc).” He added that “artificial agendas” have tested Turkey’s ties with the EU and the US in 2020, but he hopes that things would improve.
A brief prediction of the Turkish foreign policy for 2021 is that Ankara is likely to enter into tight negotiations with the two actors; namely the US and the EU. Although several reports have been published over a possible rapprochement between Turkey and Israel or with other regional countries that Ankara has frosty relations with, it is yet not clear that such reconciliation might happen since there is no open statement from Ankara.
However, we can see an open call when it comes to the US and the EU as the stakes are high. Needless to say, new administrations come to power with the promise of solving problems, not to complicate them. So, causing further problems with Turkey would not be the Biden administration’s first agenda, particularly when Ankara calls to open a new page in relations.
The negotiations with the EU are likely to focus on the common concern over the refugee issue, but also the democratization and human rights issues in Turkey. The S-400 air defense system will not be the sole item in the Turkish-US talks, but also over issues related to Russia, China, and the Middle East. If a new page is to open between Ankara and Washington, it is going to happen in the shadow of the US competition between Russia and China, two actors that will follow the process in Turkish-American relations closely and also try to influence the course of the negotiations.
For 2021, let’s hope that diplomacy, rather than military means, will be the effective tools in Turkey’s foreign policymaking, and dialogue, rather than threats of sanctions, will be the dominant rhetoric of the EU and the US toward Ankara.
*Sinem Cengiz is a Turkish political analyst who specializes in Turkey’s relations with the Middle East. Twitter: @SinemCngz